High School Sports Blog

Maxwell playoff projections after Week 2

By Loren Maxwell
Updated Aug 28, 2018

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings' playoff projections for each class.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2017 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

All out of state opponents were considered equal to the average of the GHSA team’s classification (i.e., out of state opponents of Class AAAAAAA GHSA teams were treated as an average Class AAAAAAA team).

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Colquitt County1 - AAAAAAA2-095.44999,9514.36896,389638,234518,690340,6991.94
Grayson8 - AAAAAAA1-095.00999,9994.38870,358664,964528,431337,9281.96
North Gwinnett6 - AAAAAAA1-088.69999,8993.44775,946393,519247,521114,2397.75
Lowndes1 - AAAAAAA2-086.55996,7633.25736,974340,863207,47679,64911.56
Walton4 - AAAAAAA2-082.97999,0262.87569,586363,836119,18839,37024.40
McEachern3 - AAAAAAA1-181.62989,1632.87523,972312,57195,07629,24833.19
Norcross7 - AAAAAAA1-078.61996,7262.28342,350164,80844,95810,96690.19
Mill Creek6 - AAAAAAA1-178.15996,1332.25386,603156,02543,34110,22096.85
Parkview7 - AAAAAAA1-077.79996,3912.20322,035148,10937,8538,737113.46
Milton5 - AAAAAAA2-076.82999,5612.37368,103161,49337,9688,598115.31
Archer8 - AAAAAAA0-176.37997,8962.36371,074148,68334,9236,938143.13
Tift County1 - AAAAAAA1-174.85887,3001.76258,24986,39817,5253,272304.62
Hillgrove3 - AAAAAAA2-073.83949,7912.05243,34289,11117,1572,989333.56
North Cobb3 - AAAAAAA2-073.11918,8201.96223,30978,60614,2092,361422.55
Brookwood7 - AAAAAAA1-173.40985,0481.78195,25368,61812,7442,159462.18
Roswell4 - AAAAAAA1-071.78977,0041.60169,09456,4078,5311,213823.40
North Paulding3 - AAAAAAA2-068.80764,6071.41106,51225,5753,4484302,324.58
South Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA1-166.75982,0801.60108,12821,6482,5542543,936.01
Westlake2 - AAAAAAA2-066.47978,9681.4873,1349,6541,8512014,974.12
South Gwinnett8 - AAAAAAA1-065.39974,9591.4879,66913,1751,3511228,195.72
Camden County1 - AAAAAAA1-165.87559,7750.8052,42810,5739999310,751.69
Marietta3 - AAAAAAA0-265.28625,7321.0454,3589,3811,0819210,868.57
Etowah4 - AAAAAAA1-164.67842,3901.0445,4557,9558087014,284.71
Mountain View6 - AAAAAAA1-164.82911,8131.2051,0499,2998666216,128.03
Collins Hill6 - AAAAAAA0-163.44891,9501.1338,3826,3195485019,999.00
West Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA0-161.27949,5051.2438,6235,0993601952,630.58
Newton8 - AAAAAAA1-160.18946,9901.2433,5813,7952391471,427.57
Central Gwinnett7 - AAAAAAA1-159.36787,6300.9019,1951,7631225199,999.00
East Coweta2 - AAAAAAA0-255.26729,1870.858,182637391999,999.00
Woodstock4 - AAAAAAA0-256.49475,8190.515,297417271999,999.00
Wheeler2 - AAAAAAA2-055.93786,0660.929,82386343--
Lassiter4 - AAAAAAA1-157.12572,7160.617,13055533--
Newnan2 - AAAAAAA1-154.22685,4360.786,46349424--
Pebblebrook2 - AAAAAAA1-151.19499,3960.552,7331827--
Kennesaw Mountain3 - AAAAAAA1-053.77132,8790.172,0251364--
Lambert5 - AAAAAAA1-149.04530,2820.561,473723--
North Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA1-147.66507,6810.531,022481--
Meadowcreek7 - AAAAAAA2-048.41309,1230.32990341--
Campbell2 - AAAAAAA1-147.37337,3570.3694145---
Cherokee4 - AAAAAAA1-148.21177,5300.1837218---
Peachtree Ridge6 - AAAAAAA0-245.57158,8670.1734016---
Discovery6 - AAAAAAA1-137.9047,1500.05291---
Shiloh8 - AAAAAAA1-135.8365,3720.07241---
Forsyth Central5 - AAAAAAA1-033.5850,1210.054----
Rockdale County8 - AAAAAAA0-229.5920,4370.021----
Lakeside (Atlanta)7 - AAAAAAA1-127.096,4720.01-----
Duluth6 - AAAAAAA0-223.852,2300.00-----
Berkmar7 - AAAAAAA1-0-5.1590.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 At large Out
1 - AAAAAAAColquitt County715,795235,86641,262-7,02849
1 - AAAAAAALowndes236,259571,896158,121-30,4873,237
1 - AAAAAAATift County41,329151,592521,674-172,705112,700
1 - AAAAAAACamden County6,61740,646278,943-233,569440,225
2 - AAAAAAAWestlake635,918210,34089,98938,7303,99121,032
2 - AAAAAAAWheeler121,070239,004234,154186,4175,421213,934
2 - AAAAAAAEast Coweta103,366218,852215,830190,889250270,813
2 - AAAAAAANewnan76,348171,262213,156220,9383,732314,564
2 - AAAAAAAPebblebrook44,359103,998149,208199,7642,067500,604
2 - AAAAAAACampbell18,93956,54497,663163,262949662,643
3 - AAAAAAAMcEachern535,646260,245126,88754,71111,67410,837
3 - AAAAAAAHillgrove184,240249,245247,380182,23086,69650,209
3 - AAAAAAANorth Cobb179,111245,714239,617184,92669,45281,180
3 - AAAAAAANorth Paulding68,403150,628210,783253,78081,013235,393
3 - AAAAAAAMarietta31,38087,419154,249261,05891,626374,268
3 - AAAAAAAKennesaw Mountain1,2206,74921,08463,29540,531867,121
4 - AAAAAAAWalton760,159190,18339,0008,6501,034974
4 - AAAAAAARoswell170,538469,517246,61679,75510,57822,996
4 - AAAAAAAEtowah50,716219,442343,041223,1376,054157,610
4 - AAAAAAALassiter9,03261,914182,991302,48316,296427,284
4 - AAAAAAAWoodstock8,73350,329147,567263,8835,307524,181
4 - AAAAAAACherokee8228,61540,785122,0925,216822,470
5 - AAAAAAAMilton676,811250,07660,93010,5621,182439
5 - AAAAAAASouth Forsyth239,303442,799233,12164,2992,55817,920
5 - AAAAAAAWest Forsyth73,567242,564465,581158,9938,80050,495
5 - AAAAAAALambert5,50736,962122,886360,4284,499469,718
5 - AAAAAAANorth Forsyth4,76526,610109,141365,8141,351492,319
5 - AAAAAAAForsyth Central479898,34139,904840949,879
6 - AAAAAAANorth Gwinnett749,040207,62834,6188,325288101
6 - AAAAAAAMill Creek201,517555,522186,16452,1647663,867
6 - AAAAAAAMountain View28,599133,162370,159374,3645,52988,187
6 - AAAAAAACollins Hill20,652100,082373,531396,766919108,050
6 - AAAAAAAPeachtree Ridge1853,20828,837126,433204841,133
6 - AAAAAAADiscovery73956,57139,841336952,850
6 - AAAAAAADuluth-31202,107-997,770
7 - AAAAAAANorcross404,822344,605199,96244,5552,7823,274
7 - AAAAAAAParkview381,749320,900227,21463,2683,2603,609
7 - AAAAAAABrookwood196,391282,539375,303127,0433,77214,952
7 - AAAAAAACentral Gwinnett16,25846,700169,527533,24721,898212,370
7 - AAAAAAAMeadowcreek7805,24327,688225,95049,462690,877
7 - AAAAAAALakeside (Atlanta)-133065,928225993,528
7 - AAAAAAABerkmar---9-999,991
8 - AAAAAAAGrayson876,259112,6349,4861,610101
8 - AAAAAAAArcher100,537659,776189,15248,2182132,104
8 - AAAAAAASouth Gwinnett17,928150,972461,006342,2232,83025,041
8 - AAAAAAANewton5,27475,912332,485530,9652,35453,010
8 - AAAAAAAShiloh16076,20958,309246934,628
8 - AAAAAAARockdale County1991,66218,675-979,563

Class AAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Lee County1 - AAAAAA2-078.19992,6244.00751,810600,094434,925301,4042.32
Coffee1 - AAAAAA2-073.24977,3743.20603,509429,224248,114128,6256.77
Glynn Academy2 - AAAAAA1-172.96998,2853.24515,665388,524240,437124,8347.01
Tucker4 - AAAAAA0-273.31999,9172.95540,409423,244229,544124,3857.04
Northside (Warner Robins)1 - AAAAAA1-171.15958,2232.86534,771356,815182,26783,64110.96
Harrison6 - AAAAAA2-070.80946,6973.04660,474319,669170,25780,90211.36
Valdosta1 - AAAAAA1-167.93925,8992.35416,630247,380102,23639,05924.60
Mays5 - AAAAAA0-266.66986,6982.70493,799219,53092,78533,86828.53
Allatoona6 - AAAAAA0-166.42886,9692.44503,275194,72979,69628,87033.64
Creekview6 - AAAAAA2-063.85815,7382.04400,106132,77645,86813,97970.54
Dalton6 - AAAAAA1-063.30779,4071.91367,086117,51538,94711,50385.93
Douglas County5 - AAAAAA1-160.52945,5692.09294,71385,25224,5006,021165.09
Alpharetta7 - AAAAAA0-160.36992,8311.85292,42885,04822,8385,551179.15
Dacula8 - AAAAAA1-159.44992,0702.06301,15274,28821,1194,752209.44
Effingham County2 - AAAAAA2-059.40961,2232.05177,77170,91517,7183,963251.33
Brunswick2 - AAAAAA0-258.62941,9091.97163,38762,39014,6173,049326.98
Richmond Hill2 - AAAAAA1-057.17941,5681.90143,43849,77110,3131,878531.48
Sequoyah6 - AAAAAA1-058.38533,4731.08168,74838,6888,8101,771563.65
Stephenson4 - AAAAAA1-154.32977,2321.2474,91820,8603,6225301,885.79
Lanier8 - AAAAAA1-153.08967,3261.57129,17520,5423,2034522,211.39
Centennial7 - AAAAAA0-152.60935,1681.2894,73614,2692,2563273,057.10
Alexander5 - AAAAAA0-152.66674,6281.1185,78912,6101,8542284,384.96
Hughes5 - AAAAAA0-251.92675,1091.0979,30111,1921,6451995,024.13
Evans3 - AAAAAA0-249.10966,2421.3341,1668,4839487613,156.89
Northgate5 - AAAAAA0-149.67536,0010.8146,0125,2776297313,697.63
Winder-Barrow8 - AAAAAA1-146.20866,0111.1133,7633,0412632049,999.00
Lovejoy4 - AAAAAA1-146.14918,2000.9912,6561,9691791376,922.08
Houston County1 - AAAAAA1-146.68145,8800.175,094847751190,908.09
Gainesville8 - AAAAAA0-243.66776,4830.9418,3041,4661127142,856.14
Cambridge7 - AAAAAA0-144.01666,6720.7514,2711,077996166,665.67
Grovetown3 - AAAAAA1-140.49817,1950.936,011612391999,999.00
Johns Creek7 - AAAAAA1-140.73473,7610.515,339330141999,999.00
New Manchester5 - AAAAAA1-139.0574,2890.091,1724521999,999.00
Heritage (Conyers)3 - AAAAAA0-140.66809,6020.936,06363036--
Northview7 - AAAAAA1-038.85327,0090.352,50211411--
Lakeside (Evans)3 - AAAAAA2-037.36689,2110.752,4742098--
Pope7 - AAAAAA0-139.65375,7720.403,4041525--
Bradwell Institute2 - AAAAAA0-236.62157,0150.211,778913--
Drew4 - AAAAAA0-237.34404,9960.42933682--
Mundy's Mill4 - AAAAAA1-135.90307,4320.31523302--
Creekside5 - AAAAAA0-238.9474,0260.091,204561--
Greenbrier3 - AAAAAA0-129.51261,3280.27143111--
Habersham Central8 - AAAAAA1-134.92368,5490.401,48049---
Sprayberry6 - AAAAAA0-240.7822,6730.0374445---
Alcovy3 - AAAAAA1-132.47456,4220.4853430---
M.L. King4 - AAAAAA0-132.78203,0820.2124214---
Chattahoochee7 - AAAAAA0-233.55128,0090.1333711---
South Paulding5 - AAAAAA0-135.1327,7590.032326---
River Ridge6 - AAAAAA0-236.416,9010.011086---
South Cobb6 - AAAAAA0-236.628,1420.011303---
Tri-Cities5 - AAAAAA0-130.175,9210.01182---
North Atlanta7 - AAAAAA1-032.2988,4410.091871---
Morrow4 - AAAAAA1-129.06103,7820.1048----
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)4 - AAAAAA0-228.0184,9450.0927----
Apalachee8 - AAAAAA0-219.6429,5610.037----
Dunwoody7 - AAAAAA0-124.9512,3370.014----
Forest Park4 - AAAAAA0-213.384140.00-----
Osborne6 - AAAAAA0-24.73-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAAAALee County448,816292,532163,62887,6487,376
1 - AAAAAACoffee245,254269,824260,252202,04422,626
1 - AAAAAANorthside (Warner Robins)198,165246,799273,520239,73941,777
1 - AAAAAAValdosta107,201186,279286,588345,83174,101
1 - AAAAAAHouston County5644,56616,012124,738854,120
2 - AAAAAAGlynn Academy714,654207,24554,61321,7731,715
2 - AAAAAAEffingham County108,680299,235306,022247,28638,777
2 - AAAAAABrunswick102,797262,428308,309268,37558,091
2 - AAAAAARichmond Hill73,301224,986311,674331,60758,432
2 - AAAAAABradwell Institute5686,10619,382130,959842,985
3 - AAAAAAEvans546,050242,410121,63056,15233,758
3 - AAAAAAGrovetown170,399236,781232,729177,286182,805
3 - AAAAAAHeritage (Conyers)150,558242,243233,025183,776190,398
3 - AAAAAALakeside (Evans)92,094163,084207,891226,142310,789
3 - AAAAAAAlcovy28,37078,635133,874215,543543,578
3 - AAAAAAGreenbrier12,52936,84770,851141,101738,672
4 - AAAAAATucker859,845127,43911,68894583
4 - AAAAAAStephenson116,052583,506218,05559,61922,768
4 - AAAAAALovejoy21,583229,420512,936154,26181,800
4 - AAAAAADrew1,83433,599118,473251,090595,004
4 - AAAAAAMundy's Mill32410,67448,524247,910692,568
4 - AAAAAAM.L. King2339,50849,765143,576796,918
4 - AAAAAAMorrow663,49522,13478,087896,218
4 - AAAAAAMount Zion (Jonesboro)632,35918,39864,125915,055
4 - AAAAAAForest Park--27387999,586
5 - AAAAAAMays583,774273,27596,00533,64413,302
5 - AAAAAADouglas County297,401370,904188,29788,96754,431
5 - AAAAAAHughes43,884129,712250,669250,844324,891
5 - AAAAAAAlexander45,171129,910241,360258,187325,372
5 - AAAAAANorthgate28,10784,726178,410244,758463,999
5 - AAAAAANew Manchester8055,26319,27148,950925,711
5 - AAAAAACreekside6894,75318,63249,952925,974
5 - AAAAAASouth Paulding1561,3026,30719,994972,241
5 - AAAAAATri-Cities131551,0494,704994,079
6 - AAAAAAHarrison429,178255,110163,59098,81953,303
6 - AAAAAAAllatoona223,651258,206231,332173,780113,031
6 - AAAAAACreekview162,291207,264227,630218,553184,262
6 - AAAAAADalton137,659186,348222,409232,991220,593
6 - AAAAAASequoyah46,98391,484148,090246,916466,527
6 - AAAAAASprayberry1601,1004,43616,977977,327
6 - AAAAAASouth Cobb392351,3516,517991,858
6 - AAAAAARiver Ridge392531,1625,447993,099
6 - AAAAAAOsborne----1,000,000
7 - AAAAAAAlpharetta705,188215,29055,72016,6337,169
7 - AAAAAACentennial214,634433,719198,02288,79364,832
7 - AAAAAACambridge40,971157,692262,493205,516333,328
7 - AAAAAAJohns Creek16,43380,127170,689206,512526,239
7 - AAAAAAPope11,71151,774130,429181,858624,228
7 - AAAAAANorthview9,00543,009114,310160,685672,991
7 - AAAAAAChattahoochee1,26111,40038,99276,356871,991
7 - AAAAAANorth Atlanta7696,57726,44254,653911,559
7 - AAAAAADunwoody284122,9038,994987,663
8 - AAAAAADacula614,680253,27690,37333,7417,930
8 - AAAAAALanier242,359384,349235,746104,87232,674
8 - AAAAAAWinder-Barrow80,705199,115314,808271,383133,989
8 - AAAAAAGainesville55,352133,375266,020321,736223,517
8 - AAAAAAHabersham Central6,84629,28587,865244,553631,451
8 - AAAAAAApalachee586005,18823,715970,439

Class AAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Buford8 - AAAAA2-088.911,000,0004.96897,894817,184756,919487,8931.05
Rome7 - AAAAA1-087.55999,9854.68901,838772,459648,351366,1611.73
Warner Robins1 - AAAAA2-075.76999,6563.56758,830630,781218,32768,91113.51
Stockbridge4 - AAAAA1-074.75995,4333.20780,732321,243145,08943,50921.98
Ware County2 - AAAAA2-067.83999,3742.66543,571135,67256,35611,32687.29
Carrollton7 - AAAAA1-064.86978,4262.35329,227156,53733,0325,050197.02
Jones County4 - AAAAA2-064.47934,0582.18404,976163,51829,0844,545219.02
Kell7 - AAAAA1-063.10956,6762.33375,371162,60525,2863,535281.89
Dutchtown4 - AAAAA2-062.22894,3581.83285,812104,21815,6352,102474.74
Starr's Mill3 - AAAAA1-060.38990,8732.25301,521128,53415,6021,790557.66
Griffin3 - AAAAA1-159.54989,5472.22290,618123,61613,9891,567637.16
Bainbridge1 - AAAAA2-060.48982,1021.80233,63872,98111,3871,290774.19
Southwest DeKalb5 - AAAAA2-056.88998,6342.47459,776143,95011,5671,088918.12
Wayne County2 - AAAAA1-056.43985,9911.91177,32953,9925,9164832,069.39
Clarke Central8 - AAAAA2-055.71995,5421.96113,75025,0364,2592873,483.32
Arabia Mountain5 - AAAAA1-152.41995,2732.18355,20973,6324,0322304,346.83
Banneker6 - AAAAA2-050.74974,1591.60190,47632,8841,8098811,362.64
Locust Grove4 - AAAAA1-152.50461,3200.6340,18110,6456973826,314.79
Veterans1 - AAAAA2-050.64900,5231.1554,75311,3685933429,410.76
Carver (Atlanta)6 - AAAAA0-247.12928,4241.2888,85612,3724821855,554.56
Eagle's Landing4 - AAAAA1-150.43374,6380.4821,9475,5902851566,665.67
Hiram7 - AAAAA0-146.66355,0650.5752,2235,8372011099,999.00
Woodland (Stockbridge)4 - AAAAA1-147.70227,8320.278,9361,971801099,999.00
Riverwood6 - AAAAA2-045.67909,0781.1865,4838,0503028124,999.00
Whitewater3 - AAAAA0-145.70778,9361.0628,6024,8641804249,999.00
Thomas County Central1 - AAAAA1-146.18739,8150.8521,6182,7621102499,999.00
New Hampstead2 - AAAAA2-043.44849,0661.0920,3562,764982499,999.00
East Paulding7 - AAAAA0-144.11269,6660.4030,1172,717652499,999.00
Riverdale3 - AAAAA2-040.55570,7450.687,634791251999,999.00
Paulding County7 - AAAAA0-241.99147,5840.2112,429897221999,999.00
Maynard Jackson6 - AAAAA1-143.01828,8580.9727,0502,77588--
Loganville8 - AAAAA1-140.04925,9951.2142,7542,81647--
Villa Rica7 - AAAAA1-142.42191,4460.2717,1231,30937--
Cedar Shoals8 - AAAAA1-136.57886,1681.0823,1601,14414--
Jonesboro3 - AAAAA1-139.89477,0020.565,4864969--
Ola4 - AAAAA0-243.6695,3140.111,9623518--
Statesboro2 - AAAAA1-037.81677,0500.786,0815604--
Columbia5 - AAAAA1-133.86795,8140.897,3643133--
Cass7 - AAAAA1-038.3374,3250.103,9832083--
South Effingham2 - AAAAA1-134.77488,5190.542,4301613--
Harris County1 - AAAAA0-237.88377,9040.402,6151402--
Lithonia5 - AAAAA2-031.81719,4410.783,7591491--
Miller Grove5 - AAAAA1-126.67454,9090.47665171--
Woodland (Cartersville)7 - AAAAA1-034.7026,8270.0380347---
Union Grove4 - AAAAA1-035.6417,0470.026613---
McIntosh3 - AAAAA0-229.88102,4600.1118110---
Walnut Grove8 - AAAAA0-121.82188,6970.203117---
Grady6 - AAAAA0-228.51123,8010.131284---
Fayette County3 - AAAAA0-229.2190,4370.101254---
North Springs6 - AAAAA1-128.33114,9540.121174---
Decatur6 - AAAAA1-128.11108,4880.111332---
Lithia Springs6 - AAAAA0-118.8012,2380.011----
Chamblee5 - AAAAA0-28.5435,9290.04-----
Johnson (Gainesville)8 - AAAAA1-1-1.873,5980.00-----
Clarkston5 - AAAAA0-2-18.87-------
Cross Keys5 - AAAAA0-2-53.18-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAAAWarner Robins833,848144,61617,2893,903344
1 - AAAAABainbridge128,283569,228218,20566,38617,898
1 - AAAAAVeterans23,758175,541443,660257,56499,477
1 - AAAAAThomas County Central12,65091,668239,273396,224260,185
1 - AAAAAHarris County1,46118,94781,573275,923622,096
2 - AAAAAWare County732,973234,23327,4074,761626
2 - AAAAAWayne County233,290525,222179,94947,53014,009
2 - AAAAANew Hampstead23,344151,421421,002253,299150,934
2 - AAAAAStatesboro6,81059,217224,533386,490322,950
2 - AAAAASouth Effingham3,58329,907147,109307,920511,481
3 - AAAAAGriffin477,647362,126118,99230,78210,453
3 - AAAAAStarr's Mill447,899394,019120,18028,7759,127
3 - AAAAAWhitewater53,053142,610337,254246,019221,064
3 - AAAAARiverdale12,09253,525212,360292,768429,255
3 - AAAAAJonesboro8,47940,330162,693265,500522,998
3 - AAAAAMcIntosh4473,91326,84171,259897,540
3 - AAAAAFayette County3833,47721,68064,897909,563
4 - AAAAAStockbridge675,622231,02371,97116,8174,567
4 - AAAAAJones County199,160370,686252,722111,49065,942
4 - AAAAADutchtown101,881275,167347,971169,339105,642
4 - AAAAALocust Grove14,55263,568141,616241,584538,680
4 - AAAAAEagle's Landing5,64234,921102,431231,644625,362
4 - AAAAAWoodland (Stockbridge)2,50418,78458,785147,759772,168
4 - AAAAAOla6195,53121,91567,249904,686
4 - AAAAAUnion Grove203202,58914,118982,953
5 - AAAAASouthwest DeKalb604,926335,59849,9138,1971,366
5 - AAAAAArabia Mountain366,340510,29399,26519,3754,727
5 - AAAAAColumbia17,10477,670389,674311,366204,186
5 - AAAAALithonia9,20154,852304,903350,485280,559
5 - AAAAAMiller Grove2,42121,297148,320282,871545,091
5 - AAAAAChamblee82907,92527,706964,071
5 - AAAAAClarkston----1,000,000
5 - AAAAACross Keys----1,000,000
6 - AAAAABanneker449,248272,869167,25984,78325,841
6 - AAAAACarver (Atlanta)245,262287,192239,192156,77871,576
6 - AAAAARiverwood203,502247,931261,866195,77990,922
6 - AAAAAMaynard Jackson96,077166,738251,281314,762171,142
6 - AAAAAGrady2,0739,15728,94983,622876,199
6 - AAAAANorth Springs1,8548,00925,45679,635885,046
6 - AAAAADecatur1,9457,78124,13174,631891,512
6 - AAAAALithia Springs393231,86610,010987,762
7 - AAAAARome895,31393,54510,65747015
7 - AAAAACarrollton56,754520,509336,96264,20121,574
7 - AAAAAKell46,936348,663453,047108,03043,324
7 - AAAAAHiram61216,79877,232260,423644,935
7 - AAAAAEast Paulding2199,50651,932208,009730,334
7 - AAAAAVilla Rica664,70930,527156,144808,554
7 - AAAAAPaulding County894,69326,885115,917852,416
7 - AAAAACass91,3109,99063,016925,675
7 - AAAAAWoodland (Cartersville)22672,76823,790973,173
8 - AAAAABuford971,07128,37749359-
8 - AAAAAClarke Central26,094797,731145,62626,0914,458
8 - AAAAALoganville1,803102,518457,052364,62274,005
8 - AAAAACedar Shoals1,02766,538365,672452,931113,832
8 - AAAAAWalnut Grove54,82930,693153,170811,303
8 - AAAAAJohnson (Gainesville)-74643,127996,402

Class AAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Cartersville5 - AAAA1-087.14999,6065.22956,609902,805757,608605,5840.65
Blessed Trinity7 - AAAA2-079.16999,7794.40868,354758,470540,048242,8363.12
Marist7 - AAAA1-073.36998,7663.69760,342592,749274,25790,40610.06
Mary Persons2 - AAAA2-065.33989,3483.12774,356346,62784,38918,81052.16
Sandy Creek5 - AAAA1-063.35864,8552.25370,632244,67072,31010,20297.02
Burke County3 - AAAA0-262.21999,7472.45510,61999,92942,6546,707148.10
Troup5 - AAAA1-061.54842,4571.99288,965178,74946,7255,895168.64
Thomson3 - AAAA0-161.24999,5932.39486,63087,30034,9155,332186.55
Woodward Academy4 - AAAA1-159.72999,0162.41439,92677,10833,3813,967251.08
Eastside4 - AAAA2-059.22998,6472.35414,57767,37426,1373,198311.70
West Laurens2 - AAAA2-056.15899,9442.06402,884128,09219,8491,889528.38
St. Pius X8 - AAAA1-158.45998,5151.71127,00462,91311,2641,507662.57
Cedartown5 - AAAA1-157.38646,8971.27137,41670,89813,5841,207827.50
Chapel Hill5 - AAAA2-056.12619,9291.17115,24356,2419,5127611,313.06
Cairo1 - AAAA0-251.73942,7842.00281,93287,78311,1246511,535.10
Flowery Branch7 - AAAA1-052.55884,3901.6597,66237,3454,5093203,124.00
Spalding2 - AAAA1-151.62783,0761.39188,52244,6915,2672743,648.64
Ridgeland6 - AAAA0-248.48989,1091.6097,39538,3893,9431785,616.98
Oconee County8 - AAAA1-149.82986,0571.3152,86718,3742,0151148,770.93
Americus-Sumter1 - AAAA1-145.99802,8121.32103,19618,5151,4774024,999.00
Perry2 - AAAA2-046.11559,0830.8063,50610,3738632737,036.04
Carver (Columbus)1 - AAAA2-044.60715,1351.0968,51610,3846661662,499.00
Northside (Columbus)1 - AAAA1-044.02689,3811.0362,1859,1296741566,665.67
Upson-Lee2 - AAAA1-144.25414,1920.5738,2255,4903551566,665.67
White County7 - AAAA1-044.81672,1491.0638,51010,1316101283,332.33
Stephens County8 - AAAA2-045.09966,9581.1634,2669,2626671190,908.09
Salem4 - AAAA1-141.30917,9821.3153,5104,5722178124,999.00
Pickens6 - AAAA1-039.61921,7661.1013,9082,8801264249,999.00
Northwest Whitfield6 - AAAA1-041.65955,9321.2325,0376,1893353333,332.33
Howard2 - AAAA1-143.25354,3570.4624,9163,1901923333,332.33
Baldwin3 - AAAA0-238.24948,1741.1236,1173,5941262499,999.00
Hampton4 - AAAA1-034.23703,4480.8615,8511,091202499,999.00
West Hall7 - AAAA1-139.03412,6530.5710,9111,960811999,999.00
Columbus1 - AAAA1-038.00341,3630.4310,424853421999,999.00
Westover1 - AAAA0-134.90177,7680.213,01316491999,999.00
Richmond Academy3 - AAAA2-031.91873,4900.9511,01155561999,999.00
Hardaway1 - AAAA1-037.65321,0310.408,89966531--
Heritage (Ringgold)6 - AAAA1-133.96788,6130.842,6172829--
North Oconee8 - AAAA2-031.29723,2910.741,7481493--
North Clayton4 - AAAA0-223.79185,0990.2075919---
Madison County8 - AAAA0-224.94325,1790.3321014---
Luella4 - AAAA0-120.38105,1340.111927---
LaGrange5 - AAAA0-134.4314,8120.02867---
Henry County4 - AAAA0-118.7586,6130.091655---
Chestatee7 - AAAA0-224.8130,2150.03905---
Southeast Whitfield6 - AAAA1-123.17275,1150.28745---
Central (Carrollton)5 - AAAA1-132.4711,4440.01503---
Cross Creek3 - AAAA1-114.19178,9960.1855----
Shaw1 - AAAA1-124.376,2870.0110----
LaFayette6 - AAAA2-014.7369,2580.074----
Druid Hills4 - AAAA1-16.474,0610.002----
Dougherty1 - AAAA0-221.783,4390.002----
Denmark7 - AAAA1-010.022,0480.00-----
Gilmer6 - AAAA0-2-12.092070.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAACairo503,388238,354129,96571,07757,216
1 - AAAAAmericus-Sumter190,076247,729207,300157,707197,188
1 - AAAACarver (Columbus)126,194192,267208,569188,105284,865
1 - AAAANorthside (Columbus)120,980175,284198,564194,553310,619
1 - AAAAColumbus26,55263,128103,754147,929658,637
1 - AAAAHardaway23,28957,08897,537143,117678,969
1 - AAAAWestover9,45125,74152,51090,066822,232
1 - AAAAShaw533041,2074,723993,713
1 - AAAADougherty171055942,723996,561
2 - AAAAMary Persons651,426236,44477,22824,25010,652
2 - AAAAWest Laurens216,477341,606221,962119,899100,056
2 - AAAASpalding76,769206,450289,249210,608216,924
2 - AAAAPerry26,34199,448178,787254,507440,917
2 - AAAAUpson-Lee18,68768,547128,212198,746585,808
2 - AAAAHoward10,30047,505104,562191,990645,643
3 - AAAAThomson514,000431,41747,2156,961407
3 - AAAABurke County469,279471,57352,9995,896253
3 - AAAABaldwin12,83469,249548,951317,14051,826
3 - AAAARichmond Academy3,84826,692325,841517,109126,510
3 - AAAACross Creek391,06924,994152,894821,004
4 - AAAAWoodward Academy544,110378,29366,7369,877984
4 - AAAAEastside425,445476,15884,63212,4121,353
4 - AAAASalem23,717105,718557,713230,83482,018
4 - AAAAHampton6,40135,164218,094443,789296,552
4 - AAAANorth Clayton2543,17336,246145,426814,901
4 - AAAALuella4489020,46683,734894,866
4 - AAAAHenry County2960215,82670,156913,387
4 - AAAADruid Hills-22873,772995,939
5 - AAAACartersville885,67598,67612,0593,196394
5 - AAAASandy Creek55,858350,920270,988187,089135,145
5 - AAAATroup30,562283,195306,313222,387157,543
5 - AAAACedartown15,383141,116206,926283,472353,103
5 - AAAAChapel Hill12,518125,356198,678283,377380,071
5 - AAAALaGrange24502,86911,491985,188
5 - AAAACentral (Carrollton)22872,1678,988988,556
6 - AAAARidgeland518,964284,544135,82249,77910,891
6 - AAAANorthwest Whitfield255,513311,341248,180140,89844,068
6 - AAAAPickens168,926256,204306,377190,25978,234
6 - AAAAHeritage (Ringgold)51,625125,249237,922373,817211,387
6 - AAAASoutheast Whitfield4,63620,14059,908190,431724,885
6 - AAAALaFayette3362,52211,78354,617930,742
6 - AAAAGilmer--8199999,793
7 - AAAABlessed Trinity677,332292,53527,6302,282221
7 - AAAAMarist308,746605,85775,7068,4571,234
7 - AAAAFlowery Branch11,55970,810528,798273,223115,610
7 - AAAAWhite County2,02424,143245,880400,102327,851
7 - AAAAWest Hall3366,554117,084288,679587,347
7 - AAAAChestatee31014,81225,299969,785
7 - AAAADenmark--901,958997,952
8 - AAAASt. Pius X638,466268,01479,35612,6791,485
8 - AAAAOconee County245,348399,729278,63862,34213,943
8 - AAAAStephens County107,672284,848434,112140,32633,042
8 - AAAANorth Oconee7,00436,221160,114519,952276,709
8 - AAAAMadison County1,51011,18847,780264,701674,821

Class AAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Benedictine3 - AAA1-076.781,000,0004.59921,543687,571604,148387,5231.58
Peach County4 - AAA1-073.93999,9974.16892,706643,878415,588221,6133.51
Calhoun6 - AAA1-071.83999,9983.77684,806615,916324,648158,2635.32
Westminster (Atlanta)5 - AAA2-068.66999,9083.18652,829327,771183,34477,84711.85
Cedar Grove5 - AAA2-068.83999,8763.16631,401331,008179,48076,55012.06
Greater Atlanta Christian7 - AAA1-166.83999,9963.10661,526290,988126,66447,37520.11
Pace Academy5 - AAA2-061.08999,6962.52438,147211,62458,14215,09565.25
Lovett5 - AAA0-257.06990,2312.22347,245174,49229,5925,683174.96
Liberty County2 - AAA1-053.51999,1462.75607,356228,15129,7614,267233.36
Jefferson8 - AAA0-154.21998,0021.74220,949127,57017,5572,778358.97
Crisp County1 - AAA1-150.86990,0662.30457,66086,04510,1521,268787.64
Westside (Macon)4 - AAA2-048.93982,5491.88176,30141,7694,9945491,820.49
Monroe Area8 - AAA2-048.58993,9901.3380,53230,4282,7712923,423.66
Pierce County2 - AAA2-045.40995,1682.05306,28356,1873,8592813,557.72
Dawson County7 - AAA2-046.42996,0361.92151,77450,3203,4732803,570.43
Cook1 - AAA2-043.56975,6711.70175,82428,1991,6171069,432.96
Pike County4 - AAA2-043.93955,4121.60121,37019,8191,3607213,887.89
Southeast Bulloch3 - AAA1-043.29994,4261.69117,21910,2458175418,517.52
North Hall7 - AAA2-042.03985,8421.6370,72614,4648384920,407.16
Jenkins3 - AAA1-141.90988,1661.65100,4147,9235703231,249.00
Ringgold6 - AAA1-139.86973,1771.3835,0805,1563071662,499.00
Jackson4 - AAA0-236.69762,5881.0545,3023,3741133333,332.33
Adairsville6 - AAA1-134.74894,1021.0912,9121,415512499,999.00
Monroe1 - AAA2-034.78856,3731.1230,2432,574681999,999.00
North Murray6 - AAA0-131.47798,2900.905,906480141999,999.00
Appling County2 - AAA0-132.60868,9821.0923,9351,33440--
Morgan County8 - AAA1-133.33728,9280.763,93530713--
Sonoraville6 - AAA1-029.96796,3720.894,7233379--
Hart County8 - AAA0-230.98654,5930.682,4801305--
Central (Macon)4 - AAA0-129.73344,5170.417,5272082--
Tattnall County2 - AAA0-124.57644,5980.692,472501--
Beach3 - AAA0-119.01278,9380.29868221--
Jackson County8 - AAA1-126.20385,3010.39713111--
Windsor Forest3 - AAA1-123.37574,8010.623,811129---
East Hall7 - AAA0-225.00628,6800.671,07462---
Worth County1 - AAA0-221.73201,7820.2252711---
Brantley County2 - AAA0-120.98427,7800.4578210---
Franklin County8 - AAA1-124.69324,9440.334388---
Savannah3 - AAA0-215.88219,4220.233447---
Lumpkin County7 - AAA1-118.71355,7110.361144---
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe6 - AAA1-117.91177,3630.181062---
Redan5 - AAA0-219.1413,4890.01391---
Islands3 - AAA0-18.9448,7720.0522----
Long County2 - AAA0-29.4476,2520.0811----
Towers5 - AAA0-215.196,6230.019----
Haralson County6 - AAA1-09.0433,4800.035----
Fannin County7 - AAA1-17.4755,3290.064----
Kendrick4 - AAA0-29.479,1610.014----
Rutland4 - AAA0-17.355,9980.013----
Murray County6 - AAA0-25.725,7120.01-----
Cherokee Bluff7 - AAA0-2-9.131,8630.00-----
East Jackson8 - AAA0-1-2.871,2460.00-----
Groves3 - AAA0-1-8.984410.00-----
Stone Mountain5 - AAA0-2-5.071330.00-----
Johnson (Savannah)3 - AAA0-1-12.51810.00-----
Coahulla Creek6 - AAA0-1-16.8720.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 At large Out
1 - AAACrisp County685,900243,92458,427-1,8159,934
1 - AAACook236,077483,396239,468-16,73024,329
1 - AAAMonroe71,262247,044532,756-5,311143,627
1 - AAAWorth County6,76125,636169,349-36798,218
2 - AAALiberty County646,546290,18953,8218,266324854
2 - AAAPierce County303,347490,286163,54634,0423,9474,832
2 - AAAAppling County40,972154,583427,420241,6604,347131,018
2 - AAATattnall County6,81540,872219,231377,124556355,402
2 - AAABrantley County2,27722,981119,864279,9072,751572,220
2 - AAALong County431,08916,11859,0011923,748
3 - AAABenedictine960,88837,2571,778761-
3 - AAASoutheast Bulloch17,499460,335433,63174,0568,9055,574
3 - AAAJenkins21,335475,000413,54674,0594,22611,834
3 - AAAWindsor Forest19617,98686,520418,82751,272425,199
3 - AAABeach575,58035,145216,41021,746721,062
3 - AAASavannah243,62026,088173,49016,200780,578
3 - AAAIslands12223,28042,6122,657951,228
3 - AAAGroves--1140327999,559
3 - AAAJohnson (Savannah)--16713999,919
4 - AAAPeach County920,47272,7255,7121,049393
4 - AAAWestside (Macon)44,871483,704313,251124,84215,88117,451
4 - AAAPike County27,374305,066371,673218,67132,62844,588
4 - AAAJackson6,721116,589235,961394,6858,632237,412
4 - AAACentral (Macon)56221,79571,769247,3613,030655,483
4 - AAAKendrick-661,0328,0549990,839
4 - AAARutland-556025,3383994,002
5 - AAAWestminster (Atlanta)423,180316,833172,12286,5861,18792
5 - AAACedar Grove364,609342,842196,87894,555992124
5 - AAAPace Academy152,671216,988322,240302,2865,511304
5 - AAALovett59,537123,271308,255497,1622,0069,769
5 - AAARedan24934812,882208986,511
5 - AAATowers1171566,39752993,377
5 - AAAStone Mountain--1132-999,867
6 - AAACalhoun954,40443,2122,046319172
6 - AAARinggold29,669494,791260,768132,49155,45826,823
6 - AAAAdairsville9,549215,792299,292247,413122,056105,898
6 - AAANorth Murray3,835114,897204,975285,560189,023201,710
6 - AAASonoraville2,492124,145205,288259,324205,123203,628
6 - AAALakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe466,62324,42060,83785,437822,637
6 - AAAHaralson County34412,4669,88020,690966,520
6 - AAAMurray County2997454,174692994,288
6 - AAACoahulla Creek---2-999,998
7 - AAAGreater Atlanta Christian877,512107,49414,067902214
7 - AAADawson County77,228557,674306,15250,7634,2193,964
7 - AAANorth Hall43,841301,479518,108116,6135,80114,158
7 - AAAEast Hall1,18227,535119,736478,1472,080371,320
7 - AAALumpkin County2305,54537,458301,45311,025644,289
7 - AAAFannin County72734,42650,313310944,671
7 - AAACherokee Bluff--531,8091998,137
8 - AAAJefferson658,178272,14255,17611,2141,2921,998
8 - AAAMonroe Area299,090516,941138,48333,1506,3266,010
8 - AAAMorgan County23,31292,810319,254278,88614,666271,072
8 - AAAHart County13,50776,444267,317282,04515,280345,407
8 - AAAJackson County3,39023,199117,309205,20436,199614,699
8 - AAAFranklin County2,52318,457102,377188,34613,241675,056
8 - AAAEast Jackson-7841,155-998,754

Class AA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Hapeville Charter6 - AA1-072.57999,9954.70881,325702,687620,833501,9880.99
Brooks County1 - AA1-062.44997,7883.57794,034408,478272,803131,9766.58
Callaway5 - AA1-061.00999,4053.48669,237462,176288,331112,3587.90
Thomasville1 - AA2-061.08997,0463.48758,773412,281256,889107,5058.30
Rockmart7 - AA2-055.97999,8033.18639,031434,351114,53546,64420.44
Rabun County8 - AA1-152.44999,8332.73565,762258,21893,29421,33645.87
Fitzgerald1 - AA1-153.53986,3692.61498,385216,36480,48619,81949.46
Dodge County3 - AA1-052.26979,0942.42412,643171,65852,34513,42573.49
Heard County5 - AA1-051.88993,5942.30321,912155,49852,52012,78077.25
Dublin3 - AA2-050.52962,2332.20341,236128,23032,9037,594130.68
Washington County3 - AA2-050.29969,1312.22344,780127,78531,9067,262136.70
Bremen5 - AA2-049.08986,8432.03240,377100,83125,3905,193191.57
Vidalia2 - AA1-048.40984,7111.93195,14980,94023,8064,132241.01
Elbert County8 - AA2-046.69999,0221.96278,75899,75520,5283,343298.13
Screven County4 - AA1-145.68997,6361.94262,09285,77211,7022,263440.89
Swainsboro2 - AA1-044.94960,7631.62123,27536,4947,5611,067936.21
Douglass6 - AA2-041.58984,4591.81128,69529,0975,7075421,844.02
Jefferson County4 - AA0-241.31991,4331.60146,60535,7523,8094772,095.44
Pepperell7 - AA0-137.59979,8041.67118,93821,1822,2761636,133.97
Chattooga7 - AA1-135.53965,2791.4669,29610,0379666016,665.67
Toombs County2 - AA2-035.70764,8780.9831,1554,4923592539,999.00
Union County8 - AA1-033.80978,7391.1622,5293,1502581471,427.57
Southwest3 - AA0-134.33481,9540.6315,5302,2591489111,110.11
Bleckley County3 - AA1-133.53446,3730.5712,1001,6751159111,110.11
Jeff Davis2 - AA2-032.79641,9060.7716,1671,8351124249,999.00
Berrien1 - AA1-131.65464,8120.5916,6201,653644249,999.00
Spencer5 - AA0-230.11605,5020.7019,0711,523903333,332.33
B.E.S.T. Academy6 - AA1-129.90752,7710.9721,5441,7961132499,999.00
South Atlanta6 - AA1-125.61456,7970.535,579323142499,999.00
Early County1 - AA1-131.61553,9850.7019,2331,948741999,999.00
Bacon County2 - AA0-229.14423,0780.485,60145025--
Coosa7 - AA0-225.55778,8410.876,50537212--
Washington6 - AA0-225.61408,2150.474,9392908--
Northeast3 - AA0-226.89158,5440.181,3771297--
Lamar County5 - AA1-124.68287,2070.313,9081656--
Laney4 - AA0-122.51563,4890.581,451771--
Harlem4 - AA0-122.25534,3720.551,425741--
Metter2 - AA1-023.69198,9010.211,004631--
McNair6 - AA1-019.68138,6700.15565251--
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate6 - AA1-118.9998,5520.10258131--
Hephzibah4 - AA1-121.25499,6800.511,06338---
Therrell6 - AA1-119.46160,5410.1765530---
Jordan5 - AA0-117.41101,4070.113819---
Putnam County8 - AA1-113.34398,3250.402937---
Butler4 - AA1-017.14292,5480.302556---
Banks County8 - AA0-213.07311,7550.322306---
Model7 - AA0-212.91178,8710.18843---
Monticello8 - AA0-18.09186,6590.19451---
Temple5 - AA0-110.9526,0420.03361---
Bryan County2 - AA0-113.7125,7630.03211---
Social Circle8 - AA1-06.15125,4200.1331----
Glenn Hills4 - AA0-112.44112,9590.1126----
Armuchee7 - AA1-07.8963,4060.0615----
Dade County7 - AA0-24.0133,1250.031----
Westside (Augusta)4 - AA0-10.875,6860.01-----
East Laurens3 - AA0-27.232,6710.00-----
Josey4 - AA0-1-1.572,1970.00-----
Gordon Central7 - AA0-2-10.708710.00-----
Oglethorpe County8 - AA0-2-19.722470.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AABrooks County515,195325,626139,97816,9892,212
1 - AAThomasville370,026409,371196,91620,7332,954
1 - AAFitzgerald111,706249,037551,90573,72113,631
1 - AAEarly County1,5047,63058,617486,234446,015
1 - AABerrien1,5698,33652,584402,323535,188
2 - AAVidalia558,645277,001110,79338,27215,289
2 - AASwainsboro307,664380,444193,99078,66539,237
2 - AAToombs County80,899171,555277,906234,518235,122
2 - AAJeff Davis33,346100,779226,482281,299358,094
2 - AABacon County16,65954,576130,539221,304576,922
2 - AAMetter2,70314,83855,122126,238801,099
2 - AABryan County848075,16819,704974,237
3 - AADodge County387,590306,998220,20564,30120,906
3 - AAWashington County294,582317,285273,96183,30330,869
3 - AADublin294,585297,488273,44296,71837,767
3 - AASouthwest12,99340,514109,399319,048518,046
3 - AABleckley County9,10631,41596,416309,436553,627
3 - AANortheast1,1446,28926,423124,688841,456
3 - AAEast Laurens-111542,506997,329
4 - AAScreven County577,017361,27950,4408,9002,364
4 - AAJefferson County397,150471,72898,12324,4328,567
4 - AALaney7,81549,532258,265247,877436,511
4 - AAHarlem8,29352,303234,674239,102465,628
4 - AAHephzibah8,00147,186211,640232,853500,320
4 - AAButler1,43114,399110,214166,504707,452
4 - AAGlenn Hills2903,53435,16973,966887,041
4 - AAWestside (Augusta)3261,0814,576994,314
4 - AAJosey-133941,790997,803
5 - AACallaway639,190261,31791,1917,707595
5 - AAHeard County223,435382,113342,48045,5666,406
5 - AABremen134,712337,388441,43373,31013,157
5 - AASpencer2,08013,51282,559507,351394,498
5 - AALamar County5514,95833,525248,173712,793
5 - AAJordan306547,55593,168898,593
5 - AATemple2581,25724,725973,958
6 - AAHapeville Charter955,10143,850982625
6 - AADouglass41,443729,832171,52541,65915,541
6 - AAB.E.S.T. Academy2,455145,296371,287233,733247,229
6 - AASouth Atlanta55749,737175,865230,638543,203
6 - AAWashington33411,878166,615229,388591,785
6 - AATherrell489,13150,543100,819839,459
6 - AAMcNair406,96743,04088,623861,330
6 - AAKIPP Atlanta Collegiate223,30920,14375,078901,448
7 - AARockmart822,333149,35224,0144,104197
7 - AAPepperell114,034464,194299,992101,58420,196
7 - AAChattooga53,500302,238420,243189,29834,721
7 - AACoosa9,84977,191216,010475,791221,159
7 - AAModel2535,57828,159144,881821,129
7 - AAArmuchee241,1268,10054,156936,594
7 - AADade County73203,44929,349966,875
7 - AAGordon Central-133837999,129
8 - AARabun County665,741280,89050,5802,622167
8 - AAElbert County297,323549,609143,1138,977978
8 - AAUnion County36,323161,476680,788100,15221,261
8 - AAPutnam County3083,39651,344343,277601,675
8 - AABanks County2413,26241,176267,076688,245
8 - AAMonticello4484222,007163,766813,341
8 - AASocial Circle2052510,984113,891874,580
8 - AAOglethorpe County--8239999,753

Class A-Public

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Irwin County2 - A2-057.041,000,000915,498765,916602,658461,7781.17
Clinch County2 - A1-051.84999,969855,821626,125389,189224,1423.46
Manchester4 - A1-047.37981,661656,330404,016207,25088,83810.26
Commerce8 - A2-045.25999,874724,164391,841193,81470,80113.12
Mount Zion (Carroll)6 - A1-043.32999,052610,711294,010127,44941,55223.07
Emanuel County Institute3 - A0-142.60997,296599,873308,095128,68039,47424.33
Pelham1 - A2-038.181,000,000649,374311,877111,26423,69741.20
Charlton County2 - A2-040.15999,278567,733234,18583,16121,95644.55
Marion County4 - A2-036.90951,915267,03398,46128,0105,911168.18
Macon County4 - A0-137.57618,353202,44575,33422,0585,039197.45
Dooly County4 - A1-036.86646,629200,16771,44020,1884,259233.80
Trion6 - A1-034.02991,270259,14775,66817,9182,977334.91
Turner County2 - A1-134.17955,623226,63067,36016,2842,710368.00
Lincoln County7 - A1-133.44960,968235,58768,67515,6252,514396.77
Mitchell County1 - A0-129.55999,832366,04382,18315,3911,680594.24
Washington-Wilkes7 - A0-131.56933,497184,04646,9539,1651,281779.64
Telfair County2 - A1-031.25874,874143,01734,7546,5618681,151.07
Taylor County4 - A0-130.89351,37956,85613,4342,4983063,266.97
Claxton3 - A2-026.14760,15461,33710,4181,3691148,770.93
McIntosh County Academy3 - A0-124.80469,77629,4694,5355545318,866.92
Bowdon6 - A0-221.91565,90723,4232,7642622343,477.26
Atkinson County2 - A1-119.75409,11812,6611,256868124,999.00
Miller County1 - A0-016.70972,73553,6024,0332446166,665.67
Chattahoochee County1 - A1-114.60985,62236,8412,3031034249,999.00
Seminole County1 - A0-113.23957,90925,3881,535804249,999.00
Wilcox County2 - A1-018.64338,8849,385850553333,332.33
Greene County7 - A0-117.33376,5348,850744361999,999.00
Schley County4 - A1-119.5639,1691,63218681999,999.00
Johnson County3 - A1-017.69200,0615,49043617--
Jenkins County3 - A0-116.25224,8674,76933415--
Montgomery County3 - A1-113.16145,7071,780924--
Hancock Central7 - A0-112.62121,1691,333592--
Warren County7 - A1-09.55164,5531,116441--
Gordon Lee6 - A1-18.8789,726532231--
Towns County8 - A1-011.5289,62279738---
Terrell County1 - A0-21.99368,31964613---
Hawkinsville4 - A1-113.845,6301164---
Randolph-Clay1 - A0-1-2.94351,1642473---
Wilkinson County7 - A0-18.536,886593---
Calhoun County1 - A0-1-7.0973,85326----
Lanier County2 - A0-1-0.9816,37318----
Wheeler County3 - A0-15.197934----
Portal3 - A1-13.442,5283----
Twiggs County7 - A0-1-7.401421----
Baconton Charter1 - A1-0-15.90975-----
Greenville4 - A0-1-2.01183-----
Central (Talbotton)4 - A0-1-9.11134-----
Stewart County1 - A1-0-24.2731-----
Treutlen3 - A1-1-4.536-----
Crawford County4 - A0-1-18.91------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team Rgn Champ 1 to 8 9 to 24 Out
1 - APelham726,106983,94916,051-
1 - AMitchell County225,075675,226324,606168
1 - AMiller County20,236156,264816,47127,265
1 - AChattahoochee County18,755111,739873,88314,378
1 - ASeminole County9,77376,413881,49642,091
1 - ATerrell County50259368,060631,681
1 - ARandolph-Clay3538350,626648,836
1 - ACalhoun County21173,842926,147
1 - ABaconton Charter--975999,025
1 - AStewart County--31999,969
2 - AIrwin County579,307989,86310,137-
2 - AClinch County351,752910,16389,80631
2 - ACharlton County48,945613,000386,278722
2 - ATurner County14,238109,841845,78244,377
2 - ATelfair County5,58956,938817,936125,126
2 - AAtkinson County87706408,412590,882
2 - AWilcox County82935337,949661,116
2 - ALanier County-116,372983,627
3 - AEmanuel County Institute472,428558,701438,5952,704
3 - AClaxton4,38915,549744,605239,846
3 - AMcIntosh County Academy3,1604,858464,918530,224
3 - AJenkins County2,5512,632222,235775,133
3 - AJohnson County4,3404,363195,698799,939
3 - AMontgomery County852879144,828854,293
3 - APortal222,526997,472
3 - AWheeler County7070723999,207
3 - ATreutlen115999,994
4 - AManchester514,191514,679466,98218,339
4 - AMarion County131,552133,823818,09248,085
4 - ADooly County150,536151,398495,231353,371
4 - AMacon County157,090157,099461,254381,647
4 - ATaylor County40,96540,973310,406648,621
4 - ASchley County1,9081,90837,261960,831
4 - AHawkinsville2702705,360994,370
4 - AGreenville44179999,817
4 - ACentral (Talbotton)--134999,866
4 - ACrawford County---1,000,000
6 - AMount Zion (Carroll)110,863523,057475,995948
6 - ATrion12,794156,833834,4378,730
6 - ABowdon3841,584564,323434,093
6 - AGordon Lee41389,713910,274
7 - ALincoln County115,706159,742801,22639,032
7 - AWashington-Wilkes78,955130,436803,06166,503
7 - AGreene County1,6582,505374,029623,466
7 - AWarren County97161164,392835,447
7 - AHancock Central231262120,907878,831
7 - AWilkinson County98986,788993,114
7 - ATwiggs County11141999,858
8 - ACommerce283,303752,066247,808126
8 - ATowns County16518789,435910,378

Class A-Private

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Eagle's Landing Christian5 - A1-165.971,000,000970,046889,999796,417683,0140.46
Mount Paran Christian6 - A1-051.20999,962813,421537,249261,32586,19010.60
Prince Avenue Christian8 - A2-050.97999,995814,505501,476271,52383,61610.96
Athens Academy8 - A1-049.18999,981788,483454,050216,39459,76915.73
Darlington6 - A2-046.92999,997784,505439,883166,85541,39023.16
Calvary Day3 - A1-045.31999,960700,212346,818126,90927,16235.82
Aquinas7 - A2-038.59999,882526,766177,80043,6435,578178.28
Savannah Country Day3 - A1-037.98997,882393,711120,83227,2373,498284.88
Fellowship Christian6 - A2-037.30999,269385,875104,85723,4322,943338.79
Stratford Academy7 - A0-135.95971,607303,98892,34515,1141,856537.79
Wesleyan5 - A0-236.12982,574232,88161,38111,8661,439693.93
Savannah Christian3 - A1-134.92993,619255,49064,64011,4411,118893.45
Tattnall Square7 - A1-134.52958,365219,02960,6638,9209201,085.96
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)5 - A2-033.24996,044268,02456,5188,9298431,185.24
George Walton Academy8 - A1-031.40979,936133,69226,6253,5652623,815.79
Mount Vernon Presbyterian5 - A1-129.42962,485107,50217,7992,0731417,091.20
First Presbyterian7 - A0-129.13808,03580,12515,2131,4311079,344.79
Hebron Christian Academy8 - A1-129.85959,29490,51117,1451,8941029,802.92
Holy Innocents5 - A1-124.87843,42334,1104,2603252245,453.55
Athens Christian8 - A1-126.08872,37336,8115,3244442147,618.05
Whitefield Academy6 - A1-122.80782,61120,1212,2421326166,665.67
Brookstone4 - A0-121.28401,4717,916682352499,999.00
Our Lady of Mercy5 - A0-219.44465,1646,343458231999,999.00
Mount Pisgah Christian6 - A0-221.56364,9616,89359236--
Mount de Sales7 - A2-019.12641,6599,68972524--
Strong Rock Christian5 - A1-016.72343,3783,0891615--
Walker6 - A0-116.15265,1091,9481014--
Christian Heritage6 - A2-011.97544,6672,133823--
Pinecrest Academy6 - A0-112.89197,387861381--
North Cobb Christian6 - A1-011.13298,30791333---
Riverside Military Academy8 - A1-15.91249,9183188---
Lakeview Academy8 - A0-12.5075,512591---
St. Francis6 - A0-15.5416,83819----
Landmark Christian5 - A1-13.8723,24511----
Providence Christian8 - A1-0-6.903,640-----
King's Ridge Christian6 - A0-1-3.261,390-----
Georgia Military College7 - A2-0-2.3260-----
Pacelli4 - A1-1-15.81------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team Rgn Champ 1 to 8 9 to 24 Out
3 - ACalvary Day362,981740,420259,54040
3 - ASavannah Country Day98,628381,969615,9132,118
3 - ASavannah Christian50,598215,710777,9096,381
4 - ABrookstone3,4843,492397,979598,529
4 - APacelli---1,000,000
5 - AEagle's Landing Christian949,481998,5061,494-
5 - ATrinity Christian (Sharpsburg)12,316339,219656,8253,956
5 - AWesleyan32,034123,120859,45417,426
5 - AMount Vernon Presbyterian4,70983,852878,63337,515
5 - AHoly Innocents1,19611,565831,858156,577
5 - AOur Lady of Mercy191756464,408534,836
5 - AStrong Rock Christian73802342,576656,622
5 - ALandmark Christian-123,244976,755
6 - ADarlington243,060935,01364,9843
6 - AMount Paran Christian575,139769,002230,96038
6 - AFellowship Christian55,454406,374592,895731
6 - AWhitefield Academy1,5013,976778,635217,389
6 - AChristian Heritage11753543,914455,333
6 - AMount Pisgah Christian698715364,246635,039
6 - ANorth Cobb Christian7158298,149701,693
6 - AWalker76123264,986734,891
6 - APinecrest Academy941197,346802,613
6 - ASt. Francis--16,838983,162
6 - AKing's Ridge Christian--1,390998,610
7 - AAquinas305,605663,183336,699118
7 - AStratford Academy252,220318,702652,90528,393
7 - ATattnall Square167,967201,095757,27041,635
7 - AFirst Presbyterian73,20681,245726,790191,965
7 - AMount de Sales4,2565,922635,737358,341
7 - AGeorgia Military College--60999,940
8 - APrince Avenue Christian362,320787,040212,9555
8 - AAthens Academy322,737794,517205,46419
8 - AGeorge Walton Academy8,97580,026899,91020,064
8 - AHebron Christian Academy20,33245,780913,51440,706
8 - AAthens Christian2,1346,882865,491127,627
8 - ARiverside Military Academy2328249,890750,082
8 - ALakeview Academy111375,499924,488
8 - AProvidence Christian--3,640996,360

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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