High School Sports Blog

Maxwell playoff projections after Week 10

By Loren Maxwell
Oct 23, 2018

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings' playoff projections for each class.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2018 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

All out of state opponents were considered equal to the average of the GHSA team’s classification (i.e., out of state opponents of Class AAAAAAA GHSA teams were treated as an average Class AAAAAAA team).

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Colquitt County1 - AAAAAAA8-0103.301,000,0005.36966,309900,788806,631688,6060.45
Grayson8 - AAAAAAA6-289.561,000,0004.51953,617768,554616,081181,9704.50
Parkview7 - AAAAAAA8-085.801,000,0003.48753,053559,791135,47759,90215.69
Hillgrove3 - AAAAAAA8-079.691,000,0003.17676,914398,019111,05720,27848.31
Marietta3 - AAAAAAA4-478.811,000,0003.07662,408341,86383,28615,35464.13
North Gwinnett6 - AAAAAAA7-276.361,000,0003.01884,362106,58440,5899,575103.44
Tift County1 - AAAAAAA6-277.04999,9392.62547,477162,79367,5498,593115.37
Milton5 - AAAAAAA6-271.961,000,0003.03739,673278,59554,5254,914202.50
Archer8 - AAAAAAA6-276.441,000,0002.30241,833118,90014,7403,656272.52
Lowndes1 - AAAAAAA6-274.95993,2102.07287,115111,69526,6213,220309.56
McEachern3 - AAAAAAA5-373.89942,2051.87112,39132,37610,3231,531652.17
Walton4 - AAAAAAA7-171.15999,7261.68143,33063,85610,9418351,196.60
Roswell4 - AAAAAAA7-170.24999,9961.75181,60240,9123,7476181,617.12
Westlake2 - AAAAAAA6-267.191,000,0001.84206,50625,0497,8294242,357.49
Camden County1 - AAAAAAA6-267.92962,7221.58137,62425,9913,8452464,064.04
Mill Creek6 - AAAAAAA6-363.651,000,0001.86173,17334,0283,2241496,710.41
Brookwood7 - AAAAAAA6-262.941,000,0001.7575,14415,3892,1567712,986.01
North Paulding3 - AAAAAAA6-262.66767,4031.1743,9294,0666903528,570.43
Norcross7 - AAAAAAA4-455.58995,7661.4539,8714,0252407142,856.14
South Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA5-357.41999,7361.5258,3361,9471496166,665.67
North Cobb3 - AAAAAAA6-260.32330,3660.4815,6571,2041224249,999.00
Mountain View6 - AAAAAAA5-353.74977,9011.167,18473853--
West Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA3-553.42994,3701.2924,37662829--
Newton8 - AAAAAAA3-551.75989,7711.3729,87647328--
Collins Hill6 - AAAAAAA3-550.44999,9741.167,28951321--
Cherokee4 - AAAAAAA4-450.36999,0711.078,96731221--
East Coweta2 - AAAAAAA2-652.85999,5401.154,30937416--
Wheeler2 - AAAAAAA6-248.46618,1140.641,7651492--
South Gwinnett8 - AAAAAAA4-442.84985,8081.045,1191332--
Newnan2 - AAAAAAA4-446.92884,8790.941,774872--
Etowah4 - AAAAAAA3-549.03834,9440.84965672--
Pebblebrook2 - AAAAAAA3-545.58496,4840.51847452--
Central Gwinnett7 - AAAAAAA4-543.75975,1841.016,59637---
North Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA3-538.68433,5380.442349---
Woodstock4 - AAAAAAA3-544.44140,5580.14885---
Meadowcreek7 - AAAAAAA6-238.8829,0740.03792---
Forsyth Central5 - AAAAAAA5-335.07504,9280.511661---
Kennesaw Mountain3 - AAAAAAA4-446.323,4290.00171---
Lambert5 - AAAAAAA3-533.3267,4280.07131---
Lassiter4 - AAAAAAA1-732.2026,4070.036----
Rockdale County8 - AAAAAAA2-624.6024,3830.026----
Duluth6 - AAAAAAA3-526.7421,6640.02-----
Campbell2 - AAAAAAA1-734.249830.00-----
Discovery6 - AAAAAAA1-726.504610.00-----
Shiloh8 - AAAAAAA2-624.76380.00-----
Peachtree Ridge6 - AAAAAAA0-821.88-------
Lakeside (Atlanta)7 - AAAAAAA1-715.36-------
Berkmar7 - AAAAAAA2-7-22.43-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 At large Out
1 - AAAAAAAColquitt County914,61880,6964,371-315-
1 - AAAAAAATift County69,747626,386197,002-106,80461
1 - AAAAAAALowndes15,229155,094535,177-287,7106,790
1 - AAAAAAACamden County406137,824263,450-561,04237,278
2 - AAAAAAAWestlake996,5572,3341,05257--
2 - AAAAAAAEast Coweta2,589700,434274,19322,324-460
2 - AAAAAAANewnan821275,678420,020188,360-115,121
2 - AAAAAAAWheeler331,082133,724483,275-381,886
2 - AAAAAAAPebblebrook-20,472170,841305,171-503,516
2 - AAAAAAACampbell--170813-999,017
3 - AAAAAAAHillgrove571,764416,54711,64346--
3 - AAAAAAAMarietta428,236571,764----
3 - AAAAAAAMcEachern--685,347238,19418,66457,795
3 - AAAAAAANorth Paulding--224,051541,4511,901232,597
3 - AAAAAAANorth Cobb-11,68978,948216,89122,838669,634
3 - AAAAAAAKennesaw Mountain--113,418-996,571
4 - AAAAAAARoswell993,1804,4192,08730644
4 - AAAAAAAWalton5,927868,492120,8333,776698274
4 - AAAAAAACherokee751124,429841,67632,215-929
4 - AAAAAAAEtowah391,72313,656819,526-165,056
4 - AAAAAAAWoodstock1039375,560133,958-859,442
4 - AAAAAAALassiter--16,18810,219-973,593
5 - AAAAAAAMilton999,40054654---
5 - AAAAAAASouth Forsyth370616,547340,74142,078-264
5 - AAAAAAAWest Forsyth183375,798563,47854,911-5,630
5 - AAAAAAAForsyth Central-5,73940,707458,482-495,072
5 - AAAAAAANorth Forsyth471,37054,979377,142-566,462
5 - AAAAAAALambert--4167,387-932,572
6 - AAAAAAANorth Gwinnett1,000,000-----
6 - AAAAAAAMill Creek-861,417120,38818,195--
6 - AAAAAAACollins Hill-112,204404,349483,421-26
6 - AAAAAAAMountain View-26,379475,236476,286-22,099
6 - AAAAAAADuluth--2721,637-978,336
6 - AAAAAAADiscovery---461-999,539
6 - AAAAAAAPeachtree Ridge-----1,000,000
7 - AAAAAAAParkview999,90570520--
7 - AAAAAAABrookwood71649,255350,62054--
7 - AAAAAAANorcross24350,647638,5646,531-4,234
7 - AAAAAAACentral Gwinnett-161,890973,278-24,816
7 - AAAAAAAMeadowcreek-128,92120,11724970,926
7 - AAAAAAALakeside (Atlanta)-----1,000,000
7 - AAAAAAABerkmar-----1,000,000
8 - AAAAAAAGrayson999,68131612--
8 - AAAAAAAArcher23994,3414,0321,604--
8 - AAAAAAANewton-99981,9417,731-10,229
8 - AAAAAAASouth Gwinnett2965,2445,626974,642-14,192
8 - AAAAAAARockdale County--8,37216,011-975,617
8 - AAAAAAAShiloh--2810-999,962

Class AAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Lee County1 - AAAAAA8-087.711,000,0005.50988,125878,801851,148786,1860.27
Creekview6 - AAAAAA8-068.541,000,0003.19896,893144,201114,42065,66314.23
Northside (Warner Robins)1 - AAAAAA4-465.30993,2023.65811,624549,384328,28852,27418.13
Valdosta1 - AAAAAA5-462.911,000,0003.44781,409479,154245,60032,81129.48
Allatoona6 - AAAAAA6-263.46975,8183.22708,172407,658226,86332,45829.81
Sequoyah6 - AAAAAA7-159.621,000,0002.69557,423281,10693,59111,74484.15
Coffee1 - AAAAAA7-256.27999,6252.72619,972334,64721,3796,568151.25
Johns Creek7 - AAAAAA7-154.641,000,0002.12373,967226,00412,9034,004248.75
Harrison6 - AAAAAA7-154.801,000,0002.06350,490161,80218,7922,881346.10
Dacula8 - AAAAAA6-252.541,000,0002.34351,874138,04029,7512,305432.84
Glynn Academy2 - AAAAAA4-449.891,000,0002.21197,83376,89219,6621,032967.99
Douglas County5 - AAAAAA7-150.261,000,0002.16211,71355,67116,1579461,056.08
Centennial7 - AAAAAA5-348.60999,6581.44130,94731,0206,9403183,143.65
Lanier8 - AAAAAA6-245.431,000,0001.88171,59955,3883,2592154,650.16
Stephenson4 - AAAAAA7-145.401,000,0001.41147,77144,0002,6501865,375.34
Tucker4 - AAAAAA6-244.241,000,0001.36131,92335,8322,3101238,129.08
Creekside5 - AAAAAA5-344.921,000,0001.85111,64621,1683,0241128,927.57
Richmond Hill2 - AAAAAA4-444.141,000,0001.9391,68323,2061,1047213,887.89
Mays5 - AAAAAA4-442.38929,1501.3259,62816,2284093330,302.03
Bradwell Institute2 - AAAAAA3-539.14887,5811.6280,22514,7764133231,249.00
Alpharetta7 - AAAAAA5-340.65901,0110.9923,4942,7713281566,665.67
Effingham County2 - AAAAAA5-337.931,000,0001.7169,6069,9944819111,110.11
Northgate5 - AAAAAA5-337.62668,0170.8918,6281,906965199,999.00
Dalton6 - AAAAAA5-345.9524,1820.033,0221,038295199,999.00
Evans3 - AAAAAA2-630.25976,7011.2211,453989292499,999.00
Lovejoy4 - AAAAAA5-334.141,000,0001.0611,7601,226711999,999.00
Grovetown3 - AAAAAA4-433.561,000,0001.4232,6823,314171--
Habersham Central8 - AAAAAA4-435.57861,3341.0710,40635036--
Hughes5 - AAAAAA4-535.80371,2560.446,74969626--
Northview7 - AAAAAA5-331.03449,2540.472,91219619--
Brunswick2 - AAAAAA3-633.03112,4190.173,33824413--
Lakeside (Evans)3 - AAAAAA4-329.54874,5971.0913,9801,21811--
Apalachee8 - AAAAAA3-530.68681,0220.784,0522169--
Gainesville8 - AAAAAA1-729.73401,9850.462,4041875--
Pope7 - AAAAAA4-532.14560,1110.583,057775--
Mundy's Mill4 - AAAAAA5-332.48882,3630.89798363--
Houston County1 - AAAAAA2-637.827,1730.011,0341882--
Heritage (Conyers)3 - AAAAAA3-527.58412,3440.472,3521771--
Winder-Barrow8 - AAAAAA2-632.7155,6590.06465251--
Alexander5 - AAAAAA3-531.8831,5770.04287241--
Greenbrier3 - AAAAAA1-726.14655,2670.732,349146---
Alcovy3 - AAAAAA2-622.2681,0910.09662---
Cambridge7 - AAAAAA3-626.1189,9660.091721---
Drew4 - AAAAAA2-620.94117,4320.12171---
M.L. King4 - AAAAAA1-718.002020.00-----
Forest Park4 - AAAAAA2-611.9330.00-----
Sprayberry6 - AAAAAA2-637.32-------
South Cobb6 - AAAAAA1-828.65-------
South Paulding5 - AAAAAA2-628.59-------
North Atlanta7 - AAAAAA4-424.79-------
River Ridge6 - AAAAAA1-722.79-------
Tri-Cities5 - AAAAAA0-820.66-------
Morrow4 - AAAAAA2-720.07-------
New Manchester5 - AAAAAA1-817.57-------
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)4 - AAAAAA2-716.35-------
Chattahoochee7 - AAAAAA0-815.90-------
Dunwoody7 - AAAAAA1-711.24-------
Osborne6 - AAAAAA0-9-8.19-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAAAALee County999,7482052423-
1 - AAAAAAValdosta113475,868523,875144-
1 - AAAAAANorthside (Warner Robins)137523,873443,87025,3226,798
1 - AAAAAACoffee15331,610967,961375
1 - AAAAAAHouston County116216,550992,827
2 - AAAAAAGlynn Academy820,664126,14914,78038,407-
2 - AAAAAARichmond Hill38,334551,213287,058123,395-
2 - AAAAAABradwell Institute92,055249,658452,15393,715112,419
2 - AAAAAAEffingham County48,94772,980243,698634,375-
2 - AAAAAABrunswick--2,311110,108887,581
3 - AAAAAAGrovetown730,355150,505112,4076,733-
3 - AAAAAAEvans215,990209,696444,942106,07323,299
3 - AAAAAALakeside (Evans)53,655476,515212,609131,818125,403
3 - AAAAAAGreenbrier-87,673155,986411,608344,733
3 - AAAAAAHeritage (Conyers)-75,41434,852302,078587,656
3 - AAAAAAAlcovy-19739,20441,690918,909
4 - AAAAAATucker465,131507,88526,984--
4 - AAAAAAStephenson514,169370,705115,126--
4 - AAAAAALovejoy20,700121,410857,890--
4 - AAAAAAMundy's Mill---882,363117,637
4 - AAAAAADrew---117,432882,568
4 - AAAAAAM.L. King---202999,798
4 - AAAAAAForest Park---3999,997
4 - AAAAAAMount Zion (Jonesboro)----1,000,000
4 - AAAAAAMorrow----1,000,000
5 - AAAAAADouglas County650,509349,47912--
5 - AAAAAACreekside349,491455,059175,49319,957-
5 - AAAAAAMays-42,421642,574244,15570,850
5 - AAAAAANorthgate-150,072128,345389,600331,983
5 - AAAAAAHughes-2,96948,028320,259628,744
5 - AAAAAAAlexander--5,54826,029968,423
5 - AAAAAASouth Paulding----1,000,000
5 - AAAAAATri-Cities----1,000,000
5 - AAAAAANew Manchester----1,000,000
6 - AAAAAACreekview949,80635,70613,2381,250-
6 - AAAAAAAllatoona18,471664,955255,92836,46424,182
6 - AAAAAASequoyah1,997266,147486,389245,467-
6 - AAAAAAHarrison29,72633,192242,274694,808-
6 - AAAAAADalton--2,17122,011975,818
6 - AAAAAASprayberry----1,000,000
6 - AAAAAASouth Cobb----1,000,000
6 - AAAAAARiver Ridge----1,000,000
6 - AAAAAAOsborne----1,000,000
7 - AAAAAAJohns Creek996,9965302,474--
7 - AAAAAACentennial2,890939,96255,4631,343342
7 - AAAAAAAlpharetta1143,241558,316339,34098,989
7 - AAAAAAPope-33382,025477,753439,889
7 - AAAAAANorthview-55,934301,72291,598550,746
7 - AAAAAACambridge---89,966910,034
7 - AAAAAANorth Atlanta----1,000,000
7 - AAAAAADunwoody----1,000,000
7 - AAAAAAChattahoochee----1,000,000
8 - AAAAAADacula714,051285,949---
8 - AAAAAALanier285,949683,61330,028410-
8 - AAAAAAHabersham Central--659,914201,420138,666
8 - AAAAAAApalachee--211,440469,582318,978
8 - AAAAAAGainesville-30,43885,062286,485598,015
8 - AAAAAAWinder-Barrow--13,55642,103944,341

Class AAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Rome7 - AAAAA9-087.381,000,0004.79986,794751,995556,136492,5691.03
Warner Robins1 - AAAAA8-179.691,000,0004.29898,902844,903328,647253,0682.95
Dutchtown4 - AAAAA8-076.771,000,0003.37945,497245,677124,54490,77810.02
Jones County4 - AAAAA7-169.351,000,0003.64755,408604,127368,04274,29112.46
Buford8 - AAAAA6-268.381,000,0003.63736,343506,450329,90261,73515.20
Stockbridge4 - AAAAA7-162.39999,1652.60500,624267,575105,69412,16481.21
Kell7 - AAAAA6-260.55998,7962.51362,036151,49661,2266,133162.05
Wayne County2 - AAAAA9-058.121,000,0002.41307,790114,03837,6183,271304.72
Veterans1 - AAAAA7-156.98941,2501.51180,962101,68726,7212,000499.00
Carrollton7 - AAAAA6-256.38990,8652.27479,69192,96716,8551,558640.85
Ware County2 - AAAAA6-255.311,000,0002.19191,92168,68414,6061,143873.89
East Paulding7 - AAAAA4-450.59833,2641.88352,37174,01812,4825351,868.16
Southwest DeKalb5 - AAAAA8-046.751,000,0002.13321,12159,8568,5232713,689.04
Banneker6 - AAAAA7-151.091,000,0001.87358,82936,3301,3072274,404.29
Bainbridge1 - AAAAA3-550.54905,5861.1872,08220,1203,9101705,881.35
Locust Grove4 - AAAAA4-448.69827,8650.8812,4165,0481452343,477.26
Clarke Central8 - AAAAA5-344.10999,9551.89179,37111,5575891566,665.67
Starr's Mill3 - AAAAA5-339.781,000,0001.7457,74617,5961,4221376,922.08
Riverwood6 - AAAAA6-239.75999,8631.3286,8049,8307351376,922.08
Thomas County Central1 - AAAAA5-345.87255,9360.288,3361,2921627142,856.14
Harris County1 - AAAAA3-643.18897,2280.9518,5352,1891785199,999.00
Cedar Shoals8 - AAAAA5-342.78957,3801.8038,2432,6261645199,999.00
Loganville8 - AAAAA3-536.44915,5171.3449,3463,0621342499,999.00
Statesboro2 - AAAAA2-637.21923,9121.3315,2892,1631132499,999.00
New Hampstead2 - AAAAA4-333.79991,3821.3510,4041,194411999,999.00
Union Grove4 - AAAAA5-337.47166,5880.174418511999,999.00
Griffin3 - AAAAA6-340.651,000,0001.4816,6761,05337--
Arabia Mountain5 - AAAAA5-331.511,000,0001.3230,7011,05133--
Riverdale3 - AAAAA7-132.561,000,0001.255,66464017--
Hiram7 - AAAAA4-437.1810,7370.021,3911247--
Villa Rica7 - AAAAA5-337.66166,3360.2111,1683265--
Maynard Jackson6 - AAAAA5-329.81759,7580.782,5321283--
Walnut Grove8 - AAAAA2-627.10120,4680.141,592581--
Jonesboro3 - AAAAA4-527.89828,8540.871,16320---
Carver (Atlanta)6 - AAAAA3-527.47991,4471.0272018---
Lithonia5 - AAAAA5-319.58999,9951.066856---
South Effingham2 - AAAAA2-719.5984,7060.091036---
Miller Grove5 - AAAAA2-618.43951,1510.981752---
Decatur6 - AAAAA3-422.41248,8740.25692---
Woodland (Stockbridge)4 - AAAAA3-529.866,3820.01161---
McIntosh3 - AAAAA2-615.67162,2970.1625----
Johnson (Gainesville)8 - AAAAA4-415.016,6800.0117----
Columbia5 - AAAAA1-713.2535,4000.041----
Chamblee5 - AAAAA0-8-6.1213,4540.01-----
Whitewater3 - AAAAA0-812.548,8490.01-----
North Springs6 - AAAAA2-516.86580.00-----
Woodland (Cartersville)7 - AAAAA4-426.8520.00-----
Eagle's Landing4 - AAAAA1-727.85-------
Ola4 - AAAAA1-723.39-------
Cass7 - AAAAA1-822.26-------
Paulding County7 - AAAAA0-820.48-------
Fayette County3 - AAAAA0-89.34-------
Grady6 - AAAAA1-77.05-------
Lithia Springs6 - AAAAA2-6-7.24-------
Clarkston5 - AAAAA0-9-37.82-------
Cross Keys5 - AAAAA0-9-78.92-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAAAWarner Robins962,11037,85436--
1 - AAAAABainbridge-620,287226,67658,62394,414
1 - AAAAAVeterans37,890218,803612,00472,55358,750
1 - AAAAAHarris County-59,591124,584713,053102,772
1 - AAAAAThomas County Central-63,46536,700155,771744,064
2 - AAAAAWayne County623,131372,4214,448--
2 - AAAAAWare County373,454587,49437,7521,300-
2 - AAAAANew Hampstead3,41538,197460,307489,4638,618
2 - AAAAAStatesboro-1,888491,495430,52976,088
2 - AAAAASouth Effingham--5,99878,708915,294
3 - AAAAAStarr's Mill882,698103,56713,735--
3 - AAAAAGriffin15,460587,582396,958--
3 - AAAAARiverdale101,842308,851589,307--
3 - AAAAAJonesboro---828,854171,146
3 - AAAAAMcIntosh---162,297837,703
3 - AAAAAWhitewater---8,849991,151
3 - AAAAAFayette County----1,000,000
4 - AAAAADutchtown999,6476621869-
4 - AAAAAJones County252710,639288,935174-
4 - AAAAAStockbridge101289,283707,7002,081835
4 - AAAAALocust Grove-121,337826,516172,135
4 - AAAAAUnion Grove---166,588833,412
4 - AAAAAWoodland (Stockbridge)--1,8104,572993,618
4 - AAAAAOla----1,000,000
4 - AAAAAEagle's Landing----1,000,000
5 - AAAAASouthwest DeKalb832,799160,2716,930--
5 - AAAAAArabia Mountain159,935690,411140,5879,067-
5 - AAAAALithonia7,266137,887452,199402,6435
5 - AAAAAMiller Grove-11,431400,282539,43848,849
5 - AAAAAColumbia---35,400964,600
5 - AAAAAChamblee--213,452986,546
5 - AAAAAClarkston----1,000,000
5 - AAAAACross Keys----1,000,000
6 - AAAAABanneker999,826174---
6 - AAAAARiverwood174897,75585,81316,121137
6 - AAAAACarver (Atlanta)-5,592753,988231,8678,553
6 - AAAAAMaynard Jackson-95,38847,851616,519240,242
6 - AAAAADecatur-1,091112,348135,435751,126
6 - AAAAANorth Springs---58999,942
6 - AAAAAGrady----1,000,000
6 - AAAAALithia Springs----1,000,000
7 - AAAAARome1,000,000----
7 - AAAAAKell-792,954110,52595,3171,204
7 - AAAAACarrollton-107,003229,888653,9749,135
7 - AAAAAEast Paulding-99,660649,50584,099166,736
7 - AAAAAVilla Rica-851,219165,032833,664
7 - AAAAAHiram-2988,8631,576989,263
7 - AAAAAWoodland (Cartersville)---2999,998
7 - AAAAACass----1,000,000
7 - AAAAAPaulding County----1,000,000
8 - AAAAABuford971,09528,252653--
8 - AAAAACedar Shoals545764,382114,37378,08042,620
8 - AAAAAClarke Central28,36077,208738,863155,52445
8 - AAAAALoganville-129,981141,984643,55284,483
8 - AAAAAWalnut Grove-175268120,025879,532
8 - AAAAAJohnson (Gainesville)-23,8592,819993,320

Class AAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Mary Persons2 - AAAA8-080.571,000,0004.73968,929769,349599,070410,5551.44
Blessed Trinity7 - AAAA8-076.971,000,0004.55903,066760,898584,743308,9702.24
Cartersville5 - AAAA9-071.801,000,0003.98833,327749,005295,447133,0286.52
Troup5 - AAAA8-069.311,000,0003.72772,316665,948242,59687,61410.41
Marist7 - AAAA8-164.951,000,0002.81514,600194,78395,88224,35740.06
St. Pius X8 - AAAA8-167.541,000,0002.56490,041117,85760,02821,92644.61
Pickens6 - AAAA9-056.511,000,0002.29227,198144,37931,4564,129241.19
Eastside4 - AAAA8-053.721,000,0002.63590,53589,77826,3362,698369.64
Upson-Lee2 - AAAA5-355.40998,2772.44503,348119,71222,1272,657375.36
Flowery Branch7 - AAAA6-254.87993,8701.7292,91159,6585,7818851,128.94
Baldwin3 - AAAA4-550.721,000,0002.25536,26191,5046,7848611,160.44
Cairo1 - AAAA6-249.331,000,0002.48432,76977,24810,4487651,306.19
Sandy Creek5 - AAAA5-352.44926,5861.4244,61017,2683,9603682,716.39
Howard2 - AAAA5-350.09994,1241.77237,82127,7664,2133243,085.42
Burke County3 - AAAA6-349.491,000,0001.71195,85520,6573,8232813,557.72
Ridgeland6 - AAAA5-349.921,000,0001.5753,98029,1031,7171825,493.51
West Laurens2 - AAAA5-349.63599,1631.11192,28525,6242,0181725,812.95
Cedartown5 - AAAA4-450.26710,2351.0124,1457,8521,4971307,691.31
Oconee County8 - AAAA5-345.46984,4261.2618,2205,8867183627,776.78
Perry2 - AAAA5-344.68400,1030.6289,2027,8562791952,630.58
Carver (Columbus)1 - AAAA7-143.931,000,0001.7825,7262,1432631855,554.56
North Oconee8 - AAAA7-243.381,000,0001.1912,8643,6053731376,922.08
Chapel Hill5 - AAAA5-346.82350,6090.414,7696951036166,665.67
Richmond Academy3 - AAAA6-241.82958,9441.1033,3142,5001683333,332.33
Salem4 - AAAA5-333.981,000,0001.6894,2323,648541999,999.00
Thomson3 - AAAA3-537.88995,3401.1019,459934421999,999.00
Stephens County8 - AAAA4-439.07823,6790.865,1991,477191999,999.00
Columbus1 - AAAA4-434.20938,9161.3152,8211,93132--
Woodward Academy4 - AAAA4-434.69998,9101.254,39416412--
White County7 - AAAA2-631.69756,6520.811,2691224--
Westover1 - AAAA3-329.97277,1060.368,7152263--
Spalding2 - AAAA3-532.918,3330.0127862--
Hardaway1 - AAAA4-331.56353,5340.438,4132261--
Northwest Whitfield6 - AAAA5-329.37995,2821.01715241--
Americus-Sumter1 - AAAA3-529.42354,5320.393,75062---
West Hall7 - AAAA2-630.71129,5560.1428435---
Denmark7 - AAAA5-431.07119,8710.1325828---
Northside (Columbus)1 - AAAA3-526.0175,9120.0862116---
Henry County4 - AAAA3-519.25989,4941.031,26814---
Madison County8 - AAAA2-625.50191,8950.19969---
Heritage (Ringgold)6 - AAAA4-518.08999,9451.001304---
Cross Creek3 - AAAA3-414.1245,7160.053----
Central (Carrollton)5 - AAAA2-629.2712,5700.012----
Luella4 - AAAA3-512.8410,2950.011----
Southeast Whitfield6 - AAAA3-53.384,5420.00-----
Hampton4 - AAAA3-519.231,3010.00-----
LaFayette6 - AAAA4-414.012310.00-----
Chestatee7 - AAAA1-75.15510.00-----
LaGrange5 - AAAA1-733.29-------
Shaw1 - AAAA3-518.49-------
Dougherty1 - AAAA0-66.59-------
North Clayton4 - AAAA1-70.18-------
Druid Hills4 - AAAA2-6-11.67-------
Gilmer6 - AAAA0-8-19.03-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAACairo999,364636---
1 - AAAACarver (Columbus)636999,364---
1 - AAAAColumbus--626,690312,22661,084
1 - AAAAHardaway--115,726237,808646,466
1 - AAAAAmericus-Sumter--43,669310,863645,468
1 - AAAAWestover--193,63483,472722,894
1 - AAAANorthside (Columbus)--20,28155,631924,088
1 - AAAAShaw----1,000,000
1 - AAAADougherty----1,000,000
2 - AAAAMary Persons986,15013,224403223-
2 - AAAAUpson-Lee549852,024100,56945,1351,723
2 - AAAAHoward13,30138,269793,692148,8625,876
2 - AAAAWest Laurens-96,17597,370405,618400,837
2 - AAAAPerry-1003,312396,691599,897
2 - AAAASpalding-2084,6543,471991,667
3 - AAAABaldwin1,000,000----
3 - AAAABurke County-856,276137,1506,574-
3 - AAAAThomson-134,041350,270511,0294,660
3 - AAAARichmond Academy-9,683509,556439,70541,056
3 - AAAACross Creek--3,02442,692954,284
4 - AAAAEastside999,2453667940-
4 - AAAASalem748996,0823,09278-
4 - AAAAWoodward Academy13,535989,9665,4081,090
4 - AAAAHenry County6955,383984,01010,506
4 - AAAALuella-2528789,165989,705
4 - AAAAHampton--21,299998,699
4 - AAAADruid Hills----1,000,000
4 - AAAANorth Clayton----1,000,000
5 - AAAACartersville610,118389,882---
5 - AAAATroup389,882610,118---
5 - AAAASandy Creek--567,081359,50573,414
5 - AAAACedartown--374,476335,759289,765
5 - AAAAChapel Hill--58,251292,358649,391
5 - AAAACentral (Carrollton)--19212,378987,430
5 - AAAALaGrange----1,000,000
6 - AAAAPickens1,000,000----
6 - AAAARidgeland-999,98812--
6 - AAAANorthwest Whitfield-6732,028263,2484,718
6 - AAAAHeritage (Ringgold)-5267,934732,00655
6 - AAAASoutheast Whitfield-1264,515995,458
6 - AAAALaFayette---231999,769
6 - AAAAGilmer----1,000,000
7 - AAAABlessed Trinity803,521196,479---
7 - AAAAMarist196,479803,521---
7 - AAAAFlowery Branch--850,275143,5956,130
7 - AAAAWhite County--42756,610243,348
7 - AAAAWest Hall--85,76243,794870,444
7 - AAAADenmark--63,92155,950880,129
7 - AAAAChestatee---51999,949
8 - AAAASt. Pius X1,000,000----
8 - AAAAOconee County-592,285355,31436,82715,574
8 - AAAANorth Oconee-407,167591,961872-
8 - AAAAStephens County--33,463790,216176,321
8 - AAAAMadison County-54819,262172,085808,105

Class AAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Cedar Grove5 - AAA8-172.701,000,0004.74927,479778,561610,154430,3271.32
Peach County4 - AAA6-267.201,000,0004.22908,242678,287436,985210,2933.76
Calhoun6 - AAA8-065.491,000,0003.93775,068638,419362,089155,3015.44
Monroe Area8 - AAA9-063.751,000,0003.78787,222694,490255,077125,8436.95
Greater Atlanta Christian7 - AAA7-256.351,000,0003.06717,428252,874100,27824,53139.76
Benedictine3 - AAA7-157.071,000,0002.93703,987147,36467,83222,62243.20
Crisp County1 - AAA5-353.24999,9972.87703,536200,18459,50611,74584.14
Westminster (Atlanta)5 - AAA5-355.631,000,0002.36241,410143,48745,40510,61193.24
Dawson County7 - AAA7-148.901,000,0002.11134,11373,95310,1221,919520.10
Westside (Macon)4 - AAA6-247.541,000,0002.28295,94552,63212,4821,627613.63
Appling County2 - AAA5-344.971,000,0002.53504,50895,98010,1061,347741.39
North Hall7 - AAA7-147.851,000,0002.04105,74251,7657,0801,234809.37
Pace Academy5 - AAA5-448.401,000,0001.64140,20831,9976,0618561,167.22
Pierce County2 - AAA8-043.581,000,0002.22306,44649,6995,4525811,720.17
Jefferson8 - AAA7-246.501,000,0001.66128,87723,9154,4695081,967.50
Jackson4 - AAA5-342.821,000,0002.25365,01354,2334,0414702,126.66
Liberty County2 - AAA5-241.42997,2741.87118,65517,7492,0771427,041.25
Lovett5 - AAA3-540.40999,7361.1828,1789,0125933727,026.03
Pike County4 - AAA6-231.56993,9831.1935,9371,635793333,332.33
Southeast Bulloch3 - AAA7-131.411,000,0001.3115,9061,410623333,332.33
Haralson County6 - AAA7-128.161,000,0001.144,48157014--
Jenkins3 - AAA7-225.931,000,0001.1512,53331711--
North Murray6 - AAA5-328.20985,8571.074,2054379--
Cook1 - AAA2-626.17926,0781.037,9212104--
Morgan County8 - AAA3-528.34975,4181.011,6661483--
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe6 - AAA6-225.321,000,0001.072,6221283--
Hart County8 - AAA3-528.62825,9640.861,5771163--
Monroe1 - AAA4-420.16958,3911.0710,0862012--
Ringgold6 - AAA3-522.33592,2440.601,443521--
Windsor Forest3 - AAA4-420.72940,4231.018,285165---
Adairsville6 - AAA4-519.42298,3470.304657---
Central (Macon)4 - AAA2-728.566,1400.011122---
Sonoraville6 - AAA3-515.1899,8830.10701---
Tattnall County2 - AAA1-712.69914,8980.93370----
Franklin County8 - AAA3-522.07201,8300.2096----
Islands3 - AAA2-69.9150,6480.0573----
Fannin County7 - AAA3-55.91706,8940.7140----
Beach3 - AAA3-58.8328,6350.0321----
Worth County1 - AAA1-72.86115,5470.1216----
Brantley County2 - AAA1-77.5663,6050.0611----
Lumpkin County7 - AAA3-52.11271,7950.276----
Long County2 - AAA0-8-10.3624,3750.021----
East Hall7 - AAA2-64.2821,3790.02-----
Redan5 - AAA0-8-14.562610.00-----
Stone Mountain5 - AAA2-6-7.912410.00-----
Johnson (Savannah)3 - AAA2-6-6.661120.00-----
Kendrick4 - AAA1-8-15.00440.00-----
East Jackson8 - AAA1-7-18.4310.00-----
Jackson County8 - AAA2-615.86-------
Coahulla Creek6 - AAA1-7-2.14-------
Cherokee Bluff7 - AAA0-9-13.66-------
Groves3 - AAA1-8-16.15-------
Murray County6 - AAA0-9-19.70-------
Rutland4 - AAA0-8-21.08-------
Savannah3 - AAA0-8-23.93-------
Towers5 - AAA0-8-24.22-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 At large Out
1 - AAACrisp County957,04540,2272,712-133
1 - AAAMonroe28,597809,835119,959--41,609
1 - AAACook14,343132,272779,463--73,922
1 - AAAWorth County1517,66697,866--884,453
2 - AAAAppling County709,988280,6683,2096,135--
2 - AAAPierce County281,794461,070257,136---
2 - AAALiberty County8,218257,111719,30112,4921522,726
2 - AAATattnall County-1,15115,109898,638-85,102
2 - AAABrantley County--5,24558,360-936,395
2 - AAALong County---24,375-975,625
3 - AAABenedictine992,3617,200439---
3 - AAASoutheast Bulloch439951,43148,130---
3 - AAAJenkins7,20041,369951,431---
3 - AAAWindsor Forest---937,3953,02859,577
3 - AAAIslands---46,2534,395949,352
3 - AAABeach---16,26412,371971,365
3 - AAAJohnson (Savannah)---8824999,888
3 - AAASavannah-----1,000,000
3 - AAAGroves-----1,000,000
4 - AAAPeach County852,239133,56814,193---
4 - AAAWestside (Macon)131,717838,02313,19917,061--
4 - AAAJackson16,04416,023910,13157,802--
4 - AAAPike County-12,38662,477918,9531676,017
4 - AAACentral (Macon)---6,140-993,860
4 - AAAKendrick---44-999,956
4 - AAARutland-----1,000,000
5 - AAACedar Grove1,000,000-----
5 - AAAWestminster (Atlanta)-926,62449,92123,217238-
5 - AAAPace Academy-238873,345126,417--
5 - AAALovett-73,13876,734849,864-264
5 - AAARedan---261-999,739
5 - AAAStone Mountain---241-999,759
5 - AAATowers-----1,000,000
6 - AAACalhoun975,64924,1721763--
6 - AAAHaralson County18,683594,509375,05311,755--
6 - AAALakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe5,668371,94415,611606,777--
6 - AAANorth Murray-9,375609,160303,80663,51614,143
6 - AAARinggold---43,344548,900407,756
6 - AAAAdairsville----298,347701,653
6 - AAASonoraville---34,31565,568900,117
6 - AAACoahulla Creek-----1,000,000
6 - AAAMurray County-----1,000,000
7 - AAAGreater Atlanta Christian1,000,000-----
7 - AAADawson County-575,602424,3962--
7 - AAANorth Hall-424,398573,5862,00313-
7 - AAAFannin County--26706,868-293,106
7 - AAALumpkin County---271,795-728,205
7 - AAAEast Hall--1,99219,33255978,621
7 - AAACherokee Bluff-----1,000,000
8 - AAAMonroe Area1,000,000-----
8 - AAAJefferson-1,000,000----
8 - AAAMorgan County--529,305446,0169724,582
8 - AAAHart County--451,028373,7241,212174,036
8 - AAAFranklin County--19,667180,2591,904798,170
8 - AAAEast Jackson---1-999,999
8 - AAAJackson County-----1,000,000

Class AA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Rockmart7 - AA8-063.341,000,0004.00835,362567,379365,323244,5653.09
Dublin3 - AA8-161.271,000,0004.10824,516614,214443,014235,2943.25
Hapeville Charter6 - AA7-160.361,000,0003.61764,510475,181237,797141,8686.05
Dodge County3 - AA8-160.401,000,0003.23713,513327,380169,634101,1158.89
Fitzgerald1 - AA7-256.931,000,0003.14591,805356,184157,43070,69913.14
Washington County3 - AA7-157.601,000,0002.78522,874251,584119,31356,84616.59
Brooks County1 - AA6-254.301,000,0002.93526,333296,137114,39942,53522.51
Callaway5 - AA7-252.461,000,0002.74505,823186,04185,01927,35335.56
Rabun County8 - AA7-149.601,000,0002.90658,525277,42692,38423,42441.69
Swainsboro2 - AA6-250.541,000,0002.60380,758240,62885,10922,73542.99
Bremen5 - AA7-151.661,000,0002.24293,629103,38240,63613,18274.86
Heard County5 - AA6-248.501,000,0002.34378,996107,00341,44610,05698.44
Thomasville1 - AA5-449.45979,0522.04173,45875,03728,8997,410133.95
Jefferson County4 - AA6-243.671,000,0001.75119,14919,7394,0218931,118.82
Union County8 - AA8-039.491,000,0001.63162,42833,6235,3016141,627.66
Vidalia2 - AA7-145.45999,7291.3669,27114,3452,4316121,632.99
Douglass6 - AA7-139.031,000,0002.00177,50023,3874,5935001,999.00
Early County1 - AA5-340.93757,4421.1642,9827,7041,4602004,999.00
Washington6 - AA7-233.121,000,0001.76125,86412,9421,1057613,156.89
Hephzibah4 - AA7-231.451,000,0001.2010,1371,4991686166,665.67
Chattooga7 - AA6-228.621,000,0001.3743,5323,0151795199,999.00
Berrien1 - AA5-334.31263,5060.346,026672625199,999.00
Elbert County8 - AA5-333.66997,2621.139,906842613333,332.33
Northeast3 - AA3-529.95997,6141.118,3161,383812499,999.00
Pepperell7 - AA5-325.891,000,0001.2928,0671,494582499,999.00
Harlem4 - AA6-328.151,000,0001.066,1161,12555--
Spencer5 - AA2-621.26980,5471.0613,83445913--
Metter2 - AA6-223.39474,6260.491,010606--
Toombs County2 - AA5-420.81978,1220.991,362472--
Jeff Davis2 - AA6-222.61544,9020.561,138271--
Screven County4 - AA5-322.83986,0481.021,22834---
South Atlanta6 - AA4-420.30992,8211.0059212---
Monticello8 - AA3-513.52583,4650.6094310---
Banks County8 - AA4-410.13418,8770.423342---
Coosa7 - AA2-613.20514,2270.521322---
Lamar County5 - AA3-510.472,1380.0061---
Gordon Central7 - AA3-53.85301,7130.309----
Bleckley County3 - AA3-527.941,5020.007----
Model7 - AA2-61.65184,0600.185----
Jordan5 - AA2-6-5.0017,3150.021----
Therrell6 - AA2-611.414,5390.001----
Bacon County2 - AA1-714.662,6210.001----
Putnam County8 - AA2-64.253480.001----
Glenn Hills4 - AA2-64.0213,9520.01-----
B.E.S.T. Academy6 - AA2-66.882,2960.00-----
East Laurens3 - AA1-7-0.528840.00-----
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate6 - AA2-6-0.273170.00-----
Social Circle8 - AA4-4-4.88480.00-----
McNair6 - AA2-6-6.75270.00-----
Southwest3 - AA2-630.27-------
Laney4 - AA3-510.40-------
Armuchee7 - AA1-7-10.70-------
Bryan County2 - AA1-7-2.26-------
Butler4 - AA4-421.83-------
Dade County7 - AA1-7-4.87-------
Josey4 - AA0-8-12.55-------
Oglethorpe County8 - AA0-8-27.28-------
Temple5 - AA1-8-4.79-------
Westside (Augusta)4 - AA1-7-5.38-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAFitzgerald532,155467,845---
1 - AABrooks County467,845522,8826,0703,203-
1 - AAThomasville--772,948206,10420,948
1 - AAEarly County--204,200553,242242,558
1 - AABerrien-9,27316,782237,451736,494
2 - AASwainsboro997,3241521,1211,403-
2 - AAVidalia2,563959,52837,287351271
2 - AAToombs County1111,336443,168533,50721,878
2 - AAJeff Davis21,515507,15036,235455,098
2 - AAMetter-37,41210,920426,294525,374
2 - AABacon County-573542,210997,379
2 - AABryan County----1,000,000
3 - AADublin884,20890,99324,799--
3 - AADodge County-680,401319,599--
3 - AAWashington County115,792228,606590,69564,907-
3 - AANortheast--64,907932,7072,386
3 - AABleckley County---1,502998,498
3 - AAEast Laurens---884999,116
3 - AASouthwest----1,000,000
4 - AAJefferson County999,224434128214-
4 - AAHephzibah776999,224---
4 - AAHarlem--997,5532,447-
4 - AAScreven County-3422,319983,38713,952
4 - AAGlenn Hills---13,952986,048
4 - AAButler----1,000,000
4 - AALaney----1,000,000
4 - AAWestside (Augusta)----1,000,000
4 - AAJosey----1,000,000
5 - AACallaway440,588557,8941,518--
5 - AAHeard County395,182183,814420,91391-
5 - AABremen164,230258,238542,17535,357-
5 - AASpencer-5435,394945,09919,453
5 - AAJordan---17,315982,685
5 - AALamar County---2,138997,862
5 - AATemple----1,000,000
6 - AAHapeville Charter985,33312,8371,830--
6 - AADouglass233931,67168,096--
6 - AAWashington14,43455,492930,074--
6 - AASouth Atlanta---992,8217,179
6 - AATherrell---4,539995,461
6 - AAB.E.S.T. Academy---2,296997,704
6 - AAKIPP Atlanta Collegiate---317999,683
6 - AAMcNair---27999,973
7 - AARockmart999,9973---
7 - AAChattooga-534,750465,250--
7 - AAPepperell3465,247534,750--
7 - AACoosa---514,227485,773
7 - AAGordon Central---301,713698,287
7 - AAModel---184,060815,940
7 - AADade County----1,000,000
7 - AAArmuchee----1,000,000
8 - AARabun County770,976229,024---
8 - AAUnion County229,024770,976---
8 - AAElbert County--948,24749,0152,738
8 - AAMonticello--2,423581,042416,535
8 - AABanks County--49,330369,547581,123
8 - AAPutnam County---348999,652
8 - AASocial Circle---48999,952
8 - AAOglethorpe County----1,000,000

Class A-Public

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Irwin County2 - A8-069.141,000,000993,058955,143868,084773,1750.29
Clinch County2 - A7-155.821,000,000960,321810,458410,791150,6675.64
Commerce8 - A8-044.801,000,000844,115427,941173,85425,56638.11
Marion County4 - A8-042.811,000,000873,502468,186224,16022,94442.58
Pelham1 - A8-041.191,000,000867,282480,751207,06218,38353.40
Charlton County2 - A6-237.731,000,000613,058132,26940,9253,666271.78
Mount Zion (Carroll)6 - A8-136.191,000,000657,712236,93628,8253,412292.08
Schley County4 - A7-131.361,000,000411,897139,27716,1899401,062.83
Mitchell County1 - A6-130.231,000,000459,93380,92216,6266821,465.28
Greene County7 - A6-225.821,000,000484,888114,8764,8562513,983.06
Emanuel County Institute3 - A5-325.211,000,000201,36845,8162,3599410,637.30
Wilcox County2 - A4-427.06963,173136,05330,0562,2478711,493.25
Turner County2 - A5-326.711,000,000136,92930,2452,0647912,657.23
Trion6 - A5-322.65999,70831,3905,5314071952,630.58
Claxton3 - A6-219.191,000,00062,7878,3974891190,908.09
Manchester4 - A5-320.97858,12039,5666,5953351099,999.00
Montgomery County3 - A6-218.63999,99775,61011,8932799111,110.11
Hancock Central7 - A5-317.52982,54927,7693,3101571999,999.00
Chattahoochee County1 - A5-313.911,000,00043,1563,5751031999,999.00
Dooly County4 - A4-415.40663,62922,4262,509471999,999.00
Atkinson County2 - A3-516.35297,58313,4011,769321999,999.00
Telfair County2 - A3-522.0952,1053,689511171999,999.00
Macon County4 - A4-417.10514,97215,8331,78875--
Taylor County4 - A4-412.62524,2997,0343319--
Washington-Wilkes7 - A3-511.42156,4862,4381663--
Jenkins County3 - A4-411.89244,7352,543913--
Miller County1 - A3-35.88998,5617,0424601--
Lincoln County7 - A3-57.88207,0281,376671--
Seminole County1 - A5-21.811,000,0003,477125---
Warren County7 - A4-44.8156,5091806---
Terrell County1 - A2-6-6.12414,596160----
Calhoun County1 - A1-6-12.9865,9387----
Gordon Lee6 - A2-66.3310-----
Greenville4 - A2-6-4.622-----
Johnson County3 - A4-45.49------
Bowdon6 - A0-84.63------
McIntosh County Academy3 - A0-8-1.21------
Portal3 - A1-7-3.29------
Towns County8 - A2-6-3.45------
Wilkinson County7 - A1-7-5.13------
Hawkinsville4 - A2-6-5.71------
Lanier County2 - A0-8-7.63------
Treutlen3 - A3-5-14.33------
Crawford County4 - A2-6-18.61------
Baconton Charter1 - A3-5-19.58------
Wheeler County3 - A1-7-27.63------
Twiggs County7 - A0-8-30.38------
Stewart County1 - A2-5-31.55------
Central (Talbotton)4 - A0-8-35.94------
Randolph-Clay1 - A0-7-46.24------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team Rgn Champ 1 to 8 9 to 24 Out
1 - APelham786,225987,80212,198-
1 - AMitchell County213,775594,896405,104-
1 - AChattahoochee County-7,212992,788-
1 - ASeminole County-69999,931-
1 - AMiller County--998,5611,439
1 - ATerrell County--414,596585,404
1 - ACalhoun County--65,938934,062
1 - ABaconton Charter---1,000,000
1 - AStewart County---1,000,000
1 - ARandolph-Clay---1,000,000
2 - AIrwin County999,916999,9991-
2 - AClinch County75995,9194,081-
2 - ACharlton County9581,071418,929-
2 - ATurner County--1,000,000-
2 - AWilcox County--963,17336,827
2 - AAtkinson County--297,583702,417
2 - ATelfair County--52,105947,895
2 - ALanier County---1,000,000
3 - AEmanuel County Institute152,255152,255847,745-
3 - AMontgomery County38,16638,166961,8313
3 - AClaxton12,65912,659987,341-
3 - AJenkins County--244,735755,265
3 - AJohnson County---1,000,000
3 - APortal---1,000,000
3 - AMcIntosh County Academy---1,000,000
3 - AWheeler County---1,000,000
3 - ATreutlen---1,000,000
4 - AMarion County734,690992,8397,161-
4 - ASchley County265,310377,518622,482-
4 - AManchester--858,120141,880
4 - ADooly County--663,629336,371
4 - ATaylor County--524,299475,701
4 - AMacon County--514,972485,028
4 - AGreenville--2999,998
4 - AHawkinsville---1,000,000
4 - ACrawford County---1,000,000
4 - ACentral (Talbotton)---1,000,000
6 - AMount Zion (Carroll)441,804667,323332,677-
6 - ATrion--999,708292
6 - AGordon Lee--10999,990
6 - ABowdon---1,000,000
7 - AGreene County681,785682,002317,998-
7 - AHancock Central--982,54917,451
7 - ALincoln County--207,028792,972
7 - AWashington-Wilkes--156,486843,514
7 - AWarren County--56,509943,491
7 - AWilkinson County---1,000,000
7 - ATwiggs County---1,000,000
8 - ACommerce220,395910,27089,730-
8 - ATowns County---1,000,000

Class A-Private

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Athens Academy8 - A8-055.001,000,000946,537832,525675,825455,8231.19
Eagle's Landing Christian5 - A7-151.941,000,000927,770802,948621,189330,9942.02
Prince Avenue Christian8 - A7-147.611,000,000833,268491,801249,455110,3388.06
Savannah Christian3 - A7-139.261,000,000771,912452,918127,94133,66228.71
George Walton Academy8 - A7-141.291,000,000570,031271,65192,09628,13134.55
Fellowship Christian6 - A8-037.991,000,000717,802389,885107,28424,63039.60
Darlington6 - A7-131.731,000,000555,784171,94130,7584,582217.25
Calvary Day3 - A7-130.631,000,000485,026101,18720,8992,895344.42
Mount Paran Christian6 - A6-232.661,000,000141,66161,93214,5922,266440.31
Hebron Christian Academy8 - A5-331.321,000,000170,87362,3319,6721,390718.42
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)5 - A6-227.861,000,000391,80383,15212,3221,340745.27
Aquinas7 - A7-127.721,000,000413,18361,55311,1591,210825.45
North Cobb Christian6 - A7-128.411,000,000275,55357,3148,8211,072931.84
Wesleyan5 - A4-427.541,000,000168,91733,7975,0825281,892.94
Mount Vernon Presbyterian5 - A6-226.091,000,000199,99542,3465,1014732,113.16
Brookstone4 - A6-227.231,000,000107,93030,6043,9404022,486.56
Christian Heritage6 - A5-323.351,000,00039,6439,0631,0149710,308.28
Whitefield Academy6 - A6-222.101,000,00055,82611,5139246116,392.44
Mount de Sales7 - A7-121.471,000,00058,97811,4398726116,392.44
Tattnall Square7 - A5-316.97997,55097,10213,0296662737,036.04
Holy Innocents5 - A3-517.70962,94427,2973,0151381099,999.00
Savannah Country Day3 - A6-218.121,000,00022,3453,4612288124,999.00
Stratford Academy7 - A3-510.54843,8188,0111907--
Riverside Military Academy8 - A4-412.34356,4864,8201486--
Pinecrest Academy6 - A4-411.22554,0605,8571745--
Strong Rock Christian5 - A3-59.82278,3612,061834--
Athens Christian8 - A2-65.614,7079----
St. Francis6 - A3-510.676556----
Landmark Christian5 - A2-6-0.73819-----
Pacelli4 - A4-4-5.29600-----
Mount Pisgah Christian6 - A2-66.42------
First Presbyterian7 - A2-62.00------
Providence Christian8 - A3-5-0.62------
King's Ridge Christian6 - A1-7-3.54------
Walker6 - A0-8-10.68------
Georgia Military College7 - A3-6-10.91------
Lakeview Academy8 - A0-8-13.07------
Our Lady of Mercy5 - A0-8-15.79------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team Rgn Champ 1 to 8 9 to 24 Out
3 - ASavannah Christian750,990946,79953,201-
3 - ACalvary Day45,930638,849361,151-
3 - ASavannah Country Day--1,000,000-
4 - ABrookstone-18999,982-
4 - APacelli--600999,400
5 - AEagle's Landing Christian971,977999,94456-
5 - ATrinity Christian (Sharpsburg)-502,609497,391-
5 - AMount Vernon Presbyterian27,87851,435948,565-
5 - AWesleyan14533,250966,750-
5 - AHoly Innocents--962,94437,056
5 - AStrong Rock Christian--278,361721,639
5 - ALandmark Christian--819999,181
5 - AOur Lady of Mercy---1,000,000
6 - AFellowship Christian494,293863,415136,585-
6 - ADarlington-726,055273,945-
6 - ANorth Cobb Christian-234,988765,012-
6 - AMount Paran Christian53,30553,305946,695-
6 - AWhitefield Academy10,59810,598989,402-
6 - AChristian Heritage--1,000,000-
6 - APinecrest Academy--554,060445,940
6 - ASt. Francis--655999,345
6 - AMount Pisgah Christian---1,000,000
6 - AKing's Ridge Christian---1,000,000
6 - AWalker---1,000,000
7 - AAquinas-652,542347,458-
7 - ATattnall Square318,215318,215679,3352,450
7 - AMount de Sales-9999,991-
7 - AStratford Academy--843,818156,182
7 - AFirst Presbyterian---1,000,000
7 - AGeorgia Military College---1,000,000
8 - AAthens Academy777,7631,000,000--
8 - APrince Avenue Christian-719,781280,219-
8 - AGeorge Walton Academy-246,346753,654-
8 - AHebron Christian Academy1,7821,782998,218-
8 - ARiverside Military Academy6060356,426643,514
8 - AAthens Christian--4,707995,293
8 - AProvidence Christian---1,000,000
8 - ALakeview Academy---1,000,000

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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