High School Sports Blog

Maxwell playoff projections after Week 9

By Loren Maxwell
Updated Oct 23, 2019

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings' playoff projections for each class.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2019 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

All out of state opponents were considered equal to the average of the GHSA team’s classification (i.e., out of state opponents of Class AAAAAAA GHSA teams were treated as an average Class AAAAAAA team).

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Lowndes1 - AAAAAAA8-0101.711,000,0005.19952,237871,467770,565620,6320.61
Colquitt County1 - AAAAAAA7-192.311,000,0004.25804,489702,953592,482226,4333.42
McEachern3 - AAAAAAA7-084.591,000,0003.46871,795496,793127,07148,68819.54
North Gwinnett6 - AAAAAAA7-183.831,000,0003.47895,019479,942115,40343,37822.05
Grayson8 - AAAAAAA6-182.16999,9903.04855,026172,30280,44025,57938.09
Parkview7 - AAAAAAA6-175.98999,9982.38191,647134,18483,46711,93282.81
Marietta3 - AAAAAAA5-275.65999,8962.07308,458223,16756,3857,790127.37
Archer8 - AAAAAAA4-372.46994,1812.46593,622116,86150,1015,421183.47
Milton5 - AAAAAAA4-368.61999,9972.69416,128256,83241,7753,256306.13
Mill Creek6 - AAAAAAA6-270.461,000,0002.29482,763185,06235,1363,231308.50
Camden County1 - AAAAAAA6-170.59991,4241.67198,782109,80616,5211,613618.96
Hillgrove3 - AAAAAAA6-170.54992,9951.45127,43773,17314,5701,425700.75
Newton8 - AAAAAAA5-263.51979,6371.54208,05149,5684,8512563,905.25
Collins Hill6 - AAAAAAA4-362.67993,4241.52199,02933,3504,1421735,779.35
Walton4 - AAAAAAA4-357.13989,9401.94173,27632,2682,1014920,407.16
Westlake2 - AAAAAAA4-357.63999,8921.85151,3018,4031,6493826,314.79
East Coweta2 - AAAAAAA2-557.45998,2861.7281,8754,9464472245,453.55
Shiloh8 - AAAAAAA6-157.39800,9801.0170,2548,9605931952,630.58
South Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA4-357.34992,6811.6743,5124,8551761471,427.57
Mountain View6 - AAAAAAA4-357.49999,4251.2484,0407,3816301376,922.08
North Cobb3 - AAAAAAA6-159.41987,7671.0720,9474,8703839111,110.11
Roswell4 - AAAAAAA4-253.27909,3831.4564,1376,0093408124,999.00
Cherokee4 - AAAAAAA6-251.94991,1461.5764,9736,2952885199,999.00
Tift County1 - AAAAAAA3-556.59223,6360.277,4652,2541234249,999.00
Norcross7 - AAAAAAA2-554.21998,9611.6218,9171,916914249,999.00
Etowah4 - AAAAAAA4-449.85985,4631.4133,7491,832863333,332.33
North Paulding3 - AAAAAAA5-255.92673,8630.7215,9111,493383333,332.33
Newnan2 - AAAAAAA5-250.40993,2561.4737,0431,6141002499,999.00
South Gwinnett8 - AAAAAAA4-350.31344,4150.376,67341816--
Brookwood7 - AAAAAAA4-347.251,000,0001.419,07447514--
West Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA2-447.49987,5621.296,04835214--
Pebblebrook2 - AAAAAAA3-436.17635,0830.722,733771--
North Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA5-239.86995,5171.111,313611--
Wheeler2 - AAAAAAA2-534.97361,8640.401,44238---
Central Gwinnett7 - AAAAAAA2-634.37716,6270.7442621---
Meadowcreek7 - AAAAAAA3-426.62284,4150.29371---
Rockdale County8 - AAAAAAA4-340.028,2770.01281---
Woodstock4 - AAAAAAA1-635.65103,2500.11325----
Lassiter4 - AAAAAAA1-625.9123,3840.0215----
Forsyth Central5 - AAAAAAA3-326.9218,8680.022----
Discovery6 - AAAAAAA1-631.016,8450.011----
Campbell2 - AAAAAAA0-715.8511,6300.01-----
Lambert5 - AAAAAAA0-715.055,4660.01-----
Duluth6 - AAAAAAA1-613.543770.00-----
Peachtree Ridge6 - AAAAAAA2-632.981500.00-----
Kennesaw Mountain3 - AAAAAAA0-720.18490.00-----
Berkmar7 - AAAAAAA3-46.68-------
Lakeside (Atlanta)7 - AAAAAAA0-8-8.91-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 At large Out
1 - AAAAAAALowndes742,658243,04514,205-92-
1 - AAAAAAAColquitt County253,863729,39014,741-2,006-
1 - AAAAAAACamden County3,40321,417758,689-207,9158,576
1 - AAAAAAATift County766,148212,365-5,047776,364
2 - AAAAAAAWestlake693,415195,784101,8368,857-108
2 - AAAAAAANewnan181,660281,751426,732103,102116,744
2 - AAAAAAAEast Coweta124,429499,746334,58139,530-1,714
2 - AAAAAAAPebblebrook49222,117119,650492,824-364,917
2 - AAAAAAAWheeler459416,911344,355-638,136
2 - AAAAAAACampbell-829011,332-988,370
3 - AAAAAAAMcEachern975,45717,7765,5331,19935-
3 - AAAAAAANorth Cobb13,97775,347223,362658,85516,22612,233
3 - AAAAAAAMarietta7,934604,090301,24585,981646104
3 - AAAAAAAHillgrove2,629302,622455,046175,86056,8387,005
3 - AAAAAAANorth Paulding316514,81378,057580,825326,137
3 - AAAAAAAKennesaw Mountain--148-999,951
4 - AAAAAAAWalton543,857298,324102,04145,715310,060
4 - AAAAAAACherokee231,734194,976396,097165,7862,5538,854
4 - AAAAAAARoswell159,261214,732220,654314,735190,617
4 - AAAAAAAEtowah64,458289,517273,115358,364914,537
4 - AAAAAAAWoodstock6882,0795,49894,985-896,750
4 - AAAAAAALassiter23722,59520,415-976,616
5 - AAAAAAAMilton985,00413,6771,28135-3
5 - AAAAAAANorth Forsyth11,36188,155281,382614,619-4,483
5 - AAAAAAASouth Forsyth3,378662,586248,79777,829917,319
5 - AAAAAAAWest Forsyth253235,457465,631286,221-12,438
5 - AAAAAAAForsyth Central41252,81115,928-981,132
5 - AAAAAAALambert--985,368-994,534
6 - AAAAAAANorth Gwinnett999,9982----
6 - AAAAAAAMill Creek2630,579271,85697,563--
6 - AAAAAAAMountain View-114,345315,115569,965-575
6 - AAAAAAACollins Hill-255,074412,960325,1692216,576
6 - AAAAAAADiscovery--696,776-993,155
6 - AAAAAAADuluth---377-999,623
6 - AAAAAAAPeachtree Ridge---150-999,850
7 - AAAAAAAParkview959,75930,6939,18735812
7 - AAAAAAABrookwood24,794352,782621,989435--
7 - AAAAAAANorcross15,389616,259357,7119,602-1,039
7 - AAAAAAAMeadowcreek582499,066275,042-715,585
7 - AAAAAAACentral Gwinnett-172,047714,563-283,373
7 - AAAAAAALakeside (Atlanta)-----1,000,000
7 - AAAAAAABerkmar-----1,000,000
8 - AAAAAAAGrayson922,17752,42124,0861,2921410
8 - AAAAAAAArcher50,015786,699118,30929,8049,3545,819
8 - AAAAAAANewton26,24852,021572,496307,81721,05520,363
8 - AAAAAAASouth Gwinnett1,26716,69628,985254,72242,745655,585
8 - AAAAAAAShiloh28492,149255,586400,21752,744199,020
8 - AAAAAAARockdale County9145386,1481,568991,723

Class AAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Valdosta1 - AAAAAA7-189.821,000,0005.43982,683903,218802,791739,4550.35
Harrison6 - AAAAAA8-071.681,000,0003.86907,370745,168149,97590,84310.01
Coffee1 - AAAAAA6-268.92990,2203.73793,129568,631351,14765,89414.18
Dacula8 - AAAAAA7-069.87999,9353.07812,563199,932122,77141,36223.18
Lee County1 - AAAAAA6-165.74998,9613.46751,756477,531233,43734,77827.75
Allatoona6 - AAAAAA4-2-160.89999,5642.80604,873279,121120,90611,95582.65
Houston County1 - AAAAAA4-358.42774,8172.14461,673165,08239,9254,175238.52
Johns Creek7 - AAAAAA6-157.54999,9982.20215,585120,11550,3913,810261.47
Lanier8 - AAAAAA7-056.76998,9672.23442,283110,44941,2093,171314.36
Mays5 - AAAAAA6-153.77999,5682.20267,59887,87820,0471,258793.91
Stephenson4 - AAAAAA6-151.58986,7702.07251,75071,06916,8007741,290.99
Richmond Hill2 - AAAAAA4-350.45999,9822.08266,95059,42316,4746951,437.85
South Paulding5 - AAAAAA6-151.77999,6912.11238,61464,11812,1226751,480.48
Dalton6 - AAAAAA6-252.25988,5811.66225,68950,68312,6256561,523.39
Glynn Academy2 - AAAAAA2-450.79969,3221.78124,90315,6091,6751656,059.61
Northside (Warner Robins)1 - AAAAAA3-549.97236,0020.5185,87111,6986256415,624.00
Sprayberry6 - AAAAAA4-347.46663,1390.8763,2167,8021,4135817,240.38
Brunswick2 - AAAAAA4-447.45997,9331.6779,39011,9137735617,856.14
Alexander5 - AAAAAA5-246.34781,9561.1744,9207,4588914223,808.52
Alpharetta7 - AAAAAA5-245.94999,8921.5628,3896,7671,1283429,410.76
Tucker4 - AAAAAA4-343.50845,4161.2856,6168,3368672638,460.54
M.L. King4 - AAAAAA6-142.14905,4551.3145,2085,0324672147,618.05
Creekside5 - AAAAAA4-343.82657,9350.9225,2153,4532901099,999.00
Gainesville8 - AAAAAA3-441.15950,3281.1138,1414,6583926166,665.67
Douglas County5 - AAAAAA5-342.34560,8500.718,1041,3761564249,999.00
Creekview6 - AAAAAA5-244.53335,2370.3813,234440654249,999.00
Lovejoy4 - AAAAAA5-340.18803,9311.0729,2192,6052323333,332.33
Pope7 - AAAAAA5-340.15915,1691.1534,8492,602893333,332.33
Morrow4 - AAAAAA4-439.02398,9270.539,254914422499,999.00
Evans3 - AAAAAA4-238.93994,8831.1740,2132,650671999,999.00
Winder-Barrow8 - AAAAAA2-538.14776,9290.8414,4561,55171--
Lakeside (Evans)3 - AAAAAA5-135.10911,8090.967,65386848--
Bradwell Institute2 - AAAAAA3-332.92965,5701.1612,79673530--
North Atlanta7 - AAAAAA4-334.55686,5500.786,27952130--
Heritage (Conyers)3 - AAAAAA3-431.46870,0500.902,89126617--
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)4 - AAAAAA3-533.3259,5000.07648304--
Alcovy3 - AAAAAA2-528.39734,3230.751,126503--
Northview7 - AAAAAA4-332.56374,4080.423,1921452--
Sequoyah6 - AAAAAA4-335.6913,4790.01214112--
Effingham County2 - AAAAAA2-630.8767,1930.08592291--
Habersham Central8 - AAAAAA3-430.82184,5010.1950943---
Grovetown3 - AAAAAA3-428.18166,4960.1718113---
Apalachee8 - AAAAAA2-524.9289,3400.091264---
Greenbrier3 - AAAAAA1-619.07322,4390.32431---
Dunwoody7 - AAAAAA3-425.0421,3240.02281---
Cambridge7 - AAAAAA3-527.942,5600.0081---
Chattahoochee7 - AAAAAA2-622.70960.00-----
Centennial7 - AAAAAA0-710.8630.00-----
Drew4 - AAAAAA1-612.1410.00-----
Mundy's Mill4 - AAAAAA3-532.95-------
Hughes5 - AAAAAA1-730.60-------
Northgate5 - AAAAAA1-628.22-------
New Manchester5 - AAAAAA1-724.57-------
River Ridge6 - AAAAAA2-623.89-------
Tri-Cities5 - AAAAAA0-713.12-------
South Cobb6 - AAAAAA1-712.51-------
Forest Park4 - AAAAAA0-74.37-------
Osborne6 - AAAAAA0-8-10.65-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAAAAValdosta957,52540,7381,586151-
1 - AAAAAALee County40,175371,426408,290179,0701,039
1 - AAAAAACoffee2,221481,146370,094136,7599,780
1 - AAAAAAHouston County78106,496208,683459,560225,183
1 - AAAAAANorthside (Warner Robins)119411,347224,460763,998
2 - AAAAAARichmond Hill948,18939,8899,6112,29318
2 - AAAAAABradwell Institute26,05044,098156,518738,90434,430
2 - AAAAAAGlynn Academy18,564568,143306,69475,92130,678
2 - AAAAAABrunswick7,135346,790510,467133,5412,067
2 - AAAAAAEffingham County621,08016,71049,341932,807
3 - AAAAAAEvans872,63571,27441,5829,3925,117
3 - AAAAAAAlcovy52,77678,570222,130380,847265,677
3 - AAAAAALakeside (Evans)47,567493,461282,42388,35888,191
3 - AAAAAAHeritage (Conyers)17,596303,030345,035204,389129,950
3 - AAAAAAGreenbrier7,00930,52564,114220,791677,561
3 - AAAAAAGrovetown2,41723,14044,71696,223833,504
4 - AAAAAAStephenson646,396190,29698,84951,22913,230
4 - AAAAAATucker157,464281,021137,123269,808154,584
4 - AAAAAAM.L. King128,426255,679375,275146,07594,545
4 - AAAAAALovejoy59,90396,874265,762381,392196,069
4 - AAAAAAMorrow7,811174,829110,916105,371601,073
4 - AAAAAAMount Zion (Jonesboro)-1,30112,07546,124940,500
4 - AAAAAADrew---1999,999
4 - AAAAAAMundy's Mill----1,000,000
4 - AAAAAAForest Park----1,000,000
5 - AAAAAAMays511,853348,857123,70915,149432
5 - AAAAAASouth Paulding435,066419,755120,27324,597309
5 - AAAAAAAlexander38,340130,510319,663293,443218,044
5 - AAAAAACreekside14,73892,001244,072307,124342,065
5 - AAAAAADouglas County38,877192,283359,687439,150
5 - AAAAAAHughes----1,000,000
5 - AAAAAANorthgate----1,000,000
5 - AAAAAATri-Cities----1,000,000
5 - AAAAAANew Manchester----1,000,000
6 - AAAAAAHarrison999,2314453222-
6 - AAAAAAAllatoona748737,097239,92621,793436
6 - AAAAAASequoyah103234,3088,838986,521
6 - AAAAAACreekview632121,628313,282664,763
6 - AAAAAADalton5251,741363,925372,91011,419
6 - AAAAAASprayberry-10,073369,891283,175336,861
6 - AAAAAARiver Ridge----1,000,000
6 - AAAAAASouth Cobb----1,000,000
6 - AAAAAAOsborne----1,000,000
7 - AAAAAAJohns Creek798,173201,7794422
7 - AAAAAAAlpharetta201,813738,96352,7396,377108
7 - AAAAAANorthview1446,939167,195160,260625,592
7 - AAAAAAPope-12,319689,045213,80584,831
7 - AAAAAANorth Atlanta--90,951595,599313,450
7 - AAAAAADunwoody--2621,298978,676
7 - AAAAAACambridge---2,560997,440
7 - AAAAAAChattahoochee---96999,904
7 - AAAAAACentennial---3999,997
8 - AAAAAADacula780,481210,8787,80577165
8 - AAAAAALanier215,255665,127112,2606,3251,033
8 - AAAAAAWinder-Barrow2,88612,568336,661424,814223,071
8 - AAAAAAGainesville1,378109,515513,067326,36849,672
8 - AAAAAAHabersham Central-44614,069169,986815,499
8 - AAAAAAApalachee-1,46616,13871,736910,660

Class AAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Buford8 - AAAAA8-077.071,000,0004.42885,199621,673542,632375,1181.67
Carrollton7 - AAAAA8-072.871,000,0004.13798,089643,011462,679232,8813.29
Warner Robins1 - AAAAA7-173.081,000,0003.48705,786359,119283,653165,9915.02
Jones County4 - AAAAA7-067.53999,7103.76806,399669,461302,941117,1307.54
Dutchtown4 - AAAAA6-162.69999,1132.85582,971414,48998,13333,59028.77
Ware County2 - AAAAA4-362.68996,1532.54510,170183,29682,43224,39739.99
Rome7 - AAAAA6-262.681,000,0002.54376,862116,90154,10618,14254.12
Kell7 - AAAAA5-257.48998,6952.68541,664233,23539,4939,266106.92
Wayne County2 - AAAAA6-158.10999,7272.09309,06386,08131,2636,873144.50
Veterans1 - AAAAA7-158.251,000,0002.14242,89085,93830,5886,616150.15
Bainbridge1 - AAAAA5-254.40911,4501.91315,38295,74816,3892,694370.20
Griffin3 - AAAAA7-153.59999,6211.89250,91093,50214,2512,388417.76
South Effingham2 - AAAAA6-254.02932,3461.53189,81383,77312,0952,166460.68
Stockbridge4 - AAAAA6-150.29947,3941.42164,86736,5135,4396411,559.06
Riverdale3 - AAAAA6-148.25999,9141.65182,19345,1464,5504632,158.83
Clarke Central8 - AAAAA5-347.31990,1801.97149,44737,8964,6904192,385.63
Statesboro2 - AAAAA3-448.51705,2290.9065,10625,3972,3812543,936.01
Hiram7 - AAAAA5-245.621,000,0001.85199,43736,0812,7402144,671.90
Starr's Mill3 - AAAAA5-345.36997,0161.53127,43928,6682,1821745,746.13
Union Grove4 - AAAAA5-250.29625,6750.8439,3725,1171,2041496,710.41
Riverwood6 - AAAAA7-042.83999,9641.83121,29535,0601,7431168,619.69
Southwest DeKalb5 - AAAAA6-143.83999,9681.50123,26321,4531,6751168,619.69
Ola4 - AAAAA5-249.62424,9910.5736,3524,1418989910,100.01
Thomas County Central1 - AAAAA5-242.60597,8060.8550,6368,5204602934,481.76
New Hampstead2 - AAAAA3-444.11366,5450.4419,0035,2853802835,713.29
Cedar Shoals8 - AAAAA5-339.23986,0291.4643,7787,7012662049,999.00
Harris County1 - AAAAA4-441.68490,7440.6839,3036,1832891855,554.56
Columbia5 - AAAAA3-436.94999,7991.2442,9704,9961764249,999.00
Carver (Atlanta)6 - AAAAA5-236.20996,1661.3927,9223,3561513333,332.33
Jonesboro3 - AAAAA3-539.57274,4960.291,44258141999,999.00
Loganville8 - AAAAA2-633.44969,8951.5036,6871,69489--
Decatur6 - AAAAA5-229.85989,9341.2411,99846015--
Whitewater3 - AAAAA1-632.19675,5030.701,031202--
Arabia Mountain5 - AAAAA1-620.37903,9860.91235101--
Lithonia5 - AAAAA4-323.72908,9320.9244114---
Maynard Jackson6 - AAAAA4-319.93411,0980.422723---
Banneker6 - AAAAA2-521.02245,2650.251391---
Grady6 - AAAAA3-421.12349,5350.3592----
Eagle's Landing4 - AAAAA2-531.362,7480.0046----
Cass7 - AAAAA3-524.481,2170.0011----
Johnson (Gainesville)8 - AAAAA4-45.7446,9330.057----
McIntosh3 - AAAAA2-520.2833,8120.037----
Paulding County7 - AAAAA3-434.73770.004----
Miller Grove5 - AAAAA0-79.05162,6630.162----
Fayette County3 - AAAAA2-519.1319,6380.022----
Lithia Springs6 - AAAAA2-58.138,0370.011----
Woodland (Stockbridge)4 - AAAAA1-621.643580.001----
East Paulding7 - AAAAA1-635.04110.001----
Chamblee5 - AAAAA0-6-3.3224,6520.02-----
Walnut Grove8 - AAAAA0-81.926,9630.01-----
Locust Grove4 - AAAAA0-629.00110.00-----
North Springs6 - AAAAA1-60.2510.00-----
Villa Rica7 - AAAAA1-624.68-------
Woodland (Cartersville)7 - AAAAA1-66.15-------
Clarkston5 - AAAAA0-8-30.56-------
Cross Keys5 - AAAAA0-8-80.94-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAAAWarner Robins763,754201,85433,628764-
1 - AAAAAVeterans197,997651,977120,40829,618-
1 - AAAAABainbridge37,60593,315565,924214,60688,550
1 - AAAAAThomas County Central64451,376152,133393,653402,194
1 - AAAAAHarris County-1,478127,907361,359509,256
2 - AAAAAWare County567,331294,675111,67422,4733,847
2 - AAAAAWayne County363,522521,65588,48926,061273
2 - AAAAASouth Effingham61,847131,166507,368231,96567,654
2 - AAAAANew Hampstead7,09041,27575,919242,261633,455
2 - AAAAAStatesboro21011,229216,550477,240294,771
3 - AAAAAGriffin373,871247,743374,3363,671379
3 - AAAAAStarr's Mill365,724290,219330,33710,7362,984
3 - AAAAARiverdale260,405458,352233,54047,61786
3 - AAAAAWhitewater-3,54150,106621,856324,497
3 - AAAAAJonesboro-688,758265,670725,504
3 - AAAAAMcIntosh-771,91931,816966,188
3 - AAAAAFayette County--1,00418,634980,362
4 - AAAAAJones County948,31333,4586,58811,351290
4 - AAAAAStockbridge30,490126,303164,920625,68152,606
4 - AAAAADutchtown21,105832,112137,9587,938887
4 - AAAAAOla782,588230,640191,685575,009
4 - AAAAAEagle's Landing12712712,394997,252
4 - AAAAAUnion Grove25,468459,602160,603374,325
4 - AAAAAWoodland (Stockbridge)--21337999,642
4 - AAAAALocust Grove---11999,989
5 - AAAAASouthwest DeKalb638,851300,62649,77510,71632
5 - AAAAAColumbia347,932626,76423,7251,378201
5 - AAAAAArabia Mountain7,79128,513376,394491,28896,014
5 - AAAAALithonia5,42339,407507,031357,07191,068
5 - AAAAAMiller Grove34,56040,613117,487837,337
5 - AAAAAChamblee-1302,46222,060975,348
5 - AAAAAClarkston----1,000,000
5 - AAAAACross Keys----1,000,000
6 - AAAAARiverwood991,8106,1301,33369136
6 - AAAAACarver (Atlanta)5,397656,498304,40129,8703,834
6 - AAAAADecatur2,426333,376569,40384,72910,066
6 - AAAAAMaynard Jackson3042,19180,776327,827588,902
6 - AAAAAGrady631,12414,041334,307650,465
6 - AAAAABanneker-23927,609217,417754,735
6 - AAAAALithia Springs-4422,4375,158991,963
6 - AAAAANorth Springs---1999,999
7 - AAAAACarrollton978,49717,2314,22349-
7 - AAAAARome10,801857,20286,10245,895-
7 - AAAAAHiram10,70246,523205,027737,748-
7 - AAAAAKell-79,044704,648215,0031,305
7 - AAAAACass---1,217998,783
7 - AAAAAPaulding County---77999,923
7 - AAAAAEast Paulding---11999,989
7 - AAAAAVilla Rica----1,000,000
7 - AAAAAWoodland (Cartersville)----1,000,000
8 - AAAAABuford963,72835,1491,123--
8 - AAAAAClarke Central36,256289,992661,9941,9389,820
8 - AAAAALoganville16608,977186,829174,07330,105
8 - AAAAACedar Shoals-65,518147,859772,65213,971
8 - AAAAAJohnson (Gainesville)-3642,19544,374953,067
8 - AAAAAWalnut Grove---6,963993,037

Class AAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Marist7 - AAAA8-073.201,000,0004.32844,052743,856479,113338,6661.95
Woodward Academy4 - AAAA7-070.711,000,0003.97933,922542,772322,502211,3263.73
Cartersville5 - AAAA8-070.87999,9983.52789,558440,588267,873173,4174.77
Blessed Trinity7 - AAAA6-165.61999,8853.43675,542531,333293,499112,0467.92
Sandy Creek5 - AAAA6-164.30999,4962.84467,368400,782220,81377,12011.97
Burke County3 - AAAA7-158.901,000,0002.78376,652303,071139,86833,62028.74
West Laurens2 - AAAA6-157.49999,2382.94675,352215,18261,31117,41056.44
Flowery Branch7 - AAAA6-158.55995,2991.76218,993137,24949,85912,41979.52
Oconee County8 - AAAA7-154.221,000,0002.75569,566171,93955,60010,10697.95
Carver (Columbus)1 - AAAA7-151.051,000,0002.33224,971113,68435,7504,523220.09
North Oconee8 - AAAA8-050.331,000,0002.49449,609101,84324,1383,432290.38
Denmark7 - AAAA5-253.56888,7241.1888,46136,27410,4021,852538.96
Troup5 - AAAA5-251.70910,5541.1875,88234,9209,0881,318757.73
Cairo1 - AAAA5-249.50991,6261.95111,76040,9994,4888361,195.17
Mary Persons2 - AAAA4-345.15978,3062.07344,27352,9678,8887351,359.54
Perry2 - AAAA4-343.57998,4452.21364,98750,1637,7505591,787.91
Chapel Hill5 - AAAA4-348.57585,5530.6827,7229,6881,2111805,554.56
Thomson3 - AAAA3-442.52998,7341.7459,11812,6081,8061407,141.86
Eastside4 - AAAA4-339.10999,8081.68263,61426,1762,9321347,461.69
Howard2 - AAAA4-341.56623,1960.8483,1309,2741,2758012,499.00
St. Pius X8 - AAAA3-539.38911,7271.6691,0968,0287895019,999.00
Cedartown5 - AAAA3-442.01491,6030.549,8212,7532641758,822.53
Westover1 - AAAA5-238.58893,6981.1513,9982,3232113333,332.33
Baldwin3 - AAAA2-634.95994,3901.219,0431,222473333,332.33
Northwest Whitfield6 - AAAA5-230.29993,8811.3857,3162,6821322499,999.00
Upson-Lee2 - AAAA2-537.21372,9200.4215,1721,091942499,999.00
Madison County8 - AAAA3-428.35628,4080.9436,4741,208422499,999.00
Pickens6 - AAAA5-329.48925,6191.2237,2761,691991999,999.00
Americus-Sumter1 - AAAA4-331.02764,3490.883,550542221999,999.00
Ridgeland6 - AAAA3-429.46990,9241.3033,9911,51785--
Heritage (Ringgold)6 - AAAA6-226.97999,9371.2222,35077625--
Stephens County8 - AAAA1-625.70459,8650.6518,07345313--
Shaw1 - AAAA5-230.06114,3520.13380946--
White County7 - AAAA4-336.84115,9760.121,219893--
Hardaway1 - AAAA4-330.76235,9510.281,114642--
Richmond Academy3 - AAAA3-422.32889,9200.9471441---
Hampton4 - AAAA3-417.89663,5980.692,04130---
McDonough4 - AAAA3-415.43451,2150.478159---
Luella4 - AAAA2-515.28590,3660.615696---
Central (Carrollton)5 - AAAA3-535.1912,7960.01806---
Spalding2 - AAAA1-620.5227,8950.031843---
LaFayette6 - AAAA3-515.9275,6660.08932---
North Clayton4 - AAAA2-510.63259,7600.26922---
Salem4 - AAAA1-65.9435,2020.044----
Cross Creek3 - AAAA2-52.84116,9560.122----
Gilmer6 - AAAA3-43.9013,9610.011----
Chestatee7 - AAAA1-619.071080.00-----
Druid Hills4 - AAAA2-5-3.43510.00-----
Dougherty1 - AAAA1-617.34240.00-----
Southeast Whitfield6 - AAAA0-7-9.34120.00-----
West Hall7 - AAAA0-8-0.3180.00-----
LaGrange5 - AAAA2-529.40-------
Columbus1 - AAAA1-616.02-------
Northside (Columbus)1 - AAAA0-85.86-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAACarver (Columbus)983,18813,4553,28275-
1 - AAAACairo8,998919,50556,6186,5058,374
1 - AAAAAmericus-Sumter7,01549,215230,133477,986235,651
1 - AAAAShaw7156,5799,88997,169885,648
1 - AAAAWestover8411,132517,046365,436106,302
1 - AAAAHardaway-114183,03252,805764,049
1 - AAAADougherty---24999,976
1 - AAAAColumbus----1,000,000
1 - AAAANorthside (Columbus)----1,000,000
2 - AAAAWest Laurens710,498221,37859,3098,053762
2 - AAAAMary Persons152,032324,918339,899161,45721,694
2 - AAAAPerry137,470442,842401,89816,2351,555
2 - AAAAHoward-8,028162,304452,864376,804
2 - AAAAUpson-Lee-2,68532,829337,406627,080
2 - AAAASpalding-1493,76123,985972,105
3 - AAAABurke County836,717145,39517,888--
3 - AAAAThomson148,655793,56333,15823,3581,266
3 - AAAABaldwin14,62842,854920,87116,0375,610
3 - AAAARichmond Academy-17,70921,230850,981110,080
3 - AAAACross Creek-4796,853109,624883,044
4 - AAAAWoodward Academy999,985510--
4 - AAAAEastside15909,97883,7316,084192
4 - AAAAHampton-57,052409,936196,610336,402
4 - AAAALuella-22191,048399,296409,634
4 - AAAAMcDonough-32,938192,156226,121548,785
4 - AAAANorth Clayton-5122,832136,923740,240
4 - AAAASalem--28734,915964,798
4 - AAAADruid Hills---51999,949
5 - AAAACartersville922,49562,41810,1434,9422
5 - AAAASandy Creek65,798890,55338,1484,997504
5 - AAAATroup11,58018,438686,818193,71889,446
5 - AAAACedartown11227,912162,716300,863508,397
5 - AAAAChapel Hill1552899,640485,370414,447
5 - AAAACentral (Carrollton)-1512,53510,110987,204
5 - AAAALaGrange----1,000,000
6 - AAAANorthwest Whitfield362,043248,094197,084186,6606,119
6 - AAAAPickens243,509234,580174,121273,40974,381
6 - AAAARidgeland207,574325,344256,412201,5949,076
6 - AAAAHeritage (Ringgold)186,808191,816370,926250,38763
6 - AAAAGilmer661661,00112,728986,039
6 - AAAALaFayette--45475,212924,334
6 - AAAASoutheast Whitfield--210999,988
7 - AAAAMarist673,695264,53760,942826-
7 - AAAABlessed Trinity281,251644,63072,0271,977115
7 - AAAAFlowery Branch45,05487,689523,629338,9274,701
7 - AAAADenmark-1,141339,196548,387111,276
7 - AAAAWhite County-2,0034,204109,769884,024
7 - AAAAChestatee--2106999,892
7 - AAAAWest Hall---8999,992
8 - AAAAOconee County569,707416,31212,4561,525-
8 - AAAANorth Oconee429,376555,71414,688222-
8 - AAAAMadison County68710,607173,402443,712371,592
8 - AAAAStephens County23013,859129,650316,126540,135
8 - AAAASt. Pius X-3,508669,804238,41588,273

Class AAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Cedar Grove5 - AAA6-272.571,000,0004.48908,056632,962510,928438,0391.28
Peach County4 - AAA6-166.361,000,0003.73915,254372,701261,541194,7384.14
Pierce County2 - AAA7-061.921,000,0003.69815,076550,344229,852126,5386.90
Greater Atlanta Christian7 - AAA7-157.751,000,0003.25818,203421,59298,79257,35116.44
Jefferson8 - AAA6-154.901,000,0002.98534,879296,913167,63038,44425.01
Crisp County1 - AAA5-354.22999,9622.96559,727285,734161,65434,95227.61
Lovett5 - AAA6-253.801,000,0002.66442,335237,677113,58523,62641.33
Westminster (Atlanta)5 - AAA3-453.34999,6152.59420,310214,472101,09320,58547.58
Appling County2 - AAA6-152.591,000,0002.74510,268235,23583,88819,04851.50
Jenkins3 - AAA7-152.691,000,0002.62360,289199,04491,33318,38953.38
North Murray6 - AAA7-150.881,000,0002.63495,085238,77699,42716,71458.83
Benedictine3 - AAA5-249.51999,9972.32233,365104,48838,5216,390155.49
Liberty County2 - AAA4-147.40999,5262.09293,891100,37428,9153,926253.71
Hart County8 - AAA5-242.02998,1761.5288,85819,0222,7592793,583.23
Pace Academy5 - AAA4-341.90999,0281.30125,22023,2641,3482573,890.05
Calhoun6 - AAA6-143.10999,9941.6977,8639,9151,0122144,671.90
Jackson4 - AAA5-237.96998,9941.4491,10414,2182,1341387,245.38
Monroe Area8 - AAA6-239.05998,5021.5263,0249,2681,6051089,258.26
North Hall7 - AAA4-337.86999,8021.2134,3136,2771,0026914,491.75
Morgan County8 - AAA6-238.33999,9681.5260,6369,9317076914,491.75
Dawson County7 - AAA5-238.06979,9491.1729,9105,9359805418,517.52
Islands3 - AAA6-239.57517,2070.6523,7124,1717244024,999.00
Westside (Macon)4 - AAA4-335.47976,3891.1425,5203,2044452441,665.67
Haralson County6 - AAA6-133.22999,9591.3322,3352,177676166,665.67
Fannin County7 - AAA5-227.41983,5571.012,628201101999,999.00
Monroe1 - AAA3-524.33859,9171.2115,38974081999,999.00
Sonoraville6 - AAA4-328.24987,2491.076,50949433--
Cook1 - AAA2-620.68920,6991.219,2403333--
Beach3 - AAA2-320.41929,1041.239,6703152--
Adairsville6 - AAA3-518.62470,5990.49548271--
Cherokee Bluff7 - AAA3-520.35169,4330.1714041--
Central (Macon)4 - AAA2-621.03887,8900.912,228110---
Southeast Bulloch3 - AAA2-417.16476,8950.572,33253---
Brantley County2 - AAA4-317.97789,8550.811,06313---
Windsor Forest3 - AAA3-418.91160,7170.1732910---
Worth County1 - AAA2-610.89219,5840.242853---
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe6 - AAA3-413.75140,4380.14651---
Long County2 - AAA1-69.02210,4240.21531---
East Jackson8 - AAA3-410.367,5590.0111---
Johnson (Savannah)3 - AAA2-511.2759,1040.07121----
Stone Mountain5 - AAA2-517.0414,5150.0264----
Franklin County8 - AAA1-614.2947,8520.0544----
Pike County4 - AAA3-412.0461,8170.0630----
Jackson County8 - AAA2-518.7314,3480.0117----
Rutland4 - AAA2-64.8388,1600.097----
Murray County6 - AAA4-47.4926,4310.034----
Tattnall County2 - AAA0-74.295,1780.01-----
Lumpkin County7 - AAA1-62.946970.00-----
Towers5 - AAA1-6-10.832950.00-----
Redan5 - AAA2-58.612820.00-----
Kendrick4 - AAA1-7-3.222720.00-----
Savannah3 - AAA1-6-4.16370.00-----
East Hall7 - AAA1-77.68240.00-----
Ringgold6 - AAA0-70.89-------
Coahulla Creek6 - AAA1-6-5.74-------
Groves3 - AAA0-7-16.30-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 At large Out
1 - AAACrisp County974,05825,200543-16138
1 - AAACook23,705433,649463,345--79,301
1 - AAAWorth County1,48362,867155,234--780,416
1 - AAAMonroe754478,284380,878-1140,083
2 - AAAPierce County684,726234,68880,488917-
2 - AAAAppling County289,321653,96952,9853,68243-
2 - AAALiberty County25,901109,248811,72951,1971,451474
2 - AAABrantley County522,09346,930737,3013,479210,145
2 - AAALong County-17,841202,5793789,576
2 - AAATattnall County-1275,150-994,822
3 - AAAJenkins594,970404,96367---
3 - AAABenedictine404,981565,59528,44496893
3 - AAABeach4922,946658,325245,5502,23470,896
3 - AAAIslands--20,104462,09335,010482,793
3 - AAASoutheast Bulloch-6,484248,474174,86947,068523,105
3 - AAAWindsor Forest--13,25797,71249,748839,283
3 - AAAJohnson (Savannah)-1231,32818,7728,992940,896
3 - AAASavannah--136-999,963
3 - AAAGroves-----1,000,000
4 - AAAPeach County941,46754,2813,904348--
4 - AAAJackson46,763912,60639,000546791,006
4 - AAAWestside (Macon)11,77027,946892,80635,6118,25623,611
4 - AAACentral (Macon)-14337,206850,541-112,110
4 - AAARutland--6488,096-911,840
4 - AAAPike County-5,02427,01924,5875,187938,183
4 - AAAKendrick--1271-999,728
5 - AAACedar Grove999,84712416121-
5 - AAALovett90556,485443,1512659-
5 - AAAWestminster (Atlanta)62443,356550,6803,7651,752385
5 - AAAStone Mountain154,9198,897693985,485
5 - AAAPace Academy-291,233986,74811,018972
5 - AAATowers---295-999,705
5 - AAARedan-1118262999,718
6 - AAANorth Murray998,0601,485332123--
6 - AAACalhoun1,372706,147287,9044,4261456
6 - AAAHaralson County548291,860701,1606,07831341
6 - AAALakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe17462,79693,50144,078859,562
6 - AAASonoraville34627,807892,29686,68112,751
6 - AAAAdairsville---3,236467,363529,401
6 - AAAMurray County--134026,090973,569
6 - AAACoahulla Creek-----1,000,000
6 - AAARinggold-----1,000,000
7 - AAAGreater Atlanta Christian991,7207,512632136--
7 - AAAFannin County5,3257,471161,413778,38830,96016,443
7 - AAANorth Hall2,670609,773375,20212,14116198
7 - AAADawson County280375,138447,054127,63629,84120,051
7 - AAACherokee Bluff59915,39281,29372,644830,567
7 - AAALumpkin County-73073821999,303
7 - AAAEast Hall---24-999,976
8 - AAAJefferson888,363109,8281,809---
8 - AAAMonroe Area109,99387,487607,407180,37113,2441,498
8 - AAAMorgan County1,644541,504184,046272,30746732
8 - AAAHart County-261,100200,298501,95134,8271,824
8 - AAAFranklin County-816,06541,706-952,148
8 - AAAJackson County---78713,561985,652
8 - AAAEast Jackson--3752,8784,306992,441

Class AA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Rabun County8 - AA7-062.271,000,0004.40900,137793,518438,901278,1782.59
Dublin3 - AA7-062.571,000,0003.96886,635556,426336,539214,0323.67
Rockmart7 - AA7-059.761,000,0003.96819,791597,293388,085178,4614.60
Callaway5 - AA7-157.291,000,0003.95763,890695,267360,864144,0915.94
Hapeville Charter6 - AA5-1-159.221,000,0003.73931,370445,607234,102129,0136.75
Swainsboro2 - AA6-152.65999,2703.11689,277284,264131,89539,20524.51
Bleckley County3 - AA6-246.70999,6611.99188,110111,08728,9435,689174.78
Washington County3 - AA5-246.30943,0911.80175,64970,93419,9893,847258.94
Thomasville1 - AA4-442.00999,9812.11407,99678,39211,0392,102474.74
Brooks County1 - AA4-443.18993,7481.5476,76536,4268,4071,208826.81
Union County8 - AA7-039.331,000,0002.12244,99157,3019,2559891,010.12
Jefferson County4 - AA6-236.591,000,0002.31501,27377,96610,4698421,186.65
Fitzgerald1 - AA6-241.23997,8921.4459,27226,0915,0466271,593.90
Vidalia2 - AA6-137.85999,9311.99135,64834,6274,2304872,052.39
Pepperell7 - AA5-237.85999,8522.05286,45137,6123,3074292,330.00
Bremen5 - AA4-338.84993,1131.90122,11218,2292,4983223,104.59
Dodge County3 - AA3-538.31895,6551.40147,48621,6992,1202533,951.57
Douglass6 - AA6-133.041,000,0001.84234,83924,4222,3141377,298.27
Metter2 - AA5-232.57962,7311.6672,23010,5437654323,254.81
Elbert County8 - AA3-428.38954,5821.40111,1727,3274281566,665.67
Northeast3 - AA3-433.25158,8980.2213,2161,292877142,856.14
Heard County5 - AA3-426.84998,5601.3230,7622,2221096166,665.67
Toombs County2 - AA5-228.39547,4160.7757,9273,7312415199,999.00
South Atlanta6 - AA5-225.15999,9931.3354,8652,7501314249,999.00
Jeff Davis2 - AA6-126.70490,6520.6834,8021,9961103333,332.33
Harlem4 - AA5-326.70999,9871.3815,517805513333,332.33
Lamar County5 - AA6-122.90816,5700.959,966420161999,999.00
Screven County4 - AA5-221.44892,4000.956,937188111999,999.00
Early County1 - AA4-325.83787,2140.836,91547322--
Hephzibah4 - AA5-221.91998,1961.165,54172019--
Chattooga7 - AA3-418.49889,8330.942,7981966--
Model7 - AA3-416.30893,7940.991,779581--
B.E.S.T. Academy6 - AA2-514.99633,4900.6497155---
Banks County8 - AA3-411.25495,8450.511,26922---
Therrell6 - AA2-511.96275,8340.2825517---
Putnam County8 - AA3-48.56425,5140.447177---
Berrien1 - AA2-512.93221,1650.222135---
Temple5 - AA4-416.60154,7100.16964---
Monticello8 - AA1-66.60124,0520.131372---
Washington6 - AA2-512.5790,6780.09972---
Gordon Central7 - AA2-56.10199,8880.21401---
Southwest3 - AA2-524.112,3960.00301---
Spencer5 - AA2-515.0737,0470.04281---
Glenn Hills4 - AA2-50.9311,6860.0131---
Butler4 - AA2-53.9192,4400.0921----
Laney4 - AA2-57.473,5470.003----
Westside (Augusta)4 - AA3-48.371,7440.001----
Dade County7 - AA1-6-3.3211,6260.01-----
Coosa7 - AA1-6-6.715,0060.01-----
East Laurens3 - AA1-6-1.632990.00-----
Oglethorpe County8 - AA2-5-10.6770.00-----
McNair6 - AA0-7-23.2530.00-----
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate6 - AA2-5-3.3620.00-----
Armuchee7 - AA0-7-19.2410.00-----
Bacon County2 - AA0-8-4.43-------
Jordan5 - AA0-8-5.18-------
Bryan County2 - AA0-7-8.62-------
Josey4 - AA0-7-15.75-------
Social Circle8 - AA2-5-22.09-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAThomasville972,17317,8077,9222,07919
1 - AAEarly County15,96214,366102,524654,362212,786
1 - AABrooks County8,246530,287422,03533,1806,252
1 - AAFitzgerald3,392436,295459,28698,9192,108
1 - AABerrien2271,2458,233211,460778,835
2 - AASwainsboro837,644128,94826,2516,427730
2 - AAVidalia134,293550,618309,1615,85969
2 - AAMetter24,433309,947481,715146,63637,269
2 - AAJeff Davis3,5297,304136,399343,420509,348
2 - AAToombs County1013,18346,474497,658452,584
2 - AABacon County----1,000,000
2 - AABryan County----1,000,000
3 - AADublin922,46356,26920,428840-
3 - AAWashington County72,758201,458615,52953,34656,909
3 - AABleckley County4,716677,724214,865102,356339
3 - AANortheast6392937,818120,088841,102
3 - AADodge County-63,620109,688722,347104,345
3 - AASouthwest--1,672724997,604
3 - AAEast Laurens---299999,701
4 - AAJefferson County991,9364,9092,633522-
4 - AAHarlem8,051990,0811,58427113
4 - AAScreven County133,24137,120852,026107,600
4 - AAHephzibah-1,769958,32738,1001,804
4 - AAButler--12192,319907,560
4 - AAGlenn Hills---11,686988,314
4 - AALaney--1953,352996,453
4 - AAWestside (Augusta)--201,724998,256
4 - AAJosey----1,000,000
5 - AACallaway976,31319,5064,181--
5 - AAHeard County15,165195,744472,590315,0611,440
5 - AABremen8,518698,305228,82657,4646,887
5 - AALamar County486,445290,572439,549183,430
5 - AATemple--1,775152,935845,290
5 - AASpencer--2,05634,991962,953
5 - AAJordan----1,000,000
6 - AAHapeville Charter999,8651305--
6 - AADouglass89694,917304,92866-
6 - AASouth Atlanta46304,947694,4675337
6 - AAB.E.S.T. Academy-6541632,943366,510
6 - AATherrell--57275,777724,166
6 - AAWashington---90,678909,322
6 - AAMcNair---3999,997
6 - AAKIPP Atlanta Collegiate--2-999,998
7 - AARockmart995,3533,9187254-
7 - AAPepperell3,282938,62154,5013,448148
7 - AAModel1,3652,632755,609134,188106,206
7 - AAChattooga-54,80886,436748,589110,167
7 - AAGordon Central-15102,56797,306800,112
7 - AADade County-615311,467988,374
7 - AACoosa--94,997994,994
7 - AAArmuchee---1999,999
8 - AARabun County899,526100,474---
8 - AAUnion County100,474899,5197--
8 - AAElbert County-5788,788165,78945,418
8 - AABanks County-197,698398,146504,155
8 - AAPutnam County-188,734336,779574,486
8 - AAMonticello--24,77399,279875,948
8 - AAOglethorpe County---7999,993
8 - AASocial Circle----1,000,000

Class A Public

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Irwin County2 - A6-061.271,000,000987,416952,910737,993673,7500.48
Clinch County2 - A6-153.241,000,000951,838867,809299,208226,3523.42
Pelham1 - A7-039.631,000,000876,764593,699401,93355,80516.92
Wilcox County2 - A6-135.151,000,000772,761301,399156,26915,79262.32
Bowdon6 - A6-133.781,000,000758,501338,616155,58513,37573.77
Commerce8 - A5-233.47999,982405,440170,99458,6455,608177.32
Mitchell County1 - A6-128.251,000,000652,054209,14963,9993,625274.86
Manchester4 - A5-225.72970,946517,566155,75737,2141,601623.61
Lincoln County7 - A5-227.05999,997417,73181,23023,1761,284777.82
Marion County4 - A6-227.891,000,000303,69891,74322,6481,273784.55
Johnson County3 - A6-124.71999,335282,88693,02220,3538711,147.11
Turner County2 - A5-221.811,000,000304,29447,12810,2303382,957.58
Claxton3 - A5-220.44999,629130,78426,5094,4181238,129.08
McIntosh County Academy3 - A2-520.57820,95382,86613,3992,3387912,657.23
Emanuel County Institute3 - A4-418.13976,41456,66410,6181,5133925,640.03
Trion6 - A5-316.79999,67062,6759,9851,1373231,249.00
Washington-Wilkes7 - A4-416.91987,29937,5657,1839942835,713.29
Hancock Central7 - A4-314.95746,88245,3736,6086239111,110.11
Montgomery County3 - A5-211.23881,28529,8292,4492305199,999.00
Terrell County1 - A5-210.611,000,000200,8708,9647134249,999.00
Macon County4 - A4-311.01141,38536,5293,9743094249,999.00
Telfair County2 - A2-512.83334,18614,7891,6071361999,999.00
Atkinson County2 - A3-412.05335,46311,5231,157841999,999.00
Charlton County2 - A1-69.47229,3766,373550311999,999.00
Schley County4 - A4-312.7521,9546,24576877--
Chattahoochee County1 - A4-44.20999,99125,5101,75971--
Lanier County2 - A2-510.26334,38811,41955143--
Warren County7 - A4-36.64311,3126,32933920--
Gordon Lee6 - A2-510.4139,4521,3608910--
Miller County1 - A3-5-5.61841,7101,26423---
Seminole County1 - A3-4-9.90978,88882210---
Taylor County4 - A4-37.967,3432502---
Wilkinson County7 - A1-6-3.301,04610----
Calhoun County1 - A2-5-25.7640,9872----
Greene County7 - A1-6-4.10127-----
Mount Zion (Carroll)6 - A1-74.76------
Dooly County4 - A2-53.06------
Jenkins County3 - A2-61.09------
Greenville4 - A2-5-0.22------
Treutlen3 - A3-4-1.98------
Hawkinsville4 - A1-6-9.74------
Crawford County4 - A2-5-10.59------
Portal3 - A0-7-14.54------
Central (Talbotton)4 - A1-6-14.72------
Twiggs County7 - A0-8-18.27------
Baconton Charter1 - A2-5-25.11------
Towns County8 - A0-7-25.93------
Wheeler County3 - A1-6-28.06------
Stewart County1 - A1-6-43.68------
Randolph-Clay1 - A0-7-49.80------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team Rgn Champ 1 to 8 9 to 24 Out
1 - APelham789,541999,9946-
1 - AMitchell County210,185972,85627,144-
1 - ATerrell County274736,026263,974-
1 - AChattahoochee County-82999,9099
1 - ASeminole County-1978,88721,112
1 - AMiller County--841,710158,290
1 - ACalhoun County--40,987959,013
1 - ABaconton Charter---1,000,000
1 - AStewart County---1,000,000
1 - ARandolph-Clay---1,000,000
2 - AIrwin County978,749999,9991-
2 - AWilcox County17,733761,337238,663-
2 - AClinch County3,361999,9982-
2 - ATurner County157201,001798,999-
2 - AAtkinson County-21335,442664,537
2 - ALanier County--334,388665,612
2 - ATelfair County--334,186665,814
2 - ACharlton County--229,376770,624
3 - AJohnson County244,963244,963754,372665
3 - AClaxton13,09419,509980,120371
3 - AMontgomery County9,1749,177872,108118,715
3 - AEmanuel County Institute8,8968,896967,51823,586
3 - AMcIntosh County Academy--820,953179,047
3 - AJenkins County---1,000,000
3 - ATreutlen---1,000,000
3 - APortal---1,000,000
3 - AWheeler County---1,000,000
4 - AManchester787,444787,444183,50229,054
4 - AMacon County141,019141,019366858,615
4 - AMarion County50,37650,381949,619-
4 - ASchley County21,16121,161793978,046
4 - ATaylor County--7,343992,657
4 - ADooly County---1,000,000
4 - AGreenville---1,000,000
4 - AHawkinsville---1,000,000
4 - ACentral (Talbotton)---1,000,000
4 - ACrawford County---1,000,000
6 - ABowdon27,610933,26466,736-
6 - ATrion--999,670330
6 - AGordon Lee--39,452960,548
6 - AMount Zion (Carroll)---1,000,000
7 - ALincoln County47,81585,249914,7483
7 - AHancock Central27,42727,427719,455253,118
7 - AWarren County6868311,244688,688
7 - AWashington-Wilkes99987,29012,701
7 - AWilkinson County--1,046998,954
7 - AGreene County--127999,873
7 - ATwiggs County---1,000,000
8 - ACommerce-118999,86418
8 - ATowns County---1,000,000

Class A Private

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Holy Innocents5 - A7-065.271,000,000967,756878,526707,386468,4081.13
Eagle's Landing Christian5 - A6-164.651,000,000957,860832,180585,736360,3541.78
Athens Academy8 - A7-056.511,000,000893,045561,281346,046118,9637.41
Darlington6 - A7-046.411,000,000778,953412,872128,10021,62845.24
Wesleyan5 - A5-245.491,000,000717,171258,63274,89912,50678.96
Fellowship Christian6 - A7-042.581,000,000588,314182,70644,4486,198160.34
Hebron Christian8 - A5-242.141,000,000407,736175,05031,7564,327230.11
Prince Avenue Christian8 - A5-240.851,000,000326,863141,96822,1892,826352.86
Christian Heritage6 - A6-138.611,000,000412,97787,04118,1081,880530.91
Savannah Christian3 - A4-236.31999,733347,051162,27516,6471,519657.33
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)5 - A6-134.911,000,000273,81558,5117,9186011,662.89
Savannah Country Day3 - A7-031.031,000,000279,49553,3014,7072224,503.50
Mount de Sales7 - A7-029.47999,999227,88249,5363,0101636,133.97
Whitefield Academy6 - A6-131.621,000,000154,24227,2272,5521436,992.01
North Cobb Christian6 - A6-130.091,000,000120,00524,4701,8299310,751.69
Aquinas7 - A6-127.551,000,000220,92943,2222,2759011,110.11
George Walton Academy8 - A5-229.03991,84974,77114,4048573925,640.03
Mount Vernon Presbyterian5 - A3-427.94999,14943,6877,1704421471,427.57
Brookstone4 - A5-225.63995,22554,69810,1003711283,332.33
Calvary Day3 - A4-323.631,000,00038,3225,6872497142,856.14
First Presbyterian7 - A4-323.28891,67073,83310,5003695199,999.00
St. Francis6 - A4-321.70970,75225,9182,677922499,999.00
Stratford Academy7 - A2-518.49682,1346,4222248--
Walker6 - A4-315.69858,6555,7803606--
Mount Paran Christian6 - A3-317.10256,5451,93672---
Tattnall Square7 - A3-49.3792,5841594---
Riverside Military Academy8 - A4-37.79171,6592722---
Athens Christian8 - A2-59.6330,083612---
Strong Rock Christian5 - A2-55.7450,22742----
Mount Pisgah Christian6 - A2-56.114,3963----
Landmark Christian5 - A2-5-0.185,3402----
Pacelli4 - A5-36.46------
Lakeview Academy8 - A1-51.99------
Pinecrest Academy6 - A0-7-3.98------
King's Ridge Christian6 - A1-6-11.79------
Providence Christian8 - A2-5-18.69------
Georgia Military College7 - A2-6-21.23------
Our Lady of Mercy5 - A0-7-21.94------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team Rgn Champ 1 to 8 9 to 24 Out
3 - ASavannah Christian443,895443,895555,838267
3 - ASavannah Country Day279,978403,877596,123-
3 - ACalvary Day-5999,995-
4 - ABrookstone--995,2254,775
4 - APacelli---1,000,000
5 - AHoly Innocents987,607999,94555-
5 - AEagle's Landing Christian12,047999,9973-
5 - ATrinity Christian (Sharpsburg)346259,282740,718-
5 - AWesleyan-808,554191,446-
5 - AMount Vernon Presbyterian--999,149851
5 - AStrong Rock Christian--50,227949,773
5 - ALandmark Christian--5,340994,660
5 - AOur Lady of Mercy---1,000,000
6 - ADarlington535,373961,09438,906-
6 - AFellowship Christian330,974514,083485,917-
6 - AChristian Heritage47,228435,666564,334-
6 - AWhitefield Academy44,60763,335936,665-
6 - ANorth Cobb Christian14,20832,723967,277-
6 - ASt. Francis--970,75229,248
6 - AWalker--858,655141,345
6 - AMount Paran Christian--256,545743,455
6 - AMount Pisgah Christian--4,396995,604
6 - AKing's Ridge Christian---1,000,000
6 - APinecrest Academy---1,000,000
7 - AMount de Sales392,362392,362607,6371
7 - AAquinas358,029361,538638,462-
7 - AFirst Presbyterian174,290174,290717,380108,330
7 - AStratford Academy--682,134317,866
7 - ATattnall Square--92,584907,416
7 - AGeorgia Military College---1,000,000
8 - AAthens Academy791,431932,12667,874-
8 - AHebron Christian208,553216,604783,396-
8 - ARiverside Military Academy1616171,643828,341
8 - APrince Avenue Christian-608999,392-
8 - AGeorge Walton Academy--991,8498,151
8 - AAthens Christian--30,083969,917
8 - AProvidence Christian---1,000,000
8 - ALakeview Academy---1,000,000

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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