Maxwell First Round projections

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50 percent of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Nov 8

Game Rate	Class	Team	Pct	Proj	Team	Class
43.03	AAAA	Troup	91.5%	24	Oconee County	AAAA

Nov 9

Game Rate	Class	Team	Pct	Proj	Team	Class
71.61	AAAAAAA	Camden County	55.1%	2	Walton	AAAAAAA
71.48	AAAAAAA	Tift County	58.8%	4	Roswell	AAAAAAA
63.09	AAAAAAA	Westlake	60.6%	5	North Paulding	AAAAAAA
59.08	AAAAA	Stockbridge	75.3%	11	Veterans	AAAAA
57.48	AAAAA	Jones County	71.6%	9	Bainbridge	AAAAA
56.95	AAAAAAA	Mill Creek	71.7%	10	Brookwood	AAAAAAA
55.49	AAAAAA	Harrison	54.4%	2	Johns Creek	AAAAAA
54.62	AAAAAAA	Norcross	64.1%	6	Mountain View	AAAAAAA
52.54	AAAAAAA	McEachern	90.0%	22	Newnan	AAAAAAA
51.72	AAAA	St. Pius X	84.0%	17	Cedartown	AAAA
50.00	AAA	Monroe Area	81.1%	15	Pace Academy	AAA
49.38	AAAAAAA	Marietta	93.7%	27	East Coweta	AAAAAAA
49.32	AAAA	Flowery Branch	60.2%	4	Ridgeland	AAAA
49.16	AAAAA	East Paulding	52.3%	1	Banneker	AAAAA
48.86	AAAAAA	Allatoona	75.8%	12	Centennial	AAAAAA
48.68	AAAA	Howard	52.3%	1	Burke County	AAAA
48.62	AAAAA	Warner Robins	96.0%	31	Locust Grove	AAAAA
48.10	AAAA	Sandy Creek	65.0%	6	North Oconee	AAAA
48.08	AAAAAAA	Lowndes	94.7%	28	Cherokee	AAAAAAA
47.51	AAAAAAA	Grayson	98.3%	37	South Forsyth	AAAAAAA
47.37	AAAA	Baldwin	58.8%	4	Perry	AAAA
46.93	AAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	60.3%	4	Jefferson	AAA
46.14	AA	Washington County	72.0%	10	Vidalia	AA
45.70	AAAAAA	Coffee	74.2%	11	Stephenson	AAAAAA
45.09	AAAAAAA	Colquitt County	99.8%	41	Etowah	AAAAAAA
43.83	AAAAAAA	Parkview	98.5%	38	Collins Hill	AAAAAAA
43.82	AAAAAAA	Hillgrove	98.0%	36	Pebblebrook	AAAAAAA
42.16	AAAAA	Carrollton	82.5%	16	Riverwood	AAAAA
42.08	AAAAAA	Lanier	52.3%	1	Mays	AAAAAA
41.05	AAAAAAA	Archer	96.9%	33	Forsyth Central	AAAAAAA
40.95	AAAAAAA	West Forsyth	86.8%	19	Newton	AAAAAAA
40.78	AAAAA	Dutchtown	97.6%	35	Harris County	AAAAA
40.61	AAAAAAA	North Gwinnett	97.1%	33	Central Gwinnett	AAAAAAA
39.96	AAAA	Upson-Lee	86.6%	19	Thomson	AAAA
39.87	AAAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	91.2%	23	Tucker	AAAAAA
39.45	AA	Bremen	71.7%	9	Union County	AA
38.98	AA	Jefferson County	50.8%	1	Early County	AA
38.79	AAAAAA	Douglas County	73.4%	10	Habersham Central	AAAAAA
38.63	AAAA	Cartersville	97.6%	35	Stephens County	AAAA
38.40	AAAAAA	Dacula	83.9%	17	Northgate	AAAAAA
38.33	AAAAA	Griffin	60.2%	4	Statesboro	AAAAA
37.71	AAAAAA	Sequoyah	91.1%	23	Alpharetta	AAAAAA
37.28	AAAAAAA	Milton	97.1%	33	South Gwinnett	AAAAAAA
36.75	AAAA	Mary Persons	99.1%	40	Richmond Academy	AAAA
35.86	AAAAA	Southwest DeKalb	69.6%	9	Loganville	AAAAA
35.05	AAA	North Hall	78.1%	13	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	AAA
34.98	AAAAAA	Bradwell Institute	60.0%	4	Grovetown	AAAAAA
33.87	AA	Callaway	87.2%	19	Elbert County	AA
32.69	AAA	Liberty County	69.0%	8	Southeast Bulloch	AAA
32.65	AAA	Dawson County	89.6%	21	Haralson County	AAA
32.37	AAAA	Pickens	91.6%	24	White County	AAAA
31.98	AAAAA	Starr's Mill	73.1%	10	New Hampstead	AAAAA
31.92	AAAA	Carver (Columbus)	82.6%	16	Woodward Academy	AAAA
31.79	AAAA	Columbus	57.7%	3	Salem	AAAA
31.70	AA	Chattooga	64.1%	6	Washington	AA
31.53	AAAAAA	Creekside	85.0%	17	Gainesville	AAAAAA
30.61	AAAAAA	Creekview	97.3%	34	Pope	AAAAAA
30.50	AAAAAA	Richmond Hill	74.9%	11	Greenbrier	AAAAAA
30.49	A	Hebron Christian Academy	57.7%	3	Mount Paran Christian	A
29.73	AA	Swainsboro	86.9%	19	Northeast	AA
29.70	AA	Thomasville	89.9%	22	Hephzibah	AA
29.66	AAAA	Eastside	86.7%	19	Hardaway	AAAA
29.60	AAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	94.2%	28	North Murray	AAA
29.30	AAAAAA	Valdosta	97.3%	34	Lovejoy	AAAAAA
28.83	AAA	Lovett	89.1%	21	Morgan County	AAA
28.46	AA	Douglass	75.8%	12	Pepperell	AA
28.31	AAAAAA	Glynn Academy	91.3%	23	Evans	AAAAAA
27.50	AAA	Crisp County	93.5%	26	Pike County	AAA
27.35	AAAAAA	Effingham County	81.8%	15	Lakeside (Evans)	AAAAAA
27.31	A	Trion	56.6%	3	Wilcox County	A
27.02	AAAAA	Ware County	93.8%	27	Riverdale	AAAAA
27.02	AAA	Peach County	98.4%	37	Ringgold	AAA
26.37	AAA	Appling County	87.4%	19	Jenkins	AAA
25.78	AAA	Westside (Macon)	91.7%	24	Cook	AAA
25.73	AAAAA	Rome	99.7%	41	Maynard Jackson	AAAAA
25.31	AAAAA	Kell	97.1%	33	Carver (Atlanta)	AAAAA
25.23	AA	Dodge County	97.0%	33	Jeff Davis	AA
24.71	AAAAA	Wayne County	97.1%	33	Jonesboro	AAAAA
24.43	AAA	Cedar Grove	99.2%	40	Hart County	AAA
24.15	AAAA	Marist	98.2%	37	Heritage (Ringgold)	AAAA
23.74	AAAAAA	Lee County	99.9%	41	Mundy's Mill	AAAAAA
23.20	A	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	60.5%	5	Whitefield Academy	A
23.17	A	George Walton Academy	89.2%	21	Riverside Military Academy	A
23.12	AA	Fitzgerald	96.7%	32	Harlem	AA
21.64	AAAA	Blessed Trinity	99.5%	41	Northwest Whitfield	AAAA
20.85	AAA	Pierce County	95.5%	30	Windsor Forest	AAA
20.24	AAA	Jackson	90.3%	22	Monroe	AAA
20.12	AA	Dublin	98.9%	39	Toombs County	AA
19.73	AA	Rabun County	95.8%	31	Spencer	AA
19.55	A	Mount de Sales	63.9%	6	Holy Innocents	A
19.47	A	Emanuel County Institute	69.9%	9	Manchester	A
18.74	AA	Brooks County	98.2%	37	Screven County	AA
18.44	AAAAA	Cedar Shoals	93.8%	27	Lithonia	AAAAA
18.28	AA	Hapeville Charter	98.2%	37	Coosa	AA
17.65	A	Christian Heritage	80.8%	15	Brookstone	A
16.38	A	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	79.1%	13	Savannah Country Day	A
16.32	AA	Rockmart	99.4%	40	South Atlanta	AA
16.20	A	Macon County	50.4%	1	Chattahoochee County	A
15.91	A	Wesleyan	84.4%	17	Tattnall Square	A
15.49	A	Charlton County	91.5%	24	Taylor County	A
15.41	AAAA	Cairo	97.1%	34	Henry County	AAAA
15.14	A	Claxton	53.5%	2	Montgomery County	A
14.24	A	Dooly County	78.2%	13	Hancock Central	A
13.82	AA	Heard County	97.8%	35	Monticello	AA
12.69	A	Aquinas	68.5%	8	Stratford Academy	A
11.57	A	Turner County	86.7%	19	Miller County	A
10.95	AAAAA	Buford	99.6%	41	Miller Grove	AAAAA
10.12	AAA	Benedictine	98.6%	38	Tattnall County	AAA
8.64	AAA	Calhoun	99.7%	41	Fannin County	AAA
-2.19	A	Commerce	98.2%	37	Seminole County	A

Nov 10

Game Rate	Class	Team	Pct	Proj	Team	Class
32.37	AAAAA	Clarke Central	77.0%	12	Arabia Mountain	AAAAA

Alerts

Maxwell First Round projections

Nov 8

Nov 9

Nov 10

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