There are 240 playoff berths available, and 203 are locked up, according to computations of the computer Maxwell Ratings. There are 37 berths up for grabs, and 81 teams are vying for them. Here are Maxwell's estimate of each team's odds entering this week's games. First, a few notes. Classes AAAAAAA and AAA award at-large playoff berths because they each have a four-team region with only three guaranteed playoff berths. Maxwell expects Camden County to get that berth in the highest class and Ringgold or North Murray to get it in AAA, but none is a lock. Also, Class A playoff berths are determined by GHSA power ratings that don't consider regional alignment. So the odds of Class A teams are lumped together.
1-AAAAAAA
99.37% - Camden County
2-AAAAAAA
66.78% - Wheeler
33.22% - Pebblebrook
3-AAAAAAA
0.63% - North Cobb
6-AAAAAAA
99.08% - Mountain View
0.92% - Duluth
8-AAAAAAA
99.48% - Newton
98.41% - South Gwinnett
2.11% - Rockdale County
1-AAAAAA
98.42% - Northside (W.R.)
1.58% - Houston County
3-AAAAAAA
55.14% - Lakeside (Evans)
44.86% - Heritage (Conyers)
4-AAAAAAA
78.05% - Mundy's Mill
21.95% - Drew
7-AAAAAAA
82.69% - Alpharetta
15.76% - Cambridge
1.55% - Northview
8-AAAAAAA
94.55% - Habersham Central
81.52% - Gainesville
23.93% - Apalachee
5-AAAAA
91.58% - Miller Grove
8.42% - Columbia
6-AAAAA
84.65% - Carver (Atlanta)
15.35% - Decatur
7-AAAAA
83.46% - East Paulding
16.54% - Villa Rica
8-AAAAA
80.82% - Loganville
18.55% - Walnut Grove
0.63% - Johnson (Gainesville)
1-AAAA
77.63% - Columbus
69.80% - Westover
32.67% - Northside (Columbus)
16.66% - Hardaway
3.23% - Americus-Sumter
2-AAAA
55.93% - West Laurens
44.07% - Perry
4-AAAA
99.89% - Henry County
0.11% - Hampton
5-AAAA
58.27% - Chapel Hill
41.73% - Cedartown
7-AAAA
85.60% - White County
14.40% - Denmark
8-AAAA
96.48% - Oconee County
3.52% - Madison County
1-AAA
88.16% - Cook
11.84% - Worth County
3-AAA
95.03% - Windsor Forest
5.95% - Islands
2.29% - Beach
4-AAA
99.16% - Pike County
0.86% - Central (Macon)
0.01% - Kendrick
6-AAA
94.92% - Ringgold
90.95% - North Murray
10.80% - Sonoraville
8-AAA
0.04% - Franklin County
2-AA
47.48% - Metter
52.35% - Jeff Davis
0.17% - Bacon County
5-AA
98.31% - Spencer
0.10% - Lamar County
1.59% - Jordan
6-AA
99.95% - South Atlanta
0.05% - B.E.S.T. Academy
7-AA
71.43% - Coosa
28.57% - Gordon Central
8-AA
91.91% - Monticello
8.09% - Banks County
Class A
Private
99.52% - Holy Innocents'
78.79% - Stratford Academy
11.55% - Strong Rock Christian
9.91% - Pinecrest Academy
0.23% - St. Francis
Public
98.62% - Terrell County
95.30% - Wilcox County
41.84% - Jenkins County
33.95% - Atkinson County
17.78% - Manchester
12.17% - Telfair County
0.33% - Taylor County
Produced by Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.
About the Author