List: Playoff odds for teams still in contention

ajc.com

There are 240 playoff berths available, and 203 are locked up, according to computations of the computer Maxwell Ratings. There are 37 berths up for grabs, and 81 teams are vying for them. Here are Maxwell's estimate of each team's odds entering this week's games. First, a few notes. Classes AAAAAAA and AAA award at-large playoff berths because they each have a four-team region with only three guaranteed playoff berths. Maxwell expects Camden County to get that berth in the highest class and Ringgold or North Murray to get it in AAA, but none is a lock. Also, Class A playoff berths are determined by GHSA power ratings that don't consider regional alignment. So the odds of Class A teams are lumped together.

1-AAAAAAA

99.37% - Camden County

2-AAAAAAA

66.78% - Wheeler

33.22% - Pebblebrook

3-AAAAAAA

0.63% - North Cobb

6-AAAAAAA

99.08% - Mountain View

0.92% - Duluth

8-AAAAAAA

99.48% - Newton

98.41% - South Gwinnett

2.11% - Rockdale County

1-AAAAAA

98.42% - Northside (W.R.)

1.58% - Houston County

3-AAAAAAA

55.14% - Lakeside (Evans)

44.86% - Heritage (Conyers)

4-AAAAAAA

78.05% - Mundy's Mill

21.95% - Drew

7-AAAAAAA

82.69% - Alpharetta

15.76% - Cambridge

1.55% - Northview

8-AAAAAAA

94.55% - Habersham Central

81.52% - Gainesville

23.93% - Apalachee

5-AAAAA

91.58% - Miller Grove

8.42% - Columbia

6-AAAAA

84.65% - Carver (Atlanta)

15.35% - Decatur

7-AAAAA

83.46% - East Paulding

16.54% - Villa Rica

8-AAAAA

80.82% - Loganville

18.55% - Walnut Grove

0.63% - Johnson (Gainesville)

1-AAAA

77.63% - Columbus

69.80% - Westover

32.67% - Northside (Columbus)

16.66% - Hardaway

3.23% - Americus-Sumter

2-AAAA

55.93% - West Laurens

44.07% - Perry

4-AAAA

99.89% - Henry County

0.11% - Hampton

5-AAAA

58.27% - Chapel Hill

41.73% - Cedartown

7-AAAA

85.60% - White County

14.40% - Denmark

8-AAAA

96.48% - Oconee County

3.52% - Madison County

1-AAA

88.16% - Cook

11.84% - Worth County

3-AAA

95.03% - Windsor Forest

5.95% - Islands

2.29% - Beach

4-AAA

99.16% - Pike County

0.86% - Central (Macon)

0.01% - Kendrick

6-AAA

94.92% - Ringgold

90.95% - North Murray

10.80% - Sonoraville

8-AAA

0.04% - Franklin County

2-AA

47.48% - Metter

52.35% - Jeff Davis

0.17% - Bacon County

5-AA

98.31% - Spencer

0.10% - Lamar County

1.59% - Jordan

6-AA

99.95% - South Atlanta

0.05% - B.E.S.T. Academy

7-AA

71.43% - Coosa

28.57% - Gordon Central

8-AA

91.91% - Monticello

8.09% - Banks County

Class A

Private

99.52% - Holy Innocents'

78.79% - Stratford Academy

11.55% - Strong Rock Christian

9.91% - Pinecrest Academy

0.23% - St. Francis

Public

98.62% - Terrell County

95.30% - Wilcox County

41.84% - Jenkins County

33.95% - Atkinson County

17.78% - Manchester

12.17% - Telfair County

0.33% - Taylor County

Produced by Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.