List: Odds of reaching quarterfinals for teams that actually got there

North Cobb Christian has won its first playoff game and reached the quarterfinals for the first time. The odds of the Eagles making the quarterfinals this season were two-in-a-million, according to the preseason Maxwell Ratings. Those odds were based on history, with the 2017 season given the most weight. North Cobb Christian had never made the playoffs and was 0-10 just two seasons ago. Each team's region and possible playoff draw also were considered in the computer math model. Maxwell then ran 1 million full-season simulations in preseason, and here are the number of times each of the current quarterfinal teams made the elite eight.
Class AAAAAAA
141,146 - Milton
258,346 - Hillgrove
364,244 - Tift County
585,357 - Archer
628,073 - North Gwinnett
706,859 - Lowndes
822,809 - Colquitt County
841,044 - Grayson
Class AAAAAA
87,548 - Sequoyah
94,557 - Lanier
106,475 - Creekview
314,456 - Dacula
510,334 - Northside (W.R.)
518,389 - Valdosta
545,356 - Coffee
690,900 - Lee County
Class AAAAA
90,325 - Clarke Central
126,390 - Dutchtown
266,981 - Bainbridge
371,092 - Carrollton
575,162 - Warner Robins
832,855 - Stockbridge
891,472 - Buford
956,903 - Rome
Class AAAA
69,547 - Baldwin
120,885 - Eastside
179,682 - Troup
423,240 - Cairo
753,307 - Marist
764,607 - Mary Persons
800,982 - Blessed Trinity
952,485 - Cartersville
Class AAA
17,255 - Monroe Area
156,550 - Pierce County
161,765 - Jenkins
296,712 - Westminster
744,347 - Cedar Grove
779,427 - Calhoun
826,049 - Peach County
942,371 - Benedictine
Class AA
60,019 - Dublin
100,215 - Washington County
292,488 - Rockmart
381,109 - Jefferson County
494,608 - Heard County
575,852 - Callaway
683,778 - Fitzgerald
907,741 - Rabun County
Class A (private)
2 - North Cobb Christian
36,759 - Fellowship Christian
57,621 - Savannah Christian
179,634 - Darlington
324,219 - Calvary Day
396,652 - Athens Academy
462,112 - Prince Ave. Christian
949,773 - ELCA
Class A (public)
372 - Greene County
2,095 - Schley County
57,923 - Marion County
70,689 - Pelham
171,453 - Commerce
266,656 - Mount Zion (Carroll)
563,919 - Irwin County
676,199 - Clinch County
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