Mike Check: Falcons 2-to-1 underdogs to make playoffs

The Falcons have a lot riding on Julio Jones' surgically-repaired right foot. (AP Photo/David J. Phillip)
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The Falcons have a lot riding on Julio Jones' surgically-repaired right foot. (AP Photo/David J. Phillip)

Credit: David J. Phillip

Credit: David J. Phillip

Their best player is playing on a foot that's been repaired with an experimental surgery. Their starting left tackle is on injured reserve. Their new starting left tackle is a rookie. Their starting right tackle was among the worst tackles in the league last season. And some of the same problems from their 4-12 finish in 2013 have surfaced during their 2014 exhibition games.

Those are reasons to be pessimistic about the Falcons, but you’d think those who are optimistic about their chances could get a nice payday for their faith. But according to bovada.lv, a bet in favor of the Falcons making the playoffs pays just 2-to-1 while a bet against the Falcons making the postseason pays 5-to-13.

That essentially means bovada.lv pegs the Falcons as a fringe playoff team and expects the betting public will agree. The over-under for Falcons wins on the season is 8.5 with the over paying slightly better than even and the under paying about 2-to-3. That comes out to about a 40 percent probability on the over and a 60 percent probability on the under.

According to bovada.lv, the Falcons are tied for the eighth betting choice in the NFC, tied for second with Carolina in the NFC South and are 40-to-1 to win the Super Bowl.

For entertainment purposes only: Put me down for the under on season wins but 5-to-13 is too much to give against making the playoffs.

Here are the full playoff odds, courtesy of bovada.lv:

Playoff Odds (in order of most likely to least likely to make the playoffs)

Will the Denver Broncos make the playoffs?   

Yes                  -500     (1/5)

No                    +350     (7?2)

Will the New England Patriots make the playoffs?

Yes                  -500     (1/5)

No                    +350     (7/2)

Will the Seattle Seahawks make the playoffs? 

Yes                  -325     (4/13)

No                    +250     (5/2)

Will the Green Bay Packers make the playoffs?           

Yes                  -220     (5/11)

No                    +180     (9/5)

Will the San Francisco 49ers make the playoffs?

Yes                  -220     (5/11)

No                    +180     (9/5)

Will the Indianapolis Colts make the playoffs?

Yes                  -220     (5/11)

No                    +180     (9/5)

Will the New Orleans Saints make the playoffs?          

Yes                  -200     (1/2)

No                    +160     (8/5)

Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the playoffs?         

Yes                  -150     (2/3)

No                    +120     (6/5)

Will the Cincinnati Bengals make the playoffs?           

Yes                  +110     (11/10)

No                    -140     (5/7)

Will the Pittsburgh Steelers make the playoffs?

Yes                  +110     (11/10)

No                    -140     (5/7)

Will the Baltimore Ravens make the playoffs? 

Yes                  +150     (3/2)

No                    -180     (5/9)

Will the Chicago Bears make the playoffs?

Yes                  +150     (3/2)

No                    -180     (5/9)

Will the Detroit Lions make the playoffs?        

Yes                  +180     (9/5)

No                    -220     (5/11)

Will the San Diego Chargers make the playoffs?         

Yes                  +180     (9/5)

No                    -220     (5/11)

Will the Atlanta Falcons make the playoffs?    

Yes                  +200     (2/1)

No                    -260     (5/13)

Will the Carolina Panthers make the playoffs?

Yes                  +200     (2/1)

No                    -260     (5/13)

Will the Houston Texans make the playoffs?   

Yes                  +200     (2/1)

No                    -260     (5/13)

Will the New York Giants make the playoffs?

Yes                  +200     (2/1)

No                    -260     (5/13)

Will the Washington Redskins make the playoffs?

Yes                  +225     (9/4)

No                    -280     (5/14)

Will the Dallas Cowboys make the playoffs?   

Yes                  +240     (12/5)

No                    -300     (1/3)

Will the Arizona Cardinals make the playoffs?

Yes                  +275     (11/4)

No                    -350     (2/7)

Will the Kansas City Chiefs make the playoffs?           

Yes                  +275     (11/4)

No                    -350     (2/7)

Will the Miami Dolphins make the playoffs?    

Yes                  +275     (11/4)

No                    -350     (2/7

Will the Tennessee Titans make the playoffs? 

Yes                  +300     (3/1)

No                    -400     (1/4)

Will the St. Louis Rams make the playoffs?    

Yes                  +300     (3/1)

No                    -400     (1/4)

Will the New York Jets make the playoffs?      

Yes                  +350     (7/2)

No                    -500     (1/5)

Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the playoffs?

Yes                  +350     (7/2)

No                    -500     (1/5)

Will the Buffalo Bills make the playoffs?         

Yes                  +400     (4/1)

No                    -600     (1/6)

Will the Cleveland Browns make the playoffs?

Yes                  +400     (4/1)

No                    -600     (1/6)

Will the Minnesota Vikings make the playoffs?

Yes                  +400     (4/1)

No                    -600     (1/6)

Will the Oakland Raiders make the playoffs?

Yes                  +700     (7/1)

No                    -1400    (1/14)

Will the Jacksonville Jaguars make the playoffs?        

Yes                  +800     (8/1)

No                    -1600    (1/16)

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