High schools

Maxwell Week 5 summary

McEachern running back Mekhi Crawley (21) is brought down by HillgroveÕs Jawon Garner (7) just yards from the end zone in the second half of their game at Hillgrove High School Friday, September 25, 2020. PHOTO/Daniel Varnado

By Loren Maxwell

Oct 5, 2020

The Maxwell Ratings will rank the 444 teams of the Georgia High School Association and the Georgia Independent School Association throughout the 2020 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.

This offseason, the Maxwell ratings underwent its most significant overall in its 35-year history. The ratings are not only more accurate, but also now offer offense and defense ratings for each team.

AJC football rankings: Cherokee enters football rankings for first time since ’07

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season’s games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season’s results in combination with each team’s historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team’s historical performance diminishes as the team’s season progresses.

The ratings are scaled so that there is a 50% chance in any given year of at least one team eclipsing a rating of 100.00.

A hypothetical score at a neutral location can be calculated between two teams by adding their offensive and defensive ratings. To account for home advantage, adjust the hypothetical scores in favor of the home team by half of the home advantage.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 713 of 753 total games including 0 tie(s) (94.69%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game scores within 9.58 points and all game margins within 12.38 points.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Home Advantage: 1.80

By Class

AAAAAAA				AAAAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Colquitt County	3-0	105.69	1	Valdosta	2-1	94.17
2	Grayson	4-0	103.90	2	Buford	2-1	86.05
3	Lowndes	4-0	101.60	3	Lee County	3-1	83.81
4	Norcross	4-0	94.85	4	Richmond Hill	3-1	83.72
5	Brookwood	4-0	89.58	5	Lovejoy	5-0	80.49
6	Collins Hill	4-1	87.47	6	Dacula	1-2	80.18
7	North Cobb	4-0	87.35	7	Allatoona	3-0	80.09
8	Archer	1-3	86.67	8	Carrollton	1-1	78.53
9	Hillgrove	2-1	86.53	9	Douglas County	4-0	77.55
10	North Gwinnett	3-2	85.72	10	Rome	2-2	77.02
11	Mill Creek	2-1	85.70	11	Lanier	3-0	76.03
12	Cherokee	5-0	84.83	12	Westlake	2-1	75.84
13	Parkview	3-1	83.41	13	Houston County	3-2	75.73
14	Roswell	3-0	83.20	14	Northside (Warner Robins)	2-3	74.25
15	Milton	2-1	82.97	15	Kell	1-2	73.53

AAAAA				AAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Warner Robins	3-1	96.56	1	Marist	3-0	85.54
2	Blessed Trinity	2-0	89.61	2	Jefferson	4-0	83.81
3	Ware County	4-0	87.28	3	Benedictine	5-0	79.71
4	Veterans	4-0	84.79	4	Bainbridge	1-3	74.11
5	Cartersville	4-1	84.15	5	Flowery Branch	3-1	71.43
6	Calhoun	4-1	81.63	6	Cedartown	2-2	71.02
7	Coffee	3-1	79.87	7	Stephenson	1-0	69.62
8	Jones County	1-3	72.93	8	Hapeville Charter	0-2	69.10
9	Starr's Mill	3-1	71.89	9	Carver (Columbus)	3-0	66.66
10	Ola	4-0	71.16	10	West Laurens	1-2	66.29
11	St. Pius X	2-1	71.10	11	Jenkins	0-1	64.31
12	Wayne County	2-3	70.45	12	Cairo	0-3	63.62
13	Dutchtown	1-3	68.41	13	Mays	2-2	62.67
14	Harris County	3-1	68.35	14	Baldwin	0-0	62.58
15	Clarke Central	2-2	67.75	15	Hardaway	2-1	61.61

AAA				AA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Cedar Grove	1-0	88.43	1	Callaway	3-0	74.74
2	Oconee County	4-0	82.00	2	Fitzgerald	4-0	74.35
3	Crisp County	3-0	80.19	3	Rabun County	3-1	72.42
4	Greater Atlanta Christian	3-0	78.43	4	Thomasville	2-3	69.30
5	Pierce County	4-0	77.91	5	Lovett	3-1	67.63
6	Peach County	2-1	77.88	6	Pace Academy	2-1	63.66
7	Westminster (Atlanta)	2-0	73.60	7	Bleckley County	3-1	62.87
8	White County	4-0	72.68	8	Heard County	4-1	60.88
9	Rockmart	3-1	72.22	9	Haralson County	4-0	60.72
10	Appling County	3-0	70.85	10	Washington County	2-2	60.36
11	Sandy Creek	1-2	70.18	11	Dodge County	1-2	60.09
12	Thomson	3-1	67.34	12	Cook	2-2	59.23
13	Burke County	0-2	67.33	13	Early County	3-0	58.61
14	Stephens County	4-1	64.75	14	Jefferson County	1-2	57.90
15	Liberty County	2-0	63.29	15	Toombs County	3-1	57.72

A Public				A Private
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Brooks County	4-0	72.60	1	Prince Avenue Christian	4-1	72.19
2	Irwin County	2-2	71.05	2	Athens Academy	4-0	72.09
3	Clinch County	1-1	69.44	3	Eagle's Landing Christian	2-3	71.69
4	Dublin	1-1	68.83	4	Fellowship Christian	4-0	69.71
5	Metter	4-0	64.90	5	Wesleyan	4-1	63.85
6	Commerce	3-1	59.26	6	North Cobb Christian	4-1	61.55
7	Macon County	3-0	58.47	7	Christian Heritage	3-1	59.56
8	Pelham	1-1	58.41	8	Holy Innocents	1-3	58.83
9	Wilcox County	3-1	54.49	9	Darlington	3-1	58.70
10	Turner County	3-1	54.15	10	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	4-1	58.41
11	Marion County	2-2	53.35	11	Savannah Christian	4-1	58.11
12	Mitchell County	0-3	53.00	12	Hebron Christian	2-1	56.60
13	Washington-Wilkes	3-0	52.29	13	Aquinas	5-0	54.63
14	Emanuel County Institute	1-2	49.45	14	Calvary Day	3-2	54.09
15	McIntosh County Academy	2-2	47.96	15	Whitefield Academy	2-2	52.37

GISA AAA				GISA AA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	John Milledge Academy	3-0	61.56	1	Gatewood School	3-0	42.67
2	Bulloch Academy	2-1	44.37	2	Brentwood School	3-1	39.63
3	Tiftarea Academy	3-1	43.69	3	Piedmont Academy	4-0	32.37
4	Frederica Academy	2-2	42.13	4	Southwest Georgia Academy	3-1	27.05
5	Valwood School	2-2	37.20	5	Thomas Jefferson	4-1	25.99

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

Rank	Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Offense	Defense
1 [1]	Colquitt County	1 - AAAAAAA	3-0	105.69	35.61	-19.18
2 [2]	Grayson	4 - AAAAAAA	4-0	103.90	37.57	-15.44
3 [3]	Lowndes	1 - AAAAAAA	4-0	101.60	39.66	-11.04
4 [1]	Warner Robins	1 - AAAAA	3-1	96.56	35.84	-9.83
5 [4]	Norcross	7 - AAAAAAA	4-0	94.85	32.97	-10.99
6 [1]	Valdosta	1 - AAAAAA	2-1	94.17	33.69	-9.58
7 [2]	Blessed Trinity	7 - AAAAA	2-0	89.61	31.61	-7.10
8 [5]	Brookwood	4 - AAAAAAA	4-0	89.58	34.28	-4.40
9 [1]	Cedar Grove	5 - AAA	1-0	88.43	28.04	-9.48
10 [6]	Collins Hill	8 - AAAAAAA	4-1	87.47	29.87	-6.70
11 [7]	North Cobb	3 - AAAAAAA	4-0	87.35	29.66	-6.79
12 [3]	Ware County	1 - AAAAA	4-0	87.28	31.95	-4.43
13 [8]	Archer	7 - AAAAAAA	1-3	86.67	27.32	-8.45
14 [9]	Hillgrove	3 - AAAAAAA	2-1	86.53	31.20	-4.43
15 [2]	Buford	8 - AAAAAA	2-1	86.05	28.63	-6.52
16 [10]	North Gwinnett	8 - AAAAAAA	3-2	85.72	26.47	-8.36
17 [11]	Mill Creek	8 - AAAAAAA	2-1	85.70	25.52	-9.28
18 [1]	Marist	6 - AAAA	3-0	85.54	26.28	-8.36
19 [12]	Cherokee	5 - AAAAAAA	5-0	84.83	26.61	-7.31
20 [4]	Veterans	1 - AAAAA	4-0	84.79	25.20	-8.70
21 [5]	Cartersville	7 - AAAAA	4-1	84.15	26.25	-7.00
22 [3]	Lee County	1 - AAAAAA	3-1	83.81	27.36	-5.56
23 [2]	Jefferson	8 - AAAA	4-0	83.81	26.56	-6.35
24 [4]	Richmond Hill	2 - AAAAAA	3-1	83.72	29.02	-3.79
25 [13]	Parkview	4 - AAAAAAA	3-1	83.41	27.93	-4.58
26 [14]	Roswell	5 - AAAAAAA	3-0	83.20	27.12	-5.18
27 [15]	Milton	5 - AAAAAAA	2-1	82.97	25.84	-6.23
28 [2]	Oconee County	8 - AAA	4-0	82.00	25.96	-5.14
29 [16]	Newnan	2 - AAAAAAA	4-0	81.87	27.39	-3.57
30 [6]	Calhoun	7 - AAAAA	4-1	81.63	25.11	-5.62
31 [5]	Lovejoy	4 - AAAAAA	5-0	80.49	22.63	-6.96
32 [3]	Crisp County	2 - AAA	3-0	80.19	23.05	-6.24
33 [6]	Dacula	8 - AAAAAA	1-2	80.18	26.90	-2.38
34 [17]	McEachern	2 - AAAAAAA	2-3	80.10	26.99	-2.21
35 [7]	Allatoona	6 - AAAAAA	3-0	80.09	23.49	-5.70
36 [7]	Coffee	1 - AAAAA	3-1	79.87	25.10	-3.87
37 [3]	Benedictine	3 - AAAA	5-0	79.71	29.60	0.79
38 [18]	Camden County	1 - AAAAAAA	4-1	78.89	23.05	-4.94
39 [8]	Carrollton	5 - AAAAAA	1-1	78.53	26.51	-1.12
40 [4]	Greater Atlanta Christian	5 - AAA	3-0	78.43	23.97	-3.57
41 [19]	West Forsyth	6 - AAAAAAA	2-2	78.00	24.20	-2.89
42 [5]	Pierce County	1 - AAA	4-0	77.91	23.31	-3.70
43 [6]	Peach County	2 - AAA	2-1	77.88	24.31	-2.67
44 [9]	Douglas County	5 - AAAAAA	4-0	77.55	22.25	-4.41
45 [10]	Rome	5 - AAAAAA	2-2	77.02	23.61	-2.52
46 [20]	South Gwinnett	4 - AAAAAAA	4-1	77.00	22.29	-3.81
47 [21]	East Coweta	2 - AAAAAAA	4-1	76.86	26.31	0.34
48 [22]	South Forsyth	6 - AAAAAAA	3-0	76.16	27.26	1.99
49 [23]	Walton	3 - AAAAAAA	2-2	76.10	24.60	-0.60
50 [11]	Lanier	8 - AAAAAA	3-0	76.03	23.69	-1.44
51 [12]	Westlake	4 - AAAAAA	2-1	75.84	23.16	-1.78
52 [13]	Houston County	1 - AAAAAA	3-2	75.73	20.91	-3.92
53 [24]	Marietta	3 - AAAAAAA	1-3	75.22	25.47	1.15
54 [1]	Callaway	5 - AA	3-0	74.74	22.89	-0.95
55 [2]	Fitzgerald	1 - AA	4-0	74.35	21.11	-2.34
56 [14]	Northside (Warner Robins)	1 - AAAAAA	2-3	74.25	20.53	-2.82
57 [4]	Bainbridge	1 - AAAA	1-3	74.11	22.49	-0.72
58 [25]	Newton	4 - AAAAAAA	2-1	73.83	18.59	-4.34
59 [7]	Westminster (Atlanta)	5 - AAA	2-0	73.60	21.07	-1.63
60 [15]	Kell	6 - AAAAAA	1-2	73.53	24.75	2.12
61 [8]	Jones County	4 - AAAAA	1-3	72.93	24.44	2.41
62 [16]	Creekview	7 - AAAAAA	3-1	72.89	18.10	-3.89
63 [8]	White County	7 - AAA	4-0	72.68	24.33	2.56
64 [1]	Brooks County	2 - A Public	4-0	72.60	23.11	1.41
65 [3]	Rabun County	8 - AA	3-1	72.42	23.39	1.87
66 [26]	Tift County	1 - AAAAAAA	0-2	72.40	21.14	-0.36
67 [9]	Rockmart	6 - AAA	3-1	72.22	22.41	1.09
68 [1]	Prince Avenue Christian	8 - A Private	4-1	72.19	25.74	4.45
69 [2]	Athens Academy	8 - A Private	4-0	72.09	19.27	-1.92
70 [9]	Starr's Mill	2 - AAAAA	3-1	71.89	19.38	-1.61
71 [3]	Eagle's Landing Christian	2 - A Private	2-3	71.69	21.08	0.28
72 [27]	North Forsyth	6 - AAAAAAA	4-1	71.44	18.87	-1.66
73 [5]	Flowery Branch	8 - AAAA	3-1	71.43	22.29	1.77
74 [10]	Ola	4 - AAAAA	4-0	71.16	23.64	3.38
75 [11]	St. Pius X	5 - AAAAA	2-1	71.10	21.78	1.58
76 [2]	Irwin County	2 - A Public	2-2	71.05	20.66	0.51
77 [28]	Harrison	3 - AAAAAAA	0-3	71.03	20.47	0.34
78 [6]	Cedartown	7 - AAAA	2-2	71.02	18.46	-1.66
79 [10]	Appling County	1 - AAA	3-0	70.85	20.56	0.62
80 [29]	Gainesville	6 - AAAAAAA	3-1	70.83	22.99	3.06
81 [12]	Wayne County	1 - AAAAA	2-3	70.45	19.41	-0.14
82 [17]	Hughes	4 - AAAAAA	3-0	70.21	18.60	-0.72
83 [11]	Sandy Creek	5 - AAA	1-2	70.18	19.78	0.51
84 [18]	Sprayberry	6 - AAAAAA	2-2	69.91	22.73	3.73
85 [4]	Fellowship Christian	6 - A Private	4-0	69.71	21.11	2.30
86 [19]	Alexander	5 - AAAAAA	3-1	69.66	21.59	2.83
87 [7]	Stephenson	6 - AAAA	1-0	69.62	19.08	0.36
88 [3]	Clinch County	2 - A Public	1-1	69.44	20.71	2.17
89 [30]	North Paulding	3 - AAAAAAA	1-3	69.32	22.48	4.05
90 [4]	Thomasville	1 - AA	2-3	69.30	19.09	0.69
91 [8]	Hapeville Charter	6 - AAAA	0-2	69.10	20.80	2.60
92 [4]	Dublin	4 - A Public	1-1	68.83	21.07	3.14
93 [20]	Tucker	4 - AAAAAA	1-0	68.56	19.39	1.73
94 [13]	Dutchtown	4 - AAAAA	1-3	68.41	15.68	-1.83
95 [14]	Harris County	2 - AAAAA	3-1	68.35	18.27	0.82
96 [15]	Clarke Central	8 - AAAAA	2-2	67.75	18.15	1.29
97 [21]	Dalton	5 - AAAAAA	1-2	67.70	20.58	3.77
98 [16]	Stockbridge	4 - AAAAA	1-2	67.66	19.75	2.98
99 [31]	Mountain View	8 - AAAAAAA	1-4	67.64	20.13	3.38
100 [5]	Lovett	6 - AA	3-1	67.63	18.34	1.61
101 [12]	Thomson	4 - AAA	3-1	67.34	18.67	2.23
102 [13]	Burke County	4 - AAA	0-2	67.33	21.43	5.00
103 [22]	Glynn Academy	2 - AAAAAA	2-2	67.04	19.00	2.86
104 [32]	Alpharetta	5 - AAAAAAA	1-2	66.92	16.56	0.54
105 [17]	Woodward Academy	3 - AAAAA	1-3	66.80	18.91	3.01
106 [9]	Carver (Columbus)	2 - AAAA	3-0	66.66	21.71	5.95
107 [23]	Riverwood	7 - AAAAAA	3-0	66.57	18.40	2.72
108 [18]	Cass	7 - AAAAA	5-0	66.36	15.83	0.37
109 [10]	West Laurens	4 - AAAA	1-2	66.29	17.94	2.55
110 [24]	River Ridge	7 - AAAAAA	4-0	65.55	19.12	4.47
111 [25]	Brunswick	2 - AAAAAA	2-2	65.52	16.97	2.35
112 [33]	Denmark	6 - AAAAAAA	1-3	65.32	17.13	2.71
113 [26]	Johns Creek	7 - AAAAAA	1-2	65.26	16.68	2.32
114 [5]	Metter	3 - A Public	4-0	64.90	15.74	1.74
115 [14]	Stephens County	8 - AAA	4-1	64.75	17.06	3.20
116 [19]	Griffin	2 - AAAAA	1-3	64.64	18.55	4.81
117 [27]	Shiloh	8 - AAAAAA	1-2	64.49	15.12	1.53
118 [11]	Jenkins	3 - AAAA	0-1	64.31	16.36	2.95
119 [5]	Wesleyan	5 - A Private	4-1	63.85	16.17	3.22
120 [6]	Pace Academy	6 - AA	2-1	63.66	14.18	1.42
121 [12]	Cairo	1 - AAAA	0-3	63.62	17.16	4.45
122 [15]	Liberty County	3 - AAA	2-0	63.29	16.94	4.55
123 [34]	Woodstock	5 - AAAAAAA	2-3	63.18	17.85	5.57
124 [7]	Bleckley County	3 - AA	3-1	62.87	17.58	5.62
125 [20]	Creekside	3 - AAAAA	1-2	62.85	15.77	3.82
126 [13]	Mays	6 - AAAA	2-2	62.67	19.16	7.39
127 [14]	Baldwin	4 - AAAA	0-0	62.58	17.46	5.78
128 [35]	Forsyth Central	6 - AAAAAAA	2-1	62.37	16.52	5.05
129 [16]	Mary Persons	2 - AAA	2-2	62.34	16.89	5.46
130 [17]	Hart County	8 - AAA	1-3	62.28	18.46	7.08
131 [18]	Dawson County	7 - AAA	1-3	62.19	18.99	7.70
132 [19]	Upson-Lee	2 - AAA	3-1	62.04	16.76	5.63
133 [36]	Lambert	6 - AAAAAAA	4-1	61.73	15.55	4.72
134 [28]	East Paulding	5 - AAAAAA	3-1	61.71	17.40	6.58
135 [15]	Hardaway	2 - AAAA	2-1	61.61	15.05	4.34
136 [1]	John Milledge Academy	GISA 4 - AAA	3-0	61.56	15.55	4.89
137 [6]	North Cobb Christian	7 - A Private	4-1	61.55	16.79	6.15
138 [16]	Perry	4 - AAAA	0-3	61.50	15.09	4.49
139 [21]	Eastside	8 - AAAAA	3-1	61.24	17.31	6.97
140 [37]	Peachtree Ridge	8 - AAAAAAA	3-0	61.16	16.51	6.26
141 [22]	Union Grove	4 - AAAAA	2-2	61.03	16.76	6.63
142 [23]	Southwest DeKalb	5 - AAAAA	0-1	60.91	13.93	3.91
143 [8]	Heard County	5 - AA	4-1	60.88	18.37	8.39
144 [29]	South Paulding	5 - AAAAAA	2-2	60.81	16.69	6.78
145 [17]	Thomas County Central	1 - AAAA	1-2	60.74	17.14	7.29
146 [9]	Haralson County	5 - AA	4-0	60.72	15.99	6.17
147 [18]	Howard	4 - AAAA	2-1	60.46	16.06	6.49
148 [10]	Washington County	3 - AA	2-2	60.36	15.48	6.02
149 [19]	Troup	2 - AAAA	1-3	60.28	16.53	7.16
150 [11]	Dodge County	3 - AA	1-2	60.09	15.85	6.66
151 [30]	Central Gwinnett	8 - AAAAAA	1-3	60.05	16.45	7.30
152 [20]	Northwest Whitfield	7 - AAAA	4-0	59.90	13.84	4.84
153 [7]	Christian Heritage	7 - A Private	3-1	59.56	15.97	7.31
154 [20]	Monroe Area	8 - AAA	3-1	59.31	13.66	5.26
155 [21]	Cedar Shoals	8 - AAAA	0-3	59.27	12.98	4.61
156 [6]	Commerce	8 - A Public	3-1	59.26	16.35	7.99
157 [12]	Cook	1 - AA	2-2	59.23	14.58	6.25
158 [24]	Greenbrier	8 - AAAAA	4-0	59.22	15.19	6.87
159 [38]	Pebblebrook	2 - AAAAAAA	4-1	59.15	15.65	7.40
160 [25]	Northgate	2 - AAAAA	2-2	58.87	15.96	7.99
161 [26]	Jonesboro	3 - AAAAA	3-0	58.87	11.98	4.01
162 [8]	Holy Innocents	5 - A Private	1-3	58.83	14.79	6.86
163 [9]	Darlington	7 - A Private	3-1	58.70	14.36	6.56
164 [13]	Early County	1 - AA	3-0	58.61	13.76	6.04
165 [21]	Carver (Atlanta)	5 - AAA	0-3	58.50	15.24	7.63
166 [7]	Macon County	5 - A Public	3-0	58.47	14.48	6.90
167 [10]	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	4 - A Private	4-1	58.41	12.73	5.22
168 [8]	Pelham	1 - A Public	1-1	58.41	16.14	8.63
169 [31]	Sequoyah	7 - AAAAAA	0-4	58.33	14.68	7.25
170 [22]	Jackson	2 - AAA	1-1	58.14	14.62	7.37
171 [11]	Savannah Christian	3 - A Private	4-1	58.11	15.19	7.97
172 [14]	Jefferson County	4 - AA	1-2	57.90	14.16	7.16
173 [39]	Etowah	5 - AAAAAAA	0-4	57.79	13.94	7.05
174 [15]	Toombs County	2 - AA	3-1	57.72	14.21	7.38
175 [27]	New Manchester	6 - AAAAA	2-2	57.52	14.46	7.84
176 [28]	Woodland (Stockbridge)	4 - AAAAA	4-0	57.46	16.65	10.09
177 [22]	Westside (Macon)	4 - AAAA	1-2	57.25	13.94	7.59
178 [23]	North Oconee	8 - AAAA	0-4	57.25	15.71	9.36
179 [24]	New Hampstead	3 - AAAA	1-0	57.10	14.71	8.52
180 [32]	Cambridge	7 - AAAAAA	1-2	56.95	13.23	7.18
181 [16]	Swainsboro	2 - AA	2-3	56.75	13.02	7.17
182 [12]	Hebron Christian	5 - A Private	2-1	56.60	13.25	7.55
183 [23]	North Murray	6 - AAA	1-1	56.53	14.26	8.63
184 [33]	Habersham Central	8 - AAAAAA	2-2	56.35	15.16	9.70
185 [34]	Pope	6 - AAAAAA	1-2	55.86	13.10	8.15
186 [24]	Douglass	5 - AAA	0-2	55.78	12.44	7.56
187 [35]	Statesboro	2 - AAAAAA	0-3	55.74	11.98	7.14
188 [36]	Winder-Barrow	8 - AAAAAA	1-2	55.60	13.43	8.72
189 [29]	Loganville	8 - AAAAA	1-3	55.44	12.05	7.51
190 [25]	Westover	1 - AAAA	0-1	55.21	13.08	8.78
191 [37]	Rockdale County	3 - AAAAAA †	0-0	55.19	12.74	8.44
192 [25]	Morgan County	4 - AAA	2-2	55.08	11.86	7.68
193 [17]	Temple	5 - AA	3-2	54.73	11.03	7.20
194 [13]	Aquinas	3 - A Private	5-0	54.63	14.15	10.42
195 [9]	Wilcox County	4 - A Public	3-1	54.49	11.68	8.09
196 [18]	Vidalia	2 - AA	1-2	54.42	10.98	7.45
197 [30]	Chapel Hill	6 - AAAAA	2-2	54.42	12.50	8.98
198 [38]	Wheeler	6 - AAAAAA	1-3	54.37	12.45	8.98
199 [31]	Locust Grove	4 - AAAAA	2-2	54.17	12.83	9.55
200 [10]	Turner County	2 - A Public	3-1	54.15	13.37	10.12
201 [39]	Bradwell Institute	2 - AAAAAA	0-2	54.11	13.39	10.18
202 [14]	Calvary Day	3 - A Private	3-2	54.09	11.91	8.73
203 [40]	Evans	3 - AAAAAA	3-2	54.08	10.50	7.32
204 [40]	Meadowcreek	7 - AAAAAAA	2-3	54.06	16.69	13.53
205 [19]	Bremen	5 - AA	3-2	53.68	14.54	11.75
206 [20]	Jeff Davis	2 - AA	4-0	53.49	11.81	9.21
207 [11]	Marion County	5 - A Public	2-2	53.35	12.12	9.66
208 [26]	Central (Macon)	2 - AAA	2-1	53.31	11.39	8.98
209 [26]	Central (Carrollton)	7 - AAAA	2-1	53.13	13.51	11.27
210 [21]	Pepperell	7 - AA	1-3	53.05	12.17	10.02
211 [27]	Riverdale	5 - AAAA	2-2	53.01	11.25	9.14
212 [12]	Mitchell County	1 - A Public	0-3	53.00	13.58	11.48
213 [41]	Heritage (Conyers)	3 - AAAAAA †	0-0	52.99	10.61	8.52
214 [42]	South Effingham	2 - AAAAAA	0-3	52.70	13.39	11.60
215 [15]	Whitefield Academy	2 - A Private	2-2	52.37	10.27	8.80
216 [43]	North Atlanta	4 - AAAAAA	2-0	52.32	11.42	10.01
217 [13]	Washington-Wilkes	8 - A Public	3-0	52.29	11.39	10.00
218 [16]	George Walton Academy	8 - A Private	2-0	52.18	10.93	9.66
219 [44]	Paulding County	5 - AAAAAA	2-2	52.14	11.32	10.08
220 [22]	Northeast	3 - AA	2-1	51.94	11.34	10.30
221 [27]	Franklin County	8 - AAA	4-0	51.81	9.73	8.82
222 [23]	Putnam County	4 - AA	4-0	51.68	10.42	9.64
223 [28]	Richmond Academy	4 - AAA	3-1	51.64	10.87	10.13
224 [28]	LaGrange	2 - AAAA	3-1	51.41	12.34	11.83
225 [29]	Heritage (Ringgold)	7 - AAAA	3-2	51.36	9.98	9.53
226 [24]	Worth County	1 - AA	3-1	51.32	12.02	11.61
227 [30]	Islands	3 - AAAA	1-0	51.32	11.64	11.22
228 [45]	Morrow	4 - AAAAAA	1-1	51.13	10.94	10.70
229 [32]	Banneker	3 - AAAAA	0-2	50.88	9.53	9.55
230 [33]	M.L. King	5 - AAAAA	0-1	50.66	9.86	10.10
231 [25]	Columbia	6 - AA	1-0	50.65	10.84	11.09
232 [46]	Chattahoochee	7 - AAAAAA	1-2	50.15	13.89	14.64
233 [26]	Union County	8 - AA	2-2	49.99	11.34	12.25
234 [29]	Sonoraville	6 - AAA	2-1	49.88	11.24	12.27
235 [30]	North Hall	7 - AAA	1-3	49.84	11.02	12.07
236 [31]	Luella	5 - AAAA	3-1	49.63	8.69	9.95
237 [31]	Cherokee Bluff	7 - AAA	4-0	49.59	10.27	11.58
238 [27]	Fannin County	7 - AA	3-0	49.52	10.36	11.74
239 [14]	Emanuel County Institute	3 - A Public	1-2	49.45	10.63	12.08
240 [34]	Whitewater	2 - AAAAA	1-3	49.28	9.11	10.72
241 [35]	Decatur	5 - AAAAA	1-0	49.14	9.11	10.87
242 [32]	Madison County	8 - AAAA	1-3	49.12	8.23	10.01
243 [32]	Adairsville	6 - AAA	2-1	48.98	9.86	11.78
244 [28]	Lamar County	3 - AA	2-2	48.83	11.04	13.11
245 [47]	Lassiter	6 - AAAAAA	1-3	48.70	9.50	11.70
246 [36]	Northview	5 - AAAAA	1-2	48.66	10.40	12.65
247 [37]	Northside (Columbus)	2 - AAAAA	3-1	48.62	11.72	14.00
248 [17]	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	5 - A Private	2-2	48.55	12.13	14.47
249 [48]	Centennial	7 - AAAAAA	0-3	48.46	12.38	14.83
250 [33]	Americus-Sumter	2 - AAA	0-3	48.33	8.38	10.95
251 [18]	Mount de Sales	1 - A Private	2-1	48.11	9.57	12.36
252 [29]	Southwest	3 - AA	1-1	48.08	9.02	11.84
253 [15]	McIntosh County Academy	3 - A Public	2-2	47.96	8.26	11.20
254 [38]	Jackson County	8 - AAAAA	2-2	47.78	7.65	10.77
255 [30]	Elbert County	8 - AA	1-3	47.71	9.45	12.64
256 [16]	Chattahoochee County	5 - A Public	3-0	47.62	8.19	11.48
257 [49]	Lakeside (Evans)	3 - AAAAAA	1-3	47.61	7.53	10.82
258 [50]	Kennesaw Mountain	6 - AAAAAA	0-4	47.51	9.77	13.16
259 [39]	Tri-Cities	3 - AAAAA	3-0	47.49	9.68	13.09
260 [51]	Effingham County	2 - AAAAAA	1-3	47.46	8.02	11.45
261 [17]	Taylor County	5 - A Public	3-0	47.34	10.30	13.85
262 [40]	Eagle's Landing	4 - AAAAA	0-4	47.29	6.24	9.85
263 [41]	Mundy's Mill	3 - AAAAA	1-3	47.24	11.17	14.83
264 [19]	Savannah Country Day	3 - A Private	1-2	46.98	9.38	13.30
265 [42]	Lithonia	5 - AAAAA	0-1	46.84	8.34	12.40
266 [18]	Gordon Lee	6 - A Public	4-0	46.76	10.84	14.98
267 [43]	Hiram	7 - AAAAA	0-5	46.72	9.46	13.64
268 [33]	Fayette County	5 - AAAA	3-1	46.49	6.42	10.82
269 [19]	Schley County	5 - A Public	2-2	46.46	7.95	12.39
270 [34]	Arabia Mountain	6 - AAAA	0-1	46.36	7.79	12.32
271 [34]	Southeast Bulloch	3 - AAA	3-1	46.24	7.24	11.90
272 [20]	Dooly County	4 - A Public	0-0	46.21	9.18	13.87
273 [35]	Monroe	1 - AAAA	0-1	46.02	8.32	13.19
274 [21]	Screven County	3 - A Public	1-2	45.91	8.29	13.29
275 [41]	Discovery	7 - AAAAAAA	2-3	45.81	7.57	12.65
276 [20]	Mount Pisgah Christian	6 - A Private	2-2	45.79	9.55	14.66
277 [22]	Lanier County	2 - A Public	3-0	45.79	8.44	13.56
278 [31]	South Atlanta	6 - AA	1-3	45.58	6.52	11.84
279 [21]	Stratford Academy	1 - A Private	1-1	45.47	6.53	11.96
280 [35]	Windsor Forest	3 - AAA	0-1	45.28	6.91	12.54
281 [22]	First Presbyterian	1 - A Private	2-2	45.25	8.87	14.52
282 [23]	Manchester	5 - A Public	1-3	45.21	8.35	14.03
283 [36]	Ringgold	6 - AAA	2-2	45.08	9.63	15.45
284 [42]	Campbell	2 - AAAAAAA	1-4	45.03	8.08	13.96
285 [36]	Spalding	4 - AAAA	0-3	45.02	8.54	14.42
286 [24]	Claxton	3 - A Public	2-2	44.93	6.86	12.83
287 [43]	Duluth	7 - AAAAAAA	1-2	44.54	8.94	15.30
288 [44]	Woodland (Cartersville)	7 - AAAAA	3-0	44.44	6.71	13.17
289 [37]	Harlem	4 - AAA	1-3	44.44	10.49	16.95
290 [2]	Bulloch Academy	GISA 2 - AAA	2-1	44.37	8.49	15.03
291 [32]	Model	7 - AA	2-2	44.32	5.45	12.03
292 [33]	Chattooga	7 - AA	1-3	44.29	9.61	16.23
293 [34]	Bacon County	2 - AA	4-1	43.85	7.91	14.96
294 [25]	Atkinson County	2 - A Public	3-1	43.84	7.61	14.67
295 [37]	East Hall	8 - AAAA	3-1	43.79	11.04	18.15
296 [23]	Tattnall Square	1 - A Private	3-1	43.75	7.03	14.18
297 [3]	Tiftarea Academy	GISA 3 - AAA	3-1	43.69	8.16	15.37
298 [45]	Villa Rica	6 - AAAAA	1-3	43.61	7.47	14.76
299 [46]	Drew	3 - AAAAA	1-3	43.50	4.43	11.83
300 [38]	Pickens	7 - AAAA	2-3	43.29	4.60	12.21
301 [47]	Apalachee	8 - AAAAA	0-4	43.12	8.09	15.88
302 [44]	Dunwoody	7 - AAAAAAA	0-1	43.10	6.76	14.56
303 [48]	Maynard Jackson	6 - AAAAA	0-4	43.04	4.61	12.47
304 [38]	Pike County	2 - AAA	0-2	42.84	6.49	14.55
305 [52]	Alcovy	3 - AAAAAA	0-4	42.81	8.62	16.71
306 [26]	Johnson County	4 - A Public	3-1	42.80	4.94	13.04
307 [1]	Gatewood School	GISA 1 - AA	3-0	42.67	6.14	14.37
308 [39]	Shaw	2 - AAAA	0-3	42.54	5.73	14.09
309 [27]	Montgomery County	4 - A Public	3-0	42.47	7.49	15.92
310 [35]	Washington	6 - AA	2-2	42.36	7.78	16.32
311 [39]	Beach	3 - AAA	1-0	42.26	8.44	17.08
312 [4]	Frederica Academy	GISA 2 - AAA	2-2	42.13	6.00	14.77
313 [40]	Salem	5 - AAA †	0-0	41.77	6.80	15.92
314 [28]	Lincoln County	8 - A Public	2-2	41.69	5.00	14.21
315 [41]	Hephzibah	4 - AAA	1-1	41.68	6.96	16.18
316 [29]	B.E.S.T. Academy	6 - A Public	1-1	41.62	6.67	15.95
317 [30]	Bowdon	6 - A Public	1-3	41.61	4.03	13.31
318 [24]	Brookstone	4 - A Private	2-2	41.59	5.73	15.04
319 [42]	LaFayette	6 - AAA	2-2	41.31	8.65	18.23
320 [25]	Strong Rock Christian	1 - A Private	3-1	40.79	5.42	15.53
321 [53]	South Cobb	6 - AAAAAA	0-3	40.65	7.59	17.84
322 [26]	Athens Christian	8 - A Private	3-1	40.58	5.58	15.90
323 [54]	Grovetown	3 - AAAAAA	1-4	40.45	3.55	14.01
324 [49]	Lithia Springs	6 - AAAAA	0-4	40.42	6.94	17.42
325 [40]	Ridgeland	7 - AAAA	0-5	40.16	6.43	17.17
326 [31]	Charlton County	2 - A Public	2-2	40.05	6.84	17.68
327 [2]	Brentwood School	GISA 1 - AA	3-1	39.63	6.28	17.55
328 [27]	Mount Paran Christian	7 - A Private	0-4	39.52	2.44	13.83
329 [41]	Dougherty	1 - AAAA	0-1	39.49	4.08	15.50
330 [28]	Pacelli	4 - A Private	3-0	39.47	5.15	16.58
331 [43]	West Hall	7 - AAA	2-2	39.30	3.47	15.07
332 [50]	Walnut Grove	8 - AAAAA	1-3	38.82	3.76	15.84
333 [32]	Hancock Central	7 - A Public	2-0	38.58	3.93	16.25
334 [33]	Mount Zion (Carroll)	6 - A Public	4-0	38.27	3.82	16.45
335 [34]	Warren County	7 - A Public	3-1	38.07	3.76	16.59
336 [42]	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	5 - AAAA	0-4	37.89	3.31	16.31
337 [35]	Telfair County	4 - A Public	2-3	37.21	4.81	18.50
338 [5]	Valwood School	GISA 3 - AAA	2-2	37.20	5.18	18.88
339 [51]	Stone Mountain	5 - AAAAA	1-0	36.99	3.94	17.85
340 [36]	Trion	6 - A Public	1-2	36.83	5.06	19.12
341 [52]	McIntosh	2 - AAAAA	0-4	36.80	5.56	19.66
342 [43]	Columbus	2 - AAAA	1-3	36.80	6.77	20.87
343 [44]	Miller Grove	6 - AAAA	0-1	36.76	0.23	14.37
344 [53]	Grady	6 - AAAAA	0-4	36.49	2.87	17.28
345 [36]	Coosa	7 - AA	2-1	36.32	4.20	18.78
346 [45]	Hampton	5 - AAAA	1-4	36.18	3.66	18.38
347 [6]	Creekside Christian	GISA 4 - AAA	3-0	36.09	5.00	19.81
348 [37]	Hawkinsville	4 - A Public	2-2	36.03	1.76	16.63
349 [44]	Gilmer	7 - AAA	2-1	35.78	2.67	17.79
350 [29]	Lakeview Academy	6 - A Private	2-1	35.68	3.60	18.82
351 [37]	Laney	4 - AA	1-2	35.57	0.70	16.03
352 [38]	Terrell County	1 - A Public	1-1	35.24	2.09	17.75
353 [38]	Therrell	6 - AA	1-3	35.21	2.42	18.11
354 [7]	Pinewood Christian	GISA 2 - AAA	1-1	35.18	4.08	19.80
355 [45]	Redan	5 - AAA	1-0	34.45	3.84	20.29
356 [46]	McDonough	5 - AAAA	1-3	34.35	2.69	19.24
357 [39]	Butler	4 - AA	2-1	34.32	-0.08	16.50
358 [39]	Wheeler County	4 - A Public	3-0	33.90	2.17	19.17
359 [47]	Chestatee	8 - AAAA	0-4	33.83	4.35	21.42
360 [40]	Monticello	3 - AA	1-3	33.28	1.05	18.67
361 [46]	Coahulla Creek	6 - AAA	1-2	33.05	1.48	19.34
362 [41]	Berrien	1 - AA	1-3	32.90	3.68	21.68
363 [3]	Piedmont Academy	GISA 1 - AA	4-0	32.37	1.43	19.95
364 [30]	St. Francis	6 - A Private	1-3	32.27	2.61	21.24
365 [8]	Brookwood School	GISA 3 - AAA	2-1	32.03	1.65	20.52
366 [48]	Rutland	4 - AAAA	0-2	31.96	1.22	20.16
367 [47]	Tattnall County	1 - AAA	0-3	30.86	1.25	21.30
368 [31]	Deerfield-Windsor	1 - A Private	2-3	30.83	0.17	20.24
369 [48]	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6 - AAA	0-4	30.52	-1.15	19.23
370 [42]	Westside (Augusta)	4 - AA	1-3	30.25	-1.98	18.66
371 [32]	King's Ridge Christian	6 - A Private	2-0	30.17	-1.11	19.63
372 [43]	East Laurens	2 - AA	2-1	29.28	0.32	21.94
373 [49]	East Jackson	8 - AAA	1-2	29.12	1.36	23.14
374 [55]	Lakeside (Atlanta)	4 - AAAAAA †	0-1	29.06	-0.40	21.44
375 [44]	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6 - AA	0-1	28.80	0.02	22.11
376 [45]	Gordon Central	7 - AA	1-3	28.66	-2.17	20.06
377 [45]	Berkmar	7 - AAAAAAA	0-3	28.24	-0.11	22.55
378 [50]	Murray County	6 - AAA	1-3	27.47	0.85	24.27
379 [46]	Banks County	8 - AA	1-4	27.43	-0.68	22.78
380 [51]	Johnson (Savannah)	3 - AAA	1-0	27.10	-0.88	22.92
381 [40]	Jenkins County	3 - A Public	0-4	27.08	-3.58	20.24
382 [4]	Southwest Georgia Academy	GISA 2 - AA	3-1	27.05	3.59	27.44
383 [56]	Osborne	6 - AAAAAA	1-2	26.59	-0.70	23.61
384 [41]	Greenville	5 - A Public	1-3	26.48	1.82	26.24
385 [52]	Savannah	3 - AAA	0-1	26.48	-2.62	21.81
386 [49]	Jordan	2 - AAAA	1-2	26.46	-0.69	23.75
387 [47]	Dade County	7 - AA	1-3	26.22	3.86	28.53
388 [5]	Thomas Jefferson	GISA 4 - AA	4-1	25.99	-2.87	22.04
389 [54]	Chamblee	5 - AAAAA †	0-0	25.70	-1.49	23.71
390 [6]	Terrell Academy	GISA 2 - AA	3-1	25.54	-4.33	21.03
391 [42]	Miller County	1 - A Public	1-3	25.25	-2.40	23.25
392 [33]	Heritage School	4 - A Private	0-4	24.88	-3.12	22.90
393 [9]	Westfield School	GISA 4 - AAA	2-0	24.53	-2.85	23.53
394 [43]	Wilkinson County	7 - A Public	0-3	24.35	-4.04	22.51
395 [44]	Treutlen	4 - A Public	1-3	24.12	-2.31	24.48
396 [45]	Social Circle	8 - A Public	2-3	23.92	0.78	27.76
397 [53]	Brantley County	1 - AAA	0-5	23.82	-4.74	22.34
398 [46]	Seminole County	1 - A Public	0-3	23.63	-3.13	24.14
399 [48]	Towers	6 - AA	0-0	22.86	-4.28	23.75
400 [55]	North Springs	6 - AAAAA	0-3	22.84	-0.99	27.07
401 [34]	Landmark Christian	2 - A Private	0-5	22.82	-2.23	25.85
402 [35]	Loganville Christian	8 - A Private	1-3	22.14	-4.05	24.71
403 [50]	Kendrick	2 - AAAA	0-3	22.10	-3.01	25.79
404 [54]	Long County	1 - AAA	0-5	20.98	-4.01	25.91
405 [51]	North Clayton	5 - AAAA	0-5	20.73	-8.31	21.86
406 [7]	Memorial Day	GISA 2 - AA	1-1	20.66	-3.77	26.47
407 [52]	Spencer	2 - AAAA	0-5	20.48	-7.59	22.83
408 [47]	Towns County	8 - A Public	2-3	20.33	-4.76	25.81
409 [10]	St. Andrew's School	GISA 2 - AAA	0-1-1	20.05	-5.50	25.35
410 [11]	Southland Academy	GISA 3 - AAA	0-4	19.99	-6.92	23.99
411 [53]	Druid Hills	6 - AAAA	0-1	19.80	-5.18	25.91
412 [8]	Briarwood Academy	GISA 4 - AA	1-2	19.70	-3.73	27.48
413 [49]	Josey	4 - AA	1-1	19.68	-5.22	26.00
414 [50]	McNair	6 - AA	0-1	18.98	-5.04	26.88
415 [54]	Southeast Whitfield	7 - AAAA	1-4	18.80	-3.31	28.79
416 [56]	Forest Park	3 - AAAAA	0-4	18.73	-5.67	26.50
417 [57]	Johnson (Gainesville)	8 - AAAAA	0-4	18.39	-4.57	27.94
418 [51]	Glenn Hills	4 - AA	0-3	17.27	-5.65	27.98
419 [9]	Edmund Burke Academy	GISA 4 - AA	1-3	17.15	-5.39	28.36
420 [36]	Walker	7 - A Private	0-5	17.09	-8.72	25.09
421 [48]	Armuchee	6 - A Public	1-2	16.78	-10.62	23.50
422 [55]	Cross Creek	4 - AAA	0-4	15.39	-9.79	25.72
423 [49]	Greene County	8 - A Public	0-4	14.44	-5.30	31.16
424 [37]	Providence Christian	5 - A Private	0-4	14.32	-7.71	28.87
425 [50]	Calhoun County	1 - A Public	0-0	13.84	-8.95	28.11
426 [51]	Randolph-Clay	1 - A Public	0-3	13.76	-4.62	32.53
427 [52]	Georgia Military College	7 - A Public	1-3	13.74	-8.59	28.57
428 [52]	Oglethorpe County	4 - AA	0-3	13.11	-13.67	24.12
429 [53]	Portal	3 - A Public	0-4	12.91	-8.21	29.78
430 [12]	Bethlehem Christian Academy	GISA 4 - AAA	1-3	10.55	-8.83	31.52
431 [10]	Robert Toombs Academy	GISA 2 - AA	0-2	10.23	-5.96	34.71
432 [56]	Groves	3 - AAA	0-1	9.95	-10.77	30.18
433 [54]	Crawford County	7 - A Public	0-4	9.95	-7.44	33.51
434 [55]	Baconton Charter	1 - A Public †	1-2	9.92	-10.37	30.60
435 [56]	ACE Charter	7 - A Public	1-2	9.11	-11.15	30.64
436 [57]	Bryan County	3 - A Public	0-3	8.37	-10.97	31.55
437 [57]	Lumpkin County	7 - AAA	0-4	6.87	-10.68	33.35
438 [58]	Glascock County	7 - A Public †	2-3	5.23	-13.93	31.74
439 [13]	Trinity Christian (Dublin)	GISA 2 - AAA	0-4	3.73	-11.24	35.92
440 [59]	Pataula Charter	1 - A Public †	1-4	-2.93	-19.67	34.16
441 [60]	Central (Talbotton)	5 - A Public	0-4	-3.62	-15.95	38.58
442 [11]	Augusta Prep	GISA 4 - AA	3-2	-8.72	-15.43	44.19
443 [58]	Cross Keys	5 - AAAAA †	1-0	-33.16	-30.72	53.35
444 [61]	GSIC	7 - A Public †	0-2	-42.74	-38.29	55.35

† - Plays a non-region schedule

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating,” which is the mode of the Extreme Value Type I Distribution (i.e., the Gumbel minimum distribution) applied to the ratings. This calculation favors regions with large numbers of highly rated teams. The “Average Rating” is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank	Region	Teams	Comp Rating	Avg Rating
1	1 - AAAAAAA	4	97.21	89.64
2	4 - AAAAAAA	5	91.61	85.54
3	1 - AAAAA	5	88.56	83.79
4	1 - AAAAAA	4	86.39	81.99
5	8 - AAAAAAA	5	82.90	77.54
6	3 - AAAAAAA	6	81.34	77.59
7	5 - AAAAAAA	6	78.50	73.15
8	7 - AAAAA	6	77.52	68.82
9	2 - AAAAAAA	5	75.20	68.60
10	8 - AAAAAA	7	74.31	68.39
11	6 - AAAAAAA	7	73.07	69.41
12	5 - AAAAAA	8	72.62	68.14
13	5 - AAA	7	71.08	65.62
14	3 - AAAA	4	69.21	63.11
15	7 - AAAAAAA	7	68.88	56.76
16	4 - AAAAAA	6	68.85	66.43
17	4 - AAAAA	8	67.23	62.51
18	2 - AAAAAA	7	67.13	60.90
19	2 - AAA	8	67.05	60.63
20	8 - AAA	6	65.89	58.21
21	6 - AAAA	7	65.87	55.70
22	5 - AA	5	65.21	60.95
23	8 - AAAA	7	65.10	56.93
24	7 - AAAAAA	8	64.98	60.52
25	1 - AA	6	63.90	57.62
26	6 - AAAAAA	9	63.37	55.25
27	2 - A Public	7	63.24	56.70
28	2 - AAAAA	7	62.71	56.92
29	1 - AAAA	6	62.23	56.53
30	8 - A Private	5	61.45	51.84
31	4 - AAAA	7	59.96	55.01
32	2 - A Private	3	58.69	48.96
33	1 - AAA	5	57.45	44.88
34	8 - AA	4	57.45	49.39
35	4 - AAA	7	56.72	48.98
36	3 - AA	7	56.57	52.21
37	5 - A Private	5	56.02	48.43
38	3 - AAAAA	8	56.02	49.54
39	8 - AAAAA	8	55.78	48.97
40	7 - AAAA	7	55.71	48.24
41	3 - A Private	4	55.47	53.45
42	7 - A Private	5	54.98	47.28
43	7 - AAA	7	54.51	45.18
44	2 - AA	6	53.60	49.25
45	6 - AAA	9	52.03	45.00
46	3 - AAAAAA	4	51.77	46.24
47	2 - AAAA	9	51.64	43.15
48	5 - AAAAA	7	51.24	52.04
49	6 - A Private	5	50.68	42.72
50	6 - AA	9	50.03	41.75
51	4 - A Public	9	49.46	42.89
52	5 - A Public	8	47.88	40.16
53	6 - AAAAA	7	47.88	42.62
54	4 - A Private	4	47.16	41.09
55	3 - A Public	8	46.52	37.69
56	3 - AAA	7	45.24	37.23
57	7 - AA	7	45.23	40.34
58	1 - A Private	6	44.93	42.37
59	5 - AAAA	7	44.68	39.76
60	8 - A Public	6	43.91	35.32
61	GISA 4 - AAA	4	42.91	33.18
62	6 - A Public	6	41.40	36.98
63	GISA 1 - AA	3	40.42	38.22
64	4 - AA	8	40.36	32.47
65	GISA 3 - AAA	4	37.44	33.23
66	GISA 2 - AAA	5	36.19	29.09
67	1 - A Public	7	35.57	31.87
68	GISA 2 - AA	4	25.22	20.87
69	7 - A Public	6	22.64	22.30
70	GISA 4 - AA	4	19.51	13.53

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date	Favorite	Underdog	Score	Diff	Prob	Likelihood
10/02	Jenkins	Islands	8 - 26	12.99	81.2%	0.222
09/18	Lovejoy	Eagle's Landing	12 - 6	34.99	98.1%	0.259
09/12	Lovejoy	Carver (Atlanta)	27 - 26	21.99	92.3%	0.286
09/18	Southeast Bulloch	Telfair County	7 - 20	7.24	69.4%	0.357
10/02	Rome	South Paulding	22 - 20	18.01	88.4%	0.359
09/25	Cartersville	Creekside	21 - 18	19.50	90.0%	0.360
10/02	North Forsyth	Denmark	10 - 20	7.91	71.0%	0.361
09/11	Dublin	Dodge County	20 - 33	6.94	68.6%	0.363
09/25	Mount Zion (Carroll)	Towns County	21 - 20	16.15	86.1%	0.364
09/25	North Gwinnett	Lovejoy	7 - 19	7.03	68.9%	0.366
09/25	Eastside	Alcovy	34 - 31	18.43	88.9%	0.374
09/18	Jeff Davis	Brantley County	14 - 6	27.88	95.9%	0.387
09/18	Glascock County	Augusta Prep	29 - 27	15.74	85.5%	0.389
09/04	Creekview	Etowah	14 - 13	13.29	81.8%	0.403
09/25	Fitzgerald	Jefferson County	14 - 12	14.65	83.9%	0.403

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating	Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Prob
103.60	11/06	Colquitt County	Lowndes	-	5.89	66.0%
97.92	10/09	Lowndes	Valdosta	-	5.63	65.4%
96.59	09/25	Colquitt County	Valdosta	24 - 10	13.32	81.8%
96.26	09/04	Warner Robins	Valdosta	25 - 28	0.60	51.7%
93.83	11/06	Grayson	Brookwood	-	12.53	80.4%
90.90	09/05	Lowndes	Archer	35 - 21	13.13	81.5%
90.77	09/25	Grayson	Archer	26 - 7	15.43	85.1%
90.44	09/04	Norcross	Hillgrove	30 - 21	6.53	67.6%
89.75	10/30	Warner Robins	Ware County	-	11.08	77.7%
89.54	09/18	Grayson	Collins Hill	28 - 7	18.23	88.7%
89.14	09/11	Warner Robins	Archer	42 - 7	11.69	78.9%
89.11	11/20	Norcross	Archer	-	9.98	75.5%
89.03	11/20	Warner Robins	Veterans	-	9.97	75.5%
88.17	10/23	Norcross	Mill Creek	-	10.95	77.5%
88.08	10/09	Warner Robins	Lee County	-	10.95	77.5%

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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