Maxwell playoff projections heading into Week 9

August 20, 2021 - Kennesaw, Ga: Buford wide receiver Tobi Olawale (4) celebrates his receiving touchdown with running back Victor Venn (6) during the second half against North Cobb at North Cobb high school Friday, August 20, 2021 in Kennesaw, Ga.. Buford won 35-27. JASON GETZ FOR THE ATLANTA JOURNAL-CONSTITUTION

By Loren Maxwell

Oct 9, 2024

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class in the GHSA.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2024 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 iterations.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Buford	8-AAAAAA	5-1	104.11	1,000,000	4.25	907,799	753,097	607,878	517,321	0.93
Carrollton	2-AAAAAA	7-0	95.91	999,990	3.76	771,037	714,727	342,466	195,126	4.12
North Gwinnett	7-AAAAAA	6-0	93.61	1,000,000	3.39	908,437	319,160	188,155	95,970	9.42
Douglas County	2-AAAAAA	6-1	90.61	999,963	3.07	571,096	485,463	194,922	67,050	13.91
Valdosta	1-AAAAAA	6-0	88.69	991,280	2.78	419,686	302,396	148,755	36,209	26.62
North Cobb	5-AAAAAA	6-0	87.34	999,986	2.47	339,023	246,692	132,640	27,282	35.65
Mill Creek	8-AAAAAA	6-1	86.76	1,000,000	2.26	322,066	201,930	90,442	17,209	57.11
Grayson	4-AAAAAA	4-1	83.60	999,991	3.07	722,324	278,194	106,565	15,819	62.22
Colquitt County	1-AAAAAA	4-2	85.60	976,678	2.32	266,767	171,986	65,834	13,073	75.49
Norcross	7-AAAAAA	5-1	81.08	999,986	2.81	699,200	173,132	56,496	6,670	148.93
Collins Hill	8-AAAAAA	6-1	82.42	999,720	1.70	157,336	86,823	28,680	3,515	283.50
Lowndes	1-AAAAAA	5-1	82.70	892,654	1.73	128,170	81,557	19,268	3,450	288.86
Camden County	1-AAAAAA	5-1	79.37	794,882	1.28	56,233	31,059	5,176	699	1,429.62
South Gwinnett	4-AAAAAA	5-1	72.73	999,617	2.08	292,362	34,573	4,149	233	4,290.85
Harrison	3-AAAAAA	5-1	69.19	999,988	2.01	214,390	19,620	2,383	76	13,156.89
Newton	4-AAAAAA	2-3	70.29	999,211	1.92	250,957	19,585	1,348	65	15,383.62
Walton	5-AAAAAA	4-3	73.41	977,743	1.27	18,254	10,216	480	46	21,738.13
Peachtree Ridge	7-AAAAAA	2-4	70.00	873,070	1.50	141,199	12,356	966	39	25,640.03
North Atlanta	6-AAAAAA	5-1	68.37	967,104	1.71	218,859	15,508	678	32	31,249.00
East Coweta	2-AAAAAA	3-4	72.73	986,424	1.09	14,219	4,159	489	31	32,257.06
Westlake	2-AAAAAA	3-4	72.67	992,321	1.11	16,538	4,974	640	29	34,481.76
West Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	4-2	67.70	943,458	1.37	114,335	7,764	483	17	58,822.53
Lambert	6-AAAAAA	3-3	67.42	988,074	1.58	139,082	9,629	539	16	62,499.00
McEachern	3-AAAAAA	3-3	67.51	998,670	1.56	151,418	8,050	227	12	83,332.33
Richmond Hill	1-AAAAAA	6-0	70.99	330,348	0.42	5,464	1,920	173	10	99,999.00
Cherokee	5-AAAAAA	4-3	66.28	817,037	0.90	3,636	857	41	1	999,999.00
Hillgrove	3-AAAAAA	6-0	62.69	998,932	1.32	50,147	1,728	58	-	-
Denmark	6-AAAAAA	2-4	62.02	894,014	1.04	27,315	911	31	-	-
Brookwood	7-AAAAAA	3-3	61.79	598,293	0.82	37,817	1,024	23	-	-
Archer	4-AAAAAA	0-5	57.11	904,060	1.08	12,801	217	4	-	-
North Paulding	5-AAAAAA	4-3	63.62	410,388	0.44	1,170	198	4	-	-
Wheeler	5-AAAAAA	2-5	61.99	729,007	0.77	1,127	145	4	-	-
North Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	3-3	58.39	159,381	0.17	1,321	33	2	-	-
Duluth	7-AAAAAA	4-2	55.92	240,764	0.29	4,954	61	1	-	-
Parkview	7-AAAAAA	1-5	57.97	287,884	0.36	8,605	138	-	-	-
Campbell	3-AAAAAA	4-2	54.86	762,076	0.80	4,383	67	-	-	-
Central Gwinnett	8-AAAAAA	3-3	56.48	764,847	0.77	322	43	-	-	-
Marietta	5-AAAAAA	1-6	55.79	65,794	0.07	39	4	-	-	-
Tift County	1-AAAAAA	2-4	59.34	14,158	0.02	16	4	-	-	-
Pebblebrook	3-AAAAAA	3-3	42.93	143,299	0.14	48	-	-	-	-
Paulding County	3-AAAAAA	1-5	41.95	93,216	0.09	29	-	-	-	-
Forsyth Central	6-AAAAAA	2-4	47.67	45,769	0.05	11	-	-	-	-
Grovetown	4-AAAAAA	0-6	36.45	57,850	0.06	6	-	-	-	-
Dacula	8-AAAAAA	2-4	45.19	129,264	0.13	1	-	-	-	-
Mountain View	8-AAAAAA	1-6	45.18	106,169	0.11	1	-	-	-	-
Heritage (Conyers)	4-AAAAAA	2-2	32.45	26,156	0.03	-	-	-	-	-
Chapel Hill	2-AAAAAA	1-5	40.48	21,302	0.02	-	-	-	-	-
Rockdale County	4-AAAAAA	3-2	31.22	13,115	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Osborne	3-AAAAAA	1-5	29.80	3,819	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Alpharetta	6-AAAAAA	1-5	44.80	2,097	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
South Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	2-4	38.17	103	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Etowah	5-AAAAAA	1-6	42.99	45	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Berkmar	7-AAAAAA	1-5	43.54	3	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Meadowcreek	7-AAAAAA	0-6	22.40	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Discovery	8-AAAAAA	0-7	21.39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
South Cobb	3-AAAAAA	0-6	15.04	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAA	Valdosta	547,701	292,559	125,457	25,563	991,280	8,720
1-AAAAAA	Colquitt County	334,412	374,482	185,200	82,584	976,678	23,322
1-AAAAAA	Lowndes	91,080	186,565	360,504	254,505	892,654	107,346
1-AAAAAA	Camden County	20,045	119,881	255,518	399,438	794,882	205,118
1-AAAAAA	Richmond Hill	6,732	26,261	70,682	226,673	330,348	669,652
1-AAAAAA	Tift County	30	252	2,639	11,237	14,158	985,842
2-AAAAAA	Carrollton	610,144	374,523	14,085	1,238	999,990	10
2-AAAAAA	Douglas County	386,890	578,890	32,476	1,707	999,963	37
2-AAAAAA	East Coweta	1,692	14,521	429,195	541,016	986,424	13,576
2-AAAAAA	Westlake	1,274	32,050	523,543	435,454	992,321	7,679
2-AAAAAA	Chapel Hill	-	16	701	20,585	21,302	978,698
3-AAAAAA	Harrison	847,469	133,516	18,422	581	999,988	12
3-AAAAAA	Hillgrove	123,305	247,572	496,704	131,351	998,932	1,068
3-AAAAAA	McEachern	29,226	615,767	345,843	7,834	998,670	1,330
3-AAAAAA	Campbell	-	2,408	131,920	627,748	762,076	237,924
3-AAAAAA	Pebblebrook	-	728	6,263	136,308	143,299	856,701
3-AAAAAA	Paulding County	-	9	834	92,373	93,216	906,784
3-AAAAAA	Osborne	-	-	14	3,805	3,819	996,181
3-AAAAAA	South Cobb	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
4-AAAAAA	Grayson	722,668	217,585	55,123	4,615	999,991	9
4-AAAAAA	South Gwinnett	187,771	428,134	316,637	67,075	999,617	383
4-AAAAAA	Newton	87,514	350,880	554,286	6,531	999,211	789
4-AAAAAA	Archer	2,046	3,356	72,369	826,289	904,060	95,940
4-AAAAAA	Heritage (Conyers)	1	17	431	25,707	26,156	973,844
4-AAAAAA	Grovetown	-	26	957	56,867	57,850	942,150
4-AAAAAA	Rockdale County	-	2	197	12,916	13,115	986,885
5-AAAAAA	North Cobb	969,320	27,739	1,736	1,191	999,986	14
5-AAAAAA	Cherokee	21,494	174,595	306,000	314,948	817,037	182,963
5-AAAAAA	Wheeler	6,458	28,518	370,472	323,559	729,007	270,993
5-AAAAAA	Walton	2,705	705,159	226,184	43,695	977,743	22,257
5-AAAAAA	Marietta	21	276	4,550	60,947	65,794	934,206
5-AAAAAA	North Paulding	2	63,713	91,058	255,615	410,388	589,612
5-AAAAAA	Etowah	-	-	-	45	45	999,955
6-AAAAAA	North Atlanta	496,318	227,748	156,561	86,477	967,104	32,896
6-AAAAAA	Lambert	244,972	429,802	162,622	150,678	988,074	11,926
6-AAAAAA	West Forsyth	188,347	193,212	402,163	159,736	943,458	56,542
6-AAAAAA	Denmark	68,277	134,658	235,766	455,313	894,014	105,986
6-AAAAAA	North Forsyth	2,080	14,028	37,719	105,554	159,381	840,619
6-AAAAAA	Alpharetta	4	30	311	1,752	2,097	997,903
6-AAAAAA	Forsyth Central	2	519	4,852	40,396	45,769	954,231
6-AAAAAA	South Forsyth	-	3	6	94	103	999,897
7-AAAAAA	North Gwinnett	849,206	150,520	271	3	1,000,000	-
7-AAAAAA	Norcross	150,743	814,425	28,410	6,408	999,986	14
7-AAAAAA	Duluth	34	333	71,739	168,658	240,764	759,236
7-AAAAAA	Brookwood	17	23,115	187,970	387,191	598,293	401,707
7-AAAAAA	Peachtree Ridge	-	11,585	618,171	243,314	873,070	126,930
7-AAAAAA	Parkview	-	22	93,439	194,423	287,884	712,116
7-AAAAAA	Berkmar	-	-	-	3	3	999,997
7-AAAAAA	Meadowcreek	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAAAA	Buford	917,479	82,099	373	49	1,000,000	-
8-AAAAAA	Mill Creek	81,972	542,139	375,888	1	1,000,000	-
8-AAAAAA	Collins Hill	549	375,754	620,508	2,909	999,720	280
8-AAAAAA	Central Gwinnett	-	8	1,330	763,509	764,847	235,153
8-AAAAAA	Dacula	-	-	1,898	127,366	129,264	870,736
8-AAAAAA	Mountain View	-	-	3	106,166	106,169	893,831
8-AAAAAA	Discovery	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Class AAAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Milton	7-AAAAA	7-0	108.32	1,000,000	4.71	988,360	959,262	766,543	667,554	0.50
Lee County	2-AAAAA	6-0	99.35	999,965	4.26	971,124	895,151	392,417	206,818	3.84
Coffee	2-AAAAA	6-0	93.53	999,992	3.97	909,683	675,941	388,353	86,437	10.57
Gainesville	7-AAAAA	6-1	87.07	999,987	3.05	653,454	350,682	147,375	15,731	62.57
Thomas County Central	2-AAAAA	6-1	85.07	990,862	3.15	784,933	339,252	98,597	8,894	111.44
Hughes	3-AAAAA	5-1	84.65	999,997	2.82	549,615	188,932	90,502	7,341	135.22
Roswell	7-AAAAA	5-1	83.71	999,541	2.79	587,549	275,829	80,612	6,163	161.26
Houston County	2-AAAAA	6-1	75.92	999,938	2.48	583,508	75,140	8,893	372	2,687.17
Rome	5-AAAAA	3-2	75.81	999,994	2.16	155,730	40,474	11,057	318	3,143.65
Brunswick	1-AAAAA	5-1	72.24	999,999	2.19	257,653	60,914	7,067	150	6,665.67
River Ridge	6-AAAAA	5-1	74.37	988,553	2.02	405,737	44,046	3,344	138	7,245.38
Woodward Academy	4-AAAAA	4-3	69.21	999,983	1.94	101,350	24,095	1,937	27	37,036.04
Decatur	4-AAAAA	7-0	67.69	999,833	1.89	90,167	18,454	1,314	16	62,499.00
East Paulding	5-AAAAA	5-1	69.86	994,394	1.88	46,846	10,910	314	14	71,427.57
Sequoyah	6-AAAAA	5-1	70.00	796,898	1.05	84,168	7,736	426	9	111,110.11
Sprayberry	6-AAAAA	6-1	68.18	918,669	1.27	120,443	9,089	440	6	166,665.67
Newnan	3-AAAAA	5-1	66.32	999,869	2.17	280,985	8,571	265	6	166,665.67
Woodstock	6-AAAAA	6-1	66.65	943,903	1.05	29,712	3,267	153	4	249,999.00
Lakeside (Evans)	1-AAAAA	5-0	63.45	996,060	1.71	108,708	4,314	178	2	499,999.00
Clarke Central	8-AAAAA	5-2	65.45	999,995	1.30	108,359	3,421	149	-	-
Seckinger	7-AAAAA	4-3	64.90	623,915	0.86	68,020	1,542	18	-	-
New Manchester	5-AAAAA	6-1	60.27	997,730	1.37	38,776	828	15	-	-
Dutchtown	3-AAAAA	2-4	59.86	977,027	1.23	4,916	408	7	-	-
Villa Rica	5-AAAAA	4-3	56.03	947,763	1.15	12,300	294	7	-	-
Jackson County	8-AAAAA	5-2	56.26	993,142	1.02	4,354	280	5	-	-
Lovejoy	3-AAAAA	3-3	56.51	862,353	1.07	14,457	401	4	-	-
Pope	6-AAAAA	3-4	58.07	251,955	0.26	629	47	4	-	-
Lanier	7-AAAAA	3-4	59.55	361,177	0.44	16,713	265	3	-	-
Winder-Barrow	8-AAAAA	5-2	56.33	998,655	1.05	9,989	290	1	-	-
Effingham County	1-AAAAA	2-3	56.00	724,367	0.86	6,119	88	-	-	-
Creekview	6-AAAAA	4-3	60.41	100,008	0.10	439	27	-	-	-
Evans	1-AAAAA	2-2	52.96	449,780	0.49	400	13	-	-	-
Glynn Academy	1-AAAAA	3-3	52.10	505,593	0.54	329	13	-	-	-
Northside (Warner Robins)	2-AAAAA	2-5	56.85	9,233	0.01	715	7	-	-	-
Habersham Central	8-AAAAA	2-5	46.61	832,171	0.83	91	7	-	-	-
Lakeside (Atlanta)	4-AAAAA	4-3	46.83	779,210	0.83	2,157	4	-	-	-
Greenbrier	1-AAAAA	2-2	49.10	303,968	0.32	311	4	-	-	-
Dunwoody	4-AAAAA	2-5	45.26	82,758	0.08	29	1	-	-	-
Alexander	5-AAAAA	2-5	48.10	8,078	0.01	16	1	-	-	-
Tri-Cities	4-AAAAA	4-2	45.54	594,661	0.61	646	-	-	-	-
Chamblee	4-AAAAA	1-5	41.96	327,628	0.34	255	-	-	-	-
Shiloh	4-AAAAA	0-6	43.48	193,981	0.20	118	-	-	-	-
Chattahoochee	7-AAAAA	4-2	49.43	10,068	0.01	58	-	-	-	-
Kennesaw Mountain	5-AAAAA	2-4	46.76	50,944	0.05	52	-	-	-	-
Northgate	3-AAAAA	2-5	42.32	108,468	0.11	16	-	-	-	-
Johns Creek	7-AAAAA	0-6	40.06	5,312	0.01	4	-	-	-	-
Arabia Mountain	4-AAAAA	1-6	38.88	21,946	0.02	2	-	-	-	-
Statesboro	1-AAAAA	2-3	43.17	12,979	0.01	2	-	-	-	-
Apalachee	8-AAAAA	0-5	33.51	78,073	0.08	1	-	-	-	-
McIntosh	3-AAAAA	2-5	40.54	6,339	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
South Paulding	5-AAAAA	1-5	41.78	1,091	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Alcovy	8-AAAAA	1-5	33.42	85,041	0.09	-	-	-	-	-
Morrow	3-AAAAA	2-4	36.61	45,040	0.05	-	-	-	-	-
Loganville	8-AAAAA	0-6	33.01	12,923	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
South Effingham	1-AAAAA	0-4	38.10	7,071	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Banneker	3-AAAAA	2-4	36.61	907	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Bradwell Institute	1-AAAAA	1-4	36.23	183	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Riverwood	6-AAAAA	0-7	29.00	14	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Veterans	2-AAAAA	0-7	40.46	10	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Lithia Springs	5-AAAAA	1-6	34.87	6	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Lassiter	6-AAAAA	2-5	37.05	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAA	Brunswick	800,502	198,383	1,100	14	999,999	1
1-AAAAA	Lakeside (Evans)	198,463	646,977	134,394	16,226	996,060	3,940
1-AAAAA	Effingham County	825	122,079	355,424	246,039	724,367	275,633
1-AAAAA	Greenbrier	207	20,678	105,578	177,505	303,968	696,032
1-AAAAA	Statesboro	3	337	2,131	10,508	12,979	987,021
1-AAAAA	Glynn Academy	-	6,417	207,166	292,010	505,593	494,407
1-AAAAA	Evans	-	5,122	193,552	251,106	449,780	550,220
1-AAAAA	South Effingham	-	6	648	6,417	7,071	992,929
1-AAAAA	Bradwell Institute	-	1	7	175	183	999,817
2-AAAAA	Lee County	740,150	239,730	16,808	3,277	999,965	35
2-AAAAA	Coffee	241,605	519,178	198,794	40,415	999,992	8
2-AAAAA	Thomas County Central	11,840	201,602	524,874	252,546	990,862	9,138
2-AAAAA	Houston County	6,405	39,471	259,494	694,568	999,938	62
2-AAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	-	19	30	9,184	9,233	990,767
2-AAAAA	Veterans	-	-	-	10	10	999,990
3-AAAAA	Hughes	882,123	116,874	987	13	999,997	3
3-AAAAA	Newnan	114,151	802,767	73,288	9,663	999,869	131
3-AAAAA	Lovejoy	3,725	71,989	95,606	691,033	862,353	137,647
3-AAAAA	Northgate	1	17	11,306	97,144	108,468	891,532
3-AAAAA	Dutchtown	-	8,297	815,028	153,702	977,027	22,973
3-AAAAA	McIntosh	-	53	935	5,351	6,339	993,661
3-AAAAA	Banneker	-	3	81	823	907	999,093
3-AAAAA	Morrow	-	-	2,769	42,271	45,040	954,960
4-AAAAA	Decatur	501,546	463,192	32,853	2,242	999,833	167
4-AAAAA	Woodward Academy	496,132	484,469	19,106	276	999,983	17
4-AAAAA	Lakeside (Atlanta)	2,322	36,394	497,317	243,177	779,210	220,790
4-AAAAA	Tri-Cities	-	15,709	188,255	390,697	594,661	405,339
4-AAAAA	Chamblee	-	226	185,755	141,647	327,628	672,372
4-AAAAA	Shiloh	-	10	62,442	131,529	193,981	806,019
4-AAAAA	Dunwoody	-	-	12,213	70,545	82,758	917,242
4-AAAAA	Arabia Mountain	-	-	2,059	19,887	21,946	978,054
5-AAAAA	Rome	969,354	25,395	5,122	123	999,994	6
5-AAAAA	New Manchester	25,636	51,016	580,993	340,085	997,730	2,270
5-AAAAA	East Paulding	4,761	863,656	102,784	23,193	994,394	5,606
5-AAAAA	Villa Rica	244	59,611	307,624	580,284	947,763	52,237
5-AAAAA	Kennesaw Mountain	5	311	2,609	48,019	50,944	949,056
5-AAAAA	Alexander	-	6	797	7,275	8,078	991,922
5-AAAAA	South Paulding	-	5	71	1,015	1,091	998,909
5-AAAAA	Lithia Springs	-	-	-	6	6	999,994
6-AAAAA	River Ridge	592,368	289,842	83,003	23,340	988,553	11,447
6-AAAAA	Sprayberry	232,539	319,339	211,825	154,966	918,669	81,331
6-AAAAA	Sequoyah	135,980	154,016	279,281	227,621	796,898	203,102
6-AAAAA	Woodstock	37,832	202,703	336,431	366,937	943,903	56,097
6-AAAAA	Creekview	1,118	5,658	17,660	75,572	100,008	899,992
6-AAAAA	Pope	163	28,442	71,800	151,550	251,955	748,045
6-AAAAA	Riverwood	-	-	-	14	14	999,986
6-AAAAA	Lassiter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-AAAAA	Milton	922,399	71,097	6,504	-	1,000,000	-
7-AAAAA	Gainesville	55,583	520,680	423,313	411	999,987	13
7-AAAAA	Roswell	22,018	408,128	553,241	16,154	999,541	459
7-AAAAA	Lanier	-	79	15,518	345,580	361,177	638,823
7-AAAAA	Chattahoochee	-	16	1,040	9,012	10,068	989,932
7-AAAAA	Seckinger	-	-	384	623,531	623,915	376,085
7-AAAAA	Johns Creek	-	-	-	5,312	5,312	994,688
8-AAAAA	Clarke Central	780,535	207,715	11,655	90	999,995	5
8-AAAAA	Winder-Barrow	203,999	398,539	377,047	19,070	998,655	1,345
8-AAAAA	Jackson County	15,466	381,529	431,940	164,207	993,142	6,858
8-AAAAA	Habersham Central	-	11,850	173,027	647,294	832,171	167,829
8-AAAAA	Apalachee	-	261	4,205	73,607	78,073	921,927
8-AAAAA	Loganville	-	68	1,553	11,302	12,923	987,077
8-AAAAA	Alcovy	-	38	573	84,430	85,041	914,959

Class AAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Benedictine	1-AAAA	3-2	92.67	999,950	3.85	799,935	635,742	426,759	302,868	2.30
Marist	5-AAAA	6-0	90.16	1,000,000	3.99	894,107	746,166	429,710	271,523	2.68
Blessed Trinity	6-AAAA	5-1	86.28	999,892	3.66	813,887	569,560	312,290	133,777	6.48
North Oconee	8-AAAA	7-0	85.97	999,997	3.04	511,271	345,898	196,752	81,806	11.22
Ware County	1-AAAA	2-3	85.06	996,803	3.05	598,169	355,542	179,483	68,969	13.50
Cartersville	7-AAAA	7-0	83.46	1,000,000	3.13	771,970	318,935	150,575	54,208	17.45
Creekside	4-AAAA	4-2	82.74	1,000,000	2.78	596,916	205,934	80,166	33,414	28.93
Warner Robins	1-AAAA	5-2	79.65	987,923	2.64	575,265	230,800	72,100	18,289	53.68
Cambridge	6-AAAA	7-0	78.76	997,281	2.47	436,660	160,022	50,514	12,622	78.23
Cedartown	7-AAAA	7-0	78.04	1,000,000	2.62	613,142	163,927	51,155	12,454	79.30
Eastside	8-AAAA	7-0	78.69	999,999	2.32	227,111	101,240	32,201	8,396	118.10
Central (Carrollton)	3-AAAA	5-2	70.63	943,409	1.86	164,011	38,354	5,755	644	1,551.80
Kell	6-AAAA	4-3	70.63	967,849	1.42	124,149	16,644	2,184	280	3,570.43
Harris County	3-AAAA	6-1	68.69	972,497	1.62	108,572	18,222	2,297	204	4,900.96
Starr's Mill	3-AAAA	7-0	67.37	947,938	1.79	140,654	20,794	2,200	176	5,680.82
Perry	1-AAAA	4-2	66.67	978,157	1.27	100,755	16,682	1,435	117	8,546.01
Mays	4-AAAA	4-2	67.40	999,749	1.64	95,301	9,386	1,366	86	11,626.91
Jonesboro	3-AAAA	3-3	66.14	883,907	1.47	83,554	11,891	1,129	84	11,903.76
Stockbridge	2-AAAA	6-1	60.78	999,990	1.98	149,898	14,568	960	42	23,808.52
East Forsyth	8-AAAA	6-1	61.92	966,879	1.58	36,084	4,594	196	13	76,922.08
St. Pius X	5-AAAA	6-1	61.55	991,560	1.15	45,769	4,638	241	11	90,908.09
Cass	7-AAAA	4-4	62.95	730,307	0.80	14,795	2,843	180	9	111,110.11
Tucker	5-AAAA	5-1	61.65	999,958	1.13	36,389	3,579	194	5	199,999.00
Westminster (Atlanta)	6-AAAA	3-4	62.00	846,567	0.95	22,168	1,320	73	2	499,999.00
Jones County	2-AAAA	5-2	54.64	983,224	1.10	2,470	174	7	1	999,999.00
Ola	2-AAAA	5-1	58.28	958,107	1.34	13,602	1,495	44	-	-
Hiram	7-AAAA	3-4	59.34	971,700	1.06	7,705	368	11	-	-
Southwest DeKalb	5-AAAA	4-3	55.75	998,305	1.02	3,796	201	9	-	-
Northside (Columbus)	3-AAAA	4-2	57.85	250,424	0.29	2,753	174	9	-	-
Maynard Jackson	4-AAAA	5-1	51.14	969,861	1.06	2,416	140	2	-	-
New Hampstead	1-AAAA	2-4	55.69	21,609	0.02	466	30	1	-	-
Allatoona	7-AAAA	4-3	50.36	296,861	0.30	379	18	1	-	-
Centennial	6-AAAA	5-1	51.09	188,411	0.19	419	8	1	-	-
Madison County	8-AAAA	2-4	48.30	373,417	0.44	2,012	38	-	-	-
Hampton	2-AAAA	4-2	51.55	855,792	0.89	645	37	-	-	-
Walnut Grove	8-AAAA	4-2	46.87	402,330	0.46	1,543	21	-	-	-
Flowery Branch	8-AAAA	1-5	44.67	252,097	0.28	669	5	-	-	-
Pace Academy	4-AAAA	2-5	45.81	421,997	0.44	355	4	-	-	-
Drew	4-AAAA	6-1	42.46	536,839	0.56	190	3	-	-	-
Union Grove	2-AAAA	3-3	46.62	133,384	0.14	35	2	-	-	-
Wayne County	1-AAAA	0-6	44.91	15,558	0.02	7	1	-	-	-
M.L. King	4-AAAA	2-5	36.64	71,168	0.07	4	-	-	-	-
Eagle's Landing	2-AAAA	3-4	39.37	66,587	0.07	1	-	-	-	-
Cedar Shoals	8-AAAA	0-7	32.35	5,281	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Lithonia	5-AAAA	4-2	38.70	9,354	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Locust Grove	2-AAAA	2-5	36.86	2,681	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Griffin	3-AAAA	0-6	38.21	1,821	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Dalton	7-AAAA	0-7	37.05	1,103	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Druid Hills	5-AAAA	2-5	25.78	807	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Midtown	4-AAAA	2-4	23.25	386	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Eagle's Landing Christian	2-AAAA	1-5	34.91	229	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Cartersville)	7-AAAA	1-5	34.94	29	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
North Springs	5-AAAA	1-6	15.88	14	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Stockbridge)	2-AAAA	1-5	30.49	6	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Mundy's Mill	3-AAAA	0-7	21.04	4	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Northview	5-AAAA	0-6	9.51	2	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
McDonough	2-AAAA	0-6	25.29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Forest Park	4-AAAA	1-5	7.12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Keys	5-AAAA	0-5	-10.07	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clarkston	5-AAAA	0-6	-13.94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Southeast Whitfield	7-AAAA	0-6	-17.16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAA	Benedictine	722,704	261,291	13,247	2,708	999,950	50
1-AAAA	Ware County	262,753	478,664	209,902	45,484	996,803	3,197
1-AAAA	Warner Robins	10,819	231,367	605,686	140,051	987,923	12,077
1-AAAA	Perry	3,713	27,651	167,905	778,888	978,157	21,843
1-AAAA	New Hampstead	11	1,011	3,007	17,580	21,609	978,391
1-AAAA	Wayne County	-	16	253	15,289	15,558	984,442
2-AAAA	Stockbridge	994,778	5,074	108	30	999,990	10
2-AAAA	Ola	4,428	726,168	143,548	83,963	958,107	41,893
2-AAAA	Union Grove	758	8,544	15,253	108,829	133,384	866,616
2-AAAA	Jones County	26	191,979	713,246	77,973	983,224	16,776
2-AAAA	Hampton	10	68,106	118,004	669,672	855,792	144,208
2-AAAA	Eagle's Landing	-	129	9,756	56,702	66,587	933,413
2-AAAA	Locust Grove	-	-	56	2,625	2,681	997,319
2-AAAA	Eagle's Landing Christian	-	-	29	200	229	999,771
2-AAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	-	-	-	6	6	999,994
2-AAAA	McDonough	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
3-AAAA	Starr's Mill	417,672	213,033	148,742	168,491	947,938	52,062
3-AAAA	Central (Carrollton)	227,491	380,533	201,396	133,989	943,409	56,591
3-AAAA	Jonesboro	183,997	189,046	312,361	198,503	883,907	116,093
3-AAAA	Harris County	163,412	193,798	297,032	318,255	972,497	27,503
3-AAAA	Northside (Columbus)	7,427	23,582	40,344	179,071	250,424	749,576
3-AAAA	Griffin	1	8	124	1,688	1,821	998,179
3-AAAA	Mundy's Mill	-	-	1	3	4	999,996
4-AAAA	Creekside	998,910	921	111	58	1,000,000	-
4-AAAA	Maynard Jackson	821	1,057	799,163	168,820	969,861	30,139
4-AAAA	Drew	178	11,604	20,108	504,949	536,839	463,161
4-AAAA	Mays	91	986,389	12,358	911	999,749	251
4-AAAA	M.L. King	-	24	496	70,648	71,168	928,832
4-AAAA	Pace Academy	-	5	167,763	254,229	421,997	578,003
4-AAAA	Midtown	-	-	1	385	386	999,614
4-AAAA	Forest Park	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAA	Marist	962,789	35,833	1,378	-	1,000,000	-
5-AAAA	St. Pius X	24,034	481,924	368,201	117,401	991,560	8,440
5-AAAA	Tucker	13,177	384,580	392,460	209,741	999,958	42
5-AAAA	Southwest DeKalb	-	97,663	237,560	663,082	998,305	1,695
5-AAAA	Lithonia	-	-	401	8,953	9,354	990,646
5-AAAA	Druid Hills	-	-	-	807	807	999,193
5-AAAA	North Springs	-	-	-	14	14	999,986
5-AAAA	Northview	-	-	-	2	2	999,998
5-AAAA	Clarkston	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAA	Cross Keys	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAA	Blessed Trinity	764,413	218,733	14,689	2,057	999,892	108
6-AAAA	Cambridge	222,836	591,425	162,075	20,945	997,281	2,719
6-AAAA	Kell	9,380	161,418	561,613	235,438	967,849	32,151
6-AAAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	3,207	25,081	239,589	578,690	846,567	153,433
6-AAAA	Centennial	164	3,343	22,034	162,870	188,411	811,589
7-AAAA	Cartersville	596,385	385,802	17,434	379	1,000,000	-
7-AAAA	Cedartown	403,435	596,360	205	-	1,000,000	-
7-AAAA	Hiram	175	15,932	845,993	109,600	971,700	28,300
7-AAAA	Allatoona	5	1,905	81,936	213,015	296,861	703,139
7-AAAA	Woodland (Cartersville)	-	1	-	28	29	999,971
7-AAAA	Cass	-	-	54,432	675,875	730,307	269,693
7-AAAA	Dalton	-	-	-	1,103	1,103	998,897
7-AAAA	Southeast Whitfield	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAA	North Oconee	757,851	240,513	1,566	67	999,997	3
8-AAAA	Eastside	241,203	689,186	69,565	45	999,999	1
8-AAAA	East Forsyth	918	69,863	751,531	144,567	966,879	33,121
8-AAAA	Walnut Grove	28	365	91,858	310,079	402,330	597,670
8-AAAA	Flowery Branch	-	60	14,387	237,650	252,097	747,903
8-AAAA	Madison County	-	13	71,088	302,316	373,417	626,583
8-AAAA	Cedar Shoals	-	-	5	5,276	5,281	994,719

Class AAA Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Sandy Creek	2-AAA	6-0	79.06	1,000,000	4.31	900,524	783,312	649,439	459,431	1.18
Jefferson	8-AAA	5-2	75.34	1,000,000	3.93	836,114	656,702	472,235	246,642	3.05
Peach County	1-AAA	6-1	72.91	999,943	3.69	808,944	614,785	326,478	151,899	5.58
Douglass	5-AAA	4-2	67.41	999,251	3.01	654,050	360,397	129,253	41,581	23.05
LaGrange	2-AAA	5-2	67.71	995,524	2.73	550,255	245,881	101,960	33,318	29.01
Calhoun	7-AAA	3-3	63.70	999,321	2.61	518,408	220,685	62,265	15,055	65.42
Oconee County	8-AAA	3-3	64.49	995,598	2.44	429,925	188,617	57,943	15,027	65.55
Cherokee Bluff	8-AAA	6-0	63.75	999,952	2.35	375,910	143,204	51,290	11,899	83.04
Westover	1-AAA	6-1	63.34	995,904	2.25	346,375	126,196	40,311	9,177	107.97
Cairo	1-AAA	3-2	61.11	983,830	2.05	297,368	107,213	24,457	4,695	211.99
Whitewater	2-AAA	3-3	60.28	967,995	1.80	223,357	73,042	14,881	2,663	374.52
Upson-Lee	2-AAA	4-3	59.52	998,620	1.87	199,762	70,732	13,977	2,270	439.53
Stephenson	5-AAA	4-3	58.46	963,643	1.82	215,449	69,762	12,125	1,899	525.59
Harlem	4-AAA	4-0	55.18	999,781	2.04	279,413	81,542	12,658	1,232	810.69
Troup	2-AAA	3-3	59.04	618,321	1.04	117,925	32,442	6,027	976	1,023.59
Cedar Grove	5-AAA	1-5	58.00	826,759	1.27	118,266	36,317	5,754	845	1,182.43
Jenkins	3-AAA	3-2	54.56	997,861	1.67	145,403	29,465	4,299	429	2,330.00
Westside (Augusta)	4-AAA	5-0	51.71	997,956	1.71	153,798	32,384	3,325	217	4,607.29
North Hall	6-AAA	4-2	52.14	999,712	1.61	133,377	24,023	2,519	196	5,101.04
Lumpkin County	6-AAA	4-2	51.76	985,149	1.52	105,185	18,952	1,771	140	7,141.86
Long County	3-AAA	5-0	50.59	999,708	1.53	89,925	13,730	1,505	88	11,362.64
Monroe	1-AAA	2-4	52.54	754,546	0.94	40,290	8,762	913	73	13,697.63
Monroe Area	8-AAA	4-2	51.98	799,491	1.10	60,319	9,595	941	67	14,924.37
Adairsville	7-AAA	4-2	50.74	914,267	1.25	62,902	9,796	803	43	23,254.81
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	5-AAA	4-3	49.53	759,043	1.02	44,281	6,375	476	36	27,776.78
Northwest Whitfield	7-AAA	6-1	48.98	977,102	1.35	59,105	7,907	553	30	33,332.33
Mary Persons	2-AAA	1-5	51.93	316,435	0.43	23,181	3,708	368	23	43,477.26
Southeast Bulloch	3-AAA	4-1	48.60	967,405	1.31	48,465	6,276	440	18	55,554.56
Luella	5-AAA	3-3	48.62	679,223	0.82	25,105	3,370	202	9	111,110.11
Baldwin	4-AAA	1-3	48.19	645,419	0.82	27,486	3,545	216	8	124,999.00
West Laurens	4-AAA	4-1	45.32	851,900	1.06	25,027	2,454	131	5	199,999.00
Gilmer	7-AAA	3-3	47.29	748,906	0.94	30,255	3,624	222	3	333,332.33
Dougherty	1-AAA	2-5	48.75	138,139	0.16	4,065	626	43	2	499,999.00
Spalding	2-AAA	3-4	50.18	27,811	0.04	1,561	199	18	2	499,999.00
White County	6-AAA	2-4	44.77	797,700	0.88	10,246	1,067	44	1	999,999.00
Bainbridge	1-AAA	0-6	48.26	182,314	0.20	2,525	360	40	1	999,999.00
Howard	4-AAA	3-2	45.50	507,264	0.62	14,882	1,307	61	-	-
Heritage (Ringgold)	7-AAA	4-3	43.90	736,393	0.86	14,971	1,344	47	-	-
West Hall	8-AAA	4-3	43.31	248,931	0.28	3,855	241	10	-	-
Pickens	6-AAA	3-3	39.10	129,641	0.14	729	34	-	-	-
Beach	3-AAA	2-3	33.86	194,987	0.20	427	13	-	-	-
Liberty County	3-AAA	2-3	36.21	87,353	0.09	309	5	-	-	-
Chestatee	6-AAA	2-4	34.89	92,942	0.10	124	5	-	-	-
Hephzibah	4-AAA	1-4	35.13	18,354	0.02	51	3	-	-	-
East Hall	8-AAA	3-4	37.19	36,219	0.04	61	1	-	-	-
Dawson County	6-AAA	2-4	32.73	39,976	0.04	20	-	-	-	-
Richmond Academy	4-AAA	1-4	33.82	11,580	0.01	20	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Savannah)	3-AAA	2-3	27.82	4,316	0.00	2	-	-	-	-
North Clayton	5-AAA	3-4	33.14	3,579	0.00	2	-	-	-	-
Windsor Forest	3-AAA	1-4	30.71	3,335	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Ridgeland	7-AAA	1-6	15.81	447	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
LaFayette	7-AAA	0-7	12.37	84	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Creek	4-AAA	1-4	26.21	56	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Groves	3-AAA	1-4	15.43	12	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Riverdale	5-AAA	0-7	20.68	2	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Fayette County	2-AAA	1-5	20.96	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Islands	3-AAA	0-5	12.09	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Gainesville)	6-AAA	0-6	-4.94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
8-AAA	Jefferson	453,964	910,092	997,596	1,000,000	-
2-AAA	Sandy Creek	338,769	984,235	999,398	1,000,000	-
4-AAA	Harlem	134,179	724,036	959,073	999,781	219
8-AAA	Cherokee Bluff	54,793	375,151	900,821	999,952	48
4-AAA	Westside (Augusta)	11,330	452,494	806,528	997,956	2,044
1-AAA	Peach County	4,601	886,754	985,074	999,943	57
3-AAA	Long County	1,996	241,336	756,383	999,708	292
8-AAA	Oconee County	167	196,572	611,479	995,598	4,402
1-AAA	Cairo	100	104,013	462,552	983,830	16,170
5-AAA	Douglass	38	761,435	975,147	999,251	749
1-AAA	Westover	20	161,623	688,765	995,904	4,096
2-AAA	LaGrange	19	145,259	799,252	995,524	4,476
4-AAA	West Laurens	17	27,007	175,154	851,900	148,100
4-AAA	Howard	3	20,953	88,221	507,264	492,736
3-AAA	Jenkins	2	101,421	557,949	997,861	2,139
7-AAA	Calhoun	1	865,682	980,755	999,321	679
6-AAA	North Hall	1	389,349	712,552	999,712	288
5-AAA	Stephenson	-	164,782	697,772	963,643	36,357
6-AAA	Lumpkin County	-	159,742	472,034	985,149	14,851
7-AAA	Northwest Whitfield	-	58,917	399,201	977,102	22,898
5-AAA	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	-	53,028	158,075	759,043	240,957
7-AAA	Gilmer	-	46,010	189,766	748,906	251,094
3-AAA	Southeast Bulloch	-	38,631	300,067	967,405	32,595
4-AAA	Baldwin	-	28,429	179,818	645,419	354,581
2-AAA	Whitewater	-	27,515	121,874	967,995	32,005
7-AAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	-	22,151	201,896	736,393	263,607
5-AAA	Luella	-	21,708	65,068	679,223	320,777
1-AAA	Monroe	-	17,445	93,965	754,546	245,454
7-AAA	Adairsville	-	7,480	234,822	914,267	85,733
8-AAA	Monroe Area	-	2,604	50,203	799,491	200,509
2-AAA	Upson-Lee	-	2,407	201,282	998,620	1,380
6-AAA	Pickens	-	701	9,714	129,641	870,359
2-AAA	Troup	-	347	6,435	618,321	381,679
6-AAA	White County	-	253	37,076	797,700	202,300
2-AAA	Mary Persons	-	168	6,499	316,435	683,565
5-AAA	Cedar Grove	-	166	104,521	826,759	173,241
1-AAA	Bainbridge	-	45	1,062	182,314	817,686
6-AAA	Dawson County	-	22	561	39,976	960,024
4-AAA	Richmond Academy	-	15	245	11,580	988,420
5-AAA	North Clayton	-	8	33	3,579	996,421
1-AAA	Dougherty	-	6	8,708	138,139	861,861
3-AAA	Liberty County	-	6	154	87,353	912,647
6-AAA	Chestatee	-	2	867	92,942	907,058
8-AAA	West Hall	-	-	1,477	248,931	751,069
4-AAA	Hephzibah	-	-	65	18,354	981,646
3-AAA	Beach	-	-	14	194,987	805,013
8-AAA	East Hall	-	-	14	36,219	963,781
7-AAA	Ridgeland	-	-	7	447	999,553
2-AAA	Spalding	-	-	6	27,811	972,189
3-AAA	Johnson (Savannah)	-	-	-	4,316	995,684
3-AAA	Windsor Forest	-	-	-	3,335	996,665
7-AAA	LaFayette	-	-	-	84	999,916
4-AAA	Cross Creek	-	-	-	56	999,944
3-AAA	Groves	-	-	-	12	999,988
5-AAA	Riverdale	-	-	-	2	999,998
3-AAA	Islands	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-AAA	Fayette County	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAA	Johnson (Gainesville)	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Class AA Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Pierce County	3-AA	6-0	75.35	1,000,000	4.29	913,644	770,786	624,714	488,803	1.05
Burke County	4-AA	4-1	66.73	1,000,000	3.63	824,614	550,708	290,624	121,251	7.25
Carver (Columbus)	1-AA	6-1	66.54	1,000,000	3.53	779,784	525,929	264,953	118,348	7.45
Morgan County	2-AA	7-0	66.17	1,000,000	3.52	783,747	472,148	279,562	109,549	8.13
Appling County	3-AA	3-2	65.49	999,889	3.08	665,607	344,060	150,761	65,035	14.38
Hapeville Charter	5-AA	2-3	63.16	999,987	2.85	569,489	265,549	105,515	36,079	26.72
Rockmart	7-AA	4-2	60.19	1,000,000	3.04	674,974	317,990	114,091	27,632	35.19
Callaway	2-AA	4-2	58.87	1,000,000	2.63	507,647	186,042	54,769	12,910	76.46
Sumter County	1-AA	7-0	56.33	1,000,000	2.40	410,272	111,296	29,064	5,681	175.03
Carver (Atlanta)	5-AA	4-2	57.52	999,965	2.16	286,021	92,930	24,513	5,228	190.28
Thomson	4-AA	3-2	55.61	999,997	2.28	360,948	108,220	22,251	4,032	247.02
Stephens County	8-AA	4-3	56.02	999,987	1.91	167,052	56,709	12,564	2,390	417.41
Columbia	6-AA	1-6	51.20	999,975	2.25	347,090	70,597	10,558	1,244	802.86
Hart County	8-AA	3-4	53.21	997,721	1.66	113,939	29,477	4,967	721	1,385.96
Westside (Macon)	2-AA	2-5	51.37	999,905	1.70	94,317	22,684	3,413	401	2,492.77
Crisp County	3-AA	1-5	50.22	969,985	1.30	77,506	14,681	1,872	218	4,586.16
Ringgold	7-AA	5-2	49.00	1,000,000	1.76	104,226	21,055	2,379	212	4,715.98
Cook	3-AA	2-5	49.18	973,533	1.24	57,835	9,529	1,028	102	9,802.92
Spencer	1-AA	4-3	48.72	998,245	1.53	60,387	11,118	1,218	99	10,100.01
East Jackson	8-AA	4-3	46.29	999,579	1.34	44,595	5,617	490	37	27,026.03
Laney	4-AA	3-2	45.14	999,934	1.45	58,196	7,269	492	22	45,453.55
Shaw	1-AA	3-4	40.50	999,859	1.28	23,219	1,684	77	2	499,999.00
Union County	7-AA	3-4	39.89	998,601	1.25	18,827	1,420	49	2	499,999.00
North Murray	7-AA	4-2	39.15	999,880	1.18	14,399	920	42	1	999,999.00
Jackson	2-AA	4-3	37.56	999,806	1.11	10,843	516	19	1	999,999.00
South Atlanta	6-AA	2-5	33.65	976,235	1.12	8,106	315	5	-	-
Pike County	2-AA	4-2	32.96	999,378	1.12	5,840	171	4	-	-
Miller Grove	6-AA	4-3	32.72	990,019	1.19	10,269	361	3	-	-
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	5-AA	2-5	35.67	641,361	0.67	3,314	152	3	-	-
Lakeview Ft. Oglethorpe	7-AA	2-4	30.57	454,173	0.46	734	17	-	-	-
Washington	5-AA	3-4	32.14	136,975	0.14	403	16	-	-	-
Sonoraville	7-AA	2-5	31.10	227,198	0.23	544	12	-	-	-
Hardaway	1-AA	2-4	29.67	487,178	0.50	542	10	-	-	-
Butler	4-AA	2-2	25.58	986,030	1.01	872	9	-	-	-
Redan	6-AA	2-5	23.57	772,507	0.78	121	2	-	-	-
Franklin County	8-AA	3-4	29.37	35,746	0.04	49	1	-	-	-
Tattnall County	3-AA	1-4	25.50	62,015	0.06	16	-	-	-	-
Therrell	5-AA	1-6	29.46	7,681	0.01	8	-	-	-	-
Salem	6-AA	1-4	13.53	262,742	0.26	4	-	-	-	-
Glenn Hills	4-AA	0-5	-5.37	10,291	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Josey	4-AA	0-5	-10.77	4,922	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Columbus	1-AA	1-5	9.71	3,745	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Rutland	2-AA	0-7	19.23	1,857	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Kendrick	1-AA	2-5	8.39	1,642	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Coahulla Creek	7-AA	0-6	14.41	1,310	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Murray County	7-AA	1-6	-5.28	147	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Jordan	1-AA	0-7	-13.49	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
2-AA	Morgan County	707,887	992,181	1,000,000	1,000,000	-
1-AA	Carver (Columbus)	137,619	962,939	1,000,000	1,000,000	-
3-AA	Pierce County	105,299	870,214	999,217	1,000,000	-
1-AA	Sumter County	45,446	877,974	999,986	1,000,000	-
7-AA	Rockmart	3,483	945,617	999,714	1,000,000	-
4-AA	Burke County	212	845,761	993,531	1,000,000	-
2-AA	Callaway	52	465,850	986,465	1,000,000	-
3-AA	Appling County	1	262,515	875,086	999,889	111
5-AA	Carver (Atlanta)	1	138,311	602,872	999,965	35
6-AA	Columbia	-	930,483	997,609	999,975	25
5-AA	Hapeville Charter	-	373,394	840,664	999,987	13
4-AA	Thomson	-	166,739	828,651	999,997	3
6-AA	Miller Grove	-	64,769	620,544	990,019	9,981
7-AA	Ringgold	-	43,855	966,040	1,000,000	-
4-AA	Laney	-	27,285	251,888	999,934	66
3-AA	Crisp County	-	11,015	88,234	969,985	30,015
8-AA	Stephens County	-	6,418	540,121	999,987	13
7-AA	North Murray	-	4,934	109,486	999,880	120
6-AA	Redan	-	3,122	13,006	772,507	227,493
2-AA	Jackson	-	2,110	24,774	999,806	194
6-AA	South Atlanta	-	1,360	359,561	976,235	23,765
3-AA	Cook	-	845	63,710	973,533	26,467
2-AA	Pike County	-	668	63,753	999,378	622
2-AA	Westside (Macon)	-	660	679,977	999,905	95
8-AA	East Jackson	-	310	74,510	999,579	421
6-AA	Salem	-	266	9,287	262,742	737,258
7-AA	Union County	-	221	140,168	998,601	1,399
4-AA	Butler	-	167	3,388	986,030	13,970
1-AA	Shaw	-	14	161,458	999,859	141
1-AA	Spencer	-	2	465,497	998,245	1,755
3-AA	Tattnall County	-	1	308	62,015	937,985
8-AA	Hart County	-	-	238,573	997,721	2,279
1-AA	Hardaway	-	-	1,433	487,178	512,822
5-AA	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	-	-	401	641,361	358,639
7-AA	Sonoraville	-	-	58	227,198	772,802
5-AA	Washington	-	-	18	136,975	863,025
2-AA	Rutland	-	-	9	1,857	998,143
5-AA	Therrell	-	-	2	7,681	992,319
1-AA	Columbus	-	-	1	3,745	996,255
7-AA	Lakeview Ft. Oglethorpe	-	-	-	454,173	545,827
8-AA	Franklin County	-	-	-	35,746	964,254
4-AA	Glenn Hills	-	-	-	10,291	989,709
4-AA	Josey	-	-	-	4,922	995,078
1-AA	Kendrick	-	-	-	1,642	998,358
7-AA	Coahulla Creek	-	-	-	1,310	998,690
7-AA	Murray County	-	-	-	147	999,853
1-AA	Jordan	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Class A Division I Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Toombs County	3-A Division I	5-0	73.24	1,000,000	4.26	917,343	752,385	604,192	462,437	1.16
Fannin County	7-A Division I	7-0	64.21	1,000,000	3.71	825,876	576,967	350,940	134,340	6.44
Fitzgerald	1-A Division I	4-1	65.73	1,000,000	3.55	793,254	513,561	282,135	132,484	6.55
Thomasville	1-A Division I	5-2	65.38	1,000,000	3.42	734,269	480,226	256,450	114,291	7.75
Dublin	2-A Division I	6-0	63.16	1,000,000	3.34	754,967	444,640	190,682	79,135	11.64
Northeast	2-A Division I	5-1	60.30	1,000,000	2.98	643,543	313,667	112,414	36,749	26.21
Dodge County	2-A Division I	7-0	56.57	1,000,000	2.70	541,902	223,632	60,076	14,013	70.36
Worth County	1-A Division I	3-3	57.62	999,810	2.54	460,162	172,753	56,437	13,749	71.73
Commerce	8-A Division I	4-3	54.94	999,994	2.38	381,951	118,961	28,828	5,907	168.29
Heard County	6-A Division I	4-2	51.18	995,742	2.23	350,705	105,680	19,127	2,659	375.08
Rabun County	8-A Division I	5-2	52.71	999,991	1.97	193,628	63,567	12,868	2,101	474.96
Lamar County	4-A Division I	5-1	47.70	1,000,000	2.04	254,022	56,453	8,090	709	1,409.44
Elbert County	8-A Division I	3-4	49.67	995,286	1.55	130,049	29,462	4,145	498	2,007.03
Temple	6-A Division I	5-2	45.73	999,275	1.73	129,503	22,128	2,477	199	5,024.13
Vidalia	3-A Division I	3-2	47.08	881,325	1.25	78,905	14,137	1,655	145	6,895.55
Bacon County	1-A Division I	4-2	45.49	963,147	1.38	71,039	11,302	1,086	86	11,626.91
Jasper County	4-A Division I	5-1	43.32	1,000,000	1.70	121,261	17,206	1,583	83	12,047.19
Jeff Davis	1-A Division I	4-2	45.37	952,707	1.31	65,647	10,551	1,035	71	14,083.51
Bremen	6-A Division I	4-3	44.06	985,444	1.39	77,232	11,863	1,018	68	14,704.88
Gordon Lee	7-A Division I	5-2	43.14	1,000,000	1.65	105,704	15,705	1,134	67	14,924.37
ACE Charter	2-A Division I	3-3	44.61	970,441	1.39	56,404	8,687	790	66	15,150.52
Swainsboro	3-A Division I	1-5	46.08	673,735	0.82	34,537	6,334	791	54	18,517.52
Bleckley County	2-A Division I	2-4	44.71	766,340	0.97	41,619	5,403	514	35	28,570.43
Social Circle	4-A Division I	4-2	41.00	994,384	1.53	78,073	9,663	667	21	47,618.05
Chattooga	7-A Division I	5-2	40.15	999,991	1.43	48,184	5,099	335	12	83,332.33
Washington County	2-A Division I	3-4	41.10	826,741	1.02	26,613	2,953	174	8	124,999.00
Southwest	2-A Division I	2-4	40.64	809,787	1.00	25,952	2,818	175	7	142,856.14
Putnam County	4-A Division I	3-4	38.87	944,961	1.15	28,133	2,564	125	4	249,999.00
Model	6-A Division I	3-3	36.31	504,293	0.57	7,777	547	28	1	999,999.00
Dade County	7-A Division I	2-5	33.76	914,504	1.03	7,692	337	4	1	999,999.00
East Laurens	2-A Division I	2-3	35.76	626,992	0.71	8,010	512	19	-	-
McNair	4-A Division I	2-5	35.23	371,721	0.40	3,469	183	6	-	-
Towers	4-A Division I	2-3	24.57	866,635	0.89	854	16	-	-	-
B.E.S.T. Academy	5-A Division I	4-3	26.04	504,903	1.52	710	13	-	-	-
Brantley County	1-A Division I	1-5	31.09	135,935	0.14	236	11	-	-	-
Gordon Central	7-A Division I	3-4	23.40	651,804	0.67	517	10	-	-	-
Pepperell	6-A Division I	0-7	32.50	13,430	0.01	36	3	-	-	-
Coosa	7-A Division I	3-4	21.47	284,406	0.29	142	1	-	-	-
Armuchee	7-A Division I	3-4	18.21	351,456	0.36	73	-	-	-	-
Banks County	8-A Division I	0-6	22.61	5,932	0.01	3	-	-	-	-
Oglethorpe County	8-A Division I	0-6	24.34	3,978	0.00	3	-	-	-	-
Haralson County	6-A Division I	1-6	25.62	3,300	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Berrien	1-A Division I	0-5	24.02	1,399	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Jefferson County	2-A Division I	0-5	19.03	211	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Macon)	2-A Division I	0-6	9.75	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Utopian Academy	4-A Division I	0-6	-25.85	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
7-A Division I	Fannin County	882,791	992,788	1,000,000	1,000,000	-
2-A Division I	Dublin	33,801	787,635	999,116	1,000,000	-
3-A Division I	Toombs County	28,812	950,487	999,704	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Fitzgerald	17,368	817,597	995,469	1,000,000	-
2-A Division I	Dodge County	15,314	493,736	999,982	1,000,000	-
2-A Division I	Northeast	14,549	681,876	993,562	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Thomasville	4,737	443,267	995,999	1,000,000	-
4-A Division I	Jasper County	1,331	398,693	861,291	1,000,000	-
4-A Division I	Lamar County	978	646,848	929,074	1,000,000	-
7-A Division I	Gordon Lee	315	43,641	976,433	1,000,000	-
4-A Division I	Social Circle	2	256,466	624,004	994,384	5,616
1-A Division I	Bacon County	2	11,588	137,472	963,147	36,853
6-A Division I	Heard County	-	687,252	876,202	995,742	4,258
1-A Division I	Worth County	-	209,093	826,521	999,810	190
8-A Division I	Commerce	-	207,542	987,636	999,994	6
6-A Division I	Temple	-	127,676	686,773	999,275	725
6-A Division I	Bremen	-	87,781	207,137	985,444	14,556
8-A Division I	Rabun County	-	60,781	532,171	999,991	9
4-A Division I	Putnam County	-	37,946	123,967	944,961	55,039
7-A Division I	Chattooga	-	36,549	697,449	999,991	9
6-A Division I	Model	-	8,973	33,934	504,293	495,707
8-A Division I	Elbert County	-	7,072	68,367	995,286	4,714
3-A Division I	Vidalia	-	1,937	29,090	881,325	118,675
1-A Division I	Jeff Davis	-	1,718	54,051	952,707	47,293
3-A Division I	Swainsboro	-	929	15,049	673,735	326,265
4-A Division I	Towers	-	89	12,611	866,635	133,365
5-A Division I	B.E.S.T. Academy	-	38	3,831	504,903	495,097
1-A Division I	Brantley County	-	2	402	135,935	864,065
2-A Division I	ACE Charter	-	-	212,710	970,441	29,559
7-A Division I	Dade County	-	-	41,290	914,504	85,496
2-A Division I	Southwest	-	-	31,288	809,787	190,213
2-A Division I	Washington County	-	-	30,599	826,741	173,259
2-A Division I	East Laurens	-	-	13,011	626,992	373,008
7-A Division I	Gordon Central	-	-	2,938	651,804	348,196
7-A Division I	Coosa	-	-	432	284,406	715,594
2-A Division I	Bleckley County	-	-	257	766,340	233,660
8-A Division I	Oglethorpe County	-	-	57	3,978	996,022
4-A Division I	McNair	-	-	56	371,721	628,279
6-A Division I	Haralson County	-	-	27	3,300	996,700
8-A Division I	Banks County	-	-	23	5,932	994,068
7-A Division I	Armuchee	-	-	14	351,456	648,544
6-A Division I	Pepperell	-	-	1	13,430	986,570
1-A Division I	Berrien	-	-	-	1,399	998,601
2-A Division I	Jefferson County	-	-	-	211	999,789
2-A Division I	Central (Macon)	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
4-A Division I	Utopian Academy	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Class A Division II

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Manchester	7-A Division II	5-1	66.35	1,000,000	4.34	955,006	834,302	555,442	383,265	1.61
Irwin County	2-A Division II	6-0	64.73	999,688	4.00	875,719	751,337	448,848	278,790	2.59
Brooks County	2-A Division II	3-3	61.56	999,160	3.57	782,296	583,040	338,599	151,718	5.59
Bowdon	7-A Division II	5-2	59.89	999,792	3.44	769,595	447,087	287,826	106,373	8.40
Clinch County	2-A Division II	5-0	55.16	985,463	2.61	536,722	301,281	107,899	28,909	33.59
Trion	7-A Division II	7-1	52.77	999,999	2.77	598,983	268,979	81,245	17,002	57.82
Lincoln County	8-A Division II	5-0	54.10	992,374	2.30	483,556	154,028	55,925	16,321	60.27
Greene County	8-A Division II	5-1	50.11	974,159	1.78	283,944	86,685	23,475	4,513	220.58
Jenkins County	3-A Division II	5-1	48.59	999,856	2.31	377,461	93,592	23,974	3,912	254.62
Metter	3-A Division II	3-1	47.78	983,173	2.11	293,129	70,825	16,025	2,535	393.48
Early County	1-A Division II	4-3	47.11	901,749	2.03	232,019	81,056	17,309	2,390	417.41
Pelham	1-A Division II	2-4	44.04	926,989	1.93	180,615	44,195	7,075	768	1,301.08
Wheeler County	4-A Division II	5-1	43.55	995,575	1.82	164,200	46,125	7,564	673	1,484.88
Miller County	1-A Division II	5-2	44.51	841,285	1.72	154,544	34,235	5,437	618	1,617.12
Warren County	8-A Division II	4-2	45.28	916,116	1.28	118,234	28,218	5,172	597	1,674.04
Macon County	6-A Division II	4-3	41.95	999,988	2.13	346,233	46,951	4,234	467	2,140.33
Mitchell County	1-A Division II	5-1	42.49	749,397	1.44	101,743	21,994	3,087	295	3,388.83
Emanuel County Institute	3-A Division II	3-2	43.47	737,270	1.24	89,754	18,640	2,270	231	4,328.00
Seminole County	1-A Division II	4-3	43.17	566,970	1.05	69,404	11,766	1,610	151	6,621.52
Charlton County	2-A Division II	4-2	42.63	865,351	1.19	96,345	11,732	1,476	150	6,665.67
Schley County	6-A Division II	4-4	40.12	999,996	1.29	80,857	13,531	1,415	89	11,234.96
Telfair County	4-A Division II	3-2	39.50	865,161	1.28	60,896	9,136	902	63	15,872.02
Taylor County	6-A Division II	4-2	38.55	988,529	1.32	84,174	9,669	753	46	21,738.13
McIntosh County Academy	3-A Division II	4-2	38.96	840,759	1.30	64,036	7,178	485	28	35,713.29
Wilcox County	4-A Division II	3-3	38.88	723,231	1.00	42,980	5,189	439	27	37,036.04
Lake Oconee Academy	8-A Division II	5-1	38.61	736,271	0.82	20,909	3,833	306	20	49,999.00
Johnson County	5-A Division II	3-2	36.74	997,815	1.35	26,773	4,283	363	18	55,554.56
Hawkinsville	4-A Division II	4-2	37.66	809,712	1.10	38,281	3,710	259	14	71,427.57
Wilkinson County	5-A Division II	3-3	36.80	999,445	1.37	27,497	4,515	463	12	83,332.33
Dooly County	4-A Division II	0-5	35.81	560,962	0.71	17,455	1,297	64	4	249,999.00
Portal	3-A Division II	2-3	34.15	374,404	0.48	8,458	790	37	1	999,999.00
Washington-Wilkes	8-A Division II	3-3	33.21	381,080	0.40	3,205	407	17	-	-
Hancock Central	5-A Division II	2-4	27.27	964,566	1.06	4,590	129	3	-	-
Bryan County	3-A Division II	4-3	31.87	54,467	0.07	1,057	69	1	-	-
Marion County	6-A Division II	2-4	26.78	795,039	0.81	1,500	65	1	-	-
Greenville	7-A Division II	3-3	23.20	996,790	1.09	5,766	78	-	-	-
Turner County	2-A Division II	0-6	30.32	111,786	0.12	1,173	27	-	-	-
Lanier County	2-A Division II	1-5	28.66	38,552	0.04	347	8	-	-	-
Randolph-Clay	1-A Division II	2-4	29.04	13,609	0.02	99	7	-	-	-
Treutlen	4-A Division II	1-4	23.87	38,288	0.04	97	4	-	-	-
Screven County	3-A Division II	2-3	24.30	10,069	0.01	35	3	-	-	-
Glascock County	5-A Division II	1-4	17.26	746,506	0.77	256	2	-	-	-
Mount Zion (Carroll)	7-A Division II	3-5	24.19	3,419	0.00	24	1	-	-	-
Montgomery County	4-A Division II	2-3	17.53	7,071	0.01	2	1	-	-	-
Chattahoochee County	6-A Division II	2-4	18.99	206,833	0.21	20	-	-	-	-
Twiggs County	5-A Division II	2-4	8.06	285,134	0.29	10	-	-	-	-
Crawford County	6-A Division II	2-4	16.24	9,575	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Georgia Military Prep	5-A Division II	0-6	-7.12	6,534	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Talbotton)	6-A Division II	1-4	-12.42	40	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Savannah	3-A Division II	0-4	3.56	2	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Terrell County	1-A Division II	2-5	-1.92	1	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Atkinson County	2-A Division II	4-2	11.59	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Claxton	3-A Division II	0-6	8.88	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Towns County	8-A Division II	4-3	6.21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Calhoun County	1-A Division II	2-4	5.88	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Baconton Charter	1-A Division II	1-6	-4.62	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Pataula Charter	1-A Division II	2-4	-8.10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Southwest Georgia STEM	1-A Division II	2-2	-30.36	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Spring Creek	1-A Division II	0-4	-63.34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Division II	Early County	392,095	173,956	204,876	130,822	901,749	98,251
1-A Division II	Pelham	305,384	268,239	212,108	141,258	926,989	73,011
1-A Division II	Mitchell County	150,617	153,508	196,730	248,542	749,397	250,603
1-A Division II	Miller County	145,735	270,551	238,799	186,200	841,285	158,715
1-A Division II	Seminole County	6,169	133,742	144,849	282,210	566,970	433,030
1-A Division II	Randolph-Clay	-	4	2,638	10,967	13,609	986,391
1-A Division II	Terrell County	-	-	-	1	1	999,999
1-A Division II	Calhoun County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Pataula Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Spring Creek	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Baconton Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Southwest Georgia STEM	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-A Division II	Irwin County	595,131	293,166	98,473	12,918	999,688	312
2-A Division II	Brooks County	288,290	410,309	253,227	47,334	999,160	840
2-A Division II	Clinch County	110,638	269,880	489,580	115,365	985,463	14,537
2-A Division II	Charlton County	5,936	26,284	147,766	685,365	865,351	134,649
2-A Division II	Lanier County	5	212	3,618	34,717	38,552	961,448
2-A Division II	Turner County	-	149	7,336	104,301	111,786	888,214
2-A Division II	Atkinson County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
3-A Division II	Jenkins County	579,641	404,891	13,496	1,828	999,856	144
3-A Division II	Metter	406,664	317,161	180,041	79,307	983,173	16,827
3-A Division II	McIntosh County Academy	11,565	193,377	475,176	160,641	840,759	159,241
3-A Division II	Emanuel County Institute	1,082	72,790	217,019	446,379	737,270	262,730
3-A Division II	Bryan County	1,030	4,244	12,235	36,958	54,467	945,533
3-A Division II	Screven County	12	23	437	9,597	10,069	989,931
3-A Division II	Portal	6	7,514	101,596	265,288	374,404	625,596
3-A Division II	Savannah	-	-	-	2	2	999,998
3-A Division II	Claxton	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
4-A Division II	Wheeler County	687,651	215,420	63,695	28,809	995,575	4,425
4-A Division II	Telfair County	185,219	277,893	231,094	170,955	865,161	134,839
4-A Division II	Wilcox County	82,417	132,857	217,875	290,082	723,231	276,769
4-A Division II	Hawkinsville	34,596	258,109	295,980	221,027	809,712	190,288
4-A Division II	Dooly County	9,460	112,452	181,387	257,663	560,962	439,038
4-A Division II	Treutlen	633	3,083	8,751	25,821	38,288	961,712
4-A Division II	Montgomery County	24	186	1,218	5,643	7,071	992,929
5-A Division II	Wilkinson County	586,201	383,620	24,992	4,632	999,445	555
5-A Division II	Johnson County	395,797	451,306	127,080	23,632	997,815	2,185
5-A Division II	Hancock Central	10,381	125,905	613,621	214,659	964,566	35,434
5-A Division II	Glascock County	7,364	35,724	201,179	502,239	746,506	253,494
5-A Division II	Twiggs County	257	3,443	32,807	248,627	285,134	714,866
5-A Division II	Georgia Military Prep	-	2	321	6,211	6,534	993,466
6-A Division II	Macon County	757,581	146,053	53,954	42,400	999,988	12
6-A Division II	Taylor County	169,768	266,696	506,045	46,020	988,529	11,471
6-A Division II	Schley County	63,064	570,995	318,151	47,786	999,996	4
6-A Division II	Marion County	9,585	15,978	92,908	676,568	795,039	204,961
6-A Division II	Chattahoochee County	2	278	25,640	180,913	206,833	793,167
6-A Division II	Crawford County	-	-	3,302	6,273	9,575	990,425
6-A Division II	Central (Talbotton)	-	-	-	40	40	999,960
7-A Division II	Manchester	999,850	137	13	-	1,000,000	-
7-A Division II	Bowdon	88	743,380	253,741	2,583	999,792	208
7-A Division II	Greenville	57	400	17,296	979,037	996,790	3,210
7-A Division II	Trion	5	256,083	728,618	15,293	999,999	1
7-A Division II	Mount Zion (Carroll)	-	-	332	3,087	3,419	996,581
8-A Division II	Lincoln County	546,920	280,985	121,664	42,805	992,374	7,626
8-A Division II	Greene County	288,214	386,846	221,581	77,518	974,159	25,841
8-A Division II	Warren County	131,755	231,895	365,259	187,207	916,116	83,884
8-A Division II	Lake Oconee Academy	27,702	71,910	205,620	431,039	736,271	263,729
8-A Division II	Washington-Wilkes	5,409	28,364	85,876	261,431	381,080	618,920
8-A Division II	Towns County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

AAA to A Private

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Savannah Christian	3-A Division I	6-0	77.86	1,000,000	4.42	962,549	811,191	644,487	417,615	1.39
Hebron Christian	8-AA	6-1	75.93	1,000,000	4.24	954,583	731,090	549,878	298,513	2.35
Prince Avenue Christian	8-AA	4-3	74.78	1,000,000	3.86	888,018	602,402	368,292	191,315	4.23
Lovett	5-AA	7-0	65.40	1,000,000	3.36	807,430	414,916	138,956	34,891	27.66
Calvary Day	3-AAA	4-1	64.18	1,000,000	3.26	783,989	384,935	96,554	23,446	41.65
Athens Academy	8-A Division I	7-0	62.56	1,000,000	3.24	783,943	368,047	91,196	18,430	53.26
Fellowship Christian	5-A Division I	5-2	61.36	1,000,000	3.99	652,817	294,774	65,279	11,741	84.17
Wesleyan	5-A Division I	6-1	56.94	1,000,000	3.62	476,310	158,929	24,601	2,856	349.14
Greater Atlanta Christian	6-AAA	3-3	52.36	1,000,000	2.33	333,304	67,884	7,087	498	2,007.03
Whitefield Academy	5-A Division I	4-2	50.86	1,000,000	3.39	387,327	59,019	5,907	325	3,075.92
North Cobb Christian	7-AA	6-0	50.88	1,000,000	2.38	380,537	54,613	5,383	314	3,183.71
Holy Innocents	5-AA	3-4	46.71	1,000,000	1.63	63,450	8,154	436	13	76,922.08
Christian Heritage	7-A Division I	6-1	43.11	1,000,000	2.10	183,171	11,989	545	12	83,332.33
Darlington	6-A Division I	4-2	43.48	1,000,000	1.76	85,173	8,069	378	10	99,999.00
Aquinas	4-AAA	2-2	45.00	1,000,000	1.65	53,572	6,010	343	8	124,999.00
Mount Vernon	5-A Division I	4-3	45.21	1,000,000	2.67	55,061	6,550	276	6	166,665.67
Savannah Country Day	3-A Division I	2-4	45.53	1,000,000	1.57	51,469	5,939	264	6	166,665.67
Landmark Christian	5-A Division I	5-1	39.97	1,000,000	2.68	68,628	4,047	111	1	999,999.00
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	2-AAA	1-6	39.33	1,000,000	1.18	14,764	945	23	-	-
King's Ridge Christian	5-A Division I	6-1	33.95	1,000,000	2.30	6,026	237	2	-	-
Mount Paran Christian	5-A Division I	5-2	34.15	1,000,000	2.28	5,644	222	2	-	-
Providence Christian	8-A Division I	1-5	29.57	1,000,000	1.07	1,833	36	-	-	-
Mount Pisgah Christian	5-A Division I	0-7	19.30	1,000,000	2.02	358	2	-	-	-
St. Francis	5-A Division I	0-8	12.51	1,000,000	2.01	44	-	-	-	-
Walker	5-A Division I	2-5	-15.21	1,000,000	2.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
3-A Division I	Savannah Christian	621,651	986,424	1,000,000	1,000,000	-
8-AA	Hebron Christian	216,548	941,516	1,000,000	1,000,000	-
5-AA	Lovett	65,444	823,756	999,991	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Athens Academy	33,225	836,695	999,988	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Wesleyan	22,940	380,201	999,627	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Fellowship Christian	18,624	551,592	999,967	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Whitefield Academy	9,454	493,680	999,271	1,000,000	-
7-AA	North Cobb Christian	8,015	473,703	996,255	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Landmark Christian	1,975	139,285	993,123	1,000,000	-
7-A Division I	Christian Heritage	1,403	397,156	997,812	1,000,000	-
3-AAA	Calvary Day	686	907,231	999,931	1,000,000	-
8-AA	Prince Avenue Christian	35	466,588	999,083	1,000,000	-
6-AAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	-	452,935	830,346	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	Darlington	-	133,981	556,582	1,000,000	-
4-AAA	Aquinas	-	14,696	374,818	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Paran Christian	-	302	522,726	1,000,000	-
3-A Division I	Savannah Country Day	-	196	86,895	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	King's Ridge Christian	-	32	755,207	1,000,000	-
5-AA	Holy Innocents	-	26	66,346	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Vernon	-	3	821,988	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Providence Christian	-	2	44	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Walker	-	-	-	1,000,000	-
2-AAA	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	-	-	-	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Pisgah Christian	-	-	-	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	St. Francis	-	-	-	1,000,000	-

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

Class AAAAAA

Modal bracket

Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class AAAAA

Modal bracket

Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class AAAA

Modal bracket

Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class AAA Public

Modal bracket

Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class AA Public

Modal bracket

Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class A Division I Public

Modal bracket

Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class A Division II

Modal bracket

Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

More Stories

Ranking the 100 greatest Georgia high school football finals of all-time

Maxwell 2025 season summary | Buford, TCC, Carrollton top teams in state

Maxwell GHSA championship predictions: Carrollton-Buford highest rated matchup in 45 years

Georgia basketball remains in favorable position for NCAA Tournament

GHSA removes team from state tournament, reseeds Class 3A over missing scores

Kirby Smart explains why he’s ‘certainly for’ College Football Playoff expansion

Voting rights group sues Raffensperger over voter cancellation documents

MARTA to launch revamped bus network, ‘last-mile’ van service

Three No. 1 teams lose in second round of state basketball tournament