Maxwell playoff projections heading into Week 9

August 20, 2021 - Kennesaw, Ga: Buford wide receiver Tobi Olawale (4) celebrates his receiving touchdown with running back Victor Venn (6) during the second half against North Cobb at North Cobb high school Friday, August 20, 2021 in Kennesaw, Ga.. Buford won 35-27. JASON GETZ FOR THE ATLANTA JOURNAL-CONSTITUTION

By Loren Maxwell

Oct 13, 2021

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class in the GHSA.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2021 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 iterations.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Collins Hill	8-AAAAAAA	6-0	106.71	1,000,000	4.69	961,614	912,972	826,502	690,887	0.45
Mill Creek	8-AAAAAAA	6-0	96.76	999,956	4.06	845,672	690,441	562,082	171,603	4.83
North Cobb	3-AAAAAAA	4-1	90.92	999,299	3.52	777,738	603,271	222,296	88,094	10.35
Colquitt County	1-AAAAAAA	5-1	86.72	1,000,000	2.51	585,604	176,290	58,944	10,942	90.39
Brookwood	4-AAAAAAA	4-2	82.15	993,753	2.78	550,291	306,246	70,941	10,075	98.26
Roswell	5-AAAAAAA	5-1	75.80	999,991	2.70	488,825	155,400	56,762	7,592	130.72
Walton	3-AAAAAAA	3-1	81.26	950,380	2.21	413,490	163,862	41,850	5,688	174.81
Pebblebrook	2-AAAAAAA	4-0-1	66.07	999,827	2.02	129,594	59,560	29,370	2,981	334.46
Grayson	4-AAAAAAA	5-2	78.80	988,391	2.24	349,838	143,247	22,360	2,341	426.17
Milton	5-AAAAAAA	5-1	76.03	999,985	2.43	333,027	106,607	19,355	2,179	457.93
Lowndes	1-AAAAAAA	4-2	77.99	1,000,000	1.96	346,572	103,674	20,572	2,089	477.70
North Gwinnett	8-AAAAAAA	3-4	77.10	989,594	2.03	274,669	120,814	16,097	1,223	816.66
North Paulding	3-AAAAAAA	3-2	68.35	920,173	1.74	261,348	80,054	12,598	1,000	999.00
South Forsyth	6-AAAAAAA	4-1	71.73	996,245	2.11	330,970	96,664	9,687	974	1,025.69
Marietta	3-AAAAAAA	3-2	80.68	747,822	1.37	225,858	50,125	8,956	854	1,169.96
Newton	4-AAAAAAA	4-1	75.16	972,242	1.88	216,589	68,428	7,995	652	1,532.74
East Coweta	2-AAAAAAA	5-1	82.73	993,513	1.60	84,483	24,366	3,363	375	2,665.67
Archer	7-AAAAAAA	2-4	70.53	999,994	1.96	194,605	44,128	3,699	147	6,801.72
Camden County	1-AAAAAAA	4-3	73.77	1,000,000	1.36	99,255	20,236	1,977	102	9,802.92
Denmark	6-AAAAAAA	4-1	69.10	944,279	1.43	108,108	23,689	1,521	80	12,499.00
West Forsyth	6-AAAAAAA	2-3	75.21	585,604	0.69	21,386	6,687	697	33	30,302.03
Cherokee	5-AAAAAAA	3-3	67.84	955,541	1.57	88,009	8,069	474	21	47,618.05
Tift County	1-AAAAAAA	5-2	69.86	1,000,000	1.20	43,594	7,381	485	19	52,630.58
Harrison	3-AAAAAAA	2-3	70.46	372,091	0.50	38,928	3,914	294	15	66,665.67
Norcross	7-AAAAAAA	5-2	66.88	999,944	1.61	80,429	7,008	345	10	99,999.00
McEachern	2-AAAAAAA	2-4	65.37	997,962	1.26	41,338	5,118	234	9	111,110.11
North Forsyth	6-AAAAAAA	4-2	68.99	699,288	0.79	17,365	2,861	176	5	199,999.00
Parkview	4-AAAAAAA	3-4	67.53	649,026	0.81	11,727	1,701	132	5	199,999.00
Mountain View	8-AAAAAAA	3-3	63.69	869,553	1.11	35,607	3,226	85	3	333,332.33
Alpharetta	5-AAAAAAA	1-5	57.94	824,089	1.08	21,875	1,614	54	1	999,999.00
Newnan	2-AAAAAAA	2-3	60.82	868,307	0.96	11,208	1,010	23	1	999,999.00
Lambert	6-AAAAAAA	5-1	64.60	520,473	0.54	2,887	514	38	-	-
Gainesville	6-AAAAAAA	4-2	63.93	253,866	0.28	4,246	622	27	-	-
South Gwinnett	4-AAAAAAA	3-3	60.73	396,588	0.45	2,041	169	9	-	-
Etowah	5-AAAAAAA	0-5	51.37	220,228	0.24	738	21	-	-	-
Campbell	2-AAAAAAA	3-2	49.99	140,391	0.14	94	6	-	-	-
Peachtree Ridge	8-AAAAAAA	3-3	48.71	140,897	0.15	273	3	-	-	-
Meadowcreek	7-AAAAAAA	2-5	43.16	971,877	0.98	58	2	-	-	-
Hillgrove	3-AAAAAAA	1-4	50.03	10,235	0.01	41	-	-	-	-
Duluth	7-AAAAAAA	2-3	36.52	782,740	0.78	4	-	-	-	-
Discovery	7-AAAAAAA	2-4	30.21	93,218	0.09	2	-	-	-	-
Dunwoody	7-AAAAAAA	1-5	26.72	152,225	0.15	-	-	-	-	-
Forsyth Central	6-AAAAAAA	1-4	38.92	245	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Woodstock	5-AAAAAAA	0-6	39.58	166	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Berkmar	7-AAAAAAA	0-6	-3.62	2	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAAA	Colquitt County	581,230	294,654	90,427	33,689	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAAA	Lowndes	287,323	387,623	213,420	111,634	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAAA	Camden County	89,892	197,082	371,057	341,969	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAAA	Tift County	41,555	120,641	325,096	512,708	1,000,000	-
2-AAAAAAA	Pebblebrook	915,897	69,903	8,163	5,864	999,827	173
2-AAAAAAA	McEachern	51,472	192,574	513,926	239,990	997,962	2,038
2-AAAAAAA	East Coweta	20,353	673,319	241,421	58,420	993,513	6,487
2-AAAAAAA	Newnan	12,205	62,916	232,587	560,599	868,307	131,693
2-AAAAAAA	Campbell	73	1,288	3,903	135,127	140,391	859,609
3-AAAAAAA	North Cobb	723,736	210,942	48,694	15,927	999,299	701
3-AAAAAAA	Walton	161,982	374,488	268,956	144,954	950,380	49,620
3-AAAAAAA	North Paulding	86,010	294,374	377,813	161,976	920,173	79,827
3-AAAAAAA	Marietta	27,328	85,369	207,353	427,772	747,822	252,178
3-AAAAAAA	Harrison	942	34,763	95,752	240,634	372,091	627,909
3-AAAAAAA	Hillgrove	2	64	1,432	8,737	10,235	989,765
4-AAAAAAA	Brookwood	515,217	295,665	144,688	38,183	993,753	6,247
4-AAAAAAA	Grayson	292,941	343,890	267,858	83,702	988,391	11,609
4-AAAAAAA	Newton	179,970	308,767	392,480	91,025	972,242	27,758
4-AAAAAAA	Parkview	10,074	37,146	126,989	474,817	649,026	350,974
4-AAAAAAA	South Gwinnett	1,798	14,532	67,985	312,273	396,588	603,412
5-AAAAAAA	Roswell	664,782	321,458	11,250	2,501	999,991	9
5-AAAAAAA	Milton	329,676	567,068	101,226	2,015	999,985	15
5-AAAAAAA	Cherokee	3,438	101,121	617,061	233,921	955,541	44,459
5-AAAAAAA	Alpharetta	2,104	10,292	235,263	576,430	824,089	175,911
5-AAAAAAA	Etowah	-	60	35,191	184,977	220,228	779,772
5-AAAAAAA	Woodstock	-	1	9	156	166	999,834
6-AAAAAAA	South Forsyth	664,680	250,039	69,509	12,017	996,245	3,755
6-AAAAAAA	Denmark	266,503	433,621	146,921	97,234	944,279	55,721
6-AAAAAAA	North Forsyth	49,838	102,179	324,262	223,009	699,288	300,712
6-AAAAAAA	Gainesville	14,846	48,362	77,130	113,528	253,866	746,134
6-AAAAAAA	West Forsyth	3,863	142,146	180,839	258,756	585,604	414,396
6-AAAAAAA	Lambert	270	23,653	201,338	295,212	520,473	479,527
6-AAAAAAA	Forsyth Central	-	-	1	244	245	999,755
7-AAAAAAA	Archer	683,868	315,295	825	6	999,994	6
7-AAAAAAA	Norcross	315,959	679,437	3,296	1,252	999,944	56
7-AAAAAAA	Duluth	168	4,054	22,147	756,371	782,740	217,260
7-AAAAAAA	Discovery	5	729	36,517	55,967	93,218	906,782
7-AAAAAAA	Meadowcreek	-	484	910,968	60,425	971,877	28,123
7-AAAAAAA	Dunwoody	-	1	26,247	125,977	152,225	847,775
7-AAAAAAA	Berkmar	-	-	-	2	2	999,998
8-AAAAAAA	Collins Hill	747,190	242,940	9,650	220	1,000,000	-
8-AAAAAAA	Mill Creek	251,546	739,463	8,148	799	999,956	44
8-AAAAAAA	North Gwinnett	1,119	12,820	824,425	151,230	989,594	10,406
8-AAAAAAA	Mountain View	145	4,649	148,856	715,903	869,553	130,447
8-AAAAAAA	Peachtree Ridge	-	128	8,921	131,848	140,897	859,103

Class AAAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Buford	8-AAAAAA	5-1	95.51	999,999	4.53	952,700	836,065	744,752	661,072	0.51
Carrollton	5-AAAAAA	5-1	82.49	994,271	3.05	672,975	486,408	163,855	74,501	12.42
Lee County	1-AAAAAA	6-1	83.57	1,000,000	3.02	683,196	210,230	132,702	56,742	16.62
Rome	5-AAAAAA	4-2	81.62	989,488	2.86	562,571	388,232	208,544	53,180	17.80
Hughes	4-AAAAAA	5-1	81.07	999,999	3.48	830,137	465,089	239,147	50,833	18.67
Cambridge	7-AAAAAA	4-0	77.25	997,686	2.59	484,784	246,736	130,418	32,421	29.84
Westlake	4-AAAAAA	4-2	79.61	999,853	2.94	637,842	308,528	64,439	23,401	41.73
Brunswick	2-AAAAAA	6-0	75.46	999,979	3.22	782,757	337,973	135,521	18,134	54.15
Johns Creek	7-AAAAAA	5-1	77.74	994,428	2.17	361,766	153,051	57,017	12,353	79.95
Creekview	7-AAAAAA	4-1	75.70	997,418	1.92	295,224	133,830	34,348	8,191	121.09
Northside (Warner Robins)	1-AAAAAA	3-2	73.73	1,000,000	2.45	325,983	112,913	36,517	4,008	248.50
Riverwood	7-AAAAAA	5-1	71.65	913,363	1.38	144,401	56,213	10,645	1,384	721.54
Houston County	1-AAAAAA	4-3	69.58	1,000,000	2.29	241,845	74,054	18,116	1,343	743.60
Lovejoy	4-AAAAAA	3-1	69.13	999,600	2.04	206,235	52,710	7,359	1,019	980.35
South Paulding	5-AAAAAA	4-2	61.98	995,453	1.51	140,251	41,711	6,332	931	1,073.11
Dacula	8-AAAAAA	3-3	64.56	999,753	1.78	133,736	23,209	3,489	152	6,577.95
Douglas County	5-AAAAAA	6-0	73.00	933,620	1.17	52,055	11,969	2,267	134	7,461.69
Pope	6-AAAAAA	4-1	62.39	999,231	1.82	127,979	19,807	1,798	80	12,499.00
Kennesaw Mountain	6-AAAAAA	6-0	71.93	999,972	1.85	133,256	19,656	1,405	74	13,512.51
Allatoona	6-AAAAAA	2-3	63.86	931,574	1.41	65,870	8,536	796	33	30,302.03
Glynn Academy	2-AAAAAA	2-3-1	58.91	858,331	0.99	22,527	2,107	98	4	249,999.00
Richmond Hill	2-AAAAAA	1-4	51.16	895,265	1.03	27,807	2,275	128	3	333,332.33
Shiloh	8-AAAAAA	1-4	55.31	901,047	1.21	26,041	1,797	91	2	499,999.00
Statesboro	2-AAAAAA	3-2	58.14	886,407	1.03	19,101	1,708	70	2	499,999.00
Alexander	5-AAAAAA	4-1	61.64	87,077	0.10	3,558	651	29	2	499,999.00
Sequoyah	7-AAAAAA	2-3	59.73	80,444	0.09	1,144	164	25	1	999,999.00
Lanier	8-AAAAAA	1-3	54.45	699,917	0.91	16,107	1,065	35	-	-
Kell	6-AAAAAA	2-3	55.47	689,013	0.77	6,862	433	25	-	-
Evans	3-AAAAAA	5-1	52.51	997,718	1.05	24,635	2,193	15	-	-
Effingham County	2-AAAAAA	3-1	63.63	353,722	0.38	4,377	202	6	-	-
River Ridge	7-AAAAAA	4-1	59.41	15,084	0.02	249	38	5	-	-
Winder-Barrow	8-AAAAAA	3-3	52.40	352,368	0.42	3,961	159	3	-	-
Alcovy	3-AAAAAA	1-3	44.58	988,814	1.02	4,537	219	2	-	-
Lassiter	6-AAAAAA	2-4	43.91	326,470	0.33	336	8	1	-	-
Tucker	4-AAAAAA	1-5	48.19	968,248	0.99	2,165	38	-	-	-
Lakeside (Evans)	3-AAAAAA	1-4	39.29	852,786	0.86	608	12	-	-	-
Grovetown	3-AAAAAA	1-4	40.15	846,049	0.86	210	5	-	-	-
Habersham Central	8-AAAAAA	2-4	45.49	42,600	0.05	124	3	-	-	-
Sprayberry	6-AAAAAA	2-1	52.94	53,500	0.05	57	3	-	-	-
North Atlanta	4-AAAAAA	4-2	44.20	11,926	0.01	12	-	-	-	-
Rockdale County	3-AAAAAA	1-4	33.27	301,104	0.30	5	-	-	-	-
South Effingham	2-AAAAAA	1-4	49.19	6,004	0.01	5	-	-	-	-
Central Gwinnett	8-AAAAAA	1-5	44.17	4,316	0.00	5	-	-	-	-
Centennial	7-AAAAAA	1-5	45.53	1,577	0.00	3	-	-	-	-
Morrow	4-AAAAAA	1-4	26.44	20,374	0.02	1	-	-	-	-
Heritage (Conyers)	3-AAAAAA	0-5	19.99	13,529	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Bradwell Institute	2-AAAAAA	0-4	24.40	292	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
South Cobb	6-AAAAAA	1-5	32.69	192	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Paulding County	5-AAAAAA	2-3	48.69	48	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Wheeler	6-AAAAAA	1-5	35.49	47	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Dalton	5-AAAAAA	1-5	51.85	37	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
East Paulding	5-AAAAAA	1-4	46.86	6	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Osborne	6-AAAAAA	1-3	27.56	1	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Valdosta	1-AAAAAA	2-3	73.96	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Chattahoochee	7-AAAAAA	1-5	30.38	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Lakeside (Atlanta)	4-AAAAAA	2-4	7.22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAA	Lee County	752,927	190,684	56,389	-	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	150,725	467,412	381,863	-	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAA	Houston County	96,348	341,904	561,748	-	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAA	Valdosta	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-AAAAAA	Brunswick	962,206	34,294	2,173	1,306	999,979	21
2-AAAAAA	Richmond Hill	27,931	154,880	347,818	364,636	895,265	104,735
2-AAAAAA	Effingham County	6,929	60,318	64,594	221,881	353,722	646,278
2-AAAAAA	Statesboro	1,612	441,721	289,531	153,543	886,407	113,593
2-AAAAAA	Glynn Academy	1,322	308,744	293,674	254,591	858,331	141,669
2-AAAAAA	South Effingham	-	41	2,186	3,777	6,004	993,996
2-AAAAAA	Bradwell Institute	-	2	24	266	292	999,708
3-AAAAAA	Evans	675,426	259,839	51,883	10,570	997,718	2,282
3-AAAAAA	Alcovy	242,192	382,680	243,745	120,197	988,814	11,186
3-AAAAAA	Lakeside (Evans)	67,667	180,718	304,327	300,074	852,786	147,214
3-AAAAAA	Grovetown	12,784	165,701	331,654	335,910	846,049	153,951
3-AAAAAA	Rockdale County	1,911	10,874	66,756	221,563	301,104	698,896
3-AAAAAA	Heritage (Conyers)	20	188	1,635	11,686	13,529	986,471
4-AAAAAA	Hughes	828,931	128,012	41,567	1,489	999,999	1
4-AAAAAA	Westlake	87,593	645,785	261,785	4,690	999,853	147
4-AAAAAA	Lovejoy	83,405	225,707	688,068	2,420	999,600	400
4-AAAAAA	Tucker	71	232	6,216	961,729	968,248	31,752
4-AAAAAA	North Atlanta	-	264	2,363	9,299	11,926	988,074
4-AAAAAA	Morrow	-	-	1	20,373	20,374	979,626
4-AAAAAA	Lakeside (Atlanta)	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAAA	Rome	691,581	112,809	79,746	105,352	989,488	10,512
5-AAAAAA	Carrollton	179,264	682,267	51,280	81,460	994,271	5,729
5-AAAAAA	South Paulding	124,169	165,945	687,746	17,593	995,453	4,547
5-AAAAAA	Douglas County	4,253	18,215	176,691	734,461	933,620	66,380
5-AAAAAA	Alexander	733	20,764	4,533	61,047	87,077	912,923
5-AAAAAA	Paulding County	-	-	3	45	48	999,952
5-AAAAAA	East Paulding	-	-	1	5	6	999,994
5-AAAAAA	Dalton	-	-	-	37	37	999,963
6-AAAAAA	Kennesaw Mountain	502,168	371,302	125,319	1,183	999,972	28
6-AAAAAA	Pope	376,770	407,403	194,814	20,244	999,231	769
6-AAAAAA	Allatoona	121,006	199,952	403,358	207,258	931,574	68,426
6-AAAAAA	Kell	43	18,821	209,109	461,040	689,013	310,987
6-AAAAAA	Sprayberry	12	1,037	11,501	40,950	53,500	946,500
6-AAAAAA	Lassiter	1	1,485	55,898	269,086	326,470	673,530
6-AAAAAA	Wheeler	-	-	1	46	47	999,953
6-AAAAAA	South Cobb	-	-	-	192	192	999,808
6-AAAAAA	Osborne	-	-	-	1	1	999,999
7-AAAAAA	Cambridge	559,035	295,451	104,148	39,052	997,686	2,314
7-AAAAAA	Johns Creek	340,854	362,506	236,462	54,606	994,428	5,572
7-AAAAAA	Creekview	68,573	251,293	397,884	279,668	997,418	2,582
7-AAAAAA	Riverwood	31,498	90,371	259,383	532,111	913,363	86,637
7-AAAAAA	River Ridge	40	370	1,518	13,156	15,084	984,916
7-AAAAAA	Centennial	-	9	96	1,472	1,577	998,423
7-AAAAAA	Sequoyah	-	-	509	79,935	80,444	919,556
7-AAAAAA	Chattahoochee	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAAAA	Buford	982,626	17,192	166	15	999,999	1
8-AAAAAA	Dacula	15,887	780,851	199,443	3,572	999,753	247
8-AAAAAA	Shiloh	1,182	198,543	426,107	275,215	901,047	98,953
8-AAAAAA	Lanier	305	3,402	301,398	394,812	699,917	300,083
8-AAAAAA	Winder-Barrow	-	11	51,800	300,557	352,368	647,632
8-AAAAAA	Habersham Central	-	1	20,807	21,792	42,600	957,400
8-AAAAAA	Central Gwinnett	-	-	279	4,037	4,316	995,684

Class AAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Warner Robins	1-AAAAA	6-0	100.65	999,999	4.61	904,984	893,910	821,178	660,802	0.51
Ware County	1-AAAAA	4-1	82.43	999,989	4.00	738,338	709,481	579,293	207,017	3.83
Creekside	3-AAAAA	5-1	85.53	999,967	3.31	706,754	643,750	167,498	47,328	20.13
Cartersville	7-AAAAA	5-0	87.93	1,000,000	2.65	264,662	240,998	148,038	38,059	25.27
Woodward Academy	3-AAAAA	6-0	80.05	1,000,000	2.81	564,450	480,284	92,063	17,478	56.21
Coffee	1-AAAAA	5-0	85.82	999,508	2.38	428,404	360,638	88,227	16,720	58.81
Calhoun	7-AAAAA	5-1	82.93	1,000,000	2.27	134,611	113,190	51,070	9,537	103.85
Whitewater	2-AAAAA	5-1	70.71	999,976	2.82	757,615	178,261	18,974	1,283	778.42
Jones County	4-AAAAA	4-2	71.29	999,542	2.70	756,263	87,028	14,036	865	1,155.07
Griffin	2-AAAAA	2-3	67.06	998,988	2.23	479,677	48,643	4,728	279	3,583.23
Dutchtown	4-AAAAA	4-2	66.52	1,000,000	2.29	556,486	54,702	3,770	166	6,023.10
St. Pius X	5-AAAAA	4-2	67.35	1,000,000	1.88	102,324	53,976	3,339	142	7,041.25
Clarke Central	8-AAAAA	3-2	62.24	1,000,000	2.45	486,202	13,847	2,396	108	9,258.26
Blessed Trinity	7-AAAAA	4-2	66.70	993,704	1.64	63,663	34,457	1,635	98	10,203.08
Decatur	5-AAAAA	6-0	66.89	999,994	1.73	73,216	36,145	1,929	68	14,704.88
Starr's Mill	2-AAAAA	4-2	61.76	992,881	1.73	275,595	22,243	834	21	47,618.05
Jonesboro	3-AAAAA	3-2	64.00	994,344	1.04	7,316	3,550	365	19	52,630.58
Union Grove	4-AAAAA	3-3	61.16	946,454	1.35	119,152	3,887	245	4	249,999.00
Eastside	8-AAAAA	3-3	52.37	845,843	1.39	78,937	2,949	65	3	333,332.33
New Manchester	6-AAAAA	3-3	54.79	999,840	1.85	138,142	5,186	87	1	999,999.00
Villa Rica	6-AAAAA	3-2	53.13	994,585	1.80	126,573	4,387	86	1	999,999.00
Veterans	1-AAAAA	1-5	56.32	998,132	1.05	8,812	2,614	43	1	999,999.00
Lithia Springs	6-AAAAA	1-5	54.46	996,776	1.71	105,109	3,056	58	-	-
Ola	4-AAAAA	2-4	54.36	551,677	0.66	34,944	1,439	20	-	-
Harris County	2-AAAAA	2-3	49.43	621,351	0.70	23,388	181	5	-	-
Jackson County	8-AAAAA	3-3	46.44	622,212	0.86	21,242	319	4	-	-
Cass	7-AAAAA	3-3	48.86	848,882	0.95	1,681	249	4	-	-
Banneker	3-AAAAA	2-4	56.31	832,829	0.84	297	81	4	-	-
Woodland (Stockbridge)	4-AAAAA	3-3	51.08	365,386	0.41	10,264	163	3	-	-
Southwest DeKalb	5-AAAAA	2-4	52.90	999,910	1.04	474	74	1	-	-
Eagle's Landing	4-AAAAA	3-3	50.38	59,528	0.07	2,151	52	1	-	-
Stockbridge	4-AAAAA	3-3	52.12	77,412	0.09	2,297	48	1	-	-
Loganville	8-AAAAA	3-3	43.54	519,266	0.66	9,724	110	-	-	-
Greenbrier	8-AAAAA	3-3	41.90	464,428	0.58	6,163	63	-	-	-
McIntosh	2-AAAAA	2-4	44.41	346,181	0.37	4,443	15	-	-	-
Apalachee	8-AAAAA	1-5	39.41	334,600	0.40	2,494	12	-	-	-
Walnut Grove	8-AAAAA	3-3	36.17	213,651	0.24	874	8	-	-	-
Chapel Hill	6-AAAAA	1-5	37.49	734,983	0.79	1,924	2	-	-	-
Hiram	7-AAAAA	0-6	37.78	157,409	0.16	13	2	-	-	-
Northside (Columbus)	2-AAAAA	3-2	43.37	32,834	0.03	212	-	-	-	-
Maynard Jackson	6-AAAAA	1-4	33.59	272,377	0.28	108	-	-	-	-
Northgate	2-AAAAA	1-4	39.75	7,789	0.01	21	-	-	-	-
Forest Park	3-AAAAA	2-2	38.45	46,019	0.05	1	-	-	-	-
Lithonia	5-AAAAA	0-5	38.85	656,481	0.66	-	-	-	-	-
M.L. King	5-AAAAA	1-4	36.23	282,759	0.28	-	-	-	-	-
Mundy's Mill	3-AAAAA	1-3	41.38	126,784	0.13	-	-	-	-	-
Northview	5-AAAAA	1-4	9.99	60,501	0.06	-	-	-	-	-
Wayne County	1-AAAAA	0-5	46.15	2,372	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
North Springs	6-AAAAA	1-5	20.60	1,439	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Stone Mountain	5-AAAAA	4-2	27.65	355	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Drew	3-AAAAA	1-3	41.22	48	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Tri-Cities	3-AAAAA	1-4	19.36	9	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Cartersville)	7-AAAAA	1-5	17.84	5	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Locust Grove	4-AAAAA	0-6	21.84	1	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Chamblee	5-AAAAA	5-1	44.14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Midtown	6-AAAAA	0-1	30.20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clarkston	5-AAAAA	1-1	6.14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Gainesville)	8-AAAAA	0-5	1.34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Keys	5-AAAAA	1-4	-25.25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAA	Warner Robins	663,336	304,418	31,889	356	999,999	1
1-AAAAA	Ware County	335,584	662,274	1,285	846	999,989	11
1-AAAAA	Coffee	1,035	32,599	920,859	45,015	999,508	492
1-AAAAA	Veterans	45	707	45,801	951,579	998,132	1,868
1-AAAAA	Wayne County	-	2	166	2,204	2,372	997,628
2-AAAAA	Whitewater	803,395	137,419	53,973	5,189	999,976	24
2-AAAAA	Starr's Mill	107,926	265,933	576,901	42,121	992,881	7,119
2-AAAAA	Griffin	86,672	589,103	289,003	34,210	998,988	1,012
2-AAAAA	Harris County	2,007	6,797	43,572	568,975	621,351	378,649
2-AAAAA	McIntosh	-	739	31,682	313,760	346,181	653,819
2-AAAAA	Northgate	-	7	268	7,514	7,789	992,211
2-AAAAA	Northside (Columbus)	-	2	4,601	28,231	32,834	967,166
3-AAAAA	Creekside	577,729	378,325	41,374	2,539	999,967	33
3-AAAAA	Woodward Academy	419,559	574,974	5,454	13	1,000,000	-
3-AAAAA	Jonesboro	2,712	44,937	918,045	28,650	994,344	5,656
3-AAAAA	Banneker	-	1,693	22,925	808,211	832,829	167,171
3-AAAAA	Mundy's Mill	-	64	12,155	114,565	126,784	873,216
3-AAAAA	Forest Park	-	6	42	45,971	46,019	953,981
3-AAAAA	Drew	-	1	5	42	48	999,952
3-AAAAA	Tri-Cities	-	-	-	9	9	999,991
4-AAAAA	Jones County	658,370	333,500	6,606	1,066	999,542	458
4-AAAAA	Dutchtown	339,630	640,354	19,231	785	1,000,000	-
4-AAAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	2,000	22,648	147,074	193,664	365,386	634,614
4-AAAAA	Union Grove	-	3,496	779,613	163,345	946,454	53,546
4-AAAAA	Ola	-	2	19,502	532,173	551,677	448,323
4-AAAAA	Stockbridge	-	-	27,894	49,518	77,412	922,588
4-AAAAA	Eagle's Landing	-	-	80	59,448	59,528	940,472
4-AAAAA	Locust Grove	-	-	-	1	1	999,999
5-AAAAA	St. Pius X	564,046	432,277	3,575	102	1,000,000	-
5-AAAAA	Decatur	433,903	486,028	79,565	498	999,994	6
5-AAAAA	Southwest DeKalb	2,035	81,602	912,866	3,407	999,910	90
5-AAAAA	M.L. King	16	76	685	281,982	282,759	717,241
5-AAAAA	Northview	-	17	3,102	57,382	60,501	939,499
5-AAAAA	Lithonia	-	-	201	656,280	656,481	343,519
5-AAAAA	Stone Mountain	-	-	6	349	355	999,645
5-AAAAA	Chamblee	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAA	Clarkston	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAA	Cross Keys	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAAA	New Manchester	537,110	312,096	127,222	23,412	999,840	160
6-AAAAA	Villa Rica	330,472	323,609	307,889	32,615	994,585	5,415
6-AAAAA	Lithia Springs	127,427	338,254	437,440	93,655	996,776	3,224
6-AAAAA	Chapel Hill	4,981	24,914	113,009	592,079	734,983	265,017
6-AAAAA	Maynard Jackson	10	1,124	14,240	257,003	272,377	727,623
6-AAAAA	North Springs	-	3	200	1,236	1,439	998,561
6-AAAAA	Midtown	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-AAAAA	Cartersville	661,860	298,595	39,474	71	1,000,000	-
7-AAAAA	Calhoun	318,960	635,312	42,674	3,054	1,000,000	-
7-AAAAA	Blessed Trinity	19,109	62,913	798,163	113,519	993,704	6,296
7-AAAAA	Cass	71	3,179	112,079	733,553	848,882	151,118
7-AAAAA	Hiram	-	1	7,610	149,798	157,409	842,591
7-AAAAA	Woodland (Cartersville)	-	-	-	5	5	999,995
8-AAAAA	Clarke Central	992,913	5,639	1,012	436	1,000,000	-
8-AAAAA	Greenbrier	4,867	120,623	149,157	189,781	464,428	535,572
8-AAAAA	Loganville	1,173	32,025	190,337	295,731	519,266	480,734
8-AAAAA	Eastside	613	500,998	229,105	115,127	845,843	154,157
8-AAAAA	Jackson County	434	224,714	288,868	108,196	622,212	377,788
8-AAAAA	Apalachee	-	83,190	83,510	167,900	334,600	665,400
8-AAAAA	Walnut Grove	-	32,811	58,011	122,829	213,651	786,349
8-AAAAA	Johnson (Gainesville)	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Class AAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Benedictine	3-AAAA	4-2	89.89	1,000,000	4.67	982,488	924,053	772,400	721,336	0.39
Jefferson	8-AAAA	6-0	88.93	1,000,000	3.88	871,160	764,320	254,029	172,818	4.79
Riverdale	5-AAAA	4-0-1	65.45	999,978	3.50	752,132	470,940	303,233	37,013	26.02
Cedartown	7-AAAA	4-1	75.77	999,998	3.24	688,597	396,911	179,906	15,367	64.07
Marist	6-AAAA	3-1	78.21	999,872	2.65	621,130	81,034	33,535	11,918	82.91
Perry	4-AAAA	4-1	71.93	998,484	2.46	381,850	152,459	54,746	8,568	115.71
Carver (Columbus)	2-AAAA	5-1	70.82	999,998	2.55	443,862	200,025	103,486	8,117	122.20
Baldwin	4-AAAA	3-2	68.15	999,998	2.62	447,580	192,347	73,232	6,823	145.56
Bainbridge	1-AAAA	1-3	63.96	999,898	3.03	800,650	208,568	34,226	5,950	167.07
North Oconee	8-AAAA	3-3	66.98	1,000,000	2.60	446,404	186,202	74,482	5,413	183.74
Spalding	4-AAAA	5-1	68.88	999,972	2.58	453,135	159,863	56,193	3,922	253.97
Thomas County Central	1-AAAA	4-2	68.70	999,769	2.18	363,632	92,500	19,879	1,298	769.42
Flowery Branch	8-AAAA	3-2	67.61	948,026	1.84	203,622	62,803	16,094	628	1,591.36
New Hampstead	3-AAAA	4-1	62.25	1,000,000	1.76	142,723	43,918	13,267	513	1,948.32
Dougherty	1-AAAA	5-0	70.61	983,652	1.56	108,015	30,606	7,026	209	4,783.69
Cairo	1-AAAA	2-3	55.28	953,210	1.32	64,991	14,329	2,499	76	13,156.89
West Laurens	4-AAAA	3-3	57.97	916,774	1.15	33,138	5,019	784	13	76,922.08
LaGrange	2-AAAA	4-1	59.69	999,865	1.24	20,826	3,483	208	8	124,999.00
Mays	6-AAAA	1-4	49.94	966,161	1.27	38,052	4,545	496	7	142,856.14
Stephenson	6-AAAA	5-0	62.33	643,250	0.73	8,333	801	50	1	999,999.00
Hapeville Charter	6-AAAA	1-4	47.66	553,643	0.60	4,936	576	45	1	999,999.00
Fayette County	5-AAAA	4-2	45.35	1,000,000	1.62	28,547	1,110	38	1	999,999.00
Cedar Shoals	8-AAAA	2-2	51.51	797,480	0.95	15,055	1,040	75	-	-
Luella	5-AAAA	5-1	52.56	1,000,000	1.60	28,493	931	28	-	-
Heritage (Ringgold)	7-AAAA	3-1	39.22	998,072	1.36	16,487	600	13	-	-
Miller Grove	6-AAAA	4-1	43.11	663,233	0.72	4,131	254	13	-	-
Pickens	7-AAAA	3-2	44.29	804,623	1.02	7,791	180	5	-	-
Northwest Whitfield	7-AAAA	3-2	45.94	959,433	1.26	11,006	245	4	-	-
Madison County	8-AAAA	2-3	48.48	147,820	0.17	1,411	72	4	-	-
Troup	2-AAAA	5-1	52.19	1,000,000	1.07	3,615	107	2	-	-
McDonough	5-AAAA	4-2	48.41	650,690	0.67	1,412	53	1	-	-
Islands	3-AAAA	3-2	40.86	1,000,000	1.04	2,123	42	1	-	-
Hardaway	2-AAAA	3-2	43.60	966,553	0.99	1,228	23	-	-	-
Central (Carrollton)	7-AAAA	2-4	41.40	231,083	0.24	460	17	-	-	-
Arabia Mountain	6-AAAA	3-3	49.73	173,841	0.18	248	12	-	-	-
Hampton	5-AAAA	0-4	36.54	349,271	0.36	275	6	-	-	-
Chestatee	8-AAAA	2-3	45.49	106,673	0.11	239	5	-	-	-
Westover	1-AAAA	1-3	45.65	47,659	0.05	33	1	-	-	-
Jenkins	3-AAAA	2-3	28.33	1,000,000	1.00	140	-	-	-	-
Westside (Macon)	4-AAAA	2-3	35.86	71,853	0.07	43	-	-	-	-
Monroe	1-AAAA	2-4	47.29	15,812	0.02	5	-	-	-	-
Rutland	4-AAAA	1-5	32.84	12,856	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Columbus	2-AAAA	1-5	31.02	12,320	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Shaw	2-AAAA	0-3	26.53	21,136	0.02	-	-	-	-	-
Ridgeland	7-AAAA	1-5	26.96	6,791	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Spencer	2-AAAA	1-4	31.57	128	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Howard	4-AAAA	2-2	42.17	63	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	5-AAAA	0-5	8.66	47	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
North Clayton	5-AAAA	0-6	-0.14	14	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
East Hall	8-AAAA	1-5	14.43	1	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Kendrick	2-AAAA	0-5	13.13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Southeast Whitfield	7-AAAA	1-6	10.04	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Jordan	2-AAAA	0-3	4.55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Druid Hills	6-AAAA	0-6	-12.86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAA	Bainbridge	751,722	236,270	11,292	614	999,898	102
1-AAAA	Thomas County Central	235,329	357,081	237,639	169,720	999,769	231
1-AAAA	Cairo	8,407	158,625	325,595	460,583	953,210	46,790
1-AAAA	Dougherty	4,536	247,713	423,129	308,274	983,652	16,348
1-AAAA	Westover	4	188	1,515	45,952	47,659	952,341
1-AAAA	Monroe	2	123	830	14,857	15,812	984,188
2-AAAA	Carver (Columbus)	967,065	29,235	3,020	678	999,998	2
2-AAAA	Troup	21,364	214,798	728,584	35,254	1,000,000	-
2-AAAA	LaGrange	10,533	742,179	215,269	31,884	999,865	135
2-AAAA	Hardaway	1,038	13,788	53,050	898,677	966,553	33,447
2-AAAA	Shaw	-	-	77	21,059	21,136	978,864
2-AAAA	Columbus	-	-	-	12,320	12,320	987,680
2-AAAA	Spencer	-	-	-	128	128	999,872
2-AAAA	Kendrick	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-AAAA	Jordan	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
3-AAAA	Benedictine	985,079	14,908	13	-	1,000,000	-
3-AAAA	New Hampstead	14,875	933,097	51,168	860	1,000,000	-
3-AAAA	Islands	46	50,405	820,501	129,048	1,000,000	-
3-AAAA	Jenkins	-	1,590	128,318	870,092	1,000,000	-
4-AAAA	Spalding	454,665	396,377	148,388	542	999,972	28
4-AAAA	Baldwin	399,284	270,131	317,166	13,417	999,998	2
4-AAAA	Perry	146,048	324,870	424,308	103,258	998,484	1,516
4-AAAA	Westside (Macon)	3	163	1,484	70,203	71,853	928,147
4-AAAA	West Laurens	-	8,458	108,628	799,688	916,774	83,226
4-AAAA	Rutland	-	1	22	12,833	12,856	987,144
4-AAAA	Howard	-	-	4	59	63	999,937
5-AAAA	Riverdale	944,474	49,898	4,914	692	999,978	22
5-AAAA	Fayette County	31,909	517,034	450,957	100	1,000,000	-
5-AAAA	Luella	23,617	433,040	543,142	201	1,000,000	-
5-AAAA	McDonough	-	14	710	649,966	650,690	349,310
5-AAAA	Hampton	-	14	266	348,991	349,271	650,729
5-AAAA	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	-	-	11	36	47	999,953
5-AAAA	North Clayton	-	-	-	14	14	999,986
6-AAAA	Marist	926,704	67,906	4,507	755	999,872	128
6-AAAA	Mays	58,015	613,505	207,274	87,367	966,161	33,839
6-AAAA	Stephenson	10,505	162,163	190,718	279,864	643,250	356,750
6-AAAA	Miller Grove	4,759	127,759	334,588	196,127	663,233	336,767
6-AAAA	Hapeville Charter	16	27,967	215,910	309,750	553,643	446,357
6-AAAA	Arabia Mountain	1	700	47,003	126,137	173,841	826,159
6-AAAA	Druid Hills	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-AAAA	Cedartown	972,253	27,177	463	105	999,998	2
7-AAAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	27,128	380,385	367,948	222,611	998,072	1,928
7-AAAA	Northwest Whitfield	400	347,984	356,668	254,381	959,433	40,567
7-AAAA	Pickens	213	243,869	250,600	309,941	804,623	195,377
7-AAAA	Central (Carrollton)	6	584	23,718	206,775	231,083	768,917
7-AAAA	Ridgeland	-	1	603	6,187	6,791	993,209
7-AAAA	Southeast Whitfield	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAA	Jefferson	890,126	109,718	154	2	1,000,000	-
8-AAAA	North Oconee	109,841	824,953	53,526	11,680	1,000,000	-
8-AAAA	Cedar Shoals	32	33,965	165,684	597,799	797,480	202,520
8-AAAA	Chestatee	1	26	15,030	91,616	106,673	893,327
8-AAAA	Flowery Branch	-	31,259	733,336	183,431	948,026	51,974
8-AAAA	Madison County	-	79	32,270	115,471	147,820	852,180
8-AAAA	East Hall	-	-	-	1	1	999,999

Class AAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Oconee County	8-AAA	6-0	78.64	999,983	4.07	921,751	641,417	535,448	411,877	1.43
Appling County	1-AAA	6-0	82.50	1,000,000	3.87	929,987	539,896	402,170	258,972	2.86
Sandy Creek	5-AAA	6-0	73.99	999,952	3.63	855,971	557,393	261,166	104,194	8.60
Cedar Grove	5-AAA	4-1	77.07	999,795	3.56	861,124	539,528	211,231	75,904	12.17
Pierce County	1-AAA	4-2	71.97	999,987	3.36	790,208	412,838	185,853	50,904	18.64
Monroe Area	8-AAA	5-0	70.21	998,401	2.83	579,161	266,315	139,841	40,494	23.70
Burke County	4-AAA	3-1	62.05	999,969	2.71	504,630	231,509	72,294	17,317	56.75
Rockmart	6-AAA	4-1	67.96	999,940	2.21	388,775	186,016	45,639	14,274	69.06
Crisp County	2-AAA	3-3	63.41	1,000,000	2.54	390,081	135,576	54,020	9,684	102.26
Hart County	8-AAA	5-0	67.45	998,877	2.07	319,984	120,297	32,997	6,912	143.68
Stephens County	8-AAA	5-1	63.50	997,640	1.88	267,156	94,608	18,899	3,975	250.57
Thomson	4-AAA	5-0	61.73	1,000,000	2.25	318,530	106,509	18,391	3,074	324.31
Ringgold	6-AAA	6-0	62.05	995,178	1.53	141,194	41,012	6,523	800	1,249.00
Peach County	2-AAA	3-2	67.18	994,664	1.90	94,006	16,484	3,382	547	1,827.15
Cherokee Bluff	7-AAA	6-0	59.89	998,986	1.74	122,970	32,531	5,200	456	2,191.98
Carver (Atlanta)	5-AAA	3-2	61.10	975,215	1.69	102,215	21,516	2,865	377	2,651.52
North Hall	7-AAA	4-2	54.29	999,997	1.54	71,134	13,475	1,404	93	10,751.69
Windsor Forest	3-AAA	2-2	48.01	999,981	1.91	103,839	18,197	727	47	21,275.60
Tattnall County	1-AAA	4-1	52.21	992,195	1.74	77,855	10,085	979	44	22,726.27
North Murray	6-AAA	3-2	54.58	907,827	1.01	18,779	2,297	325	18	55,554.56
Adairsville	6-AAA	4-1	52.34	788,921	0.87	15,495	1,781	205	15	66,665.67
Greater Atlanta Christian	5-AAA	2-4	49.46	756,919	0.98	14,985	1,286	58	4	249,999.00
Liberty County	3-AAA	2-2	46.67	999,763	1.39	19,054	1,314	66	3	333,332.33
Southeast Bulloch	3-AAA	4-1	44.54	956,497	1.10	12,532	899	24	3	333,332.33
Upson-Lee	2-AAA	3-3	48.01	333,421	0.39	3,958	357	18	3	333,332.33
Dawson County	7-AAA	2-3	46.50	992,005	1.21	25,985	2,789	115	2	499,999.00
Mary Persons	2-AAA	3-3	49.96	837,270	0.98	14,944	1,692	63	2	499,999.00
Sonoraville	6-AAA	3-2	50.43	280,004	0.30	2,918	242	27	2	499,999.00
Jackson	2-AAA	3-3	51.44	828,876	1.01	12,656	1,178	40	1	999,999.00
Harlem	4-AAA	4-2	46.66	969,742	1.12	5,140	278	12	1	999,999.00
White County	7-AAA	1-5	41.63	869,224	0.91	7,734	403	9	1	999,999.00
Westminster (Atlanta)	5-AAA	2-4	50.02	79,192	0.10	1,899	178	8	-	-
Salem	5-AAA	4-2	43.23	188,899	0.22	1,317	70	1	-	-
Hephzibah	4-AAA	3-2	35.40	964,930	1.01	800	18	-	-	-
Brantley County	1-AAA	2-3	32.70	571,403	0.62	608	8	-	-	-
Johnson (Savannah)	3-AAA	1-4	32.97	545,108	0.55	163	3	-	-	-
Beach	3-AAA	1-3	29.01	498,278	0.50	95	3	-	-	-
Long County	1-AAA	3-3	29.66	436,415	0.47	293	2	-	-	-
Coahulla Creek	6-AAA	4-2	43.38	12,596	0.01	22	-	-	-	-
Lumpkin County	7-AAA	2-3	27.19	91,193	0.09	16	-	-	-	-
Gilmer	7-AAA	2-3	31.01	39,414	0.04	13	-	-	-	-
LaFayette	6-AAA	3-2	35.17	15,534	0.02	7	-	-	-	-
Franklin County	8-AAA	3-2	38.07	1,752	0.00	5	-	-	-	-
Morgan County	4-AAA	1-5	28.10	48,409	0.05	4	-	-	-	-
Pike County	2-AAA	1-4	42.17	5,445	0.01	4	-	-	-	-
West Hall	7-AAA	2-3	33.15	9,181	0.01	3	-	-	-	-
Cross Creek	4-AAA	1-5	20.13	16,346	0.02	-	-	-	-	-
East Jackson	8-AAA	2-4	30.28	3,347	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Richmond Academy	4-AAA	0-5	32.58	604	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Savannah	3-AAA	2-3	3.62	329	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Sumter County	2-AAA	0-4	27.97	317	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Groves	3-AAA	0-2	-8.97	44	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Douglass	5-AAA	0-6	24.28	22	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Macon)	2-AAA	0-5	33.58	7	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Redan	5-AAA	2-4	16.92	6	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Murray County	6-AAA	1-5	19.77	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
East Forsyth	7-AAA	1-5	13.39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6-AAA	0-5	13.28	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAA	Appling County	743,748	245,988	10,199	65	1,000,000	-
1-AAA	Pierce County	251,159	678,474	69,878	476	999,987	13
1-AAA	Tattnall County	5,089	74,982	846,468	65,656	992,195	7,805
1-AAA	Brantley County	3	85	43,475	527,840	571,403	428,597
1-AAA	Long County	1	471	29,980	405,963	436,415	563,585
2-AAA	Crisp County	999,809	191	-	-	1,000,000	-
2-AAA	Peach County	170	845,295	129,271	19,928	994,664	5,336
2-AAA	Jackson	21	107,707	325,327	395,821	828,876	171,124
2-AAA	Upson-Lee	-	33,299	155,850	144,272	333,421	666,579
2-AAA	Mary Persons	-	13,508	389,514	434,248	837,270	162,730
2-AAA	Pike County	-	-	38	5,407	5,445	994,555
2-AAA	Sumter County	-	-	-	317	317	999,683
2-AAA	Central (Macon)	-	-	-	7	7	999,993
3-AAA	Windsor Forest	827,533	54,715	105,733	12,000	999,981	19
3-AAA	Southeast Bulloch	96,742	60,810	633,777	165,168	956,497	43,503
3-AAA	Liberty County	72,160	852,233	55,734	19,636	999,763	237
3-AAA	Johnson (Savannah)	3,390	6,394	110,875	424,449	545,108	454,892
3-AAA	Beach	175	25,848	93,878	378,377	498,278	501,722
3-AAA	Savannah	-	-	3	326	329	999,671
3-AAA	Groves	-	-	-	44	44	999,956
4-AAA	Burke County	645,123	349,569	4,713	564	999,969	31
4-AAA	Thomson	352,265	572,133	68,178	7,424	1,000,000	-
4-AAA	Hephzibah	1,679	17,733	303,841	641,677	964,930	35,070
4-AAA	Harlem	933	60,459	614,710	293,640	969,742	30,258
4-AAA	Morgan County	-	106	8,408	39,895	48,409	951,591
4-AAA	Cross Creek	-	-	150	16,196	16,346	983,654
4-AAA	Richmond Academy	-	-	-	604	604	999,396
5-AAA	Sandy Creek	537,734	395,592	61,346	5,280	999,952	48
5-AAA	Cedar Grove	455,226	533,549	10,710	310	999,795	205
5-AAA	Carver (Atlanta)	6,710	62,643	703,791	202,071	975,215	24,785
5-AAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	298	6,957	183,988	565,676	756,919	243,081
5-AAA	Salem	32	1,255	39,712	147,900	188,899	811,101
5-AAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	-	4	453	78,735	79,192	920,808
5-AAA	Douglass	-	-	-	22	22	999,978
5-AAA	Redan	-	-	-	6	6	999,994
6-AAA	Rockmart	721,306	253,251	24,651	732	999,940	60
6-AAA	Ringgold	263,488	665,150	49,607	16,933	995,178	4,822
6-AAA	Adairsville	15,107	34,976	350,530	388,308	788,921	211,079
6-AAA	Sonoraville	97	25,905	54,059	199,943	280,004	719,996
6-AAA	North Murray	2	20,595	518,321	368,909	907,827	92,173
6-AAA	Coahulla Creek	-	91	1,084	11,421	12,596	987,404
6-AAA	LaFayette	-	32	1,748	13,754	15,534	984,466
6-AAA	Murray County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAA	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-AAA	Cherokee Bluff	518,743	298,427	134,528	47,288	998,986	1,014
7-AAA	North Hall	350,816	406,762	240,725	1,694	999,997	3
7-AAA	Dawson County	130,425	279,180	537,481	44,919	992,005	7,995
7-AAA	Lumpkin County	16	328	7,317	83,532	91,193	908,807
7-AAA	White County	-	15,303	77,395	776,526	869,224	130,776
7-AAA	West Hall	-	-	1,998	7,183	9,181	990,819
7-AAA	Gilmer	-	-	556	38,858	39,414	960,586
7-AAA	East Forsyth	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAA	Oconee County	825,204	156,533	14,811	3,435	999,983	17
8-AAA	Monroe Area	153,199	592,851	211,632	40,719	998,401	1,599
8-AAA	Stephens County	17,473	54,172	340,068	585,927	997,640	2,360
8-AAA	Hart County	4,124	196,444	433,383	364,926	998,877	1,123
8-AAA	East Jackson	-	-	85	3,262	3,347	996,653
8-AAA	Franklin County	-	-	21	1,731	1,752	998,248

Class AA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Rabun County	8-AA	5-1	79.65	1,000,000	3.96	903,830	587,672	485,946	349,044	1.86
Thomasville	1-AA	5-1	73.64	999,980	3.63	809,778	546,448	447,213	301,472	2.32
Fitzgerald	1-AA	5-1	70.35	998,729	3.13	655,663	463,443	322,778	128,793	6.76
Northeast	3-AA	4-1	71.62	986,010	3.09	633,201	516,744	199,249	77,842	11.85
Bleckley County	3-AA	6-0	66.11	999,969	3.06	625,995	504,314	181,082	68,354	13.63
Dodge County	3-AA	3-2	62.90	919,031	1.86	299,298	188,271	73,150	19,679	49.82
Washington County	3-AA	3-1	65.80	994,584	1.92	298,431	180,291	66,456	17,143	57.33
Swainsboro	2-AA	4-2	61.90	999,826	2.72	517,718	225,997	76,637	16,185	60.79
Haralson County	5-AA	5-1	54.74	999,590	2.57	350,427	196,629	53,707	9,100	108.89
Jeff Davis	2-AA	5-0	59.58	999,078	2.51	431,128	161,605	45,930	8,328	119.08
Putnam County	4-AA	6-0	54.83	1,000,000	2.39	509,508	87,699	19,165	1,816	549.66
Columbia	6-AA	5-1	52.30	1,000,000	2.41	456,706	76,548	6,449	576	1,735.11
Callaway	5-AA	4-1	60.69	981,312	2.00	116,649	51,225	4,821	555	1,800.80
South Atlanta	6-AA	4-1	51.77	999,988	2.43	449,001	63,450	5,456	368	2,716.39
Elbert County	8-AA	2-3	49.12	999,806	1.88	174,198	26,996	3,546	200	4,999.00
Cook	1-AA	4-2	55.55	807,493	0.99	49,241	22,782	1,791	179	5,585.59
Toombs County	2-AA	2-3	45.88	950,149	1.59	163,794	19,673	1,078	69	14,491.75
Berrien	1-AA	2-3	45.63	772,735	0.89	28,549	9,910	816	69	14,491.75
Heard County	5-AA	4-2	53.23	997,896	1.82	57,426	16,690	1,279	61	16,392.44
Laney	4-AA	4-2	50.19	990,814	1.42	103,006	12,787	642	47	21,275.60
Bremen	5-AA	4-2	45.25	924,748	1.61	37,356	9,604	682	37	27,026.03
Jefferson County	4-AA	4-2	46.06	999,100	1.47	119,277	11,313	745	32	31,249.00
Worth County	1-AA	3-3	49.66	247,761	0.28	8,554	3,219	171	15	66,665.67
Fannin County	7-AA	5-1	43.67	997,410	1.43	17,601	4,691	445	14	71,427.57
Lovett	6-AA	3-3	46.77	962,409	1.25	57,169	4,332	402	12	83,332.33
Lamar County	3-AA	4-2	53.14	100,397	0.11	3,004	360	47	4	249,999.00
Pace Academy	6-AA	1-4	44.21	841,261	1.06	25,094	1,830	125	3	333,332.33
Vidalia	2-AA	1-4	43.38	790,372	1.04	54,146	2,858	115	3	333,332.33
Westside (Augusta)	4-AA	4-2	39.75	957,586	1.09	21,360	1,262	41	-	-
Dade County	7-AA	4-1	34.75	999,784	1.18	3,387	412	12	-	-
Chattooga	7-AA	3-2	34.62	990,602	1.15	2,872	347	7	-	-
Early County	1-AA	2-3	40.03	173,302	0.18	1,548	334	7	-	-
Union County	8-AA	1-4	25.91	1,000,000	1.10	7,586	95	5	-	-
East Laurens	2-AA	4-2	33.86	250,671	0.28	3,306	67	2	-	-
Washington	6-AA	2-2	37.04	189,361	0.21	1,998	28	2	-	-
Model	7-AA	2-4	29.67	390,108	0.40	204	7	1	-	-
Pepperell	7-AA	1-5	33.08	620,931	0.66	713	52	-	-	-
Temple	5-AA	1-3	31.31	96,454	0.11	103	9	-	-	-
Banks County	8-AA	1-4	26.26	940,944	0.97	1,155	6	-	-	-
Oglethorpe County	4-AA	1-4	19.62	51,152	0.05	15	-	-	-	-
Bacon County	2-AA	0-5	19.80	9,904	0.01	5	-	-	-	-
Riverside Military Academy	8-AA	1-4	-1.39	59,250	0.06	-	-	-	-	-
Towers	6-AA	2-3	17.01	6,595	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Josey	4-AA	0-4	15.08	1,348	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Coosa	7-AA	0-5	12.04	1,116	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Therrell	6-AA	0-5	24.82	386	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Gordon Central	7-AA	0-6	-3.84	49	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Southwest	3-AA	1-3	21.86	8	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Jasper County	3-AA	0-6	8.82	1	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Glenn Hills	4-AA	0-4	9.04	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Butler	4-AA	0-6	-1.47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6-AA	1-3	-7.72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
McNair	6-AA	0-4	-19.46	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AA	Thomasville	642,827	338,250	17,774	1,129	999,980	20
1-AA	Fitzgerald	352,448	602,256	41,293	2,732	998,729	1,271
1-AA	Cook	3,467	36,528	277,585	489,913	807,493	192,507
1-AA	Berrien	1,253	11,457	531,854	228,171	772,735	227,265
1-AA	Worth County	5	11,424	77,550	158,782	247,761	752,239
1-AA	Early County	-	85	53,944	119,273	173,302	826,698
2-AA	Swainsboro	524,759	389,396	75,401	10,270	999,826	174
2-AA	Jeff Davis	433,768	454,318	106,074	4,918	999,078	922
2-AA	Toombs County	39,384	137,370	542,669	230,726	950,149	49,851
2-AA	Vidalia	1,996	15,736	231,685	540,955	790,372	209,628
2-AA	East Laurens	93	3,175	43,967	203,436	250,671	749,329
2-AA	Bacon County	-	5	204	9,695	9,904	990,096
3-AA	Bleckley County	441,674	304,540	175,565	78,190	999,969	31
3-AA	Northeast	417,286	325,645	181,483	61,596	986,010	13,990
3-AA	Washington County	74,193	176,392	324,608	419,391	994,584	5,416
3-AA	Dodge County	66,845	190,399	314,337	347,450	919,031	80,969
3-AA	Lamar County	2	3,024	4,006	93,365	100,397	899,603
3-AA	Southwest	-	-	1	7	8	999,992
3-AA	Jasper County	-	-	-	1	1	999,999
4-AA	Putnam County	780,921	193,383	25,516	180	1,000,000	-
4-AA	Jefferson County	186,286	298,831	297,169	216,814	999,100	900
4-AA	Laney	29,738	368,502	375,975	216,599	990,814	9,186
4-AA	Westside (Augusta)	3,055	139,053	298,379	517,099	957,586	42,414
4-AA	Oglethorpe County	-	231	2,961	47,960	51,152	948,848
4-AA	Josey	-	-	-	1,348	1,348	998,652
4-AA	Glenn Hills	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
4-AA	Butler	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AA	Haralson County	844,832	129,471	14,335	10,952	999,590	410
5-AA	Heard County	89,860	246,336	338,682	323,018	997,896	2,104
5-AA	Bremen	51,163	183,273	296,196	394,116	924,748	75,252
5-AA	Callaway	14,076	439,471	346,219	181,546	981,312	18,688
5-AA	Temple	69	1,449	4,568	90,368	96,454	903,546
6-AA	Columbia	535,687	336,360	94,180	33,773	1,000,000	-
6-AA	South Atlanta	464,306	511,565	22,281	1,836	999,988	12
6-AA	Lovett	7	136,159	253,817	572,426	962,409	37,591
6-AA	Washington	-	15,859	21,454	152,048	189,361	810,639
6-AA	Pace Academy	-	57	607,569	233,635	841,261	158,739
6-AA	Towers	-	-	698	5,897	6,595	993,405
6-AA	Therrell	-	-	1	385	386	999,614
6-AA	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AA	McNair	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-AA	Fannin County	632,153	254,225	92,915	18,117	997,410	2,590
7-AA	Dade County	203,696	376,953	369,989	49,146	999,784	216
7-AA	Chattooga	164,147	323,584	358,184	144,687	990,602	9,398
7-AA	Pepperell	3	39,649	150,428	430,851	620,931	379,069
7-AA	Model	1	5,581	28,190	356,336	390,108	609,892
7-AA	Coosa	-	8	286	822	1,116	998,884
7-AA	Gordon Central	-	-	8	41	49	999,951
8-AA	Rabun County	970,108	25,839	4,030	23	1,000,000	-
8-AA	Elbert County	27,502	887,351	80,039	4,914	999,806	194
8-AA	Union County	2,366	86,086	906,752	4,796	1,000,000	-
8-AA	Banks County	24	670	8,948	931,302	940,944	59,056
8-AA	Riverside Military Academy	-	54	231	58,965	59,250	940,750

Class A Public

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A Private

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Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Macon County	5-A Public	5-0	65.45	999,859	3.99	856,566	607,277	528,662	341,884	1.92
Metter	3-A Public	6-0	69.28	999,998	3.65	692,164	568,262	399,402	227,039	3.40
Brooks County	2-A Public	3-2	65.69	993,076	3.52	772,447	552,537	306,813	157,351	5.36
Irwin County	2-A Public	4-2	64.81	998,299	3.44	834,385	386,992	313,032	154,770	5.46
Schley County	5-A Public	5-0	62.96	999,958	3.06	601,304	350,169	130,785	45,248	21.10
Chattahoochee County	5-A Public	5-0	57.67	995,689	2.96	570,406	285,640	124,797	39,295	24.45
Bowdon	6-A Public	5-1	52.02	1,000,000	2.72	587,194	151,558	48,265	11,478	86.12
Manchester	5-A Public	3-2	48.34	997,129	2.74	540,780	271,546	36,350	6,309	157.50
Washington-Wilkes	8-A Public	5-1	52.61	999,789	2.31	269,182	106,743	24,722	4,854	205.02
Charlton County	2-A Public	5-1	51.48	730,647	1.53	260,083	108,080	15,298	2,585	385.85
Dublin	4-A Public	2-3	44.37	962,790	1.64	219,881	83,413	12,436	1,935	515.80
Pelham	1-A Public	3-2	49.68	999,990	2.22	272,889	80,369	12,106	1,833	544.55
Montgomery County	4-A Public	4-1	48.30	942,829	1.47	160,980	48,929	7,133	1,017	982.28
Turner County	2-A Public	2-4	46.31	844,530	1.54	206,877	59,323	7,265	979	1,020.45
Mitchell County	1-A Public	2-2	47.66	999,876	2.00	232,764	99,773	8,220	831	1,202.37
Emanuel County Institute	3-A Public	5-1	48.40	996,160	2.01	95,210	23,383	6,487	750	1,332.33
Clinch County	2-A Public	1-4	54.38	172,052	0.36	62,734	27,744	3,740	587	1,702.58
Wilcox County	4-A Public	4-2	52.32	996,045	1.48	146,885	43,948	4,547	472	2,117.64
Dooly County	4-A Public	3-2	43.21	918,705	1.27	104,366	28,345	2,888	289	3,459.21
Lincoln County	8-A Public	4-2	45.26	998,608	1.85	122,809	28,427	2,748	236	4,236.29
McIntosh County Academy	3-A Public	2-3-1	44.12	995,563	1.54	104,139	36,186	2,191	168	5,951.38
Trion	6-A Public	5-1	39.21	947,689	1.46	80,054	18,351	852	38	26,314.79
Commerce	8-A Public	3-2	39.62	991,665	1.53	72,140	13,024	536	18	55,554.56
Mount Zion (Carroll)	6-A Public	5-1	38.18	999,597	1.47	60,768	9,655	380	17	58,822.53
Atkinson County	2-A Public	3-2	40.13	207,833	0.29	18,837	3,235	161	11	90,908.09
Warren County	7-A Public	4-2	36.41	999,993	1.14	25,199	4,805	125	4	249,999.00
Social Circle	8-A Public	3-3	31.66	749,685	0.87	11,955	966	19	1	999,999.00
Wheeler County	4-A Public	3-3	39.96	79,926	0.09	1,478	87	13	1	999,999.00
Lanier County	2-A Public	2-3	37.46	53,563	0.07	3,246	493	9	-	-
Jenkins County	3-A Public	2-2	33.67	838,301	0.94	4,685	321	6	-	-
Armuchee	6-A Public	4-1	29.16	580,187	0.63	1,283	50	4	-	-
Johnson County	4-A Public	3-1	40.20	98,987	0.10	1,017	43	3	-	-
Georgia Military College	7-A Public	6-0	27.38	1,000,000	1.02	1,508	88	2	-	-
Miller County	1-A Public	1-3	30.56	917,301	0.98	681	34	2	-	-
Greenville	5-A Public	4-1	38.99	5,047	0.01	521	75	1	-	-
Gordon Lee	6-A Public	3-3	26.20	470,675	0.51	1,063	56	-	-	-
Terrell County	1-A Public	3-1	32.20	587,203	0.61	579	52	-	-	-
Towns County	8-A Public	4-2	26.93	191,388	0.20	309	5	-	-	-
ACE Charter	7-A Public	2-2	21.15	999,940	1.01	283	5	-	-	-
Marion County	5-A Public	1-6	25.38	2,307	0.00	57	5	-	-	-
Seminole County	1-A Public	1-4	15.60	488,628	0.50	90	4	-	-	-
Claxton	3-A Public	1-5	28.20	76,684	0.08	124	1	-	-	-
Screven County	3-A Public	0-5	20.43	47,365	0.05	26	1	-	-	-
Greene County	8-A Public	3-3	18.93	68,865	0.07	26	-	-	-	-
Bryan County	3-A Public	2-4	18.39	44,223	0.05	16	-	-	-	-
Wilkinson County	7-A Public	1-4	10.97	750,708	0.75	6	-	-	-	-
Portal	3-A Public	0-6	15.33	1,706	0.00	2	-	-	-	-
Hancock Central	7-A Public	0-4	9.95	203,935	0.20	1	-	-	-	-
Telfair County	4-A Public	1-4	27.82	189	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Crawford County	7-A Public	0-5	3.11	44,068	0.04	-	-	-	-	-
Randolph-Clay	1-A Public	1-3	15.65	7,002	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
B.E.S.T. Academy	6-A Public	1-3	13.58	1,852	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Twiggs County	7-A Public	1-4	2.13	1,356	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Treutlen	4-A Public	2-2	27.23	529	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Taylor County	5-A Public	1-4	18.36	11	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Hawkinsville	4-A Public	1-5	20.17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Pataula Charter	1-A Public	3-2	1.41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Baconton Charter	1-A Public	0-5	-0.24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Talbotton)	5-A Public	0-5	-2.56	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Glascock County	7-A Public	0-5	-11.99	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
GSIC	7-A Public	0-1	-34.81	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Public	Pelham	882,504	114,681	2,721	84	999,990	10
1-A Public	Mitchell County	116,452	867,655	12,170	3,599	999,876	124
1-A Public	Seminole County	816	6,621	253,276	227,915	488,628	511,372
1-A Public	Terrell County	228	6,999	66,613	513,363	587,203	412,797
1-A Public	Miller County	-	4,040	664,486	248,775	917,301	82,699
1-A Public	Randolph-Clay	-	4	734	6,264	7,002	992,998
1-A Public	Baconton Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Public	Pataula Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-A Public	Irwin County	933,443	32,523	24,446	7,887	998,299	1,701
2-A Public	Brooks County	37,585	785,178	147,257	23,056	993,076	6,924
2-A Public	Charlton County	15,895	75,873	197,584	441,295	730,647	269,353
2-A Public	Turner County	12,247	93,918	462,948	275,417	844,530	155,470
2-A Public	Clinch County	822	10,867	33,251	127,112	172,052	827,948
2-A Public	Atkinson County	8	1,478	121,871	84,476	207,833	792,167
2-A Public	Lanier County	-	163	12,643	40,757	53,563	946,437
3-A Public	Metter	919,123	75,987	4,852	36	999,998	2
3-A Public	Emanuel County Institute	72,265	846,990	62,856	14,049	996,160	3,840
3-A Public	McIntosh County Academy	8,570	45,513	755,207	186,273	995,563	4,437
3-A Public	Jenkins County	41	31,447	172,385	634,428	838,301	161,699
3-A Public	Claxton	1	48	729	75,906	76,684	923,316
3-A Public	Bryan County	-	15	381	43,827	44,223	955,777
3-A Public	Screven County	-	-	3,400	43,965	47,365	952,635
3-A Public	Portal	-	-	190	1,516	1,706	998,294
4-A Public	Dublin	320,672	244,523	222,011	175,584	962,790	37,210
4-A Public	Wilcox County	286,445	271,330	248,953	189,317	996,045	3,955
4-A Public	Dooly County	207,827	182,746	231,338	296,794	918,705	81,295
4-A Public	Montgomery County	184,339	298,964	277,701	181,825	942,829	57,171
4-A Public	Johnson County	717	2,343	13,490	82,437	98,987	901,013
4-A Public	Wheeler County	-	62	6,314	73,550	79,926	920,074
4-A Public	Treutlen	-	26	168	335	529	999,471
4-A Public	Telfair County	-	6	25	158	189	999,811
4-A Public	Hawkinsville	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-A Public	Macon County	803,491	171,366	16,352	8,650	999,859	141
5-A Public	Chattahoochee County	165,821	408,823	371,408	49,637	995,689	4,311
5-A Public	Schley County	19,635	383,089	407,985	189,249	999,958	42
5-A Public	Manchester	11,053	36,686	204,023	745,367	997,129	2,871
5-A Public	Greenville	-	36	231	4,780	5,047	994,953
5-A Public	Marion County	-	-	1	2,306	2,307	997,693
5-A Public	Taylor County	-	-	-	11	11	999,989
5-A Public	Central (Talbotton)	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-A Public	Bowdon	924,369	72,539	2,368	724	1,000,000	-
6-A Public	Mount Zion (Carroll)	70,735	426,077	467,380	35,405	999,597	403
6-A Public	Trion	2,827	475,851	349,623	119,388	947,689	52,311
6-A Public	Armuchee	2,069	7,627	97,060	473,431	580,187	419,813
6-A Public	Gordon Lee	-	17,891	83,021	369,763	470,675	529,325
6-A Public	B.E.S.T. Academy	-	15	548	1,289	1,852	998,148
7-A Public	Warren County	721,558	210,757	63,012	4,666	999,993	7
7-A Public	Georgia Military College	196,950	469,298	327,664	6,088	1,000,000	-
7-A Public	ACE Charter	81,489	315,482	573,281	29,688	999,940	60
7-A Public	Wilkinson County	3	4,463	35,976	710,266	750,708	249,292
7-A Public	Twiggs County	-	-	67	1,289	1,356	998,644
7-A Public	Hancock Central	-	-	-	203,935	203,935	796,065
7-A Public	Crawford County	-	-	-	44,068	44,068	955,932
7-A Public	Glascock County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-A Public	GSIC	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-A Public	Washington-Wilkes	697,343	239,778	61,152	1,516	999,789	211
8-A Public	Lincoln County	219,005	492,555	257,709	29,339	998,608	1,392
8-A Public	Commerce	83,652	240,360	485,013	182,640	991,665	8,335
8-A Public	Social Circle	-	26,660	184,431	538,594	749,685	250,315
8-A Public	Towns County	-	361	9,111	181,916	191,388	808,612
8-A Public	Greene County	-	286	2,584	65,995	68,865	931,135

Class A Private

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A Public
A Private

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Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	4-A Private	6-0	80.56	1,000,000	3.87	994,372	964,908	880,964	714,925	0.40
Calvary Day	3-A Private	7-0	71.16	1,000,000	4.18	909,149	799,036	503,167	145,464	5.87
Prince Avenue Christian	8-A Private	5-1	69.35	1,000,000	4.02	859,063	768,295	395,962	95,442	9.48
Eagle's Landing Christian	2-A Private	1-4	64.99	1,000,000	3.58	816,953	675,844	114,906	36,672	26.27
Fellowship Christian	6-A Private	5-1	56.16	1,000,000	2.68	566,690	103,639	23,837	1,508	662.13
Wesleyan	5-A Private	4-2	56.96	999,128	2.53	465,767	146,721	13,894	1,331	750.31
First Presbyterian	1-A Private	3-2	50.49	997,401	2.44	527,262	73,627	14,001	1,027	972.71
Darlington	7-A Private	5-1	53.88	999,998	2.44	530,008	31,181	8,808	979	1,020.45
St. Anne-Pacelli	4-A Private	5-0	57.48	1,000,000	2.10	307,839	63,332	13,192	757	1,320.00
Stratford Academy	1-A Private	4-1	53.64	995,790	2.32	466,390	63,119	9,381	695	1,437.85
Whitefield Academy	2-A Private	5-1	52.72	1,000,000	1.98	208,871	104,824	8,595	658	1,518.76
Mount Vernon Presbyterian	5-A Private	4-2	49.33	998,524	2.12	266,915	50,623	3,827	153	6,534.95
Tattnall Square	1-A Private	5-0	55.40	997,166	1.81	238,056	37,034	2,090	121	8,263.46
Holy Innocents	5-A Private	5-1	47.32	999,646	2.02	236,900	37,001	2,754	114	8,770.93
Brookstone	4-A Private	5-1	48.85	1,000,000	1.65	120,136	20,557	2,731	81	12,344.68
Athens Academy	8-A Private	4-2	49.03	999,897	1.97	89,685	30,962	841	48	20,832.33
Savannah Christian	3-A Private	3-3	46.85	1,000,000	1.53	133,434	15,720	608	17	58,822.53
North Cobb Christian	7-A Private	2-3	42.14	998,927	1.40	68,805	2,809	136	4	249,999.00
Mount de Sales	1-A Private	3-2	43.51	878,201	1.08	43,376	4,295	151	3	333,332.33
Savannah Country Day	3-A Private	2-4	40.82	1,000,000	1.18	29,979	989	22	1	999,999.00
Aquinas	3-A Private	3-3	40.82	1,000,000	1.25	48,065	2,359	70	-	-
King's Ridge Christian	6-A Private	2-3	34.95	999,466	1.43	12,181	741	20	-	-
Landmark Christian	2-A Private	2-5	36.62	1,000,000	1.13	13,446	578	13	-	-
Mount Paran Christian	7-A Private	3-3	36.96	996,012	1.16	15,820	679	12	-	-
Athens Christian	8-A Private	4-2	31.73	999,789	1.48	5,043	523	9	-	-
Hebron Christian	5-A Private	3-3	36.23	842,731	0.97	13,370	136	6	-	-
Mount Pisgah Christian	6-A Private	3-3	31.52	973,919	1.20	4,639	251	2	-	-
Deerfield-Windsor	1-A Private	2-4	32.06	128,384	0.13	180	5	1	-	-
Christian Heritage	7-A Private	2-4	30.37	999,976	1.09	6,411	173	-	-	-
Heritage (Newnan)	4-A Private	0-5	24.73	1,000,000	1.01	719	29	-	-	-
St. Francis	6-A Private	1-5	20.28	888,446	0.93	321	10	-	-	-
Providence Christian	5-A Private	1-4	22.34	159,971	0.16	113	-	-	-	-
George Walton Academy	8-A Private	1-5	14.22	668,597	0.67	33	-	-	-	-
Loganville Christian	8-A Private	0-5	7.93	331,717	0.33	9	-	-	-	-
Lakeview Academy	6-A Private	1-4	13.25	138,169	0.14	-	-	-	-	-
Walker	7-A Private	1-5	1.45	5,087	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Strong Rock Christian	1-A Private	0-4	17.47	3,058	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Private	First Presbyterian	559,401	366,838	49,477	21,685	997,401	2,599
1-A Private	Stratford Academy	395,000	388,770	184,666	27,354	995,790	4,210
1-A Private	Tattnall Square	33,036	192,946	542,812	228,372	997,166	2,834
1-A Private	Mount de Sales	12,367	50,007	217,520	598,307	878,201	121,799
1-A Private	Deerfield-Windsor	196	1,438	5,371	121,379	128,384	871,616
1-A Private	Strong Rock Christian	-	1	154	2,903	3,058	996,942
2-A Private	Eagle's Landing Christian	811,854	180,966	7,180	-	1,000,000	-
2-A Private	Whitefield Academy	183,173	712,281	104,546	-	1,000,000	-
2-A Private	Landmark Christian	4,973	106,753	888,274	-	1,000,000	-
3-A Private	Calvary Day	960,669	37,605	1,375	351	1,000,000	-
3-A Private	Savannah Christian	24,923	542,999	285,049	147,029	1,000,000	-
3-A Private	Aquinas	9,078	254,661	392,365	343,896	1,000,000	-
3-A Private	Savannah Country Day	5,330	164,735	321,211	508,724	1,000,000	-
4-A Private	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	973,374	25,566	1,048	12	1,000,000	-
4-A Private	St. Anne-Pacelli	19,348	641,081	330,570	9,001	1,000,000	-
4-A Private	Brookstone	7,269	331,878	637,413	23,440	1,000,000	-
4-A Private	Heritage (Newnan)	9	1,475	30,969	967,547	1,000,000	-
5-A Private	Wesleyan	535,326	293,363	150,355	20,084	999,128	872
5-A Private	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	266,297	379,791	344,298	8,138	998,524	1,476
5-A Private	Holy Innocents	196,015	319,420	412,172	72,039	999,646	354
5-A Private	Hebron Christian	2,333	7,081	89,060	744,257	842,731	157,269
5-A Private	Providence Christian	29	345	4,115	155,482	159,971	840,029
6-A Private	Fellowship Christian	920,671	74,236	4,926	167	1,000,000	-
6-A Private	King's Ridge Christian	54,734	558,362	297,058	89,312	999,466	534
6-A Private	Mount Pisgah Christian	24,417	288,149	451,024	210,329	973,919	26,081
6-A Private	St. Francis	178	78,750	236,777	572,741	888,446	111,554
6-A Private	Lakeview Academy	-	503	10,215	127,451	138,169	861,831
7-A Private	Darlington	850,905	141,266	5,848	1,979	999,998	2
7-A Private	North Cobb Christian	132,843	498,538	252,631	114,915	998,927	1,073
7-A Private	Christian Heritage	14,037	107,399	305,882	572,658	999,976	24
7-A Private	Mount Paran Christian	2,215	252,781	435,623	305,393	996,012	3,988
7-A Private	Walker	-	16	16	5,055	5,087	994,913
8-A Private	Prince Avenue Christian	997,754	2,234	8	4	1,000,000	-
8-A Private	Athens Christian	2,216	188,040	798,891	10,642	999,789	211
8-A Private	Athens Academy	27	809,195	188,510	2,165	999,897	103
8-A Private	George Walton Academy	3	202	1,712	666,680	668,597	331,403
8-A Private	Loganville Christian	-	329	10,879	320,509	331,717	668,283

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

Class AAAAAAA

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Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class AAAAAA

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Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class AAAAA

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Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class AAAA

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Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class AAA

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Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class AA

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Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class A Public

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Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class A Private

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Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

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