High School Sports Blog

Maxwell playoff projections heading into Week 8

August 20, 2021 - Kennesaw, Ga: Buford wide receiver Tobi Olawale (4) celebrates his receiving touchdown with running back Victor Venn (6) during the second half against North Cobb at North Cobb high school Friday, August 20, 2021 in Kennesaw, Ga.. Buford won 35-27. JASON GETZ FOR THE ATLANTA JOURNAL-CONSTITUTION
August 20, 2021 - Kennesaw, Ga: Buford wide receiver Tobi Olawale (4) celebrates his receiving touchdown with running back Victor Venn (6) during the second half against North Cobb at North Cobb high school Friday, August 20, 2021 in Kennesaw, Ga.. Buford won 35-27. JASON GETZ FOR THE ATLANTA JOURNAL-CONSTITUTION
By Loren Maxwell
Oct 6, 2021

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class in the GHSA.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2021 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 iterations.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAAA

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Semifinal
Final
Collins Hill
Mill Creek
Mill Creek
Brookwood
North Cobb
Collins Hill
First Round
Second Round
Quarterfinal
Walton
Mill Creek
Marietta
Brookwood
Walton
Roswell
Mill Creek
East Coweta
Marietta
Archer
North Gwinnett
Brookwood
Reg 1, #3
16
73.77
4-3
Camden County
Reg 3, #2
7
81.26
3-1
Walton
Reg 7, #4
42
36.52
2-3
Duluth
Reg 5, #1
13
75.80
5-1
Roswell
Reg 6, #3
22
68.99
4-2
North Forsyth
Reg 8, #2
2
96.76
6-0
Mill Creek
Reg 4, #4
25
67.53
3-4
Parkview
Reg 2, #1
5
82.73
5-1
East Coweta
Reg 3, #3
8
80.68
3-2
Marietta
Reg 1, #2
10
77.99
4-2
Lowndes
Reg 5, #4
34
57.94
1-5
Alpharetta
Reg 7, #1
18
70.53
2-4
Archer
Reg 8, #3
11
77.10
3-4
North Gwinnett
Reg 6, #2
21
69.10
4-1
Denmark
Reg 2, #4
32
60.82
2-3
Newnan
Reg 4, #1
6
82.15
4-2
Brookwood
Grayson
North Cobb
Collins Hill
Colquitt County
Grayson
South Forsyth
Milton
North Cobb
Newton
Collins Hill
Cherokee
Colquitt County
Reg 2, #3
28
65.37
2-4
McEachern
Reg 4, #2
9
78.80
5-2
Grayson
Reg 8, #4
31
63.69
3-3
Mountain View
Reg 6, #1
17
71.73
4-1
South Forsyth
Reg 7, #3
39
43.16
2-5
Meadowcreek
Reg 5, #2
12
76.03
5-1
Milton
Reg 1, #4
20
69.86
5-2
Tift County
Reg 3, #1
3
90.92
4-1
North Cobb
Reg 4, #3
15
75.16
4-1
Newton
Reg 2, #2
27
66.07
4-0-1
Pebblebrook
Reg 6, #4
14
75.21
2-3
West Forsyth
Reg 8, #1
1
106.71
6-0
Collins Hill
Reg 5, #3
24
67.84
3-3
Cherokee
Reg 7, #2
26
66.88
5-2
Norcross
Reg 3, #4
19
70.46
2-3
Harrison
Reg 1, #1
4
86.72
5-1
Colquitt County

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Depth Qtr Semi Finals Champ Odds
Collins Hill8-AAAAAAA6-0106.711,000,0004.74966,257919,518859,824714,7230.40
Mill Creek8-AAAAAAA6-096.76999,9744.18855,913733,812626,074191,2794.23
North Cobb3-AAAAAAA4-190.92997,0093.41786,267568,539173,43951,65318.36
Colquitt County1-AAAAAAA5-186.721,000,0002.76694,113200,83179,31916,46659.73
Brookwood4-AAAAAAA4-282.15992,4432.78554,454299,30454,8966,775146.60
East Coweta2-AAAAAAA5-182.73999,6612.07135,31677,43841,0904,590216.86
Walton3-AAAAAAA3-181.26954,6332.21441,404174,06435,5433,957251.72
Marietta3-AAAAAAA3-280.68939,8662.11410,940158,20830,6373,192312.28
Grayson4-AAAAAAA5-278.80989,9962.39401,047171,92122,9212,136467.16
Lowndes1-AAAAAAA4-277.991,000,0001.89319,12994,69915,4421,331750.31
North Gwinnett8-AAAAAAA3-477.10991,8322.09295,688127,46814,6091,002997.00
Milton5-AAAAAAA5-176.03998,7692.33304,47069,29510,6447921,261.63
Roswell5-AAAAAAA5-175.80998,5792.30297,65665,5959,8997001,427.57
Newton4-AAAAAAA4-175.16971,4292.01247,25881,5017,3485261,900.14
West Forsyth6-AAAAAAA2-375.21835,4771.35143,84446,9614,2082763,622.19
Camden County1-AAAAAAA4-373.771,000,0001.50161,71337,9483,8812004,999.00
South Forsyth6-AAAAAAA4-171.73922,6971.45130,63632,4331,8881238,129.08
Archer7-AAAAAAA2-470.53999,9881.95185,77043,4913,2981079,344.79
Harrison3-AAAAAAA2-370.46624,0420.8572,5399,5677813727,026.03
Denmark6-AAAAAAA4-169.10820,9041.1573,43314,4736852638,460.54
Tift County1-AAAAAAA5-269.861,000,0001.2673,11914,1818412539,999.00
Cherokee5-AAAAAAA3-367.84972,2731.70100,13112,2916532343,477.26
North Forsyth6-AAAAAAA4-268.99724,6170.9446,4259,8494752147,618.05
Norcross7-AAAAAAA5-266.88999,9451.69102,28712,7936991758,822.53
North Paulding3-AAAAAAA3-268.35470,4120.6039,4144,0752597142,856.14
Parkview4-AAAAAAA3-467.53694,0630.9218,2163,0901966166,665.67
McEachern2-AAAAAAA2-465.37942,2781.1830,5644,1951274249,999.00
Pebblebrook2-AAAAAAA4-0-166.07946,2271.2131,1234,3591562499,999.00
Mountain View8-AAAAAAA3-363.69882,5621.1743,5764,418892499,999.00
Newnan2-AAAAAAA2-360.82852,6670.9713,3171,314142499,999.00
Lambert6-AAAAAAA5-164.60478,2210.526,4731,01033--
Gainesville6-AAAAAAA4-263.93217,9270.243,78650315--
Alpharetta5-AAAAAAA1-557.94722,0760.899,88864812--
South Gwinnett4-AAAAAAA3-360.73352,0690.412,0251625--
Etowah5-AAAAAAA0-551.37285,6180.3295234---
Campbell2-AAAAAAA3-249.99259,1670.273729---
Peachtree Ridge8-AAAAAAA3-348.71125,6320.132773---
Meadowcreek7-AAAAAAA2-543.16968,5130.99158----
Hillgrove3-AAAAAAA1-450.0314,0380.0130----
Duluth7-AAAAAAA2-336.52787,8520.7916----
Woodstock5-AAAAAAA0-639.5822,6850.024----
Dunwoody7-AAAAAAA1-526.72147,4750.15-----
Discovery7-AAAAAAA2-430.2196,2270.10-----
Forsyth Central6-AAAAAAA1-438.921570.00-----
Berkmar7-AAAAAAA0-6-3.62-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Playoffs Out
1-AAAAAAAColquitt County661,921246,00566,96325,1111,000,000-
1-AAAAAAALowndes200,065374,645264,459160,8311,000,000-
1-AAAAAAACamden County97,391240,024354,563308,0221,000,000-
1-AAAAAAATift County40,623139,326314,015506,0361,000,000-
2-AAAAAAAEast Coweta847,980127,78918,7065,186999,661339
2-AAAAAAAPebblebrook70,180383,490317,993174,564946,22753,773
2-AAAAAAAMcEachern57,726325,851348,281210,420942,27857,722
2-AAAAAAANewnan23,343146,877270,440412,007852,667147,333
2-AAAAAAACampbell77115,99344,580197,823259,167740,833
3-AAAAAAANorth Cobb659,117243,77076,41717,705997,0092,991
3-AAAAAAAWalton176,288353,373306,591118,381954,63345,367
3-AAAAAAAMarietta145,398305,013340,635148,820939,86660,134
3-AAAAAAAHarrison11,69758,076162,846391,423624,042375,958
3-AAAAAAANorth Paulding7,49639,634111,948311,334470,412529,588
3-AAAAAAAHillgrove41341,56312,33714,038985,962
4-AAAAAAABrookwood486,371302,070156,93447,068992,4437,557
4-AAAAAAAGrayson313,846338,169250,92187,060989,99610,004
4-AAAAAAANewton184,971303,273392,82190,364971,42928,571
4-AAAAAAAParkview13,37243,773140,971495,947694,063305,937
4-AAAAAAASouth Gwinnett1,44012,71558,353279,561352,069647,931
5-AAAAAAAMilton448,887391,171151,1967,515998,7691,231
5-AAAAAAARoswell439,048358,970169,55231,009998,5791,421
5-AAAAAAACherokee109,251226,437492,627143,958972,27327,727
5-AAAAAAAAlpharetta2,48018,967148,394552,235722,076277,924
5-AAAAAAAEtowah3324,41937,627243,240285,618714,382
5-AAAAAAAWoodstock23660422,04322,685977,315
6-AAAAAAASouth Forsyth333,087266,985194,821127,804922,69777,303
6-AAAAAAAWest Forsyth248,544214,048202,271170,614835,477164,523
6-AAAAAAADenmark244,298224,913189,086162,607820,904179,096
6-AAAAAAANorth Forsyth133,200186,390232,837172,190724,617275,383
6-AAAAAAALambert22,41669,455128,842257,508478,221521,779
6-AAAAAAAGainesville18,45538,20752,136109,129217,927782,073
6-AAAAAAAForsyth Central-27148157999,843
7-AAAAAAAArcher631,839366,8161,31716999,98812
7-AAAAAAANorcross367,949627,5483,2421,206999,94555
7-AAAAAAADuluth2054,43725,946757,264787,852212,148
7-AAAAAAADiscovery777038,83956,61196,227903,773
7-AAAAAAAMeadowcreek-425903,86964,219968,51331,487
7-AAAAAAADunwoody-426,787120,684147,475852,525
7-AAAAAAABerkmar-----1,000,000
8-AAAAAAACollins Hill746,012246,4087,4681121,000,000-
8-AAAAAAAMill Creek253,188740,4605,837489999,97426
8-AAAAAAANorth Gwinnett7209,837837,485143,790991,8328,168
8-AAAAAAAMountain View803,221142,145737,116882,562117,438
8-AAAAAAAPeachtree Ridge-747,065118,493125,632874,368

Class AAAAAA

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Semifinal
Final
Buford
Rome
Rome
Hughes
Carrollton
Buford
First Round
Second Round
Quarterfinal
Rome
Brunswick
Cambridge
Hughes
Houston County
Rome
Dacula
Brunswick
Northside (Warner Robins)
Cambridge
Allatoona
Hughes
Reg 1, #3
16
69.58
4-3
Houston County
Reg 3, #2
42
44.58
1-3
Alcovy
Reg 7, #4
15
71.65
5-1
Riverwood
Reg 5, #1
4
81.62
4-2
Rome
Reg 6, #3
21
62.39
4-1
Pope
Reg 8, #2
18
64.56
3-3
Dacula
Reg 4, #4
38
48.19
1-5
Tucker
Reg 2, #1
10
75.46
6-0
Brunswick
Reg 3, #3
46
40.15
1-4
Grovetown
Reg 1, #2
12
73.73
3-2
Northside (Warner Robins)
Reg 5, #4
22
61.98
4-2
South Paulding
Reg 7, #1
8
77.25
4-0
Cambridge
Reg 8, #3
30
54.45
1-3
Lanier
Reg 6, #2
19
63.86
2-3
Allatoona
Reg 2, #4
27
58.14
3-2
Statesboro
Reg 4, #1
5
81.07
5-1
Hughes
Westlake
Carrollton
Buford
Lee County
Westlake
Kennesaw Mountain
Carrollton
Evans
Lovejoy
Buford
Johns Creek
Lee County
Reg 2, #3
26
58.91
2-3-1
Glynn Academy
Reg 4, #2
6
79.61
4-2
Westlake
Reg 8, #4
29
55.31
1-4
Shiloh
Reg 6, #1
14
71.93
6-0
Kennesaw Mountain
Reg 7, #3
9
75.70
4-1
Creekview
Reg 5, #2
3
82.49
5-1
Carrollton
Reg 1, #4
Reg 3, #1
32
52.51
5-1
Evans
Reg 4, #3
17
69.13
3-1
Lovejoy
Reg 2, #2
20
63.63
3-1
Effingham County
Reg 6, #4
28
55.47
2-3
Kell
Reg 8, #1
1
95.51
5-1
Buford
Reg 5, #3
13
73.00
6-0
Douglas County
Reg 7, #2
7
77.74
5-1
Johns Creek
Reg 3, #4
47
39.29
1-4
Lakeside (Evans)
Reg 1, #1
2
83.57
6-1
Lee County

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Depth Qtr Semi Finals Champ Odds
Buford8-AAAAAA5-195.511,000,0004.47942,462809,418721,920629,3870.59
Hughes4-AAAAAA5-181.07999,9823.58819,225517,175293,87077,11611.97
Lee County1-AAAAAA6-183.571,000,0003.08694,409237,656156,33971,31613.02
Carrollton5-AAAAAA5-182.49992,7432.84600,184383,377141,75859,36315.85
Rome5-AAAAAA4-281.62981,9442.83552,582378,794198,66757,05916.53
Westlake4-AAAAAA4-279.61999,5732.87572,986321,77776,99631,80430.44
Brunswick2-AAAAAA6-075.46999,5932.89629,677275,782110,26817,33456.69
Johns Creek7-AAAAAA5-177.74994,0152.28392,306168,36971,17516,17060.84
Cambridge7-AAAAAA4-077.25984,2782.19364,334151,57962,53914,06270.11
Creekview7-AAAAAA4-175.70955,0491.82278,811124,81832,0917,345135.15
Northside (Warner Robins)1-AAAAAA3-273.731,000,0002.56385,240140,21651,4657,176138.35
Kennesaw Mountain6-AAAAAA6-071.931,000,0002.39343,501125,99116,3853,635274.10
Douglas County5-AAAAAA6-073.00985,7731.73230,98482,29314,7233,118319.72
Houston County1-AAAAAA4-369.581,000,0002.33262,28886,91821,6681,996500.00
Riverwood7-AAAAAA5-171.65908,2771.43161,34360,65611,4621,673596.73
Lovejoy4-AAAAAA3-169.13995,0871.84147,67741,3406,8279091,099.11
Dacula8-AAAAAA3-364.56996,9391.80165,90730,1744,6972264,423.78
Allatoona6-AAAAAA2-363.86926,8621.5396,09216,8372,4209810,203.08
Effingham County2-AAAAAA3-163.63962,2651.4092,82115,8902,0579810,203.08
Pope6-AAAAAA4-162.39981,1351.6496,90215,1621,6737912,657.23
South Paulding5-AAAAAA4-261.98680,4430.8022,1463,4333361758,822.53
Statesboro2-AAAAAA3-258.14865,3571.0226,6492,7482087142,856.14
Alexander5-AAAAAA4-161.64348,6320.409,0791,2511295199,999.00
Glynn Academy2-AAAAAA2-3-158.91780,3310.9018,4672,0031222499,999.00
Shiloh8-AAAAAA1-455.31736,9610.9315,9731,154761999,999.00
Evans3-AAAAAA5-152.51998,1681.0637,9562,744371999,999.00
Kell6-AAAAAA2-355.47521,8250.586,548467241999,999.00
Sequoyah7-AAAAAA2-359.7392,9450.101,816335191999,999.00
Lanier8-AAAAAA1-354.45590,5240.707,295499111999,999.00
River Ridge7-AAAAAA4-159.4164,2840.071,50224916--
Winder-Barrow8-AAAAAA3-352.40552,9640.634,3662678--
Sprayberry6-AAAAAA2-152.94485,8890.544,6962307--
Richmond Hill2-AAAAAA1-451.16222,1210.231,227584--
Tucker4-AAAAAA1-548.19979,7511.056,6731762--
Alcovy3-AAAAAA1-344.58982,1321.014,1831261--
South Effingham2-AAAAAA1-449.19170,2300.1754618---
Lakeside (Evans)3-AAAAAA1-439.29794,5950.8062010---
Grovetown3-AAAAAA1-440.15815,7290.831785---
Habersham Central8-AAAAAA2-445.4956,0850.061282---
Central Gwinnett8-AAAAAA1-544.1766,5270.07802---
Dalton5-AAAAAA1-551.858,2270.01181---
Lassiter6-AAAAAA2-443.9184,1080.0960----
North Atlanta4-AAAAAA4-244.2015,9970.0242----
Rockdale County3-AAAAAA1-433.27376,0210.3818----
Heritage (Conyers)3-AAAAAA0-519.9933,3550.031----
Paulding County5-AAAAAA2-348.691,2760.001----
Centennial7-AAAAAA1-545.531,1520.001----
Morrow4-AAAAAA1-426.449,6100.01-----
East Paulding5-AAAAAA1-446.869620.00-----
Wheeler6-AAAAAA1-535.491710.00-----
Bradwell Institute2-AAAAAA0-424.401030.00-----
Osborne6-AAAAAA1-327.56100.00-----
Valdosta1-AAAAAA2-373.96-------
South Cobb6-AAAAAA1-532.69-------
Chattahoochee7-AAAAAA1-530.38-------
Lakeside (Atlanta)4-AAAAAA2-47.22-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Playoffs Out
1-AAAAAALee County733,351204,65461,995-1,000,000-
1-AAAAAANorthside (Warner Robins)174,059477,196348,745-1,000,000-
1-AAAAAAHouston County92,590318,150589,260-1,000,000-
1-AAAAAAValdosta-----1,000,000
2-AAAAAABrunswick791,850172,30129,6115,831999,593407
2-AAAAAAEffingham County150,987432,566260,579118,133962,26537,735
2-AAAAAAStatesboro44,562190,102321,551309,142865,357134,643
2-AAAAAAGlynn Academy11,291185,263298,014285,763780,331219,669
2-AAAAAARichmond Hill1,30916,26451,192153,356222,121777,879
2-AAAAAASouth Effingham13,50439,050127,675170,230829,770
2-AAAAAABradwell Institute--3100103999,897
3-AAAAAAEvans724,920224,64840,0818,519998,1681,832
3-AAAAAAAlcovy204,905400,317257,984118,926982,13217,868
3-AAAAAALakeside (Evans)56,349178,929280,580278,737794,595205,405
3-AAAAAAGrovetown10,220178,657319,215307,637815,729184,271
3-AAAAAARockdale County3,53516,45395,695260,338376,021623,979
3-AAAAAAHeritage (Conyers)719966,44525,84333,355966,645
4-AAAAAAHughes860,380104,95332,6302,019999,98218
4-AAAAAAWestlake74,171693,118224,9037,381999,573427
4-AAAAAALovejoy65,049198,615668,41563,008995,0874,913
4-AAAAAATucker3972,82971,719904,806979,75120,249
4-AAAAAANorth Atlanta34852,31013,19915,997984,003
4-AAAAAAMorrow--239,5879,610990,390
4-AAAAAALakeside (Atlanta)-----1,000,000
5-AAAAAARome644,690132,273113,70091,281981,94418,056
5-AAAAAACarrollton235,058504,378215,37637,931992,7437,257
5-AAAAAADouglas County89,161304,297460,053132,262985,77314,227
5-AAAAAASouth Paulding29,05647,737180,764422,886680,443319,557
5-AAAAAAAlexander2,03011,30729,099306,196348,632651,368
5-AAAAAAPaulding County351771,0911,276998,724
5-AAAAAAEast Paulding2-82878962999,038
5-AAAAAADalton-37497,4758,227991,773
6-AAAAAAKennesaw Mountain813,276158,59928,113121,000,000-
6-AAAAAAPope151,630368,921361,93898,646981,13518,865
6-AAAAAAAllatoona35,034399,288332,669159,871926,86273,138
6-AAAAAASprayberry6047,338134,421304,070485,889514,111
6-AAAAAAKell-25,375132,425364,025521,825478,175
6-AAAAAALassiter-47910,43273,19784,108915,892
6-AAAAAAWheeler--2169171999,829
6-AAAAAAOsborne---1010999,990
6-AAAAAASouth Cobb-----1,000,000
7-AAAAAAJohns Creek456,876319,534172,83644,769994,0155,985
7-AAAAAACambridge422,301336,982158,38866,607984,27815,722
7-AAAAAACreekview82,909200,198363,533308,409955,04944,951
7-AAAAAARiverwood37,108137,228289,285444,656908,27791,723
7-AAAAAARiver Ridge7763,9958,75350,76064,284935,716
7-AAAAAASequoyah302,0607,15783,69892,945907,055
7-AAAAAACentennial-3481,1011,152998,848
7-AAAAAAChattahoochee-----1,000,000
8-AAAAAABuford978,20721,566211161,000,000-
8-AAAAAADacula20,265810,099154,35712,218996,9393,061
8-AAAAAAShiloh1,041149,129326,515260,276736,961263,039
8-AAAAAALanier3008,196276,583305,445590,524409,476
8-AAAAAAWinder-Barrow1876,054213,921332,802552,964447,036
8-AAAAAAHabersham Central-3,25416,14436,68756,085943,915
8-AAAAAACentral Gwinnett-1,70212,26952,55666,527933,473

Class AAAAA

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Semifinal
Final
Warner Robins
Cartersville
Ware County
Cartersville
Creekside
Warner Robins
First Round
Second Round
Quarterfinal
Ware County
Whitewater
Cartersville
Jones County
Ware County
Decatur
Villa Rica
Whitewater
Coffee
Cartersville
Lithia Springs
Jones County
Reg 1, #3
6
82.43
4-1
Ware County
Reg 3, #2
7
80.05
6-0
Woodward Academy
Reg 7, #4
31
48.86
3-3
Cass
Reg 5, #1
12
66.89
6-0
Decatur
Reg 6, #3
24
53.13
3-2
Villa Rica
Reg 8, #2
26
52.37
3-3
Eastside
Reg 4, #4
23
54.36
2-4
Ola
Reg 2, #1
9
70.71
5-1
Whitewater
Reg 3, #3
15
64.00
3-2
Jonesboro
Reg 1, #2
3
85.82
5-0
Coffee
Reg 5, #4
43
38.85
0-5
Lithonia
Reg 7, #1
2
87.93
5-0
Cartersville
Reg 8, #3
32
46.44
3-3
Jackson County
Reg 6, #2
22
54.46
1-5
Lithia Springs
Reg 2, #4
30
49.43
2-3
Harris County
Reg 4, #1
8
71.29
4-2
Jones County
Dutchtown
Creekside
Griffin
Warner Robins
Dutchtown
New Manchester
St. Pius X
Creekside
Griffin
Clarke Central
Calhoun
Warner Robins
Reg 2, #3
17
61.76
4-2
Starr's Mill
Reg 4, #2
14
66.52
4-2
Dutchtown
Reg 8, #4
36
43.54
3-3
Loganville
Reg 6, #1
21
54.79
3-3
New Manchester
Reg 7, #3
13
66.70
4-2
Blessed Trinity
Reg 5, #2
10
67.35
4-2
St. Pius X
Reg 1, #4
19
56.32
1-5
Veterans
Reg 3, #1
4
85.53
5-1
Creekside
Reg 4, #3
18
61.16
3-3
Union Grove
Reg 2, #2
11
67.06
2-3
Griffin
Reg 6, #4
46
37.49
1-5
Chapel Hill
Reg 8, #1
16
62.24
3-2
Clarke Central
Reg 5, #3
25
52.90
2-4
Southwest DeKalb
Reg 7, #2
5
82.93
5-1
Calhoun
Reg 3, #4
20
56.31
2-4
Banneker
Reg 1, #1
1
100.65
6-0
Warner Robins

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Depth Qtr Semi Finals Champ Odds
Warner Robins1-AAAAA6-0100.65999,9994.55885,149875,397792,817692,4470.44
Cartersville7-AAAAA5-087.93999,9983.20473,086435,298296,73693,2349.73
Creekside3-AAAAA5-185.53999,9833.39715,869653,536204,02672,04412.88
Coffee1-AAAAA5-085.82999,7243.02494,712442,462263,76661,61015.23
Calhoun7-AAAAA5-182.93999,9952.60271,658237,156120,36529,55232.84
Ware County1-AAAAA4-182.43999,3312.55404,183342,650142,72925,99737.47
Woodward Academy3-AAAAA6-080.051,000,0002.64500,547418,39599,27920,00548.99
Jones County4-AAAAA4-271.29997,8672.80782,134128,20826,6241,917520.65
Whitewater2-AAAAA5-170.71999,5202.79751,560166,54227,9421,831545.15
Dutchtown4-AAAAA4-266.52997,6772.38591,62071,1046,6523283,047.78
Griffin2-AAAAA2-367.06996,3722.14460,28741,0164,1553083,245.75
St. Pius X5-AAAAA4-267.35999,8241.8798,27253,0505,2522553,920.57
Decatur5-AAAAA6-066.89999,9921.7985,12445,0304,1501985,049.51
Blessed Trinity7-AAAAA4-266.70994,9621.6258,64730,9991,9141407,141.86
Clarke Central8-AAAAA3-262.24999,9132.36419,96810,2021,3296714,924.37
Starr's Mill2-AAAAA4-261.76993,8461.75289,69421,4521,1254721,275.60
Union Grove4-AAAAA3-361.16877,9211.32150,9505,6674209111,110.11
Jonesboro3-AAAAA3-264.00989,5351.065,6832,2612628124,999.00
New Manchester6-AAAAA3-354.79999,8081.93151,8276,2461342499,999.00
Villa Rica6-AAAAA3-253.13992,6971.79110,5713,481661999,999.00
Lithia Springs6-AAAAA1-554.46986,2301.79120,2153,926125--
Ola4-AAAAA2-454.36546,7530.6740,3631,55546--
Eastside8-AAAAA3-352.37754,7651.1752,3131,57539--
Veterans1-AAAAA1-556.32762,9510.794,6891,30720--
Harris County2-AAAAA2-349.43500,1300.5515,2361548--
Banneker3-AAAAA2-456.31875,2010.88394886--
Woodland (Stockbridge)4-AAAAA3-351.08356,5510.4216,0473185--
Jackson County8-AAAAA3-346.44608,3470.8114,7542072--
Cass7-AAAAA3-348.86820,7450.901,0551672--
Southwest DeKalb5-AAAAA2-452.90995,5031.047951632--
Stockbridge4-AAAAA3-352.12132,9620.166,7771651--
Eagle's Landing4-AAAAA3-350.3890,2670.103,254721--
Loganville8-AAAAA3-343.54592,5500.748,15664---
Greenbrier8-AAAAA3-341.90476,6460.584,63329---
McIntosh2-AAAAA2-444.41368,5050.394,11423---
Wayne County1-AAAAA0-546.15237,9950.2412015---
Apalachee8-AAAAA1-539.41367,4910.431,9677---
Northside (Columbus)2-AAAAA3-243.3756,3890.065354---
Walnut Grove8-AAAAA3-336.17200,2880.225344---
Chapel Hill6-AAAAA1-537.49685,3340.741,8373---
Maynard Jackson6-AAAAA1-433.59332,7640.353221---
Hiram7-AAAAA0-637.78182,0500.19121---
Northgate2-AAAAA1-439.7585,2380.09332----
Lithonia5-AAAAA0-538.85466,9620.473----
M.L. King5-AAAAA1-436.23521,8870.521----
Forest Park3-AAAAA2-238.4541,6730.041----
Mundy's Mill3-AAAAA1-341.3883,0410.08-----
Stone Mountain5-AAAAA4-227.6514,6960.01-----
Drew3-AAAAA1-341.2210,5190.01-----
North Springs6-AAAAA1-520.603,1670.00-----
Woodland (Cartersville)7-AAAAA1-517.842,2500.00-----
Northview5-AAAAA1-49.991,1360.00-----
Tri-Cities3-AAAAA1-419.36480.00-----
Locust Grove4-AAAAA0-621.8420.00-----
Chamblee5-AAAAA5-144.14-------
Midtown6-AAAAA0-130.20-------
Clarkston5-AAAAA1-16.14-------
Johnson (Gainesville)8-AAAAA0-51.34-------
Cross Keys5-AAAAA1-4-25.25-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Playoffs Out
1-AAAAAWarner Robins822,926148,28428,494295999,9991
1-AAAAACoffee119,761521,488348,24410,231999,724276
1-AAAAAWare County57,242328,322588,72725,040999,331669
1-AAAAAVeterans711,78331,782729,315762,951237,049
1-AAAAAWayne County-1232,753235,119237,995762,005
2-AAAAAWhitewater793,157146,73654,6994,928999,520480
2-AAAAAStarr's Mill124,563290,949534,67143,663993,8466,154
2-AAAAAGriffin80,344553,503322,27440,251996,3723,628
2-AAAAAHarris County1,4565,84640,539452,289500,130499,870
2-AAAAAMcIntosh4521,95135,380330,722368,505631,495
2-AAAAANorthgate232143,15081,85185,238914,762
2-AAAAANorthside (Columbus)58019,28746,29656,389943,611
3-AAAAACreekside621,050349,58927,7731,571999,98317
3-AAAAAWoodward Academy377,101618,6374,25391,000,000-
3-AAAAAJonesboro1,84929,963919,59038,133989,53510,465
3-AAAAABanneker-1,66433,494840,043875,201124,799
3-AAAAADrew-753,0487,39610,519989,481
3-AAAAAForest Park-423,41538,21641,673958,327
3-AAAAAMundy's Mill-308,42774,58483,041916,959
3-AAAAATri-Cities---4848999,952
4-AAAAAJones County654,766320,64418,5383,919997,8672,133
4-AAAAADutchtown342,126621,00629,3935,152997,6772,323
4-AAAAAWoodland (Stockbridge)2,89627,873150,451175,331356,551643,449
4-AAAAAOla12211,44161,995473,195546,753453,247
4-AAAAAUnion Grove6311,791668,725197,342877,921122,079
4-AAAAAEagle's Landing241,29227,42661,52590,267909,733
4-AAAAAStockbridge35,95343,47283,534132,962867,038
4-AAAAALocust Grove---22999,998
5-AAAAASt. Pius X528,483458,92211,0601,359999,824176
5-AAAAADecatur466,748453,04978,1362,059999,9928
5-AAAAASouthwest DeKalb4,53283,974840,42166,576995,5034,497
5-AAAAAM.L. King2373,22863,363455,059521,887478,113
5-AAAAALithonia-8033,600462,559466,962533,038
5-AAAAAStone Mountain-243,40411,26814,696985,304
5-AAAAANorthview--161,1201,136998,864
5-AAAAAChamblee-----1,000,000
5-AAAAAClarkston-----1,000,000
5-AAAAACross Keys-----1,000,000
6-AAAAANew Manchester595,021279,619109,24115,927999,808192
6-AAAAAVilla Rica281,831314,434357,38239,050992,6977,303
6-AAAAALithia Springs119,504381,286402,81782,623986,23013,770
6-AAAAAChapel Hill3,45618,99591,157571,726685,334314,666
6-AAAAAMaynard Jackson1845,60338,803288,174332,764667,236
6-AAAAANorth Springs4636002,5003,167996,833
6-AAAAAMidtown-----1,000,000
7-AAAAACartersville664,558303,02432,35561999,9982
7-AAAAACalhoun318,009582,53897,3112,137999,9955
7-AAAAABlessed Trinity17,410112,827774,03790,688994,9625,038
7-AAAAACass211,59088,858730,276820,745179,255
7-AAAAAHiram2217,436174,591182,050817,950
7-AAAAAWoodland (Cartersville)--32,2472,250997,750
8-AAAAAClarke Central976,86720,1712,299576999,91387
8-AAAAALoganville13,421129,892188,478260,759592,550407,450
8-AAAAAGreenbrier6,513114,183157,020198,930476,646523,354
8-AAAAAEastside1,484383,096234,952135,233754,765245,235
8-AAAAAWalnut Grove91532,14260,297106,934200,288799,712
8-AAAAAJackson County775227,117248,105132,350608,347391,653
8-AAAAAApalachee2593,399108,849165,218367,491632,509
8-AAAAAJohnson (Gainesville)-----1,000,000

Class AAAA

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Semifinal
Final
Benedictine
Cedartown
Carver (Columbus)
Cedartown
Benedictine
Jefferson
First Round
Second Round
Quarterfinal
Riverdale
Carver (Columbus)
Cedartown
Spalding
Bainbridge
Riverdale
Flowery Branch
Carver (Columbus)
Thomas County Central
Cedartown
North Oconee
Spalding
Reg 1, #3
14
63.96
1-3
Bainbridge
Reg 3, #2
16
62.25
4-1
New Hampstead
Reg 7, #4
37
41.40
2-4
Central (Carrollton)
Reg 5, #1
13
65.45
4-0-1
Riverdale
Reg 6, #3
23
49.94
1-4
Mays
Reg 8, #2
11
67.61
3-2
Flowery Branch
Reg 4, #4
18
57.97
3-3
West Laurens
Reg 2, #1
6
70.82
5-1
Carver (Columbus)
Reg 3, #3
38
40.86
3-2
Islands
Reg 1, #2
9
68.70
4-2
Thomas County Central
Reg 5, #4
32
45.35
4-2
Fayette County
Reg 7, #1
4
75.77
4-1
Cedartown
Reg 8, #3
12
66.98
3-3
North Oconee
Reg 6, #2
15
62.33
5-0
Stephenson
Reg 2, #4
34
43.60
3-2
Hardaway
Reg 4, #1
8
68.88
5-1
Spalding
Marist
Benedictine
Jefferson
Dougherty
Perry
Marist
Luella
Benedictine
Baldwin
Jefferson
McDonough
Dougherty
Reg 2, #3
21
52.19
5-1
Troup
Reg 4, #2
5
71.93
4-1
Perry
Reg 8, #4
22
51.51
2-2
Cedar Shoals
Reg 6, #1
3
78.21
3-1
Marist
Reg 7, #3
33
44.29
3-2
Pickens
Reg 5, #2
20
52.56
5-1
Luella
Reg 1, #4
19
55.28
2-3
Cairo
Reg 3, #1
1
89.89
4-2
Benedictine
Reg 4, #3
10
68.15
3-2
Baldwin
Reg 2, #2
17
59.69
4-1
LaGrange
Reg 6, #4
24
49.73
3-3
Arabia Mountain
Reg 8, #1
2
88.93
6-0
Jefferson
Reg 5, #3
26
48.41
4-2
McDonough
Reg 7, #2
29
45.94
3-2
Northwest Whitfield
Reg 3, #4
45
28.33
2-3
Jenkins
Reg 1, #1
7
70.61
5-0
Dougherty

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Depth Qtr Semi Finals Champ Odds
Benedictine3-AAAA4-289.891,000,0004.29971,941829,027501,470435,7541.29
Jefferson8-AAAA6-088.93999,9994.26932,567862,583474,041404,0371.48
Cedartown7-AAAA4-175.77999,9983.58732,647512,882355,73864,97914.39
Marist6-AAAA3-178.21999,9042.93722,081195,90180,21535,62127.07
Carver (Columbus)2-AAAA5-170.82999,9972.68468,808311,073140,52815,46563.66
Dougherty1-AAAA5-070.61996,2762.77636,117170,71161,4449,390105.50
Spalding4-AAAA5-168.88999,8802.55437,380141,82269,1276,512152.56
Perry4-AAAA4-171.93996,2702.25284,05896,85836,4236,303157.65
Thomas County Central1-AAAA4-268.70994,1312.54519,317142,69249,2465,376185.01
Flowery Branch8-AAAA3-267.61980,1862.19317,938143,14853,0894,186237.89
North Oconee8-AAAA3-366.98999,5322.23318,733141,88348,6973,600276.78
Baldwin4-AAAA3-268.15995,2692.17272,79889,95235,7073,368295.91
Riverdale5-AAAA4-0-165.45999,2812.58421,204164,42250,0543,181313.37
Bainbridge1-AAAA1-363.96983,0482.14349,32277,14919,3691,178847.90
New Hampstead3-AAAA4-162.251,000,0001.75220,85665,32014,2796281,591.36
Stephenson6-AAAA5-062.33987,8301.61144,18227,6247,7403263,066.48
West Laurens4-AAAA3-357.97968,4291.3043,02711,0211,4875019,999.00
LaGrange2-AAAA4-159.69997,8501.3123,8023,9294452934,481.76
Luella5-AAAA5-152.56999,9951.8154,0915,0114051190,908.09
Cairo1-AAAA2-355.28640,9630.7321,6872,5912795199,999.00
Cedar Shoals8-AAAA2-251.51759,3880.859,692576431999,999.00
Troup2-AAAA5-152.19999,2751.149,30375051--
Mays6-AAAA1-449.94817,1470.897,15878842--
Arabia Mountain6-AAAA3-349.73678,5230.724,10549628--
McDonough5-AAAA4-248.41882,7551.2123,85557812--
Northwest Whitfield7-AAAA3-245.94949,1991.3117,66932712--
Monroe1-AAAA2-447.29226,8850.241,658886--
Hapeville Charter6-AAAA1-447.66289,6660.30925895--
Hardaway2-AAAA3-243.60943,7780.982,243545--
Fayette County5-AAAA4-245.35962,4741.2713,2942864--
Pickens7-AAAA3-244.29807,8271.038,1191542--
Westover1-AAAA1-345.65158,6970.16760362--
Miller Grove6-AAAA4-143.11226,9300.23274152--
Madison County8-AAAA2-348.4898,1010.10480122--
Heritage (Ringgold)7-AAAA3-139.22633,1850.721,907241--
Islands3-AAAA3-240.861,000,0001.042,62062---
Central (Carrollton)7-AAAA2-441.40584,1880.672,33860---
Chestatee8-AAAA2-345.49162,7920.174013---
Hampton5-AAAA0-436.54155,0150.161792---
Westside (Macon)4-AAAA2-335.8617,8760.02131---
Jenkins3-AAAA2-328.331,000,0001.01415----
Howard4-AAAA2-242.1712,4150.0127----
Ridgeland7-AAAA1-526.9625,6030.034----
Spencer2-AAAA1-431.5711,6610.012----
Rutland4-AAAA1-532.849,8610.012----
Shaw2-AAAA0-326.5340,5750.041----
Columbus2-AAAA1-531.026,3240.01-----
Kendrick2-AAAA0-513.135400.00-----
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)5-AAAA0-58.664770.00-----
North Clayton5-AAAA0-6-0.1430.00-----
East Hall8-AAAA1-514.4320.00-----
Southeast Whitfield7-AAAA1-610.04-------
Jordan2-AAAA0-34.55-------
Druid Hills6-AAAA0-6-12.86-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Playoffs Out
1-AAAADougherty472,706314,159175,09634,315996,2763,724
1-AAAAThomas County Central329,072350,078254,40460,577994,1315,869
1-AAAABainbridge191,239307,924421,57562,310983,04816,952
1-AAAACairo6,47022,06299,010513,421640,963359,037
1-AAAAMonroe3893,53730,511192,448226,885773,115
1-AAAAWestover1242,24019,404136,929158,697841,303
2-AAAACarver (Columbus)939,49253,8175,1301,558999,9973
2-AAAATroup45,786291,577618,75243,160999,275725
2-AAAALaGrange12,218633,548292,47859,606997,8502,150
2-AAAAHardaway2,50420,95080,382839,942943,77856,222
2-AAAAShaw-1082,27338,19440,575959,425
2-AAAASpencer--98510,67611,661988,339
2-AAAAColumbus---6,3246,324993,676
2-AAAAKendrick---540540999,460
2-AAAAJordan-----1,000,000
3-AAAABenedictine973,82326,10968-1,000,000-
3-AAAANew Hampstead26,021907,77064,3481,8611,000,000-
3-AAAAIslands15262,866777,683159,2991,000,000-
3-AAAAJenkins43,255157,901838,8401,000,000-
4-AAAASpalding613,815295,20589,7261,134999,880120
4-AAAABaldwin283,531244,693314,200152,845995,2694,731
4-AAAAPerry100,755410,119370,046115,350996,2703,730
4-AAAAWest Laurens1,86249,540224,637692,390968,42931,571
4-AAAAHoward374111,01010,95712,415987,585
4-AAAAWestside (Macon)-3134117,50417,876982,124
4-AAAARutland-1409,8209,861990,139
5-AAAARiverdale774,529180,26234,06910,421999,281719
5-AAAALuella176,346624,125177,11422,410999,9955
5-AAAAFayette County31,867158,270336,369435,968962,47437,526
5-AAAAMcDonough17,25636,784428,887399,828882,755117,245
5-AAAAHampton255923,521130,933155,015844,985
5-AAAAMount Zion (Jonesboro)--40437477999,523
5-AAAANorth Clayton---33999,997
6-AAAAMarist873,884118,4826,724814999,90496
6-AAAAStephenson115,822706,224135,55430,230987,83012,170
6-AAAAMays6,588118,910386,887304,762817,147182,853
6-AAAAArabia Mountain2,65422,869313,588339,412678,523321,477
6-AAAAHapeville Charter85822,33973,468193,001289,666710,334
6-AAAAMiller Grove19411,17683,779131,781226,930773,070
6-AAAADruid Hills-----1,000,000
7-AAAACedartown981,14118,48430469999,9982
7-AAAANorthwest Whitfield15,255531,177286,631116,136949,19950,801
7-AAAAHeritage (Ringgold)1,826124,069196,333310,957633,185366,815
7-AAAACentral (Carrollton)1,67251,442207,102323,972584,188415,812
7-AAAAPickens104273,511302,381231,831807,827192,173
7-AAAARidgeland21,3177,24917,03525,603974,397
7-AAAASoutheast Whitfield-----1,000,000
8-AAAAJefferson960,81938,215812153999,9991
8-AAAANorth Oconee37,043478,396420,56963,524999,532468
8-AAAAFlowery Branch1,264457,237439,33882,347980,18619,814
8-AAAACedar Shoals85525,713116,973615,847759,388240,612
8-AAAAChestatee1840311,308151,063162,792837,208
8-AAAAMadison County13611,00087,06498,101901,899
8-AAAAEast Hall---22999,998

Class AAA

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Semifinal
Final
Appling County
Cedar Grove
Cedar Grove
Pierce County
Sandy Creek
Appling County
First Round
Second Round
Quarterfinal
Cedar Grove
Monroe Area
Pierce County
Hart County
Tattnall County
Cedar Grove
Monroe Area
Peach County
Pierce County
Cherokee Bluff
Hart County
Thomson
Reg 1, #3
20
52.21
4-1
Tattnall County
Reg 3, #2
28
46.67
2-2
Liberty County
Reg 7, #4
35
41.63
1-5
White County
Reg 5, #1
3
77.07
4-1
Cedar Grove
Reg 6, #3
17
54.58
3-2
North Murray
Reg 8, #2
6
70.21
5-0
Monroe Area
Reg 4, #4
37
35.40
3-2
Hephzibah
Reg 2, #1
9
67.18
3-2
Peach County
Reg 3, #3
31
44.54
4-1
Southeast Bulloch
Reg 1, #2
5
71.97
4-2
Pierce County
Reg 5, #4
25
49.46
2-4
Greater Atlanta Christian
Reg 7, #1
16
59.89
6-0
Cherokee Bluff
Reg 8, #3
8
67.45
5-0
Hart County
Reg 6, #2
12
62.05
6-0
Ringgold
Reg 2, #4
21
51.44
3-3
Jackson
Reg 4, #1
14
61.73
5-0
Thomson
Rockmart
Sandy Creek
Oconee County
Appling County
Burke County
Rockmart
Sandy Creek
Windsor Forest
Crisp County
Oconee County
Carver (Atlanta)
Appling County
Reg 2, #3
24
49.96
3-3
Mary Persons
Reg 4, #2
13
62.05
3-1
Burke County
Reg 8, #4
10
63.50
5-1
Stephens County
Reg 6, #1
7
67.96
4-1
Rockmart
Reg 7, #3
30
46.50
2-3
Dawson County
Reg 5, #2
4
73.99
6-0
Sandy Creek
Reg 1, #4
42
32.70
2-3
Brantley County
Reg 3, #1
26
48.01
2-2
Windsor Forest
Reg 4, #3
29
46.66
4-2
Harlem
Reg 2, #2
11
63.41
3-3
Crisp County
Reg 6, #4
19
52.34
4-1
Adairsville
Reg 8, #1
2
78.64
6-0
Oconee County
Reg 5, #3
15
61.10
3-2
Carver (Atlanta)
Reg 7, #2
18
54.29
4-2
North Hall
Reg 3, #4
41
32.97
1-4
Johnson (Savannah)
Reg 1, #1
1
82.50
6-0
Appling County

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Depth Qtr Semi Finals Champ Odds
Appling County1-AAA6-082.501,000,0004.19934,382715,944544,117396,9671.52
Cedar Grove5-AAA4-177.07999,9554.02938,302705,055394,540198,0424.05
Oconee County8-AAA6-078.64999,7643.49816,293429,377293,715168,2344.94
Sandy Creek5-AAA6-073.99999,9473.67854,721590,707263,362104,9998.52
Pierce County1-AAA4-271.97999,9693.48792,318496,810217,48965,86214.18
Monroe Area8-AAA5-070.21997,8372.65554,020198,38585,71924,23840.26
Rockmart6-AAA4-167.96999,9722.23429,363170,97442,86111,85383.37
Hart County8-AAA5-067.45998,9202.28429,131138,48541,9059,747101.60
Peach County2-AAA3-267.18999,6222.46377,417102,94939,8729,043109.58
Crisp County2-AAA3-363.41999,9782.20249,38446,05713,6462,224448.64
Stephens County8-AAA5-163.50972,7201.75256,88668,62511,7032,102474.74
Burke County4-AAA3-162.05999,4982.17292,97778,90413,3021,900525.32
Thomson4-AAA5-061.73999,9732.15284,84175,26012,4761,732576.37
Ringgold6-AAA6-062.05995,3931.64210,43956,5269,4061,299768.82
Carver (Atlanta)5-AAA3-261.10981,3141.83138,26344,6996,6849461,056.08
Cherokee Bluff7-AAA6-059.89999,6121.80125,57242,9706,7697031,421.48
North Hall7-AAA4-254.29999,5161.4549,12810,1709314820,832.33
Tattnall County1-AAA4-152.21991,7621.7153,4737,5245943132,257.06
North Murray6-AAA3-254.58937,1601.0622,4551,8512147142,856.14
Jackson2-AAA3-351.44871,6511.1430,9233,1401597142,856.14
Windsor Forest3-AAA2-248.01997,6621.5534,4894,1771263333,332.33
Liberty County3-AAA2-246.67999,8361.6131,4923,336773333,332.33
Adairsville6-AAA4-152.34653,3220.7210,467692693333,332.33
Dawson County7-AAA2-346.50968,4481.0914,9301,427322499,999.00
Harlem4-AAA4-246.66987,1881.1510,160554302499,999.00
Upson-Lee2-AAA3-348.01237,4620.294,089322191999,999.00
Southeast Bulloch3-AAA4-144.54960,2051.128,629703161999,999.00
Sonoraville6-AAA3-250.43311,0220.333,262179151999,999.00
Greater Atlanta Christian5-AAA2-449.46771,3801.0217,8072,23988--
Mary Persons2-AAA3-349.96651,4410.8116,2871,49345--
Westminster (Atlanta)5-AAA2-450.0279,3060.101,85024015--
White County7-AAA1-541.63615,2320.631,987794--
Salem5-AAA4-243.23168,0530.201,08459---
Pike County2-AAA1-442.17235,0620.261,02554---
Brantley County1-AAA2-332.70618,5150.7191122---
Long County1-AAA3-329.66389,7540.432723---
Coahulla Creek6-AAA4-243.3892,5500.091643---
West Hall7-AAA2-333.15222,9630.221283---
Hephzibah4-AAA3-235.40654,3650.672991---
Johnson (Savannah)3-AAA1-432.97636,9420.641931---
Franklin County8-AAA3-238.0724,7560.03551---
Richmond Academy4-AAA0-532.58283,3870.2948----
Beach3-AAA1-329.01405,0380.4130----
Gilmer7-AAA2-331.0169,8200.0727----
Lumpkin County7-AAA2-327.19124,4090.1212----
LaFayette6-AAA3-235.1710,5810.018----
East Jackson8-AAA2-430.286,0030.013----
Central (Macon)2-AAA0-533.582,5670.003----
Morgan County4-AAA1-528.1055,4340.061----
Cross Creek4-AAA1-520.1320,1550.02-----
Sumter County2-AAA0-427.972,2170.00-----
Savannah3-AAA2-33.622910.00-----
Redan5-AAA2-416.92270.00-----
Groves3-AAA0-2-8.97260.00-----
Douglass5-AAA0-624.28180.00-----
Murray County6-AAA1-519.77-------
East Forsyth7-AAA1-513.39-------
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe6-AAA0-513.28-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Playoffs Out
1-AAAAppling County770,429223,2966,221541,000,000-
1-AAAPierce County226,507714,12158,711630999,96931
1-AAATattnall County3,03961,527856,26470,932991,7628,238
1-AAABrantley County1769552,921564,882618,515381,485
1-AAALong County836125,883363,502389,754610,246
2-AAAPeach County612,027344,84240,2422,511999,622378
2-AAACrisp County385,700606,3527,338588999,97822
2-AAAJackson2,26836,889507,620324,874871,651128,349
2-AAAUpson-Lee55,747107,494124,216237,462762,538
2-AAAPike County-4,82536,275193,962235,062764,938
2-AAAMary Persons-1,338300,761349,342651,441348,559
2-AAACentral (Macon)-7632,4972,567997,433
2-AAASumter County--2072,0102,217997,783
3-AAALiberty County492,714415,81881,4839,821999,836164
3-AAAWindsor Forest439,464299,520215,21943,459997,6622,338
3-AAASoutheast Bulloch63,412248,494505,701142,598960,20539,795
3-AAAJohnson (Savannah)3,15125,635136,419471,737636,942363,058
3-AAABeach1,25910,53361,135332,111405,038594,962
3-AAASavannah--43248291999,709
3-AAAGroves---2626999,974
4-AAAThomson490,841418,51485,7844,834999,97327
4-AAABurke County475,882438,30879,5085,800999,498502
4-AAAHarlem32,089132,091672,095150,913987,18812,812
4-AAAHephzibah1,18510,259148,679494,242654,365345,635
4-AAAMorgan County21888,66746,57755,434944,566
4-AAARichmond Academy16365,165277,585283,387716,613
4-AAACross Creek-410220,04920,155979,845
5-AAACedar Grove602,343391,0146,480118999,95545
5-AAASandy Creek392,608502,65096,1948,495999,94753
5-AAACarver (Atlanta)4,86996,100696,628183,717981,31418,686
5-AAAGreater Atlanta Christian1649,749169,728591,739771,380228,620
5-AAASalem1648630,798136,753168,053831,947
5-AAAWestminster (Atlanta)-117279,13379,306920,694
5-AAARedan---2727999,973
5-AAADouglass---1818999,982
6-AAARockmart690,450290,66718,305550999,97228
6-AAARinggold301,907640,17037,45715,859995,3934,607
6-AAAAdairsville7,55923,884280,482341,397653,322346,678
6-AAASonoraville6820,06845,750245,136311,022688,978
6-AAACoahulla Creek112,3805,91384,24692,550907,450
6-AAALaFayette51621,6568,75810,581989,419
6-AAANorth Murray-22,669610,437304,054937,16062,840
6-AAAMurray County-----1,000,000
6-AAALakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe-----1,000,000
7-AAACherokee Bluff617,527291,07478,52412,487999,612388
7-AAANorth Hall311,944467,874215,1494,549999,516484
7-AAADawson County70,433231,468590,47976,068968,44831,552
7-AAALumpkin County871,47917,482105,361124,409875,591
7-AAAWhite County57,13250,929557,166615,232384,768
7-AAAGilmer45589,88159,37769,820930,180
7-AAAWest Hall-41537,556184,992222,963777,037
7-AAAEast Forsyth-----1,000,000
8-AAAOconee County647,024238,46780,93333,340999,764236
8-AAAMonroe Area221,016461,265276,33939,217997,8372,163
8-AAAHart County112,468250,079383,588252,785998,9201,080
8-AAAStephens County19,48950,100258,472644,659972,72027,280
8-AAAFranklin County38151324,15924,756975,244
8-AAAEast Jackson-81555,8406,003993,997

Class AA

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Semifinal
Final
Rabun County
Fitzgerald
Bleckley County
Fitzgerald
Northeast
Rabun County
First Round
Second Round
Quarterfinal
Bleckley County
Swainsboro
Fitzgerald
Putnam County
Bleckley County
Callaway
Elbert County
Swainsboro
Fitzgerald
Bremen
South Atlanta
Putnam County
Reg 1, #3
11
55.55
4-2
Cook
Reg 3, #2
5
66.11
6-0
Bleckley County
Reg 7, #4
35
33.08
1-5
Pepperell
Reg 5, #1
9
60.69
4-1
Callaway
Reg 6, #3
26
44.21
1-4
Pace Academy
Reg 8, #2
20
49.12
2-3
Elbert County
Reg 4, #4
30
39.75
4-2
Westside (Augusta)
Reg 2, #1
8
61.90
4-2
Swainsboro
Reg 3, #3
6
65.80
3-1
Washington County
Reg 1, #2
4
70.35
5-1
Fitzgerald
Reg 5, #4
25
45.25
4-2
Bremen
Reg 7, #1
27
43.67
5-1
Fannin County
Reg 8, #3
39
25.91
1-4
Union County
Reg 6, #2
17
51.77
4-1
South Atlanta
Reg 2, #4
28
43.38
1-4
Vidalia
Reg 4, #1
12
54.83
6-0
Putnam County
Columbia
Northeast
Rabun County
Thomasville
Laney
Columbia
Haralson County
Northeast
Jeff Davis
Rabun County
Heard County
Thomasville
Reg 2, #3
23
45.88
2-3
Toombs County
Reg 4, #2
18
50.19
4-2
Laney
Reg 8, #4
38
26.26
1-4
Banks County
Reg 6, #1
16
52.30
5-1
Columbia
Reg 7, #3
33
34.62
3-2
Chattooga
Reg 5, #2
13
54.74
5-1
Haralson County
Reg 1, #4
19
49.66
3-3
Worth County
Reg 3, #1
3
71.62
4-1
Northeast
Reg 4, #3
22
46.06
4-2
Jefferson County
Reg 2, #2
10
59.58
5-0
Jeff Davis
Reg 6, #4
21
46.77
3-3
Lovett
Reg 8, #1
1
79.65
5-1
Rabun County
Reg 5, #3
14
53.23
4-2
Heard County
Reg 7, #2
32
34.75
4-1
Dade County
Reg 3, #4
7
62.90
3-2
Dodge County
Reg 1, #1
2
73.64
5-1
Thomasville

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Depth Qtr Semi Finals Champ Odds
Rabun County8-AA5-179.651,000,0004.21926,193712,043584,285463,2931.16
Thomasville1-AA5-173.64999,5003.24721,330433,143317,195166,0565.02
Northeast3-AA4-171.62992,8043.54748,744655,860288,467151,0315.62
Fitzgerald1-AA5-170.35999,0382.94618,915388,598257,54698,9379.11
Bleckley County3-AA6-066.11962,4212.57488,316366,334139,41941,66923.00
Washington County3-AA3-165.80984,3152.27398,252265,505118,03031,85130.40
Swainsboro2-AA4-261.90999,7472.67497,524211,18777,98614,33168.78
Dodge County3-AA3-262.90831,4311.52228,460120,16143,1839,546103.76
Callaway5-AA4-160.69997,1032.51315,774182,80552,6709,442104.91
Jeff Davis2-AA5-059.58996,6282.43403,643143,44243,9136,829145.43
Putnam County4-AA6-054.831,000,0002.41497,281102,38924,3462,275438.56
Haralson County5-AA5-154.74985,7802.11158,20763,5849,9181,097910.58
Cook1-AA4-255.55958,8091.3099,09345,5829,1459221,083.60
Columbia6-AA5-152.301,000,0002.46482,77782,3579,1828601,161.79
South Atlanta6-AA4-151.77999,7922.54503,91781,2799,3628071,238.16
Heard County5-AA4-253.23975,3372.02129,13146,7556,4735981,671.24
Elbert County8-AA2-349.12999,9541.79152,75322,4793,0261357,406.41
Laney4-AA4-250.19977,0221.51134,59519,1321,3521029,802.92
Lamar County3-AA4-253.14228,9890.2714,5433,1225804024,999.00
Jefferson County4-AA4-246.06991,3161.47107,88410,1687893727,026.03
Worth County1-AA3-349.66510,6310.5815,6056,3193183231,249.00
Lovett6-AA3-346.77975,6831.2968,1886,8547682934,481.76
Toombs County2-AA2-345.88902,8131.3699,1958,7225062737,036.04
Bremen5-AA4-245.25865,1861.4832,5257,2565662441,665.67
Fannin County7-AA5-143.67997,2381.4119,8544,7724389111,110.11
Pace Academy6-AA1-444.21867,6021.1537,4133,1282489111,110.11
Berrien1-AA2-345.63385,3370.415,4411,524516166,665.67
Vidalia2-AA1-443.38830,9761.1460,6633,9121945199,999.00
Westside (Augusta)4-AA4-239.75947,6721.0919,314921321999,999.00
Dade County7-AA4-134.75936,4581.051,9901613--
Early County1-AA2-340.03146,6850.156381163--
Chattooga7-AA3-234.62962,6551.081,9431602--
East Laurens2-AA4-233.86254,5190.282,966741--
Washington6-AA2-237.04146,9380.161,602521--
Pepperell7-AA1-533.08641,8620.68645371--
Temple5-AA1-331.31176,5940.22395331--
Union County8-AA1-425.91999,9591.042,01922---
Banks County8-AA1-426.26981,3241.022,05011---
Model7-AA2-429.67455,8080.471991---
Oglethorpe County4-AA1-419.6258,8310.0611----
Bacon County2-AA0-519.8015,3170.026----
Josey4-AA0-415.0825,0030.035----
Therrell6-AA0-524.827,1520.011----
Riverside Military Academy8-AA1-4-1.3918,7630.02-----
Coosa7-AA0-512.045,8790.01-----
Towers6-AA2-317.012,8330.00-----
Glenn Hills4-AA0-49.041000.00-----
Gordon Central7-AA0-6-3.841000.00-----
Butler4-AA0-6-1.47560.00-----
Southwest3-AA1-321.86380.00-----
Jasper County3-AA0-68.8220.00-----
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate6-AA1-3-7.72-------
McNair6-AA0-4-19.46-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Playoffs Out
1-AAThomasville564,837369,72159,6555,287999,500500
1-AAFitzgerald404,082481,920102,60810,428999,038962
1-AACook29,395133,667654,682141,065958,80941,191
1-AAWorth County1,3889,98845,538453,717510,631489,369
1-AABerrien2803,508104,234277,315385,337614,663
1-AAEarly County181,19633,283112,188146,685853,315
2-AASwainsboro537,142382,84167,35612,408999,747253
2-AAJeff Davis419,583440,422111,17025,453996,6283,372
2-AAToombs County29,566112,308452,718308,221902,81397,187
2-AAVidalia13,57459,712313,431444,259830,976169,024
2-AAEast Laurens1354,69253,165196,527254,519745,481
2-AABacon County-252,16013,13215,317984,683
3-AANortheast609,934247,18097,54838,142992,8047,196
3-AABleckley County265,803321,468264,618110,532962,42137,579
3-AAWashington County73,896299,705352,086258,628984,31515,685
3-AADodge County47,646121,676253,622408,487831,431168,569
3-AALamar County2,7219,97132,110184,187228,989771,011
3-AASouthwest--162238999,962
3-AAJasper County---22999,998
4-AAPutnam County789,804207,8882,258501,000,000-
4-AAJefferson County208,332272,291330,484180,209991,3168,684
4-AAWestside (Augusta)1,463146,509321,390478,310947,67252,328
4-AALaney401372,435340,001264,185977,02222,978
4-AAOglethorpe County-8765,61752,33858,831941,169
4-AAJosey-125024,75225,003974,997
4-AAGlenn Hills---100100999,900
4-AAButler---5656999,944
5-AACallaway544,731283,251125,78943,332997,1032,897
5-AAHaralson County229,223333,858298,021124,678985,78014,220
5-AAHeard County190,796292,416324,268167,857975,33724,663
5-AABremen34,87586,559234,487509,265865,186134,814
5-AATemple3753,91617,435154,868176,594823,406
6-AAColumbia516,419350,14495,97237,4651,000,000-
6-AASouth Atlanta483,579499,63314,9871,593999,792208
6-AALovett2139,109234,011602,561975,68324,317
6-AAWashington-10,54514,298122,095146,938853,062
6-AAPace Academy-559640,338226,705867,602132,398
6-AATowers-102142,6092,833997,167
6-AATherrell--1806,9727,152992,848
6-AAKIPP Atlanta Collegiate-----1,000,000
6-AAMcNair-----1,000,000
7-AAFannin County666,449241,16373,79815,828997,2382,762
7-AAChattooga161,044332,779309,110159,722962,65537,345
7-AADade County159,400326,183308,953141,922936,45863,542
7-AAModel12,76431,749110,136301,159455,808544,192
7-AAPepperell31867,906196,324377,314641,862358,138
7-AACoosa252201,6753,9595,879994,121
7-AAGordon Central--496100999,900
8-AARabun County981,69418,2812411,000,000-
8-AAElbert County18,154914,60660,9066,288999,95446
8-AABanks County8035,474446,533499,237981,32418,676
8-AAUnion County7231,616492,527475,744999,95941
8-AARiverside Military Academy-231018,73018,763981,237

Class A Public

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Semifinal
Final
Metter
Macon County
Macon County
Clinch County
Metter
Brooks County
First Round
Second Round
Quarterfinal
Macon County
Irwin County
Manchester
Clinch County
Emanuel County Institute
Macon County
Lincoln County
Irwin County
Mitchell County
Manchester
Commerce
Clinch County
Reg 1, #3
34
30.56
1-3
Miller County
Reg 3, #2
13
48.40
5-1
Emanuel County Institute
Reg 7, #4
53
10.97
1-4
Wilkinson County
Reg 5, #1
3
65.45
5-0
Macon County
Reg 6, #3
28
38.18
5-1
Mount Zion (Carroll)
Reg 8, #2
18
45.26
4-2
Lincoln County
Reg 4, #4
19
44.37
2-3
Dublin
Reg 2, #1
4
64.81
4-2
Irwin County
Reg 3, #3
20
44.12
2-3-1
McIntosh County Academy
Reg 1, #2
16
47.66
2-2
Mitchell County
Reg 5, #4
14
48.34
3-2
Manchester
Reg 7, #1
30
36.41
4-2
Warren County
Reg 8, #3
25
39.62
3-2
Commerce
Reg 6, #2
26
39.21
5-1
Trion
Reg 2, #4
7
54.38
1-4
Clinch County
Reg 4, #1
9
52.32
4-2
Wilcox County
Bowdon
Metter
Brooks County
Chattahoochee County
Charlton County
Bowdon
Schley County
Metter
Brooks County
Washington-Wilkes
Chattahoochee County
Pelham
Reg 2, #3
11
51.48
5-1
Charlton County
Reg 4, #2
15
48.30
4-1
Montgomery County
Reg 8, #4
33
31.66
3-3
Social Circle
Reg 6, #1
10
52.02
5-1
Bowdon
Reg 7, #3
43
21.15
2-2
ACE Charter
Reg 5, #2
5
62.96
5-0
Schley County
Reg 1, #4
32
32.20
3-1
Terrell County
Reg 3, #1
1
69.28
6-0
Metter
Reg 4, #3
21
43.21
3-2
Dooly County
Reg 2, #2
2
65.69
3-2
Brooks County
Reg 6, #4
35
29.16
4-1
Armuchee
Reg 8, #1
8
52.61
5-1
Washington-Wilkes
Reg 5, #3
6
57.67
5-0
Chattahoochee County
Reg 7, #2
38
27.38
6-0
Georgia Military College
Reg 3, #4
31
33.67
2-2
Jenkins County
Reg 1, #1
12
49.68
3-2
Pelham

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Depth Qtr Semi Finals Champ Odds
Metter3-A Public6-069.28999,9963.74712,066602,241437,558299,6632.34
Irwin County2-A Public4-264.81996,0493.66849,971492,359394,441188,2834.31
Macon County5-A Public5-065.45997,3853.49718,754459,828324,099171,2464.84
Brooks County2-A Public3-265.69991,1483.52793,662534,942286,249164,8325.07
Schley County5-A Public5-062.96999,2843.28661,271388,112237,767106,0868.43
Chattahoochee County5-A Public5-057.67991,2082.89577,959258,48891,95529,84532.51
Wilcox County4-A Public4-252.32999,3822.25411,184243,11351,3629,204107.65
Clinch County2-A Public1-454.38686,3071.63315,526149,10036,5508,392118.16
Washington-Wilkes8-A Public5-152.61999,4762.31271,472106,29324,7635,528179.90
Bowdon6-A Public5-152.02999,9852.47453,99889,02221,9284,808206.99
Charlton County2-A Public5-151.48750,0121.56265,57293,09517,6003,124319.10
Manchester5-A Public3-248.34750,7451.87333,022132,89817,3842,087478.16
Pelham1-A Public3-249.68999,8422.16261,12380,03612,0661,976505.07
Mitchell County1-A Public2-247.66999,5492.16332,786134,10716,3261,833544.55
Emanuel County Institute3-A Public5-148.40994,5222.02137,56333,71110,0611,239806.10
Montgomery County4-A Public4-148.30908,2711.35133,77524,4224,1215591,787.91
Lincoln County8-A Public4-245.26995,1421.89130,26834,7834,5203992,505.27
McIntosh County Academy3-A Public2-3-144.12995,3841.60147,56245,2003,9183602,776.78
Turner County2-A Public2-446.31321,2550.5464,91517,4141,9932184,586.16
Dublin4-A Public2-344.37714,8470.8846,2499,3351,2061029,802.92
Dooly County4-A Public3-243.21834,4401.0146,3659,5229447213,887.89
Trion6-A Public5-139.21942,5211.3851,01912,2526974124,389.24
Commerce8-A Public3-239.62947,8341.4965,98614,0578563727,026.03
Mount Zion (Carroll)6-A Public5-138.18981,7741.4554,50910,0045082539,999.00
Greenville5-A Public4-138.99238,5810.4442,6098,3873671376,922.08
Atkinson County2-A Public3-240.13207,6770.2818,1824,0602161190,908.09
Warren County7-A Public4-236.41999,9461.2650,0148,7253287142,856.14
Johnson County4-A Public3-140.20449,4980.5011,4179751194249,999.00
Wheeler County4-A Public3-339.9683,9080.091,564129263333,332.33
Jenkins County3-A Public2-233.67900,7821.0714,5711,432302499,999.00
Lanier County2-A Public2-337.4647,5520.062,650481191999,999.00
Social Circle8-A Public3-331.66662,3620.787,8586038--
Miller County1-A Public1-330.56942,9131.044,0183157--
Terrell County1-A Public3-132.20814,8260.841,6721405--
Georgia Military College7-A Public6-027.38999,3731.053,9622322--
Armuchee6-A Public4-129.16596,7220.661,752771--
Towns County8-A Public4-226.93330,7920.361,28044---
Marion County5-A Public1-625.3822,7770.0347029---
Gordon Lee6-A Public3-326.20439,2220.4779424---
ACE Charter7-A Public2-221.15972,2370.9837310---
Claxton3-A Public1-528.2055,8560.061662---
Screven County3-A Public0-520.4325,7820.03101---
Greene County8-A Public3-318.9364,3940.0720----
Wilkinson County7-A Public1-410.97585,3020.5913----
Treutlen4-A Public2-227.237,6710.019----
Hancock Central7-A Public0-49.95334,6410.334----
Seminole County1-A Public1-415.60138,8390.144----
Randolph-Clay1-A Public1-315.65104,0310.113----
Bryan County3-A Public2-418.3926,0370.033----
B.E.S.T. Academy6-A Public1-313.5839,7760.042----
Portal3-A Public0-615.331,6410.002----
Telfair County4-A Public1-427.821,9790.001----
Crawford County7-A Public0-53.1179,2510.08-----
Twiggs County7-A Public1-42.1329,2500.03-----
Taylor County5-A Public1-418.36200.00-----
Hawkinsville4-A Public1-520.1740.00-----
Pataula Charter1-A Public3-21.41-------
Baconton Charter1-A Public0-5-0.24-------
Central (Talbotton)5-A Public0-5-2.56-------
Glascock County7-A Public0-5-11.99-------
GSIC7-A Public0-1-34.81-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Playoffs Out
1-A PublicPelham820,619123,38253,4612,380999,842158
1-A PublicMitchell County158,905797,51628,52414,604999,549451
1-A PublicMiller County18,42157,510728,491138,491942,91357,087
1-A PublicTerrell County1,98520,31384,310708,218814,826185,174
1-A PublicSeminole County5686957,67280,242138,839861,161
1-A PublicRandolph-Clay1441047,54256,065104,031895,969
1-A PublicBaconton Charter-----1,000,000
1-A PublicPataula Charter-----1,000,000
2-A PublicIrwin County896,21253,52433,83712,476996,0493,951
2-A PublicBrooks County52,413707,830193,50137,404991,1488,852
2-A PublicClinch County26,114105,192211,999343,002686,307313,693
2-A PublicCharlton County21,324103,593342,971282,124750,012249,988
2-A PublicTurner County3,36225,370148,566143,957321,255678,745
2-A PublicAtkinson County5693,29457,269146,545207,677792,323
2-A PublicLanier County61,19711,85734,49247,552952,448
3-A PublicMetter927,55968,5573,81664999,9964
3-A PublicEmanuel County Institute64,254829,62680,85419,788994,5225,478
3-A PublicMcIntosh County Academy8,10649,997690,847246,434995,3844,616
3-A PublicJenkins County8051,751221,728627,223900,78299,218
3-A PublicClaxton14869355,11455,856944,144
3-A PublicBryan County-2125625,76026,037973,963
3-A PublicScreven County--1,66124,12125,782974,218
3-A PublicPortal--1451,4961,641998,359
4-A PublicWilcox County806,943132,96742,02017,452999,382618
4-A PublicDooly County76,405126,304379,091252,640834,440165,560
4-A PublicDublin57,979123,275207,034326,559714,847285,153
4-A PublicMontgomery County56,004540,545201,127110,595908,27191,729
4-A PublicJohnson County2,65974,701151,083221,055449,498550,502
4-A PublicTreutlen10771,3456,2397,671992,329
4-A PublicWheeler County-2,06618,03363,80983,908916,092
4-A PublicTelfair County-652661,6481,979998,021
4-A PublicHawkinsville--134999,996
5-A PublicMacon County463,265328,910172,92732,283997,3852,615
5-A PublicSchley County372,821358,669215,39552,399999,284716
5-A PublicChattahoochee County157,774293,034495,24845,152991,2088,792
5-A PublicManchester5,96917,55494,476632,746750,745249,255
5-A PublicGreenville1711,83321,954214,623238,581761,419
5-A PublicMarion County---22,77722,777977,223
5-A PublicTaylor County---2020999,980
5-A PublicCentral (Talbotton)-----1,000,000
6-A PublicBowdon897,51696,7884,3761,305999,98515
6-A PublicMount Zion (Carroll)94,382426,407387,35473,631981,77418,226
6-A PublicArmuchee4,02120,766125,064446,871596,722403,278
6-A PublicTrion3,964421,009376,355141,193942,52157,479
6-A PublicGordon Lee10834,386101,056303,672439,222560,778
6-A PublicB.E.S.T. Academy96445,79533,32839,776960,224
7-A PublicWarren County711,199233,81752,5352,395999,94654
7-A PublicGeorgia Military College227,181500,566263,0828,544999,373627
7-A PublicACE Charter61,592260,961541,197108,487972,23727,763
7-A PublicWilkinson County273,56962,832518,874585,302414,698
7-A PublicTwiggs County1242,51526,71029,250970,750
7-A PublicHancock Central-77474,594259,273334,641665,359
7-A PublicCrawford County-2893,24575,71779,251920,749
7-A PublicGlascock County-----1,000,000
7-A PublicGSIC-----1,000,000
8-A PublicWashington-Wilkes685,605249,21460,4644,193999,476524
8-A PublicLincoln County230,110472,404240,34452,284995,1424,858
8-A PublicCommerce81,788228,772458,034179,240947,83452,166
8-A PublicSocial Circle1,67444,453173,479442,756662,362337,638
8-A PublicTowns County7904,67363,719261,610330,792669,208
8-A PublicGreene County334843,96059,91764,394935,606

Class A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Semifinal
Final
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)
Calvary Day
Eagle's Landing Christian
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)
Calvary Day
Prince Avenue Christian
First Round
Second Round
Quarterfinal
Wesleyan
Eagle's Landing Christian
Darlington
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)
First Presbyterian
Wesleyan
Athens Academy
Eagle's Landing Christian
Stratford Academy
Darlington
King's Ridge Christian
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)
Reg 1, #3
12
50.49
3-2
First Presbyterian
Reg 3, #2
17
46.85
3-3
Savannah Christian
Reg 7, #4
29
30.37
2-4
Christian Heritage
Reg 5, #1
6
56.96
4-2
Wesleyan
Reg 6, #3
28
31.52
3-3
Mount Pisgah Christian
Reg 8, #2
14
49.03
4-2
Athens Academy
Reg 4, #4
30
24.73
0-5
Heritage (Newnan)
Reg 2, #1
4
64.99
1-4
Eagle's Landing Christian
Reg 3, #3
21
40.82
3-3
Aquinas
Reg 1, #2
10
53.64
4-1
Stratford Academy
Reg 5, #4
24
36.23
3-3
Hebron Christian
Reg 7, #1
9
53.88
5-1
Darlington
Reg 8, #3
27
31.73
4-2
Athens Christian
Reg 6, #2
25
34.95
2-3
King's Ridge Christian
Reg 2, #4
Reg 4, #1
1
80.56
6-0
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)
St. Anne-Pacelli
Calvary Day
Prince Avenue Christian
Tattnall Square
St. Anne-Pacelli
Fellowship Christian
Mount Vernon Presbyterian
Calvary Day
Whitefield Academy
Prince Avenue Christian
Holy Innocents
Tattnall Square
Reg 2, #3
23
36.62
2-5
Landmark Christian
Reg 4, #2
5
57.48
5-0
St. Anne-Pacelli
Reg 8, #4
34
14.22
1-5
George Walton Academy
Reg 6, #1
7
56.16
5-1
Fellowship Christian
Reg 7, #3
22
36.96
3-3
Mount Paran Christian
Reg 5, #2
13
49.33
4-2
Mount Vernon Presbyterian
Reg 1, #4
18
43.51
3-2
Mount de Sales
Reg 3, #1
2
71.16
7-0
Calvary Day
Reg 4, #3
15
48.85
5-1
Brookstone
Reg 2, #2
11
52.72
5-1
Whitefield Academy
Reg 6, #4
32
20.28
1-5
St. Francis
Reg 8, #1
3
69.35
5-1
Prince Avenue Christian
Reg 5, #3
16
47.32
5-1
Holy Innocents
Reg 7, #2
19
42.14
2-3
North Cobb Christian
Reg 3, #4
20
40.82
2-4
Savannah Country Day
Reg 1, #1
8
55.40
5-0
Tattnall Square

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Depth Qtr Semi Finals Champ Odds
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)4-A Private6-080.561,000,0003.85991,644954,653857,543688,1090.45
Calvary Day3-A Private7-071.161,000,0004.05889,399741,268468,781147,9745.76
Prince Avenue Christian8-A Private5-169.351,000,0003.98840,753748,023389,563109,4998.13
Eagle's Landing Christian2-A Private1-464.991,000,0003.44760,468599,576120,68939,09824.58
St. Anne-Pacelli4-A Private5-057.481,000,0002.38425,103125,75738,2733,731267.02
Wesleyan5-A Private4-256.96999,2922.66521,977193,71624,2213,422291.23
Fellowship Christian6-A Private5-156.161,000,0002.64508,370112,49831,5712,627379.66
Tattnall Square1-A Private5-055.40998,9432.42521,12398,62319,7151,838543.07
Darlington7-A Private5-153.88999,9772.34478,21038,93010,2431,122890.27
Stratford Academy1-A Private4-153.64985,0252.21431,27572,01511,8109281,076.59
Whitefield Academy2-A Private5-152.721,000,0001.92191,73189,8769,1987161,395.65
First Presbyterian1-A Private3-250.49970,0621.86281,03339,2214,1272623,815.79
Athens Academy8-A Private4-249.03999,8792.12158,72261,4303,7022104,760.90
Mount Vernon Presbyterian5-A Private4-249.33992,9232.01234,35241,6573,7082034,925.11
Brookstone4-A Private5-148.851,000,0001.5794,27921,3162,8171029,802.92
Holy Innocents5-A Private5-147.32986,4901.86186,22225,0592,0977213,887.89
Savannah Christian3-A Private3-346.851,000,0001.54142,35617,2541,0206415,624.00
Mount de Sales1-A Private3-243.51856,8971.1260,9765,6273031190,908.09
North Cobb Christian7-A Private2-342.14998,6931.4787,1424,5172975199,999.00
Savannah Country Day3-A Private2-440.821,000,0001.2654,4112,7631384249,999.00
Aquinas3-A Private3-340.821,000,0001.2654,5612,7641082499,999.00
Mount Paran Christian7-A Private3-336.96995,0781.2324,621972251999,999.00
King's Ridge Christian6-A Private2-334.95988,2591.449,26568917--
Hebron Christian5-A Private3-336.23872,8231.0926,41853314--
Landmark Christian2-A Private2-536.621,000,0001.1210,97260413--
Mount Pisgah Christian6-A Private3-331.52972,9311.244,3592335--
Athens Christian8-A Private4-231.73988,2541.383,3682342--
Christian Heritage7-A Private2-430.37982,0391.064,969142---
Heritage (Newnan)4-A Private0-524.731,000,0001.0181827---
Deerfield-Windsor1-A Private2-432.06179,7000.1974922---
St. Francis6-A Private1-520.28742,8780.76921---
Providence Christian5-A Private1-422.34148,4720.15206----
George Walton Academy8-A Private1-514.22712,6320.7348----
Loganville Christian8-A Private0-57.93299,2350.305----
Lakeview Academy6-A Private1-413.25295,9320.303----
Walker7-A Private1-51.4524,2130.02-----
Strong Rock Christian1-A Private0-417.479,3730.01-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Playoffs Out
1-A PrivateTattnall Square438,753323,150174,55862,482998,9431,057
1-A PrivateStratford Academy344,137318,873221,154100,861985,02514,975
1-A PrivateFirst Presbyterian175,665262,731351,643180,023970,06229,938
1-A PrivateMount de Sales41,19191,267231,156493,283856,897143,103
1-A PrivateDeerfield-Windsor2533,94220,890154,615179,700820,300
1-A PrivateStrong Rock Christian1375998,7369,373990,627
2-A PrivateEagle's Landing Christian812,294179,6998,007-1,000,000-
2-A PrivateWhitefield Academy181,454703,756114,790-1,000,000-
2-A PrivateLandmark Christian6,252116,545877,203-1,000,000-
3-A PrivateCalvary Day949,42147,7312,2605881,000,000-
3-A PrivateSavannah Christian30,501513,854289,689165,9561,000,000-
3-A PrivateAquinas10,092222,555361,955405,3981,000,000-
3-A PrivateSavannah Country Day9,986215,860346,096428,0581,000,000-
4-A PrivateTrinity Christian (Sharpsburg)952,56345,4142,005181,000,000-
4-A PrivateSt. Anne-Pacelli40,658720,082233,5815,6791,000,000-
4-A PrivateBrookstone6,758232,991724,33735,9141,000,000-
4-A PrivateHeritage (Newnan)211,51340,077958,3891,000,000-
5-A PrivateWesleyan630,689263,29688,56016,747999,292708
5-A PrivateMount Vernon Presbyterian218,156372,268307,46495,035992,9237,077
5-A PrivateHoly Innocents139,078315,032405,737126,643986,49013,510
5-A PrivateHebron Christian11,98947,702187,807625,325872,823127,177
5-A PrivateProvidence Christian881,70210,432136,250148,472851,528
6-A PrivateFellowship Christian927,91267,3104,724541,000,000-
6-A PrivateKing's Ridge Christian46,865555,234322,72563,435988,25911,741
6-A PrivateMount Pisgah Christian25,159330,598488,446128,728972,93127,069
6-A PrivateSt. Francis5839,369148,717554,734742,878257,122
6-A PrivateLakeview Academy67,48935,388253,049295,932704,068
7-A PrivateDarlington761,322195,41435,5357,706999,97723
7-A PrivateNorth Cobb Christian162,558471,334268,54996,252998,6931,307
7-A PrivateMount Paran Christian63,633255,381422,516253,548995,0784,922
7-A PrivateChristian Heritage12,48777,811272,918618,823982,03917,961
7-A PrivateWalker-6048223,67124,213975,787
8-A PrivatePrince Avenue Christian921,29377,5301,164131,000,000-
8-A PrivateAthens Academy76,972817,473103,5031,931999,879121
8-A PrivateAthens Christian1,718102,535787,59696,405988,25411,746
8-A PrivateGeorge Walton Academy162,00085,807624,809712,632287,368
8-A PrivateLoganville Christian146221,930276,842299,235700,765

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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