Maxwell playoff projections heading into Week 7

August 20, 2021 - Kennesaw, Ga: Buford wide receiver Tobi Olawale (4) celebrates his receiving touchdown with running back Victor Venn (6) during the second half against North Cobb at North Cobb high school Friday, August 20, 2021 in Kennesaw, Ga.. Buford won 35-27. JASON GETZ FOR THE ATLANTA JOURNAL-CONSTITUTION

By Loren Maxwell

Sept 27, 2023

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class in the GHSA.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2023 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 iterations.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Division I
A Division II

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Newton	4-AAAAAAA	5-0	101.61	999,924	4.16	937,473	693,118	542,390	337,753	1.96
Walton	5-AAAAAAA	4-0	101.22	999,998	4.18	943,940	740,658	501,376	308,581	2.24
Mill Creek	8-AAAAAAA	5-0	96.25	999,983	3.72	897,733	555,975	284,969	127,811	6.82
Buford	8-AAAAAAA	5-0	95.49	999,965	3.64	884,970	518,147	259,147	108,994	8.17
Westlake	2-AAAAAAA	5-1	93.75	999,993	3.16	723,260	317,529	141,157	53,718	17.62
Colquitt County	1-AAAAAAA	5-0	91.15	999,885	3.09	623,490	426,569	135,848	40,897	23.45
Grayson	4-AAAAAAA	4-1	86.29	984,249	2.58	568,820	140,241	33,250	6,346	156.58
Carrollton	2-AAAAAAA	5-1	86.16	999,897	2.47	378,065	141,148	30,747	6,051	164.26
North Cobb	5-AAAAAAA	3-2	85.03	999,376	2.62	540,105	186,551	33,354	5,520	180.16
Parkview	4-AAAAAAA	4-1	82.82	960,982	2.14	366,135	66,190	11,254	1,555	642.09
Milton	6-AAAAAAA	3-2	81.53	999,157	2.23	285,024	85,916	12,136	1,494	668.34
Norcross	7-AAAAAAA	4-1	79.85	999,973	1.96	119,544	23,895	4,421	458	2,182.41
Lambert	6-AAAAAAA	5-0	78.64	997,807	1.96	173,611	41,271	4,385	424	2,357.49
East Coweta	2-AAAAAAA	5-1	77.96	998,920	1.88	106,964	21,085	2,436	220	4,544.45
North Gwinnett	7-AAAAAAA	4-2	76.74	999,972	1.78	68,564	12,237	1,540	96	10,415.67
McEachern	3-AAAAAAA	2-4	73.29	985,847	1.75	136,171	12,197	769	42	23,808.52
Peachtree Ridge	7-AAAAAAA	6-0	73.97	999,984	1.60	39,458	5,736	473	28	35,713.29
Valdosta	1-AAAAAAA	4-2	70.19	906,321	1.11	31,418	2,143	86	4	249,999.00
West Forsyth	6-AAAAAAA	4-1	68.68	963,479	1.27	17,849	1,763	62	2	499,999.00
Harrison	3-AAAAAAA	6-0	67.22	929,673	1.23	32,353	1,569	49	2	499,999.00
Archer	4-AAAAAAA	2-3	69.06	471,941	0.57	12,774	858	36	1	999,999.00
Collins Hill	8-AAAAAAA	1-4	67.83	946,720	1.05	15,830	972	21	1	999,999.00
South Gwinnett	4-AAAAAAA	4-1	67.37	369,571	0.43	7,101	440	12	1	999,999.00
Richmond Hill	1-AAAAAAA	4-2	64.02	704,420	0.76	6,454	187	6	1	999,999.00
Marietta	3-AAAAAAA	1-5	66.49	916,312	1.18	26,422	1,174	38	-	-
Camden County	1-AAAAAAA	5-1	68.23	862,245	1.00	20,874	1,105	18	-	-
North Paulding	3-AAAAAAA	5-0	64.91	882,880	1.07	16,705	631	11	-	-
Mountain View	8-AAAAAAA	2-3	64.85	900,913	0.95	6,464	315	5	-	-
Wheeler	5-AAAAAAA	4-1	63.80	873,465	0.92	5,315	229	3	-	-
Lowndes	1-AAAAAAA	3-2	60.98	527,129	0.55	2,273	43	1	-	-
Brookwood	4-AAAAAAA	3-2	64.22	213,333	0.24	1,950	79	-	-	-
Osborne	5-AAAAAAA	5-0	57.39	606,391	0.61	554	9	-	-	-
Cherokee	5-AAAAAAA	1-4	55.31	470,090	0.47	258	5	-	-	-
Pebblebrook	2-AAAAAAA	2-4	51.44	684,293	0.74	994	4	-	-	-
Duluth	7-AAAAAAA	4-1	49.00	880,387	0.90	256	4	-	-	-
Denmark	6-AAAAAAA	2-3	55.37	534,917	0.56	325	3	-	-	-
Hillgrove	3-AAAAAAA	2-4	53.43	285,288	0.29	206	3	-	-	-
Campbell	2-AAAAAAA	2-4	45.24	316,897	0.33	98	1	-	-	-
South Forsyth	6-AAAAAAA	0-5	53.73	423,432	0.44	170	-	-	-	-
Dacula	8-AAAAAAA	1-4	49.65	127,008	0.13	22	-	-	-	-
Forsyth Central	6-AAAAAAA	2-3	44.57	81,208	0.08	6	-	-	-	-
Meadowcreek	7-AAAAAAA	0-5	33.25	105,102	0.11	1	-	-	-	-
Central Gwinnett	8-AAAAAAA	2-3	42.05	25,411	0.03	1	-	-	-	-
Kennesaw Mountain	5-AAAAAAA	1-4	43.22	50,680	0.05	-	-	-	-	-
Berkmar	7-AAAAAAA	1-3-1	23.77	14,476	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Discovery	7-AAAAAAA	1-5	14.88	106	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAAA	Colquitt County	914,248	77,945	6,202	1,490	999,885	115
1-AAAAAAA	Valdosta	44,015	397,555	299,236	165,515	906,321	93,679
1-AAAAAAA	Camden County	28,058	300,413	316,224	217,550	862,245	137,755
1-AAAAAAA	Richmond Hill	9,812	145,107	230,138	319,363	704,420	295,580
1-AAAAAAA	Lowndes	3,867	78,980	148,200	296,082	527,129	472,871
2-AAAAAAA	Westlake	699,025	245,380	55,023	565	999,993	7
2-AAAAAAA	Carrollton	247,160	524,659	224,518	3,560	999,897	103
2-AAAAAAA	East Coweta	53,759	229,152	692,192	23,817	998,920	1,080
2-AAAAAAA	Pebblebrook	50	683	23,062	660,498	684,293	315,707
2-AAAAAAA	Campbell	6	126	5,205	311,560	316,897	683,103
3-AAAAAAA	McEachern	514,454	270,674	132,263	68,456	985,847	14,153
3-AAAAAAA	Harrison	192,240	265,472	266,458	205,503	929,673	70,327
3-AAAAAAA	Marietta	167,299	242,283	273,090	233,640	916,312	83,688
3-AAAAAAA	North Paulding	120,924	199,853	272,491	289,612	882,880	117,120
3-AAAAAAA	Hillgrove	5,083	21,718	55,698	202,789	285,288	714,712
4-AAAAAAA	Newton	850,173	130,947	17,580	1,224	999,924	76
4-AAAAAAA	Grayson	99,503	504,747	320,788	59,211	984,249	15,751
4-AAAAAAA	Parkview	48,630	324,685	468,898	118,769	960,982	39,018
4-AAAAAAA	Archer	1,061	20,942	92,523	357,415	471,941	528,059
4-AAAAAAA	South Gwinnett	508	13,538	66,839	288,686	369,571	630,429
4-AAAAAAA	Brookwood	125	5,141	33,372	174,695	213,333	786,667
5-AAAAAAA	Walton	883,560	115,192	1,203	43	999,998	2
5-AAAAAAA	North Cobb	115,469	820,628	59,781	3,498	999,376	624
5-AAAAAAA	Wheeler	829	46,523	557,280	268,833	873,465	126,535
5-AAAAAAA	Osborne	104	10,936	219,189	376,162	606,391	393,609
5-AAAAAAA	Cherokee	38	6,597	151,435	312,020	470,090	529,910
5-AAAAAAA	Kennesaw Mountain	-	124	11,112	39,444	50,680	949,320
6-AAAAAAA	Milton	558,079	342,989	90,275	7,814	999,157	843
6-AAAAAAA	Lambert	377,733	449,866	154,179	16,029	997,807	2,193
6-AAAAAAA	West Forsyth	61,811	187,347	575,897	138,424	963,479	36,521
6-AAAAAAA	Denmark	1,547	11,738	99,874	421,758	534,917	465,083
6-AAAAAAA	South Forsyth	816	7,669	71,126	343,821	423,432	576,568
6-AAAAAAA	Forsyth Central	14	391	8,649	72,154	81,208	918,792
7-AAAAAAA	Norcross	492,070	313,834	187,602	6,467	999,973	27
7-AAAAAAA	North Gwinnett	311,695	374,826	313,043	408	999,972	28
7-AAAAAAA	Peachtree Ridge	196,079	310,736	469,146	24,023	999,984	16
7-AAAAAAA	Duluth	155	599	29,905	849,728	880,387	119,613
7-AAAAAAA	Meadowcreek	1	5	303	104,793	105,102	894,898
7-AAAAAAA	Berkmar	-	-	1	14,475	14,476	985,524
7-AAAAAAA	Discovery	-	-	-	106	106	999,894
8-AAAAAAA	Mill Creek	523,614	461,125	14,427	817	999,983	17
8-AAAAAAA	Buford	474,229	507,220	17,474	1,042	999,965	35
8-AAAAAAA	Collins Hill	1,493	20,985	561,186	363,056	946,720	53,280
8-AAAAAAA	Mountain View	661	10,473	381,916	507,863	900,913	99,087
8-AAAAAAA	Dacula	3	187	21,563	105,255	127,008	872,992
8-AAAAAAA	Central Gwinnett	-	10	3,434	21,967	25,411	974,589

Class AAAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Division I
A Division II

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Thomas County Central	1-AAAAAA	5-0	98.83	999,991	4.46	991,228	780,299	690,510	516,018	0.94
Douglas County	5-AAAAAA	5-0	93.27	1,000,000	4.24	958,057	725,967	560,163	255,829	2.91
Hughes	5-AAAAAA	3-2	89.99	999,998	3.28	874,865	253,923	175,258	79,107	11.64
Gainesville	8-AAAAAA	5-0	86.11	999,988	3.64	840,386	603,750	205,999	60,003	15.67
Marist	4-AAAAAA	4-1	84.52	999,995	3.45	811,142	595,930	142,980	44,335	21.56
Houston County	1-AAAAAA	5-0	85.22	998,924	3.16	844,042	268,691	134,454	33,480	28.87
Woodward Academy	3-AAAAAA	3-2	77.48	999,988	2.67	486,639	180,496	29,206	3,942	252.68
North Atlanta	4-AAAAAA	5-0	75.45	999,828	2.13	365,258	151,569	16,032	2,120	470.70
Roswell	7-AAAAAA	4-1	75.31	999,408	2.40	410,813	148,067	15,222	2,022	493.56
Blessed Trinity	7-AAAAAA	4-1	74.51	999,707	2.34	386,472	132,445	12,399	1,440	693.44
Lee County	1-AAAAAA	4-1	75.71	985,394	1.91	336,299	66,069	10,574	1,135	880.06
Rome	6-AAAAAA	4-1	73.86	991,559	1.98	127,688	18,377	3,902	408	2,449.98
Lanier	8-AAAAAA	4-1	68.42	997,501	1.95	226,626	43,259	1,847	108	9,258.26
Creekview	6-AAAAAA	4-1	69.33	968,606	1.70	65,648	8,998	918	42	23,808.52
Sequoyah	6-AAAAAA	3-2	65.20	961,666	1.47	33,913	3,744	189	4	249,999.00
Brunswick	2-AAAAAA	2-2	62.57	981,871	1.65	31,300	2,985	118	4	249,999.00
Jonesboro	3-AAAAAA	4-1	59.93	970,711	1.62	36,274	4,515	72	1	999,999.00
Mundy's Mill	3-AAAAAA	5-0	57.21	999,881	1.56	21,472	2,246	32	1	999,999.00
Etowah	6-AAAAAA	4-1	59.75	584,657	0.70	14,259	1,155	11	1	999,999.00
Glynn Academy	2-AAAAAA	4-1	57.92	986,301	1.67	37,686	976	39	-	-
East Paulding	5-AAAAAA	3-2	59.78	965,176	1.21	34,038	2,637	32	-	-
Northside (Warner Robins)	1-AAAAAA	2-3	58.81	590,978	0.64	13,540	1,473	16	-	-
North Forsyth	8-AAAAAA	3-3	57.92	972,535	1.10	16,056	1,058	14	-	-
Veterans	1-AAAAAA	3-2	55.64	384,799	0.41	4,811	393	4	-	-
River Ridge	6-AAAAAA	3-2	55.85	444,359	0.51	4,828	259	3	-	-
St. Pius X	4-AAAAAA	1-4	54.41	952,678	0.98	7,527	148	3	-	-
Effingham County	2-AAAAAA	2-3	51.64	906,930	1.14	5,558	222	2	-	-
Sprayberry	7-AAAAAA	3-2	55.63	872,150	1.00	1,971	73	1	-	-
Alpharetta	7-AAAAAA	2-3	53.94	952,058	1.07	2,160	77	-	-	-
Evans	2-AAAAAA	2-3	49.20	781,090	0.91	2,323	74	-	-	-
Lovejoy	3-AAAAAA	3-2	50.90	759,724	0.97	3,868	48	-	-	-
New Manchester	5-AAAAAA	2-3	49.37	630,088	0.65	1,151	42	-	-	-
Habersham Central	8-AAAAAA	2-3	52.79	698,012	0.71	737	21	-	-	-
Allatoona	6-AAAAAA	0-6	45.92	48,181	0.05	59	5	-	-	-
Jackson County	8-AAAAAA	3-3	47.24	291,119	0.29	134	3	-	-	-
Dunwoody	4-AAAAAA	5-0	46.86	795,007	0.80	668	2	-	-	-
Alcovy	3-AAAAAA	1-4	42.58	267,739	0.30	217	1	-	-	-
South Effingham	2-AAAAAA	3-1	42.00	141,858	0.15	55	1	-	-	-
Lakeside (Evans)	2-AAAAAA	2-2	40.30	163,622	0.17	47	1	-	-	-
Paulding County	5-AAAAAA	1-4	42.87	176,644	0.18	25	1	-	-	-
Newnan	5-AAAAAA	2-3	43.80	117,936	0.12	42	-	-	-	-
Alexander	5-AAAAAA	2-3	45.03	62,217	0.06	35	-	-	-	-
Pope	7-AAAAAA	0-5	44.86	149,067	0.15	29	-	-	-	-
Tift County	1-AAAAAA	1-4	43.48	39,914	0.04	24	-	-	-	-
Riverwood	4-AAAAAA	2-3	37.53	243,093	0.24	17	-	-	-	-
South Paulding	5-AAAAAA	0-5	42.77	47,941	0.05	8	-	-	-	-
Grovetown	2-AAAAAA	2-3	37.52	38,328	0.04	5	-	-	-	-
Shiloh	8-AAAAAA	1-4	37.75	39,337	0.04	-	-	-	-	-
Johns Creek	7-AAAAAA	1-4	31.97	17,832	0.02	-	-	-	-	-
Lassiter	7-AAAAAA	0-4	29.64	9,778	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
South Cobb	4-AAAAAA	0-5	22.00	9,399	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Morrow	3-AAAAAA	1-4	19.85	1,868	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Apalachee	8-AAAAAA	0-6	27.86	1,508	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Woodstock	6-AAAAAA	1-4	35.25	972	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Rockdale County	3-AAAAAA	1-4	17.37	89	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Lakeside (Atlanta)	4-AAAAAA	3-2	32.57	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Forest Park	3-AAAAAA	0-5	0.92	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAA	Thomas County Central	841,159	145,225	13,242	365	999,991	9
1-AAAAAA	Houston County	138,612	643,720	205,176	11,416	998,924	1,076
1-AAAAAA	Lee County	19,987	202,682	669,875	92,850	985,394	14,606
1-AAAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	194	5,810	71,910	513,064	590,978	409,022
1-AAAAAA	Veterans	48	2,528	37,673	344,550	384,799	615,201
1-AAAAAA	Tift County	-	35	2,124	37,755	39,914	960,086
2-AAAAAA	Glynn Academy	692,296	157,965	91,955	44,085	986,301	13,699
2-AAAAAA	Brunswick	154,058	540,540	216,362	70,911	981,871	18,129
2-AAAAAA	Effingham County	99,046	175,359	364,879	267,646	906,930	93,070
2-AAAAAA	Evans	50,924	109,391	261,666	359,109	781,090	218,910
2-AAAAAA	Lakeside (Evans)	2,009	9,134	38,652	113,827	163,622	836,378
2-AAAAAA	South Effingham	1,450	6,305	20,401	113,702	141,858	858,142
2-AAAAAA	Grovetown	217	1,306	6,085	30,720	38,328	961,672
3-AAAAAA	Woodward Academy	876,185	108,048	13,703	2,052	999,988	12
3-AAAAAA	Jonesboro	67,568	449,741	329,273	124,129	970,711	29,289
3-AAAAAA	Mundy's Mill	52,625	416,068	492,678	38,510	999,881	119
3-AAAAAA	Lovejoy	3,622	25,259	139,731	591,112	759,724	240,276
3-AAAAAA	Alcovy	-	882	24,494	242,363	267,739	732,261
3-AAAAAA	Morrow	-	2	112	1,754	1,868	998,132
3-AAAAAA	Rockdale County	-	-	9	80	89	999,911
3-AAAAAA	Forest Park	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
4-AAAAAA	Marist	755,665	237,680	6,409	241	999,995	5
4-AAAAAA	North Atlanta	241,314	704,029	51,633	2,852	999,828	172
4-AAAAAA	St. Pius X	2,706	48,361	657,218	244,393	952,678	47,322
4-AAAAAA	Dunwoody	305	9,044	242,291	543,367	795,007	204,993
4-AAAAAA	Riverwood	10	884	41,511	200,688	243,093	756,907
4-AAAAAA	South Cobb	-	2	938	8,459	9,399	990,601
4-AAAAAA	Lakeside (Atlanta)	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAAA	Douglas County	991,829	6,933	1,218	20	1,000,000	-
5-AAAAAA	Hughes	7,615	973,582	18,747	54	999,998	2
5-AAAAAA	East Paulding	549	19,298	774,891	170,438	965,176	34,824
5-AAAAAA	New Manchester	7	35	164,811	465,235	630,088	369,912
5-AAAAAA	Newnan	-	52	19,735	98,149	117,936	882,064
5-AAAAAA	Alexander	-	52	14,762	47,403	62,217	937,783
5-AAAAAA	Paulding County	-	48	5,517	171,079	176,644	823,356
5-AAAAAA	South Paulding	-	-	319	47,622	47,941	952,059
6-AAAAAA	Rome	546,877	283,665	123,397	37,620	991,559	8,441
6-AAAAAA	Creekview	276,304	350,536	244,443	97,323	968,606	31,394
6-AAAAAA	Sequoyah	154,876	289,926	394,472	122,392	961,666	38,334
6-AAAAAA	Etowah	12,068	37,131	121,443	414,015	584,657	415,343
6-AAAAAA	River Ridge	9,875	38,464	109,776	286,244	444,359	555,641
6-AAAAAA	Allatoona	-	275	6,380	41,526	48,181	951,819
6-AAAAAA	Woodstock	-	3	89	880	972	999,028
7-AAAAAA	Roswell	505,859	437,594	48,597	7,358	999,408	592
7-AAAAAA	Blessed Trinity	484,481	484,619	28,848	1,759	999,707	293
7-AAAAAA	Alpharetta	7,822	47,359	445,816	451,061	952,058	47,942
7-AAAAAA	Sprayberry	1,768	28,454	454,184	387,744	872,150	127,850
7-AAAAAA	Pope	70	1,943	19,168	127,886	149,067	850,933
7-AAAAAA	Johns Creek	-	23	2,352	15,457	17,832	982,168
7-AAAAAA	Lassiter	-	8	1,035	8,735	9,778	990,222
8-AAAAAA	Gainesville	899,485	95,340	4,772	391	999,988	12
8-AAAAAA	Lanier	90,856	724,837	170,984	10,824	997,501	2,499
8-AAAAAA	North Forsyth	8,876	168,391	565,027	230,241	972,535	27,465
8-AAAAAA	Habersham Central	687	5,138	225,626	466,561	698,012	301,988
8-AAAAAA	Jackson County	94	6,164	32,639	252,222	291,119	708,881
8-AAAAAA	Shiloh	2	127	805	38,403	39,337	960,663
8-AAAAAA	Apalachee	-	3	147	1,358	1,508	998,492

Class AAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Division I
A Division II

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Coffee	1-AAAAA	5-0	84.83	999,995	4.40	904,105	820,493	677,033	530,365	0.89
Jefferson	8-AAAAA	5-0	77.69	999,636	3.61	695,794	600,491	360,412	161,390	5.20
Calhoun	7-AAAAA	4-1	75.14	989,212	3.15	601,266	475,785	197,474	85,927	10.64
Ware County	1-AAAAA	3-2	74.07	999,621	3.14	582,394	390,484	203,476	65,123	14.36
Ola	2-AAAAA	4-0	74.38	999,649	2.94	478,408	327,022	172,927	60,128	15.63
Cartersville	7-AAAAA	5-0	72.19	974,358	2.67	467,535	313,291	111,310	37,640	25.57
Hiram	7-AAAAA	5-0	69.65	950,908	2.27	363,588	197,867	59,970	16,445	59.81
Creekside	5-AAAAA	4-1	69.65	998,781	2.40	441,604	153,923	62,096	15,230	64.66
Northgate	3-AAAAA	4-2	65.18	999,441	2.60	626,750	170,137	45,521	7,617	130.29
Kell	6-AAAAA	4-1	67.69	999,735	2.07	357,925	80,971	31,133	7,507	132.21
Eastside	8-AAAAA	3-2	65.12	980,053	2.03	235,535	107,337	22,326	4,111	242.25
Clarke Central	8-AAAAA	3-2	64.88	941,609	1.78	198,172	66,174	12,688	2,453	406.66
Warner Robins	2-AAAAA	2-3	63.38	993,928	2.11	214,763	64,233	13,118	2,166	460.68
Greater Atlanta Christian	6-AAAAA	5-0	64.44	996,787	1.72	216,116	41,871	11,937	2,153	463.47
Flowery Branch	8-AAAAA	2-3	62.02	858,480	1.36	114,597	21,433	3,758	523	1,911.05
Mays	5-AAAAA	1-3	59.90	942,992	1.41	99,868	16,790	2,548	265	3,772.58
Arabia Mountain	4-AAAAA	4-1	55.36	998,387	1.96	274,186	35,480	2,628	191	5,234.60
Dutchtown	2-AAAAA	1-4	57.18	919,196	1.60	226,657	27,313	2,199	190	5,262.16
Dalton	7-AAAAA	4-1	59.75	644,451	0.94	68,181	11,048	1,595	162	6,171.84
Jones County	2-AAAAA	3-2	56.94	944,011	1.66	205,057	24,983	2,072	148	6,755.76
Cambridge	6-AAAAA	3-2	58.08	984,324	1.26	53,359	8,700	1,134	97	10,308.28
Villa Rica	5-AAAAA	3-2	57.15	921,514	1.23	52,621	8,503	864	77	12,986.01
McIntosh	3-AAAAA	4-1	52.44	967,953	1.36	109,905	9,426	538	38	26,314.79
Cass	7-AAAAA	3-2	56.46	428,784	0.56	25,665	2,799	317	24	41,665.67
Jenkins	1-AAAAA	1-4	51.42	881,106	1.37	92,206	5,445	257	13	76,922.08
Tucker	4-AAAAA	2-3	50.49	992,290	1.51	108,919	7,898	338	10	99,999.00
Decatur	4-AAAAA	2-3	49.22	988,700	1.40	78,671	4,711	172	3	333,332.33
Northside (Columbus)	3-AAAAA	4-2	48.63	923,992	1.11	36,434	2,107	65	3	333,332.33
Harris County	3-AAAAA	4-1	47.15	897,684	1.03	22,730	1,154	31	1	999,999.00
Maynard Jackson	5-AAAAA	3-2	50.78	470,418	0.51	3,849	580	33	-	-
Statesboro	1-AAAAA	1-4	45.90	676,736	0.89	29,315	951	16	-	-
Winder-Barrow	8-AAAAA	4-1	47.24	190,900	0.21	1,430	80	4	-	-
Lithia Springs	5-AAAAA	1-4	46.92	537,804	0.57	1,697	199	2	-	-
Bradwell Institute	1-AAAAA	2-3	41.51	395,205	0.47	7,383	141	2	-	-
Chattahoochee	6-AAAAA	1-4	42.40	510,041	0.52	479	61	2	-	-
Centennial	6-AAAAA	0-5	41.60	482,587	0.49	383	49	2	-	-
Banneker	5-AAAAA	2-3	47.23	92,604	0.10	237	39	1	-	-
Eagle's Landing	2-AAAAA	2-3	39.97	132,318	0.15	1,794	23	1	-	-
Chapel Hill	5-AAAAA	3-2	38.84	34,829	0.04	17	5	-	-	-
M.L. King	4-AAAAA	1-4	32.26	573,835	0.58	143	1	-	-	-
Greenbrier	1-AAAAA	0-5	30.22	47,337	0.05	67	1	-	-	-
Locust Grove	2-AAAAA	1-4	31.72	9,127	0.01	19	1	-	-	-
Drew	3-AAAAA	2-3	33.33	210,930	0.21	78	-	-	-	-
Loganville	8-AAAAA	3-3	42.59	25,267	0.03	64	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Cartersville)	7-AAAAA	2-3	39.03	12,287	0.01	14	-	-	-	-
Chamblee	4-AAAAA	2-3	27.03	255,254	0.26	8	-	-	-	-
Lithonia	4-AAAAA	1-4	25.45	191,534	0.19	5	-	-	-	-
Heritage (Conyers)	8-AAAAA	2-3	35.21	4,055	0.00	4	-	-	-	-
Union Grove	2-AAAAA	0-5	27.31	1,771	0.00	3	-	-	-	-
North Springs	6-AAAAA	1-3	26.04	26,263	0.03	-	-	-	-	-
Tri-Cities	5-AAAAA	2-2	28.18	1,058	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Northview	6-AAAAA	0-5	8.19	263	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Midtown	5-AAAAA	2-3	21.27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Keys	4-AAAAA	0-6	-47.19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAA	Coffee	792,054	204,285	3,540	116	999,995	5
1-AAAAA	Ware County	206,345	744,988	45,764	2,524	999,621	379
1-AAAAA	Jenkins	1,323	36,840	565,211	277,732	881,106	118,894
1-AAAAA	Statesboro	239	10,230	257,457	408,810	676,736	323,264
1-AAAAA	Bradwell Institute	39	3,587	117,941	273,638	395,205	604,795
1-AAAAA	Greenbrier	-	70	10,087	37,180	47,337	952,663
2-AAAAA	Ola	749,909	199,651	39,225	10,864	999,649	351
2-AAAAA	Warner Robins	191,545	552,809	204,350	45,224	993,928	6,072
2-AAAAA	Jones County	39,964	176,755	362,089	365,203	944,011	55,989
2-AAAAA	Dutchtown	18,463	67,348	374,869	458,516	919,196	80,804
2-AAAAA	Eagle's Landing	118	3,398	18,909	109,893	132,318	867,682
2-AAAAA	Locust Grove	1	38	425	8,663	9,127	990,873
2-AAAAA	Union Grove	-	1	133	1,637	1,771	998,229
3-AAAAA	Northgate	778,834	176,105	33,719	10,783	999,441	559
3-AAAAA	McIntosh	123,854	397,374	286,231	160,494	967,953	32,047
3-AAAAA	Northside (Columbus)	56,222	232,973	337,297	297,500	923,992	76,008
3-AAAAA	Harris County	40,524	183,629	310,898	362,633	897,684	102,316
3-AAAAA	Drew	566	9,919	31,855	168,590	210,930	789,070
4-AAAAA	Arabia Mountain	532,619	299,848	150,584	15,336	998,387	1,613
4-AAAAA	Tucker	258,695	355,626	330,403	47,566	992,290	7,710
4-AAAAA	Decatur	205,113	324,231	395,988	63,368	988,700	11,300
4-AAAAA	M.L. King	2,969	15,036	80,884	474,946	573,835	426,165
4-AAAAA	Chamblee	388	3,304	25,177	226,385	255,254	744,746
4-AAAAA	Lithonia	216	1,955	16,964	172,399	191,534	808,466
4-AAAAA	Cross Keys	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAA	Creekside	732,649	206,816	53,132	6,184	998,781	1,219
5-AAAAA	Mays	159,187	389,690	284,013	110,102	942,992	57,008
5-AAAAA	Villa Rica	99,532	301,417	359,050	161,515	921,514	78,486
5-AAAAA	Maynard Jackson	6,902	52,897	119,391	291,228	470,418	529,582
5-AAAAA	Lithia Springs	1,493	46,453	158,591	331,267	537,804	462,196
5-AAAAA	Banneker	235	2,383	20,468	69,518	92,604	907,396
5-AAAAA	Chapel Hill	2	339	5,297	29,191	34,829	965,171
5-AAAAA	Tri-Cities	-	5	58	995	1,058	998,942
5-AAAAA	Midtown	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAAA	Kell	543,087	323,195	126,992	6,461	999,735	265
6-AAAAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	338,612	404,064	229,086	25,025	996,787	3,213
6-AAAAA	Cambridge	117,289	259,439	543,142	64,454	984,324	15,676
6-AAAAA	Chattahoochee	731	7,852	41,558	459,900	510,041	489,959
6-AAAAA	Centennial	281	5,416	57,926	418,964	482,587	517,413
6-AAAAA	North Springs	-	34	1,295	24,934	26,263	973,737
6-AAAAA	Northview	-	-	1	262	263	999,737
7-AAAAA	Calhoun	475,048	304,384	162,338	47,442	989,212	10,788
7-AAAAA	Cartersville	303,633	332,879	251,658	86,188	974,358	25,642
7-AAAAA	Hiram	194,947	279,670	337,816	138,475	950,908	49,092
7-AAAAA	Dalton	19,474	56,036	158,378	410,563	644,451	355,549
7-AAAAA	Cass	6,892	26,957	88,658	306,277	428,784	571,216
7-AAAAA	Woodland (Cartersville)	6	74	1,152	11,055	12,287	987,713
8-AAAAA	Jefferson	820,076	147,799	25,505	6,256	999,636	364
8-AAAAA	Eastside	136,836	449,534	311,922	81,761	980,053	19,947
8-AAAAA	Flowery Branch	23,329	74,780	274,695	485,676	858,480	141,520
8-AAAAA	Clarke Central	19,233	318,880	351,647	251,849	941,609	58,391
8-AAAAA	Winder-Barrow	521	8,635	31,487	150,257	190,900	809,100
8-AAAAA	Loganville	5	358	4,568	20,336	25,267	974,733
8-AAAAA	Heritage (Conyers)	-	14	176	3,865	4,055	995,945

Class AAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Division I
A Division II

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Benedictine	3-AAAA	5-0	81.21	999,889	3.85	848,151	597,574	429,600	302,594	2.30
Bainbridge	1-AAAA	3-2	78.57	1,000,000	3.44	649,276	536,899	344,756	196,051	4.10
North Oconee	8-AAAA	4-0	77.12	999,980	3.53	843,590	430,464	267,280	150,889	5.63
Cairo	1-AAAA	5-1	74.83	999,997	2.89	498,767	357,822	179,215	78,985	11.66
Spalding	2-AAAA	5-0	74.47	999,943	2.80	451,823	314,407	141,878	66,711	13.99
Central (Carrollton)	7-AAAA	5-0	72.14	999,959	3.04	646,983	357,533	167,431	59,721	15.74
Stockbridge	5-AAAA	3-2	71.73	999,988	3.19	780,815	344,652	118,348	48,260	19.72
Burke County	3-AAAA	5-0	71.81	996,210	2.65	482,865	255,456	110,811	37,488	25.68
Perry	2-AAAA	4-1	70.70	999,701	2.33	294,041	184,546	71,052	23,679	41.23
Starr's Mill	4-AAAA	3-2	67.38	999,808	2.66	421,254	205,108	70,283	16,750	58.70
Holy Innocents	6-AAAA	5-0	65.55	957,422	2.39	472,860	121,756	39,265	8,120	122.15
Troup	4-AAAA	4-1	68.45	998,058	1.93	168,749	62,152	19,791	5,853	169.85
Stephenson	6-AAAA	4-1	61.79	888,446	1.81	264,326	48,405	10,965	1,540	648.35
North Hall	8-AAAA	5-0	60.42	996,407	2.04	246,299	45,219	7,900	941	1,061.70
Cedartown	7-AAAA	3-2	61.13	997,436	1.78	153,922	32,103	6,223	857	1,165.86
Wayne County	3-AAAA	4-1	60.87	943,645	1.29	57,100	18,119	3,082	392	2,550.02
LaGrange	4-AAAA	3-2	61.72	990,658	1.36	45,066	11,704	2,195	341	2,931.55
Westminster (Atlanta)	6-AAAA	3-2	58.08	755,058	1.27	122,156	15,670	2,467	251	3,983.06
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	4-AAAA	3-2	58.93	864,956	1.16	38,689	10,273	1,652	153	6,534.95
Hapeville Charter	6-AAAA	2-3	57.53	728,794	1.19	107,039	12,895	1,809	148	6,755.76
Baldwin	2-AAAA	3-2	58.28	969,566	1.20	35,524	8,867	1,217	118	8,473.58
Miller Grove	6-AAAA	4-1	56.00	642,177	0.98	71,722	7,480	916	66	15,150.52
Madison County	8-AAAA	3-1	54.60	964,213	1.56	110,385	9,298	982	57	17,542.86
Lovett	5-AAAA	2-3	52.21	985,224	1.57	109,368	6,755	551	26	38,460.54
Pace Academy	5-AAAA	2-3	52.39	884,957	1.13	34,870	2,763	203	5	199,999.00
New Hampstead	3-AAAA	2-2	53.67	778,745	0.86	7,027	1,228	105	4	249,999.00
Northwest Whitfield	7-AAAA	4-1	46.30	906,194	1.04	12,799	305	8	-	-
East Forsyth	8-AAAA	4-0	45.70	758,810	0.87	11,947	301	8	-	-
Whitewater	4-AAAA	2-3	49.69	144,923	0.15	305	39	4	-	-
Sonoraville	7-AAAA	2-3	41.71	781,191	0.84	5,391	70	1	-	-
Hampton	5-AAAA	2-3	41.87	460,808	0.49	2,015	44	1	-	-
Southeast Bulloch	3-AAAA	3-2	45.13	281,421	0.29	266	19	1	-	-
Luella	5-AAAA	1-4	41.50	386,033	0.41	1,485	22	-	-	-
Cherokee Bluff	8-AAAA	1-4	41.64	255,436	0.27	1,085	21	-	-	-
Westover	1-AAAA	3-3	41.17	974,992	1.01	596	8	-	-	-
Griffin	2-AAAA	1-4	41.34	528,644	0.54	289	6	-	-	-
McDonough	5-AAAA	3-1	40.40	273,468	0.28	424	5	-	-	-
Heritage (Ringgold)	7-AAAA	3-2	33.76	313,959	0.32	427	4	-	-	-
Westside (Macon)	2-AAAA	4-0	36.93	142,511	0.14	26	3	-	-	-
Howard	2-AAAA	3-2	40.67	284,671	0.29	139	2	-	-	-
West Laurens	2-AAAA	2-3	40.15	74,964	0.08	32	2	-	-	-
Southwest DeKalb	6-AAAA	2-3	39.10	28,103	0.03	68	1	-	-	-
Cedar Shoals	8-AAAA	2-3	34.07	24,081	0.02	23	-	-	-	-
Shaw	1-AAAA	3-3	25.90	590,836	0.59	13	-	-	-	-
Hardaway	1-AAAA	0-6	23.47	434,175	0.44	2	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Stockbridge)	5-AAAA	0-5	30.76	9,519	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
North Clayton	4-AAAA	4-2	29.75	1,423	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Southeast Whitfield	7-AAAA	1-4	8.99	1,261	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Walnut Grove	8-AAAA	1-4	28.68	588	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
East Hall	8-AAAA	2-3	20.84	485	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Fayette County	4-AAAA	1-4	22.40	174	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Islands	3-AAAA	0-5	11.08	90	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	5-AAAA	0-5	13.34	3	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Druid Hills	6-AAAA	3-1-1	28.42	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Gainesville)	8-AAAA	1-4	15.84	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Riverdale	4-AAAA	0-6	14.32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Chestatee	8-AAAA	0-5	13.87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Stone Mountain	6-AAAA	0-5	7.09	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clarkston	6-AAAA	1-4	-8.54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAA	Bainbridge	613,374	383,500	3,113	13	1,000,000	-
1-AAAA	Cairo	386,366	605,572	8,016	43	999,997	3
1-AAAA	Westover	258	10,549	836,243	127,942	974,992	25,008
1-AAAA	Shaw	2	248	94,623	495,963	590,836	409,164
1-AAAA	Hardaway	-	131	58,005	376,039	434,175	565,825
2-AAAA	Spalding	653,959	342,116	3,403	465	999,943	57
2-AAAA	Perry	343,546	544,588	107,476	4,091	999,701	299
2-AAAA	Baldwin	2,207	108,080	734,712	124,567	969,566	30,434
2-AAAA	Griffin	232	3,737	79,253	445,422	528,644	471,356
2-AAAA	Howard	33	505	42,731	241,402	284,671	715,329
2-AAAA	Westside (Macon)	12	432	16,810	125,257	142,511	857,489
2-AAAA	West Laurens	11	542	15,615	58,796	74,964	925,036
3-AAAA	Benedictine	754,465	218,122	24,458	2,844	999,889	111
3-AAAA	Burke County	216,888	588,476	162,730	28,116	996,210	3,790
3-AAAA	Wayne County	24,477	151,451	541,127	226,590	943,645	56,355
3-AAAA	New Hampstead	3,949	36,929	226,072	511,795	778,745	221,255
3-AAAA	Southeast Bulloch	221	5,022	45,607	230,571	281,421	718,579
3-AAAA	Islands	-	-	6	84	90	999,910
4-AAAA	Starr's Mill	873,684	89,868	32,102	4,154	999,808	192
4-AAAA	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	73,597	120,994	240,627	429,738	864,956	135,044
4-AAAA	Troup	46,152	564,848	279,451	107,607	998,058	1,942
4-AAAA	LaGrange	6,530	222,662	442,066	319,400	990,658	9,342
4-AAAA	Whitewater	36	1,628	5,629	137,630	144,923	855,077
4-AAAA	North Clayton	1	-	125	1,297	1,423	998,577
4-AAAA	Fayette County	-	-	-	174	174	999,826
4-AAAA	Riverdale	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAA	Stockbridge	901,463	89,673	8,406	446	999,988	12
5-AAAA	Lovett	79,544	753,699	119,543	32,438	985,224	14,776
5-AAAA	Pace Academy	18,476	61,439	565,307	239,735	884,957	115,043
5-AAAA	McDonough	243	2,715	74,461	196,049	273,468	726,532
5-AAAA	Hampton	154	51,896	126,682	282,076	460,808	539,192
5-AAAA	Luella	120	40,495	105,190	240,228	386,033	613,967
5-AAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	-	83	411	9,025	9,519	990,481
5-AAAA	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	-	-	-	3	3	999,997
6-AAAA	Holy Innocents	467,471	263,001	145,822	81,128	957,422	42,578
6-AAAA	Stephenson	247,963	268,069	217,998	154,416	888,446	111,554
6-AAAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	114,472	177,541	224,359	238,686	755,058	244,942
6-AAAA	Hapeville Charter	101,035	163,213	217,508	247,038	728,794	271,206
6-AAAA	Miller Grove	68,835	127,011	188,649	257,682	642,177	357,823
6-AAAA	Southwest DeKalb	224	1,165	5,664	21,050	28,103	971,897
6-AAAA	Druid Hills	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAA	Clarkston	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAA	Stone Mountain	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-AAAA	Central (Carrollton)	796,690	191,653	10,583	1,033	999,959	41
7-AAAA	Cedartown	192,246	670,102	117,795	17,293	997,436	2,564
7-AAAA	Northwest Whitfield	8,491	95,002	517,714	284,987	906,194	93,806
7-AAAA	Sonoraville	2,443	37,305	284,957	456,486	781,191	218,809
7-AAAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	130	5,938	68,799	239,092	313,959	686,041
7-AAAA	Southeast Whitfield	-	-	152	1,109	1,261	998,739
8-AAAA	North Oconee	910,219	87,994	1,432	335	999,980	20
8-AAAA	North Hall	86,563	593,354	262,300	54,190	996,407	3,593
8-AAAA	East Forsyth	2,274	48,958	188,053	519,525	758,810	241,190
8-AAAA	Madison County	940	269,057	518,679	175,537	964,213	35,787
8-AAAA	Cedar Shoals	2	507	4,915	18,657	24,081	975,919
8-AAAA	Cherokee Bluff	2	130	24,605	230,699	255,436	744,564
8-AAAA	East Hall	-	-	9	476	485	999,515
8-AAAA	Walnut Grove	-	-	7	581	588	999,412
8-AAAA	Chestatee	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAA	Seckinger	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAA	Johnson (Gainesville)	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Class AAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Division I
A Division II

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Calvary Day	3-AAA	5-0	80.84	1,000,000	4.06	964,892	652,385	449,895	346,226	1.89
Cedar Grove	5-AAA	2-4	78.55	1,000,000	4.10	918,540	787,944	452,672	308,521	2.24
Stephens County	8-AAA	5-0	77.67	999,862	3.47	873,503	411,003	261,041	171,676	4.82
Sandy Creek	5-AAA	5-1	70.72	1,000,000	3.42	752,132	543,163	301,928	87,409	10.44
Savannah Christian	3-AAA	3-2	66.41	999,573	3.07	604,989	365,714	165,059	30,903	31.36
Mary Persons	2-AAA	4-1	66.78	999,999	3.05	773,879	254,964	59,931	20,396	48.03
Thomasville	1-AAA	2-3	62.49	986,845	2.76	572,320	211,591	88,444	11,427	86.51
Morgan County	4-AAA	4-1	63.14	999,982	2.44	346,609	186,880	75,887	10,409	95.07
Lumpkin County	7-AAA	5-0	60.09	995,284	2.39	315,730	109,938	34,396	3,448	289.02
Hebron Christian	8-AAA	3-2	60.67	964,258	1.67	229,780	82,755	24,018	2,636	378.36
Carver (Atlanta)	5-AAA	1-3	60.35	1,000,000	1.77	249,943	94,420	24,678	2,572	387.80
White County	7-AAA	2-2	58.38	990,225	2.24	244,702	72,763	19,719	1,699	587.58
Crisp County	1-AAA	3-2	57.17	941,571	1.99	271,469	66,519	17,556	1,344	743.05
Oconee County	8-AAA	1-4	57.18	923,785	1.31	121,371	37,034	7,893	604	1,654.63
Monroe Area	8-AAA	3-2	55.52	892,907	1.17	84,410	23,041	4,067	256	3,905.25
Upson-Lee	2-AAA	5-1	51.13	999,758	1.73	154,667	23,067	3,148	110	9,089.91
Carver (Columbus)	1-AAA	2-3	52.10	822,300	1.34	91,723	15,390	2,559	92	10,868.57
Douglass	5-AAA	4-2	53.42	1,000,000	1.21	57,435	9,752	1,453	85	11,763.71
Adairsville	6-AAA	3-2	48.73	995,874	1.71	67,755	17,296	2,401	65	15,383.62
Monroe	1-AAA	3-1	50.65	766,791	1.17	62,867	9,390	1,289	41	24,389.24
Hephzibah	4-AAA	4-1	50.57	998,350	1.46	38,502	5,182	581	30	33,332.33
Wesleyan	7-AAA	3-2	49.37	973,516	1.70	54,136	7,516	657	27	37,036.04
Peach County	2-AAA	1-4	45.25	999,013	1.26	35,767	3,227	201	7	142,856.14
Savannah Country Day	3-AAA	3-2	44.34	937,339	1.21	32,748	2,480	161	5	199,999.00
Harlem	4-AAA	3-2	47.26	995,762	1.32	25,116	1,960	122	5	199,999.00
Dougherty	1-AAA	3-2	45.66	482,235	0.62	13,759	1,297	112	4	249,999.00
Bremen	6-AAA	4-1	41.99	973,738	1.29	12,182	1,438	83	2	499,999.00
Gilmer	7-AAA	3-2	41.46	423,281	0.57	4,856	467	11	1	999,999.00
Dawson County	7-AAA	1-4	41.20	554,207	0.76	6,151	557	21	-	-
Ringgold	6-AAA	3-2	40.51	914,653	1.09	5,080	328	10	-	-
Long County	3-AAA	3-2	41.86	728,831	0.81	8,852	372	6	-	-
Jackson	2-AAA	1-4	34.71	987,121	1.01	948	31	1	-	-
Hart County	8-AAA	2-3	42.32	217,119	0.22	1,295	95	-	-	-
Gordon Lee	6-AAA	3-2	34.31	643,887	0.68	767	23	-	-	-
Liberty County	3-AAA	1-4	32.42	330,471	0.34	569	9	-	-	-
Coahulla Creek	6-AAA	3-2	29.83	389,041	0.40	170	3	-	-	-
Richmond Academy	4-AAA	2-3	24.02	464,195	0.47	196	2	-	-	-
Salem	4-AAA	1-4	23.26	414,901	0.42	122	2	-	-	-
Pickens	7-AAA	1-4	29.92	61,613	0.07	45	1	-	-	-
LaFayette	6-AAA	1-4	28.70	73,292	0.08	16	1	-	-	-
Cross Creek	4-AAA	2-2	16.36	126,810	0.13	5	-	-	-	-
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6-AAA	1-4	20.15	7,498	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Savannah)	3-AAA	2-3	18.92	3,334	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Pike County	2-AAA	0-5	2.13	14,109	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Franklin County	8-AAA	1-4	22.34	2,069	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Ridgeland	6-AAA	0-5	17.01	2,017	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
West Hall	7-AAA	1-4	20.89	1,874	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Beach	3-AAA	1-4	7.01	452	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Columbus	1-AAA	1-4	12.97	258	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Groves	3-AAA	1-4	-7.75	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAA	Thomasville	569,808	269,336	104,023	43,678	986,845	13,155
1-AAA	Crisp County	253,775	337,345	226,102	124,349	941,571	58,429
1-AAA	Carver (Columbus)	92,775	186,706	284,232	258,587	822,300	177,700
1-AAA	Monroe	66,359	148,676	254,300	297,456	766,791	233,209
1-AAA	Dougherty	17,283	57,937	131,311	275,704	482,235	517,765
1-AAA	Columbus	-	-	32	226	258	999,742
2-AAA	Mary Persons	865,101	120,647	12,820	1,431	999,999	1
2-AAA	Upson-Lee	101,537	572,781	268,270	57,170	999,758	242
2-AAA	Peach County	30,685	268,312	524,515	175,501	999,013	987
2-AAA	Jackson	2,677	38,256	194,299	751,889	987,121	12,879
2-AAA	Pike County	-	4	96	14,009	14,109	985,891
3-AAA	Calvary Day	996,737	3,090	137	36	1,000,000	-
3-AAA	Savannah Christian	2,678	984,982	11,524	389	999,573	427
3-AAA	Savannah Country Day	377	689	794,476	141,797	937,339	62,661
3-AAA	Long County	208	8,841	114,516	605,266	728,831	271,169
3-AAA	Liberty County	-	2,394	78,111	249,966	330,471	669,529
3-AAA	Johnson (Savannah)	-	4	1,232	2,098	3,334	996,666
3-AAA	Beach	-	-	4	448	452	999,548
3-AAA	Groves	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
4-AAA	Morgan County	793,472	169,981	35,820	709	999,982	18
4-AAA	Hephzibah	134,701	488,151	356,845	18,653	998,350	1,650
4-AAA	Harlem	71,634	337,031	546,906	40,191	995,762	4,238
4-AAA	Richmond Academy	110	2,528	30,249	431,308	464,195	535,805
4-AAA	Salem	79	2,121	25,291	387,410	414,901	585,099
4-AAA	Cross Creek	4	188	4,889	121,729	126,810	873,190
5-AAA	Cedar Grove	709,402	248,323	36,081	6,194	1,000,000	-
5-AAA	Sandy Creek	248,924	550,572	162,171	38,333	1,000,000	-
5-AAA	Carver (Atlanta)	34,626	159,304	536,132	269,938	1,000,000	-
5-AAA	Douglass	7,048	41,801	265,616	685,535	1,000,000	-
6-AAA	Adairsville	705,101	216,130	58,646	15,997	995,874	4,126
6-AAA	Bremen	228,889	415,642	266,022	63,185	973,738	26,262
6-AAA	Ringgold	45,942	289,951	381,565	197,195	914,653	85,347
6-AAA	Gordon Lee	12,421	39,760	178,634	413,072	643,887	356,113
6-AAA	Coahulla Creek	7,332	36,716	102,196	242,797	389,041	610,959
6-AAA	LaFayette	315	1,612	11,338	60,027	73,292	926,708
6-AAA	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	-	182	1,363	5,953	7,498	992,502
6-AAA	Ridgeland	-	7	236	1,774	2,017	997,983
7-AAA	Lumpkin County	507,672	341,346	121,436	24,830	995,284	4,716
7-AAA	White County	391,876	390,479	168,671	39,199	990,225	9,775
7-AAA	Wesleyan	89,532	220,705	518,078	145,201	973,516	26,484
7-AAA	Dawson County	7,931	35,257	140,319	370,700	554,207	445,793
7-AAA	Gilmer	2,961	11,621	42,250	366,449	423,281	576,719
7-AAA	Pickens	28	589	9,082	51,914	61,613	938,387
7-AAA	West Hall	-	3	164	1,707	1,874	998,126
8-AAA	Stephens County	864,446	117,603	13,926	3,887	999,862	138
8-AAA	Hebron Christian	75,252	421,785	299,316	167,905	964,258	35,742
8-AAA	Oconee County	35,549	255,742	341,926	290,568	923,785	76,215
8-AAA	Monroe Area	24,398	193,154	308,896	366,459	892,907	107,093
8-AAA	Hart County	355	11,709	35,733	169,322	217,119	782,881
8-AAA	Franklin County	-	7	203	1,859	2,069	997,931

Class AA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Division I
A Division II

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Appling County	3-AA	3-1	68.23	999,960	3.68	734,497	565,484	396,232	247,639	3.04
Pierce County	3-AA	5-0	67.68	999,945	3.61	713,711	541,627	371,799	223,061	3.48
Thomson	4-AA	4-1	65.39	999,997	3.11	515,816	391,315	266,715	139,882	6.15
Northeast	2-AA	4-1	62.99	1,000,000	3.45	778,106	496,591	222,394	105,272	8.50
Callaway	5-AA	2-2	62.76	999,990	3.11	730,201	403,940	178,234	83,103	11.03
Athens Academy	8-AA	3-2	62.66	975,592	3.06	737,030	311,354	162,731	74,453	12.43
Fitzgerald	1-AA	3-2	60.94	998,378	2.90	512,980	361,691	150,677	59,617	15.77
Fellowship Christian	8-AA	3-1	58.49	923,219	2.38	522,354	172,562	66,063	22,248	43.95
Rockmart	7-AA	2-2	56.82	998,725	2.67	511,005	137,826	60,087	17,264	56.92
Toombs County	3-AA	5-0	56.33	999,353	2.41	347,850	185,394	46,944	12,645	78.08
Union County	8-AA	4-1	54.62	815,041	1.71	316,810	82,838	21,351	5,225	190.39
Laney	4-AA	2-2-1	54.92	978,298	1.79	118,316	45,497	11,198	2,932	340.06
Columbia	5-AA	3-2	50.65	999,549	1.68	223,129	52,812	8,800	1,423	701.74
Sumter County	1-AA	2-2	51.59	925,312	1.58	111,025	44,275	8,284	1,416	705.21
Providence Christian	8-AA	4-0	51.75	679,962	1.22	185,835	39,230	7,337	1,360	734.29
North Cobb Christian	6-AA	4-2	48.12	999,877	2.11	279,192	67,419	9,779	1,148	870.08
Cook	1-AA	2-2	49.22	948,482	1.48	73,366	24,836	3,608	509	1,963.64
Eagle's Landing Christian	5-AA	1-4	48.13	996,058	1.45	137,763	23,783	3,258	392	2,550.02
Washington County	4-AA	2-3	47.76	900,339	1.27	40,217	10,332	1,171	165	6,059.61
East Jackson	8-AA	5-0	47.25	392,196	0.57	56,574	7,962	894	88	11,362.64
Model	7-AA	3-1	44.16	947,198	1.67	98,430	8,850	893	63	15,872.02
Fannin County	7-AA	3-2	42.86	922,292	1.54	75,934	6,033	447	28	35,713.29
Therrell	6-AA	4-1	40.92	989,951	1.50	50,451	3,918	214	16	62,499.00
ACE Charter	2-AA	4-1	42.20	994,853	1.16	20,562	4,583	287	14	71,427.57
Banks County	8-AA	4-1	43.73	213,990	0.27	17,414	1,738	128	10	99,999.00
North Murray	7-AA	3-2	40.00	968,760	1.45	46,263	2,877	173	8	124,999.00
Putnam County	4-AA	3-2	42.32	742,846	0.89	13,492	2,362	148	7	142,856.14
Dodge County	1-AA	1-4	43.36	567,766	0.67	6,352	1,120	89	7	142,856.14
Jeff Davis	1-AA	2-3	42.04	384,765	0.43	2,572	408	29	4	249,999.00
Vidalia	3-AA	3-2	36.62	842,626	0.90	5,290	541	18	1	999,999.00
Spencer	2-AA	3-2	34.89	997,203	1.05	3,487	341	7	-	-
Westside (Augusta)	4-AA	3-2	36.26	378,413	0.41	2,013	189	6	-	-
Washington	6-AA	1-5	33.37	894,569	1.06	7,100	178	5	-	-
South Atlanta	6-AA	1-4	31.04	700,260	0.77	2,656	39	-	-	-
Worth County	1-AA	3-2	34.83	168,858	0.18	246	26	-	-	-
Haralson County	7-AA	0-5	29.86	151,735	0.17	658	16	-	-	-
McNair	5-AA	2-3	26.42	566,855	0.58	759	6	-	-	-
Redan	5-AA	1-4	23.90	415,155	0.42	303	4	-	-	-
Southwest	2-AA	2-3	23.46	680,091	0.68	67	3	-	-	-
B.E.S.T. Academy	6-AA	3-3	22.58	252,730	0.26	109	-	-	-	-
Tattnall County	3-AA	1-4	24.93	125,661	0.13	32	-	-	-	-
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6-AA	3-3	19.98	110,945	0.11	22	-	-	-	-
Mount Paran Christian	6-AA	1-3	18.75	51,668	0.05	7	-	-	-	-
Rutland	2-AA	2-3	17.67	265,129	0.27	1	-	-	-	-
Brantley County	3-AA	3-2	17.37	27,306	0.03	1	-	-	-	-
Murray County	7-AA	1-4	16.60	11,202	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Windsor Forest	3-AA	2-3	21.03	5,149	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Kendrick	2-AA	2-3	9.88	62,582	0.06	-	-	-	-	-
Landmark Christian	5-AA	0-5	7.55	17,347	0.02	-	-	-	-	-
Berrien	1-AA	1-3	26.71	6,439	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Towers	5-AA	0-4	2.59	5,046	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Macon)	2-AA	0-5	2.16	106	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Butler	4-AA	1-3	7.12	88	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Gordon Central	7-AA	0-5	0.09	88	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Jordan	2-AA	0-5	-8.56	36	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Glenn Hills	4-AA	1-5	3.72	19	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Walker	6-AA	3-2	5.09	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Josey	4-AA	1-4	-2.66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AA	Fitzgerald	719,757	215,211	54,950	8,460	998,378	1,622
1-AA	Sumter County	154,648	352,625	284,238	133,801	925,312	74,688
1-AA	Cook	116,616	322,029	361,138	148,699	948,482	51,518
1-AA	Jeff Davis	4,654	21,629	84,220	274,262	384,765	615,235
1-AA	Dodge County	3,303	77,616	175,172	311,675	567,766	432,234
1-AA	Worth County	1,013	10,762	39,368	117,715	168,858	831,142
1-AA	Berrien	9	128	914	5,388	6,439	993,561
2-AA	Northeast	988,556	11,310	123	11	1,000,000	-
2-AA	Spencer	11,140	278,605	585,833	121,625	997,203	2,797
2-AA	ACE Charter	292	683,717	274,279	36,565	994,853	5,147
2-AA	Rutland	12	1,705	9,376	254,036	265,129	734,871
2-AA	Southwest	-	24,564	129,110	526,417	680,091	319,909
2-AA	Kendrick	-	99	1,272	61,211	62,582	937,418
2-AA	Central (Macon)	-	-	5	101	106	999,894
2-AA	Jordan	-	-	2	34	36	999,964
3-AA	Appling County	484,968	391,144	119,644	4,204	999,960	40
3-AA	Pierce County	451,544	413,152	130,544	4,705	999,945	55
3-AA	Toombs County	63,066	192,967	683,297	60,023	999,353	647
3-AA	Vidalia	421	2,714	65,495	773,996	842,626	157,374
3-AA	Tattnall County	1	19	346	125,295	125,661	874,339
3-AA	Windsor Forest	-	4	381	4,764	5,149	994,851
3-AA	Brantley County	-	-	293	27,013	27,306	972,694
4-AA	Thomson	984,653	14,159	989	196	999,997	3
4-AA	Putnam County	10,754	85,190	229,724	417,178	742,846	257,154
4-AA	Laney	2,880	643,683	259,587	72,148	978,298	21,702
4-AA	Westside (Augusta)	1,461	22,901	82,519	271,532	378,413	621,587
4-AA	Washington County	252	234,067	427,179	238,841	900,339	99,661
4-AA	Butler	-	-	1	87	88	999,912
4-AA	Glenn Hills	-	-	1	18	19	999,981
4-AA	Josey	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AA	Callaway	775,075	180,526	43,577	812	999,990	10
5-AA	Columbia	141,081	472,827	376,886	8,755	999,549	451
5-AA	Eagle's Landing Christian	83,705	344,123	527,793	40,437	996,058	3,942
5-AA	McNair	120	635	28,350	537,750	566,855	433,145
5-AA	Redan	19	1,887	23,250	389,999	415,155	584,845
5-AA	Landmark Christian	-	1	102	17,244	17,347	982,653
5-AA	Towers	-	1	42	5,003	5,046	994,954
6-AA	North Cobb Christian	969,520	25,236	4,762	359	999,877	123
6-AA	Therrell	18,400	733,907	207,585	30,059	989,951	10,049
6-AA	South Atlanta	9,856	18,500	272,117	399,787	700,260	299,740
6-AA	Washington	1,392	208,185	433,204	251,788	894,569	105,431
6-AA	B.E.S.T. Academy	671	9,888	43,841	198,330	252,730	747,270
6-AA	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	128	3,196	27,905	79,716	110,945	889,055
6-AA	Mount Paran Christian	33	1,088	10,586	39,961	51,668	948,332
6-AA	Walker	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-AA	Rockmart	752,490	187,927	43,268	15,040	998,725	1,275
7-AA	Model	112,158	333,087	296,759	205,194	947,198	52,802
7-AA	Fannin County	82,887	272,850	309,698	256,857	922,292	77,708
7-AA	North Murray	51,864	198,330	328,083	390,483	968,760	31,240
7-AA	Haralson County	598	7,742	21,156	122,239	151,735	848,265
7-AA	Murray County	3	64	1,035	10,100	11,202	988,798
7-AA	Gordon Central	-	-	1	87	88	999,912
8-AA	Athens Academy	524,383	269,744	128,887	52,578	975,592	24,408
8-AA	Fellowship Christian	268,581	312,291	222,272	120,075	923,219	76,781
8-AA	Union County	122,950	211,100	268,942	212,049	815,041	184,959
8-AA	Providence Christian	62,043	133,198	214,736	269,985	679,962	320,038
8-AA	East Jackson	16,847	52,635	110,206	212,508	392,196	607,804
8-AA	Banks County	5,196	21,032	54,957	132,805	213,990	786,010

Class A Division I

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Division I
A Division II

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Prince Avenue Christian	5-A Division I	6-0	80.68	1,000,000	4.71	994,997	882,067	832,866	791,087	0.26
Swainsboro	2-A Division I	5-0	65.81	999,970	3.29	916,831	217,846	164,985	80,507	11.42
Rabun County	8-A Division I	4-1	61.32	1,000,000	3.73	828,447	704,155	225,181	63,601	14.72
Commerce	8-A Division I	4-1	57.12	1,000,000	3.32	684,142	507,723	186,107	26,093	37.32
Trion	7-A Division I	4-0	54.44	999,767	2.89	452,073	331,752	165,917	13,338	73.97
Brooks County	1-A Division I	1-3	53.55	1,000,000	2.92	535,749	273,660	134,160	9,938	99.62
Mount Vernon	6-A Division I	4-1	50.79	1,000,000	2.59	396,962	192,096	80,735	4,294	231.88
Elbert County	8-A Division I	4-1	50.87	1,000,000	2.63	470,213	236,298	65,057	4,142	240.43
Dublin	2-A Division I	3-1	50.41	992,778	2.42	431,264	141,995	51,599	2,871	347.31
Lamar County	4-A Division I	4-2	46.85	1,000,000	2.42	442,053	121,908	37,174	1,320	756.58
Bryan County	3-A Division I	4-1	47.82	1,000,000	2.44	532,421	139,590	13,437	1,259	793.28
Bleckley County	2-A Division I	3-2	47.41	984,816	2.10	327,151	84,553	23,197	881	1,134.07
Irwin County	1-A Division I	2-3	45.21	1,000,000	2.12	223,071	48,236	10,113	354	2,823.86
Metter	3-A Division I	2-4	43.79	999,993	1.96	323,853	61,282	6,067	255	3,920.57
Darlington	7-A Division I	3-2	39.34	982,674	1.66	51,840	16,164	927	21	47,618.05
Bacon County	1-A Division I	2-2	38.46	1,000,000	1.69	115,226	11,938	730	18	55,554.56
St. Francis	6-A Division I	1-2	37.59	1,000,000	1.56	31,864	6,374	570	6	166,665.67
Jasper County	5-A Division I	4-2	37.67	1,000,000	1.15	29,428	5,012	481	5	199,999.00
Oglethorpe County	5-A Division I	2-3	35.66	1,000,000	1.11	18,382	2,739	197	5	199,999.00
Temple	4-A Division I	3-3	34.86	1,000,000	1.49	79,610	5,817	220	3	333,332.33
Pepperell	7-A Division I	2-3	33.05	858,768	1.15	10,023	1,510	46	1	999,999.00
Pelham	1-A Division I	2-4	31.04	1,000,000	1.27	27,277	1,196	38	1	999,999.00
Whitefield Academy	6-A Division I	1-4	34.78	1,000,000	1.40	17,690	2,998	143	-	-
Mount Pisgah Christian	6-A Division I	2-3	30.49	1,000,000	1.20	6,394	708	14	-	-
East Laurens	2-A Division I	2-2	30.87	617,514	0.72	18,400	801	12	-	-
Screven County	3-A Division I	2-3	29.52	999,440	1.09	10,949	523	9	-	-
Social Circle	5-A Division I	1-4	28.37	1,000,000	1.03	3,490	346	5	-	-
Heard County	4-A Division I	1-4	27.51	1,000,000	1.16	10,071	309	5	-	-
Dade County	7-A Division I	1-4	29.06	562,702	0.65	2,450	149	5	-	-
Armuchee	7-A Division I	3-2	26.59	536,359	0.61	1,588	82	2	-	-
Jefferson County	2-A Division I	0-5	27.46	404,922	0.45	6,041	172	1	-	-
Claxton	3-A Division I	1-5	11.29	956,708	0.96	33	1	-	-	-
Chattooga	7-A Division I	1-4	16.96	42,079	0.04	13	-	-	-	-
Coosa	7-A Division I	3-2	15.94	17,651	0.02	4	-	-	-	-
Athens Christian	8-A Division I	0-4	-3.17	1,000,000	1.00	-	-	-	-	-
Crawford County	4-A Division I	1-4	-4.33	1,000,000	1.00	-	-	-	-	-
Savannah	3-A Division I	0-6	-12.84	43,859	0.04	-	-	-	-	-
King's Ridge Christian	6-A Division I	2-2	12.51	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Division I	Brooks County	703,748	236,494	48,971	10,787	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Irwin County	220,831	484,088	224,557	70,524	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Bacon County	63,370	221,600	473,583	241,447	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Pelham	12,051	57,818	252,889	677,242	1,000,000	-
2-A Division I	Swainsboro	847,945	131,450	19,488	1,087	999,970	30
2-A Division I	Dublin	98,045	501,674	351,031	42,028	992,778	7,222
2-A Division I	Bleckley County	53,019	345,890	507,190	78,717	984,816	15,184
2-A Division I	East Laurens	767	14,678	81,858	520,211	617,514	382,486
2-A Division I	Jefferson County	224	6,308	40,433	357,957	404,922	595,078
3-A Division I	Bryan County	615,472	336,283	46,992	1,253	1,000,000	-
3-A Division I	Metter	358,890	531,495	105,954	3,654	999,993	7
3-A Division I	Screven County	25,420	130,029	760,637	83,354	999,440	560
3-A Division I	Claxton	218	2,193	86,138	868,159	956,708	43,292
3-A Division I	Savannah	-	-	279	43,580	43,859	956,141
4-A Division I	Lamar County	806,691	166,472	26,717	120	1,000,000	-
4-A Division I	Temple	156,403	580,401	260,947	2,249	1,000,000	-
4-A Division I	Heard County	36,899	252,897	697,116	13,088	1,000,000	-
4-A Division I	Crawford County	7	230	15,220	984,543	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Prince Avenue Christian	996,199	3,782	19	-	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Jasper County	2,194	506,079	340,142	151,585	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Oglethorpe County	1,395	380,828	402,075	215,702	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Social Circle	212	109,311	257,764	632,713	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	Mount Vernon	786,364	172,108	31,028	10,500	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	St. Francis	118,346	408,219	298,028	175,407	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	Whitefield Academy	67,597	279,563	368,580	284,260	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	Mount Pisgah Christian	27,693	140,110	302,364	529,833	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	King's Ridge Christian	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-A Division I	Trion	852,561	129,881	15,009	2,316	999,767	233
7-A Division I	Darlington	115,273	577,079	230,944	59,378	982,674	17,326
7-A Division I	Pepperell	25,299	208,995	377,980	246,494	858,768	141,232
7-A Division I	Armuchee	3,651	55,972	165,488	311,248	536,359	463,641
7-A Division I	Dade County	3,189	26,902	201,597	331,014	562,702	437,298
7-A Division I	Chattooga	18	697	4,978	36,386	42,079	957,921
7-A Division I	Coosa	9	474	4,004	13,164	17,651	982,349
8-A Division I	Rabun County	576,777	302,037	121,150	36	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Commerce	315,686	429,206	255,023	85	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Elbert County	107,537	268,757	623,223	483	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Athens Christian	-	-	604	999,396	1,000,000	-

Class A Division II

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Division I
A Division II

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Schley County	6-A Division II	5-0	60.25	999,997	3.90	892,379	777,008	585,785	774,572	0.29
Greene County	8-A Division II	5-0	60.05	999,879	4.61	819,505	700,924	544,615	686,033	0.46
Bowdon	7-A Division II	4-2	52.50	1,000,000	3.44	645,616	461,602	182,546	156,767	5.38
Clinch County	2-A Division II	5-1	50.43	999,879	3.19	680,357	361,664	145,680	98,876	9.11
Macon County	6-A Division II	4-1	49.40	999,528	2.94	520,475	291,552	103,839	62,686	14.95
Jenkins County	3-A Division II	6-0	48.77	999,700	2.88	615,741	206,627	96,195	56,735	16.63
Telfair County	4-A Division II	4-0	48.33	992,953	2.96	618,495	245,352	79,339	49,547	19.18
Manchester	6-A Division II	4-1	46.37	996,771	2.45	351,208	172,358	55,409	25,264	38.58
Lanier County	2-A Division II	4-0	46.12	999,447	2.51	485,650	171,155	51,651	25,189	38.70
Lincoln County	8-A Division II	3-2	46.72	990,076	2.41	272,697	140,755	44,597	22,025	44.40
Aquinas	8-A Division II	4-1	45.81	987,416	2.31	241,511	117,782	34,295	15,806	62.27
Early County	1-A Division II	4-1	44.05	1,000,000	2.34	418,026	75,542	25,194	11,624	85.03
Emanuel County Institute	3-A Division II	2-3	42.90	998,051	2.11	338,376	73,994	19,354	7,135	139.15
Johnson County	5-A Division II	2-2	39.48	999,899	1.80	167,783	57,049	9,844	2,409	414.11
Dooly County	4-A Division II	1-3	39.57	913,884	1.90	235,948	45,345	7,810	2,118	471.14
Wilcox County	4-A Division II	3-2	39.61	914,849	1.90	237,379	45,656	7,939	2,110	472.93
McIntosh County Academy	3-A Division II	2-3	37.01	990,837	1.50	127,922	16,930	2,322	521	1,918.39
Washington-Wilkes	8-A Division II	3-2	36.97	911,949	1.53	69,745	16,818	2,017	408	2,449.98
Wheeler County	4-A Division II	3-2	33.10	680,981	1.05	57,872	5,847	512	67	14,924.37
Portal	3-A Division II	3-2	32.89	976,546	1.24	56,685	5,818	485	50	19,999.00
Turner County	2-A Division II	2-4	32.05	979,675	1.23	46,826	3,560	274	34	29,410.76
Miller County	1-A Division II	1-3	28.84	864,259	1.09	24,057	2,012	119	8	124,999.00
Charlton County	2-A Division II	0-5	28.36	955,187	1.10	21,010	883	40	7	142,856.14
Hawkinsville	4-A Division II	4-1	28.66	390,209	0.52	13,689	835	37	3	333,332.33
Christian Heritage	7-A Division II	1-3	26.86	1,000,000	1.11	7,946	824	28	3	333,332.33
Mount Zion (Carroll)	7-A Division II	3-2	27.13	1,000,000	1.11	8,311	932	41	2	499,999.00
Mitchell County	1-A Division II	0-5	20.12	417,942	0.45	1,528	31	1	1	999,999.00
Seminole County	1-A Division II	2-3	26.34	776,926	0.92	12,720	752	26	-	-
Terrell County	1-A Division II	1-2	23.70	655,577	0.74	6,327	237	5	-	-
Marion County	6-A Division II	2-3	22.34	321,788	0.33	478	28	1	-	-
Hancock Central	5-A Division II	2-3	20.83	953,209	1.01	1,106	55	-	-	-
Warren County	8-A Division II	2-3	20.26	108,956	0.12	431	23	-	-	-
Treutlen	4-A Division II	1-4	21.67	107,124	0.12	772	19	-	-	-
Randolph-Clay	1-A Division II	2-2	17.45	284,939	0.30	608	9	-	-	-
Taylor County	6-A Division II	4-1	18.18	269,341	0.28	222	8	-	-	-
Glascock County	5-A Division II	2-3	14.95	842,344	0.86	197	7	-	-	-
Greenville	6-A Division II	1-4	17.66	409,150	0.42	235	5	-	-	-
Wilkinson County	5-A Division II	1-3	13.45	791,257	0.80	142	2	-	-	-
Georgia Military Prep	5-A Division II	1-5	6.69	412,936	0.41	13	-	-	-	-
Atkinson County	2-A Division II	0-5	6.41	65,812	0.07	7	-	-	-	-
Montgomery County	3-A Division II	0-5	6.00	34,866	0.04	5	-	-	-	-
Chattahoochee County	6-A Division II	0-5	3.37	3,411	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Towns County	8-A Division II	0-4	2.60	1,724	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Baconton Charter	1-A Division II	1-3	-4.62	357	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Twiggs County	5-A Division II	0-4	-23.95	355	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Talbotton)	6-A Division II	1-4	-18.21	14	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Pataula Charter	1-A Division II	2-2	6.67	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Division II	Early County	975,945	22,966	944	145	1,000,000	-
1-A Division II	Terrell County	20,137	164,322	222,759	248,359	655,577	344,423
1-A Division II	Randolph-Clay	2,272	39,525	86,626	156,516	284,939	715,061
1-A Division II	Miller County	1,197	419,467	278,022	165,573	864,259	135,741
1-A Division II	Seminole County	391	277,738	279,281	219,516	776,926	223,074
1-A Division II	Mitchell County	58	75,981	132,340	209,563	417,942	582,058
1-A Division II	Baconton Charter	-	1	28	328	357	999,643
1-A Division II	Pataula Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Southwest Georgia STEM	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-A Division II	Clinch County	616,795	328,560	45,576	8,948	999,879	121
2-A Division II	Lanier County	349,311	518,003	107,711	24,422	999,447	553
2-A Division II	Turner County	24,029	103,575	506,412	345,659	979,675	20,325
2-A Division II	Charlton County	9,862	49,603	336,176	559,546	955,187	44,813
2-A Division II	Atkinson County	3	259	4,125	61,425	65,812	934,188
3-A Division II	Jenkins County	610,229	275,567	83,426	30,478	999,700	300
3-A Division II	Emanuel County Institute	262,946	404,361	225,166	105,578	998,051	1,949
3-A Division II	McIntosh County Academy	89,213	211,954	391,700	297,970	990,837	9,163
3-A Division II	Portal	37,610	107,968	298,666	532,302	976,546	23,454
3-A Division II	Montgomery County	2	150	1,042	33,672	34,866	965,134
4-A Division II	Telfair County	638,754	240,010	86,816	27,373	992,953	7,047
4-A Division II	Wilcox County	159,057	302,706	291,221	161,865	914,849	85,151
4-A Division II	Dooly County	157,686	300,708	291,391	164,099	913,884	86,116
4-A Division II	Wheeler County	34,923	109,522	207,569	328,967	680,981	319,019
4-A Division II	Hawkinsville	8,907	41,388	100,908	239,006	390,209	609,791
4-A Division II	Treutlen	673	5,666	22,095	78,690	107,124	892,876
5-A Division II	Johnson County	900,686	90,494	7,152	1,567	999,899	101
5-A Division II	Hancock Central	67,555	498,520	270,899	116,235	953,209	46,791
5-A Division II	Glascock County	17,870	209,509	332,017	282,948	842,344	157,656
5-A Division II	Wilkinson County	12,328	160,435	286,322	332,172	791,257	208,743
5-A Division II	Georgia Military Prep	1,561	41,042	103,562	266,771	412,936	587,064
5-A Division II	Twiggs County	-	-	48	307	355	999,645
6-A Division II	Schley County	939,688	59,021	1,236	52	999,997	3
6-A Division II	Manchester	58,949	336,614	573,475	27,733	996,771	3,229
6-A Division II	Macon County	1,336	601,925	383,259	13,008	999,528	472
6-A Division II	Taylor County	25	2,149	19,891	247,276	269,341	730,659
6-A Division II	Greenville	2	192	14,065	394,891	409,150	590,850
6-A Division II	Marion County	-	99	8,066	313,623	321,788	678,212
6-A Division II	Chattahoochee County	-	-	8	3,403	3,411	996,589
6-A Division II	Central (Talbotton)	-	-	-	14	14	999,986
7-A Division II	Bowdon	953,019	43,353	3,628	-	1,000,000	-
7-A Division II	Mount Zion (Carroll)	24,305	486,278	489,417	-	1,000,000	-
7-A Division II	Christian Heritage	22,676	470,369	506,955	-	1,000,000	-
8-A Division II	Greene County	781,552	175,829	34,965	7,533	999,879	121
8-A Division II	Lincoln County	111,667	392,988	345,662	139,759	990,076	9,924
8-A Division II	Aquinas	93,670	348,848	379,864	165,034	987,416	12,584
8-A Division II	Washington-Wilkes	13,081	80,935	231,791	586,142	911,949	88,051
8-A Division II	Warren County	30	1,400	7,637	99,889	108,956	891,044
8-A Division II	Towns County	-	-	81	1,643	1,724	998,276
8-A Division II	Lake Oconee Academy	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

Class AAAAAAA

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Class AAAAAA

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Class AAAAA

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Playoff Seeding Projections

Class AAAA

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Class AAA

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Playoff Seeding Projections

Class AA

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Class A Division I

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Class A Division II

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