Maxwell playoff projections heading into Week 7

August 20, 2021 - Kennesaw, Ga: Buford wide receiver Tobi Olawale (4) celebrates his receiving touchdown with running back Victor Venn (6) during the second half against North Cobb at North Cobb high school Friday, August 20, 2021 in Kennesaw, Ga.. Buford won 35-27. JASON GETZ FOR THE ATLANTA JOURNAL-CONSTITUTION

By Loren Maxwell

Sept 25, 2024

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class in the GHSA.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2024 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 iterations.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Buford	8-AAAAAA	4-1	101.55	1,000,000	3.91	853,130	628,065	475,752	361,455	1.77
Carrollton	2-AAAAAA	6-0	97.02	999,986	3.71	748,863	691,289	359,724	221,357	3.52
North Gwinnett	7-AAAAAA	5-0	97.11	999,998	3.71	923,070	488,685	319,641	196,128	4.10
North Cobb	5-AAAAAA	6-0	91.62	999,990	2.75	442,635	339,178	199,990	66,797	13.97
Mill Creek	8-AAAAAA	4-1	90.92	999,944	2.65	468,021	299,494	157,979	48,899	19.45
Douglas County	2-AAAAAA	4-1	89.07	999,654	2.44	383,032	297,479	108,471	33,820	28.57
Grayson	4-AAAAAA	4-1	85.25	999,987	3.06	714,495	282,935	108,602	21,140	46.30
Lowndes	1-AAAAAA	5-0	85.82	923,320	2.02	218,641	129,635	44,163	10,060	98.40
Norcross	7-AAAAAA	4-1	83.16	998,241	2.74	624,513	171,816	58,095	9,361	105.83
Valdosta	1-AAAAAA	5-0	85.36	900,224	1.92	198,824	115,624	37,551	8,448	117.37
Colquitt County	1-AAAAAA	3-2	85.46	905,077	1.92	197,824	115,797	38,208	8,444	117.43
Collins Hill	8-AAAAAA	5-0	85.15	999,465	1.87	218,251	117,214	41,024	7,592	130.72
Camden County	1-AAAAAA	5-0	83.36	856,860	1.64	135,951	74,070	19,682	3,768	264.39
McEachern	3-AAAAAA	3-2	77.47	999,939	2.31	370,905	67,008	14,363	1,277	782.09
East Coweta	2-AAAAAA	3-2	78.42	994,445	1.28	61,411	27,735	4,523	508	1,967.50
Lambert	6-AAAAAA	3-2	73.89	997,402	2.22	426,121	52,192	3,704	346	2,889.17
South Gwinnett	4-AAAAAA	4-1	73.27	997,930	1.97	237,187	28,026	3,122	205	4,877.05
Walton	5-AAAAAA	3-3	76.16	985,677	1.30	29,254	13,175	1,116	137	7,298.27
Newton	4-AAAAAA	2-3	70.55	998,640	1.83	194,637	16,233	1,075	60	16,665.67
Richmond Hill	1-AAAAAA	5-0	75.54	393,098	0.54	14,846	5,543	675	60	16,665.67
Peachtree Ridge	7-AAAAAA	2-3	70.62	824,021	1.35	117,427	9,941	774	43	23,254.81
West Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	3-2	69.58	952,542	1.37	84,590	7,317	592	29	34,481.76
Cherokee	5-AAAAAA	3-2	71.77	963,858	1.16	12,747	4,010	270	22	45,453.55
Westlake	2-AAAAAA	3-3	72.30	985,065	1.07	13,162	3,103	311	19	52,630.58
Harrison	3-AAAAAA	4-1	66.09	995,929	1.47	88,057	4,317	163	10	99,999.00
North Atlanta	6-AAAAAA	4-1	66.23	838,531	1.10	53,415	2,944	144	6	166,665.67
North Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	3-2	66.47	809,329	1.00	33,074	1,931	114	3	333,332.33
Hillgrove	3-AAAAAA	5-0	65.22	983,682	1.34	57,702	2,630	101	3	333,332.33
Brookwood	7-AAAAAA	2-3	63.94	570,832	0.76	34,017	1,210	38	1	999,999.00
North Paulding	5-AAAAAA	3-3	66.24	607,746	0.66	2,687	413	14	1	999,999.00
Campbell	3-AAAAAA	3-2	58.12	711,614	0.77	6,554	131	3	1	999,999.00
Parkview	7-AAAAAA	1-4	61.39	366,788	0.46	14,209	396	10	-	-
Archer	4-AAAAAA	0-5	58.59	883,029	1.01	9,749	171	3	-	-
Denmark	6-AAAAAA	1-4	60.85	374,150	0.41	4,495	116	2	-	-
Wheeler	5-AAAAAA	1-5	59.59	346,452	0.36	282	24	1	-	-
Duluth	7-AAAAAA	3-2	58.80	239,598	0.28	5,483	104	-	-	-
Central Gwinnett	8-AAAAAA	3-2	57.42	650,969	0.66	341	38	-	-	-
Paulding County	3-AAAAAA	1-4	47.30	164,975	0.17	136	3	-	-	-
Marietta	5-AAAAAA	1-5	57.50	92,277	0.10	43	3	-	-	-
Tift County	1-AAAAAA	2-3	61.41	21,421	0.02	40	2	-	-	-
Pebblebrook	3-AAAAAA	2-3	47.93	135,958	0.14	145	1	-	-	-
Mountain View	8-AAAAAA	0-5	50.29	175,817	0.18	8	1	-	-	-
Dacula	8-AAAAAA	1-3	49.31	172,415	0.17	7	1	-	-	-
Forsyth Central	6-AAAAAA	2-3	49.00	23,949	0.02	13	-	-	-	-
Grovetown	4-AAAAAA	0-5	39.96	77,103	0.08	5	-	-	-	-
Rockdale County	4-AAAAAA	3-2	35.04	18,857	0.02	1	-	-	-	-
Heritage (Conyers)	4-AAAAAA	2-2	34.57	24,454	0.02	-	-	-	-	-
Chapel Hill	2-AAAAAA	1-4	42.48	20,850	0.02	-	-	-	-	-
Osborne	3-AAAAAA	1-4	34.12	7,903	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Etowah	5-AAAAAA	1-4	43.49	4,000	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
South Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	2-3	46.64	3,177	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Discovery	8-AAAAAA	0-5	29.16	1,390	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Alpharetta	6-AAAAAA	0-5	44.99	920	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Berkmar	7-AAAAAA	1-4	44.19	515	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Meadowcreek	7-AAAAAA	0-5	29.33	7	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
South Cobb	3-AAAAAA	0-5	20.36	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAA	Lowndes	297,115	256,729	213,445	156,031	923,320	76,680
1-AAAAAA	Valdosta	262,054	248,009	220,724	169,437	900,224	99,776
1-AAAAAA	Colquitt County	251,813	240,967	225,518	186,779	905,077	94,923
1-AAAAAA	Camden County	167,585	202,852	241,696	244,727	856,860	143,140
1-AAAAAA	Richmond Hill	21,283	50,694	95,032	226,089	393,098	606,902
1-AAAAAA	Tift County	150	749	3,585	16,937	21,421	978,579
2-AAAAAA	Carrollton	675,848	274,434	42,701	7,003	999,986	14
2-AAAAAA	Douglas County	275,923	519,766	165,067	38,898	999,654	346
2-AAAAAA	East Coweta	41,084	159,143	485,303	308,915	994,445	5,555
2-AAAAAA	Westlake	7,145	46,634	306,463	624,823	985,065	14,935
2-AAAAAA	Chapel Hill	-	23	466	20,361	20,850	979,150
3-AAAAAA	McEachern	770,133	188,259	40,847	700	999,939	61
3-AAAAAA	Harrison	138,548	482,408	351,621	23,352	995,929	4,071
3-AAAAAA	Hillgrove	91,283	314,784	434,380	143,235	983,682	16,318
3-AAAAAA	Paulding County	36	5,078	26,314	133,547	164,975	835,025
3-AAAAAA	Campbell	-	9,336	143,860	558,418	711,614	288,386
3-AAAAAA	Pebblebrook	-	130	2,745	133,083	135,958	864,042
3-AAAAAA	Osborne	-	5	233	7,665	7,903	992,097
3-AAAAAA	South Cobb	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
4-AAAAAA	Grayson	741,921	203,884	49,922	4,260	999,987	13
4-AAAAAA	South Gwinnett	166,679	432,870	325,633	72,748	997,930	2,070
4-AAAAAA	Newton	89,186	358,523	542,214	8,717	998,640	1,360
4-AAAAAA	Archer	2,214	4,496	78,273	798,046	883,029	116,971
4-AAAAAA	Grovetown	-	205	2,915	73,983	77,103	922,897
4-AAAAAA	Heritage (Conyers)	-	16	598	23,840	24,454	975,546
4-AAAAAA	Rockdale County	-	6	445	18,406	18,857	981,143
5-AAAAAA	North Cobb	947,671	50,986	1,071	262	999,990	10
5-AAAAAA	Cherokee	50,428	390,186	436,761	86,483	963,858	36,142
5-AAAAAA	Walton	1,366	522,762	378,172	83,377	985,677	14,323
5-AAAAAA	Wheeler	479	7,366	69,480	269,127	346,452	653,548
5-AAAAAA	Marietta	56	4,467	24,392	63,362	92,277	907,723
5-AAAAAA	North Paulding	-	24,226	89,948	493,572	607,746	392,254
5-AAAAAA	Etowah	-	7	176	3,817	4,000	996,000
6-AAAAAA	Lambert	821,657	130,625	32,731	12,389	997,402	2,598
6-AAAAAA	North Atlanta	113,267	200,719	253,974	270,571	838,531	161,469
6-AAAAAA	West Forsyth	36,113	424,774	320,918	170,737	952,542	47,458
6-AAAAAA	North Forsyth	16,056	211,067	288,691	293,515	809,329	190,671
6-AAAAAA	Denmark	12,808	32,116	99,631	229,595	374,150	625,850
6-AAAAAA	Forsyth Central	97	645	3,624	19,583	23,949	976,051
6-AAAAAA	South Forsyth	2	22	319	2,834	3,177	996,823
6-AAAAAA	Alpharetta	-	32	112	776	920	999,080
7-AAAAAA	North Gwinnett	863,073	132,535	4,302	88	999,998	2
7-AAAAAA	Norcross	132,150	801,652	54,263	10,176	998,241	1,759
7-AAAAAA	Peachtree Ridge	4,637	23,011	534,726	261,647	824,021	175,979
7-AAAAAA	Brookwood	69	25,298	203,383	342,082	570,832	429,168
7-AAAAAA	Duluth	38	540	76,774	162,246	239,598	760,402
7-AAAAAA	Parkview	33	16,964	126,542	223,249	366,788	633,212
7-AAAAAA	Berkmar	-	-	10	505	515	999,485
7-AAAAAA	Meadowcreek	-	-	-	7	7	999,993
8-AAAAAA	Buford	751,243	204,452	43,970	335	1,000,000	-
8-AAAAAA	Mill Creek	187,959	489,194	318,462	4,329	999,944	56
8-AAAAAA	Collins Hill	60,784	305,860	625,753	7,068	999,465	535
8-AAAAAA	Central Gwinnett	12	447	6,354	644,156	650,969	349,031
8-AAAAAA	Mountain View	2	9	2,171	173,635	175,817	824,183
8-AAAAAA	Dacula	-	38	3,288	169,089	172,415	827,585
8-AAAAAA	Discovery	-	-	2	1,388	1,390	998,610

Class AAAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Milton	7-AAAAA	5-0	105.97	999,999	4.61	982,392	930,318	707,390	570,593	0.75
Lee County	2-AAAAA	5-0	99.61	999,735	4.29	961,131	874,400	456,918	247,123	3.05
Coffee	2-AAAAA	5-0	94.65	998,500	3.97	906,656	704,961	368,921	110,106	8.08
Thomas County Central	2-AAAAA	5-0	91.10	995,053	3.63	862,120	575,457	224,853	48,084	19.80
Gainesville	7-AAAAA	4-1	85.84	998,803	2.85	633,748	253,612	85,015	10,175	97.28
Hughes	3-AAAAA	4-1	84.30	999,960	2.75	535,624	163,615	62,475	6,242	159.21
Roswell	7-AAAAA	4-1	83.99	998,012	2.70	585,829	206,316	58,843	5,895	168.64
Rome	5-AAAAA	2-2	78.50	999,765	2.15	152,784	50,382	12,852	686	1,456.73
Houston County	2-AAAAA	4-1	77.80	908,801	2.24	523,902	71,853	9,620	684	1,460.99
Brunswick	1-AAAAA	4-1	73.83	999,923	2.13	206,593	44,962	5,607	179	5,585.59
River Ridge	6-AAAAA	4-1	73.68	977,558	1.80	330,709	31,117	2,256	107	9,344.79
Woodward Academy	4-AAAAA	2-3	71.03	999,619	1.94	143,955	23,372	2,180	52	19,229.77
East Paulding	5-AAAAA	4-1	70.50	989,698	1.81	54,337	13,045	513	25	39,999.00
Sequoyah	6-AAAAA	4-1	70.48	750,992	1.02	97,166	8,112	471	16	62,499.00
Lakeside (Evans)	1-AAAAA	5-0	67.45	995,663	1.85	147,829	8,527	447	10	99,999.00
Creekview	6-AAAAA	4-1	69.72	839,313	1.18	125,016	9,024	488	8	124,999.00
Clarke Central	8-AAAAA	3-2	67.70	999,480	1.35	121,399	4,850	238	5	199,999.00
Newnan	3-AAAAA	4-1	65.14	982,878	1.76	145,940	5,047	146	4	249,999.00
Decatur	4-AAAAA	5-0	65.89	996,066	1.68	64,354	6,436	310	3	333,332.33
Dutchtown	3-AAAAA	2-3	63.39	960,106	1.60	103,754	2,948	69	2	499,999.00
Sprayberry	6-AAAAA	5-1	67.47	781,307	1.01	79,197	4,715	242	1	999,999.00
Seckinger	7-AAAAA	4-1	65.42	559,856	0.82	83,249	2,469	57	-	-
Lovejoy	3-AAAAA	2-3	61.61	907,779	1.27	36,303	1,322	38	-	-
Lanier	7-AAAAA	2-3	62.59	355,199	0.48	35,133	796	10	-	-
Pope	6-AAAAA	3-3	61.20	541,512	0.58	8,726	390	10	-	-
Villa Rica	5-AAAAA	3-2	59.03	889,899	1.14	16,199	434	7	-	-
Jackson County	8-AAAAA	3-2	57.75	959,169	0.98	3,098	256	7	-	-
Winder-Barrow	8-AAAAA	3-2	58.57	987,641	1.04	10,190	370	6	-	-
Effingham County	1-AAAAA	2-3	58.98	666,844	0.82	7,625	238	4	-	-
New Manchester	5-AAAAA	4-1	57.90	827,861	1.01	12,501	285	3	-	-
Northside (Warner Robins)	2-AAAAA	2-3	60.47	93,259	0.13	9,186	116	3	-	-
Evans	1-AAAAA	2-2	56.30	401,880	0.45	584	40	1	-	-
Glynn Academy	1-AAAAA	3-2	57.53	616,762	0.71	2,377	117	-	-	-
Tri-Cities	4-AAAAA	4-0	48.42	849,713	0.92	3,592	20	-	-	-
Chattahoochee	7-AAAAA	4-1	53.53	79,595	0.09	1,613	16	-	-	-
Lakeside (Atlanta)	4-AAAAA	3-2	48.10	781,041	0.84	2,927	15	-	-	-
Habersham Central	8-AAAAA	2-3	49.14	841,101	0.85	363	14	-	-	-
Woodstock	6-AAAAA	4-1	55.74	109,247	0.11	230	10	-	-	-
Greenbrier	1-AAAAA	2-2	52.87	296,986	0.32	613	9	-	-	-
Kennesaw Mountain	5-AAAAA	2-3	51.58	177,573	0.19	408	9	-	-	-
Shiloh	4-AAAAA	0-5	45.90	211,491	0.22	221	3	-	-	-
Arabia Mountain	4-AAAAA	1-4	43.94	95,300	0.10	44	1	-	-	-
Veterans	2-AAAAA	0-5	47.01	4,652	0.01	35	1	-	-	-
Northgate	3-AAAAA	1-4	46.81	90,017	0.10	123	-	-	-	-
McIntosh	3-AAAAA	2-3	46.91	50,108	0.05	120	-	-	-	-
South Paulding	5-AAAAA	1-4	47.14	77,392	0.08	58	-	-	-	-
Johns Creek	7-AAAAA	0-4	43.60	8,536	0.01	19	-	-	-	-
Dunwoody	4-AAAAA	1-4	45.76	40,742	0.04	13	-	-	-	-
Alexander	5-AAAAA	1-4	45.35	36,769	0.04	7	-	-	-	-
Banneker	3-AAAAA	2-3	40.80	6,866	0.01	3	-	-	-	-
Alcovy	8-AAAAA	1-4	38.42	120,623	0.12	2	-	-	-	-
Apalachee	8-AAAAA	0-3	35.09	65,578	0.07	2	-	-	-	-
Statesboro	1-AAAAA	2-3	47.69	16,650	0.02	1	-	-	-	-
Loganville	8-AAAAA	0-5	36.49	26,408	0.03	-	-	-	-	-
Chamblee	4-AAAAA	0-5	35.61	26,028	0.03	-	-	-	-	-
South Effingham	1-AAAAA	0-4	41.54	5,133	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Morrow	3-AAAAA	1-4	36.08	2,286	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Lithia Springs	5-AAAAA	1-4	39.21	1,043	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Bradwell Institute	1-AAAAA	1-4	40.26	159	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Riverwood	6-AAAAA	0-6	36.13	52	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Lassiter	6-AAAAA	2-4	37.39	19	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAA	Brunswick	727,210	250,720	20,517	1,476	999,923	77
1-AAAAA	Lakeside (Evans)	263,380	603,788	112,189	16,306	995,663	4,337
1-AAAAA	Glynn Academy	6,272	27,765	280,823	301,902	616,762	383,238
1-AAAAA	Effingham County	2,653	94,427	314,265	255,499	666,844	333,156
1-AAAAA	Greenbrier	464	18,937	102,165	175,420	296,986	703,014
1-AAAAA	Statesboro	18	404	2,553	13,675	16,650	983,350
1-AAAAA	Evans	3	3,946	166,891	231,040	401,880	598,120
1-AAAAA	South Effingham	-	13	591	4,529	5,133	994,867
1-AAAAA	Bradwell Institute	-	-	6	153	159	999,841
2-AAAAA	Lee County	612,165	273,689	99,281	14,600	999,735	265
2-AAAAA	Coffee	238,411	396,572	308,567	54,950	998,500	1,500
2-AAAAA	Thomas County Central	142,418	300,850	426,501	125,284	995,053	4,947
2-AAAAA	Houston County	7,001	28,561	162,189	711,050	908,801	91,199
2-AAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	5	328	3,400	89,526	93,259	906,741
2-AAAAA	Veterans	-	-	62	4,590	4,652	995,348
3-AAAAA	Hughes	922,803	73,459	2,386	1,312	999,960	40
3-AAAAA	Newnan	65,088	435,813	312,541	169,436	982,878	17,122
3-AAAAA	Lovejoy	9,704	103,752	226,520	567,803	907,779	92,221
3-AAAAA	Dutchtown	2,329	382,863	437,437	137,477	960,106	39,894
3-AAAAA	Northgate	40	1,157	11,461	77,359	90,017	909,983
3-AAAAA	McIntosh	36	2,860	8,707	38,505	50,108	949,892
3-AAAAA	Banneker	-	94	858	5,914	6,866	993,134
3-AAAAA	Morrow	-	2	90	2,194	2,286	997,714
4-AAAAA	Woodward Academy	612,691	345,591	36,967	4,370	999,619	381
4-AAAAA	Decatur	367,303	518,474	92,479	17,810	996,066	3,934
4-AAAAA	Tri-Cities	12,486	76,822	425,716	334,689	849,713	150,287
4-AAAAA	Lakeside (Atlanta)	7,442	52,601	373,822	347,176	781,041	218,959
4-AAAAA	Dunwoody	43	410	2,317	37,972	40,742	959,258
4-AAAAA	Shiloh	25	5,620	45,644	160,202	211,491	788,509
4-AAAAA	Arabia Mountain	10	454	17,453	77,383	95,300	904,700
4-AAAAA	Chamblee	-	28	5,602	20,398	26,028	973,972
5-AAAAA	Rome	953,394	35,744	7,404	3,223	999,765	235
5-AAAAA	Villa Rica	22,366	120,168	399,004	348,361	889,899	110,101
5-AAAAA	East Paulding	14,076	785,973	152,478	37,171	989,698	10,302
5-AAAAA	New Manchester	9,482	45,989	392,085	380,305	827,861	172,139
5-AAAAA	Kennesaw Mountain	587	9,818	36,127	131,041	177,573	822,427
5-AAAAA	South Paulding	95	1,869	9,187	66,241	77,392	922,608
5-AAAAA	Alexander	-	432	3,562	32,775	36,769	963,231
5-AAAAA	Lithia Springs	-	7	153	883	1,043	998,957
6-AAAAA	River Ridge	470,790	274,710	154,912	77,146	977,558	22,442
6-AAAAA	Creekview	207,558	221,286	219,149	191,320	839,313	160,687
6-AAAAA	Sprayberry	152,318	214,249	210,798	203,942	781,307	218,693
6-AAAAA	Sequoyah	144,231	171,739	223,154	211,868	750,992	249,008
6-AAAAA	Pope	24,047	110,566	166,014	240,885	541,512	458,488
6-AAAAA	Woodstock	1,056	7,450	25,972	74,769	109,247	890,753
6-AAAAA	Riverwood	-	-	1	51	52	999,948
6-AAAAA	Lassiter	-	-	-	19	19	999,981
7-AAAAA	Milton	904,261	85,554	9,894	290	999,999	1
7-AAAAA	Gainesville	60,171	467,504	446,310	24,818	998,803	1,197
7-AAAAA	Roswell	35,400	444,408	494,252	23,952	998,012	1,988
7-AAAAA	Seckinger	111	1,454	23,859	534,432	559,856	440,144
7-AAAAA	Lanier	57	853	21,160	333,129	355,199	644,801
7-AAAAA	Chattahoochee	-	226	4,401	74,968	79,595	920,405
7-AAAAA	Johns Creek	-	1	124	8,411	8,536	991,464
8-AAAAA	Clarke Central	768,414	197,734	25,428	7,904	999,480	520
8-AAAAA	Winder-Barrow	188,091	361,962	316,654	120,934	987,641	12,359
8-AAAAA	Habersham Central	22,942	89,651	235,802	492,706	841,101	158,899
8-AAAAA	Jackson County	20,377	347,424	395,538	195,830	959,169	40,831
8-AAAAA	Alcovy	83	1,159	13,428	105,953	120,623	879,377
8-AAAAA	Apalachee	53	1,248	9,106	55,171	65,578	934,422
8-AAAAA	Loganville	40	822	4,044	21,502	26,408	973,592

Class AAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Marist	5-AAAA	4-0	91.28	999,999	4.00	866,253	729,403	508,705	347,569	1.88
Benedictine	1-AAAA	2-2	88.02	997,427	3.46	709,612	510,792	293,033	159,674	5.26
Ware County	1-AAAA	2-3	87.34	996,077	3.39	694,237	489,810	267,040	139,564	6.17
North Oconee	8-AAAA	5-0	86.72	999,986	3.14	548,525	380,123	232,385	110,916	8.02
Cartersville	7-AAAA	6-0	83.60	999,036	3.05	735,258	298,540	157,792	63,482	14.75
Blessed Trinity	6-AAAA	4-1	82.78	997,981	3.07	678,725	356,972	155,082	57,437	16.41
Warner Robins	1-AAAA	4-1	82.35	985,445	2.89	586,042	336,861	131,228	46,145	20.67
Creekside	4-AAAA	2-2	81.03	999,991	2.73	563,514	219,285	71,086	27,705	35.09
Cedartown	7-AAAA	6-0	79.64	999,980	2.63	599,451	174,914	70,639	21,611	45.27
Cambridge	6-AAAA	5-0	78.65	992,881	2.45	465,093	174,604	53,918	14,851	66.34
Eastside	8-AAAA	5-0	77.13	999,005	2.21	211,937	88,721	23,921	6,182	160.76
Central (Carrollton)	3-AAAA	4-1	73.52	975,468	2.18	295,129	63,599	13,658	2,566	388.71
Perry	1-AAAA	3-2	70.62	828,408	1.19	117,757	33,165	4,785	627	1,593.90
Kell	6-AAAA	4-2	70.58	950,709	1.48	149,174	25,268	4,004	565	1,768.91
Ola	2-AAAA	5-0	66.97	995,274	1.92	136,551	33,310	3,829	349	2,864.33
Jonesboro	3-AAAA	3-2	67.98	950,449	1.80	152,216	23,963	2,968	279	3,583.23
Harris County	3-AAAA	4-1	68.72	871,749	1.46	105,708	16,510	2,301	247	4,047.58
Mays	4-AAAA	3-2	66.22	996,825	1.56	76,387	7,569	972	72	13,887.89
Starr's Mill	3-AAAA	5-0	65.60	847,880	1.34	73,891	8,828	854	57	17,542.86
Cass	7-AAAA	3-3	65.15	653,455	0.78	31,789	5,155	382	26	38,460.54
Stockbridge	2-AAAA	4-1	62.33	992,273	1.48	37,941	6,118	423	24	41,665.67
East Forsyth	8-AAAA	4-1	63.36	933,189	1.40	27,562	4,243	265	21	47,618.05
Jones County	2-AAAA	4-1	62.79	993,734	1.38	24,402	3,775	271	11	90,908.09
Westminster (Atlanta)	6-AAAA	3-3	63.21	814,278	0.96	31,531	2,164	175	8	124,999.00
Hiram	7-AAAA	2-3	61.59	930,720	1.09	22,883	1,512	93	8	124,999.00
St. Pius X	5-AAAA	4-1	59.91	991,959	1.09	21,181	2,430	119	2	499,999.00
Tucker	5-AAAA	3-1	57.60	990,984	1.05	9,432	873	32	1	999,999.00
New Hampstead	1-AAAA	2-3	59.01	163,376	0.18	3,538	348	14	1	999,999.00
Maynard Jackson	4-AAAA	5-0	53.77	985,135	1.12	6,798	354	10	-	-
Northside (Columbus)	3-AAAA	3-1	57.97	350,746	0.43	5,939	339	9	-	-
Allatoona	7-AAAA	3-3	55.80	396,089	0.42	3,070	174	3	-	-
Pace Academy	4-AAAA	2-3	49.94	776,608	0.84	1,920	56	1	-	-
Madison County	8-AAAA	2-2	49.79	321,850	0.36	1,141	48	1	-	-
Centennial	6-AAAA	4-1	54.21	244,151	0.26	1,401	25	1	-	-
Hampton	2-AAAA	3-2	53.87	512,405	0.53	348	21	1	-	-
Walnut Grove	8-AAAA	4-1	50.53	475,611	0.54	1,921	83	-	-	-
Southwest DeKalb	5-AAAA	3-2	50.74	809,981	0.82	709	23	-	-	-
Union Grove	2-AAAA	3-2	50.73	361,987	0.38	289	11	-	-	-
Flowery Branch	8-AAAA	1-4	47.02	260,688	0.28	488	9	-	-	-
Wayne County	1-AAAA	0-5	50.24	29,267	0.03	114	1	-	-	-
Dalton	7-AAAA	0-6	45.39	14,144	0.01	13	1	-	-	-
Drew	4-AAAA	4-1	43.16	222,796	0.23	107	-	-	-	-
Eagle's Landing	2-AAAA	2-3	45.71	132,448	0.13	10	-	-	-	-
Lithonia	5-AAAA	3-1	39.74	156,325	0.16	7	-	-	-	-
Cedar Shoals	8-AAAA	0-5	37.28	9,671	0.01	3	-	-	-	-
M.L. King	4-AAAA	1-4	36.13	12,839	0.01	2	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Cartersville)	7-AAAA	1-3	38.07	6,576	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Druid Hills	5-AAAA	2-3	33.08	50,644	0.05	-	-	-	-	-
Locust Grove	2-AAAA	1-4	41.79	11,446	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Midtown	4-AAAA	2-3	29.59	5,798	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Griffin	3-AAAA	0-5	39.54	3,238	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Mundy's Mill	3-AAAA	0-5	31.98	470	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Stockbridge)	2-AAAA	1-4	36.34	395	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
North Springs	5-AAAA	1-4	21.73	90	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Eagle's Landing Christian	2-AAAA	0-5	37.58	38	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Northview	5-AAAA	0-5	11.10	18	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Forest Park	4-AAAA	1-4	11.97	8	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
McDonough	2-AAAA	0-5	29.71	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Keys	5-AAAA	0-4	1.47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clarkston	5-AAAA	0-5	-7.28	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Southeast Whitfield	7-AAAA	0-6	-12.35	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAA	Ware County	430,715	330,031	187,609	47,722	996,077	3,923
1-AAAA	Benedictine	384,927	353,586	219,763	39,151	997,427	2,573
1-AAAA	Warner Robins	172,307	279,385	419,457	114,296	985,445	14,555
1-AAAA	Perry	11,813	34,638	157,054	624,903	828,408	171,592
1-AAAA	New Hampstead	229	2,256	14,641	146,250	163,376	836,624
1-AAAA	Wayne County	9	104	1,476	27,678	29,267	970,733
2-AAAA	Ola	688,471	210,903	72,886	23,014	995,274	4,726
2-AAAA	Stockbridge	222,548	389,620	323,737	56,368	992,273	7,727
2-AAAA	Jones County	83,945	377,695	492,648	39,446	993,734	6,266
2-AAAA	Union Grove	4,868	15,671	60,218	281,230	361,987	638,013
2-AAAA	Hampton	167	5,262	34,649	472,327	512,405	487,595
2-AAAA	Eagle's Landing	1	825	14,289	117,333	132,448	867,552
2-AAAA	Locust Grove	-	23	1,556	9,867	11,446	988,554
2-AAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	-	1	17	377	395	999,605
2-AAAA	Eagle's Landing Christian	-	-	-	38	38	999,962
2-AAAA	McDonough	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
3-AAAA	Central (Carrollton)	492,743	266,635	140,043	76,047	975,468	24,532
3-AAAA	Jonesboro	278,510	335,483	218,230	118,226	950,449	49,551
3-AAAA	Starr's Mill	125,739	179,357	243,335	299,449	847,880	152,120
3-AAAA	Harris County	90,398	180,511	317,989	282,851	871,749	128,251
3-AAAA	Northside (Columbus)	12,609	37,986	80,031	220,120	350,746	649,254
3-AAAA	Griffin	1	24	333	2,880	3,238	996,762
3-AAAA	Mundy's Mill	-	4	39	427	470	999,530
4-AAAA	Creekside	991,083	8,182	378	348	999,991	9
4-AAAA	Maynard Jackson	6,457	153,618	545,216	279,844	985,135	14,865
4-AAAA	Pace Academy	1,425	17,255	275,567	482,361	776,608	223,392
4-AAAA	Mays	949	816,670	162,930	16,276	996,825	3,175
4-AAAA	Drew	86	4,249	14,548	203,913	222,796	777,204
4-AAAA	M.L. King	-	15	519	12,305	12,839	987,161
4-AAAA	Midtown	-	11	842	4,945	5,798	994,202
4-AAAA	Forest Park	-	-	-	8	8	999,992
5-AAAA	Marist	976,437	22,971	544	47	999,999	1
5-AAAA	St. Pius X	17,189	559,995	345,274	69,501	991,959	8,041
5-AAAA	Tucker	5,823	359,100	449,187	176,874	990,984	9,016
5-AAAA	Southwest DeKalb	545	56,176	191,026	562,234	809,981	190,019
5-AAAA	Lithonia	6	1,726	9,607	144,986	156,325	843,675
5-AAAA	Druid Hills	-	32	4,360	46,252	50,644	949,356
5-AAAA	North Springs	-	-	1	89	90	999,910
5-AAAA	Northview	-	-	1	17	18	999,982
5-AAAA	Clarkston	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAA	Cross Keys	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAA	Blessed Trinity	599,733	293,045	87,205	17,998	997,981	2,019
6-AAAA	Cambridge	310,145	463,851	177,617	41,268	992,881	7,119
6-AAAA	Kell	77,447	184,904	456,229	232,129	950,709	49,291
6-AAAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	11,902	51,240	243,430	507,706	814,278	185,722
6-AAAA	Centennial	773	6,960	35,519	200,899	244,151	755,849
7-AAAA	Cartersville	574,570	377,228	40,431	6,807	999,036	964
7-AAAA	Cedartown	412,720	520,643	66,275	342	999,980	20
7-AAAA	Hiram	12,514	86,804	684,368	147,034	930,720	69,280
7-AAAA	Allatoona	196	5,407	121,019	269,467	396,089	603,911
7-AAAA	Cass	-	9,839	83,147	560,469	653,455	346,545
7-AAAA	Dalton	-	74	3,795	10,275	14,144	985,856
7-AAAA	Woodland (Cartersville)	-	5	965	5,606	6,576	993,424
7-AAAA	Southeast Whitfield	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAA	North Oconee	805,386	191,784	2,616	200	999,986	14
8-AAAA	Eastside	192,741	678,624	119,703	7,937	999,005	995
8-AAAA	East Forsyth	1,350	115,318	631,251	185,270	933,189	66,811
8-AAAA	Walnut Grove	342	8,407	123,190	343,672	475,611	524,389
8-AAAA	Madison County	163	5,456	68,231	248,000	321,850	678,150
8-AAAA	Flowery Branch	18	399	54,202	206,069	260,688	739,312
8-AAAA	Cedar Shoals	-	12	807	8,852	9,671	990,329

Class AAA Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Sandy Creek	2-AAA	5-0	81.92	999,999	4.34	896,002	791,358	677,262	515,699	0.94
Jefferson	8-AAA	3-2	76.59	999,994	3.82	803,423	618,288	457,565	225,400	3.44
Peach County	1-AAA	4-1	73.57	997,716	3.35	708,138	494,059	252,047	109,688	8.12
Douglass	5-AAA	3-2	68.10	998,715	2.85	583,842	319,050	107,876	32,673	29.61
Calhoun	7-AAA	1-3	67.14	997,865	2.65	517,352	255,344	83,639	23,147	42.20
Oconee County	8-AAA	2-3	66.64	993,335	2.41	426,031	191,993	65,305	17,277	56.88
LaGrange	2-AAA	4-2	67.25	973,304	2.28	382,288	164,314	61,264	17,024	57.74
Cedar Grove	5-AAA	0-4	66.60	978,140	2.19	342,254	172,318	53,291	13,855	71.18
Westover	1-AAA	5-0	65.78	985,650	2.27	362,005	153,808	53,450	12,886	76.60
Cairo	1-AAA	2-2	64.63	953,817	2.05	313,299	127,060	36,162	8,113	122.26
Troup	2-AAA	3-2	64.44	874,996	1.73	236,163	91,962	25,694	5,734	173.40
Whitewater	2-AAA	2-2	63.40	952,369	1.91	268,618	100,589	24,751	5,029	197.85
Cherokee Bluff	8-AAA	5-0	62.58	997,414	2.01	248,637	84,081	25,723	4,476	222.41
Northwest Whitfield	7-AAA	5-0	60.81	999,059	2.06	290,133	90,319	20,700	3,215	310.04
Harlem	4-AAA	4-0	58.74	999,785	2.07	288,933	90,518	18,881	2,248	443.84
Jenkins	3-AAA	3-2	57.78	998,144	1.70	158,921	35,034	6,664	802	1,245.88
Monroe Area	8-AAA	3-1	58.03	915,406	1.46	128,977	30,326	5,232	622	1,606.72
Westside (Augusta)	4-AAA	5-0	55.21	998,021	1.71	157,879	35,092	4,941	393	2,543.53
Mary Persons	2-AAA	3-1	58.18	610,927	0.95	79,842	18,176	3,300	364	2,746.25
Stephenson	5-AAA	2-3	56.98	785,243	1.16	87,147	19,633	2,809	338	2,957.58
Upson-Lee	2-AAA	2-3	57.48	566,023	0.86	67,756	14,739	2,335	250	3,999.00
Long County	3-AAA	5-0	53.86	999,714	1.53	95,731	16,755	2,329	178	5,616.98
North Hall	6-AAA	3-2	53.08	969,898	1.49	107,683	17,504	2,014	137	7,298.27
Adairsville	7-AAA	4-1	54.48	920,502	1.31	80,738	14,744	1,704	136	7,351.94
Bainbridge	1-AAA	0-5	55.55	521,411	0.63	23,725	5,640	866	66	15,150.52
Dougherty	1-AAA	2-3	54.81	466,784	0.61	30,379	6,091	769	66	15,150.52
Lumpkin County	6-AAA	3-2	52.08	862,049	1.18	56,606	8,567	800	52	19,229.77
Southeast Bulloch	3-AAA	4-1	52.11	964,697	1.32	55,499	8,068	824	45	22,221.22
Baldwin	4-AAA	1-3	51.59	636,801	0.82	31,842	4,676	401	23	43,477.26
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	5-AAA	3-2	50.07	871,840	1.11	36,164	4,545	355	19	52,630.58
Gilmer	7-AAA	2-3	50.32	797,622	0.98	28,992	3,501	236	16	62,499.00
White County	6-AAA	2-3	49.34	861,057	1.04	26,719	3,167	210	13	76,922.08
West Laurens	4-AAA	4-1	49.42	871,998	1.11	32,594	3,867	275	5	199,999.00
Spalding	2-AAA	2-3	54.25	65,806	0.09	4,203	746	91	4	249,999.00
Luella	5-AAA	1-3	48.29	421,664	0.48	7,972	938	60	3	333,332.33
Howard	4-AAA	3-2	49.26	572,645	0.71	21,092	2,174	130	2	499,999.00
Monroe	1-AAA	1-4	49.50	188,395	0.21	3,323	446	28	2	499,999.00
Pickens	6-AAA	3-2	43.55	334,985	0.37	3,340	195	7	-	-
Heritage (Ringgold)	7-AAA	3-2	42.71	354,739	0.38	2,574	160	7	-	-
West Hall	8-AAA	4-1	43.08	204,528	0.23	1,889	111	3	-	-
Liberty County	3-AAA	2-3	39.65	99,384	0.11	415	13	-	-	-
Beach	3-AAA	2-3	37.31	188,454	0.20	448	12	-	-	-
North Clayton	5-AAA	3-2	38.92	67,759	0.07	135	8	-	-	-
Dawson County	6-AAA	1-3	37.97	61,877	0.06	121	7	-	-	-
East Hall	8-AAA	3-2	37.43	37,289	0.04	46	2	-	-	-
Hephzibah	4-AAA	1-4	38.65	19,866	0.02	65	1	-	-	-
Chestatee	6-AAA	1-4	35.20	30,405	0.03	32	1	-	-	-
Richmond Academy	4-AAA	1-4	37.40	11,881	0.01	25	-	-	-	-
Windsor Forest	3-AAA	1-4	34.28	6,670	0.01	7	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Savannah)	3-AAA	2-3	31.05	5,862	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
LaFayette	7-AAA	0-5	25.85	6,505	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Riverdale	5-AAA	0-5	27.13	758	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Ridgeland	7-AAA	0-5	12.98	164	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Creek	4-AAA	1-4	29.71	52	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Groves	3-AAA	1-4	19.05	15	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Gainesville)	6-AAA	0-4	4.65	2	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Fayette County	2-AAA	0-5	28.49	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Islands	3-AAA	0-5	16.04	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
2-AAA	Sandy Creek	553,511	977,337	998,866	999,999	1
8-AAA	Jefferson	292,141	878,493	987,492	999,994	6
4-AAA	Harlem	102,757	744,499	957,368	999,785	215
8-AAA	Cherokee Bluff	17,996	227,424	722,134	997,414	2,586
4-AAA	Westside (Augusta)	14,505	457,034	794,603	998,021	1,979
1-AAA	Westover	8,233	273,984	660,535	985,650	14,350
1-AAA	Peach County	4,158	688,031	901,002	997,716	2,284
3-AAA	Long County	3,025	251,039	738,383	999,714	286
7-AAA	Northwest Whitfield	2,279	321,635	818,002	999,059	941
8-AAA	Oconee County	513	224,668	632,140	993,335	6,665
1-AAA	Cairo	337	157,984	479,857	953,817	46,183
2-AAA	Whitewater	114	50,394	461,196	952,369	47,631
4-AAA	West Laurens	80	35,448	201,456	871,998	128,002
5-AAA	Douglass	79	902,719	968,657	998,715	1,285
8-AAA	Monroe Area	74	40,073	171,067	915,406	84,594
2-AAA	LaGrange	62	92,602	513,090	973,304	26,696
2-AAA	Troup	62	16,388	140,022	874,996	125,004
2-AAA	Mary Persons	55	4,990	47,373	610,927	389,073
7-AAA	Calhoun	10	658,224	910,069	997,865	2,135
5-AAA	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	5	32,546	170,673	871,840	128,160
7-AAA	Adairsville	3	60,499	246,433	920,502	79,498
4-AAA	Howard	1	22,781	91,906	572,645	427,355
6-AAA	North Hall	-	412,713	718,429	969,898	30,102
3-AAA	Jenkins	-	145,887	551,692	998,144	1,856
6-AAA	Lumpkin County	-	76,422	280,952	862,049	137,951
3-AAA	Southeast Bulloch	-	49,534	307,054	964,697	35,303
6-AAA	White County	-	46,293	181,868	861,057	138,943
5-AAA	Cedar Grove	-	30,535	691,738	978,140	21,860
5-AAA	Stephenson	-	27,463	120,760	785,243	214,757
4-AAA	Baldwin	-	26,359	171,272	636,801	363,199
1-AAA	Bainbridge	-	18,097	82,914	521,411	478,589
1-AAA	Dougherty	-	14,075	67,585	466,784	533,216
6-AAA	Pickens	-	11,161	46,542	334,985	665,015
7-AAA	Gilmer	-	8,975	39,502	797,622	202,378
5-AAA	Luella	-	7,174	51,072	421,664	578,336
7-AAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	-	2,677	24,512	354,739	645,261
1-AAA	Monroe	-	2,121	14,741	188,395	811,605
6-AAA	Dawson County	-	1,080	5,684	61,877	938,123
8-AAA	West Hall	-	188	3,762	204,528	795,472
5-AAA	North Clayton	-	177	2,453	67,759	932,241
2-AAA	Upson-Lee	-	160	21,983	566,023	433,977
2-AAA	Spalding	-	56	1,386	65,806	934,194
6-AAA	Chestatee	-	35	885	30,405	969,595
8-AAA	East Hall	-	13	432	37,289	962,711
4-AAA	Richmond Academy	-	10	242	11,881	988,119
3-AAA	Liberty County	-	2	141	99,384	900,616
4-AAA	Hephzibah	-	1	47	19,866	980,134
3-AAA	Beach	-	-	14	188,454	811,546
7-AAA	LaFayette	-	-	14	6,505	993,495
3-AAA	Windsor Forest	-	-	-	6,670	993,330
3-AAA	Johnson (Savannah)	-	-	-	5,862	994,138
5-AAA	Riverdale	-	-	-	758	999,242
7-AAA	Ridgeland	-	-	-	164	999,836
4-AAA	Cross Creek	-	-	-	52	999,948
3-AAA	Groves	-	-	-	15	999,985
6-AAA	Johnson (Gainesville)	-	-	-	2	999,998
3-AAA	Islands	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-AAA	Fayette County	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Class AA Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Pierce County	3-AA	5-0	76.92	1,000,000	4.26	902,986	758,727	613,920	477,361	1.09
Burke County	4-AA	4-1	68.92	1,000,000	3.54	782,325	524,056	283,353	124,674	7.02
Morgan County	2-AA	5-0	68.00	1,000,000	3.48	765,309	478,246	274,460	110,414	8.06
Appling County	3-AA	3-2	68.87	999,913	3.24	702,613	409,314	206,444	97,500	9.26
Carver (Columbus)	1-AA	4-1	67.17	1,000,000	3.39	742,916	472,923	229,916	94,250	9.61
Rockmart	7-AA	3-2	63.28	1,000,000	3.05	658,898	338,637	134,425	38,307	25.10
Hapeville Charter	5-AA	1-3	62.63	999,608	2.59	487,890	206,776	70,710	20,702	47.30
Stephens County	8-AA	3-2	60.96	999,926	2.25	310,281	127,109	38,938	9,838	100.65
Thomson	4-AA	3-2	58.78	999,999	2.30	379,029	127,076	31,279	6,432	154.47
Callaway	2-AA	3-2	58.94	999,963	2.27	344,646	118,204	31,227	6,397	155.32
Sumter County	1-AA	5-0	58.15	1,000,000	2.36	392,526	119,317	31,718	6,334	156.88
Westside (Macon)	2-AA	2-3	56.67	999,985	2.08	259,338	78,401	17,327	2,954	337.52
Hart County	8-AA	3-2	56.63	998,942	1.83	180,797	53,118	11,062	1,895	526.70
Carver (Atlanta)	5-AA	3-2	55.27	994,540	1.77	181,267	45,703	8,594	1,308	763.53
Columbia	6-AA	0-5	50.35	999,473	1.98	241,986	40,216	4,971	463	2,158.83
Cook	3-AA	2-4	53.25	977,305	1.38	101,069	21,247	3,230	418	2,391.34
Crisp County	3-AA	1-5	53.16	964,727	1.36	97,581	20,652	3,114	381	2,623.67
Laney	4-AA	3-2	49.33	999,983	1.54	86,027	13,845	1,413	114	8,770.93
Ringgold	7-AA	4-2	49.24	999,946	1.55	66,970	12,527	1,230	88	11,362.64
Spencer	1-AA	3-2	48.11	997,683	1.48	63,923	9,031	812	62	16,128.03
East Jackson	8-AA	3-2	49.13	979,982	1.35	64,140	8,901	835	57	17,542.86
Union County	7-AA	2-3	46.81	994,110	1.41	57,012	7,074	557	28	35,713.29
North Murray	7-AA	3-2	45.19	992,421	1.30	38,225	3,873	277	13	76,922.08
Shaw	1-AA	2-3	41.66	999,200	1.25	24,244	1,669	78	3	333,332.33
Pike County	2-AA	4-1	40.48	999,898	1.24	15,253	1,104	42	3	333,332.33
South Atlanta	6-AA	2-4	36.16	967,976	1.11	11,515	455	18	2	499,999.00
Sonoraville	7-AA	2-3	39.15	619,461	0.69	7,362	351	10	2	499,999.00
Jackson	2-AA	1-4	39.34	655,532	0.73	7,966	415	15	-	-
Miller Grove	6-AA	3-2	36.75	969,614	1.14	14,154	610	14	-	-
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	5-AA	2-4	37.95	547,734	0.59	4,020	187	6	-	-
Therrell	5-AA	1-4	38.31	325,245	0.35	2,178	124	2	-	-
Redan	6-AA	2-4	32.56	929,172	0.99	3,116	80	2	-	-
Hardaway	1-AA	2-3	31.31	415,394	0.43	597	9	1	-	-
Butler	4-AA	2-2	27.96	985,630	1.02	1,247	14	-	-	-
Lakeview Ft. Oglethorpe	7-AA	1-3	31.53	222,945	0.23	338	4	-	-	-
Franklin County	8-AA	3-2	30.38	112,540	0.12	138	3	-	-	-
Coahulla Creek	7-AA	0-5	26.10	78,618	0.08	58	2	-	-	-
Tattnall County	3-AA	1-4	29.57	67,830	0.07	36	-	-	-	-
Washington	5-AA	2-4	30.57	19,527	0.02	22	-	-	-	-
Salem	6-AA	1-4	14.80	137,237	0.14	2	-	-	-	-
Rutland	2-AA	0-5	21.53	14,184	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Columbus	1-AA	1-4	15.14	10,733	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Glenn Hills	4-AA	0-5	-2.92	10,572	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Kendrick	1-AA	1-4	11.79	6,734	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Josey	4-AA	0-5	-7.91	5,529	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Murray County	7-AA	1-5	0.27	178	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Jordan	1-AA	0-5	-0.36	11	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
2-AA	Morgan County	663,144	902,855	999,964	1,000,000	-
1-AA	Carver (Columbus)	144,861	934,749	999,650	1,000,000	-
3-AA	Pierce County	123,585	854,290	996,921	1,000,000	-
1-AA	Sumter County	49,936	734,932	997,021	1,000,000	-
7-AA	Rockmart	11,715	922,800	997,689	1,000,000	-
2-AA	Westside (Macon)	2,867	267,440	830,945	999,985	15
4-AA	Burke County	1,676	812,473	987,673	1,000,000	-
2-AA	Callaway	983	304,580	797,714	999,963	37
8-AA	Stephens County	954	130,253	681,337	999,926	74
2-AA	Pike County	113	11,904	346,699	999,898	102
8-AA	Hart County	85	36,236	327,820	998,942	1,058
3-AA	Appling County	61	313,073	872,191	999,913	87
5-AA	Carver (Atlanta)	7	76,644	291,769	994,540	5,460
1-AA	Spencer	7	58,297	443,785	997,683	2,317
5-AA	Hapeville Charter	2	331,376	727,086	999,608	392
1-AA	Shaw	2	8,471	152,009	999,200	800
4-AA	Laney	1	41,261	289,570	999,983	17
7-AA	North Murray	1	9,376	145,832	992,421	7,579
6-AA	Columbia	-	762,392	946,556	999,473	527
4-AA	Thomson	-	186,018	806,470	999,999	1
6-AA	Miller Grove	-	102,178	432,468	969,614	30,386
6-AA	South Atlanta	-	92,368	397,910	967,976	32,024
6-AA	Redan	-	42,891	218,631	929,172	70,828
7-AA	Union County	-	17,969	334,016	994,110	5,890
7-AA	Ringgold	-	16,541	707,187	999,946	54
3-AA	Crisp County	-	12,155	84,786	964,727	35,273
3-AA	Cook	-	10,663	86,764	977,305	22,695
8-AA	East Jackson	-	3,463	65,041	979,982	20,018
2-AA	Jackson	-	1,388	14,715	655,532	344,468
7-AA	Sonoraville	-	454	6,999	619,461	380,539
6-AA	Salem	-	187	4,634	137,237	862,763
4-AA	Butler	-	133	2,462	985,630	14,370
5-AA	Therrell	-	77	1,119	325,245	674,755
5-AA	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	-	74	2,170	547,734	452,266
1-AA	Hardaway	-	29	1,864	415,394	584,606
7-AA	Lakeview Ft. Oglethorpe	-	6	122	222,945	777,055
8-AA	Franklin County	-	3	30	112,540	887,460
3-AA	Tattnall County	-	1	325	67,830	932,170
2-AA	Rutland	-	-	31	14,184	985,816
7-AA	Coahulla Creek	-	-	14	78,618	921,382
5-AA	Washington	-	-	6	19,527	980,473
1-AA	Columbus	-	-	5	10,733	989,267
4-AA	Glenn Hills	-	-	-	10,572	989,428
1-AA	Kendrick	-	-	-	6,734	993,266
4-AA	Josey	-	-	-	5,529	994,471
7-AA	Murray County	-	-	-	178	999,822
1-AA	Jordan	-	-	-	11	999,989

Class A Division I Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Toombs County	3-A Division I	5-0	76.82	1,000,000	4.31	924,910	775,599	621,491	478,655	1.09
Thomasville	1-A Division I	4-1	71.55	1,000,000	3.82	856,893	613,465	375,505	207,943	3.81
Fitzgerald	1-A Division I	3-1	67.82	999,995	3.43	769,363	466,354	243,613	99,902	9.01
Fannin County	7-A Division I	5-0	66.13	1,000,000	3.57	829,831	490,169	303,854	98,965	9.10
Northeast	2-A Division I	4-1	64.61	1,000,000	3.20	695,301	406,346	166,864	53,342	17.75
Dublin	2-A Division I	5-0	63.02	1,000,000	3.04	660,096	348,515	122,745	35,750	26.97
Rabun County	8-A Division I	4-1	60.02	999,979	2.59	457,987	207,127	63,119	13,644	72.29
Dodge County	2-A Division I	5-0	56.05	1,000,000	2.38	395,966	155,328	31,661	4,755	209.30
Bremen	6-A Division I	3-2	52.33	989,829	2.07	308,492	88,071	12,793	1,298	769.42
Worth County	1-A Division I	2-3	54.78	957,793	1.75	176,503	50,000	9,887	1,281	779.64
Lamar County	4-A Division I	3-1	51.94	999,765	2.15	319,763	88,968	13,367	1,253	797.08
Commerce	8-A Division I	2-3	54.09	971,351	1.77	186,999	50,274	8,907	1,209	826.13
Elbert County	8-A Division I	2-3	53.01	952,325	1.71	190,535	52,144	7,674	843	1,185.24
Jeff Davis	1-A Division I	4-1	50.18	958,592	1.53	111,494	24,946	2,962	233	4,290.85
Vidalia	3-A Division I	3-2	49.94	864,180	1.29	94,790	20,514	2,307	182	5,493.51
Putnam County	4-A Division I	2-3	47.18	993,433	1.69	155,303	28,194	2,532	142	7,041.25
Chattooga	7-A Division I	5-0	46.36	999,997	1.74	142,130	23,200	2,020	95	10,525.32
Heard County	6-A Division I	2-2	46.97	854,489	1.33	106,687	19,522	1,590	95	10,525.32
Swainsboro	3-A Division I	1-5	49.02	671,782	0.83	43,436	8,086	1,029	90	11,110.11
Temple	6-A Division I	4-1	46.52	980,082	1.58	113,406	19,918	1,659	88	11,362.64
ACE Charter	2-A Division I	3-2	47.45	954,567	1.45	72,924	13,422	1,242	73	13,697.63
Bleckley County	2-A Division I	2-3	47.31	700,689	0.93	48,556	7,810	675	47	21,275.60
Bacon County	1-A Division I	3-2	46.10	895,475	1.25	56,647	8,870	678	44	22,726.27
Jasper County	4-A Division I	4-1	43.69	999,686	1.53	74,583	10,224	651	26	38,460.54
Washington County	2-A Division I	2-3	44.82	857,142	1.15	43,575	6,147	422	20	49,999.00
Southwest	2-A Division I	2-3	44.46	819,843	1.08	39,935	5,632	321	14	71,427.57
Gordon Lee	7-A Division I	3-2	40.39	997,881	1.35	30,935	3,285	126	5	199,999.00
Dade County	7-A Division I	1-4	39.47	958,278	1.21	21,118	1,857	73	5	199,999.00
McNair	4-A Division I	2-3	39.86	721,398	0.86	17,646	1,498	72	1	999,999.00
Social Circle	4-A Division I	3-2	39.97	850,565	1.07	25,525	2,281	86	-	-
Model	6-A Division I	2-3	40.64	480,455	0.58	13,978	1,326	52	-	-
East Laurens	2-A Division I	2-3	38.45	561,927	0.64	9,739	746	20	-	-
B.E.S.T. Academy	5-A Division I	3-2	30.92	650,536	1.69	2,321	71	1	-	-
Pepperell	6-A Division I	0-5	35.55	85,936	0.09	657	30	1	-	-
Brantley County	1-A Division I	1-4	34.77	193,739	0.20	625	29	1	-	-
Haralson County	6-A Division I	1-4	34.19	78,613	0.08	344	13	-	-	-
Towers	4-A Division I	2-2	24.71	692,224	0.71	434	8	-	-	-
Gordon Central	7-A Division I	3-2	23.27	501,407	0.51	218	7	-	-	-
Armuchee	7-A Division I	3-2	21.99	725,057	0.74	319	4	-	-	-
Berrien	1-A Division I	0-4	30.29	16,182	0.02	20	-	-	-	-
Coosa	7-A Division I	2-3	19.00	54,342	0.05	13	-	-	-	-
Banks County	8-A Division I	0-5	25.78	6,038	0.01	2	-	-	-	-
Oglethorpe County	8-A Division I	0-5	25.52	3,950	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Jefferson County	2-A Division I	0-5	24.23	476	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Macon)	2-A Division I	0-5	15.56	2	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Utopian Academy	4-A Division I	0-5	-17.03	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
7-A Division I	Fannin County	882,882	991,246	1,000,000	1,000,000	-
3-A Division I	Toombs County	41,611	938,500	999,944	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Thomasville	25,178	840,037	998,966	1,000,000	-
7-A Division I	Chattooga	16,273	329,611	953,913	999,997	3
2-A Division I	Dublin	13,259	706,653	997,213	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Fitzgerald	7,896	701,652	994,296	999,995	5
2-A Division I	Northeast	7,210	728,553	996,971	1,000,000	-
2-A Division I	Dodge County	4,577	334,375	984,927	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Rabun County	534	378,374	921,803	999,979	21
4-A Division I	Lamar County	377	577,635	936,820	999,765	235
4-A Division I	Jasper County	123	155,592	691,668	999,686	314
7-A Division I	Gordon Lee	52	7,556	567,603	997,881	2,119
6-A Division I	Temple	20	174,046	554,049	980,082	19,918
1-A Division I	Bacon County	4	4,563	128,156	895,475	104,525
1-A Division I	Jeff Davis	3	7,669	225,189	958,592	41,408
6-A Division I	Bremen	1	469,214	754,020	989,829	10,171
4-A Division I	Putnam County	-	271,502	637,169	993,433	6,567
6-A Division I	Heard County	-	151,691	360,936	854,489	145,511
8-A Division I	Elbert County	-	82,284	277,863	952,325	47,675
4-A Division I	Social Circle	-	54,345	215,125	850,565	149,435
8-A Division I	Commerce	-	42,774	297,364	971,351	28,649
1-A Division I	Worth County	-	16,728	269,326	957,793	42,207
4-A Division I	McNair	-	15,835	77,896	721,398	278,602
6-A Division I	Model	-	8,558	56,201	480,455	519,545
2-A Division I	ACE Charter	-	2,332	341,191	954,567	45,433
3-A Division I	Vidalia	-	2,194	48,555	864,180	135,820
6-A Division I	Pepperell	-	1,486	7,419	85,936	914,064
7-A Division I	Dade County	-	1,444	311,400	958,278	41,722
3-A Division I	Swainsboro	-	1,228	16,896	671,782	328,218
6-A Division I	Haralson County	-	756	4,717	78,613	921,387
5-A Division I	B.E.S.T. Academy	-	651	32,065	650,536	349,464
2-A Division I	Washington County	-	416	142,721	857,142	142,858
2-A Division I	Southwest	-	284	118,574	819,843	180,157
4-A Division I	Towers	-	113	12,301	692,224	307,776
1-A Division I	Brantley County	-	70	1,858	193,739	806,261
7-A Division I	Gordon Central	-	20	9,186	501,407	498,593
2-A Division I	Bleckley County	-	8	12,460	700,689	299,311
1-A Division I	Berrien	-	3	62	16,182	983,818
7-A Division I	Armuchee	-	1	21,920	725,057	274,943
8-A Division I	Banks County	-	1	16	6,038	993,962
2-A Division I	East Laurens	-	-	21,093	561,927	438,073
7-A Division I	Coosa	-	-	130	54,342	945,658
8-A Division I	Oglethorpe County	-	-	18	3,950	996,050
2-A Division I	Jefferson County	-	-	-	476	999,524
2-A Division I	Central (Macon)	-	-	-	2	999,998
4-A Division I	Utopian Academy	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Class A Division II

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Irwin County	2-A Division II	5-0	67.34	999,025	4.14	883,281	763,754	562,142	386,800	1.59
Brooks County	2-A Division II	2-3	63.80	996,343	3.60	776,479	584,736	382,539	194,683	4.14
Bowdon	7-A Division II	4-1	63.44	999,835	3.77	854,953	604,201	344,677	189,052	4.29
Manchester	7-A Division II	3-1	60.33	999,170	3.39	773,108	460,535	235,197	99,088	9.09
Clinch County	2-A Division II	5-0	57.27	977,336	2.55	508,584	288,329	113,592	37,059	25.98
Lincoln County	8-A Division II	5-0	56.73	992,396	2.34	463,400	215,334	80,167	27,644	35.17
Trion	7-A Division II	6-0	55.46	997,747	2.83	620,857	283,167	93,996	27,477	35.39
Early County	1-A Division II	3-2	53.54	991,131	2.60	404,618	194,277	61,311	15,474	63.62
Greene County	8-A Division II	4-1	52.91	976,313	1.81	279,633	111,127	32,121	7,929	125.12
Metter	3-A Division II	3-1	50.87	978,210	2.14	304,673	82,875	23,876	4,907	202.79
Jenkins County	3-A Division II	4-1	48.98	991,062	2.06	274,827	61,659	15,217	2,786	357.94
McIntosh County Academy	3-A Division II	4-1	46.64	963,635	1.85	208,751	38,748	7,473	1,105	903.98
Schley County	6-A Division II	3-3	45.99	999,680	1.83	262,677	44,013	8,109	1,083	922.36
Charlton County	2-A Division II	3-2	47.94	840,224	1.31	149,081	36,362	6,533	1,052	949.57
Warren County	8-A Division II	4-2	47.19	906,132	1.23	104,089	29,147	5,593	850	1,175.47
Emanuel County Institute	3-A Division II	3-2	47.38	725,250	1.31	118,589	28,743	4,635	681	1,467.43
Wilcox County	4-A Division II	3-2	45.68	944,204	1.55	125,958	27,339	4,432	553	1,807.32
Pelham	1-A Division II	1-4	44.51	908,803	1.79	134,300	30,290	4,444	522	1,914.71
Mitchell County	1-A Division II	4-1	44.27	837,564	1.61	107,625	24,969	3,598	386	2,589.67
Macon County	6-A Division II	3-3	42.48	997,320	1.49	136,985	17,354	2,295	227	4,404.29
Wheeler County	4-A Division II	4-1	42.75	952,111	1.42	83,517	13,859	1,684	148	6,755.76
Seminole County	1-A Division II	3-2	42.93	581,509	1.04	50,202	10,364	1,319	123	8,129.08
Telfair County	4-A Division II	3-2	42.54	883,631	1.29	73,793	11,348	1,371	119	8,402.36
Taylor County	6-A Division II	4-1	40.72	988,754	1.33	86,908	9,811	1,042	81	12,344.68
Miller County	1-A Division II	3-2	41.50	590,867	1.01	41,059	7,102	791	69	14,491.75
Johnson County	5-A Division II	3-2	39.43	997,562	1.44	36,304	6,216	640	40	24,999.00
Lake Oconee Academy	8-A Division II	5-1	40.82	720,156	0.80	21,742	4,535	467	32	31,249.00
Wilkinson County	5-A Division II	2-3	37.27	995,804	1.35	24,219	3,253	287	16	62,499.00
Hawkinsville	4-A Division II	3-1	38.46	664,777	0.85	25,464	2,379	208	5	199,999.00
Portal	3-A Division II	2-3	37.21	235,771	0.31	7,792	748	54	4	249,999.00
Dooly County	4-A Division II	0-5	37.22	475,099	0.58	12,529	965	66	2	499,999.00
Mount Zion (Carroll)	7-A Division II	3-3	33.96	712,529	0.89	24,154	1,013	43	2	499,999.00
Washington-Wilkes	8-A Division II	3-3	36.02	405,003	0.42	4,321	650	46	1	999,999.00
Hancock Central	5-A Division II	2-3	31.19	975,122	1.14	7,005	406	16	-	-
Randolph-Clay	1-A Division II	2-2	31.86	89,862	0.12	1,097	62	5	-	-
Screven County	3-A Division II	2-2	33.48	80,625	0.10	1,417	104	4	-	-
Turner County	2-A Division II	0-4	34.12	115,233	0.13	1,911	100	4	-	-
Bryan County	3-A Division II	2-3	35.20	25,402	0.03	674	30	3	-	-
Lanier County	2-A Division II	1-4	31.44	71,839	0.08	721	40	1	-	-
Glascock County	5-A Division II	1-4	20.96	758,673	0.78	321	9	1	-	-
Marion County	6-A Division II	1-4	25.68	377,041	0.38	297	9	1	-	-
Greenville	7-A Division II	2-3	25.30	290,719	0.32	1,484	27	-	-	-
Treutlen	4-A Division II	1-4	26.77	69,839	0.07	197	6	-	-	-
Chattahoochee County	6-A Division II	1-4	25.39	365,629	0.37	272	3	-	-	-
Crawford County	6-A Division II	2-3	23.78	271,330	0.27	119	2	-	-	-
Twiggs County	5-A Division II	1-4	11.67	258,734	0.26	8	-	-	-	-
Montgomery County	4-A Division II	2-3	20.34	10,339	0.01	5	-	-	-	-
Georgia Military Prep	5-A Division II	0-5	-2.12	14,105	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Terrell County	1-A Division II	2-3	8.75	264	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Talbotton)	6-A Division II	1-3	-6.56	246	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Claxton	3-A Division II	0-5	15.62	43	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Savannah	3-A Division II	0-4	7.23	2	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Atkinson County	2-A Division II	4-2	14.63	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Calhoun County	1-A Division II	2-3	12.95	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Towns County	8-A Division II	3-3	11.12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Baconton Charter	1-A Division II	0-5	-3.12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Pataula Charter	1-A Division II	1-4	-4.17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Southwest Georgia STEM	1-A Division II	2-2	-24.89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Spring Creek	1-A Division II	0-3	-60.12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Division II	Early County	653,252	224,428	82,927	30,524	991,131	8,869
1-A Division II	Pelham	165,404	337,300	255,354	150,745	908,803	91,197
1-A Division II	Mitchell County	130,941	231,411	258,498	216,714	837,564	162,436
1-A Division II	Seminole County	37,020	90,919	191,805	261,765	581,509	418,491
1-A Division II	Miller County	12,249	110,221	191,084	277,313	590,867	409,133
1-A Division II	Randolph-Clay	1,134	5,720	20,312	62,696	89,862	910,138
1-A Division II	Terrell County	-	1	20	243	264	999,736
1-A Division II	Calhoun County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Pataula Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Spring Creek	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Baconton Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Southwest Georgia STEM	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-A Division II	Irwin County	596,564	290,862	94,389	17,210	999,025	975
2-A Division II	Brooks County	286,795	407,530	241,183	60,835	996,343	3,657
2-A Division II	Clinch County	105,508	255,622	460,383	155,823	977,336	22,664
2-A Division II	Charlton County	11,007	44,168	185,701	599,348	840,224	159,776
2-A Division II	Turner County	94	1,290	11,761	102,088	115,233	884,767
2-A Division II	Lanier County	32	528	6,583	64,696	71,839	928,161
2-A Division II	Atkinson County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
3-A Division II	Metter	390,297	268,214	205,539	114,160	978,210	21,790
3-A Division II	Jenkins County	334,084	344,399	273,770	38,809	991,062	8,938
3-A Division II	McIntosh County Academy	272,892	326,218	291,803	72,722	963,635	36,365
3-A Division II	Emanuel County Institute	1,530	52,017	171,894	499,809	725,250	274,750
3-A Division II	Bryan County	776	1,907	5,449	17,270	25,402	974,598
3-A Division II	Screven County	346	2,399	12,314	65,566	80,625	919,375
3-A Division II	Portal	75	4,846	39,231	191,619	235,771	764,229
3-A Division II	Claxton	-	-	-	43	43	999,957
3-A Division II	Savannah	-	-	-	2	2	999,998
4-A Division II	Wilcox County	354,657	268,299	204,683	116,565	944,204	55,796
4-A Division II	Wheeler County	308,690	290,794	227,172	125,455	952,111	47,889
4-A Division II	Telfair County	231,340	244,925	238,989	168,377	883,631	116,369
4-A Division II	Hawkinsville	87,009	137,779	187,630	252,359	664,777	335,223
4-A Division II	Dooly County	17,604	53,918	124,745	278,832	475,099	524,901
4-A Division II	Treutlen	664	4,067	15,219	49,889	69,839	930,161
4-A Division II	Montgomery County	36	218	1,562	8,523	10,339	989,661
5-A Division II	Johnson County	475,659	346,502	144,308	31,093	997,562	2,438
5-A Division II	Wilkinson County	384,759	363,296	205,394	42,355	995,804	4,196
5-A Division II	Hancock Central	126,198	243,846	441,995	163,083	975,122	24,878
5-A Division II	Glascock County	12,947	42,595	180,768	522,363	758,673	241,327
5-A Division II	Twiggs County	436	3,732	26,783	227,783	258,734	741,266
5-A Division II	Georgia Military Prep	1	29	752	13,323	14,105	985,895
6-A Division II	Schley County	486,258	326,846	176,670	9,906	999,680	320
6-A Division II	Macon County	305,780	340,885	315,733	34,922	997,320	2,680
6-A Division II	Taylor County	206,848	322,876	397,613	61,417	988,754	11,246
6-A Division II	Marion County	1,109	5,560	40,802	329,570	377,041	622,959
6-A Division II	Crawford County	3	645	22,708	247,974	271,330	728,670
6-A Division II	Chattahoochee County	2	3,188	46,473	315,966	365,629	634,371
6-A Division II	Central (Talbotton)	-	-	1	245	246	999,754
7-A Division II	Bowdon	564,319	302,204	126,145	7,167	999,835	165
7-A Division II	Manchester	314,160	419,649	248,922	16,439	999,170	830
7-A Division II	Trion	120,543	273,049	566,673	37,482	997,747	2,253
7-A Division II	Mount Zion (Carroll)	951	4,638	50,705	656,235	712,529	287,471
7-A Division II	Greenville	27	460	7,555	282,677	290,719	709,281
8-A Division II	Lincoln County	552,979	284,600	116,151	38,666	992,396	7,604
8-A Division II	Greene County	299,839	395,720	209,654	71,100	976,313	23,687
8-A Division II	Warren County	115,608	218,828	372,909	198,787	906,132	93,868
8-A Division II	Lake Oconee Academy	25,384	70,537	206,104	418,131	720,156	279,844
8-A Division II	Washington-Wilkes	6,190	30,315	95,182	273,316	405,003	594,997
8-A Division II	Towns County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

AAA to A Private

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

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Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Savannah Christian	3-A Division I	5-0	77.96	1,000,000	4.38	943,018	800,892	640,979	484,912	1.06
Prince Avenue Christian	8-AA	2-3	73.59	1,000,000	3.81	840,916	600,685	378,346	208,600	3.79
Hebron Christian	8-AA	4-1	69.50	1,000,000	3.57	804,282	500,086	275,232	109,568	8.13
Calvary Day	3-AAA	4-1	67.05	1,000,000	3.50	828,172	478,767	197,541	69,623	13.36
Lovett	5-AA	5-0	66.10	1,000,000	3.39	777,637	432,457	189,937	58,885	15.98
Athens Academy	8-A Division I	5-0	64.42	1,000,000	3.29	764,086	383,049	146,814	40,266	23.83
Fellowship Christian	5-A Division I	3-2	61.95	1,000,000	3.94	609,040	279,808	87,519	19,153	51.21
Wesleyan	5-A Division I	4-1	56.88	1,000,000	3.44	391,601	125,579	25,638	3,472	287.02
North Cobb Christian	7-AA	5-0	54.80	1,000,000	2.49	434,109	101,284	17,738	1,984	503.03
Greater Atlanta Christian	6-AAA	2-3	54.38	1,000,000	2.36	369,793	87,650	14,615	1,511	660.81
Whitefield Academy	5-A Division I	3-2	52.98	1,000,000	3.40	384,946	81,897	12,383	1,145	872.36
Holy Innocents	5-AA	3-2	53.09	1,000,000	1.91	168,365	37,890	5,494	481	2,078.00
Mount Vernon	5-A Division I	3-1	49.85	1,000,000	2.85	132,441	23,796	2,543	153	6,534.95
Darlington	6-A Division I	3-2	48.40	1,000,000	1.91	165,007	24,248	2,293	113	8,848.56
Aquinas	4-AAA	2-2	48.36	1,000,000	1.63	71,970	11,135	1,004	54	18,517.52
Savannah Country Day	3-A Division I	2-3	48.37	1,000,000	1.54	62,344	9,395	717	35	28,570.43
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	2-AAA	1-4	47.31	1,000,000	1.37	48,611	6,250	469	24	41,665.67
Christian Heritage	7-A Division I	4-1	43.83	1,000,000	1.83	116,317	9,944	548	17	58,822.53
Landmark Christian	5-A Division I	4-1	40.48	1,000,000	2.54	47,179	3,092	120	2	499,999.00
Mount Paran Christian	5-A Division I	4-1	38.23	1,000,000	2.34	17,958	966	36	2	499,999.00
Providence Christian	8-A Division I	1-3	39.39	1,000,000	1.20	12,100	669	22	-	-
King's Ridge Christian	5-A Division I	4-1	37.13	1,000,000	2.26	8,979	453	12	-	-
Mount Pisgah Christian	5-A Division I	0-5	26.81	1,000,000	2.04	1,042	8	-	-	-
St. Francis	5-A Division I	0-5	15.77	1,000,000	2.01	86	-	-	-	-
Walker	5-A Division I	2-3	-6.23	1,000,000	2.00	1	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
3-A Division I	Savannah Christian	524,811	970,722	999,995	1,000,000	-
5-AA	Lovett	127,592	794,408	998,269	1,000,000	-
8-AA	Hebron Christian	125,449	704,797	999,094	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Athens Academy	75,626	830,712	999,569	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Fellowship Christian	44,909	529,443	996,619	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Wesleyan	29,780	313,859	989,189	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Whitefield Academy	27,118	521,749	992,791	1,000,000	-
7-AA	North Cobb Christian	25,300	566,638	994,634	1,000,000	-
3-AAA	Calvary Day	9,962	920,406	999,824	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Vernon	5,304	72,940	900,502	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Landmark Christian	2,103	98,481	924,774	1,000,000	-
7-A Division I	Christian Heritage	1,548	245,322	970,615	1,000,000	-
8-AA	Prince Avenue Christian	301	597,916	951,835	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Paran Christian	161	29,520	572,889	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	Darlington	27	234,848	643,311	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	King's Ridge Christian	7	887	546,798	1,000,000	-
6-AAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	1	469,232	785,151	1,000,000	-
4-AAA	Aquinas	1	17,361	304,556	1,000,000	-
5-AA	Holy Innocents	-	77,049	332,189	1,000,000	-
3-A Division I	Savannah Country Day	-	2,644	88,336	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Providence Christian	-	1,061	8,422	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Pisgah Christian	-	4	21	1,000,000	-
2-AAA	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	-	1	617	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Walker	-	-	-	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	St. Francis	-	-	-	1,000,000	-

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

Class AAAAAA

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Class AAAAA

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Class AAAA

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Class AAA Public

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Class AA Public

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Class A Division I Public

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Class A Division II

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AAA to A Private

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