Maxwell playoff projections heading into Week 5

August 20, 2021 - Kennesaw, Ga: Buford wide receiver Tobi Olawale (4) celebrates his receiving touchdown with running back Victor Venn (6) during the second half against North Cobb at North Cobb high school Friday, August 20, 2021 in Kennesaw, Ga.. Buford won 35-27. JASON GETZ FOR THE ATLANTA JOURNAL-CONSTITUTION

By Loren Maxwell

Sept 15, 2021

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class in the GHSA.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2021 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 iterations.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Collins Hill	8-AAAAAAA	3-0	104.23	999,999	4.46	928,323	823,653	723,249	601,246	0.66
Mill Creek	8-AAAAAAA	3-0	94.64	999,843	3.64	781,053	537,203	381,453	134,524	6.43
West Forsyth	6-AAAAAAA	2-1	91.34	999,290	3.18	655,544	458,375	143,870	58,406	16.12
Roswell	5-AAAAAAA	3-0	90.98	999,885	3.20	701,216	318,952	180,153	54,977	17.19
Grayson	4-AAAAAAA	3-1	89.98	996,815	3.04	581,418	399,878	152,555	45,341	21.06
Colquitt County	1-AAAAAAA	3-1	90.64	1,000,000	2.80	681,497	215,131	111,773	41,297	23.21
North Cobb	3-AAAAAAA	2-1	88.12	973,306	2.57	515,178	231,981	74,475	20,783	47.12
Marietta	3-AAAAAAA	2-1	87.16	964,199	2.44	477,415	202,375	61,415	15,631	62.98
Brookwood	4-AAAAAAA	2-1	84.78	984,558	2.27	304,394	161,156	40,580	8,202	120.92
Newton	4-AAAAAAA	2-0	83.65	976,762	2.12	253,569	125,073	29,196	5,417	183.60
Walton	3-AAAAAAA	2-1	83.77	923,477	2.01	340,983	114,340	27,499	5,141	193.51
Archer	7-AAAAAAA	0-3	81.67	999,994	2.43	401,161	138,221	30,018	4,001	248.94
East Coweta	2-AAAAAAA	4-0	83.09	998,467	1.86	141,601	52,941	18,731	2,843	350.74
Milton	5-AAAAAAA	3-1	78.01	989,387	2.18	270,393	51,898	6,450	728	1,372.63
North Gwinnett	8-AAAAAAA	2-2	76.93	982,149	1.66	130,150	40,666	4,774	389	2,569.69
Lowndes	1-AAAAAAA	2-2	76.71	1,000,000	1.45	122,060	22,241	2,889	260	3,845.15
McEachern	2-AAAAAAA	2-2	77.19	990,070	1.45	52,549	14,182	2,295	237	4,218.41
Camden County	1-AAAAAAA	3-1	75.32	1,000,000	1.37	95,125	15,263	1,690	135	7,406.41
Harrison	3-AAAAAAA	2-1	75.39	592,948	0.86	75,104	9,969	1,199	102	9,802.92
Tift County	1-AAAAAAA	3-1	73.28	1,000,000	1.28	63,496	8,794	790	62	16,128.03
Gainesville	6-AAAAAAA	2-1	73.84	845,330	1.11	44,126	10,681	1,001	57	17,542.86
North Paulding	3-AAAAAAA	2-1	74.36	515,371	0.72	56,556	6,737	752	47	21,275.60
South Forsyth	6-AAAAAAA	2-1	73.46	833,694	1.08	40,723	9,425	789	42	23,808.52
Norcross	7-AAAAAAA	2-2	71.59	999,548	1.68	103,285	8,830	750	41	24,389.24
Parkview	4-AAAAAAA	2-2	73.05	782,918	1.08	27,836	5,206	561	36	27,776.78
Cherokee	5-AAAAAAA	2-2	70.60	938,235	1.50	77,677	6,586	446	27	37,036.04
Pebblebrook	2-AAAAAAA	3-0	72.11	960,700	1.20	24,518	4,672	364	24	41,665.67
North Forsyth	6-AAAAAAA	3-1	70.38	685,437	0.80	15,163	2,673	188	4	249,999.00
Lambert	6-AAAAAAA	4-0	67.45	527,513	0.58	5,647	729	38	-	-
Alpharetta	5-AAAAAAA	1-3	64.63	785,122	0.99	17,632	932	31	-	-
Mountain View	8-AAAAAAA	2-2	65.83	836,801	0.94	8,814	965	24	-	-
Newnan	2-AAAAAAA	1-2	60.82	665,644	0.70	2,628	157	1	-	-
South Gwinnett	4-AAAAAAA	2-2	63.58	258,947	0.29	1,145	71	1	-	-
Campbell	2-AAAAAAA	3-0	56.76	385,119	0.39	617	22	-	-	-
Etowah	5-AAAAAAA	0-3	56.30	255,679	0.28	852	13	-	-	-
Peachtree Ridge	8-AAAAAAA	2-1	54.14	181,208	0.19	101	4	-	-	-
Hillgrove	3-AAAAAAA	0-3	59.41	30,699	0.03	191	3	-	-	-
Denmark	6-AAAAAAA	1-2	58.72	101,461	0.10	81	2	-	-	-
Duluth	7-AAAAAAA	0-2	45.67	668,914	0.68	81	-	-	-	-
Meadowcreek	7-AAAAAAA	1-3	44.88	612,736	0.62	70	-	-	-	-
Dunwoody	7-AAAAAAA	1-2	41.11	357,123	0.36	13	-	-	-	-
Discovery	7-AAAAAAA	1-3	41.05	361,457	0.36	10	-	-	-	-
Woodstock	5-AAAAAAA	0-4	46.39	31,692	0.03	5	-	-	-	-
Forsyth Central	6-AAAAAAA	1-2	48.85	7,275	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Berkmar	7-AAAAAAA	0-3	11.66	228	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAAA	Colquitt County	774,700	177,270	34,190	13,840	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAAA	Lowndes	99,089	321,997	311,554	267,360	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAAA	Camden County	78,698	280,750	326,355	314,197	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAAA	Tift County	47,513	219,983	327,901	404,603	1,000,000	-
2-AAAAAAA	East Coweta	641,813	262,769	80,405	13,480	998,467	1,533
2-AAAAAAA	McEachern	247,463	429,821	262,645	50,141	990,070	9,930
2-AAAAAAA	Pebblebrook	102,810	266,202	459,089	132,599	960,700	39,300
2-AAAAAAA	Newnan	6,372	29,225	135,161	494,886	665,644	334,356
2-AAAAAAA	Campbell	1,542	11,983	62,700	308,894	385,119	614,881
3-AAAAAAA	North Cobb	392,533	309,762	195,782	75,229	973,306	26,694
3-AAAAAAA	Marietta	352,851	304,106	215,006	92,236	964,199	35,801
3-AAAAAAA	Walton	208,337	263,046	295,823	156,271	923,477	76,523
3-AAAAAAA	Harrison	25,377	65,612	155,606	346,353	592,948	407,052
3-AAAAAAA	North Paulding	20,820	56,877	133,547	304,127	515,371	484,629
3-AAAAAAA	Hillgrove	82	597	4,236	25,784	30,699	969,301
4-AAAAAAA	Grayson	540,727	288,363	132,856	34,869	996,815	3,185
4-AAAAAAA	Brookwood	237,899	343,585	301,850	101,224	984,558	15,442
4-AAAAAAA	Newton	200,103	302,978	349,641	124,040	976,762	23,238
4-AAAAAAA	Parkview	20,529	58,709	185,944	517,736	782,918	217,082
4-AAAAAAA	South Gwinnett	742	6,365	29,709	222,131	258,947	741,053
5-AAAAAAA	Roswell	830,275	148,982	17,951	2,677	999,885	115
5-AAAAAAA	Milton	132,046	576,377	225,844	55,120	989,387	10,613
5-AAAAAAA	Cherokee	31,088	204,367	475,146	227,634	938,235	61,765
5-AAAAAAA	Alpharetta	6,318	61,135	230,328	487,341	785,122	214,878
5-AAAAAAA	Etowah	271	8,862	46,298	200,248	255,679	744,321
5-AAAAAAA	Woodstock	2	277	4,433	26,980	31,692	968,308
6-AAAAAAA	West Forsyth	865,395	112,184	17,418	4,293	999,290	710
6-AAAAAAA	South Forsyth	52,210	291,297	280,451	209,736	833,694	166,306
6-AAAAAAA	Gainesville	50,427	318,284	276,589	200,030	845,330	154,670
6-AAAAAAA	North Forsyth	22,712	168,105	229,542	265,078	685,437	314,563
6-AAAAAAA	Lambert	8,924	102,374	168,572	247,643	527,513	472,487
6-AAAAAAA	Denmark	330	7,587	26,228	67,316	101,461	898,539
6-AAAAAAA	Forsyth Central	2	169	1,200	5,904	7,275	992,725
7-AAAAAAA	Archer	793,999	203,196	2,706	93	999,994	6
7-AAAAAAA	Norcross	205,091	756,458	36,055	1,944	999,548	452
7-AAAAAAA	Duluth	438	16,396	364,202	287,878	668,914	331,086
7-AAAAAAA	Meadowcreek	342	14,797	304,672	292,925	612,736	387,264
7-AAAAAAA	Discovery	66	5,014	146,047	210,330	361,457	638,543
7-AAAAAAA	Dunwoody	64	4,139	146,314	206,606	357,123	642,877
7-AAAAAAA	Berkmar	-	-	4	224	228	999,772
8-AAAAAAA	Collins Hill	755,000	234,752	9,962	285	999,999	1
8-AAAAAAA	Mill Creek	239,372	686,851	69,841	3,779	999,843	157
8-AAAAAAA	North Gwinnett	5,388	71,650	739,290	165,821	982,149	17,851
8-AAAAAAA	Mountain View	240	6,383	164,782	665,396	836,801	163,199
8-AAAAAAA	Peachtree Ridge	-	364	16,125	164,719	181,208	818,792

Class AAAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Buford	8-AAAAAA	3-0	93.05	999,995	4.16	927,801	720,053	537,193	308,621	2.24
Westlake	4-AAAAAA	2-1	93.43	999,981	4.17	937,053	750,193	490,514	304,705	2.28
Carrollton	5-AAAAAA	3-0	91.84	999,867	4.04	899,041	759,347	426,913	243,648	3.10
Rome	5-AAAAAA	2-1	83.18	996,219	3.06	704,493	416,589	132,805	36,563	26.35
Northside (Warner Robins)	1-AAAAAA	2-1	83.87	1,000,000	2.89	611,000	197,525	89,524	28,084	34.61
Lee County	1-AAAAAA	4-0	83.70	1,000,000	2.88	608,067	194,489	87,337	26,804	36.31
Hughes	4-AAAAAA	3-1	81.02	997,633	2.91	615,121	294,851	80,436	18,302	53.64
Johns Creek	7-AAAAAA	2-1	82.39	992,122	2.38	416,918	130,018	49,490	13,805	71.44
Creekview	7-AAAAAA	3-0	80.55	984,767	2.18	343,234	98,470	32,212	7,516	132.05
Brunswick	2-AAAAAA	3-0	78.13	999,169	2.68	602,870	161,273	36,803	7,136	139.13
Kennesaw Mountain	6-AAAAAA	4-0	76.93	999,519	2.36	335,147	129,595	24,440	3,900	255.41
Douglas County	5-AAAAAA	3-0	72.09	909,831	1.41	134,229	32,379	3,873	363	2,753.82
Dacula	8-AAAAAA	1-2	69.75	951,379	1.66	159,158	22,718	2,385	208	4,806.69
Pope	6-AAAAAA	3-1	68.67	964,812	1.65	106,600	17,072	1,532	117	8,546.01
Allatoona	6-AAAAAA	1-3	68.78	854,884	1.36	82,969	11,437	1,098	76	13,156.89
Houston County	1-AAAAAA	2-2	66.25	1,000,000	2.00	83,609	18,348	1,122	55	18,180.82
River Ridge	7-AAAAAA	3-0	67.37	627,664	0.79	46,986	8,954	613	39	25,640.03
Alexander	5-AAAAAA	2-0	66.07	673,901	0.83	28,430	3,604	233	16	62,499.00
Riverwood	7-AAAAAA	3-0	64.51	435,274	0.51	19,835	3,093	164	8	124,999.00
Lovejoy	4-AAAAAA	1-1	63.65	833,050	1.20	42,361	3,863	196	7	142,856.14
Cambridge	7-AAAAAA	2-0	64.63	458,743	0.53	21,598	3,405	174	7	142,856.14
Sequoyah	7-AAAAAA	2-1	65.17	493,675	0.58	25,884	4,241	225	6	166,665.67
Richmond Hill	2-AAAAAA	0-2	63.46	902,924	1.24	38,271	3,547	180	4	249,999.00
Shiloh	8-AAAAAA	1-1	62.78	757,802	1.01	27,942	2,318	107	4	249,999.00
Kell	6-AAAAAA	1-2	63.74	548,554	0.69	23,559	1,914	104	3	333,332.33
North Atlanta	4-AAAAAA	4-0	61.47	769,963	1.04	28,728	2,040	62	2	499,999.00
Sprayberry	6-AAAAAA	1-1	62.37	586,028	0.73	19,762	1,352	68	1	999,999.00
Glynn Academy	2-AAAAAA	1-1-1	62.13	872,524	1.13	26,678	2,273	101	-	-
Evans	3-AAAAAA	4-0	56.84	988,907	1.09	47,811	3,443	66	-	-
Habersham Central	8-AAAAAA	2-1	59.48	575,836	0.70	10,026	695	16	-	-
Lanier	8-AAAAAA	0-2	57.55	455,131	0.53	5,013	281	4	-	-
Tucker	4-AAAAAA	0-3	55.34	393,669	0.46	5,110	158	3	-	-
Statesboro	2-AAAAAA	1-2	55.48	545,359	0.59	3,048	141	2	-	-
South Effingham	2-AAAAAA	1-2	54.44	472,961	0.51	1,828	68	1	-	-
Alcovy	3-AAAAAA	0-2	47.09	817,274	0.85	2,781	64	1	-	-
Dalton	5-AAAAAA	1-2	57.80	178,168	0.19	1,100	40	1	-	-
Winder-Barrow	8-AAAAAA	1-2	52.21	155,319	0.17	435	21	1	-	-
Lassiter	6-AAAAAA	1-3	49.87	40,758	0.04	86	1	1	-	-
Grovetown	3-AAAAAA	1-2	46.92	829,327	0.86	2,665	48	-	-	-
South Paulding	5-AAAAAA	2-1	57.01	147,221	0.16	707	34	-	-	-
Rockdale County	3-AAAAAA	1-2	44.64	737,692	0.75	1,273	28	-	-	-
Effingham County	2-AAAAAA	1-1	49.36	195,513	0.20	239	8	-	-	-
Central Gwinnett	8-AAAAAA	1-3	50.20	104,538	0.11	190	6	-	-	-
Paulding County	5-AAAAAA	2-1	53.05	53,962	0.06	118	1	-	-	-
Heritage (Conyers)	3-AAAAAA	0-2	38.90	368,721	0.37	112	1	-	-	-
Chattahoochee	7-AAAAAA	1-2	46.77	4,573	0.00	5	1	-	-	-
East Paulding	5-AAAAAA	1-2	52.20	40,831	0.04	57	-	-	-	-
Lakeside (Evans)	3-AAAAAA	0-3	36.96	258,079	0.26	47	-	-	-	-
Wheeler	6-AAAAAA	0-3	46.15	5,094	0.01	4	-	-	-	-
Bradwell Institute	2-AAAAAA	0-1	37.98	11,550	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Morrow	4-AAAAAA	1-3	35.31	5,704	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Centennial	7-AAAAAA	0-3	45.45	3,182	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
South Cobb	6-AAAAAA	1-3	40.10	341	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Osborne	6-AAAAAA	1-1	29.93	10	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Valdosta	1-AAAAAA	1-2	79.56	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Lakeside (Atlanta)	4-AAAAAA	1-3	22.24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAA	Lee County	499,224	431,708	69,068	-	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	479,457	453,962	66,581	-	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAA	Houston County	21,319	114,330	864,351	-	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAA	Valdosta	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-AAAAAA	Brunswick	840,364	131,630	22,585	4,590	999,169	831
2-AAAAAA	Richmond Hill	82,062	383,940	285,992	150,930	902,924	97,076
2-AAAAAA	Glynn Academy	59,428	310,595	320,855	181,646	872,524	127,476
2-AAAAAA	Statesboro	10,743	88,182	171,841	274,593	545,359	454,641
2-AAAAAA	South Effingham	6,437	68,508	143,934	254,082	472,961	527,039
2-AAAAAA	Effingham County	964	16,894	52,971	124,684	195,513	804,487
2-AAAAAA	Bradwell Institute	2	251	1,822	9,475	11,550	988,450
3-AAAAAA	Evans	675,483	210,383	75,602	27,439	988,907	11,093
3-AAAAAA	Alcovy	119,497	252,722	250,255	194,800	817,274	182,726
3-AAAAAA	Grovetown	116,497	263,971	257,870	190,989	829,327	170,673
3-AAAAAA	Rockdale County	68,448	184,539	239,495	245,210	737,692	262,308
3-AAAAAA	Heritage (Conyers)	13,710	55,163	105,571	194,277	368,721	631,279
3-AAAAAA	Lakeside (Evans)	6,365	33,222	71,207	147,285	258,079	741,921
4-AAAAAA	Westlake	837,623	156,710	5,154	494	999,981	19
4-AAAAAA	Hughes	157,233	737,605	91,894	10,901	997,633	2,367
4-AAAAAA	Lovejoy	3,014	57,268	437,435	335,333	833,050	166,950
4-AAAAAA	North Atlanta	1,957	38,640	348,726	380,640	769,963	230,037
4-AAAAAA	Tucker	173	9,768	115,811	267,917	393,669	606,331
4-AAAAAA	Morrow	-	9	980	4,715	5,704	994,296
4-AAAAAA	Lakeside (Atlanta)	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAAA	Carrollton	741,261	229,437	26,841	2,328	999,867	133
5-AAAAAA	Rome	231,184	582,201	155,538	27,296	996,219	3,781
5-AAAAAA	Douglas County	23,874	141,845	507,487	236,625	909,831	90,169
5-AAAAAA	Alexander	3,484	40,528	228,807	401,082	673,901	326,099
5-AAAAAA	Dalton	112	2,964	36,709	138,383	178,168	821,832
5-AAAAAA	South Paulding	73	2,351	30,856	113,941	147,221	852,779
5-AAAAAA	Paulding County	7	398	8,117	45,440	53,962	946,038
5-AAAAAA	East Paulding	5	276	5,645	34,905	40,831	959,169
6-AAAAAA	Kennesaw Mountain	776,324	176,707	38,938	7,550	999,519	481
6-AAAAAA	Pope	176,002	377,939	290,472	120,399	964,812	35,188
6-AAAAAA	Allatoona	29,815	306,513	304,518	214,038	854,884	145,116
6-AAAAAA	Kell	15,572	49,747	170,917	312,318	548,554	451,446
6-AAAAAA	Sprayberry	2,248	88,468	187,805	307,507	586,028	413,972
6-AAAAAA	Lassiter	32	529	6,434	33,763	40,758	959,242
6-AAAAAA	Wheeler	7	97	897	4,093	5,094	994,906
6-AAAAAA	South Cobb	-	-	19	322	341	999,659
6-AAAAAA	Osborne	-	-	-	10	10	999,990
7-AAAAAA	Johns Creek	552,299	336,283	82,934	20,606	992,122	7,878
7-AAAAAA	Creekview	394,488	433,516	122,700	34,063	984,767	15,233
7-AAAAAA	River Ridge	24,493	90,420	264,269	248,482	627,664	372,336
7-AAAAAA	Sequoyah	11,481	52,612	192,262	237,320	493,675	506,325
7-AAAAAA	Cambridge	8,749	43,960	175,802	230,232	458,743	541,257
7-AAAAAA	Riverwood	8,489	43,153	160,871	222,761	435,274	564,726
7-AAAAAA	Chattahoochee	1	28	697	3,847	4,573	995,427
7-AAAAAA	Centennial	-	28	465	2,689	3,182	996,818
8-AAAAAA	Buford	951,562	46,766	1,523	144	999,995	5
8-AAAAAA	Dacula	39,958	578,021	239,099	94,301	951,379	48,621
8-AAAAAA	Shiloh	5,481	197,026	312,405	242,890	757,802	242,198
8-AAAAAA	Habersham Central	1,935	100,291	212,355	261,255	575,836	424,164
8-AAAAAA	Lanier	946	60,154	160,942	233,089	455,131	544,869
8-AAAAAA	Winder-Barrow	95	11,895	45,370	97,959	155,319	844,681
8-AAAAAA	Central Gwinnett	23	5,847	28,306	70,362	104,538	895,462

Class AAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Warner Robins	1-AAAAA	3-0	104.05	999,998	4.56	927,455	921,995	708,860	443,878	1.25
Cartersville	7-AAAAA	3-0	102.62	1,000,000	4.42	839,897	832,920	751,503	401,389	1.49
Creekside	3-AAAAA	2-1	96.82	1,000,000	4.09	912,439	899,380	332,044	129,407	6.73
Ware County	1-AAAAA	3-0	87.59	998,883	2.65	372,383	350,738	102,357	15,716	62.63
Coffee	1-AAAAA	3-0	84.87	997,545	2.44	341,352	313,685	62,486	7,348	135.09
Woodward Academy	3-AAAAA	3-0	80.14	999,879	2.04	312,144	271,422	24,822	1,857	537.50
Decatur	5-AAAAA	3-0	72.99	999,714	2.05	134,060	99,738	4,734	145	6,895.55
Jones County	4-AAAAA	2-2	69.42	996,500	2.45	642,063	26,669	2,886	66	15,150.52
St. Pius X	5-AAAAA	2-2	71.23	999,361	1.91	93,139	65,729	2,671	57	17,542.86
Calhoun	7-AAAAA	2-1	70.35	996,324	1.79	29,906	20,076	1,512	39	25,640.03
Griffin	2-AAAAA	1-1	68.00	974,672	2.25	506,463	55,821	1,807	32	31,249.00
Dutchtown	4-AAAAA	2-2	66.33	985,032	2.16	488,669	19,644	1,005	18	55,554.56
Clarke Central	8-AAAAA	0-2	66.30	994,209	2.37	484,945	27,186	1,004	18	55,554.56
Veterans	1-AAAAA	1-2	67.83	885,296	0.98	19,297	11,695	350	13	76,922.08
Whitewater	2-AAAAA	3-1	66.17	958,080	2.06	426,693	35,482	936	9	111,110.11
Eastside	8-AAAAA	2-1	62.80	979,466	2.11	345,524	16,350	385	3	333,332.33
Blessed Trinity	7-AAAAA	2-2	65.39	984,891	1.50	15,037	8,098	325	3	333,332.33
Starr's Mill	2-AAAAA	2-2	59.34	760,553	1.20	146,992	3,716	50	2	499,999.00
Stockbridge	4-AAAAA	2-1	59.98	856,988	1.40	183,741	5,132	95	-	-
Villa Rica	6-AAAAA	1-2	57.92	978,116	1.73	178,718	3,981	58	-	-
Lithia Springs	6-AAAAA	1-2	55.14	950,011	1.51	109,734	1,842	23	-	-
Union Grove	4-AAAAA	2-2	57.20	696,313	0.99	85,814	2,337	22	-	-
Loganville	8-AAAAA	1-2	55.84	882,688	1.49	122,491	2,094	22	-	-
Northside (Columbus)	2-AAAAA	3-0	56.50	575,336	0.81	70,626	1,144	14	-	-
New Manchester	6-AAAAA	1-3	54.35	944,250	1.45	93,152	1,383	12	-	-
Jonesboro	3-AAAAA	1-1	58.17	907,432	0.93	773	226	7	-	-
Harris County	2-AAAAA	0-2	54.69	474,787	0.63	43,404	546	6	-	-
Jackson County	8-AAAAA	2-1	50.08	595,761	0.83	30,319	253	3	-	-
Lithonia	5-AAAAA	0-3	47.85	694,485	0.72	68	5	1	-	-
Cass	7-AAAAA	2-2	54.43	868,472	0.98	1,742	397	-	-	-
Ola	4-AAAAA	1-3	49.49	203,375	0.24	5,734	84	-	-	-
Maynard Jackson	6-AAAAA	1-2	47.18	706,344	0.84	13,605	69	-	-	-
Woodland (Stockbridge)	4-AAAAA	2-2	47.42	216,949	0.24	4,273	45	-	-	-
Walnut Grove	8-AAAAA	1-2	45.08	278,017	0.34	5,264	26	-	-	-
McIntosh	2-AAAAA	2-2	48.40	140,014	0.16	3,758	21	-	-	-
Southwest DeKalb	5-AAAAA	0-3	49.51	771,720	0.82	137	21	-	-	-
Northgate	2-AAAAA	1-2	47.63	116,558	0.13	2,699	13	-	-	-
Wayne County	1-AAAAA	0-3	51.43	118,278	0.12	65	12	-	-	-
Banneker	3-AAAAA	1-2	49.95	579,300	0.58	63	10	-	-	-
Chapel Hill	6-AAAAA	0-4	41.90	388,352	0.42	2,167	7	-	-	-
Apalachee	8-AAAAA	0-3	42.69	172,336	0.20	1,879	4	-	-	-
Hiram	7-AAAAA	0-4	41.41	146,605	0.15	15	2	-	-	-
Greenbrier	8-AAAAA	1-2	40.31	97,488	0.11	638	1	-	-	-
Drew	3-AAAAA	1-1	45.14	241,794	0.24	11	1	-	-	-
Eagle's Landing	4-AAAAA	2-2	45.94	43,683	0.05	627	-	-	-	-
Stone Mountain	5-AAAAA	3-0	43.73	429,013	0.44	13	-	-	-	-
North Springs	6-AAAAA	1-3	30.21	32,927	0.03	8	-	-	-	-
Mundy's Mill	3-AAAAA	0-2	42.18	129,677	0.13	2	-	-	-	-
Forest Park	3-AAAAA	2-1	41.67	115,411	0.12	2	-	-	-	-
M.L. King	5-AAAAA	0-3	35.45	91,548	0.09	-	-	-	-	-
Tri-Cities	3-AAAAA	1-2	35.43	26,507	0.03	-	-	-	-	-
Northview	5-AAAAA	0-3	27.72	14,159	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Cartersville)	7-AAAAA	1-3	25.47	3,708	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Locust Grove	4-AAAAA	0-4	33.36	1,160	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Gainesville)	8-AAAAA	0-2	18.06	35	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Chamblee	5-AAAAA	3-1	40.18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Midtown	6-AAAAA	0-1	35.02	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clarkston	5-AAAAA	1-0	19.53	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Keys	5-AAAAA	0-2	-9.94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAA	Warner Robins	858,152	122,322	18,743	781	999,998	2
1-AAAAA	Ware County	86,616	485,702	381,540	45,025	998,883	1,117
1-AAAAA	Coffee	54,511	377,017	497,118	68,899	997,545	2,455
1-AAAAA	Veterans	721	14,763	100,156	769,656	885,296	114,704
1-AAAAA	Wayne County	-	196	2,443	115,639	118,278	881,722
2-AAAAA	Griffin	477,746	310,743	134,980	51,203	974,672	25,328
2-AAAAA	Whitewater	378,274	336,769	169,740	73,297	958,080	41,920
2-AAAAA	Starr's Mill	80,722	169,459	281,649	228,723	760,553	239,447
2-AAAAA	Northside (Columbus)	35,922	95,005	191,087	253,322	575,336	424,664
2-AAAAA	Harris County	23,455	68,684	153,672	228,976	474,787	525,213
2-AAAAA	McIntosh	2,169	10,953	37,760	89,132	140,014	859,986
2-AAAAA	Northgate	1,712	8,387	31,112	75,347	116,558	883,442
3-AAAAA	Creekside	883,732	115,465	796	7	1,000,000	-
3-AAAAA	Woodward Academy	115,769	837,146	45,342	1,622	999,879	121
3-AAAAA	Jonesboro	466	39,823	651,875	215,268	907,432	92,568
3-AAAAA	Banneker	28	5,958	188,953	384,361	579,300	420,700
3-AAAAA	Drew	3	1,054	59,869	180,868	241,794	758,206
3-AAAAA	Mundy's Mill	2	298	26,732	102,645	129,677	870,323
3-AAAAA	Forest Park	-	245	23,048	92,118	115,411	884,589
3-AAAAA	Tri-Cities	-	11	3,385	23,111	26,507	973,493
4-AAAAA	Jones County	593,623	304,162	85,249	13,466	996,500	3,500
4-AAAAA	Dutchtown	312,915	391,953	207,588	72,576	985,032	14,968
4-AAAAA	Stockbridge	81,491	193,304	342,009	240,184	856,988	143,012
4-AAAAA	Union Grove	9,452	91,511	253,920	341,430	696,313	303,687
4-AAAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	1,525	11,095	51,283	153,046	216,949	783,051
4-AAAAA	Ola	844	6,728	51,089	144,714	203,375	796,625
4-AAAAA	Eagle's Landing	150	1,243	8,811	33,479	43,683	956,317
4-AAAAA	Locust Grove	-	4	51	1,105	1,160	998,840
5-AAAAA	Decatur	572,854	398,493	26,052	2,315	999,714	286
5-AAAAA	St. Pius X	420,499	533,675	41,426	3,761	999,361	639
5-AAAAA	Southwest DeKalb	3,697	34,878	418,885	314,260	771,720	228,280
5-AAAAA	Lithonia	2,424	24,160	328,449	339,452	694,485	305,515
5-AAAAA	Stone Mountain	515	8,271	158,813	261,414	429,013	570,987
5-AAAAA	M.L. King	11	511	24,215	66,811	91,548	908,452
5-AAAAA	Northview	-	12	2,160	11,987	14,159	985,841
5-AAAAA	Chamblee	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAA	Clarkston	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAA	Cross Keys	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAAA	Villa Rica	415,881	298,804	188,241	75,190	978,116	21,884
6-AAAAA	Lithia Springs	288,005	292,325	245,394	124,287	950,011	49,989
6-AAAAA	New Manchester	242,607	279,787	278,864	142,992	944,250	55,750
6-AAAAA	Maynard Jackson	43,574	95,342	195,987	371,441	706,344	293,656
6-AAAAA	Chapel Hill	9,836	32,995	86,703	258,818	388,352	611,648
6-AAAAA	North Springs	97	747	4,811	27,272	32,927	967,073
6-AAAAA	Midtown	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-AAAAA	Cartersville	986,190	13,601	191	18	1,000,000	-
7-AAAAA	Calhoun	9,962	614,790	315,923	55,649	996,324	3,676
7-AAAAA	Blessed Trinity	3,647	328,674	499,063	153,507	984,891	15,109
7-AAAAA	Cass	201	41,365	173,754	653,152	868,472	131,528
7-AAAAA	Hiram	-	1,567	10,905	134,133	146,605	853,395
7-AAAAA	Woodland (Cartersville)	-	3	164	3,541	3,708	996,292
8-AAAAA	Clarke Central	558,136	302,238	108,403	25,432	994,209	5,791
8-AAAAA	Eastside	330,070	396,548	192,245	60,603	979,466	20,534
8-AAAAA	Loganville	89,732	206,916	384,243	201,797	882,688	117,312
8-AAAAA	Jackson County	17,823	65,552	182,718	329,668	595,761	404,239
8-AAAAA	Walnut Grove	2,915	17,801	73,280	184,021	278,017	721,983
8-AAAAA	Apalachee	1,041	7,927	39,387	123,981	172,336	827,664
8-AAAAA	Greenbrier	283	3,018	19,722	74,465	97,488	902,512
8-AAAAA	Johnson (Gainesville)	-	-	2	33	35	999,965

Class AAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Jefferson	8-AAAA	4-0	83.89	999,752	4.22	883,403	770,590	597,658	466,954	1.14
Perry	4-AAAA	3-0	78.29	999,049	3.44	695,854	511,645	345,931	171,622	4.83
Marist	6-AAAA	2-1	76.53	998,757	3.17	640,743	440,300	204,547	107,207	8.33
Benedictine	3-AAAA	1-2	73.90	1,000,000	3.01	708,166	386,086	153,780	66,881	13.95
Flowery Branch	8-AAAA	2-1	71.96	981,907	2.76	511,663	325,083	146,660	42,840	22.34
Cedartown	7-AAAA	2-0	71.51	999,640	2.96	601,660	255,005	136,259	40,285	23.82
Dougherty	1-AAAA	3-0	71.01	977,191	2.76	631,286	224,509	98,758	32,125	30.13
Bainbridge	1-AAAA	0-2	69.72	964,616	2.56	565,132	190,921	76,640	22,301	43.84
Carver (Columbus)	2-AAAA	3-1	69.17	998,445	2.25	293,398	165,421	59,763	15,300	64.36
Cairo	1-AAAA	1-1	67.28	933,492	2.19	438,334	133,526	43,031	10,017	98.83
Baldwin	4-AAAA	1-2	67.73	966,029	1.95	234,495	105,013	32,842	7,864	126.16
New Hampstead	3-AAAA	3-1	65.67	1,000,000	2.06	384,154	138,025	34,874	6,521	152.35
Troup	2-AAAA	2-1	64.25	995,442	1.80	150,201	61,471	14,523	2,465	404.68
Stephenson	6-AAAA	4-0	64.20	930,389	1.60	149,523	54,332	13,888	2,242	445.03
Thomas County Central	1-AAAA	2-2	63.24	840,135	1.54	241,722	57,956	12,265	2,011	496.27
LaGrange	2-AAAA	3-0	63.63	991,507	1.66	126,771	47,828	10,734	1,745	572.07
Riverdale	5-AAAA	2-0	59.18	995,553	2.00	196,833	44,397	6,653	628	1,591.36
Madison County	8-AAAA	2-1	59.72	716,526	1.03	58,354	15,421	2,516	264	3,786.88
Hardaway	2-AAAA	1-2	59.46	934,354	1.21	51,158	12,007	2,015	186	5,375.34
Hapeville Charter	6-AAAA	0-3	58.53	761,777	1.00	42,287	10,548	1,553	152	6,577.95
North Oconee	8-AAAA	1-3	58.76	666,411	0.93	44,808	10,646	1,528	132	7,574.76
West Laurens	4-AAAA	1-2	57.83	702,842	0.94	30,923	7,390	902	81	12,344.68
Spalding	4-AAAA	3-1	57.79	681,708	0.91	29,504	6,994	890	81	12,344.68
Cedar Shoals	8-AAAA	0-1	56.79	514,525	0.66	22,877	4,614	501	31	32,257.06
Central (Carrollton)	7-AAAA	2-1	52.91	874,966	1.48	67,701	5,383	389	23	43,477.26
Miller Grove	6-AAAA	3-0	53.88	672,891	0.79	15,622	2,561	203	10	99,999.00
Monroe	1-AAAA	2-2	53.37	249,201	0.31	17,413	1,713	114	8	124,999.00
Heritage (Ringgold)	7-AAAA	2-0	50.51	799,651	1.25	40,142	2,596	153	7	142,856.14
Howard	4-AAAA	2-0	53.92	443,617	0.54	9,718	1,714	126	7	142,856.14
Pickens	7-AAAA	2-1	50.09	775,826	1.20	35,642	2,219	123	4	249,999.00
Arabia Mountain	6-AAAA	2-1	51.89	382,299	0.42	4,594	644	53	3	333,332.33
Fayette County	5-AAAA	2-2	48.49	903,813	1.27	26,731	1,489	60	2	499,999.00
Westside (Macon)	4-AAAA	1-1	49.27	206,656	0.23	1,737	181	10	1	999,999.00
Luella	5-AAAA	2-2	45.05	934,607	1.23	14,940	559	14	-	-
Islands	3-AAAA	2-1	47.05	1,000,000	1.08	11,265	441	12	-	-
Northwest Whitfield	7-AAAA	2-2	44.62	489,527	0.65	7,486	276	11	-	-
Mays	6-AAAA	0-3	49.22	252,979	0.27	1,512	154	10	-	-
McDonough	5-AAAA	2-2	45.17	699,054	0.82	6,803	208	8	-	-
Chestatee	8-AAAA	2-1	48.39	120,277	0.13	821	78	3	-	-
Jenkins	3-AAAA	1-2	38.95	1,000,000	1.02	2,964	26	-	-	-
Hampton	5-AAAA	0-2	38.83	434,728	0.48	1,141	16	-	-	-
Westover	1-AAAA	0-2	44.35	35,365	0.04	432	11	-	-	-
Spencer	2-AAAA	1-2	38.14	31,532	0.03	18	2	-	-	-
Ridgeland	7-AAAA	1-3	33.52	60,390	0.07	50	1	-	-	-
Columbus	2-AAAA	0-3	38.59	30,311	0.03	13	-	-	-	-
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	5-AAAA	0-2	26.13	31,599	0.03	3	-	-	-	-
Shaw	2-AAAA	0-2	35.93	18,332	0.02	3	-	-	-	-
Druid Hills	6-AAAA	0-4	2.38	908	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
North Clayton	5-AAAA	0-3	13.28	646	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
East Hall	8-AAAA	1-2	28.53	602	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Rutland	4-AAAA	0-3	20.67	99	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Kendrick	2-AAAA	0-3	19.73	46	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Jordan	2-AAAA	0-2	19.38	31	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Southeast Whitfield	7-AAAA	1-3	20.59	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAA	Dougherty	393,133	298,061	189,584	96,413	977,191	22,809
1-AAAA	Bainbridge	321,555	290,841	224,856	127,364	964,616	35,384
1-AAAA	Cairo	203,041	254,323	281,558	194,570	933,492	66,508
1-AAAA	Thomas County Central	77,441	137,331	249,892	375,471	840,135	159,865
1-AAAA	Monroe	4,701	18,577	49,325	176,598	249,201	750,799
1-AAAA	Westover	129	867	4,785	29,584	35,365	964,635
2-AAAA	Carver (Columbus)	489,942	286,119	151,218	71,166	998,445	1,555
2-AAAA	Troup	282,642	363,425	288,738	60,637	995,442	4,558
2-AAAA	LaGrange	196,363	270,899	307,705	216,540	991,507	8,493
2-AAAA	Hardaway	31,025	79,016	247,512	576,801	934,354	65,646
2-AAAA	Spencer	10	253	2,270	28,999	31,532	968,468
2-AAAA	Columbus	9	158	1,428	28,716	30,311	969,689
2-AAAA	Shaw	9	130	1,128	17,065	18,332	981,668
2-AAAA	Jordan	-	-	1	30	31	999,969
2-AAAA	Kendrick	-	-	-	46	46	999,954
3-AAAA	Benedictine	755,667	234,844	8,950	539	1,000,000	-
3-AAAA	New Hampstead	238,325	685,748	70,049	5,878	1,000,000	-
3-AAAA	Islands	5,372	69,210	682,454	242,964	1,000,000	-
3-AAAA	Jenkins	636	10,198	238,547	750,619	1,000,000	-
4-AAAA	Perry	770,961	195,254	27,662	5,172	999,049	951
4-AAAA	Baldwin	187,403	506,502	202,473	69,651	966,029	33,971
4-AAAA	West Laurens	20,058	124,243	283,623	274,918	702,842	297,158
4-AAAA	Spalding	16,172	113,894	274,386	277,256	681,708	318,292
4-AAAA	Howard	4,579	45,964	150,882	242,192	443,617	556,383
4-AAAA	Westside (Macon)	827	14,143	60,972	130,714	206,656	793,344
4-AAAA	Rutland	-	-	2	97	99	999,901
5-AAAA	Riverdale	711,676	206,386	57,363	20,128	995,553	4,447
5-AAAA	Fayette County	144,573	327,530	260,731	170,979	903,813	96,187
5-AAAA	Luella	103,130	344,604	365,452	121,421	934,607	65,393
5-AAAA	McDonough	29,982	64,527	192,695	411,850	699,054	300,946
5-AAAA	Hampton	10,562	55,932	117,596	250,638	434,728	565,272
5-AAAA	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	77	1,018	6,114	24,390	31,599	968,401
5-AAAA	North Clayton	-	3	49	594	646	999,354
6-AAAA	Marist	802,467	160,732	28,814	6,744	998,757	1,243
6-AAAA	Stephenson	133,068	436,274	250,240	110,807	930,389	69,611
6-AAAA	Hapeville Charter	36,509	187,762	289,852	247,654	761,777	238,223
6-AAAA	Miller Grove	21,501	143,461	255,940	251,989	672,891	327,109
6-AAAA	Arabia Mountain	4,507	46,915	109,522	221,355	382,299	617,701
6-AAAA	Mays	1,722	24,174	65,632	161,451	252,979	747,021
6-AAAA	Druid Hills	226	682	-	-	908	999,092
7-AAAA	Cedartown	884,635	100,214	11,842	2,949	999,640	360
7-AAAA	Central (Carrollton)	55,384	350,817	281,137	187,628	874,966	125,034
7-AAAA	Pickens	27,817	222,956	265,549	259,504	775,826	224,174
7-AAAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	26,909	239,642	280,091	253,009	799,651	200,349
7-AAAA	Northwest Whitfield	5,203	83,156	147,495	253,673	489,527	510,473
7-AAAA	Ridgeland	52	3,215	13,886	43,237	60,390	939,610
7-AAAA	Southeast Whitfield	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAA	Jefferson	828,500	156,274	13,057	1,921	999,752	248
8-AAAA	Flowery Branch	151,750	604,031	178,643	47,483	981,907	18,093
8-AAAA	Madison County	9,133	103,405	310,594	293,394	716,526	283,474
8-AAAA	North Oconee	6,881	85,719	279,097	294,714	666,411	333,589
8-AAAA	Cedar Shoals	3,605	46,515	184,957	279,448	514,525	485,475
8-AAAA	Chestatee	131	4,054	33,616	82,476	120,277	879,723
8-AAAA	East Hall	-	2	36	564	602	999,398

Class AAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Appling County	1-AAA	4-0	85.07	1,000,000	4.33	915,321	777,496	638,676	484,735	1.06
Cedar Grove	5-AAA	1-1	80.67	996,638	4.08	919,139	708,512	483,450	265,647	2.76
Oconee County	8-AAA	3-0	75.12	996,651	3.02	672,799	297,722	159,080	62,056	15.11
Stephens County	8-AAA	4-0	72.61	993,418	2.76	581,962	241,840	103,568	33,229	29.09
Pierce County	1-AAA	2-1	70.93	999,952	3.18	703,968	384,479	138,976	32,948	29.35
Sandy Creek	5-AAA	3-0	71.48	947,233	2.84	595,730	331,089	114,182	32,653	29.63
Peach County	2-AAA	0-2	72.39	997,553	2.74	513,838	191,716	97,763	28,757	33.77
Hart County	8-AAA	3-0	70.19	985,469	2.48	483,490	191,646	63,216	16,571	59.35
Monroe Area	8-AAA	3-0	69.84	983,482	2.43	465,796	185,693	58,222	14,879	66.21
Rockmart	6-AAA	2-1	69.17	997,560	1.99	319,446	165,744	39,309	10,468	94.53
Thomson	4-AAA	2-0	67.96	998,182	2.38	366,331	162,417	41,746	8,634	114.82
Westminster (Atlanta)	5-AAA	2-1	66.52	829,936	1.97	307,372	126,669	28,919	5,324	186.83
Crisp County	2-AAA	0-3	64.35	966,778	1.99	227,601	48,201	11,704	1,834	544.26
Burke County	4-AAA	1-0	62.16	987,442	1.85	177,189	55,258	7,500	966	1,034.20
Greater Atlanta Christian	5-AAA	0-3	61.62	595,736	1.17	120,722	34,190	4,933	597	1,674.04
Carver (Atlanta)	5-AAA	1-1	60.92	515,945	0.98	91,439	24,413	3,192	344	2,905.98
Upson-Lee	2-AAA	2-1	58.55	833,804	1.33	78,160	13,856	1,577	138	7,245.38
North Hall	7-AAA	1-2	57.60	967,600	1.31	60,820	12,307	1,231	85	11,763.71
Southeast Bulloch	3-AAA	3-0	52.78	991,127	1.79	89,423	11,844	564	26	38,460.54
Cherokee Bluff	7-AAA	3-0	55.08	932,480	1.17	42,801	6,763	473	26	38,460.54
Adairsville	6-AAA	3-0	55.92	811,836	0.94	26,301	3,635	345	24	41,665.67
Ringgold	6-AAA	3-0	55.87	896,112	1.04	29,279	4,331	342	19	52,630.58
White County	7-AAA	1-3	54.25	920,983	1.13	37,831	5,418	344	17	58,822.53
Windsor Forest	3-AAA	1-1	50.85	983,666	1.64	58,889	5,946	279	12	83,332.33
Mary Persons	2-AAA	2-1	53.44	567,056	0.75	19,424	2,302	130	5	199,999.00
Sonoraville	6-AAA	2-0	53.23	645,560	0.71	11,960	1,081	62	4	249,999.00
North Murray	6-AAA	1-1	51.29	423,705	0.46	5,043	262	17	1	999,999.00
Harlem	4-AAA	1-2	46.75	532,203	0.59	3,164	151	3	1	999,999.00
Dawson County	7-AAA	1-3	51.01	824,451	0.93	21,449	2,034	89	-	-
Salem	5-AAA	2-1	52.41	111,127	0.16	5,284	604	32	-	-
Liberty County	3-AAA	0-1	46.09	946,278	1.27	17,651	976	30	-	-
Sumter County	2-AAA	1-1	50.19	327,329	0.40	5,423	472	20	-	-
Richmond Academy	4-AAA	0-2	48.17	635,854	0.72	5,382	276	13	-	-
Tattnall County	1-AAA	1-1	41.48	916,167	1.16	6,485	177	6	-	-
Jackson	2-AAA	1-2	48.19	225,761	0.26	2,433	163	4	-	-
Morgan County	4-AAA	1-2	46.84	534,958	0.60	3,304	146	3	-	-
Johnson (Savannah)	3-AAA	1-3	40.44	805,449	0.89	2,585	62	-	-	-
Brantley County	1-AAA	1-2	35.98	753,442	0.86	1,837	33	-	-	-
Gilmer	7-AAA	2-1	40.16	206,181	0.21	669	18	-	-	-
Hephzibah	4-AAA	1-2	42.73	300,308	0.32	633	16	-	-	-
Franklin County	8-AAA	2-1	43.41	37,892	0.04	249	14	-	-	-
Coahulla Creek	6-AAA	2-1	45.11	165,964	0.17	488	10	-	-	-
Central (Macon)	2-AAA	0-3	43.40	66,078	0.07	229	10	-	-	-
West Hall	7-AAA	2-1	38.94	148,150	0.15	351	6	-	-	-
Long County	1-AAA	2-2	29.43	330,439	0.35	177	2	-	-	-
LaFayette	6-AAA	2-1	40.73	58,842	0.06	63	-	-	-	-
Beach	3-AAA	0-1	31.54	256,392	0.26	43	-	-	-	-
Douglass	5-AAA	0-3	40.05	3,309	0.00	14	-	-	-	-
Pike County	2-AAA	0-2	38.32	15,641	0.02	10	-	-	-	-
East Jackson	8-AAA	1-3	33.68	3,088	0.00	2	-	-	-	-
Cross Creek	4-AAA	1-3	29.38	11,053	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Savannah	3-AAA	0-2	19.03	16,669	0.02	-	-	-	-	-
Groves	3-AAA	0-1	6.35	419	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Murray County	6-AAA	1-2	28.53	412	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Lumpkin County	7-AAA	0-3	14.86	155	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Redan	5-AAA	2-1	30.50	76	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6-AAA	0-2	22.49	9	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
East Forsyth	7-AAA	0-4	17.06	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAA	Appling County	844,996	154,501	495	8	1,000,000	-
1-AAA	Pierce County	154,862	827,791	16,958	341	999,952	48
1-AAA	Tattnall County	112	13,470	634,448	268,137	916,167	83,833
1-AAA	Brantley County	28	3,427	270,254	479,733	753,442	246,558
1-AAA	Long County	2	811	77,845	251,781	330,439	669,561
2-AAA	Peach County	713,902	217,845	54,638	11,168	997,553	2,447
2-AAA	Crisp County	206,469	461,613	219,275	79,421	966,778	33,222
2-AAA	Upson-Lee	59,490	198,793	356,962	218,559	833,804	166,196
2-AAA	Mary Persons	14,518	76,076	191,942	284,520	567,056	432,944
2-AAA	Sumter County	3,863	27,677	96,531	199,258	327,329	672,671
2-AAA	Jackson	1,590	15,393	63,382	145,396	225,761	774,239
2-AAA	Central (Macon)	161	2,357	14,736	48,824	66,078	933,922
2-AAA	Pike County	7	246	2,534	12,854	15,641	984,359
3-AAA	Southeast Bulloch	473,816	308,157	154,245	54,909	991,127	8,873
3-AAA	Windsor Forest	338,090	348,925	211,804	84,847	983,666	16,334
3-AAA	Liberty County	147,736	237,287	353,428	207,827	946,278	53,722
3-AAA	Johnson (Savannah)	38,120	93,706	234,351	439,272	805,449	194,551
3-AAA	Beach	2,225	11,774	44,571	197,822	256,392	743,608
3-AAA	Savannah	13	151	1,590	14,915	16,669	983,331
3-AAA	Groves	-	-	11	408	419	999,581
4-AAA	Thomson	683,587	268,837	38,963	6,795	998,182	1,818
4-AAA	Burke County	287,657	540,248	128,665	30,872	987,442	12,558
4-AAA	Richmond Academy	11,186	69,447	285,676	269,545	635,854	364,146
4-AAA	Morgan County	8,423	54,907	220,758	250,870	534,958	465,042
4-AAA	Harlem	7,585	49,497	218,105	257,016	532,203	467,797
4-AAA	Hephzibah	1,557	16,980	105,985	175,786	300,308	699,692
4-AAA	Cross Creek	5	84	1,848	9,116	11,053	988,947
5-AAA	Cedar Grove	709,200	217,514	55,898	14,026	996,638	3,362
5-AAA	Sandy Creek	191,708	403,032	244,522	107,971	947,233	52,767
5-AAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	68,523	218,463	319,396	223,554	829,936	170,064
5-AAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	17,996	90,054	193,830	293,856	595,736	404,264
5-AAA	Carver (Atlanta)	12,023	64,975	159,052	279,895	515,945	484,055
5-AAA	Salem	549	5,928	26,935	77,715	111,127	888,873
5-AAA	Douglass	1	34	364	2,910	3,309	996,691
5-AAA	Redan	-	-	3	73	76	999,924
6-AAA	Rockmart	791,029	156,363	39,813	10,355	997,560	2,440
6-AAA	Ringgold	92,665	346,656	286,193	170,598	896,112	103,888
6-AAA	Adairsville	72,954	279,339	262,467	197,076	811,836	188,164
6-AAA	Sonoraville	34,886	148,700	213,045	248,929	645,560	354,440
6-AAA	North Murray	7,896	46,520	135,145	234,144	423,705	576,295
6-AAA	Coahulla Creek	345	18,576	48,943	98,100	165,964	834,036
6-AAA	LaFayette	225	3,845	14,365	40,407	58,842	941,158
6-AAA	Murray County	-	1	29	382	412	999,588
6-AAA	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	-	-	-	9	9	999,991
7-AAA	North Hall	413,415	274,908	179,807	99,470	967,600	32,400
7-AAA	Cherokee Bluff	246,997	271,644	247,995	165,844	932,480	67,520
7-AAA	White County	223,813	259,746	255,548	181,876	920,983	79,017
7-AAA	Dawson County	108,859	166,335	242,668	306,589	824,451	175,549
7-AAA	Gilmer	4,258	16,489	43,569	141,865	206,181	793,819
7-AAA	West Hall	2,658	10,878	30,408	104,206	148,150	851,850
7-AAA	Lumpkin County	-	-	5	150	155	999,845
7-AAA	East Forsyth	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAA	Oconee County	390,240	287,175	189,212	130,024	996,651	3,349
8-AAA	Stephens County	275,928	277,698	241,901	197,891	993,418	6,582
8-AAA	Hart County	180,181	223,471	278,080	303,737	985,469	14,531
8-AAA	Monroe Area	153,632	211,216	288,784	329,850	983,482	16,518
8-AAA	Franklin County	19	432	1,926	35,515	37,892	962,108
8-AAA	East Jackson	-	8	97	2,983	3,088	996,912

Class AA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Thomasville	1-AA	4-0	79.42	999,869	3.96	836,012	718,860	530,202	322,289	2.10
Fitzgerald	1-AA	3-0	78.91	999,869	3.92	827,984	704,910	513,298	298,830	2.35
Callaway	5-AA	4-0	76.77	999,843	3.85	771,425	703,636	386,255	214,416	3.66
Rabun County	8-AA	2-1	71.20	1,000,000	3.25	841,221	293,063	178,679	62,243	15.07
Dodge County	3-AA	3-1	71.19	989,833	2.88	539,747	420,886	158,454	56,504	16.70
Northeast	3-AA	2-1	67.04	959,903	2.08	305,128	210,375	61,029	15,897	61.90
Lovett	6-AA	3-1	65.09	998,712	3.11	769,947	307,777	71,947	15,195	64.81
Bleckley County	3-AA	4-0	64.85	930,391	1.73	215,115	135,896	34,085	7,463	132.99
Washington County	3-AA	1-0	60.58	834,752	1.19	93,709	46,413	8,801	1,353	738.10
Columbia	6-AA	2-1	57.82	980,523	2.37	484,949	87,399	11,720	1,344	743.05
Swainsboro	2-AA	2-2	58.43	983,446	2.21	378,407	59,964	10,094	1,217	820.69
Putnam County	4-AA	3-0	57.16	999,256	2.03	300,278	48,257	6,574	709	1,409.44
Haralson County	5-AA	3-1	57.25	935,757	1.91	124,371	48,228	6,378	632	1,581.28
Heard County	5-AA	3-1	57.25	926,403	1.89	123,822	48,054	6,257	615	1,625.02
Jeff Davis	2-AA	3-0	55.51	961,590	1.91	252,176	31,275	3,879	338	2,957.58
Cook	1-AA	1-2	57.44	919,431	1.22	57,628	26,610	3,038	325	3,075.92
Jefferson County	4-AA	1-2	54.22	998,212	1.80	197,576	25,505	2,519	190	5,262.16
Elbert County	8-AA	1-1	53.21	999,685	1.81	244,966	20,662	2,151	161	6,210.18
Bremen	5-AA	2-1	53.62	848,304	1.57	59,949	18,285	1,800	141	7,091.20
Toombs County	2-AA	1-2	50.75	893,459	1.45	111,809	9,101	618	35	28,570.43
Vidalia	2-AA	0-2	50.60	880,824	1.41	105,586	8,440	590	34	29,410.76
Pace Academy	6-AA	0-3	51.02	718,828	1.06	94,413	6,872	529	23	43,477.26
Washington	6-AA	2-1	49.09	646,130	0.91	65,468	3,704	272	12	83,332.33
Fannin County	7-AA	2-1	48.10	979,200	1.31	13,700	3,031	176	9	111,110.11
South Atlanta	6-AA	1-1	48.33	620,348	0.87	60,939	3,463	182	8	124,999.00
Lamar County	3-AA	3-1	50.78	283,416	0.31	4,466	977	85	7	142,856.14
Early County	1-AA	2-1	48.98	623,872	0.69	11,448	2,315	102	5	199,999.00
Laney	4-AA	2-1	48.15	964,121	1.34	56,083	3,275	192	4	249,999.00
Temple	5-AA	0-2	42.88	289,693	0.42	2,773	324	7	1	999,999.00
Pepperell	7-AA	0-3	45.70	954,021	1.19	8,204	1,303	62	-	-
Union County	8-AA	0-2	40.79	990,522	1.14	21,283	505	14	-	-
Worth County	1-AA	2-2	42.96	248,857	0.26	1,428	156	5	-	-
Westside (Augusta)	4-AA	1-1	38.81	871,684	0.99	10,260	177	2	-	-
Berrien	1-AA	1-1	41.90	208,102	0.22	913	95	2	-	-
Model	7-AA	1-3	37.76	712,470	0.76	1,058	56	2	-	-
East Laurens	2-AA	3-1	39.67	269,729	0.32	4,315	110	-	-	-
Dade County	7-AA	2-0	36.02	629,879	0.66	533	20	-	-	-
Chattooga	7-AA	0-2	36.09	642,449	0.68	585	19	-	-	-
Banks County	8-AA	1-2	25.70	778,834	0.79	229	2	-	-	-
Therrell	6-AA	0-3	32.83	25,792	0.03	53	-	-	-	-
Oglethorpe County	4-AA	0-2	22.45	74,584	0.08	20	-	-	-	-
Towers	6-AA	1-2	28.96	9,654	0.01	12	-	-	-	-
Riverside Military Academy	8-AA	1-1	15.44	230,959	0.23	4	-	-	-	-
Glenn Hills	4-AA	0-1	19.51	38,892	0.04	4	-	-	-	-
Coosa	7-AA	0-3	24.53	80,837	0.08	2	-	-	-	-
Bacon County	2-AA	0-3	24.87	10,952	0.01	2	-	-	-	-
Josey	4-AA	0-0	17.39	52,725	0.05	-	-	-	-	-
Gordon Central	7-AA	0-3	9.45	1,144	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Southwest	3-AA	0-2	28.38	1,062	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Jasper County	3-AA	0-3	26.97	643	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Butler	4-AA	0-3	5.66	526	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6-AA	0-2	16.19	10	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
McNair	6-AA	0-2	10.56	3	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AA	Fitzgerald	499,955	462,078	36,151	1,685	999,869	131
1-AA	Thomasville	491,980	470,152	36,055	1,682	999,869	131
1-AA	Cook	7,501	57,943	625,016	228,971	919,431	80,569
1-AA	Early County	513	7,626	199,316	416,417	623,872	376,128
1-AA	Worth County	37	1,302	55,529	191,989	248,857	751,143
1-AA	Berrien	14	899	47,933	159,256	208,102	791,898
2-AA	Swainsboro	468,807	293,546	148,885	72,208	983,446	16,554
2-AA	Jeff Davis	304,091	307,341	218,901	131,257	961,590	38,410
2-AA	Toombs County	119,516	201,213	291,701	281,029	893,459	106,541
2-AA	Vidalia	102,539	177,012	284,251	317,022	880,824	119,176
2-AA	East Laurens	5,035	20,739	54,955	189,000	269,729	730,271
2-AA	Bacon County	12	149	1,307	9,484	10,952	989,048
3-AA	Dodge County	513,322	284,548	133,926	58,037	989,833	10,167
3-AA	Northeast	248,941	300,089	256,933	153,940	959,903	40,097
3-AA	Bleckley County	165,486	254,027	297,550	213,328	930,391	69,609
3-AA	Washington County	68,692	143,551	258,158	364,351	834,752	165,248
3-AA	Lamar County	3,559	17,780	53,331	208,746	283,416	716,584
3-AA	Southwest	-	4	71	987	1,062	998,938
3-AA	Jasper County	-	1	31	611	643	999,357
4-AA	Putnam County	539,028	336,099	103,362	20,767	999,256	744
4-AA	Jefferson County	392,342	398,186	169,227	38,457	998,212	1,788
4-AA	Laney	51,583	193,281	457,561	261,696	964,121	35,879
4-AA	Westside (Augusta)	17,012	71,533	252,849	530,290	871,684	128,316
4-AA	Oglethorpe County	27	611	8,839	65,107	74,584	925,416
4-AA	Glenn Hills	5	176	3,816	34,895	38,892	961,108
4-AA	Josey	3	114	4,333	48,275	52,725	947,275
4-AA	Butler	-	-	13	513	526	999,474
5-AA	Callaway	878,957	105,356	12,245	3,285	999,843	157
5-AA	Heard County	50,627	343,333	317,861	214,582	926,403	73,597
5-AA	Haralson County	47,907	343,357	332,860	211,633	935,757	64,243
5-AA	Bremen	21,768	187,245	283,276	356,015	848,304	151,696
5-AA	Temple	741	20,709	53,758	214,485	289,693	710,307
6-AA	Lovett	707,632	235,905	46,184	8,991	998,712	1,288
6-AA	Columbia	246,856	511,800	169,299	52,568	980,523	19,477
6-AA	South Atlanta	20,739	92,089	219,154	288,366	620,348	379,652
6-AA	Pace Academy	20,650	65,173	316,156	316,849	718,828	281,172
6-AA	Washington	4,113	94,357	242,519	305,141	646,130	353,870
6-AA	Therrell	6	545	5,229	20,012	25,792	974,208
6-AA	Towers	4	131	1,458	8,061	9,654	990,346
6-AA	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	-	-	1	9	10	999,990
6-AA	McNair	-	-	-	3	3	999,997
7-AA	Fannin County	519,077	290,290	121,590	48,243	979,200	20,800
7-AA	Pepperell	329,949	348,022	187,540	88,510	954,021	45,979
7-AA	Model	64,087	138,577	246,006	263,800	712,470	287,530
7-AA	Chattooga	44,016	111,307	216,519	270,607	642,449	357,551
7-AA	Dade County	42,151	107,396	209,226	271,106	629,879	370,121
7-AA	Coosa	720	4,402	19,002	56,713	80,837	919,163
7-AA	Gordon Central	-	6	117	1,021	1,144	998,856
8-AA	Rabun County	915,077	81,765	3,082	76	1,000,000	-
8-AA	Elbert County	79,286	764,498	148,790	7,111	999,685	315
8-AA	Union County	5,525	146,976	738,359	99,662	990,522	9,478
8-AA	Banks County	111	6,322	96,807	675,594	778,834	221,166
8-AA	Riverside Military Academy	1	439	12,962	217,557	230,959	769,041

Class A Public

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AA
A Public
A Private

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Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Brooks County	2-A Public	1-1	72.37	997,800	4.23	916,332	754,953	604,749	402,101	1.49
Irwin County	2-A Public	2-1	70.47	995,560	4.05	887,349	704,605	528,208	297,776	2.36
Metter	3-A Public	3-0	66.47	999,903	3.35	690,277	442,286	231,391	107,919	8.27
Macon County	5-A Public	3-0	64.72	998,469	3.19	706,241	309,212	189,732	76,935	12.00
Clinch County	2-A Public	1-2	62.30	948,365	2.76	600,932	353,510	128,938	42,528	22.51
Dublin	4-A Public	1-1	60.01	995,683	2.50	478,542	346,527	97,820	27,590	35.25
Schley County	5-A Public	3-0	60.48	992,226	2.82	563,583	209,516	90,580	26,867	36.22
Bowdon	6-A Public	3-1	54.86	998,217	2.23	289,023	107,987	21,972	4,048	246.04
Pelham	1-A Public	2-2	52.98	999,835	2.44	492,987	120,718	22,170	3,516	283.41
Charlton County	2-A Public	3-0	54.32	725,749	1.42	223,774	110,567	18,622	3,042	327.73
Emanuel County Institute	3-A Public	2-1	52.82	982,480	2.10	288,774	82,016	15,792	2,356	423.45
Manchester	5-A Public	2-1	51.45	897,808	2.17	367,693	84,808	12,362	1,661	601.05
Wilcox County	4-A Public	1-2	52.00	949,656	1.40	142,952	57,445	8,474	1,111	899.09
Mitchell County	1-A Public	2-1	49.09	995,055	1.93	300,264	81,450	8,162	788	1,268.04
Washington-Wilkes	8-A Public	2-1	48.89	958,105	1.80	94,583	34,598	4,643	480	2,082.33
McIntosh County Academy	3-A Public	0-2-1	47.98	938,427	1.70	200,809	45,011	4,459	399	2,505.27
Trion	6-A Public	3-0	46.83	974,588	1.68	101,142	33,378	2,714	230	4,346.83
Chattahoochee County	5-A Public	2-0	46.04	688,696	1.48	198,907	37,058	2,670	205	4,877.05
Montgomery County	4-A Public	3-0	48.03	806,256	0.97	50,766	15,044	1,735	162	6,171.84
Lincoln County	8-A Public	2-1	44.97	875,787	1.43	51,018	13,714	1,150	72	13,887.89
Social Circle	8-A Public	2-2	44.66	866,656	1.40	47,595	12,389	1,034	63	15,872.02
Commerce	8-A Public	1-2	44.62	865,032	1.40	47,723	12,483	974	62	16,128.03
Turner County	2-A Public	1-2	45.89	207,970	0.28	20,308	6,708	444	36	27,776.78
Johnson County	4-A Public	2-1	45.22	454,893	0.50	12,344	2,687	323	27	37,036.04
Terrell County	1-A Public	2-0	41.15	938,890	1.23	51,807	5,821	284	6	166,665.67
Telfair County	4-A Public	1-1	42.11	360,112	0.38	6,077	994	72	5	199,999.00
Greenville	5-A Public	2-0	37.59	179,203	0.31	19,194	1,631	49	4	249,999.00
Atkinson County	2-A Public	2-0	43.05	110,965	0.14	6,756	1,876	102	3	333,332.33
Wheeler County	4-A Public	2-1	42.92	342,674	0.37	6,160	986	100	2	499,999.00
Screven County	3-A Public	0-2	37.79	555,649	0.69	24,394	1,783	66	2	499,999.00
Warren County	7-A Public	2-2	36.15	961,648	1.15	27,134	2,067	55	2	499,999.00
Hancock Central	7-A Public	0-1	35.92	954,968	1.14	25,297	1,895	45	1	999,999.00
Georgia Military College	7-A Public	3-0	32.39	901,643	0.99	8,567	437	11	1	999,999.00
Armuchee	6-A Public	2-0	36.65	754,706	0.95	7,361	1,004	36	-	-
Marion County	5-A Public	1-3	35.56	224,897	0.36	17,724	1,234	27	-	-
Mount Zion (Carroll)	6-A Public	2-1	35.01	655,750	0.80	4,093	466	14	-	-
Greene County	8-A Public	2-1	34.97	339,964	0.41	2,881	284	8	-	-
Jenkins County	3-A Public	0-1	34.06	282,177	0.32	6,032	276	4	-	-
Dooly County	4-A Public	1-2	38.33	89,881	0.09	562	57	4	-	-
Claxton	3-A Public	0-3	32.51	223,158	0.25	3,439	137	3	-	-
Wilkinson County	7-A Public	1-2	29.86	911,644	0.98	5,296	175	2	-	-
Gordon Lee	6-A Public	1-2	32.03	449,369	0.52	1,318	122	-	-	-
Taylor County	5-A Public	1-2	32.06	18,699	0.03	829	46	-	-	-
Lanier County	2-A Public	1-2	34.42	13,591	0.01	136	23	-	-	-
Randolph-Clay	1-A Public	1-1	27.42	572,226	0.59	546	9	-	-	-
Towns County	8-A Public	2-1	28.51	94,456	0.10	163	3	-	-	-
Miller County	1-A Public	0-3	24.17	342,869	0.35	132	3	-	-	-
Bryan County	3-A Public	1-2	21.90	17,883	0.02	18	1	-	-	-
B.E.S.T. Academy	6-A Public	1-2	26.51	167,370	0.18	110	-	-	-	-
Crawford County	7-A Public	0-3	20.98	220,981	0.22	45	-	-	-	-
Seminole County	1-A Public	1-3	18.94	151,125	0.15	11	-	-	-	-
ACE Charter	7-A Public	0-1	12.75	32,557	0.03	-	-	-	-	-
Twiggs County	7-A Public	0-3	14.08	16,559	0.02	-	-	-	-	-
Hawkinsville	4-A Public	1-2	25.83	752	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Portal	3-A Public	0-3	10.53	323	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Treutlen	4-A Public	1-2	19.63	93	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Talbotton)	5-A Public	0-3	3.84	2	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Pataula Charter	1-A Public	1-1	25.46	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Baconton Charter	1-A Public	0-2	3.41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Glascock County	7-A Public	0-2	-4.23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
GSIC	7-A Public	0-0	-10.13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Public	Pelham	802,696	183,231	10,168	3,740	999,835	165
1-A Public	Mitchell County	121,530	630,859	214,383	28,283	995,055	4,945
1-A Public	Terrell County	72,983	168,936	557,011	139,960	938,890	61,110
1-A Public	Randolph-Clay	2,069	11,165	130,091	428,901	572,226	427,774
1-A Public	Miller County	661	5,005	65,987	271,216	342,869	657,131
1-A Public	Seminole County	61	804	22,360	127,900	151,125	848,875
1-A Public	Baconton Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Public	Pataula Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-A Public	Brooks County	491,401	356,112	127,665	22,622	997,800	2,200
2-A Public	Irwin County	410,208	391,296	158,555	35,501	995,560	4,440
2-A Public	Clinch County	86,226	199,259	463,101	199,779	948,365	51,635
2-A Public	Charlton County	11,567	47,223	199,172	467,787	725,749	274,251
2-A Public	Turner County	474	4,489	35,665	167,342	207,970	792,030
2-A Public	Atkinson County	123	1,590	14,901	94,351	110,965	889,035
2-A Public	Lanier County	1	31	941	12,618	13,591	986,409
3-A Public	Metter	843,831	136,691	17,744	1,637	999,903	97
3-A Public	Emanuel County Institute	111,810	517,066	289,153	64,451	982,480	17,520
3-A Public	McIntosh County Academy	41,554	291,916	451,885	153,072	938,427	61,573
3-A Public	Screven County	1,986	33,328	133,750	386,585	555,649	444,351
3-A Public	Jenkins County	531	12,777	60,777	208,092	282,177	717,823
3-A Public	Claxton	287	8,135	45,126	169,610	223,158	776,842
3-A Public	Bryan County	1	87	1,557	16,238	17,883	982,117
3-A Public	Portal	-	-	8	315	323	999,677
4-A Public	Dublin	709,472	211,838	59,580	14,793	995,683	4,317
4-A Public	Wilcox County	199,406	436,337	226,657	87,256	949,656	50,344
4-A Public	Montgomery County	68,968	213,977	307,323	215,988	806,256	193,744
4-A Public	Telfair County	10,263	50,860	113,938	185,051	360,112	639,888
4-A Public	Johnson County	8,920	37,863	162,341	245,769	454,893	545,107
4-A Public	Wheeler County	2,455	44,483	111,594	184,142	342,674	657,326
4-A Public	Dooly County	516	4,630	18,454	66,281	89,881	910,119
4-A Public	Hawkinsville	-	12	107	633	752	999,248
4-A Public	Treutlen	-	-	6	87	93	999,907
5-A Public	Macon County	588,974	318,858	76,515	14,122	998,469	1,531
5-A Public	Schley County	343,613	440,557	168,207	39,849	992,226	7,774
5-A Public	Manchester	54,261	174,819	441,667	227,061	897,808	102,192
5-A Public	Chattahoochee County	12,373	54,718	220,266	401,339	688,696	311,304
5-A Public	Greenville	471	5,642	40,441	132,649	179,203	820,797
5-A Public	Marion County	304	5,368	50,995	168,230	224,897	775,103
5-A Public	Taylor County	4	38	1,909	16,748	18,699	981,301
5-A Public	Central (Talbotton)	-	-	-	2	2	999,998
6-A Public	Bowdon	709,199	241,690	39,434	7,894	998,217	1,783
6-A Public	Trion	244,249	489,862	182,648	57,829	974,588	25,412
6-A Public	Armuchee	25,404	131,866	329,087	268,349	754,706	245,294
6-A Public	Mount Zion (Carroll)	14,199	83,068	253,484	304,999	655,750	344,250
6-A Public	Gordon Lee	6,276	44,836	148,073	250,184	449,369	550,631
6-A Public	B.E.S.T. Academy	673	8,678	47,274	110,745	167,370	832,630
7-A Public	Warren County	322,914	275,775	217,224	145,735	961,648	38,352
7-A Public	Hancock Central	317,175	265,829	221,239	150,725	954,968	45,032
7-A Public	Wilkinson County	178,541	227,281	243,810	262,012	911,644	88,356
7-A Public	Georgia Military College	175,768	211,050	261,846	252,979	901,643	98,357
7-A Public	Crawford County	5,376	18,618	48,533	148,454	220,981	779,019
7-A Public	ACE Charter	147	1,071	4,900	26,439	32,557	967,443
7-A Public	Twiggs County	79	376	2,448	13,656	16,559	983,441
7-A Public	Glascock County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-A Public	GSIC	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-A Public	Washington-Wilkes	420,456	267,090	171,402	99,157	958,105	41,895
8-A Public	Lincoln County	191,923	233,334	243,010	207,520	875,787	124,213
8-A Public	Commerce	190,044	224,917	238,603	211,468	865,032	134,968
8-A Public	Social Circle	180,687	225,948	243,568	216,453	866,656	133,344
8-A Public	Greene County	15,364	42,373	84,470	197,757	339,964	660,036
8-A Public	Towns County	1,526	6,338	18,947	67,645	94,456	905,544

Class A Private

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AAAAA
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AA
A Public
A Private

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Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	4-A Private	4-0	74.11	1,000,000	3.41	949,317	847,016	551,613	400,408	1.50
Eagle's Landing Christian	2-A Private	1-2	73.57	1,000,000	3.94	823,596	700,446	422,424	294,298	2.40
Calvary Day	3-A Private	4-0	67.67	1,000,000	3.57	784,162	526,171	303,436	116,763	7.56
Prince Avenue Christian	8-A Private	3-1	66.49	999,979	3.13	511,414	409,512	230,292	80,342	11.45
Whitefield Academy	2-A Private	4-0	63.54	1,000,000	2.90	484,336	339,846	153,550	40,832	23.49
Wesleyan	5-A Private	2-1	62.58	997,570	2.71	556,215	204,145	69,864	21,935	44.59
Fellowship Christian	6-A Private	2-1	59.58	999,876	2.84	572,249	243,868	91,866	16,846	58.36
Darlington	7-A Private	2-1	59.47	999,874	2.50	536,843	125,667	39,673	9,475	104.54
Athens Academy	8-A Private	3-1	58.09	999,462	2.27	206,538	110,912	31,951	6,057	164.10
Aquinas	3-A Private	3-0	57.74	1,000,000	2.38	437,459	119,845	33,543	6,010	165.39
St. Anne-Pacelli	4-A Private	3-0	53.98	1,000,000	2.02	291,570	89,099	19,795	1,995	500.25
Stratford Academy	1-A Private	2-0	53.81	996,375	1.81	256,736	46,545	11,278	1,238	806.75
Mount Vernon Presbyterian	5-A Private	1-2	53.65	965,130	1.88	235,508	52,202	11,145	1,171	852.97
Savannah Country Day	3-A Private	2-1	52.94	1,000,000	1.95	276,464	44,353	8,425	902	1,107.65
North Cobb Christian	7-A Private	2-2	51.67	998,192	1.78	220,093	33,273	6,320	612	1,632.99
Savannah Christian	3-A Private	1-2	51.65	1,000,000	1.85	237,603	33,452	6,030	591	1,691.05
Holy Innocents	5-A Private	2-1	50.09	913,912	1.53	144,510	21,816	3,534	245	4,080.63
King's Ridge Christian	6-A Private	2-1	47.38	991,481	1.71	72,203	14,803	1,677	106	9,432.96
First Presbyterian	1-A Private	2-1	48.67	982,622	1.39	101,542	10,399	1,424	89	11,234.96
Hebron Christian	5-A Private	2-1	46.02	820,070	1.15	66,678	5,650	573	30	33,332.33
Christian Heritage	7-A Private	1-3	44.48	990,320	1.28	45,694	4,128	360	17	58,822.53
Tattnall Square	1-A Private	2-0	45.15	979,438	1.23	48,547	3,809	356	16	62,499.00
Landmark Christian	2-A Private	2-2	43.12	1,000,000	1.31	44,470	4,878	363	9	111,110.11
Mount Paran Christian	7-A Private	2-1	43.42	985,103	1.23	36,340	2,704	196	7	142,856.14
Brookstone	4-A Private	3-1	42.58	1,000,000	1.16	20,699	2,766	194	4	249,999.00
Athens Christian	8-A Private	3-0	39.06	935,195	1.16	11,346	966	40	2	499,999.00
Mount de Sales	1-A Private	2-1	40.02	848,239	0.93	11,367	798	43	-	-
George Walton Academy	8-A Private	1-2	37.84	930,726	1.12	9,033	627	28	-	-
Providence Christian	5-A Private	1-3	37.23	303,318	0.34	4,162	131	3	-	-
Mount Pisgah Christian	6-A Private	1-3	34.57	838,017	0.92	1,628	99	2	-	-
St. Francis	6-A Private	0-3	33.70	798,045	0.86	1,150	60	2	-	-
Heritage (Newnan)	4-A Private	0-2	29.52	1,000,000	1.01	361	10	-	-	-
Lakeview Academy	6-A Private	1-2	26.56	372,581	0.38	64	3	-	-	-
Deerfield-Windsor	1-A Private	1-3	27.13	91,987	0.09	44	1	-	-	-
Strong Rock Christian	1-A Private	0-2	25.36	101,339	0.10	33	-	-	-	-
Loganville Christian	8-A Private	0-2	21.08	134,638	0.14	26	-	-	-	-
Walker	7-A Private	0-4	13.84	26,511	0.03	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Private	Stratford Academy	579,072	271,111	107,929	38,263	996,375	3,625
1-A Private	First Presbyterian	241,052	356,455	267,163	117,952	982,622	17,378
1-A Private	Tattnall Square	139,429	268,870	366,748	204,391	979,438	20,562
1-A Private	Mount de Sales	40,092	99,839	237,486	470,822	848,239	151,761
1-A Private	Strong Rock Christian	223	2,459	13,574	85,083	101,339	898,661
1-A Private	Deerfield-Windsor	132	1,266	7,100	83,489	91,987	908,013
2-A Private	Eagle's Landing Christian	770,280	223,589	6,131	-	1,000,000	-
2-A Private	Whitefield Academy	226,936	710,244	62,820	-	1,000,000	-
2-A Private	Landmark Christian	2,784	66,167	931,049	-	1,000,000	-
3-A Private	Calvary Day	703,133	224,459	52,132	20,276	1,000,000	-
3-A Private	Aquinas	182,266	406,708	256,410	154,616	1,000,000	-
3-A Private	Savannah Country Day	68,603	207,363	361,957	362,077	1,000,000	-
3-A Private	Savannah Christian	45,998	161,470	329,501	463,031	1,000,000	-
4-A Private	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	934,772	63,011	2,132	85	1,000,000	-
4-A Private	St. Anne-Pacelli	59,915	762,146	163,765	14,174	1,000,000	-
4-A Private	Brookstone	5,123	163,135	691,773	139,969	1,000,000	-
4-A Private	Heritage (Newnan)	190	11,708	142,330	845,772	1,000,000	-
5-A Private	Wesleyan	686,879	232,056	60,268	18,367	997,570	2,430
5-A Private	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	191,321	376,194	266,476	131,139	965,130	34,870
5-A Private	Holy Innocents	85,829	248,501	351,158	228,424	913,912	86,088
5-A Private	Hebron Christian	33,660	124,399	263,244	398,767	820,070	179,930
5-A Private	Providence Christian	2,311	18,850	58,854	223,303	303,318	696,682
6-A Private	Fellowship Christian	828,634	157,972	11,511	1,759	999,876	124
6-A Private	King's Ridge Christian	153,682	649,367	155,160	33,272	991,481	8,519
6-A Private	Mount Pisgah Christian	10,326	98,424	400,223	329,044	838,017	161,983
6-A Private	St. Francis	6,633	78,154	337,453	375,805	798,045	201,955
6-A Private	Lakeview Academy	725	16,083	95,653	260,120	372,581	627,419
7-A Private	Darlington	665,787	254,011	58,821	21,255	999,874	126
7-A Private	North Cobb Christian	234,961	431,916	219,478	111,837	998,192	1,808
7-A Private	Christian Heritage	51,686	169,475	384,557	384,602	990,320	9,680
7-A Private	Mount Paran Christian	47,564	144,503	336,455	456,581	985,103	14,897
7-A Private	Walker	2	95	689	25,725	26,511	973,489
8-A Private	Prince Avenue Christian	726,391	260,696	11,687	1,205	999,979	21
8-A Private	Athens Academy	265,864	650,802	72,677	10,119	999,462	538
8-A Private	Athens Christian	4,823	51,202	462,907	416,263	935,195	64,805
8-A Private	George Walton Academy	2,920	36,576	434,905	456,325	930,726	69,274
8-A Private	Loganville Christian	2	724	17,824	116,088	134,638	865,362

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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