Maxwell playoff projections heading into Week 5

August 20, 2021 - Kennesaw, Ga: Buford wide receiver Tobi Olawale (4) celebrates his receiving touchdown with running back Victor Venn (6) during the second half against North Cobb at North Cobb high school Friday, August 20, 2021 in Kennesaw, Ga.. Buford won 35-27. JASON GETZ FOR THE ATLANTA JOURNAL-CONSTITUTION

By Loren Maxwell

Sept 11, 2024

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class in the GHSA.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2024 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 iterations.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
North Gwinnett	7-AAAAAA	3-0	97.80	999,856	3.80	894,014	560,605	370,274	233,514	3.28
Buford	8-AAAAAA	2-1	97.93	999,970	3.30	698,570	453,094	296,767	178,903	4.59
Douglas County	2-AAAAAA	4-0	95.53	999,728	3.31	641,929	562,138	290,736	161,628	5.19
Collins Hill	8-AAAAAA	4-0	94.79	999,918	2.92	585,109	354,245	203,075	100,943	8.91
Grayson	4-AAAAAA	3-1	91.92	999,989	3.35	783,737	398,728	206,944	85,150	10.74
Carrollton	2-AAAAAA	4-0	92.89	999,527	2.73	484,507	392,387	178,578	81,940	11.20
Mill Creek	8-AAAAAA	3-1	92.77	999,855	2.62	492,212	281,883	142,639	62,499	15.00
North Cobb	5-AAAAAA	4-0	90.77	998,644	2.47	337,493	236,429	105,195	40,553	23.66
Norcross	7-AAAAAA	2-1	87.03	992,081	2.90	683,522	242,843	86,811	24,559	39.72
Colquitt County	1-AAAAAA	2-1	88.51	961,493	2.24	284,001	144,974	58,191	19,402	50.54
Camden County	1-AAAAAA	4-0	84.83	911,893	1.84	174,691	77,862	22,948	5,931	167.61
Walton	5-AAAAAA	2-2	80.02	961,843	1.55	79,189	39,519	6,642	1,130	883.96
Valdosta	1-AAAAAA	4-0	80.40	769,793	1.30	75,584	29,303	5,767	1,017	982.28
West Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	2-1	75.92	961,789	1.91	311,304	48,184	5,615	685	1,458.85
McEachern	3-AAAAAA	1-2	76.11	986,824	2.01	267,654	40,731	5,779	641	1,559.06
South Gwinnett	4-AAAAAA	3-0	76.12	997,671	2.00	232,422	34,290	4,833	584	1,711.33
Lowndes	1-AAAAAA	4-0	77.80	668,599	1.02	42,309	15,001	2,274	327	3,057.10
Richmond Hill	1-AAAAAA	3-0	76.04	542,146	0.78	23,989	8,118	1,066	142	7,041.25
East Coweta	2-AAAAAA	2-2	74.72	949,950	1.08	26,822	7,109	844	84	11,903.76
Lambert	6-AAAAAA	1-2	71.42	874,597	1.37	125,210	12,408	998	82	12,194.12
Newton	4-AAAAAA	1-3	70.96	990,158	1.71	165,380	14,307	1,003	81	12,344.68
Westlake	2-AAAAAA	2-2	74.41	961,049	1.08	24,285	5,869	683	64	15,624.00
North Paulding	5-AAAAAA	3-1	73.21	858,386	1.10	20,267	5,253	510	41	24,389.24
Peachtree Ridge	7-AAAAAA	1-2	69.58	669,398	1.06	86,368	6,352	368	23	43,477.26
Parkview	7-AAAAAA	0-3	69.20	642,922	1.00	78,940	5,634	337	20	49,999.00
Harrison	3-AAAAAA	2-1	68.24	910,765	1.37	92,739	6,258	340	14	71,427.57
North Atlanta	6-AAAAAA	2-1	67.66	693,628	0.91	46,680	3,052	168	12	83,332.33
Brookwood	7-AAAAAA	1-2	67.42	565,795	0.84	55,671	3,328	162	11	90,908.09
Hillgrove	3-AAAAAA	3-0	66.98	864,053	1.21	64,513	3,894	169	7	142,856.14
North Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	2-1	66.29	653,072	0.82	32,435	1,879	98	5	199,999.00
Cherokee	5-AAAAAA	2-2	68.97	638,632	0.75	6,162	1,134	72	4	249,999.00
Campbell	3-AAAAAA	3-0	64.34	761,422	0.97	32,061	1,438	53	1	999,999.00
Denmark	6-AAAAAA	0-3	63.45	457,500	0.54	12,936	526	21	1	999,999.00
Tift County	1-AAAAAA	2-2	67.68	146,076	0.17	1,210	235	13	1	999,999.00
Archer	4-AAAAAA	0-4	60.52	908,997	1.14	25,075	596	10	1	999,999.00
Marietta	5-AAAAAA	0-4	63.71	363,414	0.40	1,124	127	9	-	-
Alpharetta	6-AAAAAA	0-3	59.29	249,062	0.27	2,550	82	3	-	-
Pebblebrook	3-AAAAAA	2-1	57.03	356,820	0.39	3,292	60	1	-	-
Duluth	7-AAAAAA	2-1	57.83	128,150	0.15	2,852	58	1	-	-
Dacula	8-AAAAAA	1-2	55.24	449,453	0.45	206	34	1	-	-
Wheeler	5-AAAAAA	0-4	59.23	159,166	0.17	179	14	1	-	-
South Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	2-1	55.94	100,080	0.11	470	4	1	-	-
Central Gwinnett	8-AAAAAA	2-1	52.33	338,613	0.34	90	9	-	-	-
Mountain View	8-AAAAAA	0-4	50.92	210,609	0.21	52	4	-	-	-
Paulding County	3-AAAAAA	0-3	49.99	94,251	0.10	148	2	-	-	-
Chapel Hill	2-AAAAAA	1-2	51.63	89,746	0.09	15	-	-	-	-
Osborne	3-AAAAAA	0-3	44.30	25,774	0.03	9	-	-	-	-
Heritage (Conyers)	4-AAAAAA	2-1	37.66	35,529	0.04	7	-	-	-	-
Etowah	5-AAAAAA	1-3	50.03	19,915	0.02	5	-	-	-	-
Rockdale County	4-AAAAAA	3-1	38.16	31,796	0.03	4	-	-	-	-
Forsyth Central	6-AAAAAA	1-2	47.47	10,272	0.01	3	-	-	-	-
Grovetown	4-AAAAAA	0-4	37.72	35,860	0.04	2	-	-	-	-
Meadowcreek	7-AAAAAA	0-3	40.28	1,230	0.00	2	-	-	-	-
Discovery	8-AAAAAA	0-4	27.72	1,582	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Berkmar	7-AAAAAA	1-2	38.14	568	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
South Cobb	3-AAAAAA	0-3	27.76	91	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAA	Colquitt County	465,427	278,325	148,290	69,451	961,493	38,507
1-AAAAAA	Camden County	290,067	282,909	210,804	128,113	911,893	88,107
1-AAAAAA	Valdosta	129,823	191,821	233,645	214,504	769,793	230,207
1-AAAAAA	Lowndes	71,560	141,233	208,761	247,045	668,599	331,401
1-AAAAAA	Richmond Hill	39,492	92,499	162,267	247,888	542,146	457,854
1-AAAAAA	Tift County	3,631	13,213	36,233	92,999	146,076	853,924
2-AAAAAA	Douglas County	590,396	348,756	49,767	10,809	999,728	272
2-AAAAAA	Carrollton	377,483	510,282	91,355	20,407	999,527	473
2-AAAAAA	East Coweta	18,861	74,826	401,264	454,999	949,950	50,050
2-AAAAAA	Westlake	13,252	65,685	449,548	432,564	961,049	38,951
2-AAAAAA	Chapel Hill	8	451	8,066	81,221	89,746	910,254
3-AAAAAA	McEachern	609,033	234,606	101,582	41,603	986,824	13,176
3-AAAAAA	Harrison	177,606	310,802	258,731	163,626	910,765	89,235
3-AAAAAA	Hillgrove	123,998	245,230	279,966	214,859	864,053	135,947
3-AAAAAA	Campbell	76,043	157,898	236,947	290,534	761,422	238,578
3-AAAAAA	Pebblebrook	12,242	44,356	96,993	203,229	356,820	643,180
3-AAAAAA	Paulding County	977	6,136	20,810	66,328	94,251	905,749
3-AAAAAA	Osborne	101	972	4,967	19,734	25,774	974,226
3-AAAAAA	South Cobb	-	-	4	87	91	999,909
4-AAAAAA	Grayson	824,563	153,712	19,563	2,151	999,989	11
4-AAAAAA	South Gwinnett	130,757	530,768	262,891	73,255	997,671	2,329
4-AAAAAA	Newton	40,517	256,810	488,997	203,834	990,158	9,842
4-AAAAAA	Archer	4,161	58,409	223,420	623,007	908,997	91,003
4-AAAAAA	Heritage (Conyers)	1	96	1,718	33,714	35,529	964,471
4-AAAAAA	Rockdale County	1	91	1,734	29,970	31,796	968,204
4-AAAAAA	Grovetown	-	114	1,677	34,069	35,860	964,140
5-AAAAAA	North Cobb	736,597	213,337	40,490	8,220	998,644	1,356
5-AAAAAA	Walton	198,984	453,265	221,640	87,954	961,843	38,157
5-AAAAAA	North Paulding	43,015	198,569	382,667	234,135	858,386	141,614
5-AAAAAA	Cherokee	17,649	93,406	210,476	317,101	638,632	361,368
5-AAAAAA	Marietta	3,135	32,169	102,091	226,019	363,414	636,586
5-AAAAAA	Wheeler	610	8,915	39,337	110,304	159,166	840,834
5-AAAAAA	Etowah	10	339	3,299	16,267	19,915	980,085
6-AAAAAA	West Forsyth	535,991	246,194	121,792	57,812	961,789	38,211
6-AAAAAA	Lambert	234,202	293,310	210,791	136,294	874,597	125,403
6-AAAAAA	North Atlanta	101,632	175,179	213,007	203,810	693,628	306,372
6-AAAAAA	North Forsyth	75,275	152,021	209,016	216,760	653,072	346,928
6-AAAAAA	Denmark	40,004	88,238	139,827	189,431	457,500	542,500
6-AAAAAA	Alpharetta	10,228	34,320	75,375	129,139	249,062	750,938
6-AAAAAA	South Forsyth	2,625	10,264	28,036	59,155	100,080	899,920
6-AAAAAA	Forsyth Central	43	474	2,156	7,599	10,272	989,728
7-AAAAAA	North Gwinnett	800,715	186,670	11,294	1,177	999,856	144
7-AAAAAA	Norcross	188,061	646,329	132,264	25,427	992,081	7,919
7-AAAAAA	Peachtree Ridge	4,715	66,827	302,423	295,433	669,398	330,602
7-AAAAAA	Parkview	4,151	61,876	286,462	290,433	642,922	357,078
7-AAAAAA	Brookwood	2,280	35,676	229,376	298,463	565,795	434,205
7-AAAAAA	Duluth	78	2,621	38,030	87,421	128,150	871,850
7-AAAAAA	Meadowcreek	-	1	110	1,119	1,230	998,770
7-AAAAAA	Berkmar	-	-	41	527	568	999,432
8-AAAAAA	Buford	460,348	318,013	219,678	1,931	999,970	30
8-AAAAAA	Collins Hill	308,429	361,239	326,167	4,083	999,918	82
8-AAAAAA	Mill Creek	231,203	320,470	442,089	6,093	999,855	145
8-AAAAAA	Dacula	11	183	6,595	442,664	449,453	550,547
8-AAAAAA	Central Gwinnett	7	54	3,115	335,437	338,613	661,387
8-AAAAAA	Mountain View	2	41	2,354	208,212	210,609	789,391
8-AAAAAA	Discovery	-	-	2	1,580	1,582	998,418

Class AAAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Milton	7-AAAAA	3-0	102.68	999,964	4.32	929,451	802,785	599,762	446,901	1.24
Lee County	2-AAAAA	3-0	96.63	995,246	4.06	923,859	733,844	415,060	229,126	3.36
Thomas County Central	2-AAAAA	4-0	92.55	983,090	3.65	865,726	566,187	271,116	106,304	8.41
Coffee	2-AAAAA	3-0	92.28	983,575	3.62	862,351	553,798	260,361	99,696	9.03
Gainesville	7-AAAAA	3-0	91.28	999,301	3.20	675,095	400,173	207,263	68,304	13.64
Hughes	3-AAAAA	2-1	88.09	999,914	2.80	490,285	217,038	103,321	27,269	35.67
Roswell	7-AAAAA	2-1	84.14	993,934	2.52	488,966	191,549	51,859	9,939	99.61
Houston County	2-AAAAA	3-1	81.56	830,439	2.35	597,330	146,520	32,493	5,802	171.35
Woodward Academy	4-AAAAA	0-3	79.47	999,908	2.36	343,873	112,557	23,717	2,998	332.56
Sequoyah	6-AAAAA	4-0	77.79	983,397	2.14	450,570	84,503	12,141	1,690	590.72
Rome	5-AAAAA	0-2	77.24	997,998	2.12	157,627	43,935	8,267	872	1,145.79
Brunswick	1-AAAAA	2-1	74.84	998,777	2.18	207,815	56,443	7,916	684	1,460.99
East Paulding	5-AAAAA	3-0	72.60	991,281	1.95	94,111	23,732	2,428	173	5,779.35
River Ridge	6-AAAAA	3-1	71.51	934,677	1.36	142,216	17,009	1,377	109	9,173.31
Creekview	6-AAAAA	3-1	70.31	883,015	1.21	106,287	11,935	906	49	20,407.16
Northside (Warner Robins)	2-AAAAA	2-1	69.50	200,128	0.42	82,594	5,796	510	36	27,776.78
Dutchtown	3-AAAAA	1-2	66.18	907,394	1.55	99,808	7,090	364	14	71,427.57
Lovejoy	3-AAAAA	1-2	65.65	903,610	1.53	96,138	6,318	312	14	71,427.57
Clarke Central	8-AAAAA	2-2	64.85	989,476	1.19	71,478	4,077	279	6	166,665.67
Decatur	4-AAAAA	3-0	63.34	970,937	1.47	37,599	3,221	128	5	199,999.00
Glynn Academy	1-AAAAA	2-1	63.36	897,423	1.46	64,699	3,485	159	4	249,999.00
Newnan	3-AAAAA	2-1	62.39	813,147	1.23	48,082	2,432	105	1	999,999.00
Pope	6-AAAAA	2-2	61.39	711,075	0.77	12,975	763	20	1	999,999.00
Jackson County	8-AAAAA	2-1	59.50	946,859	1.01	17,564	722	20	1	999,999.00
Effingham County	1-AAAAA	0-3	58.79	657,517	0.87	15,585	518	17	1	999,999.00
Seckinger	7-AAAAA	3-0	59.01	386,284	0.46	17,883	447	9	1	999,999.00
Lanier	7-AAAAA	1-2	62.23	536,239	0.68	40,090	1,423	50	-	-
Sprayberry	6-AAAAA	3-1	63.20	353,481	0.38	7,684	558	23	-	-
Villa Rica	5-AAAAA	1-2	55.96	514,479	0.66	8,899	234	5	-	-
South Paulding	5-AAAAA	0-3	54.64	413,630	0.51	5,438	134	3	-	-
Lakeside (Evans)	1-AAAAA	3-0	55.36	665,832	0.82	8,160	197	2	-	-
Winder-Barrow	8-AAAAA	2-1	55.12	849,657	0.87	4,491	133	2	-	-
Dunwoody	4-AAAAA	1-2	52.24	663,861	0.75	5,121	90	1	-	-
Kennesaw Mountain	5-AAAAA	1-2	52.62	318,111	0.38	2,767	68	1	-	-
Arabia Mountain	4-AAAAA	1-2	51.11	590,484	0.66	3,459	52	1	-	-
Habersham Central	8-AAAAA	1-3	51.15	678,116	0.69	1,131	32	1	-	-
Alexander	5-AAAAA	1-2	50.81	243,302	0.28	1,469	20	1	-	-
Shiloh	4-AAAAA	0-3	49.67	560,074	0.61	2,339	37	-	-	-
Evans	1-AAAAA	2-1	54.05	237,714	0.28	1,392	33	-	-	-
New Manchester	5-AAAAA	3-0	51.31	279,668	0.33	1,794	21	-	-	-
Lithia Springs	5-AAAAA	1-2	50.89	241,531	0.28	1,448	21	-	-	-
Woodstock	6-AAAAA	3-1	55.23	124,527	0.13	291	16	-	-	-
Greenbrier	1-AAAAA	2-1	50.47	301,449	0.34	1,081	11	-	-	-
Northgate	3-AAAAA	0-3	49.72	128,644	0.14	492	11	-	-	-
Statesboro	1-AAAAA	1-2	50.90	115,544	0.13	364	8	-	-	-
Veterans	2-AAAAA	0-3	53.25	7,522	0.01	522	7	-	-	-
McIntosh	3-AAAAA	1-2	49.79	140,987	0.16	563	6	-	-	-
Banneker	3-AAAAA	2-1	48.58	99,794	0.11	255	4	-	-	-
Chattahoochee	7-AAAAA	3-0	47.60	48,906	0.05	271	3	-	-	-
South Effingham	1-AAAAA	0-2	47.92	104,830	0.11	208	1	-	-	-
Johns Creek	7-AAAAA	0-3	45.61	35,372	0.04	137	1	-	-	-
Alcovy	8-AAAAA	1-3	43.94	288,773	0.29	60	1	-	-	-
Loganville	8-AAAAA	0-4	42.41	211,790	0.21	29	1	-	-	-
Tri-Cities	4-AAAAA	2-0	38.89	75,627	0.08	28	-	-	-	-
Chamblee	4-AAAAA	0-3	38.99	66,331	0.07	21	-	-	-	-
Lakeside (Atlanta)	4-AAAAA	1-2	39.14	72,778	0.07	19	-	-	-	-
Bradwell Institute	1-AAAAA	1-2	43.33	20,914	0.02	7	-	-	-	-
Apalachee	8-AAAAA	0-3	34.22	35,329	0.04	1	-	-	-	-
Morrow	3-AAAAA	1-1	37.91	6,510	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Riverwood	6-AAAAA	0-4	41.13	4,218	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Lassiter	6-AAAAA	2-2	43.11	5,610	0.01	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAA	Brunswick	833,816	141,711	19,153	4,097	998,777	1,223
1-AAAAA	Glynn Academy	130,964	427,313	225,358	113,788	897,423	102,577
1-AAAAA	Lakeside (Evans)	19,970	147,466	258,898	239,498	665,832	334,168
1-AAAAA	Effingham County	6,278	189,560	254,677	207,002	657,517	342,483
1-AAAAA	Greenbrier	4,002	39,863	99,630	157,954	301,449	698,551
1-AAAAA	Evans	3,272	29,878	71,000	133,564	237,714	762,286
1-AAAAA	Statesboro	929	13,074	35,187	66,354	115,544	884,456
1-AAAAA	South Effingham	747	10,658	31,010	62,415	104,830	895,170
1-AAAAA	Bradwell Institute	22	477	5,087	15,328	20,914	979,086
2-AAAAA	Lee County	504,456	295,553	150,002	45,235	995,246	4,754
2-AAAAA	Thomas County Central	249,961	324,664	292,888	115,577	983,090	16,910
2-AAAAA	Coffee	219,280	308,347	333,243	122,705	983,575	16,425
2-AAAAA	Houston County	25,670	66,471	200,774	537,524	830,439	169,561
2-AAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	631	4,943	22,736	171,818	200,128	799,872
2-AAAAA	Veterans	2	22	357	7,141	7,522	992,478
3-AAAAA	Hughes	911,025	79,018	8,307	1,564	999,914	86
3-AAAAA	Dutchtown	34,780	333,162	314,875	224,577	907,394	92,606
3-AAAAA	Lovejoy	33,133	342,036	308,710	219,731	903,610	96,390
3-AAAAA	Newnan	20,634	221,266	280,334	290,913	813,147	186,853
3-AAAAA	Northgate	174	8,310	30,041	90,119	128,644	871,356
3-AAAAA	McIntosh	159	10,450	34,572	95,806	140,987	859,013
3-AAAAA	Banneker	95	5,665	22,292	71,742	99,794	900,206
3-AAAAA	Morrow	-	93	869	5,548	6,510	993,490
4-AAAAA	Woodward Academy	858,019	132,057	8,820	1,012	999,908	92
4-AAAAA	Decatur	126,123	586,423	191,259	67,132	970,937	29,063
4-AAAAA	Dunwoody	6,984	110,376	282,254	264,247	663,861	336,139
4-AAAAA	Arabia Mountain	4,939	84,982	237,529	263,034	590,484	409,516
4-AAAAA	Shiloh	3,829	78,566	223,235	254,444	560,074	439,926
4-AAAAA	Tri-Cities	46	2,883	20,438	52,260	75,627	924,373
4-AAAAA	Lakeside (Atlanta)	32	2,481	19,252	51,013	72,778	927,222
4-AAAAA	Chamblee	28	2,232	17,213	46,858	66,331	933,669
5-AAAAA	Rome	654,302	299,271	37,740	6,685	997,998	2,002
5-AAAAA	East Paulding	325,992	553,826	89,755	21,708	991,281	8,719
5-AAAAA	Villa Rica	7,904	49,306	249,559	207,710	514,479	485,521
5-AAAAA	South Paulding	5,499	36,853	181,230	190,048	413,630	586,370
5-AAAAA	Kennesaw Mountain	2,724	22,544	131,697	161,146	318,111	681,889
5-AAAAA	New Manchester	1,309	14,273	114,867	149,219	279,668	720,332
5-AAAAA	Alexander	1,230	12,288	97,857	131,927	243,302	756,698
5-AAAAA	Lithia Springs	1,040	11,639	97,295	131,557	241,531	758,469
6-AAAAA	Sequoyah	580,151	250,288	112,305	40,653	983,397	16,603
6-AAAAA	River Ridge	206,071	315,868	280,638	132,100	934,677	65,323
6-AAAAA	Creekview	160,791	274,781	279,278	168,165	883,015	116,985
6-AAAAA	Pope	36,224	100,345	213,355	361,151	711,075	288,925
6-AAAAA	Sprayberry	16,041	54,326	89,688	193,426	353,481	646,519
6-AAAAA	Woodstock	718	4,299	23,830	95,680	124,527	875,473
6-AAAAA	Lassiter	3	46	455	5,106	5,610	994,390
6-AAAAA	Riverwood	1	47	451	3,719	4,218	995,782
7-AAAAA	Milton	731,233	224,153	43,406	1,172	999,964	36
7-AAAAA	Gainesville	213,378	502,781	271,705	11,437	999,301	699
7-AAAAA	Roswell	55,125	268,420	610,552	59,837	993,934	6,066
7-AAAAA	Lanier	215	3,329	49,569	483,126	536,239	463,761
7-AAAAA	Seckinger	49	1,273	22,520	362,442	386,284	613,716
7-AAAAA	Chattahoochee	-	30	1,562	47,314	48,906	951,094
7-AAAAA	Johns Creek	-	14	686	34,672	35,372	964,628
8-AAAAA	Clarke Central	562,720	272,884	115,762	38,110	989,476	10,524
8-AAAAA	Jackson County	269,815	343,777	223,875	109,392	946,859	53,141
8-AAAAA	Winder-Barrow	111,937	219,022	306,672	212,026	849,657	150,343
8-AAAAA	Habersham Central	47,141	119,236	213,274	298,465	678,116	321,884
8-AAAAA	Alcovy	5,091	25,833	78,189	179,660	288,773	711,227
8-AAAAA	Loganville	3,198	18,116	55,679	134,797	211,790	788,210
8-AAAAA	Apalachee	98	1,132	6,549	27,550	35,329	964,671

Class AAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Marist	5-AAAA	2-0	95.15	1,000,000	4.00	833,606	740,123	563,410	417,422	1.40
Ware County	1-AAAA	2-2	88.47	989,139	3.44	742,358	524,189	278,149	138,618	6.21
Benedictine	1-AAAA	1-2	88.20	989,769	3.40	731,178	509,330	271,576	128,564	6.78
Cartersville	7-AAAA	4-0	87.50	999,252	3.31	760,166	415,592	257,732	111,903	7.94
Warner Robins	1-AAAA	3-1	86.46	983,408	3.20	682,848	451,556	218,762	92,244	9.84
Blessed Trinity	6-AAAA	3-0	82.65	994,639	2.80	605,221	284,012	118,666	38,403	25.04
Creekside	4-AAAA	0-2	82.13	999,946	2.72	544,717	227,989	72,204	27,708	35.09
North Oconee	8-AAAA	3-0	79.84	998,625	2.37	291,347	133,426	50,137	12,965	76.13
Cambridge	6-AAAA	4-0	77.62	978,491	2.10	370,149	115,051	33,075	7,603	130.53
Perry	1-AAAA	2-1	76.10	851,708	1.48	197,458	84,787	21,541	4,332	229.84
Cedartown	7-AAAA	4-0	75.90	975,324	1.89	307,919	68,922	19,036	3,934	253.19
Eastside	8-AAAA	4-0	75.95	995,363	2.09	187,472	71,941	18,468	3,795	262.50
Kell	6-AAAA	3-1	75.52	966,415	1.85	290,015	74,047	18,495	3,773	264.04
Cass	7-AAAA	3-1	75.61	972,449	1.81	275,044	60,160	15,340	3,180	313.47
Ola	2-AAAA	4-0	72.71	998,359	2.13	196,967	77,271	16,836	2,318	430.41
Central (Carrollton)	3-AAAA	3-1	72.19	954,158	1.97	242,705	44,791	9,238	1,383	722.07
Starr's Mill	3-AAAA	3-0	70.90	939,837	1.85	201,438	34,578	6,186	768	1,301.08
Harris County	3-AAAA	4-0	69.86	919,482	1.72	166,772	26,808	4,459	515	1,940.75
Mays	4-AAAA	2-1	68.94	994,066	1.69	121,046	19,324	3,180	319	3,133.80
Jones County	2-AAAA	3-1	67.36	979,082	1.51	40,360	9,863	1,132	114	8,770.93
Stockbridge	2-AAAA	3-1	66.08	994,037	1.60	50,707	12,220	1,415	95	10,525.32
Westminster (Atlanta)	6-AAAA	2-2	63.65	720,921	0.85	29,636	2,497	237	17	58,822.53
East Forsyth	8-AAAA	4-0	59.76	777,628	1.00	9,581	1,164	72	8	124,999.00
Jonesboro	3-AAAA	2-2	62.19	629,119	0.86	28,357	2,504	209	5	199,999.00
St. Pius X	5-AAAA	2-1	60.99	978,470	1.06	16,030	2,270	153	5	199,999.00
Allatoona	7-AAAA	2-2	60.75	531,934	0.61	15,094	1,340	77	2	499,999.00
Northside (Columbus)	3-AAAA	3-0	59.95	463,108	0.59	12,823	896	53	2	499,999.00
Maynard Jackson	4-AAAA	3-0	55.60	874,171	1.03	10,915	507	20	2	499,999.00
New Hampstead	1-AAAA	2-2	62.47	147,266	0.17	4,586	735	48	1	999,999.00
Tucker	5-AAAA	2-1	58.06	982,989	1.03	7,820	806	47	1	999,999.00
Hiram	7-AAAA	1-3	58.19	382,471	0.42	6,903	481	24	1	999,999.00
Centennial	6-AAAA	4-0	57.83	339,534	0.37	4,568	212	7	-	-
Pace Academy	4-AAAA	1-2	52.67	784,825	0.89	5,303	183	5	-	-
Flowery Branch	8-AAAA	1-2	53.10	458,036	0.52	1,689	78	5	-	-
Madison County	8-AAAA	2-1	53.54	420,133	0.48	1,869	114	2	-	-
Southwest DeKalb	5-AAAA	2-1	52.46	848,291	0.87	1,631	66	2	-	-
Union Grove	2-AAAA	3-1	52.13	419,934	0.46	779	40	1	-	-
Wayne County	1-AAAA	0-4	55.34	38,710	0.04	336	36	1	-	-
Walnut Grove	8-AAAA	3-0	50.25	277,820	0.31	643	30	-	-	-
Dalton	7-AAAA	0-4	51.92	130,062	0.14	673	25	-	-	-
Hampton	2-AAAA	2-2	53.71	309,407	0.33	524	22	-	-	-
Mundy's Mill	3-AAAA	0-3	49.97	78,104	0.08	259	7	-	-	-
Eagle's Landing	2-AAAA	2-2	48.88	168,479	0.18	108	5	-	-	-
Drew	4-AAAA	3-0	43.94	283,974	0.30	253	1	-	-	-
Cedar Shoals	8-AAAA	0-3	43.25	72,395	0.08	38	1	-	-	-
Locust Grove	2-AAAA	1-3	47.75	124,191	0.13	57	-	-	-	-
Griffin	3-AAAA	0-3	43.68	16,192	0.02	17	-	-	-	-
Lithonia	5-AAAA	2-1	39.60	114,367	0.11	6	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Cartersville)	7-AAAA	1-2	39.05	8,508	0.01	3	-	-	-	-
M.L. King	4-AAAA	1-2	33.43	36,446	0.04	2	-	-	-	-
Midtown	4-AAAA	1-2	31.83	26,497	0.03	2	-	-	-	-
Eagle's Landing Christian	2-AAAA	0-4	46.47	6,479	0.01	2	-	-	-	-
Druid Hills	5-AAAA	2-1	34.99	73,007	0.07	-	-	-	-	-
North Springs	5-AAAA	0-3	26.16	2,404	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Northview	5-AAAA	0-3	18.17	472	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Forest Park	4-AAAA	1-2	13.58	75	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Stockbridge)	2-AAAA	0-4	34.05	31	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
McDonough	2-AAAA	0-4	31.65	1	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Clarkston	5-AAAA	0-3	7.24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Southeast Whitfield	7-AAAA	0-4	-6.05	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Keys	5-AAAA	0-3	-14.52	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAA	Ware County	388,275	300,386	212,434	88,044	989,139	10,861
1-AAAA	Benedictine	309,866	317,839	267,450	94,614	989,769	10,231
1-AAAA	Warner Robins	267,403	304,214	295,190	116,601	983,408	16,592
1-AAAA	Perry	33,858	73,409	205,329	539,112	851,708	148,292
1-AAAA	New Hampstead	566	3,774	16,547	126,379	147,266	852,734
1-AAAA	Wayne County	32	378	3,050	35,250	38,710	961,290
2-AAAA	Ola	730,767	204,505	53,888	9,199	998,359	1,641
2-AAAA	Stockbridge	203,573	385,832	348,970	55,662	994,037	5,963
2-AAAA	Jones County	60,108	380,546	455,661	82,767	979,082	20,918
2-AAAA	Union Grove	5,232	24,125	89,248	301,329	419,934	580,066
2-AAAA	Eagle's Landing	235	1,907	19,401	146,936	168,479	831,521
2-AAAA	Hampton	81	2,091	16,587	290,648	309,407	690,593
2-AAAA	Locust Grove	4	916	15,500	107,771	124,191	875,809
2-AAAA	Eagle's Landing Christian	-	78	744	5,657	6,479	993,521
2-AAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	-	-	1	30	31	999,969
2-AAAA	McDonough	-	-	-	1	1	999,999
3-AAAA	Central (Carrollton)	370,362	288,667	198,932	96,197	954,158	45,842
3-AAAA	Starr's Mill	307,402	279,782	230,268	122,385	939,837	60,163
3-AAAA	Harris County	249,115	268,205	252,798	149,364	919,482	80,518
3-AAAA	Jonesboro	48,621	100,666	179,089	300,743	629,119	370,881
3-AAAA	Northside (Columbus)	23,551	58,185	120,980	260,392	463,108	536,892
3-AAAA	Mundy's Mill	901	4,096	15,569	57,538	78,104	921,896
3-AAAA	Griffin	48	399	2,364	13,381	16,192	983,808
4-AAAA	Creekside	835,823	152,354	10,482	1,287	999,946	54
4-AAAA	Mays	148,627	649,734	161,372	34,333	994,066	5,934
4-AAAA	Maynard Jackson	9,932	118,733	436,093	309,413	874,171	125,829
4-AAAA	Pace Academy	5,334	69,534	310,022	399,935	784,825	215,175
4-AAAA	Drew	277	9,185	72,292	202,220	283,974	716,026
4-AAAA	M.L. King	4	306	5,826	30,310	36,446	963,554
4-AAAA	Midtown	3	154	3,912	22,428	26,497	973,503
4-AAAA	Forest Park	-	-	1	74	75	999,925
5-AAAA	Marist	979,534	20,058	365	43	1,000,000	-
5-AAAA	St. Pius X	13,550	494,381	323,303	147,236	978,470	21,530
5-AAAA	Tucker	5,619	351,289	403,334	222,747	982,989	17,011
5-AAAA	Southwest DeKalb	1,290	131,110	253,081	462,810	848,291	151,709
5-AAAA	Lithonia	4	1,605	9,693	103,065	114,367	885,633
5-AAAA	Druid Hills	3	1,552	10,101	61,351	73,007	926,993
5-AAAA	North Springs	-	5	111	2,288	2,404	997,596
5-AAAA	Northview	-	-	12	460	472	999,528
5-AAAA	Clarkston	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAA	Cross Keys	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAA	Blessed Trinity	537,017	291,516	134,786	31,320	994,639	5,361
6-AAAA	Cambridge	256,097	362,376	279,163	80,855	978,491	21,509
6-AAAA	Kell	189,364	282,010	360,617	134,424	966,415	33,585
6-AAAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	14,560	49,285	170,439	486,637	720,921	279,079
6-AAAA	Centennial	2,962	14,813	54,995	266,764	339,534	660,466
7-AAAA	Cartersville	707,985	222,312	61,641	7,314	999,252	748
7-AAAA	Cedartown	167,185	388,902	335,435	83,802	975,324	24,676
7-AAAA	Cass	118,838	341,751	406,555	105,305	972,449	27,551
7-AAAA	Allatoona	4,351	29,086	110,223	388,274	531,934	468,066
7-AAAA	Hiram	1,512	15,509	68,662	296,788	382,471	617,529
7-AAAA	Dalton	129	2,431	17,127	110,375	130,062	869,938
7-AAAA	Woodland (Cartersville)	-	9	357	8,142	8,508	991,492
7-AAAA	Southeast Whitfield	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAA	North Oconee	619,047	324,923	48,192	6,463	998,625	1,375
8-AAAA	Eastside	355,312	525,527	97,938	16,586	995,363	4,637
8-AAAA	East Forsyth	19,334	92,369	415,934	249,991	777,628	222,372
8-AAAA	Madison County	2,977	23,659	150,168	243,329	420,133	579,867
8-AAAA	Flowery Branch	2,344	22,267	176,014	257,411	458,036	541,964
8-AAAA	Walnut Grove	953	10,193	94,677	171,997	277,820	722,180
8-AAAA	Cedar Shoals	33	1,062	17,077	54,223	72,395	927,605

Class AAA Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Jefferson	8-AAA	3-1	83.09	1,000,000	4.21	882,899	770,879	597,244	412,139	1.43
Cedar Grove	5-AAA	0-2	81.09	999,969	3.97	850,450	708,359	458,470	280,620	2.56
Sandy Creek	2-AAA	3-0	77.60	999,447	3.71	791,203	597,217	389,735	175,822	4.69
Peach County	1-AAA	3-1	71.78	991,072	2.90	599,731	339,275	137,383	44,452	21.50
Calhoun	7-AAA	1-2	70.26	997,964	2.85	588,961	320,602	116,491	33,660	28.71
LaGrange	2-AAA	2-2	67.60	868,355	1.97	327,110	131,485	41,983	10,196	97.08
Monroe Area	8-AAA	2-0	65.91	992,950	2.19	340,102	120,862	38,242	8,171	121.38
Cairo	1-AAA	1-2	65.13	948,241	1.99	299,435	116,343	31,131	5,914	168.09
Mary Persons	2-AAA	3-0	65.29	864,061	1.80	259,518	92,554	27,669	5,411	183.81
Stephenson	5-AAA	2-2	63.68	994,136	2.02	285,662	95,432	23,362	4,079	244.16
Douglass	5-AAA	2-2	63.49	991,137	1.99	278,839	93,001	22,004	3,759	265.03
Troup	2-AAA	1-2	65.09	548,567	1.09	158,944	55,482	14,480	2,884	345.74
Oconee County	8-AAA	1-3	62.59	962,387	1.75	219,812	68,389	14,829	2,344	425.62
Cherokee Bluff	8-AAA	4-0	62.01	993,624	1.88	203,352	59,528	14,833	2,245	444.43
Whitewater	2-AAA	1-2	63.01	683,619	1.28	166,441	54,891	12,076	1,975	505.33
Bainbridge	1-AAA	0-4	62.36	872,922	1.40	138,935	49,408	12,035	1,735	575.37
Northwest Whitfield	7-AAA	3-0	59.05	984,892	1.76	181,964	44,979	8,415	895	1,116.32
Adairsville	7-AAA	3-1	58.80	947,212	1.63	169,189	42,195	6,947	712	1,403.49
Westover	1-AAA	3-0	59.21	858,782	1.45	137,422	34,586	5,951	665	1,502.76
Upson-Lee	2-AAA	2-1	60.07	611,612	1.04	109,095	27,316	5,045	635	1,573.80
Baldwin	4-AAA	1-2	57.28	909,826	1.56	162,869	36,796	5,134	498	2,007.03
Lumpkin County	6-AAA	2-1	56.20	930,496	1.56	150,427	31,757	4,180	357	2,800.12
Jenkins	3-AAA	2-1	56.54	984,148	1.61	139,592	27,192	3,934	327	3,057.10
Harlem	4-AAA	2-0	54.75	965,140	1.55	119,115	23,448	3,035	206	4,853.37
Long County	3-AAA	3-0	52.94	977,343	1.43	73,988	11,086	1,319	72	13,887.89
Southeast Bulloch	3-AAA	2-1	52.29	933,430	1.30	59,576	8,285	818	48	20,832.33
West Laurens	4-AAA	3-0	51.41	880,941	1.24	62,991	8,664	793	48	20,832.33
Spalding	2-AAA	1-2	58.19	100,376	0.15	12,832	2,949	446	46	21,738.13
White County	6-AAA	1-2	51.64	755,117	1.03	49,367	7,037	633	32	31,249.00
Gilmer	7-AAA	2-1	51.52	787,604	1.04	43,648	5,631	454	21	47,618.05
North Hall	6-AAA	1-2	49.95	690,785	0.89	32,538	4,122	302	11	90,908.09
Westside (Augusta)	4-AAA	3-0	47.68	811,773	1.02	26,537	2,601	160	6	166,665.67
Dougherty	1-AAA	1-3	51.27	324,346	0.38	8,929	1,431	121	5	199,999.00
Howard	4-AAA	1-2	47.71	297,886	0.36	9,242	833	53	2	499,999.00
Pickens	6-AAA	2-1	46.01	441,209	0.52	10,240	844	41	2	499,999.00
Heritage (Ringgold)	7-AAA	2-2	46.85	470,036	0.55	11,143	948	38	2	499,999.00
Hephzibah	4-AAA	1-2	45.93	427,226	0.51	9,576	751	37	2	499,999.00
Luella	5-AAA	1-2	48.72	799,773	0.92	17,871	2,077	134	1	999,999.00
Monroe	1-AAA	0-4	47.12	148,476	0.16	1,651	184	15	1	999,999.00
Dawson County	6-AAA	1-2	44.45	349,417	0.39	4,861	434	22	-	-
Liberty County	3-AAA	1-2	41.83	226,227	0.25	2,143	93	3	-	-
West Hall	8-AAA	3-1	40.08	100,962	0.11	608	25	1	-	-
Beach	3-AAA	2-1	36.19	185,432	0.20	553	15	1	-	-
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	5-AAA	1-2	34.65	116,541	0.12	241	6	1	-	-
East Hall	8-AAA	3-1	37.86	49,006	0.05	144	2	-	-	-
Richmond Academy	4-AAA	0-3	35.96	9,068	0.01	33	2	-	-	-
North Clayton	5-AAA	2-2	35.46	120,098	0.12	112	1	-	-	-
Johnson (Savannah)	3-AAA	1-2	33.83	38,457	0.04	70	1	-	-	-
Chestatee	6-AAA	1-2	33.38	34,193	0.03	26	1	-	-	-
Windsor Forest	3-AAA	1-2	33.18	8,345	0.01	7	1	-	-	-
LaFayette	7-AAA	0-3	29.09	12,979	0.01	4	-	-	-	-
Cross Creek	4-AAA	1-2	27.14	814	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Riverdale	5-AAA	0-4	28.64	476	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Ridgeland	7-AAA	0-4	16.44	617	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Islands	3-AAA	0-3	25.92	458	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Groves	3-AAA	0-3	16.09	20	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Fayette County	2-AAA	0-3	32.35	8	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Gainesville)	6-AAA	0-3	6.34	2	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
8-AAA	Jefferson	733,003	951,470	997,812	1,000,000	-
2-AAA	Sandy Creek	154,704	867,014	966,139	999,447	553
4-AAA	Harlem	26,574	330,142	629,039	965,140	34,860
8-AAA	Monroe Area	23,073	263,310	656,295	992,950	7,050
8-AAA	Cherokee Bluff	16,379	183,983	644,445	993,624	6,376
5-AAA	Cedar Grove	9,499	845,205	978,262	999,969	31
7-AAA	Calhoun	7,190	733,254	928,312	997,964	2,036
7-AAA	Northwest Whitfield	5,701	233,010	614,467	984,892	15,108
2-AAA	Mary Persons	5,441	121,296	344,599	864,061	135,939
1-AAA	Peach County	3,841	598,174	844,166	991,072	8,928
3-AAA	Long County	2,824	178,858	563,733	977,343	22,657
4-AAA	West Laurens	2,761	169,536	391,784	880,941	119,059
4-AAA	Westside (Augusta)	1,761	71,266	223,767	811,773	188,227
3-AAA	Jenkins	1,706	166,058	537,088	984,148	15,852
1-AAA	Westover	1,420	80,712	279,770	858,782	141,218
5-AAA	Stephenson	618	116,944	528,997	994,136	5,864
8-AAA	Oconee County	581	60,627	303,651	962,387	37,613
7-AAA	Adairsville	565	132,037	434,380	947,212	52,788
1-AAA	Cairo	541	220,347	550,854	948,241	51,759
4-AAA	Baldwin	354	373,637	616,133	909,826	90,174
6-AAA	Lumpkin County	353	393,566	639,285	930,496	69,504
5-AAA	Douglass	295	97,008	502,187	991,137	8,863
2-AAA	Upson-Lee	243	23,194	119,429	611,612	388,388
7-AAA	Gilmer	187	35,521	151,177	787,604	212,396
2-AAA	LaGrange	168	70,564	377,496	868,355	131,645
2-AAA	Whitewater	105	53,889	250,863	683,619	316,381
2-AAA	Troup	89	20,356	99,227	548,567	451,433
4-AAA	Hephzibah	8	11,433	45,027	427,226	572,774
3-AAA	Southeast Bulloch	6	68,408	324,687	933,430	66,570
6-AAA	Pickens	5	41,798	119,652	441,209	558,791
6-AAA	White County	2	167,674	366,129	755,117	244,883
6-AAA	North Hall	1	115,290	280,048	690,785	309,215
4-AAA	Howard	1	13,469	46,656	297,886	702,114
7-AAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	1	7,848	57,546	470,036	529,964
1-AAA	Bainbridge	-	137,981	372,175	872,922	127,078
6-AAA	Dawson County	-	28,654	88,406	349,417	650,583
1-AAA	Dougherty	-	7,901	39,707	324,346	675,654
5-AAA	Luella	-	3,274	39,440	799,773	200,227
1-AAA	Monroe	-	2,064	12,509	148,476	851,524
2-AAA	Spalding	-	1,821	13,799	100,376	899,624
6-AAA	Chestatee	-	517	3,014	34,193	965,807
3-AAA	Liberty County	-	430	6,609	226,227	773,773
3-AAA	Beach	-	209	4,455	185,432	814,568
4-AAA	Richmond Academy	-	117	630	9,068	990,932
8-AAA	West Hall	-	54	2,033	100,962	899,038
5-AAA	North Clayton	-	24	1,424	120,098	879,902
5-AAA	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	-	21	1,160	116,541	883,459
7-AAA	LaFayette	-	14	166	12,979	987,021
8-AAA	East Hall	-	11	890	49,006	950,994
3-AAA	Johnson (Savannah)	-	9	373	38,457	961,543
3-AAA	Windsor Forest	-	1	86	8,345	991,655
4-AAA	Cross Creek	-	-	14	814	999,186
5-AAA	Riverdale	-	-	5	476	999,524
7-AAA	Ridgeland	-	-	2	617	999,383
3-AAA	Islands	-	-	1	458	999,542
3-AAA	Groves	-	-	-	20	999,980
2-AAA	Fayette County	-	-	-	8	999,992
6-AAA	Johnson (Gainesville)	-	-	-	2	999,998

Class AA Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Pierce County	3-AA	3-0	76.59	999,995	3.89	823,176	631,559	469,010	334,359	1.99
Appling County	3-AA	2-1	73.71	999,978	3.55	753,198	516,283	338,328	204,210	3.90
Stephens County	8-AA	3-1	70.52	999,997	3.15	623,942	393,316	216,981	106,852	8.36
Rockmart	7-AA	1-2	67.87	999,999	3.20	674,961	404,393	196,485	80,072	11.49
Burke County	4-AA	3-1	68.08	1,000,000	3.15	670,787	381,396	179,803	75,731	12.20
Carver (Columbus)	1-AA	2-1	66.96	1,000,000	3.12	652,571	372,668	171,222	66,173	14.11
Morgan County	2-AA	4-0	66.46	1,000,000	3.01	622,537	314,621	148,126	55,207	17.11
Callaway	2-AA	1-2	65.81	999,911	2.83	555,206	283,013	115,972	41,625	23.02
Hapeville Charter	5-AA	0-2	62.68	997,409	2.33	379,250	152,034	49,926	14,420	68.35
Cook	3-AA	2-2	60.39	992,542	1.90	234,673	79,735	21,693	5,347	186.02
Sumter County	1-AA	3-0	58.20	1,000,000	2.20	319,009	97,516	24,715	4,890	203.50
Carver (Atlanta)	5-AA	2-2	58.61	993,196	1.90	224,326	68,612	16,586	3,476	286.69
Thomson	4-AA	2-2	57.84	999,983	1.98	249,306	72,496	15,944	3,168	314.66
Columbia	6-AA	0-3	54.02	999,537	2.01	260,127	55,414	9,439	1,249	799.64
Ringgold	7-AA	3-1	54.02	999,749	1.74	131,951	31,589	5,341	710	1,407.45
Hart County	8-AA	1-2	55.03	930,699	1.44	110,743	25,637	4,501	658	1,518.76
Crisp County	3-AA	0-4	55.02	931,123	1.32	96,186	22,908	4,007	599	1,668.45
Laney	4-AA	3-1	52.22	999,967	1.65	118,271	22,933	3,254	353	2,831.86
Westside (Macon)	2-AA	1-3	52.44	979,762	1.51	101,807	19,667	2,706	339	2,948.85
North Murray	7-AA	2-1	52.07	995,271	1.59	102,829	20,061	2,817	311	3,214.43
East Jackson	8-AA	2-2	50.27	950,944	1.29	58,844	9,068	1,045	104	9,614.38
Spencer	1-AA	2-2	49.33	994,539	1.45	66,309	10,057	1,076	99	10,100.01
Union County	7-AA	1-2	46.69	906,855	1.16	35,244	4,115	333	21	47,618.05
Jackson	2-AA	1-2	47.25	952,252	1.24	41,018	4,937	425	18	55,554.56
South Atlanta	6-AA	1-3	42.19	988,751	1.28	32,789	2,458	120	4	249,999.00
Miller Grove	6-AA	2-2	40.77	980,419	1.21	22,731	1,488	67	3	333,332.33
Sonoraville	7-AA	0-3	43.49	558,326	0.65	11,774	954	53	2	499,999.00
Pike County	2-AA	3-1	38.94	958,483	1.10	9,971	461	9	-	-
Shaw	1-AA	1-2	36.69	923,666	1.02	6,559	241	5	-	-
Therrell	5-AA	1-3	38.81	235,732	0.25	1,710	107	5	-	-
Hardaway	1-AA	1-2	36.32	723,786	0.78	4,015	150	3	-	-
Washington	5-AA	2-2	36.93	273,550	0.29	1,388	53	2	-	-
Coahulla Creek	7-AA	0-3	33.44	227,160	0.24	571	15	1	-	-
Redan	6-AA	1-3	29.94	839,056	0.86	858	15	-	-	-
Butler	4-AA	1-1	27.20	958,889	0.98	633	12	-	-	-
Lakeview Ft. Oglethorpe	7-AA	1-2	32.59	153,556	0.16	333	9	-	-	-
Tattnall County	3-AA	1-3	34.99	112,298	0.12	238	8	-	-	-
Franklin County	8-AA	2-1	31.92	62,861	0.06	116	1	-	-	-
Rutland	2-AA	0-4	28.12	54,661	0.06	30	-	-	-	-
Salem	6-AA	0-4	16.91	198,736	0.20	7	-	-	-	-
Columbus	1-AA	0-3	21.30	38,058	0.04	3	-	-	-	-
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	5-AA	1-3	28.68	13,142	0.01	2	-	-	-	-
Kendrick	1-AA	1-2	14.63	25,990	0.03	1	-	-	-	-
Glenn Hills	4-AA	0-3	3.12	38,161	0.04	-	-	-	-	-
Josey	4-AA	0-3	-5.17	10,235	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Murray County	7-AA	1-3	8.17	725	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Jordan	1-AA	0-3	-0.34	51	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
2-AA	Morgan County	449,892	829,940	998,526	1,000,000	-
3-AA	Pierce County	123,709	664,756	970,656	999,995	5
1-AA	Carver (Columbus)	120,644	816,480	996,195	1,000,000	-
3-AA	Appling County	85,966	577,686	951,913	999,978	22
8-AA	Stephens County	78,590	476,163	963,457	999,997	3
7-AA	Rockmart	49,288	854,515	988,795	999,999	1
1-AA	Sumter County	47,860	450,832	963,809	1,000,000	-
2-AA	Callaway	24,916	505,980	918,767	999,911	89
4-AA	Burke County	8,970	746,482	966,298	1,000,000	-
7-AA	Ringgold	2,959	122,733	801,265	999,749	251
7-AA	North Murray	2,476	79,612	495,979	995,271	4,729
4-AA	Laney	1,871	106,343	592,023	999,967	33
5-AA	Hapeville Charter	1,467	267,427	626,352	997,409	2,591
2-AA	Westside (Macon)	426	52,114	279,563	979,762	20,238
3-AA	Cook	330	45,734	261,751	992,542	7,458
5-AA	Carver (Atlanta)	265	115,693	393,766	993,196	6,804
2-AA	Jackson	169	16,374	145,923	952,252	47,748
8-AA	Hart County	65	9,920	109,725	930,699	69,301
7-AA	Union County	48	10,014	113,879	906,855	93,145
2-AA	Pike County	40	2,649	117,176	958,483	41,517
1-AA	Spencer	32	38,585	414,212	994,539	5,461
6-AA	Columbia	7	723,649	934,909	999,537	463
8-AA	East Jackson	5	2,939	55,238	950,944	49,056
4-AA	Thomson	3	187,670	709,232	999,983	17
1-AA	Shaw	2	2,399	50,753	923,666	76,334
6-AA	South Atlanta	-	148,787	539,298	988,751	11,249
6-AA	Miller Grove	-	115,323	449,289	980,419	19,581
3-AA	Crisp County	-	13,641	69,109	931,123	68,877
6-AA	Redan	-	12,082	73,903	839,056	160,944
1-AA	Hardaway	-	1,477	17,794	723,786	276,214
7-AA	Sonoraville	-	921	14,057	558,326	441,674
5-AA	Therrell	-	373	3,000	235,732	764,268
6-AA	Salem	-	259	4,563	198,736	801,264
4-AA	Butler	-	255	5,461	958,889	41,111
5-AA	Washington	-	144	1,452	273,550	726,450
3-AA	Tattnall County	-	15	644	112,298	887,702
2-AA	Rutland	-	12	311	54,661	945,339
7-AA	Coahulla Creek	-	11	491	227,160	772,840
7-AA	Lakeview Ft. Oglethorpe	-	3	246	153,556	846,444
8-AA	Franklin County	-	3	50	62,861	937,139
5-AA	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	-	3	29	13,142	986,858
1-AA	Columbus	-	2	129	38,058	961,942
1-AA	Kendrick	-	-	8	25,990	974,010
4-AA	Glenn Hills	-	-	4	38,161	961,839
4-AA	Josey	-	-	-	10,235	989,765
7-AA	Murray County	-	-	-	725	999,275
1-AA	Jordan	-	-	-	51	999,949

Class A Division I Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Thomasville	1-A Division I	3-1	74.63	1,000,000	3.98	839,478	671,526	509,718	371,163	1.69
Toombs County	3-A Division I	3-0	70.83	999,995	3.56	755,571	532,523	342,375	197,268	4.07
Fitzgerald	1-A Division I	1-1	69.70	999,492	3.37	701,623	472,303	286,616	154,529	5.47
Dublin	2-A Division I	4-0	66.27	1,000,000	3.19	668,455	408,866	205,892	90,527	10.05
Fannin County	7-A Division I	3-0	62.27	1,000,000	2.96	613,253	311,526	147,156	45,482	20.99
Rabun County	8-A Division I	2-1	63.65	999,461	2.75	513,719	276,015	122,059	43,108	22.20
Northeast	2-A Division I	3-1	62.77	999,815	2.74	517,233	267,603	112,062	37,520	25.65
Lamar County	4-A Division I	3-0	57.85	999,973	2.50	446,714	189,890	58,103	13,198	74.77
Swainsboro	3-A Division I	1-3	60.09	967,949	2.07	313,427	132,433	43,917	12,164	81.21
Jeff Davis	1-A Division I	4-0	58.90	998,817	2.19	311,891	128,681	40,314	10,227	96.78
Worth County	1-A Division I	2-2	58.24	978,218	1.97	264,717	98,455	29,231	7,026	141.33
Elbert County	8-A Division I	1-2	57.31	980,494	1.99	274,487	99,999	27,668	6,135	162.00
Commerce	8-A Division I	2-2	56.30	978,120	1.88	242,186	81,943	20,983	4,290	232.10
Dodge County	2-A Division I	3-0	54.77	998,093	2.01	250,614	82,436	19,067	3,376	295.21
Bleckley County	2-A Division I	2-2	53.05	953,893	1.58	144,962	40,070	7,718	1,197	834.42
Bremen	6-A Division I	2-1	51.24	934,481	1.68	195,527	47,781	8,176	1,041	959.61
Vidalia	3-A Division I	3-1	50.84	862,024	1.28	94,837	21,777	3,514	456	2,191.98
Putnam County	4-A Division I	1-3	48.32	969,125	1.58	135,845	26,953	3,543	343	2,914.45
Heard County	6-A Division I	2-1	48.82	858,318	1.37	120,252	24,357	3,325	323	3,094.98
Model	6-A Division I	2-2	47.79	866,553	1.33	102,885	18,866	2,375	226	4,423.78
Temple	6-A Division I	3-1	47.20	922,417	1.40	96,696	16,891	1,976	150	6,665.67
Dade County	7-A Division I	1-2	44.31	982,062	1.42	63,752	8,757	796	52	19,229.77
Southwest	2-A Division I	1-3	45.61	779,276	1.02	39,269	5,769	596	51	19,606.84
Bacon County	1-A Division I	2-1	45.26	775,734	0.99	39,560	5,839	580	36	27,776.78
Gordon Lee	7-A Division I	2-1	43.38	995,378	1.42	56,998	7,468	613	34	29,410.76
Washington County	2-A Division I	1-3	44.78	662,735	0.84	29,523	3,980	369	25	39,999.00
Chattooga	7-A Division I	3-0	42.84	996,225	1.41	55,422	7,171	596	21	47,618.05
ACE Charter	2-A Division I	2-1	44.10	713,064	0.90	28,854	3,816	325	19	52,630.58
East Laurens	2-A Division I	2-2	40.53	654,536	0.77	14,378	1,391	98	4	249,999.00
Jasper County	4-A Division I	2-1	38.29	843,255	1.00	17,447	1,336	89	4	249,999.00
Social Circle	4-A Division I	2-2	39.31	834,590	0.99	20,136	1,721	84	4	249,999.00
Pepperell	6-A Division I	0-4	38.22	198,724	0.23	3,721	290	13	1	999,999.00
McNair	4-A Division I	2-2	38.40	729,170	0.84	12,965	986	39	-	-
Armuchee	7-A Division I	3-0	28.47	957,353	1.06	5,984	253	5	-	-
Coosa	7-A Division I	2-1	29.50	610,111	0.65	1,932	50	4	-	-
B.E.S.T. Academy	5-A Division I	3-1	33.13	776,783	1.84	4,736	215	3	-	-
Haralson County	6-A Division I	1-3	35.08	97,945	0.11	863	60	2	-	-
Berrien	1-A Division I	0-4	32.75	15,847	0.02	33	2	-	-	-
Banks County	8-A Division I	0-3	30.51	15,861	0.02	29	2	-	-	-
Gordon Central	7-A Division I	2-1	17.06	70,528	0.07	14	-	-	-	-
Oglethorpe County	8-A Division I	0-4	27.89	9,513	0.01	8	-	-	-	-
Brantley County	1-A Division I	0-4	25.51	2,590	0.00	2	-	-	-	-
Jefferson County	2-A Division I	0-4	26.40	665	0.00	2	-	-	-	-
Towers	4-A Division I	1-2	22.88	10,808	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Macon)	2-A Division I	0-4	18.41	9	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Utopian Academy	4-A Division I	0-3	-17.94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
7-A Division I	Fannin County	758,259	964,509	999,937	1,000,000	-
2-A Division I	Dublin	76,402	827,523	995,459	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Thomasville	64,947	826,629	994,339	1,000,000	-
3-A Division I	Toombs County	46,790	728,112	987,884	999,995	5
4-A Division I	Lamar County	13,890	819,788	979,869	999,973	27
7-A Division I	Chattooga	8,727	165,905	707,002	996,225	3,775
1-A Division I	Fitzgerald	8,607	497,740	881,726	999,492	508
2-A Division I	Northeast	7,250	529,287	916,777	999,815	185
2-A Division I	Dodge County	5,027	247,188	812,280	998,093	1,907
7-A Division I	Gordon Lee	4,661	143,774	630,337	995,378	4,622
7-A Division I	Dade County	2,536	151,118	550,310	982,062	17,938
8-A Division I	Rabun County	1,378	418,570	834,102	999,461	539
1-A Division I	Jeff Davis	931	133,074	685,943	998,817	1,183
7-A Division I	Armuchee	141	11,267	214,532	957,353	42,647
6-A Division I	Bremen	140	324,200	568,696	934,481	65,519
8-A Division I	Elbert County	87	136,845	445,018	980,494	19,506
1-A Division I	Worth County	74	56,322	298,398	978,218	21,782
6-A Division I	Temple	54	151,736	367,903	922,417	77,583
3-A Division I	Swainsboro	51	68,377	334,998	967,949	32,051
6-A Division I	Heard County	15	205,491	414,111	858,318	141,682
4-A Division I	Jasper County	10	28,011	177,184	843,255	156,745
6-A Division I	Model	7	167,133	359,541	866,553	133,447
8-A Division I	Commerce	4	107,820	314,921	978,120	21,880
2-A Division I	ACE Charter	4	1,873	61,609	713,064	286,936
7-A Division I	Coosa	4	1,750	32,813	610,111	389,889
2-A Division I	Bleckley County	2	9,554	168,564	953,893	46,107
3-A Division I	Vidalia	2	7,384	89,192	862,024	137,976
4-A Division I	Putnam County	-	188,966	639,073	969,125	30,875
4-A Division I	Social Circle	-	35,422	164,509	834,590	165,410
4-A Division I	McNair	-	22,528	121,016	729,170	270,830
6-A Division I	Pepperell	-	13,856	43,616	198,724	801,276
6-A Division I	Haralson County	-	3,910	14,994	97,945	902,055
1-A Division I	Bacon County	-	1,558	28,347	775,734	224,266
2-A Division I	Southwest	-	1,126	68,423	779,276	220,724
5-A Division I	B.E.S.T. Academy	-	915	32,611	776,783	223,217
2-A Division I	East Laurens	-	415	31,367	654,536	345,464
2-A Division I	Washington County	-	301	31,990	662,735	337,265
8-A Division I	Banks County	-	17	190	15,861	984,139
1-A Division I	Berrien	-	4	130	15,847	984,153
8-A Division I	Oglethorpe County	-	2	67	9,513	990,487
7-A Division I	Gordon Central	-	-	177	70,528	929,472
4-A Division I	Towers	-	-	42	10,808	989,192
1-A Division I	Brantley County	-	-	3	2,590	997,410
2-A Division I	Jefferson County	-	-	-	665	999,335
2-A Division I	Central (Macon)	-	-	-	9	999,991
4-A Division I	Utopian Academy	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Class A Division II

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Brooks County	2-A Division II	2-1	69.93	997,887	4.13	885,560	740,036	569,699	368,966	1.71
Irwin County	2-A Division II	3-0	68.64	997,289	4.03	869,205	710,861	527,350	309,123	2.23
Bowdon	7-A Division II	3-1	64.40	999,423	3.65	820,514	577,078	296,361	146,574	5.82
Manchester	7-A Division II	2-1	60.21	997,048	3.17	704,536	393,914	163,940	59,654	15.76
Trion	7-A Division II	4-0	58.58	996,883	2.98	652,386	337,550	122,159	39,943	24.04
Clinch County	2-A Division II	4-0	58.31	956,442	2.58	533,647	285,770	96,483	29,986	32.35
Metter	3-A Division II	1-1	56.19	960,901	2.33	383,767	130,798	52,035	14,251	69.17
Early County	1-A Division II	1-2	53.59	958,097	2.42	372,079	157,334	40,798	9,225	107.40
Lincoln County	8-A Division II	3-0	53.53	968,160	1.88	312,352	116,430	29,766	6,686	148.57
Schley County	6-A Division II	1-3	51.09	997,624	2.18	406,047	88,951	25,176	4,758	209.17
Greene County	8-A Division II	3-1	50.57	935,883	1.53	194,530	62,038	12,872	2,360	422.73
Emanuel County Institute	3-A Division II	2-1	50.77	711,352	1.40	160,330	46,177	10,169	1,883	530.07
Wilcox County	4-A Division II	1-2	48.46	940,410	1.64	149,298	43,177	7,737	1,211	824.76
Charlton County	2-A Division II	3-1	49.07	757,674	1.34	184,821	47,347	7,691	1,127	886.31
Pelham	1-A Division II	0-3	46.75	843,616	1.72	161,436	40,662	6,397	811	1,232.05
Mitchell County	1-A Division II	3-0	46.71	828,254	1.68	152,951	39,025	6,160	755	1,323.50
McIntosh County Academy	3-A Division II	2-1	46.35	816,629	1.45	135,163	23,949	4,138	500	1,999.00
Jenkins County	3-A Division II	2-1	46.38	728,277	1.27	108,900	21,450	3,447	408	2,449.98
Dooly County	4-A Division II	0-3	45.75	889,608	1.40	98,092	21,319	3,131	371	2,694.42
Macon County	6-A Division II	1-3	44.04	976,935	1.48	141,500	20,591	2,947	319	3,133.80
Telfair County	4-A Division II	2-2	44.98	873,567	1.35	87,268	17,894	2,422	277	3,609.11
Warren County	8-A Division II	2-2	44.97	796,942	1.00	60,329	13,295	1,870	201	4,974.12
Seminole County	1-A Division II	3-0	43.63	678,678	1.25	79,191	15,514	1,931	185	5,404.41
Bryan County	3-A Division II	2-1	44.66	530,575	0.87	61,667	10,838	1,420	135	7,406.41
Miller County	1-A Division II	2-1	41.98	606,632	1.06	54,163	8,897	940	77	12,986.01
Johnson County	5-A Division II	2-2	41.74	998,435	1.48	43,374	7,803	1,021	76	13,156.89
Lake Oconee Academy	8-A Division II	4-0	42.45	696,911	0.81	30,840	5,845	675	63	15,872.02
Washington-Wilkes	8-A Division II	2-2	40.75	602,104	0.68	18,849	3,268	350	26	38,460.54
Hawkinsville	4-A Division II	2-1	39.60	645,265	0.84	26,118	2,869	268	20	49,999.00
Wilkinson County	5-A Division II	2-2	38.42	995,809	1.36	26,239	3,517	318	15	66,665.67
Turner County	2-A Division II	0-3	38.23	180,443	0.23	10,140	969	60	6	166,665.67
Mount Zion (Carroll)	7-A Division II	2-2	36.04	664,142	0.84	28,763	1,682	94	3	333,332.33
Screven County	3-A Division II	2-1	38.27	208,841	0.28	8,676	981	60	2	499,999.00
Wheeler County	4-A Division II	2-1	36.33	426,441	0.51	9,458	720	47	1	999,999.00
Taylor County	6-A Division II	2-1	33.65	780,190	0.84	9,463	688	38	1	999,999.00
Lanier County	2-A Division II	1-3	35.25	110,265	0.13	3,556	238	9	1	999,999.00
Hancock Central	5-A Division II	2-2	28.19	946,193	1.05	4,735	191	7	-	-
Treutlen	4-A Division II	1-2	29.38	125,261	0.14	720	28	5	-	-
Marion County	6-A Division II	1-3	26.70	447,869	0.46	910	32	3	-	-
Greenville	7-A Division II	2-2	29.16	342,504	0.38	3,887	81	2	-	-
Portal	3-A Division II	1-2	34.52	43,111	0.05	790	69	2	-	-
Randolph-Clay	1-A Division II	1-1	29.86	83,332	0.11	822	40	1	-	-
Chattahoochee County	6-A Division II	1-2	26.71	446,343	0.46	829	25	1	-	-
Glascock County	5-A Division II	1-2	22.99	825,809	0.87	1,178	27	-	-	-
Crawford County	6-A Division II	2-1	25.35	350,561	0.36	472	19	-	-	-
Montgomery County	4-A Division II	2-1	28.31	99,448	0.11	446	13	-	-	-
Twiggs County	5-A Division II	0-4	8.98	151,739	0.15	1	-	-	-	-
Georgia Military Prep	5-A Division II	0-4	6.18	82,015	0.08	1	-	-	-	-
Terrell County	1-A Division II	2-2	14.04	1,391	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Central (Talbotton)	6-A Division II	1-2	-3.83	478	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Claxton	3-A Division II	0-3	20.76	313	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Savannah	3-A Division II	0-3	8.46	1	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Atkinson County	2-A Division II	3-1	21.63	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Calhoun County	1-A Division II	2-1	20.75	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Towns County	8-A Division II	2-1	19.03	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Baconton Charter	1-A Division II	0-3	0.96	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Pataula Charter	1-A Division II	1-3	0.87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Southwest Georgia STEM	1-A Division II	1-2	-20.93	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Spring Creek	1-A Division II	0-2	-54.73	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Division II	Early County	495,366	249,616	139,134	73,981	958,097	41,903
1-A Division II	Pelham	177,114	249,613	234,257	182,632	843,616	156,384
1-A Division II	Mitchell County	174,147	224,846	233,451	195,810	828,254	171,746
1-A Division II	Seminole County	89,835	152,318	197,691	238,834	678,678	321,322
1-A Division II	Miller County	62,018	116,837	175,720	252,057	606,632	393,368
1-A Division II	Randolph-Clay	1,520	6,746	19,580	55,486	83,332	916,668
1-A Division II	Terrell County	-	24	167	1,200	1,391	998,609
1-A Division II	Calhoun County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Pataula Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Spring Creek	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Baconton Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Southwest Georgia STEM	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-A Division II	Irwin County	462,305	382,797	129,723	22,464	997,289	2,711
2-A Division II	Brooks County	450,691	381,515	140,290	25,391	997,887	2,113
2-A Division II	Clinch County	77,770	195,685	504,328	178,659	956,442	43,558
2-A Division II	Charlton County	8,882	35,840	183,054	529,898	757,674	242,326
2-A Division II	Turner County	264	2,980	27,323	149,876	180,443	819,557
2-A Division II	Lanier County	88	1,183	15,282	93,712	110,265	889,735
2-A Division II	Atkinson County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
3-A Division II	Metter	557,025	227,871	117,261	58,744	960,901	39,099
3-A Division II	McIntosh County Academy	181,150	270,628	206,566	158,285	816,629	183,371
3-A Division II	Jenkins County	102,900	187,435	215,127	222,815	728,277	271,723
3-A Division II	Emanuel County Institute	88,188	161,562	235,202	226,400	711,352	288,648
3-A Division II	Bryan County	60,962	118,039	154,139	197,435	530,575	469,425
3-A Division II	Screven County	9,058	31,048	61,282	107,453	208,841	791,159
3-A Division II	Portal	716	3,410	10,371	28,614	43,111	956,889
3-A Division II	Claxton	1	7	52	253	313	999,687
3-A Division II	Savannah	-	-	-	1	1	999,999
4-A Division II	Wilcox County	399,520	266,133	177,798	96,959	940,410	59,590
4-A Division II	Telfair County	248,803	255,297	220,876	148,591	873,567	126,433
4-A Division II	Dooly County	241,871	262,907	234,965	149,865	889,608	110,392
4-A Division II	Hawkinsville	71,010	124,636	189,577	260,042	645,265	354,735
4-A Division II	Wheeler County	33,773	71,968	120,751	199,949	426,441	573,559
4-A Division II	Treutlen	2,934	11,016	31,286	80,025	125,261	874,739
4-A Division II	Montgomery County	2,089	8,043	24,747	64,569	99,448	900,552
5-A Division II	Johnson County	529,618	348,954	96,378	23,485	998,435	1,565
5-A Division II	Wilkinson County	387,903	405,698	159,316	42,892	995,809	4,191
5-A Division II	Hancock Central	62,034	170,113	435,858	278,188	946,193	53,807
5-A Division II	Glascock County	20,181	71,659	275,375	458,594	825,809	174,191
5-A Division II	Twiggs County	201	2,454	22,011	127,073	151,739	848,261
5-A Division II	Georgia Military Prep	63	1,122	11,062	69,768	82,015	917,985
6-A Division II	Schley County	656,856	280,912	50,741	9,115	997,624	2,376
6-A Division II	Macon County	292,842	458,085	175,783	50,225	976,935	23,065
6-A Division II	Taylor County	35,341	152,676	355,791	236,382	780,190	219,810
6-A Division II	Chattahoochee County	6,116	38,350	155,276	246,601	446,343	553,657
6-A Division II	Marion County	5,678	42,392	152,965	246,834	447,869	552,131
6-A Division II	Crawford County	3,167	27,585	109,414	210,395	350,561	649,439
6-A Division II	Central (Talbotton)	-	-	30	448	478	999,522
7-A Division II	Bowdon	539,676	296,994	151,167	11,586	999,423	577
7-A Division II	Manchester	270,429	372,596	322,783	31,240	997,048	2,952
7-A Division II	Trion	188,019	321,646	450,446	36,772	996,883	3,117
7-A Division II	Mount Zion (Carroll)	1,717	7,389	60,167	594,869	664,142	335,858
7-A Division II	Greenville	159	1,375	15,437	325,533	342,504	657,496
8-A Division II	Lincoln County	477,871	276,050	140,950	73,289	968,160	31,840
8-A Division II	Greene County	298,579	317,814	204,380	115,110	935,883	64,117
8-A Division II	Warren County	114,545	182,457	259,358	240,582	796,942	203,058
8-A Division II	Lake Oconee Academy	65,778	123,998	215,223	291,912	696,911	303,089
8-A Division II	Washington-Wilkes	43,227	99,681	180,089	279,107	602,104	397,896
8-A Division II	Towns County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

AAA to A Private

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

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Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Savannah Christian	3-A Division I	4-0	78.36	1,000,000	4.25	930,206	757,606	563,656	394,550	1.53
Prince Avenue Christian	8-AA	1-2	76.86	1,000,000	3.97	873,803	653,071	445,122	276,810	2.61
Calvary Day	3-AAA	2-1	71.47	1,000,000	3.65	839,216	537,514	273,784	122,414	7.17
Hebron Christian	8-AA	3-0	68.68	1,000,000	3.20	696,339	363,902	167,382	59,880	15.70
Athens Academy	8-A Division I	4-0	67.00	1,000,000	3.24	726,001	375,643	158,751	49,601	19.16
Lovett	5-AA	4-0	66.93	1,000,000	3.23	716,210	371,564	156,153	48,752	19.51
Fellowship Christian	5-A Division I	2-1	65.09	1,000,000	4.08	656,836	327,585	120,253	32,267	29.99
Wesleyan	5-A Division I	3-1	58.29	1,000,000	3.44	391,526	119,501	26,124	3,992	249.50
Holy Innocents	5-AA	1-2	59.32	1,000,000	2.29	316,915	98,555	22,763	3,909	254.82
Whitefield Academy	5-A Division I	2-1	55.74	1,000,000	3.57	463,893	114,195	20,794	2,429	410.69
North Cobb Christian	7-AA	4-0	56.53	1,000,000	2.34	349,449	85,939	16,431	2,161	461.75
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	2-AAA	1-2	58.35	1,000,000	1.87	176,031	52,866	10,925	1,749	570.76
Greater Atlanta Christian	6-AAA	0-3	53.91	1,000,000	2.06	240,269	48,484	7,428	720	1,387.89
Aquinas	4-AAA	2-1	52.85	1,000,000	2.07	222,543	42,639	5,746	478	2,091.05
Mount Vernon	5-A Division I	1-1	50.76	1,000,000	2.86	135,957	22,842	2,525	174	5,746.13
Savannah Country Day	3-A Division I	1-3	49.16	1,000,000	1.55	61,161	9,419	895	56	17,856.14
Darlington	6-A Division I	1-2	47.54	1,000,000	1.73	109,161	13,232	1,066	54	18,517.52
Christian Heritage	7-A Division I	2-1	41.10	1,000,000	1.56	46,430	2,978	124	3	333,332.33
King's Ridge Christian	5-A Division I	4-0	39.28	1,000,000	2.39	17,940	1,109	37	1	999,999.00
Providence Christian	8-A Division I	1-3	40.46	1,000,000	1.20	14,450	831	27	-	-
Mount Paran Christian	5-A Division I	2-1	35.98	1,000,000	2.30	12,556	479	14	-	-
Mount Pisgah Christian	5-A Division I	0-4	29.22	1,000,000	2.05	1,652	28	-	-	-
Landmark Christian	5-A Division I	2-1	26.80	1,000,000	2.09	1,257	17	-	-	-
St. Francis	5-A Division I	0-4	19.72	1,000,000	2.02	198	1	-	-	-
Walker	5-A Division I	1-3	-5.96	1,000,000	2.00	1	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
3-A Division I	Savannah Christian	561,540	953,160	999,971	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Fellowship Christian	101,624	608,105	998,775	1,000,000	-
5-AA	Lovett	77,894	723,802	998,630	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Athens Academy	66,167	756,677	998,952	1,000,000	-
8-AA	Hebron Christian	56,255	510,695	997,577	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Whitefield Academy	55,634	760,040	997,354	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Wesleyan	31,327	315,167	995,023	1,000,000	-
8-AA	Prince Avenue Christian	23,990	754,891	994,908	1,000,000	-
3-AAA	Calvary Day	10,024	947,976	999,732	1,000,000	-
7-AA	North Cobb Christian	7,430	404,656	985,729	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Vernon	3,938	76,340	918,258	1,000,000	-
4-AAA	Aquinas	3,430	289,792	886,881	1,000,000	-
7-A Division I	Christian Heritage	570	110,744	839,435	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	King's Ridge Christian	102	6,352	736,128	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Paran Christian	50	33,913	552,375	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	Darlington	11	191,498	438,844	1,000,000	-
5-AA	Holy Innocents	10	229,942	655,750	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Landmark Christian	2	5,724	139,477	1,000,000	-
6-AAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	1	304,862	531,865	1,000,000	-
3-A Division I	Savannah Country Day	1	7,778	191,935	1,000,000	-
2-AAA	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	-	6,150	131,905	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Providence Christian	-	1,657	10,252	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Pisgah Christian	-	76	221	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	St. Francis	-	3	23	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Walker	-	-	-	1,000,000	-

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

Class AAAAAA

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Class AAAAA

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Class AAAA

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Class AAA Public

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Class AA Public

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Class A Division I Public

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Class A Division II

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AAA to A Private

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