Maxwell playoff projections heading into Week 4

August 20, 2021 - Kennesaw, Ga: Buford wide receiver Tobi Olawale (4) celebrates his receiving touchdown with running back Victor Venn (6) during the second half against North Cobb at North Cobb high school Friday, August 20, 2021 in Kennesaw, Ga.. Buford won 35-27. JASON GETZ FOR THE ATLANTA JOURNAL-CONSTITUTION

By Loren Maxwell

Sept 4, 2024

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class in the GHSA.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2024 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 iterations.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Carrollton	2-AAAAAA	3-0	98.24	999,811	3.64	706,046	638,700	436,002	299,084	2.34
Mill Creek	8-AAAAAA	3-0	94.46	999,770	3.08	599,361	440,397	258,133	139,982	6.14
Buford	8-AAAAAA	1-1	94.28	999,772	3.05	590,342	432,377	251,725	134,855	6.42
Collins Hill	8-AAAAAA	3-0	93.30	999,662	2.90	549,170	394,135	217,963	109,670	8.12
North Gwinnett	7-AAAAAA	2-0	91.63	998,318	3.31	779,144	396,497	201,210	98,258	9.18
Douglas County	2-AAAAAA	3-0	91.33	998,052	2.55	418,397	334,675	172,826	75,495	12.25
Grayson	4-AAAAAA	2-1	87.33	999,868	2.97	658,294	275,692	119,453	41,957	22.83
Walton	5-AAAAAA	2-1	88.26	993,095	2.22	252,621	184,017	83,178	31,300	30.95
North Cobb	5-AAAAAA	3-0	86.88	990,962	2.08	211,277	147,706	60,009	21,004	46.61
Colquitt County	1-AAAAAA	2-1	85.60	929,995	1.94	203,525	114,787	42,638	13,492	73.12
Camden County	1-AAAAAA	3-0	84.76	918,567	1.85	181,417	99,084	34,982	10,323	95.87
Norcross	7-AAAAAA	1-1	81.73	960,466	2.36	483,455	127,081	36,593	8,598	115.31
West Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	2-1	79.72	981,488	2.20	430,966	90,956	21,907	4,831	206.00
Valdosta	1-AAAAAA	3-0	82.39	859,101	1.57	121,924	60,487	18,150	4,550	218.78
South Gwinnett	4-AAAAAA	3-0	78.33	997,206	2.18	336,418	68,447	15,059	2,742	363.70
McEachern	3-AAAAAA	1-2	76.32	985,685	1.99	300,873	50,334	10,232	1,443	692.00
Lowndes	1-AAAAAA	3-0	77.93	710,845	1.08	47,291	18,990	4,018	668	1,496.01
Westlake	2-AAAAAA	1-2	77.20	963,573	1.18	49,181	18,612	3,572	567	1,762.67
Lambert	6-AAAAAA	0-2	72.57	878,405	1.41	147,258	17,494	2,336	253	3,951.57
Parkview	7-AAAAAA	0-2	72.53	744,905	1.27	144,784	16,245	2,177	225	4,443.44
Newton	4-AAAAAA	1-2	71.42	982,408	1.70	170,877	16,291	1,852	180	5,554.56
Richmond Hill	1-AAAAAA	2-0	74.72	497,402	0.67	17,993	6,129	1,000	119	8,402.36
North Paulding	5-AAAAAA	2-1	73.31	804,623	1.04	22,157	6,174	840	91	10,988.01
Harrison	3-AAAAAA	2-1	69.38	922,138	1.40	108,995	8,997	916	76	13,156.89
Brookwood	7-AAAAAA	1-2	69.88	622,451	0.97	85,196	7,098	696	55	18,180.82
East Coweta	2-AAAAAA	1-2	71.89	873,873	0.97	16,967	4,178	490	49	20,407.16
Peachtree Ridge	7-AAAAAA	0-2	68.75	557,932	0.84	66,223	4,930	441	44	22,726.27
North Atlanta	6-AAAAAA	2-1	68.42	686,325	0.93	56,780	4,379	418	31	32,257.06
North Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	2-1	67.41	670,137	0.88	45,632	3,252	288	18	55,554.56
Campbell	3-AAAAAA	3-0	65.91	809,357	1.07	47,502	2,730	188	13	76,922.08
Hillgrove	3-AAAAAA	2-0	65.77	812,527	1.07	46,175	2,698	237	10	99,999.00
Archer	4-AAAAAA	0-3	65.38	940,971	1.34	68,199	3,405	241	7	142,856.14
Marietta	5-AAAAAA	0-3	68.54	560,684	0.66	6,441	1,223	119	6	166,665.67
Denmark	6-AAAAAA	0-2	63.25	399,404	0.47	12,668	583	39	3	333,332.33
Cherokee	5-AAAAAA	2-1	67.75	467,561	0.54	4,582	801	59	1	999,999.00
Alpharetta	6-AAAAAA	0-3	59.94	251,794	0.28	3,923	123	9	-	-
Duluth	7-AAAAAA	2-1	58.56	111,540	0.13	2,640	64	2	-	-
Tift County	1-AAAAAA	1-2	63.79	84,090	0.09	340	54	1	-	-
Wheeler	5-AAAAAA	0-3	60.80	168,394	0.18	366	31	1	-	-
Pebblebrook	3-AAAAAA	1-1	56.35	305,323	0.33	2,568	56	-	-	-
Dacula	8-AAAAAA	1-2	57.05	397,497	0.40	259	37	-	-	-
South Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	2-1	57.27	122,506	0.13	1,107	22	-	-	-
Mountain View	8-AAAAAA	0-3	56.01	305,243	0.31	157	14	-	-	-
Central Gwinnett	8-AAAAAA	2-1	54.22	296,534	0.30	87	7	-	-	-
Chapel Hill	2-AAAAAA	1-1	55.38	164,691	0.17	94	6	-	-	-
Osborne	3-AAAAAA	0-2	48.35	68,018	0.07	73	3	-	-	-
Paulding County	3-AAAAAA	0-3	50.26	96,820	0.10	182	2	-	-	-
Heritage (Conyers)	4-AAAAAA	2-0	42.08	47,659	0.05	41	-	-	-	-
Meadowcreek	7-AAAAAA	0-2	45.51	3,931	0.00	12	-	-	-	-
Rockdale County	4-AAAAAA	3-0	38.73	20,484	0.02	7	-	-	-	-
Forsyth Central	6-AAAAAA	1-2	47.36	9,941	0.01	7	-	-	-	-
Etowah	5-AAAAAA	0-3	49.54	14,681	0.01	5	-	-	-	-
Grovetown	4-AAAAAA	0-3	35.44	11,404	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Discovery	8-AAAAAA	0-3	29.95	1,522	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Berkmar	7-AAAAAA	1-2	38.70	457	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
South Cobb	3-AAAAAA	0-3	28.62	132	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAA	Colquitt County	334,390	275,013	201,827	118,765	929,995	70,005
1-AAAAAA	Camden County	312,482	262,576	209,186	134,323	918,567	81,433
1-AAAAAA	Valdosta	221,478	232,144	227,048	178,431	859,101	140,899
1-AAAAAA	Lowndes	93,592	147,607	207,982	261,664	710,845	289,155
1-AAAAAA	Richmond Hill	36,643	76,916	136,144	247,699	497,402	502,598
1-AAAAAA	Tift County	1,415	5,744	17,813	59,118	84,090	915,910
2-AAAAAA	Carrollton	643,877	310,249	38,963	6,722	999,811	189
2-AAAAAA	Douglas County	324,529	525,280	121,168	27,075	998,052	1,948
2-AAAAAA	Westlake	22,379	114,643	546,878	279,673	963,573	36,427
2-AAAAAA	East Coweta	9,179	48,266	274,945	541,483	873,873	126,127
2-AAAAAA	Chapel Hill	36	1,562	18,046	145,047	164,691	835,309
3-AAAAAA	McEachern	587,530	245,227	108,455	44,473	985,685	14,315
3-AAAAAA	Harrison	204,992	323,926	244,371	148,849	922,138	77,862
3-AAAAAA	Campbell	103,213	189,236	257,630	259,278	809,357	190,643
3-AAAAAA	Hillgrove	93,197	195,830	268,424	255,076	812,527	187,473
3-AAAAAA	Pebblebrook	9,391	35,170	83,543	177,219	305,323	694,677
3-AAAAAA	Paulding County	1,171	6,659	22,063	66,927	96,820	903,180
3-AAAAAA	Osborne	506	3,952	15,506	48,054	68,018	931,982
3-AAAAAA	South Cobb	-	-	8	124	132	999,868
4-AAAAAA	Grayson	667,187	260,815	58,151	13,715	999,868	132
4-AAAAAA	South Gwinnett	248,309	447,012	215,627	86,258	997,206	2,794
4-AAAAAA	Newton	64,030	196,797	425,654	295,927	982,408	17,592
4-AAAAAA	Archer	20,464	94,965	295,277	530,265	940,971	59,029
4-AAAAAA	Heritage (Conyers)	7	324	3,540	43,788	47,659	952,341
4-AAAAAA	Rockdale County	2	63	1,207	19,212	20,484	979,516
4-AAAAAA	Grovetown	1	24	544	10,835	11,404	988,596
5-AAAAAA	Walton	535,723	345,424	89,796	22,152	993,095	6,905
5-AAAAAA	North Cobb	407,996	436,146	118,454	28,366	990,962	9,038
5-AAAAAA	North Paulding	34,966	120,374	393,038	256,245	804,623	195,377
5-AAAAAA	Marietta	11,256	48,831	195,853	304,744	560,684	439,316
5-AAAAAA	Cherokee	9,234	42,379	155,264	260,684	467,561	532,439
5-AAAAAA	Wheeler	817	6,707	45,122	115,748	168,394	831,606
5-AAAAAA	Etowah	8	139	2,473	12,061	14,681	985,319
6-AAAAAA	West Forsyth	632,348	224,479	89,333	35,328	981,488	18,512
6-AAAAAA	Lambert	194,142	324,347	222,535	137,381	878,405	121,595
6-AAAAAA	North Atlanta	77,506	173,501	223,829	211,489	686,325	313,675
6-AAAAAA	North Forsyth	62,828	160,435	224,981	221,893	670,137	329,863
6-AAAAAA	Denmark	22,995	70,576	124,761	181,072	399,404	600,596
6-AAAAAA	Alpharetta	7,544	33,575	77,682	132,993	251,794	748,206
6-AAAAAA	South Forsyth	2,604	12,696	34,833	72,373	122,506	877,494
6-AAAAAA	Forsyth Central	33	391	2,046	7,471	9,941	990,059
7-AAAAAA	North Gwinnett	758,162	196,628	35,811	7,717	998,318	1,682
7-AAAAAA	Norcross	184,414	472,207	218,175	85,670	960,466	39,534
7-AAAAAA	Parkview	30,903	157,242	295,530	261,230	744,905	255,095
7-AAAAAA	Brookwood	14,666	89,192	228,709	289,884	622,451	377,549
7-AAAAAA	Peachtree Ridge	11,493	79,270	192,210	274,959	557,932	442,068
7-AAAAAA	Duluth	362	5,429	29,013	76,736	111,540	888,460
7-AAAAAA	Meadowcreek	-	32	510	3,389	3,931	996,069
7-AAAAAA	Berkmar	-	-	42	415	457	999,543
8-AAAAAA	Mill Creek	355,403	332,207	305,880	6,280	999,770	230
8-AAAAAA	Buford	342,468	336,533	314,298	6,473	999,772	228
8-AAAAAA	Collins Hill	302,029	330,502	358,473	8,658	999,662	338
8-AAAAAA	Dacula	42	323	9,478	387,654	397,497	602,503
8-AAAAAA	Mountain View	42	304	7,233	297,664	305,243	694,757
8-AAAAAA	Central Gwinnett	16	131	4,638	291,749	296,534	703,466
8-AAAAAA	Discovery	-	-	-	1,522	1,522	998,478

Class AAAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Milton	7-AAAAA	3-0	100.42	999,829	4.06	867,145	709,654	507,067	352,315	1.84
Lee County	2-AAAAA	3-0	95.53	991,598	3.80	854,473	626,543	345,249	182,964	4.47
Coffee	2-AAAAA	3-0	95.03	989,327	3.70	838,943	579,844	315,959	160,563	5.23
Gainesville	7-AAAAA	3-0	94.50	999,267	3.43	718,676	491,315	276,916	127,410	6.85
Hughes	3-AAAAA	2-0	91.93	999,948	2.91	502,150	269,746	145,507	57,402	16.42
Roswell	7-AAAAA	2-0	90.38	997,276	3.01	618,665	357,301	146,310	51,534	18.40
Thomas County Central	2-AAAAA	3-0	86.56	924,122	2.85	694,072	273,238	84,623	24,063	40.56
Houston County	2-AAAAA	3-0	85.66	904,569	2.73	674,750	240,387	70,436	18,820	52.13
Rome	5-AAAAA	0-1	87.40	999,895	2.57	395,829	151,706	64,287	18,805	52.18
Woodward Academy	4-AAAAA	0-3	81.15	999,893	2.29	271,405	110,601	24,765	4,352	228.78
Sequoyah	6-AAAAA	3-0	76.23	979,897	1.85	324,705	56,840	7,825	1,025	974.61
Brunswick	1-AAAAA	1-1	73.89	989,941	2.07	198,670	36,347	4,233	341	2,931.55
Creekview	6-AAAAA	2-1	71.18	921,725	1.27	114,310	14,460	1,280	114	8,770.93
Lovejoy	3-AAAAA	2-0	69.29	934,029	1.78	168,968	16,569	1,252	64	15,624.00
East Paulding	5-AAAAA	2-0	68.99	955,796	1.70	64,547	14,456	1,028	58	17,240.38
Dutchtown	3-AAAAA	1-2	68.38	914,020	1.66	131,597	12,430	873	55	18,180.82
River Ridge	6-AAAAA	2-1	69.03	879,678	1.09	66,114	7,260	592	36	27,776.78
Northside (Warner Robins)	2-AAAAA	2-1	69.86	180,978	0.38	71,795	5,850	496	34	29,410.76
Sprayberry	6-AAAAA	3-0	67.48	843,851	1.03	55,639	5,247	366	16	62,499.00
Clarke Central	8-AAAAA	2-1	66.51	985,741	1.19	69,858	4,929	360	12	83,332.33
Newnan	3-AAAAA	2-1	63.39	781,844	1.20	49,385	3,241	134	7	142,856.14
Glynn Academy	1-AAAAA	1-1	63.36	817,885	1.26	41,675	2,800	127	2	499,999.00
Lanier	7-AAAAA	1-2	63.60	474,246	0.64	44,030	2,104	91	2	499,999.00
Effingham County	1-AAAAA	0-2	61.31	742,771	1.07	26,059	1,575	61	2	499,999.00
Jackson County	8-AAAAA	2-1	60.66	937,905	1.01	20,416	1,001	32	1	999,999.00
Decatur	4-AAAAA	2-0	58.41	893,574	1.15	16,089	762	18	1	999,999.00
Evans	1-AAAAA	2-0	57.92	559,245	0.72	9,186	453	13	1	999,999.00
Villa Rica	5-AAAAA	1-1	56.52	455,634	0.59	7,055	248	10	1	999,999.00
Seckinger	7-AAAAA	3-0	62.43	452,136	0.59	35,775	1,530	63	-	-
South Paulding	5-AAAAA	0-2	57.97	530,934	0.71	10,567	498	10	-	-
Statesboro	1-AAAAA	1-1	56.86	491,666	0.62	6,494	262	5	-	-
Dunwoody	4-AAAAA	1-1	52.57	662,909	0.75	4,745	88	3	-	-
Kennesaw Mountain	5-AAAAA	0-2	54.37	338,245	0.42	3,477	111	2	-	-
Winder-Barrow	8-AAAAA	2-1	54.15	754,306	0.77	2,963	130	1	-	-
Arabia Mountain	4-AAAAA	1-2	52.11	630,015	0.71	4,208	91	1	-	-
Shiloh	4-AAAAA	0-3	50.59	597,827	0.66	2,914	46	1	-	-
New Manchester	5-AAAAA	3-0	52.62	275,430	0.33	2,089	44	1	-	-
Woodstock	6-AAAAA	3-0	55.33	173,117	0.18	593	31	1	-	-
Lithia Springs	5-AAAAA	1-1	51.56	212,067	0.25	1,311	29	1	-	-
Alexander	5-AAAAA	1-2	51.97	231,999	0.28	1,506	27	1	-	-
Habersham Central	8-AAAAA	1-2	52.28	655,958	0.67	1,664	68	-	-	-
Bradwell Institute	1-AAAAA	2-0	52.75	220,718	0.25	1,091	36	-	-	-
Pope	6-AAAAA	1-2	55.55	184,349	0.19	772	36	-	-	-
Banneker	3-AAAAA	2-0	51.60	146,267	0.17	753	18	-	-	-
Veterans	2-AAAAA	0-3	55.50	9,406	0.01	846	17	-	-	-
McIntosh	3-AAAAA	1-2	50.43	121,843	0.14	487	11	-	-	-
Loganville	8-AAAAA	0-3	47.87	427,678	0.43	345	7	-	-	-
Chattahoochee	7-AAAAA	3-0	48.94	45,526	0.05	351	4	-	-	-
Northgate	3-AAAAA	0-3	49.58	96,334	0.11	285	3	-	-	-
South Effingham	1-AAAAA	0-2	47.50	70,761	0.08	122	3	-	-	-
Lakeside (Evans)	1-AAAAA	2-0	48.16	82,333	0.09	146	2	-	-	-
Lassiter	6-AAAAA	2-1	43.17	8,222	0.01	3	1	-	-	-
Johns Creek	7-AAAAA	0-2	46.85	31,720	0.03	152	-	-	-	-
Lakeside (Atlanta)	4-AAAAA	1-2	40.36	93,136	0.10	48	-	-	-	-
Alcovy	8-AAAAA	0-3	43.17	208,642	0.21	35	-	-	-	-
Tri-Cities	4-AAAAA	1-0	37.67	57,430	0.06	20	-	-	-	-
Chamblee	4-AAAAA	0-3	39.06	65,216	0.07	15	-	-	-	-
Greenbrier	1-AAAAA	1-1	43.88	24,680	0.03	15	-	-	-	-
Apalachee	8-AAAAA	0-3	34.43	29,770	0.03	1	-	-	-	-
Riverwood	6-AAAAA	0-3	43.06	9,161	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Morrow	3-AAAAA	1-1	38.24	5,715	0.01	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAA	Brunswick	709,985	192,780	64,438	22,738	989,941	10,059
1-AAAAA	Glynn Academy	126,404	291,882	236,653	162,946	817,885	182,115
1-AAAAA	Effingham County	92,247	232,075	234,286	184,163	742,771	257,229
1-AAAAA	Evans	36,494	129,781	185,863	207,107	559,245	440,755
1-AAAAA	Statesboro	27,264	104,414	161,338	198,650	491,666	508,334
1-AAAAA	Bradwell Institute	5,785	32,642	68,466	113,825	220,718	779,282
1-AAAAA	Lakeside (Evans)	867	7,935	23,434	50,097	82,333	917,667
1-AAAAA	South Effingham	816	6,864	19,456	43,625	70,761	929,239
1-AAAAA	Greenbrier	138	1,627	6,066	16,849	24,680	975,320
2-AAAAA	Lee County	459,813	319,073	147,291	65,421	991,598	8,402
2-AAAAA	Coffee	368,136	344,528	188,380	88,283	989,327	10,673
2-AAAAA	Thomas County Central	98,318	181,677	324,913	319,214	924,122	75,878
2-AAAAA	Houston County	72,719	147,697	310,289	373,864	904,569	95,431
2-AAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	1,011	6,964	28,289	144,714	180,978	819,022
2-AAAAA	Veterans	3	61	838	8,504	9,406	990,594
3-AAAAA	Hughes	915,547	75,763	7,371	1,267	999,948	52
3-AAAAA	Lovejoy	39,762	404,180	308,846	181,241	934,029	65,971
3-AAAAA	Dutchtown	30,769	323,518	335,827	223,906	914,020	85,980
3-AAAAA	Newnan	13,567	175,837	266,177	326,263	781,844	218,156
3-AAAAA	Banneker	182	8,626	33,025	104,434	146,267	853,733
3-AAAAA	McIntosh	96	7,504	28,019	86,224	121,843	878,157
3-AAAAA	Northgate	77	4,500	20,072	71,685	96,334	903,666
3-AAAAA	Morrow	-	72	663	4,980	5,715	994,285
4-AAAAA	Woodward Academy	927,619	66,467	5,111	696	999,893	107
4-AAAAA	Decatur	50,112	445,462	252,743	145,257	893,574	106,426
4-AAAAA	Dunwoody	8,737	173,852	241,522	238,798	662,909	337,091
4-AAAAA	Arabia Mountain	7,555	155,553	227,414	239,493	630,015	369,985
4-AAAAA	Shiloh	5,794	142,814	214,977	234,242	597,827	402,173
4-AAAAA	Lakeside (Atlanta)	99	7,393	26,123	59,521	93,136	906,864
4-AAAAA	Chamblee	50	4,429	17,096	43,641	65,216	934,784
4-AAAAA	Tri-Cities	34	4,030	15,014	38,352	57,430	942,570
5-AAAAA	Rome	908,482	85,226	5,551	636	999,895	105
5-AAAAA	East Paulding	79,163	629,021	179,840	67,772	955,796	44,204
5-AAAAA	South Paulding	5,656	102,552	223,580	199,146	530,934	469,066
5-AAAAA	Villa Rica	3,344	68,786	191,682	191,822	455,634	544,366
5-AAAAA	Kennesaw Mountain	1,679	45,876	130,900	159,790	338,245	661,755
5-AAAAA	New Manchester	677	27,508	104,110	143,135	275,430	724,570
5-AAAAA	Alexander	616	22,087	86,546	122,750	231,999	768,001
5-AAAAA	Lithia Springs	383	18,944	77,791	114,949	212,067	787,933
6-AAAAA	Sequoyah	509,295	263,080	140,017	67,505	979,897	20,103
6-AAAAA	Creekview	214,405	281,772	249,375	176,173	921,725	78,275
6-AAAAA	River Ridge	136,826	218,158	271,942	252,752	879,678	120,322
6-AAAAA	Sprayberry	131,819	206,310	252,614	253,108	843,851	156,149
6-AAAAA	Pope	4,524	16,824	44,612	118,389	184,349	815,651
6-AAAAA	Woodstock	3,095	13,491	38,969	117,562	173,117	826,883
6-AAAAA	Riverwood	19	193	1,328	7,621	9,161	990,839
6-AAAAA	Lassiter	17	172	1,143	6,890	8,222	991,778
7-AAAAA	Milton	576,064	294,509	125,010	4,246	999,829	171
7-AAAAA	Gainesville	281,797	390,504	314,348	12,618	999,267	733
7-AAAAA	Roswell	141,763	311,701	509,594	34,218	997,276	2,724
7-AAAAA	Lanier	226	1,937	28,892	443,191	474,246	525,754
7-AAAAA	Seckinger	150	1,329	20,906	429,751	452,136	547,864
7-AAAAA	Chattahoochee	-	14	844	44,668	45,526	954,474
7-AAAAA	Johns Creek	-	6	406	31,308	31,720	968,280
8-AAAAA	Clarke Central	567,214	271,717	109,123	37,687	985,741	14,259
8-AAAAA	Jackson County	282,931	345,968	205,921	103,085	937,905	62,095
8-AAAAA	Winder-Barrow	78,160	171,593	269,426	235,127	754,306	245,694
8-AAAAA	Habersham Central	52,253	130,045	215,659	258,001	655,958	344,042
8-AAAAA	Loganville	15,990	61,135	134,652	215,901	427,678	572,322
8-AAAAA	Alcovy	3,358	18,451	59,128	127,705	208,642	791,358
8-AAAAA	Apalachee	94	1,091	6,091	22,494	29,770	970,230

Class AAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Marist	5-AAAA	2-0	96.87	1,000,000	4.05	840,191	752,357	576,977	439,521	1.28
Ware County	1-AAAA	2-1	90.37	990,657	3.58	790,145	566,057	306,032	164,947	5.06
Benedictine	1-AAAA	1-2	88.06	983,620	3.29	715,018	471,275	245,381	107,680	8.29
Cartersville	7-AAAA	3-0	87.23	998,647	3.23	738,324	391,524	227,429	90,550	10.04
Blessed Trinity	6-AAAA	3-0	86.67	998,350	3.28	725,462	446,060	236,717	90,120	10.10
Warner Robins	1-AAAA	2-1	82.84	946,227	2.59	529,714	282,545	109,548	33,152	29.16
Creekside	4-AAAA	0-2	83.27	999,900	2.81	574,754	254,069	81,409	32,050	30.20
North Oconee	8-AAAA	2-0	79.95	997,962	2.42	319,722	150,706	57,541	13,630	72.37
Perry	1-AAAA	2-1	77.66	853,694	1.68	266,257	110,962	31,156	6,578	151.02
Cedartown	7-AAAA	3-0	77.26	973,593	2.03	354,876	89,799	26,811	5,947	167.15
Cass	7-AAAA	3-0	76.06	964,277	1.85	285,967	66,106	16,926	3,524	282.77
Cambridge	6-AAAA	3-0	75.70	967,167	1.83	271,513	74,084	18,222	3,316	300.57
Kell	6-AAAA	2-1	74.47	958,257	1.71	235,743	57,732	13,609	2,291	435.49
Eastside	8-AAAA	3-0	73.95	986,210	1.92	148,182	49,537	10,604	1,786	558.91
Central (Carrollton)	3-AAAA	2-1	72.44	960,716	1.97	235,405	45,632	9,623	1,362	733.21
Starr's Mill	3-AAAA	3-0	71.17	949,296	1.86	198,455	35,807	6,861	885	1,128.94
Jones County	2-AAAA	3-0	71.00	992,048	1.84	123,957	37,353	7,067	829	1,205.27
Ola	2-AAAA	3-0	70.12	987,381	1.81	116,607	32,864	5,812	628	1,591.36
Mays	4-AAAA	2-1	70.12	992,593	1.77	147,337	28,561	4,904	543	1,840.62
Harris County	3-AAAA	3-0	68.79	908,755	1.62	132,376	21,219	3,337	335	2,984.07
Stockbridge	2-AAAA	2-1	68.33	981,154	1.66	80,033	19,803	2,864	284	3,520.13
St. Pius X	5-AAAA	1-1	62.74	986,323	1.12	30,836	4,562	421	19	52,630.58
Westminster (Atlanta)	6-AAAA	1-2	63.19	723,068	0.85	28,604	2,506	254	10	99,999.00
New Hampstead	1-AAAA	2-1	63.90	166,592	0.20	8,318	1,351	128	6	166,665.67
Hiram	7-AAAA	1-2	59.72	392,560	0.44	8,887	837	47	2	499,999.00
Tucker	5-AAAA	1-1	56.83	939,485	0.99	7,401	594	24	2	499,999.00
Allatoona	7-AAAA	1-2	59.37	377,085	0.42	8,163	764	38	1	999,999.00
Pace Academy	4-AAAA	1-1	55.76	833,081	1.00	11,302	611	28	1	999,999.00
Union Grove	2-AAAA	2-1	51.55	401,862	0.44	828	38	1	1	999,999.00
Jonesboro	3-AAAA	1-2	59.19	483,595	0.61	11,600	893	63	-	-
East Forsyth	8-AAAA	3-0	58.53	650,109	0.81	8,293	847	48	-	-
Maynard Jackson	4-AAAA	2-0	56.21	846,519	1.02	12,610	725	35	-	-
Dalton	7-AAAA	0-3	57.40	281,367	0.31	4,110	343	19	-	-
Madison County	8-AAAA	2-0	57.38	563,505	0.69	6,028	566	18	-	-
Northside (Columbus)	3-AAAA	2-0	57.65	372,176	0.45	6,373	412	18	-	-
Centennial	6-AAAA	3-0	57.32	353,158	0.38	4,698	209	10	-	-
Flowery Branch	8-AAAA	1-2	53.95	424,330	0.49	2,458	189	7	-	-
Mundy's Mill	3-AAAA	0-2	55.46	264,809	0.31	2,925	160	4	-	-
Wayne County	1-AAAA	0-3	58.35	59,210	0.07	1,141	117	3	-	-
Southwest DeKalb	5-AAAA	1-1	52.22	849,949	0.87	2,169	91	2	-	-
Walnut Grove	8-AAAA	3-0	52.37	317,566	0.36	1,378	73	1	-	-
Eagle's Landing	2-AAAA	2-1	50.23	273,217	0.29	430	10	1	-	-
Hampton	2-AAAA	1-2	53.14	260,358	0.28	650	37	-	-	-
Eagle's Landing Christian	2-AAAA	0-3	51.79	93,414	0.10	176	5	-	-	-
Griffin	3-AAAA	0-2	48.27	60,653	0.06	125	4	-	-	-
Drew	4-AAAA	3-0	45.05	271,645	0.29	374	2	-	-	-
Cedar Shoals	8-AAAA	0-3	43.78	60,318	0.06	46	2	-	-	-
Lithonia	5-AAAA	2-0	38.73	156,520	0.16	20	-	-	-	-
M.L. King	4-AAAA	1-2	34.99	41,185	0.04	8	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Cartersville)	7-AAAA	1-1	41.72	12,471	0.01	6	-	-	-	-
Midtown	4-AAAA	1-2	30.41	15,016	0.02	3	-	-	-	-
Druid Hills	5-AAAA	1-1	31.94	37,790	0.04	2	-	-	-	-
North Springs	5-AAAA	0-2	31.26	28,863	0.03	-	-	-	-	-
Locust Grove	2-AAAA	0-3	39.86	8,351	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Stockbridge)	2-AAAA	0-3	38.45	2,159	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Northview	5-AAAA	0-2	19.23	1,068	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Forest Park	4-AAAA	1-2	12.94	61	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
McDonough	2-AAAA	0-3	34.34	56	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Clarkston	5-AAAA	0-2	5.18	2	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Southeast Whitfield	7-AAAA	0-3	-3.81	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Keys	5-AAAA	0-2	-26.13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAA	Ware County	486,969	293,858	146,730	63,100	990,657	9,343
1-AAAA	Benedictine	307,599	336,772	233,020	106,229	983,620	16,380
1-AAAA	Warner Robins	148,855	247,333	337,777	212,262	946,227	53,773
1-AAAA	Perry	55,347	113,971	248,319	436,057	853,694	146,306
1-AAAA	New Hampstead	1,072	6,761	26,538	132,221	166,592	833,408
1-AAAA	Wayne County	158	1,305	7,616	50,131	59,210	940,790
2-AAAA	Ola	374,043	322,306	240,865	50,167	987,381	12,619
2-AAAA	Jones County	357,676	333,087	264,118	37,167	992,048	7,952
2-AAAA	Stockbridge	261,980	312,258	338,966	67,950	981,154	18,846
2-AAAA	Union Grove	4,217	18,203	72,887	306,555	401,862	598,138
2-AAAA	Eagle's Landing	1,860	9,480	44,416	217,461	273,217	726,783
2-AAAA	Eagle's Landing Christian	155	1,773	12,757	78,729	93,414	906,586
2-AAAA	Hampton	69	2,887	25,677	231,725	260,358	739,642
2-AAAA	Locust Grove	-	4	223	8,124	8,351	991,649
2-AAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	-	2	89	2,068	2,159	997,841
2-AAAA	McDonough	-	-	2	54	56	999,944
3-AAAA	Central (Carrollton)	394,147	299,716	191,123	75,730	960,716	39,284
3-AAAA	Starr's Mill	338,095	296,005	221,475	93,721	949,296	50,704
3-AAAA	Harris County	221,576	270,844	275,334	141,001	908,755	91,245
3-AAAA	Jonesboro	24,650	64,736	136,443	257,766	483,595	516,405
3-AAAA	Northside (Columbus)	13,703	41,129	97,273	220,071	372,176	627,824
3-AAAA	Mundy's Mill	7,373	24,980	66,268	166,188	264,809	735,191
3-AAAA	Griffin	456	2,590	12,084	45,523	60,653	939,347
4-AAAA	Creekside	826,024	159,226	12,808	1,842	999,900	100
4-AAAA	Mays	153,922	623,711	172,290	42,670	992,593	7,407
4-AAAA	Pace Academy	9,900	98,957	359,183	365,041	833,081	166,919
4-AAAA	Maynard Jackson	9,791	107,667	378,239	350,822	846,519	153,481
4-AAAA	Drew	358	9,907	68,621	192,759	271,645	728,355
4-AAAA	Midtown	3	63	1,866	13,084	15,016	984,984
4-AAAA	M.L. King	2	469	6,991	33,723	41,185	958,815
4-AAAA	Forest Park	-	-	2	59	61	999,939
5-AAAA	Marist	977,860	21,764	332	44	1,000,000	-
5-AAAA	St. Pius X	17,379	577,792	284,605	106,547	986,323	13,677
5-AAAA	Tucker	3,635	268,026	401,020	266,804	939,485	60,515
5-AAAA	Southwest DeKalb	1,113	126,607	277,857	444,372	849,949	150,051
5-AAAA	Lithonia	13	5,006	27,706	123,795	156,520	843,480
5-AAAA	Druid Hills	-	472	4,920	32,398	37,790	962,210
5-AAAA	North Springs	-	331	3,511	25,021	28,863	971,137
5-AAAA	Northview	-	2	49	1,017	1,068	998,932
5-AAAA	Clarkston	-	-	-	2	2	999,998
5-AAAA	Cross Keys	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAA	Blessed Trinity	694,153	226,664	64,452	13,081	998,350	1,650
6-AAAA	Cambridge	155,178	390,904	317,845	103,240	967,167	32,833
6-AAAA	Kell	136,661	304,190	369,800	147,606	958,257	41,743
6-AAAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	11,603	59,616	184,856	466,993	723,068	276,932
6-AAAA	Centennial	2,405	18,626	63,047	269,080	353,158	646,842
7-AAAA	Cartersville	667,165	244,931	77,227	9,324	998,647	1,353
7-AAAA	Cedartown	199,810	385,090	310,351	78,342	973,593	26,407
7-AAAA	Cass	127,128	322,229	409,366	105,554	964,277	35,723
7-AAAA	Allatoona	2,480	18,079	75,229	281,297	377,085	622,915
7-AAAA	Hiram	2,319	18,920	77,595	293,726	392,560	607,440
7-AAAA	Dalton	1,097	10,710	49,526	220,034	281,367	718,633
7-AAAA	Woodland (Cartersville)	1	41	706	11,723	12,471	987,529
7-AAAA	Southeast Whitfield	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAA	North Oconee	676,712	269,164	44,255	7,831	997,962	2,038
8-AAAA	Eastside	289,656	529,281	132,991	34,282	986,210	13,790
8-AAAA	East Forsyth	15,999	82,283	295,172	256,655	650,109	349,891
8-AAAA	Madison County	11,358	64,488	230,642	257,017	563,505	436,495
8-AAAA	Flowery Branch	3,804	32,315	165,410	222,801	424,330	575,670
8-AAAA	Walnut Grove	2,418	21,035	116,089	178,024	317,566	682,434
8-AAAA	Cedar Shoals	53	1,434	15,441	43,390	60,318	939,682

Class AAA Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Jefferson	8-AAA	2-1	83.93	999,999	4.17	875,595	753,050	585,341	424,243	1.36
Cedar Grove	5-AAA	0-2	80.80	999,943	3.83	816,124	657,707	422,524	253,597	2.94
Sandy Creek	2-AAA	3-0	76.70	997,790	3.43	720,168	501,195	304,390	133,576	6.49
Calhoun	7-AAA	1-1	73.08	998,644	3.09	645,603	402,154	179,460	64,668	14.46
Troup	2-AAA	1-1	70.61	891,980	2.29	421,896	209,441	81,746	25,232	38.63
Peach County	1-AAA	2-1	69.90	973,734	2.50	466,427	230,262	85,452	24,922	39.13
Stephenson	5-AAA	2-1	68.35	999,010	2.47	449,025	179,509	66,615	17,488	56.18
Bainbridge	1-AAA	0-3	68.78	961,496	2.21	373,352	176,775	64,138	16,668	59.00
Monroe Area	8-AAA	2-0	67.37	995,529	2.31	382,591	144,899	50,082	12,462	79.24
Cairo	1-AAA	0-2	66.18	941,580	1.99	303,445	123,118	36,383	7,763	127.82
Mary Persons	2-AAA	2-0	65.88	847,457	1.77	250,659	93,844	28,779	6,158	161.39
Oconee County	8-AAA	0-3	63.46	968,399	1.80	230,622	75,756	17,674	3,215	310.04
Northwest Whitfield	7-AAA	3-0	61.39	992,603	1.92	231,333	65,174	15,043	2,095	476.33
LaGrange	2-AAA	1-2	64.08	538,175	1.02	134,150	43,808	10,915	2,069	482.33
Baldwin	4-AAA	0-2	59.57	946,299	1.79	229,946	60,776	10,394	1,283	778.42
Spalding	2-AAA	0-2	63.17	420,304	0.77	98,016	30,825	7,087	1,232	810.69
Cherokee Bluff	8-AAA	3-0	58.64	962,448	1.59	128,053	29,987	5,307	635	1,573.80
Douglass	5-AAA	1-2	58.73	960,945	1.53	136,293	32,335	5,219	607	1,646.45
Adairsville	7-AAA	2-1	57.92	897,185	1.46	129,694	29,137	4,525	534	1,871.66
Jenkins	3-AAA	1-1	56.54	926,585	1.49	122,794	23,797	3,435	311	3,214.43
Harlem	4-AAA	2-0	54.82	954,079	1.53	116,624	22,340	3,002	251	3,983.06
Lumpkin County	6-AAA	1-1	54.71	829,219	1.28	97,360	18,180	2,168	197	5,075.14
Whitewater	2-AAA	0-2	59.13	232,623	0.37	33,536	8,236	1,415	184	5,433.78
Southeast Bulloch	3-AAA	2-0	54.18	958,091	1.44	85,855	14,229	1,763	135	7,406.41
Upson-Lee	2-AAA	1-1	57.71	258,533	0.40	32,799	6,847	969	113	8,848.56
Long County	3-AAA	2-0	52.27	961,824	1.38	62,799	8,990	972	64	15,624.00
Gilmer	7-AAA	2-1	53.09	796,643	1.12	56,793	8,684	897	62	16,128.03
Dawson County	6-AAA	1-1	52.81	760,857	1.09	64,471	10,482	1,010	54	18,517.52
Heritage (Ringgold)	7-AAA	2-1	52.46	806,596	1.11	52,507	7,542	764	44	22,726.27
Howard	4-AAA	1-1	51.40	660,098	0.91	44,332	5,811	490	35	28,570.43
Westover	1-AAA	2-1	52.64	388,506	0.50	21,554	3,169	289	24	41,665.67
Monroe	1-AAA	0-3	53.78	418,677	0.51	18,964	3,401	394	22	45,453.55
Dougherty	1-AAA	1-2	52.40	379,983	0.45	12,624	2,118	223	17	58,822.53
White County	6-AAA	0-2	49.94	571,969	0.72	24,768	3,140	253	11	90,908.09
West Laurens	4-AAA	2-0	49.28	684,747	0.90	31,969	3,648	231	8	124,999.00
North Hall	6-AAA	0-2	49.37	552,860	0.70	23,209	2,773	216	7	142,856.14
Hephzibah	4-AAA	1-1	47.94	635,194	0.80	22,793	2,337	159	6	166,665.67
Luella	5-AAA	1-2	48.26	732,499	0.83	14,669	1,657	110	4	249,999.00
Pickens	6-AAA	2-1	47.70	464,483	0.58	15,952	1,554	105	2	499,999.00
Liberty County	3-AAA	1-1	45.99	569,180	0.68	13,092	959	47	1	999,999.00
Westside (Augusta)	4-AAA	2-0	42.48	422,749	0.48	5,213	265	11	1	999,999.00
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	5-AAA	1-2	37.00	216,427	0.23	675	35	1	-	-
West Hall	8-AAA	2-1	38.27	85,744	0.09	395	15	1	-	-
Richmond Academy	4-AAA	0-2	38.45	51,738	0.06	274	11	1	-	-
East Hall	8-AAA	3-0	39.09	97,527	0.10	431	16	-	-	-
Windsor Forest	3-AAA	1-1	36.37	106,670	0.11	394	8	-	-	-
Riverdale	5-AAA	0-3	35.05	46,814	0.05	53	2	-	-	-
Johnson (Savannah)	3-AAA	0-2	33.96	25,566	0.03	44	1	-	-	-
North Clayton	5-AAA	1-2	33.09	61,662	0.06	26	1	-	-	-
Chestatee	6-AAA	1-1	32.86	20,953	0.02	26	-	-	-	-
Beach	3-AAA	1-1	29.43	17,844	0.02	8	-	-	-	-
Islands	3-AAA	0-2	28.36	4,122	0.00	5	-	-	-	-
LaFayette	7-AAA	0-3	26.34	3,994	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Ridgeland	7-AAA	0-3	21.43	1,065	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Creek	4-AAA	1-1	23.41	297	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Fayette County	2-AAA	0-2	35.00	46	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Gainesville)	6-AAA	0-2	11.07	11	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Groves	3-AAA	0-2	11.91	5	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
8-AAA	Jefferson	697,091	941,864	996,553	999,999	1
2-AAA	Sandy Creek	116,814	742,094	924,935	997,790	2,210
7-AAA	Calhoun	40,978	780,895	950,112	998,644	1,356
8-AAA	Monroe Area	37,681	311,823	745,749	995,529	4,471
4-AAA	Harlem	22,755	301,568	618,850	954,079	45,921
5-AAA	Stephenson	19,156	400,042	860,634	999,010	990
7-AAA	Northwest Whitfield	16,823	286,984	721,726	992,603	7,397
5-AAA	Cedar Grove	12,823	800,995	977,423	999,943	57
2-AAA	Troup	7,273	206,419	507,611	891,980	108,020
2-AAA	Mary Persons	6,441	116,505	354,150	847,457	152,543
8-AAA	Cherokee Bluff	4,678	67,067	379,813	962,448	37,552
3-AAA	Southeast Bulloch	3,606	137,109	486,395	958,091	41,909
3-AAA	Long County	2,390	125,134	509,340	961,824	38,176
1-AAA	Peach County	2,348	399,267	708,269	973,734	26,266
4-AAA	Baldwin	1,301	480,464	722,745	946,299	53,701
3-AAA	Jenkins	1,196	102,146	452,471	926,585	73,415
7-AAA	Adairsville	1,000	85,440	322,005	897,185	102,815
8-AAA	Oconee County	980	66,211	337,288	968,399	31,601
4-AAA	West Laurens	897	66,681	200,330	684,747	315,253
7-AAA	Gilmer	648	41,175	188,613	796,643	203,357
1-AAA	Cairo	630	235,364	524,812	941,580	58,420
4-AAA	Howard	596	90,232	239,240	660,098	339,902
4-AAA	Hephzibah	569	45,872	151,873	635,194	364,806
7-AAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	485	34,873	196,296	806,596	193,404
6-AAA	Lumpkin County	290	245,530	466,379	829,219	170,781
4-AAA	Westside (Augusta)	173	9,496	52,495	422,749	577,251
5-AAA	Douglass	87	37,574	247,509	960,945	39,055
2-AAA	Spalding	79	29,582	112,742	420,304	579,696
6-AAA	Dawson County	56	171,298	369,993	760,857	239,143
2-AAA	Upson-Lee	40	5,875	31,860	258,533	741,467
2-AAA	LaGrange	31	14,862	113,072	538,175	461,825
3-AAA	Liberty County	28	9,180	83,449	569,180	430,820
1-AAA	Westover	19	8,727	41,728	388,506	611,494
6-AAA	Pickens	17	48,318	133,832	464,483	535,517
2-AAA	Whitewater	11	9,075	45,889	232,623	767,377
1-AAA	Bainbridge	9	346,068	650,937	961,496	38,504
5-AAA	Luella	1	2,897	34,612	732,499	267,501
6-AAA	White County	-	86,881	216,670	571,969	428,031
6-AAA	North Hall	-	82,298	204,997	552,860	447,140
1-AAA	Monroe	-	14,793	57,669	418,677	581,323
1-AAA	Dougherty	-	9,612	41,507	379,983	620,017
4-AAA	Richmond Academy	-	1,148	6,160	51,738	948,262
6-AAA	Chestatee	-	305	1,876	20,953	979,047
3-AAA	Windsor Forest	-	88	2,010	106,670	893,330
5-AAA	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	-	77	2,922	216,427	783,573
8-AAA	West Hall	-	37	1,418	85,744	914,256
8-AAA	East Hall	-	31	1,784	97,527	902,473
3-AAA	Johnson (Savannah)	-	7	344	25,566	974,434
5-AAA	North Clayton	-	6	373	61,662	938,338
5-AAA	Riverdale	-	4	276	46,814	953,186
3-AAA	Beach	-	4	173	17,844	982,156
7-AAA	LaFayette	-	2	45	3,994	996,006
3-AAA	Islands	-	1	29	4,122	995,878
7-AAA	Ridgeland	-	-	11	1,065	998,935
4-AAA	Cross Creek	-	-	6	297	999,703
2-AAA	Fayette County	-	-	-	46	999,954
6-AAA	Johnson (Gainesville)	-	-	-	11	999,989
3-AAA	Groves	-	-	-	5	999,995

Class AA Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Pierce County	3-AA	2-0	76.57	999,978	3.77	786,522	595,412	435,849	305,536	2.27
Appling County	3-AA	1-1	73.69	999,894	3.43	708,481	480,844	311,519	186,936	4.35
Rockmart	7-AA	0-2	70.22	999,996	3.29	678,472	436,913	241,426	116,609	7.58
Stephens County	8-AA	3-0	70.76	999,998	3.05	587,915	364,287	200,870	101,025	8.90
Burke County	4-AA	2-1	69.01	1,000,000	3.10	635,292	371,597	187,046	84,571	10.82
Carver (Columbus)	1-AA	2-1	66.69	1,000,000	2.97	588,964	323,251	145,277	56,208	16.79
Callaway	2-AA	0-2	65.81	999,548	2.74	519,579	259,565	107,043	39,585	24.26
Morgan County	2-AA	3-0	65.10	1,000,000	2.78	530,172	248,127	106,157	36,864	26.13
Hapeville Charter	5-AA	0-2	63.54	997,432	2.33	377,977	157,477	55,665	17,884	54.92
Cook	3-AA	2-1	64.23	997,594	2.23	333,449	142,472	52,677	17,566	55.93
Thomson	4-AA	1-2	63.09	999,993	2.36	385,007	155,871	52,981	16,448	59.80
Sumter County	1-AA	3-0	60.33	1,000,000	2.34	368,000	128,931	38,826	9,419	105.17
Columbia	6-AA	0-2	57.28	999,622	2.18	327,177	88,370	20,144	3,875	257.06
Crisp County	3-AA	0-3	58.44	947,943	1.52	145,915	42,834	10,240	2,240	445.43
Carver (Atlanta)	5-AA	1-2	56.73	965,281	1.60	149,040	38,471	8,057	1,466	681.13
Ringgold	7-AA	3-0	54.35	999,872	1.74	139,854	32,711	5,994	886	1,127.67
Hart County	8-AA	1-2	55.75	949,993	1.46	111,178	26,573	5,030	883	1,131.50
North Murray	7-AA	1-1	54.21	996,078	1.66	129,120	29,000	5,088	715	1,397.60
Laney	4-AA	2-1	53.28	999,963	1.61	114,848	23,924	3,836	533	1,875.17
Westside (Macon)	2-AA	1-2	53.31	980,686	1.53	108,078	22,226	3,443	511	1,955.95
Union County	7-AA	0-2	49.69	950,071	1.30	56,015	8,507	985	106	9,432.96
South Atlanta	6-AA	1-2	46.59	995,066	1.47	68,939	7,873	689	51	19,606.84
Jackson	2-AA	1-2	47.78	940,757	1.22	39,997	4,987	472	39	25,640.03
Spencer	1-AA	1-2	46.50	966,425	1.23	34,229	3,825	308	22	45,453.55
Sonoraville	7-AA	0-2	46.64	771,581	0.95	25,941	2,866	224	19	52,630.58
East Jackson	8-AA	1-2	44.59	598,001	0.69	12,077	1,109	81	2	499,999.00
Miller Grove	6-AA	1-2	40.57	958,711	1.12	15,727	999	44	1	999,999.00
Pike County	2-AA	2-1	37.33	827,795	0.91	5,322	240	7	-	-
Hardaway	1-AA	1-2	37.58	766,353	0.83	4,914	264	5	-	-
Shaw	1-AA	1-2	36.32	884,886	0.96	4,844	180	5	-	-
Therrell	5-AA	1-2	38.72	234,732	0.25	1,485	94	4	-	-
Tattnall County	3-AA	1-2	36.79	115,262	0.12	387	20	3	-	-
Washington	5-AA	1-2	38.44	359,365	0.39	2,413	113	2	-	-
Lakeview Ft. Oglethorpe	7-AA	1-1	32.26	217,163	0.23	416	19	2	-	-
Redan	6-AA	1-2	30.90	775,352	0.80	962	21	1	-	-
Rutland	2-AA	0-3	31.76	140,721	0.14	209	9	-	-	-
Butler	4-AA	1-0	26.66	946,873	0.97	532	6	-	-	-
Franklin County	8-AA	2-1	33.59	124,230	0.13	283	6	-	-	-
Coahulla Creek	7-AA	0-3	31.42	132,049	0.14	193	5	-	-	-
Salem	6-AA	0-3	21.18	283,490	0.29	28	1	-	-	-
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	5-AA	1-2	28.90	50,435	0.05	43	-	-	-	-
Columbus	1-AA	0-3	21.29	40,068	0.04	4	-	-	-	-
Glenn Hills	4-AA	0-2	4.19	48,199	0.05	-	-	-	-	-
Josey	4-AA	0-2	-2.11	20,475	0.02	-	-	-	-	-
Kendrick	1-AA	1-2	12.77	15,583	0.02	-	-	-	-	-
Murray County	7-AA	1-2	9.18	2,332	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Jordan	1-AA	0-2	0.55	154	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
2-AA	Morgan County	360,100	765,485	992,696	1,000,000	-
3-AA	Pierce County	132,719	632,901	947,509	999,978	22
3-AA	Appling County	102,181	544,466	920,618	999,894	106
7-AA	Rockmart	83,933	817,920	974,588	999,996	4
1-AA	Sumter County	77,838	532,708	967,654	1,000,000	-
1-AA	Carver (Columbus)	76,619	748,750	991,676	1,000,000	-
8-AA	Stephens County	71,492	423,161	958,237	999,998	2
2-AA	Callaway	27,994	519,025	889,722	999,548	452
7-AA	Ringgold	24,610	183,054	809,198	999,872	128
4-AA	Burke County	19,099	666,940	952,193	1,000,000	-
3-AA	Cook	7,769	117,905	512,641	997,594	2,406
7-AA	North Murray	5,940	109,876	539,237	996,078	3,922
5-AA	Hapeville Charter	3,612	288,220	637,494	997,432	2,568
4-AA	Laney	2,298	89,157	527,102	999,963	37
2-AA	Westside (Macon)	2,014	77,341	344,242	980,686	19,314
6-AA	Columbia	736	728,249	946,890	999,622	378
2-AA	Jackson	303	22,490	151,208	940,757	59,243
7-AA	Union County	283	22,467	183,631	950,071	49,929
5-AA	Carver (Atlanta)	215	72,676	246,264	965,281	34,719
8-AA	Hart County	84	9,734	117,913	949,993	50,007
6-AA	South Atlanta	48	196,205	673,818	995,066	4,934
4-AA	Thomson	39	293,974	809,753	999,993	7
2-AA	Pike County	27	1,721	58,156	827,795	172,205
1-AA	Spencer	18	15,783	188,384	966,425	33,575
7-AA	Sonoraville	15	7,431	69,190	771,581	228,419
3-AA	Crisp County	11	28,238	117,201	947,943	52,057
1-AA	Shaw	2	2,313	34,391	884,886	115,114
8-AA	East Jackson	1	282	7,731	598,001	401,999
6-AA	Miller Grove	-	68,822	318,940	958,711	41,289
6-AA	Redan	-	8,787	61,319	775,352	224,648
1-AA	Hardaway	-	2,425	25,394	766,353	233,647
6-AA	Salem	-	519	8,566	283,490	716,510
5-AA	Therrell	-	362	2,710	234,732	765,268
5-AA	Washington	-	278	2,432	359,365	640,635
4-AA	Butler	-	167	7,804	946,873	53,127
2-AA	Rutland	-	89	1,352	140,721	859,279
3-AA	Tattnall County	-	42	843	115,262	884,738
7-AA	Lakeview Ft. Oglethorpe	-	19	761	217,163	782,837
1-AA	Columbus	-	6	175	40,068	959,932
8-AA	Franklin County	-	6	152	124,230	875,770
5-AA	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	-	5	62	50,435	949,565
7-AA	Coahulla Creek	-	1	151	132,049	867,951
1-AA	Kendrick	-	-	2	15,583	984,417
4-AA	Glenn Hills	-	-	-	48,199	951,801
4-AA	Josey	-	-	-	20,475	979,525
7-AA	Murray County	-	-	-	2,332	997,668
1-AA	Jordan	-	-	-	154	999,846

Class A Division I Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Thomasville	1-A Division I	3-0	76.13	1,000,000	4.08	852,235	698,375	564,386	434,893	1.30
Fitzgerald	1-A Division I	1-1	71.39	999,770	3.54	745,715	516,705	345,015	204,339	3.89
Fannin County	7-A Division I	3-0	64.00	1,000,000	3.05	620,434	350,103	187,440	64,474	14.51
Dublin	2-A Division I	3-0	64.33	999,997	2.94	581,631	331,318	149,051	57,782	16.31
Rabun County	8-A Division I	1-1	64.62	998,782	2.86	554,820	313,517	146,900	56,133	16.81
Toombs County	3-A Division I	2-0	64.57	997,865	2.75	516,755	282,561	132,076	50,703	18.72
Northeast	2-A Division I	2-1	62.47	999,724	2.68	492,262	253,581	104,556	35,144	27.45
Swainsboro	3-A Division I	1-2	62.97	985,350	2.47	437,266	218,647	91,054	31,605	30.64
Lamar County	4-A Division I	2-0	58.01	999,966	2.50	436,126	189,820	58,849	14,357	68.65
Worth County	1-A Division I	2-1	59.52	993,118	2.14	307,665	128,279	43,100	12,025	82.16
Bleckley County	2-A Division I	2-1	59.06	998,520	2.22	325,461	139,084	45,139	11,813	83.65
Jeff Davis	1-A Division I	3-0	58.27	997,901	2.13	292,282	117,525	36,187	9,024	109.82
Elbert County	8-A Division I	1-2	57.96	983,032	2.06	298,130	114,686	34,391	8,299	119.50
Dodge County	2-A Division I	2-0	55.01	995,232	2.01	257,346	85,914	21,051	4,060	245.31
Commerce	8-A Division I	1-2	53.64	911,104	1.48	148,915	42,595	9,006	1,542	647.51
Bremen	6-A Division I	1-1	51.45	929,440	1.69	196,763	49,418	8,822	1,211	824.76
Heard County	6-A Division I	2-1	50.48	910,370	1.58	165,102	38,701	6,292	789	1,266.43
Model	6-A Division I	2-1	49.20	923,569	1.52	135,932	28,686	4,359	511	1,955.95
Putnam County	4-A Division I	0-3	48.82	976,045	1.65	148,956	30,963	4,309	486	2,056.61
Vidalia	3-A Division I	2-1	50.87	831,511	1.22	88,998	20,308	3,443	452	2,211.39
Washington County	2-A Division I	1-2	47.50	829,353	1.15	60,080	10,597	1,379	133	7,517.80
Bacon County	1-A Division I	2-1	46.18	817,459	1.07	46,957	7,258	783	68	14,704.88
Dade County	7-A Division I	1-2	43.90	987,619	1.45	68,994	9,307	903	60	16,665.67
ACE Charter	2-A Division I	2-0	44.82	858,739	1.13	43,534	6,370	634	53	18,866.92
Temple	6-A Division I	2-1	42.70	644,176	0.83	30,035	3,633	264	17	58,822.53
Social Circle	4-A Division I	2-1	40.84	912,187	1.17	34,924	3,587	240	17	58,822.53
Jasper County	4-A Division I	2-1	38.19	864,460	1.04	19,390	1,532	68	3	333,332.33
Gordon Lee	7-A Division I	1-1	38.47	931,414	1.14	22,314	1,800	81	2	499,999.00
East Laurens	2-A Division I	1-2	39.29	597,786	0.69	11,455	1,001	44	2	499,999.00
Pepperell	6-A Division I	0-3	40.38	282,263	0.33	7,935	788	47	1	999,999.00
Chattooga	7-A Division I	2-0	36.72	943,532	1.13	16,750	1,117	46	1	999,999.00
McNair	4-A Division I	2-1	36.58	697,442	0.79	9,908	667	24	1	999,999.00
Southwest	2-A Division I	0-3	39.37	250,245	0.28	4,314	379	18	-	-
B.E.S.T. Academy	5-A Division I	3-0	34.46	860,979	1.96	8,017	435	17	-	-
Haralson County	6-A Division I	1-2	38.62	243,352	0.28	4,751	385	17	-	-
Armuchee	7-A Division I	2-0	32.11	963,430	1.08	6,753	300	7	-	-
Berrien	1-A Division I	0-3	36.68	41,156	0.04	292	29	1	-	-
Banks County	8-A Division I	0-2	33.96	44,357	0.05	135	15	1	-	-
Coosa	7-A Division I	1-1	25.07	386,578	0.40	528	8	-	-	-
Towers	4-A Division I	1-1	20.38	234,093	0.24	81	2	-	-	-
Gordon Central	7-A Division I	2-1	18.02	147,635	0.15	23	2	-	-	-
Oglethorpe County	8-A Division I	0-3	29.47	17,458	0.02	18	1	-	-	-
Central (Macon)	2-A Division I	0-3	24.82	937	0.00	1	1	-	-	-
Brantley County	1-A Division I	0-3	29.69	8,168	0.01	10	-	-	-	-
Jefferson County	2-A Division I	0-3	29.18	3,885	0.00	7	-	-	-	-
Utopian Academy	4-A Division I	0-3	-25.66	1	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
7-A Division I	Fannin County	754,605	979,337	999,956	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Thomasville	138,479	872,710	996,616	1,000,000	-
2-A Division I	Dublin	43,768	687,872	980,080	999,997	3
4-A Division I	Lamar County	22,817	835,280	978,309	999,966	34
1-A Division I	Fitzgerald	18,294	619,270	920,043	999,770	230
2-A Division I	Northeast	5,648	523,284	873,115	999,724	276
2-A Division I	Dodge County	4,807	278,242	750,981	995,232	4,768
3-A Division I	Toombs County	2,398	339,014	778,853	997,865	2,135
7-A Division I	Dade County	2,059	170,660	573,704	987,619	12,381
8-A Division I	Rabun County	1,327	498,870	822,329	998,782	1,218
2-A Division I	Bleckley County	1,185	181,535	719,442	998,520	1,480
1-A Division I	Jeff Davis	1,156	115,041	667,024	997,901	2,099
7-A Division I	Chattooga	788	46,183	316,069	943,532	56,468
1-A Division I	Worth County	651	97,611	476,559	993,118	6,882
3-A Division I	Swainsboro	648	212,600	563,893	985,350	14,650
6-A Division I	Model	315	217,445	455,339	923,569	76,431
7-A Division I	Gordon Lee	313	39,486	246,893	931,414	68,586
7-A Division I	Armuchee	210	19,782	269,830	963,430	36,570
6-A Division I	Bremen	187	318,438	562,460	929,440	70,560
8-A Division I	Elbert County	125	179,981	486,807	983,032	16,968
6-A Division I	Heard County	86	262,397	493,378	910,370	89,630
2-A Division I	ACE Charter	42	10,396	136,494	858,739	141,261
4-A Division I	Social Circle	37	61,378	249,337	912,187	87,813
4-A Division I	Jasper County	17	31,258	173,299	864,460	135,540
6-A Division I	Temple	10	46,528	132,730	644,176	355,824
2-A Division I	Washington County	10	7,792	87,597	829,353	170,647
3-A Division I	Vidalia	7	14,148	92,172	831,511	168,489
5-A Division I	B.E.S.T. Academy	3	3,655	62,600	860,979	139,021
1-A Division I	Bacon County	3	2,829	39,988	817,459	182,541
8-A Division I	Commerce	2	70,031	206,320	911,104	88,896
4-A Division I	McNair	2	16,269	92,944	697,442	302,558
4-A Division I	Putnam County	1	204,057	642,441	976,045	23,955
6-A Division I	Pepperell	-	22,686	68,282	282,263	717,737
6-A Division I	Haralson County	-	12,908	42,763	243,352	756,648
7-A Division I	Coosa	-	492	10,878	386,578	613,422
2-A Division I	East Laurens	-	238	23,714	597,786	402,214
8-A Division I	Banks County	-	110	991	44,357	955,643
4-A Division I	Towers	-	94	1,590	234,093	765,907
2-A Division I	Southwest	-	38	2,875	250,245	749,755
1-A Division I	Berrien	-	23	412	41,156	958,844
8-A Division I	Oglethorpe County	-	18	192	17,458	982,542
7-A Division I	Gordon Central	-	14	668	147,635	852,365
1-A Division I	Brantley County	-	-	30	8,168	991,832
2-A Division I	Jefferson County	-	-	2	3,885	996,115
2-A Division I	Central (Macon)	-	-	1	937	999,063
4-A Division I	Utopian Academy	-	-	-	1	999,999

Class A Division II

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Irwin County	2-A Division II	3-0	70.88	997,602	4.15	893,055	741,885	580,975	371,865	1.69
Brooks County	2-A Division II	1-1	70.16	996,615	4.07	878,023	713,780	551,315	333,098	2.00
Bowdon	7-A Division II	2-1	64.79	998,952	3.60	800,218	569,388	281,399	136,605	6.32
Manchester	7-A Division II	1-1	58.42	991,242	2.83	594,325	297,673	109,134	33,869	28.53
Clinch County	2-A Division II	3-0	59.07	946,230	2.61	548,426	312,268	106,208	33,456	28.89
Schley County	6-A Division II	1-2	57.69	999,296	2.62	570,771	183,893	78,488	24,131	40.44
Trion	7-A Division II	3-0	56.59	990,008	2.62	528,509	242,561	76,049	20,906	46.83
Metter	3-A Division II	1-1	57.39	968,789	2.37	403,519	142,338	61,805	18,125	54.17
Lincoln County	8-A Division II	3-0	54.40	975,218	2.00	350,273	143,294	35,927	8,672	114.31
Emanuel County Institute	3-A Division II	2-0	52.91	899,371	1.89	252,094	71,415	20,862	4,478	222.31
Early County	1-A Division II	0-2	51.16	941,184	2.19	287,398	108,543	22,495	4,124	241.48
Greene County	8-A Division II	3-0	51.13	948,093	1.59	214,283	75,468	15,401	2,864	348.16
Pelham	1-A Division II	0-2	48.73	917,833	1.99	222,405	69,308	11,990	1,801	554.25
Wilcox County	4-A Division II	1-2	49.56	935,448	1.69	168,541	55,621	10,256	1,652	604.33
Macon County	6-A Division II	1-2	47.15	980,652	1.58	178,666	38,723	6,603	855	1,168.59
Charlton County	2-A Division II	2-1	48.60	664,236	1.15	152,492	40,503	5,926	820	1,218.51
Telfair County	4-A Division II	1-2	46.86	886,480	1.44	109,504	29,066	4,351	561	1,781.53
Seminole County	1-A Division II	3-0	45.00	800,917	1.54	115,531	26,455	3,470	367	2,723.80
Mitchell County	1-A Division II	2-0	44.77	806,078	1.53	109,956	24,867	3,146	342	2,922.98
Dooly County	4-A Division II	0-3	45.94	857,831	1.34	89,010	20,976	3,007	337	2,966.36
Bryan County	3-A Division II	1-1	45.95	623,549	1.03	73,954	16,001	2,214	270	3,702.70
Jenkins County	3-A Division II	1-1	45.83	615,488	1.01	72,658	15,412	2,106	236	4,236.29
Warren County	8-A Division II	2-1	43.95	785,573	0.95	49,214	10,684	1,382	137	7,298.27
Johnson County	5-A Division II	1-2	42.81	998,118	1.54	51,678	9,848	1,578	125	7,999.00
McIntosh County Academy	3-A Division II	1-1	44.04	505,891	0.79	46,746	9,074	1,060	106	9,432.96
Washington-Wilkes	8-A Division II	1-2	42.50	721,890	0.84	34,260	6,698	794	64	15,624.00
Hawkinsville	4-A Division II	2-1	42.60	735,790	1.02	43,732	7,242	833	58	17,240.38
Lake Oconee Academy	8-A Division II	3-0	39.34	569,226	0.62	13,648	2,031	179	17	58,822.53
Wilkinson County	5-A Division II	2-1	38.11	992,484	1.36	26,158	3,176	315	14	71,427.57
Turner County	2-A Division II	0-2	40.05	217,617	0.29	16,363	2,064	132	13	76,922.08
Miller County	1-A Division II	1-1	37.74	417,563	0.65	18,637	2,159	170	9	111,110.11
Mount Zion (Carroll)	7-A Division II	2-1	38.16	644,130	0.79	26,841	2,322	133	9	111,110.11
Taylor County	6-A Division II	1-1	33.00	672,550	0.72	6,114	518	22	4	249,999.00
Lanier County	2-A Division II	1-2	38.66	177,700	0.23	10,832	1,226	92	3	333,332.33
Wheeler County	4-A Division II	1-1	36.60	374,373	0.45	7,526	670	55	3	333,332.33
Screven County	3-A Division II	1-1	38.19	195,270	0.26	7,279	929	55	2	499,999.00
Portal	3-A Division II	1-1	37.90	187,405	0.25	6,584	834	37	2	499,999.00
Marion County	6-A Division II	1-2	32.76	685,895	0.73	5,931	442	14	-	-
Greenville	7-A Division II	2-1	32.22	375,668	0.42	5,025	238	13	-	-
Randolph-Clay	1-A Division II	1-1	29.92	103,223	0.13	1,140	60	4	-	-
Chattahoochee County	6-A Division II	1-2	27.37	387,232	0.40	995	44	2	-	-
Hancock Central	5-A Division II	1-2	27.31	912,002	1.01	4,369	184	1	-	-
Glascock County	5-A Division II	1-2	23.99	814,593	0.87	1,824	44	1	-	-
Montgomery County	4-A Division II	2-1	29.69	108,293	0.12	542	28	1	-	-
Treutlen	4-A Division II	1-2	29.43	101,785	0.11	480	25	-	-	-
Crawford County	6-A Division II	2-1	25.36	273,285	0.28	430	20	-	-	-
Terrell County	1-A Division II	1-2	20.80	13,202	0.01	20	1	-	-	-
Claxton	3-A Division II	0-2	23.99	4,237	0.00	6	1	-	-	-
Twiggs County	5-A Division II	0-3	9.13	134,835	0.14	8	-	-	-	-
Georgia Military Prep	5-A Division II	0-3	10.10	147,968	0.15	7	-	-	-	-
Central (Talbotton)	6-A Division II	1-1	0.14	1,090	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Calhoun County	1-A Division II	2-1	25.76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Atkinson County	2-A Division II	2-1	25.04	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Towns County	8-A Division II	2-1	16.22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Pataula Charter	1-A Division II	1-2	3.21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Savannah	3-A Division II	0-2	2.51	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Baconton Charter	1-A Division II	0-3	2.16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Southwest Georgia STEM	1-A Division II	1-2	-16.71	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Spring Creek	1-A Division II	0-2	-52.36	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Division II	Early County	397,304	261,746	177,263	104,871	941,184	58,816
1-A Division II	Pelham	289,169	280,384	212,572	135,708	917,833	82,167
1-A Division II	Seminole County	146,898	198,149	232,704	223,166	800,917	199,083
1-A Division II	Mitchell County	137,527	189,611	237,599	241,341	806,078	193,922
1-A Division II	Miller County	26,635	60,998	113,398	216,532	417,563	582,437
1-A Division II	Randolph-Clay	2,396	8,670	24,161	67,996	103,223	896,777
1-A Division II	Terrell County	71	442	2,303	10,386	13,202	986,798
1-A Division II	Calhoun County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Pataula Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Spring Creek	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Baconton Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Southwest Georgia STEM	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-A Division II	Irwin County	518,553	353,668	109,218	16,163	997,602	2,398
2-A Division II	Brooks County	399,279	410,562	160,396	26,378	996,615	3,385
2-A Division II	Clinch County	75,274	198,598	505,814	166,544	946,230	53,770
2-A Division II	Charlton County	6,182	30,057	157,028	470,969	664,236	335,764
2-A Division II	Turner County	427	4,186	37,705	175,299	217,617	782,383
2-A Division II	Lanier County	285	2,929	29,839	144,647	177,700	822,300
2-A Division II	Atkinson County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
3-A Division II	Metter	558,871	249,156	111,751	49,011	968,789	31,211
3-A Division II	Emanuel County Institute	259,458	326,939	199,185	113,789	899,371	100,629
3-A Division II	Bryan County	66,643	136,930	206,054	213,922	623,549	376,451
3-A Division II	Jenkins County	61,776	141,143	202,499	210,070	615,488	384,512
3-A Division II	McIntosh County Academy	40,515	97,059	163,880	204,437	505,891	494,109
3-A Division II	Portal	6,583	23,787	56,244	100,791	187,405	812,595
3-A Division II	Screven County	6,144	24,853	59,615	104,658	195,270	804,730
3-A Division II	Claxton	10	133	772	3,322	4,237	995,763
3-A Division II	Savannah	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
4-A Division II	Wilcox County	381,960	264,100	182,101	107,287	935,448	64,552
4-A Division II	Telfair County	275,928	258,473	208,469	143,610	886,480	113,520
4-A Division II	Dooly County	201,120	237,350	238,711	180,650	857,831	142,169
4-A Division II	Hawkinsville	109,271	162,114	214,838	249,567	735,790	264,210
4-A Division II	Wheeler County	26,806	59,742	104,201	183,624	374,373	625,627
4-A Division II	Montgomery County	2,654	9,790	27,080	68,769	108,293	891,707
4-A Division II	Treutlen	2,261	8,431	24,600	66,493	101,785	898,215
5-A Division II	Johnson County	569,037	326,614	82,337	20,130	998,118	1,882
5-A Division II	Wilkinson County	354,724	422,302	166,307	49,151	992,484	7,516
5-A Division II	Hancock Central	50,170	155,462	400,031	306,339	912,002	87,998
5-A Division II	Glascock County	25,544	88,848	299,757	400,444	814,593	185,407
5-A Division II	Georgia Military Prep	319	3,978	28,059	115,612	147,968	852,032
5-A Division II	Twiggs County	206	2,796	23,509	108,324	134,835	865,165
6-A Division II	Schley County	741,316	230,169	24,266	3,545	999,296	704
6-A Division II	Macon County	232,402	534,706	166,884	46,660	980,652	19,348
6-A Division II	Marion County	11,358	96,621	299,797	278,119	685,895	314,105
6-A Division II	Taylor County	11,330	93,395	282,741	285,084	672,550	327,450
6-A Division II	Chattahoochee County	2,545	27,686	139,990	217,011	387,232	612,768
6-A Division II	Crawford County	1,049	17,422	86,242	168,572	273,285	726,715
6-A Division II	Central (Talbotton)	-	1	80	1,009	1,090	998,910
7-A Division II	Bowdon	603,167	272,154	110,072	13,559	998,952	1,048
7-A Division II	Manchester	231,402	385,605	320,616	53,619	991,242	8,758
7-A Division II	Trion	160,905	319,666	443,696	65,741	990,008	9,992
7-A Division II	Mount Zion (Carroll)	3,994	17,723	93,171	529,242	644,130	355,870
7-A Division II	Greenville	532	4,852	32,445	337,839	375,668	624,332
8-A Division II	Lincoln County	508,029	279,116	127,326	60,747	975,218	24,782
8-A Division II	Greene County	302,200	336,751	203,367	105,775	948,093	51,907
8-A Division II	Warren County	91,260	163,088	264,565	266,660	785,573	214,427
8-A Division II	Washington-Wilkes	66,078	141,072	238,021	276,719	721,890	278,110
8-A Division II	Lake Oconee Academy	32,433	79,973	166,721	290,099	569,226	430,774
8-A Division II	Towns County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

AAA to A Private

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

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Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Prince Avenue Christian	8-AA	1-2	81.56	1,000,000	4.29	916,587	768,606	609,046	454,898	1.20
Calvary Day	3-AAA	1-1	75.68	1,000,000	3.91	870,619	643,788	399,829	207,090	3.83
Savannah Christian	3-A Division I	3-0	74.29	1,000,000	3.80	848,912	600,046	354,359	168,501	4.93
Hebron Christian	8-AA	3-0	70.08	1,000,000	3.23	707,326	371,065	170,548	62,753	14.94
Fellowship Christian	5-A Division I	1-1	66.29	1,000,000	4.05	641,920	321,700	117,598	32,074	30.18
Athens Academy	8-A Division I	3-0	64.56	1,000,000	2.89	589,309	253,815	83,782	20,088	48.78
Holy Innocents	5-AA	1-1	64.85	1,000,000	2.80	547,337	236,356	78,677	19,133	51.27
Lovett	5-AA	3-0	64.41	1,000,000	2.83	561,671	240,034	77,973	18,547	52.92
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	2-AAA	1-1	63.85	1,000,000	2.30	320,842	135,234	40,154	9,166	108.10
Wesleyan	5-A Division I	2-1	57.82	1,000,000	3.37	360,084	101,618	19,786	2,660	374.94
Greater Atlanta Christian	6-AAA	0-2	57.03	1,000,000	2.24	332,384	84,010	15,526	1,935	515.80
North Cobb Christian	7-AA	3-0	56.01	1,000,000	2.18	274,185	66,245	11,081	1,299	768.82
Whitefield Academy	5-A Division I	1-1	54.39	1,000,000	3.42	387,476	89,549	13,067	1,262	791.39
Aquinas	4-AAA	1-1	51.80	1,000,000	1.89	162,151	29,869	3,544	275	3,635.36
Mount Vernon	5-A Division I	1-1	51.10	1,000,000	2.88	141,886	24,055	2,601	201	4,974.12
Darlington	6-A Division I	1-2	48.18	1,000,000	1.70	117,551	15,136	1,261	66	15,150.52
Savannah Country Day	3-A Division I	0-3	49.00	1,000,000	1.42	61,973	8,141	678	37	27,026.03
Christian Heritage	7-A Division I	2-1	43.41	1,000,000	1.75	92,137	7,627	399	13	76,922.08
Mount Paran Christian	5-A Division I	2-1	37.52	1,000,000	2.44	34,594	1,721	44	1	999,999.00
Providence Christian	8-A Division I	0-3	40.46	1,000,000	1.18	16,880	912	36	1	999,999.00
King's Ridge Christian	5-A Division I	3-0	34.84	1,000,000	2.23	7,447	319	7	-	-
Mount Pisgah Christian	5-A Division I	0-3	33.36	1,000,000	2.09	4,690	123	3	-	-
St. Francis	5-A Division I	0-3	26.14	1,000,000	2.04	994	18	1	-	-
Landmark Christian	5-A Division I	2-1	25.90	1,000,000	2.06	1,045	13	-	-	-
Walker	5-A Division I	1-2	-14.00	1,000,000	2.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
3-A Division I	Savannah Christian	402,187	894,414	998,795	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Fellowship Christian	169,981	578,022	996,124	1,000,000	-
8-AA	Prince Avenue Christian	105,883	842,940	996,802	1,000,000	-
8-AA	Hebron Christian	73,027	509,824	996,452	1,000,000	-
5-AA	Lovett	57,099	521,862	979,440	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Whitefield Academy	48,166	672,118	980,327	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Athens Academy	41,752	622,109	976,092	1,000,000	-
3-AAA	Calvary Day	39,218	955,823	999,439	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Wesleyan	37,789	310,555	986,084	1,000,000	-
5-AA	Holy Innocents	7,639	507,270	914,572	1,000,000	-
7-AA	North Cobb Christian	7,310	258,545	908,269	1,000,000	-
4-AAA	Aquinas	3,752	185,545	735,203	1,000,000	-
7-A Division I	Christian Heritage	3,294	235,855	889,582	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Vernon	1,853	42,429	902,694	1,000,000	-
2-AAA	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	570	79,661	455,986	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Paran Christian	321	146,986	562,019	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	Darlington	56	198,908	434,796	1,000,000	-
6-AAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	48	417,238	656,184	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	King's Ridge Christian	47	3,412	476,867	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Landmark Christian	6	3,185	69,763	1,000,000	-
3-A Division I	Savannah Country Day	2	11,195	71,811	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Providence Christian	-	2,100	8,803	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Pisgah Christian	-	3	1,601	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	St. Francis	-	1	2,295	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Walker	-	-	-	1,000,000	-

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

Class AAAAAA

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Class AAAAA

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Class AAAA

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Class AAA Public

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Class AA Public

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Class A Division I Public

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Class A Division II

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