Maxwell playoff projections heading into Week 3

August 20, 2021 - Kennesaw, Ga: Buford wide receiver Tobi Olawale (4) celebrates his receiving touchdown with running back Victor Venn (6) during the second half against North Cobb at North Cobb high school Friday, August 20, 2021 in Kennesaw, Ga.. Buford won 35-27. JASON GETZ FOR THE ATLANTA JOURNAL-CONSTITUTION

By Loren Maxwell

Aug 28, 2024

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class in the GHSA.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2024 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 iterations.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Colquitt County	1-AAAAAA	2-0	97.89	996,710	3.33	589,121	490,094	329,388	209,452	3.77
Mill Creek	8-AAAAAA	2-0	96.84	999,682	3.15	558,442	463,512	301,203	177,557	4.63
Carrollton	2-AAAAAA	2-0	95.51	999,383	3.11	545,559	475,147	281,222	155,531	5.43
Walton	5-AAAAAA	2-0	95.57	998,959	3.04	507,008	438,100	251,881	142,939	6.00
Buford	8-AAAAAA	1-1	95.02	999,437	2.87	480,217	383,983	229,830	121,792	7.21
Douglas County	2-AAAAAA	2-0	89.99	996,274	2.26	312,443	241,489	108,983	42,534	22.51
Grayson	4-AAAAAA	1-1	87.68	999,829	2.90	657,679	224,734	95,196	33,843	28.55
Collins Hill	8-AAAAAA	2-0	89.72	997,466	2.15	279,394	197,428	85,469	33,477	28.87
North Cobb	5-AAAAAA	2-0	87.31	988,952	2.08	230,256	167,218	63,564	20,590	47.57
North Gwinnett	7-AAAAAA	1-0	84.88	965,370	2.57	575,282	170,460	58,830	16,820	58.45
Norcross	7-AAAAAA	1-1	84.17	946,711	2.44	533,608	148,863	48,362	13,188	74.83
Camden County	1-AAAAAA	2-0	86.09	925,357	1.83	182,637	115,510	42,704	12,701	77.73
Valdosta	1-AAAAAA	2-0	83.97	879,968	1.58	129,475	76,306	24,242	6,030	164.84
Westlake	2-AAAAAA	1-1	82.87	984,045	1.44	95,437	54,802	15,661	3,744	266.09
Parkview	7-AAAAAA	0-1	80.15	883,536	1.97	370,176	75,149	17,810	3,596	277.09
Brookwood	7-AAAAAA	1-1	78.13	817,770	1.68	285,615	48,823	9,768	1,662	600.68
West Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	1-1	77.71	956,511	1.71	252,912	45,845	9,286	1,441	692.96
South Gwinnett	4-AAAAAA	2-0	74.93	990,546	1.94	249,664	32,673	5,289	607	1,646.45
Newton	4-AAAAAA	1-1	74.79	990,305	1.92	243,882	31,349	4,966	578	1,729.10
Lambert	6-AAAAAA	0-2	75.20	915,687	1.46	169,380	23,662	3,866	517	1,933.24
McEachern	3-AAAAAA	0-2	74.02	958,680	1.73	201,763	25,318	3,574	425	2,351.94
Harrison	3-AAAAAA	2-0	73.02	951,807	1.65	174,937	20,128	2,584	274	3,648.64
Lowndes	1-AAAAAA	2-0	76.45	614,099	0.81	24,210	10,215	1,804	267	3,744.32
North Paulding	5-AAAAAA	1-1	75.29	836,344	1.06	25,496	9,435	1,505	187	5,346.59
Richmond Hill	1-AAAAAA	1-0	75.05	500,661	0.63	14,798	5,835	853	104	9,614.38
East Coweta	2-AAAAAA	1-1	72.75	866,229	0.96	14,553	4,466	606	53	18,866.92
North Atlanta	6-AAAAAA	1-1	70.23	728,973	0.98	64,693	5,332	520	34	29,410.76
Peachtree Ridge	7-AAAAAA	0-2	69.46	362,498	0.55	48,081	3,696	347	26	38,460.54
Marietta	5-AAAAAA	0-2	70.57	622,479	0.71	6,850	1,701	195	16	62,499.00
North Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	1-1	66.41	547,417	0.66	25,501	1,318	92	6	166,665.67
Archer	4-AAAAAA	0-2	65.51	927,734	1.32	60,997	2,976	154	4	249,999.00
Hillgrove	3-AAAAAA	1-0	65.64	739,278	0.96	36,172	1,929	131	3	333,332.33
Campbell	3-AAAAAA	2-0	62.91	583,023	0.71	16,387	614	27	1	999,999.00
Wheeler	5-AAAAAA	0-2	63.20	215,499	0.23	495	74	2	1	999,999.00
Pebblebrook	3-AAAAAA	1-0	61.96	552,153	0.66	13,010	453	23	-	-
Alpharetta	6-AAAAAA	0-2	62.98	355,257	0.40	8,956	355	18	-	-
Cherokee	5-AAAAAA	1-1	65.88	315,431	0.34	1,230	227	17	-	-
Mountain View	8-AAAAAA	0-2	63.51	493,667	0.52	1,527	310	11	-	-
Denmark	6-AAAAAA	0-2	62.95	327,751	0.37	8,100	291	9	-	-
Dacula	8-AAAAAA	1-1	60.06	343,655	0.35	482	76	4	-	-
Tift County	1-AAAAAA	1-1	64.01	83,205	0.09	229	39	2	-	-
South Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	1-1	59.59	166,449	0.18	2,137	42	1	-	-
Paulding County	3-AAAAAA	0-2	53.98	149,427	0.16	615	13	1	-	-
Chapel Hill	2-AAAAAA	1-1	56.24	154,069	0.16	85	5	-	-	-
Duluth	7-AAAAAA	1-1	55.16	22,124	0.02	286	3	-	-	-
Central Gwinnett	8-AAAAAA	2-0	54.70	164,456	0.17	54	2	-	-	-
Osborne	3-AAAAAA	0-2	49.98	64,872	0.07	99	-	-	-	-
Heritage (Conyers)	4-AAAAAA	2-0	43.96	63,028	0.07	58	-	-	-	-
Grovetown	4-AAAAAA	0-2	39.45	23,731	0.02	8	-	-	-	-
Etowah	5-AAAAAA	0-2	52.17	22,336	0.02	2	-	-	-	-
Meadowcreek	7-AAAAAA	0-2	46.74	1,962	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Forsyth Central	6-AAAAAA	0-2	43.43	1,955	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Rockdale County	4-AAAAAA	2-0	33.17	4,827	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Discovery	8-AAAAAA	0-2	34.18	1,637	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
South Cobb	3-AAAAAA	0-2	35.52	760	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Berkmar	7-AAAAAA	1-1	34.60	29	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAA	Colquitt County	706,762	215,849	58,909	15,190	996,710	3,290
1-AAAAAA	Camden County	153,933	340,366	286,052	145,006	925,357	74,643
1-AAAAAA	Valdosta	109,199	280,463	302,818	187,488	879,968	120,032
1-AAAAAA	Lowndes	18,794	96,065	191,294	307,946	614,099	385,901
1-AAAAAA	Richmond Hill	10,986	63,715	143,844	282,116	500,661	499,339
1-AAAAAA	Tift County	326	3,542	17,083	62,254	83,205	916,795
2-AAAAAA	Carrollton	580,054	308,522	91,279	19,528	999,383	617
2-AAAAAA	Douglas County	321,485	419,947	200,745	54,097	996,274	3,726
2-AAAAAA	Westlake	85,218	224,245	499,432	175,150	984,045	15,955
2-AAAAAA	East Coweta	13,169	46,035	197,971	609,054	866,229	133,771
2-AAAAAA	Chapel Hill	74	1,251	10,573	142,171	154,069	845,931
3-AAAAAA	McEachern	445,814	290,152	151,340	71,374	958,680	41,320
3-AAAAAA	Harrison	373,581	324,600	172,364	81,262	951,807	48,193
3-AAAAAA	Hillgrove	87,324	165,876	254,632	231,446	739,278	260,722
3-AAAAAA	Campbell	47,659	104,807	186,065	244,492	583,023	416,977
3-AAAAAA	Pebblebrook	41,373	96,405	178,427	235,948	552,153	447,847
3-AAAAAA	Paulding County	3,507	14,000	40,772	91,148	149,427	850,573
3-AAAAAA	Osborne	742	4,153	16,326	43,651	64,872	935,128
3-AAAAAA	South Cobb	-	7	74	679	760	999,240
4-AAAAAA	Grayson	709,296	219,772	56,649	14,112	999,829	171
4-AAAAAA	South Gwinnett	146,250	354,282	323,143	166,871	990,546	9,454
4-AAAAAA	Newton	123,038	324,148	356,064	187,055	990,305	9,695
4-AAAAAA	Archer	21,399	101,086	258,272	546,977	927,734	72,266
4-AAAAAA	Heritage (Conyers)	13	586	4,435	57,994	63,028	936,972
4-AAAAAA	Grovetown	4	118	1,284	22,325	23,731	976,269
4-AAAAAA	Rockdale County	-	8	153	4,666	4,827	995,173
5-AAAAAA	Walton	721,451	236,469	35,261	5,778	998,959	1,041
5-AAAAAA	North Cobb	243,957	555,058	154,409	35,528	988,952	11,048
5-AAAAAA	North Paulding	24,244	129,833	431,207	251,060	836,344	163,656
5-AAAAAA	Marietta	7,898	51,664	223,750	339,167	622,479	377,521
5-AAAAAA	Cherokee	1,815	18,550	93,602	201,464	315,431	684,569
5-AAAAAA	Wheeler	631	8,201	57,908	148,759	215,499	784,501
5-AAAAAA	Etowah	4	225	3,863	18,244	22,336	977,664
6-AAAAAA	West Forsyth	487,084	270,674	135,886	62,867	956,511	43,489
6-AAAAAA	Lambert	308,737	311,694	192,160	103,096	915,687	84,313
6-AAAAAA	North Atlanta	114,662	187,150	232,538	194,623	728,973	271,027
6-AAAAAA	North Forsyth	46,154	105,805	177,833	217,625	547,417	452,583
6-AAAAAA	Denmark	19,271	51,358	99,751	157,371	327,751	672,249
6-AAAAAA	Alpharetta	18,625	53,855	112,248	170,529	355,257	644,743
6-AAAAAA	South Forsyth	5,464	19,412	49,277	92,296	166,449	833,551
6-AAAAAA	Forsyth Central	3	52	307	1,593	1,955	998,045
7-AAAAAA	North Gwinnett	404,469	283,606	178,926	98,369	965,370	34,630
7-AAAAAA	Norcross	311,313	286,762	215,747	132,889	946,711	53,289
7-AAAAAA	Parkview	164,875	218,987	264,233	235,441	883,536	116,464
7-AAAAAA	Brookwood	105,655	170,566	250,163	291,386	817,770	182,230
7-AAAAAA	Peachtree Ridge	13,597	39,479	87,396	222,026	362,498	637,502
7-AAAAAA	Duluth	90	587	3,355	18,092	22,124	977,876
7-AAAAAA	Meadowcreek	1	13	177	1,771	1,962	998,038
7-AAAAAA	Berkmar	-	-	3	26	29	999,971
8-AAAAAA	Mill Creek	472,663	327,280	192,467	7,272	999,682	318
8-AAAAAA	Buford	358,899	379,569	250,232	10,737	999,437	563
8-AAAAAA	Collins Hill	167,962	289,841	507,767	31,896	997,466	2,534
8-AAAAAA	Mountain View	376	2,271	29,233	461,787	493,667	506,333
8-AAAAAA	Dacula	90	895	16,073	326,597	343,655	656,345
8-AAAAAA	Central Gwinnett	10	144	4,223	160,079	164,456	835,544
8-AAAAAA	Discovery	-	-	5	1,632	1,637	998,363

Class AAAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Milton	7-AAAAA	2-0	101.40	999,976	4.24	894,688	774,111	585,047	434,794	1.30
Lee County	2-AAAAA	2-0	94.09	983,174	3.61	798,378	573,557	290,135	142,617	6.01
Coffee	2-AAAAA	2-0	94.02	981,353	3.57	788,230	550,217	281,660	135,870	6.36
Hughes	3-AAAAA	2-0	94.77	999,956	3.33	668,196	399,419	267,788	119,850	7.34
Rome	5-AAAAA	0-0	90.99	999,955	2.85	511,190	233,870	135,610	48,724	19.52
Thomas County Central	2-AAAAA	2-0	87.91	921,060	2.91	662,364	330,441	114,889	36,276	26.57
Gainesville	7-AAAAA	2-0	88.64	998,683	2.80	511,599	280,263	117,393	35,998	26.78
Roswell	7-AAAAA	1-0	86.76	997,785	2.63	465,477	228,703	80,454	21,855	44.76
Woodward Academy	4-AAAAA	0-2	84.04	999,931	2.64	452,058	218,064	60,680	13,049	75.63
Houston County	2-AAAAA	2-0	82.37	775,119	2.15	502,500	149,801	36,427	7,800	127.21
Brunswick	1-AAAAA	1-1	76.41	992,715	2.18	255,267	66,100	9,813	1,126	887.10
Creekview	6-AAAAA	2-0	76.04	986,803	1.77	266,659	51,804	7,102	919	1,087.14
Northside (Warner Robins)	2-AAAAA	2-0	74.13	325,577	0.74	148,919	20,771	2,724	333	3,002.00
Dutchtown	3-AAAAA	1-1	71.76	933,857	1.86	194,846	27,695	2,851	254	3,936.01
Sequoyah	6-AAAAA	2-0	72.22	964,545	1.42	139,479	20,914	1,990	200	4,999.00
Lovejoy	3-AAAAA	2-0	70.48	916,738	1.76	165,150	21,392	1,994	152	6,577.95
Clarke Central	8-AAAAA	2-0	69.02	986,756	1.29	107,081	9,280	949	61	16,392.44
Lanier	7-AAAAA	1-1	68.99	875,196	1.37	140,329	13,931	941	54	18,517.52
East Paulding	5-AAAAA	1-0	67.18	895,315	1.48	54,881	9,292	596	34	29,410.76
Glynn Academy	1-AAAAA	1-1	65.20	827,514	1.30	54,362	4,986	260	8	124,999.00
Effingham County	1-AAAAA	0-1	64.09	797,901	1.22	44,179	3,765	204	8	124,999.00
River Ridge	6-AAAAA	1-1	66.05	850,404	0.98	27,824	2,946	167	6	166,665.67
Sprayberry	6-AAAAA	2-0	64.14	785,012	0.88	18,573	1,741	104	6	166,665.67
Newnan	3-AAAAA	1-1	62.56	628,916	0.90	26,065	1,967	78	2	499,999.00
Evans	1-AAAAA	1-0	58.98	519,270	0.67	9,297	564	23	1	999,999.00
Villa Rica	5-AAAAA	1-1	58.93	508,046	0.67	10,732	565	22	1	999,999.00
Kennesaw Mountain	5-AAAAA	0-1	58.62	496,950	0.65	9,991	547	15	1	999,999.00
Arabia Mountain	4-AAAAA	1-1	53.69	622,529	0.70	3,766	114	4	1	999,999.00
South Paulding	5-AAAAA	0-2	59.69	545,657	0.74	12,984	790	25	-	-
Shiloh	4-AAAAA	0-2	56.44	797,151	0.95	8,571	398	11	-	-
Jackson County	8-AAAAA	1-1	58.23	823,904	0.87	8,644	442	10	-	-
Decatur	4-AAAAA	1-0	56.24	760,580	0.90	8,039	330	8	-	-
Statesboro	1-AAAAA	1-1	58.09	462,561	0.58	6,860	375	6	-	-
Loganville	8-AAAAA	0-2	54.03	650,104	0.67	2,339	89	5	-	-
Northgate	3-AAAAA	0-2	55.34	217,003	0.26	1,875	89	3	-	-
Habersham Central	8-AAAAA	0-2	53.74	604,723	0.62	2,138	104	2	-	-
Banneker	3-AAAAA	2-0	53.86	165,136	0.19	1,005	45	2	-	-
McIntosh	3-AAAAA	1-1	52.70	132,581	0.15	716	17	2	-	-
Winder-Barrow	8-AAAAA	2-0	55.00	678,560	0.70	3,071	160	1	-	-
New Manchester	5-AAAAA	2-0	53.66	242,046	0.29	1,945	58	1	-	-
Bradwell Institute	1-AAAAA	2-0	53.49	183,250	0.21	973	35	1	-	-
Veterans	2-AAAAA	0-2	57.50	13,717	0.02	1,315	31	1	-	-
Pope	6-AAAAA	1-1	54.14	200,077	0.20	451	24	1	-	-
Lakeside (Evans)	1-AAAAA	1-0	49.24	71,013	0.08	134	3	1	-	-
Dunwoody	4-AAAAA	1-1	53.29	604,445	0.67	3,547	111	-	-	-
Alexander	5-AAAAA	1-1	52.15	172,646	0.20	1,084	27	-	-	-
Woodstock	6-AAAAA	2-0	53.07	163,909	0.17	259	17	-	-	-
Lithia Springs	5-AAAAA	0-1	51.23	139,385	0.16	666	8	-	-	-
South Effingham	1-AAAAA	0-1	51.14	117,390	0.13	310	8	-	-	-
Alcovy	8-AAAAA	0-2	46.27	231,445	0.23	134	5	-	-	-
Johns Creek	7-AAAAA	0-1	47.65	49,128	0.05	292	4	-	-	-
Chattahoochee	7-AAAAA	2-0	47.82	42,769	0.05	236	4	-	-	-
Riverwood	6-AAAAA	0-2	45.54	29,830	0.03	9	3	-	-	-
Seckinger	7-AAAAA	2-0	46.13	36,463	0.04	156	1	-	-	-
Chamblee	4-AAAAA	0-2	44.47	152,395	0.16	116	1	-	-	-
Lassiter	6-AAAAA	1-1	44.22	19,420	0.02	4	1	-	-	-
Greenbrier	1-AAAAA	1-1	45.94	28,386	0.03	30	-	-	-	-
Tri-Cities	4-AAAAA	1-0	39.34	57,852	0.06	14	-	-	-	-
Apalachee	8-AAAAA	0-2	36.24	24,508	0.02	2	-	-	-	-
Morrow	3-AAAAA	1-1	40.15	5,813	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Lakeside (Atlanta)	4-AAAAA	0-2	31.38	5,117	0.01	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAA	Brunswick	725,656	188,844	59,536	18,679	992,715	7,285
1-AAAAA	Glynn Academy	117,454	296,564	250,850	162,646	827,514	172,486
1-AAAAA	Effingham County	104,868	271,185	250,126	171,722	797,901	202,099
1-AAAAA	Evans	26,408	109,652	172,330	210,880	519,270	480,730
1-AAAAA	Statesboro	19,827	90,065	151,600	201,069	462,561	537,439
1-AAAAA	Bradwell Institute	3,467	23,412	55,641	100,730	183,250	816,750
1-AAAAA	South Effingham	1,619	12,419	33,734	69,618	117,390	882,610
1-AAAAA	Lakeside (Evans)	567	6,080	19,235	45,131	71,013	928,987
1-AAAAA	Greenbrier	134	1,779	6,948	19,525	28,386	971,614
2-AAAAA	Lee County	430,744	315,347	168,544	68,539	983,174	16,826
2-AAAAA	Coffee	370,949	331,183	199,472	79,749	981,353	18,647
2-AAAAA	Thomas County Central	149,384	231,516	330,091	210,069	921,060	78,940
2-AAAAA	Houston County	43,845	100,497	232,682	398,095	775,119	224,881
2-AAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	5,066	21,340	67,609	231,562	325,577	674,423
2-AAAAA	Veterans	12	117	1,602	11,986	13,717	986,283
3-AAAAA	Hughes	923,909	69,526	5,783	738	999,956	44
3-AAAAA	Dutchtown	38,921	413,242	330,804	150,890	933,857	66,143
3-AAAAA	Lovejoy	31,204	380,719	337,479	167,336	916,738	83,262
3-AAAAA	Newnan	5,383	103,604	202,344	317,585	628,916	371,084
3-AAAAA	Northgate	321	15,106	53,062	148,514	217,003	782,997
3-AAAAA	Banneker	161	9,471	38,290	117,214	165,136	834,864
3-AAAAA	McIntosh	101	8,264	31,554	92,662	132,581	867,419
3-AAAAA	Morrow	-	68	684	5,061	5,813	994,187
4-AAAAA	Woodward Academy	949,894	45,911	3,528	598	999,931	69
4-AAAAA	Decatur	18,628	274,451	255,633	211,868	760,580	239,420
4-AAAAA	Shiloh	17,433	324,625	260,168	194,925	797,151	202,849
4-AAAAA	Arabia Mountain	7,190	171,018	213,356	230,965	622,529	377,471
4-AAAAA	Dunwoody	6,531	160,558	205,703	231,653	604,445	395,555
4-AAAAA	Chamblee	278	18,298	45,408	88,411	152,395	847,605
4-AAAAA	Tri-Cities	46	4,972	15,306	37,528	57,852	942,148
4-AAAAA	Lakeside (Atlanta)	-	167	898	4,052	5,117	994,883
5-AAAAA	Rome	949,164	47,281	3,140	370	999,955	45
5-AAAAA	East Paulding	36,084	513,741	227,776	117,714	895,315	104,685
5-AAAAA	South Paulding	5,365	138,499	204,302	197,491	545,657	454,343
5-AAAAA	Villa Rica	4,333	114,329	194,052	195,332	508,046	491,954
5-AAAAA	Kennesaw Mountain	4,101	116,163	184,858	191,828	496,950	503,050
5-AAAAA	New Manchester	483	33,671	83,607	124,285	242,046	757,954
5-AAAAA	Alexander	313	20,909	57,440	93,984	172,646	827,354
5-AAAAA	Lithia Springs	157	15,407	44,825	78,996	139,385	860,615
6-AAAAA	Creekview	507,711	295,083	133,018	50,991	986,803	13,197
6-AAAAA	Sequoyah	323,389	335,605	204,440	101,111	964,545	35,455
6-AAAAA	River Ridge	89,575	185,274	303,410	272,145	850,404	149,596
6-AAAAA	Sprayberry	73,769	156,557	262,190	292,496	785,012	214,988
6-AAAAA	Pope	3,520	15,946	50,373	130,238	200,077	799,923
6-AAAAA	Woodstock	1,889	10,267	38,176	113,577	163,909	836,091
6-AAAAA	Riverwood	101	790	5,200	23,739	29,830	970,170
6-AAAAA	Lassiter	46	478	3,193	15,703	19,420	980,580
7-AAAAA	Milton	743,631	201,164	50,752	4,429	999,976	24
7-AAAAA	Gainesville	151,474	415,646	377,915	53,648	998,683	1,317
7-AAAAA	Roswell	102,131	363,897	446,857	84,900	997,785	2,215
7-AAAAA	Lanier	2,762	19,165	121,355	731,914	875,196	124,804
7-AAAAA	Johns Creek	1	41	1,160	47,926	49,128	950,872
7-AAAAA	Seckinger	1	19	689	35,754	36,463	963,537
7-AAAAA	Chattahoochee	-	68	1,272	41,429	42,769	957,231
8-AAAAA	Clarke Central	675,999	205,427	76,773	28,557	986,756	13,244
8-AAAAA	Jackson County	142,404	278,473	232,108	170,919	823,904	176,096
8-AAAAA	Winder-Barrow	69,421	173,998	216,538	218,603	678,560	321,440
8-AAAAA	Loganville	54,548	166,159	210,060	219,337	650,104	349,896
8-AAAAA	Habersham Central	51,882	142,795	189,799	220,247	604,723	395,277
8-AAAAA	Alcovy	5,640	31,665	69,049	125,091	231,445	768,555
8-AAAAA	Apalachee	106	1,483	5,673	17,246	24,508	975,492

Class AAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Marist	5-AAAA	1-0	91.12	999,998	3.39	690,174	563,381	378,363	249,319	3.01
Cartersville	7-AAAA	2-0	88.32	997,077	3.43	771,510	461,803	306,087	169,927	4.88
Ware County	1-AAAA	1-1	88.18	978,694	3.32	699,858	476,493	283,371	158,929	5.29
Benedictine	1-AAAA	0-2	87.81	974,003	3.24	676,134	455,772	267,288	145,943	5.85
Creekside	4-AAAA	0-1	84.21	999,921	3.00	621,404	312,578	146,146	68,791	13.54
North Oconee	8-AAAA	2-0	82.87	999,268	2.66	421,996	216,705	114,494	45,454	21.00
Blessed Trinity	6-AAAA	2-0	81.70	994,435	2.68	544,010	269,281	110,893	41,417	23.14
Perry	1-AAAA	2-0	81.80	909,313	2.33	433,876	243,079	99,104	37,015	26.02
Warner Robins	1-AAAA	1-1	81.38	909,679	2.30	425,036	233,984	93,008	33,721	28.66
Cedartown	7-AAAA	2-0	78.96	956,439	2.26	437,838	148,408	56,338	17,530	56.05
Kell	6-AAAA	2-0	77.71	984,247	2.17	375,773	141,775	44,973	12,806	77.09
Starr's Mill	3-AAAA	2-0	74.03	976,588	2.18	319,958	83,080	20,690	4,600	216.39
Jones County	2-AAAA	2-0	73.19	989,273	1.96	166,629	67,895	15,356	3,027	329.36
Eastside	8-AAAA	2-0	74.01	986,570	1.87	153,179	50,531	13,390	3,009	331.34
Stockbridge	2-AAAA	1-1	72.61	991,618	1.94	160,955	63,741	13,884	2,704	368.82
Cass	7-AAAA	2-0	73.11	848,244	1.48	189,192	44,737	10,170	2,110	472.93
Mays	4-AAAA	1-1	70.27	992,243	1.82	162,253	33,000	6,851	1,029	970.82
Central (Carrollton)	3-AAAA	1-1	69.82	927,730	1.76	183,390	37,563	6,610	977	1,022.54
Ola	2-AAAA	2-0	69.96	969,667	1.70	102,764	33,911	5,897	879	1,136.66
Cambridge	6-AAAA	2-0	68.23	875,412	1.24	97,156	15,811	2,495	377	2,651.52
Harris County	3-AAAA	2-0	65.98	835,597	1.35	89,586	13,545	1,739	191	5,234.60
Westminster (Atlanta)	6-AAAA	1-1	65.51	817,477	1.04	55,926	6,824	870	85	11,763.71
Allatoona	7-AAAA	1-1	64.07	418,430	0.54	27,550	3,551	321	34	29,410.76
St. Pius X	5-AAAA	1-1	62.97	980,208	1.11	25,737	4,951	417	30	33,332.33
Hiram	7-AAAA	1-1	63.71	386,392	0.49	24,289	3,079	266	27	37,036.04
Dalton	7-AAAA	0-2	63.66	388,726	0.49	24,156	3,075	261	27	37,036.04
New Hampstead	1-AAAA	1-1	63.60	109,113	0.13	5,346	1,078	121	13	76,922.08
Jonesboro	3-AAAA	1-1	59.06	481,267	0.61	13,516	1,045	64	7	142,856.14
Wayne County	1-AAAA	0-2	63.69	119,198	0.15	6,175	1,244	116	5	199,999.00
Maynard Jackson	4-AAAA	2-0	58.04	878,175	1.12	23,739	1,701	87	4	249,999.00
Flowery Branch	8-AAAA	1-1	60.11	746,171	0.93	11,429	1,608	93	3	333,332.33
Tucker	5-AAAA	1-1	58.84	942,684	1.01	9,567	1,303	73	3	333,332.33
Pace Academy	4-AAAA	1-1	57.57	866,349	1.09	21,407	1,492	71	3	333,332.33
Northside (Columbus)	3-AAAA	1-0	57.49	372,879	0.45	7,314	519	27	1	999,999.00
Madison County	8-AAAA	1-0	56.30	504,470	0.59	4,127	446	23	1	999,999.00
Mundy's Mill	3-AAAA	0-2	56.77	338,444	0.41	5,840	406	16	1	999,999.00
Centennial	6-AAAA	2-0	56.03	328,429	0.35	3,707	150	13	1	999,999.00
Southwest DeKalb	5-AAAA	0-1	52.50	800,088	0.82	1,914	119	5	-	-
East Forsyth	8-AAAA	2-0	52.71	322,109	0.36	1,278	106	4	-	-
Walnut Grove	8-AAAA	2-0	52.45	314,552	0.35	1,217	76	3	-	-
Hampton	2-AAAA	1-1	53.62	277,521	0.30	762	36	1	-	-
Union Grove	2-AAAA	1-1	51.42	324,699	0.35	632	31	1	-	-
Eagle's Landing Christian	2-AAAA	0-2	54.28	170,221	0.19	542	42	-	-	-
Eagle's Landing	2-AAAA	1-1	51.32	257,297	0.27	471	24	-	-	-
Griffin	3-AAAA	0-2	48.64	67,495	0.07	185	10	-	-	-
Cedar Shoals	8-AAAA	0-2	47.49	126,860	0.13	165	10	-	-	-
Drew	4-AAAA	2-0	44.08	186,319	0.20	280	1	-	-	-
Lithonia	5-AAAA	2-0	41.05	180,390	0.18	33	-	-	-	-
Midtown	4-AAAA	1-1	36.38	42,929	0.04	11	-	-	-	-
M.L. King	4-AAAA	0-2	35.55	33,954	0.03	7	-	-	-	-
Druid Hills	5-AAAA	1-1	35.71	61,513	0.06	4	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Cartersville)	7-AAAA	1-1	42.69	4,692	0.00	3	-	-	-	-
North Springs	5-AAAA	0-1	33.54	34,324	0.03	-	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Stockbridge)	2-AAAA	0-2	41.53	13,199	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
McDonough	2-AAAA	0-2	40.57	3,875	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Locust Grove	2-AAAA	0-2	37.29	2,630	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Northview	5-AAAA	0-1	20.13	793	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Forest Park	4-AAAA	0-2	16.90	110	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Clarkston	5-AAAA	0-2	6.68	2	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Southeast Whitfield	7-AAAA	0-2	8.04	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Keys	5-AAAA	0-1	-16.95	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAA	Ware County	395,040	292,140	186,349	105,165	978,694	21,306
1-AAAA	Benedictine	335,255	300,148	212,025	126,575	974,003	25,997
1-AAAA	Perry	137,474	198,188	277,640	296,011	909,313	90,687
1-AAAA	Warner Robins	130,135	198,640	286,421	294,483	909,679	90,321
1-AAAA	Wayne County	1,193	5,983	19,773	92,249	119,198	880,802
1-AAAA	New Hampstead	903	4,901	17,792	85,517	109,113	890,887
2-AAAA	Stockbridge	378,248	330,039	247,590	35,741	991,618	8,382
2-AAAA	Jones County	364,153	333,429	251,371	40,320	989,273	10,727
2-AAAA	Ola	251,849	304,095	335,602	78,121	969,667	30,333
2-AAAA	Union Grove	2,111	11,126	52,421	259,041	324,699	675,301
2-AAAA	Eagle's Landing	1,467	7,938	39,310	208,582	257,297	742,703
2-AAAA	Eagle's Landing Christian	1,272	6,486	29,879	132,584	170,221	829,779
2-AAAA	Hampton	895	6,822	42,756	227,048	277,521	722,479
2-AAAA	McDonough	3	17	210	3,645	3,875	996,125
2-AAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	2	44	799	12,354	13,199	986,801
2-AAAA	Locust Grove	-	4	62	2,564	2,630	997,370
3-AAAA	Starr's Mill	531,481	268,170	129,703	47,234	976,588	23,412
3-AAAA	Central (Carrollton)	271,605	333,064	218,018	105,043	927,730	72,270
3-AAAA	Harris County	142,816	228,782	282,399	181,600	835,597	164,403
3-AAAA	Jonesboro	26,099	74,062	147,827	233,279	481,267	518,733
3-AAAA	Northside (Columbus)	14,748	48,665	108,618	200,848	372,879	627,121
3-AAAA	Mundy's Mill	12,600	43,308	97,730	184,806	338,444	661,556
3-AAAA	Griffin	651	3,949	15,705	47,190	67,495	932,505
4-AAAA	Creekside	832,982	151,184	13,565	2,190	999,921	79
4-AAAA	Mays	141,838	599,602	194,665	56,138	992,243	7,757
4-AAAA	Maynard Jackson	12,704	126,750	379,393	359,328	878,175	121,825
4-AAAA	Pace Academy	12,309	116,119	360,134	377,787	866,349	133,651
4-AAAA	Drew	163	5,542	40,704	139,910	186,319	813,681
4-AAAA	M.L. King	3	357	4,994	28,600	33,954	966,046
4-AAAA	Midtown	1	446	6,542	35,940	42,929	957,071
4-AAAA	Forest Park	-	-	3	107	110	999,890
5-AAAA	Marist	953,842	44,265	1,710	181	999,998	2
5-AAAA	St. Pius X	32,903	527,140	304,405	115,760	980,208	19,792
5-AAAA	Tucker	10,861	310,292	401,021	220,510	942,684	57,316
5-AAAA	Southwest DeKalb	2,340	109,770	245,600	442,378	800,088	199,912
5-AAAA	Lithonia	49	6,933	33,763	139,645	180,390	819,610
5-AAAA	Druid Hills	4	1,132	9,010	51,367	61,513	938,487
5-AAAA	North Springs	1	466	4,455	29,402	34,324	965,676
5-AAAA	Northview	-	2	36	755	793	999,207
5-AAAA	Clarkston	-	-	-	2	2	999,998
5-AAAA	Cross Keys	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAA	Blessed Trinity	546,690	321,418	96,602	29,725	994,435	5,565
6-AAAA	Kell	345,714	380,498	183,949	74,086	984,247	15,753
6-AAAA	Cambridge	66,816	172,496	363,215	272,885	875,412	124,588
6-AAAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	37,659	107,733	285,168	386,917	817,477	182,523
6-AAAA	Centennial	3,121	17,855	71,066	236,387	328,429	671,571
7-AAAA	Cartersville	693,592	236,344	56,046	11,095	997,077	2,923
7-AAAA	Cedartown	225,743	428,637	221,672	80,387	956,439	43,561
7-AAAA	Cass	62,768	214,162	368,153	203,161	848,244	151,756
7-AAAA	Allatoona	7,184	42,932	128,339	239,975	418,430	581,570
7-AAAA	Dalton	5,434	38,843	113,146	231,303	388,726	611,274
7-AAAA	Hiram	5,278	39,047	112,184	229,883	386,392	613,608
7-AAAA	Woodland (Cartersville)	1	35	460	4,196	4,692	995,308
7-AAAA	Southeast Whitfield	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAA	North Oconee	746,703	223,330	25,688	3,547	999,268	732
8-AAAA	Eastside	229,627	579,524	142,101	35,318	986,570	13,430
8-AAAA	Flowery Branch	14,934	107,375	378,062	245,800	746,171	253,829
8-AAAA	Madison County	5,369	47,384	195,802	255,915	504,470	495,530
8-AAAA	Walnut Grove	1,602	18,423	108,376	186,151	314,552	685,448
8-AAAA	East Forsyth	1,587	19,474	111,945	189,103	322,109	677,891
8-AAAA	Cedar Shoals	178	4,490	38,026	84,166	126,860	873,140

Class AAA Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Cedar Grove	5-AAA	0-1	84.38	999,972	4.06	848,634	712,440	543,326	391,117	1.56
Jefferson	8-AAA	1-1	81.49	999,984	3.82	805,100	635,479	438,089	264,035	2.79
Sandy Creek	2-AAA	2-0	75.85	987,335	3.09	628,658	401,946	211,769	89,632	10.16
Calhoun	7-AAA	0-1	75.10	999,231	3.17	660,860	423,006	209,497	84,426	10.84
Bainbridge	1-AAA	0-2	73.86	985,715	2.71	525,192	293,272	134,987	50,913	18.64
Troup	2-AAA	1-1	71.31	856,401	2.15	389,872	190,480	74,212	23,895	40.85
Peach County	1-AAA	1-1	70.56	967,611	2.35	415,004	197,298	73,911	22,113	44.22
Monroe Area	8-AAA	2-0	69.63	998,539	2.43	420,676	179,945	67,070	19,186	51.12
Oconee County	8-AAA	0-2	68.53	994,797	2.25	363,318	149,827	49,880	13,234	74.56
Cairo	1-AAA	0-1	68.63	960,773	2.14	343,418	147,017	48,828	12,986	76.01
Stephenson	5-AAA	1-1	66.68	993,663	2.18	340,722	122,577	36,174	8,257	120.11
Mary Persons	2-AAA	1-0	67.34	796,066	1.69	250,937	98,368	30,619	7,339	135.26
LaGrange	2-AAA	1-1	67.20	672,017	1.40	211,473	81,212	24,114	5,677	175.15
Baldwin	4-AAA	0-2	61.73	959,170	1.88	252,663	71,721	14,269	2,165	460.89
Adairsville	7-AAA	2-0	60.88	951,240	1.69	178,809	46,277	8,455	1,238	806.75
Spalding	2-AAA	0-2	63.93	367,977	0.66	80,982	25,489	5,936	1,035	965.18
Northwest Whitfield	7-AAA	2-0	59.22	958,991	1.62	145,763	33,553	5,693	681	1,467.43
Douglass	5-AAA	1-1	57.85	936,779	1.42	103,341	21,044	3,169	343	2,914.45
Jenkins	3-AAA	0-1	57.17	928,965	1.49	119,721	22,343	3,163	292	3,423.66
Harlem	4-AAA	2-0	56.54	955,659	1.56	125,921	25,134	3,332	289	3,459.21
Whitewater	2-AAA	0-2	61.08	249,791	0.41	40,568	10,360	1,903	289	3,459.21
Heritage (Ringgold)	7-AAA	2-0	56.21	921,665	1.40	89,475	16,624	2,197	187	5,346.59
Upson-Lee	2-AAA	1-1	58.98	226,000	0.35	29,171	6,230	934	114	8,770.93
Cherokee Bluff	8-AAA	2-0	54.94	917,786	1.26	62,989	10,374	1,209	85	11,763.71
Lumpkin County	6-AAA	0-1	54.25	746,811	1.08	64,763	10,513	1,084	71	14,083.51
Howard	4-AAA	0-1	54.06	744,898	1.07	62,232	9,586	963	70	14,284.71
Southeast Bulloch	3-AAA	1-0	53.79	935,248	1.35	69,470	10,251	1,094	69	14,491.75
Long County	3-AAA	1-0	52.03	928,169	1.28	51,210	6,716	594	48	20,832.33
Monroe	1-AAA	0-2	55.38	461,573	0.59	27,058	4,905	543	42	23,808.52
Dougherty	1-AAA	1-1	55.33	480,064	0.59	22,930	4,395	518	36	27,776.78
Dawson County	6-AAA	0-1	52.21	662,111	0.89	40,024	5,368	430	33	30,302.03
North Hall	6-AAA	0-1	52.19	674,257	0.92	42,551	5,766	501	30	33,332.33
White County	6-AAA	0-1	52.10	647,712	0.87	38,044	5,062	401	20	49,999.00
Luella	5-AAA	1-1	51.69	778,952	0.96	30,182	3,840	323	19	52,630.58
Gilmer	7-AAA	1-1	50.80	573,797	0.72	23,006	2,649	215	10	99,999.00
Pickens	6-AAA	2-0	49.71	594,487	0.76	24,643	2,532	171	8	124,999.00
West Laurens	4-AAA	1-0	49.27	569,786	0.72	20,953	1,969	139	8	124,999.00
Hephzibah	4-AAA	1-1	49.42	620,649	0.79	23,838	2,460	170	4	249,999.00
Westover	1-AAA	1-1	49.92	197,992	0.23	4,617	545	49	3	333,332.33
Liberty County	3-AAA	0-1	47.40	530,902	0.64	13,500	1,033	58	1	999,999.00
Westside (Augusta)	4-AAA	2-0	43.68	376,849	0.43	4,858	274	10	-	-
Windsor Forest	3-AAA	1-0	37.80	203,745	0.22	850	28	1	-	-
Riverdale	5-AAA	0-2	41.33	237,249	0.25	1,073	63	-	-	-
East Hall	8-AAA	2-0	38.54	124,872	0.13	338	12	-	-	-
North Clayton	5-AAA	1-1	35.72	70,071	0.07	74	6	-	-	-
Johnson (Savannah)	3-AAA	0-1	37.33	88,224	0.09	292	5	-	-	-
Richmond Academy	4-AAA	0-1	37.79	30,279	0.03	99	3	-	-	-
Chestatee	6-AAA	1-0	35.82	35,222	0.04	69	1	-	-	-
Islands	3-AAA	0-1	31.80	16,715	0.02	14	1	-	-	-
West Hall	8-AAA	1-1	30.43	25,353	0.03	4	1	-	-	-
Beach	3-AAA	1-1	30.99	21,946	0.02	23	-	-	-	-
LaFayette	7-AAA	0-2	33.38	17,755	0.02	11	-	-	-	-
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	5-AAA	0-2	28.64	14,996	0.02	6	-	-	-	-
Cross Creek	4-AAA	1-1	27.69	1,258	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Ridgeland	7-AAA	0-2	24.93	1,856	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Fayette County	2-AAA	0-2	36.83	43	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Gainesville)	6-AAA	0-1	15.87	31	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Groves	3-AAA	0-1	11.75	1	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
8-AAA	Jefferson	446,906	845,472	977,134	999,984	16
5-AAA	Cedar Grove	127,487	895,450	991,831	999,972	28
2-AAA	Sandy Creek	110,817	590,184	817,911	987,335	12,665
7-AAA	Calhoun	99,723	825,495	962,880	999,231	769
8-AAA	Monroe Area	61,912	372,755	783,322	998,539	1,461
4-AAA	Harlem	39,291	307,039	618,921	955,659	44,341
8-AAA	Oconee County	17,554	210,410	568,818	994,797	5,203
7-AAA	Northwest Whitfield	10,903	154,270	499,285	958,991	41,009
7-AAA	Adairsville	9,875	162,036	488,663	951,240	48,760
2-AAA	Mary Persons	9,537	129,545	329,543	796,066	203,934
5-AAA	Stephenson	9,381	203,466	745,977	993,663	6,337
2-AAA	Troup	8,860	222,299	471,411	856,401	143,599
7-AAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	7,502	101,768	425,050	921,665	78,335
1-AAA	Cairo	6,643	245,125	548,788	960,773	39,227
4-AAA	Baldwin	6,344	506,221	746,742	959,170	40,830
3-AAA	Southeast Bulloch	5,132	126,405	437,340	935,248	64,752
1-AAA	Peach County	4,105	296,353	624,680	967,611	32,389
3-AAA	Long County	2,988	106,162	429,282	928,169	71,831
4-AAA	Howard	2,606	119,912	302,071	744,898	255,102
3-AAA	Jenkins	2,368	112,531	485,989	928,965	71,035
2-AAA	LaGrange	2,130	89,258	238,800	672,017	327,983
1-AAA	Bainbridge	1,333	471,161	770,047	985,715	14,285
6-AAA	Pickens	1,187	71,607	187,829	594,487	405,513
4-AAA	Hephzibah	1,117	43,467	143,866	620,649	379,351
4-AAA	West Laurens	936	40,978	134,043	569,786	430,214
8-AAA	Cherokee Bluff	807	16,614	125,966	917,786	82,214
6-AAA	North Hall	516	132,352	293,062	674,257	325,743
5-AAA	Douglass	515	33,721	262,123	936,779	63,221
6-AAA	Lumpkin County	390	195,060	388,708	746,811	253,189
6-AAA	White County	342	121,810	276,397	647,712	352,288
7-AAA	Gilmer	208	14,809	90,560	573,797	426,203
4-AAA	Westside (Augusta)	192	7,844	40,534	376,849	623,151
6-AAA	Dawson County	173	128,851	289,668	662,111	337,889
2-AAA	Spalding	60	33,340	104,554	367,977	632,023
3-AAA	Liberty County	50	9,952	85,766	530,902	469,098
2-AAA	Upson-Lee	47	7,579	30,971	226,000	774,000
5-AAA	Luella	27	6,382	82,665	778,952	221,048
1-AAA	Monroe	17	11,946	52,123	461,573	538,427
2-AAA	Whitewater	13	15,606	56,657	249,791	750,209
3-AAA	Windsor Forest	3	603	8,594	203,745	796,255
1-AAA	Dougherty	2	10,974	49,501	480,064	519,936
1-AAA	Westover	1	1,696	10,766	197,992	802,008
6-AAA	Chestatee	-	684	3,569	35,222	964,778
4-AAA	Richmond Academy	-	415	2,439	30,279	969,721
5-AAA	Riverdale	-	158	8,191	237,249	762,751
3-AAA	Johnson (Savannah)	-	154	3,502	88,224	911,776
8-AAA	East Hall	-	32	1,086	124,872	875,128
7-AAA	LaFayette	-	24	455	17,755	982,245
3-AAA	Beach	-	12	285	21,946	978,054
5-AAA	North Clayton	-	8	1,095	70,071	929,929
3-AAA	Islands	-	5	342	16,715	983,285
5-AAA	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	-	-	89	14,996	985,004
8-AAA	West Hall	-	-	61	25,353	974,647
4-AAA	Cross Creek	-	-	24	1,258	998,742
7-AAA	Ridgeland	-	-	22	1,856	998,144
2-AAA	Fayette County	-	-	1	43	999,957
6-AAA	Johnson (Gainesville)	-	-	1	31	999,969
3-AAA	Groves	-	-	-	1	999,999

Class AA Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Pierce County	3-AA	1-0	78.28	999,961	3.76	776,935	595,640	438,741	312,504	2.20
Appling County	3-AA	0-1	73.36	999,217	3.12	618,200	389,170	228,040	124,154	7.05
Rockmart	7-AA	0-2	71.37	999,979	3.19	652,515	405,758	217,301	104,154	8.60
Burke County	4-AA	2-0	71.63	1,000,000	3.12	633,370	380,488	203,349	99,638	9.04
Carver (Columbus)	1-AA	2-0	70.86	999,998	3.21	652,210	403,451	215,336	99,628	9.04
Stephens County	8-AA	2-0	70.86	999,899	2.85	534,683	307,491	158,164	74,102	12.49
Cook	3-AA	2-0	69.25	999,415	2.62	461,471	241,143	112,938	48,089	19.79
Callaway	2-AA	0-1	67.69	999,841	2.77	522,244	270,642	116,121	44,130	21.66
Thomson	4-AA	0-2	68.53	999,990	2.67	487,160	244,332	108,754	44,125	21.66
Hapeville Charter	5-AA	0-1	64.62	995,318	2.22	347,476	138,879	48,196	14,885	66.18
Morgan County	2-AA	2-0	62.56	999,915	2.27	340,843	127,093	39,418	10,340	95.71
Carver (Atlanta)	5-AA	1-1	63.04	994,191	2.06	285,275	105,330	32,937	9,180	107.93
Columbia	6-AA	0-2	58.43	998,946	2.06	283,899	73,278	16,341	3,078	323.89
Westside (Macon)	2-AA	1-1	59.28	997,594	1.90	216,010	63,916	15,120	3,059	325.90
Crisp County	3-AA	0-2	60.92	935,203	1.54	159,707	49,456	12,937	2,958	337.07
Hart County	8-AA	1-1	59.63	975,997	1.65	156,180	45,389	10,688	2,222	449.05
Sumter County	1-AA	2-0	57.61	999,926	1.96	227,821	56,583	11,960	2,075	480.93
North Murray	7-AA	1-1	55.67	990,012	1.60	125,586	27,819	4,814	690	1,448.28
Laney	4-AA	1-1	53.88	999,755	1.47	88,023	16,583	2,509	311	3,214.43
Ringgold	7-AA	2-0	52.88	987,476	1.45	78,412	13,879	1,832	224	4,463.29
Union County	7-AA	0-1	52.82	932,166	1.33	73,881	12,350	1,685	200	4,999.00
Miller Grove	6-AA	1-1	49.90	990,847	1.45	76,655	9,893	1,006	104	9,614.38
Jackson	2-AA	1-1	49.64	940,287	1.22	42,466	5,418	516	54	18,517.52
South Atlanta	6-AA	0-2	48.61	987,911	1.37	58,122	6,615	575	48	20,832.33
Spencer	1-AA	1-1	47.97	964,604	1.23	36,398	4,024	330	26	38,460.54
East Jackson	8-AA	1-1	47.76	730,767	0.88	20,694	2,155	170	12	83,332.33
Sonoraville	7-AA	0-2	48.02	662,365	0.81	21,693	2,322	191	8	124,999.00
Washington	5-AA	1-1	41.21	442,733	0.48	3,746	210	9	1	999,999.00
Therrell	5-AA	0-2	39.01	162,214	0.17	799	37	2	1	999,999.00
Pike County	2-AA	2-0	38.16	820,545	0.89	4,573	183	8	-	-
Shaw	1-AA	1-1	37.65	799,661	0.86	4,089	151	4	-	-
Hardaway	1-AA	0-2	37.97	628,655	0.67	2,804	106	2	-	-
Tattnall County	3-AA	1-1	41.68	206,676	0.22	1,572	96	2	-	-
Redan	6-AA	1-1	36.19	803,786	0.84	2,268	67	2	-	-
Coahulla Creek	7-AA	0-2	37.63	182,836	0.19	767	26	1	-	-
Lakeview Ft. Oglethorpe	7-AA	1-1	34.64	151,980	0.16	330	9	1	-	-
Butler	4-AA	1-0	30.18	914,655	0.94	718	10	-	-	-
Rutland	2-AA	0-2	33.91	160,677	0.17	261	7	-	-	-
Franklin County	8-AA	1-1	32.17	38,332	0.04	38	1	-	-	-
Columbus	1-AA	0-2	27.81	145,774	0.15	48	-	-	-	-
Salem	6-AA	0-2	25.36	249,040	0.25	47	-	-	-	-
Kendrick	1-AA	1-1	20.74	86,057	0.09	6	-	-	-	-
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	5-AA	1-1	26.39	18,334	0.02	4	-	-	-	-
Josey	4-AA	0-1	10.15	82,463	0.08	1	-	-	-	-
Glenn Hills	4-AA	0-2	4.67	22,006	0.02	-	-	-	-	-
Murray County	7-AA	0-2	14.91	1,134	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Jordan	1-AA	0-1	7.39	862	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
1-AA	Carver (Columbus)	333,282	896,652	997,243	999,998	2
2-AA	Morgan County	128,058	492,264	911,273	999,915	85
3-AA	Pierce County	122,148	634,813	923,777	999,961	39
2-AA	Callaway	118,153	637,384	916,419	999,841	159
8-AA	Stephens County	51,197	381,554	884,141	999,899	101
3-AA	Appling County	49,491	399,547	799,673	999,217	783
1-AA	Sumter County	46,814	383,081	897,180	999,926	74
3-AA	Cook	42,966	260,741	750,282	999,415	585
7-AA	Rockmart	35,416	816,301	959,468	999,979	21
2-AA	Westside (Macon)	25,120	240,204	657,398	997,594	2,406
4-AA	Burke County	23,962	614,598	944,672	1,000,000	-
5-AA	Carver (Atlanta)	8,222	208,785	527,440	994,191	5,809
7-AA	Ringgold	4,206	68,397	386,887	987,476	12,524
7-AA	North Murray	3,320	99,476	424,915	990,012	9,988
5-AA	Hapeville Charter	3,062	267,898	559,037	995,318	4,682
6-AA	Columbia	1,107	621,978	886,621	998,946	1,054
8-AA	Hart County	948	28,664	259,292	975,997	24,003
2-AA	Jackson	773	29,640	165,024	940,287	59,713
7-AA	Union County	637	38,541	234,891	932,166	67,834
4-AA	Laney	549	45,842	295,646	999,755	245
6-AA	Miller Grove	263	204,334	572,209	990,847	9,153
1-AA	Spencer	103	21,794	249,823	964,604	35,396
3-AA	Crisp County	92	33,737	128,276	935,203	64,797
2-AA	Pike County	44	1,533	49,563	820,545	179,455
6-AA	South Atlanta	33	164,989	490,957	987,911	12,089
4-AA	Thomson	17	380,086	885,270	999,990	10
1-AA	Shaw	9	2,222	36,259	799,661	200,339
8-AA	East Jackson	5	702	24,528	730,767	269,233
7-AA	Sonoraville	3	7,234	63,414	662,365	337,635
6-AA	Redan	-	13,517	64,704	803,786	196,214
1-AA	Hardaway	-	1,663	28,553	628,655	371,345
6-AA	Salem	-	602	6,566	249,040	750,960
5-AA	Washington	-	498	4,154	442,733	557,267
5-AA	Therrell	-	219	1,652	162,214	837,786
4-AA	Butler	-	154	5,253	914,655	85,345
2-AA	Rutland	-	125	1,554	160,677	839,323
7-AA	Coahulla Creek	-	103	2,046	182,836	817,164
3-AA	Tattnall County	-	75	1,608	206,676	793,324
1-AA	Columbus	-	29	1,465	145,774	854,226
7-AA	Lakeview Ft. Oglethorpe	-	22	677	151,980	848,020
8-AA	Franklin County	-	2	61	38,332	961,668
1-AA	Kendrick	-	-	108	86,057	913,943
5-AA	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	-	-	11	18,334	981,666
4-AA	Josey	-	-	8	82,463	917,537
1-AA	Jordan	-	-	2	862	999,138
4-AA	Glenn Hills	-	-	-	22,006	977,994
7-AA	Murray County	-	-	-	1,134	998,866

Class A Division I Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Thomasville	1-A Division I	2-0	73.62	999,974	3.84	804,902	623,152	467,185	326,539	2.06
Fitzgerald	1-A Division I	0-1	73.07	999,755	3.77	789,392	600,032	439,995	298,406	2.35
Dublin	2-A Division I	2-0	65.35	999,961	3.03	604,959	362,846	187,226	79,923	11.51
Rabun County	8-A Division I	1-1	64.57	997,163	2.85	547,811	317,080	154,400	62,548	14.99
Toombs County	3-A Division I	1-0	64.54	995,953	2.76	515,322	291,733	141,741	57,251	16.47
Swainsboro	3-A Division I	0-2	63.88	978,439	2.54	460,911	250,023	115,146	44,632	21.41
Northeast	2-A Division I	1-1	61.99	997,050	2.57	457,009	232,331	98,224	33,175	29.14
Bleckley County	2-A Division I	1-1	60.76	996,345	2.38	385,189	182,889	70,345	22,033	44.39
Fannin County	7-A Division I	2-0	59.08	1,000,000	2.58	472,275	210,320	80,415	21,873	44.72
Lamar County	4-A Division I	1-0	58.02	999,904	2.45	423,315	180,277	60,270	15,489	63.56
Elbert County	8-A Division I	0-2	58.37	960,202	2.02	296,029	121,454	39,428	10,311	95.98
Jeff Davis	1-A Division I	2-0	56.32	981,844	1.94	246,382	89,323	25,250	5,706	174.25
Worth County	1-A Division I	1-1	56.43	949,333	1.79	218,382	77,966	22,088	5,077	195.97
Dodge County	2-A Division I	1-0	55.22	991,984	2.00	257,823	88,511	23,574	4,832	205.95
Bremen	6-A Division I	1-0	53.97	959,892	1.90	248,673	78,935	19,146	3,533	282.05
Commerce	8-A Division I	0-2	55.03	885,751	1.54	175,365	57,547	14,626	2,960	336.84
Putnam County	4-A Division I	0-2	51.65	993,426	1.86	207,756	56,558	11,458	1,761	566.86
Heard County	6-A Division I	2-0	50.96	923,065	1.58	154,859	39,328	7,494	1,110	899.90
Washington County	2-A Division I	1-1	51.86	933,085	1.53	134,121	35,397	7,182	1,099	908.92
Model	6-A Division I	1-1	50.95	930,777	1.59	154,339	38,932	7,285	1,008	991.06
Vidalia	3-A Division I	1-1	50.50	764,458	1.11	78,458	18,558	3,262	421	2,374.30
Dade County	7-A Division I	0-2	43.63	942,596	1.32	58,488	8,403	811	62	16,128.03
ACE Charter	2-A Division I	1-0	44.60	745,030	0.97	36,209	5,453	585	60	16,665.67
Pepperell	6-A Division I	0-2	44.73	516,001	0.68	30,087	4,575	510	46	21,738.13
Temple	6-A Division I	2-0	43.81	643,935	0.84	31,850	4,413	427	35	28,570.43
Bacon County	1-A Division I	1-1	45.20	624,727	0.80	30,291	4,684	505	31	32,257.06
Social Circle	4-A Division I	1-1	41.84	922,184	1.18	36,920	4,363	354	20	49,999.00
Gordon Lee	7-A Division I	1-1	40.85	934,889	1.20	33,262	3,725	271	18	55,554.56
Haralson County	6-A Division I	1-1	43.35	489,767	0.63	22,002	2,918	249	17	58,822.53
Chattooga	7-A Division I	2-0	40.52	967,715	1.27	36,063	3,880	283	16	62,499.00
Berrien	1-A Division I	0-2	43.44	255,316	0.31	8,452	1,098	102	3	333,332.33
East Laurens	2-A Division I	1-1	40.29	609,936	0.73	14,468	1,410	88	2	499,999.00
Jasper County	4-A Division I	1-1	36.83	797,715	0.91	11,188	800	35	2	499,999.00
Banks County	8-A Division I	0-1	39.61	116,550	0.13	1,876	188	10	1	999,999.00
Southwest	2-A Division I	0-2	39.71	235,364	0.27	4,460	429	16	-	-
B.E.S.T. Academy	5-A Division I	2-0	32.45	652,165	1.71	3,682	185	6	-	-
Armuchee	7-A Division I	1-0	31.21	802,164	0.87	3,995	178	4	-	-
McNair	4-A Division I	1-1	30.33	352,171	0.37	1,121	33	2	-	-
Jefferson County	2-A Division I	0-2	36.37	61,178	0.07	605	31	2	-	-
Towers	4-A Division I	1-0	25.69	526,688	0.55	773	18	-	-	-
Coosa	7-A Division I	1-0	27.30	372,356	0.39	727	18	-	-	-
Brantley County	1-A Division I	0-2	33.72	23,351	0.02	98	2	-	-	-
Gordon Central	7-A Division I	1-1	21.26	150,698	0.15	64	2	-	-	-
Oglethorpe County	8-A Division I	0-2	31.63	17,359	0.02	45	2	-	-	-
Central (Macon)	2-A Division I	0-2	27.48	1,773	0.00	2	-	-	-	-
Utopian Academy	4-A Division I	0-2	-13.92	11	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
7-A Division I	Fannin County	496,616	923,329	997,049	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Thomasville	152,754	797,267	982,203	999,974	26
2-A Division I	Dublin	139,634	704,758	976,207	999,961	39
4-A Division I	Lamar County	64,065	790,767	969,980	999,904	96
1-A Division I	Fitzgerald	60,635	710,484	951,876	999,755	245
2-A Division I	Northeast	17,173	424,141	784,857	997,050	2,950
2-A Division I	Dodge County	15,088	269,123	727,293	991,984	8,016
3-A Division I	Toombs County	10,465	330,180	771,795	995,953	4,047
8-A Division I	Rabun County	7,842	491,949	816,156	997,163	2,837
2-A Division I	Bleckley County	7,080	215,027	737,479	996,345	3,655
6-A Division I	Bremen	6,324	380,637	646,029	959,892	40,108
7-A Division I	Chattooga	5,661	104,854	490,568	967,715	32,285
6-A Division I	Heard County	3,401	224,728	481,852	923,065	76,935
6-A Division I	Model	2,596	220,991	478,421	930,777	69,223
1-A Division I	Jeff Davis	2,285	82,410	559,580	981,844	18,156
7-A Division I	Dade County	1,900	131,453	447,247	942,596	57,404
3-A Division I	Swainsboro	1,692	213,827	562,604	978,439	21,561
7-A Division I	Gordon Lee	1,401	70,988	318,919	934,889	65,111
2-A Division I	Washington County	867	62,777	292,678	933,085	66,915
4-A Division I	Putnam County	675	308,663	770,441	993,426	6,574
8-A Division I	Elbert County	633	171,969	451,711	960,202	39,798
1-A Division I	Worth County	586	52,498	304,562	949,333	50,667
6-A Division I	Temple	177	39,279	131,727	643,935	356,065
7-A Division I	Armuchee	135	7,840	125,820	802,164	197,836
2-A Division I	ACE Charter	121	6,603	107,996	745,030	254,970
4-A Division I	Social Circle	67	63,719	257,117	922,184	77,816
6-A Division I	Haralson County	36	30,875	96,197	489,767	510,233
4-A Division I	Jasper County	23	18,927	114,550	797,715	202,285
8-A Division I	Commerce	19	83,342	244,653	885,751	114,249
6-A Division I	Pepperell	17	45,182	122,863	516,001	483,999
3-A Division I	Vidalia	16	12,382	86,315	764,458	235,542
1-A Division I	Bacon County	6	2,086	33,816	624,727	375,273
7-A Division I	Coosa	4	905	16,580	372,356	627,644
5-A Division I	B.E.S.T. Academy	3	745	35,249	652,165	347,835
2-A Division I	East Laurens	2	725	46,154	609,936	390,064
4-A Division I	Towers	1	917	24,256	526,688	473,312
4-A Division I	McNair	-	2,111	18,634	352,171	647,829
8-A Division I	Banks County	-	716	4,843	116,550	883,450
1-A Division I	Berrien	-	584	7,288	255,316	744,684
2-A Division I	Southwest	-	149	4,278	235,364	764,636
7-A Division I	Gordon Central	-	41	1,503	150,698	849,302
8-A Division I	Oglethorpe County	-	25	236	17,359	982,641
2-A Division I	Jefferson County	-	19	275	61,178	938,822
1-A Division I	Brantley County	-	8	143	23,351	976,649
2-A Division I	Central (Macon)	-	-	-	1,773	998,227
4-A Division I	Utopian Academy	-	-	-	11	999,989

Class A Division II

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Irwin County	2-A Division II	2-0	70.78	994,664	4.05	881,278	700,528	534,774	361,620	1.77
Brooks County	2-A Division II	0-1	68.48	988,497	3.79	831,148	618,813	441,846	251,854	2.97
Bowdon	7-A Division II	1-1	65.44	998,587	3.54	763,320	544,188	288,407	151,077	5.62
Metter	3-A Division II	1-0	61.28	981,465	2.68	491,136	224,794	120,436	47,437	20.08
Schley County	6-A Division II	1-1	60.55	999,599	2.76	595,897	244,377	117,340	45,364	21.04
Clinch County	2-A Division II	2-0	60.20	919,527	2.60	552,542	305,850	120,121	42,570	22.49
Manchester	7-A Division II	1-1	59.56	990,063	2.76	547,160	289,851	117,482	41,257	23.24
Trion	7-A Division II	2-0	56.69	984,392	2.39	435,640	198,843	64,657	18,680	52.53
Lincoln County	8-A Division II	2-0	55.70	987,050	2.02	351,647	146,035	41,458	11,518	85.82
Emanuel County Institute	3-A Division II	2-0	53.85	871,326	1.81	229,466	72,882	22,175	5,339	186.30
Early County	1-A Division II	0-2	52.15	955,668	2.22	292,155	108,284	25,348	5,238	189.91
Macon County	6-A Division II	1-1	52.40	993,875	1.90	287,687	87,440	22,757	4,774	208.47
Charlton County	2-A Division II	2-0	52.14	666,992	1.30	207,913	67,689	14,365	2,826	352.86
Pelham	1-A Division II	0-1	49.55	930,523	1.99	218,518	65,848	12,553	2,044	488.24
Wilcox County	4-A Division II	0-2	50.59	948,129	1.68	158,366	53,888	11,275	1,956	510.25
Greene County	8-A Division II	2-0	49.99	950,915	1.43	152,228	46,357	9,019	1,559	640.44
Dooly County	4-A Division II	0-2	49.57	935,135	1.58	132,114	41,021	7,926	1,296	770.60
Mitchell County	1-A Division II	2-0	47.56	885,193	1.76	156,571	40,166	6,580	928	1,076.59
Johnson County	5-A Division II	1-1	46.98	999,013	1.68	89,190	20,311	4,479	575	1,738.13
Telfair County	4-A Division II	0-2	47.27	891,172	1.39	90,661	23,233	3,661	521	1,918.39
Bryan County	3-A Division II	1-1	47.57	595,471	0.99	71,375	17,149	2,789	422	2,368.67
Jenkins County	3-A Division II	1-1	47.47	589,709	0.98	70,172	16,496	2,654	364	2,746.25
McIntosh County Academy	3-A Division II	1-1	46.52	530,041	0.85	55,021	12,370	1,798	220	4,544.45
Washington-Wilkes	8-A Division II	0-2	45.41	868,954	1.08	62,105	13,369	1,889	203	4,925.11
Seminole County	1-A Division II	2-0	43.92	760,309	1.34	78,472	14,529	1,779	169	5,916.16
Lanier County	2-A Division II	1-1	45.56	315,122	0.48	46,800	8,996	1,031	107	9,344.79
Wilkinson County	5-A Division II	2-0	40.39	992,029	1.40	34,117	4,598	507	37	27,026.03
Portal	3-A Division II	0-1	40.88	224,144	0.31	9,902	1,503	127	8	124,999.00
Warren County	8-A Division II	1-1	39.30	653,936	0.71	13,062	1,689	138	6	166,665.67
Mount Zion (Carroll)	7-A Division II	2-0	38.29	551,569	0.64	15,025	1,296	106	6	166,665.67
Hawkinsville	4-A Division II	1-1	38.68	509,951	0.61	10,367	1,113	110	5	199,999.00
Lake Oconee Academy	8-A Division II	2-0	37.50	539,145	0.57	7,492	791	60	5	199,999.00
Miller County	1-A Division II	1-0	37.09	366,677	0.53	11,997	1,125	70	4	249,999.00
Screven County	3-A Division II	1-1	40.48	203,777	0.28	8,355	1,206	83	3	333,332.33
Turner County	2-A Division II	0-2	39.67	115,198	0.15	7,244	890	69	3	333,332.33
Wheeler County	4-A Division II	1-1	38.03	455,506	0.54	8,356	826	54	2	499,999.00
Taylor County	6-A Division II	1-1	34.29	701,023	0.75	5,641	508	23	2	499,999.00
Greenville	7-A Division II	2-0	36.10	475,389	0.53	8,527	574	40	1	999,999.00
Marion County	6-A Division II	0-2	32.46	635,054	0.67	3,503	252	7	-	-
Hancock Central	5-A Division II	1-1	26.90	864,535	0.94	2,890	118	3	-	-
Chattahoochee County	6-A Division II	0-2	28.81	433,682	0.45	1,041	57	3	-	-
Glascock County	5-A Division II	1-1	25.70	817,151	0.88	2,119	70	1	-	-
Treutlen	4-A Division II	1-1	30.80	136,609	0.15	574	26	-	-	-
Montgomery County	4-A Division II	1-1	30.21	123,498	0.13	422	26	-	-	-
Randolph-Clay	1-A Division II	0-1	26.81	48,491	0.06	202	9	-	-	-
Crawford County	6-A Division II	1-1	25.01	236,099	0.24	259	8	-	-	-
Terrell County	1-A Division II	1-1	26.77	53,139	0.06	224	8	-	-	-
Georgia Military Prep	5-A Division II	0-2	15.50	299,807	0.31	86	-	-	-	-
Claxton	3-A Division II	0-2	26.01	4,066	0.00	13	-	-	-	-
Twiggs County	5-A Division II	0-2	2.09	27,465	0.03	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Talbotton)	6-A Division II	1-0	-1.74	668	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Savannah	3-A Division II	0-2	4.31	1	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Atkinson County	2-A Division II	2-0	30.68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Calhoun County	1-A Division II	1-1	30.17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Towns County	8-A Division II	2-0	23.70	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Pataula Charter	1-A Division II	1-1	8.12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Baconton Charter	1-A Division II	0-2	6.54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Southwest Georgia STEM	1-A Division II	1-1	-21.12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Spring Creek	1-A Division II	0-2	-54.77	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Division II	Early County	404,141	270,366	180,372	100,789	955,668	44,332
1-A Division II	Pelham	282,874	284,326	224,939	138,384	930,523	69,477
1-A Division II	Mitchell County	196,677	235,872	255,338	197,306	885,193	114,807
1-A Division II	Seminole County	98,310	159,067	224,816	278,116	760,309	239,691
1-A Division II	Miller County	16,980	45,185	93,869	210,643	366,677	633,323
1-A Division II	Randolph-Clay	525	2,512	9,863	35,591	48,491	951,509
1-A Division II	Terrell County	493	2,672	10,803	39,171	53,139	946,861
1-A Division II	Calhoun County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Pataula Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Spring Creek	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Baconton Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Southwest Georgia STEM	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-A Division II	Irwin County	537,808	316,930	114,018	25,908	994,664	5,336
2-A Division II	Brooks County	347,224	390,695	197,785	52,793	988,497	11,503
2-A Division II	Clinch County	97,149	218,870	414,474	189,034	919,527	80,473
2-A Division II	Charlton County	14,996	55,978	183,374	412,644	666,992	333,008
2-A Division II	Lanier County	2,480	14,716	69,876	228,050	315,122	684,878
2-A Division II	Turner County	343	2,811	20,473	91,571	115,198	884,802
2-A Division II	Atkinson County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
3-A Division II	Metter	648,499	217,615	82,890	32,461	981,465	18,535
3-A Division II	Emanuel County Institute	195,109	335,219	211,877	129,121	871,326	128,674
3-A Division II	Bryan County	53,101	135,670	199,056	207,644	595,471	404,529
3-A Division II	Jenkins County	49,397	139,718	196,627	203,967	589,709	410,291
3-A Division II	McIntosh County Academy	40,540	111,512	175,416	202,573	530,041	469,959
3-A Division II	Portal	7,546	31,979	69,590	115,029	224,144	775,856
3-A Division II	Screven County	5,799	28,166	63,769	106,043	203,777	796,223
3-A Division II	Claxton	9	121	775	3,161	4,066	995,934
3-A Division II	Savannah	-	-	-	1	1	999,999
4-A Division II	Wilcox County	381,734	282,806	192,299	91,290	948,129	51,871
4-A Division II	Dooly County	310,055	288,999	225,549	110,532	935,135	64,865
4-A Division II	Telfair County	240,247	263,259	244,750	142,916	891,172	108,828
4-A Division II	Hawkinsville	32,903	75,286	145,024	256,738	509,951	490,049
4-A Division II	Wheeler County	30,286	70,059	129,576	225,585	455,506	544,494
4-A Division II	Treutlen	2,603	10,510	33,114	90,382	136,609	863,391
4-A Division II	Montgomery County	2,172	9,081	29,688	82,557	123,498	876,502
5-A Division II	Johnson County	635,271	301,909	51,089	10,744	999,013	987
5-A Division II	Wilkinson County	317,874	483,688	149,763	40,704	992,029	7,971
5-A Division II	Hancock Central	25,474	113,650	379,454	345,957	864,535	135,465
5-A Division II	Glascock County	20,310	88,739	343,389	364,713	817,151	182,849
5-A Division II	Georgia Military Prep	1,068	11,816	71,845	215,078	299,807	700,193
5-A Division II	Twiggs County	3	198	4,460	22,804	27,465	972,535
6-A Division II	Schley County	690,237	284,631	22,343	2,388	999,599	401
6-A Division II	Macon County	295,495	570,780	108,343	19,257	993,875	6,125
6-A Division II	Taylor County	7,400	66,886	336,878	289,859	701,023	298,977
6-A Division II	Marion County	4,829	49,707	285,961	294,557	635,054	364,946
6-A Division II	Chattahoochee County	1,678	20,064	169,367	242,573	433,682	566,318
6-A Division II	Crawford County	361	7,932	77,074	150,732	236,099	763,901
6-A Division II	Central (Talbotton)	-	-	34	634	668	999,332
7-A Division II	Bowdon	595,527	279,007	110,645	13,408	998,587	1,413
7-A Division II	Manchester	250,367	391,861	298,371	49,464	990,063	9,937
7-A Division II	Trion	149,592	304,383	454,703	75,714	984,392	15,608
7-A Division II	Mount Zion (Carroll)	3,150	15,293	79,345	453,781	551,569	448,431
7-A Division II	Greenville	1,364	9,456	56,936	407,633	475,389	524,611
8-A Division II	Lincoln County	582,295	263,287	100,877	40,591	987,050	12,950
8-A Division II	Greene County	245,623	351,700	242,760	110,832	950,915	49,085
8-A Division II	Washington-Wilkes	117,001	232,361	311,554	208,038	868,954	131,046
8-A Division II	Warren County	33,455	86,892	193,614	339,975	653,936	346,064
8-A Division II	Lake Oconee Academy	21,626	65,760	151,195	300,564	539,145	460,855
8-A Division II	Towns County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

AAA to A Private

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Prince Avenue Christian	8-AA	1-1	83.82	1,000,000	4.41	934,592	816,578	660,632	507,361	0.97
Calvary Day	3-AAA	1-0	77.48	1,000,000	4.04	890,558	699,170	451,882	229,757	3.35
Savannah Christian	3-A Division I	2-0	74.79	1,000,000	3.77	842,247	594,304	336,654	141,622	6.06
Hebron Christian	8-AA	2-0	68.62	1,000,000	2.97	621,382	285,200	110,225	31,640	30.61
Fellowship Christian	5-A Division I	1-1	67.14	1,000,000	4.04	643,107	317,377	111,459	27,625	35.20
Athens Academy	8-A Division I	2-0	64.98	1,000,000	2.83	569,387	233,542	72,260	15,370	64.06
Holy Innocents	5-AA	1-1	65.30	1,000,000	2.71	507,361	211,510	66,306	14,445	68.23
Lovett	5-AA	2-0	64.74	1,000,000	2.75	528,408	215,397	65,469	13,692	72.04
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	2-AAA	1-1	65.06	1,000,000	2.33	328,607	142,914	43,554	9,161	108.16
Wesleyan	5-A Division I	2-0	60.45	1,000,000	3.55	452,737	144,595	32,267	4,633	214.84
Greater Atlanta Christian	6-AAA	0-2	57.58	1,000,000	2.20	320,333	76,681	13,624	1,510	661.25
Whitefield Academy	5-A Division I	1-1	56.09	1,000,000	3.48	417,043	101,168	15,151	1,428	699.28
North Cobb Christian	7-AA	2-0	56.66	1,000,000	2.14	256,072	59,431	9,771	1,043	957.77
Aquinas	4-AAA	1-1	53.18	1,000,000	1.91	164,610	31,197	3,782	295	3,388.83
Mount Vernon	5-A Division I	1-1	53.01	1,000,000	2.94	172,243	30,844	3,512	242	4,131.23
Darlington	6-A Division I	0-2	50.63	1,000,000	1.77	138,547	19,607	1,883	97	10,308.28
Savannah Country Day	3-A Division I	0-2	51.05	1,000,000	1.48	75,100	11,276	1,152	69	14,491.75
Christian Heritage	7-A Division I	1-1	44.14	1,000,000	1.69	80,004	6,322	325	8	124,999.00
Providence Christian	8-A Division I	0-2	43.49	1,000,000	1.21	23,861	1,492	62	2	499,999.00
Mount Paran Christian	5-A Division I	1-1	36.98	1,000,000	2.32	18,525	818	19	-	-
Mount Pisgah Christian	5-A Division I	0-2	38.48	1,000,000	2.16	9,264	412	7	-	-
King's Ridge Christian	5-A Division I	2-0	31.16	1,000,000	2.16	2,719	94	3	-	-
St. Francis	5-A Division I	0-2	32.59	1,000,000	2.11	3,019	70	1	-	-
Landmark Christian	5-A Division I	1-1	20.90	1,000,000	2.02	271	1	-	-	-
Walker	5-A Division I	1-1	1.24	1,000,000	2.00	3	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
3-A Division I	Savannah Christian	260,890	889,962	998,605	1,000,000	-
3-AAA	Calvary Day	255,408	983,352	999,962	1,000,000	-
8-AA	Prince Avenue Christian	160,901	911,883	999,015	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Fellowship Christian	132,691	555,779	997,621	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Wesleyan	94,022	439,769	997,038	1,000,000	-
5-AA	Lovett	28,990	458,627	969,702	1,000,000	-
8-AA	Hebron Christian	25,779	392,861	985,180	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Whitefield Academy	25,117	749,247	988,716	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Athens Academy	10,407	614,705	963,403	1,000,000	-
5-AA	Holy Innocents	1,626	450,899	886,248	1,000,000	-
7-AA	North Cobb Christian	1,319	243,676	885,533	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Vernon	1,265	54,965	949,880	1,000,000	-
4-AAA	Aquinas	699	183,851	756,741	1,000,000	-
7-A Division I	Christian Heritage	583	219,752	793,649	1,000,000	-
2-AAA	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	145	93,569	492,995	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Paran Christian	76	85,315	420,348	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	Darlington	58	228,927	498,851	1,000,000	-
6-AAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	18	416,861	640,725	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	King's Ridge Christian	4	727	473,545	1,000,000	-
3-A Division I	Savannah Country Day	2	19,711	150,199	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Providence Christian	-	4,522	18,416	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Landmark Christian	-	574	10,180	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	St. Francis	-	250	78,582	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Pisgah Christian	-	215	44,861	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Walker	-	1	5	1,000,000	-

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

Class AAAAAA

Modal bracket

Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class AAAAA

Modal bracket

Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class AAAA

Modal bracket

Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class AAA Public

Modal bracket

Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class AA Public

Modal bracket

Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class A Division I Public

Modal bracket

Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class A Division II

Modal bracket

Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

More Stories

Maxwell 2025 season summary | Buford, TCC, Carrollton top teams in state

Maxwell GHSA championship predictions: Carrollton-Buford highest rated matchup in 45 years

Gainesville, Calvary Day get boost after big victories | Maxwell summary

Panthers-Buccaneers matchup on Saturday isn't quite winner-take-all

Pro Picks: Panthers, Ravens will win their divisions; 49ers will edge Seahawks for NFC's No. 1 seed

College Football Playoff picks: Buckeyes, Red Raiders, Hoosiers, Bulldogs are expected to advance

Atlanta bet on the Beltline 20 years ago. The city will never be the same.

The feds, a flipper and a Russian’s decaying mansion: An Atlanta real estate saga

Atlanta officer accused of killing girlfriend after Christmas party