Maxwell playoff projections heading into Semifinals
Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class in the GHSA.
The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2023 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 iterations.
While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.
Class AAAAAAA
Playoff Projections by Team
ach team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Rec | Rating | Draw | Depth | Finals | Champ | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walton | #1 (5-AAAAAAA) | 13-0 | 102.46 | 86.89 | 4.65 | 897,569.35 | 750,937.24 | 0.33 |
| Grayson | #1 (4-AAAAAAA) | 11-2 | 89.35 | 95.76 | 3.64 | 525,486.64 | 112,115.09 | 7.92 |
| Milton | #1 (6-AAAAAAA) | 11-2 | 88.51 | 96.04 | 3.57 | 474,513.36 | 94,106.52 | 9.63 |
| Camden County | #3 (1-AAAAAAA) | 10-3 | 86.22 | 98.33 | 3.15 | 102,430.65 | 42,841.15 | 22.34 |
Class AAAAAA
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Rec | Rating | Draw | Depth | Finals | Champ | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas County Central | #1 (1-AAAAAA) | 13-0 | 98.53 | 88.97 | 4.38 | 804,470.65 | 573,302.04 | 0.74 |
| Douglas County | #1 (5-AAAAAA) | 13-0 | 92.63 | 92.46 | 3.90 | 645,003.87 | 254,827.01 | 2.92 |
| Woodward Academy | #1 (3-AAAAAA) | 11-2 | 87.69 | 94.56 | 3.45 | 354,996.13 | 97,115.20 | 9.30 |
| Marist | #1 (4-AAAAAA) | 12-1 | 86.84 | 95.19 | 3.27 | 195,529.35 | 74,755.75 | 12.38 |
Class AAAAA
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Rec | Rating | Draw | Depth | Finals | Champ | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coffee | #1 (1-AAAAA) | 13-0 | 90.88 | 81.71 | 4.35 | 789,774.64 | 563,876.84 | 0.77 |
| Jefferson | #1 (8-AAAAA) | 13-0 | 83.64 | 85.98 | 3.71 | 520,860.92 | 187,842.14 | 4.32 |
| Creekside | #1 (5-AAAAA) | 12-1 | 82.95 | 86.28 | 3.64 | 479,139.08 | 164,332.21 | 5.09 |
| Cartersville | #1 (7-AAAAA) | 13-0 | 79.93 | 87.53 | 3.29 | 210,225.36 | 83,948.81 | 10.91 |
Class AAAA
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Rec | Rating | Draw | Depth | Finals | Champ | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benedictine | #1 (3-AAAA) | 13-0 | 84.03 | 79.57 | 3.93 | 536,856.06 | 392,841.31 | 1.55 |
| Stockbridge | #1 (5-AAAA) | 11-2 | 82.81 | 80.34 | 3.79 | 463,143.94 | 325,606.71 | 2.07 |
| Perry | #2 (2-AAAA) | 11-2 | 77.85 | 78.02 | 3.97 | 729,077.55 | 245,466.56 | 3.07 |
| Starr's Mill | #1 (4-AAAA) | 10-3 | 67.97 | 80.21 | 3.31 | 270,922.45 | 36,085.42 | 26.71 |
Class AAA
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Rec | Rating | Draw | Depth | Finals | Champ | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvary Day | #1 (3-AAA) | 13-0 | 87.79 | 75.29 | 4.42 | 758,206.77 | 660,269.64 | 0.51 |
| Cedar Grove | #1 (5-AAA) | 8-5 | 78.34 | 81.76 | 3.41 | 241,793.23 | 166,942.79 | 4.99 |
| Savannah Christian | #2 (3-AAA) | 11-2 | 73.84 | 78.12 | 3.91 | 752,114.25 | 155,827.68 | 5.42 |
| Carver (Columbus) | #1 (1-AAA) | 10-3 | 62.96 | 80.02 | 3.26 | 247,885.75 | 16,959.90 | 57.96 |
Class AA
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Rec | Rating | Draw | Depth | Finals | Champ | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierce County | #1 (3-AA) | 12-1 | 70.51 | 65.84 | 4.12 | 717,843.97 | 403,634.05 | 1.48 |
| Rockmart | #1 (7-AA) | 11-2 | 69.64 | 67.79 | 3.90 | 588,400.82 | 308,102.70 | 2.25 |
| Cook | #1 (1-AA) | 11-2 | 66.69 | 69.25 | 3.59 | 411,599.18 | 179,859.27 | 4.56 |
| Fitzgerald | #2 (1-AA) | 10-3 | 64.50 | 70.44 | 3.39 | 282,156.03 | 108,403.98 | 8.22 |
Class A Division I
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Rec | Rating | Draw | Depth | Finals | Champ | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prince Avenue Christian | #1 (5-A Division I) | 12-1 | 69.03 | 58.86 | 4.38 | 779,980.37 | 598,530.79 | 0.67 |
| Brooks County | #1 (1-A Division I) | 8-5 | 59.86 | 62.24 | 3.79 | 605,299.52 | 188,880.22 | 4.29 |
| Swainsboro | #3 (2-A Division I) | 11-2 | 58.03 | 64.33 | 3.50 | 394,700.48 | 106,359.50 | 8.40 |
| Bryan County | #1 (3-A Division I) | 12-1 | 58.57 | 64.84 | 3.33 | 220,019.63 | 106,229.49 | 8.41 |
Class A Division II
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Rec | Rating | Draw | Depth | Qtr | Semi | Finals | Champ | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schley County | #1 (6-A Division II) | 12-0 | 65.38 | 57.14 | 4.25 | 722,636.34 | 529,196.55 | 0.89 | ||
| Manchester | #2 (6-A Division II) | 10-2 | 58.85 | 58.46 | 3.96 | 694,634.22 | 261,126.95 | 2.83 | ||
| Bowdon | #1 (7-A Division II) | 11-2 | 57.46 | 61.71 | 3.42 | 277,363.66 | 143,991.21 | 5.94 | ||
| Telfair County | #2 (4-A Division II) | 10-2 | 52.06 | 61.14 | 3.37 | 305,365.78 | 65,685.29 | 14.22 |
