Maxwell playoff projections heading into 2024 season

August 20, 2021 - Kennesaw, Ga: Buford wide receiver Tobi Olawale (4) celebrates his receiving touchdown with running back Victor Venn (6) during the second half against North Cobb at North Cobb high school Friday, August 20, 2021 in Kennesaw, Ga.. Buford won 35-27. JASON GETZ FOR THE ATLANTA JOURNAL-CONSTITUTION

By Loren Maxwell

Aug 13, 2024

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class in the GHSA.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2024 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 iterations.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Colquitt County	1-AAAAAA	0-0	100.15	998,420	3.36	612,269	481,356	351,686	232,949	3.29
Mill Creek	8-AAAAAA	0-0	97.59	999,219	3.10	549,139	427,017	281,519	156,156	5.40
Buford	8-AAAAAA	0-0	97.56	999,209	3.06	533,423	409,966	268,813	148,949	5.71
Carrollton	2-AAAAAA	0-0	96.19	999,379	3.20	578,472	495,570	273,527	142,047	6.04
Walton	5-AAAAAA	0-0	95.84	998,022	3.08	548,515	462,572	236,004	124,402	7.04
Grayson	4-AAAAAA	0-0	93.96	999,903	3.28	782,891	340,199	196,117	91,552	9.92
North Cobb	5-AAAAAA	0-0	89.81	988,397	2.17	277,646	200,893	71,927	23,896	40.85
Westlake	2-AAAAAA	0-0	89.50	995,163	2.08	259,252	179,445	62,909	20,397	48.03
North Gwinnett	7-AAAAAA	0-0	86.62	969,793	2.45	490,967	142,709	45,686	12,026	82.15
Valdosta	1-AAAAAA	0-0	88.41	941,094	1.83	185,591	108,850	40,181	11,608	85.15
Parkview	7-AAAAAA	0-0	86.33	955,453	2.36	460,365	130,399	39,124	9,929	99.72
Camden County	1-AAAAAA	0-0	86.80	922,737	1.63	141,637	79,574	24,920	6,532	152.09
Norcross	7-AAAAAA	0-0	84.80	925,623	2.14	384,387	95,826	25,009	5,811	171.09
Newton	4-AAAAAA	0-0	83.66	995,673	2.30	412,130	88,678	22,971	4,565	218.06
McEachern	3-AAAAAA	0-0	81.39	993,027	2.01	313,793	70,151	12,110	2,063	483.73
Douglas County	2-AAAAAA	0-0	83.29	967,764	1.40	85,315	42,620	9,568	1,880	530.91
Collins Hill	8-AAAAAA	0-0	83.64	959,402	1.44	90,253	42,594	8,761	1,749	570.76
Archer	4-AAAAAA	0-0	79.60	988,218	1.96	273,728	41,845	7,140	933	1,070.81
Brookwood	7-AAAAAA	0-0	79.46	761,842	1.44	184,711	28,413	4,396	582	1,717.21
Lambert	6-AAAAAA	0-0	78.21	852,706	1.35	134,889	21,008	3,200	368	2,716.39
North Paulding	5-AAAAAA	0-0	80.15	867,475	1.12	34,905	13,554	2,395	332	3,011.05
West Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	0-0	77.85	841,121	1.32	128,647	19,569	2,873	295	3,388.83
Marietta	5-AAAAAA	0-0	79.86	844,258	1.08	31,942	12,058	2,039	275	3,635.36
East Coweta	2-AAAAAA	0-0	79.30	929,170	1.13	32,766	11,900	1,969	237	4,218.41
Harrison	3-AAAAAA	0-0	75.83	962,384	1.51	141,816	17,831	1,869	173	5,779.35
Lowndes	1-AAAAAA	0-0	77.93	620,873	0.77	19,995	7,015	911	122	8,195.72
South Gwinnett	4-AAAAAA	0-0	74.36	953,409	1.48	113,705	10,508	925	72	13,887.89
North Atlanta	6-AAAAAA	0-0	74.20	595,105	0.80	44,111	4,315	463	35	28,570.43
Richmond Hill	1-AAAAAA	0-0	76.26	451,555	0.53	9,944	3,050	265	25	39,999.00
Peachtree Ridge	7-AAAAAA	0-0	72.48	367,903	0.55	34,970	2,633	189	15	66,665.67
Mountain View	8-AAAAAA	0-0	73.29	639,747	0.71	7,356	1,860	144	9	111,110.11
North Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	0-0	71.08	439,075	0.53	17,139	1,104	81	4	249,999.00
Alpharetta	6-AAAAAA	0-0	70.85	448,762	0.54	16,837	1,049	71	4	249,999.00
South Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	0-0	69.90	325,760	0.39	10,143	605	39	4	249,999.00
Denmark	6-AAAAAA	0-0	71.95	494,548	0.62	24,329	1,832	125	3	333,332.33
Hillgrove	3-AAAAAA	0-0	68.12	728,754	0.85	17,280	763	45	1	999,999.00
Pebblebrook	3-AAAAAA	0-0	66.61	658,116	0.75	11,286	442	22	-	-
Wheeler	5-AAAAAA	0-0	67.19	137,299	0.14	228	25	4	-	-
Dacula	8-AAAAAA	0-0	67.19	336,374	0.35	941	133	3	-	-
Cherokee	5-AAAAAA	0-0	67.18	125,225	0.13	220	23	-	-	-
Tift County	1-AAAAAA	0-0	65.77	65,321	0.07	117	17	-	-	-
Paulding County	3-AAAAAA	0-0	60.20	262,090	0.27	833	12	-	-	-
Osborne	3-AAAAAA	0-0	59.12	227,266	0.24	563	9	-	-	-
Campbell	3-AAAAAA	0-0	58.77	166,951	0.17	357	4	-	-	-
Etowah	5-AAAAAA	0-0	61.48	39,324	0.04	14	2	-	-	-
Chapel Hill	2-AAAAAA	0-0	59.54	108,524	0.11	37	1	-	-	-
Central Gwinnett	8-AAAAAA	0-0	57.94	65,217	0.07	23	1	-	-	-
Duluth	7-AAAAAA	0-0	57.45	10,669	0.01	59	-	-	-	-
Meadowcreek	7-AAAAAA	0-0	57.12	8,709	0.01	43	-	-	-	-
Grovetown	4-AAAAAA	0-0	49.66	31,952	0.03	16	-	-	-	-
Heritage (Conyers)	4-AAAAAA	0-0	48.97	30,453	0.03	5	-	-	-	-
Forsyth Central	6-AAAAAA	0-0	53.47	2,923	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
South Cobb	3-AAAAAA	0-0	42.75	1,412	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Discovery	8-AAAAAA	0-0	42.93	832	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Rockdale County	4-AAAAAA	0-0	34.13	392	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Berkmar	7-AAAAAA	0-0	37.67	8	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAA	Colquitt County	717,482	216,715	54,021	10,202	998,420	1,580
1-AAAAAA	Valdosta	158,510	375,205	280,388	126,991	941,094	58,906
1-AAAAAA	Camden County	107,272	282,696	356,432	176,337	922,737	77,263
1-AAAAAA	Lowndes	11,432	80,444	185,250	343,747	620,873	379,127
1-AAAAAA	Richmond Hill	5,222	43,271	112,915	290,147	451,555	548,445
1-AAAAAA	Tift County	82	1,669	10,994	52,576	65,321	934,679
2-AAAAAA	Carrollton	644,752	249,813	76,331	28,483	999,379	621
2-AAAAAA	Westlake	221,449	424,181	249,895	99,638	995,163	4,837
2-AAAAAA	Douglas County	95,544	216,061	360,347	295,812	967,764	32,236
2-AAAAAA	East Coweta	38,210	108,700	304,997	477,263	929,170	70,830
2-AAAAAA	Chapel Hill	45	1,245	8,430	98,804	108,524	891,476
3-AAAAAA	McEachern	657,762	243,360	71,874	20,031	993,027	6,973
3-AAAAAA	Harrison	257,433	448,688	184,123	72,140	962,384	37,616
3-AAAAAA	Hillgrove	39,867	137,190	291,901	259,796	728,754	271,246
3-AAAAAA	Pebblebrook	35,533	112,615	254,468	255,500	658,116	341,884
3-AAAAAA	Paulding County	4,852	25,966	79,706	151,566	262,090	737,910
3-AAAAAA	Osborne	2,737	20,374	70,752	133,403	227,266	772,734
3-AAAAAA	Campbell	1,815	11,795	47,001	106,340	166,951	833,049
3-AAAAAA	South Cobb	1	12	175	1,224	1,412	998,588
4-AAAAAA	Grayson	736,701	203,082	45,033	15,087	999,903	97
4-AAAAAA	Newton	156,843	386,362	296,490	155,978	995,673	4,327
4-AAAAAA	Archer	76,398	298,786	387,890	225,144	988,218	11,782
4-AAAAAA	South Gwinnett	30,054	111,437	267,069	544,849	953,409	46,591
4-AAAAAA	Grovetown	3	186	1,870	29,893	31,952	968,048
4-AAAAAA	Heritage (Conyers)	1	147	1,643	28,662	30,453	969,547
4-AAAAAA	Rockdale County	-	-	5	387	392	999,608
5-AAAAAA	Walton	673,799	249,073	59,848	15,302	998,022	1,978
5-AAAAAA	North Cobb	257,604	496,427	178,304	56,062	988,397	11,603
5-AAAAAA	Marietta	35,321	114,349	321,140	373,448	844,258	155,742
5-AAAAAA	North Paulding	32,369	130,131	379,538	325,437	867,475	132,525
5-AAAAAA	Cherokee	457	4,973	26,057	93,738	125,225	874,775
5-AAAAAA	Wheeler	419	4,374	27,934	104,572	137,299	862,701
5-AAAAAA	Etowah	31	673	7,179	31,441	39,324	960,676
6-AAAAAA	West Forsyth	328,444	234,550	163,025	115,102	841,121	158,879
6-AAAAAA	Lambert	326,385	244,421	167,771	114,129	852,706	147,294
6-AAAAAA	North Atlanta	117,015	149,410	164,974	163,706	595,105	404,895
6-AAAAAA	Denmark	81,259	114,913	140,295	158,081	494,548	505,452
6-AAAAAA	Alpharetta	56,083	97,369	134,808	160,502	448,762	551,238
6-AAAAAA	North Forsyth	55,096	94,676	131,343	157,960	439,075	560,925
6-AAAAAA	South Forsyth	35,687	64,493	97,214	128,366	325,760	674,240
6-AAAAAA	Forsyth Central	31	168	570	2,154	2,923	997,077
7-AAAAAA	North Gwinnett	398,373	288,243	188,279	94,898	969,793	30,207
7-AAAAAA	Parkview	306,279	288,845	226,977	133,352	955,453	44,547
7-AAAAAA	Norcross	213,486	259,898	277,561	174,678	925,623	74,377
7-AAAAAA	Brookwood	71,179	128,843	219,842	341,978	761,842	238,158
7-AAAAAA	Peachtree Ridge	10,640	33,837	85,029	238,397	367,903	632,097
7-AAAAAA	Duluth	22	182	1,245	9,220	10,669	989,331
7-AAAAAA	Meadowcreek	21	152	1,066	7,470	8,709	991,291
7-AAAAAA	Berkmar	-	-	1	7	8	999,992
8-AAAAAA	Mill Creek	509,310	380,714	98,486	10,709	999,219	781
8-AAAAAA	Buford	446,387	451,539	91,746	9,537	999,209	791
8-AAAAAA	Collins Hill	41,203	146,388	606,713	165,098	959,402	40,598
8-AAAAAA	Mountain View	2,888	17,869	137,621	481,369	639,747	360,253
8-AAAAAA	Dacula	210	3,369	59,882	272,913	336,374	663,626
8-AAAAAA	Central Gwinnett	2	121	5,537	59,557	65,217	934,783
8-AAAAAA	Discovery	-	-	15	817	832	999,168

Class AAAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Milton	7-AAAAA	0-0	98.65	999,967	4.19	887,906	749,916	571,812	420,920	1.38
Lee County	2-AAAAA	0-0	92.17	973,118	3.51	770,355	548,153	265,206	133,968	6.46
Rome	5-AAAAA	0-0	92.24	999,928	3.19	634,396	362,352	219,530	98,494	9.15
Woodward Academy	4-AAAAA	0-0	90.08	999,991	3.23	637,021	429,027	203,109	78,883	11.68
Hughes	3-AAAAA	0-0	91.04	999,812	3.09	610,935	318,252	177,873	73,325	12.64
Coffee	2-AAAAA	0-0	89.45	937,257	3.06	681,253	376,188	156,989	63,736	14.69
Roswell	7-AAAAA	0-0	88.88	998,641	2.79	494,449	271,859	125,797	44,787	21.33
Thomas County Central	2-AAAAA	0-0	87.99	905,282	2.84	638,728	316,344	119,164	43,516	21.98
Gainesville	7-AAAAA	0-0	87.01	997,004	2.59	425,295	215,873	82,857	25,569	38.11
Houston County	2-AAAAA	0-0	84.37	775,926	2.23	518,939	171,439	50,389	13,768	71.63
Northside (Warner Robins)	2-AAAAA	0-0	77.77	381,333	0.93	198,016	33,043	6,023	917	1,089.51
Dutchtown	3-AAAAA	0-0	74.37	941,912	1.99	258,517	42,756	4,892	512	1,952.13
Brunswick	1-AAAAA	0-0	74.95	979,967	1.98	202,379	33,286	4,429	506	1,975.28
Creekview	6-AAAAA	0-0	74.75	973,721	1.56	182,945	34,899	4,133	474	2,108.70
Sequoyah	6-AAAAA	0-0	73.64	969,787	1.50	163,551	27,763	3,168	335	2,984.07
Lanier	7-AAAAA	0-0	70.45	878,441	1.38	134,963	14,390	973	78	12,819.51
South Paulding	5-AAAAA	0-0	69.57	845,156	1.39	58,652	10,277	768	51	19,606.84
Lovejoy	3-AAAAA	0-0	68.85	806,127	1.37	86,844	9,816	695	45	22,221.22
Clarke Central	8-AAAAA	0-0	68.78	961,961	1.17	69,094	5,229	503	30	33,332.33
River Ridge	6-AAAAA	0-0	68.59	882,225	1.04	36,178	4,389	314	25	39,999.00
Glynn Academy	1-AAAAA	0-0	68.66	865,130	1.38	67,167	6,935	499	24	41,665.67
Effingham County	1-AAAAA	0-0	67.26	844,845	1.30	53,359	4,729	308	17	58,822.53
East Paulding	5-AAAAA	0-0	66.53	751,595	1.12	34,774	3,658	204	9	111,110.11
Northgate	3-AAAAA	0-0	64.14	527,214	0.72	16,873	1,370	52	3	333,332.33
Sprayberry	6-AAAAA	0-0	65.31	747,569	0.83	16,973	1,566	78	2	499,999.00
Loganville	8-AAAAA	0-0	63.64	872,393	0.95	18,430	1,017	53	2	499,999.00
Newnan	3-AAAAA	0-0	63.23	478,294	0.65	15,451	1,060	47	2	499,999.00
Kennesaw Mountain	5-AAAAA	0-0	62.95	509,723	0.69	12,646	826	32	2	499,999.00
Statesboro	1-AAAAA	0-0	62.67	587,981	0.75	11,803	782	28	-	-
Shiloh	4-AAAAA	0-0	60.40	821,883	1.02	11,440	649	16	-	-
Veterans	2-AAAAA	0-0	64.87	27,084	0.04	4,477	180	13	-	-
Decatur	4-AAAAA	0-0	58.80	696,084	0.82	7,228	303	8	-	-
Villa Rica	5-AAAAA	0-0	60.70	331,332	0.42	5,372	250	7	-	-
Evans	1-AAAAA	0-0	60.57	424,633	0.51	5,135	301	6	-	-
Arabia Mountain	4-AAAAA	0-0	58.62	665,917	0.78	6,715	274	6	-	-
Jackson County	8-AAAAA	0-0	57.88	580,062	0.60	2,521	125	6	-	-
Habersham Central	8-AAAAA	0-0	59.66	673,216	0.70	4,793	239	5	-	-
Dunwoody	4-AAAAA	0-0	56.52	543,478	0.61	3,352	101	3	-	-
Winder-Barrow	8-AAAAA	0-0	57.19	516,717	0.53	1,973	96	2	-	-
Lithia Springs	5-AAAAA	0-0	58.24	220,250	0.27	2,101	63	2	-	-
Pope	6-AAAAA	0-0	57.23	204,473	0.21	569	33	1	-	-
Alexander	5-AAAAA	0-0	57.78	202,385	0.24	1,718	53	-	-	-
Banneker	3-AAAAA	0-0	56.58	134,316	0.15	758	32	-	-	-
New Manchester	5-AAAAA	0-0	55.58	139,631	0.16	711	18	-	-	-
South Effingham	1-AAAAA	0-0	55.77	159,927	0.18	532	18	-	-	-
Alcovy	8-AAAAA	0-0	54.01	338,749	0.34	490	16	-	-	-
McIntosh	3-AAAAA	0-0	55.28	102,840	0.12	499	15	-	-	-
Johns Creek	7-AAAAA	0-0	53.36	94,545	0.10	820	12	-	-	-
Chamblee	4-AAAAA	0-0	51.18	212,829	0.22	355	9	-	-	-
Riverwood	6-AAAAA	0-0	54.90	138,373	0.14	199	9	-	-	-
Lakeside (Evans)	1-AAAAA	0-0	53.54	77,134	0.08	131	7	-	-	-
Woodstock	6-AAAAA	0-0	51.25	50,081	0.05	22	2	-	-	-
Chattahoochee	7-AAAAA	0-0	49.78	30,036	0.03	114	1	-	-	-
Bradwell Institute	1-AAAAA	0-0	51.47	37,052	0.04	37	-	-	-	-
Tri-Cities	4-AAAAA	0-0	44.06	51,018	0.05	14	-	-	-	-
Lassiter	6-AAAAA	0-0	50.03	33,771	0.03	10	-	-	-	-
Greenbrier	1-AAAAA	0-0	49.36	23,331	0.02	10	-	-	-	-
Apalachee	8-AAAAA	0-0	46.03	56,902	0.06	8	-	-	-	-
Morrow	3-AAAAA	0-0	46.33	9,485	0.01	4	-	-	-	-
Lakeside (Atlanta)	4-AAAAA	0-0	39.31	8,800	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Seckinger	7-AAAAA	0-0	35.17	1,366	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAA	Brunswick	576,919	247,488	111,548	44,012	979,967	20,033
1-AAAAA	Glynn Academy	179,438	276,774	248,578	160,340	865,130	134,870
1-AAAAA	Effingham County	171,316	265,375	244,906	163,248	844,845	155,155
1-AAAAA	Statesboro	44,483	114,497	186,523	242,478	587,981	412,019
1-AAAAA	Evans	22,620	69,679	130,690	201,644	424,633	575,367
1-AAAAA	South Effingham	3,869	16,658	44,548	94,852	159,927	840,073
1-AAAAA	Lakeside (Evans)	874	5,753	19,302	51,205	77,134	922,866
1-AAAAA	Bradwell Institute	334	2,438	8,796	25,484	37,052	962,948
1-AAAAA	Greenbrier	147	1,338	5,109	16,737	23,331	976,669
2-AAAAA	Lee County	472,498	274,801	151,101	74,718	973,118	26,882
2-AAAAA	Coffee	240,753	284,233	256,937	155,334	937,257	62,743
2-AAAAA	Thomas County Central	196,074	257,444	262,508	189,256	905,282	94,718
2-AAAAA	Houston County	76,830	141,623	233,907	323,566	775,926	224,074
2-AAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	13,738	41,147	91,427	235,021	381,333	618,667
2-AAAAA	Veterans	107	752	4,120	22,105	27,084	972,916
3-AAAAA	Hughes	900,622	88,491	9,264	1,435	999,812	188
3-AAAAA	Dutchtown	68,965	501,031	261,173	110,743	941,912	58,088
3-AAAAA	Lovejoy	19,921	246,822	323,838	215,546	806,127	193,873
3-AAAAA	Northgate	5,423	72,664	177,906	271,221	527,214	472,786
3-AAAAA	Newnan	4,739	75,963	163,056	234,536	478,294	521,706
3-AAAAA	Banneker	235	8,009	35,260	90,812	134,316	865,684
3-AAAAA	McIntosh	95	6,842	27,886	68,017	102,840	897,160
3-AAAAA	Morrow	-	178	1,617	7,690	9,485	990,515
4-AAAAA	Woodward Academy	976,846	22,130	867	148	999,991	9
4-AAAAA	Shiloh	9,293	378,491	258,796	175,303	821,883	178,117
4-AAAAA	Decatur	7,086	222,624	241,918	224,456	696,084	303,916
4-AAAAA	Arabia Mountain	4,377	206,846	231,242	223,452	665,917	334,083
4-AAAAA	Dunwoody	2,135	134,414	185,291	221,638	543,478	456,522
4-AAAAA	Chamblee	250	30,653	66,510	115,416	212,829	787,171
4-AAAAA	Tri-Cities	13	4,464	13,641	32,900	51,018	948,982
4-AAAAA	Lakeside (Atlanta)	-	378	1,735	6,687	8,800	991,200
5-AAAAA	Rome	943,154	52,270	4,048	456	999,928	72
5-AAAAA	South Paulding	35,448	422,760	244,062	142,886	845,156	154,844
5-AAAAA	East Paulding	13,549	258,750	280,995	198,301	751,595	248,405
5-AAAAA	Kennesaw Mountain	4,909	128,201	181,662	194,951	509,723	490,277
5-AAAAA	Villa Rica	1,802	61,985	112,565	154,980	331,332	668,668
5-AAAAA	Alexander	503	28,979	64,271	108,632	202,385	797,615
5-AAAAA	Lithia Springs	478	32,532	70,601	116,639	220,250	779,750
5-AAAAA	New Manchester	157	14,523	41,796	83,155	139,631	860,369
6-AAAAA	Creekview	404,113	316,074	174,394	79,140	973,721	26,279
6-AAAAA	Sequoyah	396,079	304,568	181,635	87,505	969,787	30,213
6-AAAAA	River Ridge	116,711	205,785	311,862	247,867	882,225	117,775
6-AAAAA	Sprayberry	76,125	144,922	235,526	290,996	747,569	252,431
6-AAAAA	Pope	4,823	17,445	50,785	131,420	204,473	795,527
6-AAAAA	Riverwood	1,786	8,489	30,986	97,112	138,373	861,627
6-AAAAA	Woodstock	213	1,650	8,800	39,418	50,081	949,919
6-AAAAA	Lassiter	150	1,067	6,012	26,542	33,771	966,229
7-AAAAA	Milton	723,289	211,012	59,455	6,211	999,967	33
7-AAAAA	Roswell	160,152	443,912	336,744	57,833	998,641	1,359
7-AAAAA	Gainesville	112,920	324,046	478,334	81,704	997,004	2,996
7-AAAAA	Lanier	3,637	20,826	121,761	732,217	878,441	121,559
7-AAAAA	Johns Creek	1	157	2,786	91,601	94,545	905,455
7-AAAAA	Chattahoochee	1	47	914	29,074	30,036	969,964
7-AAAAA	Seckinger	-	-	6	1,360	1,366	998,634
8-AAAAA	Clarke Central	548,710	236,016	120,935	56,300	961,961	38,039
8-AAAAA	Loganville	226,692	308,245	208,188	129,268	872,393	127,607
8-AAAAA	Habersham Central	94,798	164,916	209,595	203,907	673,216	326,784
8-AAAAA	Jackson County	61,374	123,386	181,702	213,600	580,062	419,938
8-AAAAA	Winder-Barrow	49,087	105,177	159,974	202,479	516,717	483,283
8-AAAAA	Alcovy	18,540	57,493	104,332	158,384	338,749	661,251
8-AAAAA	Apalachee	799	4,767	15,274	36,062	56,902	943,098

Class AAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Marist	5-AAAA	0-0	90.72	999,997	3.34	668,485	560,243	356,937	232,042	3.31
Benedictine	1-AAAA	0-0	89.60	955,239	3.33	703,966	496,608	314,838	190,084	4.26
Cartersville	7-AAAA	0-0	87.81	992,783	3.39	765,471	450,870	291,995	152,898	5.54
Ware County	1-AAAA	0-0	87.84	940,487	3.09	646,598	430,615	249,472	133,252	6.50
Creekside	4-AAAA	0-0	86.13	999,976	3.24	724,277	378,362	195,115	100,598	8.94
Warner Robins	1-AAAA	0-0	83.92	877,200	2.37	448,598	267,090	118,585	47,973	19.85
Perry	1-AAAA	0-0	83.15	825,669	2.09	380,364	221,234	92,237	35,404	27.25
North Oconee	8-AAAA	0-0	82.24	999,307	2.57	385,894	191,883	98,382	34,169	28.27
Blessed Trinity	6-AAAA	0-0	80.48	992,694	2.47	487,843	211,005	78,689	24,331	40.10
Stockbridge	2-AAAA	0-0	79.34	996,790	2.40	307,648	184,142	61,900	17,490	56.18
Cedartown	7-AAAA	0-0	79.40	913,608	2.15	411,091	135,313	47,667	13,962	70.62
Jones County	2-AAAA	0-0	76.76	991,507	2.09	202,435	102,574	26,865	6,468	153.61
Starr's Mill	3-AAAA	0-0	75.17	966,990	2.19	350,004	86,625	20,089	4,423	225.09
Kell	6-AAAA	0-0	73.92	959,605	1.64	202,670	48,639	10,396	1,892	527.54
Dalton	7-AAAA	0-0	73.74	692,902	1.22	155,505	32,786	6,578	1,168	855.16
Mays	4-AAAA	0-0	71.73	992,059	1.85	176,389	33,267	6,731	952	1,049.42
Central (Carrollton)	3-AAAA	0-0	70.37	873,456	1.59	163,339	28,644	4,277	552	1,810.59
Eastside	8-AAAA	0-0	71.12	963,873	1.55	70,955	17,744	3,064	428	2,335.45
Wayne County	1-AAAA	0-0	72.97	271,989	0.41	35,255	12,443	2,356	403	2,480.39
Westminster (Atlanta)	6-AAAA	0-0	70.58	918,097	1.33	109,801	18,133	2,827	341	2,931.55
Cass	7-AAAA	0-0	70.90	542,783	0.84	81,260	13,555	1,904	249	4,015.06
Cambridge	6-AAAA	0-0	69.56	879,861	1.23	89,470	13,446	1,989	224	4,463.29
Allatoona	7-AAAA	0-0	69.72	468,708	0.70	60,214	9,153	1,226	154	6,492.51
Ola	2-AAAA	0-0	68.51	892,193	1.33	43,818	10,695	1,383	132	7,574.76
St. Pius X	5-AAAA	0-0	68.43	994,754	1.18	38,612	11,071	1,300	122	8,195.72
Hiram	7-AAAA	0-0	68.76	385,206	0.55	43,032	5,957	699	80	12,499.00
Flowery Branch	8-AAAA	0-0	67.55	931,953	1.32	33,702	6,712	783	78	12,819.51
New Hampstead	1-AAAA	0-0	69.79	129,416	0.17	9,649	2,801	370	44	22,726.27
Harris County	3-AAAA	0-0	65.56	657,056	0.95	48,497	5,365	487	36	27,776.78
Jonesboro	3-AAAA	0-0	64.37	561,295	0.77	31,457	2,989	251	19	52,630.58
Pace Academy	4-AAAA	0-0	63.30	933,299	1.29	46,415	3,851	252	14	71,427.57
Eagle's Landing Christian	2-AAAA	0-0	63.10	650,271	0.80	8,732	1,139	90	6	166,665.67
Mundy's Mill	3-AAAA	0-0	62.57	422,627	0.55	16,159	1,298	73	4	249,999.00
Tucker	5-AAAA	0-0	61.47	957,514	1.01	7,312	904	69	3	333,332.33
Northside (Columbus)	3-AAAA	0-0	61.56	346,433	0.43	10,177	740	48	3	333,332.33
Maynard Jackson	4-AAAA	0-0	60.28	870,127	1.09	22,663	1,286	46	2	499,999.00
Madison County	8-AAAA	0-0	59.02	575,961	0.65	3,497	369	13	-	-
Southwest DeKalb	5-AAAA	0-0	57.87	901,088	0.93	3,069	223	6	-	-
Griffin	3-AAAA	0-0	58.13	172,143	0.20	2,308	103	5	-	-
Centennial	6-AAAA	0-0	56.95	249,743	0.26	1,775	55	3	-	-
Hampton	2-AAAA	0-0	54.76	126,929	0.14	211	11	1	-	-
Eagle's Landing	2-AAAA	0-0	53.96	129,125	0.14	190	7	1	-	-
Walnut Grove	8-AAAA	0-0	51.02	154,922	0.16	126	5	1	-	-
Cedar Shoals	8-AAAA	0-0	54.02	267,171	0.29	506	32	-	-	-
Union Grove	2-AAAA	0-0	54.74	121,601	0.13	245	8	-	-	-
McDonough	2-AAAA	0-0	52.30	68,743	0.07	67	3	-	-	-
Drew	4-AAAA	0-0	46.25	117,492	0.12	134	1	-	-	-
East Forsyth	8-AAAA	0-0	49.20	106,813	0.11	51	1	-	-	-
M.L. King	4-AAAA	0-0	43.75	71,847	0.07	38	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Stockbridge)	2-AAAA	0-0	48.97	21,707	0.02	10	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Cartersville)	7-AAAA	0-0	49.71	4,010	0.00	10	-	-	-	-
North Springs	5-AAAA	0-0	40.52	55,832	0.06	3	-	-	-	-
Druid Hills	5-AAAA	0-0	38.95	41,791	0.04	2	-	-	-	-
Midtown	4-AAAA	0-0	37.09	13,605	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Lithonia	5-AAAA	0-0	38.96	42,060	0.04	-	-	-	-	-
Northview	5-AAAA	0-0	32.47	6,962	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Forest Park	4-AAAA	0-0	30.55	1,595	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Locust Grove	2-AAAA	0-0	42.12	1,134	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Clarkston	5-AAAA	0-0	13.74	2	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Southeast Whitfield	7-AAAA	0-0	31.34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Keys	5-AAAA	0-0	-13.37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAA	Benedictine	365,288	284,358	194,912	110,681	955,239	44,761
1-AAAA	Ware County	332,915	276,213	203,841	127,518	940,487	59,513
1-AAAA	Warner Robins	162,645	219,104	266,989	228,462	877,200	122,800
1-AAAA	Perry	127,627	183,138	244,301	270,603	825,669	174,331
1-AAAA	Wayne County	9,301	28,248	63,324	171,116	271,989	728,011
1-AAAA	New Hampstead	2,224	8,939	26,633	91,620	129,416	870,584
2-AAAA	Stockbridge	570,024	303,014	103,751	20,001	996,790	3,210
2-AAAA	Jones County	330,549	423,703	189,189	48,066	991,507	8,493
2-AAAA	Ola	83,313	197,233	397,435	214,212	892,193	107,807
2-AAAA	Eagle's Landing Christian	14,949	64,724	215,225	355,373	650,271	349,729
2-AAAA	Union Grove	380	3,533	26,838	90,850	121,601	878,399
2-AAAA	Eagle's Landing	329	3,146	24,896	100,754	129,125	870,875
2-AAAA	Hampton	328	3,283	27,574	95,744	126,929	873,071
2-AAAA	McDonough	117	1,173	11,822	55,631	68,743	931,257
2-AAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	11	189	3,181	18,326	21,707	978,293
2-AAAA	Locust Grove	-	2	89	1,043	1,134	998,866
3-AAAA	Starr's Mill	574,963	236,337	108,610	47,080	966,990	33,010
3-AAAA	Central (Carrollton)	229,898	317,137	203,131	123,290	873,456	126,544
3-AAAA	Harris County	85,262	158,816	210,778	202,200	657,056	342,944
3-AAAA	Jonesboro	54,733	123,862	183,303	199,397	561,295	438,705
3-AAAA	Mundy's Mill	29,741	82,043	133,608	177,235	422,627	577,373
3-AAAA	Northside (Columbus)	19,589	59,860	108,740	158,244	346,433	653,567
3-AAAA	Griffin	5,814	21,945	51,830	92,554	172,143	827,857
4-AAAA	Creekside	866,889	120,596	10,782	1,709	999,976	24
4-AAAA	Mays	104,772	585,102	229,211	72,974	992,059	7,941
4-AAAA	Pace Academy	20,483	184,913	420,164	307,739	933,299	66,701
4-AAAA	Maynard Jackson	7,793	105,558	308,134	448,642	870,127	129,873
4-AAAA	Drew	48	2,519	19,701	95,224	117,492	882,508
4-AAAA	M.L. King	15	1,252	10,758	59,822	71,847	928,153
4-AAAA	Midtown	-	60	1,187	12,358	13,605	986,395
4-AAAA	Forest Park	-	-	63	1,532	1,595	998,405
5-AAAA	Marist	930,758	66,393	2,545	301	999,997	3
5-AAAA	St. Pius X	58,089	593,233	254,758	88,674	994,754	5,246
5-AAAA	Tucker	8,110	223,096	424,411	301,897	957,514	42,486
5-AAAA	Southwest DeKalb	3,039	115,917	301,588	480,544	901,088	98,912
5-AAAA	North Springs	2	622	6,914	48,294	55,832	944,168
5-AAAA	Druid Hills	2	366	4,652	36,771	41,791	958,209
5-AAAA	Lithonia	-	354	4,655	37,051	42,060	957,940
5-AAAA	Northview	-	19	477	6,466	6,962	993,038
5-AAAA	Clarkston	-	-	-	2	2	999,998
5-AAAA	Cross Keys	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAA	Blessed Trinity	582,051	268,584	99,845	42,214	992,694	7,306
6-AAAA	Kell	220,913	289,506	260,267	188,919	959,605	40,395
6-AAAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	104,032	218,014	304,890	291,161	918,097	81,903
6-AAAA	Cambridge	90,397	209,233	292,048	288,183	879,861	120,139
6-AAAA	Centennial	2,607	14,663	42,950	189,523	249,743	750,257
7-AAAA	Cartersville	682,710	228,890	62,932	18,251	992,783	7,217
7-AAAA	Cedartown	216,881	366,199	220,460	110,068	913,608	86,392
7-AAAA	Dalton	48,966	174,477	245,336	224,123	692,902	307,098
7-AAAA	Cass	21,321	95,137	189,039	237,286	542,783	457,217
7-AAAA	Allatoona	19,277	76,075	158,821	214,535	468,708	531,292
7-AAAA	Hiram	10,844	59,162	122,853	192,347	385,206	614,794
7-AAAA	Woodland (Cartersville)	1	60	559	3,390	4,010	995,990
7-AAAA	Southeast Whitfield	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAA	North Oconee	794,067	166,656	33,197	5,387	999,307	693
8-AAAA	Eastside	128,879	444,983	289,367	100,644	963,873	36,127
8-AAAA	Flowery Branch	66,689	302,854	403,927	158,483	931,953	68,047
8-AAAA	Madison County	8,755	58,705	159,032	349,469	575,961	424,039
8-AAAA	Cedar Shoals	1,112	17,852	66,056	182,151	267,171	732,829
8-AAAA	Walnut Grove	341	5,813	29,819	118,949	154,922	845,078
8-AAAA	East Forsyth	157	3,137	18,602	84,917	106,813	893,187

Class AAA Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Cedar Grove	5-AAA	0-0	91.15	999,999	4.37	917,639	809,133	657,267	502,409	0.99
Bainbridge	1-AAA	0-0	84.94	999,375	3.72	819,096	598,374	358,373	174,618	4.73
Jefferson	8-AAA	0-0	84.15	999,992	3.69	799,615	590,333	348,458	159,249	5.28
Calhoun	7-AAA	0-0	80.60	999,922	3.45	754,100	513,673	251,221	88,105	10.35
Troup	2-AAA	0-0	75.98	913,459	2.33	420,423	200,520	68,202	16,608	59.21
Sandy Creek	2-AAA	0-0	75.66	914,345	2.33	428,361	199,292	66,367	15,955	61.68
Oconee County	8-AAA	0-0	73.83	999,473	2.40	416,099	163,453	48,356	10,087	98.14
LaGrange	2-AAA	0-0	73.34	892,810	2.00	304,638	124,642	35,052	6,882	144.31
Cairo	1-AAA	0-0	72.42	963,553	2.06	317,348	113,862	29,385	5,365	185.39
Monroe Area	8-AAA	0-0	71.78	998,759	2.19	337,597	116,388	29,174	5,109	194.73
Spalding	2-AAA	0-0	72.51	775,813	1.67	249,629	92,590	23,905	4,276	232.86
Peach County	1-AAA	0-0	71.67	940,802	1.90	270,983	92,858	22,242	3,816	261.05
Stephenson	5-AAA	0-0	70.71	994,828	2.18	344,863	99,805	23,355	3,592	277.40
Mary Persons	2-AAA	0-0	70.51	755,012	1.49	192,786	62,540	13,911	2,058	484.91
Baldwin	4-AAA	0-0	66.14	964,467	1.93	277,383	64,726	10,102	973	1,026.75
Whitewater	2-AAA	0-0	66.49	394,404	0.66	64,766	14,691	2,269	217	4,607.29
Jenkins	3-AAA	0-0	62.82	944,061	1.57	137,073	22,387	2,481	190	5,262.16
Adairsville	7-AAA	0-0	62.45	907,849	1.39	99,284	16,605	1,751	111	9,008.01
Harlem	4-AAA	0-0	60.26	882,706	1.38	99,069	14,137	1,230	64	15,624.00
Heritage (Ringgold)	7-AAA	0-0	60.49	913,482	1.37	82,318	11,380	1,052	63	15,872.02
Dawson County	6-AAA	0-0	59.98	831,337	1.24	79,058	10,820	911	49	20,407.16
Lumpkin County	6-AAA	0-0	60.14	811,397	1.21	78,855	10,778	895	38	26,314.79
Howard	4-AAA	0-0	59.73	799,961	1.19	75,705	9,989	813	36	27,776.78
Upson-Lee	2-AAA	0-0	63.37	279,863	0.42	29,389	5,008	532	35	28,570.43
Northwest Whitfield	7-AAA	0-0	59.58	872,599	1.24	63,087	8,038	610	21	47,618.05
White County	6-AAA	0-0	57.78	694,173	0.94	40,889	4,381	268	17	58,822.53
Dougherty	1-AAA	0-0	61.24	514,913	0.64	25,743	4,078	382	13	76,922.08
North Hall	6-AAA	0-0	57.71	700,791	0.95	42,199	4,589	308	8	124,999.00
Southeast Bulloch	3-AAA	0-0	57.11	831,814	1.12	42,151	4,081	255	8	124,999.00
Monroe	1-AAA	0-0	59.68	440,494	0.54	19,219	2,601	182	8	124,999.00
Douglass	5-AAA	0-0	57.14	810,248	0.97	25,279	2,724	176	5	199,999.00
West Laurens	4-AAA	0-0	54.97	562,542	0.72	21,817	1,804	86	5	199,999.00
Long County	3-AAA	0-0	55.61	830,918	1.08	31,939	2,738	145	4	249,999.00
Luella	5-AAA	0-0	55.19	736,162	0.85	16,009	1,371	65	3	333,332.33
Hephzibah	4-AAA	0-0	54.76	605,897	0.77	21,520	1,740	76	2	499,999.00
Westover	1-AAA	0-0	55.42	216,753	0.25	4,101	376	20	1	999,999.00
Cherokee Bluff	8-AAA	0-0	55.44	906,508	1.04	18,743	1,604	69	-	-
Liberty County	3-AAA	0-0	53.34	595,779	0.72	14,340	958	28	-	-
Gilmer	7-AAA	0-0	52.87	425,444	0.49	7,656	485	17	-	-
Pickens	6-AAA	0-0	51.67	298,825	0.34	4,756	270	6	-	-
Riverdale	5-AAA	0-0	49.15	441,961	0.48	3,171	146	3	-	-
LaFayette	7-AAA	0-0	44.83	112,259	0.12	346	12	-	-	-
Johnson (Savannah)	3-AAA	0-0	43.78	117,154	0.12	345	9	-	-	-
Westside (Augusta)	4-AAA	0-0	45.07	67,212	0.07	272	6	-	-	-
Richmond Academy	4-AAA	0-0	44.47	40,321	0.04	136	5	-	-	-
Windsor Forest	3-AAA	0-0	41.44	74,757	0.08	134	-	-	-	-
Chestatee	6-AAA	0-0	40.38	17,536	0.02	18	-	-	-	-
North Clayton	5-AAA	0-0	38.77	41,662	0.04	15	-	-	-	-
Islands	3-AAA	0-0	38.69	23,161	0.02	15	-	-	-	-
West Hall	8-AAA	0-0	36.39	61,445	0.06	7	-	-	-	-
East Hall	8-AAA	0-0	35.58	43,890	0.04	7	-	-	-	-
Ridgeland	7-AAA	0-0	36.41	10,382	0.01	5	-	-	-	-
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	5-AAA	0-0	35.70	19,679	0.02	2	-	-	-	-
Beach	3-AAA	0-0	35.05	6,750	0.01	2	-	-	-	-
Cross Creek	4-AAA	0-0	29.64	116	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Fayette County	2-AAA	0-0	45.40	99	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Gainesville)	6-AAA	0-0	27.27	84	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Groves	3-AAA	0-0	18.70	3	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
7-AAA	Calhoun	278,634	941,642	993,554	999,922	78
8-AAA	Jefferson	234,903	815,644	968,547	999,992	8
5-AAA	Cedar Grove	212,256	960,124	999,009	999,999	1
1-AAA	Bainbridge	76,747	804,975	962,005	999,375	625
8-AAA	Oconee County	36,117	364,471	764,478	999,473	527
2-AAA	Troup	31,248	318,471	586,617	913,459	86,541
2-AAA	Sandy Creek	26,153	343,903	590,988	914,345	85,655
2-AAA	LaGrange	22,253	209,937	502,449	892,810	107,190
8-AAA	Monroe Area	13,712	275,978	680,737	998,759	1,241
2-AAA	Spalding	9,637	148,709	355,330	775,813	224,187
4-AAA	Baldwin	9,476	540,100	775,279	964,467	35,533
4-AAA	Harlem	7,841	241,895	511,483	882,706	117,294
2-AAA	Mary Persons	6,874	109,675	302,364	755,012	244,988
5-AAA	Stephenson	6,537	247,396	837,713	994,828	5,172
1-AAA	Cairo	4,253	185,210	549,071	963,553	36,447
7-AAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	3,755	112,863	464,101	913,482	86,518
4-AAA	Howard	3,638	158,126	376,238	799,961	200,039
6-AAA	Lumpkin County	3,015	171,351	395,825	811,397	188,603
6-AAA	Dawson County	1,999	160,591	400,212	831,337	168,663
3-AAA	Jenkins	1,623	135,826	562,719	944,061	55,939
1-AAA	Peach County	1,531	119,092	487,174	940,802	59,198
7-AAA	Northwest Whitfield	1,360	62,103	330,929	872,599	127,401
7-AAA	Adairsville	1,287	74,528	399,833	907,849	92,151
4-AAA	Hephzibah	1,021	53,198	182,833	605,897	394,103
6-AAA	North Hall	953	97,870	264,080	700,791	299,209
6-AAA	White County	839	87,057	254,228	694,173	305,827
2-AAA	Whitewater	637	26,475	91,845	394,404	605,596
3-AAA	Southeast Bulloch	538	52,681	278,971	831,814	168,186
3-AAA	Long County	488	57,633	295,510	830,918	169,082
4-AAA	West Laurens	258	50,182	160,166	562,542	437,458
2-AAA	Upson-Lee	184	8,258	41,256	279,863	720,137
3-AAA	Liberty County	98	18,000	121,499	595,779	404,221
6-AAA	Pickens	49	12,524	54,412	298,825	701,175
7-AAA	Gilmer	37	6,262	64,006	425,444	574,556
8-AAA	Cherokee Bluff	16	3,489	35,767	906,508	93,492
5-AAA	Luella	12	3,825	80,942	736,162	263,838
5-AAA	Douglass	6	4,487	113,225	810,248	189,752
1-AAA	Monroe	4	5,427	44,178	440,494	559,506
4-AAA	Westside (Augusta)	4	965	6,081	67,212	932,788
1-AAA	Dougherty	3	5,810	53,059	514,913	485,087
1-AAA	Westover	2	804	12,155	216,753	783,247
7-AAA	LaFayette	1	335	6,027	112,259	887,741
3-AAA	Windsor Forest	1	131	3,042	74,757	925,243
5-AAA	Riverdale	-	832	27,651	441,961	558,039
4-AAA	Richmond Academy	-	654	3,629	40,321	959,679
3-AAA	Johnson (Savannah)	-	338	6,240	117,154	882,846
6-AAA	Chestatee	-	131	994	17,536	982,464
3-AAA	Islands	-	14	533	23,161	976,839
7-AAA	Ridgeland	-	5	214	10,382	989,618
8-AAA	East Hall	-	1	59	43,890	956,110
8-AAA	West Hall	-	1	100	61,445	938,555
5-AAA	North Clayton	-	1	451	41,662	958,338
3-AAA	Beach	-	-	59	6,750	993,250
3-AAA	Groves	-	-	-	3	999,997
5-AAA	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	-	-	131	19,679	980,321
2-AAA	Fayette County	-	-	1	99	999,901
6-AAA	Johnson (Gainesville)	-	-	-	84	999,916
4-AAA	Cross Creek	-	-	1	116	999,884

Class AA Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Pierce County	3-AA	0-0	80.76	999,920	3.61	748,773	544,858	378,340	253,785	2.94
Rockmart	7-AA	0-0	77.46	999,993	3.53	748,228	510,152	311,674	170,286	4.87
Appling County	3-AA	0-0	77.90	999,736	3.24	657,350	420,208	253,131	143,132	5.99
Carver (Columbus)	1-AA	0-0	74.59	999,993	3.24	686,148	409,547	206,727	92,616	9.80
Burke County	4-AA	0-0	75.50	999,999	3.10	632,012	371,430	191,181	91,604	9.92
Thomson	4-AA	0-0	75.03	1,000,000	3.04	611,598	346,824	176,715	82,042	11.19
Callaway	2-AA	0-0	73.07	999,886	2.93	587,333	313,448	140,974	57,084	16.52
Stephens County	8-AA	0-0	73.04	998,993	2.62	469,960	231,458	100,795	40,861	23.47
Carver (Atlanta)	5-AA	0-0	70.91	998,970	2.45	415,668	184,746	70,027	24,061	40.56
Crisp County	3-AA	0-0	70.18	992,730	2.12	301,575	122,296	42,709	14,089	69.98
Cook	3-AA	0-0	69.61	990,998	2.01	272,744	105,487	34,333	10,778	91.78
Hapeville Charter	5-AA	0-0	68.24	991,758	2.05	288,386	101,518	30,228	8,379	118.35
Morgan County	2-AA	0-0	65.75	999,101	2.07	273,559	84,992	21,457	4,735	210.19
Hart County	8-AA	0-0	64.81	969,326	1.63	150,479	41,034	8,904	1,973	505.84
Columbia	6-AA	0-0	62.87	997,787	1.91	229,868	53,001	10,108	1,691	590.37
Westside (Macon)	2-AA	0-0	62.39	992,140	1.68	147,966	34,560	6,441	998	1,001.00
Miller Grove	6-AA	0-0	60.65	998,840	1.80	181,736	36,536	5,780	770	1,297.70
Union County	7-AA	0-0	60.20	980,730	1.53	100,757	18,606	2,718	367	2,723.80
Laney	4-AA	0-0	59.57	999,760	1.49	81,424	14,496	1,939	212	4,715.98
North Murray	7-AA	0-0	59.25	951,615	1.39	77,904	13,120	1,687	175	5,713.29
South Atlanta	6-AA	0-0	57.18	996,797	1.53	93,103	13,554	1,554	157	6,368.43
Sonoraville	7-AA	0-0	57.28	931,458	1.27	52,453	7,102	790	79	12,657.23
Sumter County	1-AA	0-0	55.93	983,204	1.41	62,632	8,045	737	53	18,866.92
Ringgold	7-AA	0-0	56.73	941,246	1.27	47,550	6,343	596	50	19,999.00
Jackson	2-AA	0-0	54.57	927,822	1.15	29,939	3,162	250	16	62,499.00
Spencer	1-AA	0-0	52.61	926,692	1.15	25,751	2,202	145	3	333,332.33
East Jackson	8-AA	0-0	51.62	492,449	0.55	7,115	494	29	2	499,999.00
Coahulla Creek	7-AA	0-0	48.77	602,709	0.67	5,617	299	13	1	999,999.00
Tattnall County	3-AA	0-0	47.47	179,601	0.19	958	54	3	1	999,999.00
Hardaway	1-AA	0-0	45.96	730,654	0.79	4,263	189	6	-	-
Washington	5-AA	0-0	46.72	340,259	0.36	1,779	65	3	-	-
Shaw	1-AA	0-0	43.94	509,470	0.54	1,635	59	3	-	-
Therrell	5-AA	0-0	45.54	215,222	0.23	905	42	2	-	-
Redan	6-AA	0-0	42.14	736,671	0.76	1,268	34	1	-	-
Columbus	1-AA	0-0	40.97	515,634	0.54	807	19	-	-	-
Pike County	2-AA	0-0	39.10	262,888	0.27	250	9	-	-	-
Rutland	2-AA	0-0	40.88	184,873	0.19	206	7	-	-	-
Butler	4-AA	0-0	32.88	735,747	0.74	107	2	-	-	-
Salem	6-AA	0-0	35.96	367,563	0.37	122	1	-	-	-
Franklin County	8-AA	0-0	38.10	43,939	0.04	22	1	-	-	-
Lakeview Ft. Oglethorpe	7-AA	0-0	38.03	59,172	0.06	39	-	-	-	-
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	5-AA	0-0	33.43	21,859	0.02	6	-	-	-	-
Murray County	7-AA	0-0	31.67	71,658	0.07	4	-	-	-	-
Glenn Hills	4-AA	0-0	21.93	108,838	0.11	1	-	-	-	-
Josey	4-AA	0-0	23.41	218,419	0.22	-	-	-	-	-
Kendrick	1-AA	0-0	26.10	32,535	0.03	-	-	-	-	-
Jordan	1-AA	0-0	15.84	346	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
7-AA	Rockmart	246,243	908,259	986,040	999,993	7
3-AA	Appling County	121,498	528,491	875,995	999,736	264
3-AA	Pierce County	118,365	585,787	893,529	999,920	80
1-AA	Carver (Columbus)	117,845	919,529	993,951	999,993	7
2-AA	Callaway	112,889	705,447	937,838	999,886	114
4-AA	Thomson	74,668	562,917	957,246	1,000,000	-
5-AA	Carver (Atlanta)	42,978	387,415	755,895	998,970	1,030
2-AA	Morgan County	37,738	335,156	769,764	999,101	899
8-AA	Stephens County	33,543	350,480	792,980	998,993	1,007
4-AA	Burke County	29,214	579,508	935,657	999,999	1
6-AA	Miller Grove	11,179	370,636	752,755	998,840	1,160
3-AA	Crisp County	10,722	131,598	465,823	992,730	7,270
6-AA	South Atlanta	9,584	225,404	586,583	996,797	3,203
2-AA	Westside (Macon)	9,247	157,433	505,062	992,140	7,860
7-AA	Union County	6,415	92,117	447,055	980,730	19,270
3-AA	Cook	4,479	92,864	333,768	990,998	9,002
4-AA	Laney	2,434	57,409	410,364	999,760	240
7-AA	North Murray	2,085	53,631	279,319	951,615	48,385
8-AA	Hart County	1,917	48,536	294,156	969,326	30,674
7-AA	Ringgold	1,787	34,749	227,519	941,246	58,754
7-AA	Sonoraville	1,447	33,868	235,702	931,458	68,542
5-AA	Hapeville Charter	1,296	220,535	496,195	991,758	8,242
6-AA	Columbia	1,062	466,934	792,716	997,787	2,213
1-AA	Sumter County	705	80,416	600,123	983,204	16,796
2-AA	Jackson	351	24,631	133,351	927,822	72,178
1-AA	Spencer	272	28,645	300,986	926,692	73,308
1-AA	Hardaway	17	4,897	81,910	730,654	269,346
7-AA	Coahulla Creek	10	1,157	19,359	602,709	397,291
1-AA	Columbus	4	923	23,561	515,634	484,366
6-AA	Redan	3	5,980	29,252	736,671	263,329
2-AA	Pike County	2	148	2,481	262,888	737,112
8-AA	East Jackson	1	708	14,688	492,449	507,551
1-AA	Shaw	-	2,156	51,047	509,470	490,530
5-AA	Washington	-	278	3,281	340,259	659,741
2-AA	Rutland	-	137	2,187	184,873	815,127
6-AA	Salem	-	944	6,997	367,563	632,437
3-AA	Tattnall County	-	67	1,373	179,601	820,399
5-AA	Therrell	-	194	1,823	215,222	784,778
4-AA	Butler	-	12	1,332	735,747	264,253
7-AA	Lakeview Ft. Oglethorpe	-	3	124	59,172	940,828
8-AA	Franklin County	-	1	97	43,939	956,061
5-AA	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	-	-	11	21,859	978,141
1-AA	Jordan	-	-	1	346	999,654
1-AA	Kendrick	-	-	62	32,535	967,465
7-AA	Murray County	-	-	20	71,658	928,342
4-AA	Josey	-	-	18	218,419	781,581
4-AA	Glenn Hills	-	-	4	108,838	891,162

Class A Division I Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Fitzgerald	1-A Division I	0-0	77.28	999,975	3.92	824,238	645,779	485,901	341,511	1.93
Swainsboro	3-A Division I	0-0	73.08	999,739	3.41	708,006	480,169	292,142	155,971	5.41
Thomasville	1-A Division I	0-0	73.39	999,614	3.37	705,101	459,663	281,466	154,532	5.47
Rabun County	8-A Division I	0-0	72.60	999,930	3.41	711,355	480,007	290,766	149,097	5.71
Bleckley County	2-A Division I	0-0	67.23	999,795	2.73	508,041	261,491	111,481	39,481	24.33
Northeast	2-A Division I	0-0	67.43	999,082	2.69	492,647	254,208	107,673	38,658	24.87
Dublin	2-A Division I	0-0	67.23	999,548	2.70	497,401	254,874	107,023	38,005	25.31
Toombs County	3-A Division I	0-0	66.38	993,408	2.41	404,821	191,532	73,100	24,452	39.90
Elbert County	8-A Division I	0-0	64.82	995,022	2.34	376,740	162,989	56,359	16,529	59.50
Commerce	8-A Division I	0-0	64.45	994,623	2.30	363,775	154,778	52,076	15,011	65.62
Lamar County	4-A Division I	0-0	62.48	999,910	2.46	423,893	171,018	51,259	12,147	81.32
Fannin County	7-A Division I	0-0	58.72	999,040	2.16	316,746	95,628	20,840	3,624	274.94
Putnam County	4-A Division I	0-0	59.22	999,432	2.10	285,968	88,255	19,608	3,533	282.05
Bremen	6-A Division I	0-0	58.72	979,941	1.91	243,359	70,921	15,032	2,579	386.75
Worth County	1-A Division I	0-0	58.37	932,407	1.50	131,410	34,377	6,758	1,123	889.47
Dodge County	2-A Division I	0-0	57.58	959,127	1.56	129,795	32,719	5,951	874	1,143.16
Jeff Davis	1-A Division I	0-0	57.73	909,361	1.44	120,240	30,231	5,457	861	1,160.44
Washington County	2-A Division I	0-0	57.07	959,344	1.54	123,196	30,352	5,281	800	1,249.00
Model	6-A Division I	0-0	55.64	902,957	1.46	126,818	28,130	4,317	539	1,854.29
Vidalia	3-A Division I	0-0	55.58	851,095	1.22	75,636	15,655	2,232	253	3,951.57
Heard County	6-A Division I	0-0	52.80	806,445	1.14	65,400	10,899	1,264	119	8,402.36
Haralson County	6-A Division I	0-0	52.03	837,459	1.17	58,848	9,373	1,034	82	12,194.12
Pepperell	6-A Division I	0-0	51.52	728,817	0.98	45,402	6,788	715	72	13,887.89
Dade County	7-A Division I	0-0	49.64	967,650	1.38	65,284	8,606	650	41	24,389.24
Social Circle	4-A Division I	0-0	49.97	981,394	1.34	54,545	7,332	609	35	28,570.43
Berrien	1-A Division I	0-0	51.58	582,989	0.73	25,825	3,705	362	32	31,249.00
ACE Charter	2-A Division I	0-0	48.76	721,272	0.87	20,136	2,254	174	13	76,922.08
Temple	6-A Division I	0-0	48.71	638,586	0.79	21,496	2,499	178	10	99,999.00
Jasper County	4-A Division I	0-0	44.70	938,991	1.09	15,616	1,182	56	3	333,332.33
Jefferson County	2-A Division I	0-0	45.26	413,885	0.46	5,503	414	26	2	499,999.00
Bacon County	1-A Division I	0-0	46.64	380,745	0.43	6,311	558	37	1	999,999.00
Banks County	8-A Division I	0-0	46.95	427,590	0.49	7,925	703	33	1	999,999.00
Southwest	2-A Division I	0-0	45.71	407,703	0.46	5,892	445	21	1	999,999.00
Oglethorpe County	8-A Division I	0-0	42.91	284,405	0.31	2,218	120	1	1	999,999.00
Brantley County	1-A Division I	0-0	45.19	215,390	0.24	2,572	173	7	-	-
East Laurens	2-A Division I	0-0	42.02	275,973	0.30	1,787	95	3	-	-
Chattooga	7-A Division I	0-0	37.82	426,062	0.45	1,288	46	2	-	-
Armuchee	7-A Division I	0-0	36.58	487,874	0.51	1,188	23	1	-	-
McNair	4-A Division I	0-0	34.87	283,580	0.29	304	6	1	-	-
B.E.S.T. Academy	5-A Division I	0-0	33.92	376,811	1.39	406	11	-	-	-
Towers	4-A Division I	0-0	29.41	266,989	0.27	110	2	-	-	-
Coosa	7-A Division I	0-0	31.49	132,557	0.14	77	-	-	-	-
Central (Macon)	2-A Division I	0-0	36.64	25,140	0.03	39	-	-	-	-
Gordon Central	7-A Division I	0-0	24.15	33,536	0.03	2	-	-	-	-
Utopian Academy	4-A Division I	0-0	9.08	503	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
8-A Division I	Rabun County	244,988	726,619	973,858	999,930	70
1-A Division I	Fitzgerald	188,613	821,591	984,481	999,975	25
3-A Division I	Swainsboro	148,369	647,485	948,785	999,739	261
4-A Division I	Lamar County	70,120	701,117	949,583	999,910	90
2-A Division I	Bleckley County	60,515	513,209	908,599	999,795	205
1-A Division I	Thomasville	50,613	520,251	924,731	999,614	386
2-A Division I	Dublin	50,282	463,979	867,237	999,548	452
2-A Division I	Northeast	40,911	431,706	838,047	999,082	918
8-A Division I	Elbert County	29,180	256,162	744,705	995,022	4,978
7-A Division I	Fannin County	27,858	663,669	904,575	999,040	960
4-A Division I	Putnam County	27,806	449,383	869,558	999,432	568
8-A Division I	Commerce	26,424	252,644	730,884	994,623	5,377
3-A Division I	Toombs County	11,311	217,059	666,878	993,408	6,592
6-A Division I	Bremen	7,995	367,881	646,661	979,941	20,059
7-A Division I	Dade County	2,630	180,668	518,366	967,650	32,350
2-A Division I	Dodge County	2,337	55,065	338,711	959,127	40,873
2-A Division I	Washington County	2,303	54,728	361,774	959,344	40,656
6-A Division I	Model	2,156	168,546	398,546	902,957	97,043
6-A Division I	Haralson County	1,302	77,181	254,876	837,459	162,541
4-A Division I	Social Circle	1,253	94,107	389,763	981,394	18,606
6-A Division I	Heard County	638	85,721	237,463	806,445	193,555
1-A Division I	Jeff Davis	601	29,717	249,102	909,361	90,639
1-A Division I	Worth County	436	26,818	232,911	932,407	67,593
6-A Division I	Pepperell	424	59,766	182,287	728,817	271,183
4-A Division I	Jasper County	300	25,536	192,187	938,991	61,009
7-A Division I	Gordon Lee	292	55,020	229,789	884,304	115,696
3-A Division I	Vidalia	168	13,625	136,327	851,095	148,905
6-A Division I	Temple	109	26,105	93,548	638,586	361,414
2-A Division I	ACE Charter	38	2,138	50,503	721,272	278,728
1-A Division I	Berrien	13	2,991	43,719	582,989	417,011
7-A Division I	Armuchee	5	2,875	31,019	487,874	512,126
7-A Division I	Chattooga	4	3,853	30,322	426,062	573,938
2-A Division I	Southwest	4	276	9,608	407,703	592,297
2-A Division I	Jefferson County	1	321	10,095	413,885	586,115
8-A Division I	Oglethorpe County	1	99	4,176	284,405	715,595
8-A Division I	Banks County	-	684	12,422	427,590	572,410
1-A Division I	Bacon County	-	307	9,116	380,745	619,255
2-A Division I	East Laurens	-	50	4,037	275,973	724,027
4-A Division I	McNair	-	536	6,255	283,580	716,420
5-A Division I	B.E.S.T. Academy	-	44	4,497	376,811	623,189
1-A Division I	Brantley County	-	117	3,168	215,390	784,610
4-A Division I	Towers	-	81	3,721	266,989	733,011
7-A Division I	Coosa	-	267	2,936	132,557	867,443
7-A Division I	Gordon Central	-	3	138	33,536	966,464
2-A Division I	Central (Macon)	-	-	36	25,140	974,860
4-A Division I	Utopian Academy	-	-	-	503	999,497

Class A Division II

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Brooks County	2-A Division II	0-0	74.01	993,508	3.99	874,483	667,535	511,725	341,878	1.93
Irwin County	2-A Division II	0-0	72.15	990,105	3.81	845,004	609,591	439,541	253,723	2.94
Bowdon	7-A Division II	0-0	68.57	999,550	3.48	747,099	536,135	260,148	130,671	6.65
Schley County	6-A Division II	0-0	68.30	999,854	3.17	730,418	345,754	206,074	101,579	8.84
Clinch County	2-A Division II	0-0	64.85	921,378	2.58	531,864	289,014	114,336	41,217	23.26
Metter	3-A Division II	0-0	64.68	977,065	2.59	461,745	204,750	105,590	38,591	24.91
Manchester	7-A Division II	0-0	62.99	995,350	2.62	495,935	248,213	90,739	29,511	32.89
Early County	1-A Division II	0-0	61.10	991,065	2.72	475,610	233,660	74,109	20,482	47.82
Trion	7-A Division II	0-0	60.80	994,805	2.27	389,057	168,128	50,709	13,776	71.59
Macon County	6-A Division II	0-0	58.99	994,743	2.04	337,779	105,100	31,817	7,439	133.43
Lincoln County	8-A Division II	0-0	57.97	997,183	1.90	297,468	105,599	22,622	5,071	196.20
Wilcox County	4-A Division II	0-0	57.42	959,260	1.81	185,718	68,612	15,654	3,338	298.58
Pelham	1-A Division II	0-0	55.29	957,925	2.21	302,601	87,170	15,178	2,691	370.61
Telfair County	4-A Division II	0-0	56.80	953,754	1.76	173,572	61,963	13,534	2,620	380.68
Dooly County	4-A Division II	0-0	56.36	947,505	1.68	150,830	49,916	10,165	1,892	527.54
Johnson County	5-A Division II	0-0	54.79	999,492	1.99	154,806	44,822	12,357	1,871	533.47
Emanuel County Institute	3-A Division II	0-0	54.83	693,151	1.16	86,713	21,637	4,234	675	1,480.48
Greene County	8-A Division II	0-0	53.08	991,349	1.37	109,912	27,309	4,164	597	1,674.04
Washington-Wilkes	8-A Division II	0-0	53.14	989,083	1.39	118,228	29,512	4,292	588	1,699.68
Bryan County	3-A Division II	0-0	54.31	674,283	1.11	79,568	19,274	3,504	545	1,833.86
Jenkins County	3-A Division II	0-0	53.85	648,252	1.05	69,416	16,053	2,787	416	2,402.85
Charlton County	2-A Division II	0-0	53.63	440,984	0.74	86,403	19,358	2,465	373	2,679.97
McIntosh County Academy	3-A Division II	0-0	52.49	554,216	0.85	47,647	10,250	1,617	213	4,693.84
Lanier County	2-A Division II	0-0	51.99	376,490	0.59	60,002	11,581	1,311	149	6,710.41
Turner County	2-A Division II	0-0	50.24	277,535	0.41	34,571	5,750	550	55	18,180.82
Mitchell County	1-A Division II	0-0	45.55	593,454	0.95	32,936	3,471	224	14	71,427.57
Portal	3-A Division II	0-0	47.23	238,512	0.31	7,777	1,101	92	6	166,665.67
Seminole County	1-A Division II	0-0	44.23	527,264	0.81	22,834	2,212	117	5	199,999.00
Wheeler County	4-A Division II	0-0	44.77	426,326	0.51	7,131	709	60	3	333,332.33
Miller County	1-A Division II	0-0	42.87	421,482	0.62	13,464	1,124	53	3	333,332.33
Screven County	3-A Division II	0-0	46.72	207,020	0.27	6,052	795	52	3	333,332.33
Terrell County	1-A Division II	0-0	42.52	447,659	0.66	14,438	1,087	46	3	333,332.33
Mount Zion (Carroll)	7-A Division II	0-0	41.99	655,029	0.71	6,810	363	24	1	999,999.00
Hawkinsville	4-A Division II	0-0	43.07	353,072	0.40	3,872	314	22	1	999,999.00
Wilkinson County	5-A Division II	0-0	39.09	934,368	1.17	10,703	547	23	-	-
Warren County	8-A Division II	0-0	41.44	881,932	0.92	7,182	501	23	-	-
Chattahoochee County	6-A Division II	0-0	39.78	657,069	0.69	3,362	233	14	-	-
Marion County	6-A Division II	0-0	40.03	658,019	0.69	3,703	285	11	-	-
Taylor County	6-A Division II	0-0	39.95	603,720	0.64	3,127	229	10	-	-
Treutlen	4-A Division II	0-0	40.46	213,553	0.24	1,332	68	4	-	-
Hancock Central	5-A Division II	0-0	35.46	860,884	0.99	4,569	168	2	-	-
Montgomery County	4-A Division II	0-0	38.57	146,530	0.16	574	27	1	-	-
Georgia Military Prep	5-A Division II	0-0	33.22	797,977	0.88	2,373	60	-	-	-
Greenville	7-A Division II	0-0	35.54	355,266	0.37	731	11	-	-	-
Randolph-Clay	1-A Division II	0-0	33.81	61,151	0.07	270	6	-	-	-
Glascock County	5-A Division II	0-0	26.86	391,294	0.41	232	2	-	-	-
Claxton	3-A Division II	0-0	35.47	7,497	0.01	11	1	-	-	-
Lake Oconee Academy	8-A Division II	0-0	27.61	140,453	0.14	47	-	-	-	-
Crawford County	6-A Division II	0-0	27.94	86,119	0.09	21	-	-	-	-
Twiggs County	5-A Division II	0-0	10.39	15,985	0.02	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Talbotton)	6-A Division II	0-0	6.99	476	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Savannah	3-A Division II	0-0	16.54	4	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Atkinson County	2-A Division II	0-0	37.75	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Towns County	8-A Division II	0-0	26.48	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Pataula Charter	1-A Division II	0-0	21.93	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Baconton Charter	1-A Division II	0-0	13.43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Calhoun County	1-A Division II	0-0	6.31	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Spring Creek	1-A Division II	0-0	3.27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Southwest Georgia STEM	1-A Division II	0-0	0.50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Division II	Early County	663,662	237,665	69,676	20,062	991,065	8,935
1-A Division II	Pelham	258,881	457,813	174,049	67,182	957,925	42,075
1-A Division II	Mitchell County	30,050	100,828	228,491	234,085	593,454	406,546
1-A Division II	Seminole County	21,669	80,450	201,907	223,238	527,264	472,736
1-A Division II	Miller County	12,979	54,821	149,286	204,396	421,482	578,518
1-A Division II	Terrell County	12,387	64,806	159,898	210,568	447,659	552,341
1-A Division II	Randolph-Clay	372	3,617	16,693	40,469	61,151	938,849
1-A Division II	Calhoun County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Pataula Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Spring Creek	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Baconton Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Southwest Georgia STEM	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-A Division II	Brooks County	447,657	360,427	158,632	26,792	993,508	6,492
2-A Division II	Irwin County	437,211	364,427	156,436	32,031	990,105	9,895
2-A Division II	Clinch County	105,215	221,335	436,116	158,712	921,378	78,622
2-A Division II	Charlton County	4,707	22,873	98,644	314,760	440,984	559,016
2-A Division II	Lanier County	3,386	19,226	88,975	264,903	376,490	623,510
2-A Division II	Turner County	1,824	11,712	61,197	202,802	277,535	722,465
2-A Division II	Atkinson County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
3-A Division II	Metter	662,589	198,067	81,254	35,155	977,065	22,935
3-A Division II	Bryan County	95,607	188,930	201,220	188,526	674,283	325,717
3-A Division II	Emanuel County Institute	91,249	213,300	207,709	180,893	693,151	306,849
3-A Division II	Jenkins County	74,274	188,544	198,663	186,771	648,252	351,748
3-A Division II	McIntosh County Academy	57,663	136,210	170,864	189,479	554,216	445,784
3-A Division II	Portal	11,209	40,597	73,319	113,387	238,512	761,488
3-A Division II	Screven County	7,376	33,953	65,399	100,292	207,020	792,980
3-A Division II	Claxton	33	399	1,572	5,493	7,497	992,503
3-A Division II	Savannah	-	-	-	4	4	999,996
4-A Division II	Telfair County	357,176	295,898	214,653	86,027	953,754	46,246
4-A Division II	Wilcox County	346,902	303,261	224,185	84,912	959,260	40,740
4-A Division II	Dooly County	260,781	293,996	284,063	108,665	947,505	52,495
4-A Division II	Wheeler County	20,509	52,947	114,505	238,365	426,326	573,674
4-A Division II	Hawkinsville	9,407	31,281	85,555	226,829	353,072	646,928
4-A Division II	Treutlen	3,518	14,479	46,904	148,652	213,553	786,447
4-A Division II	Montgomery County	1,707	8,138	30,135	106,550	146,530	853,470
5-A Division II	Johnson County	839,650	136,888	18,275	4,679	999,492	508
5-A Division II	Wilkinson County	98,500	371,847	292,027	171,994	934,368	65,632
5-A Division II	Hancock Central	37,380	276,222	313,365	233,917	860,884	139,116
5-A Division II	Georgia Military Prep	20,604	173,393	272,935	331,045	797,977	202,023
5-A Division II	Glascock County	3,865	41,457	100,876	245,096	391,294	608,706
5-A Division II	Twiggs County	1	193	2,522	13,269	15,985	984,015
6-A Division II	Schley County	722,785	261,677	14,086	1,306	999,854	146
6-A Division II	Macon County	268,106	608,425	100,903	17,309	994,743	5,257
6-A Division II	Chattahoochee County	3,452	38,228	315,296	300,093	657,069	342,931
6-A Division II	Marion County	3,085	48,072	294,220	312,642	658,019	341,981
6-A Division II	Taylor County	2,551	42,210	250,746	308,213	603,720	396,280
6-A Division II	Crawford County	21	1,388	24,727	59,983	86,119	913,881
6-A Division II	Central (Talbotton)	-	-	22	454	476	999,524
7-A Division II	Bowdon	621,501	265,448	103,087	9,514	999,550	450
7-A Division II	Manchester	234,602	408,506	313,918	38,324	995,350	4,650
7-A Division II	Trion	141,370	312,940	491,317	49,178	994,805	5,195
7-A Division II	Mount Zion (Carroll)	2,349	10,964	71,461	570,255	655,029	344,971
7-A Division II	Greenville	178	2,142	20,217	332,729	355,266	644,734
8-A Division II	Lincoln County	546,542	277,515	130,985	42,141	997,183	2,817
8-A Division II	Washington-Wilkes	232,124	350,742	312,314	93,903	989,083	10,917
8-A Division II	Greene County	200,774	321,236	362,776	106,563	991,349	8,651
8-A Division II	Warren County	20,332	48,362	183,502	629,736	881,932	118,068
8-A Division II	Lake Oconee Academy	228	2,145	10,423	127,657	140,453	859,547
8-A Division II	Towns County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Smaller Private

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Prince Avenue Christian	8-AA	0-0	83.22	1,000,000	4.27	914,933	770,339	591,620	424,601	1.36
Calvary Day	3-AAA	0-0	80.41	1,000,000	4.13	898,817	725,524	509,426	302,479	2.31
Savannah Christian	3-A Division I	0-0	74.60	1,000,000	3.45	768,384	468,927	231,494	89,895	10.12
Fellowship Christian	5-A Division I	0-0	72.30	1,000,000	4.30	716,924	418,659	184,704	59,155	15.90
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	2-AAA	0-0	72.90	1,000,000	2.92	566,069	306,338	130,366	45,113	21.17
Holy Innocents	5-AA	0-0	71.23	1,000,000	3.02	633,350	314,335	122,557	36,641	26.29
Greater Atlanta Christian	6-AAA	0-0	67.32	1,000,000	2.82	576,810	234,367	69,084	14,875	66.23
Hebron Christian	8-AA	0-0	67.25	1,000,000	2.39	381,576	142,799	40,669	8,974	110.43
Athens Academy	8-A Division I	0-0	66.22	1,000,000	2.51	434,239	156,224	41,710	8,285	119.70
Wesleyan	5-A Division I	0-0	63.37	1,000,000	3.44	406,340	122,749	26,681	3,953	251.97
Lovett	5-AA	0-0	64.25	1,000,000	2.15	291,129	90,836	20,302	3,328	299.48
Darlington	6-A Division I	0-0	58.29	1,000,000	2.09	263,658	52,331	7,223	650	1,537.46
North Cobb Christian	7-AA	0-0	59.66	1,000,000	1.91	193,640	40,952	6,081	626	1,596.44
Whitefield Academy	5-A Division I	0-0	58.24	1,000,000	3.18	291,146	57,702	7,641	618	1,617.12
Mount Vernon	5-A Division I	0-0	57.90	1,000,000	2.92	183,607	35,367	4,454	373	2,679.97
Aquinas	4-AAA	0-0	56.72	1,000,000	1.72	131,761	22,233	2,537	202	4,949.50
Savannah Country Day	3-A Division I	0-0	57.55	1,000,000	1.60	106,258	18,615	2,237	183	5,463.48
Providence Christian	8-A Division I	0-0	53.04	1,000,000	1.39	48,414	5,570	367	27	37,036.04
Christian Heritage	7-A Division I	0-0	50.29	1,000,000	1.73	109,746	9,998	580	13	76,922.08
St. Francis	5-A Division I	0-0	49.10	1,000,000	2.46	42,318	3,512	170	5	199,999.00
Mount Pisgah Christian	5-A Division I	0-0	48.62	1,000,000	2.31	25,767	2,042	84	3	333,332.33
Mount Paran Christian	5-A Division I	0-0	43.02	1,000,000	2.21	13,618	567	12	1	999,999.00
Landmark Christian	5-A Division I	0-0	32.77	1,000,000	2.05	1,078	9	1	-	-
King's Ridge Christian	5-A Division I	0-0	30.25	1,000,000	2.03	382	5	-	-	-
Walker	5-A Division I	0-0	20.49	1,000,000	2.01	36	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
3-AAA	Calvary Day	265,793	986,049	999,872	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Fellowship Christian	261,456	703,893	992,207	1,000,000	-
8-AA	Prince Avenue Christian	148,513	896,485	990,370	1,000,000	-
3-A Division I	Savannah Christian	122,957	755,052	979,084	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Wesleyan	55,887	452,456	946,299	1,000,000	-
6-AAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	24,812	700,678	915,814	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Vernon	19,998	150,044	838,105	1,000,000	-
2-AAA	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	19,988	284,778	819,814	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Athens Academy	19,050	378,207	859,243	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Whitefield Academy	18,473	492,085	887,473	1,000,000	-
5-AA	Holy Innocents	15,445	596,732	900,465	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	Darlington	12,654	432,665	771,664	1,000,000	-
8-AA	Hebron Christian	3,881	198,772	714,466	1,000,000	-
5-AA	Lovett	2,986	184,376	613,720	1,000,000	-
7-AA	North Cobb Christian	1,920	163,103	646,285	1,000,000	-
7-A Division I	Christian Heritage	1,784	328,069	701,517	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	St. Francis	1,770	30,401	696,637	1,000,000	-
4-AAA	Aquinas	1,634	140,910	503,550	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Pisgah Christian	323	16,271	334,317	1,000,000	-
3-A Division I	Savannah Country Day	300	39,392	298,821	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Paran Christian	293	50,169	274,833	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Providence Christian	66	13,131	195,636	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Landmark Christian	17	6,200	52,894	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	King's Ridge Christian	-	49	66,769	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Walker	-	33	145	1,000,000	-

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

Class AAAAAA

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Playoff Projections by Team

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Class AAAAA

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Class AAAA

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Playoff Seeding Projections

Class AAA Public

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Class AA Public

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Class A Division I Public

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Class A Division II

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