Alabama head coach Nick Saban during a press conference after the Clemson Tigers defeated the Alabama Crimson Tide in the 2017 College Football Playoff National Championship Game in Tampa, Fla.
Photo: Brian Blanco/Getty Images
Photo: Brian Blanco/Getty Images

Patriots will win Super Bowl 53 - because of Nick Saban, Alabama

Do you believe in unlikelihoods? Coincidences?

It has become a well-covered Super Bowl prognosticator: how Nick Saban does in title games affects the fortunes of his mentor, Bill Belichick.

Saban was the defensive coordinator to Belichick’s Cleveland Browns teams from 1991-94. 

Since Saban’s arrival in Tuscaloosa in 2007, whenever the Crimson Tide have played in a semifinal or national championship game AND LOST, the New England Patriots have won the Super Bowl a few weeks later.

As you may recall, Alabama was trounced by Clemson in the College Football Playoffs Championship Game earlier this month.

The Patriots face the Los Angeles Rams in Super Bowl 53 Feb. 3 at Atlanta’s Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

This is how things have played out:  

2009-10 

• Alabama: Wins BCS National Championship game, 37-21, vs. Texas Longhorns
• New England: Loses Wild Card game, 33-14, to the Baltimore Ravens 

2011-12 

• Alabama: Wins BCS National Championship game, 21-0, vs. LSU Tigers 
• New England: Loses Super Bowl, 21-17, to the N.Y. Giants 

2012-13 

• Alabama: Wins BCS National Championship game, 42-14,  vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
• New England: Loses the AFC championship game, 28-13, to the Ravens 

2014-15 

• Alabama: Loses the College Football Playoff semifinal (Sugar Bowl), 42-35, to Ohio State Bukeyes
• New England: Wins the Super Bowl, 28-24, vs. the Seattle Seahawks 

2015-16 

• Alabama: Wins the College Football Playoff National Championship game, 45-40, vs. Clemson 
• New England: Loses AFC championship game, 20-18, to the Denver Broncos

2016-17 

• Alabama: Loses the College Football Playoff National Championship game, 35-31, to Clemson 
• New England: Wins Super Bowl, 34-28, vs. the Atlanta Falcons 

2017-18 

• Alabama: Wins College Football Playoff National Championship game, 26-23 (OT), vs. Georgia Bulldogs 
• New England: Loses Super Bowl, 41-33, to the Philadelphia Eagles 

2018-19 

• Alabama: Loses College Football Playoff National Championship game, 44-16, to Clemson 
• New England: ???

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