Maxwell Week 4 Summary

By Loren Maxwell

Updated Sept 16, 2019

The Maxwell Ratings will rank the Georgia High School Association's 422 teams throughout the 2019 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season's games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.

The current total weight of all team's historical performance is 34.53%.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 591 of 618 total games including 0 tie(s) (95.63%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within 13.73 points.

The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team's opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Home Advantage: 2.36

By Class

AAAAAAA				AAAAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Grayson	3-0	90.42	1	Valdosta	4-0	82.60
2	Colquitt County	2-1	89.71	2	Lee County	3-1	75.50
3	Lowndes	4-0	89.14	3	Dacula	3-0	73.65
4	McEachern	3-0	85.15	4	Coffee	4-0	70.33
5	Archer	2-1	81.90	5	Allatoona	2-1	69.66
6	North Gwinnett	1-1	80.78	6	Houston County	4-0	68.22
7	Marietta	3-1	80.09	7	Northside (Warner Robins)	2-2	65.60
8	Mill Creek	3-1	79.60	8	Glynn Academy	1-1	64.10
9	Parkview	1-1	79.11	9	Harrison	4-0	63.98
10	Hillgrove	3-0	78.80	10	Lanier	3-0	61.73
11	Milton	1-2	77.23	11	Dalton	3-0	61.47
12	Roswell	2-0	73.99	12	Creekview	2-1	58.90
13	Camden County	3-0	73.77	13	Mays	2-1	58.07
14	Walton	2-1	71.60	14	Tucker	0-2	57.37
15	North Cobb	3-0	69.79	15	Richmond Hill	1-1	56.71

AAAAA				AAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Buford	3-0	81.56	1	Cartersville	3-0	83.58
2	Warner Robins	3-0	77.26	2	Marist	3-0	80.42
3	Rome	2-1	73.29	3	Blessed Trinity	3-1	75.66
4	Jones County	4-0	71.57	4	Woodward Academy	3-0	73.14
5	Stockbridge	3-0	70.67	5	Troup	3-0	67.48
6	Dutchtown	4-0	69.13	6	Flowery Branch	2-0	65.58
7	Bainbridge	4-0	67.70	7	Sandy Creek	3-0	64.14
8	Kell	2-1	65.22	8	Burke County	2-1	60.61
9	Carrollton	3-0	64.55	9	West Laurens	3-0	60.13
10	Wayne County	2-0	62.51	10	Cairo	2-1	59.42
11	Ware County	2-2	62.26	11	Thomson	2-1	56.88
12	Clarke Central	3-1	57.78	12	Oconee County	3-1	56.26
13	Griffin	3-0	56.99	13	Mary Persons	2-2	55.71
14	Ola	3-1	55.60	14	Chapel Hill	2-1	54.81
15	Thomas County Central	3-0	55.43	15	Howard	3-1	54.77

AAA				AA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Peach County	2-1	75.52	1	Rockmart	3-0	64.45
2	Cedar Grove	2-2	74.94	2	Rabun County	3-0	64.12
3	Calhoun	3-0	68.02	3	Hapeville Charter	1-1	63.91
4	Greater Atlanta Christian	2-1	66.66	4	Callaway	2-1	63.61
5	Lovett	3-1	62.02	5	Washington County	3-0	60.77
6	Westminster (Atlanta)	1-3	61.50	6	Dublin	2-0	60.37
7	Benedictine	0-2	58.48	7	Fitzgerald	3-1	58.75
8	Crisp County	2-2	57.37	8	Brooks County	1-2	58.12
9	Pace Academy	2-1	56.74	9	Swainsboro	2-1	51.01
10	Appling County	3-0	56.01	10	Dodge County	1-2	48.33
11	Pierce County	3-0	55.12	11	Thomasville	1-3	46.92
12	Hart County	4-0	54.32	12	Jefferson County	0-2	46.49
13	Jefferson	1-1	53.69	13	Vidalia	2-1	44.24
14	Liberty County	1-0	52.89	14	Douglass	3-0	42.60
15	Dawson County	3-0	50.46	15	Bremen	1-2	41.92

A - Public				A - Private
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Clinch County	3-0	67.53	1	Eagle's Landing Christian	3-0	74.82
2	Irwin County	2-0	66.50	2	Athens Academy	3-0	58.48
3	Pelham	3-0	45.42	3	Wesleyan	3-0	53.89
4	Marion County	3-0	45.32	4	Prince Avenue Christian	3-1	49.12
5	Commerce	2-1	42.73	5	Darlington	3-0	44.93
6	Mitchell County	2-1	38.41	6	Calvary Day	1-0	43.44
7	Bowdon	3-0	34.01	7	Savannah Christian	0-2	41.79
8	Turner County	2-1	34.00	8	Mount Paran Christian	1-0	41.28
9	Wilcox County	3-0	33.66	9	Fellowship Christian	2-0	38.37
10	Charlton County	1-2	33.49	10	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	3-0	37.05
11	Emanuel County Institute	0-3	33.41	11	Holy Innocents	3-0	35.34
12	Trion	3-0	32.41	12	George Walton Academy	2-1	34.63
13	Lincoln County	2-1	31.98	13	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	2-1	34.28
14	Manchester	2-1	31.51	14	Savannah Country Day	2-0	34.11
15	Telfair County	2-1	30.92	15	Hebron Christian Academy	1-2	33.94

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

Rank	Team	Region	Rec	Rating	SchStr	Rank
1 [1]	Grayson	8 - AAAAAAA	3-0	90.42	66.37	22 [11]
2 [2]	Colquitt County	1 - AAAAAAA	2-1	89.71	73.18	8 [6]
3 [3]	Lowndes	1 - AAAAAAA	4-0	89.14	54.07	70 [27]
4 [4]	McEachern	3 - AAAAAAA	3-0	85.15	53.46	72 [28]
5 [1]	Cartersville	5 - AAAA	3-0	83.58	17.22	353 [48]
6 [1]	Valdosta	1 - AAAAAA	4-0	82.60	46.34	121 [29]
7 [5]	Archer	8 - AAAAAAA	2-1	81.90	70.85	10 [8]
8 [1]	Buford	8 - AAAAA	3-0	81.56	59.83	39 [4]
9 [6]	North Gwinnett	6 - AAAAAAA	1-1	80.78	89.71	1 [1]
10 [2]	Marist	7 - AAAA	3-0	80.42	61.76	33 [4]
11 [7]	Marietta	3 - AAAAAAA	3-1	80.09	78.11	4 [3]
12 [8]	Mill Creek	6 - AAAAAAA	3-1	79.60	68.92	15 [10]
13 [9]	Parkview	7 - AAAAAAA	1-1	79.11	79.11	3 [2]
14 [10]	Hillgrove	3 - AAAAAAA	3-0	78.80	48.31	109 [34]
15 [2]	Warner Robins	1 - AAAAA	3-0	77.26	49.55	96 [15]
16 [11]	Milton	5 - AAAAAAA	1-2	77.23	62.84	31 [15]
17 [3]	Blessed Trinity	7 - AAAA	3-1	75.66	63.52	27 [3]
18 [1]	Peach County	4 - AAA	2-1	75.52	69.78	12 [2]
19 [2]	Lee County	1 - AAAAAA	3-1	75.50	37.77	204 [41]
20 [2]	Cedar Grove	5 - AAA	2-2	74.94	75.71	7 [1]
21 [1]	Eagle's Landing Christian	5 - A	3-0	74.82	41.94	171 [3]
22 [12]	Roswell	4 - AAAAAAA	2-0	73.99	40.73	187 [42]
23 [13]	Camden County	1 - AAAAAAA	3-0	73.77	58.56	45 [22]
24 [3]	Dacula	8 - AAAAAA	3-0	73.65	58.44	49 [8]
25 [3]	Rome	7 - AAAAA	2-1	73.29	58.85	44 [5]
26 [4]	Woodward Academy	4 - AAAA	3-0	73.14	56.26	57 [5]
27 [14]	Walton	4 - AAAAAAA	2-1	71.60	59.97	38 [19]
28 [4]	Jones County	4 - AAAAA	4-0	71.57	52.41	79 [10]
29 [5]	Stockbridge	4 - AAAAA	3-0	70.67	44.09	146 [28]
30 [4]	Coffee	1 - AAAAAA	4-0	70.33	45.41	131 [32]
31 [15]	North Cobb	3 - AAAAAAA	3-0	69.79	43.49	153 [38]
32 [5]	Allatoona	6 - AAAAAA	2-1	69.66	55.94	58 [12]
33 [6]	Dutchtown	4 - AAAAA	4-0	69.13	51.69	84 [12]
34 [16]	North Paulding	3 - AAAAAAA	3-0	68.53	45.66	129 [36]
35 [6]	Houston County	1 - AAAAAA	4-0	68.22	38.34	201 [40]
36 [3]	Calhoun	6 - AAA	3-0	68.02	31.16	258 [31]
37 [7]	Bainbridge	1 - AAAAA	4-0	67.70	48.28	110 [19]
38 [17]	Collins Hill	6 - AAAAAAA	2-1	67.53	70.11	11 [9]
39 [1]	Clinch County	2 - A	3-0	67.53	37.43	206 [8]
40 [5]	Troup	5 - AAAA	3-0	67.48	44.08	147 [24]
41 [18]	Norcross	7 - AAAAAAA	0-2	67.43	76.78	6 [5]
42 [19]	South Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	3-1	67.31	59.67	41 [20]
43 [4]	Greater Atlanta Christian	7 - AAA	2-1	66.66	64.12	24 [5]
44 [2]	Irwin County	2 - A	2-0	66.50	44.20	144 [4]
45 [7]	Northside (Warner Robins)	1 - AAAAAA	2-2	65.60	57.21	54 [10]
46 [6]	Flowery Branch	7 - AAAA	2-0	65.58	38.92	194 [34]
47 [8]	Kell	7 - AAAAA	2-1	65.22	58.53	46 [7]
48 [20]	Westlake	2 - AAAAAAA	2-1	64.65	51.03	87 [29]
49 [9]	Carrollton	7 - AAAAA	3-0	64.55	44.85	136 [26]
50 [1]	Rockmart	7 - AA	3-0	64.45	38.46	200 [20]
51 [21]	Mountain View	6 - AAAAAAA	2-2	64.36	62.21	32 [16]
52 [7]	Sandy Creek	5 - AAAA	3-0	64.14	35.23	221 [37]
53 [2]	Rabun County	8 - AA	3-0	64.12	40.15	191 [16]
54 [8]	Glynn Academy	2 - AAAAAA	1-1	64.10	22.30	326 [56]
55 [9]	Harrison	6 - AAAAAA	4-0	63.98	35.25	220 [45]
56 [3]	Hapeville Charter	6 - AA	1-1	63.91	58.08	50 [3]
57 [4]	Callaway	5 - AA	2-1	63.61	-13.78	416 [58]
58 [10]	Wayne County	2 - AAAAA	2-0	62.51	1.34	405 [56]
59 [11]	Ware County	2 - AAAAA	2-2	62.26	58.53	47 [7]
60 [5]	Lovett	5 - AAA	3-1	62.02	57.21	53 [6]
61 [22]	Cherokee	4 - AAAAAAA	4-0	61.95	45.88	127 [35]
62 [10]	Lanier	8 - AAAAAA	3-0	61.73	47.03	117 [25]
63 [6]	Westminster (Atlanta)	5 - AAA	1-3	61.50	68.96	14 [3]
64 [11]	Dalton	6 - AAAAAA	3-0	61.47	34.81	230 [50]
65 [23]	Newton	8 - AAAAAAA	3-0	61.39	38.55	199 [43]
66 [5]	Washington County	3 - AA	3-0	60.77	43.02	158 [11]
67 [8]	Burke County	3 - AAAA	2-1	60.61	50.58	90 [12]
68 [24]	West Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	0-2	60.40	71.41	9 [7]
69 [6]	Dublin	3 - AA	2-0	60.37	42.21	167 [12]
70 [9]	West Laurens	2 - AAAA	3-0	60.13	44.13	145 [23]
71 [25]	Tift County	1 - AAAAAAA	1-3	59.88	64.88	23 [12]
72 [10]	Cairo	1 - AAAA	2-1	59.42	47.26	115 [18]
73 [12]	Creekview	6 - AAAAAA	2-1	58.90	48.16	111 [22]
74 [7]	Fitzgerald	1 - AA	3-1	58.75	38.85	196 [17]
75 [2]	Athens Academy	8 - A	3-0	58.48	32.08	250 [8]
76 [7]	Benedictine	3 - AAA	0-2	58.48	66.96	17 [4]
77 [8]	Brooks County	1 - AA	1-2	58.12	59.74	40 [2]
78 [26]	South Gwinnett	8 - AAAAAAA	2-1	58.10	57.11	55 [23]
79 [13]	Mays	5 - AAAAAA	2-1	58.07	56.31	56 [11]
80 [12]	Clarke Central	8 - AAAAA	3-1	57.78	54.46	66 [9]
81 [27]	Etowah	4 - AAAAAAA	2-2	57.38	54.38	68 [25]
82 [8]	Crisp County	1 - AAA	2-2	57.37	55.72	63 [7]
83 [14]	Tucker	4 - AAAAAA	0-2	57.37	86.16	2 [1]
84 [13]	Griffin	3 - AAAAA	3-0	56.99	44.65	138 [27]
85 [11]	Thomson	3 - AAAA	2-1	56.88	45.31	133 [20]
86 [9]	Pace Academy	5 - AAA	2-1	56.74	51.93	82 [10]
87 [15]	Richmond Hill	2 - AAAAAA	1-1	56.71	57.68	51 [9]
88 [12]	Oconee County	8 - AAAA	3-1	56.26	49.17	102 [16]
89 [10]	Appling County	2 - AAA	3-0	56.01	42.88	159 [14]
90 [13]	Mary Persons	2 - AAAA	2-2	55.71	49.84	95 [15]
91 [14]	Ola	4 - AAAAA	3-1	55.60	49.29	100 [16]
92 [15]	Thomas County Central	1 - AAAAA	3-0	55.43	38.24	202 [34]
93 [16]	Veterans	1 - AAAAA	3-1	55.40	47.17	116 [21]
94 [28]	Brookwood	7 - AAAAAAA	1-3	55.27	61.61	34 [17]
95 [11]	Pierce County	2 - AAA	3-0	55.12	23.27	318 [44]
96 [14]	Chapel Hill	5 - AAAA	2-1	54.81	52.83	78 [8]
97 [15]	Howard	2 - AAAA	3-1	54.77	42.37	165 [30]
98 [16]	Douglas County	5 - AAAAAA	2-1	54.61	49.43	97 [18]
99 [16]	St. Pius X	8 - AAAA	2-2	54.55	50.11	93 [14]
100 [12]	Hart County	8 - AAA	4-0	54.32	41.03	183 [17]
101 [29]	East Coweta	2 - AAAAAAA	0-3	53.90	77.24	5 [4]
102 [3]	Wesleyan	5 - A	3-0	53.89	41.80	175 [4]
103 [13]	Jefferson	8 - AAA	1-1	53.69	35.00	226 [24]
104 [14]	Liberty County	2 - AAA	1-0	52.89	36.54	211 [20]
105 [17]	Carver (Atlanta)	6 - AAAAA	2-1	52.60	45.98	125 [22]
106 [18]	Statesboro	2 - AAAAA	2-0	52.25	41.18	181 [32]
107 [17]	North Oconee	8 - AAAA	4-0	52.06	31.90	253 [42]
108 [19]	Cedar Shoals	8 - AAAAA	3-0	51.85	36.93	208 [35]
109 [18]	Upson-Lee	2 - AAAA	2-2	51.76	52.98	76 [7]
110 [30]	North Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	2-1	51.11	50.09	94 [30]
111 [31]	Central Gwinnett	7 - AAAAAAA	0-3	51.01	63.76	26 [14]
112 [9]	Swainsboro	2 - AA	2-1	51.01	42.20	169 [13]
113 [32]	Newnan	2 - AAAAAAA	2-2	50.95	48.97	104 [31]
114 [33]	Shiloh	8 - AAAAAAA	3-0	50.86	31.23	257 [46]
115 [15]	Dawson County	7 - AAA	3-0	50.46	29.59	272 [35]
116 [17]	Sequoyah	6 - AAAAAA	1-2	50.45	50.68	88 [17]
117 [18]	Lovejoy	4 - AAAAAA	3-0	50.08	34.20	234 [51]
118 [34]	Pebblebrook	2 - AAAAAAA	1-2	49.86	58.95	43 [21]
119 [19]	Gainesville	8 - AAAAAA	2-1	49.83	46.39	120 [28]
120 [20]	Starr's Mill	3 - AAAAA	2-1	49.63	42.24	166 [30]
121 [19]	Carver (Columbus)	1 - AAAA	2-1	49.45	40.38	189 [33]
122 [21]	Harris County	1 - AAAAA	2-2	49.42	52.34	80 [11]
123 [20]	Johns Creek	7 - AAAAAA	1-1	49.33	0.00	409 [58]
124 [16]	Jackson	4 - AAA	2-1	49.15	40.88	184 [18]
125 [4]	Prince Avenue Christian	8 - A	3-1	49.12	29.20	278 [13]
126 [21]	Creekside	5 - AAAAAA	0-2	48.66	66.89	18 [3]
127 [20]	Ridgeland	6 - AAAA	0-3	48.57	66.57	20 [2]
128 [17]	Monroe Area	8 - AAA	3-1	48.35	36.34	213 [21]
129 [10]	Dodge County	3 - AA	1-2	48.33	51.50	85 [6]
130 [22]	East Paulding	7 - AAAAA	0-2	48.17	60.14	36 [3]
131 [22]	Pope	7 - AAAAAA	2-1	48.14	48.52	106 [21]
132 [18]	Westside (Macon)	4 - AAA	2-2	47.52	46.17	122 [11]
133 [23]	Sprayberry	6 - AAAAAA	2-1	47.04	43.89	148 [34]
134 [24]	Brunswick	2 - AAAAAA	1-2	47.02	40.58	188 [38]
135 [11]	Thomasville	1 - AA	1-3	46.92	66.57	21 [1]
136 [21]	Eastside	4 - AAAA	1-2	46.88	52.01	81 [9]
137 [22]	Westover	1 - AAAA	3-0	46.79	32.47	246 [41]
138 [12]	Jefferson County	4 - AA	0-2	46.49	55.89	60 [4]
139 [23]	Locust Grove	4 - AAAAA	0-3	46.49	68.83	16 [1]
140 [25]	Alpharetta	7 - AAAAAA	0-2	46.48	69.48	13 [2]
141 [19]	Jenkins	3 - AAA	2-1	46.32	33.44	239 [27]
142 [20]	North Hall	7 - AAA	2-1	46.27	36.29	214 [22]
143 [24]	South Effingham	2 - AAAAA	3-0	46.27	32.13	248 [38]
144 [26]	South Paulding	5 - AAAAAA	2-1	45.91	49.40	98 [19]
145 [23]	Baldwin	3 - AAAA	0-4	45.79	66.62	19 [1]
146 [27]	Evans	3 - AAAAAA	2-1	45.45	36.51	212 [44]
147 [3]	Pelham	1 - A	3-0	45.42	-10.38	414 [47]
148 [28]	M.L. King	4 - AAAAAA	2-0	45.40	39.41	192 [39]
149 [4]	Marion County	4 - A	3-0	45.32	11.68	379 [37]
150 [29]	Stephenson	4 - AAAAAA	2-1	45.29	35.20	222 [46]
151 [25]	Riverwood	6 - AAAAA	3-0	45.11	28.66	282 [46]
152 [30]	Hughes	5 - AAAAAA	0-3	45.03	63.01	28 [4]
153 [5]	Darlington	6 - A	3-0	44.93	29.53	273 [12]
154 [26]	Jonesboro	3 - AAAAA	2-2	44.80	51.14	86 [13]
155 [13]	Vidalia	2 - AA	2-1	44.24	36.61	209 [21]
156 [27]	Union Grove	4 - AAAAA	2-1	44.22	30.46	265 [40]
157 [31]	Alexander	5 - AAAAAA	1-2	43.87	47.33	114 [24]
158 [35]	Meadowcreek	7 - AAAAAAA	1-1	43.67	42.13	170 [39]
159 [32]	Centennial	7 - AAAAAA	0-3	43.47	62.85	30 [6]
160 [6]	Calvary Day	3 - A	1-0	43.44	3.93	398 [32]
161 [36]	Rockdale County	8 - AAAAAAA	4-0	43.08	31.97	252 [45]
162 [28]	Banneker	6 - AAAAA	1-2	42.95	50.49	91 [14]
163 [24]	Perry	2 - AAAA	2-2	42.95	42.61	162 [29]
164 [29]	Hiram	7 - AAAAA	1-2	42.92	49.25	101 [17]
165 [30]	Southwest DeKalb	5 - AAAAA	3-1	42.75	29.03	280 [45]
166 [5]	Commerce	8 - A	2-1	42.73	24.68	308 [20]
167 [25]	Cedartown	5 - AAAA	0-3	42.67	50.58	89 [12]
168 [14]	Douglass	6 - AA	3-0	42.60	17.63	350 [49]
169 [33]	Winder-Barrow	8 - AAAAAA	0-2	42.39	54.81	65 [15]
170 [26]	Stephens County	8 - AAAA	1-3	42.38	51.84	83 [10]
171 [15]	Bremen	5 - AA	1-2	41.92	45.95	126 [7]
172 [37]	Woodstock	4 - AAAAAAA	0-3	41.87	55.80	61 [24]
173 [7]	Savannah Christian	3 - A	0-2	41.79	58.48	48 [1]
174 [16]	Pepperell	7 - AA	2-1	41.64	38.63	198 [19]
175 [21]	Morgan County	8 - AAA	3-1	41.63	33.09	241 [28]
176 [34]	Grovetown	3 - AAAAAA	2-2	41.59	46.53	119 [27]
177 [27]	LaGrange	5 - AAAA	2-1	41.53	43.36	155 [26]
178 [35]	Effingham County	2 - AAAAAA	1-2	41.39	34.92	228 [49]
179 [38]	Wheeler	2 - AAAAAAA	1-2	41.29	41.86	173 [40]
180 [8]	Mount Paran Christian	6 - A	1-0	41.28	1.67	404 [35]
181 [39]	Peachtree Ridge	6 - AAAAAAA	1-2	41.22	48.36	107 [32]
182 [31]	Villa Rica	7 - AAAAA	1-2	40.93	44.91	135 [25]
183 [17]	Union County	8 - AA	3-0	40.89	14.27	371 [53]
184 [32]	Paulding County	7 - AAAAA	1-2	40.61	49.08	103 [18]
185 [18]	Early County	1 - AA	3-1	40.56	30.47	264 [31]
186 [33]	Riverdale	3 - AAAAA	3-1	39.98	23.44	315 [48]
187 [40]	Lassiter	4 - AAAAAAA	0-3	39.91	60.05	37 [18]
188 [19]	Elbert County	8 - AA	1-2	39.88	44.52	142 [8]
189 [36]	Lakeside (Evans)	3 - AAAAAA	2-0	39.81	28.00	290 [54]
190 [37]	Habersham Central	8 - AAAAAA	1-2	39.33	41.67	176 [36]
191 [28]	Madison County	8 - AAAA	2-2	39.12	44.61	139 [21]
192 [20]	Bleckley County	3 - AA	2-1	39.02	30.85	261 [29]
193 [38]	Bradwell Institute	2 - AAAAAA	0-2	38.90	52.97	77 [16]
194 [21]	Heard County	5 - AA	0-3	38.85	54.98	64 [5]
195 [22]	Hephzibah	4 - AA	2-0	38.76	22.06	329 [43]
196 [39]	Morrow	4 - AAAAAA	2-2	38.73	45.99	124 [30]
197 [29]	White County	7 - AAAA	2-1	38.60	28.51	285 [44]
198 [23]	Jeff Davis	2 - AA	4-0	38.55	17.47	351 [50]
199 [34]	New Hampstead	2 - AAAAA	1-2	38.44	42.60	163 [29]
200 [6]	Mitchell County	1 - A	2-1	38.41	23.53	314 [21]
201 [9]	Fellowship Christian	6 - A	2-0	38.37	14.69	370 [27]
202 [30]	Spalding	2 - AAAA	1-3	38.36	50.13	92 [13]
203 [31]	Denmark	7 - AAAA	2-0	38.20	15.13	368 [51]
204 [40]	Northgate	5 - AAAAAA	0-3	37.83	49.37	99 [20]
205 [35]	Loganville	8 - AAAAA	0-3	37.80	48.09	112 [20]
206 [32]	Heritage (Ringgold)	6 - AAAA	3-1	37.64	30.08	266 [43]
207 [36]	Eagle's Landing	4 - AAAAA	1-3	37.56	45.80	128 [23]
208 [24]	Toombs County	2 - AA	3-0	37.54	8.09	387 [54]
209 [25]	Southwest	3 - AA	2-1	37.53	34.23	233 [24]
210 [41]	Northview	7 - AAAAAA	2-1	37.25	29.30	275 [53]
211 [10]	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	5 - A	3-0	37.05	23.99	312 [18]
212 [42]	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	4 - AAAAAA	1-2	36.89	47.34	113 [23]
213 [43]	Cambridge	7 - AAAAAA	1-2	36.74	44.45	143 [33]
214 [33]	Hardaway	1 - AAAA	2-1	36.64	26.64	300 [45]
215 [34]	Columbus	1 - AAAA	1-2	36.39	48.69	105 [17]
216 [26]	Screven County	4 - AA	2-1	36.35	32.66	244 [27]
217 [35]	Americus-Sumter	1 - AAAA	1-2	36.24	53.01	75 [6]
218 [36]	Pickens	6 - AAAA	1-2	36.06	33.51	237 [40]
219 [22]	North Murray	6 - AAA	2-1	36.02	27.33	296 [39]
220 [44]	Heritage (Conyers)	3 - AAAAAA	1-2	35.99	46.84	118 [26]
221 [27]	Northeast	3 - AA	1-2	35.80	38.77	197 [18]
222 [23]	Islands	3 - AAA	2-0	35.57	33.44	238 [27]
223 [41]	Kennesaw Mountain	3 - AAAAAAA	0-3	35.56	48.34	108 [33]
224 [37]	Arabia Mountain	5 - AAAAA	0-4	35.52	57.43	52 [8]
225 [11]	Holy Innocents	5 - A	3-0	35.34	17.67	349 [22]
226 [28]	Chattooga	7 - AA	1-2	35.08	41.41	178 [15]
227 [45]	Mundy's Mill	4 - AAAAAA	2-2	35.03	36.59	210 [43]
228 [46]	Dunwoody	7 - AAAAAA	2-1	35.03	35.15	224 [47]
229 [12]	George Walton Academy	8 - A	2-1	34.63	28.11	289 [15]
230 [13]	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	5 - A	2-1	34.28	26.82	298 [16]
231 [14]	Savannah Country Day	3 - A	2-0	34.11	17.38	352 [23]
232 [7]	Bowdon	6 - A	3-0	34.01	25.38	305 [19]
233 [8]	Turner County	2 - A	2-1	34.00	27.82	292 [16]
234 [15]	Hebron Christian Academy	8 - A	1-2	33.94	43.18	157 [2]
235 [42]	Forsyth Central	5 - AAAAAAA	1-1	33.86	16.63	355 [47]
236 [16]	Aquinas	7 - A	3-0	33.76	13.43	375 [28]
237 [9]	Wilcox County	2 - A	3-0	33.66	10.63	382 [38]
238 [47]	Alcovy	3 - AAAAAA	1-3	33.56	45.53	130 [31]
239 [29]	Spencer	5 - AA	2-2	33.52	34.83	229 [23]
240 [10]	Charlton County	2 - A	1-2	33.49	42.88	160 [6]
241 [38]	Cass	7 - AAAAA	2-1	33.48	29.26	276 [44]
242 [11]	Emanuel County Institute	3 - A	0-3	33.41	44.83	137 [3]
243 [43]	Campbell	2 - AAAAAAA	0-3	33.26	63.76	25 [14]
244 [30]	Metter	2 - AA	2-1	33.25	27.75	293 [34]
245 [48]	New Manchester	5 - AAAAAA	1-1	33.19	31.51	255 [52]
246 [39]	Maynard Jackson	6 - AAAAA	2-1	33.00	24.12	310 [47]
247 [37]	Shaw	1 - AAAA	3-0	32.78	18.45	344 [47]
248 [12]	Trion	6 - A	3-0	32.41	6.00	391 [43]
249 [40]	Whitewater	3 - AAAAA	0-3	32.23	61.07	35 [2]
250 [49]	North Atlanta	7 - AAAAAA	2-0	32.23	15.77	360 [57]
251 [13]	Lincoln County	7 - A	2-1	31.98	20.20	335 [27]
252 [50]	South Cobb	6 - AAAAAA	0-4	31.88	59.41	42 [7]
253 [51]	Greenbrier	3 - AAAAAA	0-3	31.68	55.74	62 [14]
254 [38]	Richmond Academy	3 - AAAA	1-2	31.63	34.59	231 [38]
255 [39]	Northwest Whitfield	6 - AAAA	2-1	31.63	16.45	357 [49]
256 [14]	Manchester	4 - A	2-1	31.51	22.35	325 [24]
257 [17]	North Cobb Christian	6 - A	3-0	31.50	15.63	364 [24]
258 [52]	Apalachee	8 - AAAAAA	1-3	31.39	41.91	172 [35]
259 [41]	Lithonia	5 - AAAAA	3-0	31.38	13.69	373 [51]
260 [24]	Southeast Bulloch	3 - AAA	1-2	31.27	30.73	262 [33]
261 [25]	Adairsville	6 - AAA	2-1	31.12	26.06	303 [42]
262 [40]	Central (Carrollton)	5 - AAAA	1-2	31.02	37.06	207 [36]
263 [15]	Telfair County	2 - A	2-1	30.92	16.68	354 [30]
264 [53]	Chattahoochee	7 - AAAAAA	1-2	30.53	37.67	205 [42]
265 [26]	Central (Macon)	4 - AAA	0-3	30.29	53.75	71 [9]
266 [18]	Christian Heritage	6 - A	3-0	30.21	10.72	381 [30]
267 [31]	Temple	5 - AA	3-0	30.13	15.50	366 [52]
268 [32]	Lamar County	5 - AA	3-0	30.11	-0.36	410 [57]
269 [27]	Monroe	1 - AAA	2-2	30.01	29.83	269 [34]
270 [28]	Brantley County	2 - AAA	2-1	29.74	28.64	283 [36]
271 [33]	Berrien	1 - AA	2-2	29.65	30.51	263 [30]
272 [41]	Hampton	4 - AAAA	1-2	29.27	43.28	156 [27]
273 [29]	Cook	1 - AAA	0-4	28.63	44.53	141 [13]
274 [16]	Taylor County	4 - A	2-1	28.54	22.69	323 [23]
275 [17]	Mount Zion (Carroll)	6 - A	1-2	28.53	27.89	291 [15]
276 [19]	Stratford Academy	7 - A	1-2	28.44	32.07	251 [9]
277 [42]	Chestatee	7 - AAAA	1-2	28.43	38.89	195 [35]
278 [18]	Schley County	4 - A	1-2	28.38	29.25	277 [12]
279 [30]	Pike County	4 - AAA	2-1	28.10	3.13	402 [54]
280 [31]	Sonoraville	6 - AAA	1-2	28.00	41.25	180 [16]
281 [42]	Woodland (Stockbridge)	4 - AAAAA	1-3	27.96	35.18	223 [37]
282 [43]	Decatur	6 - AAAAA	2-1	27.83	22.11	328 [49]
283 [44]	Lambert	5 - AAAAAAA	0-4	27.64	40.75	185 [41]
284 [20]	Mount de Sales	7 - A	2-0	27.39	3.89	399 [33]
285 [44]	Fayette County	3 - AAAAA	1-2	26.87	32.11	249 [39]
286 [43]	Northside (Columbus)	1 - AAAA	0-3	26.57	41.29	179 [31]
287 [21]	Whitefield Academy	6 - A	1-1	26.22	29.94	268 [11]
288 [19]	Macon County	4 - A	0-2	26.08	40.29	190 [7]
289 [32]	Franklin County	8 - AAA	1-1	26.01	28.34	288 [38]
290 [33]	Ringgold	6 - AAA	0-3	26.01	45.35	132 [12]
291 [54]	River Ridge	6 - AAAAAA	0-3	25.86	62.99	29 [5]
292 [45]	Duluth	6 - AAAAAAA	0-3	25.64	43.86	150 [37]
293 [45]	Columbia	5 - AAAAA	1-3	25.63	45.04	134 [24]
294 [46]	Discovery	6 - AAAAAAA	0-3	25.34	54.23	69 [26]
295 [22]	First Presbyterian	7 - A	1-2	25.17	35.40	219 [7]
296 [20]	Claxton	3 - A	2-1	25.15	21.56	332 [25]
297 [21]	Washington-Wilkes	7 - A	1-2	25.12	31.46	256 [11]
298 [44]	Salem	4 - AAAA	0-3	24.89	44.58	140 [22]
299 [55]	Tri-Cities	5 - AAAAAA	0-2	24.81	41.49	177 [37]
300 [34]	Washington	6 - AA	0-3	24.66	43.74	151 [9]
301 [46]	Walnut Grove	8 - AAAAA	0-3	24.55	42.21	168 [31]
302 [56]	Drew	4 - AAAAAA	0-3	24.43	55.90	59 [13]
303 [35]	Harlem	4 - AA	1-2	24.42	24.21	309 [38]
304 [34]	Haralson County	6 - AAA	2-0	24.40	0.07	408 [56]
305 [36]	B.E.S.T. Academy	6 - AA	1-2	24.33	41.84	174 [14]
306 [35]	Jackson County	8 - AAA	2-2	24.23	22.66	324 [47]
307 [23]	Brookstone	4 - A	1-1	24.16	3.56	400 [34]
308 [47]	Grady	6 - AAAAA	1-2	24.00	39.10	193 [33]
309 [36]	Worth County	1 - AAA	1-3	23.95	37.90	203 [19]
310 [37]	Beach	3 - AAA	1-1	23.64	30.91	260 [32]
311 [38]	Windsor Forest	3 - AAA	1-2	23.38	26.51	302 [41]
312 [22]	Dooly County	4 - A	0-3	23.16	53.12	74 [2]
313 [37]	South Atlanta	6 - AA	2-1	22.60	4.37	397 [56]
314 [24]	Tattnall Square	7 - A	1-2	22.56	25.00	307 [17]
315 [45]	McDonough	4 - AAAA	1-2	22.41	34.43	232 [39]
316 [48]	McIntosh	3 - AAAAA	1-3	22.26	29.43	274 [43]
317 [39]	Fannin County	7 - AAA	2-1	21.94	18.01	347 [50]
318 [38]	Coosa	7 - AA	0-3	21.06	35.96	215 [22]
319 [25]	Riverside Military Academy	8 - A	2-1	20.79	15.20	367 [25]
320 [23]	Atkinson County	2 - A	1-2	20.44	26.87	297 [18]
321 [49]	Woodland (Cartersville)	7 - AAAAA	1-2	20.29	19.10	340 [50]
322 [24]	Johnson County	3 - A	2-0	20.22	6.39	390 [42]
323 [26]	St. Francis	6 - A	1-1	20.20	23.98	313 [19]
324 [40]	East Hall	7 - AAA	1-3	20.07	34.93	227 [25]
325 [50]	North Springs	6 - AAAAA	1-2	19.48	29.77	270 [42]
326 [41]	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6 - AAA	1-2	18.73	19.19	339 [48]
327 [42]	Tattnall County	2 - AAA	0-3	18.71	32.83	242 [29]
328 [46]	West Hall	7 - AAAA	0-4	18.46	41.11	182 [32]
329 [25]	Montgomery County	3 - A	2-1	18.07	14.16	372 [35]
330 [26]	Terrell County	1 - A	2-1	18.01	19.61	338 [28]
331 [47]	Cross Creek	3 - AAAA	2-2	17.98	15.85	359 [50]
332 [27]	Strong Rock Christian	5 - A	1-2	17.61	35.86	216 [6]
333 [39]	Therrell	6 - AA	1-2	17.58	32.82	243 [26]
334 [43]	Redan	5 - AAA	2-2	17.37	22.74	322 [46]
335 [40]	Bacon County	2 - AA	0-4	17.37	43.40	154 [10]
336 [48]	Dougherty	1 - AAAA	0-3	17.23	43.49	152 [25]
337 [27]	Greene County	7 - A	0-2	17.01	28.38	286 [14]
338 [41]	Glenn Hills	4 - AA	1-2	16.60	27.64	295 [35]
339 [42]	Laney	4 - AA	1-2	16.48	26.54	301 [36]
340 [28]	Jenkins County	3 - A	1-2	16.19	18.13	345 [29]
341 [51]	Miller Grove	5 - AAAAA	0-3	16.15	30.00	267 [41]
342 [49]	Luella	4 - AAAA	0-3	15.73	42.65	161 [28]
343 [29]	McIntosh County Academy	3 - A	0-2	15.56	53.43	73 [1]
344 [28]	Walker	6 - A	1-1	15.45	19.96	337 [21]
345 [43]	Putnam County	8 - AA	1-2	15.13	33.43	240 [25]
346 [50]	LaFayette	6 - AAAA	2-2	15.10	18.47	343 [46]
347 [30]	Seminole County	1 - A	2-1	14.84	5.82	392 [44]
348 [29]	Pinecrest Academy	6 - A	0-1	14.63	40.73	186 [5]
349 [44]	Westside (Augusta)	4 - AA	1-1	14.59	24.06	311 [39]
350 [31]	Gordon Lee	6 - A	2-1	14.30	12.85	377 [36]
351 [32]	Chattahoochee County	1 - A	0-3	13.58	33.73	235 [9]
352 [45]	Monticello	8 - AA	0-3	13.56	31.81	254 [28]
353 [33]	Hancock Central	7 - A	1-2	13.41	20.95	334 [26]
354 [34]	Miller County	1 - A	0-3	13.19	32.34	247 [10]
355 [44]	East Jackson	8 - AAA	3-0	12.70	1.75	403 [55]
356 [51]	North Clayton	4 - AAAA	0-3	12.67	46.05	123 [19]
357 [46]	Butler	4 - AA	0-2	12.39	18.02	346 [48]
358 [47]	Lakeside (Atlanta)	7 - AAAAAAA	0-2	12.21	33.72	236 [44]
359 [57]	Forest Park	4 - AAAAAA	0-2	12.09	35.06	225 [48]
360 [30]	Mount Pisgah Christian	6 - A	0-3	11.75	28.58	284 [14]
361 [45]	Stone Mountain	5 - AAA	1-3	11.64	28.36	287 [37]
362 [46]	Cherokee Bluff	7 - AAA	1-3	10.77	32.62	245 [30]
363 [52]	Johnson (Gainesville)	8 - AAAAA	2-2	10.03	11.55	380 [53]
364 [47]	Rutland	4 - AAA	1-2	9.59	35.41	218 [23]
365 [47]	Banks County	8 - AA	0-3	9.56	21.82	330 [44]
366 [48]	Murray County	6 - AAA	2-1	9.45	5.53	393 [53]
367 [48]	Model	7 - AA	0-3	8.85	25.59	304 [37]
368 [31]	Athens Christian	8 - A	1-2	8.42	14.87	369 [26]
369 [35]	Warren County	7 - A	2-1	8.10	-2.54	412 [46]
370 [49]	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6 - AA	1-3	7.54	23.39	316 [40]
371 [49]	Lumpkin County	7 - AAA	1-3	7.02	18.91	341 [49]
372 [50]	Kendrick	4 - AAA	1-3	6.58	26.75	299 [40]
373 [50]	Bryan County	2 - AA	0-2	6.32	29.63	271 [32]
374 [36]	Wilkinson County	7 - A	0-3	6.31	43.86	149 [5]
375 [51]	Johnson (Savannah)	3 - AAA	1-1	6.29	17.94	348 [51]
376 [53]	Lithia Springs	6 - AAAAA	1-2	6.27	6.84	389 [55]
377 [51]	Jordan	5 - AA	0-3	5.92	22.24	327 [42]
378 [48]	Berkmar	7 - AAAAAAA	2-0	5.83	-34.02	422 [48]
379 [52]	Savannah	3 - AAA	0-3	5.41	42.54	164 [15]
380 [52]	East Laurens	3 - AA	1-3	4.67	28.72	281 [33]
381 [52]	Southeast Whitfield	6 - AAAA	0-3	4.02	13.41	376 [52]
382 [53]	Druid Hills	4 - AAAA	2-1	3.95	0.55	407 [54]
383 [32]	King's Ridge Christian	6 - A	1-1	3.90	9.04	385 [31]
384 [53]	Long County	2 - AAA	0-2	3.71	54.39	67 [8]
385 [54]	Coahulla Creek	6 - AAA	1-2	3.69	22.92	319 [45]
386 [33]	Lakeview Academy	8 - A	0-1	2.44	19.98	336 [20]
387 [37]	Lanier County	2 - A	1-2	2.42	15.70	361 [32]
388 [53]	Dade County	7 - AA	0-3	2.00	21.00	333 [46]
389 [54]	Gilmer	6 - AAAA	2-2	1.15	5.35	394 [53]
390 [55]	Towers	5 - AAA	1-3	0.94	16.45	356 [52]
391 [38]	Hawkinsville	4 - A	0-3	0.74	27.71	294 [17]
392 [34]	Pacelli	4 - A	3-1	0.40	-9.53	413 [37]
393 [54]	Chamblee	5 - AAAAA	0-2	-0.22	35.62	217 [36]
394 [39]	Treutlen	3 - A	3-0	-0.23	-24.11	418 [49]
395 [40]	Greenville	4 - A	0-2	-0.37	29.11	279 [13]
396 [35]	Our Lady of Mercy	5 - A	0-3	-0.69	30.92	259 [10]
397 [54]	Armuchee	7 - AA	0-3	-2.07	22.78	321 [41]
398 [55]	Social Circle	8 - AA	1-1	-2.29	-32.52	421 [59]
399 [56]	McNair	6 - AA	0-3	-2.47	21.80	331 [45]
400 [57]	Gordon Central	7 - AA	0-3	-2.50	18.76	342 [47]
401 [41]	Calhoun County	1 - A	1-2	-2.65	9.54	384 [40]
402 [36]	Providence Christian	8 - A	1-2	-2.70	1.15	406 [36]
403 [58]	Josey	4 - AA	0-2	-5.22	15.70	362 [51]
404 [37]	Landmark Christian	5 - A	0-3	-5.79	12.44	378 [29]
405 [58]	Osborne	6 - AAAAAA	0-3	-7.02	22.89	320 [55]
406 [42]	Portal	3 - A	0-3	-7.39	7.19	388 [41]
407 [43]	Towns County	8 - A	0-3	-8.52	23.38	317 [22]
408 [44]	Baconton Charter	1 - A	1-2	-9.17	15.69	363 [33]
409 [56]	Groves	3 - AAA	0-2	-9.91	25.02	306 [43]
410 [59]	Oglethorpe County	8 - AA	1-2	-10.72	5.34	395 [55]
411 [45]	Central (Talbotton)	4 - A	1-2	-12.41	15.99	358 [31]
412 [46]	Crawford County	4 - A	1-2	-13.67	-11.85	415 [48]
413 [38]	Georgia Military College	7 - A	2-1	-13.69	-31.94	420 [38]
414 [47]	Wheeler County	3 - A	1-2	-16.49	4.51	396 [45]
415 [48]	Twiggs County	7 - A	0-3	-18.59	15.60	365 [34]
416 [55]	Clarkston	5 - AAAAA†	0-4	-22.66	13.68	374 [52]
417 [49]	Stewart County	1 - A	1-2	-26.24	-24.50	419 [50]
418 [1]	Glascock County	7 - A†	1-3	-32.09	-17.31	417 [3]
419 [50]	Randolph-Clay	1 - A	0-2	-37.70	9.59	383 [39]
420 [2]	ACE Charter	7 - A†	0-4	-47.00	3.15	401 [1]
421 [3]	Pataula Charter	1 - A†	0-3	-50.92	-2.02	411 [2]
422 [56]	Cross Keys	5 - AAAAA†	0-4	-71.95	8.14	386 [54]

† - Plays a non-region schedule

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the Competitive Rating is the rating required for a new team to that region to have a chance of going undefeated in a round robin schedule among region teams equal to the chance of being selected region champion if picked at random. For example, there are four teams in 1-AAAAAAA, so the chance of a new team being region champion if picked at random is 1 / (4 + 1) = 20%. Therefore the Competitive Rating is the rating required to go undefeated in a round robin tournament among region teams 20% of the time. This rating favors regions with larger numbers of highly rated teams. The “Average Rating” is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank	Region	Comp Rating	Avg Rating
1	1 - AAAAAAA	89.57	78.72
2	3 - AAAAAAA	85.28	72.26
3	8 - AAAAAAA	83.52	62.97
4	1 - AAAAAA	82.17	72.34
5	6 - AAAAAAA	78.65	56.89
6	7 - AAAA	75.27	47.78
7	5 - AAAA	75.13	54.52
8	1 - AAAAA	73.06	60.64
9	4 - AAAAAAA	72.86	58.16
10	4 - AAAAA	72.12	53.04
11	5 - AAAAAAA	71.65	53.65
12	7 - AAAAAAA	71.08	48.18
13	8 - AAAAA	69.54	43.61
14	5 - AAA	69.08	45.11
15	7 - AAAAA	68.91	47.29
16	6 - AAAAAA	68.34	48.58
17	8 - AAAAAA	66.52	48.87
18	2 - AAAAA	63.57	52.47
19	4 - AAA	62.32	34.05
20	2 - AAAA	62.10	50.78
21	2 - A	61.91	34.61
22	2 - AAAAAAA	61.85	49.04
23	5 - A	61.39	31.03
24	2 - AAAAAA	61.19	49.38
25	3 - AA	59.63	42.61
26	5 - AAAAAA	59.13	43.80
27	1 - AA	59.00	47.09
28	8 - AAAA	58.84	48.97
29	3 - AAAA	58.18	43.53
30	4 - AAAA	57.58	25.36
31	7 - AAA	56.95	29.93
32	2 - AAA	56.31	37.79
33	4 - AAAAAA	55.81	39.10
34	1 - AAAA	55.39	37.82
35	8 - AAA	54.82	37.99
36	3 - AAAAA	54.25	38.93
37	7 - AAAAAA	53.93	39.88
38	5 - AA	53.80	34.87
39	6 - AAA	52.45	25.60
40	8 - A	51.70	24.29
	8-Div A - A	52.12	31.32
	8-Div B - A	37.01	18.94
41	8 - AA	51.15	18.85
42	7 - AA	50.82	18.13
43	6 - AA	50.56	23.31
44	3 - AAA	49.66	24.74
45	6 - AAAAA	49.50	31.64
46	2 - AA	49.14	33.84
47	3 - AAAAAA	48.42	38.00
48	1 - AAA	48.30	33.34
49	6 - A	46.68	26.02
	6-Div A - A	43.81	31.00
	6-Div B - A	38.60	20.93
50	6 - AAAA	44.04	25.67
51	3 - A	42.69	19.95
	3-Div A - A	42.81	27.51
	3-Div B - A	28.56	13.21
52	4 - AA	42.37	22.17
53	4 - A	39.89	16.26
	4-Div A - A	37.03	14.10
	4-Div B - A	31.72	17.89
54	5 - AAAAA	38.82	26.24
55	7 - A	36.98	17.91
	7-Div B - A	32.76	17.80
	7-Div A - A	30.46	18.04
56	1 - A	36.62	8.31

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Pct	Likelihood
08/30	West Hall	Johnson (Gainesville)	27 - 30	10.79	74.6%	0.335
09/12	Stephenson	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	9 - 14	8.40	69.8%	0.367
09/06	Woodstock	Cambridge	20 - 22	7.49	67.9%	0.393
08/30	Bremen	Bowdon	7 - 20	5.55	63.5%	0.397
08/30	Walton	Collins Hill	10 - 12	6.43	65.5%	0.410
08/23	Toombs County	Twiggs County	14 - 0	58.49	99.7%	0.428
09/06	Blessed Trinity	Woodward Academy	10 - 13	4.89	62.0%	0.431
09/13	Peach County	Houston County	31 - 32	4.94	62.1%	0.436
09/13	Colquitt County	Valdosta	49 - 50	4.76	61.7%	0.439
08/30	Calvary Day	Johnson (Savannah)	20 - 12	39.51	98.1%	0.443
09/14	Cambridge	Dunwoody	19 - 21	4.07	60.0%	0.446
08/23	Mary Persons	Gainesville	21 - 27	3.53	58.7%	0.447
08/30	Mill Creek	Dacula	21 - 24	3.59	58.9%	0.451
08/30	Stewart County	Glascock County	56 - 60	3.50	58.7%	0.451
09/06	Turner County	Taylor County	7 - 12	3.10	57.7%	0.455

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating	Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Pct
90.00	09/27	Colquitt County	Grayson	-	1.65	54.1%
89.35	11/01	Lowndes	Colquitt County	-	1.79	54.5%
85.59	09/13	Colquitt County	Valdosta	49 - 50	4.76	61.7%
85.23	10/18	Grayson	Archer	-	6.17	64.9%
83.96	09/27	Lowndes	Valdosta	-	8.90	70.9%
83.32	08/24	Colquitt County	North Gwinnett	17 - 6	8.94	71.0%
82.44	10/18	McEachern	Marietta	-	2.69	56.7%
81.63	09/27	Buford	Archer	-	2.03	55.0%
81.54	09/13	Grayson	Marietta	28 - 14	12.69	78.1%
80.75	09/13	Mill Creek	Archer	10 - 7	0.07	50.2%
80.56	09/06	Lowndes	Parkview	38 - 7	12.39	77.5%
80.15	10/11	Mill Creek	North Gwinnett	-	1.19	53.0%
80.14	10/11	McEachern	Hillgrove	-	8.71	70.5%
79.11	11/01	Marietta	Hillgrove	-	3.65	59.0%
78.93	09/06	Buford	Milton	26 - 23	4.33	60.7%

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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