High School Sports Blog

Maxwell Week 1 summary

1/31
Colquitt County's Montavious Ponder (23) celebrates after he scored a touchdown in the first half during the Corky Kell Classic at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Saturday, August 24, 2019. Colquitt County won 17- 6 over the North Gwinnett. (Hyosub Shin / Hyosub.Shin@ajc.com)
By Loren Maxwell
Aug 27, 2019

The Maxwell Ratings will rank the Georgia High School Association’s 422 teams throughout the 2019 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the player roster or coaching staff.

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season’s games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.

The current total weight of all team’s historical performance is 69.66%.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 155 of 158 total games including 0 tie(s) (98.10%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within 13.57 points.

The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team’s opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Home Advantage: 1.78

By Class

AAAAAAA AAAAAA
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Colquitt County1-095.091Lee County1-083.94
2Grayson0-087.632Northside (Warner Robins)1-071.78
3Archer1-084.873Valdosta1-068.66
4Lowndes1-083.454Coffee1-065.25
5McEachern1-082.475Allatoona0-165.12
6North Gwinnett0-181.316Harrison1-062.88
7Parkview1-080.487Dacula1-062.73
8Milton0-079.578Glynn Academy0-162.27
9Mill Creek1-078.039Creekview1-060.22
10Walton1-077.6910Sequoyah0-055.78
11Hillgrove1-076.7411Dalton1-055.28
12Marietta1-075.7612Tucker0-155.10
13Camden County1-074.3013Lanier1-054.68
14Tift County0-172.9214Mays0-154.38
15Roswell0-071.7715Gainesville1-054.24
AAAAA AAAA
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Warner Robins1-081.351Blessed Trinity1-082.99
2Buford0-078.072Cartersville1-080.92
3Stockbridge0-071.463Marist0-075.89
4Rome0-170.494St. Pius X0-167.63
5Jones County1-065.585Troup0-065.24
6Dutchtown1-065.016Burke County1-064.80
7Bainbridge1-064.177Cairo1-060.55
8Kell1-061.948Woodward Academy1-060.32
9Ware County0-160.349Mary Persons0-159.72
10Carrollton0-059.5210Sandy Creek0-057.26
11Wayne County0-059.3211Thomson0-055.78
12Veterans1-057.3112Flowery Branch1-054.60
13Griffin1-053.8413Oconee County1-053.57
14Clarke Central1-053.6114Ridgeland0-153.51
15East Paulding0-050.6615Chapel Hill1-052.97
AAA AA
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Cedar Grove1-075.611Rockmart1-065.62
2Peach County0-071.862Rabun County1-062.98
3Calhoun1-070.473Hapeville Charter0-161.13
4Greater Atlanta Christian0-161.444Brooks County1-060.39
5Benedictine0-160.875Callaway0-159.80
6Lovett1-060.776Fitzgerald1-059.57
7Westminster (Atlanta)0-154.677Washington County1-058.00
8Monroe Area1-054.358Dublin1-056.36
9Pierce County1-054.239Dodge County1-055.65
10Crisp County1-052.7710Jefferson County0-051.40
11Pace Academy1-051.9011Thomasville0-149.08
12Dawson County1-051.6912Vidalia0-048.37
13Jefferson0-151.2713Bremen0-147.77
14Westside (Macon)1-049.7114Swainsboro0-046.11
15Jackson1-049.1215Heard County0-144.98
A - Public A - Private
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Clinch County1-060.541Eagle's Landing Christian1-070.49
2Irwin County1-059.682Athens Academy1-056.65
3Commerce1-047.423Prince Avenue Christian1-052.45
4Marion County1-045.934Wesleyan1-045.38
5Pelham1-045.655Calvary Day0-044.33
6Charlton County1-040.296Darlington1-039.99
7Emanuel County Institute0-139.487Savannah Christian0-139.84
8Manchester1-036.448Mount Paran Christian0-039.23
9Mitchell County0-136.139George Walton Academy1-038.69
10Schley County0-133.4210Fellowship Christian1-036.78
11Mount Zion (Carroll)0-132.9711Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)1-033.97
12Dooly County0-032.8812Aquinas1-032.77
13Turner County1-032.8013Hebron Christian Academy0-029.99
14Trion1-032.1914Mount Vernon Presbyterian0-129.65
15Macon County0-129.9315Holy Innocents1-029.47

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

Rank Team Region Rec Rating SchStr Rank
1 [1]Colquitt County1 - AAAAAAA1-095.0981.317 [3]
2 [2]Grayson8 - AAAAAAA0-087.630.00320 [47]
3 [3]Archer8 - AAAAAAA1-084.8756.8857 [17]
4 [1]Lee County1 - AAAAAA1-083.9414.82255 [42]
5 [4]Lowndes1 - AAAAAAA1-083.4527.81212 [38]
6 [1]Blessed Trinity7 - AAAA1-082.9965.8528 [6]
7 [5]McEachern3 - AAAAAAA1-082.4765.2430 [12]
8 [1]Warner Robins1 - AAAAA1-081.3574.7016 [2]
9 [6]North Gwinnett6 - AAAAAAA0-181.3195.091 [1]
10 [2]Cartersville5 - AAAA1-080.9266.9025 [5]
11 [7]Parkview7 - AAAAAAA1-080.4864.7732 [13]
12 [8]Milton5 - AAAAAAA0-079.570.00350 [47]
13 [2]Buford8 - AAAAA0-078.070.00302 [54]
14 [9]Mill Creek6 - AAAAAAA1-078.0355.3266 [19]
15 [10]Walton4 - AAAAAAA1-077.6969.6323 [10]
16 [11]Hillgrove3 - AAAAAAA1-076.7452.5083 [25]
17 [3]Marist7 - AAAA0-075.890.00347 [51]
18 [12]Marietta3 - AAAAAAA1-075.7670.4919 [9]
19 [1]Cedar Grove5 - AAA1-075.6161.1344 [4]
20 [13]Camden County1 - AAAAAAA1-074.3061.0745 [15]
21 [14]Tift County1 - AAAAAAA0-172.9279.578 [4]
22 [2]Peach County4 - AAA0-071.860.00357 [52]
23 [2]Northside (Warner Robins)1 - AAAAAA1-071.7848.7197 [23]
24 [15]Roswell4 - AAAAAAA0-071.770.00361 [47]
25 [3]Stockbridge4 - AAAAA0-071.460.00376 [54]
26 [4]Rome7 - AAAAA0-170.4975.7613 [1]
27 [1]Eagle's Landing Christian5 - A1-070.4922.94232 [12]
28 [3]Calhoun6 - AAA1-070.4753.5175 [7]
29 [16]Norcross7 - AAAAAAA0-169.6377.6912 [7]
30 [3]Valdosta1 - AAAAAA1-068.6630.79198 [35]
31 [4]St. Pius X8 - AAAA0-167.6384.773 [1]
32 [17]North Cobb3 - AAAAAAA1-067.4652.6482 [24]
33 [1]Rockmart7 - AA1-065.6253.9972 [6]
34 [5]Jones County4 - AAAAA1-065.5842.43126 [15]
35 [4]Coffee1 - AAAAAA1-065.2546.44114 [25]
36 [18]Brookwood7 - AAAAAAA0-165.2482.476 [2]
37 [5]Troup5 - AAAA0-065.240.00385 [51]
38 [5]Allatoona6 - AAAAAA0-165.1279.139 [3]
39 [19]North Paulding3 - AAAAAAA1-065.0836.34162 [34]
40 [6]Dutchtown4 - AAAAA1-065.0144.31120 [12]
41 [20]Westlake2 - AAAAAAA1-064.9150.9887 [26]
42 [6]Burke County3 - AAAA1-064.8060.8747 [8]
43 [7]Bainbridge1 - AAAAA1-064.1710.77271 [36]
44 [21]Mountain View6 - AAAAAAA0-162.9978.7010 [5]
45 [2]Rabun County8 - AA1-062.9847.77102 [10]
46 [6]Harrison6 - AAAAAA1-062.8842.10130 [27]
47 [7]Dacula8 - AAAAAA1-062.7324.83221 [39]
48 [8]Glynn Academy2 - AAAAAA0-162.270.00319 [58]
49 [8]Kell7 - AAAAA1-061.9454.3870 [5]
50 [4]Greater Atlanta Christian7 - AAA0-161.4462.5639 [2]
51 [3]Hapeville Charter6 - AA0-161.1375.6114 [1]
52 [5]Benedictine3 - AAA0-160.8764.8031 [1]
53 [6]Lovett5 - AAA1-060.7759.6648 [5]
54 [7]Cairo1 - AAAA1-060.5550.8689 [17]
55 [1]Clinch County2 - A1-060.540.00311 [47]
56 [4]Brooks County1 - AA1-060.3937.91153 [19]
57 [9]Ware County2 - AAAAA0-160.340.00389 [54]
58 [8]Woodward Academy4 - AAAA1-060.3252.8981 [14]
59 [9]Creekview6 - AAAAAA1-060.2235.90165 [32]
60 [22]South Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA1-059.9438.59149 [33]
61 [5]Callaway5 - AA0-159.800.00305 [57]
62 [9]Mary Persons2 - AAAA0-159.7256.0263 [11]
63 [2]Irwin County2 - A1-059.6833.36182 [12]
64 [6]Fitzgerald1 - AA1-059.5723.92225 [31]
65 [10]Carrollton7 - AAAAA0-059.520.00307 [54]
66 [11]Wayne County2 - AAAAA0-059.320.00391 [54]
67 [23]West Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA0-159.2972.5217 [8]
68 [7]Washington County3 - AA1-058.0044.56119 [12]
69 [12]Veterans1 - AAAAA1-057.3143.75123 [14]
70 [10]Sandy Creek5 - AAAA0-057.260.00363 [51]
71 [24]Etowah4 - AAAAAAA1-056.7825.68218 [39]
72 [2]Athens Academy8 - A1-056.6539.84144 [3]
73 [8]Dublin3 - AA1-056.3641.26135 [16]
74 [25]Newton8 - AAAAAAA1-056.2124.28223 [40]
75 [10]Sequoyah6 - AAAAAA0-055.780.00367 [58]
76 [11]Thomson3 - AAAA0-055.780.00382 [51]
77 [9]Dodge County3 - AA1-055.6539.80145 [18]
78 [26]East Coweta2 - AAAAAAA0-155.3278.0311 [6]
79 [11]Dalton6 - AAAAAA1-055.2830.27200 [36]
80 [12]Tucker4 - AAAAAA0-155.1083.085 [2]
81 [27]Collins Hill6 - AAAAAAA0-054.720.00312 [47]
82 [13]Lanier8 - AAAAAA1-054.6841.51134 [29]
83 [7]Westminster (Atlanta)5 - AAA0-154.6762.1140 [3]
84 [12]Flowery Branch7 - AAAA1-054.6017.24249 [34]
85 [28]South Gwinnett8 - AAAAAAA1-054.5248.21100 [27]
86 [14]Mays5 - AAAAAA0-154.3861.9441 [10]
87 [8]Monroe Area8 - AAA1-054.3528.97205 [26]
88 [15]Gainesville8 - AAAAAA1-054.2457.9454 [13]
89 [9]Pierce County2 - AAA1-054.2311.71269 [34]
90 [13]Griffin3 - AAAAA1-053.8437.01158 [22]
91 [16]Houston County1 - AAAAAA1-053.7240.82139 [30]
92 [14]Clarke Central8 - AAAAA1-053.6138.45151 [21]
93 [13]Oconee County8 - AAAA1-053.5753.0579 [13]
94 [14]Ridgeland6 - AAAA0-153.5170.4721 [3]
95 [15]Chapel Hill5 - AAAA1-052.9745.84115 [22]
96 [10]Crisp County1 - AAA1-052.7737.18157 [16]
97 [29]Cherokee4 - AAAAAAA1-052.5740.87138 [31]
98 [3]Prince Avenue Christian8 - A1-052.4531.43193 [5]
99 [16]Cedartown5 - AAAA0-152.2163.8434 [7]
100 [17]Richmond Hill2 - AAAAAA1-051.9334.95171 [33]
101 [11]Pace Academy5 - AAA1-051.9034.49174 [18]
102 [12]Dawson County7 - AAA1-051.6937.72154 [15]
103 [30]Wheeler2 - AAAAAAA1-051.4738.82147 [32]
104 [10]Jefferson County4 - AA0-051.400.00332 [57]
105 [13]Jefferson8 - AAA0-151.2751.7985 [9]
106 [31]Woodstock4 - AAAAAAA0-150.8665.6729 [11]
107 [18]Douglas County5 - AAAAAA0-150.7274.9615 [4]
108 [32]Pebblebrook2 - AAAAAAA1-050.7033.28183 [36]
109 [15]East Paulding7 - AAAAA0-050.660.00317 [54]
110 [16]Thomas County Central1 - AAAAA1-050.3634.11177 [26]
111 [33]Central Gwinnett7 - AAAAAAA0-149.9956.3060 [18]
112 [14]Westside (Macon)4 - AAA1-049.7132.30187 [22]
113 [17]Starr's Mill3 - AAAAA0-049.570.00373 [54]
114 [19]Creekside5 - AAAAAA0-149.2063.1337 [9]
115 [15]Jackson4 - AAA1-049.1242.11129 [12]
116 [11]Thomasville1 - AA0-149.0858.7750 [4]
117 [20]Alpharetta7 - AAAAAA0-049.040.00294 [58]
118 [17]West Laurens2 - AAAA1-048.863.78284 [39]
119 [18]Ola4 - AAAAA1-048.8542.38127 [16]
120 [21]Centennial7 - AAAAAA0-148.7171.7818 [5]
121 [16]Liberty County2 - AAA0-048.450.00342 [52]
122 [12]Vidalia2 - AA0-048.370.00388 [57]
123 [22]Stephenson4 - AAAAAA1-048.1923.15231 [40]
124 [13]Bremen5 - AA0-147.7762.9838 [2]
125 [34]Newnan2 - AAAAAAA0-147.6254.7568 [20]
126 [23]Johns Creek7 - AAAAAA1-047.450.00333 [58]
127 [3]Commerce8 - A1-047.4236.71160 [10]
128 [24]Evans3 - AAAAAA1-047.2346.53113 [24]
129 [18]Stephens County8 - AAAA1-047.1723.42229 [32]
130 [19]Carver (Atlanta)6 - AAAAA1-047.0835.23169 [24]
131 [35]Kennesaw Mountain3 - AAAAAAA0-047.050.00337 [47]
132 [17]Jenkins3 - AAA1-046.9034.22175 [19]
133 [19]Pickens6 - AAAA1-046.89-3.41404 [52]
134 [20]Southwest DeKalb5 - AAAAA1-046.8534.77172 [25]
135 [25]Northgate5 - AAAAAA0-046.690.00354 [58]
136 [14]Swainsboro2 - AA0-046.110.00379 [57]
137 [26]Hughes5 - AAAAAA0-146.0966.7926 [7]
138 [4]Marion County4 - A1-045.9331.64190 [14]
139 [21]Harris County1 - AAAAA1-045.6640.77140 [18]
140 [5]Pelham1 - A1-045.6531.72189 [13]
141 [20]North Oconee8 - AAAA1-045.565.62282 [38]
142 [21]Upson-Lee2 - AAAA0-145.5359.0949 [9]
143 [4]Wesleyan5 - A1-045.3836.55161 [4]
144 [22]LaGrange5 - AAAA1-045.3646.76110 [20]
145 [15]Heard County5 - AA0-144.9843.58124 [13]
146 [22]Villa Rica7 - AAAAA1-044.8830.93196 [28]
147 [23]Cedar Shoals8 - AAAAA1-044.8029.92201 [29]
148 [27]Effingham County2 - AAAAAA0-144.7545.44117 [26]
149 [28]Lovejoy4 - AAAAAA1-044.6840.41143 [31]
150 [29]Brunswick2 - AAAAAA0-144.6663.4635 [8]
151 [23]Baldwin3 - AAAA0-144.5658.0053 [10]
152 [30]Alexander5 - AAAAAA0-044.530.00293 [58]
153 [5]Calvary Day3 - A0-044.330.00306 [32]
154 [24]Howard2 - AAAA0-144.2167.3624 [4]
155 [25]Eastside4 - AAAA0-144.1650.6392 [18]
156 [24]Locust Grove4 - AAAAA0-143.8950.9088 [6]
157 [36]Lassiter4 - AAAAAAA0-143.8864.6633 [14]
158 [18]North Hall7 - AAA1-043.8820.33240 [30]
159 [37]North Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA0-142.6554.3571 [21]
160 [26]Carver (Columbus)1 - AAAA0-142.5547.44104 [19]
161 [19]Morgan County8 - AAA1-042.3035.03170 [17]
162 [31]Bradwell Institute2 - AAAAAA0-141.5857.4356 [14]
163 [16]Screven County4 - AA1-040.920.00366 [57]
164 [32]Heritage (Conyers)3 - AAAAAA1-040.9229.83202 [37]
165 [17]Douglass6 - AA1-040.6927.71213 [29]
166 [38]Lambert5 - AAAAAAA0-140.6153.2578 [22]
167 [20]Hart County8 - AAA1-040.5232.24188 [23]
168 [25]Banneker6 - AAAAA0-140.4144.68118 [11]
169 [33]Sprayberry6 - AAAAAA0-140.3761.7342 [11]
170 [6]Charlton County2 - A1-040.290.00310 [47]
171 [34]Winder-Barrow8 - AAAAAA0-140.2355.3965 [17]
172 [26]Riverwood6 - AAAAA1-040.1319.99242 [33]
173 [27]Hiram7 - AAAAA0-040.090.00330 [54]
174 [6]Darlington6 - A1-039.9930.63199 [6]
175 [7]Savannah Christian3 - A0-139.8456.6558 [1]
176 [27]White County7 - AAAA0-039.820.00394 [51]
177 [39]Peachtree Ridge6 - AAAAAAA0-139.7352.9080 [23]
178 [28]Westover1 - AAAA1-039.6629.64203 [28]
179 [35]Habersham Central8 - AAAAAA0-139.5053.4777 [20]
180 [7]Emanuel County Institute3 - A0-139.4854.5869 [4]
181 [40]Shiloh8 - AAAAAAA1-039.4624.15224 [41]
182 [21]Appling County2 - AAA0-039.430.00295 [52]
183 [41]Forsyth Central5 - AAAAAAA1-039.33-3.79406 [48]
184 [8]Mount Paran Christian6 - A0-039.230.00351 [32]
185 [29]Perry2 - AAAA0-139.0451.9484 [15]
186 [28]Statesboro2 - AAAAA0-039.000.00374 [54]
187 [22]Pike County4 - AAA1-038.74-22.13416 [56]
188 [9]George Walton Academy8 - A1-038.6924.78222 [10]
189 [42]Meadowcreek7 - AAAAAAA0-138.3347.16106 [28]
190 [29]Union Grove4 - AAAAA0-038.180.00387 [54]
191 [30]Richmond Academy3 - AAAA1-037.7728.41208 [30]
192 [43]Rockdale County8 - AAAAAAA1-037.4133.85179 [35]
193 [31]Columbus1 - AAAA1-037.4028.58207 [29]
194 [32]Spalding2 - AAAA0-137.0153.8473 [12]
195 [18]Chattooga7 - AA1-036.9122.89233 [33]
196 [30]Loganville8 - AAAAA0-136.8144.08121 [13]
197 [10]Fellowship Christian6 - A1-036.7818.32246 [13]
198 [36]Grovetown3 - AAAAAA0-136.7353.7174 [19]
199 [8]Manchester4 - A1-036.4420.73238 [18]
200 [23]Southeast Bulloch3 - AAA0-036.430.00371 [52]
201 [9]Mitchell County1 - A0-136.1358.6051 [2]
202 [19]Bleckley County3 - AA1-035.543.16285 [43]
203 [33]Americus-Sumter1 - AAAA0-135.4050.9986 [16]
204 [34]Northside (Columbus)1 - AAAA0-035.290.00355 [51]
205 [31]Arabia Mountain5 - AAAAA0-135.2347.08107 [8]
206 [37]Pope7 - AAAAAA0-035.110.00359 [58]
207 [20]Union County8 - AA0-035.040.00386 [57]
208 [35]West Hall7 - AAAA0-134.9345.64116 [23]
209 [32]Woodland (Stockbridge)4 - AAAAA0-134.7746.85109 [10]
210 [36]Hardaway1 - AAAA0-034.700.00326 [51]
211 [33]Paulding County7 - AAAAA0-134.5663.2936 [4]
212 [37]Central (Carrollton)5 - AAAA1-034.2718.14247 [33]
213 [34]New Hampstead2 - AAAAA0-134.2246.90108 [9]
214 [38]Heritage (Ringgold)6 - AAAA1-034.2025.49219 [31]
215 [38]Cambridge7 - AAAAAA0-134.1258.4452 [12]
216 [21]Elbert County8 - AA0-134.0242.30128 [14]
217 [39]Lakeside (Evans)3 - AAAAAA1-033.980.00339 [58]
218 [11]Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)5 - A1-033.9727.14216 [9]
219 [22]Jeff Davis2 - AA1-033.8512.40266 [37]
220 [10]Schley County4 - A0-133.4247.71103 [5]
221 [40]Mundy's Mill4 - AAAAAA1-033.4122.04235 [41]
222 [35]Jonesboro3 - AAAAA1-033.4120.37239 [32]
223 [11]Mount Zion (Carroll)6 - A0-132.9734.21176 [11]
224 [12]Dooly County4 - A0-032.880.00315 [47]
225 [13]Turner County2 - A1-032.8016.07252 [21]
226 [12]Aquinas7 - A1-032.7715.57253 [15]
227 [44]Campbell2 - AAAAAAA0-132.7146.66111 [29]
228 [41]New Manchester5 - AAAAAA0-132.7150.1293 [21]
229 [36]South Effingham2 - AAAAA1-032.702.84287 [40]
230 [42]Greenbrier3 - AAAAAA0-032.650.00321 [58]
231 [37]Maynard Jackson6 - AAAAA0-132.5770.4422 [3]
232 [23]Lamar County5 - AA1-032.4331.19194 [27]
233 [24]Pepperell7 - AA0-132.4141.77133 [15]
234 [25]Early County1 - AA0-132.3348.5899 [9]
235 [26]Southwest3 - AA0-132.3049.7194 [8]
236 [14]Trion6 - A1-032.1920.21241 [19]
237 [38]Eagle's Landing4 - AAAAA0-132.0635.63168 [23]
238 [39]Riverdale3 - AAAAA1-031.789.89274 [38]
239 [39]Madison County8 - AAAA0-131.7046.58112 [21]
240 [40]Salem4 - AAAA0-131.6242.70125 [24]
241 [27]Berrien1 - AA0-131.5857.9055 [5]
242 [43]South Cobb6 - AAAAAA0-131.5048.9296 [22]
243 [40]Woodland (Cartersville)7 - AAAAA1-031.2312.76263 [35]
244 [41]Northwest Whitfield6 - AAAA1-030.90-5.37407 [53]
245 [44]Apalachee8 - AAAAAA0-130.7556.1362 [16]
246 [45]Northview7 - AAAAAA0-030.720.00356 [58]
247 [24]North Murray6 - AAA0-030.510.00353 [52]
248 [13]Hebron Christian Academy8 - A0-029.990.00328 [32]
249 [15]Macon County4 - A0-129.9343.87122 [6]
250 [28]Toombs County2 - AA1-029.83-23.08417 [59]
251 [25]Central (Macon)4 - AAA0-029.780.00309 [52]
252 [14]Mount Vernon Presbyterian5 - A0-129.6550.6790 [2]
253 [26]Cook1 - AAA0-129.6439.66146 [13]
254 [46]Drew4 - AAAAAA0-129.5985.232 [1]
255 [15]Holy Innocents5 - A1-029.4716.95251 [14]
256 [29]Northeast3 - AA0-128.9235.75166 [23]
257 [41]Lithonia5 - AAAAA1-028.8210.39273 [37]
258 [47]South Paulding5 - AAAAAA0-028.680.00370 [58]
259 [42]Denmark7 - AAAA0-028.610.00398 [51]
260 [30]Spencer5 - AA0-128.5837.40155 [20]
261 [27]Ringgold6 - AAA0-128.4953.5076 [8]
262 [16]Telfair County2 - A0-028.020.00380 [47]
263 [28]Monroe1 - AAA1-027.985.92281 [35]
264 [16]Stratford Academy7 - A0-027.830.00377 [32]
265 [31]Washington6 - AA0-127.7140.69141 [17]
266 [48]Tri-Cities5 - AAAAAA0-027.550.00384 [58]
267 [29]Windsor Forest3 - AAA1-027.4917.33248 [31]
268 [49]North Atlanta7 - AAAAAA1-027.4214.13256 [43]
269 [32]Hephzibah4 - AA0-126.6335.99164 [22]
270 [33]Harlem4 - AA0-026.590.00327 [57]
271 [42]Walnut Grove8 - AAAAA0-126.5640.47142 [19]
272 [34]Metter2 - AA0-026.550.00348 [57]
273 [43]Decatur6 - AAAAA1-026.389.62275 [39]
274 [17]North Cobb Christian6 - A0-026.220.00352 [32]
275 [18]Tattnall Square7 - A1-026.15-1.37401 [34]
276 [45]Duluth6 - AAAAAAA0-125.9341.24136 [30]
277 [44]Cass7 - AAAAA0-025.910.00308 [54]
278 [45]Whitewater3 - AAAAA0-025.740.00395 [54]
279 [35]Bacon County2 - AA0-125.7061.3543 [3]
280 [17]Greene County7 - A0-025.680.00322 [47]
281 [19]Christian Heritage6 - A1-025.6214.03257 [16]
282 [20]Mount de Sales7 - A1-025.2211.34270 [18]
283 [30]Franklin County8 - AAA0-125.2048.9595 [10]
284 [43]Hampton4 - AAAA1-024.9917.17250 [35]
285 [18]Lincoln County7 - A0-124.790.00343 [47]
286 [31]Adairsville6 - AAA0-124.6738.69148 [14]
287 [21]Savannah Country Day3 - A0-024.330.00365 [32]
288 [32]Sonoraville6 - AAA0-024.300.00369 [52]
289 [50]Alcovy3 - AAAAAA0-124.2856.2161 [15]
290 [22]Brookstone4 - A0-124.260.00300 [32]
291 [19]Claxton3 - A1-024.1719.45244 [20]
292 [51]River Ridge6 - AAAAAA0-123.8955.0067 [18]
293 [33]Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe6 - AAA0-123.7132.42186 [21]
294 [34]Jackson County8 - AAA1-023.5912.58265 [33]
295 [46]Columbia5 - AAAAA0-123.1548.19101 [7]
296 [46]Discovery6 - AAAAAAA0-123.0560.9546 [16]
297 [52]Morrow4 - AAAAAA0-122.9470.4920 [6]
298 [53]M.L. King4 - AAAAAA0-022.890.00346 [58]
299 [44]Shaw1 - AAAA1-022.820.19292 [40]
300 [20]Taylor County4 - A0-122.5138.22152 [7]
301 [21]Atkinson County2 - A1-022.0313.34262 [23]
302 [36]Coosa7 - AA0-121.9933.98178 [26]
303 [54]Chattahoochee7 - AAAAAA0-121.7741.91132 [28]
304 [35]Haralson County6 - AAA1-021.763.15286 [36]
305 [22]Miller County1 - A0-021.730.00349 [47]
306 [23]Whitefield Academy6 - A1-021.62-9.75412 [36]
307 [23]Wilcox County2 - A0-020.920.00396 [47]
308 [37]B.E.S.T. Academy6 - AA1-020.905.35283 [42]
309 [45]McDonough4 - AAAA0-020.720.00329 [51]
310 [55]Mount Zion (Jonesboro)4 - AAAAAA0-120.3733.41181 [34]
311 [47]McIntosh3 - AAAAA0-120.2631.63191 [27]
312 [48]North Springs6 - AAAAA0-120.1138.56150 [20]
313 [38]South Atlanta6 - AA0-119.9236.05163 [21]
314 [24]Washington-Wilkes7 - A0-019.810.00390 [47]
315 [24]First Presbyterian7 - A0-019.700.00318 [32]
316 [46]Cross Creek3 - AAAA0-019.080.00314 [51]
317 [36]East Hall7 - AAA0-119.0256.3859 [6]
318 [49]Fayette County3 - AAAAA0-118.9526.77217 [31]
319 [37]Redan5 - AAA1-018.8415.27254 [32]
320 [47]Luella4 - AAAA0-018.590.00345 [51]
321 [48]Chestatee7 - AAAA0-118.5542.09131 [25]
322 [56]Dunwoody7 - AAAAAA0-018.530.00316 [58]
323 [39]Butler4 - AA0-018.070.00303 [57]
324 [38]Tattnall County2 - AAA0-117.6722.39234 [28]
325 [39]Beach3 - AAA0-017.610.00296 [52]
326 [40]Laney4 - AA0-117.3534.55173 [25]
327 [25]Jenkins County3 - A0-117.3327.49214 [16]
328 [25]Mount Pisgah Christian6 - A0-116.9529.47204 [7]
329 [40]Brantley County2 - AAA0-016.710.00299 [52]
330 [26]Bowdon6 - A1-016.650.00298 [47]
331 [26]Walker6 - A1-015.718.35277 [19]
332 [50]Miller Grove5 - AAAAA0-115.2718.84245 [34]
333 [27]Montgomery County3 - A0-115.1223.81227 [17]
334 [49]Dougherty1 - AAAA0-114.8283.944 [2]
335 [27]Strong Rock Christian5 - A0-014.590.00378 [32]
336 [50]Southeast Whitfield6 - AAAA0-114.5533.01184 [27]
337 [41]Banks County8 - AA0-114.3725.37220 [30]
338 [41]Worth County1 - AAA0-114.2931.02195 [24]
339 [42]Glenn Hills4 - AA0-114.1835.63167 [24]
340 [51]Grady6 - AAAAA0-114.1327.42215 [30]
341 [51]LaFayette6 - AAAA1-014.107.51278 [37]
342 [42]Towers5 - AAA1-013.962.77288 [37]
343 [28]Johnson County3 - A0-013.830.00335 [47]
344 [29]Hancock Central7 - A0-013.800.00325 [47]
345 [28]Pinecrest Academy6 - A0-013.650.00358 [32]
346 [30]Terrell County1 - A1-013.6313.42261 [22]
347 [31]McIntosh County Academy3 - A0-113.4956.0264 [3]
348 [29]St. Francis6 - A0-013.150.00372 [32]
349 [43]Islands3 - AAA0-013.080.00331 [52]
350 [43]Therrell6 - AA1-012.70-7.83409 [58]
351 [32]Seminole County1 - A0-112.5565.9527 [1]
352 [30]Riverside Military Academy8 - A0-112.2523.84226 [11]
353 [44]Fannin County7 - AAA1-012.05-14.47414 [55]
354 [52]North Clayton4 - AAAA0-111.6733.56180 [26]
355 [33]Chattahoochee County1 - A0-111.6311.84268 [24]
356 [47]Lakeside (Atlanta)7 - AAAAAAA0-111.4028.16209 [37]
357 [34]Gordon Lee6 - A1-010.910.85290 [26]
358 [57]Forest Park4 - AAAAAA0-110.3928.82206 [38]
359 [44]Monticello8 - AA0-19.5623.44228 [32]
360 [52]Johnson (Gainesville)8 - AAAAA1-08.97-18.38415 [56]
361 [35]Warren County7 - A1-08.33-1.61402 [48]
362 [45]Bryan County2 - AA0-08.190.00301 [57]
363 [53]Lithia Springs6 - AAAAA0-07.770.00344 [54]
364 [46]Putnam County8 - AA0-17.4047.34105 [11]
365 [47]Temple5 - AA0-07.230.00381 [57]
366 [31]Athens Christian8 - A0-16.5713.92259 [17]
367 [48]Jordan5 - AA0-15.9227.98210 [28]
368 [49]Model7 - AA0-15.7312.32267 [38]
369 [50]East Laurens3 - AA0-15.5750.6491 [7]
370 [51]KIPP Atlanta Collegiate6 - AA0-15.3520.90237 [34]
371 [36]Hawkinsville4 - A0-14.9437.32156 [8]
372 [45]Murray County6 - AAA1-04.34-5.95408 [54]
373 [37]Wilkinson County7 - A0-03.650.00397 [47]
374 [52]McNair6 - AA0-12.7713.96258 [36]
375 [32]Pacelli4 - A1-01.75-3.53405 [35]
376 [33]Lakeview Academy8 - A0-01.500.00340 [32]
377 [53]Gordon Central7 - AA0-11.3719.97243 [35]
378 [54]Westside (Augusta)4 - AA0-01.320.00392 [57]
379 [46]Long County2 - AAA0-11.0630.92197 [25]
380 [34]Providence Christian8 - A1-00.77-74.09422 [38]
381 [35]King's Ridge Christian6 - A0-00.510.00338 [32]
382 [36]Our Lady of Mercy5 - A0-10.4127.93211 [8]
383 [47]Lumpkin County7 - AAA0-10.39-1.64403 [53]
384 [48]Savannah3 - AAA0-10.330.00364 [52]
385 [49]East Jackson8 - AAA1-00.142.17289 [38]
386 [55]Social Circle8 - AA0-00.130.00368 [57]
387 [38]Lanier County2 - A0-1-0.880.00341 [47]
388 [56]Dade County7 - AA0-1-0.939.13276 [40]
389 [53]Druid Hills4 - AAAA1-0-1.26-24.88418 [54]
390 [50]Kendrick4 - AAA0-1-1.5921.04236 [29]
391 [51]Stone Mountain5 - AAA0-1-1.6348.6798 [11]
392 [48]Berkmar7 - AAAAAAA0-0-1.670.00297 [47]
393 [54]Chamblee5 - AAAAA0-1-2.0141.11137 [17]
394 [39]Calhoun County1 - A0-0-2.660.00304 [47]
395 [57]Josey4 - AA0-0-2.910.00336 [57]
396 [52]Rutland4 - AAA0-0-3.280.00362 [52]
397 [40]Portal3 - A0-1-3.396.55279 [25]
398 [53]Coahulla Creek6 - AAA0-1-3.5932.68185 [20]
399 [41]Greenville4 - A0-0-3.680.00323 [47]
400 [42]Towns County8 - A0-1-4.130.00383 [47]
401 [58]Armuchee7 - AA0-1-4.176.13280 [41]
402 [54]Johnson (Savannah)3 - AAA0-0-4.420.00334 [52]
403 [37]Landmark Christian5 - A0-1-5.31-0.03399 [33]
404 [43]Treutlen3 - A1-0-7.24-37.44419 [49]
405 [58]Osborne6 - AAAAAA0-1-7.8312.70264 [44]
406 [55]Cherokee Bluff7 - AAA0-1-7.9723.41230 [27]
407 [56]Groves3 - AAA0-0-8.290.00324 [52]
408 [38]Georgia Military College7 - A1-0-9.78-48.12420 [37]
409 [54]Gilmer6 - AAAA0-1-12.6913.84260 [36]
410 [44]Baconton Charter1 - A1-0-13.94-53.29421 [50]
411 [45]Wheeler County3 - A0-0-14.590.00393 [47]
412 [46]Crawford County4 - A0-0-14.630.00313 [47]
413 [59]Oglethorpe County8 - AA0-1-16.6010.76272 [39]
414 [47]Twiggs County7 - A0-1-21.3031.61192 [15]
415 [48]Stewart County1 - A0-0-22.070.00375 [47]
416 [49]Central (Talbotton)4 - A0-1-23.9136.96159 [9]
417 [55]Clarkston5 - AAAAA†0-1-24.88-1.26400 [55]
418 [50]Randolph-Clay1 - A0-0-31.150.00360 [47]
419 [1]ACE Charter7 - A†0-1-39.22-9.02411 [2]
420 [2]Glascock County7 - A†0-1-46.33-8.00410 [1]
421 [3]Pataula Charter1 - A†0-1-51.51-12.16413 [3]
422 [56]Cross Keys5 - AAAAA†0-1-74.090.77291 [41]
† - Plays a non-region schedule

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the Competitive Rating is the rating required for a new team to that region to have a chance of going undefeated in a round robin schedule among region teams equal to the chance of being selected region champion if picked at random. For example, there are four teams in 1-AAAAAAA, so the chance of a new team being region champion if picked at random is 1 / (4 + 1) = 20%. Therefore the Competitive Rating is the rating required to go undefeated in a round robin tournament among region teams 20% of the time. This rating favors regions with larger numbers of highly rated teams. The “Average Rating” is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank Region Comp Rating Avg Rating
11 - AAAAAAA91.1581.13
28 - AAAAAAA82.5658.06
33 - AAAAAAA82.4669.89
41 - AAAAAA80.2668.64
56 - AAAAAAA76.7052.55
67 - AAAA75.0945.31
71 - AAAAA73.7858.92
84 - AAAAAAA73.6858.33
97 - AAAAAAA73.6848.88
105 - AAAA72.8654.92
115 - AAAAAAA70.7552.46
124 - AAAAA68.8949.38
135 - AAA67.2242.04
146 - AAAAAA66.3546.93
157 - AAAAA66.2546.23
168 - AAAAA65.7140.72
172 - AAAAAAA63.0150.73
188 - AAAA62.0648.98
194 - AAA60.9536.21
208 - AAAAAA60.6747.06
211 - AA60.0046.84
223 - AAAA59.9045.12
232 - AAAAAA59.4948.77
242 - AAAAA58.6744.60
253 - AA58.2740.08
265 - AAAAAA57.5742.62
272 - AAAA57.3945.51
282 - A56.3232.48
295 - A56.1826.75
307 - AAA53.9924.47
311 - AAAA53.5435.76
325 - AA53.4533.28
336 - AAA53.0523.40
348 - A52.8023.12
 8-Div A - A52.9733.62
 8-Div B - A37.6915.66
358 - AAA52.7335.57
367 - AAAAAA51.3934.68
374 - AAAAAA51.3131.47
387 - AA50.3316.87
393 - AAA50.2019.73
403 - AAAAA49.9932.61
412 - AAA49.8529.86
424 - AAAA49.5225.14
438 - AA48.3716.25
446 - AA48.3421.82
456 - AAAA48.1727.41
463 - AAAAAA47.3235.97
472 - AA46.9531.49
486 - AAAAA45.6728.83
491 - AAA44.5730.27
506 - A43.5922.79
 6-Div A - A39.8626.54
 6-Div B - A36.6119.22
514 - AA43.4820.91
524 - A42.4718.05
 4-Div A - A38.7913.93
 4-Div B - A35.2820.84
533 - A42.0717.70
 3-Div A - A40.8724.47
 3-Div B - A29.9810.80
545 - AAAAA39.5525.19
551 - A36.157.85
567 - A35.6217.09
 7-Div B - A31.2517.52
 7-Div A - A29.3416.54

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date Team Opponent Score Diff Pct Likelihood
08/23Mary PersonsGainesville21 - 273.7059.2%0.444
08/23Toombs CountyTwiggs County14 - 052.9199.5%0.463
08/23Heard CountyLaGrange9 - 241.4053.5%0.474
08/23Lumpkin CountyEast Jackson22 - 252.0355.1%0.474
08/23PickensStone Mountain28 - 1450.3099.4%0.480
08/23Terrell CountyChattahoochee County12 - 60.2150.5%0.503
08/23Oconee CountyJefferson21 - 200.5251.3%0.505
08/23EvansEffingham County18 - 150.7051.7%0.508
08/23LovettGreater Atlanta Christian30 - 291.1252.8%0.511
08/23Pace AcademyNew Manchester7 - 617.4085.1%0.518
08/23Lamar CountyMount Zion (Carroll)27 - 61.2553.1%0.525
08/23LovejoyBanneker21 - 204.2760.5%0.536
08/23CartersvilleAllatoona14 - 1314.0280.2%0.538
08/23WestlakeCreekside23 - 2213.9380.1%0.539
08/23Harris CountyCarver (Columbus)28 - 264.8962.0%0.543

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating Date Team Opponent Score Diff Pct
89.3009/27Colquitt CountyGrayson - 9.2471.6%
86.9511/01Colquitt CountyLowndes - 9.8572.8%
86.2210/18GraysonArcher - 0.9852.4%
83.8908/24Colquitt CountyNorth Gwinnett17 - 613.7879.9%
82.9009/20Colquitt CountyWarner Robins - 15.5282.5%
81.4109/06LowndesParkview - 4.7561.7%
80.8509/27ArcherBuford - 5.0162.3%
80.8209/13ArcherMill Creek - 5.0562.4%
80.0109/27MiltonParkview - 0.8752.2%
79.6210/11North GwinnettMill Creek - 1.5053.7%
78.7809/20North GwinnettWalton - 5.4063.2%
78.7709/06MiltonBuford - 1.5053.7%
78.7411/01Blessed TrinityMarist - 5.3163.0%
78.5110/18McEachernMarietta - 4.9362.1%
78.2310/11McEachernHillgrove - 7.5167.9%

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

More Stories

The Latest

081624 hs milton

Maxwell 2025 season summary | Buford, TCC, Carrollton top teams in state

Maxwell GHSA championship predictions: Carrollton-Buford highest rated matchup in 45 years

Gainesville, Calvary Day get boost after big victories | Maxwell summary

Featured

Sea Island mansion

Trump official, Fortune 500 CEO linked to purchase of $30M Sea Island retreat

Atlanta goes another year without completing citizen review of officer-involved deaths

Coca-Cola is famous for its ads. Its first was in its hometown newspaper.