Maxwell Week 7 summary

By Loren Maxwell

Updated Oct 8, 2019

The Maxwell Ratings will rank the Georgia High School Association’s 422 teams throughout the 2019 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season’s games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.

The current total weight of all team’s historical performance is 14.49%.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 1,080 of 1,136 total games including 0 tie(s) (95.07%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within 12.68 points.

The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team's opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Home Advantage: 0.97

By Class

AAAAAAA				AAAAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Lowndes	7-0	99.14	1	Valdosta	5-1	84.76
2	Colquitt County	5-1	91.79	2	Dacula	6-0	74.33
3	McEachern	5-0	84.74	3	Coffee	5-1	74.14
4	Grayson	4-1	82.31	4	Harrison	6-0	71.08
5	North Gwinnett	5-1	81.60	5	Lee County	5-1	69.75
6	Parkview	4-1	80.56	6	Allatoona	4-1	64.90
7	Archer	3-2	78.63	7	Dalton	5-1	62.56
8	Mill Creek	5-1	78.16	8	Lanier	6-0	62.08
9	Hillgrove	5-0	76.02	9	Houston County	4-2	59.62
10	Camden County	5-0	75.05	10	Glynn Academy	2-3	58.12
11	Milton	2-3	74.69	11	Northside (Warner Robins)	3-3	57.68
12	Marietta	4-1	73.93	12	Tucker	4-2	55.17
13	Newton	5-1	69.12	13	Brunswick	3-3	54.64
14	Roswell	3-1	67.31	14	South Paulding	4-1	54.42
15	North Paulding	5-0	66.43	15	Creekview	4-2	53.85

AAAAA				AAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Buford	6-0	83.74	1	Marist	6-0	75.92
2	Warner Robins	5-1	77.62	2	Cartersville	6-0	73.44
3	Carrollton	6-0	70.09	3	Blessed Trinity	4-1	72.02
4	Dutchtown	6-0	68.90	4	Woodward Academy	5-0	70.94
5	Jones County	6-0	67.39	5	Sandy Creek	5-0	67.24
6	Ware County	3-3	66.76	6	Burke County	5-1	63.08
7	Rome	4-2	64.67	7	Flowery Branch	5-0	62.61
8	Bainbridge	5-1	62.32	8	West Laurens	5-1	61.33
9	Stockbridge	6-0	62.18	9	Cairo	5-1	57.06
10	Kell	4-1	60.89	10	Troup	4-2	56.91
11	Veterans	5-1	57.90	11	Oconee County	5-1	56.86
12	Ola	4-2	56.85	12	Chapel Hill	3-2	52.92
13	Clarke Central	4-2	56.73	13	Denmark	5-0	50.68
14	South Effingham	5-1	56.57	14	Howard	4-2	49.80
15	Wayne County	4-1	56.51	15	Thomson	2-4	48.15

AAA				AA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Cedar Grove	4-2	74.13	1	Rockmart	6-0	64.24
2	Peach County	5-1	70.27	2	Rabun County	6-0	63.70
3	Pierce County	5-0	62.99	3	Dublin	5-0	63.48
4	Greater Atlanta Christian	5-1	62.61	4	Hapeville Charter	4-1	62.22
5	Crisp County	4-3	59.23	5	Callaway	5-1	61.92
6	Westminster (Atlanta)	2-3	57.92	6	Swainsboro	4-1	55.01
7	Lovett	4-2	57.56	7	Fitzgerald	5-1	53.75
8	Benedictine	3-2	56.37	8	Brooks County	3-3	53.01
9	Jefferson	4-1	55.62	9	Washington County	4-1	51.71
10	Jenkins	5-1	53.40	10	Dodge County	3-3	45.71
11	Liberty County	3-0	53.20	11	Union County	6-0	44.32
12	Hart County	5-0	51.26	12	Bleckley County	4-2	44.11
13	North Murray	5-1	49.86	13	Bremen	2-3	43.43
14	Calhoun	4-1	49.80	14	Jefferson County	4-2	43.13
15	Appling County	4-1	48.68	15	Thomasville	2-4	39.75

A - Public				A - Private
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Irwin County	5-0	67.51	1	Eagle's Landing Christian	5-1	66.21
2	Clinch County	5-1	58.96	2	Holy Innocents	6-0	62.96
3	Pelham	5-0	43.51	3	Athens Academy	5-0	58.19
4	Commerce	4-1	43.19	4	Wesleyan	4-2	46.53
5	Wilcox County	5-1	38.59	5	Darlington	6-0	45.52
6	Bowdon	5-0	38.37	6	Prince Avenue Christian	4-2	43.76
7	Mitchell County	4-1	35.97	7	Fellowship Christian	5-0	43.62
8	Manchester	4-1	33.48	8	Savannah Christian	2-2	39.49
9	Lincoln County	4-2	33.02	9	Hebron Christian	3-2	38.17
10	Marion County	4-2	30.68	10	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	5-1	38.12
11	Turner County	5-1	29.29	11	Aquinas	5-0	36.56
12	McIntosh County Academy	2-3	28.62	12	Calvary Day	4-1	36.20
13	Johnson County	4-1	26.05	13	Christian Heritage	4-1	33.41
14	Emanuel County Institute	2-4	25.50	14	North Cobb Christian	4-1	32.80
15	Trion	5-1	24.96	15	Mount Paran Christian	3-1	31.66

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

Rank	Team	Region	Rec	Rating	SchStr	Rank
1 [1]	Lowndes	1 - AAAAAAA	7-0	99.14	67.41	11 [11]
2 [2]	Colquitt County	1 - AAAAAAA	5-1	91.79	70.80	4 [4]
3 [1]	Valdosta	1 - AAAAAA	5-1	84.76	64.06	13 [1]
4 [3]	McEachern	3 - AAAAAAA	5-0	84.74	56.66	31 [21]
5 [1]	Buford	8 - AAAAA	6-0	83.74	60.71	17 [3]
6 [4]	Grayson	8 - AAAAAAA	4-1	82.31	68.43	8 [8]
7 [5]	North Gwinnett	6 - AAAAAAA	5-1	81.60	60.41	18 [14]
8 [6]	Parkview	7 - AAAAAAA	4-1	80.56	70.37	5 [5]
9 [7]	Archer	8 - AAAAAAA	3-2	78.63	69.68	7 [7]
10 [8]	Mill Creek	6 - AAAAAAA	5-1	78.16	57.98	24 [18]
11 [2]	Warner Robins	1 - AAAAA	5-1	77.62	57.73	28 [4]
12 [9]	Hillgrove	3 - AAAAAAA	5-0	76.02	49.06	68 [33]
13 [1]	Marist	7 - AAAA	6-0	75.92	45.95	96 [15]
14 [10]	Camden County	1 - AAAAAAA	5-0	75.05	54.91	40 [25]
15 [11]	Milton	5 - AAAAAAA	2-3	74.69	71.08	3 [3]
16 [2]	Dacula	8 - AAAAAA	6-0	74.33	48.06	75 [15]
17 [3]	Coffee	1 - AAAAAA	5-1	74.14	36.63	193 [47]
18 [1]	Cedar Grove	5 - AAA	4-2	74.13	59.29	20 [1]
19 [12]	Marietta	3 - AAAAAAA	4-1	73.93	69.93	6 [6]
20 [2]	Cartersville	5 - AAAA	6-0	73.44	39.17	168 [31]
21 [3]	Blessed Trinity	7 - AAAA	4-1	72.02	53.98	42 [2]
22 [4]	Harrison	6 - AAAAAA	6-0	71.08	39.70	162 [39]
23 [4]	Woodward Academy	4 - AAAA	5-0	70.94	32.29	237 [38]
24 [2]	Peach County	4 - AAA	5-1	70.27	47.81	77 [5]
25 [3]	Carrollton	7 - AAAAA	6-0	70.09	44.84	107 [22]
26 [5]	Lee County	1 - AAAAAA	5-1	69.75	37.50	182 [45]
27 [13]	Newton	8 - AAAAAAA	5-1	69.12	49.12	67 [32]
28 [4]	Dutchtown	4 - AAAAA	6-0	68.90	47.19	85 [16]
29 [1]	Irwin County	2 - A	5-0	67.51	32.66	236 [6]
30 [5]	Jones County	4 - AAAAA	6-0	67.39	44.12	114 [23]
31 [14]	Roswell	4 - AAAAAAA	3-1	67.31	39.63	163 [43]
32 [5]	Sandy Creek	5 - AAAA	5-0	67.24	40.49	148 [25]
33 [6]	Ware County	2 - AAAAA	3-3	66.76	66.36	12 [1]
34 [15]	North Paulding	3 - AAAAAAA	5-0	66.43	40.79	143 [40]
35 [1]	Eagle's Landing Christian	5 - A	5-1	66.21	43.17	122 [1]
36 [6]	Allatoona	6 - AAAAAA	4-1	64.90	43.75	118 [27]
37 [7]	Rome	7 - AAAAA	4-2	64.67	46.12	94 [18]
38 [1]	Rockmart	7 - AA	6-0	64.24	26.10	287 [30]
39 [2]	Rabun County	8 - AA	6-0	63.70	26.93	281 [27]
40 [16]	Tift County	1 - AAAAAAA	2-4	63.60	68.16	9 [9]
41 [3]	Dublin	3 - AA	5-0	63.48	38.90	172 [10]
42 [17]	South Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	3-2	63.19	60.91	15 [12]
43 [6]	Burke County	3 - AAAA	5-1	63.08	47.10	86 [11]
44 [3]	Pierce County	2 - AAA	5-0	62.99	35.29	209 [21]
45 [2]	Holy Innocents	5 - A	6-0	62.96	33.98	220 [3]
46 [4]	Greater Atlanta Christian	7 - AAA	5-1	62.61	45.17	103 [6]
47 [7]	Flowery Branch	7 - AAAA	5-0	62.61	40.16	156 [28]
48 [7]	Dalton	6 - AAAAAA	5-1	62.56	41.21	139 [34]
49 [18]	North Cobb	3 - AAAAAAA	4-1	62.52	47.03	87 [34]
50 [8]	Bainbridge	1 - AAAAA	5-1	62.32	53.43	45 [7]
51 [4]	Hapeville Charter	6 - AA	4-1	62.22	30.10	255 [21]
52 [19]	Collins Hill	6 - AAAAAAA	3-2	62.18	60.78	16 [13]
53 [9]	Stockbridge	4 - AAAAA	6-0	62.18	40.25	154 [31]
54 [8]	Lanier	8 - AAAAAA	6-0	62.08	41.94	133 [31]
55 [20]	Mountain View	6 - AAAAAAA	3-3	61.98	59.43	19 [15]
56 [5]	Callaway	5 - AA	5-1	61.92	33.54	225 [17]
57 [8]	West Laurens	2 - AAAA	5-1	61.33	48.66	72 [8]
58 [21]	East Coweta	2 - AAAAAAA	1-4	61.31	78.77	1 [1]
59 [10]	Kell	7 - AAAAA	4-1	60.89	45.29	101 [21]
60 [22]	Norcross	7 - AAAAAAA	1-5	60.00	72.17	2 [2]
61 [23]	Westlake	2 - AAAAAAA	2-3	59.71	67.98	10 [10]
62 [9]	Houston County	1 - AAAAAA	4-2	59.62	49.35	63 [13]
63 [24]	Walton	4 - AAAAAAA	2-3	59.50	59.26	21 [16]
64 [25]	Shiloh	8 - AAAAAAA	6-0	59.43	33.18	229 [44]
65 [5]	Crisp County	1 - AAA	4-3	59.23	55.16	38 [3]
66 [26]	West Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	1-3	59.00	56.04	32 [22]
67 [2]	Clinch County	2 - A	5-1	58.96	38.21	177 [2]
68 [3]	Athens Academy	8 - A	5-0	58.19	26.49	282 [10]
69 [10]	Glynn Academy	2 - AAAAAA	2-3	58.12	57.71	30 [2]
70 [6]	Westminster (Atlanta)	5 - AAA	2-3	57.92	58.19	23 [2]
71 [11]	Veterans	1 - AAAAA	5-1	57.90	47.28	83 [15]
72 [11]	Northside (Warner Robins)	1 - AAAAAA	3-3	57.68	55.09	39 [5]
73 [7]	Lovett	5 - AAA	4-2	57.56	50.98	56 [4]
74 [9]	Cairo	1 - AAAA	5-1	57.06	36.84	190 [33]
75 [27]	Etowah	4 - AAAAAAA	3-3	57.03	55.80	33 [23]
76 [10]	Troup	5 - AAAA	4-2	56.91	48.94	69 [6]
77 [11]	Oconee County	8 - AAAA	5-1	56.86	44.90	106 [16]
78 [12]	Ola	4 - AAAAA	4-2	56.85	51.15	54 [9]
79 [13]	Clarke Central	8 - AAAAA	4-2	56.73	52.94	47 [8]
80 [14]	South Effingham	2 - AAAAA	5-1	56.57	42.71	126 [25]
81 [15]	Wayne County	2 - AAAAA	4-1	56.51	40.14	157 [32]
82 [8]	Benedictine	3 - AAA	3-2	56.37	18.67	349 [54]
83 [9]	Jefferson	8 - AAA	4-1	55.62	26.40	283 [42]
84 [12]	Tucker	4 - AAAAAA	4-2	55.17	41.65	135 [32]
85 [6]	Swainsboro	2 - AA	4-1	55.01	43.11	124 [6]
86 [16]	Griffin	3 - AAAAA	5-1	54.78	42.63	128 [26]
87 [13]	Brunswick	2 - AAAAAA	3-3	54.64	48.86	70 [14]
88 [28]	South Gwinnett	8 - AAAAAAA	3-3	54.60	53.88	43 [26]
89 [14]	South Paulding	5 - AAAAAA	4-1	54.42	47.54	78 [16]
90 [15]	Creekview	6 - AAAAAA	4-2	53.85	44.95	105 [23]
91 [7]	Fitzgerald	1 - AA	5-1	53.75	33.08	231 [19]
92 [29]	Cherokee	4 - AAAAAAA	4-2	53.74	46.14	93 [36]
93 [10]	Jenkins	3 - AAA	5-1	53.40	31.61	245 [31]
94 [16]	Johns Creek	7 - AAAAAA	4-1	53.29	33.71	223 [54]
95 [11]	Liberty County	2 - AAA	3-0	53.20	31.82	242 [29]
96 [8]	Brooks County	1 - AA	3-3	53.01	49.17	65 [2]
97 [12]	Chapel Hill	5 - AAAA	3-2	52.92	50.64	58 [4]
98 [30]	Newnan	2 - AAAAAAA	3-2	52.72	49.61	62 [30]
99 [17]	Mays	5 - AAAAAA	4-1	52.13	36.40	196 [50]
100 [17]	Statesboro	2 - AAAAA	3-2	52.08	50.81	57 [10]
101 [9]	Washington County	3 - AA	4-1	51.71	36.11	198 [15]
102 [18]	Stephenson	4 - AAAAAA	4-1	51.67	39.75	161 [38]
103 [31]	Brookwood	7 - AAAAAAA	2-3	51.62	51.37	53 [28]
104 [19]	Creekside	5 - AAAAAA	4-2	51.41	39.12	170 [42]
105 [12]	Hart County	8 - AAA	5-0	51.26	33.37	227 [26]
106 [13]	Denmark	7 - AAAA	5-0	50.68	19.53	343 [48]
107 [13]	North Murray	6 - AAA	5-1	49.86	24.64	296 [44]
108 [14]	Howard	2 - AAAA	4-2	49.80	42.93	125 [20]
109 [14]	Calhoun	6 - AAA	4-1	49.80	28.29	268 [38]
110 [20]	Alpharetta	7 - AAAAAA	3-2	48.79	45.91	97 [20]
111 [15]	Appling County	2 - AAA	4-1	48.68	36.65	192 [15]
112 [15]	Thomson	3 - AAAA	2-4	48.15	53.63	44 [3]
113 [16]	St. Pius X	8 - AAAA	3-3	48.11	48.30	73 [9]
114 [21]	Douglas County	5 - AAAAAA	4-2	48.11	41.25	138 [33]
115 [16]	Pace Academy	5 - AAA	4-1	47.92	30.03	257 [35]
116 [17]	Mary Persons	2 - AAAA	3-3	47.79	44.82	109 [17]
117 [18]	Carver (Columbus)	1 - AAAA	5-1	47.62	27.80	272 [43]
118 [22]	Alexander	5 - AAAAAA	3-2	47.59	42.47	129 [30]
119 [23]	Richmond Hill	2 - AAAAAA	2-3	47.58	52.77	48 [6]
120 [18]	Starr's Mill	3 - AAAAA	3-3	47.49	47.37	82 [14]
121 [19]	Thomas County Central	1 - AAAAA	4-1	47.33	35.23	210 [40]
122 [20]	Carver (Atlanta)	6 - AAAAA	5-1	47.31	29.27	262 [47]
123 [21]	Southwest DeKalb	5 - AAAAA	5-1	46.69	26.25	285 [49]
124 [19]	North Oconee	8 - AAAA	6-0	46.55	22.59	317 [46]
125 [4]	Wesleyan	5 - A	4-2	46.53	39.41	165 [2]
126 [22]	Hiram	7 - AAAAA	3-2	46.38	43.89	116 [24]
127 [23]	Cedar Shoals	8 - AAAAA	4-2	45.84	40.66	144 [29]
128 [24]	Jonesboro	3 - AAAAA	3-3	45.79	47.82	76 [13]
129 [25]	Union Grove	4 - AAAAA	3-2	45.75	37.92	180 [34]
130 [10]	Dodge County	3 - AA	3-3	45.71	44.20	113 [5]
131 [26]	New Hampstead	2 - AAAAA	3-3	45.67	50.19	60 [11]
132 [24]	Sprayberry	6 - AAAAAA	2-3	45.65	55.44	37 [4]
133 [5]	Darlington	6 - A	6-0	45.52	23.57	306 [15]
134 [20]	Eastside	4 - AAAA	3-2	45.28	35.81	203 [34]
135 [32]	Pebblebrook	2 - AAAAAAA	2-3	45.06	50.99	55 [29]
136 [27]	Harris County	1 - AAAAA	4-2	44.77	42.31	130 [27]
137 [11]	Union County	8 - AA	6-0	44.32	16.69	365 [51]
138 [33]	North Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	3-2	44.27	40.19	155 [42]
139 [25]	Sequoyah	6 - AAAAAA	2-3	44.23	43.17	123 [29]
140 [21]	Cedartown	5 - AAAA	2-4	44.23	46.34	92 [14]
141 [12]	Bleckley County	3 - AA	4-2	44.11	35.89	201 [16]
142 [6]	Prince Avenue Christian	8 - A	4-2	43.76	30.59	249 [6]
143 [22]	Perry	2 - AAAA	3-3	43.66	44.21	112 [18]
144 [26]	Lovejoy	4 - AAAAAA	4-2	43.65	37.10	187 [46]
145 [7]	Fellowship Christian	6 - A	5-0	43.62	15.76	369 [26]
146 [3]	Pelham	1 - A	5-0	43.51	2.23	411 [46]
147 [34]	Central Gwinnett	7 - AAAAAAA	1-5	43.46	58.33	22 [17]
148 [27]	Pope	7 - AAAAAA	4-2	43.43	36.44	195 [49]
149 [13]	Bremen	5 - AA	2-3	43.43	45.23	102 [3]
150 [28]	Riverwood	6 - AAAAA	6-0	43.36	24.28	300 [51]
151 [23]	Baldwin	3 - AAAA	1-5	43.19	57.84	26 [1]
152 [4]	Commerce	8 - A	4-1	43.19	18.91	347 [23]
153 [29]	Riverdale	3 - AAAAA	5-1	43.18	24.34	299 [50]
154 [14]	Jefferson County	4 - AA	4-2	43.13	28.00	271 [23]
155 [35]	Woodstock	4 - AAAAAAA	1-4	43.11	53.22	46 [27]
156 [17]	Islands	3 - AAA	5-1	43.04	30.36	252 [34]
157 [28]	Evans	3 - AAAAAA	2-2	42.95	44.31	110 [25]
158 [18]	Westside (Macon)	4 - AAA	4-2	42.80	35.34	208 [20]
159 [29]	Gainesville	8 - AAAAAA	2-4	42.73	52.09	50 [8]
160 [36]	Wheeler	2 - AAAAAAA	2-3	42.65	46.03	95 [37]
161 [30]	Grovetown	3 - AAAAAA	3-2	42.53	43.20	121 [28]
162 [24]	Upson-Lee	2 - AAAA	2-4	42.51	48.67	71 [7]
163 [19]	Dawson County	7 - AAA	5-1	42.51	23.44	307 [46]
164 [20]	Jackson	4 - AAA	3-2	41.98	35.81	202 [18]
165 [37]	Rockdale County	8 - AAAAAAA	4-2	41.97	40.52	146 [41]
166 [31]	Winder-Barrow	8 - AAAAAA	2-4	41.96	47.53	79 [17]
167 [25]	Westover	1 - AAAA	4-1	41.69	30.13	254 [41]
168 [32]	M.L. King	4 - AAAAAA	4-1	41.13	35.94	199 [51]
169 [30]	Locust Grove	4 - AAAAA	0-5	40.85	62.04	14 [2]
170 [26]	Northwest Whitfield	6 - AAAA	4-1	40.80	25.75	288 [44]
171 [31]	Columbia	5 - AAAAA	2-4	40.60	48.23	74 [12]
172 [33]	Effingham County	2 - AAAAAA	2-4	40.48	47.51	80 [18]
173 [32]	Paulding County	7 - AAAAA	3-3	40.37	41.67	134 [28]
174 [21]	Morgan County	8 - AAA	5-1	40.26	27.01	279 [40]
175 [27]	Central (Carrollton)	5 - AAAA	3-3	40.16	41.50	137 [22]
176 [15]	Thomasville	1 - AA	2-4	39.75	54.72	41 [1]
177 [34]	North Atlanta	7 - AAAAAA	4-1	39.57	31.83	241 [56]
178 [8]	Savannah Christian	3 - A	2-2	39.49	-2.44	417 [37]
179 [33]	Whitewater	3 - AAAAA	1-5	39.27	55.63	34 [6]
180 [28]	White County	7 - AAAA	3-3	39.14	41.09	140 [23]
181 [34]	East Paulding	7 - AAAAA	0-5	38.98	57.72	29 [5]
182 [38]	Peachtree Ridge	6 - AAAAAAA	1-5	38.97	57.79	27 [20]
183 [5]	Wilcox County	2 - A	5-1	38.59	16.54	366 [29]
184 [16]	Pepperell	7 - AA	5-1	38.57	21.33	331 [39]
185 [17]	Douglass	6 - AA	5-1	38.55	19.92	340 [43]
186 [6]	Bowdon	6 - A	5-0	38.37	24.51	297 [11]
187 [35]	Hughes	5 - AAAAAA	1-5	38.25	51.84	51 [9]
188 [9]	Hebron Christian	8 - A	3-2	38.17	32.13	239 [4]
189 [10]	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	5 - A	5-1	38.12	27.34	276 [9]
190 [36]	Habersham Central	8 - AAAAAA	2-3	37.91	40.90	142 [35]
191 [22]	Monroe Area	8 - AAA	4-2	37.67	29.30	261 [37]
192 [18]	Vidalia	2 - AA	4-1	37.63	17.39	362 [49]
193 [37]	Lakeside (Evans)	3 - AAAAAA	4-0	37.57	22.45	318 [58]
194 [23]	North Hall	7 - AAA	3-3	37.34	34.58	216 [23]
195 [19]	Metter	2 - AA	4-2	37.03	27.41	275 [26]
196 [29]	Ridgeland	6 - AAAA	1-4	36.96	49.14	66 [5]
197 [38]	Cambridge	7 - AAAAAA	3-3	36.67	36.44	194 [49]
198 [11]	Aquinas	7 - A	5-0	36.56	13.11	380 [28]
199 [12]	Calvary Day	3 - A	4-1	36.20	20.18	336 [19]
200 [20]	Jeff Davis	2 - AA	6-0	36.12	10.37	393 [56]
201 [21]	Northeast	3 - AA	2-4	36.09	39.17	167 [9]
202 [7]	Mitchell County	1 - A	4-1	35.97	3.75	408 [44]
203 [39]	Bradwell Institute	2 - AAAAAA	2-3	35.78	38.85	173 [43]
204 [40]	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	4 - AAAAAA	2-4	35.75	40.45	149 [37]
205 [30]	Madison County	8 - AAAA	3-3	35.01	38.10	179 [32]
206 [41]	Mundy's Mill	4 - AAAAAA	3-4	34.94	39.13	169 [41]
207 [35]	Maynard Jackson	6 - AAAAA	4-2	34.88	28.09	269 [48]
208 [42]	Morrow	4 - AAAAAA	2-4	34.71	44.10	115 [26]
209 [31]	Hardaway	1 - AAAA	3-3	34.52	33.91	221 [36]
210 [43]	Northview	7 - AAAAAA	3-3	34.46	33.37	226 [55]
211 [39]	Lassiter	4 - AAAAAAA	1-4	34.30	49.21	64 [31]
212 [44]	Heritage (Conyers)	3 - AAAAAA	2-3	34.13	40.64	145 [36]
213 [22]	Hephzibah	4 - AA	4-1	33.80	17.12	363 [50]
214 [36]	Cass	7 - AAAAA	3-3	33.61	37.23	184 [35]
215 [8]	Manchester	4 - A	4-1	33.48	13.15	379 [34]
216 [13]	Christian Heritage	6 - A	4-1	33.41	19.74	341 [20]
217 [32]	LaGrange	5 - AAAA	2-3	33.39	40.35	151 [27]
218 [33]	Americus-Sumter	1 - AAAA	2-3	33.27	40.52	147 [24]
219 [23]	Heard County	5 - AA	1-4	33.25	44.23	111 [4]
220 [24]	Elbert County	8 - AA	3-3	33.09	27.44	274 [25]
221 [37]	Eagle's Landing	4 - AAAAA	1-5	33.03	45.35	100 [20]
222 [9]	Lincoln County	7 - A	4-2	33.02	22.41	320 [19]
223 [38]	Villa Rica	7 - AAAAA	1-4	32.94	40.32	152 [30]
224 [25]	Screven County	4 - AA	5-1	32.88	18.14	354 [46]
225 [14]	North Cobb Christian	6 - A	4-1	32.80	21.65	328 [17]
226 [34]	Stephens County	8 - AAAA	1-5	32.68	47.22	84 [10]
227 [26]	Early County	1 - AA	4-2	32.55	17.91	358 [47]
228 [35]	Richmond Academy	3 - AAAA	3-2	32.36	31.65	244 [40]
229 [36]	Shaw	1 - AAAA	4-1	32.08	22.10	324 [47]
230 [40]	Forsyth Central	5 - AAAAAAA	3-1	31.98	-0.38	415 [48]
231 [41]	Discovery	6 - AAAAAAA	1-4	31.80	57.89	25 [19]
232 [15]	Mount Paran Christian	6 - A	3-1	31.66	7.19	403 [33]
233 [27]	Southwest	3 - AA	2-3	31.50	39.89	159 [8]
234 [39]	Banneker	6 - AAAAA	2-4	31.33	35.34	207 [39]
235 [28]	Toombs County	2 - AA	4-1	31.28	12.10	385 [55]
236 [42]	Meadowcreek	7 - AAAAAAA	3-3	31.23	27.08	278 [46]
237 [16]	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	5 - A	3-3	31.12	28.50	266 [8]
238 [17]	George Walton Academy	8 - A	5-1	31.05	6.02	405 [35]
239 [29]	Lamar County	5 - AA	6-0	30.96	8.48	397 [57]
240 [18]	Savannah Country Day	3 - A	5-0	30.92	16.04	368 [25]
241 [24]	Haralson County	6 - AAA	5-0	30.88	8.12	398 [56]
242 [40]	Loganville	8 - AAAAA	1-5	30.71	39.44	164 [33]
243 [10]	Marion County	4 - A	4-2	30.68	19.71	342 [22]
244 [37]	Heritage (Ringgold)	6 - AAAA	4-2	30.65	25.01	294 [45]
245 [41]	Decatur	6 - AAAAA	4-2	30.55	22.81	315 [52]
246 [19]	Mount de Sales	7 - A	5-0	30.44	7.55	401 [32]
247 [20]	Whitefield Academy	6 - A	5-1	30.17	13.50	378 [27]
248 [45]	Northgate	5 - AAAAAA	0-6	29.89	49.97	61 [12]
249 [25]	Sonoraville	6 - AAA	3-2	29.86	23.30	310 [47]
250 [46]	New Manchester	5 - AAAAAA	1-5	29.79	45.09	104 [22]
251 [30]	South Atlanta	6 - AA	5-1	29.59	14.08	375 [54]
252 [47]	Dunwoody	7 - AAAAAA	2-4	29.51	38.44	175 [44]
253 [48]	Alcovy	3 - AAAAAA	1-4	29.49	51.69	52 [10]
254 [11]	Turner County	2 - A	5-1	29.29	19.92	339 [21]
255 [38]	Pickens	6 - AAAA	4-2	29.11	11.56	389 [54]
256 [39]	Columbus	1 - AAAA	1-4	28.98	46.44	91 [13]
257 [49]	Apalachee	8 - AAAAAA	2-4	28.65	33.88	222 [53]
258 [50]	Centennial	7 - AAAAAA	0-5	28.62	50.23	59 [11]
259 [12]	McIntosh County Academy	3 - A	2-3	28.62	37.10	188 [3]
260 [31]	Chattooga	7 - AA	3-3	28.50	29.37	260 [22]
261 [43]	Kennesaw Mountain	3 - AAAAAAA	0-5	28.40	43.37	120 [38]
262 [26]	Fannin County	7 - AAA	4-1	27.98	19.97	338 [53]
263 [42]	Lithonia	5 - AAAAA	3-3	27.95	29.52	259 [46]
264 [40]	Spalding	2 - AAAA	1-5	27.93	43.76	117 [19]
265 [27]	Monroe	1 - AAA	3-4	27.45	33.15	230 [27]
266 [43]	Woodland (Stockbridge)	4 - AAAAA	1-5	27.31	46.83	89 [17]
267 [51]	River Ridge	6 - AAAAAA	2-4	27.12	52.22	49 [7]
268 [44]	Fayette County	3 - AAAAA	2-3	26.61	30.09	256 [45]
269 [21]	Brookstone	4 - A	4-1	26.23	7.08	404 [34]
270 [28]	Adairsville	6 - AAA	3-3	26.07	27.09	277 [39]
271 [13]	Johnson County	3 - A	4-1	26.05	14.70	370 [30]
272 [32]	Temple	5 - AA	4-2	26.01	18.95	345 [44]
273 [52]	Chattahoochee	7 - AAAAAA	1-5	25.98	39.36	166 [40]
274 [29]	Central (Macon)	4 - AAA	0-6	25.70	43.57	119 [7]
275 [44]	Campbell	2 - AAAAAAA	0-5	25.56	55.48	36 [24]
276 [14]	Emanuel County Institute	3 - A	2-4	25.50	28.08	270 [10]
277 [30]	Southeast Bulloch	3 - AAA	2-3	25.42	23.18	311 [48]
278 [31]	Cook	1 - AAA	1-6	25.32	37.14	186 [14]
279 [32]	Windsor Forest	3 - AAA	2-3	25.21	29.66	258 [36]
280 [33]	Harlem	4 - AA	3-3	25.11	20.22	335 [42]
281 [45]	Arabia Mountain	5 - AAAAA	1-5	25.07	45.47	98 [19]
282 [15]	Trion	6 - A	5-1	24.96	9.48	396 [42]
283 [53]	South Cobb	6 - AAAAAA	1-5	24.95	55.50	35 [3]
284 [34]	Spencer	5 - AA	2-4	24.84	30.57	250 [20]
285 [16]	Telfair County	2 - A	2-4	24.68	30.18	253 [8]
286 [17]	Schley County	4 - A	3-2	24.59	14.37	372 [31]
287 [33]	Beach	3 - AAA	1-2	24.17	38.39	176 [12]
288 [46]	Grady	6 - AAAAA	2-4	24.15	35.40	205 [38]
289 [54]	Greenbrier	3 - AAAAAA	0-5	23.98	45.40	99 [21]
290 [45]	Lambert	5 - AAAAAAA	0-5	23.57	42.09	132 [39]
291 [34]	Jackson County	8 - AAA	2-4	23.39	30.56	251 [33]
292 [41]	Hampton	4 - AAAA	2-3	22.80	28.30	267 [42]
293 [35]	Brantley County	2 - AAA	3-2	22.75	22.12	323 [49]
294 [42]	Chestatee	7 - AAAA	1-5	22.36	40.09	158 [29]
295 [35]	Washington	6 - AA	2-4	22.23	25.13	293 [32]
296 [22]	St. Francis	6 - A	3-2	22.22	17.99	356 [23]
297 [36]	Pike County	4 - AAA	2-3	22.01	21.41	330 [51]
298 [23]	Stratford Academy	7 - A	1-4	21.76	31.43	246 [5]
299 [43]	McDonough	4 - AAAA	2-3	21.54	32.78	234 [37]
300 [46]	Duluth	6 - AAAAAAA	1-5	21.48	46.86	88 [35]
301 [18]	Claxton	3 - A	3-2	21.39	17.95	357 [26]
302 [55]	Drew	4 - AAAAAA	1-4	21.37	47.46	81 [19]
303 [19]	Dooly County	4 - A	1-4	21.17	34.10	219 [5]
304 [37]	Worth County	1 - AAA	2-4	21.10	33.59	224 [25]
305 [47]	McIntosh	3 - AAAAA	1-4	20.70	31.89	240 [44]
306 [24]	Tattnall Square	7 - A	3-2	20.63	7.76	400 [31]
307 [56]	Tri-Cities	5 - AAAAAA	0-5	20.45	44.84	108 [24]
308 [20]	Washington-Wilkes	7 - A	3-3	20.44	22.60	316 [17]
309 [25]	First Presbyterian	7 - A	2-3	19.81	21.93	325 [16]
310 [21]	Macon County	4 - A	2-3	19.28	22.41	319 [19]
311 [22]	Taylor County	4 - A	3-2	19.21	12.72	383 [36]
312 [36]	Berrien	1 - AA	2-4	19.07	26.17	286 [29]
313 [44]	Northside (Columbus)	1 - AAAA	0-6	18.97	41.61	136 [21]
314 [37]	Westside (Augusta)	4 - AA	3-2	18.81	16.46	367 [52]
315 [26]	Riverside Military Academy	8 - A	3-2	18.80	12.96	382 [29]
316 [45]	North Clayton	4 - AAAA	1-4	18.56	40.37	150 [26]
317 [23]	Terrell County	1 - A	4-2	18.21	13.05	381 [35]
318 [38]	B.E.S.T. Academy	6 - AA	1-5	18.18	37.23	185 [13]
319 [38]	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6 - AAA	2-4	17.91	20.14	337 [52]
320 [39]	East Hall	7 - AAA	1-5	17.88	42.21	131 [8]
321 [46]	LaFayette	6 - AAAA	3-3	17.83	19.51	344 [49]
322 [24]	Mount Zion (Carroll)	6 - A	1-5	16.82	28.72	263 [9]
323 [40]	East Jackson	8 - AAA	3-3	16.64	24.14	301 [45]
324 [25]	Charlton County	2 - A	1-5	16.60	34.85	213 [4]
325 [47]	Luella	4 - AAAA	1-4	16.33	35.11	212 [35]
326 [39]	Therrell	6 - AA	1-5	16.14	37.50	181 [11]
327 [41]	Redan	5 - AAA	2-4	15.97	34.75	214 [22]
328 [42]	Franklin County	8 - AAA	0-4	15.94	38.48	174 [11]
329 [48]	Dougherty	1 - AAAA	0-5	15.85	39.82	160 [30]
330 [48]	Woodland (Cartersville)	7 - AAAAA	1-5	15.65	34.68	215 [42]
331 [26]	Chattahoochee County	1 - A	3-3	15.06	14.14	374 [32]
332 [40]	Laney	4 - AA	2-4	14.80	25.27	291 [31]
333 [41]	Putnam County	8 - AA	2-4	14.63	33.19	228 [18]
334 [49]	Miller Grove	5 - AAAAA	0-5	14.62	35.13	211 [41]
335 [49]	Salem	4 - AAAA	0-5	14.51	32.27	238 [39]
336 [43]	Cherokee Bluff	7 - AAA	1-5	14.41	35.90	200 [17]
337 [27]	Atkinson County	2 - A	2-4	14.20	21.09	333 [20]
338 [42]	Banks County	8 - AA	3-3	14.16	14.27	373 [53]
339 [28]	Montgomery County	3 - A	3-2	13.81	11.69	387 [37]
340 [27]	Walker	6 - A	2-3	13.69	21.59	329 [18]
341 [44]	Tattnall County	2 - AAA	0-5	13.66	34.24	218 [24]
342 [29]	Gordon Lee	6 - A	2-4	13.47	23.76	302 [12]
343 [30]	Warren County	7 - A	3-3	13.20	11.51	390 [39]
344 [28]	Mount Pisgah Christian	6 - A	1-5	12.80	28.56	265 [7]
345 [50]	North Springs	6 - AAAAA	1-5	12.79	36.79	191 [36]
346 [45]	Rutland	4 - AAA	2-4	12.51	31.79	243 [30]
347 [51]	Walnut Grove	8 - AAAAA	0-6	12.45	35.71	204 [37]
348 [31]	Lanier County	2 - A	2-4	12.27	23.71	303 [13]
349 [43]	Model	7 - AA	2-4	12.22	21.13	332 [40]
350 [46]	Johnson (Savannah)	3 - AAA	1-4	11.47	38.19	178 [13]
351 [44]	Monticello	8 - AA	0-6	11.29	37.27	183 [12]
352 [29]	Athens Christian	8 - A	2-3	11.25	17.41	361 [24]
353 [50]	West Hall	7 - AAAA	0-6	11.19	46.76	90 [12]
354 [45]	Coosa	7 - AA	1-5	11.12	26.32	284 [28]
355 [47]	Stone Mountain	5 - AAA	1-4	10.72	31.06	247 [32]
356 [48]	Ringgold	6 - AAA	0-6	10.59	40.31	153 [10]
357 [51]	Cross Creek	3 - AAAA	2-4	10.07	18.95	346 [50]
358 [32]	Jenkins County	3 - A	2-4	9.98	18.09	355 [25]
359 [46]	Glenn Hills	4 - AA	1-4	9.18	24.37	298 [34]
360 [49]	Long County	2 - AAA	1-4	9.18	40.97	141 [9]
361 [57]	Forest Park	4 - AAAAAA	0-5	9.15	34.28	217 [52]
362 [33]	Hancock Central	7 - A	2-3	8.89	10.41	392 [40]
363 [50]	Murray County	6 - AAA	3-3	8.85	11.24	391 [55]
364 [52]	Johnson (Gainesville)	8 - AAAAA	3-3	8.50	10.21	394 [55]
365 [51]	Lumpkin County	7 - AAA	1-4	7.92	25.23	292 [43]
366 [30]	Strong Rock Christian	5 - A	2-4	7.24	18.90	348 [21]
367 [47]	Bacon County	2 - AA	0-6	6.79	36.84	189 [14]
368 [48]	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6 - AA	2-4	6.30	17.87	359 [48]
369 [34]	Greene County	7 - A	1-4	6.23	17.71	360 [27]
370 [35]	Miller County	1 - A	1-5	6.08	23.35	309 [14]
371 [49]	Gordon Central	7 - AA	1-5	5.83	23.40	308 [35]
372 [50]	Butler	4 - AA	0-5	5.81	24.87	295 [33]
373 [36]	Wilkinson County	7 - A	0-5	5.24	39.03	171 [1]
374 [31]	Pacelli	4 - A	4-2	5.00	-1.82	416 [36]
375 [47]	Berkmar	7 - AAAAAAA	3-2	4.65	2.35	410 [47]
376 [51]	East Laurens	3 - AA	1-5	4.23	42.67	127 [7]
377 [53]	Lithia Springs	6 - AAAAA	1-5	3.73	21.89	326 [53]
378 [52]	Gilmer	6 - AAAA	2-3	3.33	12.29	384 [53]
379 [52]	Kendrick	4 - AAA	1-5	3.27	26.96	280 [41]
380 [37]	Greenville	4 - A	1-4	2.70	23.13	312 [15]
381 [38]	Seminole County	1 - A	3-3	2.69	3.09	409 [45]
382 [48]	Lakeside (Atlanta)	7 - AAAAAAA	0-6	2.59	32.70	235 [45]
383 [32]	Landmark Christian	5 - A	2-4	1.57	11.85	386 [30]
384 [53]	Savannah	3 - AAA	1-5	1.10	35.37	206 [19]
385 [52]	Jordan	5 - AA	0-6	0.27	20.91	334 [41]
386 [53]	Druid Hills	4 - AAAA	2-3	0.08	14.68	371 [52]
387 [39]	Treutlen	3 - A	3-3	-0.18	1.71	414 [48]
388 [40]	Hawkinsville	4 - A	1-4	-0.87	22.99	314 [16]
389 [33]	Pinecrest Academy	6 - A	0-5	-1.39	25.53	290 [12]
390 [53]	Bryan County	2 - AA	0-5	-1.89	27.73	273 [24]
391 [34]	King's Ridge Christian	6 - A	1-4	-1.99	18.39	352 [22]
392 [54]	Coahulla Creek	6 - AAA	1-4	-2.41	21.65	327 [50]
393 [35]	Lakeview Academy	8 - A	0-4	-2.60	25.68	289 [11]
394 [54]	Chamblee	5 - AAAAA	0-5	-3.03	32.95	232 [43]
395 [54]	Southeast Whitfield	6 - AAAA	0-6	-4.34	18.60	351 [51]
396 [58]	Osborne	6 - AAAAAA	0-6	-4.47	28.60	264 [57]
397 [55]	Towers	5 - AAA	1-5	-4.49	36.22	197 [16]
398 [36]	Providence Christian	8 - A	1-4	-6.33	23.64	305 [14]
399 [54]	Oglethorpe County	8 - AA	2-4	-6.65	7.83	399 [58]
400 [55]	Dade County	7 - AA	0-6	-7.36	18.61	350 [45]
401 [56]	Armuchee	7 - AA	0-6	-8.16	22.24	321 [37]
402 [41]	Portal	3 - A	0-5	-9.41	16.81	364 [28]
403 [42]	Calhoun County	1 - A	1-4	-9.72	9.55	395 [41]
404 [57]	Josey	4 - AA	0-5	-9.85	22.13	322 [38]
405 [56]	Groves	3 - AAA	0-5	-10.67	32.79	233 [28]
406 [58]	McNair	6 - AA	0-6	-12.63	23.10	313 [36]
407 [43]	Crawford County	4 - A	1-4	-12.81	-3.41	418 [49]
408 [44]	Baconton Charter	1 - A	2-3	-12.88	2.20	413 [47]
409 [59]	Social Circle	8 - AA	1-4	-13.45	5.30	406 [59]
410 [45]	Central (Talbotton)	4 - A	1-4	-13.60	13.59	376 [33]
411 [37]	Our Lady of Mercy	5 - A	0-6	-15.91	23.64	304 [14]
412 [46]	Towns County	8 - A	0-6	-16.78	31.05	248 [7]
413 [38]	Georgia Military College	7 - A	2-4	-17.57	-3.88	419 [38]
414 [47]	Twiggs County	7 - A	0-6	-17.89	18.23	353 [24]
415 [48]	Wheeler County	3 - A	1-4	-18.31	11.63	388 [38]
416 [55]	Clarkston	5 - AAAAA†	0-6	-25.40	13.57	377 [54]
417 [49]	Stewart County	1 - A	1-4	-30.90	-11.86	420 [50]
418 [1]	Glascock County	7 - A†	1-5	-35.09	-19.61	422 [3]
419 [50]	Randolph-Clay	1 - A	0-5	-41.18	7.33	402 [43]
420 [2]	ACE Charter	7 - A†	0-5	-50.68	2.22	412 [1]
421 [3]	Pataula Charter	1 - A†	2-4	-56.30	-15.90	421 [2]
422 [56]	Cross Keys	5 - AAAAA†	0-7	-74.07	4.39	407 [56]

† - Plays a non-region schedule

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the Competitive Rating is the rating required for a new team to that region to have a chance of going undefeated in a round robin schedule among region teams equal to the chance of being selected region champion if picked at random. For example, there are four teams in 1-AAAAAAA, so the chance of a new team being region champion if picked at random is 1 / (4 + 1) = 20%. Therefore the Competitive Rating is the rating required to go undefeated in a round robin tournament among region teams 20% of the time. This rating favors regions with larger numbers of highly rated teams. The “Average Rating” is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank	Region	Comp Rating	Avg Rating
1	1 - AAAAAAA	95.23	82.66
2	3 - AAAAAAA	82.19	68.21
3	1 - AAAAAA	81.00	68.98
4	8 - AAAAAAA	80.03	64.65
5	6 - AAAAAAA	77.43	54.71
6	7 - AAAA	72.07	49.51
7	1 - AAAAA	71.27	57.44
8	8 - AAAAA	69.99	37.86
9	5 - AAAA	69.47	52.35
10	4 - AAAAA	68.82	50.66
11	7 - AAAAAAA	68.64	40.70
12	5 - AAAAAAA	68.61	49.89
13	6 - AAAAAA	68.02	46.11
14	7 - AAAAA	66.38	44.52
15	8 - AAAAAA	66.19	46.54
16	5 - AAA	65.93	40.18
17	4 - AAAAAAA	65.82	52.89
18	2 - AAAAA	65.58	55.45
19	2 - AAAAAAA	61.74	48.54
20	5 - A	60.68	31.92
21	2 - A	58.58	30.02
22	2 - AAAA	58.35	45.66
23	2 - AAAAAA	58.08	47.35
24	3 - AA	58.07	41.21
25	5 - AAAAAA	57.86	41.89
26	2 - AAA	57.19	35.05
27	4 - AAA	56.92	29.51
28	3 - AAAA	56.29	40.59
29	4 - AAAA	55.36	22.81
30	8 - AAAA	54.94	43.82
31	4 - AAAAAA	54.29	37.16
32	3 - AAAAA	54.20	40.21
33	1 - AA	53.17	40.11
34	7 - AAAAAA	53.16	37.64
35	8 - AAA	52.39	34.32
36	1 - AAAA	52.37	34.20
37	5 - AA	51.86	31.50
38	7 - AAA	51.77	28.79
39	3 - AAA	51.76	25.60
40	8 - AA	50.73	18.21
41	8 - A	50.59	23.23
	8-Div A - A	49.88	28.78
	8-Div B - A	38.43	17.47
42	7 - AA	49.11	15.07
43	1 - AAA	48.78	30.84
44	6 - AA	48.71	21.80
45	2 - AA	48.49	30.76
46	6 - AAA	46.75	24.18
47	6 - A	46.56	24.21
	6-Div A - A	43.83	29.46
	6-Div B - A	38.03	18.84
48	3 - AAAAAA	46.28	35.19
49	6 - AAAAA	45.86	29.20
50	5 - AAAAA	41.01	26.20
51	3 - A	39.83	18.89
	3-Div A - A	40.07	27.16
	3-Div B - A	25.61	10.71
52	6 - AAAA	39.81	23.40
53	4 - AA	39.24	19.72
54	7 - A	36.03	15.34
	7-Div B - A	32.52	15.21
	7-Div A - A	28.22	15.48
55	4 - A	34.70	14.00
	4-Div A - A	32.18	14.94
	4-Div B - A	26.43	13.25
56	1 - A	34.26	3.32

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Pct	Likelihood
09/12	Stephenson	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	9 - 14	15.92	83.1%	0.246
09/06	Turner County	Taylor County	7 - 12	9.11	71.3%	0.355
09/13	Peach County	Houston County	31 - 32	9.69	72.5%	0.363
09/14	Cambridge	Dunwoody	19 - 21	8.13	69.3%	0.383
08/30	Cass	Adairsville	7 - 14	6.57	65.8%	0.393
09/06	Woodstock	Cambridge	20 - 22	7.40	67.7%	0.395
09/06	Central (Carrollton)	Mundy's Mill	19 - 27	6.19	65.0%	0.396
09/06	Harlem	Washington-Wilkes	14 - 26	5.64	63.7%	0.397
10/04	Cartersville	Central (Carrollton)	16 - 14	32.31	96.2%	0.400
10/04	Griffin	Starr's Mill	35 - 38	6.32	65.3%	0.409
10/04	Taylor County	Crawford County	50 - 47	32.99	96.4%	0.411
09/13	Veterans	Statesboro	19 - 29	4.85	61.9%	0.416
09/27	Walton	Newnan	7 - 10	5.82	64.2%	0.417
09/13	Colquitt County	Valdosta	49 - 50	6.06	64.7%	0.419
09/20	West Laurens	South Effingham	30 - 31	5.73	63.9%	0.425

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating	Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Pct
93.79	11/01	Lowndes	Colquitt County	-	8.31	69.7%
87.37	09/13	Colquitt County	Valdosta	49 - 50	6.06	64.7%
86.74	09/27	Lowndes	Valdosta	24 - 0	15.34	82.3%
84.46	09/27	Colquitt County	Grayson	31 - 7	10.45	74.0%
84.22	08/24	Colquitt County	North Gwinnett	17 - 6	10.20	73.5%
82.07	09/06	Lowndes	Parkview	38 - 7	19.55	87.6%
80.28	10/18	Grayson	Archer	-	2.71	56.7%
80.27	09/27	Buford	Archer	29 - 28	6.08	64.7%
79.73	10/11	North Gwinnett	Mill Creek	-	2.47	56.1%
79.61	09/20	Colquitt County	Warner Robins	31 - 14	15.14	82.0%
78.39	09/13	Mill Creek	Archer	10 - 7	0.50	51.2%
78.13	10/11	McEachern	Hillgrove	-	9.69	72.5%
77.96	10/18	Colquitt County	Camden County	-	15.77	82.9%
77.25	09/06	Buford	Milton	26 - 23	9.04	71.2%
77.22	10/18	Valdosta	Coffee	-	9.66	72.4%

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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