Maxwell Week 11 summary

By Loren Maxwell

Updated Oct 30, 2018

The Maxwell Ratings will rank the Georgia High School Association's 422 teams throughout the 2018 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season's games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.

The current total weight of all team's historical performance is 0.55%.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 1,753 of 1,868 total games including 0 tie(s) (93.84%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within 13.50 points.

The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team's opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Home Advantage: 1.64

By Class

AAAAAAA				AAAAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Colquitt County	9-0	104.41	1	Lee County	9-0	88.43
2	Grayson	7-2	87.93	2	Creekview	9-0	64.02
3	Parkview	9-0	84.28	3	Valdosta	6-4	63.97
4	Hillgrove	9-0	83.35	4	Northside (Warner Robins)	4-5	62.47
5	Tift County	6-3	76.12	5	Allatoona	7-2	61.72
6	Marietta	4-5	75.02	6	Harrison	8-1	56.18
7	Archer	7-2	74.19	7	Coffee	7-2	54.57
8	Lowndes	7-2	74.10	8	Johns Creek	8-1	54.26
9	North Gwinnett	8-2	73.44	9	Sequoyah	7-2	53.25
10	McEachern	6-3	73.35	10	Dacula	7-2	51.97
11	Milton	7-2	69.23	11	Glynn Academy	5-4	47.56
12	Walton	8-1	68.71	12	Centennial	6-3	45.86
13	Roswell	8-1	67.49	13	Douglas County	7-2	45.63
14	Camden County	6-3	66.72	14	Creekside	6-3	45.21
15	Westlake	7-2	66.22	15	Dalton	5-4	43.89

AAAAA				AAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Rome	10-0	84.39	1	Mary Persons	9-0	81.36
2	Warner Robins	8-1	78.52	2	Blessed Trinity	9-0	73.29
3	Dutchtown	9-0	74.50	3	Cartersville	9-0	70.61
4	Jones County	8-1	67.27	4	Troup	9-0	68.01
5	Buford	7-2	65.45	5	St. Pius X	8-1	64.92
6	Kell	7-2	59.16	6	Marist	8-2	62.85
7	Stockbridge	8-1	57.75	7	Pickens	10-0	55.45
8	Wayne County	9-0	56.61	8	Upson-Lee	6-3	55.09
9	Veterans	8-1	56.12	9	Sandy Creek	6-3	53.18
10	Carrollton	7-2	54.63	10	Flowery Branch	7-2	52.53
11	Ware County	7-2	52.92	11	Eastside	9-0	50.34
12	Bainbridge	4-5	51.35	12	Howard	6-3	49.33
13	East Paulding	5-4	49.08	13	Ridgeland	6-3	49.32
14	Banneker	8-1	47.30	14	Baldwin	4-5	48.85
15	Locust Grove	5-4	46.09	15	Chapel Hill	6-3	47.76

AAA				AA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Cedar Grove	8-1	71.37	1	Rockmart	9-0	61.78
2	Peach County	7-2	67.30	2	Dublin	8-1	60.67
3	Calhoun	9-0	64.29	3	Dodge County	9-1	58.88
4	Monroe Area	9-0	60.55	4	Hapeville Charter	8-1	58.26
5	Greater Atlanta Christian	7-2	54.41	5	Washington County	8-1	56.54
6	Benedictine	8-1	53.92	6	Brooks County	7-2	55.95
7	Westminster (Atlanta)	6-3	53.46	7	Fitzgerald	7-3	54.92
8	Crisp County	6-3	51.57	8	Callaway	8-2	50.11
9	Pierce County	9-0	51.09	9	Bremen	8-1	49.47
10	Dawson County	8-1	47.83	10	Swainsboro	7-2	48.82
11	Westside (Macon)	7-2	46.96	11	Thomasville	5-4	48.35
12	North Hall	8-1	46.08	12	Rabun County	8-1	47.49
13	Pace Academy	6-4	45.56	13	Heard County	7-2	45.76
14	Jefferson	8-2	43.31	14	Vidalia	8-1	43.68
15	Appling County	5-4	43.01	15	Early County	6-3	41.92

A - Public				A - Private
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Irwin County	9-0	70.37	1	Athens Academy	9-0	52.61
2	Clinch County	8-1	58.24	2	Eagle's Landing Christian	8-1	48.51
3	Pelham	9-0	45.22	3	Prince Avenue Christian	8-1	48.00
4	Marion County	9-0	40.75	4	George Walton Academy	7-2	40.64
5	Mount Zion (Carroll)	8-1	38.04	5	Savannah Christian	8-1	40.44
6	Charlton County	6-3	36.04	6	Fellowship Christian	9-0	35.60
7	Commerce	8-1	35.88	7	North Cobb Christian	8-1	34.01
8	Schley County	8-1	32.18	8	Hebron Christian Academy	5-4	32.70
9	Mitchell County	8-1	30.47	9	Calvary Day	8-1	32.21
10	Turner County	6-3	27.67	10	Mount Paran Christian	7-2	30.47
11	Emanuel County Institute	6-3	26.16	11	Darlington	7-2	30.18
12	Trion	6-3	24.46	12	Wesleyan	5-4	26.83
13	Greene County	7-2	23.77	13	Christian Heritage	6-3	26.63
14	Wilcox County	4-5	23.35	14	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	7-2	25.51
15	Telfair County	4-5	20.88	15	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	6-3	25.04

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

Rank	Team	Region	Rec	Rating	SchStr	Rank
1 [1]	Colquitt County	1 - AAAAAAA	9-0	104.41	67.42	2 [2]
2 [1]	Lee County	1 - AAAAAA	9-0	88.43	39.74	91 [12]
3 [2]	Grayson	8 - AAAAAAA	7-2	87.93	55.54	11 [8]
4 [1]	Rome	7 - AAAAA	10-0	84.39	36.38	122 [24]
5 [3]	Parkview	7 - AAAAAAA	9-0	84.28	51.43	23 [16]
6 [4]	Hillgrove	3 - AAAAAAA	9-0	83.35	52.05	16 [11]
7 [1]	Mary Persons	2 - AAAA	9-0	81.36	39.99	88 [17]
8 [2]	Warner Robins	1 - AAAAA	8-1	78.52	53.53	12 [1]
9 [5]	Tift County	1 - AAAAAAA	6-3	76.12	62.64	3 [3]
10 [6]	Marietta	3 - AAAAAAA	4-5	75.02	70.77	1 [1]
11 [3]	Dutchtown	4 - AAAAA	9-0	74.50	39.65	92 [17]
12 [7]	Archer	8 - AAAAAAA	7-2	74.19	56.22	8 [5]
13 [8]	Lowndes	1 - AAAAAAA	7-2	74.10	55.89	10 [7]
14 [9]	North Gwinnett	6 - AAAAAAA	8-2	73.44	46.20	47 [31]
15 [10]	McEachern	3 - AAAAAAA	6-3	73.35	60.04	6 [4]
16 [2]	Blessed Trinity	7 - AAAA	9-0	73.29	43.20	63 [9]
17 [1]	Cedar Grove	5 - AAA	8-1	71.37	30.17	179 [15]
18 [3]	Cartersville	5 - AAAA	9-0	70.61	37.55	110 [21]
19 [1]	Irwin County	2 - A	9-0	70.37	28.96	193 [4]
20 [11]	Milton	5 - AAAAAAA	7-2	69.23	52.60	14 [10]
21 [12]	Walton	4 - AAAAAAA	8-1	68.71	48.67	33 [22]
22 [4]	Troup	5 - AAAA	9-0	68.01	41.90	74 [11]
23 [13]	Roswell	4 - AAAAAAA	8-1	67.49	46.88	42 [27]
24 [2]	Peach County	4 - AAA	7-2	67.30	37.21	113 [6]
25 [4]	Jones County	4 - AAAAA	8-1	67.27	42.89	68 [11]
26 [14]	Camden County	1 - AAAAAAA	6-3	66.72	51.86	19 [13]
27 [15]	Westlake	2 - AAAAAAA	7-2	66.22	48.88	31 [21]
28 [5]	Buford	8 - AAAAA	7-2	65.45	36.04	124 [25]
29 [5]	St. Pius X	8 - AAAA	8-1	64.92	39.36	94 [18]
30 [3]	Calhoun	6 - AAA	9-0	64.29	16.75	313 [41]
31 [2]	Creekview	6 - AAAAAA	9-0	64.02	34.43	141 [28]
32 [3]	Valdosta	1 - AAAAAA	6-4	63.97	61.53	4 [1]
33 [6]	Marist	7 - AAAA	8-2	62.85	40.96	79 [15]
34 [4]	Northside (Warner Robins)	1 - AAAAAA	4-5	62.47	60.60	5 [2]
35 [16]	Mill Creek	6 - AAAAAAA	6-3	62.19	51.54	22 [15]
36 [1]	Rockmart	7 - AA	9-0	61.78	20.20	280 [26]
37 [5]	Allatoona	6 - AAAAAA	7-2	61.72	43.08	65 [8]
38 [17]	North Paulding	3 - AAAAAAA	7-2	61.19	44.90	53 [33]
39 [2]	Dublin	3 - AA	8-1	60.67	31.39	174 [13]
40 [4]	Monroe Area	8 - AAA	9-0	60.55	26.19	221 [25]
41 [6]	Kell	7 - AAAAA	7-2	59.16	39.88	89 [16]
42 [3]	Dodge County	3 - AA	9-1	58.88	39.76	90 [5]
43 [4]	Hapeville Charter	6 - AA	8-1	58.26	21.34	269 [25]
44 [2]	Clinch County	2 - A	8-1	58.24	29.69	186 [3]
45 [7]	Stockbridge	4 - AAAAA	8-1	57.75	29.34	190 [34]
46 [8]	Wayne County	2 - AAAAA	9-0	56.61	34.33	142 [28]
47 [18]	North Cobb	3 - AAAAAAA	6-3	56.55	50.18	26 [18]
48 [5]	Washington County	3 - AA	8-1	56.54	34.56	138 [9]
49 [19]	Norcross	7 - AAAAAAA	5-4	56.49	51.95	18 [12]
50 [6]	Harrison	6 - AAAAAA	8-1	56.18	33.30	154 [34]
51 [9]	Veterans	1 - AAAAA	8-1	56.12	42.64	71 [13]
52 [6]	Brooks County	1 - AA	7-2	55.95	45.88	49 [2]
53 [7]	Pickens	6 - AAAA	10-0	55.45	13.25	348 [52]
54 [8]	Upson-Lee	2 - AAAA	6-3	55.09	50.36	25 [2]
55 [7]	Fitzgerald	1 - AA	7-3	54.92	41.79	75 [4]
56 [20]	Brookwood	7 - AAAAAAA	6-3	54.85	43.45	58 [35]
57 [10]	Carrollton	7 - AAAAA	7-2	54.63	38.29	104 [20]
58 [7]	Coffee	1 - AAAAAA	7-2	54.57	35.33	131 [23]
59 [5]	Greater Atlanta Christian	7 - AAA	7-2	54.41	29.96	183 [16]
60 [8]	Johns Creek	7 - AAAAAA	8-1	54.26	26.59	215 [50]
61 [6]	Benedictine	3 - AAA	8-1	53.92	12.64	354 [49]
62 [7]	Westminster (Atlanta)	5 - AAA	6-3	53.46	40.54	81 [2]
63 [9]	Sequoyah	6 - AAAAAA	7-2	53.25	35.80	125 [20]
64 [9]	Sandy Creek	5 - AAAA	6-3	53.18	43.22	62 [8]
65 [11]	Ware County	2 - AAAAA	7-2	52.92	40.44	82 [15]
66 [21]	West Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	4-5	52.92	46.19	48 [32]
67 [1]	Athens Academy	8 - A	9-0	52.61	23.10	252 [4]
68 [10]	Flowery Branch	7 - AAAA	7-2	52.53	31.83	168 [28]
69 [22]	Mountain View	6 - AAAAAAA	6-3	52.36	46.29	45 [30]
70 [10]	Dacula	8 - AAAAAA	7-2	51.97	35.38	130 [22]
71 [8]	Crisp County	1 - AAA	6-3	51.57	42.96	67 [1]
72 [12]	Bainbridge	1 - AAAAA	4-5	51.35	52.45	15 [2]
73 [9]	Pierce County	2 - AAA	9-0	51.09	7.19	388 [56]
74 [23]	East Coweta	2 - AAAAAAA	3-6	50.65	56.11	9 [6]
75 [11]	Eastside	4 - AAAA	9-0	50.34	17.05	307 [49]
76 [8]	Callaway	5 - AA	8-2	50.11	18.71	295 [31]
77 [9]	Bremen	5 - AA	8-1	49.47	12.05	364 [54]
78 [12]	Howard	2 - AAAA	6-3	49.33	41.44	78 [14]
79 [13]	Ridgeland	6 - AAAA	6-3	49.32	32.43	161 [26]
80 [13]	East Paulding	7 - AAAAA	5-4	49.08	45.73	50 [6]
81 [14]	Baldwin	3 - AAAA	4-5	48.85	51.64	21 [1]
82 [10]	Swainsboro	2 - AA	7-2	48.82	30.01	182 [14]
83 [24]	South Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	5-4	48.62	46.84	43 [28]
84 [2]	Eagle's Landing Christian	5 - A	8-1	48.51	19.80	284 [11]
85 [11]	Thomasville	1 - AA	5-4	48.35	49.26	29 [1]
86 [3]	Prince Avenue Christian	8 - A	8-1	48.00	21.39	265 [6]
87 [10]	Dawson County	7 - AAA	8-1	47.83	15.04	335 [46]
88 [15]	Chapel Hill	5 - AAAA	6-3	47.76	40.18	86 [16]
89 [11]	Glynn Academy	2 - AAAAAA	5-4	47.56	40.19	85 [10]
90 [12]	Rabun County	8 - AA	8-1	47.49	15.97	324 [42]
91 [16]	Cairo	1 - AAAA	7-2	47.45	31.47	173 [30]
92 [14]	Banneker	6 - AAAAA	8-1	47.30	22.31	258 [45]
93 [25]	Newton	8 - AAAAAAA	4-5	47.26	49.50	28 [20]
94 [26]	Newnan	2 - AAAAAAA	5-4	47.24	43.47	57 [34]
95 [17]	West Laurens	2 - AAAA	5-4	47.21	42.72	70 [10]
96 [18]	Burke County	3 - AAAA	7-3	47.13	35.50	129 [24]
97 [11]	Westside (Macon)	4 - AAA	7-2	46.96	30.23	178 [14]
98 [27]	Cherokee	4 - AAAAAAA	4-5	46.75	51.68	20 [14]
99 [19]	Cedartown	5 - AAAA	4-5	46.43	44.02	54 [5]
100 [15]	Locust Grove	4 - AAAAA	5-4	46.09	45.20	51 [7]
101 [12]	North Hall	7 - AAA	8-1	46.08	12.49	356 [51]
102 [12]	Centennial	7 - AAAAAA	6-3	45.86	32.68	159 [38]
103 [28]	Wheeler	2 - AAAAAAA	6-3	45.82	40.69	80 [38]
104 [13]	Heard County	5 - AA	7-2	45.76	25.21	229 [18]
105 [13]	Douglas County	5 - AAAAAA	7-2	45.63	32.87	158 [37]
106 [16]	Thomas County Central	1 - AAAAA	5-4	45.58	42.04	72 [14]
107 [13]	Pace Academy	5 - AAA	6-4	45.56	31.18	175 [12]
108 [3]	Pelham	1 - A	9-0	45.22	-9.02	419 [50]
109 [14]	Creekside	5 - AAAAAA	6-3	45.21	38.99	97 [13]
110 [29]	Etowah	4 - AAAAAAA	4-5	44.72	47.46	39 [26]
111 [20]	North Oconee	8 - AAAA	8-2	44.23	29.09	192 [32]
112 [15]	Dalton	6 - AAAAAA	5-4	43.89	40.33	83 [9]
113 [14]	Vidalia	2 - AA	8-1	43.68	19.85	283 [27]
114 [30]	Collins Hill	6 - AAAAAAA	3-6	43.66	53.49	13 [9]
115 [21]	Perry	2 - AAAA	5-4	43.54	43.28	59 [7]
116 [14]	Jefferson	8 - AAA	8-2	43.31	25.89	224 [26]
117 [15]	Appling County	2 - AAA	5-4	43.01	36.50	120 [8]
118 [17]	Southwest DeKalb	5 - AAAAA	9-0	42.84	18.85	293 [49]
119 [31]	Kennesaw Mountain	3 - AAAAAAA	4-5	42.49	47.70	37 [25]
120 [16]	Richmond Hill	2 - AAAAAA	4-4	42.31	43.93	55 [7]
121 [17]	Stephenson	4 - AAAAAA	8-1	41.98	19.60	285 [58]
122 [15]	Early County	1 - AA	6-3	41.92	38.04	105 [7]
123 [18]	Cedar Shoals	8 - AAAAA	6-3	41.76	33.34	153 [30]
124 [16]	Jefferson County	4 - AA	7-2	41.76	18.03	302 [36]
125 [19]	Clarke Central	8 - AAAAA	6-3	41.08	34.44	140 [27]
126 [18]	Tucker	4 - AAAAAA	7-2	40.96	24.78	239 [53]
127 [19]	Mays	5 - AAAAAA	5-4	40.95	33.03	156 [35]
128 [32]	Woodstock	4 - AAAAAAA	3-6	40.91	48.03	36 [24]
129 [33]	Pebblebrook	2 - AAAAAAA	3-6	40.89	46.54	44 [29]
130 [22]	Carver (Columbus)	1 - AAAA	7-1	40.87	24.94	233 [38]
131 [20]	Lanier	8 - AAAAAA	6-3	40.84	33.85	145 [30]
132 [4]	Marion County	4 - A	9-0	40.75	10.19	374 [25]
133 [16]	Jackson	4 - AAA	5-4	40.70	38.59	102 [3]
134 [4]	George Walton Academy	8 - A	7-2	40.64	15.89	328 [19]
135 [23]	Oconee County	8 - AAAA	5-4	40.47	38.72	101 [19]
136 [5]	Savannah Christian	3 - A	8-1	40.44	12.04	365 [25]
137 [20]	Harris County	1 - AAAAA	3-7	40.29	51.96	17 [3]
138 [34]	Central Gwinnett	7 - AAAAAAA	4-5	40.28	40.24	84 [39]
139 [21]	Starr's Mill	3 - AAAAA	6-3	39.97	28.85	196 [36]
140 [21]	Bradwell Institute	2 - AAAAAA	4-5	39.44	38.93	99 [14]
141 [24]	Richmond Academy	3 - AAAA	7-2	39.42	28.80	197 [33]
142 [22]	Griffin	3 - AAAAA	6-3	39.38	27.50	207 [38]
143 [35]	Forsyth Central	5 - AAAAAAA	6-3	39.32	26.58	216 [48]
144 [17]	Liberty County	2 - AAA	6-2	39.32	27.33	209 [22]
145 [17]	Union County	8 - AA	9-0	39.17	1.97	405 [58]
146 [36]	South Gwinnett	8 - AAAAAAA	4-5	38.30	43.25	61 [36]
147 [5]	Mount Zion (Carroll)	6 - A	8-1	38.04	15.24	334 [16]
148 [18]	Douglass	6 - AA	8-1	37.88	9.88	376 [56]
149 [25]	Stephens County	8 - AAAA	5-4	37.72	36.48	121 [23]
150 [22]	Northgate	5 - AAAAAA	6-3	37.16	33.72	148 [31]
151 [18]	Lovett	5 - AAA	4-5	37.10	36.85	117 [7]
152 [23]	Houston County	1 - AAAAAA	2-7	36.33	56.59	7 [3]
153 [24]	Effingham County	2 - AAAAAA	5-4	36.05	31.99	165 [40]
154 [6]	Charlton County	2 - A	6-3	36.04	30.06	181 [2]
155 [23]	Riverwood	6 - AAAAA	7-2	35.92	16.25	323 [52]
156 [7]	Commerce	8 - A	8-1	35.88	14.00	343 [19]
157 [25]	Alpharetta	7 - AAAAAA	5-4	35.72	33.41	152 [33]
158 [37]	North Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	3-6	35.61	39.60	93 [40]
159 [6]	Fellowship Christian	6 - A	9-0	35.60	9.33	380 [30]
160 [26]	Sprayberry	6 - AAAAAA	2-7	35.50	47.58	38 [5]
161 [26]	Thomson	3 - AAAA	3-6	35.44	41.55	76 [12]
162 [24]	Union Grove	4 - AAAAA	5-4	35.33	31.98	166 [31]
163 [27]	Habersham Central	8 - AAAAAA	5-4	35.20	33.95	143 [29]
164 [25]	Villa Rica	7 - AAAAA	5-4	35.16	33.50	150 [29]
165 [26]	Statesboro	2 - AAAAA	3-6	34.97	42.82	69 [12]
166 [38]	Meadowcreek	7 - AAAAAAA	6-3	34.80	26.62	214 [47]
167 [27]	Hiram	7 - AAAAA	4-5	34.49	38.96	98 [19]
168 [7]	North Cobb Christian	6 - A	8-1	34.01	16.88	310 [14]
169 [28]	New Hampstead	2 - AAAAA	4-4	33.41	31.72	171 [33]
170 [8]	Hebron Christian Academy	8 - A	5-4	32.70	23.34	249 [3]
171 [19]	Elbert County	8 - AA	6-3	32.62	16.55	320 [41]
172 [28]	Hughes	5 - AAAAAA	4-6	32.21	37.57	109 [16]
173 [9]	Calvary Day	3 - A	8-1	32.21	4.30	400 [33]
174 [8]	Schley County	4 - A	8-1	32.18	6.13	394 [34]
175 [29]	Loganville	8 - AAAAA	3-6	32.04	43.55	56 [9]
176 [20]	Berrien	1 - AA	5-4	31.87	32.29	162 [12]
177 [29]	Grovetown	3 - AAAAAA	5-4	31.41	29.44	189 [45]
178 [21]	Washington	6 - AA	7-3	31.24	12.12	361 [51]
179 [39]	Campbell	2 - AAAAAAA	1-8	30.99	51.07	24 [17]
180 [27]	Columbus	1 - AAAA	5-4	30.94	28.32	200 [34]
181 [28]	Woodward Academy	4 - AAAA	5-4	30.54	21.86	261 [44]
182 [29]	Westover	1 - AAAA	4-3	30.51	25.63	227 [37]
183 [19]	Southeast Bulloch	3 - AAA	8-1	30.50	12.35	357 [52]
184 [10]	Mount Paran Christian	6 - A	7-2	30.47	10.26	373 [29]
185 [9]	Mitchell County	1 - A	8-1	30.47	-7.60	416 [47]
186 [30]	Salem	4 - AAAA	6-3	30.42	21.29	271 [45]
187 [30]	Lovejoy	4 - AAAAAA	5-4	30.26	29.54	187 [44]
188 [11]	Darlington	6 - A	7-2	30.18	20.81	274 [7]
189 [31]	White County	7 - AAAA	3-6	30.08	36.58	118 [22]
190 [32]	Denmark	7 - AAAA	5-4	29.94	31.59	172 [29]
191 [31]	Pope	7 - AAAAAA	5-5	29.75	30.08	180 [43]
192 [32]	Brunswick	2 - AAAAAA	3-7	29.61	38.88	100 [15]
193 [33]	LaGrange	5 - AAAA	1-8	29.59	48.68	32 [3]
194 [22]	Hephzibah	4 - AA	8-2	29.54	12.05	363 [54]
195 [23]	Southwest	3 - AA	3-6	29.35	43.09	64 [3]
196 [40]	Lambert	5 - AAAAAAA	3-6	29.31	39.05	96 [41]
197 [33]	Mundy's Mill	4 - AAAAAA	6-3	29.11	21.67	262 [56]
198 [34]	Spalding	2 - AAAA	3-6	29.11	37.63	108 [20]
199 [34]	Alexander	5 - AAAAAA	3-6	28.96	34.88	134 [24]
200 [30]	Maynard Jackson	6 - AAAAA	6-3	28.70	14.40	340 [53]
201 [20]	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6 - AAA	7-2	28.60	13.74	344 [48]
202 [21]	Haralson County	6 - AAA	7-2	28.55	15.91	327 [44]
203 [24]	Chattooga	7 - AA	7-2	28.45	11.17	369 [55]
204 [35]	West Hall	7 - AAAA	2-7	28.43	43.28	60 [7]
205 [41]	Lassiter	4 - AAAAAAA	1-8	28.25	50.12	27 [19]
206 [35]	Gainesville	8 - AAAAAA	2-7	28.22	40.04	87 [11]
207 [36]	Northwest Whitfield	6 - AAAA	6-3	28.16	9.41	379 [54]
208 [36]	Evans	3 - AAAAAA	3-6	28.11	31.87	167 [41]
209 [31]	Riverdale	3 - AAAAA	7-2	27.95	16.59	317 [51]
210 [32]	Arabia Mountain	5 - AAAAA	5-4	27.88	23.32	250 [43]
211 [37]	South Cobb	6 - AAAAAA	2-8	27.84	47.39	40 [6]
212 [33]	Woodland (Stockbridge)	4 - AAAAA	3-6	27.81	39.28	95 [18]
213 [10]	Turner County	2 - A	6-3	27.67	20.37	278 [12]
214 [25]	Northeast	3 - AA	3-6	27.54	37.42	112 [8]
215 [22]	Pike County	4 - AAA	6-3	27.30	12.55	355 [50]
216 [38]	Winder-Barrow	8 - AAAAAA	2-7	27.28	37.11	115 [18]
217 [37]	Central (Carrollton)	5 - AAAA	2-7	27.20	46.27	46 [4]
218 [12]	Wesleyan	5 - A	5-4	26.83	22.57	255 [5]
219 [13]	Christian Heritage	6 - A	6-3	26.63	19.90	282 [10]
220 [26]	Bleckley County	3 - AA	3-6	26.50	38.37	103 [6]
221 [23]	Central (Macon)	4 - AAA	3-7	26.24	33.76	147 [10]
222 [11]	Emanuel County Institute	3 - A	6-3	26.16	8.77	383 [27]
223 [39]	Greenbrier	3 - AAAAAA	2-7	26.06	35.57	127 [21]
224 [34]	Jonesboro	3 - AAAAA	5-5	25.83	28.91	195 [35]
225 [27]	Harlem	4 - AA	6-3	25.82	16.75	312 [40]
226 [24]	Hart County	8 - AAA	4-5	25.71	28.92	194 [18]
227 [40]	Apalachee	8 - AAAAAA	3-6	25.68	33.69	149 [32]
228 [25]	Jenkins	3 - AAA	7-2	25.55	8.66	384 [55]
229 [14]	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	5 - A	7-2	25.51	12.89	352 [23]
230 [26]	Cook	1 - AAA	2-7	25.37	37.97	106 [4]
231 [15]	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	5 - A	6-3	25.04	15.93	326 [18]
232 [27]	Morgan County	8 - AAA	4-5	25.02	27.46	208 [21]
233 [35]	Woodland (Cartersville)	7 - AAAAA	4-5	25.02	31.81	169 [32]
234 [28]	Pepperell	7 - AA	6-3	24.99	14.97	336 [45]
235 [38]	Northside (Columbus)	1 - AAAA	4-5	24.93	27.86	205 [35]
236 [28]	North Murray	6 - AAA	5-4	24.91	21.11	272 [36]
237 [36]	Eagle's Landing	4 - AAAAA	1-8	24.89	45.03	52 [8]
238 [37]	Walnut Grove	8 - AAAAA	2-7	24.89	37.96	107 [21]
239 [41]	Northview	7 - AAAAAA	5-4	24.81	23.34	248 [55]
240 [39]	Hardaway	1 - AAAA	4-4	24.77	22.49	256 [43]
241 [12]	Trion	6 - A	6-3	24.46	15.48	332 [15]
242 [29]	Ringgold	6 - AAA	4-5	24.13	24.88	235 [29]
243 [16]	Aquinas	7 - A	8-1	23.99	7.53	387 [31]
244 [38]	Carver (Atlanta)	6 - AAAAA	4-5	23.96	26.56	217 [39]
245 [13]	Greene County	7 - A	7-2	23.77	10.18	375 [26]
246 [42]	South Paulding	5 - AAAAAA	2-7	23.71	34.64	136 [26]
247 [43]	Lakeside (Evans)	3 - AAAAAA	4-4	23.55	24.81	237 [52]
248 [44]	Heritage (Conyers)	3 - AAAAAA	3-6	23.44	29.34	191 [46]
249 [42]	Duluth	6 - AAAAAAA	4-5	23.36	30.51	177 [45]
250 [29]	Metter	2 - AA	6-3	23.36	15.75	330 [44]
251 [14]	Wilcox County	2 - A	4-5	23.35	24.12	244 [8]
252 [40]	Americus-Sumter	1 - AAAA	3-6	22.95	32.06	164 [27]
253 [30]	Jeff Davis	2 - AA	6-3	22.52	14.63	339 [46]
254 [17]	Whitefield Academy	6 - A	6-3	22.29	11.09	370 [27]
255 [45]	Cambridge	7 - AAAAAA	3-6	22.14	32.27	163 [39]
256 [46]	Tri-Cities	5 - AAAAAA	1-8	21.74	37.16	114 [17]
257 [43]	Shiloh	8 - AAAAAAA	2-7	21.53	33.46	151 [44]
258 [39]	Ola	4 - AAAAA	1-8	21.51	47.06	41 [5]
259 [41]	Madison County	8 - AAAA	2-7	21.38	35.05	133 [25]
260 [18]	Riverside Military Academy	8 - A	5-4	21.35	16.45	322 [17]
261 [47]	North Atlanta	7 - AAAAAA	4-5	21.23	24.69	240 [54]
262 [15]	Telfair County	2 - A	4-5	20.88	20.45	277 [11]
263 [40]	Cass	7 - AAAAA	1-8	20.80	43.00	66 [10]
264 [31]	Screven County	4 - AA	6-3	20.45	12.73	353 [49]
265 [44]	Rockdale County	8 - AAAAAAA	2-7	20.43	35.27	132 [42]
266 [45]	Discovery	6 - AAAAAAA	1-8	20.42	41.99	73 [37]
267 [30]	Windsor Forest	3 - AAA	5-4	20.30	12.24	358 [53]
268 [32]	Toombs County	2 - AA	5-4	20.02	17.88	303 [37]
269 [41]	South Effingham	2 - AAAAA	2-8	19.91	36.52	119 [23]
270 [19]	Mount de Sales	7 - A	8-1	19.87	4.03	402 [34]
271 [16]	Macon County	4 - A	5-4	19.85	13.36	347 [21]
272 [33]	Butler	4 - AA	5-4	19.78	15.94	325 [43]
273 [17]	Dooly County	4 - A	5-4	19.54	17.00	308 [13]
274 [34]	Spencer	5 - AA	2-7	19.33	33.83	146 [11]
275 [31]	Franklin County	8 - AAA	3-6	19.06	25.64	226 [27]
276 [42]	Lithonia	5 - AAAAA	6-3	18.84	9.71	377 [54]
277 [42]	Heritage (Ringgold)	6 - AAAA	4-5	18.80	24.35	241 [39]
278 [20]	Brookstone	4 - A	6-3	18.45	-1.21	413 [38]
279 [48]	Drew	4 - AAAAAA	3-6	18.42	27.11	211 [48]
280 [35]	South Atlanta	6 - AA	5-4	18.07	12.07	362 [52]
281 [43]	Decatur	6 - AAAAA	4-5	17.87	19.95	281 [48]
282 [46]	Peachtree Ridge	6 - AAAAAAA	0-9	17.70	48.13	35 [23]
283 [32]	Monroe	1 - AAA	5-4	17.58	18.74	294 [39]
284 [18]	Claxton	3 - A	6-3	17.50	13.14	349 [22]
285 [33]	Adairsville	6 - AAA	4-6	17.22	22.47	257 [32]
286 [44]	Paulding County	7 - AAAAA	0-9	17.12	48.38	34 [4]
287 [21]	Holy Innocents	5 - A	4-5	17.11	17.70	304 [13]
288 [49]	Alcovy	3 - AAAAAA	2-7	16.98	34.57	137 [27]
289 [50]	Morrow	4 - AAAAAA	2-7	16.88	32.90	157 [36]
290 [45]	Johnson (Gainesville)	8 - AAAAA	4-5	16.38	22.15	260 [47]
291 [19]	Hancock Central	7 - A	6-3	15.88	6.00	395 [35]
292 [20]	Montgomery County	3 - A	6-3	15.40	5.14	396 [36]
293 [21]	Atkinson County	2 - A	3-6	15.38	27.32	210 [7]
294 [43]	Shaw	1 - AAAA	3-6	15.13	25.87	225 [36]
295 [44]	Henry County	4 - AAAA	3-6	15.09	22.89	254 [42]
296 [22]	Savannah Country Day	3 - A	6-3	15.03	7.00	390 [32]
297 [45]	LaFayette	6 - AAAA	4-5	15.00	19.55	286 [46]
298 [46]	Hampton	4 - AAAA	4-5	14.88	16.70	315 [50]
299 [51]	New Manchester	5 - AAAAAA	1-8	14.86	34.79	135 [25]
300 [34]	Sonoraville	6 - AAA	4-5	14.84	19.18	290 [38]
301 [47]	Cross Creek	3 - AAAA	3-5	14.79	23.53	246 [41]
302 [23]	Tattnall Square	7 - A	6-3	14.32	3.49	403 [35]
303 [36]	Monticello	8 - AA	4-5	14.20	19.11	292 [30]
304 [37]	Bacon County	2 - AA	2-7	14.18	29.96	184 [15]
305 [38]	Coosa	7 - AA	3-6	14.06	21.66	263 [22]
306 [52]	River Ridge	6 - AAAAAA	1-8	13.49	48.95	30 [4]
307 [22]	Manchester	4 - A	5-4	13.44	7.15	389 [30]
308 [23]	Chattahoochee County	1 - A	6-3	13.39	0.70	406 [41]
309 [53]	M.L. King	4 - AAAAAA	1-8	12.89	28.36	199 [47]
310 [46]	Whitewater	3 - AAAAA	1-8	12.80	35.72	126 [26]
311 [54]	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	4 - AAAAAA	2-8	12.72	26.27	220 [51]
312 [24]	Taylor County	4 - A	4-5	12.46	13.64	345 [20]
313 [35]	Jackson County	8 - AAA	2-7	11.97	27.11	212 [23]
314 [24]	St. Francis	6 - A	4-5	11.64	13.40	346 [21]
315 [47]	North Springs	6 - AAAAA	2-7	11.60	25.11	232 [41]
316 [36]	Tattnall County	2 - AAA	2-7	11.47	27.94	204 [20]
317 [48]	Miller Grove	5 - AAAAA	2-7	11.28	28.09	202 [37]
318 [25]	Pinecrest Academy	6 - A	4-5	10.92	12.15	360 [24]
319 [49]	McIntosh	3 - AAAAA	2-7	10.24	26.07	223 [40]
320 [25]	Jenkins County	3 - A	5-4	10.23	4.21	401 [39]
321 [50]	Columbia	5 - AAAAA	2-7	10.11	24.92	234 [42]
322 [55]	Dunwoody	7 - AAAAAA	2-7	9.93	26.96	213 [49]
323 [37]	Islands	3 - AAA	3-6	9.73	16.71	314 [42]
324 [56]	Forest Park	4 - AAAAAA	2-7	8.94	20.36	279 [57]
325 [39]	Laney	4 - AA	3-6	8.88	21.34	268 [25]
326 [26]	Providence Christian	8 - A	4-5	8.65	18.52	298 [12]
327 [38]	Beach	3 - AAA	3-6	8.49	24.81	238 [30]
328 [48]	Luella	4 - AAAA	3-6	8.15	19.49	288 [47]
329 [40]	Lamar County	5 - AA	3-6	8.06	25.18	231 [19]
330 [26]	Washington-Wilkes	7 - A	3-6	8.04	14.22	342 [18]
331 [39]	Fannin County	7 - AAA	4-5	7.69	9.68	378 [54]
332 [40]	Brantley County	2 - AAA	1-8	7.55	29.47	188 [17]
333 [57]	Chattahoochee	7 - AAAAAA	0-9	7.26	31.81	170 [42]
334 [41]	Worth County	1 - AAA	1-8	7.26	37.46	111 [5]
335 [41]	Banks County	8 - AA	4-5	7.08	9.17	381 [57]
336 [27]	Stratford Academy	7 - A	4-5	6.90	10.63	372 [28]
337 [28]	Strong Rock Christian	5 - A	3-6	6.76	20.54	276 [9]
338 [42]	B.E.S.T. Academy	6 - AA	3-6	6.57	26.08	222 [17]
339 [29]	Mount Pisgah Christian	6 - A	3-6	6.28	16.59	318 [15]
340 [27]	Gordon Lee	6 - A	2-7	5.97	23.43	247 [9]
341 [43]	Therrell	6 - AA	2-7	5.43	24.87	236 [20]
342 [49]	Chestatee	7 - AAAA	1-8	4.84	41.44	77 [14]
343 [28]	Bowdon	6 - A	0-9	4.54	28.10	201 [5]
344 [51]	Grady	6 - AAAAA	1-8	4.29	22.26	259 [46]
345 [29]	Lincoln County	7 - A	3-6	4.03	11.68	368 [23]
346 [44]	Gordon Central	7 - AA	3-6	3.65	14.29	341 [47]
347 [42]	East Hall	7 - AAA	2-7	3.62	33.03	155 [11]
348 [30]	Miller County	1 - A	5-3	3.57	-8.01	418 [49]
349 [50]	Southeast Whitfield	6 - AAAA	3-6	3.49	17.35	306 [48]
350 [45]	Glenn Hills	4 - AA	2-7	3.34	16.78	311 [39]
351 [31]	Johnson County	3 - A	5-4	3.07	0.31	408 [42]
352 [32]	Warren County	7 - A	4-5	2.75	3.46	404 [40]
353 [46]	Putnam County	8 - AA	2-7	2.52	23.09	253 [21]
354 [51]	Dougherty	1 - AAAA	0-7	2.24	29.80	185 [31]
355 [47]	Lakeside (Atlanta)	7 - AAAAAAA	1-8	1.95	33.87	144 [43]
356 [52]	Fayette County	3 - AAAAA	0-9	1.88	23.22	251 [44]
357 [33]	Seminole County	1 - A	5-4	0.54	-2.15	414 [45]
358 [30]	Athens Christian	8 - A	2-7	0.34	25.20	230 [1]
359 [47]	Model	7 - AA	2-7	0.08	13.05	351 [48]
360 [34]	McIntosh County Academy	3 - A	1-8	-0.09	20.94	273 [10]
361 [43]	Coahulla Creek	6 - AAA	1-8	-1.28	21.35	267 [34]
362 [31]	King's Ridge Christian	6 - A	1-8	-1.83	15.34	333 [20]
363 [48]	Berkmar	7 - AAAAAAA	3-7	-2.37	28.80	198 [46]
364 [32]	First Presbyterian	7 - A	2-7	-2.69	13.10	350 [22]
365 [48]	East Laurens	3 - AA	1-8	-2.80	34.48	139 [10]
366 [53]	Lithia Springs	6 - AAAAA	2-7	-3.72	17.61	305 [50]
367 [44]	Lumpkin County	7 - AAA	3-6	-4.30	14.82	337 [47]
368 [49]	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6 - AA	2-7	-4.31	18.27	300 [34]
369 [52]	North Clayton	4 - AAAA	1-8	-4.71	24.14	243 [40]
370 [50]	Bryan County	2 - AA	1-8	-4.86	21.36	266 [23]
371 [33]	Landmark Christian	5 - A	2-7	-5.29	11.73	367 [26]
372 [51]	Dade County	7 - AA	1-8	-6.10	18.70	296 [32]
373 [52]	Westside (Augusta)	4 - AA	1-8	-6.22	19.15	291 [29]
374 [53]	Social Circle	8 - AA	4-5	-6.90	-0.07	409 [59]
375 [45]	Johnson (Savannah)	3 - AAA	2-7	-6.98	15.84	329 [45]
376 [54]	Temple	5 - AA	1-8	-7.42	26.43	218 [16]
377 [35]	Hawkinsville	4 - A	3-6	-7.61	10.76	371 [24]
378 [36]	Greenville	4 - A	3-6	-7.65	4.43	399 [38]
379 [55]	Jordan	5 - AA	2-7	-8.28	16.99	309 [38]
380 [34]	Lakeview Academy	8 - A	1-8	-8.35	24.28	242 [2]
381 [37]	Terrell County	1 - A	3-6	-8.45	4.56	398 [37]
382 [38]	Towns County	8 - A	2-7	-9.18	32.65	160 [1]
383 [35]	Pacelli	4 - A	4-5	-9.45	-0.50	410 [37]
384 [39]	Portal	3 - A	1-8	-9.46	14.81	338 [17]
385 [40]	Wilkinson County	7 - A	1-8	-10.05	15.56	331 [14]
386 [56]	McNair	6 - AA	2-7	-10.56	19.50	287 [28]
387 [41]	Lanier County	2 - A	0-9	-10.67	27.86	206 [6]
388 [57]	Armuchee	7 - AA	1-8	-10.86	18.26	301 [35]
389 [46]	Stone Mountain	5 - AAA	2-7	-11.10	25.53	228 [28]
390 [47]	Long County	2 - AAA	0-9	-11.73	35.53	128 [9]
391 [36]	Walker	6 - A	0-9	-12.55	16.49	321 [16]
392 [58]	Osborne	6 - AAAAAA	0-9	-13.32	36.32	123 [19]
393 [58]	Josey	4 - AA	0-9	-13.77	18.30	299 [33]
394 [54]	Chamblee	5 - AAAAA	0-9	-13.83	37.03	116 [22]
395 [37]	Georgia Military College	7 - A	3-6	-13.99	0.63	407 [36]
396 [42]	Calhoun County	1 - A	2-7	-14.83	6.95	391 [31]
397 [53]	Druid Hills	4 - AAAA	2-7	-15.95	11.78	366 [53]
398 [48]	Cherokee Bluff	7 - AAA	0-10	-16.08	28.05	203 [19]
399 [49]	Groves	3 - AAA	1-9	-16.60	21.58	264 [33]
400 [50]	Kendrick	4 - AAA	1-8	-17.97	21.30	270 [35]
401 [51]	Redan	5 - AAA	0-9	-18.65	30.91	176 [13]
402 [43]	Treutlen	3 - A	3-6	-18.91	-1.20	411 [43]
403 [52]	Murray County	6 - AAA	0-9	-19.57	16.58	319 [43]
404 [54]	Gilmer	6 - AAAA	0-9	-20.90	16.63	316 [51]
405 [38]	Our Lady of Mercy	5 - A	0-9	-20.92	20.70	275 [8]
406 [44]	Baconton Charter	1 - A	3-6	-21.55	-3.24	415 [46]
407 [53]	East Jackson	8 - AAA	1-8	-23.21	19.35	289 [37]
408 [45]	Crawford County	4 - A	2-7	-23.40	-1.21	412 [44]
409 [54]	Rutland	4 - AAA	0-9	-23.76	23.66	245 [31]
410 [55]	Savannah	3 - AAA	0-9	-24.71	18.63	297 [40]
411 [56]	Towers	5 - AAA	0-9	-28.88	26.40	219 [24]
412 [59]	Oglethorpe County	8 - AA	0-9	-31.10	12.23	359 [50]
413 [46]	Stewart County	1 - A	2-7	-31.44	-7.98	417 [48]
414 [55]	Clarkston	5 - AAAAA†	0-9	-32.92	8.81	382 [55]
415 [47]	Wheeler County	3 - A	1-8	-33.49	8.46	385 [28]
416 [48]	Twiggs County	7 - A	0-9	-34.86	6.23	393 [33]
417 [1]	ACE Charter	7 - A†	4-6	-35.25	-19.33	420 [1]
418 [49]	Central (Talbotton)	4 - A	0-9	-40.35	7.62	386 [29]
419 [50]	Randolph-Clay	1 - A	0-9	-55.21	6.57	392 [32]
420 [2]	Pataula Charter	1 - A†	2-6	-56.80	-40.77	422 [3]
421 [3]	Glascock County	7 - A†	1-8-1	-59.87	-28.21	421 [2]
422 [56]	Cross Keys	5 - AAAAA†	0-10	-84.98	4.77	397 [56]

† - Plays a non-region schedule

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the Competitive Rating is the rating required for a new team to that region to have a chance of going undefeated in a round robin schedule among region teams equal to the chance of being selected region champion if picked at random. For example, there are four teams in 1-AAAAAAA, so the chance of a new team being region champion if picked at random is 1 / (4 + 1) = 20%. Therefore the Competitive Rating is the rating required to go undefeated in a round robin tournament among region teams 20% of the time. This rating favors regions with larger numbers of highly rated teams. The “Average Rating” is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank	Region	Comp Rating	Avg Rating
1	1 - AAAAAAA	94.76	78.47
2	3 - AAAAAAA	80.49	65.87
3	1 - AAAAAA	78.60	60.68
4	8 - AAAAAAA	77.62	44.94
5	7 - AAAAAAA	70.58	40.71
6	7 - AAAAA	70.24	40.26
7	2 - AAAA	69.78	49.55
8	1 - AAAAA	69.29	53.06
9	4 - AAAAA	68.13	43.09
10	5 - AAAA	67.50	49.02
11	4 - AAAAAAA	66.08	49.00
12	6 - AAAAAAA	65.55	41.31
13	7 - AAAA	65.30	39.52
14	6 - AAAAAA	63.22	41.85
15	5 - AAAAAAA	61.63	45.10
16	2 - AAAAAAA	60.61	46.66
17	5 - AAA	60.47	28.28
18	3 - AA	59.62	37.71
19	2 - A	59.54	28.67
20	1 - AA	57.51	46.89
21	8 - AAAA	56.67	41.27
22	4 - AAA	55.79	29.03
23	8 - AAAAA	55.18	35.88
24	2 - AAAAA	53.79	39.55
25	7 - AAA	49.97	17.22
26	3 - AAAA	49.59	38.23
27	8 - AAA	49.39	24.33
28	5 - AA	49.04	22.39
29	8 - A	49.03	23.53
	8-Div A - A	49.94	32.89
	8-Div B - A	33.27	16.11
30	2 - AAAAAA	48.63	39.03
31	6 - AAA	48.34	20.30
32	6 - AAAA	48.32	21.52
33	5 - AAAAAA	48.27	32.40
34	7 - AAAAAA	48.13	27.26
35	8 - AAAAAA	47.72	34.42
36	2 - AAA	46.40	24.63
37	6 - AA	45.74	15.78
38	7 - AA	45.29	11.45
39	1 - AAAA	44.31	26.85
40	2 - AA	43.56	23.78
41	1 - AAA	41.60	23.66
42	4 - AAAAAA	41.18	23.09
43	6 - A	40.88	18.38
	6-Div A - A	38.52	24.21
	6-Div B - A	31.93	12.88
44	8 - AA	40.79	13.57
45	6 - AAAAA	40.60	20.59
46	3 - AAA	40.57	11.21
47	4 - AAAA	40.05	16.02
48	3 - AAAAA	39.30	22.71
49	5 - A	38.68	16.71
50	4 - AA	35.68	14.95
51	3 - AAAAAA	35.22	24.95
52	3 - A	34.65	9.56
	3-Div A - A	34.62	16.08
	3-Div B - A	20.71	2.84
53	4 - A	34.14	7.59
	4-Div A - A	29.29	3.46
	4-Div B - A	27.49	11.04
54	5 - AAAAA	33.04	16.63
55	1 - A	31.80	-4.31
56	7 - A	26.09	5.92
	7-Div B - A	23.95	9.69
	7-Div A - A	16.02	0.87

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Pct	Likelihood
09/21	Roswell	Wheeler	36 - 37	20.02	88.1%	0.211
08/24	Cedar Shoals	Winder-Barrow	7 - 14	16.13	83.4%	0.234
10/26	Commerce	Riverside Military Academy	19 - 20	16.18	83.4%	0.262
09/07	Salem	Alcovy	20 - 23	15.09	81.9%	0.268
08/17	Decatur	Lakeside (Atlanta)	20 - 21	14.28	80.7%	0.291
09/07	Tattnall Square	Lincoln County	28 - 34	11.94	76.8%	0.303
09/28	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	Adairsville	12 - 13	13.03	78.6%	0.310
09/21	Northgate	South Paulding	30 - 35	11.80	76.5%	0.310
09/07	Forsyth Central	Denmark	3 - 7	11.02	75.1%	0.327
08/31	North Oconee	Loganville	14 - 20	10.56	74.2%	0.327
09/14	Mount Zion (Carroll)	Christian Heritage	22 - 30	9.76	72.6%	0.333
09/07	Newnan	Griffin	17 - 26	9.51	72.1%	0.334
09/28	Gordon Central	Dade County	12 - 13	11.39	75.7%	0.336
09/21	Brooks County	Thomas County Central	14 - 24	8.73	70.5%	0.345
08/17	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	Heritage (Ringgold)	27 - 41	8.16	69.3%	0.345

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating	Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Pct
91.26	09/21	Colquitt County	Grayson	26 - 14	14.83	81.5%
80.79	09/14	Colquitt County	Warner Robins	41 - 14	24.24	91.9%
79.16	09/14	Parkview	Tift County	31 - 28	6.52	65.7%
78.49	09/07	Grayson	Marietta	38 - 31	11.26	75.5%
78.13	10/26	Colquitt County	Tift County	45 - 7	26.65	93.5%
77.60	08/16	Rome	Marietta	51 - 41	9.37	71.8%
76.91	08/17	Warner Robins	Tift County	40 - 29	4.05	60.0%
76.82	10/26	Hillgrove	Marietta	48 - 24	9.97	73.0%
75.93	08/31	Parkview	Lowndes	39 - 27	11.82	76.5%
75.83	10/11	Grayson	Archer	41 - 14	15.38	82.3%
75.18	10/05	Hillgrove	McEachern	31 - 21	11.64	76.2%
75.11	10/19	Tift County	Lowndes	21 - 17	0.37	50.9%
74.19	10/12	Marietta	McEachern	28 - 27	0.03	50.1%
74.17	08/18	Colquitt County	McEachern	41 - 7	31.05	95.7%
74.03	11/02	Colquitt County	Lowndes	-	31.95	96.1%

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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