Maxwell Week 8 Summary: New top team in Class A - Private???

By Loren Maxwell

Updated Oct 8, 2018

The Maxwell Ratings will rank the Georgia High School Association's 422 teams throughout the 2018 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.

Interesting results:

- For the first time in who knows how long (no, I didn't look it up . . .), Eagle’s Landing Christian Academy is not the highest rated team in its classification. The Chargers have collected a host of accolades under 12th-year head coach Jonathan Gess, including a gaudy 124-27 record, 38 All-State players, eight straight region titles, and four state championships.

Their challenger? Last season’s runner-up, Athens Academy. The Spartans squeaked by in the ratings by about 2/3 of a point.

On the surface, the reasoning behind swap might be difficult to see. Athens Academy topped a reasonably decent George Walton Academy team 35-28 while ELCA rolled to a 77-3 victory over a hapless Our Lady of Mercy team that has been outscored 348-44. But for the most part the computer views those victories as about equally impressive given that Athens Academy was expected to win by about another touchdown more and ELCA did probably as much as could be asked for in 48 minutes with mercy rules in place.

Also, looking at the scores, ELCA doesn’t seem to have had much of a drop off from last season’s behemoth, arguably one of the best teams ever in the GHSA’s smallest classification where the Chargers outscored their opponents 728-72 (average of 52.00-5.14). This year they're clipping along at a similar pace, 362-34 (51.71-4.86). Meanwhile the Spartans have a respectable but not necessarily flashy edge over their opponents, 195-91 (32.50-15.17). This is not even quite as impressive as last season’s margin, 528-147 (37.71-10.50).

Additionally in ELCA's favor is finding the most direct completed path between the two teams, which shows the Chargers ahead by 38 points over Athens Academy.

However, the difference in the ratings is obviously in the quality of opponents each team has faced. Not only are is Athens Academy’s schedule strength rated six points tougher, but so far ELCA has played only two teams with a winning record, Trinity Christian (5-2) and Pace Academy (4-3) while Athens Academy has played four: Savannah Christian (5-1), Stephens County (5-2), Prince Avenue Christian (6-1), and George Walton Academy (6-1). Notice the Spartans account for the only loss for three of their opponents.

This, combined with ELCA’s loss to Pace Academy in late August and Pace Academy’s 28-16 loss to Westminster this past weekend, tilts the ratings slightly in favor of Athens Academy.

But obviously the season is far from over, so it’ll be interesting to see if the Chargers tack on yet another state title at season’s end or if the Spartans can avenge last year’s 41-3 drubbing. Of course, that assumes they can beat back the other challengers as well.

- It’s interesting to see the dominance of the top team in practically every classification. With the exception of Class AAA and the aforementioned Class A - Private, every top team is rated at least a touchdown better than its closest competitor. Leading the ratings overall is still Colquitt County, over two touchdowns better than Grayson, whom they already defeated 26-14 earlier in the season.

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season's games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.

The current total weight of all team's historical performance is 8.57%.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 1,237 of 1,322 total games including 0 tie(s) (93.57%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within 12.81 points.

The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team's opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Home Advantage: 1.51

By Class

AAAAAAA				AAAAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Colquitt County	7-0	100.02	1	Lee County	6-0	79.89
2	Grayson	4-2	85.42	2	Creekview	6-0	67.33
3	North Gwinnett	5-2	84.45	3	Northside (Warner Robins)	4-3	66.29
4	Parkview	6-0	84.05	4	Coffee	6-1	63.52
5	Archer	5-1	83.42	5	Valdosta	4-3	63.45
6	Walton	6-0	82.19	6	Allatoona	4-2	63.10
7	Hillgrove	6-0	81.08	7	Sequoyah	5-1	60.30
8	Lowndes	6-1	80.58	8	Douglas County	6-1	59.09
9	McEachern	4-2	77.06	9	Harrison	6-1	58.50
10	Tift County	5-2	72.95	10	Dacula	5-2	55.52
11	Milton	4-2	72.82	11	Glynn Academy	2-4	54.97
12	Marietta	2-4	71.87	12	Tucker	5-2	54.30
13	Camden County	6-1	70.90	13	Centennial	4-2	53.51
14	Mill Creek	4-3	70.24	14	Mays	3-3	53.28
15	Brookwood	5-1	69.61	15	Richmond Hill	3-3	51.70

AAAAA				AAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Rome	7-0	84.10	1	Blessed Trinity	6-0	84.45
2	Warner Robins	6-1	76.58	2	Mary Persons	7-0	75.68
3	Dutchtown	7-0	75.41	3	Troup	6-0	75.61
4	Buford	5-2	74.84	4	Cartersville	7-0	74.30
5	Jones County	6-1	69.55	5	St. Pius X	6-1	72.71
6	Stockbridge	7-0	67.75	6	Marist	6-1	67.78
7	Carrollton	6-1	62.95	7	Eastside	6-0	60.65
8	Wayne County	7-0	61.86	8	Sandy Creek	4-2	60.31
9	Ware County	4-2	61.61	9	Ridgeland	4-2	57.73
10	Kell	4-2	56.02	10	Burke County	5-2	56.72
11	Southwest DeKalb	6-0	54.89	11	Flowery Branch	6-0	55.18
12	Veterans	6-1	54.55	12	Chapel Hill	4-2	54.07
13	Thomas County Central	5-1	53.81	13	Cedartown	4-3	52.41
14	East Paulding	2-4	52.29	14	Howard	5-2	52.23
15	Bainbridge	3-4	52.09	15	Cairo	5-2	52.12

AAA				AA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Cedar Grove	6-1	70.83	1	Hapeville Charter	6-0	72.18
2	Calhoun	6-0	70.68	2	Callaway	6-1	62.64
3	Benedictine	5-1	67.10	3	Rockmart	7-0	62.58
4	Peach County	4-2	65.52	4	Dublin	6-1	57.40
5	Greater Atlanta Christian	5-2	61.30	5	Washington County	6-0	57.34
6	Monroe Area	7-0	61.20	6	Dodge County	6-1	55.74
7	Westminster (Atlanta)	4-2	60.61	7	Brooks County	5-2	55.74
8	Crisp County	4-3	55.71	8	Bremen	5-1	54.77
9	Dawson County	6-1	52.40	9	Thomasville	4-3	54.67
10	Jefferson	6-1	50.52	10	Rabun County	5-1	53.40
11	Pace Academy	4-3	50.31	11	Fitzgerald	5-2	50.87
12	Liberty County	4-1	49.44	12	Vidalia	6-0	48.80
13	Lovett	3-4	48.40	13	Douglass	6-1	47.65
14	Westside (Macon)	5-2	47.54	14	Heard County	4-2	47.18
15	North Hall	5-1	46.52	15	Swainsboro	4-2	46.22

A - Public				A - Private
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Irwin County	6-0	62.61	1	Athens Academy	6-0	57.95
2	Clinch County	5-1	54.11	2	Eagle's Landing Christian	6-1	57.28
3	Commerce	6-0	46.23	3	Prince Avenue Christian	6-1	51.15
4	Marion County	7-0	44.33	4	George Walton Academy	6-1	43.40
5	Charlton County	4-2	37.05	5	Fellowship Christian	6-0	42.80
6	Mount Zion (Carroll)	6-1	36.95	6	Savannah Christian	5-1	42.78
7	Schley County	5-1	34.75	7	Mount Paran Christian	4-2	39.54
8	Pelham	6-0	34.47	8	Aquinas	6-0	36.94
9	Emanuel County Institute	4-3	32.29	9	Calvary Day	5-1	35.93
10	Mitchell County	5-1	31.59	10	Darlington	5-1	35.06
11	Dooly County	3-3	29.80	11	Wesleyan	3-4	32.67
12	Turner County	4-2	27.14	12	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	5-2	32.08
13	Manchester	4-2	26.67	13	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	5-2	30.58
14	Wilcox County	4-2	26.10	14	Hebron Christian Academy	4-2	30.56
15	Macon County	3-3	24.54	15	Whitefield Academy	5-2	28.27

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

Rank	Team	Region	Rec	Rating	SchStr	Rank
1 [1]	Colquitt County	1 - AAAAAAA	7-0	100.02	66.66	6 [6]
2 [2]	Grayson	8 - AAAAAAA	4-2	85.42	65.57	7 [7]
3 [3]	North Gwinnett	6 - AAAAAAA	5-2	84.45	64.59	11 [11]
4 [1]	Blessed Trinity	7 - AAAA	6-0	84.45	55.00	36 [2]
5 [1]	Rome	7 - AAAAA	7-0	84.10	46.51	88 [17]
6 [4]	Parkview	7 - AAAAAAA	6-0	84.05	64.74	9 [9]
7 [5]	Archer	8 - AAAAAAA	5-1	83.42	67.42	5 [5]
8 [6]	Walton	4 - AAAAAAA	6-0	82.19	55.33	33 [23]
9 [7]	Hillgrove	3 - AAAAAAA	6-0	81.08	58.68	16 [14]
10 [8]	Lowndes	1 - AAAAAAA	6-1	80.58	50.73	58 [31]
11 [1]	Lee County	1 - AAAAAA	6-0	79.89	37.24	182 [46]
12 [9]	McEachern	3 - AAAAAAA	4-2	77.06	64.13	13 [13]
13 [2]	Warner Robins	1 - AAAAA	6-1	76.58	56.78	25 [4]
14 [2]	Mary Persons	2 - AAAA	7-0	75.68	43.19	119 [18]
15 [3]	Troup	5 - AAAA	6-0	75.61	52.90	44 [3]
16 [3]	Dutchtown	4 - AAAAA	7-0	75.41	45.67	96 [21]
17 [4]	Buford	8 - AAAAA	5-2	74.84	49.18	68 [11]
18 [4]	Cartersville	5 - AAAA	7-0	74.30	36.66	189 [29]
19 [10]	Tift County	1 - AAAAAAA	5-2	72.95	55.10	34 [24]
20 [11]	Milton	5 - AAAAAAA	4-2	72.82	68.04	4 [4]
21 [5]	St. Pius X	8 - AAAA	6-1	72.71	49.73	64 [8]
22 [1]	Hapeville Charter	6 - AA	6-0	72.18	29.62	244 [21]
23 [12]	Marietta	3 - AAAAAAA	2-4	71.87	70.95	2 [2]
24 [13]	Camden County	1 - AAAAAAA	6-1	70.90	50.77	57 [30]
25 [1]	Cedar Grove	5 - AAA	6-1	70.83	24.87	287 [38]
26 [2]	Calhoun	6 - AAA	6-0	70.68	26.03	278 [36]
27 [14]	Mill Creek	6 - AAAAAAA	4-3	70.24	64.23	12 [12]
28 [15]	Brookwood	7 - AAAAAAA	5-1	69.61	46.78	84 [35]
29 [5]	Jones County	4 - AAAAA	6-1	69.55	52.20	48 [8]
30 [16]	Westlake	2 - AAAAAAA	4-2	68.32	57.39	22 [18]
31 [17]	Roswell	4 - AAAAAAA	5-1	68.05	53.90	38 [26]
32 [6]	Marist	7 - AAAA	6-1	67.78	43.47	117 [17]
33 [6]	Stockbridge	4 - AAAAA	7-0	67.75	36.59	192 [38]
34 [2]	Creekview	6 - AAAAAA	6-0	67.33	46.09	93 [18]
35 [3]	Benedictine	3 - AAA	5-1	67.10	14.77	373 [51]
36 [3]	Northside (Warner Robins)	1 - AAAAAA	4-3	66.29	58.63	17 [2]
37 [18]	North Cobb	3 - AAAAAAA	6-0	66.26	48.23	75 [33]
38 [4]	Peach County	4 - AAA	4-2	65.52	53.22	43 [3]
39 [19]	South Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	4-2	65.39	55.96	28 [21]
40 [20]	Norcross	7 - AAAAAAA	2-4	63.58	71.60	1 [1]
41 [4]	Coffee	1 - AAAAAA	6-1	63.52	38.03	169 [44]
42 [5]	Valdosta	1 - AAAAAA	4-3	63.45	60.15	14 [1]
43 [6]	Allatoona	6 - AAAAAA	4-2	63.10	50.65	60 [10]
44 [7]	Carrollton	7 - AAAAA	6-1	62.95	42.90	125 [27]
45 [2]	Callaway	5 - AA	6-1	62.64	25.97	279 [27]
46 [1]	Irwin County	2 - A	6-0	62.61	39.91	156 [1]
47 [3]	Rockmart	7 - AA	7-0	62.58	28.96	248 [23]
48 [21]	North Paulding	3 - AAAAAAA	5-1	62.09	44.94	102 [38]
49 [8]	Wayne County	2 - AAAAA	7-0	61.86	41.75	137 [30]
50 [9]	Ware County	2 - AAAAA	4-2	61.61	58.16	20 [2]
51 [5]	Greater Atlanta Christian	7 - AAA	5-2	61.30	46.29	91 [5]
52 [6]	Monroe Area	8 - AAA	7-0	61.20	29.59	245 [28]
53 [7]	Eastside	4 - AAAA	6-0	60.65	34.71	208 [33]
54 [22]	Mountain View	6 - AAAAAAA	5-2	60.64	51.06	54 [29]
55 [7]	Westminster (Atlanta)	5 - AAA	4-2	60.61	55.86	30 [1]
56 [8]	Sandy Creek	5 - AAAA	4-2	60.31	48.78	72 [10]
57 [7]	Sequoyah	6 - AAAAAA	5-1	60.30	40.22	154 [37]
58 [8]	Douglas County	5 - AAAAAA	6-1	59.09	42.99	123 [31]
59 [9]	Harrison	6 - AAAAAA	6-1	58.50	42.03	134 [33]
60 [1]	Athens Academy	8 - A	6-0	57.95	34.96	207 [2]
61 [23]	Newton	8 - AAAAAAA	3-4	57.92	58.27	19 [16]
62 [9]	Ridgeland	6 - AAAA	4-2	57.73	47.39	80 [12]
63 [4]	Dublin	3 - AA	6-1	57.40	35.18	205 [16]
64 [5]	Washington County	3 - AA	6-0	57.34	35.43	203 [15]
65 [2]	Eagle's Landing Christian	5 - A	6-1	57.28	28.99	247 [3]
66 [10]	Burke County	3 - AAAA	5-2	56.72	36.02	199 [31]
67 [24]	Wheeler	2 - AAAAAAA	5-1	56.40	45.13	101 [37]
68 [25]	Collins Hill	6 - AAAAAAA	2-4	56.27	64.61	10 [10]
69 [10]	Kell	7 - AAAAA	4-2	56.02	46.09	92 [20]
70 [6]	Dodge County	3 - AA	6-1	55.74	44.22	109 [3]
71 [7]	Brooks County	1 - AA	5-2	55.74	47.79	77 [2]
72 [8]	Crisp County	1 - AAA	4-3	55.71	55.02	35 [2]
73 [10]	Dacula	8 - AAAAAA	5-2	55.52	41.29	143 [34]
74 [11]	Flowery Branch	7 - AAAA	6-0	55.18	28.65	252 [42]
75 [11]	Glynn Academy	2 - AAAAAA	2-4	54.97	53.85	41 [4]
76 [11]	Southwest DeKalb	5 - AAAAA	6-0	54.89	29.66	242 [47]
77 [8]	Bremen	5 - AA	5-1	54.77	27.77	263 [24]
78 [26]	West Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	1-5	54.75	64.74	8 [9]
79 [9]	Thomasville	1 - AA	4-3	54.67	55.78	31 [1]
80 [12]	Veterans	1 - AAAAA	6-1	54.55	44.03	111 [25]
81 [12]	Tucker	4 - AAAAAA	5-2	54.30	39.24	161 [41]
82 [2]	Clinch County	2 - A	5-1	54.11	36.10	197 [3]
83 [12]	Chapel Hill	5 - AAAA	4-2	54.07	48.84	71 [9]
84 [13]	Thomas County Central	1 - AAAAA	5-1	53.81	37.41	179 [36]
85 [27]	Etowah	4 - AAAAAAA	3-4	53.69	56.02	27 [20]
86 [13]	Centennial	7 - AAAAAA	4-2	53.51	45.20	100 [22]
87 [10]	Rabun County	8 - AA	5-1	53.40	24.81	288 [33]
88 [14]	Mays	5 - AAAAAA	3-3	53.28	43.66	114 [26]
89 [28]	Newnan	2 - AAAAAAA	3-3	53.15	52.77	45 [28]
90 [13]	Cedartown	5 - AAAA	4-3	52.41	43.95	112 [15]
91 [9]	Dawson County	7 - AAA	6-1	52.40	28.44	255 [30]
92 [14]	East Paulding	7 - AAAAA	2-4	52.29	59.49	15 [1]
93 [14]	Howard	2 - AAAA	5-2	52.23	43.50	116 [16]
94 [15]	Cairo	1 - AAAA	5-2	52.12	40.62	146 [25]
95 [15]	Bainbridge	1 - AAAAA	3-4	52.09	52.52	46 [7]
96 [16]	Upson-Lee	2 - AAAA	4-3	52.04	51.65	51 [4]
97 [15]	Richmond Hill	2 - AAAAAA	3-3	51.70	52.14	49 [6]
98 [17]	West Laurens	2 - AAAA	5-2	51.70	40.56	147 [26]
99 [16]	Banneker	6 - AAAAA	5-1	51.20	34.36	211 [40]
100 [3]	Prince Avenue Christian	8 - A	6-1	51.15	23.92	296 [10]
101 [16]	Johns Creek	7 - AAAAAA	5-1	51.15	28.04	258 [56]
102 [17]	Locust Grove	4 - AAAAA	3-4	51.14	57.22	24 [3]
103 [17]	Alpharetta	7 - AAAAAA	4-2	51.13	43.26	118 [28]
104 [29]	Pebblebrook	2 - AAAAAAA	3-3	51.13	47.74	78 [34]
105 [18]	Lanier	8 - AAAAAA	5-2	51.09	43.04	122 [30]
106 [11]	Fitzgerald	1 - AA	5-2	50.87	38.33	167 [7]
107 [19]	Stephenson	4 - AAAAAA	5-1	50.63	27.45	269 [57]
108 [10]	Jefferson	8 - AAA	6-1	50.52	28.88	249 [29]
109 [11]	Pace Academy	5 - AAA	4-3	50.31	37.25	181 [18]
110 [18]	Woodward Academy	4 - AAAA	3-3	50.18	40.27	153 [27]
111 [30]	East Coweta	2 - AAAAAAA	0-6	50.10	68.45	3 [3]
112 [12]	Liberty County	2 - AAA	4-1	49.44	37.57	176 [17]
113 [31]	Cherokee	4 - AAAAAAA	3-4	49.33	55.64	32 [22]
114 [20]	Dalton	6 - AAAAAA	4-3	49.20	43.59	115 [27]
115 [32]	Woodstock	4 - AAAAAAA	2-4	48.87	53.31	42 [27]
116 [12]	Vidalia	2 - AA	6-0	48.80	19.51	334 [45]
117 [33]	Meadowcreek	7 - AAAAAAA	6-1	48.75	28.76	251 [47]
118 [19]	Oconee County	8 - AAAA	4-3	48.62	45.88	94 [13]
119 [13]	Lovett	5 - AAA	3-4	48.40	50.69	59 [4]
120 [18]	Starr's Mill	3 - AAAAA	4-3	48.37	41.93	136 [29]
121 [34]	South Gwinnett	8 - AAAAAAA	2-4	48.07	56.37	26 [19]
122 [19]	Griffin	3 - AAAAA	4-3	47.74	42.46	128 [28]
123 [13]	Douglass	6 - AA	6-1	47.65	22.91	306 [38]
124 [20]	Clarke Central	8 - AAAAA	4-3	47.58	46.31	90 [19]
125 [14]	Westside (Macon)	4 - AAA	5-2	47.54	36.79	188 [21]
126 [35]	Kennesaw Mountain	3 - AAAAAAA	4-2	47.20	42.02	135 [41]
127 [14]	Heard County	5 - AA	4-2	47.18	36.65	190 [12]
128 [36]	Central Gwinnett	7 - AAAAAAA	3-4	46.96	46.68	85 [36]
129 [21]	Cedar Shoals	8 - AAAAA	4-3	46.94	44.22	108 [23]
130 [15]	North Hall	7 - AAA	5-1	46.52	27.21	273 [34]
131 [21]	Creekside	5 - AAAAAA	3-3	46.35	46.62	86 [16]
132 [3]	Commerce	8 - A	6-0	46.23	16.89	354 [25]
133 [15]	Swainsboro	2 - AA	4-2	46.22	37.00	184 [10]
134 [20]	Carver (Columbus)	1 - AAAA	6-1	45.80	32.66	221 [38]
135 [22]	Hiram	7 - AAAAA	4-2	45.64	38.64	164 [33]
136 [21]	Baldwin	3 - AAAA	2-5	45.59	57.27	23 [1]
137 [22]	Thomson	3 - AAAA	2-4	45.55	50.23	62 [6]
138 [16]	Early County	1 - AA	5-1	45.38	31.81	229 [18]
139 [22]	Northgate	5 - AAAAAA	4-3	45.22	45.28	99 [21]
140 [23]	Stephens County	8 - AAAA	4-2	45.21	41.73	138 [23]
141 [17]	Jefferson County	4 - AA	5-2	44.80	29.06	246 [22]
142 [16]	Pierce County	2 - AAA	6-0	44.61	10.98	393 [53]
143 [4]	Marion County	4 - A	7-0	44.33	20.45	327 [16]
144 [24]	Richmond Academy	3 - AAAA	6-1	44.02	31.03	236 [41]
145 [25]	Pickens	6 - AAAA	7-0	44.01	9.91	397 [54]
146 [26]	Perry	2 - AAAA	4-3	43.66	43.09	120 [19]
147 [4]	George Walton Academy	8 - A	6-1	43.40	16.57	359 [24]
148 [5]	Fellowship Christian	6 - A	6-0	42.80	17.47	350 [21]
149 [6]	Savannah Christian	3 - A	5-1	42.78	24.52	290 [7]
150 [23]	Bradwell Institute	2 - AAAAAA	3-4	42.60	44.37	107 [25]
151 [24]	Brunswick	2 - AAAAAA	3-4	42.59	42.69	127 [32]
152 [25]	Alexander	5 - AAAAAA	3-3	42.48	39.92	155 [38]
153 [17]	Jackson	4 - AAA	3-3	42.47	45.40	98 [6]
154 [26]	Hughes	5 - AAAAAA	2-5	42.29	51.98	50 [7]
155 [37]	Lambert	5 - AAAAAAA	3-3	42.01	42.31	132 [40]
156 [27]	North Oconee	8 - AAAA	6-1	41.57	27.78	262 [45]
157 [23]	Statesboro	2 - AAAAA	2-5	41.28	49.56	65 [10]
158 [18]	Washington	6 - AA	6-2	41.17	20.77	323 [43]
159 [27]	Lovejoy	4 - AAAAAA	4-3	41.11	40.40	151 [36]
160 [24]	Arabia Mountain	5 - AAAAA	3-3	41.01	40.32	152 [32]
161 [28]	Mundy's Mill	4 - AAAAAA	5-2	40.81	32.32	224 [53]
162 [29]	Sprayberry	6 - AAAAAA	2-4	40.66	51.58	52 [8]
163 [18]	Appling County	2 - AAA	3-3	40.66	41.49	141 [9]
164 [28]	Spalding	2 - AAAA	3-4	39.99	42.90	124 [20]
165 [38]	Lassiter	4 - AAAAAAA	1-5	39.89	54.97	37 [25]
166 [30]	Houston County	1 - AAAAAA	2-5	39.72	51.04	55 [9]
167 [25]	Harris County	1 - AAAAA	2-5	39.62	53.86	40 [6]
168 [7]	Mount Paran Christian	6 - A	4-2	39.54	20.46	326 [17]
169 [29]	Columbus	1 - AAAA	3-3	39.51	42.45	129 [21]
170 [26]	Woodland (Stockbridge)	4 - AAAAA	3-4	39.42	43.78	113 [26]
171 [31]	Winder-Barrow	8 - AAAAAA	2-5	39.36	45.85	95 [19]
172 [27]	Loganville	8 - AAAAA	3-4	39.20	44.91	103 [22]
173 [32]	Effingham County	2 - AAAAAA	4-3	38.89	33.53	216 [51]
174 [28]	New Hampstead	2 - AAAAA	4-2	38.68	27.65	266 [50]
175 [29]	Carver (Atlanta)	6 - AAAAA	3-3	38.58	36.79	187 [37]
176 [30]	Riverwood	6 - AAAAA	4-2	38.50	27.96	259 [49]
177 [33]	Habersham Central	8 - AAAAAA	4-3	38.45	36.62	191 [47]
178 [39]	Campbell	2 - AAAAAAA	1-5	38.24	58.47	18 [15]
179 [30]	West Hall	7 - AAAA	2-5	38.11	50.79	56 [5]
180 [31]	Union Grove	4 - AAAAA	3-3	38.10	48.32	74 [13]
181 [19]	Union County	8 - AA	6-0	38.02	12.10	384 [56]
182 [32]	Jonesboro	3 - AAAAA	3-4	37.94	46.43	89 [18]
183 [40]	North Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	2-4	37.61	40.45	150 [43]
184 [33]	Villa Rica	7 - AAAAA	3-3	37.55	38.58	165 [34]
185 [19]	Pike County	4 - AAA	5-1	37.50	8.29	400 [54]
186 [34]	Maynard Jackson	6 - AAAAA	3-3	37.16	34.16	212 [41]
187 [20]	Berrien	1 - AA	5-2	37.13	31.29	234 [19]
188 [31]	Northwest Whitfield	6 - AAAA	4-2	37.08	18.48	343 [50]
189 [5]	Charlton County	2 - A	4-2	37.05	31.54	231 [4]
190 [6]	Mount Zion (Carroll)	6 - A	6-1	36.95	17.71	349 [23]
191 [8]	Aquinas	7 - A	6-0	36.94	12.63	383 [29]
192 [41]	Forsyth Central	5 - AAAAAAA	5-1	36.92	18.70	340 [48]
193 [34]	South Paulding	5 - AAAAAA	1-5	36.77	48.78	73 [14]
194 [35]	Grovetown	3 - AAAAAA	2-4	36.23	43.06	121 [29]
195 [20]	Southeast Bulloch	3 - AAA	6-0	36.09	21.28	321 [46]
196 [9]	Calvary Day	3 - A	5-1	35.93	7.95	401 [35]
197 [35]	Woodland (Cartersville)	7 - AAAAA	4-3	35.38	35.30	204 [39]
198 [21]	Elbert County	8 - AA	4-2	35.25	21.03	322 [42]
199 [36]	Riverdale	3 - AAAAA	5-1	35.08	22.56	309 [51]
200 [10]	Darlington	6 - A	5-1	35.06	21.96	313 [14]
201 [7]	Schley County	4 - A	5-1	34.75	18.27	345 [20]
202 [8]	Pelham	1 - A	6-0	34.47	-8.60	418 [50]
203 [32]	Salem	4 - AAAA	4-2	34.38	28.44	254 [43]
204 [36]	Heritage (Conyers)	3 - AAAAAA	2-4	34.19	39.91	157 [39]
205 [37]	Eagle's Landing	4 - AAAAA	1-6	34.08	46.89	83 [16]
206 [33]	Westover	1 - AAAA	3-3	34.04	31.85	227 [39]
207 [34]	LaGrange	5 - AAAA	1-5	33.95	50.10	63 [7]
208 [37]	Pope	7 - AAAAAA	2-5	33.77	45.46	97 [20]
209 [35]	Denmark	7 - AAAA	4-3	33.76	33.22	220 [37]
210 [42]	Peachtree Ridge	6 - AAAAAAA	0-7	33.67	57.53	21 [17]
211 [38]	Apalachee	8 - AAAAAA	3-4	33.47	38.49	166 [43]
212 [38]	Ola	4 - AAAAA	1-6	33.46	53.89	39 [5]
213 [39]	Alcovy	3 - AAAAAA	2-4	33.29	49.52	66 [11]
214 [22]	Hephzibah	4 - AA	5-2	33.00	25.82	281 [28]
215 [23]	Southwest	3 - AA	2-4	32.96	42.86	126 [4]
216 [40]	Greenbrier	3 - AAAAAA	1-5	32.96	44.67	105 [24]
217 [36]	Central (Carrollton)	5 - AAAA	2-5	32.74	47.71	79 [11]
218 [11]	Wesleyan	5 - A	3-4	32.67	35.77	202 [1]
219 [37]	Americus-Sumter	1 - AAAA	2-4	32.49	37.70	174 [28]
220 [21]	Cook	1 - AAA	2-5	32.42	41.67	139 [7]
221 [9]	Emanuel County Institute	3 - A	4-3	32.29	21.83	316 [14]
222 [24]	Chattooga	7 - AA	5-2	32.14	20.68	325 [44]
223 [25]	Northeast	3 - AA	3-4	32.09	35.80	200 [14]
224 [12]	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	5 - A	5-2	32.08	23.16	304 [12]
225 [41]	South Cobb	6 - AAAAAA	1-6	31.74	52.33	47 [5]
226 [22]	Hart County	8 - AAA	2-4	31.67	38.32	168 [12]
227 [10]	Mitchell County	1 - A	5-1	31.59	1.96	414 [46]
228 [42]	Cambridge	7 - AAAAAA	3-4	31.49	37.45	178 [45]
229 [43]	Shiloh	8 - AAAAAAA	2-5	31.27	39.38	160 [44]
230 [23]	Jenkins	3 - AAA	4-2	31.18	22.40	310 [43]
231 [24]	Central (Macon)	4 - AAA	2-5	30.81	37.85	172 [15]
232 [43]	Northview	7 - AAAAAA	4-3	30.76	28.50	253 [55]
233 [44]	Rockdale County	8 - AAAAAAA	2-4	30.69	36.42	194 [45]
234 [25]	Morgan County	8 - AAA	3-4	30.64	33.64	214 [22]
235 [38]	Hardaway	1 - AAAA	3-3	30.63	27.69	265 [46]
236 [13]	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	5 - A	5-2	30.58	22.93	305 [13]
237 [44]	Lakeside (Evans)	3 - AAAAAA	3-2	30.58	27.21	272 [58]
238 [14]	Hebron Christian Academy	8 - A	4-2	30.56	17.35	351 [22]
239 [45]	Discovery	6 - AAAAAAA	1-5	30.43	50.53	61 [32]
240 [39]	Northside (Columbus)	1 - AAAA	3-4	30.40	33.87	213 [34]
241 [45]	North Atlanta	7 - AAAAAA	3-3	30.32	31.83	228 [54]
242 [26]	Screven County	4 - AA	4-2	29.87	15.18	369 [53]
243 [11]	Dooly County	4 - A	3-3	29.80	29.63	243 [6]
244 [40]	White County	7 - AAAA	1-5	29.72	44.47	106 [14]
245 [27]	Harlem	4 - AA	4-3	29.62	25.42	283 [29]
246 [39]	Walnut Grove	8 - AAAAA	2-5	29.56	37.83	173 [35]
247 [28]	Toombs County	2 - AA	5-2	29.37	18.56	341 [48]
248 [46]	Gainesville	8 - AAAAAA	0-7	29.26	49.44	67 [12]
249 [47]	Morrow	4 - AAAAAA	1-6	29.18	49.10	69 [13]
250 [29]	Bleckley County	3 - AA	2-5	29.13	40.99	145 [6]
251 [30]	Metter	2 - AA	4-2	28.87	24.30	292 [34]
252 [48]	Evans	3 - AAAAAA	0-6	28.86	44.82	104 [23]
253 [49]	M.L. King	4 - AAAAAA	1-5	28.60	40.50	148 [35]
254 [46]	Duluth	6 - AAAAAAA	2-4	28.59	42.42	131 [39]
255 [31]	South Atlanta	6 - AA	4-3	28.40	23.23	302 [36]
256 [15]	Whitefield Academy	6 - A	5-2	28.27	14.74	374 [26]
257 [32]	Pepperell	7 - AA	4-3	27.96	25.02	286 [32]
258 [41]	Hampton	4 - AAAA	3-3	27.94	27.90	261 [44]
259 [40]	Paulding County	7 - AAAAA	0-6	27.93	46.95	82 [15]
260 [50]	New Manchester	5 - AAAAAA	1-6	27.87	46.53	87 [17]
261 [33]	Spencer	5 - AA	1-5	27.81	36.93	185 [11]
262 [51]	River Ridge	6 - AAAAAA	1-6	27.80	55.93	29 [3]
263 [42]	Madison County	8 - AAAA	2-5	27.44	36.24	196 [30]
264 [16]	Mount de Sales	7 - A	6-0	27.38	11.84	387 [30]
265 [12]	Turner County	2 - A	4-2	27.14	18.02	346 [21]
266 [41]	Decatur	6 - AAAAA	2-3	27.09	30.69	237 [46]
267 [13]	Manchester	4 - A	4-2	26.67	4.36	411 [45]
268 [42]	Cass	7 - AAAAA	1-6	26.37	44.20	110 [24]
269 [52]	Tri-Cities	5 - AAAAAA	0-6	26.29	47.81	76 [15]
270 [14]	Wilcox County	2 - A	4-2	26.10	16.70	357 [26]
271 [17]	Christian Heritage	6 - A	4-2	26.05	21.51	319 [16]
272 [18]	Brookstone	4 - A	4-2	25.91	7.16	407 [36]
273 [26]	North Murray	6 - AAA	4-3	25.46	23.51	299 [41]
274 [19]	North Cobb Christian	6 - A	6-0	25.07	9.95	396 [34]
275 [43]	Lithonia	5 - AAAAA	4-2	24.78	18.79	339 [53]
276 [53]	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	4 - AAAAAA	2-5	24.55	35.04	206 [49]
277 [15]	Macon County	4 - A	3-3	24.54	14.94	370 [31]
278 [27]	Ringgold	6 - AAA	3-4	24.29	25.61	282 [37]
279 [20]	Savannah Country Day	3 - A	5-1	24.18	11.71	389 [32]
280 [16]	Claxton	3 - A	5-1	24.15	15.98	362 [28]
281 [17]	Trion	6 - A	5-2	24.04	15.20	368 [30]
282 [44]	North Springs	6 - AAAAA	1-4	23.91	32.12	225 [44]
283 [18]	Greene County	7 - A	4-2	23.91	15.93	363 [29]
284 [19]	Atkinson County	2 - A	3-3	23.90	27.10	274 [9]
285 [28]	Windsor Forest	3 - AAA	2-4	23.87	29.98	240 [27]
286 [34]	Jeff Davis	2 - AA	5-2	23.86	16.17	361 [51]
287 [45]	South Effingham	2 - AAAAA	2-5	23.82	33.54	215 [42]
288 [29]	Adairsville	6 - AAA	3-4	23.45	27.31	271 [33]
289 [35]	Butler	4 - AA	3-3	23.39	24.08	295 [35]
290 [30]	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6 - AAA	4-2	23.19	15.79	364 [49]
291 [54]	Drew	4 - AAAAAA	1-5	23.09	39.01	163 [42]
292 [46]	Whitewater	3 - AAAAA	0-7	22.54	49.04	70 [12]
293 [31]	Haralson County	6 - AAA	5-1	22.27	11.19	391 [52]
294 [47]	Miller Grove	5 - AAAAA	1-5	22.09	41.11	144 [31]
295 [48]	Columbia	5 - AAAAA	1-5	21.81	47.18	81 [14]
296 [43]	Shaw	1 - AAAA	3-3	21.56	24.18	294 [47]
297 [49]	McIntosh	3 - AAAAA	2-4	21.55	28.32	256 [48]
298 [20]	Telfair County	2 - A	2-4	21.51	25.90	280 [10]
299 [44]	Luella	4 - AAAA	2-4	21.19	33.41	217 [35]
300 [21]	Holy Innocents	5 - A	3-4	21.09	24.25	293 [9]
301 [32]	Franklin County	8 - AAA	1-5	20.86	37.18	183 [19]
302 [33]	Jackson County	8 - AAA	2-5	20.65	31.15	235 [25]
303 [21]	Jenkins County	3 - A	4-3	20.52	14.45	375 [33]
304 [34]	Monroe	1 - AAA	3-4	20.15	27.45	268 [32]
305 [22]	Hancock Central	7 - A	4-2	20.03	13.15	379 [34]
306 [36]	Therrell	6 - AA	2-5	19.76	37.57	177 [8]
307 [45]	Heritage (Ringgold)	6 - AAAA	2-5	19.73	31.44	233 [40]
308 [55]	Chattahoochee	7 - AAAAAA	0-7	19.72	39.74	159 [40]
309 [22]	Pinecrest Academy	6 - A	3-3	19.59	19.11	337 [19]
310 [46]	Henry County	4 - AAAA	1-5	19.31	33.26	218 [36]
311 [50]	Grady	6 - AAAAA	1-5	19.26	32.63	222 [43]
312 [23]	Montgomery County	3 - A	4-2	18.94	7.91	403 [40]
313 [47]	Lakeside (Atlanta)	7 - AAAAAAA	1-6	18.82	40.49	149 [42]
314 [47]	LaFayette	6 - AAAA	4-3	18.20	16.88	355 [52]
315 [23]	Tattnall Square	7 - A	4-3	18.16	11.83	388 [31]
316 [37]	Bacon County	2 - AA	1-6	17.60	36.09	198 [13]
317 [56]	Dunwoody	7 - AAAAAA	1-5	17.54	36.59	193 [48]
318 [35]	Islands	3 - AAA	2-4	17.34	24.72	289 [39]
319 [38]	Lamar County	5 - AA	3-4	17.31	22.75	308 [39]
320 [24]	Stratford Academy	7 - A	1-5	17.28	27.91	260 [5]
321 [24]	Chattahoochee County	1 - A	5-2	16.94	4.94	410 [44]
322 [25]	Washington-Wilkes	7 - A	2-5	16.92	23.42	300 [11]
323 [36]	Tattnall County	2 - AAA	0-6	16.42	37.70	175 [16]
324 [48]	Cross Creek	3 - AAAA	3-3	16.21	17.87	347 [51]
325 [26]	Lincoln County	7 - A	2-4	16.16	20.04	330 [17]
326 [39]	Coosa	7 - AA	2-5	16.16	23.21	303 [37]
327 [40]	B.E.S.T. Academy	6 - AA	1-6	16.09	42.42	130 [5]
328 [37]	Brantley County	2 - AAA	1-5	15.80	30.46	238 [26]
329 [38]	Sonoraville	6 - AAA	2-4	15.71	22.82	307 [42]
330 [41]	Laney	4 - AA	3-4	15.45	26.08	277 [26]
331 [51]	Johnson (Gainesville)	8 - AAAAA	4-3	15.32	10.18	395 [56]
332 [52]	Fayette County	3 - AAAAA	0-6	14.93	31.61	230 [45]
333 [42]	Monticello	8 - AA	2-4	14.81	25.33	284 [30]
334 [49]	Southeast Whitfield	6 - AAAA	3-4	13.78	20.23	329 [49]
335 [25]	Strong Rock Christian	5 - A	3-4	13.40	18.55	342 [20]
336 [27]	Johnson County	3 - A	3-3	13.27	14.77	372 [32]
337 [26]	First Presbyterian	7 - A	2-4	12.44	19.43	335 [18]
338 [39]	Worth County	1 - AAA	1-6	12.40	41.61	140 [8]
339 [40]	East Hall	7 - AAA	1-6	12.05	39.86	158 [10]
340 [57]	Forest Park	4 - AAAAAA	0-6	11.86	33.23	219 [52]
341 [41]	Coahulla Creek	6 - AAA	2-4	11.79	19.85	331 [47]
342 [50]	Chestatee	7 - AAAA	1-6	11.63	42.09	133 [22]
343 [27]	Mount Pisgah Christian	6 - A	2-5	11.18	21.69	317 [15]
344 [28]	Warren County	7 - A	4-3	11.10	7.48	405 [41]
345 [28]	Riverside Military Academy	8 - A	3-3	10.67	11.11	392 [33]
346 [42]	Fannin County	7 - AAA	3-3	10.63	7.73	404 [56]
347 [29]	Taylor County	4 - A	2-4	10.53	17.74	348 [22]
348 [29]	Athens Christian	8 - A	2-4	10.45	24.50	291 [8]
349 [43]	Banks County	8 - AA	3-3	10.40	8.32	399 [57]
350 [43]	Beach	3 - AAA	1-4	10.33	31.97	226 [24]
351 [51]	North Clayton	4 - AAAA	0-6	10.19	41.37	142 [24]
352 [44]	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6 - AA	2-5	10.13	22.08	312 [40]
353 [45]	McNair	6 - AA	2-5	10.07	37.28	180 [9]
354 [30]	St. Francis	6 - A	2-4	9.40	15.59	366 [25]
355 [52]	Dougherty	1 - AAAA	0-6	9.34	35.79	201 [32]
356 [44]	Redan	5 - AAA	0-6	8.93	37.89	171 [14]
357 [30]	Miller County	1 - A	3-3	8.90	7.38	406 [42]
358 [31]	Gordon Lee	6 - A	2-5	8.35	19.68	332 [18]
359 [32]	McIntosh County Academy	3 - A	0-6	7.86	30.09	239 [5]
360 [33]	Bowdon	6 - A	0-6	7.54	27.40	270 [8]
361 [46]	Putnam County	8 - AA	1-5	7.39	29.85	241 [20]
362 [47]	Model	7 - AA	2-5	6.96	17.11	352 [49]
363 [45]	Lumpkin County	7 - AAA	3-3	6.93	7.91	402 [55]
364 [53]	Lithia Springs	6 - AAAAA	2-4	6.91	20.34	328 [52]
365 [48]	East Laurens	3 - AA	1-5	6.60	34.64	209 [17]
366 [49]	Bryan County	2 - AA	1-5	6.44	25.06	285 [31]
367 [50]	Glenn Hills	4 - AA	1-5	6.27	19.39	336 [46]
368 [34]	Seminole County	1 - A	4-2	6.00	-2.67	416 [48]
369 [35]	Greenville	4 - A	2-4	5.78	20.76	324 [15]
370 [36]	Hawkinsville	4 - A	2-4	4.97	19.61	333 [19]
371 [53]	Druid Hills	4 - AAAA	2-4	4.19	21.38	320 [48]
372 [54]	Chamblee	5 - AAAAA	0-6	3.38	51.16	53 [9]
373 [37]	Portal	3 - A	1-5	3.02	21.84	315 [13]
374 [31]	Landmark Christian	5 - A	2-5	2.69	14.25	376 [27]
375 [51]	Gordon Central	7 - AA	2-5	2.64	13.54	378 [55]
376 [52]	Jordan	5 - AA	2-5	2.36	15.40	367 [52]
377 [38]	Wilkinson County	7 - A	0-6	1.67	28.27	257 [7]
378 [53]	Temple	5 - AA	1-6	0.47	27.71	264 [25]
379 [46]	Long County	2 - AAA	0-6	0.00	37.92	170 [13]
380 [58]	Osborne	6 - AAAAAA	0-7	-0.07	34.56	210 [50]
381 [54]	Westside (Augusta)	4 - AA	1-5	-0.75	21.91	314 [41]
382 [39]	Towns County	8 - A	2-5	-1.01	36.29	195 [2]
383 [55]	Social Circle	8 - AA	4-2	-1.06	-13.15	419 [59]
384 [56]	Dade County	7 - AA	1-6	-1.36	16.77	356 [50]
385 [32]	King's Ridge Christian	6 - A	1-5	-1.72	12.84	382 [28]
386 [47]	Johnson (Savannah)	3 - AAA	1-4	-2.44	27.02	275 [35]
387 [33]	Providence Christian	8 - A	2-4	-3.08	23.67	298 [11]
388 [40]	Terrell County	1 - A	1-5	-3.14	13.11	380 [35]
389 [48]	Towers	5 - AAA	0-7	-3.48	39.08	162 [11]
390 [41]	Lanier County	2 - A	0-6	-3.81	23.30	301 [12]
391 [34]	Georgia Military College	7 - A	3-4	-4.66	3.09	412 [37]
392 [49]	Savannah	3 - AAA	0-5	-6.10	32.62	223 [23]
393 [35]	Lakeview Academy	8 - A	0-6	-6.22	28.84	250 [4]
394 [50]	Kendrick	4 - AAA	1-6	-6.36	18.35	344 [48]
395 [36]	Walker	6 - A	0-6	-6.42	16.68	358 [23]
396 [51]	Groves	3 - AAA	1-6	-7.29	22.29	311 [44]
397 [57]	Armuchee	7 - AA	1-6	-7.34	14.81	371 [54]
398 [58]	Josey	4 - AA	0-6	-7.76	18.80	338 [47]
399 [42]	Wheeler County	3 - A	1-5	-8.04	16.32	360 [27]
400 [37]	Pacelli	4 - A	3-4	-8.51	2.90	413 [38]
401 [43]	Calhoun County	1 - A	1-5	-9.45	11.70	390 [37]
402 [48]	Berkmar	7 - AAAAAAA	2-5	-9.66	31.45	232 [46]
403 [38]	Our Lady of Mercy	5 - A	0-7	-9.89	26.62	276 [6]
404 [52]	Rutland	4 - AAA	0-7	-10.18	23.82	297 [40]
405 [44]	Treutlen	3 - A	2-5	-10.59	10.46	394 [38]
406 [53]	Stone Mountain	5 - AAA	0-6	-10.61	36.84	186 [20]
407 [54]	East Jackson	8 - AAA	1-5	-11.41	21.54	318 [45]
408 [55]	Murray County	6 - AAA	0-7	-11.59	15.65	365 [50]
409 [56]	Cherokee Bluff	7 - AAA	0-7	-12.85	27.48	267 [31]
410 [45]	Baconton Charter	1 - A	2-4	-13.45	5.33	409 [43]
411 [46]	Crawford County	4 - A	2-4	-14.85	-5.19	417 [49]
412 [54]	Gilmer	6 - AAAA	0-6	-15.55	11.94	385 [53]
413 [59]	Oglethorpe County	8 - AA	0-6	-21.11	6.01	408 [58]
414 [47]	Twiggs County	7 - A	0-7	-25.11	17.05	353 [24]
415 [55]	Clarkston	5 - AAAAA†	0-7	-25.64	12.86	381 [55]
416 [48]	Stewart County	1 - A	2-4	-26.42	-0.96	415 [47]
417 [49]	Central (Talbotton)	4 - A	0-6	-26.68	9.57	398 [39]
418 [1]	ACE Charter	7 - A†	4-4	-27.05	-16.97	421 [2]
419 [50]	Randolph-Clay	1 - A	0-6	-36.29	11.88	386 [36]
420 [2]	Glascock County	7 - A†	0-7	-45.00	-16.36	420 [1]
421 [3]	Pataula Charter	1 - A†	1-6	-48.26	-24.22	422 [3]
422 [56]	Cross Keys	5 - AAAAA†	0-8	-70.15	13.83	377 [54]

† - Plays a non-region schedule

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the Competitive Rating is the rating required for a new team to that region to have a chance of going undefeated in a round robin schedule among region teams equal to the chance of being selected region champion if picked at random. For example, there are four teams in 1-AAAAAAA, so the chance of a new team being region champion if picked at random is 1 / (4 + 1) = 20%. Therefore the Competitive Rating is the rating required to go undefeated in a round robin tournament among region teams 20% of the time. This rating favors regions with larger numbers of highly rated teams. The “Average Rating” is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank	Region	Comp Rating	Avg Rating
1	1 - AAAAAAA	92.81	80.17
2	3 - AAAAAAA	80.90	68.16
3	8 - AAAAAAA	80.68	54.60
4	1 - AAAAAA	75.74	63.40
5	6 - AAAAAAA	75.49	51.57
6	7 - AAAAAAA	75.24	50.93
7	4 - AAAAAAA	73.94	55.80
8	5 - AAAA	73.37	55.07
9	7 - AAAA	73.21	44.04
10	4 - AAAAA	71.96	50.06
11	7 - AAAAA	71.81	46.13
12	1 - AAAAA	68.85	54.60
13	5 - AAAAAAA	67.91	50.93
14	2 - AAAA	67.24	51.57
15	6 - AAAAAA	66.83	46.89
16	2 - AAAAAAA	65.26	52.83
17	5 - AAA	63.82	37.22
18	8 - AAAAA	63.11	41.39
19	8 - AAAA	63.07	46.07
20	2 - AAAAA	60.43	45.56
21	1 - AA	58.67	48.92
22	3 - AA	58.27	39.61
23	5 - AAAAAA	58.17	42.27
24	6 - AA	58.12	27.90
25	5 - AA	56.45	30.10
26	4 - AAA	56.09	33.90
27	2 - AAAAAA	55.89	46.09
28	3 - AAAA	54.69	43.16
29	2 - A	54.64	30.53
30	7 - AAA	54.58	23.17
31	8 - AAAAAA	53.91	40.96
32	7 - AAAAAA	53.73	35.13
33	8 - A	53.29	23.40
	8-Div A - A	53.94	35.78
	8-Div B - A	36.93	14.27
34	8 - AAA	52.82	29.86
35	6 - AAA	52.37	21.14
36	4 - AAAAAA	52.19	33.63
37	4 - AAAA	51.84	27.02
38	3 - AAA	50.59	16.83
39	1 - AAAA	49.96	33.16
40	6 - AAAA	49.07	25.75
41	3 - AAAAA	48.29	32.62
42	6 - AAAAA	47.35	30.62
43	2 - AAA	46.87	28.49
44	7 - AA	46.85	14.54
45	1 - AAA	46.17	28.56
46	5 - A	45.97	22.74
47	2 - AA	45.91	28.55
48	5 - AAAAA	44.67	27.28
49	8 - AA	43.89	16.55
50	6 - A	43.71	20.72
	6-Div B - A	38.94	17.43
	6-Div A - A	37.67	23.64
51	3 - AAAAAA	42.48	32.69
52	4 - AA	39.94	20.03
53	3 - A	39.67	17.64
	3-Div A - A	38.90	23.20
	3-Div B - A	27.76	11.97
54	4 - A	39.56	14.81
	4-Div A - A	35.63	12.85
	4-Div B - A	32.37	16.28
55	7 - A	33.90	14.63
	7-Div B - A	31.60	17.42
	7-Div A - A	24.26	11.05
56	1 - A	28.50	0.97

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Pct	Likelihood
10/05	North Murray	Coahulla Creek	21 - 53	12.15	77.1%	0.242
09/14	Howard	Jackson	6 - 24	8.24	69.5%	0.335
09/14	Mount Zion (Carroll)	Christian Heritage	22 - 30	9.38	71.9%	0.340
08/17	Archer	Milton	19 - 21	10.59	74.3%	0.343
08/24	Cedar Shoals	Winder-Barrow	7 - 14	9.09	71.3%	0.348
09/21	Roswell	Wheeler	36 - 37	10.14	73.4%	0.355
09/27	Hardaway	Shaw	28 - 30	9.07	71.2%	0.368
08/31	Liberty County	Statesboro	6 - 23	6.64	66.0%	0.368
08/31	Apalachee	Madison County	14 - 20	7.55	68.0%	0.378
09/07	Newnan	Griffin	17 - 26	6.93	66.7%	0.381
09/07	Toombs County	Claxton	14 - 21	6.73	66.2%	0.390
09/21	Northgate	South Paulding	30 - 35	6.94	66.7%	0.392
09/21	Lincoln County	Warren County	21 - 28	6.58	65.9%	0.392
08/17	Chattooga	Adairsville	20 - 21	7.16	67.2%	0.403
08/17	Decatur	Lakeside (Atlanta)	20 - 21	6.75	66.3%	0.409

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating	Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Pct
88.79	09/21	Colquitt County	Grayson	26 - 14	13.08	78.7%
84.11	10/12	Grayson	Archer	-	3.52	58.7%
83.30	09/14	North Gwinnett	Walton	24 - 27	0.74	51.9%
81.70	08/31	Parkview	Lowndes	39 - 27	4.98	62.2%
81.66	10/26	Colquitt County	Lowndes	-	20.95	89.0%
79.05	09/14	Colquitt County	Warner Robins	41 - 14	21.93	90.0%
78.66	08/18	Colquitt County	McEachern	41 - 7	22.96	90.9%
78.32	10/05	Hillgrove	McEachern	31 - 21	5.54	63.5%
76.70	09/21	Archer	Buford	48 - 24	10.09	73.3%
76.30	09/14	Parkview	Tift County	31 - 28	9.59	72.3%
76.10	08/17	Blessed Trinity	St. Pius X	35 - 13	10.22	73.5%
75.46	08/17	Archer	Milton	19 - 21	10.59	74.3%
75.27	09/07	Grayson	Marietta	38 - 31	12.04	76.9%
75.01	10/19	Colquitt County	Tift County	-	25.56	92.8%
74.95	11/02	Cartersville	Troup	-	0.20	50.5%

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

Alerts

Maxwell Week 8 Summary: New top team in Class A - Private???

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

By Class

All-Class

Regions

Least Likely Results

Highest Rated Matchups

More Stories

Maxwell 2025 season summary | Buford, TCC, Carrollton top teams in state

Maxwell GHSA championship predictions: Carrollton-Buford highest rated matchup in 45 years

Gainesville, Calvary Day get boost after big victories | Maxwell summary

‘I’ll bring ‘em to you’: Hoschton police teamed with ICE at traffic stops

These are the 10 questions that will shape Georgia politics in 2026

Senior Atlanta Housing official accused of defrauding Section 8 program