Maxwell Week 12 summary: Colquitt County faces field (and history)

By Loren Maxwell

Updated Nov 5, 2018

The Maxwell Ratings will rank the Georgia High School Association's 422 teams throughout the 2018 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the player roster or coaching staff.

Interesting results:

- Colquitt County is rated just shy of two touchdowns and a field goal better than their nearest competitor, Grayson. While the playoffs have yet to start and the Parkers are, at best, only two-thirds of the way through the season, they’ve dominated Class AAAAAAA to the point where the computer gives them a 74.6% chance to walk away with the title (assuming Tift County as the At-Large seed).

But perhaps more interesting than if they are the best team in the state is whether they are the best Packer team in history. At this point -- not quite. Coach Rush Propst’s 2015 version is rated slightly higher (104.89 vs 104.60) as is Jim Hughes’ 1994 outfit (104.69 vs 104.60). But a strong showing over the next five games could easily make this year’s team the best to ever emerge from Moultrie.

- Similarly, Lee County, nearly *three* touchdowns and a field goal better than Class AAAAAA #2 Creekview and an 83.5% favorite to win it all, has probably secured their highest rating ever regardless of what happens in the playoffs. They are rated over five points better than their 2005 incarnation, a 10-2 squad in one of the toughest regions in the state and featuring Class AAAA Offensive Player of the Year D’Vontrey Richardson.

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season's games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.

The current total weight of all team's historical performance is 0.14%.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 1,928 of 2,062 total games including 0 tie(s) (93.50%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within 13.65 points.

The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team's opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Home Advantage: 1.33

By Class

AAAAAAA				AAAAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Colquitt County	10-0	104.60	1	Lee County	10-0	88.54
2	Grayson	8-2	87.67	2	Creekview	10-0	65.11
3	Parkview	10-0	84.23	3	Valdosta	6-4	63.93
4	Hillgrove	10-0	81.81	4	Northside (Warner Robins)	5-5	62.16
5	Lowndes	7-3	75.06	5	Sequoyah	8-2	58.70
6	Marietta	5-5	74.59	6	Allatoona	7-3	58.22
7	North Gwinnett	8-2	74.19	7	Harrison	8-2	57.07
8	Archer	8-2	74.15	8	Coffee	7-3	54.09
9	Tift County	6-4	74.02	9	Johns Creek	9-1	54.03
10	McEachern	7-3	73.40	10	Dacula	8-2	51.80
11	Camden County	7-3	73.19	11	Glynn Academy	6-4	49.40
12	Milton	8-2	70.85	12	Creekside	7-3	45.91
13	Walton	9-1	69.82	13	Douglas County	8-2	45.56
14	Roswell	9-1	68.79	14	Centennial	7-3	45.53
15	Westlake	8-2	65.01	15	Dalton	6-4	44.17

AAAAA				AAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Rome	10-0	84.25	1	Mary Persons	10-0	82.39
2	Warner Robins	9-1	78.77	2	Cartersville	10-0	74.43
3	Dutchtown	10-0	76.40	3	Blessed Trinity	10-0	72.90
4	Stockbridge	9-1	66.67	4	St. Pius X	9-1	65.10
5	Buford	8-2	65.24	5	Troup	9-1	64.55
6	Jones County	8-2	64.56	6	Marist	8-2	62.88
7	Kell	8-2	59.04	7	Upson-Lee	7-3	55.56
8	Wayne County	10-0	58.37	8	Pickens	10-0	53.93
9	Veterans	8-2	56.83	9	Sandy Creek	7-3	52.65
10	Carrollton	8-2	55.79	10	Flowery Branch	8-2	52.34
11	Bainbridge	5-5	54.01	11	Cedartown	5-5	49.91
12	Ware County	7-3	52.18	12	Howard	6-4	49.47
13	East Paulding	6-4	50.17	13	Cairo	8-2	49.22
14	Locust Grove	5-5	48.26	14	Baldwin	5-5	48.56
15	Banneker	9-1	48.04	15	Burke County	7-3	47.37

AAA				AA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Cedar Grove	9-1	72.13	1	Rockmart	10-0	66.34
2	Peach County	8-2	67.32	2	Dublin	9-1	63.63
3	Calhoun	10-0	64.62	3	Dodge County	9-1	58.65
4	Monroe Area	10-0	61.23	4	Hapeville Charter	9-1	57.40
5	Greater Atlanta Christian	8-2	55.68	5	Brooks County	8-2	57.38
6	Crisp County	7-3	51.96	6	Fitzgerald	7-3	55.26
7	Benedictine	9-1	51.78	7	Washington County	8-2	53.40
8	Dawson County	9-1	51.61	8	Heard County	8-2	50.55
9	Westminster (Atlanta)	6-4	49.92	9	Callaway	8-2	50.27
10	Pierce County	10-0	49.73	10	Thomasville	6-4	50.26
11	Pace Academy	6-4	47.94	11	Rabun County	9-1	49.50
12	Westside (Macon)	7-3	47.44	12	Bremen	8-2	46.69
13	Lovett	5-5	47.15	13	Swainsboro	8-2	45.68
14	North Hall	8-2	45.66	14	Vidalia	9-1	42.67
15	Jefferson	8-2	44.49	15	Early County	6-4	39.24

A - Public				A - Private
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Irwin County	10-0	70.85	1	Athens Academy	10-0	52.71
2	Clinch County	9-1	59.34	2	Eagle's Landing Christian	9-1	49.77
3	Pelham	10-0	50.84	3	Prince Avenue Christian	9-1	48.40
4	Marion County	10-0	44.58	4	George Walton Academy	8-2	42.19
5	Mount Zion (Carroll)	9-1	42.56	5	Savannah Christian	9-1	40.33
6	Charlton County	7-3	36.92	6	North Cobb Christian	9-1	38.25
7	Commerce	8-2	36.89	7	Fellowship Christian	9-1	33.57
8	Schley County	8-2	32.88	8	Darlington	8-2	33.18
9	Mitchell County	8-2	32.11	9	Hebron Christian Academy	5-5	32.99
10	Turner County	6-4	28.65	10	Calvary Day	9-1	31.71
11	Trion	7-3	28.00	11	Wesleyan	6-4	29.69
12	Wilcox County	5-5	26.58	12	Christian Heritage	7-3	28.65
13	Emanuel County Institute	6-4	24.52	13	Mount Paran Christian	7-3	28.33
14	Dooly County	6-4	23.48	14	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	7-3	26.23
15	Greene County	8-2	23.28	15	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	7-3	24.94

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

Rank	Team	Region	Rec	Rating	SchStr	Rank
1 [1]	Colquitt County	1 - AAAAAAA	10-0	104.60	69.32	1 [1]
2 [1]	Lee County	1 - AAAAAA	10-0	88.54	42.69	71 [9]
3 [2]	Grayson	8 - AAAAAAA	8-2	87.67	49.61	30 [23]
4 [1]	Rome	7 - AAAAA	10-0	84.25	37.40	117 [23]
5 [3]	Parkview	7 - AAAAAAA	10-0	84.23	50.32	27 [20]
6 [1]	Mary Persons	2 - AAAA	10-0	82.39	42.91	70 [11]
7 [4]	Hillgrove	3 - AAAAAAA	10-0	81.81	53.72	14 [10]
8 [2]	Warner Robins	1 - AAAAA	9-1	78.77	53.97	12 [1]
9 [3]	Dutchtown	4 - AAAAA	10-0	76.40	41.93	76 [15]
10 [5]	Lowndes	1 - AAAAAAA	7-3	75.06	61.07	5 [4]
11 [6]	Marietta	3 - AAAAAAA	5-5	74.59	67.16	2 [2]
12 [2]	Cartersville	5 - AAAA	10-0	74.43	40.26	92 [19]
13 [7]	North Gwinnett	6 - AAAAAAA	8-2	74.19	46.98	42 [29]
14 [8]	Archer	8 - AAAAAAA	8-2	74.15	51.67	19 [13]
15 [9]	Tift County	1 - AAAAAAA	6-4	74.02	65.39	3 [3]
16 [10]	McEachern	3 - AAAAAAA	7-3	73.40	60.39	6 [5]
17 [11]	Camden County	1 - AAAAAAA	7-3	73.19	56.46	9 [6]
18 [3]	Blessed Trinity	7 - AAAA	10-0	72.90	41.39	82 [13]
19 [1]	Cedar Grove	5 - AAA	9-1	72.13	24.52	243 [30]
20 [12]	Milton	5 - AAAAAAA	8-2	70.85	51.49	21 [15]
21 [1]	Irwin County	2 - A	10-0	70.85	29.42	191 [3]
22 [13]	Walton	4 - AAAAAAA	9-1	69.82	49.11	31 [24]
23 [14]	Roswell	4 - AAAAAAA	9-1	68.79	47.84	38 [27]
24 [2]	Peach County	4 - AAA	8-2	67.32	38.88	107 [4]
25 [4]	Stockbridge	4 - AAAAA	9-1	66.67	32.73	164 [31]
26 [1]	Rockmart	7 - AA	10-0	66.34	19.88	283 [23]
27 [5]	Buford	8 - AAAAA	8-2	65.24	35.69	131 [27]
28 [2]	Creekview	6 - AAAAAA	10-0	65.11	37.54	116 [19]
29 [4]	St. Pius X	8 - AAAA	9-1	65.10	39.49	104 [22]
30 [15]	Westlake	2 - AAAAAAA	8-2	65.01	46.38	45 [31]
31 [3]	Calhoun	6 - AAA	10-0	64.62	19.99	281 [40]
32 [6]	Jones County	4 - AAAAA	8-2	64.56	46.11	47 [6]
33 [5]	Troup	5 - AAAA	9-1	64.55	44.20	57 [6]
34 [3]	Valdosta	1 - AAAAAA	6-4	63.93	61.20	4 [1]
35 [2]	Dublin	3 - AA	9-1	63.63	34.01	151 [11]
36 [16]	Mill Creek	6 - AAAAAAA	7-3	62.91	50.47	26 [19]
37 [6]	Marist	7 - AAAA	8-2	62.88	43.16	69 [10]
38 [4]	Northside (Warner Robins)	1 - AAAAAA	5-5	62.16	57.38	8 [3]
39 [17]	North Paulding	3 - AAAAAAA	7-3	62.05	49.65	29 [22]
40 [4]	Monroe Area	8 - AAA	10-0	61.23	26.15	225 [26]
41 [2]	Clinch County	2 - A	9-1	59.34	29.51	188 [2]
42 [7]	Kell	7 - AAAAA	8-2	59.04	38.54	109 [20]
43 [5]	Sequoyah	6 - AAAAAA	8-2	58.70	39.46	105 [15]
44 [3]	Dodge County	3 - AA	9-1	58.65	39.26	106 [6]
45 [8]	Wayne County	2 - AAAAA	10-0	58.37	35.59	132 [28]
46 [6]	Allatoona	6 - AAAAAA	7-3	58.22	45.85	49 [6]
47 [18]	North Cobb	3 - AAAAAAA	6-4	58.01	53.95	13 [9]
48 [19]	Norcross	7 - AAAAAAA	6-4	57.54	49.71	28 [21]
49 [4]	Hapeville Charter	6 - AA	9-1	57.40	17.17	314 [34]
50 [5]	Brooks County	1 - AA	8-2	57.38	44.75	52 [2]
51 [7]	Harrison	6 - AAAAAA	8-2	57.07	37.15	120 [21]
52 [9]	Veterans	1 - AAAAA	8-2	56.83	46.10	48 [7]
53 [20]	West Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	5-5	56.80	48.64	34 [26]
54 [10]	Carrollton	7 - AAAAA	8-2	55.79	37.92	114 [22]
55 [5]	Greater Atlanta Christian	7 - AAA	8-2	55.68	28.42	205 [22]
56 [7]	Upson-Lee	2 - AAAA	7-3	55.56	48.73	33 [1]
57 [6]	Fitzgerald	1 - AA	7-3	55.26	42.08	75 [3]
58 [21]	Brookwood	7 - AAAAAAA	7-3	54.87	39.82	100 [41]
59 [8]	Coffee	1 - AAAAAA	7-3	54.09	40.16	93 [12]
60 [9]	Johns Creek	7 - AAAAAA	9-1	54.03	25.40	232 [52]
61 [11]	Bainbridge	1 - AAAAA	5-5	54.01	51.98	18 [3]
62 [8]	Pickens	6 - AAAA	10-0	53.93	14.26	345 [52]
63 [7]	Washington County	3 - AA	8-2	53.40	36.87	122 [7]
64 [22]	Mountain View	6 - AAAAAAA	7-3	53.06	43.72	64 [36]
65 [1]	Athens Academy	8 - A	10-0	52.71	25.47	230 [2]
66 [9]	Sandy Creek	5 - AAAA	7-3	52.65	39.59	103 [21]
67 [10]	Flowery Branch	7 - AAAA	8-2	52.34	32.92	162 [29]
68 [12]	Ware County	2 - AAAAA	7-3	52.18	43.20	68 [12]
69 [6]	Crisp County	1 - AAA	7-3	51.96	39.72	101 [3]
70 [10]	Dacula	8 - AAAAAA	8-2	51.80	35.35	137 [26]
71 [7]	Benedictine	3 - AAA	9-1	51.78	14.02	348 [50]
72 [8]	Dawson County	7 - AAA	9-1	51.61	20.09	278 [39]
73 [3]	Pelham	1 - A	10-0	50.84	-4.69	417 [48]
74 [8]	Heard County	5 - AA	8-2	50.55	28.36	206 [16]
75 [9]	Callaway	5 - AA	8-2	50.27	18.06	306 [33]
76 [10]	Thomasville	1 - AA	6-4	50.26	47.73	40 [1]
77 [13]	East Paulding	7 - AAAAA	6-4	50.17	44.46	55 [9]
78 [23]	Newnan	2 - AAAAAAA	6-4	50.09	44.39	56 [33]
79 [9]	Westminster (Atlanta)	5 - AAA	6-4	49.92	42.47	73 [1]
80 [11]	Cedartown	5 - AAAA	5-5	49.91	44.03	59 [7]
81 [2]	Eagle's Landing Christian	5 - A	9-1	49.77	18.15	303 [15]
82 [10]	Pierce County	2 - AAA	10-0	49.73	8.76	380 [54]
83 [11]	Rabun County	8 - AA	9-1	49.50	18.97	293 [26]
84 [12]	Howard	2 - AAAA	6-4	49.47	44.62	53 [5]
85 [11]	Glynn Academy	2 - AAAAAA	6-4	49.40	40.08	97 [13]
86 [13]	Cairo	1 - AAAA	8-2	49.22	30.40	182 [30]
87 [24]	East Coweta	2 - AAAAAAA	3-7	48.82	55.68	11 [8]
88 [14]	Baldwin	3 - AAAA	5-5	48.56	48.21	36 [2]
89 [3]	Prince Avenue Christian	8 - A	9-1	48.40	21.46	265 [7]
90 [14]	Locust Grove	4 - AAAAA	5-5	48.26	51.08	23 [4]
91 [15]	Banneker	6 - AAAAA	9-1	48.04	20.04	280 [48]
92 [11]	Pace Academy	5 - AAA	6-4	47.94	34.50	145 [7]
93 [25]	South Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	5-5	47.71	48.88	32 [25]
94 [26]	Cherokee	4 - AAAAAAA	5-5	47.70	51.12	22 [16]
95 [12]	Westside (Macon)	4 - AAA	7-3	47.44	33.20	159 [10]
96 [15]	Burke County	3 - AAAA	7-3	47.37	35.97	130 [26]
97 [13]	Lovett	5 - AAA	5-5	47.15	42.33	74 [2]
98 [16]	Ridgeland	6 - AAAA	7-3	46.89	26.88	216 [37]
99 [12]	Bremen	5 - AA	8-2	46.69	17.04	316 [35]
100 [17]	Perry	2 - AAAA	6-4	46.20	43.70	65 [9]
101 [27]	Etowah	4 - AAAAAAA	4-6	45.91	50.85	24 [17]
102 [12]	Creekside	5 - AAAAAA	7-3	45.91	37.09	121 [22]
103 [13]	Swainsboro	2 - AA	8-2	45.68	27.89	208 [17]
104 [14]	North Hall	7 - AAA	8-2	45.66	17.40	312 [44]
105 [13]	Douglas County	5 - AAAAAA	8-2	45.56	32.82	163 [36]
106 [14]	Centennial	7 - AAAAAA	7-3	45.53	31.99	170 [40]
107 [18]	Eastside	4 - AAAA	10-0	45.49	16.31	324 [51]
108 [19]	West Laurens	2 - AAAA	5-5	45.26	43.99	60 [8]
109 [20]	North Oconee	8 - AAAA	8-2	45.14	29.90	184 [31]
110 [28]	Kennesaw Mountain	3 - AAAAAAA	4-6	44.82	52.59	16 [12]
111 [4]	Marion County	4 - A	10-0	44.58	13.63	353 [19]
112 [15]	Jefferson	8 - AAA	8-2	44.49	26.94	214 [24]
113 [29]	Wheeler	2 - AAAAAAA	6-4	44.24	41.85	78 [38]
114 [21]	Carver (Columbus)	1 - AAAA	9-1	44.20	26.30	224 [39]
115 [15]	Dalton	6 - AAAAAA	6-4	44.17	36.36	127 [24]
116 [30]	Pebblebrook	2 - AAAAAAA	4-6	44.08	46.98	41 [29]
117 [22]	Chapel Hill	5 - AAAA	6-4	44.08	41.03	85 [15]
118 [31]	Collins Hill	6 - AAAAAAA	3-7	44.03	56.00	10 [7]
119 [16]	Cedar Shoals	8 - AAAAA	7-3	43.71	33.25	156 [30]
120 [17]	Thomas County Central	1 - AAAAA	5-5	43.51	43.75	63 [11]
121 [16]	Appling County	2 - AAA	6-4	42.86	33.21	157 [9]
122 [14]	Vidalia	2 - AA	9-1	42.67	18.65	296 [27]
123 [5]	Mount Zion (Carroll)	6 - A	9-1	42.56	18.98	292 [12]
124 [16]	Stephenson	4 - AAAAAA	9-1	42.31	20.87	271 [57]
125 [18]	Clarke Central	8 - AAAAA	6-4	42.29	38.42	110 [21]
126 [32]	Woodstock	4 - AAAAAAA	3-7	42.23	51.58	20 [14]
127 [17]	Mays	5 - AAAAAA	6-4	42.20	34.17	148 [30]
128 [4]	George Walton Academy	8 - A	8-2	42.19	18.84	295 [13]
129 [23]	Oconee County	8 - AAAA	6-4	41.97	38.28	112 [23]
130 [18]	Lanier	8 - AAAAAA	7-3	41.78	34.58	143 [29]
131 [17]	Jackson	4 - AAA	6-4	41.22	34.31	147 [8]
132 [33]	Forsyth Central	5 - AAAAAAA	7-3	41.00	28.61	203 [48]
133 [19]	Southwest DeKalb	5 - AAAAA	10-0	40.86	17.70	310 [52]
134 [20]	Harris County	1 - AAAAA	3-7	40.72	52.35	17 [2]
135 [34]	Central Gwinnett	7 - AAAAAAA	4-6	40.53	43.77	62 [35]
136 [5]	Savannah Christian	3 - A	9-1	40.33	12.99	358 [25]
137 [21]	Griffin	3 - AAAAA	7-3	39.93	26.54	219 [37]
138 [15]	Early County	1 - AA	6-4	39.24	40.49	89 [5]
139 [19]	Richmond Hill	2 - AAAAAA	4-5	39.23	43.34	67 [8]
140 [35]	Newton	8 - AAAAAAA	4-6	39.21	44.07	58 [34]
141 [20]	Effingham County	2 - AAAAAA	6-4	38.99	33.12	161 [35]
142 [22]	Riverwood	6 - AAAAA	8-2	38.87	18.28	301 [50]
143 [18]	Liberty County	2 - AAA	6-3	38.68	29.79	186 [16]
144 [24]	Stephens County	8 - AAAA	5-5	38.67	40.09	96 [20]
145 [23]	Starr's Mill	3 - AAAAA	7-3	38.56	25.00	234 [40]
146 [25]	Thomson	3 - AAAA	4-6	38.29	41.74	79 [12]
147 [16]	Jefferson County	4 - AA	8-2	38.26	16.29	325 [39]
148 [6]	North Cobb Christian	6 - A	9-1	38.25	19.52	287 [12]
149 [21]	Bradwell Institute	2 - AAAAAA	4-6	37.85	40.27	91 [11]
150 [22]	Tucker	4 - AAAAAA	7-3	37.59	26.36	223 [49]
151 [24]	Union Grove	4 - AAAAA	6-4	37.46	31.25	174 [34]
152 [36]	North Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	3-7	37.20	43.39	66 [37]
153 [25]	Statesboro	2 - AAAAA	4-6	37.09	41.66	80 [16]
154 [26]	Richmond Academy	3 - AAAA	7-3	36.98	29.72	187 [32]
155 [37]	South Gwinnett	8 - AAAAAAA	4-6	36.94	45.23	50 [32]
156 [6]	Charlton County	2 - A	7-3	36.92	26.85	217 [7]
157 [7]	Commerce	8 - A	8-2	36.89	17.38	313 [15]
158 [23]	Alpharetta	7 - AAAAAA	6-4	36.82	32.22	168 [39]
159 [24]	Habersham Central	8 - AAAAAA	6-4	36.70	34.07	149 [31]
160 [17]	Douglass	6 - AA	9-1	36.70	4.49	397 [58]
161 [25]	Northgate	5 - AAAAAA	6-4	36.61	34.92	140 [28]
162 [26]	Houston County	1 - AAAAAA	2-8	36.28	57.60	7 [2]
163 [27]	Sprayberry	6 - AAAAAA	3-7	36.13	44.87	51 [7]
164 [18]	Union County	8 - AA	9-1	36.12	6.33	386 [57]
165 [26]	Villa Rica	7 - AAAAA	5-5	36.05	37.20	118 [24]
166 [27]	Hiram	7 - AAAAA	4-6	34.75	42.55	72 [13]
167 [38]	Meadowcreek	7 - AAAAAAA	6-4	34.72	30.44	181 [46]
168 [19]	Chattooga	7 - AA	8-2	34.59	16.00	328 [42]
169 [27]	Columbus	1 - AAAA	6-4	34.02	28.63	201 [35]
170 [28]	Loganville	8 - AAAAA	4-6	33.90	41.93	77 [15]
171 [7]	Fellowship Christian	6 - A	9-1	33.57	12.84	360 [26]
172 [8]	Darlington	6 - A	8-2	33.18	23.20	252 [4]
173 [9]	Hebron Christian Academy	8 - A	5-5	32.99	27.82	209 [1]
174 [39]	Campbell	2 - AAAAAAA	1-9	32.89	53.71	15 [11]
175 [8]	Schley County	4 - A	8-2	32.88	11.01	373 [23]
176 [28]	Hughes	5 - AAAAAA	4-6	32.72	38.05	113 [18]
177 [28]	Denmark	7 - AAAA	5-5	32.56	36.58	124 [24]
178 [29]	Grovetown	3 - AAAAAA	6-4	32.46	28.89	197 [46]
179 [20]	Elbert County	8 - AA	7-3	32.35	13.66	352 [49]
180 [9]	Mitchell County	1 - A	8-2	32.11	-2.86	413 [45]
181 [10]	Calvary Day	3 - A	9-1	31.71	3.06	402 [35]
182 [19]	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6 - AAA	7-3	31.62	19.43	289 [41]
183 [29]	White County	7 - AAAA	3-7	31.43	40.85	86 [16]
184 [20]	Haralson County	6 - AAA	8-2	31.37	15.57	334 [48]
185 [21]	Bleckley County	3 - AA	4-6	31.23	36.75	123 [8]
186 [22]	Berrien	1 - AA	5-5	31.23	35.38	135 [9]
187 [40]	Lambert	5 - AAAAAAA	3-7	30.77	40.13	94 [39]
188 [30]	Pope	7 - AAAAAA	5-5	30.76	31.09	177 [42]
189 [41]	Lassiter	4 - AAAAAAA	1-9	30.50	50.70	25 [18]
190 [23]	Washington	6 - AA	7-3	30.48	11.04	371 [53]
191 [30]	West Hall	7 - AAAA	3-7	30.12	41.38	83 [14]
192 [31]	Alexander	5 - AAAAAA	3-7	30.02	37.16	119 [20]
193 [31]	Woodward Academy	4 - AAAA	6-4	30.02	18.86	294 [47]
194 [32]	Gainesville	8 - AAAAAA	2-8	29.80	41.42	81 [10]
195 [29]	New Hampstead	2 - AAAAA	4-5	29.80	31.95	171 [33]
196 [11]	Wesleyan	5 - A	6-4	29.69	24.01	248 [3]
197 [32]	Salem	4 - AAAA	7-3	29.66	18.08	305 [48]
198 [33]	Winder-Barrow	8 - AAAAAA	2-8	29.41	39.96	98 [14]
199 [21]	Southeast Bulloch	3 - AAA	9-1	29.38	8.42	382 [55]
200 [34]	Lovejoy	4 - AAAAAA	6-4	29.35	26.05	227 [51]
201 [33]	Spalding	2 - AAAA	3-7	29.28	40.43	90 [18]
202 [22]	North Murray	6 - AAA	6-4	29.03	22.64	257 [35]
203 [34]	Westover	1 - AAAA	4-5	29.03	28.78	198 [34]
204 [35]	Brunswick	2 - AAAAAA	3-7	28.80	38.42	111 [17]
205 [35]	LaGrange	5 - AAAA	2-8	28.66	46.12	46 [4]
206 [10]	Turner County	2 - A	6-4	28.65	24.47	244 [9]
207 [12]	Christian Heritage	6 - A	7-3	28.65	19.64	285 [11]
208 [30]	Arabia Mountain	5 - AAAAA	6-4	28.58	21.68	264 [46]
209 [36]	South Cobb	6 - AAAAAA	2-8	28.41	48.53	35 [4]
210 [13]	Mount Paran Christian	6 - A	7-3	28.33	13.81	350 [22]
211 [24]	Northeast	3 - AA	4-6	28.07	34.49	146 [10]
212 [11]	Trion	6 - A	7-3	28.00	16.34	323 [16]
213 [36]	Hardaway	1 - AAAA	5-4	28.00	24.26	246 [42]
214 [23]	Morgan County	8 - AAA	5-5	27.52	28.02	207 [23]
215 [24]	Ringgold	6 - AAA	5-5	27.22	24.98	237 [29]
216 [37]	Evans	3 - AAAAAA	3-7	27.20	32.35	167 [38]
217 [25]	Hephzibah	4 - AA	8-2	27.09	10.59	375 [54]
218 [31]	Woodland (Stockbridge)	4 - AAAAA	3-7	27.08	39.68	102 [19]
219 [38]	Greenbrier	3 - AAAAAA	3-7	26.97	34.02	150 [32]
220 [25]	Pike County	4 - AAA	7-3	26.69	6.15	389 [56]
221 [39]	Apalachee	8 - AAAAAA	3-7	26.69	35.19	139 [27]
222 [32]	Eagle's Landing	4 - AAAAA	2-8	26.66	43.83	61 [10]
223 [33]	Maynard Jackson	6 - AAAAA	6-4	26.65	17.10	315 [53]
224 [12]	Wilcox County	2 - A	5-5	26.58	22.95	253 [11]
225 [34]	Woodland (Cartersville)	7 - AAAAA	4-6	26.52	36.30	128 [25]
226 [35]	Riverdale	3 - AAAAA	7-3	26.48	18.53	297 [49]
227 [40]	Northview	7 - AAAAAA	5-5	26.29	26.93	215 [47]
228 [26]	Pepperell	7 - AA	6-4	26.28	20.64	272 [20]
229 [14]	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	5 - A	7-3	26.23	15.26	337 [18]
230 [37]	Central (Carrollton)	5 - AAAA	2-8	25.76	48.18	37 [3]
231 [27]	Southwest	3 - AA	3-7	25.60	40.81	87 [4]
232 [36]	Walnut Grove	8 - AAAAA	2-8	25.47	40.10	95 [18]
233 [26]	Central (Macon)	4 - AAA	3-7	25.46	33.17	160 [11]
234 [41]	Lakeside (Evans)	3 - AAAAAA	5-4	25.27	24.61	239 [54]
235 [28]	Jeff Davis	2 - AA	7-3	25.08	15.45	336 [45]
236 [15]	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	5 - A	7-3	24.94	15.60	333 [17]
237 [27]	Hart County	8 - AAA	4-6	24.80	29.05	195 [18]
238 [28]	Jenkins	3 - AAA	7-3	24.77	11.03	372 [52]
239 [29]	Cook	1 - AAA	3-7	24.73	34.83	141 [6]
240 [37]	Jonesboro	3 - AAAAA	5-5	24.67	27.77	210 [36]
241 [13]	Emanuel County Institute	3 - A	6-4	24.52	11.57	368 [22]
242 [42]	Duluth	6 - AAAAAAA	4-6	24.37	34.51	144 [45]
243 [38]	Heritage (Ringgold)	6 - AAAA	5-5	24.29	25.81	228 [40]
244 [42]	Mundy's Mill	4 - AAAAAA	6-4	24.26	20.92	269 [56]
245 [39]	Northside (Columbus)	1 - AAAA	4-6	24.22	29.44	189 [33]
246 [43]	Rockdale County	8 - AAAAAAA	3-7	24.07	35.25	138 [44]
247 [43]	South Paulding	5 - AAAAAA	2-8	23.82	36.47	126 [23]
248 [44]	Peachtree Ridge	6 - AAAAAAA	1-9	23.66	46.51	44 [30]
249 [40]	Americus-Sumter	1 - AAAA	3-7	23.60	34.64	142 [27]
250 [14]	Dooly County	4 - A	6-4	23.48	17.96	308 [13]
251 [15]	Greene County	7 - A	8-2	23.28	8.03	383 [28]
252 [44]	Heritage (Conyers)	3 - AAAAAA	3-7	22.99	29.42	190 [44]
253 [29]	Harlem	4 - AA	7-3	22.90	11.46	369 [52]
254 [45]	Cambridge	7 - AAAAAA	3-7	22.45	33.94	152 [33]
255 [16]	Mount de Sales	7 - A	9-1	22.37	5.94	391 [32]
256 [16]	Telfair County	2 - A	4-6	22.23	25.42	231 [8]
257 [41]	Northwest Whitfield	6 - AAAA	6-4	22.07	13.43	355 [53]
258 [46]	North Atlanta	7 - AAAAAA	5-5	22.02	23.23	251 [55]
259 [17]	Riverside Military Academy	8 - A	5-5	21.99	20.42	275 [9]
260 [18]	Whitefield Academy	6 - A	6-3	21.95	11.23	370 [30]
261 [38]	Carver (Atlanta)	6 - AAAAA	4-6	21.89	26.44	221 [38]
262 [39]	Paulding County	7 - AAAAA	1-9	21.86	46.58	43 [5]
263 [42]	Madison County	8 - AAAA	2-8	21.66	36.57	125 [25]
264 [45]	Shiloh	8 - AAAAAAA	2-8	21.48	35.51	133 [43]
265 [40]	Decatur	6 - AAAAA	5-5	20.93	20.40	276 [47]
266 [30]	Windsor Forest	3 - AAA	6-4	20.45	10.57	376 [53]
267 [30]	Toombs County	2 - AA	5-5	20.33	19.58	286 [25]
268 [31]	Franklin County	8 - AAA	3-7	20.27	29.86	185 [15]
269 [31]	Metter	2 - AA	6-4	20.07	16.50	322 [38]
270 [41]	Ola	4 - AAAAA	1-9	19.59	44.54	54 [8]
271 [32]	Adairsville	6 - AAA	4-6	19.47	24.99	236 [28]
272 [32]	Spencer	5 - AA	3-7	19.39	31.23	175 [13]
273 [42]	Cass	7 - AAAAA	1-9	19.26	41.28	84 [17]
274 [47]	Tri-Cities	5 - AAAAAA	1-9	19.25	35.37	136 [25]
275 [43]	South Effingham	2 - AAAAA	2-8	18.88	36.24	129 [26]
276 [33]	Screven County	4 - AA	6-4	18.80	14.47	344 [48]
277 [48]	New Manchester	5 - AAAAAA	2-8	18.72	33.70	153 [34]
278 [34]	Coosa	7 - AA	4-6	18.41	22.27	260 [18]
279 [46]	Discovery	6 - AAAAAAA	1-9	18.13	39.95	99 [40]
280 [44]	Lithonia	5 - AAAAA	6-4	18.06	13.92	349 [54]
281 [19]	Holy Innocents	5 - A	5-5	17.98	14.60	341 [19]
282 [33]	Monroe	1 - AAA	5-5	17.68	22.49	258 [36]
283 [49]	Morrow	4 - AAAAAA	3-7	17.60	29.15	193 [45]
284 [17]	Manchester	4 - A	6-4	17.40	8.64	381 [27]
285 [20]	Aquinas	7 - A	8-2	17.21	5.16	393 [33]
286 [35]	South Atlanta	6 - AA	6-4	17.06	7.50	385 [56]
287 [50]	Drew	4 - AAAAAA	3-7	16.85	26.45	220 [48]
288 [45]	Johnson (Gainesville)	8 - AAAAA	4-6	16.79	25.00	235 [40]
289 [18]	Macon County	4 - A	5-5	16.69	14.71	340 [17]
290 [51]	Alcovy	3 - AAAAAA	2-8	16.65	32.52	165 [37]
291 [43]	Shaw	1 - AAAA	3-7	16.38	27.18	213 [36]
292 [34]	Sonoraville	6 - AAA	4-6	16.03	22.86	254 [34]
293 [21]	Brookstone	4 - A	6-4	15.52	2.87	403 [36]
294 [44]	Henry County	4 - AAAA	4-6	15.31	19.89	282 [45]
295 [45]	LaFayette	6 - AAAA	5-5	15.24	16.79	321 [50]
296 [19]	Chattahoochee County	1 - A	7-3	15.21	-2.55	412 [44]
297 [46]	Hampton	4 - AAAA	4-6	15.13	19.48	288 [46]
298 [20]	Claxton	3 - A	6-4	15.02	12.76	361 [20]
299 [21]	Montgomery County	3 - A	7-3	14.91	4.92	395 [34]
300 [47]	Cross Creek	3 - AAAA	3-6	14.70	26.61	218 [38]
301 [22]	Taylor County	4 - A	5-5	14.42	11.93	365 [21]
302 [22]	Savannah Country Day	3 - A	7-3	14.22	3.41	400 [34]
303 [36]	Butler	4 - AA	5-5	14.09	13.33	357 [50]
304 [23]	Tattnall Square	7 - A	6-4	14.07	7.57	384 [31]
305 [37]	Monticello	8 - AA	5-5	13.93	16.26	326 [40]
306 [38]	Bacon County	2 - AA	2-8	13.84	31.17	176 [14]
307 [24]	St. Francis	6 - A	5-5	13.61	12.22	364 [27]
308 [23]	Atkinson County	2 - A	3-7	13.44	27.23	211 [5]
309 [52]	Forest Park	4 - AAAAAA	3-7	13.30	20.07	279 [58]
310 [46]	North Springs	6 - AAAAA	3-7	12.58	22.46	259 [45]
311 [35]	Jackson County	8 - AAA	3-7	12.44	24.39	245 [31]
312 [47]	Miller Grove	5 - AAAAA	3-7	12.32	24.58	241 [42]
313 [53]	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	4 - AAAAAA	2-8	12.25	25.14	233 [53]
314 [48]	McIntosh	3 - AAAAA	3-7	12.24	22.81	255 [44]
315 [49]	Columbia	5 - AAAAA	2-8	12.07	28.47	204 [35]
316 [24]	Hancock Central	7 - A	6-4	12.06	6.12	390 [31]
317 [54]	Dunwoody	7 - AAAAAA	2-8	11.25	30.57	180 [43]
318 [55]	M.L. King	4 - AAAAAA	1-9	11.22	26.12	226 [50]
319 [56]	River Ridge	6 - AAAAAA	1-9	10.85	47.81	39 [5]
320 [25]	Pinecrest Academy	6 - A	4-6	10.75	14.48	343 [20]
321 [26]	Stratford Academy	7 - A	5-5	10.74	11.73	366 [28]
322 [36]	Tattnall County	2 - AAA	2-8	10.28	28.76	199 [20]
323 [37]	Fannin County	7 - AAA	4-6	9.08	15.22	338 [49]
324 [38]	Worth County	1 - AAA	1-9	8.87	35.43	134 [5]
325 [25]	Jenkins County	3 - A	5-5	8.68	6.17	388 [30]
326 [26]	Miller County	1 - A	6-3	8.60	-5.71	419 [50]
327 [57]	Chattahoochee	7 - AAAAAA	0-10	8.30	31.55	173 [41]
328 [48]	Luella	4 - AAAA	3-7	7.96	21.34	266 [44]
329 [27]	Strong Rock Christian	5 - A	3-7	7.66	22.66	256 [5]
330 [39]	Glenn Hills	4 - AA	3-7	7.44	15.72	330 [43]
331 [39]	Islands	3 - AAA	3-7	7.25	15.99	329 [46]
332 [40]	Laney	4 - AA	4-6	7.23	15.13	339 [46]
333 [50]	Whitewater	3 - AAAAA	1-9	7.19	32.06	169 [32]
334 [40]	Beach	3 - AAA	4-6	6.87	19.12	290 [42]
335 [28]	Mount Pisgah Christian	6 - A	3-7	6.78	18.29	300 [14]
336 [41]	Banks County	8 - AA	4-6	6.36	12.23	363 [51]
337 [42]	Lamar County	5 - AA	4-6	6.26	20.59	273 [21]
338 [49]	Southeast Whitfield	6 - AAAA	3-7	6.00	21.72	263 [43]
339 [41]	Brantley County	2 - AAA	2-8	5.87	25.80	229 [27]
340 [50]	Chestatee	7 - AAAA	1-9	5.37	40.71	88 [17]
341 [43]	B.E.S.T. Academy	6 - AA	3-7	5.25	30.78	179 [15]
342 [27]	Bowdon	6 - A	1-9	5.15	27.21	212 [6]
343 [42]	East Hall	7 - AAA	3-7	4.93	29.13	194 [17]
344 [44]	Gordon Central	7 - AA	3-7	4.87	17.01	318 [37]
345 [51]	Grady	6 - AAAAA	1-9	4.66	24.78	238 [41]
346 [28]	Gordon Lee	6 - A	2-8	4.10	24.11	247 [10]
347 [29]	Johnson County	3 - A	6-4	3.12	-1.70	411 [43]
348 [47]	Lakeside (Atlanta)	7 - AAAAAAA	1-9	2.88	37.56	115 [42]
349 [29]	Providence Christian	8 - A	4-6	2.35	14.15	347 [21]
350 [30]	Washington-Wilkes	7 - A	3-7	2.21	10.76	374 [24]
351 [51]	Dougherty	1 - AAAA	0-8	2.21	33.53	154 [28]
352 [45]	Model	7 - AA	2-8	2.20	18.42	298 [28]
353 [30]	First Presbyterian	7 - A	3-7	2.16	11.70	367 [29]
354 [52]	Fayette County	3 - AAAAA	0-10	1.01	24.53	242 [43]
355 [31]	Lincoln County	7 - A	4-6	0.85	4.67	396 [35]
356 [32]	Warren County	7 - A	5-5	0.79	-1.49	410 [42]
357 [43]	Coahulla Creek	6 - AAA	1-9	0.58	23.42	249 [32]
358 [46]	Putnam County	8 - AA	3-7	0.51	18.34	299 [29]
359 [31]	Athens Christian	8 - A	3-7	-0.41	20.34	277 [10]
360 [47]	Therrell	6 - AA	2-8	-1.05	19.72	284 [24]
361 [33]	Towns County	8 - A	3-7	-1.07	29.38	192 [4]
362 [34]	Seminole County	1 - A	5-5	-2.14	1.09	408 [40]
363 [48]	Berkmar	7 - AAAAAAA	3-7	-2.24	28.64	200 [47]
364 [48]	East Laurens	3 - AA	1-9	-2.91	33.21	158 [12]
365 [32]	King's Ridge Christian	6 - A	1-9	-3.03	13.70	351 [23]
366 [44]	Lumpkin County	7 - AAA	3-7	-3.53	13.36	356 [51]
367 [35]	McIntosh County Academy	3 - A	1-9	-3.57	17.66	311 [14]
368 [49]	Armuchee	7 - AA	2-8	-3.61	18.13	304 [31]
369 [53]	Lithia Springs	6 - AAAAA	2-8	-3.74	17.87	309 [51]
370 [36]	Hawkinsville	4 - A	4-6	-4.22	9.03	379 [26]
371 [52]	North Clayton	4 - AAAA	1-9	-4.55	24.59	240 [41]
372 [50]	McNair	6 - AA	3-7	-5.13	14.51	342 [47]
373 [51]	Bryan County	2 - AA	1-8	-5.44	20.56	274 [22]
374 [33]	Landmark Christian	5 - A	2-8	-5.59	15.67	332 [16]
375 [52]	Social Circle	8 - AA	4-6	-5.74	2.58	404 [59]
376 [34]	Lakeview Academy	8 - A	1-9	-5.77	22.17	261 [6]
377 [53]	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6 - AA	2-8	-6.10	17.03	317 [36]
378 [54]	Westside (Augusta)	4 - AA	1-9	-6.71	18.24	302 [30]
379 [37]	Terrell County	1 - A	4-6	-7.80	1.40	407 [39]
380 [55]	Temple	5 - AA	1-9	-8.31	22.13	262 [19]
381 [45]	Johnson (Savannah)	3 - AAA	2-8	-8.49	16.85	319 [45]
382 [46]	Stone Mountain	5 - AAA	2-8	-8.98	31.01	178 [14]
383 [38]	Lanier County	2 - A	0-10	-9.35	30.17	183 [1]
384 [56]	Jordan	5 - AA	2-8	-9.61	16.09	327 [41]
385 [57]	Dade County	7 - AA	1-9	-9.97	18.06	307 [33]
386 [39]	Greenville	4 - A	3-7	-10.07	2.11	405 [38]
387 [35]	Walker	6 - A	1-9	-10.82	13.53	354 [24]
388 [36]	Pacelli	4 - A	4-6	-11.12	1.89	406 [37]
389 [40]	Portal	3 - A	2-8	-11.50	9.67	378 [25]
390 [41]	Calhoun County	1 - A	3-7	-11.94	3.60	399 [37]
391 [42]	Wilkinson County	7 - A	1-9	-12.10	14.23	346 [18]
392 [47]	Long County	2 - AAA	0-10	-12.56	31.75	172 [13]
393 [54]	Chamblee	5 - AAAAA	0-10	-14.89	33.40	155 [29]
394 [53]	Druid Hills	4 - AAAA	2-8	-14.95	12.40	362 [54]
395 [48]	Murray County	6 - AAA	0-10	-14.97	20.88	270 [38]
396 [49]	Redan	5 - AAA	0-9	-15.10	32.47	166 [12]
397 [50]	Cherokee Bluff	7 - AAA	0-10	-15.10	29.03	196 [19]
398 [58]	Josey	4 - AA	0-10	-15.11	15.47	335 [44]
399 [58]	Osborne	6 - AAAAAA	0-10	-16.32	38.64	108 [16]
400 [54]	Gilmer	6 - AAAA	0-10	-17.72	16.80	320 [49]
401 [37]	Georgia Military College	7 - A	3-7	-17.87	-4.28	416 [38]
402 [51]	Groves	3 - AAA	1-9	-18.16	21.01	267 [37]
403 [52]	Kendrick	4 - AAA	1-9	-18.42	23.29	250 [33]
404 [43]	Treutlen	3 - A	3-7	-21.14	0.87	409 [41]
405 [53]	East Jackson	8 - AAA	1-9	-21.24	19.00	291 [43]
406 [38]	Our Lady of Mercy	5 - A	0-10	-21.54	20.93	268 [8]
407 [54]	Rutland	4 - AAA	0-10	-23.48	26.36	222 [25]
408 [44]	Crawford County	4 - A	3-7	-24.03	-5.63	418 [49]
409 [45]	Baconton Charter	1 - A	3-7	-24.19	-4.17	415 [47]
410 [55]	Savannah	3 - AAA	0-10	-26.33	15.67	331 [47]
411 [56]	Towers	5 - AAA	0-9	-26.51	28.62	202 [21]
412 [59]	Oglethorpe County	8 - AA	0-10	-27.12	9.77	377 [55]
413 [46]	Stewart County	1 - A	2-8	-31.57	-3.91	414 [46]
414 [55]	Clarkston	5 - AAAAA†	0-10	-32.09	12.92	359 [55]
415 [47]	Twiggs County	7 - A	0-10	-36.69	6.21	387 [29]
416 [48]	Wheeler County	3 - A	1-9	-37.94	5.34	392 [32]
417 [1]	ACE Charter	7 - A†	4-6	-38.21	-21.82	420 [1]
418 [49]	Central (Talbotton)	4 - A	0-10	-44.38	4.33	398 [36]
419 [50]	Randolph-Clay	1 - A	0-10	-57.17	4.96	394 [33]
420 [2]	Pataula Charter	1 - A†	2-7	-59.38	-43.58	422 [3]
421 [3]	Glascock County	7 - A†	1-8-1	-64.79	-30.57	421 [2]
422 [56]	Cross Keys	5 - AAAAA†	0-10	-88.51	3.06	401 [56]

† - Plays a non-region schedule

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the Competitive Rating is the rating required for a new team to that region to have a chance of going undefeated in a round robin schedule among region teams equal to the chance of being selected region champion if picked at random. For example, there are four teams in 1-AAAAAAA, so the chance of a new team being region champion if picked at random is 1 / (4 + 1) = 20%. Therefore the Competitive Rating is the rating required to go undefeated in a round robin tournament among region teams 20% of the time. This rating favors regions with larger numbers of highly rated teams. The “Average Rating” is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank	Region	Comp Rating	Avg Rating
1	1 - AAAAAAA	95.23	79.88
2	3 - AAAAAAA	80.03	66.26
3	1 - AAAAAA	78.58	60.45
4	8 - AAAAAAA	77.22	42.19
5	7 - AAAAAAA	70.73	40.97
6	2 - AAAA	70.54	49.87
7	7 - AAAAA	70.42	41.17
8	4 - AAAAA	70.27	44.86
9	1 - AAAAA	69.79	53.59
10	5 - AAAA	67.93	48.56
11	4 - AAAAAAA	67.29	50.27
12	6 - AAAAAAA	66.28	42.25
13	7 - AAAA	65.22	40.72
14	6 - AAAAAA	63.91	42.56
15	5 - AAAAAAA	63.42	46.57
16	5 - AAA	61.49	32.40
17	2 - AAAAAAA	60.43	47.28
18	2 - A	60.32	29.79
19	3 - AA	59.90	37.87
20	1 - AA	58.17	47.01
21	8 - AAAA	57.24	42.22
22	4 - AAA	55.93	28.80
23	8 - AAAAA	55.73	37.14
24	2 - AAAAA	54.26	39.22
25	7 - AAA	51.60	18.45
26	8 - AAA	50.23	25.21
27	6 - AAA	49.72	22.99
28	7 - AA	49.71	14.14
29	5 - AA	49.69	22.08
30	3 - AAAA	49.58	38.32
31	8 - A	49.57	23.81
	8-Div A - A	50.40	32.90
	8-Div B - A	34.09	17.98
32	2 - AAAAAA	48.73	38.83
33	5 - AAAAAA	48.69	32.81
34	8 - AAAAAA	48.47	35.69
35	7 - AAAAAA	48.34	28.10
36	6 - AAAA	46.60	21.66
37	1 - AAAA	46.15	28.04
38	2 - AAA	45.58	23.65
39	6 - AA	44.78	14.29
40	6 - A	42.74	19.25
	6-Div A - A	42.08	26.92
	6-Div B - A	30.76	12.85
41	2 - AA	41.94	23.31
42	1 - AAA	41.84	23.83
43	6 - AAAAA	41.45	20.96
44	8 - AA	40.75	12.95
45	5 - A	39.91	17.60
46	4 - AAAAAA	39.75	22.17
47	3 - AAA	39.00	9.87
48	3 - AAAAA	38.54	21.51
49	4 - AAAA	37.58	15.81
50	4 - A	35.99	8.15
	4-Div A - A	31.79	2.83
	4-Div B - A	28.45	12.17
51	3 - AAAAAA	35.65	25.29
52	1 - A	35.64	-3.44
53	3 - A	33.86	8.14
	3-Div A - A	34.01	14.44
	3-Div B - A	19.56	1.83
54	4 - AA	32.84	13.20
55	5 - AAAAA	32.40	17.07
56	7 - A	24.74	4.65
	7-Div B - A	20.36	5.91
	7-Div A - A	18.06	2.88

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Pct	Likelihood
09/21	Roswell	Wheeler	36 - 37	23.22	91.1%	0.173
08/24	Cedar Shoals	Winder-Barrow	7 - 14	15.63	82.7%	0.241
10/26	Mundy's Mill	Forest Park	12 - 36	12.30	77.4%	0.249
08/17	Decatur	Lakeside (Atlanta)	20 - 21	16.72	84.2%	0.255
10/26	Commerce	Riverside Military Academy	19 - 20	16.24	83.5%	0.262
09/07	Tattnall Square	Lincoln County	28 - 34	14.56	81.1%	0.262
09/28	Gordon Central	Dade County	12 - 13	16.17	83.4%	0.263
09/07	Salem	Alcovy	20 - 23	14.34	80.8%	0.279
09/21	Brooks County	Thomas County Central	14 - 24	12.54	77.8%	0.279
09/14	Mount Zion (Carroll)	Christian Heritage	22 - 30	12.57	77.9%	0.285
11/02	Newton	Rockdale County	34 - 35	13.80	79.9%	0.298
08/17	Chattooga	Adairsville	20 - 21	13.79	79.9%	0.298
09/07	Newnan	Griffin	17 - 26	11.50	76.0%	0.299
09/28	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	Adairsville	12 - 13	13.48	79.4%	0.303
09/21	Northgate	South Paulding	30 - 35	11.46	75.9%	0.316

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating	Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Pct
90.78	09/21	Colquitt County	Grayson	26 - 14	15.59	82.6%
80.85	09/14	Colquitt County	Warner Robins	41 - 14	24.49	92.1%
77.91	09/07	Grayson	Marietta	38 - 31	11.75	76.4%
77.23	09/14	Parkview	Tift County	31 - 28	8.87	70.8%
77.02	08/31	Parkview	Lowndes	39 - 27	10.51	74.1%
76.43	10/26	Hillgrove	Marietta	48 - 24	8.55	70.2%
75.99	10/11	Grayson	Archer	41 - 14	14.85	81.5%
75.64	10/26	Colquitt County	Tift County	45 - 7	29.24	94.9%
75.49	08/17	Warner Robins	Tift County	40 - 29	6.08	64.8%
75.33	10/05	Hillgrove	McEachern	31 - 21	9.74	72.6%
75.22	11/02	Colquitt County	Lowndes	40 - 6	30.88	95.6%
74.40	10/19	Lowndes	Tift County	17 - 21	2.37	55.9%
74.20	08/18	Colquitt County	McEachern	41 - 7	31.20	95.8%
74.00	10/12	McEachern	Marietta	27 - 28	0.14	50.4%
73.87	10/26	Lowndes	Camden County	28 - 27	3.20	57.9%

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

Alerts

Maxwell Week 12 summary: Colquitt County faces field (and history)

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

By Class

All-Class

Regions

Least Likely Results

Highest Rated Matchups

More Stories

Maxwell 2025 season summary | Buford, TCC, Carrollton top teams in state

Maxwell GHSA championship predictions: Carrollton-Buford highest rated matchup in 45 years

Gainesville, Calvary Day get boost after big victories | Maxwell summary

‘I’ll bring ‘em to you’: Hoschton police teamed with ICE at traffic stops

These are the 10 questions that will shape Georgia politics in 2026

Senior Atlanta Housing official accused of defrauding Section 8 program