Sports
Maxwell's Week Seven Playoff Projections
Below are the current Maxwell Ratings' playoff projections for each class.
The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2014 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons and teams with 1,000 or more championship wins in the simulation are shown.
While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.
All out of state opponents were considered equal to the average of the GHSA team’s classification (i.e., out of state opponents of Class AAAAAA GHSA teams were treated as an average Class AAAAAA team).
Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by using recursive head-to-head records with all ties being broken randomly.
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| AAAAAA | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Region | Rating | Finals | Champion | Odds |
| Colquitt County | 1-AAAAAA | 101.45 | 683,881 | 572,037 | 0.75 |
| Grayson | 8-AAAAAA | 90.62 | 249,600 | 104,277 | 8.59 |
| McEachern | 4-AAAAAA | 85.17 | 167,908 | 55,397 | 17.05 |
| Norcross | 7-AAAAAA | 85.31 | 125,554 | 39,644 | 24.22 |
| Lowndes | 1-AAAAAA | 85.44 | 114,350 | 36,334 | 26.52 |
| Valdosta | 1-AAAAAA | 84.43 | 119,438 | 33,259 | 29.07 |
| North Gwinnett | 7-AAAAAA | 84.95 | 73,746 | 30,092 | 32.23 |
| Milton | 5-AAAAAA | 82.41 | 78,017 | 25,271 | 38.57 |
| Hughes | 3-AAAAAA | 81.69 | 91,708 | 22,537 | 43.37 |
| Dacula | 8-AAAAAA | 83.97 | 55,283 | 19,305 | 50.80 |
| Tucker | 2-AAAAAA | 82.17 | 44,937 | 15,365 | 64.08 |
| Hillgrove | 4-AAAAAA | 78.98 | 54,267 | 13,809 | 71.42 |
| Peachtree Ridge | 7-AAAAAA | 81.37 | 30,449 | 8,765 | 113.09 |
| Camden County | 1-AAAAAA | 81.39 | 29,879 | 8,371 | 118.46 |
| Archer | 8-AAAAAA | 78.84 | 15,545 | 4,505 | 220.98 |
| Lovejoy | 2-AAAAAA | 76.81 | 13,969 | 2,856 | 349.14 |
| North Cobb | 4-AAAAAA | 74.85 | 12,897 | 2,650 | 376.36 |
| Alpharetta | 6-AAAAAA | 73.38 | 9,584 | 1,786 | 558.91 |
| AAAAA | |||||
| Team | Region | Rating | Finals | Champion | Odds |
| Ware County | 3-AAAAA | 79.47 | 373,175 | 219,789 | 3.55 |
| Creekside | 6-AAAAA | 79.79 | 343,469 | 212,253 | 3.71 |
| Gainesville | 8-AAAAA | 76.95 | 285,934 | 150,371 | 5.65 |
| Allatoona | 5-AAAAA | 78.98 | 253,473 | 146,193 | 5.84 |
| Coffee | 3-AAAAA | 75.11 | 160,872 | 76,169 | 12.13 |
| Northside (Warner Robins) | 2-AAAAA | 72.97 | 130,239 | 55,280 | 17.09 |
| Kell | 7-AAAAA | 71.08 | 95,087 | 36,402 | 26.47 |
| Mays | 6-AAAAA | 72.39 | 46,137 | 18,947 | 51.78 |
| Stephenson | 6-AAAAA | 68.55 | 60,710 | 18,775 | 52.26 |
| Carver (Columbus) | 1-AAAAA | 68.59 | 57,305 | 18,469 | 53.14 |
| Dalton | 7-AAAAA | 67.80 | 55,720 | 17,166 | 57.25 |
| South Paulding | 5-AAAAA | 67.70 | 34,202 | 10,442 | 94.77 |
| Harris County | 1-AAAAA | 62.98 | 17,606 | 3,920 | 254.10 |
| Glynn Academy | 3-AAAAA | 63.20 | 16,181 | 3,517 | 283.33 |
| Lanier | 8-AAAAA | 61.85 | 14,371 | 2,855 | 349.26 |
| Brunswick | 3-AAAAA | 61.00 | 8,957 | 1,687 | 591.77 |
| Jones County | 2-AAAAA | 60.06 | 8,291 | 1,440 | 693.44 |
| East Paulding | 5-AAAAA | 63.76 | 5,949 | 1,332 | 749.75 |
| AAAA | |||||
| Team | Region | Rating | Finals | Champion | Odds |
| Buford | 8-AAAA | 95.05 | 727,264 | 552,796 | 0.81 |
| Sandy Creek | 5-AAAA | 88.19 | 648,018 | 303,112 | 2.30 |
| Griffin | 4-AAAA | 80.40 | 136,214 | 55,442 | 17.04 |
| Marist | 6-AAAA | 77.58 | 203,593 | 49,766 | 19.09 |
| Cartersville | 7-AAAA | 71.25 | 66,717 | 16,054 | 61.29 |
| Thomas County Central | 1-AAAA | 70.40 | 66,236 | 9,860 | 100.42 |
| Woodward Academy | 5-AAAA | 66.86 | 31,963 | 3,788 | 262.99 |
| Cairo | 1-AAAA | 65.87 | 22,276 | 2,449 | 407.33 |
| St. Pius X | 6-AAAA | 63.12 | 16,143 | 1,366 | 731.06 |
| Mary Persons | 2-AAAA | 62.47 | 15,039 | 1,190 | 839.34 |
| AAA | |||||
| Team | Region | Rating | Finals | Champion | Odds |
| Washington County | 3-AAA | 82.18 | 609,282 | 419,955 | 1.38 |
| Calhoun | 6-AAA | 79.05 | 577,354 | 309,987 | 2.23 |
| Jefferson | 8-AAA | 71.53 | 189,482 | 80,136 | 11.48 |
| Blessed Trinity | 4-AAA | 72.44 | 164,834 | 74,080 | 12.50 |
| Westside (Macon) | 2-AAA | 68.48 | 119,731 | 38,472 | 24.99 |
| Hart County | 8-AAA | 63.47 | 103,609 | 23,181 | 42.14 |
| Peach County | 2-AAA | 65.71 | 70,417 | 19,767 | 49.59 |
| Westminster (Atlanta) | 4-AAA | 66.02 | 57,824 | 17,938 | 54.75 |
| Central (Carrollton) | 5-AAA | 59.96 | 50,298 | 8,639 | 114.75 |
| Cedar Grove | 4-AAA | 58.95 | 19,348 | 3,368 | 295.91 |
| Adairsville | 6-AAA | 57.37 | 9,345 | 1,709 | 584.14 |
| AA | |||||
| Team | Region | Rating | Finals | Champion | Odds |
| Greater Atlanta Christian | 6-AA | 70.90 | 523,965 | 366,677 | 1.73 |
| Lovett | 6-AA | 65.77 | 360,030 | 176,350 | 4.67 |
| Brooks County | 1-AA | 63.34 | 276,379 | 132,145 | 6.57 |
| Benedictine | 2-AA | 65.09 | 244,066 | 126,795 | 6.89 |
| Vidalia | 2-AA | 62.88 | 189,006 | 84,658 | 10.81 |
| Thomasville | 1-AA | 56.89 | 159,209 | 50,233 | 18.91 |
| Fitzgerald | 1-AA | 58.00 | 103,513 | 34,572 | 27.93 |
| Lamar County | 4-AA | 56.62 | 54,255 | 16,087 | 61.16 |
| Screven County | 3-AA | 48.10 | 27,973 | 4,536 | 219.46 |
| Bowdon | 5-AA | 46.08 | 13,003 | 1,946 | 512.87 |
| Jefferson County | 3-AA | 45.72 | 9,601 | 1,453 | 687.23 |
| Darlington | 7-AA | 45.09 | 9,759 | 1,233 | 810.03 |
| B.E.S.T. Academy | 6-AA | 45.31 | 9,230 | 1,147 | 870.84 |
| A-Public | |||||
| Team | Region | Rating | Finals | Champion | Odds |
| Hawkinsville | 4-A | 54.06 | 501,805 | 324,722 | 2.08 |
| Irwin County | 2-A | 52.41 | 476,208 | 268,490 | 2.72 |
| Marion County | 4-A | 50.98 | 377,563 | 204,798 | 3.88 |
| Dooly County | 4-A | 45.30 | 169,978 | 65,187 | 14.34 |
| Charlton County | 2-A | 45.08 | 138,291 | 53,497 | 17.69 |
| Emanuel County Institute | 3-A | 40.99 | 100,062 | 29,714 | 32.65 |
| Clinch County | 2-A | 41.77 | 81,716 | 25,308 | 38.51 |
| Greenville | 4-A | 37.85 | 41,824 | 10,058 | 98.42 |
| Wilcox County | 2-A | 36.39 | 22,839 | 4,930 | 201.84 |
| Claxton | 3-A | 34.00 | 23,325 | 4,243 | 234.68 |
| Calhoun County | 1-A | 31.66 | 21,709 | 3,128 | 318.69 |
| Commerce | 8-A | 31.60 | 18,635 | 2,735 | 364.63 |
| A-Private | |||||
| Team | Region | Rating | Finals | Champion | Odds |
| Aquinas | 7-A | 51.31 | 438,801 | 292,574 | 2.42 |
| Mount Paran Christian | 6-A | 48.75 | 337,266 | 194,919 | 4.13 |
| Landmark Christian | 5-A | 46.36 | 258,294 | 126,099 | 6.93 |
| Savannah Christian | 3-A | 45.70 | 210,326 | 102,713 | 8.74 |
| Calvary Day | 3-A | 44.52 | 174,774 | 77,900 | 11.84 |
| Mount Pisgah Christian | 6-A | 43.57 | 162,954 | 70,242 | 13.24 |
| Tattnall Square | 7-A | 41.83 | 110,880 | 42,876 | 22.32 |
| Pacelli | 4-A | 41.83 | 96,867 | 36,705 | 26.24 |
| Eagle's Landing Christian | 5-A | 40.37 | 36,726 | 12,686 | 77.83 |
| Stratford Academy | 7-A | 37.82 | 38,814 | 11,747 | 84.13 |
| Prince Avenue Christian | 8-A | 35.60 | 43,134 | 10,735 | 92.15 |
| Brookstone | 4-A | 37.41 | 31,203 | 8,910 | 111.23 |
| Our Lady of Mercy | 5-A | 34.83 | 22,552 | 5,459 | 182.18 |
| First Presbyterian | 7-A | 33.09 | 11,063 | 2,371 | 420.76 |
| Pinecrest Academy | 6-A | 30.14 | 8,990 | 1,587 | 629.12 |
| Athens Christian | 8-A | 29.37 | 9,337 | 1,508 | 662.13 |
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