Maxwell Week 5 projections

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50 percent of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Sep 13

Game Rate	Class	Team	Pct	Proj	Team	Class
30.08	AAAAAA	Stephenson	92.3%	25	Morrow	AAAAAA
24.14	AAAA	Eastside	97.5%	35	North Clayton	AAAA

Sep 14

Game Rate	Class	Team	Pct	Proj	Team	Class
84.43	AAAAAAA	North Gwinnett	68.4%	8	Walton	AAAAAAA
77.67	AAAAAAA	Colquitt County	87.5%	20	Warner Robins	AAAAA
76.99	AAAAAAA	Parkview	66.3%	7	Tift County	AAAAAAA
75.22	AAAAAAA	Archer	73.2%	10	Norcross	AAAAAAA
73.17	AAAAAAA	Milton	70.9%	9	Roswell	AAAAAAA
68.57	AAA	Peach County	56.4%	3	Mary Persons	AAAA
68.52	AAAAAAA	Grayson	92.1%	24	Westlake	AAAAAAA
67.62	AAAA	Marist	75.0%	11	St. Pius X	AAAA
66.16	AAAAAA	Glynn Academy	68.9%	8	Wayne County	AAAAA
66.11	AAAAA	Rome	92.8%	25	Carrollton	AAAAA
65.11	AAAAAAA	Hillgrove	74.5%	11	Etowah	AAAAAAA
63.23	AAAAA	Buford	92.4%	25	Newton	AAAAAAA
61.77	AAAAAAA	Camden County	72.8%	10	Brunswick	AAAAAA
61.44	AAAAAAA	McEachern	90.6%	23	Collins Hill	AAAAAAA
61.23	AAAA	Troup	62.8%	5	Callaway	AA
60.97	AAAAAAA	North Paulding	62.5%	5	Woodstock	AAAAAAA
59.02	AAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	65.4%	7	Thomson	AAAA
58.93	AAAAAA	Creekview	74.1%	11	Dalton	AAAAAA
58.92	A	Clinch County	57.4%	3	Irwin County	A
58.73	AAAAAAA	North Cobb	82.8%	16	East Coweta	AAAAAAA
56.95	AAAAAA	Dacula	54.2%	2	Central Gwinnett	AAAAAAA
54.65	AAAAAAA	Wheeler	50.9%	1	Lassiter	AAAAAAA
53.42	AA	Dodge County	61.2%	5	Fitzgerald	AA
52.44	AAAAA	Clarke Central	71.0%	9	Lanier	AAAAAA
51.80	AA	Brooks County	66.4%	7	Dublin	AA
51.35	AAAA	Sandy Creek	62.4%	5	Starr's Mill	AAAAA
49.99	AAAAAAA	South Gwinnett	77.1%	12	Crisp County	AAA
49.98	AAAAA	Kell	84.3%	17	East Paulding	AAAAA
49.15	AAAAA	Veterans	67.9%	8	Houston County	AAAAAA
48.97	AAAAAAA	Kennesaw Mountain	53.8%	2	North Forsyth	AAAAAAA
48.69	AAAAA	Southwest DeKalb	75.3%	11	Lovejoy	AAAAAA
48.30	AAAAA	Locust Grove	59.0%	4	Ola	AAAAA
47.98	AAAA	Cartersville	98.0%	36	Cherokee	AAAAAAA
47.52	AAAAA	Jones County	91.2%	23	Woodland (Stockbridge)	AAAAA
47.44	AAAAAA	Sequoyah	85.5%	18	Campbell	AAAAAAA
46.73	AAAAA	Griffin	85.4%	18	Upson-Lee	AAAA
45.76	AAAAAA	Effingham County	65.2%	7	Statesboro	AAAAA
45.18	AAAAAA	Richmond Hill	75.3%	11	New Hampstead	AAAAA
45.00	AAA	Jefferson	81.6%	15	Gainesville	AAAAAA
44.98	AAAAA	Banneker	66.5%	7	Riverwood	AAAAA
44.97	AAAAAA	Northgate	71.0%	9	Creekside	AAAAAA
44.86	AA	Washington County	68.8%	8	Swainsboro	AA
44.54	AAAAAAA	West Forsyth	83.8%	17	Peachtree Ridge	AAAAAAA
44.29	AAAAAA	Centennial	70.1%	9	Cambridge	AAAAAA
44.25	AAAAAA	Winder-Barrow	62.3%	5	Loganville	AAAAA
43.62	AAAAA	Carver (Atlanta)	56.7%	3	Maynard Jackson	AAAAA
42.53	AAAAAA	Harrison	94.3%	28	Sprayberry	AAAAAA
42.45	AAAA	Oconee County	79.2%	14	Cedar Shoals	AAAAA
42.39	AAAAA	Stockbridge	96.6%	32	Eagle's Landing	AAAAA
41.28	AAAAAA	Alpharetta	89.4%	21	Pope	AAAAAA
41.20	AAAAA	Arabia Mountain	75.3%	11	Heritage (Conyers)	AAAAAA
40.70	AAAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	92.9%	25	Baldwin	AAAA
40.51	AAAA	Chapel Hill	88.5%	20	Whitewater	AAAAA
40.43	AAAA	Howard	71.5%	9	Jackson	AAA
39.96	AAAA	Cairo	82.9%	16	Hardaway	AAAA
39.72	AAAA	Stephens County	56.6%	3	Habersham Central	AAAAAA
39.69	AAAAAAA	Meadowcreek	78.4%	13	Shiloh	AAAAAAA
39.35	AAAA	Burke County	91.0%	23	Evans	AAAAAA
39.35	AAAAA	Woodland (Cartersville)	55.8%	3	Paulding County	AAAAA
38.90	AAA	Dawson County	76.4%	12	Denmark	AAAA
38.60	AAA	Calhoun	96.7%	32	North Murray	AAA
37.71	AAA	Appling County	58.2%	4	Cook	AAA
37.62	AAAAAA	Mays	94.6%	28	New Manchester	AAAAAA
37.42	AAAA	West Laurens	81.9%	15	South Effingham	AAAAA
36.99	AAAAAA	Tucker	97.3%	34	Mundy's Mill	AAAAAA
36.98	AA	Bleckley County	51.2%	1	Marion County	A
36.92	AAAAAA	Lee County	99.0%	39	Southwest	AA
36.69	A	Aquinas	64.7%	6	Lincoln County	A
36.07	AAA	North Hall	78.7%	13	White County	AAAA
35.69	AAAAAA	Allatoona	94.5%	28	South Cobb	AAAAAA
35.25	AAAAA	Dutchtown	95.8%	30	Union Grove	AAAAA
34.91	AAAA	Northside (Columbus)	63.3%	6	Westover	AAAA
34.03	AAAAAA	Douglas County	94.0%	27	South Paulding	AAAAAA
32.86	A	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	75.5%	11	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	A
32.42	AAAAA	Villa Rica	76.1%	12	Cass	AAAAA
32.35	A	Fellowship Christian	71.5%	9	Stratford Academy	A
32.24	AAAAAAA	Pebblebrook	88.3%	20	Lithonia	AAAAA
32.15	AA	Heard County	84.2%	17	Central (Carrollton)	AAAA
31.92	A	Turner County	61.5%	5	Telfair County	A
31.40	AAAAAA	Hughes	90.3%	22	Tri-Cities	AAAAAA
31.32	AAAAAA	Johns Creek	82.3%	15	Chattahoochee	AAAAAA
30.88	AA	Douglass	80.5%	14	B.E.S.T. Academy	AA
30.82	AAAA	Salem	69.2%	8	Hampton	AAAA
30.48	AA	Northeast	67.4%	7	Central (Macon)	AAA
29.37	AAAAAA	M.L. King	55.4%	2	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	AAAAAA
28.41	AAAAAA	Northview	79.3%	14	Dunwoody	AAAAAA
27.54	AA	Chattooga	74.8%	11	Coosa	AA
27.49	AAAAAAA	Forsyth Central	69.1%	8	Lakeside (Atlanta)	AAAAAAA
27.23	AAAA	Americus-Sumter	87.1%	19	Shaw	AAAA
27.18	AAA	Pike County	84.1%	17	Lamar County	AA
27.09	AAAA	Spalding	89.2%	21	Fayette County	AAAAA
26.96	AAAAAA	Bradwell Institute	75.9%	12	Tattnall County	AAA
26.94	AAAAA	Decatur	55.8%	3	North Springs	AAAAA
26.83	AAAAA	Walnut Grove	60.3%	4	Apalachee	AAAAAA
25.70	AAAAA	Thomas County Central	93.6%	26	Monroe	AAA
25.36	AAAA	North Oconee	81.4%	15	Franklin County	AAA
25.15	AAAAAA	Coffee	99.4%	40	Miller Grove	AAAAA
24.58	A	Whitefield Academy	70.5%	9	Pinecrest Academy	A
23.97	A	Savannah Country Day	80.4%	14	Johnson County	A
23.74	A	Eagle's Landing Christian	98.4%	37	Holy Innocents	A
22.61	A	Charlton County	81.3%	15	Atkinson County	A
22.51	AAA	Southeast Bulloch	83.7%	16	Savannah	AAA
21.77	A	Mount de Sales	63.8%	6	Greene County	A
21.71	A	Trion	78.2%	13	North Cobb Christian	A
21.38	AA	Hephzibah	82.7%	16	Butler	AA
20.54	AAAA	Cedartown	96.4%	32	Southeast Whitfield	AAAA
20.26	A	Mount Zion (Carroll)	91.7%	24	Christian Heritage	A
19.98	A	McIntosh County Academy	66.6%	7	Jenkins County	A
19.21	AAAAA	Grady	55.2%	2	Lithia Springs	AAAAA
19.11	AAA	Ringgold	81.5%	15	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	AAA
18.46	A	Wesleyan	86.3%	18	Our Lady of Mercy	A
18.43	AA	Hapeville Charter	99.6%	41	Therrell	AA
18.42	A	Brookstone	68.1%	8	First Presbyterian	A
17.92	AA	McNair	55.7%	3	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	AA
17.58	AAAA	Woodward Academy	98.2%	37	Henry County	AAAA
17.47	AAAA	Carver (Columbus)	94.9%	29	Dougherty	AAAA
16.33	AAA	Adairsville	85.3%	18	Haralson County	AAA
15.86	AAAA	Northwest Whitfield	93.2%	26	Temple	AA
15.78	AAA	Liberty County	96.2%	31	Cross Creek	AAAA
13.90	AA	Union County	90.1%	22	Monticello	AA
13.60	AAA	Islands	56.6%	3	Beach	AAA
13.59	AA	Rabun County	98.7%	38	Putnam County	AA
13.57	AAAAAA	Drew	91.6%	24	Forest Park	AAAAAA
12.80	AAAA	Luella	87.0%	19	Druid Hills	AAAA
12.56	AA	Metter	88.3%	20	Wilkinson County	A
12.28	A	Claxton	87.3%	19	Montgomery County	A
12.19	A	Schley County	84.4%	17	Hawkinsville	A
10.50	A	Washington-Wilkes	80.5%	14	Warren County	A
9.46	AAAA	Chestatee	76.6%	12	Fannin County	AAA
8.87	A	Strong Rock Christian	65.7%	7	Landmark Christian	A
8.11	AA	Banks County	65.1%	6	Social Circle	AA
7.61	AAAA	Pickens	97.7%	35	Chamblee	AAAAA
7.44	A	George Walton Academy	97.1%	33	Towns County	A
7.10	AA	Vidalia	98.6%	38	Long County	AAA
6.02	AAA	Worth County	86.0%	18	Rutland	AAA
5.68	AAAAAA	River Ridge	95.0%	29	Osborne	AAAAAA
4.50	AA	Model	72.6%	10	Dade County	AA
4.09	A	Emanuel County Institute	95.4%	30	Portal	A
3.85	A	Darlington	98.6%	38	Gordon Lee	A
2.12	A	Savannah Christian	97.1%	34	Wheeler County	A
1.76	AA	Rockmart	99.6%	41	Armuchee	AA
1.02	AA	Screven County	97.4%	34	Westside (Augusta)	AA
0.19	A	Wilcox County	90.1%	22	Lanier County	A
-0.52	AA	Jordan	72.2%	10	Greenville	A
-0.87	A	Chattahoochee County	83.7%	16	Calhoun County	A
-1.29	A	Hancock Central	90.3%	22	Georgia Military College	A
-1.52	AA	Jefferson County	98.6%	38	Josey	AA
-2.55	A	Calvary Day	99.0%	39	Treutlen	A
-2.89	A	Pelham	98.0%	36	Terrell County	A
-3.18	AA	Pepperell	97.9%	36	Gordon Central	AA
-3.32	A	Commerce	99.1%	40	Providence Christian	A
-5.63	AAAA	Madison County	96.4%	32	East Jackson	AAA
-7.39	AAA	Jenkins	99.4%	40	Johnson (Savannah)	AAA
-7.59	A	Mount Paran Christian	99.6%	41	King's Ridge Christian	A
-8.75	AAA	Murray County	76.4%	12	Coahulla Creek	AAA
-15.29	AAA	Benedictine	100.0%	42	Groves	AAA
-15.48	A	Mitchell County	99.2%	40	Baconton Charter	A
-16.01	AAAAAAA	Berkmar	77.6%	13	Clarkston	AAAAA
-17.09	A	Macon County	99.2%	40	Twiggs County	A
-19.01	A	Seminole County	95.3%	29	Stewart County	A
-19.19	AA	Elbert County	99.7%	41	Oglethorpe County	AA
-22.91	A	Miller County	98.2%	37	Randolph-Clay	A
-48.10	A	Pacelli	98.0%	36	Pataula Charter	A
-54.20	AAAAA	Johnson (Gainesville)	99.8%	41	Cross Keys	AAAAA

Sep 15

Game Rate	Class	Team	Pct	Proj	Team	Class
27.62	AA	Washington	63.7%	6	South Atlanta	AA
26.47	AA	Harlem	61.1%	5	Laney	AA

Alerts

Maxwell Week 5 projections

Sep 13

Sep 14

Sep 15

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