High School Sports Blog
Maxwell Week 8 projections
Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.
The game rating is the rating required to win 50 percent of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.
All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.
The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.
Oct 04
| Game Rate | Class | Team | Pct | Proj | Team | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.44 | AAAAAA | Drew | 73.9% | 11 | Mount Zion (Jonesboro) | AAAAAA |
| 14.86 | AAAA | Northside (Columbus) | 87.2% | 19 | Dougherty | AAAA |
Oct 05
| Game Rate | Class | Team | Pct | Proj | Team | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78.40 | AAAAAAA | McEachern | 60.1% | 4 | Hillgrove | AAAAAAA |
| 76.05 | AAAAAAA | North Gwinnett | 76.7% | 12 | Mill Creek | AAAAAAA |
| 68.16 | AAAAA | Jones County | 64.8% | 6 | Dutchtown | AAAAA |
| 67.65 | AAAAAAA | Marietta | 57.5% | 3 | North Paulding | AAAAAAA |
| 67.34 | AAAAAA | Coffee | 65.8% | 7 | Northside (Warner Robins) | AAAAAA |
| 61.90 | AAAAAA | Harrison | 67.1% | 7 | Allatoona | AAAAAA |
| 59.42 | AAAAAAA | Milton | 83.3% | 16 | West Forsyth | AAAAAAA |
| 59.08 | AAAAAAA | Archer | 94.1% | 27 | Newton | AAAAAAA |
| 57.80 | AAAAAA | Mays | 53.4% | 2 | Douglas County | AAAAAA |
| 56.80 | AAAA | Chapel Hill | 52.1% | 1 | Sandy Creek | AAAA |
| 55.99 | AAAA | Eastside | 58.8% | 4 | Woodward Academy | AAAA |
| 55.92 | AAA | Westminster (Atlanta) | 60.1% | 4 | Pace Academy | AAA |
| 55.87 | AAAA | Mary Persons | 86.1% | 18 | Upson-Lee | AAAA |
| 53.38 | AAAAA | Rome | 95.9% | 31 | East Paulding | AAAAA |
| 53.05 | AAAAAAA | Woodstock | 60.4% | 4 | Etowah | AAAAAAA |
| 53.00 | AAA | Greater Atlanta Christian | 78.5% | 13 | Dawson County | AAA |
| 52.82 | AAAAAAA | Westlake | 86.5% | 19 | East Coweta | AAAAAAA |
| 52.56 | AAAAAAA | Roswell | 88.4% | 20 | Cherokee | AAAAAAA |
| 52.46 | AA | Thomasville | 63.3% | 6 | Brooks County | AA |
| 51.82 | AAAAAAA | North Cobb | 85.8% | 18 | Kennesaw Mountain | AAAAAAA |
| 51.77 | AAAAAAA | Wheeler | 80.7% | 14 | Newnan | AAAAAAA |
| 50.78 | AAAA | St. Pius X | 89.5% | 21 | Oconee County | AAAA |
| 50.72 | AA | Dodge County | 72.7% | 10 | Dublin | AA |
| 49.96 | AAAAA | Veterans | 72.0% | 10 | Bainbridge | AAAAA |
| 49.45 | AAAAAAA | Brookwood | 91.5% | 24 | Meadowcreek | AAAAAAA |
| 49.24 | AAAAAA | Brunswick | 61.8% | 5 | Richmond Hill | AAAAAA |
| 48.41 | AAAA | Cairo | 55.3% | 2 | Carver (Columbus) | AAAA |
| 48.07 | AAAAAAA | South Forsyth | 86.1% | 18 | Lambert | AAAAAAA |
| 47.65 | AAAAA | Buford | 94.9% | 29 | Cedar Shoals | AAAAA |
| 47.10 | AAAA | Howard | 53.2% | 2 | Perry | AAAA |
| 46.70 | AAAAAA | Valdosta | 85.6% | 18 | Houston County | AAAAAA |
| 45.04 | AAAAAAA | Pebblebrook | 61.0% | 5 | Campbell | AAAAAAA |
| 44.86 | AAA | Jackson | 59.8% | 4 | Westside (Macon) | AAA |
| 44.22 | A | Athens Academy | 79.6% | 14 | George Walton Academy | A |
| 43.76 | AAAAA | Wayne County | 88.4% | 20 | Statesboro | AAAAA |
| 43.34 | AAAAAAA | Walton | 98.5% | 38 | Lassiter | AAAAAAA |
| 43.27 | AAAAAA | Lanier | 72.3% | 10 | Winder-Barrow | AAAAAA |
| 43.22 | AAAAA | Griffin | 66.7% | 7 | Jonesboro | AAAAA |
| 42.94 | AAAA | West Laurens | 75.7% | 12 | Spalding | AAAA |
| 41.47 | AAAAA | Kell | 86.4% | 19 | Villa Rica | AAAAA |
| 40.96 | AAAAA | Warner Robins | 96.6% | 32 | Harris County | AAAAA |
| 40.70 | AAAAAA | Hughes | 54.2% | 2 | South Paulding | AAAAAA |
| 40.12 | AAAA | Richmond Academy | 69.7% | 9 | Baldwin | AAAA |
| 39.98 | AA | Fitzgerald | 81.1% | 15 | Berrien | AA |
| 39.56 | A | Calvary Day | 60.5% | 5 | Savannah Christian | A |
| 39.52 | AAAAA | Carrollton | 92.1% | 24 | Woodland (Cartersville) | AAAAA |
| 39.50 | AAAAA | Woodland (Stockbridge) | 58.7% | 4 | Ola | AAAAA |
| 39.46 | AAAAA | Clarke Central | 75.5% | 11 | Loganville | AAAAA |
| 39.16 | AAAAA | Locust Grove | 82.1% | 15 | Eagle's Landing | AAAAA |
| 38.96 | AAAAAA | Johns Creek | 79.0% | 13 | Pope | AAAAAA |
| 38.96 | AAAAAA | Effingham County | 76.4% | 12 | Bradwell Institute | AAAAAA |
| 38.26 | AAAAAAA | Collins Hill | 88.9% | 21 | Peachtree Ridge | AAAAAAA |
| 38.12 | AAAA | Marist | 95.7% | 30 | West Hall | AAAA |
| 37.93 | AAAAAA | Dalton | 81.7% | 15 | South Cobb | AAAAAA |
| 37.73 | AAAAA | Stockbridge | 96.9% | 33 | Union Grove | AAAAA |
| 37.56 | AAAA | Americus-Sumter | 51.4% | 1 | Columbus | AAAA |
| 36.12 | AAAAAA | Habersham Central | 57.3% | 3 | Gainesville | AAAAAA |
| 35.19 | AAAAAA | Alcovy | 57.2% | 3 | Grovetown | AAAAAA |
| 34.30 | A | Mount Paran Christian | 65.1% | 6 | Whitefield Academy | A |
| 34.18 | AAAA | Cedartown | 87.8% | 20 | Central (Carrollton) | AAAA |
| 33.77 | AAAAAAA | North Forsyth | 81.1% | 15 | Forsyth Central | AAAAAAA |
| 33.58 | AAAA | Blessed Trinity | 99.3% | 40 | Denmark | AAAA |
| 32.99 | A | Mount Vernon Presbyterian | 55.7% | 3 | Wesleyan | A |
| 32.95 | AAAA | Cartersville | 98.8% | 39 | LaGrange | AAAA |
| 32.80 | AAA | Jefferson | 90.1% | 22 | Hart County | AAA |
| 32.31 | AA | Rockmart | 94.0% | 27 | Pepperell | AA |
| 32.09 | AAAAAAA | Mountain View | 95.5% | 30 | Discovery | AAAAAAA |
| 32.09 | AAAAAA | Alpharetta | 90.5% | 22 | North Atlanta | AAAAAA |
| 32.06 | AA | Southwest | 70.5% | 9 | Northeast | AA |
| 31.78 | AAAAAAA | Grayson | 99.6% | 41 | Shiloh | AAAAAAA |
| 31.52 | AAAAA | New Hampstead | 74.6% | 11 | South Effingham | AAAAA |
| 31.15 | AAAAA | Starr's Mill | 87.0% | 19 | Whitewater | AAAAA |
| 30.96 | AAAAAA | Tucker | 95.3% | 29 | Morrow | AAAAAA |
| 30.80 | AAAAAA | Northgate | 86.2% | 18 | New Manchester | AAAAAA |
| 30.72 | AAAAAA | Lovejoy | 85.2% | 18 | M.L. King | AAAAAA |
| 30.64 | AAAAAA | Dacula | 95.4% | 30 | Apalachee | AAAAAA |
| 30.53 | AAAAAA | Northview | 71.2% | 9 | Cambridge | AAAAAA |
| 30.17 | AAAAAA | Evans | 68.3% | 8 | Lakeside (Evans) | AAAAAA |
| 29.79 | AAAAAA | Sequoyah | 96.4% | 32 | River Ridge | AAAAAA |
| 29.54 | AAAAAA | Alexander | 84.6% | 17 | Tri-Cities | AAAAAA |
| 29.38 | AAAA | North Oconee | 78.4% | 13 | Madison County | AAAA |
| 28.44 | AA | Washington County | 92.9% | 25 | Bleckley County | AA |
| 28.12 | AA | Harlem | 63.1% | 6 | Hephzibah | AA |
| 27.83 | AAAAAA | Heritage (Conyers) | 83.4% | 16 | Greenbrier | AAAAAA |
| 27.67 | AAAA | Westover | 68.2% | 8 | Shaw | AAAA |
| 27.26 | AA | Hapeville Charter | 99.1% | 39 | South Atlanta | AA |
| 27.20 | A | Marion County | 86.6% | 19 | Brookstone | A |
| 26.98 | AAAAA | Hiram | 91.2% | 23 | Cass | AAAAA |
| 26.81 | AAAA | Luella | 52.9% | 1 | Hampton | AAAA |
| 25.72 | AA | Vidalia | 92.6% | 25 | Jeff Davis | AA |
| 25.50 | AAA | Calhoun | 98.8% | 39 | Adairsville | AAA |
| 25.00 | AAA | Morgan County | 55.9% | 3 | Franklin County | AAA |
| 24.45 | AAAAAA | Centennial | 95.2% | 29 | Chattahoochee | AAAAAA |
| 24.12 | A | Christian Heritage | 69.9% | 9 | Trion | A |
| 23.46 | A | Aquinas | 80.2% | 14 | Washington-Wilkes | A |
| 23.40 | AAAAAAA | Tift County | 99.3% | 40 | Miller Grove | AAAAA |
| 23.24 | AAAA | Pickens | 89.5% | 21 | Heritage (Ringgold) | AAAA |
| 22.88 | AA | Swainsboro | 87.6% | 20 | Bacon County | AA |
| 22.68 | AAA | Benedictine | 99.3% | 40 | Windsor Forest | AAA |
| 22.14 | A | Hancock Central | 55.6% | 3 | Greene County | A |
| 22.13 | AAAA | Northwest Whitfield | 82.7% | 16 | LaFayette | AAAA |
| 21.59 | AA | Washington | 88.3% | 20 | B.E.S.T. Academy | AA |
| 20.68 | AAAAAAA | Parkview | 99.8% | 41 | Lakeside (Atlanta) | AAAAAAA |
| 20.44 | AAAAA | McIntosh | 65.2% | 7 | Fayette County | AAAAA |
| 20.17 | AA | Callaway | 98.2% | 37 | Lamar County | AA |
| 20.03 | AAA | Pierce County | 92.4% | 25 | Brantley County | AAA |
| 19.50 | AAA | Monroe Area | 98.3% | 37 | Jackson County | AAA |
| 19.13 | AAA | Sonoraville | 51.7% | 1 | Haralson County | AAA |
| 19.08 | AAA | Liberty County | 95.4% | 30 | Tattnall County | AAA |
| 18.68 | A | Schley County | 83.4% | 16 | Taylor County | A |
| 18.02 | A | Stratford Academy | 69.8% | 9 | Tattnall Square | A |
| 17.44 | A | Holy Innocents | 68.7% | 8 | Strong Rock Christian | A |
| 17.42 | AAAA | North Clayton | 51.2% | 1 | Henry County | AAAA |
| 16.84 | A | Pinecrest Academy | 68.5% | 8 | Mount Pisgah Christian | A |
| 16.80 | A | Jenkins County | 60.6% | 5 | Johnson County | A |
| 16.22 | AAAAA | Thomas County Central | 97.2% | 34 | Worth County | AAA |
| 15.68 | AA | Jefferson County | 94.5% | 28 | Laney | AA |
| 15.39 | AAAAA | Walnut Grove | 80.9% | 15 | Johnson (Gainesville) | AAAAA |
| 15.29 | A | Prince Avenue Christian | 97.2% | 34 | Athens Christian | A |
| 15.29 | AA | Therrell | 52.6% | 1 | KIPP Atlanta Collegiate | AA |
| 14.55 | AAAA | Burke County | 99.1% | 40 | Cross Creek | AAAA |
| 14.51 | AAAA | Flowery Branch | 98.6% | 38 | Chestatee | AAAA |
| 14.26 | AAAAAA | Stephenson | 97.7% | 35 | Forest Park | AAAAAA |
| 12.92 | A | Savannah Country Day | 83.0% | 16 | McIntosh County Academy | A |
| 12.72 | AA | Toombs County | 86.3% | 18 | Bryan County | AA |
| 12.47 | AA | Douglass | 97.1% | 34 | McNair | AA |
| 11.70 | AA | Chattooga | 90.5% | 22 | Model | AA |
| 11.22 | A | Fellowship Christian | 96.9% | 33 | St. Francis | A |
| 10.60 | A | North Cobb Christian | 83.5% | 16 | Gordon Lee | A |
| 9.86 | AAA | East Hall | 82.7% | 16 | Fannin County | AAA |
| 9.77 | A | Dooly County | 89.8% | 22 | Hawkinsville | A |
| 8.40 | A | Mount Zion (Carroll) | 96.1% | 31 | Bowdon | A |
| 7.81 | AAAA | Salem | 95.2% | 29 | Druid Hills | AAAA |
| 7.41 | A | Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg) | 93.8% | 27 | Landmark Christian | A |
| 6.59 | A | First Presbyterian | 76.7% | 12 | Wilkinson County | A |
| 5.25 | AA | Heard County | 98.5% | 38 | Temple | AA |
| 4.38 | AA | Bremen | 99.3% | 40 | Jordan | AA |
| 4.32 | AA | Coosa | 79.0% | 13 | Dade County | AA |
| 4.19 | AAA | Appling County | 97.3% | 34 | Long County | AAA |
| 3.16 | A | Warren County | 67.1% | 7 | Georgia Military College | A |
| 2.01 | A | Riverside Military Academy | 65.9% | 7 | Providence Christian | A |
| 1.92 | A | Hebron Christian Academy | 93.8% | 27 | Towns County | A |
| 1.75 | AAA | Cedar Grove | 99.9% | 42 | Towers | AAA |
| 1.70 | AA | Butler | 89.9% | 22 | Westside (Augusta) | AA |
| 0.38 | A | Claxton | 94.2% | 27 | Portal | A |
| 0.04 | AAAAAA | Sprayberry | 98.7% | 38 | Osborne | AAAAAA |
| -0.73 | AAA | Central (Macon) | 96.4% | 32 | Kendrick | AAA |
| -1.50 | A | Montgomery County | 88.6% | 21 | Wheeler County | A |
| -2.34 | AA | Glenn Hills | 75.1% | 11 | Josey | AA |
| -2.61 | AAA | Islands | 89.9% | 22 | Johnson (Savannah) | AAA |
| -2.77 | AAA | North Murray | 98.1% | 36 | Coahulla Creek | AAA |
| -3.21 | A | Walker | 74.0% | 11 | King's Ridge Christian | A |
| -4.41 | AAA | Pike County | 98.7% | 38 | Rutland | AAA |
| -5.03 | A | Commerce | 99.4% | 41 | Lakeview Academy | A |
| -5.26 | AAA | Beach | 84.6% | 17 | Groves | AAA |
| -6.03 | A | Eagle's Landing Christian | 99.9% | 42 | Our Lady of Mercy | A |
| -6.84 | A | Manchester | 97.5% | 35 | Pacelli | A |
| -7.06 | AAAAAAA | Central Gwinnett | 99.6% | 41 | Berkmar | AAAAAAA |
| -7.42 | A | Mitchell County | 97.7% | 35 | Calhoun County | A |
| -7.71 | AAA | Lumpkin County | 84.0% | 17 | Cherokee Bluff | AAA |
| -9.91 | AAA | Ringgold | 97.9% | 36 | Murray County | AAA |
| -10.23 | A | Emanuel County Institute | 98.8% | 39 | Treutlen | A |
| -10.52 | A | Macon County | 98.0% | 36 | Crawford County | A |
| -11.56 | AAA | Lovett | 99.8% | 41 | Stone Mountain | AAA |
| -14.03 | A | Miller County | 93.6% | 27 | Baconton Charter | A |
| -15.00 | AAAA | Southeast Whitfield | 93.4% | 26 | Gilmer | AAAA |
| -19.76 | A | Greenville | 93.2% | 26 | Central (Talbotton) | A |
| -21.81 | AA | Social Circle | 84.5% | 17 | Clarkston | AAAAA |
| -24.36 | A | Mount de Sales | 99.5% | 41 | Twiggs County | A |
| -31.60 | A | Chattahoochee County | 99.2% | 40 | Randolph-Clay | A |
| -35.66 | A | ACE Charter | 62.6% | 5 | Glascock County | A |
| -69.29 | AAAA | Ridgeland | 100.0% | 42 | Cross Keys | AAAAA |
Oct 06
| Game Rate | Class | Team | Pct | Proj | Team | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33.57 | AAA | Jenkins | 59.5% | 4 | Southeast Bulloch | AAA |