Sports
Maxwell Week 3 Projections
Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.
The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.
All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.
The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.
Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.
Sep 04
| Game Rate | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57.30 | Harris County | 54.4% | 2 | Westside (Macon) |
| 39.65 | Americus-Sumter | 57.3% | 3 | Shaw |
| 12.65 | Randolph-Clay | 58.2% | 4 | Dougherty |
Sep 05
| Game Rate | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82.79 | Buford | 78.1% | 13 | McEachern |
| 82.10 | North Gwinnett | 62.1% | 5 | Hillgrove |
| 80.22 | Grayson | 69.3% | 8 | Hughes |
| 79.93 | Mill Creek | 54.2% | 2 | Dacula |
| 75.04 | Norcross | 88.6% | 21 | Milton |
| 74.39 | Griffin | 73.4% | 10 | Burke County |
| 72.72 | Walton | 65.9% | 7 | Lassiter |
| 71.18 | Calhoun | 59.8% | 4 | Carrollton |
| 70.57 | Peachtree Ridge | 77.1% | 12 | Parkview |
| 70.27 | Collins Hill | 63.9% | 6 | South Gwinnett |
| 67.99 | Newnan | 62.6% | 5 | Marietta |
| 67.29 | Camden County | 89.3% | 21 | Glynn Academy |
| 67.14 | Creekside | 68.1% | 8 | Carver (Columbus) |
| 67.13 | Alpharetta | 56.0% | 3 | West Forsyth |
| 66.58 | Etowah | 70.9% | 9 | Cherokee |
| 66.40 | North Cobb | 82.8% | 16 | Cartersville |
| 66.24 | Marist | 71.1% | 9 | Lovett |
| 65.20 | Allatoona | 71.7% | 10 | North Paulding |
| 64.62 | East Coweta | 54.0% | 2 | Harrison |
| 64.39 | Woodward Academy | 54.2% | 2 | St. Pius X |
| 61.62 | Jefferson | 54.9% | 2 | North Hall |
| 59.28 | Statesboro | 60.5% | 5 | Wayne County |
| 59.03 | Mays | 53.1% | 2 | M. L. King |
| 58.84 | Westlake | 54.7% | 2 | Shiloh |
| 58.28 | Washington County | 90.5% | 23 | Mary Persons |
| 57.32 | Woodstock | 58.8% | 4 | Wheeler |
| 56.96 | Westminster (Atlanta) | 69.9% | 9 | Laney |
| 56.64 | Cairo | 61.4% | 5 | Bainbridge |
| 56.62 | Troup | 56.5% | 3 | Northgate |
| 55.79 | South Paulding | 62.8% | 6 | Villa Rica |
| 55.66 | Tift County | 80.0% | 14 | Luella |
| 55.00 | Central Gwinnett | 64.8% | 6 | Mundy's Mill |
| 54.26 | Lanier | 51.8% | 1 | Clarke Central |
| 52.49 | Blessed Trinity | 87.5% | 20 | Sequoyah |
| 52.26 | Grady | 51.9% | 1 | Carver (Atlanta) |
| 50.94 | Chattahoochee | 57.0% | 3 | North Forsyth |
| 50.61 | Peach County | 85.7% | 18 | Perry |
| 50.24 | Westover | 51.5% | 1 | Jonesboro |
| 50.16 | New Manchester | 55.3% | 2 | Hiram |
| 50.06 | Callaway | 58.4% | 4 | Heard County |
| 49.90 | Central (Carrollton) | 61.5% | 5 | B.E.S.T. Academy |
| 49.31 | Elbert County | 72.2% | 10 | Stephens County |
| 49.13 | Riverwood | 51.3% | 1 | Creekview |
| 48.47 | Cedar Grove | 81.3% | 15 | Columbia |
| 47.98 | Greater Atlanta Christian | 90.0% | 22 | Eagle's Landing Christian |
| 47.98 | Lambert | 64.7% | 6 | Johns Creek |
| 47.89 | Lowndes | 97.9% | 36 | Drew |
| 47.04 | Northside (Warner Robins) | 97.8% | 35 | Evans |
| 46.28 | Centennial | 53.8% | 2 | South Forsyth |
| 46.26 | Mountain View | 54.8% | 2 | Kennesaw Mountain |
| 45.72 | Lovejoy | 97.6% | 35 | Dutchtown |
| 45.41 | Thomas County Central | 91.8% | 24 | Riverdale |
| 44.77 | Baldwin | 55.8% | 3 | Alcovy |
| 44.75 | Fitzgerald | 83.7% | 16 | Irwin County |
| 44.14 | Northwest Whitfield | 67.3% | 7 | Cedartown |
| 44.14 | Union Grove | 64.2% | 6 | Locust Grove |
| 44.05 | Alexander | 78.0% | 13 | Paulding County |
| 43.84 | Whitewater | 91.9% | 24 | Banneker |
| 42.63 | Lee County | 89.0% | 21 | Worth County |
| 41.19 | Colquitt County | 99.6% | 41 | Crisp County |
| 41.04 | Emanuel County Institute | 61.5% | 5 | Metter |
| 40.67 | Heritage (Conyers) | 76.4% | 12 | Salem |
| 40.62 | Appling County | 68.9% | 8 | Jenkins |
| 39.73 | Chestatee | 76.3% | 12 | West Hall |
| 38.99 | Pickens | 70.5% | 9 | East Hall |
| 37.83 | Liberty County | 61.5% | 5 | McIntosh County Academy |
| 37.20 | Forsyth Central | 50.2% | 0 | Woodland (Cartersville) |
| 37.17 | Upson-Lee | 61.8% | 5 | Pike County |
| 37.16 | Dunwoody | 51.6% | 1 | Chamblee |
| 36.52 | Starr's Mill | 78.6% | 13 | Fayette County |
| 36.52 | Landmark Christian | 73.5% | 10 | Pace Academy |
| 36.12 | West Laurens | 74.3% | 11 | Bleckley County |
| 35.66 | Eastside | 88.4% | 20 | Madison County |
| 35.56 | Hawkinsville | 71.0% | 9 | Wilcox County |
| 34.64 | Houston County | 92.7% | 25 | Grovetown |
| 34.62 | Vidalia | 90.2% | 22 | Toombs County |
| 34.50 | Lakeside (Evans) | 87.9% | 20 | Richmond Academy |
| 34.39 | Stratford Academy | 70.9% | 9 | Wesleyan |
| 33.96 | Veterans | 82.9% | 16 | Macon County |
| 33.73 | Pebblebrook | 74.4% | 11 | Osborne |
| 33.49 | Decatur | 77.8% | 13 | Maynard Jackson |
| 33.45 | George Walton Academy | 58.9% | 4 | Holy Innocents |
| 33.38 | Calvary Day | 82.0% | 15 | Bradwell Institute |
| 33.18 | Mount Paran Christian | 84.3% | 17 | North Clayton |
| 33.15 | Pierce County | 82.6% | 16 | Bacon County |
| 32.95 | Gilmer | 87.7% | 20 | Dawson County |
| 32.78 | LaGrange | 81.0% | 15 | Spalding |
| 32.53 | Lithonia | 68.7% | 8 | Towers |
| 32.29 | Tucker | 99.4% | 40 | Stone Mountain |
| 31.93 | Rabun County | 51.4% | 1 | Mount Pisgah Christian |
| 31.65 | Dooly County | 81.1% | 15 | Turner County |
| 31.58 | Rutland | 64.3% | 6 | Northeast |
| 31.21 | White County | 82.4% | 16 | Jackson County |
| 30.52 | Bowdon | 80.4% | 14 | Pepperell |
| 30.32 | Chapel Hill | 64.0% | 6 | Lithia Springs |
| 29.51 | Manchester | 67.8% | 8 | Taylor County |
| 29.40 | Seminole County | 82.8% | 16 | Pacelli |
| 29.10 | Cass | 76.3% | 12 | Coosa |
| 28.91 | Screven County | 63.1% | 6 | Westside (Augusta) |
| 28.91 | Winder-Barrow | 56.0% | 3 | Apalachee |
| 28.64 | Richmond Hill | 95.1% | 29 | Johnson (Savannah) |
| 28.44 | Valdosta | 99.5% | 41 | Swainsboro |
| 28.38 | Duluth | 82.9% | 16 | Lakeside (Atlanta) |
| 27.78 | Eagle's Landing | 93.8% | 27 | Southwest |
| 27.47 | Bryan County | 56.7% | 3 | Claxton |
| 27.43 | South Effingham | 66.9% | 7 | Southeast Bulloch |
| 25.81 | Mitchell County | 71.9% | 10 | Pelham |
| 25.72 | Model | 71.9% | 10 | Christian Heritage |
| 25.62 | Tattnall County | 62.2% | 5 | Beach |
| 24.96 | Oconee County | 51.8% | 1 | Athens Christian |
| 24.93 | Warner Robins | 97.5% | 35 | Greenbrier |
| 24.91 | Central (Macon) | 60.6% | 5 | Howard |
| 24.75 | Ola | 75.8% | 12 | Morrow |
| 22.92 | Early County | 91.1% | 23 | Miller County |
| 22.91 | Rockmart | 76.7% | 12 | Sonoraville |
| 22.75 | Cook | 93.7% | 27 | Berrien |
| 22.53 | Northview | 94.6% | 28 | Habersham Central |
| 22.51 | Lumpkin County | 60.6% | 5 | Union County |
| 22.50 | Johnson County | 75.9% | 12 | Telfair County |
| 21.75 | Hart County | 97.9% | 36 | Franklin County |
| 21.38 | Washington-Wilkes | 97.0% | 33 | Wilkinson County |
| 20.41 | Woodland (Stockbridge) | 88.9% | 21 | Forest Park |
| 20.31 | Brookstone | 87.6% | 20 | Columbus |
| 20.07 | Greene County | 53.9% | 2 | Hancock Central |
| 19.61 | King's Ridge Christian | 60.6% | 5 | Walker |
| 19.52 | Rockdale County | 96.0% | 31 | Meadowcreek |
| 19.41 | Morgan County | 87.3% | 19 | Putnam County |
| 19.16 | Gordon Lee | 56.2% | 3 | LaFayette |
| 18.39 | Monroe Area | 97.2% | 34 | Walnut Grove |
| 18.17 | River Ridge | 78.9% | 13 | North Atlanta |
| 17.46 | North Murray | 63.9% | 6 | Chattooga |
| 16.81 | Mount Zion (Carroll) | 55.8% | 3 | Haralson County |
| 16.75 | Albany | 69.2% | 8 | Terrell County |
| 16.44 | Jones County | 97.5% | 35 | Cross Creek |
| 15.96 | Chattahoochee County | 63.8% | 6 | Calhoun County |
| 15.22 | McNair | 76.0% | 12 | Therrell |
| 14.37 | Jackson | 87.7% | 20 | Monticello |
| 13.84 | Johnson (Gainesville) | 53.2% | 2 | Banks County |
| 10.78 | Heritage (Ringgold) | 62.8% | 6 | Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe |
| 9.77 | Groves | 67.6% | 8 | New Hampstead |
| 9.73 | Druid Hills | 94.6% | 28 | Clarkston |
| 9.52 | Sandy Creek | 100.0% | 42 | Hampton |
| 9.14 | Southeast Whitfield | 74.7% | 11 | Gordon Central |
| 8.92 | Fannin County | 77.0% | 12 | Murray County |
| 8.45 | Savannah | 74.3% | 11 | Windsor Forest |
| 8.20 | Bremen | 92.4% | 25 | Hapeville |
| 7.58 | Commerce | 91.5% | 24 | Hebron Christian Academy |
| 6.94 | Lanier County | 56.3% | 3 | Wheeler County |
| 3.14 | Prince Avenue Christian | 98.2% | 37 | Oglethorpe County |
| 2.64 | Butler | 76.8% | 12 | Josey |
| 0.02 | St. Francis | 63.0% | 6 | Lakeview Academy |
| -0.33 | East Laurens | 92.1% | 24 | Twiggs County |
| -0.42 | Armuchee | 53.4% | 2 | Coahulla Creek |
| -1.36 | Tattnall Square | 98.2% | 37 | Warren County |
| -2.99 | Brantley County | 82.8% | 16 | Islands |
| -7.44 | Schley County | 88.1% | 20 | Baconton |
| -8.58 | Our Lady of Mercy | 98.1% | 37 | K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate |
| -9.93 | Georgia Military College | 88.9% | 21 | Glascock County |
| -10.23 | Montgomery County | 80.4% | 14 | Crawford County |
| -20.62 | Temple | 93.8% | 27 | Stewart County |
| -20.78 | Jeff Davis | 95.2% | 29 | North Cobb Christian |
| -30.21 | Douglass | 98.6% | 38 | Cross Keys |
| -31.59 | Whitefield Academy | 99.6% | 41 | Providence Christian |
Sep 06
| Game Rate | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54.41 | Newton | 65.5% | 7 | Rome |
| 49.56 | Tri-Cities | 66.1% | 7 | Southwest DeKalb |
| 25.71 | Northside (Columbus) | 58.2% | 4 | Spencer |
| 10.73 | Hardaway | 83.9% | 17 | Jordan |
| -15.14 | Towns County | 79.0% | 13 | Mount Vernon Presbyterian |
