Sports

Maxwell Week 8 Projections

By Todd Holcomb
Oct 8, 2014

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.

Oct 9

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
43.00 AAAAA Richmond Hill 70.8% 9 Statesboro AAAAA
41.72 AAAA Jonesboro 70.1% 9 Spalding AAAA
26.60 AAA Peach County 98.1% 36 Kendrick AAA
24.78 AAA Westside (Macon) 98.8% 39 Jordan AAA
20.16 AAAAA Mundy's Mill 97.8% 36 Forest Park AAAAA

Oct 10

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
82.92 AAAAAA North Gwinnett 57.7% 3 Peachtree Ridge AAAAAA
82.91 AAAAAA Lowndes 61.2% 5 Camden County AAAAAA
77.70 AAAAAA McEachern 72.8% 10 North Cobb AAAAAA
72.48 AAAAAA Milton 78.2% 13 Cherokee AAAAAA
68.78 AAAAAA Archer 77.6% 13 South Gwinnett AAAAAA
67.80 AAAAAA Colquitt County 96.9% 33 Lee County AAAAAA
67.75 AAAAAA Woodstock 52.2% 1 Walton AAAAAA
67.19 AAAAAA Valdosta 87.1% 19 Tift County AAAAAA
66.81 AAAAAA Hughes 84.5% 17 East Coweta AAAAAA
65.57 AAAAA Ware County 83.6% 16 Glynn Academy AAAAA
65.37 AAAA Marist 81.7% 15 St. Pius X AAAA
64.84 AAAAAA Central Gwinnett 69.1% 8 Brookwood AAAAAA
64.61 AAAAA Gainesville 81.2% 15 Lanier AAAAA
63.66 AAAAAA Hillgrove 85.0% 17 North Paulding AAAAAA
62.11 AAAAA Allatoona 87.2% 19 New Manchester AAAAA
61.78 AAAA Woodward Academy 68.4% 8 Troup AAAA
61.21 AAAAAA Etowah 78.2% 13 Lassiter AAAAAA
61.07 AAAA Sandy Creek 94.5% 28 Whitewater AAAA
60.65 AAAAA Creekside 89.1% 21 Carver (Atlanta) AAAAA
60.49 AAAAAA Northview 62.4% 5 South Forsyth AAAAAA
59.80 AAAAAA Grayson 95.8% 31 Shiloh AAAAAA
58.97 AAAAAA South Cobb 61.3% 5 Douglas County AAAAAA
58.89 AAAAAA Westlake 66.9% 7 Newnan AAAAAA
57.89 AAAAA Alexander 63.6% 6 Hiram AAAAA
56.12 AAAAAA Alpharetta 87.1% 19 Centennial AAAAAA
56.08 AAAAAA Roswell 82.0% 15 Pope AAAAAA
55.99 AAAAA South Paulding 80.3% 14 Paulding County AAAAA
55.03 AAAAAA Mill Creek 90.7% 23 Mountain View AAAAAA
54.41 AAAAAA Harrison 64.7% 6 Kennesaw Mountain AAAAAA
53.96 AAAAAA Tucker 94.9% 29 Rockdale County AAAAAA
52.79 AAAAA Cambridge 58.1% 4 Sprayberry AAAAA
52.59 AAAAA Southwest DeKalb 66.4% 7 Miller Grove AAAAA
50.75 AAA Appling County 51.2% 1 Dodge County AAA
49.69 AAAA Cartersville 91.2% 23 Ridgeland AAAA
48.52 AAAAA Clarke Central 58.6% 4 Flowery Branch AAAAA
48.41 AAAA Stephens County 54.3% 2 White County AAAA
48.14 AAAAA Dalton 89.3% 21 Rome AAAAA
48.02 AAAAAA Parkview 90.4% 22 Berkmar AAAAAA
47.92 AAAAA Carver (Columbus) 90.3% 22 LaGrange AAAAA
47.83 AAAAAA Collins Hill 94.2% 28 Duluth AAAAAA
47.63 A Hawkinsville 71.6% 9 Dooly County A
47.59 AAAA Bainbridge 76.7% 12 Worth County AAAA
46.25 AA Lamar County 78.2% 13 Bleckley County AA
46.14 AAAA Gilmer 79.3% 14 Northwest Whitfield AAAA
46.05 AAAAA Sequoyah 66.1% 7 Cass AAAAA
46.03 AAAA Carrollton 83.8% 17 Fayette County AAAA
45.10 A Savannah Christian 51.7% 1 Calvary Day A
43.98 AAAAAA Chattahoochee 60.8% 5 Johns Creek AAAAAA
43.47 AAAAA Coffee 96.1% 31 South Effingham AAAAA
42.25 AAAAA Starr's Mill 57.3% 3 McIntosh AAAAA
42.17 AAA Westminster (Atlanta) 92.4% 25 Decatur AAA
41.21 AAAAAA West Forsyth 85.0% 17 North Forsyth AAAAAA
41.10 AAAA Westover 80.0% 14 Americus-Sumter AAAA
40.99 AAAA Upson-Lee 75.1% 11 Perry AAAA
40.82 AAAA West Laurens 86.5% 19 Veterans AAAA
40.68 AAAA Mary Persons 91.3% 23 Howard AAAA
40.61 AAAAA Loganville 69.6% 8 Cedar Shoals AAAAA
40.35 AA Early County 62.5% 5 Berrien AA
40.31 AAAAA Tri-Cities 82.5% 16 Banneker AAAAA
40.26 A Marion County 78.7% 13 Brookstone A
40.13 AA Bowdon 70.5% 9 Greenville A
40.06 AAAAAA Pebblebrook 57.2% 3 Campbell AAAAAA
39.65 AAAA Burke County 91.1% 23 Liberty County AAAA
39.33 A Tattnall Square 61.1% 5 Stratford Academy A
39.02 AAAAA Villa Rica 76.8% 12 Lithia Springs AAAAA
38.88 AAA Callaway 79.0% 13 Cedartown AAA
38.41 AAAAA Stephenson 95.7% 30 Dunwoody AAAAA
38.22 AAAA Cairo 94.5% 28 Crisp County AAAA
36.94 AAAA Madison County 58.2% 4 Chestatee AAAA
36.41 AAAA Buford 99.7% 41 North Hall AAAA
36.25 AA Brooks County 94.2% 28 Seminole County AA
35.77 AA B.E.S.T. Academy 77.2% 12 Wesleyan AA
35.11 AA Greater Atlanta Christian 97.4% 34 Pace Academy AA
34.89 AAA Jefferson 97.6% 35 Morgan County AAA
34.47 AAA Pierce County 81.0% 15 Tattnall County AAA
34.24 AAAAAA Lovejoy 98.6% 38 Lakeside (Atlanta) AAAAAA
33.95 AAAA Henry County 60.6% 5 Walnut Grove AAAA
33.90 AA Thomasville 92.2% 24 Pelham AA
33.88 A Emanuel County Institute 73.0% 10 Johnson County A
33.17 AA Macon County 80.6% 14 Monticello AA
32.99 AAAA Pickens 86.8% 19 Southeast Whitfield AAAA
32.72 AAA Elbert County 91.2% 23 Jackson County AAA
32.57 AAAA Lithonia 71.6% 9 Chamblee AAAA
32.42 AAAA North Oconee 94.7% 28 Monroe Area AAAA
32.29 AAA Cook 82.2% 15 Toombs County AAA
32.04 AAAAA Effingham County 91.0% 23 Bradwell Institute AAAAA
31.32 AAA Calhoun 99.2% 40 Sonoraville AAA
31.19 AA Jefferson County 84.6% 17 Metter AA
30.89 AAAA Maynard Jackson 73.3% 10 Towers AAA
30.09 AAAAAA Newton 96.0% 31 Alcovy AAAAAA
30.09 AAA West Hall 89.0% 21 East Hall AAA
30.01 AAAAA Creekview 87.6% 20 Woodland (Cartersville) AAAAA
29.78 AA Darlington 85.5% 18 Dade County AA
29.68 AAAAA East Paulding 96.9% 33 Chapel Hill AAAAA
29.26 AAA Jackson 84.0% 17 Spencer AAA
29.23 AA Union County 76.5% 12 Greene County AA
29.16 AA Bacon County 67.2% 7 Bryan County AA
29.09 A First Presbyterian 65.6% 7 Mount de Sales A
28.12 A Pinecrest Academy 59.4% 4 St. Francis A
27.64 AA Lovett 97.9% 36 Hapeville AA
27.24 AAAAA Drew 95.4% 30 Morrow AAAAA
26.59 AAA Southwest 72.1% 10 Rutland AAA
26.36 AAAAA Grovetown 76.1% 12 Greenbrier AAAAA
26.05 A Prince Avenue Christian 76.8% 12 Athens Academy A
25.88 AAA Lumpkin County 65.0% 6 Fannin County AAA
25.81 AAAA Arabia Mountain 91.4% 24 Redan AAAA
25.57 AA Benedictine 98.1% 36 Jeff Davis AA
25.54 AAA Blessed Trinity 99.1% 40 Therrell AAA
25.33 AAAAAA Lambert 95.3% 29 Habersham Central AAAAAA
24.96 AAA Pepperell 58.6% 4 Rockmart AAA
24.72 A Christian Heritage 59.3% 4 Mount Zion (Carroll) A
23.76 A Pacelli 87.9% 20 Schley County A
22.93 AAA Franklin County 55.3% 2 Dawson County AAA
21.94 AAAAA Houston County 97.8% 35 Cross Creek AAAAA
21.29 A Claxton 81.7% 15 Jenkins County A
20.55 AAA Laney 94.6% 28 Butler AAA
20.35 AAAAAA Norcross 99.9% 41 Meadowcreek AAAAAA
19.43 AAAA Heritage (Ringgold) 59.0% 4 LaFayette AAAA
19.26 AAAAAA Osborne 83.0% 16 Johnson (Gainesville) AAAA
19.24 AAA Jenkins 93.1% 26 Beach AAA
19.11 AAA Cedar Grove 98.2% 37 McNair AAA
19.03 A Eagle's Landing Christian 91.0% 23 Strong Rock Christian A
18.90 AA Northeast 81.6% 15 Putnam County AA
18.55 AA McIntosh County Academy 70.7% 9 Groves AA
18.51 AAA Washington 93.0% 26 Douglass AAA
18.12 A Savannah Country Day 58.7% 4 Portal A
18.06 AAA Westside (Augusta) 81.2% 15 Hephzibah AAA
17.76 AAAAA Riverwood 94.9% 29 North Springs AAAAA
17.64 AAAA Griffin 99.8% 41 Mount Zion (Jonesboro) AAAA
17.02 AA Screven County 95.9% 31 East Laurens AA
16.85 AAAA Thomas County Central 99.5% 41 Albany AAAA
16.70 AAAAA Harris County 99.1% 40 Hardaway AAAAA
16.70 AAAAA Forsyth Central 95.0% 29 North Atlanta AAAAA
16.08 AAA Southeast Bulloch 76.2% 12 Savannah AAA
14.50 AA Coosa 90.8% 23 Gordon Lee AA
13.81 AA Washington-Wilkes 94.6% 28 Riverside Military Academy AA
12.27 A Mount Pisgah Christian 96.0% 31 Fellowship Christian A
12.08 AAA Central (Carrollton) 99.2% 40 Haralson County AAA
11.02 A Calhoun County 90.1% 22 Randolph-Clay A
10.35 A Taylor County 75.4% 11 Central (Talbotton) A
9.26 AAAA Thomson 98.1% 36 Clarkston AAAAA
8.65 A Mount Paran Christian 98.3% 37 Walker A
8.54 A Whitefield Academy 77.0% 12 King's Ridge Christian A
7.84 A Treutlen 52.7% 1 Montgomery County A
7.51 A Aquinas 98.8% 39 Georgia Military College A
5.89 AAA Ringgold 98.9% 39 Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe AAA
5.31 A Hancock Central 91.9% 24 Warren County A
4.57 A Wilkinson County 86.7% 19 Twiggs County A
4.55 AAAA Wayne County 98.9% 39 Windsor Forest AAAA
4.02 AA Rabun County 96.2% 31 Oglethorpe County AA
1.57 AAA Johnson (Savannah) 89.3% 21 Islands AAA
1.43 AAA Hart County 99.8% 41 East Jackson AAA
0.05 AA Holy Innocents 95.0% 29 K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate AA
-0.48 AA Dublin 97.9% 36 Harlem AA
-0.53 A George Walton Academy 94.5% 28 Lakeview Academy A
-1.91 AA Model 98.8% 39 Armuchee AA
-2.52 AA Long County 91.2% 23 New Hampstead AAAA
-4.83 AAA Adairsville 99.8% 41 Murray County AAA
-4.84 A Athens Christian 97.1% 33 Towns County A
-6.20 A Mitchell County 95.0% 29 Baconton A
-10.75 AAA Gordon Central 83.1% 16 Coahulla Creek AAA
-11.17 AA Crawford County 84.1% 17 Social Circle AA
-13.63 AA Chattahoochee County 96.6% 32 Stewart County A
-15.52 A Glascock County 61.9% 5 North Cobb Christian A
-30.66 A Hebron Christian Academy 98.1% 36 Providence Christian A

Oct 11

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
53.70 AAAA Columbia 63.7% 6 Grady AAAA
45.31 AAAA Eastside 71.6% 9 Locust Grove AAAA
44.53 AAAAA M. L. King 56.8% 3 Druid Hills AAAAA
33.30 AAAAA Shaw 67.9% 8 Columbus AAAAA
18.37 AAA North Clayton 70.9% 9 South Atlanta AAA
8.44 AAA Glenn Hills 53.9% 2 Josey AAA
-5.98 A Our Lady of Mercy 98.4% 37 Mount Vernon Presbyterian A

About the Author

Todd Holcomb

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