High School Sports Blog
Maxwell Week 10 projections
Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.
The game rating is the rating required to win 50 percent of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.
All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.
The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.
Oct 18
| Game Rate | Class | Team | Pct | Proj | Team | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33.80 | AAAA | Sandy Creek | 93.1% | 26 | LaGrange | AAAA |
| 19.47 | AAA | Cook | 78.6% | 13 | Monroe | AAA |
| 19.42 | AAAA | Carver (Columbus) | 92.9% | 25 | Shaw | AAAA |
| 11.50 | AAAA | Luella | 62.9% | 6 | North Clayton | AAAA |
| 7.75 | AA | Hapeville Charter | 99.4% | 41 | KIPP Atlanta Collegiate | AA |
| -1.68 | AAA | Beach | 72.8% | 10 | Johnson (Savannah) | AAA |
| -2.34 | AAAA | Eastside | 99.8% | 41 | Druid Hills | AAAA |
| -14.38 | AAA | Westside (Macon) | 99.8% | 41 | Kendrick | AAA |
| -31.81 | AAAAAA | Forest Park | 99.2% | 40 | Clarkston | AAAAA |
Oct 19
| Game Rate | Class | Team | Pct | Proj | Team | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74.67 | AAAAAAA | Lowndes | 71.1% | 9 | Tift County | AAAAAAA |
| 70.56 | AAAAAAA | Parkview | 82.7% | 16 | Brookwood | AAAAAAA |
| 68.23 | AAAAAAA | Walton | 81.2% | 15 | Roswell | AAAAAAA |
| 68.09 | AAAAAAA | Hillgrove | 76.4% | 12 | North Paulding | AAAAAAA |
| 67.94 | AAAAAAA | Colquitt County | 96.9% | 33 | Camden County | AAAAAAA |
| 67.79 | AAAAA | Dutchtown | 66.7% | 7 | Stockbridge | AAAAA |
| 66.65 | AAAAAA | Lee County | 85.5% | 18 | Valdosta | AAAAAA |
| 63.67 | AAAAAAA | Marietta | 84.6% | 17 | North Cobb | AAAAAAA |
| 61.18 | AAAA | Marist | 64.3% | 6 | Flowery Branch | AAAA |
| 60.27 | AAAAAAA | Mill Creek | 66.2% | 7 | Mountain View | AAAAAAA |
| 54.55 | AAAAAAA | Grayson | 97.4% | 34 | Newton | AAAAAAA |
| 54.14 | AAAA | Cartersville | 88.1% | 20 | Chapel Hill | AAAA |
| 53.60 | AAAA | Ridgeland | 59.6% | 4 | Pickens | AAAA |
| 52.59 | AAA | Cedar Grove | 88.6% | 20 | Pace Academy | AAA |
| 52.36 | AAAA | Mary Persons | 90.5% | 22 | West Laurens | AAAA |
| 51.69 | AAAAAAA | Westlake | 86.9% | 19 | Newnan | AAAAAAA |
| 51.26 | AAAA | Troup | 93.3% | 26 | Cedartown | AAAA |
| 51.09 | AAAAAA | Johns Creek | 53.1% | 2 | Centennial | AAAAAA |
| 51.02 | AAA | Monroe Area | 80.1% | 14 | Jefferson | AAA |
| 50.90 | AAAAA | Warner Robins | 94.2% | 27 | Bainbridge | AAAAA |
| 50.73 | AAAAAAA | East Coweta | 54.0% | 2 | Pebblebrook | AAAAAAA |
| 50.54 | AAAA | Burke County | 69.1% | 8 | Baldwin | AAAA |
| 50.38 | AAAA | Howard | 53.0% | 2 | Upson-Lee | AAAA |
| 47.61 | AAAAAAA | McEachern | 94.2% | 27 | Kennesaw Mountain | AAAAAAA |
| 47.28 | AA | Vidalia | 60.5% | 5 | Swainsboro | AA |
| 46.40 | AA | Callaway | 85.7% | 18 | Heard County | AA |
| 45.08 | AA | Fitzgerald | 76.9% | 12 | Early County | AA |
| 44.06 | AAAAAAA | Meadowcreek | 65.8% | 7 | Central Gwinnett | AAAAAAA |
| 43.57 | AAAAAA | Richmond Hill | 62.0% | 5 | Bradwell Institute | AAAAAA |
| 42.23 | AAAA | North Oconee | 51.7% | 1 | Stephens County | AAAA |
| 40.33 | AAAAAA | Dacula | 79.7% | 14 | Habersham Central | AAAAAA |
| 40.29 | AAAAA | Rome | 99.0% | 39 | Hiram | AAAAA |
| 40.06 | AAAAAA | Coffee | 87.9% | 20 | Houston County | AAAAAA |
| 39.95 | AAAAA | Thomas County Central | 79.3% | 14 | Harris County | AAAAA |
| 39.69 | AAAAAA | Sequoyah | 90.0% | 22 | Sprayberry | AAAAAA |
| 39.64 | AAAAAA | Creekside | 69.7% | 9 | Alexander | AAAAAA |
| 39.52 | AAAAA | Locust Grove | 75.1% | 11 | Woodland (Stockbridge) | AAAAA |
| 39.52 | AAAAAAA | Woodstock | 65.7% | 7 | Lassiter | AAAAAAA |
| 39.13 | AAAA | Perry | 59.1% | 4 | Spalding | AAAA |
| 39.11 | AA | Thomasville | 77.3% | 12 | Berrien | AA |
| 37.77 | AAAAAAA | South Forsyth | 92.2% | 25 | North Forsyth | AAAAAAA |
| 37.43 | AAAAAAA | Wheeler | 82.8% | 16 | Campbell | AAAAAAA |
| 36.95 | AAA | Jackson | 65.0% | 6 | Pike County | AAA |
| 36.49 | AAAAAA | Mays | 72.9% | 10 | South Paulding | AAAAAA |
| 35.06 | AAAAAA | Grovetown | 50.3% | 1 | Lakeside (Evans) | AAAAAA |
| 35.05 | AAAAAA | Glynn Academy | 89.0% | 21 | Brunswick | AAAAAA |
| 34.82 | AAAAAAA | West Forsyth | 89.3% | 21 | Lambert | AAAAAAA |
| 34.02 | AAAAAA | Lanier | 84.2% | 17 | Apalachee | AAAAAA |
| 33.87 | AAAAAAA | Milton | 98.1% | 36 | Forsyth Central | AAAAAAA |
| 33.77 | AAAA | Woodward Academy | 82.7% | 16 | Salem | AAAA |
| 33.51 | AAAAAAA | South Gwinnett | 77.2% | 12 | Shiloh | AAAAAAA |
| 32.96 | AAAAA | Villa Rica | 69.6% | 9 | Woodland (Cartersville) | AAAAA |
| 32.94 | AAA | Benedictine | 95.9% | 31 | Southeast Bulloch | AAA |
| 32.52 | AAAAA | Banneker | 90.1% | 22 | Carver (Atlanta) | AAAAA |
| 32.15 | AAAAA | Union Grove | 68.6% | 8 | Ola | AAAAA |
| 31.91 | AAAA | White County | 60.1% | 4 | Denmark | AAAA |
| 31.84 | AAAAAAA | Collins Hill | 91.7% | 24 | Discovery | AAAAAAA |
| 31.66 | AAAA | Cairo | 88.3% | 20 | Americus-Sumter | AAAA |
| 30.78 | AAAA | Columbus | 72.9% | 10 | Hardaway | AAAA |
| 30.77 | AAAAAA | Creekview | 97.7% | 35 | South Cobb | AAAAAA |
| 30.61 | AAAAAA | Evans | 54.0% | 2 | Greenbrier | AAAAAA |
| 30.54 | AAAAAA | Alpharetta | 86.8% | 19 | Northview | AAAAAA |
| 30.50 | AAAAA | Jones County | 97.8% | 36 | Eagle's Landing | AAAAA |
| 30.46 | AA | Washington County | 94.4% | 28 | Southwest | AA |
| 30.28 | AAAAAAA | North Gwinnett | 99.4% | 41 | Duluth | AAAAAAA |
| 29.95 | AAAAAA | Pope | 60.7% | 5 | Cambridge | AAAAAA |
| 29.63 | AA | Dublin | 95.4% | 30 | Northeast | AA |
| 29.57 | AAAAAA | Winder-Barrow | 74.7% | 11 | Gainesville | AAAAAA |
| 28.38 | AAA | Peach County | 97.5% | 35 | Central (Macon) | AAA |
| 27.89 | AAAAAAA | Archer | 99.3% | 40 | Rockdale County | AAAAAAA |
| 27.68 | AAAAAA | Alcovy | 53.7% | 2 | Heritage (Conyers) | AAAAAA |
| 27.68 | A | Irwin County | 97.7% | 35 | Wilcox County | A |
| 27.40 | AA | Douglass | 84.9% | 17 | South Atlanta | AA |
| 27.07 | AAAA | St. Pius X | 98.4% | 37 | Madison County | AAAA |
| 27.02 | A | Aquinas | 72.6% | 10 | Greene County | A |
| 26.75 | A | Charlton County | 75.6% | 12 | Telfair County | A |
| 25.92 | AAA | Haralson County | 54.7% | 2 | Ringgold | AAA |
| 25.66 | A | Christian Heritage | 57.9% | 3 | North Cobb Christian | A |
| 24.91 | AAAAAA | Stephenson | 93.1% | 26 | Drew | AAAAAA |
| 24.83 | AAAAA | Southwest DeKalb | 94.9% | 29 | Lithonia | AAAAA |
| 24.67 | AAAAAA | Hughes | 83.5% | 16 | New Manchester | AAAAAA |
| 24.43 | AAAAA | East Paulding | 94.1% | 27 | Paulding County | AAAAA |
| 24.13 | AA | Screven County | 52.8% | 1 | Butler | AA |
| 24.10 | AAAAAA | Morrow | 65.0% | 6 | Mount Zion (Jonesboro) | AAAAAA |
| 23.88 | AAAAA | Kell | 97.7% | 35 | Cass | AAAAA |
| 23.39 | AA | Toombs County | 61.8% | 5 | Jeff Davis | AA |
| 23.36 | AAAAAA | Northgate | 88.8% | 21 | Tri-Cities | AAAAAA |
| 22.70 | A | Savannah Christian | 90.3% | 22 | Savannah Country Day | A |
| 22.19 | AAAAA | Riverwood | 89.0% | 21 | North Springs | AAAAA |
| 22.17 | AAAA | Hampton | 59.1% | 4 | Henry County | AAAA |
| 22.13 | AAAAA | Ware County | 97.7% | 35 | South Effingham | AAAAA |
| 21.84 | A | Turner County | 63.6% | 6 | Atkinson County | A |
| 21.78 | AAAAA | Griffin | 90.4% | 22 | McIntosh | AAAAA |
| 21.50 | AAAAAA | Tucker | 96.2% | 31 | M.L. King | AAAAAA |
| 21.30 | AAAAA | Miller Grove | 50.4% | 1 | Columbia | AAAAA |
| 21.27 | A | Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg) | 76.7% | 12 | Holy Innocents | A |
| 20.67 | AAA | Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe | 66.1% | 7 | Sonoraville | AAA |
| 18.98 | AAA | Franklin County | 54.8% | 2 | Jackson County | AAA |
| 18.45 | AA | Washington | 88.8% | 21 | Therrell | AA |
| 17.32 | AAAA | Thomson | 91.0% | 23 | Cross Creek | AAAA |
| 16.41 | AA | Rockmart | 98.7% | 38 | Coosa | AA |
| 15.72 | AAA | Pierce County | 95.0% | 29 | Tattnall County | AAA |
| 15.21 | AA | Elbert County | 88.7% | 21 | Monticello | AA |
| 15.02 | A | Hebron Christian Academy | 85.7% | 18 | Riverside Military Academy | A |
| 14.49 | AAAAA | Jonesboro | 88.5% | 20 | Fayette County | AAAAA |
| 14.37 | AA | Bremen | 98.3% | 37 | Lamar County | AA |
| 13.84 | AAAAA | Maynard Jackson | 89.7% | 22 | Grady | AAAAA |
| 12.40 | A | Dooly County | 84.9% | 17 | Taylor County | A |
| 12.35 | A | Eagle's Landing Christian | 98.6% | 38 | Strong Rock Christian | A |
| 12.06 | A | Mount Paran Christian | 93.2% | 26 | St. Francis | A |
| 11.88 | A | Montgomery County | 76.8% | 12 | Johnson County | A |
| 11.69 | AAAA | Heritage (Ringgold) | 72.0% | 10 | Southeast Whitfield | AAAA |
| 11.24 | AAA | Crisp County | 98.4% | 37 | Worth County | AAA |
| 11.11 | AAA | Appling County | 94.8% | 28 | Brantley County | AAA |
| 10.01 | A | Hancock Central | 77.2% | 12 | Warren County | A |
| 9.17 | AAA | Dawson County | 98.0% | 36 | Fannin County | AAA |
| 8.78 | A | Fellowship Christian | 96.4% | 32 | Mount Pisgah Christian | A |
| 8.62 | A | Mount de Sales | 83.5% | 16 | First Presbyterian | A |
| 8.47 | AAAA | Blessed Trinity | 99.9% | 42 | Chestatee | AAAA |
| 8.11 | AAA | Westminster (Atlanta) | 99.2% | 40 | Redan | AAA |
| 7.48 | AAAA | Westover | 92.6% | 25 | Dougherty | AAAA |
| 7.38 | A | Mount Zion (Carroll) | 95.8% | 30 | Gordon Lee | A |
| 7.04 | AA | Putnam County | 53.5% | 2 | Banks County | AA |
| 6.79 | A | Darlington | 94.5% | 28 | Bowdon | A |
| 6.00 | A | George Walton Academy | 97.8% | 35 | Athens Christian | A |
| 4.71 | AA | Dodge County | 99.4% | 40 | East Laurens | AA |
| 4.66 | AAA | North Hall | 98.8% | 39 | Lumpkin County | AAA |
| 4.36 | A | Claxton | 87.9% | 20 | McIntosh County Academy | A |
| 3.91 | AA | Model | 60.0% | 4 | Gordon Central | AA |
| 3.67 | AA | Metter | 92.4% | 25 | Bryan County | AA |
| 2.28 | AAAAA | Decatur | 91.1% | 23 | Lithia Springs | AAAAA |
| 1.50 | A | Wesleyan | 95.6% | 30 | Landmark Christian | A |
| 0.70 | A | Calvary Day | 96.9% | 33 | Portal | A |
| 0.19 | AA | Glenn Hills | 65.5% | 7 | Westside (Augusta) | AA |
| -0.03 | A | Pinecrest Academy | 80.7% | 14 | King's Ridge Christian | A |
| -0.66 | A | Manchester | 90.7% | 23 | Greenville | A |
| -0.86 | AAA | Calhoun | 99.9% | 42 | Coahulla Creek | AAA |
| -0.89 | A | Commerce | 98.9% | 39 | Towns County | A |
| -0.93 | AAAAA | Arabia Mountain | 97.3% | 34 | Chamblee | AAAAA |
| -1.81 | A | Macon County | 92.2% | 25 | Hawkinsville | A |
| -1.98 | A | Stratford Academy | 87.9% | 20 | Wilkinson County | A |
| -2.04 | A | Athens Academy | 99.7% | 41 | Providence Christian | A |
| -2.09 | AAAAAA | Allatoona | 99.9% | 41 | Osborne | AAAAAA |
| -2.32 | AA | Pepperell | 96.0% | 31 | Dade County | AA |
| -4.12 | A | Mitchell County | 96.6% | 32 | Terrell County | A |
| -4.87 | AA | Rabun County | 99.7% | 41 | Social Circle | AA |
| -5.08 | AAA | Liberty County | 99.5% | 41 | Long County | AAA |
| -5.43 | A | Lincoln County | 85.8% | 18 | Georgia Military College | A |
| -5.56 | AA | Spencer | 96.2% | 31 | Temple | AA |
| -5.81 | A | Clinch County | 99.8% | 41 | Lanier County | A |
| -9.57 | A | Whitefield Academy | 97.1% | 33 | Walker | A |
| -9.59 | AA | Chattooga | 98.4% | 37 | Armuchee | AA |
| -10.77 | AA | Harlem | 98.5% | 38 | Josey | AA |
| -10.94 | AAA | Greater Atlanta Christian | 99.9% | 42 | Cherokee Bluff | AAA |
| -11.09 | A | Prince Avenue Christian | 99.8% | 41 | Lakeview Academy | A |
| -11.54 | A | Mount Vernon Presbyterian | 98.3% | 37 | Our Lady of Mercy | A |
| -11.81 | AAA | Towers | 65.1% | 6 | Stone Mountain | AAA |
| -11.90 | A | Wheeler County | 55.2% | 2 | Treutlen | A |
| -12.29 | A | Pelham | 99.4% | 41 | Calhoun County | A |
| -13.04 | AAA | Jenkins | 98.3% | 37 | Groves | AAA |
| -14.91 | AAA | Hart County | 98.8% | 39 | East Jackson | AAA |
| -14.93 | AAAAAAA | Norcross | 99.9% | 42 | Berkmar | AAAAAAA |
| -16.94 | A | Schley County | 99.5% | 41 | Crawford County | A |
| -17.07 | AAAA | Northwest Whitfield | 99.2% | 40 | Gilmer | AAAA |
| -17.79 | AAA | Windsor Forest | 97.8% | 36 | Savannah | AAA |
| -18.11 | AAA | Adairsville | 98.2% | 37 | Murray County | AAA |
| -24.29 | AA | Union County | 99.8% | 41 | Oglethorpe County | AA |
| -27.08 | A | Baconton Charter | 81.1% | 15 | Stewart County | A |
| -30.49 | A | Brookstone | 99.7% | 41 | Central (Talbotton) | A |
| -37.78 | A | Seminole County | 98.4% | 37 | Randolph-Clay | A |
| -70.03 | A | Glascock County | 90.1% | 22 | Cross Keys | AAAAA |
Oct 20
| Game Rate | Class | Team | Pct | Proj | Team | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35.05 | AAAAA | Wayne County | 93.3% | 26 | New Hampstead | AAAAA |
| 20.03 | AAAAA | Riverdale | 86.8% | 19 | Whitewater | AAAAA |
| 15.90 | AAAAAA | North Atlanta | 78.5% | 13 | Dunwoody | AAAAAA |
| 14.61 | AA | Hephzibah | 88.5% | 20 | Laney | AA |
| 9.14 | AA | B.E.S.T. Academy | 63.7% | 6 | McNair | AA |