Sports

Maxwell Week 11 Projections

By Loren Maxwell
Oct 29, 2015

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.

Oct 29

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
42.68 AAAA Veterans 52.1% -1 Howard AAAA
19.50 AAA Westminster (Atlanta) 87.4% -19 Washington AAA
10.61 AAA Central (Macon) 94.4% -28 Rutland AAA
-0.13 AAA Callaway 98.5% -38 Haralson County AAA

Oct 30

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
70.33 AAAAAA Mill Creek 84.1% -17 Norcross AAAAAA
69.99 AAAAAA Camden County 77.2% -12 Lee County AAAAAA
65.57 AAAAA Northgate 74.4% -11 Starr's Mill AAAAA
65.10 AAAAAA Lowndes 79.4% -14 Valdosta AAAAAA
63.38 AAAAAA Archer 93.7% -27 Dacula AAAAAA
58.98 AAAAA Ware County 58.6% -4 South Effingham AAAAA
58.90 AAAAAA Central Gwinnett 54.1% -2 Parkview AAAAAA
57.06 AAAAAA Grayson 97.6% -35 Brookwood AAAAAA
56.27 AAAAAA Colquitt County 98.4% -37 Tift County AAAAAA
55.21 AAAAA Alexander 65.7% -7 South Paulding AAAAA
55.16 AAAAAA Tucker 58.6% -4 Lovejoy AAAAAA
54.84 AAAAAA McEachern 93.3% -26 Harrison AAAAAA
54.18 AAAAAA Peachtree Ridge 96.3% -32 Collins Hill AAAAAA
53.92 AAAAAA Etowah 80.2% -14 Wheeler AAAAAA
53.09 AAAAAA East Coweta 64.7% -6 Newnan AAAAAA
48.93 AAAAAA North Cobb 78.7% -13 North Paulding AAAAAA
48.42 AAAAAA West Forsyth 70.6% -9 Centennial AAAAAA
47.78 AAAAAA Milton 60.3% -4 Woodstock AAAAAA
47.54 AAAA Sandy Creek 84.3% -17 Carrollton AAAA
47.37 AAAA Burke County 59.9% -4 Wayne County AAAA
46.96 AAAA Worth County 61.5% -5 Thomas County Central AAAA
46.48 AAAAAA Roswell 99.2% -40 Cherokee AAAAAA
46.23 AAA Westside (Macon) 50.5% -1 Peach County AAA
45.78 AAAAA Loganville 68.2% -8 Gainesville AAAAA
44.05 AAAAA Lanier 85.8% -18 Winder-Barrow AAAAA
43.22 AAAAA Rome 69.2% -8 Cass AAAAA
42.63 A Clinch County 67.0% -7 Charlton County A
42.42 AAAAA Kell 73.2% -10 Sprayberry AAAAA
41.23 AA Greater Atlanta Christian 92.4% -25 Lovett AA
40.15 AAAAAA South Forsyth 87.6% -20 Johns Creek AAAAAA
40.11 AAAAAA Alpharetta 71.1% -9 Northview AAAAAA
39.47 AAA Dodge County 76.3% -12 Pierce County AAA
38.58 AAAAA Carver (Columbus) 88.9% -21 Northside (Columbus) AAAAA
38.35 AAAA Arabia Mountain 64.4% -6 Grady AAAA
37.46 AAAAA Coffee 95.6% -30 Richmond Hill AAAAA
37.21 AAAAA Glynn Academy 93.9% -27 Statesboro AAAAA
37.10 AAA Jefferson 93.7% -27 Oconee County AAA
36.94 A Aquinas 64.7% -6 Lincoln County A
36.42 AAAA West Laurens 76.9% -12 Perry AAAA
36.29 AAAAA Flowery Branch 65.0% -6 Salem AAAAA
36.25 AAAAA Dutchtown 85.6% -18 Ola AAAAA
35.72 AAAAA Woodland (Stockbridge) 86.5% -19 Luella AAAAA
35.46 AAAA Stephens County 65.8% -7 North Oconee AAAA
35.30 AAAAA Paulding County 82.5% -16 Chapel Hill AAAAA
35.15 AAAAA Stephenson 98.5% -38 Southwest DeKalb AAAAA
35.04 AAAA Eagle's Landing 79.1% -13 Henry County AAAA
34.75 AAAAAA Westlake 91.7% -24 South Cobb AAAAAA
34.49 AAAA Bainbridge 95.6% -30 Westover AAAA
34.48 AAAAA Warner Robins 87.7% -20 Grovetown AAAAA
34.05 AAAAAA Marietta 53.3% -2 Kennesaw Mountain AAAAAA
32.90 AAAAA East Paulding 92.3% -25 Hiram AAAAA
32.81 AAAAA Mays 98.9% -39 Tri-Cities AAAAA
32.59 AAAAAA Mountain View 77.3% -12 Duluth AAAAAA
32.30 AA Screven County 70.6% -9 Dublin AA
32.22 AAAAA Houston County 93.9% -27 Evans AAAAA
31.95 AAAA Monroe 83.8% -17 Crisp County AAAA
31.18 AAAAAA Habersham Central 50.9% -1 North Forsyth AAAAAA
30.18 AAAAA LaGrange 83.3% -16 Harris County AAAAA
29.65 AAA Appling County 67.7% -8 Brantley County AAA
29.53 AAA Hart County 81.2% -15 Morgan County AAA
29.47 AAAAA Cambridge 87.7% -20 Forsyth Central AAAAA
28.26 AA Macon County 80.9% -15 Putnam County AA
28.22 AAAAA Drew 94.0% -27 McIntosh AAAAA
28.15 AAAAAA Hughes 95.6% -30 Pebblebrook AAAAAA
27.74 AAAAA Stockbridge 97.7% -35 Union Grove AAAAA
27.55 AAAA Eastside 88.8% -21 Walnut Grove AAAA
27.47 AA Metter 53.1% -2 Swainsboro AA
27.35 AAAA Mary Persons 96.7% -33 Baldwin AAAA
27.32 AA Chattooga 59.7% -4 Dade County AA
26.69 AAA Blessed Trinity 98.1% -37 Decatur AAA
26.15 AAAAAA Lambert 95.7% -30 Chattahoochee AAAAAA
26.01 AAAAA Brunswick 86.8% -19 Bradwell Institute AAAAA
25.43 AAAA Griffin 81.2% -15 Riverdale AAAA
25.30 AAAAA Miller Grove 81.0% -15 Druid Hills AAAAA
24.43 AAAAAA North Gwinnett 96.3% -32 Meadowcreek AAAAAA
24.26 A Mount Paran Christian 90.5% -23 Mount Zion (Carroll) A
24.06 AAAA Woodward Academy 99.1% -40 Whitewater AAAA
23.96 A Stratford Academy 70.1% -9 Wilkinson County A
23.38 AAAA Northwest Whitfield 67.5% -8 Heritage (Ringgold) AAAA
23.24 AA Hapeville 75.7% -12 B.E.S.T. Academy AA
21.67 AA Benedictine 99.0% -39 McIntosh County Academy AA
21.66 AAAAAA Shiloh 94.7% -28 Berkmar AAAAAA
21.05 AAAA White County 56.7% -3 Monroe Area AAAA
20.97 AA Model 84.1% -17 Gordon Lee AA
20.60 AAAAA Sequoyah 88.3% -20 Woodland (Cartersville) AAAAA
20.12 AAAA Americus-Sumter 71.4% -9 Dougherty AAAA
19.91 AA Fitzgerald 96.7% -33 Berrien AA
19.85 AAAAAA Lassiter 97.8% -36 Pope AAAAAA
19.60 A Brookstone 70.1% -9 Dooly County A
19.16 A First Presbyterian 61.9% -5 Twiggs County A
18.98 AAAA Fayette County 80.8% -15 Troup AAAA
18.69 AAAAAA Newton 98.8% -39 Lakeside (Atlanta) AAAAAA
18.67 AAA Jackson 95.5% -30 Southwest AAA
18.54 AA Vidalia 85.8% -18 Jeff Davis AA
18.46 AA Brooks County 95.8% -31 Thomasville AA
18.04 AA Pelham 67.9% -8 Seminole County AA
17.34 AAAAA Lakeside (Evans) 91.0% -23 Greenbrier AAAAA
17.30 AA Bryan County 64.2% -6 Long County AA
17.05 AAA East Hall 70.0% -9 Fannin County AAA
16.93 AAAA Pickens 83.7% -16 Gilmer AAAA
16.86 AA Bowdon 67.0% -7 Bremen AA
16.61 AAAAAA Douglas County 86.6% -19 Campbell AAAAAA
15.91 AAA Pepperell 86.6% -19 Cedartown AAA
15.80 AAA Banks County 53.7% -2 West Hall AAA
15.68 AAAAA North Atlanta 73.7% -10 North Springs AAAAA
15.47 AAA Douglass 79.8% -14 Therrell AAA
15.24 AA Wesleyan 94.3% -28 Holy Innocents AA
15.20 AA Jefferson County 95.7% -30 East Laurens AA
14.85 A Pacelli 63.6% -6 Hawkinsville A
14.71 AA Darlington 94.0% -27 Coosa AA
14.65 AAAA Spalding 98.0% -36 Mount Zion (Jonesboro) AAAA
14.63 AA Lamar County 92.1% -24 Monticello AA
14.56 AAAAA Carver (Atlanta) 98.2% -37 Banneker AAAAA
14.26 AAAAA Jones County 99.0% -39 Richmond Academy AAAAA
13.93 AAAAAA Alcovy 55.8% -3 Rockdale County AAAAAA
13.64 AAAAA Clarke Central 91.3% -23 Heritage (Conyers) AAAAA
13.17 AAA Tattnall County 72.6% -10 Toombs County AAA
12.77 AAA Central (Carrollton) 96.0% -31 Rockmart AAA
12.56 A Marion County 93.0% -26 Taylor County A
12.40 A Irwin County 93.8% -27 Atkinson County A
12.39 AAAAA New Manchester 95.9% -31 Lithia Springs AAAAA
12.37 AAAA Upson-Lee 97.2% -34 Osborne AAAAAA
11.95 A Athens Academy 92.1% -24 Hebron Christian Academy A
11.60 AAA Dawson County 82.2% -15 Lumpkin County AAA
11.22 AAAAA M. L. King 94.6% -28 Dunwoody AAAAA
10.94 AAAA Ridgeland 87.7% -20 Southeast Whitfield AAAA
9.78 A Terrell County 64.6% -6 Randolph-Clay A
9.52 AAAAA Columbus 95.5% -30 Hardaway AAAAA
9.34 AAA Maynard Jackson 76.0% -12 McNair AAA
9.14 A Trion 88.3% -20 Walker A
8.42 AAA Ringgold 81.5% -15 Murray County AAA
8.19 AA Greene County 77.0% -12 Social Circle AA
8.04 A Calvary Day 94.7% -28 Savannah Country Day A
7.23 A Eagle's Landing Christian 99.1% -40 Our Lady of Mercy A
6.94 AAAAA Creekview 98.9% -39 River Ridge AAAAA
6.86 AA Bleckley County 71.3% -9 Northeast AA
6.13 A Commerce 94.4% -28 George Walton Academy A
4.74 AAAA Jonesboro 99.4% -41 Pike County AAAA
4.26 AAA Franklin County 86.9% -19 Johnson (Gainesville) AAAA
4.05 AAAA Buford 99.8% -41 Madison County AAAA
3.98 AAAA Cairo 98.0% -36 Albany AAAA
3.81 AA Pace Academy 97.7% -35 K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate AA
3.80 A Turner County 98.5% -38 Wilcox County A
3.79 AA Manchester 92.3% -25 Chattahoochee County AA
3.65 AA Heard County 94.2% -28 Temple AA
3.12 AAAAA Forest Park 68.2% -8 Morrow AAAAA
2.72 A Savannah Christian 97.2% -34 Claxton A
2.61 A Jenkins County 56.7% -3 Portal A
2.51 A Tattnall Square 63.4% -6 Mount de Sales A
2.27 A Greenville 64.3% -6 Central (Talbotton) A
2.25 A Johnson County 86.6% -19 Wheeler County A
1.51 AAA Josey 77.0% -12 Butler AAA
1.31 A Fellowship Christian 87.0% -19 St. Francis A
0.28 AA Washington-Wilkes 90.4% -22 Oglethorpe County AA
0.12 AAAA Locust Grove 99.6% -41 Hampton AAAA
-0.42 A North Cobb Christian 76.6% -12 Mount Vernon Presbyterian A
-0.94 AAAAA Cedar Shoals 94.0% -27 Apalachee AAAAA
-1.39 AAA Washington County 96.4% -32 Hephzibah AAA
-1.52 AAA Cedar Grove 99.6% -41 South Atlanta AAA
-1.80 AAA Elbert County 99.4% -40 East Jackson AAA
-2.63 AAA Laney 98.3% -37 Westside (Augusta) AAA
-3.54 A Mount Pisgah Christian 93.5% -26 Whitefield Academy A
-3.76 AAA Jenkins 98.1% -36 Johnson (Savannah) AAA
-3.88 A Telfair County 94.8% -28 Lanier County A
-4.35 A Pinecrest Academy 97.1% -34 King's Ridge Christian A
-6.21 AAAA Thomson 99.9% -41 Windsor Forest AAAA
-6.24 AAAA St. Pius X 99.8% -41 Stone Mountain AAAA
-6.96 AAAA Cartersville 100.0% -42 LaFayette AAAA
-8.15 AA Union County 98.0% -36 Riverside Military Academy AA
-9.02 AAA Southeast Bulloch 98.7% -38 Islands AAA
-11.06 A Prince Avenue Christian 99.9% -42 Lakeview Academy A
-11.67 A Landmark Christian 99.1% -40 Strong Rock Christian A
-11.68 A Hancock Central 93.3% -26 Georgia Military College A
-12.29 AAAA North Hall 99.3% -40 Chestatee AAAA
-13.01 A Mitchell County 93.3% -26 Calhoun County A
-14.55 AAA Adairsville 99.7% -41 Coahulla Creek AAA
-15.20 A Emanuel County Institute 99.5% -41 Montgomery County A
-15.55 AA Bacon County 98.6% -38 Groves AA
-20.66 A Miller County 96.5% -32 Schley County A
-21.90 A Towns County 80.7% -14 Providence Christian A
-25.40 AAA North Murray 96.7% -32 Gordon Central AAA
-31.02 A Glascock County 60.5% -5 Stewart County A
-36.21 AAA Calhoun 100.0% -42 Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe AAA

Oct 31

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
28.53 AAAA Redan 54.3% -2 Lithonia AAAA
18.79 AAA Spencer 92.8% -25 Kendrick AAA
16.78 AAAA Columbia 83.0% -16 Chamblee AAAA
13.11 AAA North Clayton 59.7% -4 Towers AAA
9.60 AAAAA Northside (Warner Robins) 99.8% -41 Cross Creek AAAAA

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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