Sports

Maxwell Week 6 Projections

By Todd Holcomb
Sept 24, 2014

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.

Sep 25

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
32.04 AAAAA Shaw 78.8% 13 Northside (Columbus) AAAAA
31.41 AAAAA Carver (Columbus) 97.3% 34 Columbus AAAAA
26.53 AAA Westside (Macon) 97.9% 36 Kendrick AAA
20.76 AAAAA Drew 95.5% 30 Forest Park AAAAA
19.49 AAA Towers 76.0% 12 South Atlanta AAA

Sep 26

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
80.82 AAAAAA North Gwinnett 72.9% 10 Mill Creek AAAAAA
73.25 AAAAAA Hillgrove 60.9% 5 Marietta AAAAAA
72.71 AAAAAA Archer 56.4% 3 Parkview AAAAAA
69.15 AAAAAA Etowah 72.2% 10 Woodstock AAAAAA
68.44 AAAAA Allatoona 63.3% 6 South Paulding AAAAA
65.48 AAAAAA Brookwood 50.7% 1 South Gwinnett AAAAAA
63.84 AAAAAA Milton 85.4% 18 Lassiter AAAAAA
63.47 AAAAAA North Cobb 85.4% 18 Harrison AAAAAA
62.85 AAAAA East Paulding 57.6% 3 New Manchester AAAAA
60.52 AAAAAA Newnan 69.1% 8 South Cobb AAAAAA
59.61 AAAAAA Dacula 92.1% 24 Shiloh AAAAAA
59.07 AAA Hart County 56.2% 3 Elbert County AAA
58.72 AAAAAA West Forsyth 57.8% 3 Northview AAAAAA
57.95 AAAAA Glynn Academy 65.1% 6 Richmond Hill AAAAA
57.09 AAAA Cartersville 80.1% 14 Gilmer AAAA
55.53 AAAAA Dalton 71.4% 9 Sequoyah AAAAA
55.24 AAAAAA Walton 90.4% 22 Wheeler AAAAAA
53.79 AAAAA Stockbridge 81.5% 15 Luella AAAAA
53.60 AAAA Troup 65.1% 6 Callaway AAA
53.53 AAAAA Houston County 76.0% 12 Lakeside (Evans) AAAAA
52.38 AAAAA Coffee 90.6% 23 Effingham County AAAAA
52.23 AAAAAA Hughes 93.8% 27 Douglas County AAAAAA
51.99 AAA Calhoun 93.8% 27 Ringgold AAA
50.69 AAAAAA South Forsyth 68.7% 8 Chattahoochee AAAAAA
50.38 AAAAA Gainesville 93.4% 26 Heritage (Conyers) AAAAA
50.21 AAAAA Lanier 79.3% 14 Loganville AAAAA
49.90 AAAAA Kell 93.9% 27 Cambridge AAAAA
49.86 AAA Central (Carrollton) 71.9% 10 Landmark Christian A
48.99 AAAAAA North Paulding 74.0% 11 Kennesaw Mountain AAAAAA
48.99 AAAA Eagle's Landing 72.7% 10 Eastside AAAA
48.90 AAAAAA Peachtree Ridge 96.2% 31 Mountain View AAAAAA
48.35 AAAAA Mundy's Mill 76.6% 12 Northgate AAAAA
48.08 AAAAAA Grayson 98.1% 36 Berkmar AAAAAA
47.89 AAAA Westover 73.6% 10 Monroe AAAA
47.86 AAAAAA Cherokee 83.2% 16 Pope AAAAAA
47.56 AAAAA Salem 63.0% 6 Winder-Barrow AAAAA
47.06 AAAAAA Westlake 73.1% 10 Pebblebrook AAAAAA
46.76 AA Greater Atlanta Christian 91.0% 23 B.E.S.T. Academy AA
46.64 AAAA Baldwin 58.3% 4 Upson-Lee AAAA
46.50 AAAA Stephens County 57.1% 3 North Hall AAAA
46.08 AAAA Cairo 88.0% 20 Worth County AAAA
45.61 AAAA Pickens 63.2% 6 Ridgeland AAAA
45.28 AAAAAA Norcross 97.4% 34 Duluth AAAAAA
44.49 AAAAA Brunswick 86.3% 19 Statesboro AAAAA
44.37 AAAAA Creekview 56.8% 3 Cass AAAAA
44.12 AAAA Mary Persons 86.4% 19 Perry AAAA
43.85 AAAAA Woodland (Stockbridge) 61.4% 5 Dutchtown AAAAA
43.68 AAAA Woodward Academy 91.9% 24 Eagle's Landing Christian A
43.64 AAAAA Flowery Branch 74.5% 11 Cedar Shoals AAAAA
43.13 AAAAAA Lambert 77.0% 12 North Forsyth AAAAAA
42.84 AAAAAA Centennial 79.2% 14 Johns Creek AAAAAA
42.78 AAAA Wayne County 73.5% 10 Liberty County AAAA
42.66 AA Thomasville 73.8% 11 Seminole County AA
42.04 AAAAA Villa Rica 76.1% 12 Paulding County AAAAA
41.53 AAAA North Oconee 87.0% 19 Chestatee AAAA
41.45 AA Jefferson County 75.7% 12 Screven County AA
41.43 AAAA Columbia 85.0% 17 Lithonia AAAA
41.42 AAAAAA East Coweta 95.6% 30 Campbell AAAAAA
41.33 AAAAA Union Grove 65.6% 7 Ola AAAAA
41.20 AAAAA Riverwood 83.1% 16 Forsyth Central AAAAA
41.10 AA Fitzgerald 88.4% 20 Early County AA
41.09 A Pacelli 51.3% 1 Dooly County A
41.06 AAA Decatur 61.9% 5 Washington AAA
40.91 AAAA Bainbridge 81.5% 15 Crisp County AAAA
39.98 AAAA West Laurens 77.1% 12 Howard AAAA
39.84 AAA Cedar Grove 87.9% 20 Maynard Jackson AAAA
39.62 AAAA Fayette County 50.6% 1 Cedartown AAA
39.45 AAAA Carrollton 93.7% 27 Banneker AAAAA
39.14 AAAAA Tri-Cities 84.9% 17 Druid Hills AAAAA
39.02 AA Macon County 70.4% 9 Heard County AA
37.97 AA Lamar County 87.5% 19 Alcovy AAAAAA
37.55 AAAAA Warner Robins 85.9% 18 Richmond Academy AAAAA
37.49 AAAA Locust Grove 61.5% 5 Walnut Grove AAAA
37.13 AAAAA Alexander 90.2% 22 Lithia Springs AAAAA
37.02 AAA Dodge County 72.7% 10 Tattnall County AAA
36.98 AA Bleckley County 57.1% 3 Berrien AA
36.85 AAAA Monroe Area 62.2% 5 Madison County AAAA
36.21 AA Pace Academy 58.5% 4 Wesleyan AA
35.86 AAAAA Jones County 96.3% 32 Grovetown AAAAA
35.50 A Irwin County 77.7% 13 Telfair County A
33.96 AAAAA Clarke Central 86.0% 18 Apalachee AAAAA
33.66 A Clinch County 52.9% 2 Wilcox County A
33.37 AAA Appling County 86.5% 19 Toombs County AAA
33.33 AA Brooks County 95.7% 30 Pelham AA
33.15 AAA Jefferson 96.8% 33 Jackson County AAA
32.86 A First Presbyterian 70.1% 9 Lincoln County A
32.64 AA Dublin 64.8% 6 Metter AA
32.29 AA Model 69.5% 8 Dade County AA
32.07 A Mount Paran Christian 86.0% 18 Pinecrest Academy A
32.00 A Brookstone 75.3% 11 Greenville A
31.92 AAAAA Hiram 88.5% 20 Chapel Hill AAAAA
31.21 AAAAA Ware County 99.2% 40 Bradwell Institute AAAAA
30.96 A Commerce 58.8% 4 Athens Christian A
30.93 AAAA Chamblee 61.6% 5 Stone Mountain AAAA
30.60 AA Manchester 53.2% 2 Northeast AA
30.49 AAA Peach County 96.7% 32 Rutland AAA
29.72 AA Coosa 58.7% 4 Pepperell AAA
29.72 AAAAA River Ridge 51.0% 1 Woodland (Cartersville) AAAAA
29.57 AAA Adairsville 93.5% 26 Sonoraville AAA
29.52 AAAAA McIntosh 80.6% 14 Morrow AAAAA
28.59 AAA West Hall 91.6% 24 Dawson County AAA
28.32 A Aquinas 91.4% 23 Mount de Sales A
27.94 AAAA Spalding 79.0% 13 Pike County AAAA
26.81 AA Benedictine 97.3% 34 Bryan County AA
26.50 A Charlton County 90.8% 23 Turner County A
25.34 AAA East Hall 67.8% 8 Lumpkin County AAA
25.20 AAAAAA Lee County 97.9% 36 Mitchell County A
24.90 AAA Washington County 99.7% 41 Glenn Hills AAA
24.82 AAAA Heritage (Ringgold) 53.1% 2 Southeast Whitfield AAAA
24.54 AAA Westminster (Atlanta) 98.6% 38 Therrell AAA
24.08 AAAAAA Alpharetta 99.3% 40 Habersham Central AAAAAA
23.99 AAA Cook 89.1% 21 Brantley County AAA
23.48 AAA Central (Macon) 69.8% 9 Spencer AAA
22.99 AAAAA Northside (Warner Robins) 99.5% 41 Greenbrier AAAAA
22.27 AA McIntosh County Academy 76.2% 12 Jeff Davis AA
22.02 AA Bacon County 77.7% 13 Long County AA
21.65 AAAA Northwest Whitfield 94.5% 28 LaFayette AAAA
21.53 A Mount Pisgah Christian 90.6% 23 Christian Heritage A
21.12 A Emanuel County Institute 88.1% 20 Savannah Country Day A
20.64 AAA Franklin County 63.0% 6 Banks County AAA
20.50 A Johnson County 78.6% 13 Portal A
20.06 AAA North Clayton 69.9% 9 McNair AAA
19.91 A Trion 72.1% 10 King's Ridge Christian A
19.57 AAAAAA Collins Hill 99.7% 41 Meadowcreek AAAAAA
19.20 AAA Jackson 90.4% 22 Jordan AAA
18.90 A St. Francis 63.8% 6 Walker A
18.66 AAAA Riverdale 86.3% 18 Mount Zion (Jonesboro) AAAA
16.93 AAAAA Evans 97.9% 36 Cross Creek AAAAA
16.93 A Marion County 96.3% 32 Schley County A
16.72 AAA Blessed Trinity 99.6% 41 Douglass AAA
16.46 AA Monticello 82.2% 15 Putnam County AA
16.45 AAAAA Sprayberry 94.9% 29 North Atlanta AAAAA
16.37 AAAA Marist 99.8% 41 Redan AAAA
16.37 A Our Lady of Mercy 86.0% 18 Terrell County A
16.01 AAAAA LaGrange 95.4% 30 Hardaway AAAAA
15.26 AA Holy Innocents 88.2% 20 Hapeville AA
14.98 AA Vidalia 98.8% 39 Groves AA
14.97 A Atkinson County 76.2% 12 Lanier County A
13.87 AA Chattahoochee County 54.2% 2 Randolph-Clay A
12.52 AA Riverside Military Academy 56.0% 3 Johnson (Gainesville) AAAA
12.25 AA Darlington 95.9% 31 Gordon Lee AA
11.78 A Prince Avenue Christian 91.7% 24 Hebron Christian Academy A
10.91 A Claxton 91.5% 24 Treutlen A
10.68 AAAA Henry County 93.2% 26 Hampton AAAA
8.68 AAAAAA Tucker 99.9% 42 Clarkston AAAAA
8.27 A Stratford Academy 94.7% 28 Georgia Military College A
7.40 AAA Hephzibah 54.7% 2 Josey AAA
7.02 AAA Gordon Central 53.9% 2 Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe AAA
6.74 AAA Westside (Augusta) 93.5% 26 Butler AAA
6.72 AA Greene County 75.4% 11 Oglethorpe County AA
4.36 AA Chattooga 78.9% 13 Armuchee AA
3.55 A Calvary Day 98.4% 37 Wheeler County A
2.98 A Savannah Christian 99.0% 39 Montgomery County A
2.59 AAA Oconee County 95.3% 29 East Jackson AAA
1.77 AA Swainsboro 94.5% 28 Harlem AA
0.52 A Hawkinsville 99.3% 40 Central (Talbotton) A
-1.55 A Hancock Central 93.9% 27 Twiggs County A
-2.84 AA Temple 72.1% 10 Crawford County AA
-4.15 AA Lovett 99.9% 42 K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate AA
-6.66 A George Walton Academy 96.5% 32 Towns County A
-7.89 AAA North Murray 94.9% 29 Murray County AAA
-13.82 AA Union County 99.0% 39 Social Circle AA
-14.26 A Miller County 96.5% 32 Baconton A
-17.15 AA Bremen 99.2% 40 Stewart County A
-29.19 A Lakeview Academy 90.6% 23 Providence Christian A

Sep 27

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
67.26 AAAAAA Lovejoy 83.9% 17 Mays AAAAA
52.83 AAAA St. Pius X 74.4% 11 Grady AAAA
48.27 AAAA Griffin 96.9% 33 Jonesboro AAAA
20.72 AAAA Albany 55.6% 3 Dougherty AAAA

About the Author

Todd Holcomb

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