Maxwell Week 9 projections

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50 percent of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Oct 11

Game Rate	Class	Team	Pct	Proj	Team	Class
32.32	AA	Vidalia	85.7%	18	Toombs County	AA
31.49	AAAAAA	Alcovy	60.4%	4	Lakeside (Evans)	AAAAAA
27.55	AA	Callaway	97.4%	34	Spencer	AA
24.73	AAAAAA	Morrow	68.1%	8	Drew	AAAAAA
23.76	AAAA	Columbus	85.7%	18	Shaw	AAAA
17.48	AAA	Benedictine	99.3%	40	Islands	AAA

Oct 12

Game Rate	Class	Team	Pct	Proj	Team	Class
84.11	AAAAAAA	Grayson	58.7%	4	Archer	AAAAAAA
74.75	AAAAAAA	Lowndes	71.4%	9	Tift County	AAAAAAA
73.36	AAAAAAA	McEachern	66.2%	7	Marietta	AAAAAAA
70.98	AAAAAAA	Colquitt County	95.5%	30	Camden County	AAAAAAA
69.69	AAAAAA	Lee County	77.0%	12	Northside (Warner Robins)	AAAAAA
68.25	AAAAAAA	Milton	64.4%	6	South Forsyth	AAAAAAA
66.25	AA	Hapeville Charter	68.1%	8	Allatoona	AAAAAA
64.00	AAAAAAA	North Cobb	56.6%	3	North Paulding	AAAAAAA
63.89	AAA	Cedar Grove	70.5%	9	Westminster (Atlanta)	AAA
63.70	AAAA	Cartersville	77.7%	13	Sandy Creek	AAAA
63.43	AAAAAA	Valdosta	53.6%	2	Coffee	AAAAAA
58.22	AAAAAAA	North Gwinnett	93.5%	26	Collins Hill	AAAAAAA
57.76	AAAAA	Carrollton	69.9%	9	Kell	AAAAA
57.03	AAAA	Blessed Trinity	94.1%	27	Flowery Branch	AAAA
56.54	AA	Washington County	50.2%	0	Dodge County	AA
56.37	AAAAA	Warner Robins	89.3%	21	Thomas County Central	AAAAA
54.32	AAAAAAA	Westlake	82.7%	16	Pebblebrook	AAAAAAA
53.82	AAAAAAA	Walton	95.3%	29	Etowah	AAAAAAA
52.77	AAAAAA	Glynn Academy	61.7%	5	Richmond Hill	AAAAAA
52.68	AAAAAAA	Wheeler	61.7%	5	East Coweta	AAAAAAA
52.07	AA	Thomasville	63.0%	6	Fitzgerald	AA
49.52	AAAAAAA	Brookwood	89.2%	21	Central Gwinnett	AAAAAAA
49.35	AAA	Pace Academy	51.0%	1	Lovett	AAA
49.00	AAAAAAA	Cherokee	54.9%	2	Woodstock	AAAAAAA
48.68	AAAAAAA	Hillgrove	96.2%	31	Kennesaw Mountain	AAAAAAA
48.67	AA	Brooks County	70.8%	9	Early County	AA
48.09	AAAAAA	Mays	69.9%	9	Creekside	AAAAAA
46.83	AAAA	Oconee County	54.7%	2	Stephens County	AAAA
45.81	AAAA	Burke County	80.6%	14	Richmond Academy	AAAA
45.52	AAAA	Thomson	53.7%	2	Baldwin	AAAA
43.76	AAA	Liberty County	67.4%	7	Appling County	AAA
42.70	AAAAAA	Stephenson	75.6%	12	Mundy's Mill	AAAAAA
42.52	AAAAAA	Dalton	73.2%	10	Sprayberry	AAAAAA
42.34	AAAAAA	Hughes	53.3%	2	Alexander	AAAAAA
42.24	AAAAA	Ware County	89.9%	22	Statesboro	AAAAA
41.51	AAAA	St. Pius X	96.3%	32	North Oconee	AAAA
41.22	AAAAA	Veterans	83.8%	17	Harris County	AAAAA
40.63	AAAAAA	Brunswick	55.4%	2	Effingham County	AAAAAA
40.58	AAAAA	Buford	96.8%	33	Loganville	AAAAA
40.53	AAAAA	Hiram	65.9%	7	Villa Rica	AAAAA
40.05	AAAAAAA	Roswell	95.1%	29	Lassiter	AAAAAAA
40.05	AAAAAAA	West Forsyth	83.6%	16	Forsyth Central	AAAAAAA
39.84	AAAAAAA	Newnan	83.8%	17	Campbell	AAAAAAA
39.82	AAAA	Pickens	63.2%	6	Northwest Whitfield	AAAA
39.60	AAAAAAA	Lambert	57.2%	3	North Forsyth	AAAAAAA
36.48	AA	Rabun County	87.7%	20	Elbert County	AA
36.47	AAAAA	Jonesboro	53.3%	2	Riverdale	AAAAA
35.89	AAAA	Carver (Columbus)	79.0%	13	Westover	AAAA
35.47	AAAA	Chapel Hill	87.9%	20	Central (Carrollton)	AAAA
35.31	AA	Dublin	90.8%	23	Southwest	AA
34.70	AAAA	Eastside	94.2%	27	Salem	AAAA
34.52	AAAAAA	Grovetown	54.4%	2	Greenbrier	AAAAAA
34.42	AAAAAA	Johns Creek	86.0%	18	Cambridge	AAAAAA
33.87	A	Commerce	80.5%	14	Hebron Christian Academy	A
33.54	AAA	Jefferson	86.3%	18	Morgan County	AAA
33.54	AAAA	Marist	97.2%	34	Denmark	AAAA
33.50	AAA	Monroe Area	94.3%	28	Hart County	AAA
33.46	AAAA	Troup	98.7%	38	LaGrange	AAAA
32.67	AAAAA	Clarke Central	83.9%	17	Walnut Grove	AAAAA
32.52	AAA	Pike County	69.4%	8	Central (Macon)	AAA
32.01	AAAAAAA	South Gwinnett	86.9%	19	Rockdale County	AAAAAAA
31.87	AAAAAA	Sequoyah	95.3%	29	South Cobb	AAAAAA
31.57	AAAA	West Hall	72.9%	10	White County	AAAA
31.44	AAAAAA	Pope	62.2%	5	North Atlanta	AAAAAA
31.16	AAAAAA	Heritage (Conyers)	59.4%	4	Evans	AAAAAA
31.12	AAAA	Americus-Sumter	58.9%	4	Northside (Columbus)	AAAA
30.99	AAAAAA	South Paulding	67.7%	8	New Manchester	AAAAAA
30.81	AAAAAAA	Peachtree Ridge	58.8%	4	Duluth	AAAAAAA
30.56	AAAA	Woodward Academy	88.8%	21	Hampton	AAAA
29.98	AAAAAAA	Mill Creek	98.4%	37	Discovery	AAAAAAA
29.67	AA	Screven County	54.4%	2	Harlem	AA
29.48	AAAAA	Banneker	90.5%	23	Decatur	AAAAA
29.22	A	Clinch County	92.7%	25	Turner County	A
28.99	AAAAAA	Creekview	97.8%	36	River Ridge	AAAAAA
28.77	AAAAA	Rome	99.6%	41	Paulding County	AAAAA
28.55	AAAAA	East Paulding	92.0%	24	Cass	AAAAA
28.46	A	Mount Zion (Carroll)	73.8%	11	North Cobb Christian	A
27.97	A	Charlton County	77.7%	13	Wilcox County	A
27.85	AAAAAA	Douglas County	95.8%	30	Tri-Cities	AAAAAA
27.80	AAAAAA	Lovejoy	81.8%	15	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	AAAAAA
26.42	A	Schley County	76.4%	12	Macon County	A
26.28	A	Brookstone	51.9%	1	Manchester	A
25.99	A	Calvary Day	79.1%	13	Claxton	A
25.92	A	Darlington	77.8%	13	Trion	A
23.43	AAAAA	Wayne County	98.1%	36	South Effingham	AAAAA
23.31	AAA	North Murray	61.5%	5	Haralson County	AAA
22.92	AAAAA	Arabia Mountain	88.8%	21	Columbia	AAAAA
22.69	A	Atkinson County	52.2%	1	Telfair County	A
21.82	AAAAA	Starr's Mill	94.4%	28	McIntosh	AAAAA
21.41	A	Aquinas	86.3%	18	Hancock Central	A
21.32	A	Mount de Sales	68.4%	8	Tattnall Square	A
20.65	AAAAA	North Springs	64.9%	6	Grady	AAAAA
20.25	AAAA	Luella	50.9%	1	Henry County	AAAA
20.09	A	Pelham	83.2%	16	Chattahoochee County	A
19.86	AAA	Crisp County	97.6%	35	Monroe	AAA
19.64	AAAAAA	Alpharetta	96.4%	32	Chattahoochee	AAAAAA
19.49	A	Jenkins County	57.7%	3	Montgomery County	A
19.47	AA	Metter	78.2%	13	Bacon County	AA
19.08	A	Greene County	65.1%	6	Lincoln County	A
18.63	AAA	Adairsville	65.1%	6	Sonoraville	AAA
18.25	AAAAAAA	Norcross	99.0%	39	Lakeside (Atlanta)	AAAAAAA
17.76	AAAA	Ridgeland	98.4%	37	LaFayette	AAAA
17.23	AAAAAA	Centennial	97.7%	35	Dunwoody	AAAAAA
16.97	AAAAA	Cedar Shoals	95.3%	29	Johnson (Gainesville)	AAAAA
16.48	AAAAA	Griffin	95.8%	30	Fayette County	AAAAA
16.00	AAA	Tattnall County	55.3%	2	Brantley County	AAA
14.59	A	Stratford Academy	58.2%	4	First Presbyterian	A
14.19	AAAAAA	M.L. King	84.2%	17	Forest Park	AAAAAA
13.65	AAA	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	78.4%	13	Coahulla Creek	AAA
13.41	AAA	Cook	89.6%	22	Worth County	AAA
12.07	AAAA	Hardaway	87.8%	20	Dougherty	AAAA
11.29	A	Pinecrest Academy	76.3%	12	St. Francis	A
10.61	AA	Union County	94.8%	29	Banks County	AA
10.60	A	Christian Heritage	84.5%	17	Bowdon	A
10.32	AAA	North Hall	97.7%	35	Fannin County	AAA
9.84	A	Athens Academy	99.3%	40	Athens Christian	A
7.78	AAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	99.5%	41	Lumpkin County	AAA
7.59	A	Savannah Christian	97.5%	34	McIntosh County Academy	A
7.34	A	Taylor County	60.0%	4	Hawkinsville	A
7.31	AA	Bleckley County	91.7%	24	East Laurens	AA
6.92	AAAAA	Maynard Jackson	96.0%	31	Lithia Springs	AAAAA
6.69	AAAA	North Clayton	61.0%	5	Druid Hills	AAAA
6.10	AAAAA	Lithonia	88.0%	20	Chamblee	AAAAA
5.99	AA	Swainsboro	98.4%	37	Bryan County	AA
5.86	AA	Jefferson County	98.2%	37	Glenn Hills	AA
3.89	A	Savannah Country Day	90.6%	23	Portal	A
3.37	AA	Heard County	98.7%	38	Jordan	AA
0.80	AA	Putnam County	73.0%	10	Social Circle	AA
0.74	AA	Hephzibah	96.2%	31	Westside (Augusta)	AA
-0.21	AA	Bremen	99.6%	41	Temple	AA
-0.56	AAA	Pierce County	99.0%	39	Long County	AAA
-0.78	AAAAAA	Harrison	99.8%	41	Osborne	AAAAAA
-2.28	A	Fellowship Christian	99.0%	39	King's Ridge Christian	A
-3.01	A	Riverside Military Academy	82.3%	16	Lakeview Academy	A
-3.84	A	Washington-Wilkes	91.0%	23	Georgia Military College	A
-4.38	AAA	Johnson (Savannah)	55.3%	2	Savannah	AAA
-4.55	A	Irwin County	99.9%	42	Lanier County	A
-6.08	AA	Butler	95.1%	29	Josey	AA
-6.48	AAA	Windsor Forest	95.8%	30	Groves	AAA
-6.85	A	Greenville	82.9%	16	Pacelli	A
-6.89	A	Emanuel County Institute	98.0%	36	Wheeler County	A
-6.99	AAA	Jackson	99.4%	40	Kendrick	AAA
-7.01	A	Mount Paran Christian	99.1%	40	Walker	A
-9.81	AAA	Franklin County	95.6%	30	East Jackson	AAA
-10.42	AAAAAAA	Parkview	100.0%	42	Berkmar	AAAAAAA
-10.93	AAA	Peach County	100.0%	42	Rutland	AAA
-11.56	A	Terrell County	76.5%	12	Baconton Charter	A
-12.34	AAA	Calhoun	100.0%	42	Murray County	AAA
-12.40	AAA	East Hall	93.4%	26	Cherokee Bluff	AAA
-15.41	A	Dooly County	99.0%	39	Crawford County	A
-15.83	AAAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	97.5%	35	Gilmer	AAAA
-19.76	AA	Monticello	96.9%	33	Oglethorpe County	AA
-24.83	A	Wilkinson County	94.4%	28	Twiggs County	A
-25.03	A	Miller County	96.7%	33	Stewart County	A
-25.90	A	Johnson County	98.0%	36	ACE Charter	A
-26.36	AAAAA	Union Grove	99.9%	41	Clarkston	AAAAA
-27.43	A	Marion County	99.9%	42	Central (Talbotton)	A
-36.02	A	Calhoun County	94.5%	28	Randolph-Clay	A
-43.91	A	Providence Christian	98.3%	37	Glascock County	A

Oct 13

Game Rate	Class	Team	Pct	Proj	Team	Class
38.48	AAAAA	Carver (Atlanta)	54.0%	2	Riverwood	AAAAA
21.94	AAAAA	Southwest DeKalb	96.9%	33	Miller Grove	AAAAA
12.18	AAA	Jenkins	88.9%	21	Beach	AAA
6.39	A	Mitchell County	93.8%	27	Seminole County	A
-8.60	AAA	Redan	87.6%	20	Stone Mountain	AAA

Alerts

Maxwell Week 9 projections

Oct 11

Oct 12

Oct 13

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