Sports

Maxwell Semifinals Summary: Archer stands between Colquitt and the history books

By Todd Holcomb
Dec 8, 2014

The Maxwell Ratings will rank Georgia's 417 teams throughout the 2014 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.

Interesting results after the semifinals:

- Colquitt County's current rating of 103.82 is the 20th highest out of the nearly 21,000 Georgia high school football teams Maxwell has rated since 1948. With an impressive victory over Archer, Maxwell estimates they could improve their rating upward as much as two points, placing them in the top 15 all-time. Colquitt County's 1994 state championship team, with a rating of 104.50 and #17 rating, is within reasonable striking distance.

- However, the Packer's spot in the record books is not yet assured. Although Colquitt dominated Region 1-AAAAAA, which started with an impressive 29-0 record against outside opponents during the regular season, the geographically isolated group played a suspect out-of-region schedule and then submitted a rather middling 1-3 record in the playoffs when not counting Colquitt's four wins. As a result, the Packer's rating has dropped significantly from its high of nearly 112 late in the regular season. An impressive victory by Archer, currently riding a 10-game winning streak, can knock the Packers below 100 and out of the discussion of Georgia's greatest teams altogether. However, Maxwell cautions that regardless of the outcome of this week's Class AAAAAA championship game, expect Colquitt to remain the top rated team overall. The ratings measure the entire season as opposed to a single game and week in, week out the Packers have simply turned in the best performance.

- Mays continues to be the all-class Cinderella team, having less than a 20% probability of surviving to this point if they replayed their same opponents from earlier rounds. Below is each team's probability of going undefeated if it replayed each of their same opponents from earlier rounds:

Team Class Prob Odds
Mays AAAAA 17.5% 4.73
Hawkinsville A-Public 33.2% 2.01
Northside (Warner Robins) AAAAA 33.4% 2.00
Archer AAAAAA 35.9% 1.79
Eagle's Landing Christian A-Private 36.8% 1.72
St. Pius X AAAA 38.6% 1.59
Calhoun AAA 51.0% 0.96
Greater Atlanta Christian AA 52.1% 0.92
Benedictine AA 52.4% 0.91
Irwin County A-Public 60.8% 0.64
Washington County AAA 63.8% 0.57
Colquitt County AAAAAA 69.6% 0.44
Mount Paran Christian A-Private 70.7% 0.41
Buford AAAA 77.1% 0.30

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season's games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.

The current total weight of all team's historical performance is 0.10%.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 2,013 of 2,234 total games including 4 ties (90.20%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within 12.91 points.

The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team's opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.

Home Advantage: 0.87

By Class

AAAAAA AAAAA
Rank Team Record Rating Rank Team Record Rating
1 Colquitt County 14-0 103.82 1 Allatoona 13-1 77.84
2 Archer 11-3 87.84 2 Northside (Warner Robins) 13-1 77.48
3 Grayson 10-2 86.42 3 Mays 12-2 74.80
4 Dacula 10-2 85.73 4 Ware County 11-1 73.57
5 McEachern 10-4 83.70 5 Coffee 10-2 67.91
6 Milton 11-2 82.41 6 Stockbridge 11-3 67.28
7 Tucker 10-3 82.02 7 Houston County 10-3 66.74
8 Lee County 8-3 81.07 8 Creekside 9-3 66.62
9 Mill Creek 7-4 80.92 9 Jones County 10-3 66.05
10 North Gwinnett 8-3 78.62 10 Dalton 9-3 65.80
11 Valdosta 9-2 78.34 11 South Paulding 8-3 64.60
12 Peachtree Ridge 7-4 77.32 12 Kell 11-1 64.48
13 Tift County 7-4 75.97 13 Gainesville 10-3 63.26
14 Lowndes 6-4 75.79 14 Alexander 8-3 61.75
15 Etowah 11-3 75.46 15 Glynn Academy 9-4 61.49
AAAA AAA
Rank Team Record Rating Rank Team Record Rating
1 Buford 14-0 95.27 1 Washington County 14-0 87.81
2 Marist 11-2 73.93 2 Blessed Trinity 13-1 81.24
3 Cartersville 12-2 73.89 3 Calhoun 14-0 77.50
4 St. Pius X 12-2 71.07 4 Jefferson 12-1 72.90
5 Sandy Creek 11-2 69.91 5 Westminster (Atlanta) 12-2 71.38
6 Woodward Academy 11-3 69.29 6 Hart County 11-2 63.81
7 North Oconee 9-4 63.61 7 Peach County 10-1 60.59
8 Griffin 11-1 62.71 8 Elbert County 9-4 60.33
9 Mary Persons 9-3 62.45 9 Central (Carrollton) 11-1 59.70
10 Whitewater 7-4 61.47 10 Cedar Grove 9-3 57.39
11 West Laurens 9-4 57.73 11 Pierce County 10-3 56.27
12 Cairo 9-3 57.70 12 Cook 9-3 56.05
13 Columbia 7-4 56.27 13 Adairsville 10-2 55.93
14 Stephens County 8-4 53.93 14 Westside (Macon) 9-2 55.14
15 Baldwin 7-5 51.89 15 Dodge County 9-3 54.72
AA A
Rank Team Record Rating Rank Team Record Rating
1 Greater Atlanta Christian 14-0 77.92 1 Mount Paran Christian 13-0 67.11
2 Benedictine 12-2 72.26 2 Marion County 12-1 55.35
3 Vidalia 12-1 71.56 3 Hawkinsville 12-1 54.94
4 Lovett 9-4 63.14 4 Irwin County 11-1-1 53.98
5 Fitzgerald 12-2 62.98 5 Eagle's Landing Christian 7-6 51.50
6 Brooks County 10-4 53.53 6 Calvary Day 12-1 50.58
7 Thomasville 6-5 53.16 7 Aquinas 12-1 50.13
8 Macon County 9-3 50.85 8 Savannah Christian 10-2 48.45
9 Lamar County 8-3-1 45.41 9 Charlton County 10-2 45.58
10 Pace Academy 7-6 41.79 10 Mount Pisgah Christian 8-4 45.40
11 Rabun County 9-3 41.48 11 Landmark Christian 8-3 43.41
12 Bowdon 8-3 40.56 12 Dooly County 8-4 41.84
13 Bacon County 6-5 39.52 13 Pacelli 7-4 40.98
14 Jefferson County 8-4 38.62 14 Tattnall Square 10-2 40.59
15 Model 9-3 37.78 15 Mount Zion (Carroll) 8-4 37.95

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association. Please submit errors or omissions through their forums.

### = Active playoff team; # = Eliminated playoff team

Rank Team Playoffs Region Record Rating Sch Str Rank
1 [1] Colquitt County ### 1-AAAAAA 14-0 103.82 72.39 2 [2]
2 [1] Buford ### 8-AAAA 14-0 95.27 48.17 104 [17]
3 [2] Archer ### 8-AAAAAA 11-3 87.84 70.39 8 [8]
4 [1] Washington County ### 3-AAA 14-0 87.81 38.82 205 [16]
5 [3] Grayson # 8-AAAAAA 10-2 86.42 69.47 9 [9]
6 [4] Dacula # 8-AAAAAA 10-2 85.73 70.71 7 [7]
7 [5] McEachern # 4-AAAAAA 10-4 83.70 71.77 4 [4]
8 [6] Milton # 5-AAAAAA 11-2 82.41 64.07 26 [26]
9 [7] Tucker # 2-AAAAAA 10-3 82.02 54.03 64 [48]
10 [2] Blessed Trinity # 4-Div B-AAA 13-1 81.24 49.65 88 [1]
11 [8] Lee County # 1-AAAAAA 8-3 81.07 66.60 20 [20]
12 [9] Mill Creek # 7-AAAAAA 7-4 80.92 67.59 16 [16]
13 [10] North Gwinnett # 7-AAAAAA 8-3 78.62 67.19 17 [17]
14 [11] Valdosta # 1-AAAAAA 9-2 78.34 64.13 25 [25]
15 [1] Greater Atlanta Christian ### 6-AA 14-0 77.92 44.96 130 [4]
16 [1] Allatoona # 5-AAAAA 13-1 77.84 56.75 46 [2]
17 [3] Calhoun ### 6-AAA 14-0 77.50 34.96 238 [25]
18 [2] Northside (Warner Robins) ### 2-AAAAA 13-1 77.48 53.85 66 [12]
19 [12] Peachtree Ridge # 7-AAAAAA 7-4 77.32 69.32 10 [10]
20 [13] Tift County # 1-AAAAAA 7-4 75.97 64.70 23 [23]
21 [14] Lowndes 1-AAAAAA 6-4 75.79 71.40 5 [5]
22 [15] Etowah # 5-AAAAAA 11-3 75.46 61.58 33 [33]
23 [16] Hillgrove # 4-AAAAAA 9-4 74.86 64.58 24 [24]
24 [3] Mays ### 6-Div B-AAAAA 12-2 74.80 56.66 47 [3]
25 [17] Hughes # 3-AAAAAA 9-3 74.66 62.44 29 [29]
26 [2] Marist # 6-AAAA 11-2 73.93 48.69 96 [12]
27 [3] Cartersville # 7-AAAA 12-2 73.89 45.90 120 [20]
28 [4] Ware County # 3-AAAAA 11-1 73.57 47.90 107 [36]
29 [4] Jefferson # 8-AAA 12-1 72.90 41.35 173 [6]
30 [18] Lovejoy # 2-AAAAAA 7-4 72.68 63.63 27 [27]
31 [19] Westlake # 3-AAAAAA 9-2 72.68 52.13 74 [50]
32 [20] Norcross # 7-AAAAAA 7-4 72.63 68.90 11 [11]
33 [2] Benedictine ### 2-AA 12-2 72.26 41.11 179 [7]
34 [21] North Cobb # 4-AAAAAA 7-4 72.14 66.64 19 [19]
35 [3] Vidalia # 2-AA 12-1 71.56 31.95 280 [25]
36 [22] Central Gwinnett # 8-AAAAAA 7-5 71.48 67.73 14 [14]
37 [5] Westminster (Atlanta) # 4-Div B-AAA 12-2 71.38 47.58 110 [2]
38 [4] St. Pius X ### 6-AAAA 12-2 71.07 48.39 101 [16]
39 [23] Camden County 1-AAAAAA 5-5 70.27 68.80 12 [12]
40 [5] Sandy Creek # 5-AAAA 11-2 69.91 54.61 63 [5]
41 [6] Woodward Academy # 5-AAAA 11-3 69.29 53.97 65 [6]
42 [24] Newton # 2-AAAAAA 7-4 68.56 59.18 39 [39]
43 [25] Roswell # 5-AAAAAA 8-4 68.10 61.03 35 [35]
44 [26] Alpharetta # 6-AAAAAA 10-2 67.98 44.55 136 [53]
45 [5] Coffee # 3-AAAAA 10-2 67.91 47.50 112 [38]
46 [6] Stockbridge # 4-Div B-AAAAA 11-3 67.28 49.24 92 [29]
47 [1] Mount Paran Christian ### 6-Div A-A 13-0 67.11 32.06 279 [12]
48 [7] Houston County # 2-AAAAA 10-3 66.74 50.08 83 [23]
49 [8] Creekside # 6-Div B-AAAAA 9-3 66.62 56.00 51 [5]
50 [9] Jones County # 2-AAAAA 10-3 66.05 52.39 72 [16]
51 [10] Dalton # 7-Div A-AAAAA 9-3 65.80 46.56 119 [42]
52 [27] Cherokee # 5-AAAAAA 7-4 65.37 57.01 43 [42]
53 [28] East Coweta # 3-AAAAAA 8-3 64.95 54.76 62 [47]
54 [29] Collins Hill 7-AAAAAA 5-5 64.90 66.80 18 [18]
55 [30] Parkview 8-AAAAAA 4-6 64.80 67.62 15 [15]
56 [11] South Paulding # 5-AAAAA 8-3 64.60 55.23 56 [8]
57 [12] Kell # 7-Div B-AAAAA 11-1 64.48 47.19 115 [40]
58 [6] Hart County # 8-AAA 11-2 63.81 39.26 201 [14]
59 [7] North Oconee # 8-AAAA 9-4 63.61 50.03 85 [10]
60 [13] Gainesville # 8-AAAAA 10-3 63.26 45.80 122 [44]
61 [4] Lovett # 6-AA 9-4 63.14 46.65 118 [3]
62 [5] Fitzgerald # 1-AA 12-2 62.98 43.14 152 [5]
63 [8] Griffin # 4-Div B-AAAA 11-1 62.71 33.03 265 [57]
64 [9] Mary Persons # 2-AAAA 9-3 62.45 48.64 97 [13]
65 [14] Alexander # 5-AAAAA 8-3 61.75 54.92 60 [11]
66 [15] Glynn Academy # 3-AAAAA 9-4 61.49 53.40 69 [13]
67 [10] Whitewater # 5-AAAA 7-4 61.47 53.72 67 [7]
68 [16] Stephenson # 6-Div A-AAAAA 8-4 61.36 47.23 114 [39]
69 [31] Woodstock 5-AAAAAA 6-4 61.18 56.13 50 [45]
70 [32] South Gwinnett 8-AAAAAA 3-7 61.14 67.79 13 [13]
71 [7] Peach County # 2-AAA 10-1 60.59 31.61 285 [37]
72 [8] Elbert County # 8-AAA 9-4 60.33 46.75 117 [3]
73 [33] Walton 5-AAAAAA 5-5 60.25 61.38 34 [34]
74 [17] Lakeside (Evans) 2-AAAAA 6-4 59.92 50.03 84 [24]
75 [9] Central (Carrollton) # 5-AAA 11-1 59.70 33.08 263 [31]
76 [34] Shiloh 8-AAAAAA 3-7 59.08 70.98 6 [6]
77 [18] Lanier # 8-AAAAA 10-1 58.84 41.57 171 [66]
78 [19] Harris County # 1-AAAAA 9-3 58.52 43.37 147 [57]
79 [20] Hiram 5-AAAAA 6-4 58.49 51.53 77 [19]
80 [21] Carver (Atlanta) # 6-Div B-AAAAA 8-3 58.41 48.78 94 [31]
81 [22] New Manchester # 5-AAAAA 6-5 58.17 55.65 52 [6]
82 [35] Harrison 4-AAAAAA 5-5 57.89 59.39 38 [38]
83 [11] West Laurens # 2-AAAA 9-4 57.73 50.55 80 [9]
84 [12] Cairo # 1-Div A-AAAA 9-3 57.70 45.74 123 [21]
85 [36] North Paulding # 4-AAAAAA 4-7 57.64 66.21 21 [21]
86 [10] Cedar Grove # 4-Div A-AAA 9-3 57.39 36.48 224 [20]
87 [37] Brookwood 8-AAAAAA 2-8 57.27 71.91 3 [3]
88 [23] Warner Robins # 2-AAAAA 6-5 57.01 52.88 71 [15]
90 [38] Wheeler 5-AAAAAA 4-6 56.42 59.83 37 [37]
89 [24] Mundy's Mill # 4-Div A-AAAAA 7-4 56.42 47.79 108 [37]
92 [13] Columbia # 6-AAAA 7-4 56.27 45.51 127 [24]
91 [11] Pierce County # 1-Div A-AAA 10-3 56.27 39.55 197 [11]
93 [25] Drew # 4-Div A-AAAAA 7-4 56.21 47.14 116 [41]
94 [12] Cook # 1-Div A-AAA 9-3 56.05 37.04 220 [18]
95 [13] Adairsville # 6-AAA 10-2 55.93 22.30 374 [66]
96 [39] Douglas County # 3-AAAAAA 5-6 55.56 57.27 42 [41]
97 [26] Carver (Columbus) # 1-AAAAA 8-3 55.51 41.11 178 [69]
98 [2] Marion County # 4-A 12-1 55.35 30.91 293 [15]
99 [27] Sequoyah # 7-Div A-AAAAA 6-6 55.23 55.18 57 [9]
100 [14] Westside (Macon) # 2-AAA 9-2 55.14 34.87 244 [27]
101 [3] Hawkinsville ### 4-A 12-1 54.94 33.40 260 [7]
102 [15] Dodge County # 1-Div A-AAA 9-3 54.72 40.59 183 [8]
103 [40] Marietta 4-AAAAAA 3-7 54.61 63.03 28 [28]
104 [28] East Paulding 5-AAAAA 4-6 54.02 55.09 59 [10]
105 [4] Irwin County ### 2-A 11-1-1 53.98 33.81 256 [6]
106 [41] Kennesaw Mountain 4-AAAAAA 4-6 53.97 58.68 40 [40]
107 [14] Stephens County # 8-AAAA 8-4 53.93 43.55 145 [27]
109 [29] Sprayberry 7-Div B-AAAAA 6-4 53.53 44.53 137 [51]
108 [6] Brooks County # 1-AA 10-4 53.53 41.95 167 [6]
110 [7] Thomasville # 1-AA 6-5 53.16 51.80 75 [1]
111 [30] Paulding County 5-AAAAA 5-5 52.59 52.26 73 [17]
112 [31] Villa Rica 5-AAAAA 5-5 52.01 53.39 70 [14]
113 [15] Baldwin # 2-AAAA 7-5 51.89 48.09 105 [18]
114 [32] Southwest DeKalb 6-Div A-AAAAA 6-4 51.78 49.96 86 [25]
115 [16] Carrollton 5-AAAA 4-6 51.60 55.38 54 [3]
116 [5] Eagle's Landing Christian ### 5-A 7-6 51.50 47.55 111 [1]
117 [17] Wayne County # 3-AAAA 6-6 51.48 48.55 99 [14]
118 [18] Fayette County # 5-AAAA 4-7 51.20 55.62 53 [2]
119 [8] Macon County # 4-AA 9-3 50.85 35.91 228 [15]
120 [42] Lambert # 6-AAAAAA 7-4 50.74 42.38 161 [57]
121 [6] Calvary Day # 3-Div A-A 12-1 50.58 26.31 334 [29]
122 [19] Worth County # 1-Div B-AAAA 6-4 50.48 45.58 125 [22]
123 [33] Starr's Mill # 4-Div A-AAAAA 6-5 50.36 48.62 98 [33]
124 [34] Creekview # 7-Div A-AAAAA 6-5 50.33 49.44 89 [27]
125 [43] South Cobb 3-AAAAAA 4-6 50.23 54.82 61 [46]
126 [16] Appling County # 1-Div A-AAA 8-4 50.19 42.47 160 [5]
127 [7] Aquinas # 7-Div B-A 12-1 50.13 27.88 322 [27]
128 [35] Brunswick # 3-AAAAA 6-5 49.99 48.35 102 [34]
129 [36] Cambridge 7-Div B-AAAAA 7-3 49.79 38.22 212 [80]
130 [44] Mountain View 7-AAAAAA 3-7 49.68 61.60 32 [32]
131 [45] Northview # 6-AAAAAA 7-4 49.54 39.88 192 [62]
132 [46] Rockdale County # 2-AAAAAA 5-6 49.41 56.85 45 [43]
133 [20] Burke County # 3-AAAA 7-5 49.41 43.20 150 [28]
134 [37] Dutchtown 4-Div B-AAAAA 5-5 49.30 48.73 95 [32]
135 [38] Evans 2-AAAAA 5-5 48.80 49.25 91 [28]
136 [21] Troup 5-AAAA 3-7 48.71 55.14 58 [4]
137 [8] Savannah Christian # 3-Div A-A 10-2 48.45 24.16 358 [40]
138 [47] Newnan 3-AAAAAA 3-7 48.37 56.17 49 [44]
139 [22] Pickens # 7-AAAA 8-3 48.31 36.05 225 [46]
140 [23] Thomas County Central 1-Div A-AAAA 6-4 48.30 41.20 177 [35]
141 [17] Laney # 3-AAA 7-4 47.99 31.34 289 [39]
142 [39] Tri-Cities 6-Div B-AAAAA 6-4 47.75 39.08 202 [76]
143 [40] Northgate 4-Div A-AAAAA 6-4 46.89 41.20 176 [68]
144 [18] Callaway # 5-AAA 7-5 46.52 39.43 199 [12]
145 [48] Pope 5-AAAAAA 2-8 46.45 61.87 31 [31]
146 [24] Westover # 1-Div B-AAAA 6-5 46.45 42.73 157 [30]
147 [49] West Forsyth 6-AAAAAA 6-4 46.22 41.25 174 [60]
148 [50] South Forsyth # 6-AAAAAA 6-5 46.21 42.15 164 [58]
149 [25] Upson-Lee 2-AAAA 7-3 46.10 36.76 223 [45]
150 [41] Winder-Barrow # 8-AAAAA 6-5 46.04 45.24 128 [46]
152 [43] Richmond Academy 2-AAAAA 4-5-1 45.88 49.71 87 [26]
151 [42] Woodland (Stockbridge) 4-Div B-AAAAA 7-3 45.88 40.18 189 [73]
153 [26] Bainbridge # 1-Div B-AAAA 6-5 45.81 43.09 153 [29]
154 [9] Charlton County # 2-A 10-2 45.58 30.82 295 [16]
155 [9] Lamar County # 4-AA 8-3-1 45.41 32.99 267 [21]
156 [10] Mount Pisgah Christian # 6-Div B-A 8-4 45.40 34.91 240 [4]
157 [27] Veterans # 2-AAAA 3-8 45.23 57.00 44 [1]
158 [28] Gilmer # 7-AAAA 8-3 45.21 35.28 234 [48]
159 [44] Salem # 8-AAAAA 6-5 45.06 43.60 144 [55]
160 [45] Effingham County 3-AAAAA 6-4 44.94 44.89 132 [47]
161 [29] White County # 8-AAAA 6-5 44.89 43.74 143 [26]
162 [19] West Hall # 7-AAA 9-2 44.79 26.69 330 [51]
163 [30] Grady 6-AAAA 5-5 44.19 41.84 169 [33]
164 [20] Oconee County # 8-AAA 8-4 44.05 35.67 230 [22]
165 [46] Clarke Central 8-AAAAA 5-5 43.73 42.61 158 [62]
166 [11] Landmark Christian # 5-A 8-3 43.41 30.65 297 [17]
167 [51] Lassiter 5-AAAAAA 0-10 43.20 65.48 22 [22]
168 [47] Miller Grove 6-Div A-AAAAA 5-5 43.20 40.32 188 [71]
169 [48] Forsyth Central 7-Div B-AAAAA 6-4 43.17 37.41 218 [81]
170 [49] LaGrange # 1-AAAAA 5-6 42.54 43.98 138 [52]
171 [31] Eagle's Landing # 4-Div A-AAAA 8-3 42.46 34.38 250 [54]
172 [52] Berkmar 8-AAAAAA 0-10 42.13 73.48 1 [1]
173 [50] Luella 4-Div B-AAAAA 5-5 41.88 43.39 146 [56]
174 [12] Dooly County # 4-A 8-4 41.84 32.68 274 [11]
175 [51] Cass 7-Div A-AAAAA 5-5 41.81 44.73 133 [48]
176 [10] Pace Academy # 6-AA 7-6 41.79 40.37 186 [9]
177 [21] Ringgold # 6-AAA 8-3 41.73 25.97 337 [52]
178 [11] Rabun County # 8-AA 9-3 41.48 27.19 327 [35]
179 [32] Eastside # 4-Div A-AAAA 7-5 41.34 38.70 206 [40]
180 [52] South Effingham 3-AAAAA 4-6 41.08 44.72 134 [49]
181 [33] Monroe 1-Div A-AAAA 6-4 41.03 35.20 235 [49]
182 [13] Pacelli # 4-A 7-4 40.98 33.07 264 [9]
183 [22] Jackson # 2-AAA 7-4 40.90 33.43 259 [30]
184 [34] Arabia Mountain 6-AAAA 4-6 40.78 47.64 109 [19]
185 [14] Tattnall Square # 7-Div A-A 10-2 40.59 22.17 376 [48]
186 [12] Bowdon # 5-AA 8-3 40.56 28.09 320 [33]
187 [23] Jenkins 1-Div B-AAA 6-4 40.47 31.76 283 [35]
188 [53] Riverwood 7-Div B-AAAAA 5-5 40.28 39.55 196 [75]
189 [54] Rome 7-Div A-AAAAA 3-6 40.24 43.87 140 [53]
190 [55] M. L. King 6-Div A-AAAAA 3-7 39.73 50.21 81 [21]
191 [13] Bacon County # 2-AA 6-5 39.52 34.51 248 [17]
192 [35] Locust Grove # 4-Div A-AAAA 8-3 39.44 32.20 278 [60]
193 [24] Maynard Jackson # 4-Div A-AAA 7-4 39.29 35.37 233 [23]
194 [36] Spalding 4-Div B-AAAA 6-4 39.17 32.94 268 [58]
195 [37] Lithonia # 6-AAAA 6-5 38.95 36.98 221 [44]
196 [14] Jefferson County # 3-AA 8-4 38.62 29.05 308 [30]
197 [15] Mount Zion (Carroll) # 6-Div A-A 8-4 37.95 26.26 335 [30]
198 [38] Madison County 8-AAAA 5-5 37.82 37.71 216 [43]
199 [15] Model # 7-AA 9-3 37.78 26.61 331 [37]
200 [53] Centennial 6-AAAAAA 5-5 37.77 42.02 166 [59]
201 [56] Flowery Branch 8-AAAAA 5-5 37.68 38.66 209 [77]
202 [25] Washington 4-Div B-AAA 4-6 37.58 40.55 184 [9]
203 [57] Union Grove 4-Div B-AAAAA 3-7 37.57 45.65 124 [45]
204 [16] Commerce # 8-A 10-3 37.56 21.30 382 [54]
205 [16] Wesleyan # 6-AA 6-5 37.14 33.65 258 [19]
206 [39] Howard 2-AAAA 3-6-1 37.13 42.54 159 [31]
207 [58] Ola 4-Div B-AAAAA 4-6 37.07 40.32 187 [72]
208 [26] Decatur 4-Div B-AAA 6-4 37.02 36.02 227 [21]
209 [40] Thomson # 3-AAAA 4-7 36.95 41.76 170 [34]
210 [17] Bleckley County # 4-AA 5-6 36.93 39.90 191 [10]
211 [18] B.E.S.T. Academy 6-AA 5-5 36.79 38.91 204 [11]
212 [19] Darlington # 7-AA 9-2 36.66 22.24 375 [47]
213 [17] Clinch County # 2-A 6-5 36.62 33.22 261 [8]
214 [20] Early County 1-AA 3-6-1 36.57 41.06 180 [8]
215 [21] Berrien # 1-AA 4-7 36.50 47.49 113 [2]
216 [22] Heard County # 5-AA 7-6 36.04 32.83 271 [23]
217 [59] Grovetown 2-AAAAA 3-7 35.99 50.10 82 [22]
218 [18] Prince Avenue Christian # 8-A 9-3 35.31 16.95 399 [61]
219 [41] Northwest Whitfield 7-AAAA 5-5 35.07 34.84 246 [53]
220 [60] Druid Hills 6-Div A-AAAAA 4-6 34.96 42.06 165 [64]
221 [23] Union County # 8-AA 9-2 34.82 19.04 392 [52]
222 [19] Emanuel County Institute # 3-Div B-A 8-3 34.80 22.34 373 [47]
223 [24] Coosa # 7-AA 8-4 34.77 26.37 333 [39]
224 [42] Jonesboro 4-Div B-AAAA 4-6 34.67 39.71 194 [37]
225 [54] Duluth 7-AAAAAA 2-8 34.56 59.88 36 [36]
226 [61] Heritage (Conyers) 8-AAAAA 3-7 34.44 42.77 156 [61]
227 [62] McIntosh 4-Div A-AAAAA 3-7 34.43 42.84 154 [60]
228 [25] Screven County # 3-AA 10-2 34.25 23.63 363 [45]
229 [63] Loganville 8-AAAAA 4-6 34.19 39.71 193 [74]
230 [43] Crisp County 1-Div A-AAAA 3-7 34.18 48.41 100 [15]
231 [64] Statesboro 3-AAAAA 2-8 34.03 49.10 93 [30]
232 [26] Washington-Wilkes # 8-AA 7-5 33.91 28.46 316 [31]
233 [44] Southeast Whitfield # 7-AAAA 6-5 33.86 30.84 294 [62]
234 [20] Stratford Academy # 7-Div A-A 6-5 33.81 28.84 312 [22]
235 [65] Lithia Springs 5-AAAAA 1-9 33.59 55.37 55 [7]
236 [27] Brantley County 1-Div A-AAA 5-5 33.54 29.90 302 [46]
237 [28] Morgan County 8-AAA 4-6 33.44 40.60 182 [7]
238 [45] Walnut Grove 4-Div A-AAAA 6-4 33.21 29.66 304 [63]
239 [21] Our Lady of Mercy 5-A 6-4 33.17 23.70 362 [41]
240 [22] Pinecrest Academy # 6-Div B-A 7-4 33.06 28.97 311 [21]
241 [46] Heritage (Ringgold) 7-AAAA 5-5 32.88 34.01 253 [55]
242 [27] Dublin # 3-AA 6-5 32.73 28.41 317 [32]
243 [23] Claxton # 3-Div A-A 7-4 32.70 28.69 313 [23]
244 [24] Lincoln County # 7-Div B-A 7-4 32.52 25.84 339 [31]
245 [47] Liberty County # 3-AAAA 4-7 32.17 39.46 198 [39]
246 [66] Shaw 1-AAAAA 4-6 32.16 35.76 229 [82]
247 [25] Schley County 4-A 6-4 31.80 27.25 325 [28]
248 [29] East Hall # 7-AAA 6-5 31.79 30.92 292 [41]
249 [26] Greenville # 4-A 5-6 31.78 35.45 232 [2]
250 [28] Seminole County 1-AA 4-6 31.66 35.66 231 [16]
251 [27] Atkinson County # 2-A 6-5 31.65 29.42 306 [18]
252 [67] Northside (Columbus) # 1-AAAAA 4-7 31.48 38.41 210 [79]
253 [48] Perry 2-AAAA 1-9 31.43 50.67 79 [8]
254 [29] Pelham 1-AA 4-6 31.31 37.98 214 [14]
255 [30] Southeast Bulloch 1-Div B-AAA 5-5 31.30 30.52 299 [44]
257 [55] Chattahoochee 6-AAAAAA 3-7 31.18 42.84 155 [56]
256 [28] Athens Christian # 8-A 7-4 31.18 16.95 398 [62]
258 [29] St. Francis # 6-Div B-A 7-4 31.15 22.05 378 [50]
259 [31] Central (Macon) # 2-AAA 5-6 30.95 31.58 286 [38]
261 [30] Swainsboro # 3-AA 5-6 30.75 32.86 269 [22]
260 [32] Sonoraville # 6-AAA 6-5 30.75 25.77 342 [55]
262 [68] Richmond Hill 3-AAAAA 2-8 30.62 43.87 139 [54]
263 [33] Westside (Augusta) # 3-AAA 4-6-1 30.30 34.90 241 [26]
264 [34] Jackson County 8-AAA 2-8 30.27 43.83 141 [4]
265 [49] Ridgeland 7-AAAA 4-6 30.06 36.04 226 [47]
266 [30] First Presbyterian # 7-Div A-A 7-4 29.85 25.06 349 [36]
267 [69] River Ridge 7-Div A-AAAAA 3-7 29.76 42.35 163 [63]
268 [50] Henry County 4-Div A-AAAA 4-6 29.62 34.87 245 [51]
269 [31] Monticello # 4-AA 4-7 28.78 31.80 282 [26]
270 [51] Americus-Sumter 1-Div B-AAAA 3-7 28.72 39.70 195 [38]
271 [35] Lumpkin County # 7-AAA 5-6 28.71 30.48 300 [45]
272 [31] Christian Heritage # 6-Div A-A 5-6 28.64 32.74 272 [10]
273 [36] Cedartown # 5-AAA 3-8 28.50 40.46 185 [10]
274 [32] Bryan County # 2-AA 5-6 28.48 33.10 262 [20]
275 [56] Campbell 3-AAAAAA 3-7 27.99 44.91 131 [52]
276 [70] Greenbrier 2-AAAAA 2-8 27.91 51.03 78 [20]
277 [32] Brookstone 4-A 4-6 27.71 34.95 239 [3]
278 [71] North Springs 7-Div B-AAAAA 2-8 27.57 41.91 168 [65]
279 [33] Telfair County 2-A 6-4 27.35 25.16 348 [35]
280 [34] Johnson County 3-Div B-A 5-5 26.75 21.65 380 [52]
281 [72] Morrow 4-Div A-AAAAA 3-7 26.44 41.36 172 [67]
282 [33] Bremen # 5-AA 6-5 26.12 25.74 343 [41]
283 [52] North Hall 8-AAAA 2-8 26.01 49.43 90 [11]
284 [37] Kendrick 2-AAA 5-5 25.52 27.22 326 [49]
285 [73] Apalachee 8-AAAAA 1-9 25.31 43.15 151 [59]
286 [57] Pebblebrook 3-AAAAAA 2-8 25.21 48.23 103 [51]
287 [38] Tattnall County 1-Div A-AAA 5-5 25.17 28.07 321 [48]
288 [39] Towers 4-Div A-AAA 2-8 25.04 36.85 222 [19]
289 [35] Calhoun County # 1-A 8-4 24.97 18.19 393 [57]
290 [40] North Clayton 4-Div A-AAA 3-7 24.88 39.37 200 [13]
291 [34] Groves 2-AA 6-4 24.69 17.26 397 [53]
292 [36] Wilcox County 2-A 3-7 24.58 34.88 242 [5]
293 [35] Metter 3-AA 4-6 24.43 26.75 329 [36]
294 [74] Dunwoody 6-Div A-AAAAA 4-6 24.39 34.04 251 [84]
295 [53] Monroe Area 8-AAAA 1-9 23.79 45.08 129 [25]
296 [54] Mount Zion (Jonesboro) 4-Div B-AAAA 2-8 23.40 34.87 243 [52]
297 [36] Holy Innocents 6-AA 2-8 23.39 38.68 207 [12]
298 [41] Banks County 7-AAA 5-5 23.37 22.79 370 [65]
299 [58] Lakeside (Atlanta) 2-AAAAAA 3-7 23.19 37.37 219 [63]
300 [75] Chapel Hill 5-AAAAA 0-10 23.18 56.33 48 [4]
301 [37] Greene County # 8-AA 5-6 23.08 24.33 355 [43]
302 [38] Hapeville 6-AA 4-6 23.04 31.46 287 [27]
303 [37] Jenkins County # 3-Div A-A 7-4 22.78 17.91 395 [59]
304 [59] Johns Creek 6-AAAAAA 1-9 22.69 43.26 149 [55]
305 [42] North Murray 6-AAA 5-5 22.59 19.61 388 [68]
306 [38] Turner County 2-A 4-6 22.51 28.57 314 [24]
307 [55] Riverdale 4-Div B-AAAA 3-7 22.46 31.92 281 [61]
308 [76] Cedar Shoals 8-AAAAA 0-10 22.19 44.59 135 [50]
309 [39] Trion 6-Div A-A 5-5 21.96 22.13 377 [49]
310 [43] Franklin County # 7-AAA 4-7 21.94 32.39 276 [33]
311 [44] Pepperell 5-AAA 3-7 21.88 32.23 277 [34]
312 [77] Banneker 6-Div B-AAAAA 0-10 21.85 57.91 41 [1]
313 [78] Cross Creek 2-AAAAA 1-9 21.59 51.54 76 [18]
314 [79] Bradwell Institute 3-AAAAA 0-10 21.12 47.98 106 [35]
315 [45] Dawson County 7-AAA 2-8 20.76 30.74 296 [42]
316 [46] Rockmart # 5-AAA 3-8 20.73 34.02 252 [29]
317 [47] Rutland 2-AAA 3-7 20.64 30.55 298 [43]
318 [60] Habersham Central 6-AAAAAA 1-9 20.62 41.21 175 [61]
319 [40] Savannah Country Day 3-Div A-A 3-7 20.55 28.24 319 [26]
320 [80] Columbus 1-AAAAA 3-7 20.52 33.86 254 [85]
321 [41] Mitchell County # 1-A 6-5 20.43 17.59 396 [60]
322 [48] Fannin County 7-AAA 4-6 20.29 25.82 340 [54]
323 [42] Fellowship Christian 6-Div B-A 4-6 19.72 22.59 371 [45]
324 [43] Wilkinson County 7-Div A-A 4-6 19.62 24.35 354 [38]
325 [39] Chattooga # 7-AA 4-7 19.55 24.46 352 [42]
326 [40] Jeff Davis 2-AA 4-6 19.53 26.13 336 [40]
327 [81] North Atlanta 7-Div B-AAAAA 2-8 19.47 40.65 181 [70]
328 [41] Northeast 4-AA 3-7 19.42 30.05 301 [28]
329 [49] Therrell 4-Div B-AAA 3-7 19.02 32.68 275 [32]
330 [44] Whitefield Academy 6-Div B-A 4-6 18.88 25.30 346 [34]
331 [45] Mount de Sales 7-Div A-A 4-6 18.47 24.26 356 [39]
332 [42] Chattahoochee County # 5-AA 6-5 18.44 15.62 404 [54]
333 [61] Osborne 4-AAAAAA† 2-7 18.39 33.02 266 [64]
334 [50] Jordan 2-AAA 3-7 18.34 26.94 328 [50]
335 [62] North Forsyth 6-AAAAAA 1-9 17.76 43.77 142 [54]
336 [56] Chestatee 8-AAAA 1-9 17.56 42.36 162 [32]
337 [51] Southwest 2-AAA 3-7 17.35 31.74 284 [36]
338 [52] McNair 4-Div A-AAA 3-7 17.23 24.83 350 [59]
339 [46] Hancock Central 7-Div B-A 4-6 17.10 22.55 372 [46]
340 [63] Alcovy 2-AAAAAA 0-10 16.76 53.47 68 [49]
341 [57] Redan 6-AAAA 2-8 16.53 37.93 215 [42]
342 [82] Woodland (Cartersville) 7-Div A-AAAAA 0-10 16.35 45.87 121 [43]
343 [58] Johnson (Gainesville) 8-AAAA† 2-8 16.13 28.53 315 [65]
344 [59] Pike County 4-Div B-AAAA 2-8 16.12 35.17 236 [50]
345 [53] Hephzibah # 3-AAA 6-5 16.06 15.88 402 [70]
346 [54] Johnson (Savannah) 1-Div B-AAA 3-7 16.02 23.25 368 [64]
347 [43] Long County 2-AA 3-7 15.83 27.55 323 [34]
348 [83] Forest Park 4-Div A-AAAAA 0-10 15.65 43.32 148 [58]
349 [60] Chamblee 6-AAAA 1-9 15.21 39.96 190 [36]
350 [47] George Walton Academy 8-A 5-5 15.14 16.26 400 [63]
351 [48] Portal 3-Div A-A 3-7 15.01 25.35 345 [33]
352 [61] Dougherty 1-Div B-AAAA 2-7 13.49 29.38 307 [64]
353 [44] Manchester 5-AA 3-7 13.46 23.32 367 [46]
354 [49] Walker 6-Div A-A 2-8 13.01 29.01 310 [20]
355 [50] Taylor County 4-A 1-8-1 12.94 31.43 288 [13]
356 [45] Riverside Military Academy 8-AA 3-7 12.91 19.98 386 [50]
357 [55] Toombs County 1-Div A-AAA 2-8 12.74 39.08 203 [15]
358 [62] Albany 1-Div A-AAAA 1-8 12.48 33.69 257 [56]
359 [63] LaFayette 7-AAAA 2-8 12.40 32.86 270 [59]
360 [51] Strong Rock Christian 5-A 4-6 12.14 23.39 366 [43]
361 [52] Hebron Christian Academy 8-A 5-5 11.95 9.18 410 [69]
362 [56] Spencer 2-AAA 1-9 11.88 34.49 249 [28]
363 [53] Georgia Military College 7-Div B-A 3-7 11.60 25.80 341 [32]
364 [46] Dade County 7-AA 2-8 11.47 26.61 332 [38]
365 [57] South Atlanta 4-Div A-AAA 2-8 11.10 25.57 344 [56]
366 [58] Butler 3-AAA 3-6 10.78 19.58 389 [69]
367 [54] King's Ridge Christian 6-Div B-A 1-9 10.74 28.35 318 [25]
368 [55] Athens Academy 8-A 4-5 10.61 10.35 409 [68]
369 [56] Terrell County 1-A 3-6 10.12 21.47 381 [53]
370 [47] Gordon Lee 7-AA 3-7 10.03 20.52 385 [49]
371 [48] K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate 6-AA 1-9 9.25 33.86 255 [18]
372 [57] Montgomery County 3-Div B-A 3-7 9.13 21.98 379 [51]
373 [59] Douglass 4-Div B-AAA 2-8 8.79 29.72 303 [47]
374 [49] Putnam County 4-AA 2-8 7.85 29.61 305 [29]
375 [58] Central (Talbotton) 4-A 2-8 7.04 30.95 291 [14]
376 [60] Beach 1-Div B-AAA 3-7 6.86 21.27 383 [67]
377 [50] East Laurens 3-AA 2-7-1 6.77 19.92 387 [51]
378 [59] Lanier County 2-A 1-9 6.05 29.03 309 [19]
379 [61] Josey 3-AAA 2-8 5.65 23.40 365 [63]
380 [84] Hardaway 1-AAAAA 0-10 5.39 38.66 208 [78]
381 [62] Glenn Hills 3-AAA 1-9 4.50 37.62 217 [17]
382 [51] McIntosh County Academy 2-AA 0-10 3.94 38.19 213 [13]
383 [52] Crawford County 4-AA† 6-4 3.77 -2.16 417 [57]
384 [60] Miller County 1-A 2-8 3.49 24.38 353 [37]
385 [63] East Jackson 8-AAA 1-9 3.31 34.98 237 [24]
386 [61] Lakeview Academy 8-A 3-7 3.26 16.06 401 [64]
387 [64] Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe 6-AAA 3-7 2.94 23.88 360 [61]
388 [62] Randolph-Clay 1-A 3-7 2.93 12.35 408 [67]
389 [64] Meadowcreek 7-AAAAAA 1-9 2.40 62.10 30 [30]
390 [65] Haralson County 5-AAA 1-9 2.32 31.29 290 [40]
391 [53] Harlem 3-AA 2-8 1.06 24.02 359 [44]
392 [63] Twiggs County 7-Div A-A 1-9 0.92 23.10 369 [44]
393 [64] Warren County 7-Div B-A 2-8 0.83 18.07 394 [58]
394 [65] Treutlen 3-Div B-A 1-9 0.69 23.58 364 [42]
395 [66] Savannah 1-Div B-AAA 2-8 0.07 24.23 357 [60]
396 [67] Murray County 6-AAA 2-8 -0.86 25.97 338 [53]
397 [64] Hampton 4-Div A-AAAA 0-9 -1.77 38.28 211 [41]
398 [66] North Cobb Christian 6-Div A-A† 5-5 -2.24 -1.84 416 [73]
399 [68] Gordon Central 6-AAA 1-9 -4.04 25.24 347 [57]
400 [54] Oglethorpe County 8-AA 1-8 -4.66 32.70 273 [24]
401 [65] Stone Mountain 6-AAAA 0-10 -5.48 45.55 126 [23]
402 [55] Temple 5-AA 2-8 -6.57 15.53 406 [55]
403 [67] Towns County 8-A 2-8 -6.91 15.87 403 [65]
404 [56] Armuchee 7-AA 1-9 -6.94 20.61 384 [48]
405 [68] Wheeler County 3-Div B-A 1-9 -7.24 19.36 391 [56]
406 [69] Mount Vernon Presbyterian 5-A 2-8 -10.28 9.12 411 [70]
407 [66] New Hampstead 3-AAAA† 2-8 -12.21 7.28 412 [67]
408 [69] Islands 1-Div B-AAA 1-9 -12.41 24.47 351 [59]
409 [67] Windsor Forest 3-AAAA 0-10 -13.07 27.41 324 [66]
410 [57] Social Circle 8-AA 0-10 -13.24 15.39 407 [56]
411 [70] Baconton 1-A 1-9 -14.39 15.59 405 [66]
412 [71] Glascock County 7-Div B-A† 1-9 -17.66 1.15 414 [72]
413 [68] Cross Keys 6-AAAA† 1-4 -22.30 -1.54 415 [68]
414 [72] Stewart County 1-A† 0-10 -23.09 7.16 413 [71]
415 [70] Coahulla Creek 6-AAA 0-10 -23.77 23.75 361 [62]
416 [73] Providence Christian 8-A 0-10 -24.85 19.38 390 [55]
417 [85] Clarkston 6-Div A-AAAAA† 0-10 -25.97 34.56 247 [83]
†-Plays non-region schedule

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the rating required to win 80% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition, and its “Average Rating”, which is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank Region Competitive Average
1 1 - AAAAAA 97.66 79.78
2 8 - AAAAAA 88.19 68.36
3 7 - AAAAAA 83.44 63.26
4 4 - AAAAAA 80.19 64.49
5 5 - AAAAAA 79.73 62.10
6 2 - AAAAAA 79.53 55.18
7 5 - AAAA 74.78 58.58
8 3 - AAAAAA 73.82 53.46
9 5 - AAAAA 72.38 54.70
10 2 - AAAAA 71.80 51.51
11 8 - AAA 68.89 45.54
12 3 - AAAAA 68.36 46.72
13 6 - AAAAA 66.66 47.85
6 - Div B - AAAAA 75.36 56.09
6 - Div A - AAAAA 57.78 42.45
14 8 - AAAA 66.47 42.14
15 6 - AAAA 64.20 40.29
16 2 - AAAA 64.16 47.48
17 6 - AA 63.09 36.94
18 2 - AA 62.67 30.43
19 7 - AAAAA 62.03 43.13
7 - Div A - AAAAA 62.41 43.27
7 - Div B - AAAAA 61.65 43.00
20 4 - AAAAA 61.57 43.86
4 - Div B - AAAAA 63.15 45.69
4 - Div A - AAAAA 60.25 41.93
21 1 - AA 61.47 43.18
22 4 - AAA 60.98 32.56
4 - Div B - AAA 73.30 39.42
4 - Div A - AAA 49.01 27.66
23 8 - AAAAA 59.10 40.74
24 6 - AAAAAA 58.65 38.94
25 7 - AAAA 58.50 37.77
26 1 - AAAA 57.01 39.11
1 - Div A - AAAA 58.26 39.94
1 - Div B - AAAA 55.77 38.29
27 1 - AAAAA 56.66 35.56
28 3 - AAA 55.50 22.40
29 6 - AAA 54.50 20.42
30 4 - A 53.89 34.32
31 1 - AAA 53.66 29.46
1 - Div A - AAA 61.61 42.84
1 - Div B - AAA 36.00 13.18
32 5 - AAA 52.53 28.93
33 3 - AAAA 52.38 36.66
34 2 - AAA 52.28 29.47
35 5 - A 50.96 28.87
36 4 - AAAA 50.82 32.36
4 - Div B - AAAA 52.70 31.42
4 - Div A - AAAA 49.45 33.21
37 2 - A 49.74 31.02
38 4 - AA 48.77 32.05
39 6 - A 46.96 28.29
6 - Div A - A 51.48 31.15
6 - Div B - A 43.91 26.22
40 3 - A 44.35 23.21
3 - Div A - A 50.90 31.04
3 - Div B - A 33.55 12.27
41 7 - AAA 43.07 26.93
42 3 - AA 42.52 25.35
43 7 - A 41.36 23.13
7 - Div A - A 41.99 24.52
7 - Div B - A 40.43 21.13
44 5 - AA 41.19 22.34
45 8 - AA 41.07 20.31
46 7 - AA 40.65 21.16
47 8 - A 35.25 13.51
48 1 - A 23.86 8.32

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date Team Opponent Score Diff Pct Likelihood
10/10 Mount Pisgah Christian Fellowship Christian 28 - 33 24.81 92.3% 0.138
09/26 Stockbridge Luella 6 - 7 26.26 93.3% 0.143
08/29 Macon County Americus-Sumter 23 - 28 21.26 89.3% 0.175
09/05 Cook Berrien 14 - 21 20.42 88.5% 0.177
09/26 Pickens Ridgeland 28 - 35 19.11 87.1% 0.193
08/22 Archer Sandy Creek 13 - 21 17.94 85.7% 0.205
09/26 Central (Macon) Spencer 21 - 27 18.21 86.1% 0.209
08/22 Athens Christian Strong Rock Christian 7 - 8 19.91 88.0% 0.212
08/23 Mount Pisgah Christian Brookstone 34 - 42 16.82 84.3% 0.220
09/26 Westside (Augusta) Butler 27 - 29 18.65 86.6% 0.223
08/22 Fayette County McIntosh 25 - 28 17.63 85.4% 0.231
10/23 Cairo Monroe 14 - 21 15.80 82.9% 0.239
10/03 Walton Pope 36 - 44 14.66 81.2% 0.252
09/05 Westlake Shiloh 7 - 14 14.46 80.9% 0.259
10/24 Hillgrove Harrison 42 - 43 16.11 83.4% 0.263

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating Date Team Opponent Score Diff Pct
89.73 12/13 Colquitt County Archer - 16.84 84.3%
87.37 11/21 Colquitt County Dacula 51 - 30 18.95 86.9%
87.00 09/12 Archer Grayson 10 - 14 2.28 55.7%
86.57 10/31 Archer Dacula 24 - 10 2.98 57.4%
86.08 10/24 Dacula Grayson 27 - 17 0.17 50.4%
85.91 09/05 Buford McEachern 27 - 20 12.43 77.6%
85.10 12/05 Colquitt County McEachern 57 - 20 20.98 89.1%
83.91 11/21 Grayson Tucker 23 - 26 3.54 58.7%
83.65 11/28 Colquitt County Milton 42 - 35 22.28 90.3%
83.18 12/05 Washington County Blessed Trinity 28 - 17 7.43 67.8%
83.14 11/14 Grayson Mill Creek 24 - 6 4.64 61.4%
83.03 11/21 Archer Lee County 56 - 13 7.64 68.2%
82.94 09/05 Dacula Mill Creek 28 - 21 3.95 59.7%
82.85 11/28 McEachern Tucker 62 - 36 0.81 52.0%
82.52 08/23 Colquitt County Mill Creek 31 - 14 22.90 90.8%

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Todd Holcomb

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