Sports

Maxwell Regular Season Summary: Camden puts a dent in Colquitt as the Packers chase history

By Todd Holcomb
Nov 11, 2014

The Maxwell Ratings will rank Georgia's 417 teams throughout the 2014 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.

Interesting results after Week Twelve:

- After running roughshod over their first nine opponents, Colquitt County nearly met it's match Friday against Camden County. In the preseason, the contest was expected to determine the region title, but Packer's domination and the Wildcat's sub par season lead many to think the game would be another uninteresting Packer rout. The thin 28-24 triumph for Colquitt dropped their rating more than a field goal.

- However, the narrow victory over Camden County aside, Maxwell notes that the Packers might be chasing history as much as the 2014 state title. If the season were to end today, their rating would place them in the top 10 highest ratings since 1948 and the third highest outside of the 31602 zip code. However, to secure their position would most likely require nothing short of a championship. All but one of Maxwell's top 30 all-time teams have a state title while the sole exception lost only to another top 30 all-time team in the playoffs.

- Although 32 teams from each of the GHSA's top five classifications received playoff bids this week, many others will be watching from home. Some of them, according to Maxwell, are better than those invited to the dance. Of the non-playoff teams, 27 are ranked among his top 32 in their classification.

AAAAAA
Rank Team Record Rating
11 Lowndes 6-4 78.56
18 Camden County 5-5 73.30
28 Collins Hill 5-5 63.45
29 Parkview 4-6 60.62
30 Woodstock 6-4 60.46
32 Walton 5-5 59.16
AAAAA
Rank Team Record Rating
9 Hiram 6-4 67.90
16 Lakeside (Evans) 6-4 62.78
18 East Paulding 4-6 62.56
20 Paulding County 5-5 61.80
23 Villa Rica 5-5 60.79
30 Sprayberry 6-4 55.15
32 Evans 5-5 51.83
AAAA
Rank Team Record Rating
14 Thomas County Central 6-4 54.98
19 Carrollton 4-6 51.95
24 Upson-Lee 7-3 49.39
26 Troup 3-7 49.01
29 Monroe 6-4 46.39
AAA
Rank Team Record Rating
25 Jenkins 6-4 35.79
26 Washington 4-6 34.77
27 Decatur 6-4 34.45
28 Morgan County 4-6 33.21
32 Brantley County 5-5 30.64
AA
Rank Team Record Rating
12 Early County 3-6-1 42.25
20 Seminole County 4-6 37.40
23 Pelham 4-6 36.98
27 B.E.S.T. Academy 5-5 34.63

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season's games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.

The current total weight of all team's historical performance is 0.17%.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 1,864 of 2,056 total games including 4 ties (90.76%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within 12.76 points.

The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team's opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.

Home Advantage: 0.88

By Class

AAAAAA AAAAA
Rank Team Record Rating Rank Team Record Rating
1 Colquitt County 10-0 108.51 1 Allatoona 10-0 88.57
2 Valdosta 9-1 87.93 2 Ware County 10-0 78.49
3 Lee County 7-2 86.18 3 Northside (Warner Robins) 9-1 75.63
4 Mill Creek 7-3 82.87 4 South Paulding 8-2 74.24
5 Grayson 9-1 81.85 5 Alexander 8-2 72.74
6 North Gwinnett 8-2 81.50 6 Houston County 8-2 71.09
7 Dacula 9-1 81.30 7 Coffee 9-1 69.65
8 Tift County 7-3 80.95 8 New Manchester 6-4 67.95
9 Milton 9-1 79.85 9 Hiram 6-4 67.90
10 McEachern 7-3 79.42 10 Dalton 8-2 67.75
11 Lowndes 6-4 78.56 11 Jones County 8-2 67.46
12 Archer 7-3 77.75 12 Kell 10-0 67.40
13 Tucker 8-2 77.68 13 Mays 8-2 66.85
14 Peachtree Ridge 7-3 75.94 14 Creekside 8-2 66.36
15 Westlake 8-1 75.72 15 Warner Robins 6-4 62.81
AAAA AAA
Rank Team Record Rating Rank Team Record Rating
1 Buford 10-0 91.07 1 Peach County 10-0 85.22
2 Cartersville 9-1 73.29 2 Washington County 10-0 80.90
3 Sandy Creek 9-1 69.80 3 Calhoun 10-0 79.39
4 Woodward Academy 8-2 67.57 4 Blessed Trinity 10-0 76.08
5 Cairo 8-2 65.67 5 Jefferson 10-0 73.92
6 Griffin 10-0 65.53 6 Westside (Macon) 9-1 69.97
7 Marist 9-1 64.70 7 Westminster (Atlanta) 9-1 64.01
8 Mary Persons 8-2 64.66 8 Hart County 9-1 63.55
9 Whitewater 7-3 61.63 9 Central (Carrollton) 10-0 62.74
10 West Laurens 7-3 61.49 10 Adairsville 9-1 60.63
11 St. Pius X 8-2 61.40 11 Elbert County 7-3 55.80
12 North Oconee 7-3 60.27 12 Cedar Grove 8-2 53.73
13 Worth County 6-3 59.28 13 Cook 8-2 52.32
14 Thomas County Central 6-4 54.98 14 Ringgold 8-2 49.63
15 Pickens 8-2 54.35 15 West Hall 9-1 48.80
AA A
Rank Team Record Rating Rank Team Record Rating
1 Vidalia 10-0 74.38 1 Marion County 10-0 61.61
2 Greater Atlanta Christian 10-0 71.09 2 Mount Paran Christian 10-0 61.09
3 Fitzgerald 9-1 68.65 3 Hawkinsville 9-1 58.11
4 Benedictine 8-2 64.08 4 Irwin County 8-1-1 57.82
5 Brooks County 7-3 62.44 5 Calvary Day 10-0 51.97
6 Thomasville 6-4 59.46 6 Charlton County 9-1 50.54
7 Lovett 7-3 57.73 7 Aquinas 10-0 48.37
8 Macon County 8-2 56.29 8 Pacelli 7-3 47.12
9 Lamar County 7-2-1 48.44 9 Dooly County 7-3 46.31
10 Bowdon 8-2 45.74 10 Landmark Christian 8-2 45.97
11 Darlington 9-1 42.56 11 Eagle's Landing Christian 4-6 45.21
12 Early County 3-6-1 42.25 12 Savannah Christian 9-1 44.99
13 Rabun County 8-2 42.07 13 Clinch County 6-4 43.89
14 Bleckley County 5-5 41.74 14 Mount Pisgah Christian 7-3 42.41
15 Berrien 4-6 41.69 15 Tattnall Square 9-1 40.13

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association. Please submit errors or omissions through their forums.

Rank Team Region Record Rating Sch Str Rank
1 [1] Colquitt County 1-AAAAAA 10-0 108.51 74.54 1 [1]
2 [1] Buford 8-AAAA 10-0 91.07 40.08 173 [31]
3 [1] Allatoona 5-AAAAA 10-0 88.57 61.19 37 [9]
4 [2] Valdosta 1-AAAAAA 9-1 87.93 66.87 9 [9]
5 [3] Lee County 1-AAAAAA 7-2 86.18 65.51 11 [11]
6 [1] Peach County 2-AAA 10-0 85.22 34.83 243 [18]
7 [4] Mill Creek 7-AAAAAA 7-3 82.87 64.14 20 [18]
8 [5] Grayson 8-AAAAAA 9-1 81.85 62.16 31 [26]
9 [6] North Gwinnett 7-AAAAAA 8-2 81.50 66.03 10 [10]
10 [7] Dacula 8-AAAAAA 9-1 81.30 63.44 24 [21]
11 [8] Tift County 1-AAAAAA 7-3 80.95 63.91 21 [19]
12 [2] Washington County 3-AAA 10-0 80.90 31.91 277 [34]
13 [9] Milton 5-AAAAAA 9-1 79.85 61.44 34 [27]
14 [10] McEachern 4-AAAAAA 7-3 79.42 69.33 4 [4]
15 [3] Calhoun 6-AAA 10-0 79.39 27.68 320 [48]
16 [11] Lowndes 1-AAAAAA 6-4 78.56 72.62 2 [2]
17 [2] Ware County 3-AAAAA 10-0 78.49 44.75 118 [40]
18 [12] Archer 8-AAAAAA 7-3 77.75 64.46 18 [17]
19 [13] Tucker 2-AAAAAA 8-2 77.68 34.77 244 [63]
20 [4] Blessed Trinity 4-Div B-AAA 10-0 76.08 43.19 136 [2]
21 [14] Peachtree Ridge 7-AAAAAA 7-3 75.94 65.10 14 [13]
22 [15] Westlake 3-AAAAAA 8-1 75.72 48.34 91 [48]
23 [3] Northside (Warner Robins) 2-AAAAA 9-1 75.63 54.50 64 [14]
24 [1] Vidalia 2-AA 10-0 74.38 27.72 318 [32]
25 [16] Hillgrove 4-AAAAAA 7-3 74.27 63.00 27 [24]
26 [4] South Paulding 5-AAAAA 8-2 74.24 61.59 33 [7]
27 [5] Jefferson 8-AAA 10-0 73.92 37.18 214 [10]
28 [17] North Cobb 4-AAAAAA 7-3 73.67 65.45 12 [12]
29 [18] Camden County 1-AAAAAA 5-5 73.30 71.21 3 [3]
30 [2] Cartersville 7-AAAA 9-1 73.29 43.85 127 [24]
31 [5] Alexander 5-AAAAA 8-2 72.74 62.33 29 [5]
32 [19] Etowah 5-AAAAAA 8-2 72.13 58.55 49 [38]
33 [20] Norcross 7-AAAAAA 7-3 72.08 65.01 15 [15]
34 [21] Hughes 3-AAAAAA 8-2 71.92 58.58 48 [37]
36 [6] Houston County 2-AAAAA 8-2 71.09 51.58 77 [22]
35 [2] Greater Atlanta Christian 6-AA 10-0 71.09 39.13 191 [10]
37 [6] Westside (Macon) 2-AAA 9-1 69.97 37.63 207 [7]
38 [3] Sandy Creek 5-AAAA 9-1 69.80 52.39 74 [8]
39 [22] Lovejoy 2-AAAAAA 7-3 69.73 56.67 52 [41]
40 [7] Coffee 3-AAAAA 9-1 69.65 41.54 158 [62]
41 [3] Fitzgerald 1-AA 9-1 68.65 48.58 88 [3]
42 [8] New Manchester 5-AAAAA 6-4 67.95 62.64 28 [4]
43 [9] Hiram 5-AAAAA 6-4 67.90 60.40 39 [10]
44 [23] Roswell 5-AAAAAA 7-3 67.84 59.87 42 [31]
45 [10] Dalton 7-Div A-AAAAA 8-2 67.75 44.43 121 [42]
46 [24] Alpharetta 6-AAAAAA 9-1 67.58 40.01 179 [59]
47 [4] Woodward Academy 5-AAAA 8-2 67.57 51.03 79 [10]
48 [11] Jones County 2-AAAAA 8-2 67.46 50.07 82 [23]
49 [12] Kell 7-Div B-AAAAA 10-0 67.40 46.40 106 [33]
50 [13] Mays 6-Div B-AAAAA 8-2 66.85 47.45 97 [27]
51 [14] Creekside 6-Div B-AAAAA 8-2 66.36 53.19 70 [18]
52 [25] Central Gwinnett 8-AAAAAA 6-4 66.10 62.19 30 [25]
53 [26] East Coweta 3-AAAAAA 8-2 65.70 52.41 73 [45]
54 [5] Cairo 1-Div A-AAAA 8-2 65.67 50.87 80 [11]
55 [6] Griffin 4-Div B-AAAA 10-0 65.53 32.25 271 [60]
56 [27] Cherokee 5-AAAAAA 7-3 65.34 54.51 63 [44]
57 [7] Marist 6-AAAA 9-1 64.70 35.39 237 [54]
58 [8] Mary Persons 2-AAAA 8-2 64.66 50.06 83 [13]
59 [4] Benedictine 2-AA 8-2 64.08 32.79 265 [20]
60 [7] Westminster (Atlanta) 4-Div B-AAA 9-1 64.01 36.09 228 [13]
61 [8] Hart County 8-AAA 9-1 63.55 33.91 251 [20]
62 [28] Collins Hill 7-AAAAAA 5-5 63.45 65.10 13 [14]
63 [15] Warner Robins 2-AAAAA 6-4 62.81 56.41 53 [11]
64 [16] Lakeside (Evans) 2-AAAAA 6-4 62.78 53.17 71 [19]
65 [9] Central (Carrollton) 5-AAA 10-0 62.74 31.34 288 [37]
66 [17] Lanier 8-AAAAA 10-0 62.73 40.20 171 [70]
67 [18] East Paulding 5-AAAAA 4-6 62.56 63.58 23 [3]
68 [5] Brooks County 1-AA 7-3 62.44 47.47 96 [4]
69 [19] Harris County 1-AAAAA 8-2 61.85 41.01 164 [66]
70 [20] Paulding County 5-AAAAA 5-5 61.80 61.40 35 [8]
71 [9] Whitewater 5-AAAA 7-3 61.63 50.74 81 [12]
72 [1] Marion County 4-A 10-0 61.61 31.64 282 [15]
73 [10] West Laurens 2-AAAA 7-3 61.49 53.71 67 [7]
74 [11] St. Pius X 6-AAAA 8-2 61.40 40.28 169 [29]
75 [21] Gainesville 8-AAAAA 8-2 61.15 41.15 162 [64]
76 [2] Mount Paran Christian 6-Div A-A 10-0 61.09 27.10 326 [27]
77 [22] Stockbridge 4-Div B-AAAAA 8-2 61.00 42.74 147 [57]
78 [23] Villa Rica 5-AAAAA 5-5 60.79 62.13 32 [6]
79 [10] Adairsville 6-AAA 9-1 60.63 19.85 385 [70]
80 [29] Parkview 8-AAAAAA 4-6 60.62 63.43 25 [22]
81 [30] Woodstock 5-AAAAAA 6-4 60.46 55.40 59 [43]
82 [12] North Oconee 8-AAAA 7-3 60.27 46.40 105 [18]
83 [31] North Paulding 4-AAAAAA 4-6 59.87 66.95 8 [8]
84 [6] Thomasville 1-AA 6-4 59.46 55.04 61 [1]
85 [13] Worth County 1-Div B-AAAA 6-3 59.28 51.25 78 [9]
86 [32] Walton 5-AAAAAA 5-5 59.16 60.27 40 [30]
87 [33] Douglas County 3-AAAAAA 5-5 58.83 58.21 50 [39]
88 [24] Stephenson 6-Div A-AAAAA 7-3 58.63 40.04 177 [72]
89 [34] Harrison 4-AAAAAA 5-5 58.43 59.76 43 [32]
90 [3] Hawkinsville 4-A 9-1 58.11 35.85 232 [7]
91 [4] Irwin County 2-A 8-1-1 57.82 37.82 203 [4]
92 [7] Lovett 6-AA 7-3 57.73 42.09 154 [8]
93 [35] South Gwinnett 8-AAAAAA 3-7 57.32 63.76 22 [20]
94 [25] Glynn Academy 3-AAAAA 7-3 57.02 47.17 101 [30]
95 [26] Carver (Columbus) 1-AAAAA 8-2 56.48 39.94 181 [73]
97 [27] Carver (Atlanta) 6-Div B-AAAAA 8-2 56.29 43.64 130 [47]
96 [8] Macon County 4-AA 8-2 56.29 36.95 219 [13]
98 [28] Drew 4-Div A-AAAAA 7-3 56.18 44.75 117 [41]
99 [29] Mundy's Mill 4-Div A-AAAAA 7-3 55.81 45.13 116 [39]
100 [11] Elbert County 8-AAA 7-3 55.80 43.62 131 [1]
101 [36] Wheeler 5-AAAAAA 4-6 55.79 59.10 47 [36]
102 [37] Newton 2-AAAAAA 5-3 55.23 42.89 141 [54]
103 [30] Sprayberry 7-Div B-AAAAA 6-4 55.15 45.96 110 [35]
104 [38] Shiloh 8-AAAAAA 3-7 55.08 67.49 7 [6]
105 [39] Marietta 4-AAAAAA 3-7 55.04 63.01 26 [23]
106 [14] Thomas County Central 1-Div A-AAAA 6-4 54.98 47.43 98 [17]
107 [40] Kennesaw Mountain 4-AAAAAA 4-6 54.95 59.57 45 [34]
108 [31] Sequoyah 7-Div A-AAAAA 5-5 54.73 53.44 68 [16]
109 [15] Pickens 7-AAAA 8-2 54.35 36.89 221 [48]
110 [16] Baldwin 2-AAAA 6-4 53.76 48.55 89 [15]
111 [12] Cedar Grove 4-Div A-AAA 8-2 53.73 31.47 287 [36]
112 [41] Brookwood 8-AAAAAA 2-8 53.44 68.75 5 [5]
113 [17] Westover 1-Div B-AAAA 6-4 52.58 46.02 109 [19]
114 [42] Lambert 6-AAAAAA 7-3 52.40 40.70 166 [58]
115 [13] Cook 1-Div A-AAA 8-2 52.32 32.24 273 [32]
116 [18] Bainbridge 1-Div B-AAAA 6-4 52.31 47.82 94 [16]
117 [5] Calvary Day 3-Div A-A 10-0 51.97 21.91 372 [48]
118 [19] Carrollton 5-AAAA 4-6 51.95 55.85 56 [3]
119 [32] Evans 2-AAAAA 5-5 51.83 52.20 75 [21]
120 [20] Fayette County 5-AAAA 4-6 51.67 54.17 65 [6]
121 [33] Cambridge 7-Div B-AAAAA 7-3 51.29 39.83 187 [75]
122 [21] Columbia 6-AAAA 7-3 51.06 38.08 201 [42]
123 [34] Creekview 7-Div A-AAAAA 6-4 51.05 48.50 90 [24]
124 [22] Stephens County 8-AAAA 7-3 51.04 38.86 192 [38]
125 [43] South Cobb 3-AAAAAA 4-6 51.01 55.49 58 [42]
126 [6] Charlton County 2-A 9-1 50.54 31.74 279 [14]
127 [35] Starr's Mill 4-Div A-AAAAA 6-4 50.43 46.31 107 [34]
128 [44] Northview 6-AAAAAA 7-3 50.16 37.72 205 [61]
129 [36] Brunswick 3-AAAAA 6-4 49.96 44.18 123 [44]
130 [23] Gilmer 7-AAAA 8-2 49.87 35.71 236 [53]
131 [14] Ringgold 6-AAA 8-2 49.63 25.28 342 [57]
132 [24] Upson-Lee 2-AAAA 7-3 49.39 39.88 185 [37]
133 [25] Veterans 2-AAAA 3-7 49.27 60.09 41 [1]
134 [45] Newnan 3-AAAAAA 3-7 49.24 56.97 51 [40]
135 [46] Mountain View 7-AAAAAA 3-7 49.21 60.96 38 [29]
136 [26] Troup 5-AAAA 3-7 49.01 55.51 57 [4]
137 [37] Richmond Academy 2-AAAAA 4-5-1 48.94 52.69 72 [20]
138 [38] Dutchtown 4-Div B-AAAAA 5-5 48.85 48.26 92 [25]
139 [15] West Hall 7-AAA 9-1 48.80 25.42 340 [56]
140 [39] Southwest DeKalb 6-Div A-AAAAA 6-4 48.66 46.81 103 [32]
141 [16] Pierce County 1-Div A-AAA 8-2 48.62 32.40 267 [28]
142 [17] Jackson 2-AAA 7-3 48.52 35.73 234 [15]
143 [9] Lamar County 4-AA 7-2-1 48.44 33.28 260 [18]
144 [7] Aquinas 7-Div B-A 10-0 48.37 22.88 362 [43]
145 [27] Wayne County 3-AAAA 5-5 48.30 43.91 125 [23]
146 [18] Dodge County 1-Div A-AAA 8-2 47.60 32.82 264 [27]
147 [28] Burke County 3-AAAA 6-4 47.56 40.05 175 [33]
148 [40] Northgate 4-Div A-AAAAA 6-4 47.14 41.59 157 [61]
149 [8] Pacelli 4-A 7-3 47.12 35.30 239 [10]
150 [47] West Forsyth 6-AAAAAA 6-4 47.07 42.10 153 [56]
151 [48] South Forsyth 6-AAAAAA 6-4 46.85 40.01 178 [60]
152 [19] Laney 3-AAA 7-3 46.81 28.55 311 [45]
153 [41] Winder-Barrow 8-AAAAA 6-4 46.49 42.99 140 [52]
154 [29] Monroe 1-Div A-AAAA 6-4 46.39 40.06 174 [32]
155 [9] Dooly County 4-A 7-3 46.31 34.64 247 [11]
156 [49] Pope 5-AAAAAA 2-8 46.18 61.24 36 [28]
157 [10] Landmark Christian 5-A 8-2 45.97 28.46 313 [25]
158 [10] Bowdon 5-AA 8-2 45.74 27.50 321 [33]
159 [42] Tri-Cities 6-Div B-AAAAA 6-4 45.62 37.24 213 [82]
160 [43] Woodland (Stockbridge) 4-Div B-AAAAA 7-3 45.57 40.15 172 [71]
161 [50] Rockdale County 2-AAAAAA 5-5 45.32 47.87 93 [49]
162 [11] Eagle's Landing Christian 5-A 4-6 45.21 49.34 85 [1]
163 [12] Savannah Christian 3-Div A-A 9-1 44.99 18.98 391 [57]
164 [30] Eagle's Landing 4-Div A-AAAA 8-2 44.72 34.66 246 [57]
165 [44] Salem 8-AAAAA 6-4 44.71 41.02 163 [65]
166 [45] Forsyth Central 7-Div B-AAAAA 6-4 44.42 38.57 195 [78]
167 [31] White County 8-AAAA 6-4 44.20 39.93 183 [35]
168 [13] Clinch County 2-A 6-4 43.89 36.85 223 [6]
169 [46] LaGrange 1-AAAAA 5-5 43.87 42.71 148 [58]
170 [47] Effingham County 3-AAAAA 6-4 43.85 43.73 128 [45]
171 [48] Clarke Central 8-AAAAA 5-5 43.85 42.76 145 [55]
172 [20] Callaway 5-AAA 6-4 43.83 35.71 235 [16]
173 [21] Appling County 1-Div A-AAA 7-3 43.09 33.64 257 [24]
174 [49] Cass 7-Div A-AAAAA 5-5 42.83 45.71 113 [37]
175 [51] Lassiter 5-AAAAAA 0-10 42.78 64.95 17 [16]
176 [11] Darlington 7-AA 9-1 42.56 21.55 376 [49]
177 [32] Eastside 4-Div A-AAAA 6-4 42.54 38.06 202 [43]
178 [14] Mount Pisgah Christian 6-Div B-A 7-3 42.41 31.57 283 [16]
179 [50] Luella 4-Div B-AAAAA 5-5 42.37 43.48 133 [48]
180 [12] Early County 1-AA 3-6-1 42.25 46.78 104 [5]
181 [33] Locust Grove 4-Div A-AAAA 8-2 42.08 32.00 276 [61]
182 [13] Rabun County 8-AA 8-2 42.07 24.75 348 [41]
183 [14] Bleckley County 4-AA 5-5 41.74 42.34 150 [7]
184 [51] Rome 7-Div A-AAAAA 3-6 41.71 45.72 112 [36]
185 [15] Berrien 1-AA 4-6 41.69 50.05 84 [2]
186 [52] Riverwood 7-Div B-AAAAA 5-5 41.41 40.59 167 [68]
187 [34] Spalding 4-Div B-AAAA 6-4 41.17 34.84 242 [55]
188 [53] Lithia Springs 5-AAAAA 1-9 40.94 64.28 19 [2]
189 [35] Howard 2-AAAA 3-6-1 40.76 46.02 108 [20]
190 [22] Oconee County 8-AAA 7-3 40.62 28.95 304 [42]
191 [54] Miller Grove 6-Div A-AAAAA 5-5 40.56 37.80 204 [81]
192 [36] Crisp County 1-Div A-AAAA 3-7 40.41 55.18 60 [5]
193 [15] Tattnall Square 7-Div A-A 9-1 40.13 19.43 389 [55]
194 [37] Grady 6-AAAA 5-5 40.01 37.71 206 [44]
195 [55] South Effingham 3-AAAAA 4-6 39.16 42.86 142 [54]
196 [38] Northwest Whitfield 7-AAAA 5-5 39.12 38.86 193 [39]
197 [56] Grovetown 2-AAAAA 3-7 39.06 53.24 69 [17]
198 [16] Jefferson County 3-AA 7-3 38.80 27.28 323 [34]
199 [17] Bacon County 2-AA 6-4 38.71 30.97 289 [24]
200 [52] Centennial 6-AAAAAA 5-5 38.58 42.83 144 [55]
201 [18] Screven County 3-AA 9-1 38.33 22.22 369 [46]
202 [39] Southeast Whitfield 7-AAAA 6-4 37.92 30.27 291 [63]
203 [16] Emanuel County Institute 3-Div B-A 8-2 37.90 21.41 379 [50]
204 [19] Wesleyan 6-AA 6-4 37.75 31.48 286 [23]
206 [58] Union Grove 4-Div B-AAAAA 3-7 37.72 45.62 114 [38]
205 [57] Flowery Branch 8-AAAAA 5-5 37.72 38.76 194 [77]
207 [59] Ola 4-Div B-AAAAA 4-6 37.61 40.82 165 [67]
208 [20] Seminole County 1-AA 4-6 37.40 41.54 159 [9]
209 [60] M. L. King 6-Div A-AAAAA 3-7 37.36 47.15 102 [31]
210 [40] Madison County 8-AAAA 5-5 37.31 37.27 212 [46]
211 [21] Union County 8-AA 9-1 37.23 15.94 395 [53]
212 [22] Model 7-AA 8-2 37.20 24.24 352 [42]
213 [41] Jonesboro 4-Div B-AAAA 4-6 37.11 42.20 152 [27]
214 [53] Berkmar 8-AAAAAA 0-10 37.09 67.49 6 [7]
215 [42] Heritage (Ringgold) 7-AAAA 5-5 37.05 38.22 199 [41]
216 [23] Pelham 1-AA 4-6 36.98 43.90 126 [6]
217 [17] Greenville 4-A 5-5 36.67 37.44 210 [5]
218 [23] Maynard Jackson 4-Div A-AAA 7-3 36.60 29.75 295 [39]
219 [43] Arabia Mountain 6-AAAA 4-6 36.55 43.25 135 [25]
220 [18] Schley County 4-A 6-4 36.43 31.57 284 [17]
221 [24] Pace Academy 6-AA 5-5 36.31 36.86 222 [14]
222 [19] Mount Zion (Carroll) 6-Div A-A 7-3 36.28 21.81 373 [49]
223 [25] Coosa 7-AA 7-3 36.18 25.29 341 [38]
224 [44] Thomson 3-AAAA 4-6 36.08 39.97 180 [34]
225 [24] Central (Macon) 2-AAA 5-5 35.92 33.77 254 [21]
226 [25] Jenkins 1-Div B-AAA 6-4 35.79 27.83 317 [47]
227 [45] Perry 2-AAAA 1-9 35.65 56.16 55 [2]
228 [46] Walnut Grove 4-Div A-AAAA 6-4 35.20 31.66 281 [62]
229 [20] Atkinson County 2-A 6-4 35.16 29.69 297 [19]
230 [47] Lithonia 6-AAAA 6-4 35.07 28.77 308 [65]
231 [26] Washington 4-Div B-AAA 4-6 34.77 37.54 209 [8]
232 [61] Shaw 1-AAAAA 4-6 34.75 38.10 200 [80]
233 [62] McIntosh 4-Div A-AAAAA 3-7 34.71 43.07 138 [51]
234 [26] Dublin 3-AA 6-4 34.67 27.95 316 [31]
235 [63] Northside (Columbus) 1-AAAAA 4-6 34.64 38.55 196 [79]
236 [27] B.E.S.T. Academy 6-AA 5-5 34.63 36.66 226 [15]
237 [27] Decatur 4-Div B-AAA 6-4 34.45 33.42 258 [25]
238 [21] Stratford Academy 7-Div A-A 6-4 34.38 26.89 330 [28]
239 [64] Loganville 8-AAAAA 4-6 34.28 39.85 186 [74]
240 [65] Heritage (Conyers) 8-AAAAA 3-7 34.24 42.43 149 [59]
241 [54] Duluth 7-AAAAAA 2-8 34.03 59.69 44 [33]
242 [48] Americus-Sumter 1-Div B-AAAA 3-7 33.94 45.45 115 [21]
243 [22] Pinecrest Academy 6-Div B-A 7-3 33.75 26.86 333 [30]
244 [23] Claxton 3-Div A-A 7-3 33.59 27.70 319 [26]
245 [49] Ridgeland 7-AAAA 4-6 33.52 39.89 184 [36]
246 [28] Morgan County 8-AAA 4-6 33.21 40.05 176 [4]
247 [29] Sonoraville 6-AAA 6-4 33.09 23.18 359 [60]
248 [28] Swainsboro 3-AA 5-5 32.89 32.86 263 [19]
249 [24] First Presbyterian 7-Div A-A 7-3 32.89 25.12 344 [34]
250 [29] Monticello 4-AA 4-6 32.74 34.56 248 [16]
251 [66] Druid Hills 6-Div A-AAAAA 4-6 32.54 39.69 188 [76]
252 [67] Statesboro 3-AAAAA 2-8 32.52 47.64 95 [26]
253 [30] East Hall 7-AAA 6-4 32.51 29.25 300 [41]
254 [25] Lincoln County 7-Div B-A 7-3 32.42 23.84 355 [39]
255 [26] Our Lady of Mercy 5-A 6-4 32.11 23.27 356 [40]
256 [55] Chattahoochee 6-AAAAAA 3-7 32.01 43.61 132 [53]
257 [31] Westside (Augusta) 3-AAA 4-5-1 31.84 33.21 261 [26]
258 [50] Henry County 4-Div A-AAAA 4-6 31.72 36.91 220 [47]
259 [27] Brookstone 4-A 4-6 31.63 38.47 197 [3]
260 [51] Liberty County 3-AAAA 4-6 31.54 35.97 230 [52]
261 [28] Telfair County 2-A 6-4 31.44 28.96 303 [21]
262 [68] Greenbrier 2-AAAAA 2-8 30.75 54.13 66 [15]
263 [69] River Ridge 7-Div A-AAAAA 3-7 30.70 43.13 137 [50]
264 [32] Brantley County 1-Div A-AAA 5-5 30.64 27.43 322 [49]
265 [33] Kendrick 2-AAA 5-5 30.48 32.35 269 [30]
266 [29] St. Francis 6-Div B-A 7-3 30.39 18.69 392 [58]
267 [30] Washington-Wilkes 8-AA 6-4 30.36 24.89 345 [40]
268 [70] Chapel Hill 5-AAAAA 0-10 30.14 65.00 16 [1]
269 [31] Heard County 5-AA 5-5 30.06 30.14 292 [26]
270 [34] Jackson County 8-AAA 2-8 29.48 42.84 143 [3]
271 [71] Richmond Hill 3-AAAAA 2-8 29.36 42.76 146 [56]
272 [35] Cedartown 5-AAA 3-7 29.20 39.43 189 [6]
273 [30] Wilcox County 2-A 3-7 28.87 39.31 190 [2]
274 [36] Lumpkin County 7-AAA 5-5 28.80 28.93 305 [43]
275 [72] North Springs 7-Div B-AAAAA 2-8 28.57 42.99 139 [53]
276 [31] Johnson County 3-Div B-A 5-5 28.50 23.27 357 [41]
277 [32] Calhoun County 1-A 7-3 28.34 19.49 388 [53]
278 [33] Christian Heritage 6-Div A-A 5-5 28.09 29.99 294 [18]
279 [34] Commerce 8-A 8-2 27.90 11.14 406 [66]
280 [37] Southeast Bulloch 1-Div B-AAA 5-5 27.79 27.03 327 [51]
281 [32] Bryan County 2-AA 5-5 27.72 29.66 298 [27]
282 [56] Campbell 3-AAAAAA 3-7 27.68 45.73 111 [50]
283 [35] Prince Avenue Christian 8-A 8-2 27.63 7.51 410 [71]
284 [73] Morrow 4-Div A-AAAAA 3-7 26.88 41.33 160 [63]
285 [36] Turner County 2-A 4-6 26.76 33.00 262 [12]
286 [33] Bremen 5-AA 6-4 26.27 23.24 358 [44]
287 [52] North Hall 8-AAAA 2-8 26.07 49.17 86 [14]
288 [34] Metter 3-AA 4-6 25.91 28.13 315 [30]
289 [37] Athens Christian 8-A 7-3 25.85 9.47 407 [67]
290 [38] Mitchell County 1-A 6-4 25.47 20.41 384 [52]
291 [38] Rutland 2-AAA 3-7 25.34 35.93 231 [14]
292 [74] Apalachee 8-AAAAA 1-9 25.32 43.26 134 [49]
293 [53] Mount Zion (Jonesboro) 4-Div B-AAAA 2-8 25.28 36.81 225 [49]
294 [57] Pebblebrook 3-AAAAAA 2-8 25.03 48.61 87 [47]
295 [39] North Murray 6-AAA 5-5 24.73 21.50 378 [66]
296 [35] Groves 2-AA 6-4 24.18 16.75 394 [52]
297 [54] Riverdale 4-Div B-AAAA 3-7 24.12 33.82 252 [59]
298 [75] Cross Creek 2-AAAAA 1-9 24.06 54.61 62 [13]
299 [55] Monroe Area 8-AAAA 1-9 24.02 44.46 120 [22]
300 [58] Johns Creek 6-AAAAAA 1-9 23.58 43.98 124 [52]
301 [76] Columbus 1-AAAAA 3-7 23.46 36.82 224 [83]
302 [36] Greene County 8-AA 5-5 23.10 22.41 364 [45]
303 [40] North Clayton 4-Div A-AAA 3-7 23.08 37.06 216 [11]
304 [41] Banks County 7-AAA 5-5 23.02 22.24 368 [63]
305 [37] Northeast 4-AA 3-7 22.94 33.78 253 [17]
306 [42] Pepperell 5-AAA 3-7 22.75 33.68 255 [22]
307 [43] Jordan 2-AAA 3-7 22.70 32.00 275 [33]
308 [44] Towers 4-Div A-AAA 2-8 22.53 34.01 250 [19]
309 [45] Franklin County 7-AAA 4-6 22.46 29.73 296 [40]
310 [46] Tattnall County 1-Div A-AAA 5-5 22.36 24.87 346 [58]
311 [77] Dunwoody 6-Div A-AAAAA 4-6 22.15 31.70 280 [86]
312 [78] Cedar Shoals 8-AAAAA 0-10 22.12 44.36 122 [43]
313 [47] Southwest 2-AAA 3-7 21.99 37.05 218 [12]
314 [39] Trion 6-Div A-A 5-5 21.98 22.22 370 [47]
315 [59] Lakeside (Atlanta) 2-AAAAAA 3-7 21.90 35.21 240 [62]
316 [40] Jenkins County 3-Div A-A 7-3 21.88 15.12 399 [60]
317 [48] Dawson County 7-AAA 2-8 21.66 32.25 272 [31]
318 [49] Rockmart 5-AAA 3-7 21.54 32.37 268 [29]
319 [60] Habersham Central 6-AAAAAA 1-9 21.48 42.01 155 [57]
320 [38] Holy Innocents 6-AA 2-8 21.45 37.05 217 [12]
321 [39] Hapeville 6-AA 4-6 21.22 29.49 299 [28]
322 [50] Fannin County 7-AAA 4-6 21.17 26.92 329 [52]
323 [41] Savannah Country Day 3-Div A-A 3-7 20.95 28.66 309 [22]
324 [42] Wilkinson County 7-Div A-A 4-6 20.80 25.48 339 [33]
325 [40] Chattooga 7-AA 4-6 20.22 24.23 353 [43]
326 [79] North Atlanta 7-Div B-AAAAA 2-8 20.21 41.93 156 [60]
327 [80] Bradwell Institute 3-AAAAA 0-10 19.89 47.21 100 [29]
328 [43] Fellowship Christian 6-Div B-A 4-6 19.69 22.31 367 [45]
329 [44] Mount de Sales 7-Div A-A 4-6 19.62 25.51 338 [32]
330 [81] Banneker 6-Div B-AAAAA 0-10 19.61 56.26 54 [12]
331 [41] Jeff Davis 2-AA 4-6 19.56 26.28 335 [36]
332 [42] Chattahoochee County 5-AA 6-4 19.46 13.83 401 [57]
333 [61] North Forsyth 6-AAAAAA 1-9 18.64 44.56 119 [51]
334 [45] Whitefield Academy 6-Div B-A 4-6 18.47 24.68 349 [36]
335 [62] Osborne 4-AAAAAA† 2-7 18.39 33.41 259 [64]
336 [56] Pike County 4-Div B-AAAA 2-8 18.20 37.57 208 [45]
337 [57] Dougherty 1-Div B-AAAA 2-7 18.07 34.71 245 [56]
338 [46] Hancock Central 7-Div B-A 4-6 17.84 23.08 361 [42]
339 [58] Chestatee 8-AAAA 1-9 17.81 42.27 151 [26]
340 [82] Woodland (Cartersville) 7-Div A-AAAAA 0-10 17.32 47.25 99 [28]
341 [59] Albany 1-Div A-AAAA 1-8 17.16 38.40 198 [40]
342 [51] Hephzibah 3-AAA 6-4 17.02 13.07 402 [72]
343 [52] Therrell 4-Div B-AAA 3-7 16.69 30.12 293 [38]
344 [60] Johnson (Gainesville) 8-AAAA† 2-8 16.48 29.25 301 [64]
345 [53] Spencer 2-AAA 1-9 16.35 39.94 182 [5]
346 [63] Alcovy 2-AAAAAA 0-10 16.31 51.64 76 [46]
347 [83] Forest Park 4-Div A-AAAAA 0-10 16.12 43.66 129 [46]
348 [47] Taylor County 4-A 1-8-1 16.05 35.74 233 [8]
349 [43] Manchester 5-AA 3-7 15.34 25.16 343 [39]
350 [44] Long County 2-AA 3-7 15.33 26.97 328 [35]
351 [48] Portal 3-Div A-A 3-7 15.18 25.81 337 [31]
352 [54] McNair 4-Div A-AAA 3-7 14.92 22.45 363 [62]
353 [61] LaFayette 7-AAAA 2-8 14.59 36.42 227 [50]
354 [62] Redan 6-AAAA 2-8 13.94 34.01 249 [58]
355 [55] Johnson (Savannah) 1-Div B-AAA 3-7 13.74 20.53 383 [69]
356 [49] Terrell County 1-A 3-6 13.55 24.82 347 [35]
357 [45] Dade County 7-AA 2-8 12.98 28.87 307 [29]
358 [50] Georgia Military College 7-Div B-A 3-7 12.85 26.89 331 [29]
359 [51] Walker 6-Div A-A 2-8 12.69 28.63 310 [23]
360 [46] Riverside Military Academy 8-AA 3-7 12.66 19.59 386 [51]
361 [63] Chamblee 6-AAAA 1-9 12.47 36.00 229 [51]
362 [52] Strong Rock Christian 5-A 4-6 11.85 22.35 365 [44]
363 [56] Butler 3-AAA 3-6 11.80 20.63 381 [68]
364 [47] Gordon Lee 7-AA 3-7 11.22 21.64 374 [47]
365 [57] Toombs County 1-Div A-AAA 2-8 10.84 34.86 241 [17]
366 [53] King's Ridge Christian 6-Div B-A 1-9 10.59 28.48 312 [24]
367 [54] George Walton Academy 8-A 5-5 10.50 11.78 403 [63]
368 [55] Central (Talbotton) 4-A 2-8 10.00 35.39 238 [9]
369 [48] Putnam County 4-AA 2-8 9.91 31.51 285 [22]
370 [56] Montgomery County 3-Div B-A 3-7 9.79 22.31 366 [46]
371 [57] Lanier County 2-A 1-9 9.34 32.79 266 [13]
372 [58] South Atlanta 4-Div A-AAA 2-8 8.87 23.13 360 [61]
373 [49] East Laurens 3-AA 2-7-1 8.30 21.51 377 [50]
374 [50] K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate 6-AA 1-9 8.23 32.06 274 [21]
375 [84] Hardaway 1-AAAAA 0-10 8.16 40.48 168 [69]
376 [58] Hebron Christian Academy 8-A 5-5 7.41 4.75 413 [73]
377 [59] Miller County 1-A 2-8 7.23 29.13 302 [20]
378 [59] Douglass 4-Div B-AAA 2-8 6.64 27.11 325 [50]
379 [60] Josey 3-AAA 2-8 6.53 24.31 351 [59]
380 [60] Randolph-Clay 1-A 3-7 6.36 15.87 397 [59]
381 [61] Athens Academy 8-A 4-5 6.04 5.67 412 [72]
382 [61] Glenn Hills 3-AAA 1-9 5.45 37.35 211 [9]
383 [62] Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe 6-AAA 3-7 4.80 26.86 332 [53]
384 [63] Beach 1-Div B-AAA 3-7 4.75 18.35 393 [71]
385 [51] Crawford County 4-AA† 6-4 4.74 -1.35 415 [58]
386 [52] McIntosh County Academy 2-AA 0-10 3.58 37.13 215 [11]
387 [64] Haralson County 5-AAA 1-9 3.21 31.77 278 [35]
388 [53] Harlem 3-AA 2-8 2.58 26.14 336 [37]
389 [62] Warren County 7-Div B-A 2-8 2.09 19.02 390 [57]
390 [63] Twiggs County 7-Div A-A 1-9 2.07 24.20 354 [38]
391 [64] Meadowcreek 7-AAAAAA 1-9 1.63 59.11 46 [35]
392 [64] Treutlen 3-Div B-A 1-9 1.40 24.60 350 [37]
393 [65] Murray County 6-AAA 2-8 0.93 28.89 306 [44]
394 [64] Hampton 4-Div A-AAAA 0-9 0.27 40.26 170 [30]
395 [66] East Jackson 8-AAA 1-9 -0.51 33.67 256 [23]
396 [65] Lakeview Academy 8-A 3-7 -1.16 11.26 404 [64]
397 [67] Savannah 1-Div B-AAA 2-8 -1.93 21.19 380 [67]
398 [66] North Cobb Christian 6-Div A-A† 5-5 -2.14 -1.76 416 [76]
399 [68] Gordon Central 6-AAA 1-9 -2.19 28.36 314 [46]
400 [54] Oglethorpe County 8-AA 1-8 -4.78 30.84 290 [25]
401 [55] Temple 5-AA 2-8 -5.63 15.93 396 [54]
402 [56] Armuchee 7-AA 1-9 -5.81 21.60 375 [48]
403 [67] Wheeler County 3-Div B-A 1-9 -6.53 20.58 382 [51]
404 [65] Stone Mountain 6-AAAA 0-10 -8.06 41.24 161 [28]
405 [68] Towns County 8-A 2-8 -10.44 11.26 405 [65]
406 [69] Mount Vernon Presbyterian 5-A 2-8 -10.98 8.10 409 [70]
407 [70] Baconton 1-A 1-9 -11.65 19.49 387 [54]
408 [66] New Hampstead 3-AAAA† 2-8 -12.55 7.37 411 [68]
408 [66] New Hampstead 3-AAAA† 2-8 -12.55 7.37 411 [69]
409 [57] Social Circle 8-AA 0-10 -12.71 15.60 398 [55]
409 [57] Social Circle 8-AA 0-10 -12.71 15.60 398 [56]
410 [69] Islands 1-Div B-AAA 1-9 -13.79 21.92 371 [64]
410 [69] Islands 1-Div B-AAA 1-9 -13.79 21.92 371 [65]
411 [67] Windsor Forest 3-AAAA 0-10 -14.14 27.13 324 [66]
411 [67] Windsor Forest 3-AAAA 0-10 -14.14 27.13 324 [67]
412 [71] Glascock County 7-Div B-A† 1-9 -17.20 1.45 414 [74]
412 [71] Glascock County 7-Div B-A† 1-9 -17.20 1.45 414 [75]
413 [72] Stewart County 1-A† 0-10 -21.95 8.60 408 [68]
413 [72] Stewart County 1-A† 0-10 -21.95 8.60 408 [69]
414 [68] Cross Keys 6-AAAA† 1-4 -21.96 -2.19 417 [70]
414 [68] Cross Keys 6-AAAA† 1-4 -21.96 -2.19 417 [71]
415 [70] Coahulla Creek 6-AAA 0-10 -22.22 26.79 334 [54]
415 [70] Coahulla Creek 6-AAA 0-10 -22.22 26.79 334 [55]
416 [85] Clarkston 6-Div A-AAAAA† 0-10 -25.59 32.30 270 [84]
416 [85] Clarkston 6-Div A-AAAAA† 0-10 -25.59 32.30 270 [85]
417 [73] Providence Christian 8-A 0-10 -28.60 14.98 400 [61]
†-Plays non-region schedule

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the rating required to win 80% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition, and its “Average Rating”, which is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank Region Competitive Average
1 1 - AAAAAA 103.01 84.97
2 7 - AAAAAA 84.02 63.07
3 8 - AAAAAA 82.48 63.52
4 5 - AAAAA 82.17 64.05
5 4 - AAAAAA 79.69 64.88
6 5 - AAAAAA 78.29 61.17
7 3 - AAAAAA 74.59 54.53
8 5 - AAAA 74.44 58.52
9 2 - AAAAA 74.20 54.59
10 2 - AAAAAA 73.71 48.91
11 3 - AAAAA 68.70 45.57
12 1 - AA 68.05 49.33
13 8 - AAA 67.67 43.62
14 2 - AAAA 67.19 50.75
15 2 - AAA 65.04 35.15
16 8 - AAAA 64.07 41.12
17 1 - AAAA 63.94 45.43
1 - Div A - AAAA 65.11 46.17
1 - Div B - AAAA 62.82 44.69
18 6 - AAAAA 63.65 45.27
6 - Div B - AAAAA 71.72 53.37
6 - Div A - AAAAA 55.07 39.86
19 7 - AAAAA 63.38 44.27
7 - Div B - AAAAA 63.47 44.39
7 - Div A - AAAAA 63.29 44.14
20 7 - AAAA 62.19 41.91
21 4 - AAAAA 60.66 43.69
4 - Div B - AAAAA 61.19 45.19
4 - Div A - AAAAA 60.19 42.04
22 2 - AA 60.21 29.80
23 8 - AAAAA 59.49 40.86
24 6 - AAAAAA 59.36 39.78
25 6 - AAA 59.27 23.10
26 1 - AAAAA 58.81 37.96
27 4 - A 58.72 38.93
28 6 - AA 58.60 34.54
29 6 - AAAA 57.43 35.83
30 4 - AAA 56.75 30.00
4 - Div B - AAA 67.43 36.45
4 - Div A - AAA 46.17 25.30
31 2 - A 54.50 35.59
32 3 - AAA 54.41 23.31
33 4 - AA 52.99 36.01
34 4 - AAAA 52.96 34.41
4 - Div B - AAAA 55.04 33.48
4 - Div A - AAAA 51.48 35.25
35 5 - AAA 52.83 29.29
36 3 - AAAA 50.47 35.21
37 5 - A 49.21 27.89
38 1 - AAA 48.23 25.81
1 - Div A - AAA 55.66 37.64
1 - Div B - AAA 32.47 10.73
39 6 - A 45.46 27.68
6 - Div A - A 48.88 30.26
6 - Div B - A 42.95 25.78
40 3 - A 44.75 23.80
3 - Div A - A 50.37 30.83
3 - Div B - A 35.66 13.42
41 3 - AA 44.48 27.27
42 7 - AAA 44.44 27.63
43 7 - AA 42.68 22.62
44 7 - A 41.76 24.06
7 - Div A - A 42.94 25.73
7 - Div B - A 40.04 21.70
45 5 - AA 41.52 22.44
46 8 - AA 41.04 20.03
47 8 - A 28.64 8.41
48 1 - A 27.73 12.01

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date Team Opponent Score Diff Pct Likelihood
09/26 Pickens Ridgeland 28 - 35 21.70 89.8% 0.162
09/05 Westlake Shiloh 7 - 14 21.52 89.6% 0.164
10/10 Mount Pisgah Christian Fellowship Christian 28 - 33 21.85 89.9% 0.169
08/29 Macon County Americus-Sumter 23 - 28 21.48 89.5% 0.173
10/23 Cairo Monroe 14 - 21 18.40 86.3% 0.202
09/26 Central (Macon) Spencer 21 - 27 18.70 86.6% 0.203
09/26 Westside (Augusta) Butler 27 - 29 19.17 87.2% 0.216
09/26 Stockbridge Luella 6 - 7 19.51 87.6% 0.217
08/22 Fayette County McIntosh 25 - 28 17.84 85.6% 0.228
10/03 Wesleyan Hapeville 9 - 12 17.40 85.1% 0.234
10/03 Roswell Wheeler 14 - 28 12.93 78.5% 0.260
10/03 Walton Pope 36 - 44 13.86 80.0% 0.264
08/29 Hapeville George Walton Academy 6 - 25 11.60 76.1% 0.270
09/19 Lakeside (Evans) Evans 14 - 29 11.83 76.5% 0.276
10/24 Hillgrove Harrison 42 - 43 14.96 81.7% 0.280

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating Date Team Opponent Score Diff Pct
90.36 10/17 Colquitt County Valdosta 48 - 20 19.70 87.8%
87.30 10/10 Colquitt County Lee County 58 - 14 23.20 91.1%
87.04 11/07 Valdosta Lee County 22 - 21 0.88 52.2%
84.17 08/23 Colquitt County Mill Creek 31 - 14 25.63 92.8%
83.52 10/10 Valdosta Tift County 27 - 24 6.11 64.8%
83.09 10/03 Lee County Tift County 24 - 21 4.36 60.7%
82.57 10/31 Colquitt County Tift County 62 - 21 26.68 93.5%
82.06 09/26 Mill Creek North Gwinnett 41 - 51 2.25 55.6%
81.94 09/05 Mill Creek Dacula 21 - 28 2.45 56.1%
81.61 09/05 Buford McEachern 27 - 20 12.53 77.8%
81.57 10/24 Dacula Grayson 27 - 17 0.32 50.8%
80.75 10/31 Valdosta Lowndes 13 - 10 10.25 73.6%
80.63 10/17 Lee County Lowndes 42 - 30 8.49 70.0%
80.35 08/23 North Gwinnett McEachern 52 - 49 2.08 55.2%
79.70 11/07 Tift County Lowndes 35 - 28 1.51 53.8%

About the Author

Todd Holcomb

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