High School Sports Blog
Maxwell playoff projections after Week 12
Below are the current Maxwell Ratings' playoff projections for each class.
The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2018 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons.
While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.
All out of state opponents were considered equal to the average of the GHSA team’s classification (i.e., out of state opponents of Class AAAAAAA GHSA teams were treated as an average Class AAAAAAA team).
Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.
Class AAAAAAA
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Seed | Rec | Rating | Draw | AvgDepth | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colquitt County | #1 (1) | 10-0 | 104.60 | 73.69 | 4.48 | 963,741.90 | 925,206.31 | 848,180.87 | 746,308.51 | 0.34 |
| Grayson | #1 (8) | 8-2 | 87.67 | 76.89 | 3.44 | 948,677.98 | 792,624.89 | 578,260.11 | 134,687.70 | 6.42 |
| Parkview | #1 (7) | 10-0 | 84.23 | 81.69 | 2.46 | 753,136.95 | 577,419.56 | 93,896.11 | 47,887.87 | 19.88 |
| Hillgrove | #1 (3) | 10-0 | 81.81 | 80.26 | 2.60 | 742,576.40 | 585,500.17 | 254,438.17 | 40,671.97 | 23.59 |
| Lowndes | #2 (1) | 7-3 | 75.06 | 82.50 | 1.89 | 705,489.23 | 164,736.11 | 70,759.60 | 7,035.33 | 141.14 |
| North Gwinnett | #1 (6) | 8-2 | 74.19 | 82.62 | 1.91 | 854,931.85 | 54,953.77 | 21,045.37 | 6,134.23 | 162.02 |
| Marietta | #2 (3) | 5-5 | 74.59 | 84.32 | 1.66 | 536,894.22 | 169,289.99 | 12,959.96 | 3,876.94 | 256.94 |
| Milton | #1 (5) | 8-2 | 70.85 | 81.15 | 1.99 | 732,337.25 | 232,248.78 | 52,208.33 | 3,765.89 | 264.54 |
| Archer | #2 (8) | 8-2 | 74.15 | 85.06 | 1.36 | 245,418.51 | 128,598.93 | 9,535.92 | 2,772.24 | 359.72 |
| Camden County | #3 (1) | 7-3 | 73.19 | 84.63 | 0.82 | 156,119.23 | 90,955.30 | 21,409.27 | 1,850.33 | 539.44 |
| Tift County | At Lrg | 6-4 | 74.02 | 85.80 | 0.98 | 287,133.24 | 84,910.72 | 6,133.54 | 1,768.00 | 564.61 |
| McEachern | #3 (3) | 7-3 | 73.40 | 86.06 | 0.96 | 35,520.51 | 17,870.42 | 5,912.85 | 1,635.90 | 610.28 |
| Walton | #2 (4) | 9-1 | 69.82 | 84.64 | 0.61 | 100,256.03 | 51,164.75 | 9,763.54 | 649.14 | 1,539.51 |
| Roswell | #1 (4) | 9-1 | 68.79 | 84.94 | 0.62 | 170,166.32 | 39,510.18 | 2,147.52 | 429.21 | 2,328.86 |
| Westlake | #1 (2) | 8-2 | 65.01 | 83.21 | 0.83 | 197,134.87 | 25,083.35 | 6,295.20 | 281.74 | 3,548.31 |
| Mill Creek | #2 (6) | 7-3 | 62.91 | 83.17 | 0.98 | 217,198.98 | 36,145.89 | 4,093.99 | 153.02 | 6,534.03 |
| North Paulding | #4 (3) | 7-3 | 62.05 | 84.58 | 0.49 | 88,480.58 | 8,150.25 | 1,458.17 | 50.57 | 19,775.19 |
| Norcross | #2 (7) | 6-4 | 57.54 | 83.73 | 0.68 | 33,687.35 | 6,940.61 | 905.86 | 20.99 | 47,643.16 |
| West Forsyth | #2 (5) | 5-5 | 56.80 | 85.09 | 1.01 | 134,199.56 | 1,862.87 | 181.42 | 13.56 | 73,718.51 |
| Brookwood | #3 (7) | 7-3 | 54.87 | 83.75 | 0.33 | 48,178.63 | 3,868.83 | 215.18 | 3.90 | 256,422.58 |
| Mountain View | #3 (6) | 7-3 | 53.06 | 84.11 | 0.37 | 13,201.18 | 1,813.48 | 156.21 | 2.39 | 418,257.35 |
| South Forsyth | #4 (5) | 5-5 | 47.71 | 84.21 | 0.02 | 4,433.49 | 379.49 | 19.85 | 0.18 | 5,472,987.70 |
| Cherokee | #3 (4) | 5-5 | 47.70 | 84.54 | 0.06 | 8,895.32 | 271.82 | 14.45 | 0.13 | 7,528,128.30 |
| Newnan | #2 (2) | 6-4 | 50.09 | 86.94 | 0.10 | 529.59 | 61.42 | 3.26 | 0.13 | 7,548,391.41 |
| East Coweta | #3 (2) | 3-7 | 48.82 | 86.04 | 0.07 | 5,806.23 | 206.41 | 1.78 | 0.06 | 15,622,045.23 |
| Etowah | #4 (4) | 4-6 | 45.91 | 87.24 | 0.00 | 207.99 | 16.53 | 0.55 | 0.02 | 66,413,765.30 |
| Pebblebrook | #4 (2) | 4-6 | 44.08 | 84.93 | 0.02 | 1,048.35 | 83.55 | 1.73 | 0.01 | 89,383,425.61 |
| Collins Hill | #4 (6) | 3-7 | 44.03 | 86.76 | 0.02 | 877.95 | 42.66 | 0.23 | 0.01 | 191,453,737.21 |
| Central Gwinnett | #4 (7) | 4-6 | 40.53 | 85.56 | 0.04 | 5,663.75 | 15.44 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 200,618,459.51 |
| Newton | #3 (8) | 4-6 | 39.21 | 85.49 | 0.14 | 5,204.84 | 13.23 | 0.24 | 0.00 | 296,574,731.06 |
| Forsyth Central | #3 (5) | 7-3 | 41.00 | 86.69 | 0.03 | 566.59 | 21.55 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 665,818,042.85 |
| South Gwinnett | #4 (8) | 4-6 | 36.94 | 83.72 | 0.03 | 2,285.14 | 32.73 | 0.34 | 0.00 | 908,651,092.44 |
Class AAAAAA
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Seed | Rec | Rating | Draw | AvgDepth | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee County | #1 (1) | 10-0 | 88.54 | 51.82 | 4.63 | 993,292.82 | 915,377.64 | 890,241.61 | 835,499.34 | 0.20 |
| Valdosta | #2 (1) | 6-4 | 63.93 | 61.41 | 2.72 | 783,982.78 | 566,367.32 | 352,790.97 | 46,895.82 | 20.32 |
| Creekview | #1 (6) | 10-0 | 65.11 | 63.79 | 2.04 | 881,222.20 | 82,280.88 | 63,979.57 | 38,622.02 | 24.89 |
| Northside (Warner Robins) | #3 (1) | 5-5 | 62.16 | 61.70 | 2.62 | 851,604.02 | 538,416.24 | 285,911.61 | 33,696.24 | 28.68 |
| Sequoyah | #2 (6) | 8-2 | 58.70 | 62.31 | 2.19 | 717,344.70 | 369,230.59 | 175,631.14 | 16,250.78 | 60.54 |
| Allatoona | #3 (6) | 7-3 | 58.22 | 64.54 | 1.57 | 507,318.71 | 206,965.93 | 94,804.99 | 8,476.13 | 116.98 |
| Harrison | #4 (6) | 8-2 | 57.07 | 64.34 | 1.29 | 433,204.94 | 290,721.60 | 16,911.56 | 6,976.28 | 142.34 |
| Coffee | #4 (1) | 7-3 | 54.09 | 63.30 | 1.68 | 612,921.75 | 310,622.29 | 14,007.92 | 4,839.41 | 205.64 |
| Johns Creek | #1 (7) | 9-1 | 54.03 | 63.52 | 1.07 | 362,284.75 | 231,518.96 | 11,659.58 | 4,012.99 | 248.19 |
| Dacula | #1 (8) | 8-2 | 51.80 | 63.42 | 1.38 | 377,442.04 | 121,572.05 | 43,098.41 | 2,387.00 | 417.94 |
| Glynn Academy | #1 (2) | 6-4 | 49.40 | 63.62 | 1.23 | 209,265.58 | 84,778.48 | 25,853.10 | 1,185.27 | 842.69 |
| Creekside | #1 (5) | 7-3 | 45.91 | 63.33 | 1.17 | 243,222.28 | 64,670.40 | 14,976.41 | 516.53 | 1,934.99 |
| Centennial | #2 (7) | 7-3 | 45.53 | 65.22 | 0.36 | 93,762.11 | 17,936.15 | 4,006.08 | 133.86 | 7,469.46 |
| Stephenson | #1 (4) | 9-1 | 42.31 | 63.33 | 0.48 | 173,521.43 | 49,637.68 | 880.71 | 128.41 | 7,786.74 |
| Douglas County | #2 (5) | 8-2 | 45.56 | 68.06 | 0.83 | 95,610.56 | 1,556.38 | 535.27 | 101.24 | 9,876.25 |
| Mays | #3 (5) | 6-4 | 42.20 | 64.24 | 0.61 | 99,311.16 | 36,402.35 | 563.08 | 81.36 | 12,290.62 |
| Lanier | #2 (8) | 7-3 | 41.78 | 64.11 | 0.67 | 105,199.16 | 38,333.66 | 573.07 | 79.97 | 12,502.95 |
| Richmond Hill | #3 (2) | 4-5 | 39.23 | 63.59 | 0.98 | 190,087.68 | 40,829.55 | 478.58 | 53.86 | 18,567.17 |
| Bradwell Institute | #4 (2) | 4-6 | 37.85 | 64.88 | 0.68 | 64,401.27 | 10,319.84 | 1,053.24 | 18.08 | 55,321.92 |
| Tucker | #2 (4) | 7-3 | 37.59 | 64.16 | 0.15 | 49,353.84 | 8,293.25 | 915.09 | 15.34 | 65,177.70 |
| Effingham County | #2 (2) | 6-4 | 38.99 | 67.84 | 0.83 | 5,973.92 | 598.94 | 132.56 | 14.61 | 68,430.34 |
| Alpharetta | #3 (7) | 6-4 | 36.82 | 65.41 | 0.12 | 29,120.68 | 3,998.38 | 383.44 | 6.00 | 166,733.04 |
| Grovetown | #1 (3) | 6-4 | 32.46 | 63.46 | 0.44 | 34,640.87 | 4,284.55 | 329.59 | 3.46 | 289,398.72 |
| Northgate | #4 (5) | 6-4 | 36.61 | 66.06 | 0.18 | 21,477.13 | 1,886.20 | 182.20 | 2.80 | 357,622.37 |
| Habersham Central | #3 (8) | 6-4 | 36.70 | 68.48 | 0.28 | 17,445.74 | 137.32 | 25.12 | 2.27 | 440,984.42 |
| Gainesville | #4 (8) | 2-8 | 29.80 | 65.59 | 0.16 | 10,312.33 | 786.75 | 39.04 | 0.32 | 3,134,296.13 |
| Greenbrier | #2 (3) | 3-7 | 26.97 | 63.83 | 0.28 | 23,469.14 | 1,933.91 | 7.09 | 0.26 | 3,817,669.08 |
| Pope | #4 (7) | 5-5 | 30.76 | 68.59 | 0.03 | 5,721.49 | 27.47 | 2.88 | 0.15 | 6,595,511.40 |
| Lovejoy | #3 (4) | 6-4 | 29.35 | 65.94 | 0.03 | 3,949.35 | 317.26 | 17.21 | 0.13 | 7,420,732.65 |
| Evans | #4 (3) | 3-7 | 27.20 | 66.16 | 0.09 | 2,802.28 | 176.61 | 7.48 | 0.05 | 20,930,310.72 |
| Lakeside (Evans) | #3 (3) | 5-4 | 25.27 | 68.13 | 0.18 | 426.70 | 13.01 | 0.91 | 0.03 | 35,122,459.53 |
| Mundy's Mill | #4 (4) | 6-4 | 24.26 | 68.24 | 0.00 | 306.56 | 8.36 | 0.49 | 0.01 | 71,329,125.54 |
Class AAAAA
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Seed | Rec | Rating | Draw | AvgDepth | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rome | #1 (7) | 10-0 | 84.25 | 64.07 | 3.55 | 983,193.71 | 688,270.33 | 465,762.25 | 411,431.68 | 1.43 |
| Warner Robins | #1 (1) | 9-1 | 78.77 | 62.08 | 3.42 | 907,968.04 | 872,717.50 | 372,719.99 | 303,856.17 | 2.29 |
| Dutchtown | #1 (4) | 10-0 | 76.40 | 67.81 | 2.52 | 956,223.36 | 310,064.59 | 156,453.02 | 121,664.45 | 7.22 |
| Stockbridge | #2 (4) | 9-1 | 66.67 | 62.31 | 2.47 | 713,619.13 | 586,923.27 | 342,679.44 | 68,966.31 | 13.50 |
| Buford | #1 (8) | 8-2 | 65.24 | 63.14 | 2.41 | 683,269.64 | 427,583.96 | 259,947.99 | 46,749.73 | 20.39 |
| Jones County | #3 (4) | 8-2 | 64.56 | 66.35 | 1.53 | 450,610.17 | 224,683.48 | 122,247.86 | 20,818.95 | 47.03 |
| Wayne County | #1 (2) | 10-0 | 58.37 | 64.41 | 1.67 | 440,890.04 | 173,026.43 | 78,508.09 | 7,937.43 | 124.99 |
| Kell | #2 (7) | 8-2 | 59.04 | 65.45 | 1.51 | 316,368.21 | 145,470.64 | 65,547.94 | 7,025.13 | 141.35 |
| Carrollton | #3 (7) | 8-2 | 55.79 | 63.50 | 1.81 | 686,315.82 | 222,812.58 | 70,342.12 | 5,661.87 | 175.62 |
| Veterans | #3 (1) | 8-2 | 56.83 | 65.33 | 0.64 | 214,865.56 | 133,756.64 | 45,215.92 | 3,992.26 | 249.48 |
| Bainbridge | #2 (1) | 5-5 | 54.01 | 67.22 | 0.43 | 107,796.20 | 29,215.54 | 10,074.70 | 690.96 | 1,446.26 |
| Ware County | #2 (2) | 7-3 | 52.18 | 69.03 | 1.06 | 75,398.41 | 47,611.93 | 2,244.40 | 566.97 | 1,762.75 |
| East Paulding | #4 (7) | 6-4 | 50.17 | 68.91 | 0.92 | 368,565.60 | 31,004.17 | 1,210.00 | 263.67 | 3,791.59 |
| Banneker | #1 (6) | 9-1 | 48.04 | 67.83 | 0.85 | 345,205.07 | 28,166.87 | 1,020.85 | 188.83 | 5,294.68 |
| Southwest DeKalb | #1 (5) | 10-0 | 40.86 | 63.36 | 0.91 | 187,912.76 | 26,072.41 | 2,900.43 | 58.12 | 17,203.87 |
| Locust Grove | #4 (4) | 5-5 | 48.26 | 70.35 | 0.06 | 16,065.86 | 8,223.56 | 268.11 | 50.46 | 19,817.65 |
| Clarke Central | #3 (8) | 6-4 | 42.29 | 68.66 | 1.05 | 260,618.70 | 11,840.90 | 218.78 | 25.19 | 39,690.67 |
| Starr's Mill | #1 (3) | 7-3 | 38.56 | 63.36 | 0.82 | 63,545.77 | 17,184.72 | 1,558.85 | 25.04 | 39,940.89 |
| Riverwood | #2 (6) | 8-2 | 38.87 | 64.29 | 0.27 | 84,997.30 | 9,517.05 | 807.29 | 13.36 | 74,852.38 |
| Cedar Shoals | #2 (8) | 7-3 | 43.71 | 73.83 | 0.95 | 16,205.72 | 939.76 | 64.83 | 8.43 | 118,692.65 |
| Griffin | #2 (3) | 7-3 | 39.93 | 73.85 | 0.62 | 20,586.04 | 354.48 | 18.37 | 1.72 | 580,413.88 |
| Loganville | #4 (8) | 4-6 | 33.90 | 64.99 | 0.35 | 40,774.12 | 2,756.18 | 136.16 | 1.39 | 718,773.69 |
| Harris County | #4 (1) | 3-7 | 40.72 | 74.08 | 0.04 | 12,403.79 | 221.12 | 11.52 | 1.16 | 863,700.98 |
| Statesboro | #3 (2) | 4-6 | 37.09 | 73.93 | 0.41 | 10,786.81 | 141.94 | 5.68 | 0.41 | 2,418,880.10 |
| New Hampstead | #4 (2) | 4-5 | 29.80 | 64.97 | 0.28 | 7,969.54 | 977.15 | 32.65 | 0.22 | 4,477,966.62 |
| Arabia Mountain | #2 (5) | 6-4 | 28.58 | 68.84 | 0.25 | 25,610.62 | 365.55 | 1.80 | 0.06 | 16,906,797.01 |
| Riverdale | #3 (3) | 7-3 | 26.48 | 69.92 | 0.06 | 567.69 | 69.52 | 0.28 | 0.01 | 134,398,620.61 |
| Maynard Jackson | #4 (6) | 6-4 | 26.65 | 74.11 | 0.00 | 470.53 | 6.87 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 345,777,016.89 |
| Jonesboro | #4 (3) | 5-5 | 24.67 | 67.61 | 0.03 | 703.59 | 13.41 | 0.41 | 0.00 | 597,478,644.90 |
| Carver (Atlanta) | #3 (6) | 4-6 | 21.89 | 67.73 | 0.02 | 304.24 | 6.10 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 2,108,844,635.44 |
| Lithonia | #3 (5) | 6-4 | 18.06 | 74.08 | 0.06 | 130.03 | 0.91 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 12,957,815,631.54 |
| Miller Grove | #4 (5) | 3-7 | 12.32 | 67.87 | 0.00 | 57.92 | 0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 202,583,224,770.22 |
Class AAAA
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Seed | Rec | Rating | Draw | AvgDepth | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Persons | #1 (2) | 10-0 | 82.39 | 60.37 | 3.92 | 974,536.82 | 849,764.41 | 619,817.63 | 481,610.63 | 1.08 |
| Blessed Trinity | #1 (7) | 10-0 | 72.90 | 57.73 | 3.68 | 909,644.24 | 849,462.05 | 680,087.45 | 247,653.99 | 3.04 |
| Cartersville | #1 (5) | 10-0 | 74.43 | 61.24 | 3.26 | 904,051.96 | 855,784.90 | 322,676.99 | 200,708.31 | 3.98 |
| Troup | #2 (5) | 9-1 | 64.55 | 63.47 | 2.33 | 676,273.75 | 511,818.36 | 183,806.57 | 38,309.06 | 25.10 |
| St. Pius X | #1 (8) | 9-1 | 65.10 | 69.14 | 1.47 | 499,332.14 | 84,942.05 | 30,887.43 | 12,780.19 | 77.25 |
| Marist | #2 (7) | 8-2 | 62.88 | 69.90 | 1.53 | 467,035.74 | 60,846.02 | 18,322.87 | 6,724.13 | 147.72 |
| Upson-Lee | #2 (2) | 7-3 | 55.56 | 64.31 | 1.66 | 547,783.38 | 201,720.01 | 43,297.35 | 4,418.93 | 225.30 |
| Pickens | #1 (6) | 10-0 | 53.93 | 64.09 | 1.42 | 298,177.53 | 165,804.28 | 34,530.73 | 3,067.95 | 324.95 |
| Sandy Creek | #3 (5) | 7-3 | 52.65 | 65.65 | 0.78 | 70,312.90 | 43,151.47 | 14,163.19 | 1,126.76 | 886.50 |
| Cairo | #1 (1) | 8-2 | 49.22 | 63.69 | 1.52 | 418,291.03 | 111,690.78 | 17,136.70 | 1,007.84 | 991.23 |
| Howard | #3 (2) | 6-4 | 49.47 | 64.97 | 0.88 | 317,243.76 | 35,463.01 | 9,466.92 | 569.32 | 1,755.49 |
| Flowery Branch | #3 (7) | 8-2 | 52.34 | 68.41 | 0.71 | 63,260.44 | 41,358.77 | 2,858.54 | 534.04 | 1,871.51 |
| Baldwin | #1 (3) | 5-5 | 48.56 | 66.28 | 1.15 | 504,135.81 | 55,841.05 | 3,196.15 | 451.19 | 2,215.34 |
| Eastside | #1 (4) | 10-0 | 45.49 | 63.37 | 1.31 | 398,505.02 | 36,376.50 | 8,548.62 | 358.82 | 2,785.89 |
| Burke County | #2 (3) | 7-3 | 47.37 | 64.70 | 0.78 | 270,764.43 | 26,422.73 | 6,465.32 | 322.00 | 3,104.61 |
| Perry | #4 (2) | 6-4 | 46.20 | 67.61 | 0.75 | 318,260.20 | 25,765.57 | 1,036.07 | 121.67 | 8,218.12 |
| Ridgeland | #2 (6) | 7-3 | 46.89 | 68.55 | 0.44 | 27,415.12 | 14,676.11 | 645.98 | 80.11 | 12,481.98 |
| North Oconee | #2 (8) | 8-2 | 45.14 | 65.79 | 0.38 | 19,752.64 | 8,879.97 | 1,846.94 | 75.08 | 13,318.43 |
| Cedartown | #4 (5) | 5-5 | 49.91 | 72.13 | 0.20 | 33,174.31 | 1,608.14 | 214.35 | 33.52 | 29,835.40 |
| Carver (Columbus) | #2 (1) | 9-1 | 44.20 | 70.20 | 0.85 | 20,765.44 | 2,589.12 | 240.13 | 24.00 | 41,663.22 |
| Oconee County | #3 (8) | 6-4 | 41.97 | 66.79 | 0.11 | 21,499.51 | 5,276.56 | 429.04 | 13.01 | 76,871.53 |
| Thomson | #3 (3) | 4-6 | 38.29 | 66.05 | 0.17 | 33,232.20 | 3,259.14 | 196.94 | 4.22 | 236,719.58 |
| Stephens County | #4 (8) | 5-5 | 38.67 | 68.89 | 0.03 | 5,272.48 | 1,767.55 | 35.47 | 2.22 | 450,474.09 |
| Columbus | #3 (1) | 6-4 | 34.02 | 67.41 | 0.70 | 117,125.93 | 3,510.52 | 45.43 | 1.88 | 532,731.83 |
| Richmond Academy | #4 (3) | 7-3 | 36.98 | 70.74 | 0.01 | 3,307.72 | 202.52 | 10.21 | 0.55 | 1,815,586.50 |
| Salem | #2 (4) | 7-3 | 29.66 | 67.37 | 0.49 | 60,478.06 | 1,295.53 | 11.42 | 0.32 | 3,172,850.34 |
| White County | #4 (7) | 3-7 | 31.43 | 66.64 | 0.09 | 4,049.21 | 422.84 | 13.67 | 0.15 | 6,582,999.48 |
| Hardaway | #4 (1) | 5-4 | 28.00 | 65.18 | 0.15 | 13,486.80 | 223.84 | 9.99 | 0.08 | 12,574,310.13 |
| Woodward Academy | #3 (4) | 6-4 | 30.02 | 70.63 | 0.18 | 1,390.02 | 44.96 | 1.30 | 0.04 | 26,964,265.77 |
| Northwest Whitfield | #4 (6) | 6-4 | 22.07 | 66.15 | 0.01 | 290.23 | 20.42 | 0.52 | 0.00 | 433,316,811.35 |
| Heritage (Ringgold) | #3 (6) | 5-5 | 24.29 | 71.85 | 0.02 | 457.80 | 2.78 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 1,258,496,824.53 |
| Henry County | #4 (4) | 4-6 | 15.31 | 65.91 | 0.03 | 693.39 | 8.02 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 7,765,857,717.83 |
Class AAA
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Seed | Rec | Rating | Draw | AvgDepth | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cedar Grove | #1 (5) | 9-1 | 72.13 | 50.90 | 3.97 | 943,823.72 | 850,271.96 | 704,860.57 | 476,698.42 | 1.10 |
| Peach County | #1 (4) | 8-2 | 67.32 | 53.33 | 3.42 | 946,190.62 | 759,296.42 | 491,114.94 | 238,905.96 | 3.19 |
| Calhoun | #1 (6) | 10-0 | 64.62 | 54.43 | 3.11 | 876,836.65 | 717,800.20 | 364,879.35 | 156,054.02 | 5.41 |
| Monroe Area | #1 (8) | 10-0 | 61.23 | 57.02 | 2.17 | 625,865.15 | 499,825.80 | 163,713.22 | 69,460.31 | 13.40 |
| Greater Atlanta Christian | #1 (7) | 8-2 | 55.68 | 58.24 | 1.89 | 672,097.43 | 183,217.11 | 71,454.83 | 18,361.12 | 53.46 |
| Crisp County | #1 (1) | 7-3 | 51.96 | 57.45 | 1.90 | 715,236.35 | 195,643.44 | 48,211.37 | 9,677.62 | 102.33 |
| Benedictine | #1 (3) | 9-1 | 51.78 | 57.31 | 1.79 | 654,447.90 | 97,140.69 | 41,432.89 | 9,635.12 | 102.79 |
| Pierce County | #1 (2) | 10-0 | 49.73 | 56.30 | 1.96 | 717,566.57 | 245,737.09 | 38,681.15 | 7,734.03 | 128.30 |
| Dawson County | #2 (7) | 9-1 | 51.61 | 58.65 | 1.39 | 287,390.04 | 168,588.06 | 27,668.22 | 6,355.68 | 156.34 |
| Westside (Macon) | #2 (4) | 7-3 | 47.44 | 59.22 | 1.30 | 339,642.96 | 33,639.51 | 10,449.76 | 1,751.93 | 569.80 |
| Westminster (Atlanta) | #3 (5) | 6-4 | 49.92 | 61.21 | 0.87 | 218,010.62 | 36,707.54 | 9,250.60 | 1,608.39 | 620.74 |
| Lovett | #2 (5) | 5-5 | 47.15 | 60.02 | 1.07 | 120,446.86 | 51,856.64 | 8,266.40 | 1,171.87 | 852.34 |
| Pace Academy | #4 (5) | 6-4 | 47.94 | 60.92 | 0.31 | 79,692.32 | 38,670.75 | 4,796.34 | 836.17 | 1,194.92 |
| North Hall | #3 (7) | 8-2 | 45.66 | 59.92 | 0.86 | 50,652.82 | 18,214.68 | 4,931.16 | 717.38 | 1,392.97 |
| Appling County | #2 (2) | 6-4 | 42.86 | 59.57 | 1.17 | 261,700.98 | 33,771.77 | 3,846.73 | 389.79 | 2,564.49 |
| Jackson | #3 (4) | 6-4 | 41.22 | 58.45 | 1.22 | 270,857.24 | 45,693.64 | 3,364.23 | 337.88 | 2,958.64 |
| Jefferson | #2 (8) | 8-2 | 44.49 | 61.44 | 0.52 | 102,913.81 | 11,918.62 | 2,074.87 | 239.50 | 4,174.32 |
| Liberty County | #3 (2) | 6-3 | 38.68 | 60.52 | 0.74 | 40,700.31 | 7,537.83 | 815.14 | 58.32 | 17,146.06 |
| Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe | #2 (6) | 7-3 | 31.62 | 60.41 | 0.22 | 4,424.11 | 577.15 | 54.48 | 2.31 | 433,456.14 |
| Haralson County | #3 (6) | 8-2 | 31.37 | 60.45 | 0.11 | 7,052.49 | 1,202.47 | 37.62 | 1.56 | 642,510.12 |
| Southeast Bulloch | #2 (3) | 9-1 | 29.38 | 60.66 | 0.32 | 8,755.66 | 789.16 | 39.06 | 1.21 | 823,050.56 |
| North Murray | #4 (6) | 6-4 | 29.03 | 61.69 | 0.06 | 6,978.14 | 238.86 | 11.09 | 0.33 | 2,995,615.73 |
| Ringgold | At Lrg | 5-5 | 27.22 | 60.94 | 0.02 | 4,353.42 | 294.46 | 11.57 | 0.29 | 3,401,576.39 |
| Pike County | #4 (4) | 7-3 | 26.69 | 60.45 | 0.08 | 12,685.53 | 386.36 | 10.15 | 0.25 | 4,076,662.03 |
| Morgan County | #3 (8) | 5-5 | 27.52 | 61.13 | 0.11 | 2,614.11 | 274.50 | 7.96 | 0.21 | 4,806,910.13 |
| Jenkins | #3 (3) | 7-3 | 24.77 | 60.40 | 0.14 | 10,377.14 | 265.10 | 5.94 | 0.12 | 8,359,048.04 |
| Cook | #3 (1) | 3-7 | 24.73 | 60.53 | 0.09 | 5,455.74 | 79.99 | 3.91 | 0.09 | 11,604,528.74 |
| Hart County | #4 (8) | 4-6 | 24.80 | 60.68 | 0.01 | 1,099.35 | 74.41 | 3.57 | 0.08 | 12,638,187.41 |
| Windsor Forest | #4 (3) | 6-4 | 20.45 | 59.26 | 0.05 | 6,337.58 | 166.54 | 1.84 | 0.03 | 37,380,233.27 |
| Monroe | #2 (1) | 5-5 | 17.68 | 58.94 | 0.10 | 5,238.61 | 115.64 | 1.03 | 0.01 | 87,387,421.99 |
| Tattnall County | #4 (2) | 2-8 | 10.28 | 60.48 | 0.01 | 453.40 | 1.62 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 9,676,563,983.67 |
| Fannin County | #4 (7) | 4-6 | 9.08 | 61.06 | 0.00 | 102.38 | 2.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 23,990,401,820.09 |
Class AA
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Seed | Rec | Rating | Draw | AvgDepth | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockmart | #1 (7) | 10-0 | 66.34 | 58.24 | 3.41 | 904,409.85 | 674,454.90 | 497,484.08 | 339,780.08 | 1.94 |
| Dublin | #1 (3) | 9-1 | 63.63 | 57.31 | 3.28 | 820,276.76 | 668,652.50 | 520,580.04 | 283,923.24 | 2.52 |
| Dodge County | #2 (3) | 9-1 | 58.65 | 60.66 | 2.35 | 853,278.40 | 288,585.45 | 156,030.85 | 80,452.44 | 11.43 |
| Hapeville Charter | #1 (6) | 9-1 | 57.40 | 54.43 | 2.31 | 716,744.02 | 396,586.38 | 146,978.87 | 71,617.26 | 12.96 |
| Brooks County | #1 (1) | 8-2 | 57.38 | 57.45 | 2.24 | 674,239.10 | 376,722.53 | 139,453.93 | 67,887.44 | 13.73 |
| Fitzgerald | #2 (1) | 7-3 | 55.26 | 58.94 | 2.38 | 703,783.26 | 466,357.42 | 180,796.43 | 63,764.81 | 14.68 |
| Heard County | #1 (5) | 8-2 | 50.55 | 50.90 | 2.17 | 827,130.04 | 225,954.41 | 112,142.63 | 28,998.61 | 33.48 |
| Rabun County | #1 (8) | 9-1 | 49.50 | 57.02 | 2.29 | 818,101.61 | 372,779.25 | 110,512.71 | 26,512.46 | 36.72 |
| Washington County | #3 (3) | 8-2 | 53.40 | 60.40 | 1.15 | 274,138.41 | 116,050.14 | 29,663.03 | 11,808.20 | 83.69 |
| Thomasville | #3 (1) | 6-4 | 50.26 | 60.53 | 1.22 | 175,922.19 | 90,983.09 | 40,279.31 | 10,204.24 | 97.00 |
| Callaway | #2 (5) | 8-2 | 50.27 | 60.02 | 1.27 | 272,158.55 | 98,762.04 | 21,017.12 | 6,983.99 | 142.18 |
| Swainsboro | #1 (2) | 8-2 | 45.68 | 56.30 | 1.32 | 282,581.92 | 134,953.64 | 31,067.85 | 5,583.81 | 178.09 |
| Bremen | #3 (5) | 8-2 | 46.69 | 61.21 | 0.83 | 82,058.34 | 23,030.66 | 6,040.97 | 1,594.93 | 625.99 |
| Vidalia | #2 (2) | 9-1 | 42.67 | 59.57 | 0.34 | 50,893.48 | 10,948.97 | 1,293.53 | 256.52 | 3,897.37 |
| Douglass | #2 (6) | 9-1 | 36.70 | 60.41 | 0.93 | 149,738.07 | 13,287.92 | 2,483.84 | 209.14 | 4,780.48 |
| Jefferson County | #1 (4) | 8-2 | 38.26 | 53.33 | 0.59 | 76,098.16 | 6,586.86 | 1,009.92 | 141.98 | 7,042.42 |
| Early County | #4 (1) | 6-4 | 39.24 | 60.94 | 0.56 | 64,608.92 | 5,258.36 | 756.42 | 115.07 | 8,689.27 |
| Chattooga | #2 (7) | 8-2 | 34.59 | 58.65 | 0.77 | 121,825.57 | 18,537.74 | 1,648.57 | 114.76 | 8,712.57 |
| Union County | #2 (8) | 9-1 | 36.12 | 61.44 | 0.30 | 13,130.53 | 1,926.70 | 224.04 | 26.39 | 37,886.51 |
| Washington | #3 (6) | 7-3 | 30.48 | 60.45 | 0.43 | 52,469.14 | 5,352.85 | 323.19 | 15.39 | 64,979.24 |
| Elbert County | #3 (8) | 7-3 | 32.35 | 61.13 | 0.14 | 10,170.27 | 890.38 | 40.62 | 3.46 | 288,988.99 |
| Northeast | #4 (3) | 4-6 | 28.07 | 59.26 | 0.14 | 9,489.67 | 1,338.91 | 63.60 | 2.41 | 414,447.40 |
| Pepperell | #3 (7) | 6-4 | 26.28 | 59.92 | 0.26 | 20,694.40 | 689.71 | 51.28 | 1.64 | 609,592.85 |
| Hephzibah | #2 (4) | 8-2 | 27.09 | 59.22 | 0.10 | 3,015.03 | 358.27 | 30.00 | 1.04 | 964,413.02 |
| Harlem | #3 (4) | 7-3 | 22.90 | 58.45 | 0.04 | 4,145.15 | 392.56 | 11.79 | 0.27 | 3,671,573.39 |
| Jeff Davis | #3 (2) | 7-3 | 25.08 | 60.52 | 0.04 | 6,014.51 | 146.31 | 5.94 | 0.26 | 3,830,981.74 |
| Spencer | #4 (5) | 3-7 | 19.39 | 60.92 | 0.05 | 7,603.68 | 287.63 | 6.05 | 0.10 | 10,073,672.22 |
| Toombs County | #4 (2) | 5-5 | 20.33 | 60.48 | 0.01 | 786.02 | 50.27 | 2.16 | 0.04 | 25,734,496.42 |
| Coosa | #4 (7) | 4-6 | 18.41 | 61.06 | 0.02 | 927.16 | 21.19 | 0.25 | 0.01 | 168,143,804.98 |
| Screven County | #4 (4) | 6-4 | 18.80 | 60.45 | 0.02 | 729.00 | 18.37 | 0.23 | 0.01 | 179,889,213.40 |
| Monticello | #4 (8) | 5-5 | 13.93 | 60.68 | 0.02 | 2,437.49 | 23.84 | 0.56 | 0.01 | 186,708,892.62 |
| South Atlanta | #4 (6) | 6-4 | 17.06 | 61.69 | 0.01 | 401.27 | 10.75 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 248,041,614.32 |
Class A - Public
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Seed | Rec | Rating | Draw | AvgDepth | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irwin County | #1 (2) | 10-0 | 70.85 | 40.08 | 4.54 | 988,758.40 | 965,055.36 | 871,784.69 | 718,757.30 | 0.39 |
| Clinch County | #6 (2) | 9-1 | 59.34 | 47.78 | 3.53 | 921,269.82 | 773,241.74 | 640,025.28 | 192,821.58 | 4.19 |
| Pelham | #4 (1) | 10-0 | 50.84 | 49.14 | 3.03 | 949,550.44 | 906,965.29 | 119,541.51 | 52,223.05 | 18.15 |
| Marion County | #2 (4) | 10-0 | 44.58 | 47.97 | 2.99 | 956,648.34 | 777,145.26 | 230,960.61 | 24,689.15 | 39.50 |
| Mount Zion (Carroll) | #3 (6) | 9-1 | 42.56 | 50.98 | 2.20 | 901,448.98 | 193,589.78 | 96,310.38 | 8,774.87 | 112.96 |
| Commerce | #9 (8) | 8-2 | 36.89 | 54.43 | 1.58 | 575,241.21 | 20,911.65 | 4,939.20 | 930.63 | 1,073.54 |
| Schley County | #7 (4) | 8-2 | 32.88 | 51.57 | 1.84 | 664,069.24 | 160,855.02 | 17,531.23 | 708.34 | 1,410.76 |
| Charlton County | #11 (2) | 7-3 | 36.92 | 54.27 | 1.03 | 77,910.03 | 29,681.35 | 10,732.12 | 614.12 | 1,627.35 |
| Mitchell County | #8 (1) | 8-2 | 32.11 | 54.54 | 1.44 | 424,277.78 | 10,468.82 | 1,822.31 | 239.43 | 4,175.58 |
| Trion | #10 (6) | 7-3 | 28.00 | 52.46 | 0.80 | 198,658.55 | 34,124.46 | 2,489.36 | 65.18 | 15,341.42 |
| Greene County | #5 (7) | 8-2 | 23.28 | 53.32 | 1.76 | 703,564.49 | 54,115.32 | 905.54 | 56.67 | 17,646.57 |
| Turner County | #17 (2) | 6-4 | 28.65 | 55.01 | 0.88 | 11,011.00 | 3,549.52 | 485.47 | 48.19 | 20,748.25 |
| Wilcox County | #23 (2) | 5-5 | 26.58 | 52.65 | 0.59 | 137,272.21 | 20,984.63 | 1,319.22 | 30.37 | 32,924.10 |
| Emanuel County Institute | #13 (3) | 6-4 | 24.52 | 53.88 | 0.76 | 41,442.95 | 23,145.10 | 392.73 | 27.41 | 36,484.79 |
| Dooly County | #14 (4) | 6-4 | 23.48 | 53.83 | 0.88 | 89,856.31 | 3,316.32 | 472.09 | 8.18 | 122,239.75 |
| Macon County | #21 (4) | 5-5 | 16.69 | 53.72 | 0.67 | 157,038.70 | 6,666.97 | 55.48 | 1.91 | 524,771.06 |
| Chattahoochee County | #12 (1) | 7-3 | 15.21 | 53.70 | 0.64 | 139,396.81 | 5,600.31 | 41.51 | 1.24 | 805,475.45 |
| Manchester | #20 (4) | 6-4 | 17.40 | 54.10 | 0.31 | 9,006.61 | 3,507.00 | 31.15 | 1.14 | 874,952.98 |
| Claxton | #15 (3) | 6-4 | 15.02 | 52.21 | 0.56 | 23,347.21 | 3,726.53 | 81.40 | 0.64 | 1,570,178.79 |
| Montgomery County | #18 (3) | 7-3 | 14.91 | 52.24 | 0.49 | 20,004.44 | 3,164.09 | 68.39 | 0.53 | 1,888,378.67 |
| Hancock Central | #19 (7) | 6-4 | 12.06 | 54.05 | 0.23 | 8,694.71 | 110.94 | 5.95 | 0.04 | 28,547,474.90 |
| Taylor County | #22 (4) | 5-5 | 14.42 | 55.14 | 0.09 | 820.16 | 59.89 | 3.96 | 0.03 | 34,141,545.98 |
| Miller County | #16 (1) | 6-3 | 8.60 | 55.29 | 0.13 | 230.60 | 14.14 | 0.41 | 0.01 | 152,252,564.25 |
| Seminole County | #24 (1) | 5-5 | -2.14 | 55.40 | 0.02 | 481.02 | 0.51 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 32,825,440,127.62 |
Class A - Private
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Seed | Rec | Rating | Draw | AvgDepth | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athens Academy | #1 (8) | 10-0 | 52.71 | 34.84 | 3.83 | 949,991.34 | 871,153.44 | 609,559.85 | 402,326.60 | 1.49 |
| Eagle's Landing Christian | #3 (5) | 9-1 | 49.77 | 35.55 | 3.66 | 938,457.68 | 818,240.78 | 602,512.49 | 296,594.35 | 2.37 |
| Prince Avenue Christian | #4 (8) | 9-1 | 48.40 | 39.04 | 3.08 | 895,377.58 | 706,788.26 | 302,970.29 | 171,020.53 | 4.85 |
| Savannah Christian | #2 (3) | 9-1 | 40.33 | 39.79 | 2.37 | 740,534.44 | 423,637.19 | 162,395.99 | 46,200.04 | 20.65 |
| George Walton Academy | #10 (8) | 8-2 | 42.19 | 42.23 | 2.02 | 604,394.32 | 350,136.45 | 128,654.71 | 41,338.08 | 23.19 |
| North Cobb Christian | #5 (6) | 9-1 | 38.25 | 42.39 | 2.08 | 781,034.36 | 228,656.89 | 55,267.46 | 18,604.39 | 52.75 |
| Darlington | #6 (6) | 8-2 | 33.18 | 40.45 | 2.09 | 870,045.67 | 156,288.98 | 56,409.64 | 9,542.77 | 103.79 |
| Fellowship Christian | #7 (6) | 9-1 | 33.57 | 42.52 | 1.55 | 373,163.54 | 141,770.30 | 30,484.89 | 5,315.47 | 187.13 |
| Calvary Day | #8 (3) | 9-1 | 31.71 | 42.24 | 1.89 | 770,882.71 | 97,104.91 | 20,425.32 | 4,434.38 | 224.51 |
| Hebron Christian Academy | #18 (8) | 5-5 | 32.99 | 44.30 | 0.83 | 172,346.26 | 59,032.27 | 12,141.74 | 2,023.82 | 493.12 |
| Wesleyan | #13 (5) | 6-4 | 29.69 | 44.86 | 0.98 | 100,357.95 | 32,604.16 | 4,275.58 | 798.80 | 1,250.87 |
| Christian Heritage | #12 (6) | 7-3 | 28.65 | 44.62 | 1.05 | 203,198.43 | 30,771.98 | 3,739.54 | 645.10 | 1,549.16 |
| Mount Paran Christian | #15 (6) | 7-3 | 28.33 | 44.49 | 0.53 | 87,119.30 | 21,891.59 | 3,214.83 | 367.66 | 2,718.92 |
| Mount Vernon Presbyterian | #16 (5) | 7-3 | 26.23 | 44.02 | 0.86 | 46,191.69 | 18,406.73 | 2,486.68 | 354.18 | 2,822.40 |
| Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg) | #14 (5) | 7-3 | 24.94 | 43.38 | 0.66 | 41,302.07 | 13,673.56 | 2,521.45 | 216.08 | 4,626.98 |
| Mount de Sales | #9 (7) | 9-1 | 22.37 | 43.77 | 0.81 | 163,624.87 | 10,037.66 | 1,021.56 | 105.54 | 9,474.17 |
| Whitefield Academy | #19 (6) | 6-3 | 21.95 | 43.73 | 0.42 | 20,240.25 | 5,545.32 | 780.06 | 51.38 | 19,460.43 |
| Aquinas | #11 (7) | 8-2 | 17.21 | 42.72 | 0.79 | 103,254.91 | 5,503.77 | 532.12 | 22.78 | 43,887.60 |
| Riverside Military Academy | #23 (8) | 5-5 | 21.99 | 45.14 | 0.13 | 22,442.14 | 3,532.20 | 313.45 | 20.72 | 48,259.12 |
| Holy Innocents | #24 (5) | 5-5 | 17.98 | 44.13 | 0.43 | 65,492.42 | 2,624.08 | 175.08 | 12.31 | 81,214.89 |
| Brookstone | #21 (4) | 6-4 | 15.52 | 45.43 | 0.21 | 15,767.21 | 757.63 | 31.34 | 1.76 | 566,967.70 |
| Savannah Country Day | #17 (3) | 7-3 | 14.22 | 44.66 | 0.21 | 3,816.96 | 673.18 | 31.97 | 1.60 | 626,265.45 |
| Stratford Academy | #22 (7) | 5-5 | 10.74 | 43.03 | 0.34 | 26,699.42 | 747.58 | 38.63 | 0.90 | 1,111,151.56 |
| Tattnall Square | #20 (7) | 6-4 | 14.07 | 45.73 | 0.16 | 4,264.47 | 421.08 | 15.33 | 0.76 | 1,324,469.61 |
