High School Sports Blog

Maxwell playoff projections after Week 6

By Loren Maxwell
Oct 2, 2019

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2019 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

All out of state opponents were considered equal to the average of the GHSA team’s classification (i.e., out of state opponents of Class AAAAAAA GHSA teams were treated as an average Class AAAAAAA team).

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Lowndes1 - AAAAAAA6-096.59999,9864.53842,642724,808605,909438,6411.28
Colquitt County1 - AAAAAAA4-192.80999,9003.96741,489606,077475,141259,4612.85
McEachern3 - AAAAAAA4-084.82998,9303.03632,421422,510161,46367,74913.76
North Gwinnett6 - AAAAAAA4-183.18999,7353.31767,986462,853163,38061,84015.17
Grayson8 - AAAAAAA4-183.42999,5413.09773,774265,698147,88255,89816.89
Parkview7 - AAAAAAA3-181.85999,9642.60306,103199,102109,56434,36228.10
Mill Creek6 - AAAAAAA4-179.04998,9182.85645,844324,99892,23925,81737.73
Archer8 - AAAAAAA3-279.52996,7822.73666,658194,11586,99525,17738.72
Milton5 - AAAAAAA2-375.61999,6322.61414,623207,89650,42510,56593.65
Hillgrove3 - AAAAAAA5-077.36994,6211.97309,935157,85440,87410,24496.62
Marietta3 - AAAAAAA3-175.03977,8021.71229,247104,56523,4465,059196.67
Camden County1 - AAAAAAA4-072.42968,0101.59181,08873,52612,9512,128468.92
Roswell4 - AAAAAAA3-168.43987,6762.13248,09370,64410,0921,272785.16
North Paulding3 - AAAAAAA4-068.52906,7721.1880,84025,4213,6385131,948.32
Newton8 - AAAAAAA4-166.12933,5091.40163,31230,4083,7603622,761.43
South Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA3-264.10992,0011.79109,88026,6292,4962563,905.25
Mountain View6 - AAAAAAA3-263.27986,0481.33119,67113,9911,6341228,195.72
East Coweta2 - AAAAAAA1-362.23979,7861.71119,98911,3211,5211168,619.69
Collins Hill6 - AAAAAAA2-262.99949,7631.27108,19112,4391,4961109,089.91
Norcross7 - AAAAAAA1-461.50996,4791.6041,2978,4279676914,491.75
Walton4 - AAAAAAA2-360.79933,8861.6297,53112,7591,0776415,624.00
Cherokee4 - AAAAAAA4-159.78926,9721.5684,99510,0947575318,866.92
Westlake2 - AAAAAAA2-359.34957,2741.5375,4996,4576353925,640.03
West Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA1-359.37977,9831.5248,8848,6965502835,713.29
North Cobb3 - AAAAAAA3-162.31530,4140.6017,7393,7393602835,713.29
South Gwinnett8 - AAAAAAA3-256.74641,9700.7426,3102,7841477142,856.14
Tift County1 - AAAAAAA1-460.11251,2460.3010,1761,9651197142,856.14
Etowah4 - AAAAAAA2-356.25850,9091.3047,0483,5652214249,999.00
Newnan2 - AAAAAAA3-255.06909,7191.2937,0282,5821174249,999.00
Brookwood7 - AAAAAAA2-352.87947,1171.2114,2021,503533333,332.33
Shiloh8 - AAAAAAA5-055.04591,5430.6617,6351,656702499,999.00
Pebblebrook2 - AAAAAAA2-248.47730,5070.899,42644514--
North Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA3-247.20801,6430.892,3211534--
Central Gwinnett7 - AAAAAAA0-545.72811,2990.893,1181923--
Wheeler2 - AAAAAAA2-342.74381,0280.431,74155---
Rockdale County8 - AAAAAAA4-144.43186,1510.1983539---
Woodstock4 - AAAAAAA1-444.26267,9040.322,14532---
Meadowcreek7 - AAAAAAA2-333.30243,4920.25891---
Campbell2 - AAAAAAA0-428.6342,5800.04141---
Peachtree Ridge6 - AAAAAAA1-440.0044,6390.0595----
Lassiter4 - AAAAAAA0-434.0447,2490.0556----
Forsyth Central5 - AAAAAAA3-133.43184,4830.1915----
Discovery6 - AAAAAAA1-433.2220,6860.0211----
Lambert5 - AAAAAAA0-525.2844,8440.052----
Duluth6 - AAAAAAA1-424.223,8470.001----
Kennesaw Mountain3 - AAAAAAA0-433.613,1100.001----
Berkmar7 - AAAAAAA3-15.601,2510.00-----
Lakeside (Atlanta)7 - AAAAAAA0-56.323990.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 At large Out
1 - AAAAAAALowndes616,053339,56740,346-4,02014
1 - AAAAAAAColquitt County362,412548,40681,612-7,470100
1 - AAAAAAACamden County19,785100,034656,527-191,66431,990
1 - AAAAAAATift County1,75011,993221,515-15,988748,754
2 - AAAAAAAEast Coweta474,012288,985154,03262,62213520,214
2 - AAAAAAAWestlake292,424321,448234,519108,8651842,726
2 - AAAAAAANewnan176,807247,218294,826190,16470490,281
2 - AAAAAAAPebblebrook44,840103,287218,228364,11537269,493
2 - AAAAAAAWheeler11,76637,88091,463239,919-618,972
2 - AAAAAAACampbell1511,1826,93234,315-957,420
3 - AAAAAAAMcEachern577,012262,331108,11342,3819,0931,070
3 - AAAAAAAHillgrove205,507327,019275,329137,97448,7925,379
3 - AAAAAAAMarietta160,893258,884291,197191,92274,90622,198
3 - AAAAAAANorth Paulding46,610111,570220,523348,432179,63793,228
3 - AAAAAAANorth Cobb9,97740,179104,470276,56999,219469,586
3 - AAAAAAAKennesaw Mountain1173682,7222996,890
4 - AAAAAAARoswell555,483262,507117,63851,87817012,324
4 - AAAAAAAWalton187,165288,045270,175188,4356666,114
4 - AAAAAAACherokee168,706254,803279,525209,58714,35173,028
4 - AAAAAAAEtowah83,116170,712267,721329,3519149,091
4 - AAAAAAAWoodstock5,26122,15756,933183,553-732,096
4 - AAAAAAALassiter2691,7768,00837,196-952,751
5 - AAAAAAAMilton725,297212,31453,8228,17722368
5 - AAAAAAASouth Forsyth167,573436,537306,17581,1545627,999
5 - AAAAAAAWest Forsyth98,494294,943428,111156,435-22,017
5 - AAAAAAANorth Forsyth8,43453,016188,858551,3341198,357
5 - AAAAAAAForsyth Central1922,85118,969162,4701815,517
5 - AAAAAAALambert103394,06540,430-955,156
6 - AAAAAAANorth Gwinnett566,787349,84966,36316,584152265
6 - AAAAAAAMill Creek379,110452,848126,21739,8708731,082
6 - AAAAAAAMountain View28,040102,853440,065414,72136913,952
6 - AAAAAAACollins Hill26,05393,998363,171464,3002,24150,237
6 - AAAAAAAPeachtree Ridge103792,15142,099-955,361
6 - AAAAAAADiscovery-711,86818,7461979,314
6 - AAAAAAADuluth-21653,680-996,153
7 - AAAAAAAParkview872,635116,4069,6991,223136
7 - AAAAAAANorcross106,368643,643234,75711,711-3,521
7 - AAAAAAABrookwood19,060224,677496,808206,572-52,883
7 - AAAAAAACentral Gwinnett1,7778,652218,757582,113-188,701
7 - AAAAAAAMeadowcreek1606,62139,905196,806-756,508
7 - AAAAAAABerkmar-1191,231-998,749
7 - AAAAAAALakeside (Atlanta)--55344-999,601
8 - AAAAAAAGrayson559,967348,48576,68412,5131,892459
8 - AAAAAAAArcher385,685443,794135,07428,2653,9643,218
8 - AAAAAAANewton44,387146,132457,742230,58354,66566,491
8 - AAAAAAASouth Gwinnett5,93034,950179,865356,82664,399358,030
8 - AAAAAAAShiloh3,91424,852129,156288,911144,710408,457
8 - AAAAAAARockdale County1171,78721,47982,90279,866813,849

Class AAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Valdosta1 - AAAAAA5-184.48997,1394.93955,390796,096665,013532,7310.88
Coffee1 - AAAAAA5-072.55947,9693.58803,849528,122285,698102,0858.80
Dacula8 - AAAAAA5-074.27999,5983.28777,932328,645212,410101,3518.87
Harrison6 - AAAAAA6-072.02997,9473.70835,146600,697236,644100,3258.97
Lee County1 - AAAAAA4-172.15946,3993.54797,388518,305272,64395,1589.51
Allatoona6 - AAAAAA3-167.37992,4972.96652,688357,521127,97935,85326.89
Dalton6 - AAAAAA4-163.35992,7352.30448,470172,47255,44611,01789.77
Lanier8 - AAAAAA5-061.92987,9761.98350,57897,99133,3916,126162.24
Glynn Academy2 - AAAAAA2-260.77989,8712.26314,04392,40229,2364,926202.00
Houston County1 - AAAAAA4-159.94602,6521.62350,519118,93722,9633,872257.26
Northside (Warner Robins)1 - AAAAAA3-358.42505,8411.30272,40783,70514,1122,125469.59
South Paulding5 - AAAAAA4-156.03987,4142.11233,74370,18712,5421,502664.78
Tucker4 - AAAAAA3-254.74971,1611.85163,46646,2397,6958211,217.03
Johns Creek7 - AAAAAA4-154.48997,6361.75100,39629,5466,3066151,625.02
Mays5 - AAAAAA3-154.43901,2781.76157,07040,4465,9486061,649.17
Brunswick2 - AAAAAA2-351.93927,4751.64108,33319,9872,6572314,328.00
Creekside5 - AAAAAA3-250.84777,3881.3582,48416,7281,9421606,249.00
Douglas County5 - AAAAAA3-251.07764,2621.2870,29813,7701,5451257,999.00
Creekview6 - AAAAAA3-253.89448,5050.5740,3154,2288831009,999.00
Alpharetta7 - AAAAAA2-248.01965,9901.4240,2196,5677215617,856.14
Stephenson4 - AAAAAA3-148.76757,3681.1549,9528,5047624621,738.13
Richmond Hill2 - AAAAAA1-347.51822,3901.2953,7928,1356973231,249.00
Effingham County2 - AAAAAA2-346.11783,4631.1841,8075,7504192737,036.04
Alexander5 - AAAAAA2-247.69482,6590.7426,5144,1973812539,999.00
Sequoyah6 - AAAAAA2-250.01332,3160.4021,0262,1673251952,630.58
M.L. King4 - AAAAAA4-044.73837,0021.1832,9804,3382701471,427.57
Evans3 - AAAAAA2-243.48919,3191.0428,0223,3271821190,908.09
Gainesville8 - AAAAAA2-344.72723,3750.8122,5863,1511929111,110.11
Lovejoy4 - AAAAAA4-144.82853,9011.2033,8604,3082857142,856.14
Sprayberry6 - AAAAAA2-246.86230,8950.2711,2421,0331177142,856.14
Grovetown3 - AAAAAA3-243.48913,4041.0326,6603,1951675199,999.00
Winder-Barrow8 - AAAAAA1-444.16696,6380.7819,7842,6641485199,999.00
Pope7 - AAAAAA3-243.05773,4400.9923,9262,5071282499,999.00
Hughes5 - AAAAAA1-442.0482,1760.111,549177132499,999.00
Heritage (Conyers)3 - AAAAAA2-336.66706,8330.744,597304122499,999.00
Habersham Central8 - AAAAAA2-240.04467,7550.506,450643221999,999.00
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)4 - AAAAAA2-338.90471,4820.576,281388101999,999.00
Lakeside (Evans)3 - AAAAAA4-039.64810,7520.8710,43293444--
Bradwell Institute2 - AAAAAA2-239.09476,8010.618,31566227--
Northview7 - AAAAAA3-238.52610,2630.728,49363016--
North Atlanta7 - AAAAAA3-135.94400,8220.463,5612335--
Cambridge7 - AAAAAA2-336.40121,6150.141,121802--
Alcovy3 - AAAAAA1-331.03372,0150.38673161--
Centennial7 - AAAAAA0-432.1245,2210.05198101--
Morrow4 - AAAAAA2-434.7596,2540.1158224---
Apalachee8 - AAAAAA2-330.81124,6580.1332312---
Dunwoody7 - AAAAAA2-331.0774,8410.082379---
Greenbrier3 - AAAAAA0-428.00277,6770.282116---
Northgate5 - AAAAAA0-533.273,6820.00173---
Mundy's Mill4 - AAAAAA2-433.469,0850.01351---
Chattahoochee7 - AAAAAA1-428.7310,1720.01261---
South Cobb6 - AAAAAA0-531.833,1650.008----
River Ridge6 - AAAAAA2-326.211,9400.005----
Drew4 - AAAAAA1-422.163,7470.001----
New Manchester5 - AAAAAA1-430.569220.00-----
Tri-Cities5 - AAAAAA0-422.902190.00-----
Forest Park4 - AAAAAA0-510.63-------
Osborne6 - AAAAAA0-5-7.61-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAAAAValdosta683,902228,88567,48516,8672,861
1 - AAAAAACoffee158,087329,362329,590130,93052,031
1 - AAAAAALee County138,377343,683331,925132,41453,601
1 - AAAAAAHouston County11,87858,207154,219378,348397,348
1 - AAAAAANorthside (Warner Robins)7,75639,863116,781341,441494,159
2 - AAAAAAGlynn Academy621,950242,88087,24737,79410,129
2 - AAAAAABrunswick188,634332,226256,866149,74972,525
2 - AAAAAARichmond Hill99,642202,020269,878250,850177,610
2 - AAAAAAEffingham County74,992165,394258,031285,046216,537
2 - AAAAAABradwell Institute14,78257,480127,978276,561523,199
3 - AAAAAAEvans360,637262,841185,810110,03180,681
3 - AAAAAAGrovetown322,861270,907200,288119,34886,596
3 - AAAAAALakeside (Evans)173,183213,972231,623191,974189,248
3 - AAAAAAHeritage (Conyers)105,270158,778208,721234,064293,167
3 - AAAAAAAlcovy25,00257,474100,226189,313627,985
3 - AAAAAAGreenbrier13,04736,02873,332155,270722,323
4 - AAAAAATucker560,538237,653118,62254,34828,839
4 - AAAAAAM.L. King148,196241,362247,526199,918162,998
4 - AAAAAALovejoy145,441230,565252,802225,093146,099
4 - AAAAAAStephenson120,204214,045212,213210,906242,632
4 - AAAAAAMount Zion (Jonesboro)24,64371,560146,675228,604528,518
4 - AAAAAAMorrow9784,76121,48969,026903,746
4 - AAAAAAMundy's Mill--1618,924990,915
4 - AAAAAADrew-545123,181996,253
4 - AAAAAAForest Park----1,000,000
5 - AAAAAASouth Paulding548,834281,158117,35240,07012,586
5 - AAAAAAMays265,097265,422216,850153,90998,722
5 - AAAAAACreekside130,922193,305228,103225,058222,612
5 - AAAAAADouglas County40,346173,721265,557284,638235,738
5 - AAAAAAAlexander13,89481,157154,093233,515517,341
5 - AAAAAAHughes9075,21117,49058,568917,824
5 - AAAAAANorthgate-154433,224996,318
5 - AAAAAANew Manchester-895819999,078
5 - AAAAAATri-Cities-317199999,781
6 - AAAAAAHarrison677,501279,12529,65411,6672,053
6 - AAAAAAAllatoona284,337392,058275,34940,7537,503
6 - AAAAAADalton35,774310,440593,00053,5217,265
6 - AAAAAASequoyah2,1826,10134,478289,555667,684
6 - AAAAAASprayberry1488,49849,688172,561769,105
6 - AAAAAACreekview583,77817,587427,082551,495
6 - AAAAAASouth Cobb--1643,001996,835
6 - AAAAAARiver Ridge--801,860998,060
6 - AAAAAAOsborne----1,000,000
7 - AAAAAAJohns Creek678,413244,87864,9129,4332,364
7 - AAAAAAAlpharetta266,211487,216153,16759,39634,010
7 - AAAAAAPope44,420119,952361,566247,502226,560
7 - AAAAAANorthview6,72489,591227,667286,281389,737
7 - AAAAAANorth Atlanta2,46944,699134,744218,910599,178
7 - AAAAAACambridge1,3449,80431,69678,771878,385
7 - AAAAAACentennial2721,9547,49535,500954,779
7 - AAAAAADunwoody1471,72817,42055,546925,159
7 - AAAAAAChattahoochee-1781,3338,661989,828
8 - AAAAAADacula763,034214,26719,6062,691402
8 - AAAAAALanier217,237592,845145,01032,88412,024
8 - AAAAAAGainesville8,62584,602322,231307,917276,625
8 - AAAAAAWinder-Barrow8,36669,724310,410308,138303,362
8 - AAAAAAHabersham Central2,59334,624168,454262,084532,245
8 - AAAAAAApalachee1453,93834,28986,286875,342

Class AAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Buford8 - AAAAA5-083.70999,9994.61889,370671,589585,911471,4691.12
Warner Robins1 - AAAAA4-177.58998,3993.59734,610395,665305,371185,6824.39
Carrollton7 - AAAAA5-070.91999,3743.33606,293412,352243,93685,74510.66
Dutchtown4 - AAAAA5-069.39998,1033.14639,705451,000190,18866,70213.99
Jones County4 - AAAAA5-069.49993,6643.01594,409406,531169,46761,35315.30
Bainbridge1 - AAAAA5-068.30981,5222.80508,191261,652138,22241,73922.96
Rome7 - AAAAA3-267.20993,7862.56393,134133,87455,64521,11346.36
Ware County2 - AAAAA3-265.82985,5742.26392,415170,08778,58219,89149.27
Kell7 - AAAAA3-162.77977,1892.67488,251227,70252,85213,79171.51
Griffin3 - AAAAA5-062.01998,4572.30392,309187,62937,7379,739101.68
Stockbridge4 - AAAAA5-062.18969,0552.03305,932140,54937,3978,651114.59
Veterans1 - AAAAA5-159.82898,0042.01329,229125,01832,8035,378184.94
Wayne County2 - AAAAA3-158.96933,2261.55177,22262,04615,0612,567388.56
Clarke Central8 - AAAAA3-256.12997,0642.18271,10470,80218,0992,081479.54
Ola4 - AAAAA4-157.36874,1901.45161,42341,2009,9511,459684.40
South Effingham2 - AAAAA4-155.23866,1701.26110,97634,7595,7897661,304.48
Statesboro2 - AAAAA3-154.95855,2411.23108,03734,1295,6636931,442.00
Cedar Shoals8 - AAAAA4-149.87988,6221.81130,10628,8344,0932863,495.50
Jonesboro3 - AAAAA3-249.99971,9871.44133,04029,3483,5002683,730.34
Carver (Atlanta)6 - AAAAA3-147.72990,1881.6997,44422,2841,7011466,848.32
Southwest DeKalb5 - AAAAA4-146.70997,6271.57116,99120,4722,1961257,999.00
Thomas County Central1 - AAAAA4-149.60615,2830.9377,76416,3601,6881228,195.72
Riverwood6 - AAAAA5-046.49987,0441.6686,72018,5731,1837413,512.51
Harris County1 - AAAAA3-248.38506,7920.7454,74410,5539145717,542.86
Hiram7 - AAAAA2-246.47629,5571.1187,96813,9741,1474820,832.33
East Paulding7 - AAAAA0-444.37216,0140.3522,8423,0202201855,554.56
Starr's Mill3 - AAAAA2-345.79828,2150.9520,5233,3583181662,499.00
New Hampstead2 - AAAAA2-344.28359,7890.4110,7331,9541316166,665.67
Paulding County7 - AAAAA3-242.41111,4860.189,8981,167515199,999.00
Riverdale3 - AAAAA4-141.07748,2210.8312,0901,296833333,332.33
Banneker6 - AAAAA1-338.00791,7840.929,493771393333,332.33
Union Grove4 - AAAAA2-243.63114,0650.133,796233233333,332.33
Cass7 - AAAAA3-234.6968,9420.092,16313741999,999.00
Loganville8 - AAAAA0-532.62801,0520.976,3303868--
Columbia5 - AAAAA1-432.32930,0391.004,6282376--
Lithonia5 - AAAAA3-230.29898,0290.942,5891215--
Whitewater3 - AAAAA0-532.40238,4780.25512214--
Decatur6 - AAAAA4-131.38686,1750.742,3881173--
Maynard Jackson6 - AAAAA2-232.09455,1920.481,329473--
Locust Grove4 - AAAAA0-441.8816,6300.02479443--
Arabia Mountain5 - AAAAA0-529.11872,6480.911,739721--
Eagle's Landing4 - AAAAA1-436.9032,9560.04423151--
Villa Rica7 - AAAAA1-435.133,6520.01135131--
Fayette County3 - AAAAA2-230.84200,3020.213237---
Grady6 - AAAAA2-323.6376,9030.08492---
Walnut Grove8 - AAAAA0-518.90171,5330.18110----
Miller Grove5 - AAAAA0-416.01288,3290.2932----
Johnson (Gainesville)8 - AAAAA3-210.6041,7300.045----
McIntosh3 - AAAAA1-421.5214,3400.012----
North Springs6 - AAAAA1-316.9212,1040.011----
Woodland (Stockbridge)4 - AAAAA1-428.591,3370.001----
Chamblee5 - AAAAA0-4-1.7913,3280.01-----
Lithia Springs6 - AAAAA1-44.596100.00-----
Woodland (Cartersville)7 - AAAAA1-417.92-------
Clarkston5 - AAAAA0-6-23.97-------
Cross Keys5 - AAAAA0-6-72.42-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAAAWarner Robins671,631257,98057,97310,8151,601
1 - AAAAABainbridge248,550454,055219,78159,13618,478
1 - AAAAAVeterans67,673208,818416,162205,351101,996
1 - AAAAAThomas County Central6,99942,568172,707393,009384,717
1 - AAAAAHarris County5,14736,579133,377331,689493,208
2 - AAAAAWare County557,807260,020112,77354,97414,426
2 - AAAAAWayne County205,975301,704257,252168,29566,774
2 - AAAAASouth Effingham117,394216,499279,339252,938133,830
2 - AAAAAStatesboro109,435187,364269,564288,878144,759
2 - AAAAANew Hampstead9,38934,41381,072234,915640,211
3 - AAAAAGriffin721,529208,91154,49313,5241,543
3 - AAAAAJonesboro208,561530,465173,00959,95228,013
3 - AAAAAStarr's Mill35,64195,562393,581303,431171,785
3 - AAAAARiverdale32,159130,630263,375322,057251,779
3 - AAAAAFayette County1,58015,08150,365133,276799,698
3 - AAAAAWhitewater50219,03663,115155,825761,522
3 - AAAAAMcIntosh283152,06211,935985,660
4 - AAAAADutchtown481,326344,244149,08223,4511,897
4 - AAAAAJones County369,623345,064203,65875,3196,336
4 - AAAAAStockbridge134,137232,911375,838226,16930,945
4 - AAAAAOla14,85776,380250,806532,147125,810
4 - AAAAAEagle's Landing312862,21730,422967,044
4 - AAAAALocust Grove212271,41114,971983,370
4 - AAAAAUnion Grove588816,91396,259885,935
4 - AAAAAWoodland (Stockbridge)--751,262998,663
5 - AAAAASouthwest DeKalb731,824197,18950,46318,1512,373
5 - AAAAAColumbia118,227319,601291,328200,88369,961
5 - AAAAALithonia81,897249,659303,392263,081101,971
5 - AAAAAArabia Mountain65,095209,667291,872306,014127,352
5 - AAAAAMiller Grove2,94523,67161,075200,638711,671
5 - AAAAAChamblee122131,87011,233986,672
5 - AAAAAClarkston----1,000,000
5 - AAAAACross Keys----1,000,000
6 - AAAAARiverwood476,660373,022104,34333,01912,956
6 - AAAAACarver (Atlanta)455,192361,334135,69137,9719,812
6 - AAAAABanneker31,772130,466370,326259,220208,216
6 - AAAAADecatur29,43690,968222,722343,049313,825
6 - AAAAAMaynard Jackson6,28840,114147,526261,264544,808
6 - AAAAAGrady6153,75617,26155,271923,097
6 - AAAAANorth Springs373362,0649,667987,896
6 - AAAAALithia Springs-467539999,390
7 - AAAAACarrollton777,676103,452108,17810,068626
7 - AAAAAKell176,31084,196600,428116,25522,811
7 - AAAAARome41,660783,025139,19629,9056,214
7 - AAAAAHiram4,12223,243115,225486,967370,443
7 - AAAAAPaulding County2143,20018,42989,643888,514
7 - AAAAACass131387,07861,713931,058
7 - AAAAAEast Paulding52,72911,138202,142783,986
7 - AAAAAVilla Rica-173283,307996,348
7 - AAAAAWoodland (Cartersville)----1,000,000
8 - AAAAABuford937,21459,2663,3451741
8 - AAAAAClarke Central48,060588,811316,69143,5022,936
8 - AAAAACedar Shoals14,242325,639535,525113,21611,378
8 - AAAAALoganville47624,957129,183646,436198,948
8 - AAAAAWalnut Grove81,21412,972157,339828,467
8 - AAAAAJohnson (Gainesville)-1132,28439,333958,270

Class AAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Cartersville5 - AAAA5-080.88999,8194.43878,956715,800525,331398,4831.51
Marist7 - AAAA5-077.51999,7074.15806,042725,307454,888290,2052.45
Blessed Trinity7 - AAAA4-172.16995,2653.41648,521546,754326,818133,6786.48
Woodward Academy4 - AAAA4-070.75999,9993.34835,261342,147175,76984,52010.83
Troup5 - AAAA4-162.82978,8692.04314,826214,09287,38418,12154.18
Flowery Branch7 - AAAA4-062.93966,1612.03316,706223,19380,36917,35656.62
Sandy Creek5 - AAAA4-062.73955,8551.90280,023190,41675,94215,84062.13
Cairo1 - AAAA4-160.08999,7042.39258,823163,27665,50011,56985.44
West Laurens2 - AAAA4-159.72976,8482.74634,393185,46451,67910,96990.17
Oconee County8 - AAAA5-158.90994,3332.71561,009166,25959,5649,99399.07
Burke County3 - AAAA3-254.18997,9822.02157,76886,56821,5892,448407.50
Howard2 - AAAA4-153.80900,7372.05393,38286,28319,4142,249443.64
Mary Persons2 - AAAA2-350.23815,5291.62263,96746,6738,3777371,355.85
Thomson3 - AAAA2-350.41995,3021.7585,13735,2036,4625591,787.91
Chapel Hill5 - AAAA3-253.95694,4870.8648,90122,7954,0445381,857.74
North Oconee8 - AAAA6-049.66945,0261.99251,60738,0436,3145281,892.94
St. Pius X8 - AAAA3-349.40944,1251.97239,86735,7545,8094682,135.75
Upson-Lee2 - AAAA2-349.25784,0651.47222,55436,7486,1154532,206.51
Carver (Columbus)1 - AAAA4-150.31988,4421.7476,76228,3604,6304282,335.45
Denmark7 - AAAA4-051.26769,3040.9347,72917,5253,1323183,143.65
Eastside4 - AAAA2-246.64995,5161.68236,24239,2625,6843023,310.26
Ridgeland6 - AAAA0-343.67989,1591.66144,73619,4652,2831009,999.00
Baldwin3 - AAAA1-545.13986,1561.4735,90210,5731,1566515,383.62
Perry2 - AAAA2-342.47440,8010.6352,8505,1965063231,249.00
Westover1 - AAAA4-143.94867,8951.2121,9655,3664772245,453.55
Hardaway1 - AAAA3-240.65714,1140.9110,9062,5011736166,665.67
Madison County8 - AAAA3-337.21642,8080.9946,3923,1871805199,999.00
Heritage (Ringgold)6 - AAAA3-135.59930,8461.1931,1341,8771072499,999.00
Northwest Whitfield6 - AAAA3-135.27933,9711.1828,9151,607841999,999.00
Cedartown5 - AAAA1-442.55192,4920.202,472579391999,999.00
White County7 - AAAA3-241.51264,2670.283,206534391999,999.00
Pickens6 - AAAA3-232.83905,1111.0817,719729351999,999.00
Central (Carrollton)5 - AAAA3-239.00148,8300.161,046203121999,999.00
Americus-Sumter1 - AAAA2-334.66262,0880.311,616246111999,999.00
Stephens County8 - AAAA1-534.69473,7080.6824,3641,34464--
Hampton4 - AAAA2-229.48900,1900.9910,39029610--
Spalding2 - AAAA1-431.8482,0200.092,068835--
Richmond Academy3 - AAAA2-232.09859,7900.941,9951693--
Columbus1 - AAAA1-332.1289,0250.10358571--
LaGrange5 - AAAA2-237.5629,6480.03143211--
McDonough4 - AAAA2-323.53703,2650.742,52829---
Shaw1 - AAAA3-128.8674,5670.0817616---
Luella4 - AAAA1-317.14265,0520.27283----
LaFayette6 - AAAA3-217.75230,7170.24249----
Salem4 - AAAA0-517.4353,0390.0555----
North Clayton4 - AAAA0-412.2180,5020.0834----
Cross Creek3 - AAAA2-316.54160,7700.1619----
Gilmer6 - AAAA2-33.918,9300.011----
Northside (Columbus)1 - AAAA0-522.163,9560.001----
West Hall7 - AAAA0-517.673,4300.001----
Druid Hills4 - AAAA2-21.252,4370.00-----
Chestatee7 - AAAA1-422.211,8660.00-----
Southeast Whitfield6 - AAAA0-5-1.621,2660.00-----
Dougherty1 - AAAA0-516.232090.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAACairo770,336218,6079,5571,204296
1 - AAAACarver (Columbus)220,856540,596195,99830,99211,558
1 - AAAAWestover6,195195,269413,588252,843132,105
1 - AAAAAmericus-Sumter2,42921,94670,332167,381737,912
1 - AAAAShaw1492,66317,27954,476925,433
1 - AAAAHardaway1820,335283,394410,367285,886
1 - AAAAColumbus175759,58778,846910,975
1 - AAAANorthside (Columbus)-92413,706996,044
1 - AAAADougherty--24185999,791
2 - AAAAWest Laurens536,649257,605124,76257,83223,152
2 - AAAAHoward211,769284,790241,888162,29099,263
2 - AAAAMary Persons131,591207,962250,861225,115184,471
2 - AAAAUpson-Lee97,865181,918244,178260,104215,935
2 - AAAAPerry21,13862,534120,150236,979559,199
2 - AAAASpalding9885,19118,16157,680917,980
3 - AAAABurke County544,129294,701127,73231,4202,018
3 - AAAAThomson293,666383,151258,70559,7804,698
3 - AAAABaldwin148,337280,271427,753129,79513,844
3 - AAAARichmond Academy13,69439,883173,884632,329140,210
3 - AAAACross Creek1741,99411,926146,676839,230
4 - AAAAWoodward Academy924,18574,2901,490341
4 - AAAAEastside72,489762,968137,53422,5254,484
4 - AAAAHampton3,201114,879525,821256,28999,810
4 - AAAALuella947,54472,605184,809734,948
4 - AAAANorth Clayton216017,93062,410919,498
4 - AAAASalem21402,97549,922946,961
4 - AAAADruid Hills-73052,125997,563
4 - AAAAHenry County----1,000,000
5 - AAAACartersville819,752148,57227,4374,058181
5 - AAAATroup99,298441,939369,92267,71021,131
5 - AAAASandy Creek75,634361,468371,975146,77844,145
5 - AAAAChapel Hill5,00733,993161,857493,630305,513
5 - AAAACentral (Carrollton)2145,27227,271116,073851,170
5 - AAAACedartown778,31537,536146,564807,508
5 - AAAALaGrange184414,00225,187970,352
6 - AAAARidgeland544,606265,015121,15658,38210,841
6 - AAAAHeritage (Ringgold)183,764262,571269,574214,93769,154
6 - AAAANorthwest Whitfield161,412258,710280,855232,99466,029
6 - AAAAPickens106,928197,748284,688315,74794,889
6 - AAAALaFayette3,28015,84042,550169,047769,283
6 - AAAAGilmer71049827,837991,070
6 - AAAASoutheast Whitfield3121951,056998,734
7 - AAAAMarist609,680290,15585,60614,266293
7 - AAAABlessed Trinity303,698465,672190,63635,2594,735
7 - AAAAFlowery Branch78,251203,659503,117181,13433,839
7 - AAAADenmark8,23236,195185,895538,982230,696
7 - AAAAWhite County1384,31234,420225,397735,733
7 - AAAAChestatee172271,631998,134
7 - AAAAWest Hall--993,331996,570
8 - AAAAOconee County589,863272,020104,79427,6565,667
8 - AAAANorth Oconee201,891322,030291,843129,26254,974
8 - AAAASt. Pius X182,265302,164323,673136,02355,875
8 - AAAAMadison County16,88862,001166,534397,385357,192
8 - AAAAStephens County9,09341,785113,156309,674526,292

Class AAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Cedar Grove5 - AAA3-275.18999,9944.46920,076626,670511,492415,1711.41
Peach County4 - AAA4-172.05999,9983.91878,809457,347348,914253,1072.95
Greater Atlanta Christian7 - AAA4-164.621,000,0003.00618,617418,446145,54880,96111.35
Pierce County2 - AAA5-062.45999,9923.22682,547394,927155,37265,20814.34
Crisp County1 - AAA3-359.36999,5693.05556,344333,692186,17146,31920.59
Westminster (Atlanta)5 - AAA2-359.22998,1192.67482,800274,299132,14333,83328.56
Lovett5 - AAA3-259.15999,6162.61452,414274,838129,49532,52129.75
Jefferson8 - AAA3-157.90999,6782.74485,868229,849100,55324,98439.03
Liberty County2 - AAA3-054.75999,4702.45436,322175,91058,34811,84983.40
Benedictine3 - AAA2-254.49998,1192.44303,174153,81058,40310,64192.98
Hart County8 - AAA5-053.72999,7362.32336,710124,23239,1047,328135.46
Appling County2 - AAA4-151.18998,6292.10323,567106,93430,1384,276232.86
North Murray6 - AAA4-149.72999,9712.22340,186116,32735,4194,144240.31
Pace Academy5 - AAA3-151.86998,9081.80224,51486,35322,0733,613275.78
Jenkins3 - AAA4-150.18997,5562.15194,39371,20418,0952,559389.78
Calhoun6 - AAA4-151.98999,7181.80124,93926,3596,8981,575633.92
Westside (Macon)4 - AAA3-246.08988,2881.51136,08730,8126,7785951,679.67
Islands3 - AAA5-045.11999,6411.99127,38830,2854,1835111,955.95
Jackson4 - AAA3-244.21984,7091.40101,55320,0243,8372803,570.43
Dawson County7 - AAA4-144.99994,6891.3066,11417,7933,3792793,583.23
Morgan County8 - AAA4-143.22988,6511.5580,41513,4651,7901546,492.51
Monroe Area8 - AAA3-240.49862,6261.1852,8858,1261,0425717,542.86
North Hall7 - AAA3-239.54981,5291.1326,5985,2416733231,249.00
Haralson County6 - AAA4-032.48977,1901.1311,534885572499,999.00
Southeast Bulloch3 - AAA2-232.93720,0770.859,224819551999,999.00
Brantley County2 - AAA3-130.28821,4110.875,13926712--
Sonoraville6 - AAA2-229.20749,1140.824,53725612--
Monroe1 - AAA3-328.66787,2650.914,8422987--
Cook1 - AAA0-625.96714,8670.802,6021172--
Central (Macon)4 - AAA0-527.17551,1300.582,405882--
Jackson County8 - AAA2-323.96157,8010.17610232--
Adairsville6 - AAA2-327.70560,6040.602,4141341--
Fannin County7 - AAA3-125.85699,0870.721,197721--
Pike County4 - AAA2-223.97418,5940.431,026341--
Beach3 - AAA1-224.04294,5820.3276831---
Worth County1 - AAA2-320.74498,7170.5358314---
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe6 - AAA2-321.17197,2720.202577---
Windsor Forest3 - AAA1-321.8279,2180.081405---
Redan5 - AAA2-317.2892,5510.10583---
East Jackson8 - AAA3-216.7963,9430.07512---
East Hall7 - AAA1-418.13234,3330.24821---
Franklin County8 - AAA0-317.5745,5200.05491---
Tattnall County2 - AAA0-417.37160,1140.1670----
Ringgold6 - AAA0-518.1752,5890.0533----
Cherokee Bluff7 - AAA1-415.41141,7920.1429----
Long County2 - AAA1-411.5968,1670.0713----
Johnson (Savannah)3 - AAA1-310.0814,7020.019----
Rutland4 - AAA1-410.6043,4990.043----
Stone Mountain5 - AAA1-39.585,2400.012----
Lumpkin County7 - AAA1-48.7638,6810.041----
Kendrick4 - AAA1-44.5017,5610.021----
Savannah3 - AAA0-55.467880.001----
Murray County6 - AAA3-29.833,9040.00-----
Towers5 - AAA1-4-2.434030.00-----
Coahulla Creek6 - AAA1-3-1.00720.00-----
Groves3 - AAA0-4-9.7460.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 At large Out
1 - AAACrisp County945,05351,4202,788-308431
1 - AAAMonroe27,821432,153327,191-100212,735
1 - AAACook20,159335,948358,760--285,133
1 - AAAWorth County6,967180,479311,261-10501,283
2 - AAAPierce County608,073279,140104,3628,1262918
2 - AAALiberty County261,680409,753289,10337,2171,717530
2 - AAAAppling County127,911297,781504,09165,4083,4381,371
2 - AAABrantley County2,28112,46291,480672,86042,328178,589
2 - AAATattnall County487148,050151,2957839,886
2 - AAALong County71502,91465,0942931,833
3 - AAABenedictine532,332297,214140,81126,6541,1081,881
3 - AAAJenkins304,115369,551261,06057,8205,0102,444
3 - AAAIslands158,222318,096499,28022,7681,275359
3 - AAASoutheast Bulloch4,99612,50275,526574,76152,292279,923
3 - AAABeach3242,37616,982257,78117,119705,418
3 - AAAWindsor Forest102435,74247,04226,181920,782
3 - AAAJohnson (Savannah)11857412,5271,582985,298
3 - AAASavannah--25641122999,212
3 - AAAGroves---6-999,994
4 - AAAPeach County921,75571,3056,499429102
4 - AAAWestside (Macon)45,352486,575382,78372,0871,49111,712
4 - AAAJackson32,186411,362472,88167,76451615,291
4 - AAACentral (Macon)42916,85768,721465,123-448,870
4 - AAAPike County27813,81066,016336,7301,760581,406
4 - AAARutland-472,21541,2352956,501
4 - AAAKendrick-4488516,632-982,439
5 - AAACedar Grove864,833120,3519,9534,834236
5 - AAAWestminster (Atlanta)98,570360,827327,420209,0382,2641,881
5 - AAAPace Academy29,058140,830287,694538,0553,2711,092
5 - AAALovett7,539377,935374,604234,8224,716384
5 - AAARedan-452257,88984,392907,449
5 - AAAStone Mountain-121024,990136994,760
5 - AAATowers--237229999,597
6 - AAANorth Murray930,25244,90018,6165,87233129
6 - AAACalhoun33,522806,529141,68515,6382,344282
6 - AAAHaralson County31,333119,214534,848241,49350,30222,810
6 - AAASonoraville4,59717,298229,362304,158193,699250,886
6 - AAALakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe2832,83517,146136,60040,408802,728
6 - AAAAdairsville129,19650,462268,265232,669439,396
6 - AAAMurray County181581,2352,502996,096
6 - AAARinggold-207,72026,69118,158947,411
6 - AAACoahulla Creek--34821999,928
7 - AAAGreater Atlanta Christian862,023122,60614,3231,03414-
7 - AAADawson County99,990523,129312,81955,3043,4475,311
7 - AAANorth Hall36,014319,137492,744131,4542,18018,471
7 - AAAFannin County1,92629,748136,142451,29579,976300,913
7 - AAACherokee Bluff278697,969128,7464,181858,208
7 - AAAEast Hall184,44332,904196,656312765,667
7 - AAALumpkin County2683,09935,5111961,319
8 - AAAJefferson546,611319,844100,65931,0031,561322
8 - AAAHart County347,116395,469187,65066,7672,734264
8 - AAAMorgan County88,101238,712540,712103,71417,41211,349
8 - AAAMonroe Area18,00743,676138,871612,86749,205137,374
8 - AAAJackson County1221,53322,613116,65416,879842,199
8 - AAAFranklin County375135,33039,536104954,480
8 - AAAEast Jackson62534,16529,45930,060936,057

Class AA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Callaway5 - AA4-166.29999,9484.15767,426681,774447,420260,1382.84
Dublin3 - AA4-066.40997,8053.78766,676535,542344,956203,5913.91
Rabun County8 - AA5-064.11999,9993.98865,718628,663332,072173,5654.76
Rockmart7 - AA5-063.72999,9953.63720,398527,865280,363143,2895.98
Hapeville Charter6 - AA3-162.37999,9813.68884,234455,312248,841117,0597.54
Swainsboro2 - AA3-156.94996,8043.03672,890288,243110,15937,36825.76
Fitzgerald1 - AA4-157.30996,4812.52465,445220,81481,95528,63333.92
Brooks County1 - AA2-356.13994,9892.33384,885181,02463,19320,06348.84
Washington County3 - AA3-153.33940,6041.94242,825120,20538,3659,93499.66
Dodge County3 - AA2-348.10907,7811.51141,70450,21010,8761,913521.74
Jefferson County4 - AA3-243.67997,4781.94264,17841,5197,1028881,125.13
Bremen5 - AA2-243.20952,5111.74126,22332,5345,2825931,685.34
Bleckley County3 - AA4-144.51861,7641.2792,53025,0984,1135461,830.50
Douglass6 - AA5-040.85999,9811.93284,81834,0944,6994482,231.14
Union County8 - AA5-040.70998,9191.91231,09631,9554,1154182,391.34
Thomasville1 - AA2-343.51934,8881.2964,89319,9813,0463872,582.98
Vidalia2 - AA4-141.51864,4361.54141,38422,2092,9192883,471.22
Pepperell7 - AA4-140.90999,7681.76122,92621,0052,4642454,080.63
Hephzibah4 - AA4-039.06995,4701.66139,62915,9841,8521546,492.51
Metter2 - AA4-138.53937,1871.55110,85213,8041,5161456,895.55
Elbert County8 - AA3-238.32983,0621.68172,53318,1921,8831427,041.25
Jeff Davis2 - AA5-038.87820,8941.36103,89012,7351,3331128,927.57
Screven County4 - AA4-136.19965,9361.3453,5786,2085343925,640.03
Heard County5 - AA1-434.89914,4431.3039,5024,9273492245,453.55
Chattooga7 - AA3-231.32995,7801.3325,2492,1041017142,856.14
Toombs County2 - AA3-132.54364,4420.5022,7941,409875199,999.00
South Atlanta6 - AA4-128.86978,7291.2436,3241,669933333,332.33
Early County1 - AA4-233.88701,4590.7812,8551,6111232499,999.00
Northeast3 - AA2-337.16155,6150.197,292996832499,999.00
Southwest3 - AA2-335.21136,0730.164,996549351999,999.00
Lamar County5 - AA5-029.56595,6380.718,35072430--
Harlem4 - AA2-326.14806,7520.9110,73948024--
Berrien1 - AA2-327.04372,1830.392,3911869--
Spencer5 - AA2-328.14280,7170.312,0511416--
Washington6 - AA1-422.99466,6350.481,9501011--
Temple5 - AA3-223.95255,0720.281,114581--
B.E.S.T. Academy6 - AA1-419.91305,9900.3172324---
Therrell6 - AA1-417.27245,9540.2551917---
Banks County8 - AA3-215.20422,6120.437108---
Westside (Augusta)4 - AA2-216.33176,0580.184278---
Monticello8 - AA0-515.71326,9620.335327---
Model7 - AA2-313.76535,3480.551814---
Putnam County8 - AA1-413.90266,6150.273273---
Coosa7 - AA0-513.78399,2800.40863---
Bacon County2 - AA0-514.4815,4660.02611---
Glenn Hills4 - AA1-315.7529,3540.0365----
Butler4 - AA0-410.6028,3020.0327----
Laney4 - AA1-413.156170.002----
Dade County7 - AA0-5-0.608,1780.011----
Jordan5 - AA0-52.231,6710.001----
Gordon Central7 - AA0-53.1259,1530.06-----
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate6 - AA2-46.752,5100.00-----
Armuchee7 - AA0-5-4.722,4980.00-----
Social Circle8 - AA1-3-4.911,6520.00-----
Bryan County2 - AA0-40.637710.00-----
East Laurens3 - AA1-44.033580.00-----
McNair6 - AA0-5-8.642200.00-----
Oglethorpe County8 - AA1-4-11.521790.00-----
Josey4 - AA0-4-7.90330.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAFitzgerald527,556346,475100,55121,8993,519
1 - AABrooks County393,324421,501148,76831,3965,011
1 - AAThomasville66,259176,845484,367207,41765,112
1 - AAEarly County11,27844,175198,451447,555298,541
1 - AABerrien1,58311,00467,863291,733627,817
2 - AASwainsboro750,639182,79746,79616,5723,196
2 - AAVidalia88,356282,940274,863218,277135,564
2 - AAMetter87,702283,535320,049245,90162,813
2 - AAJeff Davis67,829217,551266,772268,742179,106
2 - AAToombs County5,45532,85789,016237,114635,558
2 - AABacon County193162,45012,681984,534
2 - AABryan County-454713999,229
3 - AADublin756,926185,63143,11512,1332,195
3 - AAWashington County138,597404,172260,083137,75259,396
3 - AADodge County67,833226,352345,350268,24692,219
3 - AABleckley County34,827166,623298,328361,986138,236
3 - AANortheast1,17510,92030,738112,782844,385
3 - AASouthwest6426,30122,369106,761863,927
3 - AAEast Laurens-117340999,642
4 - AAJefferson County547,837290,443141,73017,4682,522
4 - AAHephzibah371,197467,064121,59135,6184,530
4 - AAScreven County72,445178,365492,926222,20034,064
4 - AAHarlem7,98858,869217,724522,171193,248
4 - AAWestside (Augusta)5294,68218,148152,699823,942
4 - AAGlenn Hills45474,93323,870970,646
4 - AAButler-262,89525,381971,698
4 - AALaney-453560999,383
4 - AAJosey---33999,967
5 - AACallaway907,69485,7725,74473852
5 - AABremen71,077536,471252,69892,26547,489
5 - AAHeard County16,438259,043419,999218,96385,557
5 - AALamar County3,99480,669201,614309,361404,362
5 - AASpencer74716,23949,440214,291719,283
5 - AATemple5021,79870,359162,865744,928
5 - AAJordan-81461,517998,329
6 - AAHapeville Charter898,24894,7876,46148519
6 - AADouglass90,956706,224202,19560619
6 - AASouth Atlanta10,796198,211694,08975,63321,271
6 - AAWashington-32722,938443,370533,365
6 - AAB.E.S.T. Academy-1067,507298,377694,010
6 - AATherrell-30466,345179,305754,046
6 - AAKIPP Atlanta Collegiate-404512,019997,490
6 - AAMcNair-114205999,780
7 - AARockmart915,14278,5176,1002365
7 - AAPepperell67,428647,005270,67214,663232
7 - AAChattooga17,185263,989631,72882,8784,220
7 - AAModel24510,42487,043437,636464,652
7 - AACoosa-232,683396,574600,720
7 - AAGordon Central-282858,323940,847
7 - AADade County-337287,417991,822
7 - AAArmuchee-72182,273997,502
8 - AARabun County887,044100,91811,8741631
8 - AAUnion County72,528538,473365,15422,7641,081
8 - AAElbert County40,269351,116512,25579,42216,938
8 - AABanks County1597,86452,006362,583577,388
8 - AAMonticello-79033,491292,681673,038
8 - AAPutnam County-83925,188240,588733,385
8 - AASocial Circle--311,621998,348
8 - AAOglethorpe County--1178999,821

Class A-Public

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Irwin County2 - A4-069.241,000,000985,133944,989752,634666,5570.50
Clinch County2 - A4-161.201,000,000961,017873,436374,639240,1243.16
Pelham1 - A5-047.391,000,000876,358600,853371,69151,16818.54
Commerce8 - A4-145.43999,996730,345292,538144,42319,10251.35
Bowdon6 - A4-040.00999,999727,922277,59399,8758,073122.87
Mitchell County1 - A4-138.061,000,000709,472267,36392,7485,956166.90
Wilcox County2 - A4-137.80998,740501,670127,17842,7423,071324.63
Manchester4 - A3-136.00989,339532,776188,10142,8402,554390.54
Emanuel County Institute3 - A2-334.02987,773353,866126,49323,6161,208826.81
Turner County2 - A4-133.86999,988404,99585,02022,5971,063939.73
Marion County4 - A3-232.88985,358170,01049,18210,1524522,211.39
Lincoln County7 - A3-230.21995,643211,37340,9806,9082454,080.63
Macon County4 - A2-229.38542,707153,86433,9264,7011945,153.64
Telfair County2 - A2-329.15868,26691,69320,6283,3018911,234.96
Trion6 - A4-126.49933,05290,67815,3041,9834920,407.16
Claxton3 - A3-124.20815,56757,4119,3799762638,460.54
Taylor County4 - A2-226.11503,20951,0487,7309081855,554.56
Schley County4 - A3-225.15235,00144,3227,1297111471,427.57
Washington-Wilkes7 - A3-222.74954,03365,5179,1347921283,332.33
Charlton County2 - A1-424.59436,30229,2404,3914809111,110.11
McIntosh County Academy3 - A1-322.87577,75333,6654,2024145199,999.00
Johnson County3 - A3-119.83607,78329,1043,1981694249,999.00
Terrell County1 - A3-218.21999,986106,7325,6163703333,332.33
Chattahoochee County1 - A2-316.56998,22831,7272,7411582499,999.00
Atkinson County2 - A2-318.07221,9877,038441362499,999.00
Mount Zion (Carroll)6 - A1-419.25194,1146,93249748--
Montgomery County3 - A2-215.88439,23011,07380645--
Miller County1 - A1-410.82873,3278,23238218--
Greene County7 - A1-313.96236,4814,12026012--
Gordon Lee6 - A2-313.71142,7092,2141124--
Dooly County4 - A0-416.813,313666594--
Lanier County2 - A2-311.11149,4631,731593--
Seminole County1 - A3-26.90995,6285,9922042--
Hancock Central7 - A2-310.4260,20062427---
Jenkins County3 - A1-411.1158,61360926---
Warren County7 - A2-37.93102,12668717---
Wilkinson County7 - A0-45.9720,2771105---
Greenville4 - A1-33.3588061---
Calhoun County1 - A1-4-7.6767,04617----
Treutlen3 - A3-20.381,0849----
Baconton Charter1 - A1-3-11.054,7922----
Hawkinsville4 - A1-4-1.293-----
Towns County8 - A0-5-10.652-----
Central (Talbotton)4 - A1-3-14.561-----
Stewart County1 - A1-4-29.551-----
Portal3 - A0-4-8.39------
Crawford County4 - A1-3-14.97------
Wheeler County3 - A1-3-18.11------
Twiggs County7 - A0-5-18.22------
Randolph-Clay1 - A0-4-38.77------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team Rgn Champ 1 to 8 9 to 24 Out
1 - APelham743,580999,467533-
1 - AMitchell County254,960944,29155,709-
1 - ATerrell County1,382317,768682,21814
1 - ASeminole County7611,808983,8204,372
1 - AChattahoochee County210,563987,6651,772
1 - AMiller County-178873,149126,673
1 - ACalhoun County--67,046932,954
1 - ABaconton Charter--4,792995,208
1 - AStewart County--1999,999
1 - ARandolph-Clay---1,000,000
2 - AIrwin County986,172999,9973-
2 - AClinch County6,721999,440560-
2 - AWilcox County4,884406,416592,3241,260
2 - ATurner County2,223389,597610,39112
2 - ATelfair County-3,801864,465131,734
2 - ACharlton County-28436,274563,698
2 - AAtkinson County-31221,956778,013
2 - ALanier County-3149,460850,537
3 - AEmanuel County Institute332,114332,657655,11612,227
3 - AJohnson County20,96120,963586,820392,217
3 - AClaxton13,68816,760798,807184,433
3 - AMontgomery County7,7867,792431,438560,770
3 - AMcIntosh County Academy2,8694,174573,579422,247
3 - AJenkins County19719758,416941,387
3 - ATreutlen29291,055998,916
3 - APortal---1,000,000
3 - AWheeler County---1,000,000
4 - AManchester624,331624,346364,99310,661
4 - AMacon County209,416209,416333,291457,293
4 - ASchley County71,88471,884163,117764,999
4 - ATaylor County21,03221,032482,177496,791
4 - AMarion County11,80411,811973,54714,642
4 - ADooly County2,2422,2421,071996,687
4 - AGreenville2121859999,120
4 - AHawkinsville33-999,997
4 - ACentral (Talbotton)--1999,999
4 - ACrawford County---1,000,000
6 - ABowdon119,519907,52892,4711
6 - ATrion99115,886917,16666,948
6 - AMount Zion (Carroll)69194,105805,886
6 - AGordon Lee-9142,700857,291
7 - AWashington-Wilkes30,67140,169913,86445,967
7 - ALincoln County30,46675,260920,3834,357
7 - AGreene County1,7231,774234,707763,519
7 - AWilkinson County24324320,034979,723
7 - AHancock Central18118160,019939,800
7 - AWarren County33102,123897,874
7 - ATwiggs County---1,000,000
8 - ACommerce224,261552,223447,7734
8 - ATowns County--2999,998

Class A-Private

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Eagle's Landing Christian5 - A4-166.331,000,000943,438840,010636,379490,7201.04
Holy Innocents5 - A5-061.001,000,000931,793775,778499,324286,7472.49
Athens Academy8 - A4-056.30999,998819,440529,502311,428122,1167.19
Wesleyan5 - A4-148.571,000,000727,735338,965135,18630,84331.42
Darlington6 - A5-045.831,000,000685,776303,142107,89319,59250.04
Fellowship Christian6 - A5-046.09999,999676,240284,066104,72119,44550.43
Prince Avenue Christian8 - A4-147.46999,996494,342236,89384,25418,33553.54
Savannah Christian3 - A1-240.35967,503352,321133,88827,4413,592277.40
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)5 - A4-138.601,000,000352,54686,28018,7912,085478.62
Hebron Christian8 - A2-239.54998,781212,77068,90714,2971,719580.73
Aquinas7 - A4-036.14999,991414,940105,86019,1001,663600.32
Calvary Day3 - A3-136.35997,679263,06675,05312,1761,175850.06
North Cobb Christian6 - A4-134.47999,852170,91037,9985,7084402,271.73
Christian Heritage6 - A4-033.94999,936192,11738,5395,7454202,379.95
Mount de Sales7 - A4-032.73996,932225,93349,7296,1214002,499.00
Mount Paran Christian6 - A2-134.69963,333114,68925,4353,7722843,520.13
George Walton Academy8 - A4-133.57990,065103,27221,1172,8881825,493.51
Mount Vernon Presbyterian5 - A3-232.42997,58879,39115,1471,9231178,546.01
Whitefield Academy6 - A4-130.12995,77072,71712,0401,2276216,128.03
Savannah Country Day3 - A4-028.56996,93980,47112,3531,0964920,407.16
Brookstone4 - A3-126.59650,11333,9105,1023321376,922.08
St. Francis6 - A2-220.35489,8635,359382281999,999.00
Stratford Academy7 - A1-423.04600,16012,3041,08758--
Tattnall Square7 - A2-221.31553,70313,1091,06738--
First Presbyterian7 - A1-320.96317,5888,39270333--
Riverside Military Academy8 - A2-220.26843,7318,82869733--
Walker6 - A2-218.59502,9423,8702468--
Athens Christian8 - A2-313.7250,2191615---
Strong Rock Christian5 - A2-310.4145,326705---
Mount Pisgah Christian6 - A1-413.5326,518713---
Landmark Christian5 - A1-42.3712,47341---
Pacelli4 - A4-15.181,71514----
Pinecrest Academy6 - A0-41.774491----
King's Ridge Christian6 - A1-3-0.11696-----
Our Lady of Mercy5 - A0-5-7.7885-----
Providence Christian8 - A1-3-4.2339-----
Lakeview Academy8 - A0-3-0.9618-----
Georgia Military College7 - A2-3-17.03------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team Rgn Champ 1 to 8 9 to 24 Out
3 - ASavannah Christian358,744359,209608,29432,497
3 - ACalvary Day223,142261,017736,6622,321
3 - ASavannah Country Day40,47061,459935,4803,061
4 - ABrookstone59,13159,131590,982349,887
4 - APacelli1361361,579998,285
5 - AHoly Innocents970,922996,5433,457-
5 - AEagle's Landing Christian24,386999,538462-
5 - ATrinity Christian (Sharpsburg)3,911390,411609,589-
5 - AWesleyan487903,67896,322-
5 - AMount Vernon Presbyterian2941,254996,3342,412
5 - AStrong Rock Christian--45,326954,674
5 - ALandmark Christian--12,473987,527
5 - AOur Lady of Mercy--85999,915
6 - AFellowship Christian503,944772,429227,5701
6 - ADarlington314,294862,684137,316-
6 - AChristian Heritage23,592173,654826,28264
6 - AWhitefield Academy18,70726,317969,4534,230
6 - ANorth Cobb Christian15,96980,439919,413148
6 - AMount Paran Christian2,4912,690960,64336,667
6 - ASt. Francis466466489,397510,137
6 - AWalker1717502,925497,058
6 - AMount Pisgah Christian4426,514973,482
6 - AKing's Ridge Christian--696999,304
6 - APinecrest Academy--449999,551
7 - AAquinas516,697620,350379,6419
7 - AMount de Sales361,153361,553635,3793,068
7 - ATattnall Square27,25027,250526,453446,297
7 - AFirst Presbyterian25,54025,540292,048682,412
7 - AStratford Academy6,0736,073594,087399,840
7 - AGeorgia Military College---1,000,000
8 - AAthens Academy533,286693,010306,9882
8 - APrince Avenue Christian161,576229,313770,6834
8 - AHebron Christian72,52077,120921,6611,219
8 - AGeorge Walton Academy7,5787,936982,1299,935
8 - ARiverside Military Academy747747842,984156,269
8 - AAthens Christian323250,187949,781
8 - AProvidence Christian--39999,961
8 - ALakeview Academy--18999,982

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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