Sports
Maxwell playoff projections after Week 9
Below are the current Maxwell Ratings' playoff projections for each class.
The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2016 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons.
While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.
All out of state opponents were considered equal to the average of the GHSA team’s classification (i.e., out of state opponents of Class AAAAAAA GHSA teams were treated as an average Class AAAAAAA team).
Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) classification record, and 4) random tie breaker.
Class AAAAAAA
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Region
Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Teams in Semifinals | Teams in Finals | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Eliminated | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4 | Eliminated | 1+ | 2 | Champion | Odds |
| 4 - AAAAAAA | 137,167 | 862,833 | 64,987 | 1,475 | 10 | 284,176 | 715,824 | 2,929 | 475,459 | 1.10 |
| 8 - AAAAAAA | 227,638 | 772,362 | 97,396 | 1,768 | 8 | 514,708 | 485,292 | 6,236 | 240,152 | 3.16 |
| 6 - AAAAAAA | 319,662 | 680,338 | 46,507 | 952 | 2 | 639,235 | 360,765 | 2,450 | 159,034 | 5.29 |
| 7 - AAAAAAA | 413,238 | 586,762 | 40,832 | 790 | 1 | 817,417 | 182,583 | 1,587 | 63,915 | 14.65 |
| 1 - AAAAAAA | 594,264 | 405,736 | 54,218 | 758 | 1 | 869,115 | 130,885 | 3,767 | 36,075 | 26.72 |
| 3 - AAAAAAA | 693,103 | 306,897 | 19,967 | 227 | 1 | 899,712 | 100,288 | 1,198 | 24,909 | 39.15 |
| 5 - AAAAAAA | 971,001 | 28,999 | 209 | - | - | 995,629 | 4,371 | 1 | 330 | 3,029.30 |
| 2 - AAAAAAA | 974,161 | 25,839 | 121 | - | - | 998,177 | 1,823 | 1 | 126 | 7,935.51 |
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roswell | 4 - AAAAAAA | 7-0 | 97.96 | 1,000,000 | 926,929 | 867,199 | 712,421 | 474,976 | 1.11 |
| Grayson | 8 - AAAAAAA | 6-1 | 94.03 | 1,000,000 | 926,290 | 752,533 | 476,444 | 238,269 | 3.20 |
| Mill Creek | 6 - AAAAAAA | 8-0 | 91.92 | 1,000,000 | 846,575 | 667,639 | 354,425 | 158,133 | 5.32 |
| Norcross | 7 - AAAAAAA | 7-0 | 86.03 | 1,000,000 | 673,189 | 557,889 | 173,534 | 62,714 | 14.95 |
| Colquitt County | 1 - AAAAAAA | 4-4 | 83.80 | 999,754 | 600,923 | 254,912 | 86,807 | 25,820 | 37.73 |
| McEachern | 3 - AAAAAAA | 6-1 | 82.84 | 999,864 | 731,549 | 254,905 | 85,688 | 22,818 | 42.83 |
| Lowndes | 1 - AAAAAAA | 7-1 | 79.49 | 999,304 | 440,237 | 188,842 | 45,178 | 10,032 | 98.68 |
| North Cobb | 3 - AAAAAAA | 5-2 | 73.35 | 999,238 | 388,606 | 59,283 | 14,584 | 2,011 | 496.27 |
| Archer | 8 - AAAAAAA | 2-5 | 72.69 | 976,247 | 372,396 | 94,278 | 12,678 | 1,707 | 584.82 |
| Parkview | 7 - AAAAAAA | 5-2 | 72.60 | 999,998 | 246,917 | 40,552 | 7,070 | 913 | 1,094.29 |
| North Gwinnett | 6 - AAAAAAA | 4-3 | 70.57 | 985,580 | 126,628 | 37,831 | 6,918 | 784 | 1,274.51 |
| West Forsyth | 5 - AAAAAAA | 6-1 | 66.31 | 999,064 | 233,371 | 19,803 | 3,543 | 296 | 3,377.38 |
| Brookwood | 7 - AAAAAAA | 5-2 | 68.54 | 998,651 | 172,846 | 29,558 | 3,553 | 288 | 3,471.22 |
| Lassiter | 4 - AAAAAAA | 5-2 | 68.55 | 922,339 | 126,852 | 25,160 | 2,810 | 249 | 4,015.06 |
| Tift County | 1 - AAAAAAA | 5-3 | 67.17 | 896,673 | 175,182 | 16,677 | 2,647 | 223 | 4,483.30 |
| Woodstock | 4 - AAAAAAA | 5-2 | 65.77 | 991,014 | 92,012 | 21,218 | 2,379 | 180 | 5,554.56 |
| South Gwinnett | 8 - AAAAAAA | 5-2 | 66.33 | 894,149 | 105,773 | 18,931 | 1,778 | 143 | 6,992.01 |
| Mountain View | 6 - AAAAAAA | 7-1 | 64.10 | 999,993 | 135,035 | 19,462 | 1,657 | 106 | 9,432.96 |
| Westlake | 2 - AAAAAAA | 4-3 | 62.77 | 999,939 | 166,093 | 20,487 | 1,412 | 95 | 10,525.32 |
| Hillgrove | 3 - AAAAAAA | 4-3 | 62.92 | 998,156 | 79,977 | 8,804 | 827 | 48 | 20,832.33 |
| Cherokee | 4 - AAAAAAA | 4-3 | 62.65 | 962,002 | 87,439 | 12,437 | 977 | 45 | 22,221.22 |
| Newton | 8 - AAAAAAA | 4-2-1 | 62.48 | 962,703 | 28,789 | 5,692 | 627 | 33 | 30,302.03 |
| North Paulding | 3 - AAAAAAA | 5-2 | 64.52 | 917,086 | 44,505 | 4,082 | 387 | 32 | 31,249.00 |
| East Coweta | 2 - AAAAAAA | 5-2 | 61.82 | 992,161 | 29,711 | 4,881 | 394 | 31 | 32,257.06 |
| South Forsyth | 5 - AAAAAAA | 4-3 | 62.81 | 985,482 | 62,295 | 5,141 | 506 | 22 | 45,453.55 |
| Lambert | 5 - AAAAAAA | 4-3 | 58.57 | 997,031 | 75,521 | 3,910 | 313 | 12 | 83,332.33 |
| Peachtree Ridge | 6 - AAAAAAA | 2-5 | 62.11 | 835,619 | 19,002 | 2,857 | 215 | 11 | 90,908.09 |
| Walton | 4 - AAAAAAA | 3-4 | 59.93 | 417,280 | 23,401 | 2,067 | 104 | 7 | 142,856.14 |
| Etowah | 4 - AAAAAAA | 4-3 | 58.46 | 303,440 | 16,237 | 1,224 | 62 | 2 | 499,999.00 |
| Camden County | 1 - AAAAAAA | 2-5 | 53.65 | 234,188 | 9,700 | 282 | 20 | - | - |
| Wheeler | 2 - AAAAAAA | 3-4 | 51.32 | 953,414 | 6,713 | 426 | 13 | - | - |
| Central Gwinnett | 7 - AAAAAAA | 3-5 | 50.23 | 981,296 | 20,251 | 387 | 13 | - | - |
| North Forsyth | 5 - AAAAAAA | 4-3 | 50.96 | 620,279 | 2,555 | 174 | 6 | - | - |
| Newnan | 2 - AAAAAAA | 3-4 | 49.67 | 713,783 | 2,122 | 165 | 5 | - | - |
| Milton | 5 - AAAAAAA | 2-5 | 52.15 | 436,306 | 1,728 | 182 | 4 | - | - |
| Shiloh | 8 - AAAAAAA | 2-5 | 50.79 | 274,127 | 1,749 | 100 | 1 | - | - |
| Marietta | 3 - AAAAAAA | 3-4 | 48.53 | 156,332 | 537 | 18 | - | - | - |
| Collins Hill | 6 - AAAAAAA | 2-6 | 45.24 | 181,725 | 218 | 10 | - | - | - |
| Pebblebrook | 2 - AAAAAAA | 4-3 | 38.51 | 348,995 | 109 | 2 | - | - | - |
| Lakeside (Atlanta) | 7 - AAAAAAA | 4-4 | 34.78 | 23,493 | 30 | - | - | - | - |
| Kennesaw Mountain | 3 - AAAAAAA | 2-5 | 36.78 | 5,628 | 5 | - | - | - | - |
| Forsyth Central | 5 - AAAAAAA | 3-3 | 33.25 | 33,867 | 3 | - | - | - | - |
| Duluth | 6 - AAAAAAA | 2-5 | 17.49 | 2,449 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Rockdale County | 8 - AAAAAAA | 2-6 | 33.17 | 952 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Campbell | 2 - AAAAAAA | 0-7 | 19.11 | 220 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Meadowcreek | 7 - AAAAAAA | 1-6 | 6.40 | 133 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Discovery | 6 - AAAAAAA | 1-6 | 20.91 | 46 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Berkmar | 7 - AAAAAAA | 0-8 | -8.79 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Class AAAAAA
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Region
Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Teams in Semifinals | Teams in Finals | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Eliminated | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4 | Eliminated | 1+ | 2 | Champion | Odds |
| 1 - AAAAAA | 37,116 | 962,884 | 702,351 | 219,719 | 21,686 | 147,582 | 852,418 | 357,667 | 701,911 | 0.42 |
| 6 - AAAAAA | 308,765 | 691,235 | 152,002 | 6,790 | 55 | 656,807 | 343,193 | 17,557 | 171,953 | 4.82 |
| 5 - AAAAAA | 480,087 | 519,913 | 115,052 | 9,232 | 238 | 781,807 | 218,193 | 11,146 | 74,060 | 12.50 |
| 4 - AAAAAA | 729,549 | 270,451 | 10,261 | 82 | - | 896,956 | 103,044 | 243 | 29,734 | 32.63 |
| 2 - AAAAAA | 774,875 | 225,125 | 7,771 | 41 | - | 917,493 | 82,507 | 134 | 20,543 | 47.68 |
| 8 - AAAAAA | 940,171 | 59,829 | 748 | 1 | - | 989,364 | 10,636 | 9 | 1,495 | 667.90 |
| 7 - AAAAAA | 976,228 | 23,772 | 170 | - | - | 996,776 | 3,224 | 2 | 302 | 3,310.26 |
| 3 - AAAAAA | 999,414 | 586 | - | - | - | 999,973 | 27 | - | 2 | 499,999.00 |
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valdosta | 1 - AAAAAA | 6-1 | 84.54 | 996,111 | 874,594 | 794,036 | 578,366 | 388,774 | 1.57 |
| Northside (Warner Robins) | 1 - AAAAAA | 7-1 | 82.27 | 985,469 | 841,061 | 696,407 | 497,864 | 271,001 | 2.69 |
| Harrison | 6 - AAAAAA | 7-0 | 79.23 | 999,725 | 863,797 | 607,456 | 294,957 | 157,585 | 5.35 |
| Mays | 5 - AAAAAA | 6-1 | 73.84 | 1,000,000 | 521,246 | 286,025 | 117,981 | 42,743 | 22.40 |
| Lee County | 1 - AAAAAA | 6-1 | 73.23 | 993,254 | 540,592 | 290,701 | 106,907 | 36,902 | 26.10 |
| Tucker | 4 - AAAAAA | 6-1 | 71.54 | 999,895 | 560,983 | 253,612 | 100,456 | 29,479 | 32.92 |
| Alexander | 5 - AAAAAA | 7-0 | 71.44 | 997,730 | 500,056 | 229,831 | 78,937 | 24,674 | 39.53 |
| Glynn Academy | 2 - AAAAAA | 6-1 | 69.01 | 999,869 | 666,677 | 212,392 | 80,660 | 20,390 | 48.04 |
| Dalton | 6 - AAAAAA | 7-0 | 67.80 | 1,000,000 | 486,452 | 181,482 | 53,292 | 12,428 | 79.46 |
| Coffee | 1 - AAAAAA | 5-2 | 64.89 | 990,857 | 349,672 | 122,374 | 26,316 | 5,091 | 195.43 |
| Hughes | 5 - AAAAAA | 6-2 | 65.56 | 998,660 | 136,685 | 69,844 | 18,224 | 3,919 | 254.17 |
| Northgate | 5 - AAAAAA | 6-1 | 64.23 | 994,082 | 128,451 | 58,594 | 14,176 | 2,722 | 366.38 |
| Allatoona | 6 - AAAAAA | 3-4 | 62.11 | 986,616 | 289,211 | 57,339 | 12,246 | 1,920 | 519.83 |
| Lanier | 8 - AAAAAA | 5-2 | 60.02 | 999,944 | 345,698 | 47,962 | 9,362 | 1,393 | 716.88 |
| Stephenson | 4 - AAAAAA | 4-3 | 54.29 | 987,481 | 210,699 | 16,749 | 1,932 | 182 | 5,493.51 |
| Johns Creek | 7 - AAAAAA | 6-2 | 57.05 | 1,000,000 | 36,648 | 12,012 | 1,805 | 173 | 5,779.35 |
| Houston County | 1 - AAAAAA | 6-2 | 63.83 | 34,309 | 10,770 | 3,122 | 632 | 143 | 6,992.01 |
| Centennial | 7 - AAAAAA | 6-2 | 56.11 | 998,775 | 23,585 | 9,088 | 1,213 | 121 | 8,263.46 |
| Effingham County | 2 - AAAAAA | 4-2 | 53.69 | 973,382 | 136,096 | 12,801 | 1,374 | 118 | 8,473.58 |
| Dacula | 8 - AAAAAA | 3-4 | 52.42 | 986,304 | 142,523 | 11,292 | 1,205 | 100 | 9,999.00 |
| Lovejoy | 4 - AAAAAA | 4-4 | 53.03 | 999,986 | 72,551 | 10,203 | 896 | 73 | 13,697.63 |
| Brunswick | 2 - AAAAAA | 3-3 | 51.26 | 950,345 | 66,222 | 5,404 | 454 | 31 | 32,257.06 |
| Creekview | 6 - AAAAAA | 3-4 | 51.07 | 156,947 | 20,135 | 1,081 | 85 | 10 | 99,999.00 |
| Sequoyah | 6 - AAAAAA | 3-4 | 47.61 | 697,875 | 54,276 | 2,425 | 156 | 9 | 111,110.11 |
| Richmond Hill | 2 - AAAAAA | 6-0 | 46.57 | 997,959 | 44,658 | 2,342 | 153 | 4 | 249,999.00 |
| Alpharetta | 7 - AAAAAA | 4-3 | 50.63 | 944,743 | 14,271 | 1,635 | 120 | 4 | 249,999.00 |
| Cambridge | 7 - AAAAAA | 5-3 | 49.03 | 998,574 | 11,554 | 1,206 | 88 | 4 | 249,999.00 |
| Gainesville | 8 - AAAAAA | 3-4 | 46.86 | 913,567 | 17,784 | 1,183 | 75 | 2 | 499,999.00 |
| Creekside | 5 - AAAAAA | 4-3 | 58.24 | 5,952 | 347 | 112 | 20 | 2 | 499,999.00 |
| Heritage (Conyers) | 3 - AAAAAA | 4-3 | 43.89 | 999,454 | 6,873 | 446 | 23 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Sprayberry | 6 - AAAAAA | 4-3 | 45.17 | 158,137 | 9,250 | 301 | 14 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Evans | 3 - AAAAAA | 5-2 | 40.11 | 994,312 | 3,008 | 130 | 4 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Drew | 4 - AAAAAA | 2-5 | 40.57 | 702,988 | 7,390 | 215 | 3 | - | - |
| Winder-Barrow | 8 - AAAAAA | 4-3 | 38.16 | 718,208 | 3,124 | 109 | 2 | - | - |
| Habersham Central | 8 - AAAAAA | 4-3 | 36.43 | 372,845 | 1,092 | 32 | 1 | - | - |
| Douglas County | 5 - AAAAAA | 5-3 | 54.46 | 3,576 | 134 | 30 | 1 | - | - |
| Mount Zion (Jonesboro) | 4 - AAAAAA | 3-4 | 34.00 | 182,086 | 1,003 | 12 | - | - | - |
| Grovetown | 3 - AAAAAA | 3-5 | 30.65 | 806,471 | 211 | 5 | - | - | - |
| Lakeside (Evans) | 3 - AAAAAA | 2-5 | 27.82 | 917,364 | 175 | 4 | - | - | - |
| Mundy's Mill | 4 - AAAAAA | 2-6 | 33.15 | 40,299 | 99 | 3 | - | - | - |
| Chattahoochee | 7 - AAAAAA | 3-4 | 34.45 | 50,068 | 43 | 2 | - | - | - |
| Greenbrier | 3 - AAAAAA | 5-2 | 24.73 | 258,002 | 17 | 1 | - | - | - |
| Jonesboro | 4 - AAAAAA | 1-6 | 33.79 | 87,153 | 256 | - | - | - | - |
| Bradwell Institute | 2 - AAAAAA | 2-3-1 | 24.59 | 78,445 | 21 | - | - | - | - |
| Pope | 7 - AAAAAA | 2-5 | 38.14 | 7,567 | 6 | - | - | - | - |
| Apalachee | 8 - AAAAAA | 2-4-1 | 20.61 | 9,132 | 3 | - | - | - | - |
| Alcovy | 3 - AAAAAA | 4-4 | 18.11 | 24,397 | 1 | - | - | - | - |
| River Ridge | 6 - AAAAAA | 2-5 | 28.94 | 700 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Northview | 7 - AAAAAA | 1-6 | 29.39 | 270 | - | - | - | - | - |
| M.L. King | 4 - AAAAAA | 2-5 | 27.59 | 112 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Dunwoody | 7 - AAAAAA | 2-5 | 22.16 | 3 | - | - | - | - | - |
| South Paulding | 5 - AAAAAA | 1-6 | 34.27 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Tri-Cities | 5 - AAAAAA | 0-7 | 31.74 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| South Cobb | 6 - AAAAAA | 1-6 | 26.97 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| New Manchester | 5 - AAAAAA | 0-8 | 24.90 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| North Atlanta | 7 - AAAAAA | 1-6 | 24.27 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Osborne | 6 - AAAAAA | 0-7 | 5.92 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Forest Park | 4 - AAAAAA | 1-7 | 3.37 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Class AAAAA
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Region
Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Teams in Semifinals | Teams in Finals | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Eliminated | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4 | Eliminated | 1+ | 2 | Champion | Odds |
| 8 - AAAAA | 267,377 | 732,623 | 64,949 | 201 | - | 396,192 | 603,808 | 6,299 | 428,157 | 1.34 |
| 4 - AAAAA | 93,335 | 906,665 | 338,527 | 14,782 | 150 | 372,583 | 627,417 | 63,678 | 325,007 | 2.08 |
| 7 - AAAAA | 270,033 | 729,967 | 258,377 | 33,353 | 218 | 612,707 | 387,293 | 40,293 | 165,017 | 5.06 |
| 2 - AAAAA | 657,055 | 342,945 | 682 | - | - | 863,800 | 136,200 | - | 43,067 | 22.22 |
| 6 - AAAAA | 654,859 | 345,141 | 11,356 | 15 | - | 901,795 | 98,205 | 401 | 34,296 | 28.16 |
| 3 - AAAAA | 913,848 | 86,152 | 2,274 | 15 | - | 986,749 | 13,251 | 14 | 1,773 | 563.02 |
| 1 - AAAAA | 931,993 | 68,007 | 1,476 | 12 | - | 988,363 | 11,637 | 20 | 1,394 | 716.36 |
| 5 - AAAAA | 938,365 | 61,635 | 467 | - | - | 988,518 | 11,482 | 2 | 1,289 | 774.80 |
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buford | 8 - AAAAA | 6-1 | 80.78 | 999,998 | 909,586 | 735,854 | 598,964 | 426,772 | 1.34 |
| Stockbridge | 4 - AAAAA | 7-0 | 75.21 | 1,000,000 | 914,809 | 837,264 | 566,951 | 280,558 | 2.56 |
| Kell | 7 - AAAAA | 6-1 | 70.45 | 1,000,000 | 873,565 | 521,924 | 236,546 | 94,229 | 9.61 |
| Rome | 7 - AAAAA | 5-2 | 69.36 | 999,633 | 833,669 | 270,634 | 142,484 | 59,900 | 15.69 |
| Ware County | 2 - AAAAA | 3-3 | 67.38 | 1,000,000 | 660,719 | 343,514 | 136,199 | 43,067 | 22.22 |
| Woodland (Stockbridge) | 4 - AAAAA | 6-2 | 67.98 | 997,918 | 519,503 | 364,509 | 109,559 | 41,889 | 22.87 |
| Grady | 6 - AAAAA | 6-1 | 66.76 | 999,997 | 479,485 | 326,788 | 94,057 | 33,859 | 28.53 |
| Carrollton | 7 - AAAAA | 6-1 | 61.17 | 997,032 | 654,531 | 226,497 | 48,382 | 10,879 | 90.92 |
| Jones County | 4 - AAAAA | 5-2 | 58.17 | 940,650 | 136,684 | 50,493 | 13,665 | 2,480 | 402.23 |
| Griffin | 3 - AAAAA | 7-1 | 55.83 | 994,804 | 291,822 | 61,014 | 10,573 | 1,549 | 644.58 |
| Loganville | 8 - AAAAA | 6-1 | 54.64 | 1,000,000 | 238,653 | 58,138 | 10,823 | 1,369 | 729.46 |
| Arabia Mountain | 5 - AAAAA | 6-1 | 53.11 | 999,987 | 408,657 | 58,316 | 11,263 | 1,278 | 781.47 |
| Thomas County Central | 1 - AAAAA | 5-3 | 54.67 | 965,582 | 214,494 | 34,223 | 6,951 | 952 | 1,049.42 |
| Carver (Atlanta) | 6 - AAAAA | 5-2 | 50.98 | 999,992 | 67,527 | 29,214 | 4,529 | 437 | 2,287.33 |
| Bainbridge | 1 - AAAAA | 2-4 | 52.34 | 971,877 | 147,124 | 21,733 | 3,608 | 372 | 2,687.17 |
| Riverdale | 3 - AAAAA | 6-1 | 48.43 | 977,997 | 131,649 | 14,461 | 1,613 | 154 | 6,492.51 |
| Ola | 4 - AAAAA | 4-3 | 48.68 | 989,408 | 46,870 | 7,219 | 849 | 73 | 13,697.63 |
| Starr's Mill | 3 - AAAAA | 4-4 | 46.93 | 854,043 | 81,958 | 8,671 | 722 | 53 | 18,866.92 |
| Warner Robins | 1 - AAAAA | 2-6 | 46.00 | 955,781 | 94,410 | 7,989 | 657 | 48 | 20,832.33 |
| Veterans | 1 - AAAAA | 4-4 | 44.76 | 853,722 | 65,960 | 5,330 | 431 | 21 | 47,618.05 |
| Whitewater | 3 - AAAAA | 5-2 | 43.51 | 789,331 | 56,964 | 3,980 | 340 | 17 | 58,822.53 |
| Clarke Central | 8 - AAAAA | 4-4 | 43.37 | 947,979 | 12,588 | 3,738 | 320 | 16 | 62,499.00 |
| Southwest DeKalb | 5 - AAAAA | 4-3 | 41.45 | 998,814 | 64,009 | 3,708 | 217 | 11 | 90,908.09 |
| Locust Grove | 4 - AAAAA | 5-3 | 50.22 | 39,424 | 2,244 | 392 | 45 | 5 | 199,999.00 |
| East Paulding | 7 - AAAAA | 2-5 | 42.37 | 174,434 | 15,709 | 835 | 61 | 3 | 333,332.33 |
| Dutchtown | 4 - AAAAA | 3-4 | 49.11 | 32,573 | 1,559 | 250 | 26 | 2 | 499,999.00 |
| Cass | 7 - AAAAA | 3-4 | 39.24 | 183,888 | 11,350 | 467 | 24 | 2 | 499,999.00 |
| Hiram | 7 - AAAAA | 4-4 | 41.72 | 21,954 | 1,844 | 106 | 8 | 2 | 499,999.00 |
| Villa Rica | 7 - AAAAA | 4-4 | 38.86 | 508,442 | 27,885 | 1,100 | 62 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Paulding County | 7 - AAAAA | 3-4 | 39.57 | 114,617 | 7,690 | 356 | 19 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Harris County | 1 - AAAAA | 3-4 | 36.41 | 253,038 | 5,314 | 222 | 10 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Banneker | 6 - AAAAA | 5-2 | 34.88 | 858,872 | 5,073 | 437 | 17 | - | - |
| Fayette County | 3 - AAAAA | 3-3-1 | 38.62 | 374,605 | 7,178 | 316 | 17 | - | - |
| Lithonia | 5 - AAAAA | 3-4 | 30.37 | 964,988 | 3,837 | 76 | 4 | - | - |
| Riverwood | 6 - AAAAA | 3-4 | 34.11 | 609,587 | 1,244 | 56 | 3 | - | - |
| South Effingham | 2 - AAAAA | 0-7 | 21.98 | 755,104 | 203 | 13 | 1 | - | - |
| Wayne County | 2 - AAAAA | 1-6 | 31.41 | 982,674 | 1,664 | 79 | - | - | - |
| Walnut Grove | 8 - AAAAA | 3-4 | 27.11 | 553,630 | 352 | 20 | - | - | - |
| Statesboro | 2 - AAAAA | 0-7 | 24.05 | 855,374 | 342 | 20 | - | - | - |
| Flowery Branch | 8 - AAAAA | 3-5 | 29.15 | 150,035 | 182 | 18 | - | - | - |
| North Springs | 6 - AAAAA | 4-3 | 27.93 | 511,686 | 551 | 16 | - | - | - |
| Cedar Shoals | 8 - AAAAA | 3-4 | 28.28 | 348,358 | 141 | 6 | - | - | - |
| Columbia | 5 - AAAAA | 2-5 | 21.57 | 418,209 | 208 | 2 | - | - | - |
| Miller Grove | 5 - AAAAA | 2-5 | 19.26 | 530,667 | 128 | 1 | - | - | - |
| New Hampstead | 2 - AAAAA | 1-4-1 | 12.72 | 406,848 | 19 | 1 | - | - | - |
| McIntosh | 3 - AAAAA | 3-4 | 31.49 | 9,199 | 36 | - | - | - | - |
| Chamblee | 5 - AAAAA | 1-6 | 12.24 | 87,335 | 9 | - | - | - | - |
| Maynard Jackson | 6 - AAAAA | 2-5 | 20.57 | 19,854 | 2 | - | - | - | - |
| Eagle's Landing | 4 - AAAAA | 2-6 | 40.20 | 22 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Morrow | 3 - AAAAA | 1-7 | 11.53 | 21 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Lithia Springs | 6 - AAAAA | 0-7 | 5.30 | 11 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Union Grove | 4 - AAAAA | 1-5-1 | 23.60 | 5 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Decatur | 6 - AAAAA | 1-6 | 17.39 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Hampton | 4 - AAAAA | 1-6 | 18.26 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Woodland (Cartersville) | 7 - AAAAA | 0-8 | 14.89 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Johnson (Gainesville) | 8 - AAAAA | 0-8 | -7.57 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clarkston | 5 - AAAAA | 1-7 | -21.42 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Cross Keys | 5 - AAAAA | 1-3 | -36.46 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Class AAAA
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Region
Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Teams in Semifinals | Teams in Finals | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Eliminated | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4 | Eliminated | 1+ | 2 | Champion | Odds |
| 5 - AAAA | 175,928 | 824,072 | 312,833 | 49,346 | 2,559 | 268,688 | 731,312 | 66,896 | 578,628 | 0.73 |
| 3 - AAAA | 280,160 | 719,840 | 18,837 | 5 | - | 392,886 | 607,114 | 2,100 | 220,872 | 3.53 |
| 4 - AAAA | 672,158 | 327,842 | 20,032 | 158 | - | 744,756 | 255,244 | 5,050 | 150,816 | 5.63 |
| 8 - AAAA | 517,378 | 482,622 | 80,457 | 1,374 | 6 | 892,162 | 107,838 | 1,699 | 16,454 | 59.78 |
| 7 - AAAA | 618,376 | 381,624 | 37,923 | 136 | - | 935,827 | 64,173 | 968 | 12,919 | 76.41 |
| 2 - AAAA | 662,276 | 337,724 | 31,759 | 531 | 1 | 948,412 | 51,588 | 391 | 9,133 | 108.49 |
| 1 - AAAA | 736,173 | 263,827 | 7,389 | 15 | - | 936,512 | 63,488 | 36 | 6,951 | 142.86 |
| 6 - AAAA | 901,462 | 98,538 | 547 | - | - | 957,902 | 42,098 | 5 | 4,227 | 235.57 |
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cartersville | 5 - AAAA | 8-0 | 82.73 | 1,000,000 | 940,882 | 723,217 | 681,170 | 557,270 | 0.79 |
| Thomson | 3 - AAAA | 7-0 | 72.45 | 999,999 | 795,814 | 705,659 | 599,445 | 219,772 | 3.55 |
| Woodward Academy | 4 - AAAA | 7-1 | 73.04 | 1,000,000 | 870,512 | 276,577 | 238,173 | 148,787 | 5.72 |
| Sandy Creek | 5 - AAAA | 4-3 | 60.88 | 927,934 | 426,779 | 282,325 | 74,378 | 16,379 | 60.05 |
| Jefferson | 8 - AAAA | 6-1 | 56.96 | 997,831 | 520,011 | 263,499 | 59,590 | 9,986 | 99.14 |
| Marist | 7 - AAAA | 5-2 | 56.96 | 999,633 | 409,381 | 243,364 | 37,283 | 8,135 | 121.93 |
| Mary Persons | 2 - AAAA | 5-2 | 56.01 | 999,546 | 516,222 | 274,876 | 38,194 | 8,081 | 122.75 |
| Cairo | 1 - AAAA | 6-1 | 54.52 | 999,530 | 450,510 | 244,003 | 62,608 | 6,898 | 143.97 |
| Stephens County | 8 - AAAA | 6-1 | 54.02 | 999,901 | 464,864 | 208,789 | 38,213 | 5,169 | 192.46 |
| Blessed Trinity | 7 - AAAA | 6-2 | 55.03 | 1,000,000 | 317,324 | 172,252 | 27,292 | 4,769 | 208.69 |
| Ridgeland | 6 - AAAA | 6-0 | 53.30 | 999,985 | 457,071 | 96,018 | 41,937 | 4,218 | 236.08 |
| Troup | 5 - AAAA | 6-1 | 53.34 | 999,149 | 198,038 | 91,995 | 25,741 | 2,942 | 338.90 |
| Cedartown | 5 - AAAA | 5-2 | 52.64 | 918,793 | 191,474 | 88,845 | 16,866 | 2,029 | 491.85 |
| Eastside | 4 - AAAA | 5-2-1 | 51.91 | 999,825 | 316,897 | 62,942 | 21,757 | 2,015 | 495.28 |
| Oconee County | 8 - AAAA | 6-1 | 50.60 | 991,094 | 265,631 | 87,374 | 11,032 | 1,278 | 781.47 |
| Burke County | 3 - AAAA | 6-1 | 51.25 | 999,998 | 94,668 | 32,470 | 9,765 | 1,100 | 908.09 |
| West Laurens | 2 - AAAA | 5-2 | 47.81 | 970,000 | 229,805 | 67,379 | 7,533 | 604 | 1,654.63 |
| Spalding | 2 - AAAA | 3-4 | 49.17 | 879,378 | 115,270 | 16,204 | 4,920 | 387 | 2,582.98 |
| Upson-Lee | 2 - AAAA | 4-3 | 42.48 | 965,672 | 76,705 | 11,470 | 1,325 | 61 | 16,392.44 |
| Carver (Columbus) | 1 - AAAA | 3-4 | 42.00 | 680,695 | 52,013 | 12,238 | 482 | 29 | 34,481.76 |
| St. Pius X | 8 - AAAA | 0-7 | 41.99 | 517,100 | 36,023 | 3,021 | 521 | 17 | 58,822.53 |
| Hardaway | 1 - AAAA | 4-2 | 39.49 | 711,563 | 42,479 | 8,415 | 260 | 17 | 58,822.53 |
| West Hall | 7 - AAAA | 5-3 | 40.76 | 981,719 | 16,860 | 4,056 | 565 | 15 | 66,665.67 |
| Salem | 4 - AAAA | 5-2 | 37.27 | 937,949 | 39,383 | 4,232 | 290 | 10 | 99,999.00 |
| Northwest Whitfield | 6 - AAAA | 5-3 | 40.37 | 999,603 | 18,517 | 1,037 | 126 | 9 | 111,110.11 |
| Americus-Sumter | 1 - AAAA | 3-4 | 37.73 | 466,678 | 21,083 | 3,641 | 88 | 5 | 199,999.00 |
| Chapel Hill | 5 - AAAA | 3-3-1 | 40.39 | 94,751 | 7,601 | 1,438 | 30 | 5 | 199,999.00 |
| Madison County | 8 - AAAA | 5-2 | 39.68 | 467,431 | 22,387 | 1,774 | 181 | 4 | 249,999.00 |
| Luella | 4 - AAAA | 4-4 | 37.11 | 903,193 | 25,961 | 4,253 | 71 | 4 | 249,999.00 |
| LaGrange | 5 - AAAA | 2-6 | 40.59 | 59,373 | 4,771 | 990 | 23 | 3 | 333,332.33 |
| Westover | 1 - AAAA | 4-3 | 36.27 | 516,400 | 12,449 | 1,836 | 47 | 2 | 499,999.00 |
| Pickens | 6 - AAAA | 3-4 | 32.96 | 992,519 | 16,971 | 1,735 | 36 | - | - |
| Columbus | 1 - AAAA | 3-4 | 34.57 | 181,664 | 4,104 | 517 | 21 | - | - |
| Northside (Columbus) | 1 - AAAA | 4-3 | 34.29 | 440,279 | 4,686 | 582 | 18 | - | - |
| Perry | 2 - AAAA | 3-4 | 32.10 | 175,508 | 1,511 | 84 | 7 | - | - |
| Baldwin | 3 - AAAA | 3-4 | 26.75 | 962,684 | 8,307 | 547 | 4 | - | - |
| Heritage (Ringgold) | 6 - AAAA | 5-3 | 26.69 | 974,785 | 5,657 | 296 | 4 | - | - |
| North Clayton | 4 - AAAA | 3-4 | 23.02 | 146,816 | 565 | 31 | 3 | - | - |
| Chestatee | 7 - AAAA | 3-5 | 24.06 | 506,245 | 211 | 7 | 1 | - | - |
| White County | 7 - AAAA | 1-6 | 22.27 | 512,403 | 196 | 5 | - | - | - |
| Richmond Academy | 3 - AAAA | 2-4 | 16.11 | 498,476 | 182 | 5 | - | - | - |
| Cross Creek | 3 - AAAA | 4-3 | 13.52 | 533,907 | 188 | 2 | - | - | - |
| North Oconee | 8 - AAAA | 0-7 | 15.70 | 26,643 | 15 | - | - | - | - |
| Howard | 2 - AAAA | 1-6 | 20.90 | 9,896 | 14 | - | - | - | - |
| Southeast Whitfield | 6 - AAAA | 5-3 | 12.70 | 18,651 | 5 | - | - | - | - |
| Henry County | 4 - AAAA | 0-7 | 11.01 | 11,786 | 2 | - | - | - | - |
| LaFayette | 6 - AAAA | 2-5 | 4.68 | 14,456 | 1 | - | - | - | - |
| Hephzibah | 3 - AAAA | 0-7 | -16.75 | 4,936 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Shaw | 1 - AAAA | 1-6 | 23.42 | 3,191 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Druid Hills | 4 - AAAA | 2-5 | 14.14 | 431 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Gilmer | 6 - AAAA | 0-7 | 3.50 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Central (Carrollton) | 5 - AAAA | 0-8 | 17.92 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Class AAA
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Region
Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Teams in Semifinals | Teams in Finals | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Eliminated | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4 | Eliminated | 1+ | 2 | Champion | Odds |
| 7 - AAA | 237,277 | 762,723 | 68,509 | 303 | - | 410,388 | 589,612 | 6,773 | 484,878 | 1.06 |
| 5 - AAA | 83,161 | 916,839 | 568,613 | 145,883 | 8,527 | 323,587 | 676,413 | 156,342 | 366,818 | 1.73 |
| 4 - AAA | 606,989 | 393,011 | 53,506 | 1,793 | 12 | 847,364 | 152,636 | 3,530 | 52,510 | 18.04 |
| 1 - AAA | 553,698 | 446,302 | 32,968 | 563 | 3 | 795,135 | 204,865 | 1,253 | 50,780 | 18.69 |
| 6 - AAA | 710,084 | 289,916 | 16,654 | 206 | 1 | 862,498 | 137,502 | 495 | 31,899 | 30.35 |
| 2 - AAA | 758,683 | 241,317 | 17,050 | 156 | - | 934,025 | 65,975 | 641 | 12,934 | 76.32 |
| 8 - AAA | 976,075 | 23,925 | 113 | - | - | 997,600 | 2,400 | - | 116 | 8,619.69 |
| 3 - AAA | 988,915 | 11,085 | 20 | - | - | 998,438 | 1,562 | 1 | 65 | 15,383.62 |
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greater Atlanta Christian | 7 - AAA | 7-1 | 71.93 | 1,000,000 | 828,714 | 776,087 | 584,339 | 483,715 | 1.07 |
| Westminster (Atlanta) | 5 - AAA | 5-2 | 64.45 | 1,000,000 | 899,682 | 702,766 | 340,618 | 221,169 | 3.52 |
| Cedar Grove | 5 - AAA | 5-2 | 58.48 | 999,916 | 873,130 | 585,200 | 358,432 | 112,583 | 7.88 |
| Crisp County | 1 - AAA | 7-0 | 55.22 | 999,828 | 497,500 | 397,705 | 191,816 | 49,127 | 19.36 |
| Peach County | 4 - AAA | 6-1 | 56.76 | 1,000,000 | 737,412 | 301,313 | 119,371 | 47,033 | 20.26 |
| Calhoun | 6 - AAA | 5-2 | 54.09 | 989,410 | 612,861 | 255,532 | 129,714 | 31,067 | 31.19 |
| Lovett | 5 - AAA | 5-2 | 53.80 | 999,016 | 282,218 | 200,832 | 76,807 | 19,276 | 50.88 |
| Pace Academy | 5 - AAA | 4-3 | 52.97 | 992,166 | 207,034 | 151,058 | 56,897 | 13,790 | 71.52 |
| Liberty County | 2 - AAA | 6-1 | 49.53 | 999,854 | 655,936 | 160,362 | 47,743 | 11,031 | 89.65 |
| Jackson | 4 - AAA | 6-2 | 46.82 | 1,000,000 | 406,466 | 104,194 | 31,416 | 5,100 | 195.08 |
| Pierce County | 2 - AAA | 5-2 | 42.54 | 992,593 | 403,089 | 79,386 | 16,279 | 1,737 | 574.71 |
| Worth County | 1 - AAA | 4-3 | 42.06 | 978,573 | 121,690 | 58,656 | 11,114 | 1,337 | 746.94 |
| Dawson County | 7 - AAA | 5-1 | 43.75 | 996,694 | 90,249 | 50,897 | 11,607 | 1,145 | 872.36 |
| Sonoraville | 6 - AAA | 6-2 | 41.37 | 913,821 | 246,085 | 36,937 | 7,136 | 787 | 1,269.65 |
| Cook | 1 - AAA | 4-4 | 39.50 | 885,512 | 71,851 | 20,270 | 2,908 | 300 | 3,332.33 |
| Pike County | 4 - AAA | 5-2 | 37.42 | 926,533 | 176,355 | 23,736 | 3,085 | 213 | 4,693.84 |
| Appling County | 2 - AAA | 4-2 | 37.62 | 917,016 | 113,004 | 17,226 | 2,519 | 163 | 6,133.97 |
| Westside (Macon) | 4 - AAA | 3-4 | 37.71 | 749,300 | 138,176 | 17,511 | 2,194 | 159 | 6,288.31 |
| Morgan County | 8 - AAA | 5-2 | 34.74 | 999,536 | 165,447 | 18,452 | 2,108 | 106 | 9,432.96 |
| Jenkins | 3 - AAA | 5-1 | 33.94 | 999,457 | 55,839 | 9,912 | 1,507 | 64 | 15,624.00 |
| Bremen | 6 - AAA | 4-3 | 31.21 | 773,247 | 108,243 | 9,476 | 841 | 39 | 25,640.03 |
| Monroe | 1 - AAA | 2-4 | 34.09 | 302,025 | 12,923 | 2,414 | 242 | 14 | 71,427.57 |
| Union County | 7 - AAA | 6-2 | 31.97 | 898,881 | 23,838 | 3,180 | 362 | 12 | 83,332.33 |
| Hart County | 8 - AAA | 1-5-1 | 28.26 | 917,621 | 53,895 | 3,432 | 215 | 9 | 111,110.11 |
| Adairsville | 6 - AAA | 2-5 | 27.33 | 655,254 | 59,021 | 4,104 | 287 | 6 | 166,665.67 |
| North Hall | 7 - AAA | 5-3 | 31.17 | 712,065 | 8,897 | 1,188 | 66 | 6 | 166,665.67 |
| Central (Macon) | 4 - AAA | 5-3 | 32.50 | 300,843 | 26,484 | 1,564 | 100 | 5 | 199,999.00 |
| Brantley County | 2 - AAA | 4-2 | 29.41 | 878,575 | 25,383 | 1,485 | 74 | 3 | 333,332.33 |
| Dougherty | 1 - AAA | 2-5 | 23.97 | 834,062 | 10,690 | 788 | 38 | 2 | 499,999.00 |
| Franklin County | 8 - AAA | 3-5 | 26.34 | 898,276 | 39,807 | 1,914 | 67 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Southeast Bulloch | 3 - AAA | 2-4 | 22.46 | 990,670 | 1,838 | 217 | 6 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Savannah | 3 - AAA | 5-1 | 24.84 | 998,594 | 11,353 | 971 | 50 | - | - |
| Lumpkin County | 7 - AAA | 3-4 | 24.18 | 306,538 | 2,190 | 176 | 11 | - | - |
| Ringgold | 6 - AAA | 4-4 | 22.68 | 174,048 | 7,412 | 268 | 10 | - | - |
| Jackson County | 8 - AAA | 3-5 | 19.59 | 974,588 | 8,380 | 239 | 10 | - | - |
| North Murray | 6 - AAA | 4-3 | 23.16 | 277,113 | 10,003 | 367 | 8 | - | - |
| Murray County | 6 - AAA | 5-3 | 17.92 | 209,690 | 4,237 | 94 | 1 | - | - |
| Tattnall County | 2 - AAA | 3-4 | 22.34 | 180,007 | 1,791 | 64 | 1 | - | - |
| Redan | 5 - AAA | 2-5 | 31.58 | 3,841 | 31 | 7 | 1 | - | - |
| East Hall | 7 - AAA | 2-5 | 20.80 | 80,798 | 177 | 9 | - | - | - |
| Rutland | 4 - AAA | 2-6 | 19.12 | 22,844 | 288 | 4 | - | - | - |
| Windsor Forest | 3 - AAA | 4-2 | 6.83 | 650,215 | 132 | 4 | - | - | - |
| Monroe Area | 8 - AAA | 2-6 | 10.26 | 196,428 | 173 | 2 | - | - | - |
| Islands | 3 - AAA | 2-4 | 0.48 | 359,469 | 16 | 1 | - | - | - |
| Long County | 2 - AAA | 1-3-2 | 11.08 | 31,955 | 42 | - | - | - | - |
| East Jackson | 8 - AAA | 2-5 | 3.95 | 13,551 | 8 | - | - | - | - |
| Fannin County | 7 - AAA | 2-5 | 10.18 | 5,024 | 7 | - | - | - | - |
| Haralson County | 6 - AAA | 1-6 | 1.55 | 5,976 | 1 | - | - | - | - |
| Towers | 5 - AAA | 2-5 | 12.41 | 5,037 | 1 | - | - | - | - |
| Kendrick | 4 - AAA | 0-7 | 14.26 | 480 | 1 | - | - | - | - |
| Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe | 6 - AAA | 1-6 | -15.71 | 1,441 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Beach | 3 - AAA | 1-6 | -3.27 | 1,428 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Groves | 3 - AAA | 1-6 | -5.00 | 134 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Johnson (Savannah) | 3 - AAA | 0-5 | -11.79 | 33 | - | - | - | - | - |
| McNair | 5 - AAA | 3-4 | 4.56 | 24 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Stone Mountain | 5 - AAA | 1-6 | -5.47 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Coahulla Creek | 6 - AAA | 0-7 | -26.91 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Class AA
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Region
Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Teams in Semifinals | Teams in Finals | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Eliminated | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4 | Eliminated | 1+ | 2 | Champion | Odds |
| 2 - AA | 144,804 | 855,196 | 121,417 | 2,663 | 10 | 321,592 | 678,408 | 16,447 | 510,654 | 0.96 |
| 1 - AA | 364,160 | 635,840 | 111,665 | 4,288 | 43 | 461,945 | 538,055 | 28,447 | 238,202 | 3.20 |
| 8 - AA | 586,219 | 413,781 | 9,411 | 19 | - | 648,278 | 351,722 | 444 | 113,840 | 7.78 |
| 5 - AA | 332,205 | 667,795 | 89,338 | 956 | 2 | 779,653 | 220,347 | 2,688 | 110,865 | 8.02 |
| 4 - AA | 619,591 | 380,409 | 42,693 | 46 | - | 931,266 | 68,734 | 411 | 16,906 | 58.15 |
| 3 - AA | 672,367 | 327,633 | 7,938 | 22 | - | 949,988 | 50,012 | 66 | 4,798 | 207.42 |
| 7 - AA | 863,970 | 136,030 | 5,515 | 79 | - | 973,632 | 26,368 | 86 | 3,663 | 272.00 |
| 6 - AA | 816,277 | 183,723 | 3,480 | 7 | - | 982,243 | 17,757 | 8 | 1,072 | 931.84 |
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benedictine | 2 - AA | 7-0 | 70.85 | 1,000,000 | 955,437 | 830,464 | 668,629 | 508,611 | 0.97 |
| Fitzgerald | 1 - AA | 6-1 | 63.81 | 999,963 | 876,871 | 543,149 | 469,058 | 212,936 | 3.70 |
| Rabun County | 8 - AA | 6-0 | 59.12 | 1,000,000 | 806,222 | 408,584 | 348,577 | 113,555 | 7.81 |
| Callaway | 5 - AA | 7-0 | 60.38 | 999,996 | 797,527 | 639,700 | 209,013 | 110,000 | 8.09 |
| Brooks County | 1 - AA | 6-1 | 53.51 | 999,815 | 604,486 | 178,317 | 94,206 | 24,979 | 39.03 |
| Jefferson County | 4 - AA | 8-0 | 50.41 | 1,000,000 | 799,281 | 326,113 | 61,050 | 16,475 | 59.70 |
| Washington County | 3 - AA | 5-2 | 42.68 | 996,165 | 420,647 | 255,819 | 42,020 | 4,278 | 232.75 |
| Pepperell | 7 - AA | 5-1 | 46.83 | 999,998 | 312,110 | 42,292 | 14,837 | 2,901 | 343.71 |
| Vidalia | 2 - AA | 5-2 | 41.06 | 994,850 | 241,367 | 87,975 | 18,604 | 1,609 | 620.50 |
| Hapeville Charter | 6 - AA | 4-3 | 37.56 | 995,738 | 361,635 | 143,788 | 15,252 | 986 | 1,013.20 |
| Model | 7 - AA | 5-2 | 39.30 | 935,631 | 114,023 | 50,893 | 6,469 | 490 | 2,039.82 |
| Southwest | 3 - AA | 4-3 | 36.63 | 1,000,000 | 168,720 | 75,850 | 7,302 | 469 | 2,131.20 |
| Toombs County | 2 - AA | 5-2 | 36.74 | 991,999 | 186,204 | 59,528 | 7,591 | 434 | 2,303.15 |
| Screven County | 4 - AA | 6-1 | 35.50 | 999,426 | 298,332 | 95,916 | 7,869 | 423 | 2,363.07 |
| Lamar County | 5 - AA | 4-3 | 37.52 | 975,646 | 136,369 | 53,380 | 6,730 | 415 | 2,408.64 |
| Elbert County | 8 - AA | 5-1-1 | 37.17 | 999,921 | 79,789 | 14,244 | 3,589 | 285 | 3,507.77 |
| Thomasville | 1 - AA | 3-3 | 38.74 | 994,403 | 119,320 | 26,007 | 3,109 | 284 | 3,520.13 |
| Heard County | 5 - AA | 5-2 | 36.34 | 978,023 | 111,557 | 39,217 | 4,494 | 279 | 3,583.23 |
| Spencer | 5 - AA | 5-2 | 35.71 | 993,505 | 91,283 | 25,791 | 2,798 | 171 | 5,846.95 |
| Chattooga | 7 - AA | 4-3 | 34.53 | 997,607 | 99,342 | 30,833 | 2,811 | 138 | 7,245.38 |
| Rockmart | 7 - AA | 5-2 | 34.86 | 922,333 | 61,538 | 17,597 | 2,337 | 134 | 7,461.69 |
| K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate | 6 - AA | 6-1 | 30.75 | 997,834 | 115,698 | 25,067 | 1,456 | 51 | 19,606.84 |
| Douglass | 6 - AA | 5-2 | 29.87 | 989,617 | 87,545 | 17,114 | 1,002 | 35 | 28,570.43 |
| Dodge County | 3 - AA | 3-5 | 34.47 | 996,461 | 44,647 | 1,813 | 269 | 32 | 31,249.00 |
| Dublin | 3 - AA | 6-2 | 31.83 | 855,699 | 17,001 | 2,106 | 486 | 19 | 52,630.58 |
| Laney | 4 - AA | 2-5 | 27.65 | 980,227 | 15,547 | 1,112 | 226 | 8 | 124,999.00 |
| Berrien | 1 - AA | 3-4 | 23.62 | 938,894 | 24,054 | 4,358 | 129 | 3 | 333,332.33 |
| B.E.S.T. Academy | 6 - AA | 2-6 | 25.12 | 788,285 | 21,327 | 1,219 | 52 | - | - |
| Swainsboro | 2 - AA | 2-5 | 22.11 | 551,643 | 14,237 | 1,091 | 27 | - | - |
| Bryan County | 2 - AA | 2-4 | 19.29 | 333,581 | 4,807 | 205 | 4 | - | - |
| Therrell | 6 - AA | 3-5 | 21.54 | 66,620 | 394 | 13 | 3 | - | - |
| Northeast | 3 - AA | 1-6 | 16.35 | 148,494 | 186 | 5 | 1 | - | - |
| Monticello | 8 - AA | 2-5 | 11.52 | 905,316 | 4,417 | 203 | - | - | - |
| Banks County | 8 - AA | 3-4 | 14.03 | 866,349 | 5,667 | 165 | - | - | - |
| Putnam County | 8 - AA | 1-7 | 8.44 | 206,296 | 591 | 17 | - | - | - |
| Coosa | 7 - AA | 3-4 | 15.01 | 143,885 | 169 | 12 | - | - | - |
| Bacon County | 2 - AA | 1-5 | 17.15 | 37,934 | 357 | 11 | - | - | - |
| Washington | 6 - AA | 2-6 | 16.62 | 129,482 | 287 | 7 | - | - | - |
| Josey | 4 - AA | 4-3 | 9.24 | 693,203 | 238 | 7 | - | - | - |
| Albany | 1 - AA | 0-7 | 8.92 | 65,917 | 98 | 6 | - | - | - |
| Jeff Davis | 2 - AA | 1-5 | 11.59 | 60,975 | 244 | 5 | - | - | - |
| Metter | 2 - AA | 2-4 | 16.55 | 29,018 | 270 | 4 | - | - | - |
| South Atlanta | 6 - AA | 2-6 | 15.77 | 32,424 | 76 | 2 | - | - | - |
| Early County | 1 - AA | 0-7-1 | 16.75 | 1,008 | 5 | 1 | - | - | - |
| Temple | 5 - AA | 5-2 | 11.84 | 39,536 | 37 | - | - | - | - |
| Butler | 4 - AA | 2-5 | 4.72 | 49,347 | 17 | - | - | - | - |
| Glenn Hills | 4 - AA | 2-5 | 3.44 | 267,325 | 9 | - | - | - | - |
| Jordan | 5 - AA | 0-7 | 9.40 | 13,294 | 7 | - | - | - | - |
| Social Circle | 8 - AA | 2-6 | -4.42 | 22,118 | 5 | - | - | - | - |
| Bleckley County | 3 - AA | 2-6 | 4.16 | 2,948 | 2 | - | - | - | - |
| Dade County | 7 - AA | 2-5 | 6.34 | 530 | 1 | - | - | - | - |
| Harlem | 4 - AA | 2-6 | 3.60 | 10,385 | - | - | - | - | - |
| East Laurens | 3 - AA | 1-6 | 3.87 | 233 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Westside (Augusta) | 4 - AA | 1-6 | -7.13 | 87 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Armuchee | 7 - AA | 2-5 | -5.55 | 16 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Oglethorpe County | 8 - AA | 0-7 | -14.10 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Gordon Central | 7 - AA | 0-7 | -24.10 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Class A-Public
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester | 4 - A | 8-0 | 54.40 | 1,000,000 | 754,566 | 541,404 | 377,067 | 243,548 | 3.11 |
| Clinch County | 2 - A | 6-1 | 51.41 | 1,000,000 | 840,803 | 683,546 | 383,029 | 223,026 | 3.48 |
| Macon County | 4 - A | 5-2 | 53.75 | 1,000,000 | 724,261 | 503,608 | 344,018 | 214,015 | 3.67 |
| Mount Zion (Carroll) | 6 - A | 7-0 | 50.37 | 1,000,000 | 773,493 | 481,773 | 306,819 | 153,042 | 5.53 |
| Twiggs County | 7 - A | 5-2 | 46.98 | 999,994 | 571,202 | 309,583 | 162,144 | 67,002 | 13.92 |
| Emanuel County Institute | 3 - A | 7-0 | 41.90 | 1,000,000 | 617,984 | 311,658 | 141,874 | 40,195 | 23.88 |
| McIntosh County Academy | 3 - A | 4-1 | 38.71 | 1,000,000 | 627,112 | 288,076 | 92,954 | 21,333 | 45.88 |
| Irwin County | 2 - A | 4-3 | 40.32 | 995,399 | 402,881 | 195,918 | 64,567 | 17,057 | 57.63 |
| Lincoln County | 7 - A | 5-1-1 | 36.59 | 1,000,000 | 361,738 | 120,259 | 30,891 | 6,400 | 155.25 |
| Bowdon | 6 - A | 5-3 | 36.98 | 996,829 | 226,454 | 92,671 | 25,582 | 5,350 | 185.92 |
| Turner County | 2 - A | 4-3 | 33.07 | 940,586 | 189,498 | 63,843 | 13,118 | 2,067 | 482.79 |
| Dooly County | 4 - A | 4-3 | 35.79 | 584,695 | 116,323 | 38,111 | 10,039 | 1,888 | 528.66 |
| Taylor County | 4 - A | 6-1 | 33.32 | 987,117 | 163,684 | 57,242 | 11,526 | 1,820 | 548.45 |
| Commerce | 8 - A | 5-2 | 29.25 | 999,195 | 294,042 | 68,948 | 9,895 | 1,153 | 866.30 |
| Mitchell County | 1 - A | 6-1 | 26.11 | 1,000,000 | 352,362 | 72,723 | 8,567 | 701 | 1,425.53 |
| Pelham | 1 - A | 6-1 | 25.09 | 1,000,000 | 311,866 | 63,916 | 7,198 | 551 | 1,813.88 |
| Randolph-Clay | 1 - A | 6-1 | 24.34 | 1,000,000 | 269,689 | 46,188 | 4,827 | 346 | 2,889.17 |
| Greene County | 7 - A | 4-3 | 27.31 | 791,763 | 68,466 | 13,992 | 1,962 | 188 | 5,318.15 |
| Telfair County | 2 - A | 3-3 | 25.19 | 806,135 | 78,078 | 17,208 | 1,653 | 149 | 6,710.41 |
| Marion County | 4 - A | 6-2 | 28.15 | 252,090 | 49,549 | 9,210 | 1,084 | 114 | 8,770.93 |
| Trion | 6 - A | 4-3 | 21.98 | 420,356 | 29,299 | 3,686 | 266 | 15 | 66,665.67 |
| Miller County | 1 - A | 5-2 | 16.23 | 999,122 | 64,274 | 5,911 | 296 | 11 | 90,908.09 |
| Terrell County | 1 - A | 4-3 | 17.77 | 990,202 | 53,456 | 5,568 | 295 | 11 | 90,908.09 |
| Washington-Wilkes | 7 - A | 2-5 | 29.68 | 6,507 | 2,293 | 433 | 88 | 10 | 99,999.00 |
| Gordon Lee | 6 - A | 4-3 | 20.78 | 430,495 | 14,522 | 1,554 | 143 | 5 | 199,999.00 |
| Johnson County | 3 - A | 4-3 | 10.93 | 545,271 | 6,281 | 332 | 9 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Charlton County | 2 - A | 2-4 | 24.08 | 25,810 | 933 | 118 | 8 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Hancock Central | 7 - A | 3-4 | 17.22 | 48,130 | 1,959 | 157 | 4 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Wheeler County | 3 - A | 6-2 | 13.73 | 612,342 | 10,852 | 733 | 28 | - | - |
| Warren County | 7 - A | 3-4 | 20.26 | 74,230 | 4,375 | 475 | 20 | - | - |
| Jenkins County | 3 - A | 4-3 | 10.29 | 974,065 | 9,732 | 694 | 17 | - | - |
| Seminole County | 1 - A | 3-3-1 | 12.27 | 469,387 | 7,333 | 438 | 11 | - | - |
| Atkinson County | 2 - A | 2-5 | 15.67 | 8,069 | 193 | 12 | 1 | - | - |
| Treutlen | 3 - A | 3-4 | 6.77 | 34,298 | 418 | 10 | - | - | - |
| Towns County | 8 - A | 2-5 | 2.06 | 6,237 | 27 | 2 | - | - | - |
| Chattahoochee County | 1 - A | 2-5 | 1.61 | 1,621 | 2 | - | - | - | - |
| Claxton | 3 - A | 0-5 | -0.36 | 53 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Portal | 3 - A | 0-5 | -3.73 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Crawford County | 4 - A | 3-3 | 13.50 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Hawkinsville | 4 - A | 3-4 | 11.77 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Wilkinson County | 7 - A | 1-6 | 9.51 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Schley County | 4 - A | 2-5 | 7.87 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Wilcox County | 2 - A | 1-6 | 2.95 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Montgomery County | 3 - A | 1-6 | -0.17 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Lanier County | 2 - A | 1-6 | -0.23 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Greenville | 4 - A | 1-7 | -6.63 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Central (Talbotton) | 4 - A | 1-6 | -8.15 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Calhoun County | 1 - A | 1-6 | -9.36 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Stewart County | 1 - A | 2-5 | -17.79 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Baconton Charter | 1 - A | 1-6 | -23.19 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Fulton Leadership Academy | 5 - A | 0-7 | -30.68 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Class A-Private
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagle's Landing Christian | 5 - A | 7-0 | 59.30 | 1,000,000 | 925,718 | 764,376 | 589,116 | 456,839 | 1.19 |
| Tattnall Square | 7 - A | 7-0 | 53.02 | 1,000,000 | 792,394 | 540,679 | 294,690 | 163,848 | 5.10 |
| Wesleyan | 5 - A | 6-1 | 49.70 | 1,000,000 | 797,204 | 465,734 | 225,880 | 102,286 | 8.78 |
| Fellowship Christian | 6 - A | 7-0 | 48.07 | 1,000,000 | 706,921 | 344,199 | 157,166 | 64,985 | 14.39 |
| Prince Avenue Christian | 8 - A | 8-0 | 45.47 | 1,000,000 | 760,278 | 432,352 | 203,812 | 60,367 | 15.57 |
| Landmark Christian | 5 - A | 7-0 | 45.75 | 1,000,000 | 681,554 | 305,179 | 126,458 | 43,558 | 21.96 |
| Calvary Day | 3 - A | 5-0 | 44.27 | 1,000,000 | 679,215 | 337,059 | 146,810 | 40,106 | 23.93 |
| Darlington | 6 - A | 6-2 | 45.44 | 1,000,000 | 516,933 | 231,271 | 99,710 | 31,561 | 30.68 |
| Mount Paran Christian | 6 - A | 6-1 | 43.65 | 1,000,000 | 549,631 | 215,860 | 80,822 | 23,452 | 41.64 |
| Stratford Academy | 7 - A | 5-2 | 40.86 | 1,000,000 | 290,888 | 107,719 | 33,971 | 7,841 | 126.53 |
| Aquinas | 7 - A | 5-2 | 35.58 | 1,000,000 | 172,129 | 46,616 | 9,074 | 1,562 | 639.20 |
| Athens Academy | 8 - A | 7-0 | 31.55 | 1,000,000 | 351,536 | 69,049 | 11,253 | 1,295 | 771.20 |
| Pinecrest Academy | 6 - A | 4-3 | 33.65 | 1,000,000 | 138,473 | 35,201 | 6,915 | 887 | 1,126.40 |
| Savannah Christian | 3 - A | 3-2 | 31.03 | 1,000,000 | 184,191 | 37,107 | 6,112 | 636 | 1,571.33 |
| First Presbyterian | 7 - A | 5-2 | 31.39 | 1,000,000 | 74,917 | 15,903 | 2,573 | 282 | 3,545.10 |
| George Walton Academy | 8 - A | 6-1 | 27.89 | 1,000,000 | 174,400 | 24,610 | 2,772 | 242 | 4,131.23 |
| Mount Pisgah Christian | 6 - A | 5-1 | 30.05 | 1,000,000 | 64,738 | 11,848 | 1,536 | 160 | 6,249.00 |
| Athens Christian | 8 - A | 4-3 | 26.06 | 1,000,000 | 75,115 | 9,981 | 963 | 76 | 13,156.89 |
| Our Lady of Mercy | 5 - A | 2-5 | 23.33 | 997,026 | 24,110 | 2,621 | 230 | 12 | 83,332.33 |
| Holy Innocents | 5 - A | 3-4 | 20.91 | 999,251 | 16,648 | 1,451 | 95 | 3 | 333,332.33 |
| Savannah Country Day | 3 - A | 4-1 | 16.97 | 1,000,000 | 9,722 | 627 | 20 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Brookstone | 4 - A | 3-4 | 16.89 | 387,331 | 2,862 | 90 | 6 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Hebron Christian Academy | 8 - A | 4-3 | 13.82 | 999,974 | 5,794 | 272 | 11 | - | - |
| Mount Vernon Presbyterian | 5 - A | 4-3 | 12.50 | 999,631 | 4,131 | 187 | 5 | - | - |
| Strong Rock Christian | 5 - A | 3-4 | 6.49 | 340,322 | 346 | 6 | - | - | - |
| King's Ridge Christian | 6 - A | 3-4 | 4.35 | 40,884 | 34 | 2 | - | - | - |
| Mount de Sales | 7 - A | 2-5 | 7.22 | 8,380 | 10 | 1 | - | - | - |
| Walker | 6 - A | 1-6 | 8.52 | 43,780 | 66 | - | - | - | - |
| Lakeview Academy | 8 - A | 1-6 | -2.17 | 126,227 | 33 | - | - | - | - |
| Whitefield Academy | 6 - A | 2-5 | -4.69 | 56,065 | 9 | - | - | - | - |
| Riverside Military Academy | 8 - A | 1-6 | -5.91 | 912 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Providence Christian | 8 - A | 1-6 | -14.85 | 190 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Christian Heritage | 6 - A | 1-6 | 0.44 | 18 | - | - | - | - | - |
| St. Francis | 6 - A | 1-6 | -11.83 | 9 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Pacelli | 4 - A | 1-7 | -11.35 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| North Cobb Christian | 6 - A | 0-7 | -14.44 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
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