High School Sports Blog

Maxwell playoff projections after Week 5

By Loren Maxwell
Updated Sept 18, 2018

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings' playoff projections for each class.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2017 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

All out of state opponents were considered equal to the average of the GHSA team’s classification (i.e., out of state opponents of Class AAAAAAA GHSA teams were treated as an average Class AAAAAAA team).

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Colquitt County1 - AAAAAAA5-096.77999,9884.74916,492751,855608,869481,4771.08
Grayson8 - AAAAAAA3-188.80999,9633.80758,197551,233360,509172,3914.80
North Gwinnett6 - AAAAAAA2-284.80999,5773.15718,569300,844158,95869,59113.37
Archer8 - AAAAAAA3-184.45999,8203.15613,107373,200179,24668,61113.57
Walton4 - AAAAAAA4-085.22999,7392.94594,175357,945143,62265,31114.31
Parkview7 - AAAAAAA3-082.74999,7562.65423,860244,92091,94235,39127.26
McEachern3 - AAAAAAA3-181.45986,3052.80480,650277,804111,72334,10428.32
Lowndes1 - AAAAAAA4-179.80966,7182.47489,762197,51588,87722,28543.87
Mill Creek6 - AAAAAAA2-277.21997,5522.34414,453150,63049,98011,84683.42
Roswell4 - AAAAAAA4-077.80998,2492.12328,509152,26646,46911,22088.13
Milton5 - AAAAAAA3-175.31998,7492.37374,978138,50541,1348,148121.73
Hillgrove3 - AAAAAAA4-075.73975,6532.20283,812112,41731,3036,746147.24
Camden County1 - AAAAAAA4-174.05916,9281.66224,56068,76319,3073,201311.40
Brookwood7 - AAAAAAA3-172.82986,3081.80170,53958,88714,4502,428410.86
Tift County1 - AAAAAAA3-272.97746,7591.30164,12847,56712,4242,044488.24
South Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA3-170.19991,3081.94218,40454,20711,2831,548644.99
North Cobb3 - AAAAAAA4-070.67834,2681.58138,50435,6147,1021,069934.45
Marietta3 - AAAAAAA1-369.68803,4741.49117,80327,6175,2306951,437.85
Westlake2 - AAAAAAA2-268.69987,5551.62127,98924,2776,3226911,446.18
Norcross7 - AAAAAAA1-368.82968,9681.53109,23727,5215,1146221,606.72
North Paulding3 - AAAAAAA4-067.50692,4581.1977,64515,0092,3822663,758.40
Mountain View6 - AAAAAAA3-166.36966,4051.4081,27115,4322,4562374,218.41
West Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA1-361.33936,7801.2038,0124,4404073033,332.33
Newton8 - AAAAAAA2-260.82963,0711.2839,8433,6692942147,618.05
Etowah4 - AAAAAAA2-359.09780,7030.8716,9501,5861571283,332.33
Collins Hill6 - AAAAAAA0-459.44885,1741.0517,9072,1201668124,999.00
Wheeler2 - AAAAAAA4-059.03893,6991.1018,3071,8031554249,999.00
South Gwinnett8 - AAAAAAA1-353.61846,7240.9810,821631312499,999.00
Woodstock4 - AAAAAAA1-355.39621,2160.666,309416301999,999.00
East Coweta2 - AAAAAAA0-454.10707,2490.805,57336919--
Central Gwinnett7 - AAAAAAA1-352.63563,1760.615,45825212--
Newnan2 - AAAAAAA2-252.81657,5900.733,88524112--
Pebblebrook2 - AAAAAAA2-250.47501,9820.541,9861236--
Lambert5 - AAAAAAA3-150.48582,0920.612,2791364--
Meadowcreek7 - AAAAAAA4-049.89498,2760.532,862864--
Lassiter4 - AAAAAAA1-347.44265,0930.27585181--
Cherokee4 - AAAAAAA2-348.85337,7950.3591532---
North Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA2-246.98441,9820.4682425---
Campbell2 - AAAAAAA1-344.52254,3180.2728112---
Kennesaw Mountain3 - AAAAAAA3-149.5845,4460.0540510---
Shiloh8 - AAAAAAA1-336.14129,3730.13691---
Rockdale County8 - AAAAAAA1-333.1961,4070.06211---
Forsyth Central5 - AAAAAAA3-134.5753,3030.0571---
Peachtree Ridge6 - AAAAAAA0-440.74117,0260.1255----
Discovery6 - AAAAAAA1-330.7220,6280.021----
Duluth6 - AAAAAAA2-230.0614,9140.021----
Lakeside (Atlanta)7 - AAAAAAA1-322.034,4670.00-----
Berkmar7 - AAAAAAA2-2-5.89160.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 At large Out
1 - AAAAAAAColquitt County826,890143,56821,490-8,04012
1 - AAAAAAALowndes101,964488,452269,414-106,88833,282
1 - AAAAAAACamden County35,302213,630389,177-278,81983,072
1 - AAAAAAATift County35,844154,350319,919-236,646253,241
2 - AAAAAAAWestlake685,129205,47071,06425,8494312,445
2 - AAAAAAAWheeler167,079343,790243,478137,1552,197106,301
2 - AAAAAAAEast Coweta65,351189,989234,849217,060-292,751
2 - AAAAAAANewnan44,542138,103220,541254,273131342,410
2 - AAAAAAAPebblebrook30,74291,340157,225222,65817498,018
2 - AAAAAAACampbell7,15731,30872,843143,0055745,682
3 - AAAAAAAMcEachern512,705269,579129,71761,19513,10913,695
3 - AAAAAAAHillgrove252,900280,211216,184146,41579,94324,347
3 - AAAAAAANorth Cobb107,209173,972224,479240,48788,121165,732
3 - AAAAAAAMarietta78,094160,059241,078265,01359,230196,526
3 - AAAAAAANorth Paulding48,753114,245179,983256,94192,536307,542
3 - AAAAAAAKennesaw Mountain3391,9348,55929,9494,665954,554
4 - AAAAAAAWalton717,623252,51725,9583,378263261
4 - AAAAAAARoswell264,742602,579112,26516,3832,2801,751
4 - AAAAAAAEtowah11,24987,547398,937282,9655219,297
4 - AAAAAAAWoodstock5,11339,305268,323308,44233378,784
4 - AAAAAAACherokee86110,797106,445219,488204662,205
4 - AAAAAAALassiter4127,25588,072169,34410734,907
5 - AAAAAAAMilton562,656328,66390,06715,7541,6091,251
5 - AAAAAAASouth Forsyth358,864420,611169,97640,6051,2528,692
5 - AAAAAAAWest Forsyth67,865195,860499,141173,74317163,220
5 - AAAAAAALambert7,33635,812141,314396,4511,179417,908
5 - AAAAAAANorth Forsyth3,22818,24090,524329,9873558,018
5 - AAAAAAAForsyth Central518148,97843,460-946,697
6 - AAAAAAANorth Gwinnett679,578247,52558,67913,77520423
6 - AAAAAAAMill Creek244,395498,614205,15449,356332,448
6 - AAAAAAAMountain View61,239190,497441,633271,8131,22333,595
6 - AAAAAAACollins Hill14,71961,926277,670530,859-114,826
6 - AAAAAAAPeachtree Ridge651,34714,387101,227-882,974
6 - AAAAAAADiscovery2481,54219,036-979,372
6 - AAAAAAADuluth24393513,934-985,086
7 - AAAAAAAParkview667,368249,68371,47210,432801244
7 - AAAAAAABrookwood219,001394,856307,43864,66834513,692
7 - AAAAAAANorcross107,161314,470438,097109,1509031,032
7 - AAAAAAACentral Gwinnett4,65025,469102,803430,24212436,824
7 - AAAAAAAMeadowcreek1,82015,52079,914381,30319,719501,724
7 - AAAAAAALakeside (Atlanta)-22764,189-995,533
7 - AAAAAAABerkmar---16-999,984
8 - AAAAAAAGrayson652,757323,56121,4842,1461537
8 - AAAAAAAArcher338,809604,75351,9774,23942180
8 - AAAAAAANewton6,77755,942649,480250,57130136,929
8 - AAAAAAASouth Gwinnett1,64815,058250,061579,957-153,276
8 - AAAAAAAShiloh646017,172111,735-870,627
8 - AAAAAAARockdale County32269,82651,352-938,593

Class AAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Lee County1 - AAAAAA5-080.69997,5014.73879,707755,103636,031501,3110.99
Coffee1 - AAAAAA5-073.54985,5343.70732,248553,548373,087183,4654.45
Creekview6 - AAAAAA5-067.01995,4052.99643,598264,021139,95754,89717.22
Valdosta1 - AAAAAA2-266.48935,2282.60509,066307,199126,04543,20222.15
Tucker4 - AAAAAA2-266.08999,6432.44447,242298,745107,57240,69823.57
Glynn Academy2 - AAAAAA2-265.04993,9592.63344,872212,948101,71232,57629.70
Harrison6 - AAAAAA5-064.98925,8842.50503,168205,34488,06129,43532.97
Northside (Warner Robins)1 - AAAAAA3-264.71904,8722.28430,997243,26886,61726,86036.23
Mays5 - AAAAAA2-263.58992,9892.59445,596192,49878,95123,63641.31
Sequoyah6 - AAAAAA4-063.14953,8252.40461,105172,06964,05719,21951.03
Dacula8 - AAAAAA2-260.60992,8732.33391,741134,00445,97911,10589.05
Alpharetta7 - AAAAAA2-160.49997,5582.04344,630141,27236,9899,802101.02
Allatoona6 - AAAAAA2-261.41793,3001.79313,164114,29933,4958,916111.16
Douglas County5 - AAAAAA3-159.09979,9532.18302,40996,42130,0776,967142.53
Richmond Hill2 - AAAAAA1-255.09945,7911.98161,74356,81411,2071,963508.42
Brunswick2 - AAAAAA1-354.91928,4641.94155,95854,03510,7421,861536.35
Stephenson4 - AAAAAA3-154.18986,7821.38126,77141,6587,5871,219819.34
Effingham County2 - AAAAAA4-151.68900,6401.76117,51031,7914,7056761,478.29
Lanier8 - AAAAAA2-252.38955,1251.59138,24429,7064,7006641,505.02
Centennial7 - AAAAAA2-252.74990,3411.43122,19926,9344,6415911,691.05
Dalton6 - AAAAAA2-254.92253,7010.4353,42913,7782,1503802,630.58
Hughes5 - AAAAAA1-350.20685,5741.0567,74211,7001,4251715,846.95
Winder-Barrow8 - AAAAAA2-248.85894,4501.3072,00211,8001,3891526,577.95
Northgate5 - AAAAAA2-249.18687,3901.0157,4519,2871,0181148,770.93
Lovejoy4 - AAAAAA2-246.43968,9421.0826,8274,9705445119,606.84
Johns Creek7 - AAAAAA3-145.76865,0151.0229,4903,5293492245,453.55
Heritage (Conyers)3 - AAAAAA2-242.82926,1571.2126,6103,8713161566,665.67
Houston County1 - AAAAAA2-345.10176,8650.229,5881,6831211099,999.00
Alexander5 - AAAAAA1-245.29406,0680.5519,4572,1681585199,999.00
Creekside5 - AAAAAA1-344.43220,0600.298,703887674249,999.00
Alcovy3 - AAAAAA2-238.34836,7450.999,403956503333,332.33
Evans3 - AAAAAA0-537.68790,7630.937,974756352499,999.00
Gainesville8 - AAAAAA0-440.79594,6280.699,744813631999,999.00
Sprayberry6 - AAAAAA1-344.3175,2870.104,194494261999,999.00
Grovetown3 - AAAAAA1-335.80752,1340.864,905421211999,999.00
Habersham Central8 - AAAAAA3-237.48464,6470.523,811242151999,999.00
Bradwell Institute2 - AAAAAA1-336.43231,1460.334,606334131999,999.00
Northview7 - AAAAAA3-138.31484,8360.523,786219131999,999.00
Mundy's Mill4 - AAAAAA3-238.92579,5360.602,54417671999,999.00
Pope7 - AAAAAA0-438.51314,2840.332,29310841999,999.00
Cambridge7 - AAAAAA1-336.89299,3300.321,680684--
Lakeside (Evans)3 - AAAAAA2-128.77387,5060.4154020---
M.L. King4 - AAAAAA1-232.27248,2060.2534015---
Drew4 - AAAAAA1-332.73162,2780.162288---
South Paulding5 - AAAAAA0-433.7911,3130.01718---
Greenbrier3 - AAAAAA0-327.55306,6950.322945---
Apalachee8 - AAAAAA2-327.3798,2770.101194---
North Atlanta7 - AAAAAA2-129.7540,9020.04701---
New Manchester5 - AAAAAA1-332.508,4240.01411---
South Cobb6 - AAAAAA0-535.938540.00141---
Morrow4 - AAAAAA1-428.9541,9760.0427----
Tri-Cities5 - AAAAAA0-331.658,2290.0127----
River Ridge6 - AAAAAA1-434.331,7440.0016----
Chattahoochee7 - AAAAAA0-427.036,6780.015----
Dunwoody7 - AAAAAA1-323.301,0560.001----
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)4 - AAAAAA0-424.0012,4060.01-----
Forest Park4 - AAAAAA0-414.612310.00-----
Osborne6 - AAAAAA0-53.62-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAAAALee County582,108280,99196,09438,3082,499
1 - AAAAAACoffee263,575347,841238,158135,96014,466
1 - AAAAAAValdosta84,763214,428352,275283,76264,772
1 - AAAAAANorthside (Warner Robins)69,091151,671291,020393,09095,128
1 - AAAAAAHouston County4635,06922,453148,880823,135
2 - AAAAAAGlynn Academy625,273245,36286,38636,9386,041
2 - AAAAAARichmond Hill139,759281,491304,957219,58454,209
2 - AAAAAABrunswick153,454273,060277,711224,23971,536
2 - AAAAAAEffingham County79,038186,030292,109343,46399,360
2 - AAAAAABradwell Institute2,47614,05738,837175,776768,854
3 - AAAAAAHeritage (Conyers)402,579254,689170,14598,74473,843
3 - AAAAAAAlcovy213,664228,058221,188173,835163,255
3 - AAAAAAEvans194,833214,011205,740176,179209,237
3 - AAAAAAGrovetown139,861192,956214,107205,210247,866
3 - AAAAAALakeside (Evans)30,40063,849105,719187,538612,494
3 - AAAAAAGreenbrier18,66346,43783,101158,494693,305
4 - AAAAAATucker734,488224,37938,5042,272357
4 - AAAAAAStephenson215,097504,709214,67952,29713,218
4 - AAAAAALovejoy49,326237,959597,74683,91131,058
4 - AAAAAAMundy's Mill8320,35070,292488,811420,464
4 - AAAAAAM.L. King6799,48553,229184,813751,794
4 - AAAAAADrew3222,93415,681143,341837,722
4 - AAAAAAMorrow51608,33133,480958,024
4 - AAAAAAMount Zion (Jonesboro)-241,51610,866987,594
4 - AAAAAAForest Park--22209999,769
5 - AAAAAAMays571,025326,88676,33218,7467,011
5 - AAAAAADouglas County383,609431,729126,21038,40520,047
5 - AAAAAAHughes13,192100,706309,919261,757314,426
5 - AAAAAANorthgate17,41274,030288,287307,661312,610
5 - AAAAAAAlexander10,72245,685134,415215,246593,932
5 - AAAAAACreekside4,01420,39159,465136,190779,940
5 - AAAAAASouth Paulding11562,3688,788988,687
5 - AAAAAANew Manchester22231,7466,453991,576
5 - AAAAAATri-Cities231941,2586,754991,771
6 - AAAAAACreekview545,227291,391125,38133,4064,595
6 - AAAAAASequoyah192,747258,574285,117217,38746,175
6 - AAAAAAHarrison230,104276,882252,140166,75874,116
6 - AAAAAAAllatoona31,104156,652269,772335,772206,700
6 - AAAAAADalton27812,95451,879188,590746,299
6 - AAAAAASprayberry5393,52915,54555,674924,713
6 - AAAAAARiver Ridge1151251,603998,256
6 - AAAAAASouth Cobb-341810999,146
6 - AAAAAAOsborne----1,000,000
7 - AAAAAAAlpharetta685,309237,27162,98211,9962,442
7 - AAAAAACentennial236,423476,358231,19046,3709,659
7 - AAAAAAJohns Creek66,781223,639373,832200,763134,985
7 - AAAAAANorthview9,95845,757146,525282,596515,164
7 - AAAAAAPope697,14190,214216,860685,716
7 - AAAAAACambridge1,3819,10989,561199,279700,670
7 - AAAAAANorth Atlanta746544,98935,185959,098
7 - AAAAAAChattahoochee5525696,052993,322
7 - AAAAAADunwoody-19138899998,944
8 - AAAAAADacula655,116231,90380,39625,4587,127
8 - AAAAAALanier195,241369,049280,890109,94544,875
8 - AAAAAAWinder-Barrow113,712272,935324,687183,116105,550
8 - AAAAAAGainesville24,63879,184175,834314,972405,372
8 - AAAAAAHabersham Central10,85242,797117,738293,260535,353
8 - AAAAAAApalachee4414,13220,45573,249901,723

Class AAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Rome7 - AAAAA4-086.22999,9994.89951,073807,594685,760448,8621.23
Buford8 - AAAAA3-184.37999,9974.68890,831759,165667,931369,6401.71
Warner Robins1 - AAAAA3-174.16999,4463.24643,006533,821166,19163,48214.75
Stockbridge4 - AAAAA4-073.22998,6033.22782,801349,759149,63250,70318.72
Jones County4 - AAAAA5-068.92993,1952.78620,307275,39784,87221,18346.21
Wayne County2 - AAAAA4-068.79999,2782.78535,989201,54077,35518,83752.09
Dutchtown4 - AAAAA5-066.13977,5822.34443,396189,15246,5759,499104.27
Ware County2 - AAAAA3-164.45997,4422.50378,900173,64134,7956,727147.65
Carrollton7 - AAAAA3-165.41973,7742.30274,591119,90834,1656,200160.29
Southwest DeKalb5 - AAAAA5-057.90999,5262.58527,395182,94521,1502,224448.64
Kell7 - AAAAA2-258.19672,8171.50269,06268,1586,5247831,276.14
Griffin3 - AAAAA2-253.52985,4611.92162,31162,3615,4083922,550.02
Veterans1 - AAAAA5-056.00957,1611.36107,54833,3113,5792923,423.66
East Paulding7 - AAAAA1-253.35826,2391.65216,68846,4863,4972603,845.15
Banneker6 - AAAAA3-152.04996,9691.81281,68851,2643,0132414,148.38
Clarke Central8 - AAAAA3-253.76986,2281.93124,63223,1092,5452034,925.11
Locust Grove4 - AAAAA2-355.09750,1391.0567,87324,7112,0851945,153.64
Bainbridge1 - AAAAA2-254.09937,1001.2684,03522,9552,0881805,554.56
Arabia Mountain5 - AAAAA2-345.94986,8641.69162,86919,4587172737,036.04
Thomas County Central1 - AAAAA3-149.61836,3971.0042,8337,8575002343,477.26
Jonesboro3 - AAAAA2-246.34900,7701.3243,3157,8933791471,427.57
Cedar Shoals8 - AAAAA3-145.14943,1021.4990,7118,3863031099,999.00
Carver (Atlanta)6 - AAAAA1-344.14967,7771.3076,2358,9112731099,999.00
Hiram7 - AAAAA2-147.18321,8420.5353,0116,2172276166,665.67
Starr's Mill3 - AAAAA1-343.63856,6411.1626,3743,7501233333,332.33
Loganville8 - AAAAA2-239.92846,6821.1237,8872,547552499,999.00
New Hampstead2 - AAAAA2-142.34812,0931.1322,3222,455701999,999.00
Riverwood6 - AAAAA2-239.85816,2340.9111,7921,070381999,999.00
Woodland (Cartersville)7 - AAAAA4-041.16119,6670.179,526655151999,999.00
Statesboro2 - AAAAA2-242.49826,6281.1422,7012,58875--
Woodland (Stockbridge)4 - AAAAA2-344.68211,0480.243,19478022--
Maynard Jackson6 - AAAAA2-239.29750,9420.816,58847012--
Riverdale3 - AAAAA3-137.84635,0270.745,5604819--
Villa Rica7 - AAAAA2-240.8082,5870.116,6783989--
Whitewater3 - AAAAA0-436.12515,4200.583,2722233--
South Effingham2 - AAAAA1-332.32364,5590.421,8041202--
Columbia5 - AAAAA1-332.44817,2560.915,1381881--
Harris County1 - AAAAA0-436.31269,8960.281,856831--
Eagle's Landing4 - AAAAA1-441.5434,6440.04296581--
Ola4 - AAAAA1-442.8018,4730.0222249---
Lithonia5 - AAAAA3-128.81686,7270.731,63335---
Walnut Grove8 - AAAAA1-326.79212,2630.231,10817---
Union Grove4 - AAAAA2-235.2816,3160.024611---
Paulding County7 - AAAAA0-436.492,8970.001127---
Miller Grove5 - AAAAA1-324.81470,5190.494096---
North Springs6 - AAAAA1-226.78170,3960.171444---
Decatur6 - AAAAA1-226.20151,8190.151264---
Grady6 - AAAAA1-324.38143,6240.15702---
Fayette County3 - AAAAA0-422.4955,2000.0622----
McIntosh3 - AAAAA1-322.2551,4810.0517----
Chamblee5 - AAAAA0-46.8239,1080.042----
Johnson (Gainesville)8 - AAAAA4-19.1311,7280.011----
Lithia Springs6 - AAAAA2-212.342,2390.00-----
Cass7 - AAAAA1-328.531780.00-----
Clarkston5 - AAAAA0-5-20.93-------
Cross Keys5 - AAAAA0-5-53.78-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAAAWarner Robins830,702138,73722,8497,158554
1 - AAAAAVeterans77,727375,446328,619175,36942,839
1 - AAAAABainbridge58,363314,274333,471230,99262,900
1 - AAAAAThomas County Central32,056156,854270,471377,016163,603
1 - AAAAAHarris County1,15214,68944,590209,465730,104
2 - AAAAAWayne County639,264312,57340,1357,306722
2 - AAAAAWare County339,884567,15778,17212,2292,558
2 - AAAAAStatesboro10,02952,974379,395384,230173,372
2 - AAAAANew Hampstead10,10556,736404,612340,640187,907
2 - AAAAASouth Effingham71810,56097,686255,595635,441
3 - AAAAAGriffin619,172234,94995,05336,28714,539
3 - AAAAAJonesboro180,154300,653259,289160,67499,230
3 - AAAAAStarr's Mill130,863261,770273,048190,960143,359
3 - AAAAARiverdale38,765112,847196,901286,514364,973
3 - AAAAAWhitewater30,21084,158152,308248,744484,580
3 - AAAAAFayette County4803,16412,48339,073944,800
3 - AAAAAMcIntosh3562,45910,91837,748948,519
4 - AAAAAStockbridge521,585328,968137,52410,5261,397
4 - AAAAAJones County321,659347,452244,16679,9186,805
4 - AAAAADutchtown150,464268,452401,175157,49122,418
4 - AAAAALocust Grove6,02352,047187,941504,128249,861
4 - AAAAAWoodland (Stockbridge)2452,61323,658184,532788,952
4 - AAAAAEagle's Landing62513,55330,834965,356
4 - AAAAAOla182001,69116,564981,527
4 - AAAAAUnion Grove-1729216,007983,684
5 - AAAAASouthwest DeKalb762,502206,98325,8084,233474
5 - AAAAAArabia Mountain206,358579,694161,31239,50013,136
5 - AAAAAColumbia20,919113,274394,619288,444182,744
5 - AAAAALithonia7,57467,253262,055349,845313,273
5 - AAAAAMiller Grove2,63232,208147,848287,831529,481
5 - AAAAAChamblee155888,35830,147960,892
5 - AAAAAClarkston----1,000,000
5 - AAAAACross Keys----1,000,000
6 - AAAAABanneker726,941212,31246,80110,9153,031
6 - AAAAACarver (Atlanta)225,879486,690193,73461,47432,223
6 - AAAAARiverwood17,231189,657345,047264,299183,766
6 - AAAAAMaynard Jackson24,87374,454293,816357,799249,058
6 - AAAAANorth Springs1,93314,26444,282109,917829,604
6 - AAAAADecatur2,04312,74538,66398,368848,181
6 - AAAAAGrady1,0999,84737,35695,322856,376
6 - AAAAALithia Springs1313011,906997,761
7 - AAAAARome987,00711,5491,373701
7 - AAAAACarrollton3,020684,156211,33475,26426,226
7 - AAAAAEast Paulding8,829173,285452,947191,178173,761
7 - AAAAAKell194,768175,156402,892327,183
7 - AAAAAHiram1,00127,441102,470190,930678,158
7 - AAAAAWoodland (Cartersville)1307,81535,45676,266880,333
7 - AAAAAVilla Rica1291520,69860,962917,413
7 - AAAAAPaulding County-705272,300997,103
7 - AAAAACass-139138999,822
8 - AAAAABuford958,60939,5611,5732543
8 - AAAAAClarke Central30,235660,867231,74863,37813,772
8 - AAAAACedar Shoals8,389208,602472,206253,90556,898
8 - AAAAALoganville2,70982,303258,834502,836153,318
8 - AAAAAWalnut Grove588,60534,060169,540787,737
8 - AAAAAJohnson (Gainesville)-621,57910,087988,272

Class AAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Blessed Trinity7 - AAAA4-085.47999,9814.92901,408836,809709,610475,7421.10
Cartersville5 - AAAA4-083.72999,3084.69899,791845,894604,583355,3811.81
Mary Persons2 - AAAA5-073.68998,8163.65901,339516,326204,66768,07913.69
St. Pius X8 - AAAA4-172.82999,9502.82510,709298,647119,65336,73626.22
Marist7 - AAAA3-169.78998,9302.77438,505253,319107,66525,31638.50
Troup5 - AAAA4-067.76967,5492.88527,059405,957114,12424,55939.72
Eastside4 - AAAA4-059.88999,8532.55563,37680,08627,9803,540281.49
Burke County3 - AAAA2-259.81999,2942.34478,74282,38819,8332,498399.32
Flowery Branch7 - AAAA3-059.73985,9802.02151,69372,04415,0731,745572.07
Ridgeland6 - AAAA1-256.12999,4282.13235,940140,40017,7681,675596.01
Woodward Academy4 - AAAA2-256.29999,2582.33450,80650,60313,2111,265789.51
Chapel Hill5 - AAAA4-057.57798,0271.43117,40263,10910,0319761,023.59
Sandy Creek5 - AAAA3-157.23732,4981.29106,58156,6418,6938261,209.65
Cairo1 - AAAA2-252.17990,7482.29366,35297,7259,1136271,593.90
West Laurens2 - AAAA3-153.64833,7341.63255,31050,8805,6824122,426.18
Thomson3 - AAAA1-352.21993,9191.80241,35430,6343,9092314,328.00
Upson-Lee2 - AAAA3-251.18758,2321.34175,44528,9162,6661646,096.56
Cedartown5 - AAAA2-251.35463,6540.6626,4639,9949955617,856.14
Richmond Academy3 - AAAA5-046.82982,0011.46123,44613,6069694820,832.33
Perry2 - AAAA4-048.29655,2601.04102,63913,0389503429,410.76
Oconee County8 - AAAA3-248.00958,9281.2025,7878,2557043132,257.06
Americus-Sumter1 - AAAA2-245.01843,4611.3694,37911,3236551952,630.58
Carver (Columbus)1 - AAAA4-044.58877,5081.3991,16510,5105301471,427.57
Pickens6 - AAAA4-042.54980,4021.2321,9595,8832618124,999.00
Stephens County8 - AAAA3-242.14905,8251.0111,6912,6621325199,999.00
Spalding2 - AAAA3-244.02411,6960.5632,5982,5891295199,999.00
Howard2 - AAAA3-243.33342,2620.4624,7421,8591083333,332.33
Columbus1 - AAAA2-140.68744,9791.0340,4183,0651192499,999.00
Northwest Whitfield6 - AAAA3-139.29963,3821.1210,7272,223681999,999.00
Baldwin3 - AAAA0-537.69900,9161.0120,4281,104361999,999.00
North Oconee8 - AAAA4-137.78822,4780.874,937841201999,999.00
Salem4 - AAAA2-237.87959,4581.2725,8521,02732--
Denmark7 - AAAA3-136.28468,0690.565,14483216--
West Hall7 - AAAA1-334.39332,1240.392,7423566--
Hardaway1 - AAAA2-236.44220,2350.253,593773--
White County7 - AAAA1-331.59192,8280.229871192--
Northside (Columbus)1 - AAAA2-235.05134,4250.151,810422--
Hampton4 - AAAA1-327.04407,6880.452,467801--
Madison County8 - AAAA2-328.18312,8190.32254181--
Westover1 - AAAA2-234.13181,5130.212,58978---
LaGrange5 - AAAA1-235.1129,6280.0310213---
North Clayton4 - AAAA0-422.27237,4610.2561912---
Druid Hills4 - AAAA3-119.12243,5530.253258---
Central (Carrollton)5 - AAAA1-329.659,3360.01143---
Henry County4 - AAAA0-416.70104,4810.11902---
Heritage (Ringgold)6 - AAAA1-322.26476,5860.48531---
Southeast Whitfield6 - AAAA2-219.49331,9070.33301---
LaFayette6 - AAAA3-117.33247,7260.25101---
Luella4 - AAAA1-318.4548,2480.0559----
Cross Creek3 - AAAA2-215.95123,8700.1245----
Chestatee7 - AAAA1-318.8622,0880.0212----
Shaw1 - AAAA2-224.116,8900.0112----
Gilmer6 - AAAA0-4-14.395690.00-----
Dougherty1 - AAAA0-416.072410.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAACairo625,430234,48497,51833,3169,252
1 - AAAACarver (Columbus)146,769271,075269,772189,892122,492
1 - AAAAAmericus-Sumter150,678272,001243,289177,493156,539
1 - AAAAColumbus71,668176,144240,390256,777255,021
1 - AAAAHardaway51716,54962,197140,972779,765
1 - AAAAWestover4,49917,76346,306112,945818,487
1 - AAAANorthside (Columbus)42411,82439,40482,773865,575
1 - AAAAShaw151601,1145,601993,110
1 - AAAADougherty--10231999,759
2 - AAAAMary Persons847,057125,03421,6755,0501,184
2 - AAAAWest Laurens73,101318,122265,066177,445166,266
2 - AAAAUpson-Lee48,048250,462254,670205,052241,768
2 - AAAAPerry21,008180,924222,202231,126344,740
2 - AAAASpalding6,12467,937129,508208,127588,304
2 - AAAAHoward4,66257,521106,879173,200657,738
3 - AAAABurke County605,290278,19689,41026,398706
3 - AAAAThomson265,198388,107259,75380,8616,081
3 - AAAARichmond Academy109,131273,333425,296174,24117,999
3 - AAAABaldwin20,30758,799216,259605,55199,084
3 - AAAACross Creek741,5659,282112,949876,130
4 - AAAAEastside549,874402,56644,9942,419147
4 - AAAAWoodward Academy431,563487,06674,2326,397742
4 - AAAASalem17,931101,117734,312106,09840,542
4 - AAAAHampton5205,10030,091371,977592,312
4 - AAAADruid Hills641,76741,003200,719756,447
4 - AAAANorth Clayton411,96547,999187,456762,539
4 - AAAAHenry County221118,33785,931895,519
4 - AAAALuella52089,03239,003951,752
5 - AAAACartersville831,460141,20721,5475,094692
5 - AAAATroup118,325531,402232,26485,55832,451
5 - AAAAChapel Hill24,234144,670336,129292,994201,973
5 - AAAASandy Creek21,365137,675263,945309,513267,502
5 - AAAACedartown4,59544,301138,946275,812536,346
5 - AAAALaGrange146095,66323,342970,372
5 - AAAACentral (Carrollton)71361,5067,687990,664
6 - AAAARidgeland720,357217,18956,8035,079572
6 - AAAAPickens165,334407,124340,32467,62019,598
6 - AAAANorthwest Whitfield110,703335,303409,356108,02036,618
6 - AAAAHeritage (Ringgold)1,97220,60393,967360,044523,414
6 - AAAASoutheast Whitfield1,16011,68956,580262,478668,093
6 - AAAALaFayette4748,09242,958196,202752,274
6 - AAAAGilmer--12557999,431
7 - AAAABlessed Trinity838,846141,74318,87651619
7 - AAAAMarist131,423646,706210,06510,7361,070
7 - AAAAFlowery Branch29,522205,114668,76982,57514,020
7 - AAAADenmark1373,03443,767421,131531,931
7 - AAAAWest Hall532,17037,600292,301667,876
7 - AAAAWhite County191,21020,276171,323807,172
7 - AAAAChestatee-2364721,418977,912
8 - AAAASt. Pius X910,30683,0085,5801,05650
8 - AAAAOconee County63,993496,906282,359115,67041,072
8 - AAAAStephens County17,661263,718362,452261,99494,175
8 - AAAANorth Oconee7,215132,477286,641396,145177,522
8 - AAAAMadison County82523,89162,968225,135687,181

Class AAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Benedictine3 - AAA1-172.681,000,0004.29910,224586,612498,464305,3072.28
Calhoun6 - AAA4-071.461,000,0004.11739,127676,692459,091247,5393.04
Cedar Grove5 - AAA3-171.94999,9803.79774,388466,366364,664217,9293.59
Peach County4 - AAA2-265.60999,8473.55807,186472,720213,78086,17910.60
Greater Atlanta Christian7 - AAA2-265.82999,9973.41707,331452,889191,82879,88811.52
Westminster (Atlanta)5 - AAA2-261.80999,0392.56405,633210,48291,09229,27833.16
Jefferson8 - AAA3-156.23999,4722.05280,778189,85038,1108,821112.37
Monroe Area8 - AAA4-056.67999,8452.04273,474178,65337,3978,777112.93
Lovett5 - AAA1-354.75992,5161.87204,800104,53320,8914,226235.63
Pace Academy5 - AAA2-254.12993,5841.86206,187103,48819,8263,901255.34
Crisp County1 - AAA2-351.68997,3572.48580,879106,01321,8563,464287.68
Dawson County7 - AAA4-049.92999,6122.20229,865112,10713,5161,912522.01
Liberty County2 - AAA2-146.60996,9562.28397,33995,1429,3279641,036.34
North Hall7 - AAA4-047.35998,7351.99155,66859,2006,4597291,370.74
Jackson4 - AAA2-244.63940,7441.85208,42137,5633,7053622,761.43
Westside (Macon)4 - AAA2-243.46888,8171.65186,41430,6992,4172044,900.96
Pierce County2 - AAA4-041.48990,9391.87218,98232,7462,1101705,881.35
Appling County2 - AAA2-241.07991,0551.86219,77732,1642,0491456,895.55
Pike County4 - AAA4-041.92928,6251.64165,85424,1941,6871218,263.46
Jenkins3 - AAA2-141.14995,1301.65110,63911,0411,1556315,872.02
Cook1 - AAA2-335.25937,2151.3588,5158,9652869111,110.11
North Murray6 - AAA2-236.04977,0651.2315,7691,8941027142,856.14
Southeast Bulloch3 - AAA3-035.17977,3051.3458,6013,5571373333,332.33
Central (Macon)4 - AAA1-331.35325,1690.4215,855785211999,999.00
Monroe1 - AAA2-324.14713,8170.806,27322421999,999.00
Windsor Forest3 - AAA2-126.37800,2790.9214,41356410--
Sonoraville6 - AAA1-228.46767,8950.843,6592807--
Hart County8 - AAA1-330.63735,8970.772,0441187--
East Hall7 - AAA1-326.92807,5040.871,8371331--
Haralson County6 - AAA3-023.20743,6130.781,406691--
Morgan County8 - AAA1-327.73563,9660.581,032431--
Jackson County8 - AAA2-224.32388,5140.40419101--
Ringgold6 - AAA1-325.85305,5960.3297349---
Adairsville6 - AAA2-225.09339,4870.3694248---
Savannah3 - AAA0-318.72273,5890.291,43132---
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe6 - AAA3-121.25572,5410.5970423---
Worth County1 - AAA1-419.13352,9460.381,03020---
Tattnall County2 - AAA0-420.07600,1080.621,20517---
Franklin County8 - AAA1-322.35328,1720.332956---
Brantley County2 - AAA0-316.23356,6750.363064---
Islands3 - AAA0-314.2194,5210.102433---
Beach3 - AAA0-313.1228,1040.03491---
Redan5 - AAA0-414.1211,8120.0151---
Lumpkin County7 - AAA2-29.90125,5850.1310----
Long County2 - AAA0-45.2770,3010.076----
Towers5 - AAA0-411.448,2420.016----
Fannin County7 - AAA1-36.8569,5120.074----
Kendrick4 - AAA1-36.263,1030.001----
Rutland4 - AAA0-44.542,0710.001----
Cherokee Bluff7 - AAA0-4-6.644,4920.00-----
Coahulla Creek6 - AAA1-30.011,0610.00-----
East Jackson8 - AAA1-3-7.588740.00-----
Johnson (Savannah)3 - AAA1-2-7.285140.00-----
Stone Mountain5 - AAA0-4-7.081790.00-----
Murray County6 - AAA0-4-4.02170.00-----
Groves3 - AAA0-3-15.3690.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 At large Out
1 - AAACrisp County856,881128,09812,101-2772,643
1 - AAACook113,436602,016220,706-1,05762,785
1 - AAAMonroe20,628204,170489,018-1286,183
1 - AAAWorth County9,05565,716278,175--647,054
2 - AAALiberty County447,053320,167202,49727,0911483,044
2 - AAAAppling County283,198328,922311,07563,5604,3008,945
2 - AAAPierce County263,759323,775345,67256,1591,5749,061
2 - AAATattnall County4,60018,12690,527486,8541399,892
2 - AAABrantley County1,3648,59745,237301,46611643,325
2 - AAALong County264134,99264,870-929,699
3 - AAABenedictine953,08145,2271,5691185-
3 - AAAJenkins38,199637,715260,12256,8872,2074,870
3 - AAASoutheast Bulloch7,645252,920469,020205,35342,36722,695
3 - AAAWindsor Forest1,02060,106202,697449,53586,921199,721
3 - AAASavannah522,46253,354196,49421,227726,411
3 - AAAIslands21,0458,84672,18112,447905,479
3 - AAABeach15254,37618,9934,209971,896
3 - AAAJohnson (Savannah)--1643068999,486
3 - AAAGroves---9-999,991
4 - AAAPeach County834,746136,75021,5426,391418153
4 - AAAJackson79,409366,185286,971186,65821,52159,256
4 - AAAPike County44,217224,994304,799294,52760,08871,375
4 - AAAWestside (Macon)39,532240,358312,125290,4786,324111,183
4 - AAACentral (Macon)2,09631,67373,962217,41325674,831
4 - AAAKendrick-193652,719-996,897
4 - AAARutland-212361,814-997,929
5 - AAACedar Grove648,023256,49668,59526,71415220
5 - AAAWestminster (Atlanta)226,606393,769238,073139,1551,436961
5 - AAALovett57,110180,023375,083380,1671337,484
5 - AAAPace Academy68,259169,637317,687434,3703,6316,416
5 - AAARedan14832211,441-988,188
5 - AAATowers1272387,976-991,758
5 - AAAStone Mountain--2177-999,821
6 - AAACalhoun998,1181,8047071-
6 - AAANorth Murray173624,809223,78994,76733,52722,935
6 - AAASonoraville25181,915249,321209,270127,364232,105
6 - AAAHaralson County89196,898230,180248,198167,446256,387
6 - AAALakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe49360,164167,600219,061125,223427,459
6 - AAAAdairsville29229,51868,460115,681125,536660,513
6 - AAARinggold84,88160,428112,386127,893694,404
6 - AAACoahulla Creek-11149616285998,939
6 - AAAMurray County--314-999,983
7 - AAAGreater Atlanta Christian799,081163,64935,1952,053193
7 - AAADawson County113,363489,150344,58950,5621,948388
7 - AAANorth Hall85,960326,916497,32985,9462,5841,265
7 - AAAEast Hall1,58419,816115,663669,579862192,496
7 - AAALumpkin County93254,556120,67322874,415
7 - AAAFannin County31432,59966,7652930,488
7 - AAACherokee Bluff-1694,422-995,508
8 - AAAJefferson532,652415,48844,8445,622866528
8 - AAAMonroe Area455,926489,56648,6314,802920155
8 - AAAHart County6,81548,822401,754275,5362,970264,103
8 - AAAMorgan County2,88625,198240,553295,26069436,034
8 - AAAJackson County1,08312,280148,442215,15211,557611,486
8 - AAAFranklin County6388,646115,725202,805358671,828
8 - AAAEast Jackson--51823-999,126

Class AA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Hapeville Charter6 - AA3-073.49999,9954.87901,298756,321662,526559,6770.79
Thomasville1 - AA3-161.68995,7713.40763,976351,644225,582106,6588.38
Dodge County3 - AA4-059.67995,2803.38702,132437,418232,87985,15010.74
Rabun County8 - AA3-156.01999,9683.39759,886452,451219,18957,78616.31
Rockmart7 - AA4-056.61999,9283.26673,606463,803122,39755,26417.09
Callaway5 - AA3-156.12998,5462.84496,754266,361129,66337,25325.84
Brooks County1 - AA3-155.89980,2522.87592,913247,220116,03734,77227.76
Bremen5 - AA3-054.62998,0172.63414,757209,40390,89924,27240.20
Fitzgerald1 - AA3-252.04966,2542.46428,061166,23757,92812,72077.62
Washington County3 - AA4-051.14964,7552.42448,146175,29143,06110,75591.98
Vidalia2 - AA4-049.69996,8722.15289,327115,32339,5856,952142.84
Heard County5 - AA2-247.29989,8142.03229,16187,02617,3093,199311.60
Dublin3 - AA3-147.18896,7641.85257,43474,93814,7172,678372.41
Douglass6 - AA4-044.97998,2992.12222,16258,98615,1271,692590.02
Jefferson County4 - AA2-240.73984,2741.56131,98830,6642,9583842,603.17
Swainsboro2 - AA2-240.74965,2371.4693,40316,9552,6012663,758.40
Elbert County8 - AA3-138.51991,1551.4187,22321,1492,3401925,207.33
Early County1 - AA3-138.41688,7161.1585,54714,5431,2291109,089.91
Southwest3 - AA2-238.12610,1200.9050,4488,3738316515,383.62
Union County8 - AA4-034.71990,7111.2337,0696,6885663826,314.79
Chattooga7 - AA3-133.94988,3001.5067,1429,9738433330,302.03
Washington6 - AA2-232.57723,8710.9831,1433,8152661758,822.53
Berrien1 - AA3-133.68369,0070.5525,6303,0581741566,665.67
Pepperell7 - AA2-231.50961,2191.3442,8065,3273241099,999.00
Screven County4 - AA2-233.87805,2230.9321,3042,7412051099,999.00
Hephzibah4 - AA3-132.40956,5121.1934,4634,2232149111,110.11
Metter2 - AA4-032.72829,4030.9925,3682,6371718124,999.00
Jeff Davis2 - AA4-031.02777,7250.9017,8791,6181005199,999.00
Bleckley County3 - AA2-233.47355,5230.4613,9741,6791124249,999.00
South Atlanta6 - AA2-127.46501,8110.619,524806403333,332.33
Spencer5 - AA0-426.59619,2860.6912,156866401999,999.00
Harlem4 - AA2-129.82696,6280.7911,4161,024391999,999.00
B.E.S.T. Academy6 - AA1-327.25541,7180.659,533803261999,999.00
Lamar County5 - AA2-222.24301,4220.322,8981448--
Northeast3 - AA1-329.31173,4920.213,3952767--
Laney4 - AA2-123.94357,1570.381,618732--
Coosa7 - AA0-420.56588,0060.61967401--
Toombs County2 - AA2-220.96230,0370.24773241--
Butler4 - AA2-222.23194,7890.20486211--
Therrell6 - AA1-317.93102,8220.11357161--
Banks County8 - AA2-214.28392,7370.4035171--
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate6 - AA2-318.6798,8300.113508---
Bacon County2 - AA0-418.44149,0830.152857---
Model7 - AA1-313.91376,0430.382174---
Temple5 - AA1-313.3686,1240.091834---
Putnam County8 - AA1-312.12272,2030.281434---
McNair6 - AA2-216.7232,6540.03754---
Monticello8 - AA1-313.41339,1870.342353---
Bryan County2 - AA1-212.6951,6430.05311---
Armuchee7 - AA1-31.7332,4090.032----
East Laurens3 - AA1-311.204,0660.002----
Gordon Central7 - AA1-33.0045,0940.051----
Social Circle8 - AA2-11.6213,8270.011----
Glenn Hills4 - AA0-37.614,7800.001----
Dade County7 - AA0-40.469,0010.01-----
Jordan5 - AA0-4-0.826,7910.01-----
Westside (Augusta)4 - AA0-32.634200.00-----
Josey4 - AA0-3-3.112170.00-----
Oglethorpe County8 - AA0-4-19.202120.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAThomasville548,843305,357117,41724,1544,229
1 - AABrooks County307,570366,690233,95172,04119,748
1 - AAFitzgerald129,630271,651439,086125,88733,746
1 - AAEarly County10,60239,562146,852491,700311,284
1 - AABerrien3,35516,74062,694286,218630,993
2 - AAVidalia713,774215,96353,32813,8073,128
2 - AASwainsboro205,650460,740212,61386,23434,763
2 - AAMetter43,797159,557325,159300,890170,597
2 - AAJeff Davis32,889133,934302,292308,610222,275
2 - AAToombs County2,62318,53058,748150,136769,963
2 - AABacon County1,1509,74537,822100,366850,917
2 - AABryan County1171,53110,03839,957948,357
3 - AADodge County649,467239,55784,87321,3834,720
3 - AAWashington County211,471416,715250,78985,78035,245
3 - AADublin114,381237,282353,790191,311103,236
3 - AASouthwest19,18470,066180,980339,890389,880
3 - AABleckley County4,37826,66692,304232,175644,477
3 - AANortheast1,1189,68336,874125,817826,508
3 - AAEast Laurens1313903,644995,934
4 - AAJefferson County535,051265,463131,57452,18615,726
4 - AAHephzibah294,442378,872196,34886,85043,488
4 - AAScreven County64,024138,509329,203273,487194,777
4 - AAHarlem90,697162,066193,277250,588303,372
4 - AALaney15,55448,80698,780194,017642,843
4 - AAButler2206,13449,962138,473805,211
4 - AAGlenn Hills111447973,828995,220
4 - AAWestside (Augusta)-645369999,580
4 - AAJosey1-14202999,783
5 - AACallaway485,409325,130173,49514,5121,454
5 - AABremen373,397398,107207,96818,5451,983
5 - AAHeard County139,254265,032517,73067,79810,186
5 - AASpencer1,3917,72766,745543,423380,714
5 - AALamar County5223,66528,154269,081698,578
5 - AATemple273365,79079,971913,876
5 - AAJordan-31186,670993,209
6 - AAHapeville Charter936,61061,6971,611775
6 - AADouglass60,963871,35258,0057,9791,701
6 - AAWashington1,59813,032436,707272,534276,129
6 - AAB.E.S.T. Academy2073,390241,492296,629458,282
6 - AASouth Atlanta60644,845201,779254,581498,189
6 - AATherrell12,88129,13770,803897,178
6 - AAKIPP Atlanta Collegiate152,44824,12772,240901,170
6 - AAMcNair-3557,14225,157967,346
7 - AARockmart890,01796,48312,0511,37772
7 - AAChattooga57,699480,810394,04655,74511,700
7 - AAPepperell49,862383,611400,662127,08438,781
7 - AACoosa1,72422,604112,843450,835411,994
7 - AAModel69715,89272,813286,641623,957
7 - AAGordon Central12483,08441,761954,906
7 - AAArmuchee-2763,54228,591967,591
7 - AADade County-769597,966990,999
8 - AARabun County855,003125,23018,89584032
8 - AAElbert County95,764535,946315,01244,4338,845
8 - AAUnion County48,580323,233556,38962,5099,289
8 - AABanks County5159,54456,869325,809607,263
8 - AAMonticello1192,27819,326317,464660,813
8 - AAPutnam County193,71132,396236,077727,797
8 - AASocial Circle-581,11112,658986,173
8 - AAOglethorpe County--2210999,788

Class A-Public

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Irwin County2 - A4-062.351,000,000972,214917,341721,243643,7170.55
Clinch County2 - A3-155.181,000,000931,708816,731334,341238,5353.19
Commerce8 - A4-042.78999,981768,576391,636237,98943,08522.21
Marion County4 - A4-040.15999,633619,217323,782166,45124,67339.53
Pelham1 - A4-035.131,000,000690,413320,985135,20812,60178.36
Charlton County2 - A3-135.69999,623502,456176,09068,1357,086140.12
Mitchell County1 - A3-132.461,000,000620,951227,54979,6925,951167.04
Mount Zion (Carroll)6 - A3-135.68995,044405,571142,38853,3565,770172.31
Dooly County4 - A1-235.75737,668300,288123,79846,9075,134193.78
Turner County2 - A3-134.19997,937388,368123,89742,8524,090243.50
Emanuel County Institute3 - A1-333.89958,385327,080119,88135,3913,419291.48
Lincoln County7 - A2-232.91991,791329,11389,82927,0842,411413.77
Manchester4 - A2-133.69627,653187,33864,30621,0951,945513.14
Macon County4 - A1-231.89301,463101,58432,1109,4047241,380.22
Telfair County2 - A2-228.12767,41999,54424,7115,3842873,483.32
Schley County4 - A3-127.27624,93692,17021,4134,5552294,365.81
Trion6 - A3-125.38873,31789,18819,0793,4971636,133.97
Washington-Wilkes7 - A1-322.26524,47639,7576,4438933528,570.43
Jenkins County3 - A2-221.83767,14454,4438,8631,2363429,410.76
Claxton3 - A3-120.39730,23539,1135,7217632441,665.67
Atkinson County2 - A2-221.37744,52445,3527,2459352049,999.00
Miller County1 - A2-115.35999,426148,98112,3411,1521855,554.56
Wilcox County2 - A3-121.25668,40242,9326,0617781376,922.08
Johnson County3 - A2-019.77377,50722,1572,9213301190,908.09
Greene County7 - A1-218.12564,28924,6412,8872899111,110.11
Taylor County4 - A1-222.3255,0068,4031,3442127142,856.14
Chattahoochee County1 - A2-213.41999,14485,8485,9354654249,999.00
Hancock Central7 - A3-117.34544,36421,4912,2852082499,999.00
Seminole County1 - A3-18.75986,90223,2651,044472499,999.00
Montgomery County3 - A2-216.65290,06011,1411,017811999,999.00
McIntosh County Academy3 - A0-315.7384,8923,00622417--
Bowdon6 - A0-314.5944,5831,288769--
Warren County7 - A2-25.3242,31231191--
Towns County8 - A2-27.03106,94294839---
Calhoun County1 - A1-3-4.05366,76350610---
Terrell County1 - A0-4-3.36205,7533375---
Wilkinson County7 - A0-48.356,8191732---
Gordon Lee6 - A1-35.618,559742---
Greenville4 - A1-24.493,19837----
Hawkinsville4 - A1-39.1616110----
Portal3 - A1-32.058805----
Wheeler County3 - A1-3-0.28232----
Baconton Charter1 - A1-3-16.131,636-----
Randolph-Clay1 - A0-4-23.79700-----
Lanier County2 - A0-4-1.79315-----
Stewart County1 - A2-2-20.17111-----
Treutlen3 - A2-1-3.9024-----
Crawford County4 - A2-1-9.78------
Central (Talbotton)4 - A0-3-16.94------
Twiggs County7 - A0-4-19.40------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team Rgn Champ 1 to 8 9 to 24 Out
1 - APelham577,973989,28610,714-
1 - AMitchell County412,744972,42927,571-
1 - AMiller County2,310522,878476,548574
1 - AChattahoochee County3,215285,266713,878856
1 - ASeminole County3,75382,996903,90613,098
1 - ACalhoun County517366,746633,237
1 - ATerrell County--205,753794,247
1 - ABaconton Charter--1,636998,364
1 - ARandolph-Clay--700999,300
1 - AStewart County--111999,889
2 - AIrwin County964,179999,9937-
2 - AClinch County14,808996,9073,093-
2 - ACharlton County10,692423,176576,447377
2 - ATurner County9,834243,145754,7922,063
2 - ATelfair County3393,338764,081232,581
2 - AAtkinson County202,338742,186255,476
2 - AWilcox County1284,373664,029331,598
2 - ALanier County--315999,685
3 - AEmanuel County Institute248,572249,401708,98441,615
3 - AJenkins County20,81321,225745,919232,856
3 - AClaxton2,7614,678725,557269,765
3 - AJohnson County12,97913,210364,297622,493
3 - AMontgomery County4,7764,780285,280709,940
3 - AMcIntosh County Academy58758984,303915,108
3 - APortal44876999,120
3 - AWheeler County19194999,977
3 - ATreutlen2222999,976
4 - AMarion County435,099492,815506,818367
4 - ADooly County260,681260,681476,987262,332
4 - AManchester119,823119,823507,830372,347
4 - ASchley County45,59745,622579,314375,064
4 - AMacon County106,983106,983194,480698,537
4 - ATaylor County13,56213,56241,444944,994
4 - AGreenville1011013,097996,802
4 - AHawkinsville4646115999,839
4 - ACrawford County---1,000,000
4 - ACentral (Talbotton)---1,000,000
6 - AMount Zion (Carroll)23,391176,679818,3654,956
6 - ATrion1,1889,049864,268126,683
6 - ABowdon778144,502955,417
6 - AGordon Lee--8,559991,441
7 - ALincoln County28,422131,506860,2858,209
7 - AGreene County4,9835,917558,372435,711
7 - AWashington-Wilkes17,87618,180506,296475,524
7 - AHancock Central2,8293,473540,891455,636
7 - AWarren County9942,303957,688
7 - AWilkinson County5425426,277993,181
7 - ATwiggs County---1,000,000
8 - ACommerce194,840794,821205,16019
8 - ATowns County5860106,882893,058

Class A-Private

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Eagle's Landing Christian5 - A3-163.711,000,000955,656864,083759,125609,7850.64
Prince Avenue Christian8 - A4-053.551,000,000857,640564,612360,459142,0056.04
Athens Academy8 - A3-052.781,000,000856,308570,785348,629130,8446.64
Mount Paran Christian6 - A2-147.90999,605631,985387,699124,67641,97022.83
Darlington6 - A4-043.441,000,000690,625333,239107,16722,19344.06
Calvary Day3 - A2-043.23999,997633,527285,71483,59218,68052.53
Aquinas7 - A4-040.811,000,000661,964292,49279,42313,68572.07
Fellowship Christian6 - A4-040.87999,999447,111157,29841,0387,901125.57
George Walton Academy8 - A4-039.83999,998413,914136,74334,4925,952167.01
Savannah Christian3 - A3-136.31999,956327,81090,58416,5092,208451.90
Savannah Country Day3 - A3-034.34999,641253,21163,2589,7231,130883.96
Mount Vernon Presbyterian5 - A3-134.42999,849256,16956,1509,7361,110899.90
Wesleyan5 - A1-335.24994,211169,75445,2908,1511,014985.19
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)5 - A3-132.61999,538181,00337,1255,2625201,922.08
Christian Heritage6 - A4-030.73999,938219,35638,9645,1214052,468.14
Whitefield Academy6 - A3-132.53996,840110,31727,5383,5913662,731.24
Stratford Academy7 - A1-327.46896,42777,76113,8849018711,493.25
Hebron Christian Academy8 - A1-227.57965,06046,8067,9866555119,606.84
Mount de Sales7 - A4-025.42990,35956,0628,3495953231,249.00
North Cobb Christian6 - A4-025.29997,14748,9006,3084712638,460.54
Tattnall Square7 - A1-324.79555,97633,0954,5662471855,554.56
Holy Innocents5 - A2-224.44917,68427,1323,4392261190,908.09
Brookstone4 - A2-124.16581,59420,2672,2261284249,999.00
Pinecrest Academy6 - A1-321.95637,74012,0291,050573333,332.33
Mount Pisgah Christian6 - A1-320.42264,6583,83923916--
Athens Christian8 - A2-217.16474,7593,9671996--
Strong Rock Christian5 - A2-215.97385,5192,6141413--
Our Lady of Mercy5 - A0-411.83104,711332111--
First Presbyterian7 - A0-413.2530,97059426---
Walker6 - A0-311.0927,301561---
Landmark Christian5 - A1-34.0510,651131---
St. Francis6 - A1-211.5838,238116----
Riverside Military Academy8 - A1-22.3995,92357----
Providence Christian8 - A2-2-2.7334,23010----
Lakeview Academy8 - A0-3-2.901,467-----
Georgia Military College7 - A3-1-3.6511-----
King's Ridge Christian6 - A0-3-8.213-----
Pacelli4 - A2-2-10.03------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team Rgn Champ 1 to 8 9 to 24 Out
3 - ACalvary Day455,113673,468326,5293
3 - ASavannah Christian149,189294,625705,33144
3 - ASavannah Country Day105,185245,295754,346359
4 - ABrookstone18,10818,108563,486418,406
4 - APacelli---1,000,000
5 - AEagle's Landing Christian932,119998,2271,773-
5 - AMount Vernon Presbyterian26,996226,490773,359151
5 - ATrinity Christian (Sharpsburg)5,594130,330869,208462
5 - AWesleyan35,09452,244941,9675,789
5 - AHoly Innocents1042,626915,05882,316
5 - AStrong Rock Christian9094385,425614,481
5 - AOur Lady of Mercy33104,708895,289
5 - ALandmark Christian--10,651989,349
6 - ADarlington276,881864,508135,492-
6 - AMount Paran Christian471,900500,290499,315395
6 - AFellowship Christian142,611327,294672,7051
6 - AChristian Heritage37,117334,394665,54462
6 - AWhitefield Academy41,67650,871945,9693,160
6 - ANorth Cobb Christian5,01435,472961,6752,853
6 - APinecrest Academy44637,736362,260
6 - AMount Pisgah Christian138138264,520735,342
6 - ASt. Francis--38,238961,762
6 - AWalker3327,298972,699
6 - AKing's Ridge Christian--3999,997
7 - AAquinas698,156908,27991,721-
7 - AMount de Sales60,97266,214924,1459,641
7 - AStratford Academy122,018122,018774,409103,573
7 - ATattnall Square60,55260,552495,424444,024
7 - AFirst Presbyterian3,6413,64127,329969,030
7 - AGeorgia Military College--11999,989
8 - AAthens Academy377,150905,41794,583-
8 - APrince Avenue Christian377,437864,801135,199-
8 - AGeorge Walton Academy37,363301,003698,9952
8 - AHebron Christian Academy13,01613,452951,60834,940
8 - AAthens Christian116119474,640525,241
8 - ARiverside Military Academy191995,904904,077
8 - AProvidence Christian--34,230965,770
8 - ALakeview Academy111,466998,533

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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