The Maxwell Ratings will rank the Georgia High School Association’s 422 teams throughout the 2019 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.

» MORE: GHSA football playoff schedule, brackets

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season’s games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.

The current total weight of all team’s historical performance is 0.07%.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 2,111 of 2,289 total games including 1 tie(s) (92.25%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within 13.69 points.

The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team's opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Home Advantage: 1.04

By Class

AAAAAAA AAAAAA
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Lowndes14-192.611Harrison15-084.71
2Marietta13-288.182Dacula13-176.66
3North Gwinnett12-285.393Valdosta10-370.88
4Colquitt County9-382.744Lee County11-268.67
5McEachern12-182.215Allatoona11-3-167.78
6Grayson11-281.096Coffee9-463.07
7Parkview12-280.847Johns Creek10-259.65
8Mill Creek10-375.408Richmond Hill9-458.05
9Archer9-472.609Houston County7-656.62
10Camden County7-369.8810Lanier10-255.56
11Milton8-468.2911Dalton7-454.00
12Collins Hill6-564.2012Glynn Academy6-553.97
13North Cobb7-461.6513Mays10-252.71
14Hillgrove7-461.2614Stephenson10-251.03
15Newton7-461.2415Brunswick6-648.47
AAAAA AAAA
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Buford14-176.521Blessed Trinity14-173.60
2Warner Robins13-272.732Woodward Academy13-170.22
3Carrollton12-169.273Cartersville12-168.61
4Ware County8-463.074Oconee County13-266.86
5Rome9-361.195Marist11-266.82
6Dutchtown11-260.226Sandy Creek12-264.25
7Jones County12-259.997West Laurens11-260.86
8Veterans9-357.618Denmark7-357.47
9Bainbridge7-457.219Flowery Branch7-456.26
10Griffin11-256.3210Carver (Columbus)10-252.29
11Clarke Central9-456.0211North Oconee10-249.67
12Wayne County8-354.6412Cairo8-349.50
13Starr's Mill10-452.8313Burke County8-348.20
14Kell9-352.1714Troup6-547.13
15Statesboro5-549.9315Cedartown5-645.69
AAA AA
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Cedar Grove13-272.151Dublin14-161.62
2Peach County11-262.422Hapeville Charter10-2-157.76
3Crisp County11-460.263Brooks County10-553.61
4Jefferson10-260.214Callaway12-253.37
5Jenkins12-256.575Rabun County12-152.13
6Greater Atlanta Christian12-256.436Thomasville9-549.72
7Pierce County11-155.147Rockmart11-147.96
8Hart County10-350.378Fitzgerald8-445.62
9Appling County9-347.499Washington County7-443.28
10North Murray11-247.1810Bleckley County7-440.93
11Westminster (Atlanta)6-546.3411Douglass11-239.24
12Dawson County8-444.3212Swainsboro8-439.08
13Benedictine8-443.3013Northeast5-537.38
14North Hall8-443.2814Dodge County4-737.26
15Lovett7-442.7915Bremen8-436.85
A - Public A - Private
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Irwin County13-069.131Eagle's Landing Christian13-175.86
2Clinch County11-253.052Holy Innocents12-169.83
3Mitchell County10-237.673Athens Academy11-163.15
4Pelham11-237.274Wesleyan12-356.54
5Marion County11-336.625Prince Avenue Christian9-349.27
6Wilcox County9-336.056Fellowship Christian12-149.18
7Commerce9-333.567Hebron Christian8-542.80
8Manchester10-332.878Darlington9-238.57
9Lincoln County9-332.699Christian Heritage9-237.41
10Bowdon8-328.0410Savannah Christian8-434.91
11Johnson County8-326.1311Savannah Country Day10-133.88
12Schley County7-522.9312Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)7-432.30
13Turner County7-522.8413Mount de Sales10-131.48
14Warren County8-522.4814Mount Vernon Presbyterian5-631.20
15McIntosh County Academy5-620.4915Whitefield Academy7-430.87

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

Rank Team Region Rec Rating SchStr Rank
1 [1]Lowndes1 - AAAAAAA14-192.6168.623 [3]
2 [2]Marietta3 - AAAAAAA13-288.1868.672 [2]
3 [3]North Gwinnett6 - AAAAAAA12-285.3956.7812 [11]
4 [1]Harrison6 - AAAAAA15-084.7143.8582 [16]
5 [4]Colquitt County1 - AAAAAAA9-382.7469.621 [1]
6 [5]McEachern3 - AAAAAAA12-182.2155.6915 [13]
7 [6]Grayson8 - AAAAAAA11-281.0959.717 [7]
8 [7]Parkview7 - AAAAAAA12-280.8452.9718 [14]
9 [2]Dacula8 - AAAAAA13-176.6647.7648 [10]
10 [1]Buford8 - AAAAA14-176.5251.9528 [5]
11 [1]Eagle's Landing Christian5 - A13-175.8639.93118 [1]
12 [8]Mill Creek6 - AAAAAAA10-375.4059.058 [8]
13 [1]Blessed Trinity7 - AAAA14-173.6050.7833 [1]
14 [2]Warner Robins1 - AAAAA13-272.7352.4823 [2]
15 [9]Archer8 - AAAAAAA9-472.6060.986 [6]
16 [1]Cedar Grove5 - AAA13-272.1542.8692 [2]
17 [3]Valdosta1 - AAAAAA10-370.8856.0414 [2]
18 [2]Woodward Academy4 - AAAA13-170.2226.76244 [39]
19 [10]Camden County1 - AAAAAAA7-369.8864.005 [5]
20 [2]Holy Innocents5 - A12-169.8325.71252 [11]
21 [3]Carrollton7 - AAAAA12-169.2738.93128 [25]
22 [1]Irwin County2 - A13-069.1324.98257 [3]
23 [4]Lee County1 - AAAAAA11-268.6747.9246 [8]
24 [3]Cartersville5 - AAAA12-168.6145.1170 [9]
25 [11]Milton5 - AAAAAAA8-468.2949.5739 [26]
26 [5]Allatoona6 - AAAAAA11-3-167.7850.8332 [6]
27 [4]Oconee County8 - AAAA13-266.8644.8572 [10]
28 [5]Marist7 - AAAA11-266.8247.2055 [3]
29 [6]Sandy Creek5 - AAAA12-264.2540.92111 [18]
30 [12]Collins Hill6 - AAAAAAA6-564.2058.249 [9]
31 [3]Athens Academy8 - A11-163.1527.31239 [8]
32 [6]Coffee1 - AAAAAA9-463.0751.2031 [5]
33 [4]Ware County2 - AAAAA8-463.0753.7417 [1]
34 [2]Peach County4 - AAA11-262.4234.32169 [8]
35 [13]North Cobb3 - AAAAAAA7-461.6551.4029 [20]
36 [1]Dublin3 - AA14-161.6238.54134 [4]
37 [14]Hillgrove3 - AAAAAAA7-461.2649.9235 [23]
38 [15]Newton8 - AAAAAAA7-461.2452.5722 [18]
39 [5]Rome7 - AAAAA9-361.1933.94174 [34]
40 [7]West Laurens2 - AAAA11-260.8639.91119 [23]
41 [3]Crisp County1 - AAA11-460.2646.7558 [1]
42 [6]Dutchtown4 - AAAAA11-260.2243.2985 [15]
43 [4]Jefferson8 - AAA10-260.2133.83176 [11]
44 [7]Jones County4 - AAAAA12-259.9944.9571 [13]
45 [7]Johns Creek7 - AAAAAA10-259.6532.92184 [44]
46 [8]Richmond Hill2 - AAAAAA9-458.0546.1664 [12]
47 [2]Hapeville Charter6 - AA10-2-157.7624.83260 [19]
48 [16]Roswell4 - AAAAAAA8-357.7441.34106 [44]
49 [8]Veterans1 - AAAAA9-357.6149.0240 [7]
50 [8]Denmark7 - AAAA7-357.4740.79113 [20]
51 [17]East Coweta2 - AAAAAAA6-657.3357.7010 [10]
52 [9]Bainbridge1 - AAAAA7-457.2152.1625 [4]
53 [9]Houston County1 - AAAAAA7-656.6254.7516 [3]
54 [5]Jenkins3 - AAA12-256.5729.28224 [24]
55 [4]Wesleyan5 - A12-356.5432.75187 [4]
56 [18]Tift County1 - AAAAAAA3-756.5066.874 [4]
57 [6]Greater Atlanta Christian7 - AAA12-256.4336.39154 [6]
58 [10]Griffin3 - AAAAA11-256.3238.69131 [26]
59 [9]Flowery Branch7 - AAAA7-456.2646.2562 [5]
60 [19]Norcross7 - AAAAAAA6-656.0452.9020 [16]
61 [11]Clarke Central8 - AAAAA9-456.0246.2063 [12]
62 [10]Lanier8 - AAAAAA10-255.5641.66103 [18]
63 [20]Shiloh8 - AAAAAAA7-455.2444.2878 [36]
64 [7]Pierce County2 - AAA11-155.1425.94249 [36]
65 [12]Wayne County2 - AAAAA8-354.6446.5260 [11]
66 [11]Dalton6 - AAAAAA7-454.0036.93146 [37]
67 [21]Cherokee4 - AAAAAAA8-454.0046.4561 [34]
68 [12]Glynn Academy2 - AAAAAA6-553.9748.9341 [7]
69 [3]Brooks County1 - AA10-553.6144.6473 [1]
70 [4]Callaway5 - AA12-253.3724.51264 [20]
71 [2]Clinch County2 - A11-253.0526.36245 [2]
72 [13]Starr's Mill3 - AAAAA10-452.8341.92102 [20]
73 [13]Mays5 - AAAAAA10-252.7137.69140 [33]
74 [22]Mountain View6 - AAAAAAA5-652.6556.3913 [12]
75 [10]Carver (Columbus)1 - AAAA10-252.2930.02215 [34]
76 [14]Kell7 - AAAAA9-352.1735.63157 [31]
77 [5]Rabun County8 - AA12-152.1321.85290 [25]
78 [23]North Paulding3 - AAAAAAA6-551.6548.7642 [27]
79 [14]Stephenson4 - AAAAAA10-251.0332.48189 [46]
80 [24]Walton4 - AAAAAAA6-650.9951.3830 [21]
81 [8]Hart County8 - AAA10-350.3732.84185 [14]
82 [15]Statesboro2 - AAAAA5-549.9349.7137 [6]
83 [25]South Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA6-549.9349.8136 [24]
84 [6]Thomasville1 - AA9-549.7244.5175 [2]
85 [11]North Oconee8 - AAAA10-249.6729.67218 [35]
86 [12]Cairo1 - AAAA8-349.5035.29161 [29]
87 [26]Westlake2 - AAAAAAA6-549.4448.0445 [30]
88 [5]Prince Avenue Christian8 - A9-349.2721.70293 [18]
89 [6]Fellowship Christian6 - A12-149.1821.34298 [21]
90 [16]South Effingham2 - AAAAA6-548.6947.4753 [9]
91 [15]Brunswick2 - AAAAAA6-648.4745.3269 [13]
92 [17]Stockbridge4 - AAAAA8-348.4537.82138 [28]
93 [13]Burke County3 - AAAA8-348.2035.89156 [28]
94 [7]Rockmart7 - AA11-147.9617.49348 [37]
95 [27]South Gwinnett8 - AAAAAAA4-647.8552.0027 [19]
96 [18]Ola4 - AAAAA7-447.5041.14108 [22]
97 [9]Appling County2 - AAA9-347.4929.81216 [22]
98 [16]Sprayberry6 - AAAAAA6-547.3644.4576 [14]
99 [17]Northside (Warner Robins)1 - AAAAAA3-747.3057.4511 [1]
100 [10]North Murray6 - AAA11-247.1824.84259 [39]
101 [14]Troup5 - AAAA6-547.1344.3577 [12]
102 [18]Creekside5 - AAAAAA7-546.8341.03110 [21]
103 [19]South Paulding5 - AAAAAA9-346.7937.96137 [32]
104 [19]Union Grove4 - AAAAA7-346.5329.10226 [42]
105 [11]Westminster (Atlanta)5 - AAA6-546.3442.6794 [3]
106 [20]Cedar Shoals8 - AAAAA8-446.1036.61151 [30]
107 [28]Etowah4 - AAAAAAA5-646.0847.5152 [32]
108 [29]West Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA4-645.9148.5443 [28]
109 [15]Cedartown5 - AAAA5-645.6944.5574 [11]
110 [30]North Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA7-545.6842.6095 [42]
111 [8]Fitzgerald1 - AA8-445.6235.04164 [9]
112 [31]Newnan2 - AAAAAAA6-545.1543.0289 [39]
113 [20]Gainesville8 - AAAAAA5-644.9947.0456 [11]
114 [21]Creekview6 - AAAAAA6-444.7339.51120 [23]
115 [16]Thomson3 - AAAA6-644.3242.31100 [16]
116 [12]Dawson County7 - AAA8-444.3231.56199 [17]
117 [17]Chapel Hill5 - AAAA5-544.2645.5567 [7]
118 [18]Baldwin3 - AAAA5-743.8547.0457 [4]
119 [22]Alexander5 - AAAAAA6-543.5138.93127 [27]
120 [19]Perry2 - AAAA7-543.3439.41122 [24]
121 [13]Benedictine3 - AAA8-443.3027.38238 [30]
122 [14]North Hall7 - AAA8-443.2833.14182 [13]
123 [9]Washington County3 - AA7-443.2837.03145 [5]
124 [21]Riverdale3 - AAAAA7-443.2230.99205 [38]
125 [32]Brookwood7 - AAAAAAA5-642.8342.9090 [40]
126 [7]Hebron Christian8 - A8-542.8033.56178 [3]
127 [15]Lovett5 - AAA7-442.7936.68150 [5]
128 [23]Alpharetta7 - AAAAAA7-442.7836.53153 [38]
129 [16]Calhoun6 - AAA10-242.5320.74306 [49]
130 [22]Thomas County Central1 - AAAAA5-542.0742.4497 [19]
131 [24]Tucker4 - AAAAAA6-541.9638.72129 [28]
132 [23]Hiram7 - AAAAA6-641.7243.0788 [16]
133 [24]Harris County1 - AAAAA5-641.5247.2454 [10]
134 [25]Sequoyah6 - AAAAAA5-541.4540.78114 [22]
135 [20]St. Pius X8 - AAAA6-641.2643.7583 [13]
136 [25]New Hampstead2 - AAAAA3-741.1852.3824 [3]
137 [10]Bleckley County3 - AA7-440.9334.58167 [10]
138 [26]Riverwood6 - AAAAA11-140.7521.79292 [48]
139 [26]Winder-Barrow8 - AAAAAA3-840.1852.0326 [4]
140 [27]Southwest DeKalb5 - AAAAA9-240.1519.16327 [53]
141 [21]Americus-Sumter1 - AAAA6-640.0340.83112 [19]
142 [33]Woodstock4 - AAAAAAA3-739.5847.5451 [31]
143 [17]Islands3 - AAA8-239.4219.98313 [50]
144 [34]Rockdale County8 - AAAAAAA4-639.3949.7138 [25]
145 [11]Douglass6 - AA11-239.2412.87377 [45]
146 [22]White County7 - AAAA5-539.1438.71130 [26]
147 [12]Swainsboro2 - AA8-439.0829.47221 [15]
148 [23]Mary Persons2 - AAAA6-639.0640.40116 [21]
149 [18]Liberty County2 - AAA6-338.9727.23241 [32]
150 [28]Jonesboro3 - AAAAA5-638.9342.5296 [18]
151 [35]Wheeler2 - AAAAAAA5-638.7642.7693 [41]
152 [27]Morrow4 - AAAAAA6-538.6836.04155 [39]
153 [8]Darlington6 - A9-238.5722.18286 [15]
154 [28]Evans3 - AAAAAA7-338.2530.11213 [54]
155 [19]Monroe Area8 - AAA7-437.7030.34209 [21]
156 [3]Mitchell County1 - A10-237.67-1.04413 [45]
157 [20]Jackson4 - AAA8-437.6327.31240 [31]
158 [24]Upson-Lee2 - AAAA4-737.6045.3868 [8]
159 [9]Christian Heritage6 - A9-237.4119.24325 [25]
160 [13]Northeast3 - AA5-537.3835.60158 [8]
161 [4]Pelham1 - A11-237.273.08406 [39]
162 [14]Dodge County3 - AA4-737.2642.3598 [3]
163 [15]Bremen5 - AA8-436.8524.85258 [18]
164 [5]Marion County4 - A11-336.6221.26299 [9]
165 [16]Metter2 - AA10-336.6022.29282 [23]
166 [25]Howard2 - AAAA5-536.4736.78149 [27]
167 [29]Lovejoy4 - AAAAAA6-436.3430.26210 [53]
168 [30]Douglas County5 - AAAAAA5-536.1937.22143 [36]
169 [21]Pace Academy5 - AAA5-536.1537.77139 [4]
170 [6]Wilcox County2 - A9-336.0514.06369 [27]
171 [26]Madison County8 - AAAA6-735.7439.30124 [25]
172 [27]Westover1 - AAAA6-435.3129.11225 [36]
173 [31]Northview7 - AAAAAA6-535.1132.00195 [50]
174 [10]Savannah Christian3 - A8-434.9121.84291 [17]
175 [32]M.L. King4 - AAAAAA7-434.7729.55220 [56]
176 [33]North Atlanta7 - AAAAAA7-434.7528.58229 [57]
177 [17]Toombs County2 - AA8-334.4919.19326 [29]
178 [22]Morgan County8 - AAA7-434.3929.03227 [25]
179 [18]Pepperell7 - AA9-334.2017.71345 [35]
180 [19]Union County8 - AA10-234.0812.80379 [47]
181 [11]Savannah Country Day3 - A10-133.8816.64351 [31]
182 [23]Westside (Macon)4 - AAA6-533.7131.30202 [19]
183 [36]Peachtree Ridge6 - AAAAAAA3-733.6748.2344 [29]
184 [28]Hardaway1 - AAAA7-433.6128.21234 [37]
185 [7]Commerce8 - A9-333.5613.71374 [30]
186 [20]Jefferson County4 - AA9-333.4116.49353 [40]
187 [37]Central Gwinnett7 - AAAAAAA3-833.1750.1234 [22]
188 [8]Manchester4 - A10-332.8716.03355 [20]
189 [9]Lincoln County7 - A9-332.6916.15354 [19]
190 [29]Columbia5 - AAAAA5-632.6729.30223 [41]
191 [29]Eastside4 - AAAA7-432.5921.05302 [45]
192 [30]Loganville8 - AAAAA3-832.5340.49115 [23]
193 [34]Lakeside (Evans)3 - AAAAAA7-332.5328.28233 [58]
194 [30]Central (Carrollton)5 - AAAA3-732.4941.35105 [17]
195 [12]Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)5 - A7-432.3025.92250 [10]
196 [31]Shaw1 - AAAA6-432.2128.03235 [38]
197 [31]East Paulding7 - AAAAA4-632.0239.27125 [24]
198 [13]Mount de Sales7 - A10-131.489.50397 [35]
199 [14]Mount Vernon Presbyterian5 - A5-631.2031.22203 [6]
200 [35]Cambridge7 - AAAAAA4-631.0733.96173 [43]
201 [15]Whitefield Academy6 - A7-430.8722.28283 [14]
202 [36]Pope7 - AAAAAA5-530.6832.16192 [48]
203 [37]Heritage (Conyers)3 - AAAAAA5-630.6132.62188 [45]
204 [38]Habersham Central8 - AAAAAA3-730.5539.35123 [25]
205 [32]Carver (Atlanta)6 - AAAAA7-430.1822.26284 [47]
206 [39]Mundy's Mill4 - AAAAAA5-530.1330.61207 [52]
207 [33]Eagle's Landing4 - AAAAA2-830.0742.8891 [17]
208 [38]Pebblebrook2 - AAAAAAA3-729.9242.3199 [43]
209 [16]North Cobb Christian6 - A8-429.8521.54296 [20]
210 [40]Bradwell Institute2 - AAAAAA3-729.6941.21107 [19]
211 [41]Northgate5 - AAAAAA3-729.6539.08126 [26]
212 [24]Haralson County6 - AAA8-329.4615.32362 [55]
213 [21]Early County1 - AA5-629.3330.24211 [13]
214 [22]Vidalia2 - AA7-429.3222.53278 [22]
215 [23]Southwest3 - AA4-629.1136.58152 [7]
216 [42]Apalachee8 - AAAAAA3-729.0539.44121 [24]
217 [39]Forsyth Central5 - AAAAAAA4-528.9226.30246 [47]
218 [25]Fannin County7 - AAA6-528.5927.95236 [29]
219 [24]Jeff Davis2 - AA7-328.2216.74350 [38]
220 [43]Effingham County2 - AAAAAA2-828.0444.0980 [15]
221 [10]Bowdon6 - A8-328.0422.75276 [6]
222 [44]Mount Zion (Jonesboro)4 - AAAAAA3-727.7735.19162 [40]
223 [17]St. Francis6 - A7-527.7722.15287 [16]
224 [45]Grovetown3 - AAAAAA4-627.7032.31190 [47]
225 [34]Locust Grove4 - AAAAA1-827.5447.5750 [8]
226 [35]Decatur6 - AAAAA7-427.2819.52322 [52]
227 [25]Elbert County8 - AA6-527.2122.14288 [24]
228 [36]Whitewater3 - AAAAA2-827.0744.0581 [14]
229 [40]Discovery6 - AAAAAAA2-826.6152.9219 [15]
230 [32]Ridgeland6 - AAAA6-526.5324.54263 [40]
231 [18]George Walton Academy8 - A6-526.5218.25336 [28]
232 [37]Cass7 - AAAAA4-626.2033.48179 [35]
233 [11]Johnson County3 - A8-326.1310.12394 [34]
234 [46]Hughes5 - AAAAAA2-825.8341.13109 [20]
235 [33]Heritage (Ringgold)6 - AAAA8-325.6718.03340 [50]
236 [26]Beach3 - AAA5-425.4822.47279 [45]
237 [34]LaGrange5 - AAAA2-825.2743.1287 [15]
238 [35]Northwest Whitfield6 - AAAA7-425.2119.97314 [49]
239 [47]River Ridge6 - AAAAAA3-725.1442.30101 [17]
240 [36]Pickens6 - AAAA6-525.0821.43297 [44]
241 [37]Stephens County8 - AAAA1-924.7045.6466 [6]
242 [27]Cook1 - AAA4-824.6633.58177 [12]
243 [19]Brookstone4 - A7-524.1619.04328 [26]
244 [26]Heard County5 - AA4-724.1630.05214 [14]
245 [48]Chattahoochee7 - AAAAAA3-724.0031.74196 [51]
246 [27]South Atlanta6 - AA7-423.6313.09376 [44]
247 [20]Mount Paran Christian6 - A7-523.5519.67320 [24]
248 [38]Paulding County7 - AAAAA3-723.1637.19144 [29]
249 [28]Sonoraville6 - AAA5-622.9623.33273 [43]
250 [12]Schley County4 - A7-522.9314.25365 [25]
251 [13]Turner County2 - A7-522.8421.63294 [8]
252 [49]New Manchester5 - AAAAAA2-822.8234.57168 [42]
253 [28]Harlem4 - AA7-422.6212.09380 [48]
254 [14]Warren County7 - A8-522.4814.18366 [26]
255 [38]Chestatee7 - AAAA2-822.2743.5384 [14]
256 [21]First Presbyterian7 - A5-622.0121.63295 [19]
257 [22]Aquinas7 - A7-421.9713.67375 [33]
258 [39]McIntosh3 - AAAAA3-721.9232.75186 [36]
259 [29]Monroe1 - AAA4-721.8431.50200 [18]
260 [30]Central (Macon)4 - AAA3-821.8134.30170 [9]
261 [40]Lithonia5 - AAAAA6-521.5521.15300 [49]
262 [41]Meadowcreek7 - AAAAAAA3-721.2136.90147 [45]
263 [31]Cherokee Bluff7 - AAA3-721.1735.47159 [7]
264 [42]Lassiter4 - AAAAAAA1-920.7546.5259 [33]
265 [15]McIntosh County Academy3 - A5-620.4920.36308 [11]
266 [23]Calvary Day3 - A6-520.3920.05312 [23]
267 [39]Richmond Academy3 - AAAA4-620.2532.92183 [33]
268 [50]Alcovy3 - AAAAAA2-820.2435.10163 [41]
269 [51]Dunwoody7 - AAAAAA3-720.1632.02194 [49]
270 [41]Banneker6 - AAAAA4-620.0524.48265 [45]
271 [32]Windsor Forest3 - AAA5-620.0119.88317 [51]
272 [42]Maynard Jackson6 - AAAAA5-519.7819.96315 [50]
273 [16]Emanuel County Institute3 - A6-619.7617.76344 [16]
274 [52]Greenbrier3 - AAAAAA2-919.7237.66141 [34]
275 [29]Hephzibah4 - AA7-319.667.56401 [59]
276 [40]Dougherty1 - AAAA2-819.2935.00165 [30]
277 [30]Temple5 - AA6-518.9217.70346 [36]
278 [43]Villa Rica7 - AAAAA2-818.5934.87166 [32]
279 [33]Adairsville6 - AAA5-617.7022.32281 [46]
280 [31]Screven County4 - AA7-417.6911.13385 [50]
281 [32]B.E.S.T. Academy6 - AA4-717.2727.77237 [16]
282 [34]Brantley County2 - AAA5-617.1322.23285 [47]
283 [17]Washington-Wilkes7 - A6-517.0215.89358 [22]
284 [35]Stone Mountain5 - AAA3-716.6826.04248 [35]
285 [44]Fayette County3 - AAAAA2-816.5630.88206 [39]
286 [36]Jackson County8 - AAA3-716.4628.49232 [28]
287 [24]Stratford Academy7 - A4-716.3923.51272 [12]
288 [18]Macon County4 - A6-516.3213.81372 [28]
289 [19]Telfair County2 - A4-616.2419.88316 [12]
290 [41]Hampton4 - AAAA5-615.9120.36309 [48]
291 [33]Model7 - AA5-615.8816.52352 [39]
292 [37]Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe6 - AAA4-615.7719.43324 [53]
293 [34]Lamar County5 - AA6-415.5011.09386 [52]
294 [20]Claxton3 - A6-515.4413.72373 [29]
295 [35]Chattooga7 - AA5-615.3219.67319 [28]
296 [43]Lambert5 - AAAAAAA0-1015.2543.2886 [38]
297 [25]Tattnall Square7 - A5-515.2018.10338 [29]
298 [45]Grady6 - AAAAA3-715.1825.28255 [44]
299 [38]Franklin County8 - AAA2-815.0331.66198 [16]
300 [42]Spalding2 - AAAA1-914.8540.21117 [22]
301 [21]Dooly County4 - A4-614.7719.81318 [13]
302 [39]Southeast Bulloch3 - AAA4-714.7321.06301 [48]
303 [44]Kennesaw Mountain3 - AAAAAAA0-1014.6952.8721 [17]
304 [36]Washington6 - AA4-614.0118.01341 [34]
305 [43]Luella4 - AAAA4-713.8623.90268 [42]
306 [46]Woodland (Stockbridge)4 - AAAAA1-913.8441.49104 [21]
307 [40]Worth County1 - AAA2-813.3331.04204 [20]
308 [26]Walker6 - A4-613.1020.33310 [22]
309 [44]LaFayette6 - AAAA3-712.4220.53307 [47]
310 [22]Trion6 - A5-612.1316.87349 [18]
311 [47]Lithia Springs6 - AAAAA4-712.0319.65321 [51]
312 [23]Gordon Lee6 - A4-611.7017.64347 [17]
313 [48]Arabia Mountain5 - AAAAA2-911.6834.01171 [33]
314 [24]Hancock Central7 - A5-511.4710.50390 [33]
315 [37]Berrien1 - AA2-811.4733.36180 [11]
316 [38]Spencer5 - AA3-711.3222.74277 [21]
317 [25]Chattahoochee County1 - A7-511.281.07411 [43]
318 [41]Pike County4 - AAA4-611.1715.75359 [54]
319 [39]Putnam County8 - AA5-610.8218.78331 [31]
320 [26]Lanier County2 - A3-710.6623.68270 [5]
321 [53]South Cobb6 - AAAAAA1-910.4647.8947 [9]
322 [45]Campbell2 - AAAAAAA0-1010.4445.7565 [35]
323 [27]Atkinson County2 - A3-710.4220.98304 [10]
324 [40]Monticello8 - AA3-710.3621.00303 [26]
325 [42]East Hall7 - AAA2-810.2831.74197 [15]
326 [27]Mount Pisgah Christian6 - A3-710.2723.12275 [13]
327 [45]Northside (Columbus)1 - AAAA1-99.9333.21181 [32]
328 [28]Taylor County4 - A5-69.7014.91364 [24]
329 [46]Gilmer6 - AAAA4-69.5714.07367 [53]
330 [47]Columbus1 - AAAA1-99.0733.92175 [31]
331 [29]Terrell County1 - A7-48.96-4.72416 [48]
332 [28]Athens Christian8 - A4-68.6218.69332 [27]
333 [41]Therrell6 - AA3-78.3718.21337 [33]
334 [43]East Jackson8 - AAA3-78.1324.57262 [41]
335 [54]Centennial7 - AAAAAA0-107.9337.58142 [35]
336 [48]McDonough4 - AAAA4-67.7717.95342 [51]
337 [30]Montgomery County3 - A5-57.479.72395 [35]
338 [49]Woodland (Cartersville)7 - AAAAA1-96.8032.03193 [37]
339 [46]Duluth6 - AAAAAAA1-96.5544.2579 [37]
340 [55]Tri-Cities5 - AAAAAA0-106.5238.30135 [30]
341 [44]Redan5 - AAA3-76.4426.29247 [34]
342 [45]Murray County6 - AAA4-66.0214.04370 [56]
343 [29]Riverside Military Academy8 - A5-55.654.48405 [37]
344 [56]Drew4 - AAAAAA1-94.7637.99136 [31]
345 [42]Gordon Central7 - AA3-74.7415.74360 [41]
346 [31]Wilkinson County7 - A2-84.4622.36280 [7]
347 [46]Rutland4 - AAA2-84.4328.53230 [27]
348 [30]Pacelli4 - A5-54.406.57404 [36]
349 [43]East Laurens3 - AA1-94.2936.80148 [6]
350 [47]Berkmar7 - AAAAAAA4-64.1418.54333 [48]
351 [50]Johnson (Gainesville)8 - AAAAA4-63.9015.91357 [54]
352 [44]Laney4 - AA4-63.8211.59383 [49]
353 [31]Strong Rock Christian5 - A2-83.7335.38160 [2]
354 [47]Lumpkin County7 - AAA1-92.8527.06243 [33]
355 [32]Pinecrest Academy6 - A2-82.7618.09339 [30]
356 [45]Banks County8 - AA3-72.6813.97371 [43]
357 [32]Greenville4 - A4-62.647.70400 [36]
358 [48]Johnson (Savannah)3 - AAA2-82.5324.67261 [40]
359 [46]Westside (Augusta)4 - AA3-72.219.68396 [56]
360 [33]Lakeview Academy8 - A2-72.1927.07242 [9]
361 [49]Salem4 - AAAA2-82.1520.88305 [46]
362 [51]Chamblee5 - AAAAA1-81.5923.61271 [46]
363 [52]Miller Grove5 - AAAAA0-101.4430.38208 [40]
364 [49]Tattnall County2 - AAA1-91.0329.60219 [23]
365 [33]Jenkins County3 - A3-70.9111.88381 [31]
366 [47]Glenn Hills4 - AA4-60.7610.73388 [53]
367 [50]North Clayton4 - AAAA2-80.4321.90289 [43]
368 [53]Walnut Grove8 - AAAAA0-10-0.6438.66132 [27]
369 [34]Landmark Christian5 - A2-8-1.2128.53231 [7]
370 [51]Cross Creek3 - AAAA2-8-1.2524.36266 [41]
371 [48]Bacon County2 - AA1-9-1.5730.24212 [13]
372 [54]North Springs6 - AAAAA1-9-1.7025.77251 [43]
373 [34]Charlton County2 - A1-9-1.7229.40222 [1]
374 [50]Coahulla Creek6 - AAA2-8-1.7819.49323 [52]
375 [57]Forest Park4 - AAAAAA1-9-2.4729.76217 [55]
376 [49]Butler4 - AA2-8-2.758.87399 [58]
377 [35]Treutlen3 - A4-6-3.511.78408 [41]
378 [50]KIPP Atlanta Collegiate6 - AA2-8-3.5718.79330 [30]
379 [36]Mount Zion (Carroll)6 - A1-9-3.7819.02329 [14]
380 [52]West Hall7 - AAAA0-10-5.3747.6249 [2]
381 [51]Kendrick4 - AAA1-9-5.5124.35267 [42]
382 [52]Ringgold6 - AAA0-10-5.5525.45253 [37]
383 [51]Dade County7 - AA2-8-6.5811.09387 [52]
384 [53]Long County2 - AAA1-9-6.7433.97172 [10]
385 [52]Jordan5 - AA0-10-6.7520.28311 [27]
386 [37]Greene County7 - A1-9-7.0518.31334 [15]
387 [53]Southeast Whitfield6 - AAAA0-10-7.4517.86343 [52]
388 [38]Hawkinsville4 - A2-8-7.7311.77382 [32]
389 [54]Druid Hills4 - AAAA2-8-8.2210.28391 [54]
390 [39]Seminole County1 - A5-6-8.702.18407 [40]
391 [54]Savannah3 - AAA1-9-10.2623.24274 [44]
392 [58]Osborne6 - AAAAAA0-10-11.4038.62133 [29]
393 [40]Central (Talbotton)4 - A2-8-12.337.51402 [37]
394 [53]Oglethorpe County8 - AA2-8-12.4010.25392 [54]
395 [48]Lakeside (Atlanta)7 - AAAAAAA0-10-12.4332.20191 [46]
396 [41]Twiggs County7 - A1-9-13.2515.59361 [23]
397 [42]Crawford County4 - A2-8-13.301.65409 [42]
398 [43]Miller County1 - A4-6-13.99-3.34415 [47]
399 [44]Portal3 - A1-9-14.2815.99356 [21]
400 [54]Coosa7 - AA1-9-15.8212.84378 [46]
401 [35]King's Ridge Christian6 - A1-9-18.2914.97363 [32]
402 [55]Towers5 - AAA1-9-18.5028.94228 [26]
403 [55]Josey4 - AA0-10-21.8810.14393 [55]
404 [56]Groves3 - AAA0-9-22.6525.06256 [38]
405 [36]Georgia Military College7 - A2-8-25.161.56410 [38]
406 [37]Our Lady of Mercy5 - A0-10-25.5631.34201 [5]
407 [38]Providence Christian8 - A2-8-26.2210.59389 [34]
408 [56]Social Circle8 - AA2-8-26.258.99398 [57]
409 [45]Baconton Charter1 - A4-6-26.73-13.52419 [50]
410 [57]Bryan County2 - AA0-9-29.6525.38254 [17]
411 [58]Armuchee7 - AA0-10-30.6314.06368 [42]
412 [55]Clarkston5 - AAAAA†0-10-33.8011.35384 [55]
413 [59]McNair6 - AA0-10-34.1718.27335 [32]
414 [46]Wheeler County3 - A1-9-36.106.85403 [38]
415 [47]Towns County8 - A0-10-38.5723.85269 [4]
416 [48]Calhoun County1 - A2-8-40.81-1.39414 [46]
417 [1]ACE Charter7 - A†3-5-45.24-15.19420 [1]
418 [2]Glascock County7 - A†2-7-54.75-37.42421 [2]
419 [49]Stewart County1 - A1-9-55.74-10.71417 [49]
420 [50]Randolph-Clay1 - A0-10-61.690.02412 [44]
421 [3]Pataula Charter1 - A†3-7-69.97-47.32422 [3]
422 [56]Cross Keys5 - AAAAA†0-10-88.91-11.02418 [56]
† - Plays a non-region schedule

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the Competitive Rating is the rating required for a new team to that region to have a chance of going undefeated in a round robin schedule among region teams equal to the chance of being selected region champion if picked at random. For example, there are four teams in 1-AAAAAAA, so the chance of a new team being region champion if picked at random is 1 / (4 + 1) = 20%. Therefore the Competitive Rating is the rating required to go undefeated in a round robin tournament among region teams 20% of the time. This rating favors regions with larger numbers of highly rated teams. The “Average Rating” is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank Region Comp Rating Avg Rating
11 - AAAAAAA87.9875.70
23 - AAAAAAA82.6862.67
36 - AAAAAAA77.5850.47
48 - AAAAAAA75.8559.29
56 - AAAAAA72.5042.61
61 - AAAAAA72.0461.54
77 - AAAA69.2648.91
85 - A68.5631.54
91 - AAAAA67.2453.91
107 - AAAAAAA66.5632.12
118 - AAAAAA65.6744.43
128 - AAAAA65.0437.19
135 - AAAA64.5646.51
147 - AAAAA62.1635.65
152 - AAAAA61.7251.43
165 - AAAAAAA60.3242.87
174 - AAAAA60.3142.76
185 - AAA59.1530.71
198 - AAAA58.8642.97
204 - AAAAAAA58.5445.97
212 - AAAAAA56.8644.06
222 - A56.8423.79
232 - AAAAAAA54.4039.83
243 - AA54.2037.28
252 - AAAA54.0238.92
263 - AAAAA53.9736.73
278 - AAA53.0531.18
288 - A52.9218.89
 8-Div A - A54.1527.14
 8-Div B - A35.6411.61
291 - AA52.7939.63
305 - AAAAAA52.7335.33
314 - AAAA51.8512.39
327 - AAAAAA51.1031.43
331 - AAAA50.6231.76
347 - AAA50.2729.73
352 - AAA49.6226.54
364 - AAA49.5522.29
371 - AAA48.7126.77
384 - AAAAAA48.6731.24
393 - AAAA48.0934.02
403 - AAA47.7219.77
416 - AA45.1516.07
426 - A44.9320.35
 6-Div B - A39.8118.03
 6-Div A - A38.8622.86
435 - AA43.2221.16
446 - AAA41.9718.91
452 - AA40.8225.38
468 - AA40.6612.17
473 - AAAAAA39.3028.17
487 - AA37.217.90
496 - AAAAA36.8320.57
503 - A34.9012.90
 3-Div A - A34.6020.54
 3-Div B - A21.764.81
514 - A34.0711.10
 4-Div A - A33.6215.13
 4-Div B - A21.837.97
527 - A33.4713.40
 7-Div B - A28.8513.09
 7-Div A - A27.1313.73
535 - AAAAA33.4217.71
546 - AAAA31.2317.74
551 - A30.50-11.13
564 - AA28.548.73

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date Team Opponent Score Diff Pct Likelihood
10/11Clarke CentralLoganville21- 3822.4690.4%0.126
10/18Dooly CountyCrawford County19- 2027.0393.7%0.136
09/12StephensonMount Zion (Jonesboro)9- 1423.2591.1%0.154
11/08DublinWashington County23- 2719.3887.4%0.203
09/27Richmond HillLiberty County23- 3118.0485.9%0.203
11/08BufordClarke Central28- 3119.4687.5%0.207
09/20Richmond HillNew Hampstead14- 2117.9185.7%0.209
11/01Carver (Atlanta)Lithia Springs14- 1517.1284.7%0.249
11/22DarlingtonMount Paran Christian13- 1616.0583.3%0.253
09/27ThomsonGrovetown12- 1615.5982.6%0.255
09/27Starr's MillJonesboro14- 2113.9080.1%0.268
10/03HamptonNorth Clayton7- 815.4882.5%0.273
11/08Jones CountyStockbridge14- 4410.5074.1%0.274
09/12Schley CountySpencer21- 3511.6176.2%0.282
10/11Warren CountyGeorgia Military College37- 3348.6899.2%0.299

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating Date Team Opponent Score Diff Pct
89.9112/14LowndesMarietta9- 174.4360.9%
87.3512/06LowndesNorth Gwinnett49- 288.2669.5%
84.8711/01LowndesColquitt County28- 1710.9074.8%
83.9910/18MariettaMcEachern12- 147.0166.8%
83.8908/24North GwinnettColquitt County6- 172.6556.6%
83.7409/13MariettaGrayson14- 286.0564.7%
83.6811/29North GwinnettMcEachern32- 132.1555.3%
83.5312/06MariettaParkview42- 316.3065.3%
83.2111/29LowndesGrayson28- 2012.5577.8%
82.9509/06LowndesParkview38- 712.8078.2%
81.7711/22Colquitt CountyParkview21- 400.8652.2%
81.7409/27Colquitt CountyGrayson31- 72.6856.7%
79.4812/06HarrisonDacula38- 77.0166.8%
78.4610/11North GwinnettMill Creek45- 38.9571.0%
77.4611/29MariettaMill Creek42- 1013.8179.9%

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