Daily List: Toughest draws for the No. 1 seeds

The GHSA treats its No. 1 seeds the same in the draw. Each has about the same chance of getting a good draw or a tough one. Using the Maxwell Ratings, here are the No. 1 seeds in each class ranked by the difficulty of their draw. For example, in the highest classification, the average opponent for Region 1 champion Colquitt County through five rounds of the playoffs is rated at 86.42. Grayson's average opponent would be 78.11, about eight points weaker. Coincidentally, No. 1-ranked teams Grayson, Valdosta, Cartersville and Benedictine have the best draws of any No. 1 seed in their class. One reason that better teams get better draws on average is that they don't have to play themselves. See the Maxwell Ratings' playoff projections for draw strength of all playoff teams.

Class AAAAAAA

86.42 - Colquitt County (1)

85.28 - McEachern (3)

84.18 - Mill Creek (6)

84.10 - Lambert (5)

83.91 - Westlake (2)

81.18 - Norcross (7)

78.78 - Roswell (4)

78.11 - Grayson (8)

Class AAAAAA

73.77 - Heritage, Conyers (3)

72.25 - Johns Creek (7)

72.24 - Tucker (4)

71.13 - Mays (5)

70.37 - Dacula (8)

69.60 - Glynn Academy (2)

66.83 - Dalton (6)

64.85 - Valdosta (1)

Class AAAAA

65.12 - Thomas Co. Central (1)

64.57 - Starr's Mill (3)

64.48 - Arabia Mountain (5)

64.35 - Ware County (2)

64.24 - Grady (6)

61.73 - Buford (8)

60.54 - Rome (7)

56.57 - Stockbridge (4)

Class AAAA

66.46 - Cairo (1)

66.02 - Woodward Acad. (4)

65.75 - Ridgeland (6)

65.28 - Blessed Trinity (7)

64.21 - Jefferson (8)

64.06 - Mary Persons (2)

61.10 - Thomson (3)

57.48 - Cartersville (5)

Class AAA

54.76 - Liberty County (2)

54.29 - Jenkins (3)

53.26 - Westminster (5)

52.97 - Morgan County (8)

52.82 - Peach County (4)

51.22 - GAC (7)

51.18 - Calhoun (6)

50.67 - Crisp County (1)

Class AA

57.51 - Pepperell (7)

55.55 - Screven County (4)

53.28 - Callaway (5)

52.47 - Washington County (3)

52.12 - Fitzgerald (1)

51.99 - Hapeville Charter (6)

51.84 - Rabun County (8)

47.25 - Benedictine (2)

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About the Author

Todd Holcomb

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