Maxwell playoff projections heading into Semifinals
Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class.
The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2020 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 iterations.
While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.
Class AAAAAAA
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Rec | Rating | Draw | Depth | Finals | Champ | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grayson | #1 (4 - AAAAAAA) | 12-0 | 101.34 | 95.95 | 4.06 | 633,997.63 | 429,898.00 | 1.33 |
| Lowndes | #2 (1 - AAAAAAA) | 10-1 | 97.50 | 95.37 | 4.03 | 719,541.39 | 311,610.61 | 2.21 |
| Norcross | #1 (7 - AAAAAAA) | 13-0 | 96.89 | 98.45 | 3.57 | 366,002.37 | 203,391.50 | 3.92 |
| Collins Hill | #1 (8 - AAAAAAA) | 11-2 | 88.12 | 97.82 | 3.34 | 280,458.61 | 55,099.89 | 17.15 |
Class AAAAAA
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Rec | Rating | Draw | Depth | Finals | Champ | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee County | #1 (1 - AAAAAA) | 11-1 | 94.32 | 90.90 | 4.01 | 642,031.29 | 364,039.17 | 1.75 |
| Buford | #1 (8 - AAAAAA) | 11-1 | 92.93 | 90.94 | 3.93 | 615,472.61 | 313,118.43 | 2.19 |
| Valdosta | #2 (1 - AAAAAA) | 8-3 | 90.85 | 93.68 | 3.56 | 384,527.39 | 171,579.79 | 4.83 |
| Westlake | #1 (4 - AAAAAA) | 11-1 | 89.59 | 93.26 | 3.51 | 357,968.71 | 151,262.60 | 5.61 |
Class AAAAA
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Rec | Rating | Draw | Depth | Finals | Champ | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warner Robins | #1 (1 - AAAAA) | 10-2 | 93.77 | 81.77 | 4.55 | 919,386.60 | 633,603.42 | 0.58 |
| Cartersville | #2 (7 - AAAAA) | 11-1 | 88.04 | 88.75 | 3.84 | 610,069.47 | 226,897.85 | 3.41 |
| Coffee | #3 (1 - AAAAA) | 10-2 | 86.15 | 91.15 | 3.52 | 389,930.53 | 126,302.92 | 6.92 |
| Jones County | #1 (4 - AAAAA) | 10-3 | 74.05 | 90.80 | 3.09 | 80,613.40 | 13,195.81 | 74.78 |
Class AAAA
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Rec | Rating | Draw | Depth | Finals | Champ | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferson | #1 (8 - AAAA) | 11-0 | 84.63 | 77.04 | 4.31 | 808,943.15 | 504,165.48 | 0.98 |
| Marist | #1 (6 - AAAA) | 11-0 | 82.14 | 80.10 | 3.95 | 639,670.43 | 311,878.14 | 2.21 |
| Bainbridge | #1 (1 - AAAA) | 10-3 | 77.49 | 82.33 | 3.49 | 360,329.57 | 129,273.95 | 6.74 |
| Benedictine | #1 (3 - AAAA) | 9-2 | 72.94 | 82.67 | 3.25 | 191,056.85 | 54,682.42 | 17.29 |
Class AAA
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Rec | Rating | Draw | Depth | Finals | Champ | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oconee County | #1 (8 - AAA) | 11-0 | 85.54 | 80.18 | 4.14 | 709,100.79 | 432,690.94 | 1.31 |
| Crisp County | #2 (2 - AAA) | 11-1 | 83.01 | 82.94 | 3.77 | 518,333.56 | 251,988.62 | 2.97 |
| Pierce County | #1 (1 - AAA) | 11-1 | 80.68 | 82.39 | 3.68 | 481,666.44 | 201,249.99 | 3.97 |
| Greater Atlanta Christian | #1 (5 - AAA) | 11-1 | 78.32 | 83.80 | 3.40 | 290,899.21 | 114,070.45 | 7.77 |
Class AA
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Rec | Rating | Playoffs | Depth | Finals | Champ | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fitzgerald | #1 (1 - AA) | 12-0 | 82.49 | 68.93 | 4.59 | 896,369.78 | 693,187.33 | 0.44 |
| Rabun County | #1 (8 - AA) | 12-1 | 74.23 | 75.33 | 3.90 | 681,980.41 | 215,644.97 | 3.64 |
| Callaway | #1 (5 - AA) | 9-1 | 68.05 | 77.77 | 3.38 | 318,019.59 | 60,601.10 | 15.50 |
| Jefferson County | #1 (4 - AA) | 10-2 | 65.00 | 78.08 | 3.13 | 103,630.22 | 30,566.60 | 31.72 |
Class A Public
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Rec | Rating | Playoffs | Depth | Finals | Champ | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooks County | #2 (2 - A Public) | 12-1 | 75.02 | 65.59 | 4.43 | 865,494.14 | 562,784.56 | 0.78 |
| Irwin County | #1 (2 - A Public) | 10-3 | 70.48 | 71.45 | 3.75 | 532,708.34 | 221,256.88 | 3.52 |
| Metter | #1 (3 - A Public) | 13-0 | 69.42 | 71.95 | 3.65 | 467,291.66 | 180,454.04 | 4.54 |
| Clinch County | #3 (2 - A Public) | 9-3 | 61.67 | 73.66 | 3.17 | 134,505.86 | 35,504.52 | 27.17 |
Class A Private
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Rec | Rating | Playoffs | Depth | Finals | Champ | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prince Avenue Christian | #1 (8 - A Private) | 11-1 | 79.44 | 60.66 | 4.74 | 911,446.31 | 825,279.81 | 0.21 |
| Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg) | #1 (4 - A Private) | 10-2 | 62.48 | 69.32 | 3.84 | 733,833.75 | 109,773.67 | 8.11 |
| Wesleyan | #1 (5 - A Private) | 11-2 | 60.55 | 72.36 | 3.13 | 88,553.69 | 43,644.67 | 21.91 |
| Calvary Day | #2 (3 - A Private) | 8-4 | 56.00 | 72.12 | 3.29 | 266,166.25 | 21,301.84 | 45.94 |
