Maxwell playoff projections heading into Week 6

By Loren Maxwell

Sept 18, 2024

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class in the GHSA.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2024 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 iterations.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Buford	8-AAAAAA	3-1	101.65	999,996	3.86	838,651	619,175	459,157	336,790	1.97
Carrollton	2-AAAAAA	5-0	97.96	999,974	3.68	739,060	681,148	370,398	229,043	3.37
North Gwinnett	7-AAAAAA	4-0	97.40	999,980	3.70	908,886	497,580	312,173	185,105	4.40
Mill Creek	8-AAAAAA	3-1	92.17	999,864	2.66	489,755	300,868	156,086	54,025	17.51
Grayson	4-AAAAAA	3-1	88.98	999,985	3.21	760,818	336,153	155,939	42,998	22.26
Collins Hill	8-AAAAAA	4-0	91.26	999,816	2.54	452,598	271,969	131,636	42,212	22.69
Douglas County	2-AAAAAA	4-1	90.53	999,545	2.46	404,370	316,625	120,458	41,520	23.08
North Cobb	5-AAAAAA	5-0	89.46	999,523	2.24	277,719	194,751	84,888	25,002	39.00
Norcross	7-AAAAAA	3-1	85.43	995,231	2.79	635,273	202,948	68,318	13,877	71.06
Valdosta	1-AAAAAA	5-0	86.12	894,110	1.87	183,325	97,075	31,270	7,407	134.01
Colquitt County	1-AAAAAA	2-2	86.09	896,083	1.86	179,111	95,583	30,664	7,362	134.83
Lowndes	1-AAAAAA	5-0	85.48	891,559	1.82	167,340	87,073	26,727	6,137	161.95
Camden County	1-AAAAAA	5-0	85.52	885,800	1.79	163,995	85,678	26,331	5,903	168.41
McEachern	3-AAAAAA	2-2	78.51	999,263	2.26	364,075	68,776	12,927	1,407	709.73
Walton	5-AAAAAA	3-2	78.83	974,817	1.39	48,046	24,069	3,427	464	2,154.17
Lambert	6-AAAAAA	2-2	74.02	980,043	1.99	343,319	38,345	2,987	271	3,689.04
South Gwinnett	4-AAAAAA	3-1	74.17	996,992	1.93	211,849	23,237	2,592	214	4,671.90
Richmond Hill	1-AAAAAA	4-0	76.49	404,842	0.58	16,356	5,787	685	79	12,657.23
Peachtree Ridge	7-AAAAAA	2-2	70.96	800,124	1.34	124,719	9,681	708	45	22,221.22
West Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	2-2	70.99	838,269	1.20	78,737	6,696	549	34	29,410.76
Newton	4-AAAAAA	1-3	69.70	989,208	1.65	146,481	9,272	531	31	32,257.06
East Coweta	2-AAAAAA	2-2	73.77	971,675	1.07	17,684	4,750	512	30	33,332.33
Westlake	2-AAAAAA	2-3	71.40	966,880	1.03	9,682	2,031	181	11	90,908.09
Hillgrove	3-AAAAAA	4-0	67.46	938,955	1.39	91,627	4,672	204	10	99,999.00
North Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	3-1	67.01	777,220	1.02	52,045	2,844	138	9	111,110.11
Harrison	3-AAAAAA	3-1	66.12	953,509	1.36	76,136	3,400	131	5	199,999.00
North Paulding	5-AAAAAA	3-2	70.79	808,751	0.93	7,045	1,461	105	4	249,999.00
Cherokee	5-AAAAAA	2-2	68.73	681,628	0.77	4,102	743	46	3	333,332.33
North Atlanta	6-AAAAAA	3-1	66.01	666,996	0.84	34,955	1,731	66	1	999,999.00
Parkview	7-AAAAAA	1-3	64.92	486,443	0.68	37,442	1,355	43	1	999,999.00
Brookwood	7-AAAAAA	1-3	65.46	536,534	0.76	44,320	1,693	54	-	-
Denmark	6-AAAAAA	1-3	64.93	674,093	0.83	29,520	1,197	46	-	-
Archer	4-AAAAAA	0-4	61.99	939,181	1.19	33,333	876	16	-	-
Campbell	3-AAAAAA	3-1	62.35	761,997	0.90	20,434	554	6	-	-
Central Gwinnett	8-AAAAAA	3-1	56.23	516,806	0.52	168	23	1	-	-
Duluth	7-AAAAAA	2-2	58.89	179,994	0.22	5,168	88	-	-	-
Marietta	5-AAAAAA	1-4	63.27	426,621	0.45	819	71	-	-	-
Tift County	1-AAAAAA	2-3	62.80	27,606	0.03	63	14	-	-	-
Mountain View	8-AAAAAA	0-4	52.95	254,743	0.26	33	4	-	-	-
Pebblebrook	3-AAAAAA	2-2	52.81	184,236	0.19	520	2	-	-	-
Dacula	8-AAAAAA	1-3	51.50	227,147	0.23	23	2	-	-	-
Paulding County	3-AAAAAA	1-3	50.30	149,878	0.16	241	-	-	-	-
Alpharetta	6-AAAAAA	0-4	53.12	31,113	0.03	51	-	-	-	-
Wheeler	5-AAAAAA	0-5	57.38	105,482	0.11	50	-	-	-	-
South Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	2-2	52.62	29,478	0.03	43	-	-	-	-
Chapel Hill	2-AAAAAA	1-3	47.82	61,926	0.06	5	-	-	-	-
Grovetown	4-AAAAAA	0-4	39.50	40,996	0.04	3	-	-	-	-
Berkmar	7-AAAAAA	1-3	43.59	1,478	0.00	2	-	-	-	-
Heritage (Conyers)	4-AAAAAA	2-2	35.72	17,309	0.02	1	-	-	-	-
Osborne	3-AAAAAA	0-4	40.87	12,141	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Forsyth Central	6-AAAAAA	1-3	45.73	2,788	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Rockdale County	4-AAAAAA	3-1	36.46	16,329	0.02	-	-	-	-	-
Etowah	5-AAAAAA	1-4	47.47	3,178	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Discovery	8-AAAAAA	0-4	29.89	1,628	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Meadowcreek	7-AAAAAA	0-4	36.17	216	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
South Cobb	3-AAAAAA	0-4	25.65	21	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAA	Valdosta	264,028	241,477	215,872	172,733	894,110	105,890
1-AAAAAA	Colquitt County	245,502	237,456	224,133	188,992	896,083	103,917
1-AAAAAA	Lowndes	242,005	236,524	224,625	188,405	891,559	108,441
1-AAAAAA	Camden County	223,923	228,817	230,990	202,070	885,800	114,200
1-AAAAAA	Richmond Hill	24,286	54,631	99,591	226,334	404,842	595,158
1-AAAAAA	Tift County	256	1,095	4,789	21,466	27,606	972,394
2-AAAAAA	Carrollton	675,933	296,341	24,081	3,619	999,974	26
2-AAAAAA	Douglas County	305,810	579,697	95,287	18,751	999,545	455
2-AAAAAA	East Coweta	12,812	78,131	464,113	416,619	971,675	28,325
2-AAAAAA	Westlake	5,443	45,652	412,089	503,696	966,880	33,120
2-AAAAAA	Chapel Hill	2	179	4,430	57,315	61,926	938,074
3-AAAAAA	McEachern	776,422	182,698	35,936	4,207	999,263	737
3-AAAAAA	Hillgrove	114,689	339,367	314,697	170,202	938,955	61,045
3-AAAAAA	Harrison	103,331	337,706	331,583	180,889	953,509	46,491
3-AAAAAA	Campbell	3,970	125,084	249,544	383,399	761,997	238,003
3-AAAAAA	Pebblebrook	803	6,534	35,146	141,753	184,236	815,764
3-AAAAAA	Paulding County	782	8,537	31,946	108,613	149,878	850,122
3-AAAAAA	Osborne	3	74	1,146	10,918	12,141	987,859
3-AAAAAA	South Cobb	-	-	2	19	21	999,979
4-AAAAAA	Grayson	815,415	159,304	21,674	3,592	999,985	15
4-AAAAAA	South Gwinnett	131,244	499,316	266,409	100,023	996,992	3,008
4-AAAAAA	Newton	45,010	252,959	444,026	247,213	989,208	10,792
4-AAAAAA	Archer	8,329	88,111	264,085	578,656	939,181	60,819
4-AAAAAA	Grovetown	1	216	2,357	38,422	40,996	959,004
4-AAAAAA	Heritage (Conyers)	1	44	712	16,552	17,309	982,691
4-AAAAAA	Rockdale County	-	50	737	15,542	16,329	983,671
5-AAAAAA	North Cobb	774,441	204,277	18,219	2,586	999,523	477
5-AAAAAA	Walton	198,692	495,138	206,827	74,160	974,817	25,183
5-AAAAAA	Cherokee	19,593	109,008	247,139	305,888	681,628	318,372
5-AAAAAA	North Paulding	3,726	150,276	373,968	280,781	808,751	191,249
5-AAAAAA	Marietta	3,474	39,910	127,708	255,529	426,621	573,379
5-AAAAAA	Wheeler	74	1,348	25,645	78,415	105,482	894,518
5-AAAAAA	Etowah	-	43	494	2,641	3,178	996,822
6-AAAAAA	Lambert	652,802	200,498	86,210	40,533	980,043	19,957
6-AAAAAA	North Forsyth	114,761	195,083	237,453	229,923	777,220	222,780
6-AAAAAA	North Atlanta	83,466	148,561	197,982	236,987	666,996	333,004
6-AAAAAA	Denmark	81,828	145,365	197,903	248,997	674,093	325,907
6-AAAAAA	West Forsyth	66,492	307,098	266,746	197,933	838,269	161,731
6-AAAAAA	Alpharetta	362	1,765	7,076	21,910	31,113	968,887
6-AAAAAA	South Forsyth	281	1,558	6,207	21,432	29,478	970,522
6-AAAAAA	Forsyth Central	8	72	423	2,285	2,788	997,212
7-AAAAAA	North Gwinnett	830,372	162,212	7,051	345	999,980	20
7-AAAAAA	Norcross	161,112	675,301	138,046	20,772	995,231	4,769
7-AAAAAA	Peachtree Ridge	7,287	107,060	425,563	260,214	800,124	199,876
7-AAAAAA	Parkview	1,066	29,219	181,305	274,853	486,443	513,557
7-AAAAAA	Brookwood	111	25,244	193,696	317,483	536,534	463,466
7-AAAAAA	Duluth	52	962	54,226	124,754	179,994	820,006
7-AAAAAA	Berkmar	-	2	110	1,366	1,478	998,522
7-AAAAAA	Meadowcreek	-	-	3	213	216	999,784
8-AAAAAA	Buford	671,525	238,367	89,586	518	999,996	4
8-AAAAAA	Mill Creek	179,736	379,352	434,727	6,049	999,864	136
8-AAAAAA	Collins Hill	148,722	382,022	462,146	6,926	999,816	184
8-AAAAAA	Central Gwinnett	12	167	7,745	508,882	516,806	483,194
8-AAAAAA	Dacula	3	36	2,549	224,559	227,147	772,853
8-AAAAAA	Mountain View	2	56	3,247	251,438	254,743	745,257
8-AAAAAA	Discovery	-	-	-	1,628	1,628	998,372

Class AAAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Milton	7-AAAAA	4-0	104.96	999,986	4.53	974,821	893,756	672,660	527,252	0.90
Lee County	2-AAAAA	4-0	99.13	998,933	4.23	947,576	836,719	457,305	247,895	3.03
Coffee	2-AAAAA	4-0	94.41	995,123	3.87	889,812	670,696	335,394	110,014	8.09
Thomas County Central	2-AAAAA	5-0	93.21	992,114	3.75	873,145	623,079	282,632	84,673	10.81
Gainesville	7-AAAAA	3-1	86.12	994,111	2.77	602,190	233,826	80,886	11,856	83.35
Hughes	3-AAAAA	3-1	84.52	999,917	2.73	530,071	159,608	58,474	7,283	136.31
Roswell	7-AAAAA	3-1	84.04	988,367	2.59	547,756	180,783	51,154	6,307	157.55
Houston County	2-AAAAA	4-1	80.52	880,050	2.41	619,719	114,022	20,372	2,216	450.26
Rome	5-AAAAA	1-2	79.31	999,767	2.16	160,135	55,583	14,921	1,075	929.23
Woodward Academy	4-AAAAA	1-3	76.03	999,895	2.22	284,844	62,992	10,005	536	1,864.67
Brunswick	1-AAAAA	3-1	75.83	999,692	2.18	195,823	61,578	9,435	492	2,031.52
River Ridge	6-AAAAA	4-1	74.95	985,579	1.87	345,873	38,783	3,424	252	3,967.25
East Paulding	5-AAAAA	3-1	72.25	989,308	1.86	71,736	19,062	1,008	78	12,819.51
Creekview	6-AAAAA	4-1	70.84	861,872	1.25	136,708	11,556	757	31	32,257.06
Sequoyah	6-AAAAA	4-1	70.93	744,949	1.01	88,918	8,295	559	20	49,999.00
Clarke Central	8-AAAAA	2-2	65.75	994,239	1.19	69,410	3,034	151	5	199,999.00
Northside (Warner Robins)	2-AAAAA	2-2	65.42	129,294	0.24	37,770	1,173	58	5	199,999.00
Sprayberry	6-AAAAA	4-1	67.41	745,948	0.94	60,459	3,944	183	4	249,999.00
Newnan	3-AAAAA	3-1	63.99	937,994	1.58	97,913	3,722	111	2	499,999.00
Decatur	4-AAAAA	4-0	63.84	984,434	1.55	40,099	3,065	114	1	999,999.00
Lanier	7-AAAAA	2-2	64.33	446,100	0.62	50,820	1,603	41	1	999,999.00
Pope	6-AAAAA	2-3	60.80	479,295	0.51	5,846	259	6	1	999,999.00
Effingham County	1-AAAAA	1-3	58.58	636,287	0.80	9,860	248	5	1	999,999.00
Dutchtown	3-AAAAA	2-2	65.08	967,038	1.76	138,813	5,417	159	-	-
Seckinger	7-AAAAA	4-0	64.64	495,646	0.69	58,681	2,065	54	-	-
Glynn Academy	1-AAAAA	3-1	61.63	868,189	1.26	35,257	1,263	40	-	-
Lakeside (Evans)	1-AAAAA	4-0	61.74	929,606	1.36	40,557	1,430	39	-	-
Lovejoy	3-AAAAA	1-3	62.08	783,593	1.08	27,500	1,138	35	-	-
Jackson County	8-AAAAA	3-1	59.92	969,594	1.03	17,045	577	9	-	-
Villa Rica	5-AAAAA	2-2	58.01	755,735	0.99	16,126	332	4	-	-
Winder-Barrow	8-AAAAA	2-2	55.31	898,984	0.92	3,656	97	3	-	-
New Manchester	5-AAAAA	4-0	54.67	608,753	0.73	6,268	103	1	-	-
Woodstock	6-AAAAA	4-1	58.47	181,427	0.19	784	32	1	-	-
South Paulding	5-AAAAA	1-3	53.29	447,523	0.52	3,192	49	-	-	-
Evans	1-AAAAA	2-2	56.04	314,407	0.35	1,128	29	-	-	-
Habersham Central	8-AAAAA	2-3	50.91	818,900	0.83	806	27	-	-	-
Shiloh	4-AAAAA	0-4	49.83	570,936	0.63	2,786	26	-	-	-
Chattahoochee	7-AAAAA	4-0	53.18	67,247	0.07	1,188	7	-	-	-
McIntosh	3-AAAAA	2-2	49.23	177,124	0.20	674	7	-	-	-
Lakeside (Atlanta)	4-AAAAA	2-2	46.22	472,426	0.50	1,075	4	-	-	-
Kennesaw Mountain	5-AAAAA	1-3	50.13	109,609	0.12	324	4	-	-	-
Veterans	2-AAAAA	0-4	49.83	4,486	0.01	169	3	-	-	-
Tri-Cities	4-AAAAA	3-0	45.69	507,748	0.54	966	1	-	-	-
Dunwoody	4-AAAAA	1-3	48.43	262,534	0.28	671	1	-	-	-
Banneker	3-AAAAA	2-2	47.14	82,973	0.09	167	1	-	-	-
Alcovy	8-AAAAA	1-3	42.11	227,948	0.23	14	1	-	-	-
Greenbrier	1-AAAAA	2-1	50.28	199,173	0.22	353	-	-	-	-
Arabia Mountain	4-AAAAA	1-3	46.15	165,117	0.17	283	-	-	-	-
Alexander	5-AAAAA	1-3	47.20	61,072	0.06	79	-	-	-	-
Northgate	3-AAAAA	0-4	46.53	49,314	0.05	59	-	-	-	-
Johns Creek	7-AAAAA	0-4	43.95	8,543	0.01	29	-	-	-	-
Lithia Springs	5-AAAAA	1-3	45.29	28,233	0.03	25	-	-	-	-
Statesboro	1-AAAAA	1-3	49.05	28,083	0.03	11	-	-	-	-
Chamblee	4-AAAAA	0-4	37.24	36,910	0.04	5	-	-	-	-
South Effingham	1-AAAAA	0-3	45.04	21,804	0.02	3	-	-	-	-
Apalachee	8-AAAAA	0-3	35.82	54,251	0.05	1	-	-	-	-
Morrow	3-AAAAA	1-3	36.51	2,047	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Loganville	8-AAAAA	0-5	37.99	36,084	0.04	-	-	-	-	-
Bradwell Institute	1-AAAAA	1-3	42.08	2,759	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Riverwood	6-AAAAA	0-5	39.57	544	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Lassiter	6-AAAAA	2-3	40.15	386	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAA	Brunswick	837,626	137,912	21,821	2,333	999,692	308
1-AAAAA	Lakeside (Evans)	79,781	363,535	323,159	163,131	929,606	70,394
1-AAAAA	Glynn Academy	77,846	316,120	284,127	190,096	868,189	131,811
1-AAAAA	Effingham County	3,141	143,173	221,494	268,479	636,287	363,713
1-AAAAA	Greenbrier	1,529	18,128	54,068	125,448	199,173	800,827
1-AAAAA	Statesboro	33	858	5,552	21,640	28,083	971,917
1-AAAAA	Evans	28	19,874	85,770	208,735	314,407	685,593
1-AAAAA	South Effingham	14	387	3,734	17,669	21,804	978,196
1-AAAAA	Bradwell Institute	2	13	275	2,469	2,759	997,241
2-AAAAA	Lee County	555,046	287,817	128,922	27,148	998,933	1,067
2-AAAAA	Coffee	228,817	346,084	334,781	85,441	995,123	4,877
2-AAAAA	Thomas County Central	202,380	321,474	350,863	117,397	992,114	7,886
2-AAAAA	Houston County	13,703	43,516	177,901	644,930	880,050	119,950
2-AAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	54	1,109	7,429	120,702	129,294	870,706
2-AAAAA	Veterans	-	-	104	4,382	4,486	995,514
3-AAAAA	Hughes	882,727	102,176	12,577	2,437	999,917	83
3-AAAAA	Dutchtown	57,783	463,270	343,517	102,468	967,038	32,962
3-AAAAA	Newnan	49,726	342,042	334,529	211,697	937,994	62,006
3-AAAAA	Lovejoy	9,480	77,269	246,113	450,731	783,593	216,407
3-AAAAA	McIntosh	256	10,848	39,781	126,239	177,124	822,876
3-AAAAA	Northgate	16	714	6,354	42,230	49,314	950,686
3-AAAAA	Banneker	12	3,657	16,926	62,378	82,973	917,027
3-AAAAA	Morrow	-	24	203	1,820	2,047	997,953
4-AAAAA	Woodward Academy	807,840	184,562	6,914	579	999,895	105
4-AAAAA	Decatur	186,457	635,221	126,706	36,050	984,434	15,566
4-AAAAA	Tri-Cities	2,312	45,731	231,683	228,022	507,748	492,252
4-AAAAA	Lakeside (Atlanta)	1,787	36,417	210,718	223,504	472,426	527,574
4-AAAAA	Shiloh	820	71,970	273,484	224,662	570,936	429,064
4-AAAAA	Dunwoody	593	17,480	88,683	155,778	262,534	737,466
4-AAAAA	Arabia Mountain	187	8,407	51,587	104,936	165,117	834,883
4-AAAAA	Chamblee	4	212	10,225	26,469	36,910	963,090
5-AAAAA	Rome	963,506	27,425	7,194	1,642	999,767	233
5-AAAAA	East Paulding	14,990	790,649	150,549	33,120	989,308	10,692
5-AAAAA	Villa Rica	14,110	92,914	375,491	273,220	755,735	244,265
5-AAAAA	New Manchester	4,236	49,334	258,358	296,825	608,753	391,247
5-AAAAA	South Paulding	2,923	33,996	164,593	246,011	447,523	552,477
5-AAAAA	Kennesaw Mountain	189	4,117	27,303	78,000	109,609	890,391
5-AAAAA	Alexander	39	1,121	10,071	49,841	61,072	938,928
5-AAAAA	Lithia Springs	7	444	6,441	21,341	28,233	971,767
6-AAAAA	River Ridge	504,676	268,905	148,146	63,852	985,579	14,421
6-AAAAA	Creekview	226,099	244,057	224,170	167,546	861,872	138,128
6-AAAAA	Sequoyah	132,565	178,848	223,976	209,560	744,949	255,051
6-AAAAA	Sprayberry	119,671	205,084	202,282	218,911	745,948	254,052
6-AAAAA	Pope	15,050	86,856	154,034	223,355	479,295	520,705
6-AAAAA	Woodstock	1,939	16,243	47,319	115,926	181,427	818,573
6-AAAAA	Lassiter	-	4	35	347	386	999,614
6-AAAAA	Riverwood	-	3	38	503	544	999,456
7-AAAAA	Milton	882,856	103,854	12,767	509	999,986	14
7-AAAAA	Gainesville	74,432	471,580	405,739	42,360	994,111	5,889
7-AAAAA	Roswell	42,209	408,757	471,568	65,833	988,367	11,633
7-AAAAA	Seckinger	259	7,597	52,731	435,059	495,646	504,354
7-AAAAA	Lanier	242	7,957	52,788	385,113	446,100	553,900
7-AAAAA	Chattahoochee	2	252	4,228	62,765	67,247	932,753
7-AAAAA	Johns Creek	-	3	179	8,361	8,543	991,457
8-AAAAA	Clarke Central	559,528	281,953	114,117	38,641	994,239	5,761
8-AAAAA	Jackson County	278,732	355,794	226,930	108,138	969,594	30,406
8-AAAAA	Winder-Barrow	111,173	221,127	335,443	231,241	898,984	101,016
8-AAAAA	Habersham Central	48,062	124,565	255,523	390,750	818,900	181,100
8-AAAAA	Alcovy	2,207	13,683	52,937	159,121	227,948	772,052
8-AAAAA	Apalachee	162	1,577	9,222	43,290	54,251	945,749
8-AAAAA	Loganville	136	1,301	5,828	28,819	36,084	963,916

Class AAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Marist	5-AAAA	3-0	93.07	999,999	3.96	832,209	730,448	532,500	376,994	1.65
Benedictine	1-AAAA	1-2	88.81	995,823	3.46	706,537	528,703	298,420	160,640	5.23
Ware County	1-AAAA	2-2	87.66	992,749	3.33	674,894	489,718	258,486	129,288	6.73
North Oconee	8-AAAA	4-0	86.94	999,953	3.07	525,843	358,369	215,348	96,950	9.31
Cartersville	7-AAAA	5-0	85.23	998,992	3.17	759,521	340,134	195,669	79,518	11.58
Warner Robins	1-AAAA	3-1	84.62	984,924	2.98	591,307	386,259	169,932	66,773	13.98
Blessed Trinity	6-AAAA	3-1	81.69	996,144	2.82	621,662	279,142	105,127	33,973	28.44
Cambridge	6-AAAA	5-0	80.32	994,372	2.62	554,046	220,194	74,206	22,155	44.14
Creekside	4-AAAA	1-2	79.22	999,911	2.53	475,539	158,109	44,210	14,066	70.09
Cedartown	7-AAAA	5-0	76.75	995,160	2.20	434,214	96,534	29,793	6,721	147.79
Eastside	8-AAAA	4-0	76.44	997,829	2.12	187,882	80,889	19,763	4,600	216.39
Perry	1-AAAA	3-1	74.66	872,361	1.44	173,294	70,659	15,015	2,848	350.12
Central (Carrollton)	3-AAAA	3-1	72.90	975,646	2.17	306,397	58,011	12,016	2,044	488.24
Ola	2-AAAA	5-0	71.54	997,654	2.12	193,324	69,916	12,541	1,599	624.39
Harris County	3-AAAA	4-0	70.04	948,164	1.88	201,912	32,469	5,003	598	1,671.24
Kell	6-AAAA	3-2	70.91	945,278	1.53	178,190	27,531	4,351	555	1,800.80
Starr's Mill	3-AAAA	4-0	67.96	917,967	1.67	143,720	19,412	2,466	262	3,815.79
Cass	7-AAAA	3-2	68.88	729,826	1.00	79,657	13,249	1,644	182	5,493.51
Mays	4-AAAA	3-1	66.05	995,777	1.59	90,950	8,713	1,070	65	15,383.62
Jones County	2-AAAA	4-1	65.59	994,182	1.51	34,417	7,877	751	63	15,872.02
Stockbridge	2-AAAA	4-1	64.34	991,725	1.54	40,068	8,249	682	42	23,808.52
Hiram	7-AAAA	2-3	63.24	889,240	1.10	44,417	3,244	245	19	52,630.58
Westminster (Atlanta)	6-AAAA	3-2	63.81	805,057	0.98	42,086	2,899	248	17	58,822.53
Jonesboro	3-AAAA	2-2	62.61	740,078	1.07	42,404	3,438	259	16	62,499.00
St. Pius X	5-AAAA	3-1	61.07	986,363	1.07	15,579	2,212	130	7	142,856.14
East Forsyth	8-AAAA	4-0	58.91	820,912	1.05	8,716	957	37	2	499,999.00
Tucker	5-AAAA	3-1	59.02	990,347	1.05	8,541	1,039	41	1	999,999.00
New Hampstead	1-AAAA	2-3	60.34	127,970	0.14	2,673	368	11	1	999,999.00
Maynard Jackson	4-AAAA	4-0	52.78	807,585	0.91	5,673	152	1	1	999,999.00
Northside (Columbus)	3-AAAA	3-1	57.53	403,391	0.50	7,814	373	20	-	-
Allatoona	7-AAAA	2-3	58.49	323,587	0.35	5,298	337	9	-	-
Centennial	6-AAAA	4-1	54.92	259,149	0.28	2,270	60	3	-	-
Walnut Grove	8-AAAA	3-1	51.40	442,244	0.49	1,199	46	1	-	-
Madison County	8-AAAA	2-2	50.97	377,423	0.42	932	45	1	-	-
Union Grove	2-AAAA	3-2	52.87	366,066	0.39	447	27	1	-	-
Pace Academy	4-AAAA	1-3	51.30	679,305	0.75	3,271	83	-	-	-
Southwest DeKalb	5-AAAA	3-1	51.82	845,994	0.86	958	51	-	-	-
Hampton	2-AAAA	3-2	55.85	489,794	0.51	597	40	-	-	-
Drew	4-AAAA	4-0	46.63	469,219	0.50	813	13	-	-	-
Flowery Branch	8-AAAA	1-3	48.29	293,503	0.32	391	13	-	-	-
Wayne County	1-AAAA	0-5	52.43	26,173	0.03	117	11	-	-	-
Dalton	7-AAAA	0-5	49.52	57,211	0.06	141	6	-	-	-
Eagle's Landing	2-AAAA	2-3	48.39	148,311	0.15	39	1	-	-	-
Cedar Shoals	8-AAAA	0-4	41.46	68,136	0.07	24	-	-	-	-
Lithonia	5-AAAA	2-1	39.86	128,131	0.13	9	-	-	-	-
M.L. King	4-AAAA	1-3	36.07	41,853	0.04	2	-	-	-	-
Locust Grove	2-AAAA	1-4	43.84	11,837	0.01	2	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Cartersville)	7-AAAA	1-2	40.40	5,984	0.01	2	-	-	-	-
Druid Hills	5-AAAA	2-2	34.08	48,842	0.05	1	-	-	-	-
Griffin	3-AAAA	0-4	39.79	8,875	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Midtown	4-AAAA	1-3	31.50	6,328	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Mundy's Mill	3-AAAA	0-4	38.30	5,879	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Stockbridge)	2-AAAA	1-4	38.34	371	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Northview	5-AAAA	0-4	16.30	190	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
North Springs	5-AAAA	0-4	23.47	132	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Eagle's Landing Christian	2-AAAA	0-5	39.49	60	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Forest Park	4-AAAA	1-3	11.74	22	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Clarkston	5-AAAA	0-4	9.08	2	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
McDonough	2-AAAA	0-5	32.01	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Keys	5-AAAA	0-4	5.41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Southeast Whitfield	7-AAAA	0-5	-10.15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAA	Benedictine	378,930	331,314	221,674	63,905	995,823	4,177
1-AAAA	Ware County	378,464	315,833	216,828	81,624	992,749	7,251
1-AAAA	Warner Robins	216,660	289,198	347,777	131,289	984,924	15,076
1-AAAA	Perry	25,688	61,245	200,271	585,157	872,361	127,639
1-AAAA	New Hampstead	249	2,264	11,965	113,492	127,970	872,030
1-AAAA	Wayne County	9	146	1,485	24,533	26,173	973,827
2-AAAA	Ola	748,161	177,037	57,780	14,676	997,654	2,346
2-AAAA	Stockbridge	179,008	387,327	362,957	62,433	991,725	8,275
2-AAAA	Jones County	69,010	417,806	470,397	36,969	994,182	5,818
2-AAAA	Union Grove	3,718	13,401	64,122	284,825	366,066	633,934
2-AAAA	Hampton	103	3,271	27,425	458,995	489,794	510,206
2-AAAA	Eagle's Landing	-	1,137	15,885	131,289	148,311	851,689
2-AAAA	Locust Grove	-	21	1,416	10,400	11,837	988,163
2-AAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	-	-	13	358	371	999,629
2-AAAA	Eagle's Landing Christian	-	-	5	55	60	999,940
2-AAAA	McDonough	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
3-AAAA	Central (Carrollton)	452,378	284,748	164,383	74,137	975,646	24,354
3-AAAA	Harris County	271,699	300,638	239,906	135,921	948,164	51,836
3-AAAA	Starr's Mill	201,661	251,557	279,410	185,339	917,967	82,033
3-AAAA	Jonesboro	61,054	123,115	219,462	336,447	740,078	259,922
3-AAAA	Northside (Columbus)	13,193	39,775	95,128	255,295	403,391	596,609
3-AAAA	Griffin	8	100	1,029	7,738	8,875	991,125
3-AAAA	Mundy's Mill	7	67	682	5,123	5,879	994,121
4-AAAA	Creekside	841,675	147,320	9,754	1,162	999,911	89
4-AAAA	Mays	147,172	703,996	126,675	17,934	995,777	4,223
4-AAAA	Maynard Jackson	7,470	104,356	394,205	301,554	807,585	192,415
4-AAAA	Pace Academy	2,421	16,446	305,413	355,025	679,305	320,695
4-AAAA	Drew	1,256	27,468	156,642	283,853	469,219	530,781
4-AAAA	M.L. King	6	373	6,214	35,260	41,853	958,147
4-AAAA	Midtown	-	41	1,093	5,194	6,328	993,672
4-AAAA	Forest Park	-	-	4	18	22	999,978
5-AAAA	Marist	976,821	22,615	503	60	999,999	1
5-AAAA	St. Pius X	14,866	489,311	343,511	138,675	986,363	13,637
5-AAAA	Tucker	7,197	379,886	412,989	190,275	990,347	9,653
5-AAAA	Southwest DeKalb	1,110	106,628	229,655	508,601	845,994	154,006
5-AAAA	Lithonia	6	1,352	9,294	117,479	128,131	871,869
5-AAAA	Druid Hills	-	208	4,042	44,592	48,842	951,158
5-AAAA	Northview	-	-	3	187	190	999,810
5-AAAA	North Springs	-	-	3	129	132	999,868
5-AAAA	Clarkston	-	-	-	2	2	999,998
5-AAAA	Cross Keys	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAA	Blessed Trinity	509,962	339,157	118,841	28,184	996,144	3,856
6-AAAA	Cambridge	393,373	416,745	149,131	35,123	994,372	5,628
6-AAAA	Kell	81,006	182,945	448,061	233,266	945,278	54,722
6-AAAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	14,642	53,261	243,791	493,363	805,057	194,943
6-AAAA	Centennial	1,017	7,892	40,176	210,064	259,149	740,851
7-AAAA	Cartersville	692,769	261,380	36,626	8,217	998,992	1,008
7-AAAA	Cedartown	266,623	510,050	168,589	49,898	995,160	4,840
7-AAAA	Hiram	22,751	157,538	531,921	177,030	889,240	110,760
7-AAAA	Cass	17,039	63,265	152,330	497,192	729,826	270,174
7-AAAA	Allatoona	805	6,322	95,115	221,345	323,587	676,413
7-AAAA	Dalton	12	1,416	14,582	41,201	57,211	942,789
7-AAAA	Woodland (Cartersville)	1	29	837	5,117	5,984	994,016
7-AAAA	Southeast Whitfield	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAA	North Oconee	800,085	190,261	9,080	527	999,953	47
8-AAAA	Eastside	193,289	706,556	88,453	9,531	997,829	2,171
8-AAAA	East Forsyth	5,661	72,952	494,929	247,370	820,912	179,088
8-AAAA	Walnut Grove	490	13,001	167,701	261,052	442,244	557,756
8-AAAA	Madison County	365	11,088	127,433	238,537	377,423	622,577
8-AAAA	Flowery Branch	105	5,693	97,740	189,965	293,503	706,497
8-AAAA	Cedar Shoals	5	449	14,664	53,018	68,136	931,864

Class AAA Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Sandy Creek	2-AAA	4-0	78.68	999,978	4.00	842,610	684,057	516,446	332,103	2.01
Jefferson	8-AAA	3-2	77.28	999,996	3.84	808,145	636,941	452,573	258,870	2.86
Cedar Grove	5-AAA	0-3	77.23	999,587	3.69	790,828	604,649	376,028	225,947	3.43
Peach County	1-AAA	3-1	70.27	987,152	2.84	569,444	328,339	143,007	53,110	17.83
Calhoun	7-AAA	1-3	68.50	996,910	2.78	553,162	300,092	114,911	37,155	25.91
Oconee County	8-AAA	2-3	67.22	993,047	2.41	425,900	190,739	71,379	21,212	46.14
Cairo	1-AAA	2-2	66.83	974,127	2.35	411,535	193,869	67,505	19,313	50.78
Troup	2-AAA	2-2	65.64	856,830	1.82	274,958	115,530	36,939	9,704	102.05
LaGrange	2-AAA	3-2	65.41	862,686	1.84	277,436	111,577	35,799	9,376	105.66
Monroe Area	8-AAA	3-0	64.25	992,042	2.12	308,691	118,096	37,683	8,826	112.30
Cherokee Bluff	8-AAA	5-0	63.03	996,803	2.03	263,738	94,712	27,933	5,781	171.98
Westover	1-AAA	4-0	62.41	944,744	1.86	240,602	85,095	22,498	4,397	226.43
Whitewater	2-AAA	1-2	62.30	757,069	1.41	181,247	62,252	15,269	3,054	326.44
Douglass	5-AAA	2-2	61.27	958,310	1.81	221,056	72,731	16,379	3,008	331.45
Northwest Whitfield	7-AAA	4-0	59.04	984,442	1.80	202,521	55,497	11,167	1,596	625.57
Jenkins	3-AAA	3-1	58.03	998,390	1.76	184,826	46,071	8,719	1,189	840.04
Upson-Lee	2-AAA	2-2	59.83	717,381	1.21	124,574	34,527	7,112	1,124	888.68
Mary Persons	2-AAA	3-1	59.89	616,697	1.04	107,016	28,819	6,282	984	1,015.26
Harlem	4-AAA	3-0	56.09	992,953	1.75	179,558	43,196	7,008	755	1,323.50
Adairsville	7-AAA	3-1	57.01	916,825	1.46	124,965	29,930	4,741	582	1,717.21
Stephenson	5-AAA	2-3	56.97	742,228	1.11	86,312	19,607	2,940	353	2,831.86
Bainbridge	1-AAA	0-5	57.40	652,836	0.87	54,379	14,553	2,696	327	3,057.10
Long County	3-AAA	4-0	53.89	994,848	1.51	96,642	17,471	2,349	200	4,999.00
Westside (Augusta)	4-AAA	4-0	53.22	982,145	1.51	102,632	18,743	2,257	191	5,234.60
West Laurens	4-AAA	4-0	53.28	963,275	1.47	101,878	18,469	2,203	165	6,059.61
White County	6-AAA	2-2	53.41	926,079	1.37	92,036	16,796	1,990	157	6,368.43
Spalding	2-AAA	2-2	57.85	193,444	0.29	25,326	5,862	1,014	135	7,406.41
Dougherty	1-AAA	2-3	54.91	486,404	0.65	36,582	7,607	1,002	107	9,344.79
Lumpkin County	6-AAA	2-2	53.36	821,124	1.16	66,468	11,563	1,293	103	9,707.74
Baldwin	4-AAA	1-3	52.94	642,366	0.88	47,166	7,835	788	65	15,383.62
Southeast Bulloch	3-AAA	3-1	51.52	932,677	1.26	51,962	7,557	775	42	23,808.52
Gilmer	7-AAA	2-2	51.33	751,738	0.97	38,830	5,536	475	29	34,481.76
North Hall	6-AAA	2-2	49.76	751,581	0.96	34,714	4,509	377	26	38,460.54
Luella	5-AAA	1-3	50.00	535,322	0.65	18,468	2,376	181	5	199,999.00
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	5-AAA	2-2	47.03	746,649	0.89	17,922	1,718	113	4	249,999.00
Heritage (Ringgold)	7-AAA	2-2	47.44	493,887	0.58	12,105	1,221	70	2	499,999.00
Howard	4-AAA	2-2	47.95	347,209	0.42	10,750	1,018	70	2	499,999.00
Monroe	1-AAA	0-4	45.97	101,556	0.11	1,019	108	7	1	999,999.00
Dawson County	6-AAA	1-2	44.03	341,364	0.38	4,086	293	11	-	-
Pickens	6-AAA	2-2	44.11	258,044	0.29	3,265	221	7	-	-
Hephzibah	4-AAA	1-3	42.60	127,592	0.14	1,350	71	1	-	-
North Clayton	5-AAA	3-2	42.47	162,474	0.18	1,197	70	1	-	-
Liberty County	3-AAA	1-3	41.07	136,190	0.15	917	34	1	-	-
Beach	3-AAA	2-2	36.50	170,326	0.18	420	11	1	-	-
West Hall	8-AAA	3-1	40.46	114,907	0.12	654	30	-	-	-
East Hall	8-AAA	3-1	37.54	31,024	0.03	66	1	-	-	-
Windsor Forest	3-AAA	1-3	33.31	6,246	0.01	9	1	-	-	-
Chestatee	6-AAA	1-3	33.43	16,513	0.02	21	-	-	-	-
Richmond Academy	4-AAA	0-4	36.49	3,922	0.00	6	-	-	-	-
Cross Creek	4-AAA	1-3	31.67	1,270	0.00	2	-	-	-	-
LaFayette	7-AAA	0-4	28.88	10,321	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Savannah)	3-AAA	1-3	30.55	3,930	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Groves	3-AAA	1-3	26.96	3,381	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Riverdale	5-AAA	0-5	28.92	876	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Ridgeland	7-AAA	0-4	16.75	275	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Fayette County	2-AAA	0-4	29.87	3	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Gainesville)	6-AAA	0-3	7.37	3	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Islands	3-AAA	0-4	21.14	2	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
8-AAA	Jefferson	441,284	858,384	984,082	999,996	4
2-AAA	Sandy Creek	373,846	947,899	992,840	999,978	22
4-AAA	Harlem	81,794	511,433	782,860	992,953	7,047
8-AAA	Cherokee Bluff	22,858	198,654	653,755	996,803	3,197
4-AAA	Westside (Augusta)	17,962	303,923	596,033	982,145	17,855
8-AAA	Monroe Area	16,164	219,914	571,715	992,042	7,958
4-AAA	West Laurens	13,116	274,712	531,162	963,275	36,725
7-AAA	Northwest Whitfield	6,335	240,801	599,270	984,442	15,558
1-AAA	Westover	5,402	169,980	440,816	944,744	55,256
3-AAA	Long County	5,346	219,032	643,424	994,848	5,152
3-AAA	Jenkins	4,916	263,449	612,861	998,390	1,610
8-AAA	Oconee County	3,601	230,029	539,009	993,047	6,953
1-AAA	Peach County	3,388	543,426	806,413	987,152	12,848
1-AAA	Cairo	2,026	309,659	648,653	974,127	25,873
2-AAA	Troup	705	39,851	225,058	856,830	143,170
2-AAA	Mary Persons	325	11,843	71,915	616,697	383,303
7-AAA	Calhoun	279	700,444	914,747	996,910	3,090
2-AAA	Whitewater	241	47,465	329,290	757,069	242,931
2-AAA	LaGrange	154	51,320	330,089	862,686	137,314
7-AAA	Adairsville	124	102,504	365,910	916,825	83,175
5-AAA	Douglass	58	106,869	614,374	958,310	41,690
2-AAA	Upson-Lee	27	11,537	142,816	717,381	282,619
7-AAA	Gilmer	13	32,881	134,976	751,738	248,262
5-AAA	Cedar Grove	10	862,874	983,775	999,587	413
3-AAA	Southeast Bulloch	9	50,507	246,743	932,677	67,323
4-AAA	Howard	9	14,501	50,544	347,209	652,791
6-AAA	White County	3	275,509	559,593	926,079	73,921
6-AAA	Lumpkin County	2	74,529	284,836	821,124	178,876
4-AAA	Baldwin	1	66,685	211,506	642,366	357,634
5-AAA	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	1	8,724	137,815	746,649	253,351
2-AAA	Spalding	1	2,332	27,026	193,444	806,556
6-AAA	North Hall	-	117,940	284,362	751,581	248,419
1-AAA	Bainbridge	-	45,268	150,274	652,836	347,164
1-AAA	Dougherty	-	21,653	83,967	486,404	513,596
6-AAA	Dawson County	-	21,068	72,873	341,364	658,636
5-AAA	Stephenson	-	16,896	154,558	742,228	257,772
7-AAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	-	10,055	66,079	493,887	506,113
5-AAA	Luella	-	7,353	97,048	535,322	464,678
6-AAA	Pickens	-	5,954	28,764	258,044	741,956
1-AAA	Monroe	-	982	6,546	101,556	898,444
4-AAA	Hephzibah	-	471	2,999	127,592	872,408
5-AAA	North Clayton	-	432	14,401	162,474	837,526
6-AAA	Chestatee	-	136	866	16,513	983,487
8-AAA	West Hall	-	66	1,184	114,907	885,093
3-AAA	Beach	-	14	1,107	170,326	829,674
4-AAA	Richmond Academy	-	14	165	3,922	996,078
8-AAA	East Hall	-	12	368	31,024	968,976
3-AAA	Liberty County	-	9	329	136,190	863,810
7-AAA	LaFayette	-	4	150	10,321	989,679
4-AAA	Cross Creek	-	3	14	1,270	998,730
3-AAA	Windsor Forest	-	-	32	6,246	993,754
5-AAA	Riverdale	-	-	7	876	999,124
3-AAA	Johnson (Savannah)	-	-	1	3,930	996,070
3-AAA	Groves	-	-	-	3,381	996,619
7-AAA	Ridgeland	-	-	-	275	999,725
2-AAA	Fayette County	-	-	-	3	999,997
6-AAA	Johnson (Gainesville)	-	-	-	3	999,997
3-AAA	Islands	-	-	-	2	999,998

Class AA Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Pierce County	3-AA	4-0	78.48	1,000,000	4.22	899,305	746,018	594,652	456,095	1.19
Burke County	4-AA	4-1	71.30	1,000,000	3.61	801,642	537,473	308,137	145,274	5.88
Appling County	3-AA	2-2	71.33	999,884	3.35	725,615	448,387	243,435	120,498	7.30
Morgan County	2-AA	5-0	69.13	1,000,000	3.41	756,664	456,551	237,572	97,857	9.22
Carver (Columbus)	1-AA	3-1	67.74	1,000,000	3.35	736,523	449,969	212,478	79,783	11.53
Rockmart	7-AA	2-2	65.33	1,000,000	3.09	670,568	348,311	143,396	43,099	22.20
Hapeville Charter	5-AA	1-2	63.06	999,416	2.53	456,667	184,704	60,746	16,088	61.16
Callaway	2-AA	2-2	62.17	999,961	2.53	456,217	179,682	54,990	13,461	73.29
Stephens County	8-AA	3-2	62.59	999,945	2.34	341,517	144,051	45,630	11,430	86.49
Thomson	4-AA	3-2	60.82	999,998	2.35	394,360	137,058	37,339	8,061	123.05
Sumter County	1-AA	4-0	57.81	999,999	2.25	339,483	97,642	22,279	3,769	264.32
Carver (Atlanta)	5-AA	2-2	56.63	992,606	1.83	196,646	50,694	9,836	1,442	692.48
Cook	3-AA	2-3	55.76	977,775	1.54	141,310	32,666	5,740	782	1,277.77
Hart County	8-AA	2-2	54.96	985,321	1.61	130,545	29,405	4,756	607	1,646.45
Columbia	6-AA	0-4	51.84	999,544	2.00	247,813	42,960	5,652	513	1,948.32
Westside (Macon)	2-AA	1-3	53.26	993,273	1.68	133,764	27,246	3,920	416	2,402.85
Ringgold	7-AA	3-2	52.53	999,747	1.66	93,128	21,086	2,752	308	3,245.75
North Murray	7-AA	3-1	50.79	997,746	1.59	92,466	15,962	1,793	149	6,710.41
Laney	4-AA	3-2	50.86	999,954	1.57	89,231	15,346	1,740	132	7,574.76
Crisp County	3-AA	0-5	51.11	899,022	1.11	49,205	8,927	1,023	93	10,751.69
East Jackson	8-AA	2-2	50.55	981,524	1.40	68,281	10,595	1,115	82	12,194.12
Spencer	1-AA	2-2	48.16	996,054	1.46	58,864	7,852	672	41	24,389.24
Union County	7-AA	1-3	45.38	923,074	1.17	31,049	2,900	181	13	76,922.08
Sonoraville	7-AA	1-3	43.00	712,484	0.84	15,473	1,113	50	2	499,999.00
Pike County	2-AA	3-1	38.17	971,564	1.13	9,720	381	13	2	499,999.00
Jackson	2-AA	1-3	41.79	741,171	0.86	14,020	901	44	1	999,999.00
Shaw	1-AA	2-2	39.31	995,777	1.19	13,947	710	30	1	999,999.00
Miller Grove	6-AA	3-2	38.00	971,058	1.17	16,637	750	16	1	999,999.00
South Atlanta	6-AA	1-4	35.88	955,725	1.07	8,303	287	5	-	-
Therrell	5-AA	1-3	39.14	361,802	0.39	3,420	154	5	-	-
Redan	6-AA	2-3	33.49	927,463	0.99	3,659	106	2	-	-
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	5-AA	2-3	35.96	314,813	0.33	1,667	49	1	-	-
Franklin County	8-AA	3-1	31.67	288,159	0.30	708	26	-	-	-
Lakeview Ft. Oglethorpe	7-AA	1-2	32.69	223,504	0.23	594	16	-	-	-
Hardaway	1-AA	1-3	30.91	268,013	0.28	403	10	-	-	-
Tattnall County	3-AA	1-3	34.37	142,394	0.15	219	7	-	-	-
Coahulla Creek	7-AA	0-4	29.46	98,016	0.10	131	3	-	-	-
Butler	4-AA	1-2	22.63	884,969	0.89	174	1	-	-	-
Washington	5-AA	2-3	31.28	22,886	0.02	50	1	-	-	-
Kendrick	1-AA	1-3	16.54	59,150	0.06	5	-	-	-	-
Rutland	2-AA	0-5	23.84	26,064	0.03	4	-	-	-	-
Salem	6-AA	0-4	15.82	149,168	0.15	3	-	-	-	-
Glenn Hills	4-AA	0-4	7.37	114,112	0.11	-	-	-	-	-
Columbus	1-AA	1-3	17.69	20,820	0.02	-	-	-	-	-
Josey	4-AA	0-4	-9.63	4,991	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Murray County	7-AA	1-4	7.37	1,031	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Jordan	1-AA	0-4	1.33	23	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
2-AA	Morgan County	669,579	930,888	999,977	1,000,000	-
1-AA	Carver (Columbus)	173,062	936,863	999,752	1,000,000	-
3-AA	Pierce County	79,718	807,926	992,974	1,000,000	-
1-AA	Sumter County	37,162	631,831	981,192	999,999	1
7-AA	Rockmart	25,496	888,603	995,369	1,000,000	-
8-AA	Stephens County	4,419	189,468	807,509	999,945	55
4-AA	Burke County	3,699	820,347	990,210	1,000,000	-
2-AA	Callaway	2,976	396,660	890,567	999,961	39
7-AA	North Murray	1,587	92,863	562,869	997,746	2,254
5-AA	Hapeville Charter	1,327	373,862	752,053	999,416	584
3-AA	Appling County	410	364,448	902,587	999,884	116
2-AA	Westside (Macon)	379	80,790	422,578	993,273	6,727
8-AA	Hart County	83	17,970	188,375	985,321	14,679
5-AA	Carver (Atlanta)	38	102,141	370,917	992,606	7,394
2-AA	Pike County	18	3,539	153,338	971,564	28,436
1-AA	Spencer	16	63,831	468,608	996,054	3,946
1-AA	Shaw	15	11,519	169,350	995,777	4,223
4-AA	Laney	14	44,006	350,124	999,954	46
8-AA	East Jackson	1	6,126	123,077	981,524	18,476
2-AA	Jackson	1	2,894	29,417	741,171	258,829
6-AA	Columbia	-	774,736	951,211	999,544	456
4-AA	Thomson	-	187,858	809,049	999,998	2
6-AA	Miller Grove	-	108,469	466,910	971,058	28,942
6-AA	South Atlanta	-	72,429	344,542	955,725	44,275
6-AA	Redan	-	44,181	232,188	927,463	72,537
7-AA	Ringgold	-	20,298	756,658	999,747	253
3-AA	Cook	-	14,725	116,160	977,775	22,225
3-AA	Crisp County	-	5,135	41,427	899,022	100,978
7-AA	Union County	-	3,614	97,393	923,074	76,926
7-AA	Sonoraville	-	1,105	19,257	712,484	287,516
5-AA	Therrell	-	449	3,745	361,802	638,198
6-AA	Salem	-	231	5,536	149,168	850,832
5-AA	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	-	125	1,452	314,813	685,187
1-AA	Hardaway	-	24	1,631	268,013	731,987
4-AA	Butler	-	22	512	884,969	115,031
3-AA	Tattnall County	-	14	856	142,394	857,606
7-AA	Lakeview Ft. Oglethorpe	-	5	222	223,504	776,496
2-AA	Rutland	-	3	84	26,064	973,936
5-AA	Washington	-	1	29	22,886	977,114
1-AA	Columbus	-	1	22	20,820	979,180
8-AA	Franklin County	-	-	230	288,159	711,841
7-AA	Coahulla Creek	-	-	34	98,016	901,984
4-AA	Glenn Hills	-	-	7	114,112	885,888
1-AA	Kendrick	-	-	2	59,150	940,850
4-AA	Josey	-	-	-	4,991	995,009
7-AA	Murray County	-	-	-	1,031	998,969
1-AA	Jordan	-	-	-	23	999,977

Class A Division I Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Toombs County	3-A Division I	4-0	74.55	1,000,000	4.02	861,895	681,495	506,012	349,974	1.86
Thomasville	1-A Division I	3-1	73.66	1,000,000	3.93	846,062	652,572	464,078	304,467	2.28
Fitzgerald	1-A Division I	2-1	69.85	999,964	3.47	739,862	497,634	299,373	150,766	5.63
Fannin County	7-A Division I	4-0	64.06	1,000,000	3.14	680,374	373,774	195,993	60,886	15.42
Dublin	2-A Division I	4-0	63.84	999,998	2.97	608,863	337,794	139,762	46,454	20.53
Rabun County	8-A Division I	3-1	62.19	999,874	2.69	499,996	252,746	96,480	27,479	35.39
Northeast	2-A Division I	3-1	61.74	999,839	2.69	502,282	249,131	92,619	25,285	38.55
Dodge County	2-A Division I	4-0	58.34	999,968	2.42	406,533	169,180	47,902	9,789	101.16
Jeff Davis	1-A Division I	4-0	58.37	998,619	2.21	311,032	123,034	34,920	7,308	135.84
Lamar County	4-A Division I	3-0	56.26	999,938	2.39	412,425	155,566	38,470	6,506	152.70
Commerce	8-A Division I	2-2	55.48	970,004	1.85	235,587	76,821	16,572	2,691	370.61
Worth County	1-A Division I	2-2	56.10	946,984	1.75	204,418	66,120	15,506	2,670	373.53
Elbert County	8-A Division I	1-3	54.05	922,353	1.61	184,127	54,475	10,087	1,433	696.84
Swainsboro	3-A Division I	1-4	54.43	848,090	1.31	126,194	36,071	7,372	1,057	945.07
Bleckley County	2-A Division I	2-2	52.91	927,412	1.53	136,666	37,634	6,509	845	1,182.43
Bremen	6-A Division I	2-2	51.38	929,535	1.71	209,584	53,069	7,937	815	1,225.99
Putnam County	4-A Division I	1-3	48.94	976,768	1.65	151,876	32,071	3,891	324	3,085.42
ACE Charter	2-A Division I	3-1	50.22	958,525	1.51	101,144	23,210	3,290	304	3,288.47
Vidalia	3-A Division I	3-2	50.80	810,799	1.17	86,817	19,653	2,779	265	3,772.58
Bacon County	1-A Division I	3-1	49.36	958,751	1.41	88,057	17,963	2,250	184	5,433.78
Heard County	6-A Division I	2-2	48.09	799,702	1.23	100,142	19,286	2,048	152	6,577.95
Model	6-A Division I	2-2	47.13	817,380	1.23	87,501	15,529	1,644	111	9,008.01
Gordon Lee	7-A Division I	3-1	45.63	999,401	1.55	84,068	12,902	1,242	64	15,624.00
Chattooga	7-A Division I	4-0	44.89	999,237	1.54	80,586	11,755	993	45	22,221.22
Temple	6-A Division I	3-1	45.45	844,233	1.19	63,009	9,369	810	41	24,389.24
Southwest	2-A Division I	1-3	45.46	731,836	0.94	33,485	4,654	401	27	37,036.04
Washington County	2-A Division I	1-3	44.50	582,035	0.73	24,327	3,376	263	24	41,665.67
Jasper County	4-A Division I	3-1	42.88	990,475	1.37	48,688	5,823	408	22	45,453.55
Dade County	7-A Division I	1-3	41.80	932,259	1.19	28,456	2,902	170	9	111,110.11
Social Circle	4-A Division I	2-2	40.15	813,378	0.99	22,874	2,068	112	2	499,999.00
McNair	4-A Division I	2-2	39.17	709,394	0.84	15,390	1,247	55	1	999,999.00
East Laurens	2-A Division I	2-2	38.99	424,706	0.48	5,849	452	28	-	-
Pepperell	6-A Division I	0-4	38.52	189,183	0.21	3,265	262	13	-	-
Haralson County	6-A Division I	1-3	35.82	104,638	0.11	876	52	6	-	-
B.E.S.T. Academy	5-A Division I	3-2	33.44	675,074	1.73	4,156	201	3	-	-
Coosa	7-A Division I	2-2	30.89	683,420	0.73	2,243	87	2	-	-
Armuchee	7-A Division I	3-1	25.98	849,229	0.88	877	19	-	-	-
Towers	4-A Division I	2-1	25.00	554,269	0.57	376	2	-	-	-
Berrien	1-A Division I	0-4	32.16	9,470	0.01	22	1	-	-	-
Oglethorpe County	8-A Division I	0-4	28.12	10,570	0.01	8	-	-	-	-
Banks County	8-A Division I	0-4	28.44	10,113	0.01	7	-	-	-	-
Brantley County	1-A Division I	0-4	25.88	1,789	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Gordon Central	7-A Division I	2-2	13.08	20,006	0.02	-	-	-	-	-
Jefferson County	2-A Division I	0-4	28.10	768	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Macon)	2-A Division I	0-4	19.27	14	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Utopian Academy	4-A Division I	0-4	-13.83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
7-A Division I	Fannin County	789,857	975,222	999,990	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Thomasville	64,978	826,780	996,836	1,000,000	-
3-A Division I	Toombs County	57,250	880,890	998,660	1,000,000	-
2-A Division I	Dublin	31,520	693,789	988,023	999,998	2
2-A Division I	Dodge County	13,477	448,279	966,857	999,968	32
1-A Division I	Fitzgerald	10,487	589,783	954,091	999,964	36
7-A Division I	Chattooga	10,464	198,194	820,972	999,237	763
4-A Division I	Lamar County	10,166	758,523	974,988	999,938	62
7-A Division I	Gordon Lee	5,603	176,682	783,991	999,401	599
2-A Division I	Northeast	4,221	488,168	926,178	999,839	161
8-A Division I	Rabun County	1,124	439,395	888,833	999,874	126
1-A Division I	Jeff Davis	587	118,623	733,443	998,619	1,381
4-A Division I	Jasper County	138	90,750	495,928	990,475	9,525
2-A Division I	ACE Charter	79	14,579	337,286	958,525	41,475
1-A Division I	Worth County	15	32,355	229,897	946,984	53,016
1-A Division I	Bacon County	11	7,201	133,748	958,751	41,249
6-A Division I	Temple	10	95,323	270,923	844,233	155,767
7-A Division I	Dade County	7	14,517	232,323	932,259	67,741
4-A Division I	Putnam County	2	213,931	604,322	976,768	23,232
6-A Division I	Model	1	135,283	314,108	817,380	182,620
8-A Division I	Commerce	1	120,591	348,931	970,004	29,996
2-A Division I	Bleckley County	1	8,715	171,902	927,412	72,588
7-A Division I	Armuchee	1	144	40,686	849,229	150,771
6-A Division I	Bremen	-	332,496	573,543	929,535	70,465
6-A Division I	Heard County	-	168,494	358,426	799,702	200,298
8-A Division I	Elbert County	-	80,070	241,430	922,353	77,647
4-A Division I	Social Circle	-	38,472	161,453	813,378	186,622
4-A Division I	McNair	-	23,202	107,257	709,394	290,606
6-A Division I	Pepperell	-	11,396	38,255	189,183	810,817
3-A Division I	Swainsboro	-	7,116	57,478	848,090	151,910
6-A Division I	Haralson County	-	4,062	15,945	104,638	895,362
3-A Division I	Vidalia	-	2,951	33,729	810,799	189,201
5-A Division I	B.E.S.T. Academy	-	1,855	49,115	675,074	324,926
7-A Division I	Coosa	-	1,015	42,169	683,420	316,580
2-A Division I	Southwest	-	610	60,749	731,836	268,164
4-A Division I	Towers	-	257	9,603	554,269	445,731
2-A Division I	Washington County	-	199	26,291	582,035	417,965
2-A Division I	East Laurens	-	69	11,385	424,706	575,294
8-A Division I	Banks County	-	10	88	10,113	989,887
1-A Division I	Berrien	-	5	73	9,470	990,530
8-A Division I	Oglethorpe County	-	4	76	10,570	989,430
7-A Division I	Gordon Central	-	-	15	20,006	979,994
1-A Division I	Brantley County	-	-	4	1,789	998,211
2-A Division I	Jefferson County	-	-	-	768	999,232
2-A Division I	Central (Macon)	-	-	-	14	999,986
4-A Division I	Utopian Academy	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Class A Division II

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Irwin County	2-A Division II	4-0	68.55	998,633	4.10	873,696	746,275	559,085	382,606	1.61
Brooks County	2-A Division II	2-2	65.68	996,206	3.69	795,621	611,651	415,700	225,132	3.44
Bowdon	7-A Division II	4-1	64.00	999,691	3.70	840,907	579,626	320,931	171,389	4.83
Manchester	7-A Division II	2-1	59.68	998,114	3.19	722,900	390,889	175,367	67,206	13.88
Clinch County	2-A Division II	5-0	59.14	976,922	2.67	544,536	319,997	133,340	47,084	20.24
Trion	7-A Division II	5-0	57.80	997,749	2.97	661,164	321,340	123,200	40,986	23.40
Lincoln County	8-A Division II	4-0	56.88	985,295	2.19	406,802	188,090	66,012	21,446	45.63
Early County	1-A Division II	2-2	53.99	987,083	2.51	371,873	168,575	50,490	12,725	77.59
Greene County	8-A Division II	4-1	54.49	971,722	1.86	293,628	122,859	37,072	9,824	100.79
Metter	3-A Division II	2-1	53.67	940,918	2.16	334,890	102,637	34,678	8,676	114.26
Jenkins County	3-A Division II	3-1	50.21	979,929	2.04	274,719	63,649	16,634	3,096	322.00
Schley County	6-A Division II	2-3	49.24	998,440	2.01	337,994	68,479	16,376	2,813	354.49
Pelham	1-A Division II	1-3	48.22	941,653	2.03	203,174	58,521	11,032	1,758	567.83
Charlton County	2-A Division II	3-2	49.24	822,736	1.33	157,034	41,729	7,900	1,336	747.50
Wilcox County	4-A Division II	2-2	47.15	898,167	1.52	128,799	30,296	5,303	711	1,405.47
Emanuel County Institute	3-A Division II	2-2	48.52	524,267	0.96	89,138	22,558	3,958	622	1,606.72
Mitchell County	1-A Division II	3-1	45.77	789,701	1.56	109,860	27,119	4,353	567	1,762.67
McIntosh County Academy	3-A Division II	3-1	45.86	840,568	1.49	135,013	23,495	3,885	488	2,048.18
Macon County	6-A Division II	2-3	44.57	991,089	1.54	159,945	23,792	3,692	419	2,385.63
Telfair County	4-A Division II	2-2	45.02	843,887	1.32	89,573	17,146	2,525	309	3,235.25
Warren County	8-A Division II	3-2	45.00	772,823	0.94	47,833	11,711	1,813	214	4,671.90
Seminole County	1-A Division II	3-1	43.95	593,853	1.09	54,366	11,672	1,631	189	5,290.01
Dooly County	4-A Division II	0-4	43.43	773,817	1.14	63,314	9,901	1,263	131	7,632.59
Lake Oconee Academy	8-A Division II	5-0	43.64	723,893	0.84	33,632	7,459	987	82	12,194.12
Miller County	1-A Division II	2-2	42.00	536,179	0.94	37,318	6,639	759	61	16,392.44
Wilkinson County	5-A Division II	2-3	39.46	996,430	1.40	31,043	4,608	456	29	34,481.76
Portal	3-A Division II	2-2	40.91	396,788	0.58	24,261	3,050	284	27	37,036.04
Washington-Wilkes	8-A Division II	3-2	40.53	546,267	0.60	13,496	2,487	251	20	49,999.00
Hawkinsville	4-A Division II	3-1	40.76	647,422	0.87	33,363	3,787	377	19	52,630.58
Mount Zion (Carroll)	7-A Division II	3-2	37.09	770,202	1.00	40,319	2,505	162	12	83,332.33
Taylor County	6-A Division II	3-1	37.22	882,972	1.01	24,099	2,004	147	6	166,665.67
Wheeler County	4-A Division II	3-1	37.96	459,333	0.58	14,173	1,248	83	5	199,999.00
Bryan County	3-A Division II	2-2	39.21	115,169	0.16	5,650	600	44	3	333,332.33
Treutlen	4-A Division II	2-2	36.52	366,873	0.44	8,319	621	40	3	333,332.33
Screven County	3-A Division II	2-1	38.04	202,286	0.28	8,289	782	53	2	499,999.00
Turner County	2-A Division II	0-4	35.79	122,453	0.14	2,667	173	8	2	499,999.00
Johnson County	5-A Division II	2-3	35.26	986,401	1.24	13,366	1,346	89	1	999,999.00
Hancock Central	5-A Division II	2-3	31.25	961,787	1.10	5,757	343	12	1	999,999.00
Randolph-Clay	1-A Division II	2-1	33.55	150,972	0.22	2,775	200	3	-	-
Marion County	6-A Division II	1-3	28.54	515,112	0.53	1,338	49	3	-	-
Lanier County	2-A Division II	1-4	33.55	83,050	0.09	1,081	52	2	-	-
Greenville	7-A Division II	2-3	26.04	234,244	0.25	1,223	18	-	-	-
Glascock County	5-A Division II	1-3	22.44	753,893	0.78	423	8	-	-	-
Chattahoochee County	6-A Division II	1-3	26.19	350,542	0.36	405	7	-	-	-
Crawford County	6-A Division II	2-2	25.00	261,444	0.26	194	7	-	-	-
Twiggs County	5-A Division II	1-4	13.94	286,494	0.29	19	-	-	-	-
Montgomery County	4-A Division II	2-2	21.56	10,501	0.01	11	-	-	-	-
Georgia Military Prep	5-A Division II	0-5	-0.31	14,995	0.02	-	-	-	-	-
Terrell County	1-A Division II	2-2	12.21	559	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Talbotton)	6-A Division II	1-2	-2.90	401	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Claxton	3-A Division II	0-4	19.31	72	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Savannah	3-A Division II	0-4	8.88	3	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Towns County	8-A Division II	3-2	19.85	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Calhoun County	1-A Division II	2-2	16.27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Atkinson County	2-A Division II	3-2	15.74	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Baconton Charter	1-A Division II	0-4	-1.97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Pataula Charter	1-A Division II	1-4	-3.00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Southwest Georgia STEM	1-A Division II	1-2	-20.16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Spring Creek	1-A Division II	0-2	-54.32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Division II	Early County	579,982	255,157	111,339	40,605	987,083	12,917
1-A Division II	Pelham	253,736	361,402	220,726	105,789	941,653	58,347
1-A Division II	Mitchell County	119,211	200,329	254,269	215,892	789,701	210,299
1-A Division II	Seminole County	32,770	87,382	204,012	269,689	593,853	406,147
1-A Division II	Miller County	10,889	80,650	170,860	273,780	536,179	463,821
1-A Division II	Randolph-Clay	3,412	15,078	38,750	93,732	150,972	849,028
1-A Division II	Terrell County	-	2	44	513	559	999,441
1-A Division II	Calhoun County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Pataula Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Spring Creek	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Baconton Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Southwest Georgia STEM	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-A Division II	Irwin County	561,433	306,094	110,735	20,371	998,633	1,367
2-A Division II	Brooks County	311,730	394,608	233,468	56,400	996,206	3,794
2-A Division II	Clinch County	115,318	254,441	455,997	151,166	976,922	23,078
2-A Division II	Charlton County	11,355	42,735	179,242	589,404	822,736	177,264
2-A Division II	Turner County	120	1,432	12,586	108,315	122,453	877,547
2-A Division II	Lanier County	44	690	7,972	74,344	83,050	916,950
2-A Division II	Atkinson County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
3-A Division II	Metter	444,473	260,470	155,127	80,848	940,918	59,082
3-A Division II	Jenkins County	370,338	358,288	204,290	47,013	979,929	20,071
3-A Division II	McIntosh County Academy	159,633	250,765	282,632	147,538	840,568	159,432
3-A Division II	Portal	8,542	40,622	120,836	226,788	396,788	603,212
3-A Division II	Screven County	7,213	24,991	58,903	111,179	202,286	797,714
3-A Division II	Emanuel County Institute	5,412	50,967	145,706	322,182	524,267	475,733
3-A Division II	Bryan County	4,389	13,896	32,501	64,383	115,169	884,831
3-A Division II	Claxton	-	1	5	66	72	999,928
3-A Division II	Savannah	-	-	-	3	3	999,997
4-A Division II	Wilcox County	363,380	249,733	175,096	109,958	898,167	101,833
4-A Division II	Telfair County	275,644	240,119	190,792	137,332	843,887	156,113
4-A Division II	Dooly County	173,745	206,659	212,635	180,778	773,817	226,183
4-A Division II	Hawkinsville	103,226	147,581	185,682	210,933	647,422	352,578
4-A Division II	Wheeler County	53,347	92,055	129,972	183,959	459,333	540,667
4-A Division II	Treutlen	30,569	63,343	103,561	169,400	366,873	633,127
4-A Division II	Montgomery County	89	510	2,262	7,640	10,501	989,499
5-A Division II	Wilkinson County	546,598	294,235	124,803	30,794	996,430	3,570
5-A Division II	Johnson County	281,920	377,292	245,017	82,172	986,401	13,599
5-A Division II	Hancock Central	149,155	250,322	384,447	177,863	961,787	38,213
5-A Division II	Glascock County	21,109	69,935	203,909	458,940	753,893	246,107
5-A Division II	Twiggs County	1,209	8,164	40,672	236,449	286,494	713,506
5-A Division II	Georgia Military Prep	9	52	1,152	13,782	14,995	985,005
6-A Division II	Schley County	583,961	321,248	82,416	10,815	998,440	1,560
6-A Division II	Macon County	335,311	414,477	198,298	43,003	991,089	8,911
6-A Division II	Taylor County	71,927	202,535	411,834	196,676	882,972	117,028
6-A Division II	Marion County	7,584	42,039	154,018	311,471	515,112	484,888
6-A Division II	Chattahoochee County	711	15,081	95,000	239,750	350,542	649,458
6-A Division II	Crawford County	506	4,620	58,422	197,896	261,444	738,556
6-A Division II	Central (Talbotton)	-	-	12	389	401	999,599
7-A Division II	Bowdon	555,492	291,902	140,327	11,970	999,691	309
7-A Division II	Manchester	266,791	381,215	317,228	32,880	998,114	1,886
7-A Division II	Trion	175,448	317,756	463,215	41,330	997,749	2,251
7-A Division II	Mount Zion (Carroll)	2,233	8,617	72,568	686,784	770,202	229,798
7-A Division II	Greenville	36	510	6,662	227,036	234,244	765,756
8-A Division II	Lincoln County	523,226	299,152	116,228	46,689	985,295	14,705
8-A Division II	Greene County	349,470	384,983	169,155	68,114	971,722	28,278
8-A Division II	Warren County	63,217	141,437	292,717	275,452	772,823	227,177
8-A Division II	Lake Oconee Academy	44,595	109,182	254,221	315,895	723,893	276,107
8-A Division II	Washington-Wilkes	19,492	65,246	167,679	293,850	546,267	453,733
8-A Division II	Towns County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

AAA to A Private

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Savannah Christian	3-A Division I	5-0	79.91	1,000,000	4.43	952,913	816,782	661,491	510,371	0.96
Prince Avenue Christian	8-AA	2-2	74.57	1,000,000	3.86	864,107	613,608	384,283	204,467	3.89
Hebron Christian	8-AA	4-0	70.06	1,000,000	3.53	803,370	474,031	259,420	95,203	9.50
Calvary Day	3-AAA	3-1	69.84	1,000,000	3.58	829,433	520,886	233,128	90,741	10.02
Lovett	5-AA	4-0	65.42	1,000,000	3.18	705,213	355,894	139,127	36,140	26.67
Athens Academy	8-A Division I	4-0	64.80	1,000,000	3.13	692,958	336,857	125,029	30,672	31.60
Fellowship Christian	5-A Division I	2-2	63.49	1,000,000	4.00	632,133	305,547	99,082	21,858	44.75
North Cobb Christian	7-AA	5-0	57.53	1,000,000	2.60	483,921	134,146	29,109	3,631	274.41
Wesleyan	5-A Division I	3-1	57.16	1,000,000	3.36	356,388	109,464	21,285	2,655	375.65
Greater Atlanta Christian	6-AAA	1-3	55.24	1,000,000	2.36	371,592	88,773	15,210	1,514	659.50
Holy Innocents	5-AA	2-2	56.41	1,000,000	2.08	232,175	64,135	11,969	1,405	710.74
Whitefield Academy	5-A Division I	2-2	52.87	1,000,000	3.31	332,064	65,284	9,066	662	1,509.57
Darlington	6-A Division I	2-2	50.22	1,000,000	1.96	186,586	30,750	3,413	184	5,433.78
Aquinas	4-AAA	2-1	50.90	1,000,000	1.85	136,805	24,564	2,799	175	5,713.29
Mount Vernon	5-A Division I	2-1	50.56	1,000,000	2.83	129,727	23,797	2,559	150	6,665.67
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	2-AAA	1-3	51.73	1,000,000	1.51	90,085	16,689	1,881	127	7,873.02
Savannah Country Day	3-A Division I	1-3	48.30	1,000,000	1.49	55,941	8,156	614	30	33,332.33
Christian Heritage	7-A Division I	3-1	43.76	1,000,000	1.71	83,756	7,143	423	13	76,922.08
Providence Christian	8-A Division I	1-3	41.50	1,000,000	1.23	18,182	1,273	47	2	499,999.00
King's Ridge Christian	5-A Division I	4-0	40.29	1,000,000	2.38	18,196	1,277	51	-	-
Mount Paran Christian	5-A Division I	3-1	36.75	1,000,000	2.29	11,890	513	7	-	-
Landmark Christian	5-A Division I	3-1	35.43	1,000,000	2.28	10,468	412	7	-	-
Mount Pisgah Christian	5-A Division I	0-4	30.02	1,000,000	2.05	1,874	19	-	-	-
St. Francis	5-A Division I	0-4	20.86	1,000,000	2.02	223	-	-	-	-
Walker	5-A Division I	2-3	-1.19	1,000,000	2.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
3-A Division I	Savannah Christian	592,949	970,288	999,997	1,000,000	-
8-AA	Hebron Christian	149,692	709,937	999,553	1,000,000	-
5-AA	Lovett	70,050	700,097	996,008	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Athens Academy	53,320	713,064	996,624	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Fellowship Christian	38,612	564,817	995,890	1,000,000	-
7-AA	North Cobb Christian	27,103	615,703	997,066	1,000,000	-
8-AA	Prince Avenue Christian	24,387	704,194	990,653	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Wesleyan	17,499	272,032	982,906	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Whitefield Academy	11,967	479,159	979,386	1,000,000	-
3-AAA	Calvary Day	8,171	890,911	999,298	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Vernon	3,496	69,668	876,811	1,000,000	-
7-A Division I	Christian Heritage	1,532	179,646	921,207	1,000,000	-
4-AAA	Aquinas	872	125,584	636,587	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	King's Ridge Christian	137	5,971	646,008	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Landmark Christian	102	27,430	579,548	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Paran Christian	72	24,052	425,269	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	Darlington	31	285,843	644,211	1,000,000	-
5-AA	Holy Innocents	7	133,244	446,786	1,000,000	-
6-AAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	1	523,914	785,861	1,000,000	-
3-A Division I	Savannah Country Day	-	2,303	83,065	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Providence Christian	-	2,002	12,367	1,000,000	-
2-AAA	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	-	86	4,665	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Pisgah Christian	-	52	224	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	St. Francis	-	3	9	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Walker	-	-	1	1,000,000	-

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

Class AAAAAA

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Class AAAAA

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Class AAAA

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Class AAA Public

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Class AA Public

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Class A Division I Public

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Class A Division II

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AAA to A Private

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