Maxwell playoff projections heading into Week 10

August 20, 2021 - Kennesaw, Ga: Buford wide receiver Tobi Olawale (4) celebrates his receiving touchdown with running back Victor Venn (6) during the second half against North Cobb at North Cobb high school Friday, August 20, 2021 in Kennesaw, Ga.. Buford won 35-27. JASON GETZ FOR THE ATLANTA JOURNAL-CONSTITUTION

By Loren Maxwell

Oct 20, 2021

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class in the GHSA.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2021 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 iterations.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Collins Hill	8-AAAAAAA	7-0	103.35	1,000,000	4.67	969,548	928,784	782,020	630,946	0.58
Mill Creek	8-AAAAAAA	7-0	94.24	1,000,000	4.22	880,637	764,116	599,447	191,878	4.21
North Cobb	3-AAAAAAA	6-1	94.34	999,992	3.91	871,785	778,240	291,464	143,596	5.96
Brookwood	4-AAAAAAA	5-2	81.92	997,604	3.07	674,334	387,801	91,495	11,434	86.46
Colquitt County	1-AAAAAAA	7-1	81.84	1,000,000	2.58	635,663	167,962	42,838	6,301	157.70
Roswell	5-AAAAAAA	6-1	79.02	999,985	2.56	432,434	98,863	36,511	3,425	290.97
Milton	5-AAAAAAA	6-1	78.45	999,987	2.46	363,007	86,471	25,965	2,445	408.00
Grayson	4-AAAAAAA	6-2	77.92	999,942	2.42	429,205	160,920	26,152	2,368	421.30
Walton	3-AAAAAAA	4-2	78.84	928,803	1.99	358,391	98,035	24,622	2,172	459.41
Pebblebrook	2-AAAAAAA	6-0-1	77.80	1,000,000	1.99	99,301	48,537	23,064	1,699	587.58
Lowndes	1-AAAAAAA	6-2	76.54	1,000,000	2.13	422,822	110,626	17,914	1,372	727.86
North Gwinnett	8-AAAAAAA	3-5	75.71	992,815	1.95	227,311	102,409	12,810	812	1,230.53
South Forsyth	6-AAAAAAA	6-1	74.97	999,977	2.16	348,720	65,242	6,195	567	1,762.67
Marietta	3-AAAAAAA	4-3	75.60	629,229	1.15	180,595	37,573	5,959	402	2,486.56
Newton	4-AAAAAAA	4-2	72.50	961,145	1.59	96,869	16,894	1,697	121	8,263.46
East Coweta	2-AAAAAAA	5-2	72.69	990,205	1.53	71,343	12,700	1,209	110	9,089.91
Archer	7-AAAAAAA	3-4	68.79	999,993	1.99	213,964	43,232	3,319	103	9,707.74
Harrison	3-AAAAAAA	3-4	70.84	810,676	1.26	135,638	21,731	2,172	89	11,234.96
North Paulding	3-AAAAAAA	4-3	71.23	626,281	0.96	105,784	12,217	1,311	50	19,999.00
Camden County	1-AAAAAAA	4-4	69.56	1,000,000	1.34	88,026	13,884	1,236	42	23,808.52
Denmark	6-AAAAAAA	5-1	69.04	940,222	1.44	102,505	19,355	1,276	37	27,026.03
West Forsyth	6-AAAAAAA	3-4	68.65	556,223	0.64	13,824	4,283	322	10	99,999.00
Norcross	7-AAAAAAA	6-2	62.73	1,000,000	1.62	80,077	5,335	250	5	199,999.00
McEachern	2-AAAAAAA	4-4	66.19	1,000,000	1.32	39,401	2,653	139	5	199,999.00
Lambert	6-AAAAAAA	6-2	67.16	919,331	0.97	8,415	2,120	211	3	333,332.33
Cherokee	5-AAAAAAA	4-4	64.48	969,508	1.50	69,207	4,151	175	3	333,332.33
Mountain View	8-AAAAAAA	3-4	62.13	886,406	1.08	24,437	1,318	36	2	499,999.00
Tift County	1-AAAAAAA	5-3	64.39	1,000,000	1.10	14,163	1,188	70	1	999,999.00
Parkview	4-AAAAAAA	3-5	64.61	586,001	0.70	3,585	417	44	1	999,999.00
North Forsyth	6-AAAAAAA	5-3	63.37	347,074	0.36	1,360	263	16	1	999,999.00
Alpharetta	5-AAAAAAA	2-5	60.14	857,564	1.16	27,744	1,659	40	-	-
Gainesville	6-AAAAAAA	4-3	63.83	237,173	0.25	1,601	332	9	-	-
Newnan	2-AAAAAAA	2-4	57.74	795,120	0.84	5,461	529	8	-	-
South Gwinnett	4-AAAAAAA	4-3	60.42	455,308	0.52	1,894	143	4	-	-
Etowah	5-AAAAAAA	0-7	50.33	172,788	0.19	638	10	-	-	-
Campbell	2-AAAAAAA	3-4	48.22	214,675	0.22	148	6	-	-	-
Meadowcreek	7-AAAAAAA	3-5	42.03	991,263	1.00	31	1	-	-	-
Peachtree Ridge	8-AAAAAAA	3-4	47.27	120,779	0.12	101	-	-	-	-
Hillgrove	3-AAAAAAA	1-6	51.03	5,019	0.01	21	-	-	-	-
Duluth	7-AAAAAAA	4-3	32.88	830,748	0.83	10	-	-	-	-
Dunwoody	7-AAAAAAA	1-6	22.12	103,691	0.10	-	-	-	-	-
Discovery	7-AAAAAAA	2-5	26.07	74,305	0.07	-	-	-	-	-
Woodstock	5-AAAAAAA	0-7	36.43	168	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Forsyth Central	6-AAAAAAA	1-6	39.04	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Berkmar	7-AAAAAAA	0-7	-9.02	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAAA	Colquitt County	616,051	310,167	61,129	12,653	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAAA	Lowndes	331,797	485,914	172,148	10,141	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAAA	Camden County	44,809	181,253	454,349	319,589	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAAA	Tift County	7,343	22,666	312,374	657,617	1,000,000	-
2-AAAAAAA	Pebblebrook	887,338	98,081	9,258	5,323	1,000,000	-
2-AAAAAAA	McEachern	88,796	312,604	588,852	9,748	1,000,000	-
2-AAAAAAA	East Coweta	19,176	584,655	321,020	65,354	990,205	9,795
2-AAAAAAA	Newnan	4,690	4,643	73,505	712,282	795,120	204,880
2-AAAAAAA	Campbell	-	17	7,365	207,293	214,675	785,325
3-AAAAAAA	North Cobb	959,588	37,723	1,262	1,419	999,992	8
3-AAAAAAA	Marietta	22,309	154,996	195,713	256,211	629,229	370,771
3-AAAAAAA	North Paulding	15,340	135,271	127,133	348,537	626,281	373,719
3-AAAAAAA	Walton	2,165	442,582	330,516	153,540	928,803	71,197
3-AAAAAAA	Harrison	598	229,426	343,931	236,721	810,676	189,324
3-AAAAAAA	Hillgrove	-	2	1,445	3,572	5,019	994,981
4-AAAAAAA	Brookwood	657,991	303,874	24,687	11,052	997,604	2,396
4-AAAAAAA	Grayson	316,790	444,049	226,866	12,237	999,942	58
4-AAAAAAA	Newton	23,443	228,602	584,230	124,870	961,145	38,855
4-AAAAAAA	South Gwinnett	1,724	15,336	95,426	342,822	455,308	544,692
4-AAAAAAA	Parkview	52	8,139	68,791	509,019	586,001	413,999
5-AAAAAAA	Roswell	568,388	409,393	18,948	3,256	999,985	15
5-AAAAAAA	Milton	425,435	513,013	59,508	2,031	999,987	13
5-AAAAAAA	Cherokee	4,171	59,721	610,991	294,625	969,508	30,492
5-AAAAAAA	Alpharetta	2,006	17,872	280,709	556,977	857,564	142,436
5-AAAAAAA	Woodstock	-	1	3	164	168	999,832
5-AAAAAAA	Etowah	-	-	29,841	142,947	172,788	827,212
6-AAAAAAA	South Forsyth	746,587	235,278	17,346	766	999,977	23
6-AAAAAAA	Denmark	252,100	504,840	134,008	49,274	940,222	59,778
6-AAAAAAA	West Forsyth	842	139,632	229,920	185,829	556,223	443,777
6-AAAAAAA	Gainesville	284	32,335	38,453	166,101	237,173	762,827
6-AAAAAAA	North Forsyth	180	23,772	46,612	276,510	347,074	652,926
6-AAAAAAA	Lambert	7	64,143	533,661	321,520	919,331	80,669
6-AAAAAAA	Forsyth Central	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-AAAAAAA	Archer	707,846	291,771	373	3	999,993	7
7-AAAAAAA	Norcross	291,976	705,078	1,506	1,440	1,000,000	-
7-AAAAAAA	Duluth	178	2,688	3,518	824,364	830,748	169,252
7-AAAAAAA	Meadowcreek	-	415	968,368	22,480	991,263	8,737
7-AAAAAAA	Discovery	-	48	26,229	48,028	74,305	925,695
7-AAAAAAA	Dunwoody	-	-	6	103,685	103,691	896,309
7-AAAAAAA	Berkmar	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAAAAA	Collins Hill	729,384	270,387	226	3	1,000,000	-
8-AAAAAAA	Mill Creek	270,616	729,252	127	5	1,000,000	-
8-AAAAAAA	Mountain View	-	210	132,407	753,789	886,406	113,594
8-AAAAAAA	North Gwinnett	-	77	860,807	131,931	992,815	7,185
8-AAAAAAA	Peachtree Ridge	-	74	6,433	114,272	120,779	879,221

Class AAAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Buford	8-AAAAAA	6-1	100.50	1,000,000	4.74	978,282	907,027	857,434	800,982	0.25
Hughes	4-AAAAAA	6-1	80.42	1,000,000	3.63	871,472	503,710	296,235	42,106	22.75
Cambridge	7-AAAAAA	6-0	81.61	999,996	2.89	588,998	315,124	185,163	32,340	29.92
Lee County	1-AAAAAA	7-1	82.16	1,000,000	2.88	686,576	117,900	76,119	29,758	32.60
Carrollton	5-AAAAAA	6-1	81.28	994,605	2.78	613,068	410,591	91,992	28,753	33.78
Rome	5-AAAAAA	5-2	79.92	991,420	2.70	531,259	355,801	164,566	24,106	40.48
Westlake	4-AAAAAA	5-2	78.53	999,942	3.00	665,914	345,572	47,731	15,844	62.12
Brunswick	2-AAAAAA	8-0	74.39	1,000,000	3.26	792,291	369,021	131,505	10,190	97.14
Riverwood	7-AAAAAA	6-1	75.90	985,967	2.05	370,236	172,666	31,666	5,582	178.15
Johns Creek	7-AAAAAA	5-2	76.34	981,202	2.02	292,970	87,756	34,031	4,563	218.15
Northside (Warner Robins)	1-AAAAAA	5-2	72.45	1,000,000	2.45	330,370	103,929	35,162	2,403	415.15
Creekview	7-AAAAAA	5-2	73.75	994,024	1.72	225,655	101,091	24,212	2,238	445.83
Houston County	1-AAAAAA	4-4	67.26	1,000,000	2.21	201,299	62,038	11,743	448	2,231.14
Lovejoy	4-AAAAAA	4-1	67.09	999,617	1.94	139,261	31,680	2,930	279	3,583.23
South Paulding	5-AAAAAA	5-2	68.24	995,419	1.38	95,701	25,705	2,750	183	5,463.48
Kennesaw Mountain	6-AAAAAA	7-1	63.85	1,000,000	2.04	193,250	35,077	799	105	9,522.81
Dacula	8-AAAAAA	4-3	62.51	1,000,000	1.73	114,907	19,864	2,258	53	18,866.92
Allatoona	6-AAAAAA	3-3	62.65	972,864	1.62	83,238	12,969	1,770	40	24,999.00
Douglas County	5-AAAAAA	6-1	64.67	941,926	1.10	32,372	5,535	894	20	49,999.00
Pope	6-AAAAAA	5-2	60.03	999,492	1.58	65,326	8,086	765	6	166,665.67
Kell	6-AAAAAA	4-3	54.03	715,615	0.78	5,050	360	18	1	999,999.00
Effingham County	2-AAAAAA	4-2	55.90	812,010	0.96	26,428	2,285	110	-	-
Shiloh	8-AAAAAA	2-5	54.43	901,302	1.17	18,738	1,234	49	-	-
Glynn Academy	2-AAAAAA	3-4-1	55.49	616,956	0.67	8,565	545	25	-	-
Lanier	8-AAAAAA	3-3	54.15	757,919	0.95	12,372	742	23	-	-
Richmond Hill	2-AAAAAA	2-5	55.74	725,684	0.81	10,302	686	14	-	-
Statesboro	2-AAAAAA	4-3	56.10	841,587	0.95	10,494	781	10	-	-
Evans	3-AAAAAA	6-1	49.41	999,871	1.06	20,207	1,352	8	-	-
Alexander	5-AAAAAA	5-1	57.75	76,564	0.08	1,780	228	8	-	-
Sequoyah	7-AAAAAA	3-4	58.13	15,017	0.02	307	53	5	-	-
River Ridge	7-AAAAAA	5-2	58.07	21,457	0.02	354	52	3	-	-
Alcovy	3-AAAAAA	2-4	46.68	995,120	1.04	8,306	398	2	-	-
Winder-Barrow	8-AAAAAA	4-4	50.04	340,745	0.39	2,371	102	-	-	-
Tucker	4-AAAAAA	1-6	42.33	977,609	1.00	1,623	21	-	-	-
Lakeside (Evans)	3-AAAAAA	2-5	41.10	984,389	1.00	508	14	-	-	-
Lassiter	6-AAAAAA	4-4	44.68	283,771	0.29	96	4	-	-	-
Centennial	7-AAAAAA	1-6	47.05	2,337	0.00	6	1	-	-	-
Grovetown	3-AAAAAA	1-6	37.50	806,656	0.81	27	-	-	-	-
Sprayberry	6-AAAAAA	2-3	41.69	28,257	0.03	12	-	-	-	-
North Atlanta	4-AAAAAA	4-3	40.33	10,752	0.01	7	-	-	-	-
Heritage (Conyers)	3-AAAAAA	1-6	26.56	204,445	0.20	1	-	-	-	-
South Effingham	2-AAAAAA	1-6	39.48	3,753	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Morrow	4-AAAAAA	1-6	22.54	12,080	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Rockdale County	3-AAAAAA	1-5	21.26	9,519	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Habersham Central	8-AAAAAA	2-6	42.64	34	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Dalton	5-AAAAAA	1-6	47.29	36	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
East Paulding	5-AAAAAA	2-5	45.17	30	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Bradwell Institute	2-AAAAAA	0-6	31.21	10	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
South Cobb	6-AAAAAA	2-5	41.43	1	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Valdosta	1-AAAAAA	3-4	68.19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Paulding County	5-AAAAAA	2-5	42.75	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Central Gwinnett	8-AAAAAA	1-7	36.61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Wheeler	6-AAAAAA	1-7	32.41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Chattahoochee	7-AAAAAA	1-6	31.95	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Osborne	6-AAAAAA	1-5	24.76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Lakeside (Atlanta)	4-AAAAAA	2-5	3.72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAA	Lee County	847,233	150,613	2,154	-	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	150,274	558,525	291,201	-	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAA	Houston County	2,493	290,862	706,645	-	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAA	Valdosta	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-AAAAAA	Brunswick	948,336	51,627	37	-	1,000,000	-
2-AAAAAA	Effingham County	51,594	244,766	191,357	324,293	812,010	187,990
2-AAAAAA	Statesboro	70	362,225	307,814	171,478	841,587	158,413
2-AAAAAA	Richmond Hill	-	229,892	331,270	164,522	725,684	274,316
2-AAAAAA	Glynn Academy	-	111,490	168,044	337,422	616,956	383,044
2-AAAAAA	South Effingham	-	-	1,478	2,275	3,753	996,247
2-AAAAAA	Bradwell Institute	-	-	-	10	10	999,990
3-AAAAAA	Evans	615,683	346,590	35,753	1,845	999,871	129
3-AAAAAA	Alcovy	352,156	434,241	199,266	9,457	995,120	4,880
3-AAAAAA	Lakeside (Evans)	31,324	208,558	502,431	242,076	984,389	15,611
3-AAAAAA	Heritage (Conyers)	830	4,606	16,255	182,754	204,445	795,555
3-AAAAAA	Grovetown	6	5,925	241,314	559,411	806,656	193,344
3-AAAAAA	Rockdale County	1	80	4,981	4,457	9,519	990,481
4-AAAAAA	Hughes	880,522	90,860	27,822	796	1,000,000	-
4-AAAAAA	Westlake	69,003	717,197	211,089	2,653	999,942	58
4-AAAAAA	Lovejoy	50,445	191,489	755,348	2,335	999,617	383
4-AAAAAA	Tucker	30	201	3,517	973,861	977,609	22,391
4-AAAAAA	North Atlanta	-	253	2,224	8,275	10,752	989,248
4-AAAAAA	Morrow	-	-	-	12,080	12,080	987,920
4-AAAAAA	Lakeside (Atlanta)	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAAA	Rome	704,571	115,792	70,588	100,469	991,420	8,580
5-AAAAAA	Carrollton	164,173	695,812	48,838	85,782	994,605	5,395
5-AAAAAA	South Paulding	126,531	152,756	700,035	16,097	995,419	4,581
5-AAAAAA	Douglas County	4,115	18,067	176,616	743,128	941,926	58,074
5-AAAAAA	Alexander	610	17,573	3,920	54,461	76,564	923,436
5-AAAAAA	East Paulding	-	-	3	27	30	999,970
5-AAAAAA	Dalton	-	-	-	36	36	999,964
5-AAAAAA	Paulding County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAAAA	Kennesaw Mountain	983,765	16,157	69	9	1,000,000	-
6-AAAAAA	Allatoona	8,608	530,092	311,625	122,539	972,864	27,136
6-AAAAAA	Pope	7,623	411,042	522,442	58,385	999,492	508
6-AAAAAA	Kell	4	41,257	139,597	534,757	715,615	284,385
6-AAAAAA	Lassiter	-	1,441	22,265	260,065	283,771	716,229
6-AAAAAA	Sprayberry	-	11	4,002	24,244	28,257	971,743
6-AAAAAA	South Cobb	-	-	-	1	1	999,999
6-AAAAAA	Wheeler	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAAAA	Osborne	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-AAAAAA	Cambridge	679,696	199,179	121,069	52	999,996	4
7-AAAAAA	Riverwood	188,596	110,757	635,458	51,156	985,967	14,033
7-AAAAAA	Johns Creek	131,707	556,411	64,407	228,677	981,202	18,798
7-AAAAAA	Creekview	1	133,089	178,078	682,856	994,024	5,976
7-AAAAAA	River Ridge	-	564	243	20,650	21,457	978,543
7-AAAAAA	Sequoyah	-	-	697	14,320	15,017	984,983
7-AAAAAA	Centennial	-	-	48	2,289	2,337	997,663
7-AAAAAA	Chattahoochee	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAAAA	Buford	992,590	7,396	12	2	1,000,000	-
8-AAAAAA	Dacula	7,216	800,377	188,984	3,423	1,000,000	-
8-AAAAAA	Lanier	192	3,326	324,605	429,796	757,919	242,081
8-AAAAAA	Shiloh	2	188,897	429,526	282,877	901,302	98,698
8-AAAAAA	Winder-Barrow	-	4	56,873	283,868	340,745	659,255
8-AAAAAA	Habersham Central	-	-	-	34	34	999,966
8-AAAAAA	Central Gwinnett	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Class AAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Ware County	1-AAAAA	6-1	95.79	1,000,000	4.52	889,916	879,902	755,544	580,047	0.72
Warner Robins	1-AAAAA	6-1	89.57	999,989	3.66	654,996	626,972	477,871	197,846	4.05
Creekside	3-AAAAA	6-1	84.16	1,000,000	3.44	737,057	693,064	215,676	83,474	10.98
Cartersville	7-AAAAA	7-0	84.34	1,000,000	2.95	382,963	355,742	215,559	65,594	14.25
Woodward Academy	3-AAAAA	7-0	80.33	1,000,000	2.96	603,565	545,474	133,895	35,929	26.83
Coffee	1-AAAAA	6-1	80.48	1,000,000	2.39	380,642	335,003	109,173	23,173	42.15
Calhoun	7-AAAAA	7-1	77.84	1,000,000	2.31	146,871	126,801	52,845	11,790	83.82
Jones County	4-AAAAA	5-2	67.05	999,565	2.64	725,914	87,350	12,663	745	1,341.28
Whitewater	2-AAAAA	6-1	66.13	1,000,000	2.62	693,865	91,403	10,713	596	1,676.85
St. Pius X	5-AAAAA	5-2	64.91	1,000,000	1.88	84,119	49,864	3,992	209	4,783.69
Starr's Mill	2-AAAAA	5-2	63.43	999,792	2.37	559,181	44,709	4,258	198	5,049.51
Blessed Trinity	7-AAAAA	4-4	65.12	995,692	1.64	58,635	34,738	1,482	127	7,873.02
Dutchtown	4-AAAAA	5-2	62.10	1,000,000	2.23	522,086	45,527	2,634	126	7,935.51
Decatur	5-AAAAA	7-0	62.11	1,000,000	1.67	49,302	25,542	1,390	53	18,866.92
Griffin	2-AAAAA	3-4	61.75	998,210	1.75	315,002	27,493	988	50	19,999.00
Clarke Central	8-AAAAA	5-2	58.43	1,000,000	2.36	391,322	5,798	628	29	34,481.76
Jonesboro	3-AAAAA	5-2	61.82	980,756	1.03	4,024	1,905	153	8	124,999.00
Union Grove	4-AAAAA	4-3	58.49	954,664	1.40	150,780	3,641	223	5	199,999.00
Ola	4-AAAAA	2-5	51.06	561,712	0.68	39,977	1,153	18	1	999,999.00
Villa Rica	6-AAAAA	5-2	53.24	1,000,000	2.01	196,307	7,030	129	-	-
New Manchester	6-AAAAA	3-3	50.50	999,856	1.89	139,121	3,225	52	-	-
Eastside	8-AAAAA	4-3	51.06	855,460	1.41	84,627	2,322	49	-	-
Lithia Springs	6-AAAAA	2-6	49.00	987,119	1.61	81,199	1,849	26	-	-
Veterans	1-AAAAA	2-5	54.91	999,865	1.03	6,133	1,899	17	-	-
Harris County	2-AAAAA	4-3	50.00	946,977	1.12	55,292	814	12	-	-
Woodland (Stockbridge)	4-AAAAA	4-3	46.47	351,923	0.40	10,488	145	3	-	-
Cass	7-AAAAA	5-3	47.97	990,869	1.11	1,360	260	2	-	-
Banneker	3-AAAAA	2-5	53.89	767,126	0.77	135	42	2	-	-
Stockbridge	4-AAAAA	3-4	47.72	70,362	0.08	2,321	25	2	-	-
Eagle's Landing	4-AAAAA	3-4	47.94	61,774	0.07	2,538	50	1	-	-
Jackson County	8-AAAAA	4-3	43.00	542,108	0.70	11,882	93	-	-	-
Loganville	8-AAAAA	3-4	41.69	522,752	0.64	7,471	56	-	-	-
Southwest DeKalb	5-AAAAA	4-4	47.37	999,997	1.03	275	55	-	-	-
Greenbrier	8-AAAAA	3-4	40.77	502,755	0.62	6,647	45	-	-	-
Apalachee	8-AAAAA	2-5	37.06	356,122	0.41	2,129	9	-	-	-
Maynard Jackson	6-AAAAA	2-5	33.42	891,438	0.93	794	-	-	-	-
Walnut Grove	8-AAAAA	3-4	34.71	220,803	0.24	635	-	-	-	-
Northside (Columbus)	2-AAAAA	4-3	38.78	48,468	0.05	287	-	-	-	-
Chapel Hill	6-AAAAA	1-6	29.73	119,806	0.13	88	-	-	-	-
McIntosh	2-AAAAA	2-6	40.46	4,996	0.01	46	-	-	-	-
Mundy's Mill	3-AAAAA	3-3	44.23	252,066	0.25	6	-	-	-	-
Hiram	7-AAAAA	0-8	33.49	13,439	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Northgate	2-AAAAA	1-6	33.69	1,557	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Lithonia	5-AAAAA	1-6	34.06	804,845	0.81	-	-	-	-	-
M.L. King	5-AAAAA	1-6	24.68	187,980	0.19	-	-	-	-	-
Northview	5-AAAAA	2-5	14.20	7,172	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
North Springs	6-AAAAA	1-6	14.26	1,781	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Wayne County	1-AAAAA	0-7	37.60	146	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Drew	3-AAAAA	1-5	35.79	28	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Forest Park	3-AAAAA	2-4	32.17	24	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Stone Mountain	5-AAAAA	4-4	18.09	6	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Chamblee	5-AAAAA	6-1	41.76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Midtown	6-AAAAA	0-1	29.08	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Locust Grove	4-AAAAA	0-7	22.42	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Tri-Cities	3-AAAAA	1-5	16.68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Cartersville)	7-AAAAA	1-7	13.69	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clarkston	5-AAAAA	2-2	-0.31	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Gainesville)	8-AAAAA	0-7	-4.21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Keys	5-AAAAA	1-4	-25.10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAA	Ware County	999,750	244	6	-	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAA	Warner Robins	154	733,077	263,349	3,409	999,989	11
1-AAAAA	Veterans	96	862	31,898	967,009	999,865	135
1-AAAAA	Coffee	-	265,817	704,744	29,439	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAA	Wayne County	-	-	3	143	146	999,854
2-AAAAA	Whitewater	608,813	356,878	25,426	8,883	1,000,000	-
2-AAAAA	Starr's Mill	390,131	607,669	1,782	210	999,792	208
2-AAAAA	Harris County	1,056	16,044	205,881	723,996	946,977	53,023
2-AAAAA	Griffin	-	19,402	766,668	212,140	998,210	1,790
2-AAAAA	Northside (Columbus)	-	6	64	48,398	48,468	951,532
2-AAAAA	McIntosh	-	1	151	4,844	4,996	995,004
2-AAAAA	Northgate	-	-	28	1,529	1,557	998,443
3-AAAAA	Creekside	568,964	405,982	24,951	103	1,000,000	-
3-AAAAA	Woodward Academy	429,906	567,590	2,504	-	1,000,000	-
3-AAAAA	Jonesboro	1,129	26,157	889,840	63,630	980,756	19,244
3-AAAAA	Mundy's Mill	1	271	38,800	212,994	252,066	747,934
3-AAAAA	Banneker	-	-	43,905	723,221	767,126	232,874
3-AAAAA	Drew	-	-	-	28	28	999,972
3-AAAAA	Forest Park	-	-	-	24	24	999,976
3-AAAAA	Tri-Cities	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
4-AAAAA	Jones County	674,444	318,605	5,545	971	999,565	435
4-AAAAA	Dutchtown	323,823	657,530	17,913	734	1,000,000	-
4-AAAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	1,731	20,673	137,442	192,077	351,923	648,077
4-AAAAA	Union Grove	2	3,192	797,005	154,465	954,664	45,336
4-AAAAA	Stockbridge	-	-	25,075	45,287	70,362	929,638
4-AAAAA	Ola	-	-	16,948	544,764	561,712	438,288
4-AAAAA	Eagle's Landing	-	-	72	61,702	61,774	938,226
4-AAAAA	Locust Grove	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAA	St. Pius X	590,484	406,957	2,520	39	1,000,000	-
5-AAAAA	Decatur	407,983	515,406	76,576	35	1,000,000	-
5-AAAAA	Southwest DeKalb	1,533	77,634	919,906	924	999,997	3
5-AAAAA	M.L. King	-	2	44	187,934	187,980	812,020
5-AAAAA	Northview	-	1	888	6,283	7,172	992,828
5-AAAAA	Lithonia	-	-	66	804,779	804,845	195,155
5-AAAAA	Stone Mountain	-	-	-	6	6	999,994
5-AAAAA	Chamblee	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAA	Clarkston	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAA	Cross Keys	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAAA	Villa Rica	551,712	420,371	19,615	8,302	1,000,000	-
6-AAAAA	New Manchester	448,288	548,277	3,139	152	999,856	144
6-AAAAA	Lithia Springs	-	24,688	938,789	23,642	987,119	12,881
6-AAAAA	Maynard Jackson	-	3,633	12,481	875,324	891,438	108,562
6-AAAAA	Chapel Hill	-	3,025	25,198	91,583	119,806	880,194
6-AAAAA	North Springs	-	6	778	997	1,781	998,219
6-AAAAA	Midtown	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-AAAAA	Cartersville	720,622	279,378	-	-	1,000,000	-
7-AAAAA	Calhoun	279,378	708,341	9,586	2,695	1,000,000	-
7-AAAAA	Blessed Trinity	-	8,985	866,218	120,489	995,692	4,308
7-AAAAA	Cass	-	3,296	122,343	865,230	990,869	9,131
7-AAAAA	Hiram	-	-	1,853	11,586	13,439	986,561
7-AAAAA	Woodland (Cartersville)	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAAA	Clarke Central	999,990	10	-	-	1,000,000	-
8-AAAAA	Loganville	9	40,889	220,804	261,050	522,752	477,248
8-AAAAA	Jackson County	1	177,060	257,259	107,788	542,108	457,892
8-AAAAA	Eastside	-	529,448	214,169	111,843	855,460	144,540
8-AAAAA	Greenbrier	-	130,623	160,284	211,848	502,755	497,245
8-AAAAA	Apalachee	-	91,445	88,204	176,473	356,122	643,878
8-AAAAA	Walnut Grove	-	30,525	59,280	130,998	220,803	779,197
8-AAAAA	Johnson (Gainesville)	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Class AAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Benedictine	3-AAAA	6-2	100.57	1,000,000	4.82	994,326	957,964	870,045	843,019	0.19
Jefferson	8-AAAA	7-0	84.76	1,000,000	3.80	873,614	768,248	167,452	98,512	9.15
Riverdale	5-AAAA	5-0-1	73.85	999,997	3.57	806,639	471,649	307,114	19,310	50.79
Marist	6-AAAA	5-1	76.41	999,990	2.75	703,057	59,656	27,837	9,231	107.33
Carver (Columbus)	2-AAAA	6-1	71.73	1,000,000	2.90	551,370	276,815	164,210	8,113	122.26
Cedartown	7-AAAA	6-1	70.17	1,000,000	3.25	688,887	402,747	173,135	7,282	136.32
Perry	4-AAAA	6-1	73.11	999,962	2.51	381,483	151,908	52,295	4,560	218.30
Bainbridge	1-AAAA	3-3	69.51	999,912	3.05	818,745	210,743	27,772	2,855	349.26
North Oconee	8-AAAA	5-3	68.76	1,000,000	2.54	397,684	164,325	64,214	2,454	406.50
Baldwin	4-AAAA	5-2	68.64	1,000,000	2.43	351,033	141,443	45,856	1,897	526.15
Spalding	4-AAAA	5-1	66.75	999,968	2.49	392,114	141,347	44,591	1,409	708.72
Thomas County Central	1-AAAA	5-2	65.20	999,720	2.22	367,728	93,468	18,736	622	1,606.72
Flowery Branch	8-AAAA	4-3	64.79	988,337	2.05	254,703	88,471	22,965	545	1,833.86
New Hampstead	3-AAAA	6-1	61.27	1,000,000	1.66	98,606	22,342	5,986	81	12,344.68
Dougherty	1-AAAA	6-1	60.90	987,445	1.56	95,600	24,789	4,985	73	13,697.63
Cairo	1-AAAA	3-3	58.65	939,176	1.28	52,599	10,670	1,706	23	43,477.26
Mays	6-AAAA	3-4	55.13	1,000,000	1.35	48,163	6,284	677	7	142,856.14
West Laurens	4-AAAA	3-5	55.17	873,976	0.98	14,547	1,702	238	3	333,332.33
LaGrange	2-AAAA	4-1	58.31	999,957	1.23	15,827	2,735	96	3	333,332.33
Hapeville Charter	6-AAAA	2-5	53.38	741,893	0.80	6,209	685	58	1	999,999.00
Luella	5-AAAA	6-2	47.91	1,000,000	1.59	22,043	590	15	-	-
Fayette County	5-AAAA	5-3	48.67	1,000,000	1.62	19,386	458	5	-	-
Stephenson	6-AAAA	5-2	48.18	355,039	0.37	923	63	4	-	-
Northwest Whitfield	7-AAAA	4-3	47.37	995,932	1.52	28,967	568	2	-	-
Cedar Shoals	8-AAAA	2-4	49.81	791,605	0.84	3,922	63	2	-	-
Miller Grove	6-AAAA	5-1	45.38	725,622	0.75	1,281	51	2	-	-
Madison County	8-AAAA	3-3	47.23	113,766	0.13	835	35	1	-	-
Arabia Mountain	6-AAAA	3-5	42.84	177,456	0.18	114	3	1	-	-
Heritage (Ringgold)	7-AAAA	4-2	43.94	988,414	1.27	1,490	50	-	-	-
Hampton	5-AAAA	2-4	40.22	999,256	1.02	1,253	38	-	-	-
Troup	2-AAAA	6-2	46.70	1,000,000	1.05	2,120	30	-	-	-
Pickens	7-AAAA	4-3	41.37	436,181	0.49	1,591	22	-	-	-
Central (Carrollton)	7-AAAA	4-4	42.59	577,089	0.59	949	19	-	-	-
Hardaway	2-AAAA	5-2	38.38	1,000,000	1.02	871	13	-	-	-
Islands	3-AAAA	4-3	34.69	1,000,000	1.02	840	6	-	-	-
Jenkins	3-AAAA	3-4	29.36	1,000,000	1.01	326	-	-	-	-
Chestatee	8-AAAA	3-4	39.93	106,292	0.11	72	-	-	-	-
Westside (Macon)	4-AAAA	4-3	40.12	123,572	0.13	58	-	-	-	-
Westover	1-AAAA	1-5	43.20	62,537	0.06	23	-	-	-	-
Monroe	1-AAAA	2-5	37.81	11,210	0.01	2	-	-	-	-
Rutland	4-AAAA	1-6	29.65	2,517	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Ridgeland	7-AAAA	1-7	22.31	2,384	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
McDonough	5-AAAA	4-4	37.14	730	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Spencer	2-AAAA	2-5	23.33	31	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
North Clayton	5-AAAA	0-8	-4.13	17	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Shaw	2-AAAA	0-5	14.70	11	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Howard	4-AAAA	2-4	34.50	5	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Columbus	2-AAAA	2-5	28.19	1	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
East Hall	8-AAAA	1-7	9.31	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Southeast Whitfield	7-AAAA	1-7	9.07	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Kendrick	2-AAAA	0-7	5.58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	5-AAAA	0-6	4.04	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Jordan	2-AAAA	0-3	0.18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Druid Hills	6-AAAA	0-8	-12.86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAA	Bainbridge	757,161	232,228	9,967	556	999,912	88
1-AAAA	Thomas County Central	231,488	372,247	237,005	158,980	999,720	280
1-AAAA	Cairo	7,379	150,302	313,980	467,515	939,176	60,824
1-AAAA	Dougherty	3,970	244,909	436,591	301,975	987,445	12,555
1-AAAA	Westover	1	251	1,789	60,496	62,537	937,463
1-AAAA	Monroe	1	63	668	10,478	11,210	988,790
2-AAAA	Carver (Columbus)	999,139	855	5	1	1,000,000	-
2-AAAA	Hardaway	830	14,168	50,609	934,393	1,000,000	-
2-AAAA	LaGrange	24	785,177	188,289	26,467	999,957	43
2-AAAA	Troup	7	199,800	761,097	39,096	1,000,000	-
2-AAAA	Spencer	-	-	-	31	31	999,969
2-AAAA	Shaw	-	-	-	11	11	999,989
2-AAAA	Columbus	-	-	-	1	1	999,999
2-AAAA	Kendrick	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-AAAA	Jordan	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
3-AAAA	Benedictine	995,185	4,815	-	-	1,000,000	-
3-AAAA	New Hampstead	4,814	988,602	6,456	128	1,000,000	-
3-AAAA	Islands	1	426	682,291	317,282	1,000,000	-
3-AAAA	Jenkins	-	6,157	311,253	682,590	1,000,000	-
4-AAAA	Spalding	469,550	349,035	179,589	1,794	999,968	32
4-AAAA	Baldwin	341,241	270,394	388,347	18	1,000,000	-
4-AAAA	Perry	189,190	380,243	428,876	1,653	999,962	38
4-AAAA	Westside (Macon)	19	328	2,978	120,247	123,572	876,428
4-AAAA	West Laurens	-	-	208	873,768	873,976	126,024
4-AAAA	Rutland	-	-	2	2,515	2,517	997,483
4-AAAA	Howard	-	-	-	5	5	999,995
5-AAAA	Riverdale	978,528	20,207	995	267	999,997	3
5-AAAA	Luella	19,411	435,351	545,200	38	1,000,000	-
5-AAAA	Fayette County	2,061	544,385	453,261	293	1,000,000	-
5-AAAA	Hampton	-	57	544	998,655	999,256	744
5-AAAA	McDonough	-	-	-	730	730	999,270
5-AAAA	North Clayton	-	-	-	17	17	999,983
5-AAAA	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAA	Marist	942,308	56,463	1,126	93	999,990	10
6-AAAA	Mays	56,454	881,771	61,748	27	1,000,000	-
6-AAAA	Miller Grove	1,238	61,184	292,813	370,387	725,622	274,378
6-AAAA	Stephenson	-	574	193,766	160,699	355,039	644,961
6-AAAA	Hapeville Charter	-	8	375,526	366,359	741,893	258,107
6-AAAA	Arabia Mountain	-	-	75,021	102,435	177,456	822,544
6-AAAA	Druid Hills	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-AAAA	Cedartown	992,612	6,723	87	578	1,000,000	-
7-AAAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	6,749	20,136	808,822	152,707	988,414	11,586
7-AAAA	Northwest Whitfield	639	860,269	130,942	4,082	995,932	4,068
7-AAAA	Pickens	-	112,684	49,625	273,872	436,181	563,819
7-AAAA	Central (Carrollton)	-	188	10,524	566,377	577,089	422,911
7-AAAA	Ridgeland	-	-	-	2,384	2,384	997,616
7-AAAA	Southeast Whitfield	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAA	Jefferson	893,837	106,090	72	1	1,000,000	-
8-AAAA	North Oconee	106,163	839,949	45,433	8,455	1,000,000	-
8-AAAA	Flowery Branch	-	45,611	897,947	44,779	988,337	11,663
8-AAAA	Cedar Shoals	-	8,280	12,089	771,236	791,605	208,395
8-AAAA	Madison County	-	69	37,932	75,765	113,766	886,234
8-AAAA	Chestatee	-	1	6,527	99,764	106,292	893,708
8-AAAA	East Hall	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Class AAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Oconee County	8-AAA	7-0	80.23	999,997	4.01	915,053	622,092	501,829	366,337	1.73
Appling County	1-AAA	8-0	77.11	1,000,000	3.81	938,798	509,709	369,029	228,217	3.38
Sandy Creek	5-AAA	7-0	73.27	1,000,000	3.84	906,556	641,636	313,432	140,673	6.11
Thomson	4-AAA	7-0	72.53	1,000,000	3.48	755,485	484,906	268,668	104,414	8.58
Cedar Grove	5-AAA	5-2	69.72	999,999	3.59	883,323	565,457	190,226	67,809	13.75
Pierce County	1-AAA	5-2	68.44	1,000,000	3.23	805,541	312,996	136,209	39,516	24.31
Monroe Area	8-AAA	6-0	68.29	999,546	2.60	497,338	196,721	83,854	22,943	42.59
Rockmart	6-AAA	6-1	66.23	999,802	2.20	355,491	160,245	38,072	11,310	87.42
Crisp County	2-AAA	4-3	64.01	1,000,000	2.58	433,459	136,637	43,005	8,071	122.90
Burke County	4-AAA	4-2	63.42	999,751	2.48	428,444	153,310	23,063	5,822	170.76
Hart County	8-AAA	5-1	62.08	998,380	1.73	174,796	51,000	10,093	1,763	566.21
Stephens County	8-AAA	6-1	61.08	996,557	1.62	149,735	41,676	6,309	1,094	913.08
Ringgold	6-AAA	7-0	60.41	998,116	1.63	132,098	40,820	6,718	1,060	942.40
Peach County	2-AAA	3-3	58.24	995,117	1.93	92,711	14,446	2,941	434	2,303.15
Cherokee Bluff	7-AAA	7-0	55.76	999,965	1.75	120,829	20,024	2,817	224	4,463.29
Carver (Atlanta)	5-AAA	4-2	56.45	984,714	1.70	88,041	14,632	1,736	182	5,493.51
Adairsville	6-AAA	6-1	54.32	995,748	1.15	30,462	3,855	447	49	20,407.16
Tattnall County	1-AAA	5-2	51.22	993,373	1.78	73,131	8,740	626	30	33,332.33
North Hall	7-AAA	6-2	51.02	1,000,000	1.46	52,690	5,933	405	26	38,460.54
Windsor Forest	3-AAA	4-2	47.69	999,996	1.74	63,365	8,375	254	14	71,427.57
North Murray	6-AAA	5-2	52.00	866,606	0.95	15,412	1,331	106	7	142,856.14
Dawson County	7-AAA	4-3	46.92	997,340	1.24	24,533	2,116	79	2	499,999.00
Liberty County	3-AAA	3-3	42.53	999,989	1.37	12,939	770	17	2	499,999.00
Mary Persons	2-AAA	4-3	46.97	840,246	0.92	7,318	666	21	1	999,999.00
Southeast Bulloch	3-AAA	6-1	42.21	997,855	1.17	13,283	642	17	-	-
Jackson	2-AAA	4-3	45.56	799,771	0.91	5,662	386	8	-	-
Greater Atlanta Christian	5-AAA	2-5	43.98	758,460	0.95	9,317	300	7	-	-
Westminster (Atlanta)	5-AAA	3-4	45.27	89,461	0.11	1,516	66	5	-	-
Harlem	4-AAA	4-3	42.39	908,679	1.01	2,647	83	3	-	-
Upson-Lee	2-AAA	4-3	45.55	361,103	0.41	2,708	195	2	-	-
White County	7-AAA	2-5	40.91	869,292	0.89	3,880	165	1	-	-
Sonoraville	6-AAA	4-3	48.13	46,332	0.05	302	15	1	-	-
Long County	1-AAA	4-4	32.23	976,201	1.11	1,560	29	-	-	-
Salem	5-AAA	4-3	38.31	167,366	0.19	593	13	-	-	-
Hephzibah	4-AAA	5-2	36.07	953,858	1.00	695	9	-	-	-
LaFayette	6-AAA	4-3	41.59	93,396	0.09	149	4	-	-	-
Johnson (Savannah)	3-AAA	1-5	28.32	759,646	0.76	73	-	-	-	-
Morgan County	4-AAA	2-5	31.93	137,712	0.14	34	-	-	-	-
Brantley County	1-AAA	2-5	27.27	30,426	0.03	20	-	-	-	-
Gilmer	7-AAA	2-5	26.56	40,551	0.04	7	-	-	-	-
Lumpkin County	7-AAA	2-5	23.45	90,208	0.09	5	-	-	-	-
East Jackson	8-AAA	2-5	25.14	5,036	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Beach	3-AAA	1-5	18.07	242,082	0.24	-	-	-	-	-
Pike County	2-AAA	2-5	33.55	3,750	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
West Hall	7-AAA	2-5	24.42	2,644	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Franklin County	8-AAA	3-4	28.68	484	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Savannah	3-AAA	2-5	-1.10	351	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Groves	3-AAA	0-4	-13.43	81	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Macon)	2-AAA	1-6	26.84	13	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Coahulla Creek	6-AAA	4-4	38.95	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Richmond Academy	4-AAA	0-7	20.42	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Douglass	5-AAA	0-7	18.91	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Murray County	6-AAA	1-7	18.86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Creek	4-AAA	1-7	17.87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Sumter County	2-AAA	0-6	17.73	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6-AAA	0-7	15.91	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Redan	5-AAA	2-5	11.78	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
East Forsyth	7-AAA	2-6	11.09	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAA	Appling County	739,946	260,002	52	-	1,000,000	-
1-AAA	Pierce County	260,020	673,448	65,152	1,380	1,000,000	-
1-AAA	Tattnall County	34	65,277	854,481	73,581	993,373	6,627
1-AAA	Long County	-	1,258	75,795	899,148	976,201	23,799
1-AAA	Brantley County	-	15	4,520	25,891	30,426	969,574
2-AAA	Crisp County	999,879	121	-	-	1,000,000	-
2-AAA	Peach County	117	862,362	115,751	16,887	995,117	4,883
2-AAA	Jackson	4	87,128	303,374	409,265	799,771	200,229
2-AAA	Upson-Lee	-	38,531	171,932	150,640	361,103	638,897
2-AAA	Mary Persons	-	11,858	408,922	419,466	840,246	159,754
2-AAA	Pike County	-	-	19	3,731	3,750	996,250
2-AAA	Central (Macon)	-	-	2	11	13	999,987
2-AAA	Sumter County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
3-AAA	Windsor Forest	735,288	58,761	183,829	22,118	999,996	4
3-AAA	Southeast Bulloch	144,306	78,540	760,526	14,483	997,855	2,145
3-AAA	Liberty County	120,388	860,221	15,190	4,190	999,989	11
3-AAA	Beach	15	1,861	15,201	225,005	242,082	757,918
3-AAA	Johnson (Savannah)	3	617	25,253	733,773	759,646	240,354
3-AAA	Savannah	-	-	1	350	351	999,649
3-AAA	Groves	-	-	-	81	81	999,919
4-AAA	Thomson	985,202	14,095	549	154	1,000,000	-
4-AAA	Burke County	13,874	969,976	15,337	564	999,751	249
4-AAA	Harlem	585	887	591,562	315,645	908,679	91,321
4-AAA	Hephzibah	339	12,889	367,157	573,473	953,858	46,142
4-AAA	Morgan County	-	2,153	25,395	110,164	137,712	862,288
4-AAA	Cross Creek	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
4-AAA	Richmond Academy	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAA	Sandy Creek	613,875	347,938	38,182	5	1,000,000	-
5-AAA	Cedar Grove	381,507	611,106	7,379	7	999,999	1
5-AAA	Carver (Atlanta)	4,618	40,948	768,488	170,660	984,714	15,286
5-AAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	-	7	154,901	603,552	758,460	241,540
5-AAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	-	1	198	89,262	89,461	910,539
5-AAA	Salem	-	-	30,852	136,514	167,366	832,634
5-AAA	Douglass	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAA	Redan	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAA	Rockmart	665,588	282,058	50,135	2,021	999,802	198
6-AAA	Ringgold	303,764	647,262	45,257	1,833	998,116	1,884
6-AAA	Adairsville	30,646	66,010	491,627	407,465	995,748	4,252
6-AAA	North Murray	2	4,195	407,327	455,082	866,606	133,394
6-AAA	LaFayette	-	472	4,112	88,812	93,396	906,604
6-AAA	Sonoraville	-	3	1,542	44,787	46,332	953,668
6-AAA	Coahulla Creek	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAA	Murray County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAA	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-AAA	Cherokee Bluff	551,942	276,920	130,148	40,955	999,965	35
7-AAA	North Hall	298,194	402,793	298,985	28	1,000,000	-
7-AAA	Dawson County	149,864	311,053	512,213	24,210	997,340	2,660
7-AAA	White County	-	9,210	54,472	805,610	869,292	130,708
7-AAA	Lumpkin County	-	24	4,182	86,002	90,208	909,792
7-AAA	Gilmer	-	-	-	40,551	40,551	959,449
7-AAA	West Hall	-	-	-	2,644	2,644	997,356
7-AAA	East Forsyth	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAA	Oconee County	835,096	149,668	12,635	2,598	999,997	3
8-AAA	Monroe Area	147,819	629,089	190,285	32,353	999,546	454
8-AAA	Stephens County	14,095	47,233	346,137	589,092	996,557	3,443
8-AAA	Hart County	2,990	174,009	450,859	370,522	998,380	1,620
8-AAA	East Jackson	-	1	83	4,952	5,036	994,964
8-AAA	Franklin County	-	-	1	483	484	999,516

Class AA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Rabun County	8-AA	7-1	76.13	1,000,000	3.97	892,880	598,918	487,939	363,699	1.75
Thomasville	1-AA	7-1	74.50	1,000,000	3.64	825,411	539,881	432,031	288,520	2.47
Bleckley County	3-AA	8-0	67.07	1,000,000	3.66	797,702	720,329	233,458	115,586	7.65
Fitzgerald	1-AA	7-1	68.08	1,000,000	3.13	662,253	461,534	308,973	113,896	7.78
Northeast	3-AA	5-2	64.13	968,138	2.47	458,028	287,920	133,777	36,186	26.63
Jeff Davis	2-AA	7-0	62.01	1,000,000	2.95	583,640	305,238	125,893	28,927	33.57
Dodge County	3-AA	5-2	61.98	999,306	1.98	309,509	178,413	76,025	17,312	56.76
Washington County	3-AA	4-2	61.23	999,982	1.84	277,806	161,376	48,953	12,793	77.17
Swainsboro	2-AA	5-2	59.78	999,993	2.55	410,953	176,642	60,204	11,878	83.19
Haralson County	5-AA	7-1	57.51	1,000,000	2.57	370,705	175,836	50,721	7,497	132.39
Putnam County	4-AA	7-0	52.20	1,000,000	2.48	559,271	100,293	21,335	1,910	522.56
Callaway	5-AA	5-2	52.88	996,324	2.13	148,570	80,319	6,042	1,005	994.02
South Atlanta	6-AA	6-1	46.92	1,000,000	2.49	479,111	59,167	4,227	243	4,114.23
Columbia	6-AA	7-1	47.07	1,000,000	2.36	434,518	56,009	3,611	233	4,290.85
Cook	1-AA	4-4	49.19	680,706	0.80	30,013	11,732	1,083	82	12,194.12
Elbert County	8-AA	3-3	45.98	999,949	1.78	101,052	13,755	1,515	60	16,665.67
Jefferson County	4-AA	5-2	45.12	998,552	1.58	167,507	16,523	1,209	50	19,999.00
Heard County	5-AA	4-3	45.08	998,725	1.76	47,171	12,002	694	33	30,302.03
Fannin County	7-AA	6-1	43.18	999,999	1.58	27,697	8,335	826	25	39,999.00
Toombs County	2-AA	3-4	43.14	950,200	1.42	121,310	9,006	355	20	49,999.00
Vidalia	2-AA	2-5	40.20	990,472	1.33	76,348	4,040	147	7	142,856.14
Westside (Augusta)	4-AA	6-2	41.98	986,971	1.36	81,030	6,217	129	7	142,856.14
Berrien	1-AA	3-4	45.03	499,462	0.55	9,240	2,956	127	7	142,856.14
Early County	1-AA	3-4	44.14	530,807	0.57	7,891	2,154	85	7	142,856.14
Lovett	6-AA	5-3	42.34	999,959	1.29	52,080	3,508	279	6	166,665.67
Worth County	1-AA	3-5	45.93	289,025	0.32	6,264	2,229	76	5	199,999.00
Bremen	5-AA	4-3	40.33	868,387	1.30	12,325	2,329	119	4	249,999.00
Chattooga	7-AA	5-2	36.96	1,000,000	1.33	6,861	901	42	2	499,999.00
Pace Academy	6-AA	2-4	40.24	845,926	1.05	16,196	1,116	62	-	-
Laney	4-AA	5-3	40.05	914,840	1.00	16,261	1,067	60	-	-
Lamar County	3-AA	4-4	46.96	32,571	0.03	647	22	2	-	-
Dade County	7-AA	5-2	31.22	999,638	1.09	1,362	134	1	-	-
Union County	8-AA	2-5	27.88	1,000,000	1.09	6,340	60	-	-	-
Pepperell	7-AA	2-5	29.23	578,248	0.60	320	13	-	-	-
Banks County	8-AA	1-6	19.93	938,165	0.96	991	9	-	-	-
East Laurens	2-AA	4-3	29.00	53,780	0.06	423	7	-	-	-
Model	7-AA	2-6	27.46	421,150	0.43	141	7	-	-	-
Temple	5-AA	1-5	26.10	136,564	0.15	84	3	-	-	-
Washington	6-AA	3-3	33.74	152,655	0.15	56	-	-	-	-
Oglethorpe County	4-AA	2-5	22.28	99,637	0.10	31	-	-	-	-
Bacon County	2-AA	0-7	15.61	5,555	0.01	2	-	-	-	-
Riverside Military Academy	8-AA	1-4	-2.97	61,886	0.06	-	-	-	-	-
Towers	6-AA	2-5	15.59	1,460	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Coosa	7-AA	1-6	3.74	965	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Southwest	3-AA	1-5	17.54	3	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Therrell	6-AA	0-7	19.57	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Josey	4-AA	0-6	14.87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Glenn Hills	4-AA	0-5	7.22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Jasper County	3-AA	0-7	6.40	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Butler	4-AA	0-7	0.15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Gordon Central	7-AA	0-8	-2.49	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6-AA	1-5	-8.13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
McNair	6-AA	0-5	-20.25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AA	Thomasville	659,393	337,705	2,902	-	1,000,000	-
1-AA	Fitzgerald	340,607	619,493	39,900	-	1,000,000	-
1-AA	Cook	-	39,900	383,189	257,617	680,706	319,294
1-AA	Berrien	-	2,902	202,807	293,753	499,462	500,538
1-AA	Early County	-	-	269,251	261,556	530,807	469,193
1-AA	Worth County	-	-	101,951	187,074	289,025	710,975
2-AA	Jeff Davis	627,004	371,632	1,342	22	1,000,000	-
2-AA	Swainsboro	372,238	554,264	63,519	9,972	999,993	7
2-AA	Toombs County	383	47,238	534,437	368,142	950,200	49,800
2-AA	Vidalia	375	26,466	397,471	566,160	990,472	9,528
2-AA	East Laurens	-	400	2,962	50,418	53,780	946,220
2-AA	Bacon County	-	-	269	5,286	5,555	994,445
3-AA	Bleckley County	856,668	83,352	59,862	118	1,000,000	-
3-AA	Washington County	132,116	79,844	249,145	538,877	999,982	18
3-AA	Northeast	11,123	554,622	268,592	133,801	968,138	31,862
3-AA	Dodge County	93	282,182	422,371	294,660	999,306	694
3-AA	Lamar County	-	-	30	32,541	32,571	967,429
3-AA	Southwest	-	-	-	3	3	999,997
3-AA	Jasper County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
4-AA	Putnam County	764,724	219,864	15,285	127	1,000,000	-
4-AA	Jefferson County	217,277	327,808	303,727	149,740	998,552	1,448
4-AA	Westside (Augusta)	17,999	438,937	513,895	16,140	986,971	13,029
4-AA	Laney	-	12,646	159,075	743,119	914,840	85,160
4-AA	Oglethorpe County	-	745	8,018	90,874	99,637	900,363
4-AA	Josey	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
4-AA	Glenn Hills	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
4-AA	Butler	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AA	Haralson County	908,551	76,498	3,886	11,065	1,000,000	-
5-AA	Heard County	68,188	229,851	458,504	242,182	998,725	1,275
5-AA	Callaway	13,134	684,731	286,673	11,786	996,324	3,676
5-AA	Bremen	10,127	7,766	248,409	602,085	868,387	131,613
5-AA	Temple	-	1,154	2,528	132,882	136,564	863,436
6-AA	Columbia	505,140	345,137	104,617	45,106	1,000,000	-
6-AA	South Atlanta	494,860	505,139	1	-	1,000,000	-
6-AA	Lovett	-	149,723	279,178	571,058	999,959	41
6-AA	Pace Academy	-	1	615,857	230,068	845,926	154,074
6-AA	Washington	-	-	347	152,308	152,655	847,345
6-AA	Towers	-	-	-	1,460	1,460	998,540
6-AA	Therrell	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AA	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AA	McNair	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-AA	Fannin County	642,100	294,066	63,784	49	999,999	1
7-AA	Chattooga	322,508	593,782	65,001	18,709	1,000,000	-
7-AA	Dade County	35,392	73,311	805,798	85,137	999,638	362
7-AA	Pepperell	-	38,840	64,489	474,919	578,248	421,752
7-AA	Coosa	-	1	444	520	965	999,035
7-AA	Model	-	-	484	420,666	421,150	578,850
7-AA	Gordon Central	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AA	Rabun County	980,249	17,985	1,766	-	1,000,000	-
8-AA	Elbert County	19,681	978,432	394	1,442	999,949	51
8-AA	Union County	70	1,813	997,445	672	1,000,000	-
8-AA	Banks County	-	1,704	395	936,066	938,165	61,835
8-AA	Riverside Military Academy	-	66	-	61,820	61,886	938,114

Class A Public

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Macon County	5-A Public	7-0	70.06	1,000,000	4.27	904,575	717,926	646,506	467,750	1.14
Brooks County	2-A Public	5-2	64.09	998,557	3.61	823,563	552,823	311,402	143,156	5.99
Metter	3-A Public	7-0	64.22	1,000,000	3.35	579,505	480,435	299,392	135,635	6.37
Irwin County	2-A Public	5-2	61.33	997,179	3.25	838,252	286,915	223,036	96,982	9.31
Schley County	5-A Public	6-1	61.79	999,999	3.31	670,849	441,613	209,496	82,845	11.07
Chattahoochee County	5-A Public	6-0	59.45	996,806	3.17	658,106	360,763	168,748	53,485	17.70
Manchester	5-A Public	4-2	49.60	997,508	2.78	570,708	296,889	33,930	5,601	177.54
Bowdon	6-A Public	6-1	51.21	999,999	2.66	576,563	128,566	30,882	5,301	187.64
Dublin	4-A Public	4-3	48.37	991,638	1.80	281,040	125,776	15,176	2,207	452.10
Washington-Wilkes	8-A Public	6-1	48.36	999,757	2.19	218,608	63,307	11,441	1,523	655.60
Charlton County	2-A Public	5-2	47.92	748,668	1.48	247,424	107,672	10,319	1,404	711.25
Wilcox County	4-A Public	5-3	46.47	1,000,000	1.86	271,130	90,444	8,899	1,015	984.22
Pelham	1-A Public	4-3	46.40	999,978	2.10	199,339	56,263	6,899	698	1,431.66
Clinch County	2-A Public	2-5	49.66	170,584	0.37	67,059	30,901	3,785	601	1,662.89
Emanuel County Institute	3-A Public	6-1	45.57	999,998	2.00	67,344	18,077	4,224	442	2,261.44
Turner County	2-A Public	4-4	45.91	996,192	1.70	204,823	40,074	4,060	412	2,426.18
Mitchell County	1-A Public	4-2	43.27	999,999	1.97	212,256	84,151	4,704	388	2,576.32
Montgomery County	4-A Public	6-1	46.22	909,575	1.33	121,844	20,325	2,652	304	3,288.47
McIntosh County Academy	3-A Public	2-4-1	41.06	994,080	1.51	94,243	31,034	1,378	94	10,637.30
Lincoln County	8-A Public	5-2	40.88	998,335	1.81	106,193	20,472	1,346	80	12,499.00
Dooly County	4-A Public	4-3	41.87	900,224	1.01	34,251	2,921	420	32	31,249.00
Trion	6-A Public	6-1	37.45	940,458	1.41	64,046	13,173	415	23	43,477.26
Commerce	8-A Public	5-2	37.41	994,394	1.58	72,333	12,456	443	13	76,922.08
Mount Zion (Carroll)	6-A Public	6-1	35.31	999,700	1.45	52,553	7,453	224	5	199,999.00
Warren County	7-A Public	5-2	34.53	1,000,000	1.17	36,800	7,791	154	1	999,999.00
Wheeler County	4-A Public	5-3	39.48	169,439	0.18	4,142	193	36	1	999,999.00
Social Circle	8-A Public	3-4	30.49	763,692	0.88	9,689	625	10	1	999,999.00
Lanier County	2-A Public	2-5	35.52	22,019	0.03	1,395	238	9	1	999,999.00
Jenkins County	3-A Public	3-3	29.08	916,352	1.04	4,605	358	5	-	-
Atkinson County	2-A Public	3-4	35.38	66,801	0.08	2,495	196	5	-	-
Gordon Lee	6-A Public	3-4	26.47	500,879	0.55	1,221	42	2	-	-
Greenville	5-A Public	4-3	33.88	3,458	0.01	375	52	1	-	-
Armuchee	6-A Public	5-1	25.75	558,189	0.61	993	26	1	-	-
Terrell County	1-A Public	3-2	28.66	507,374	0.52	300	23	-	-	-
Georgia Military College	7-A Public	8-0	20.81	1,000,000	1.01	492	11	-	-	-
Johnson County	4-A Public	3-3	32.57	28,990	0.03	202	5	-	-	-
Seminole County	1-A Public	2-5	22.14	599,838	0.62	106	3	-	-	-
Marion County	5-A Public	1-6	24.04	2,229	0.00	46	3	-	-	-
Miller County	1-A Public	2-4	25.50	877,331	0.92	194	2	-	-	-
Towns County	8-A Public	4-3	21.05	169,398	0.17	156	1	-	-	-
ACE Charter	7-A Public	3-3	17.97	1,000,000	1.00	120	1	-	-	-
Screven County	3-A Public	1-6	20.16	85,099	0.09	31	1	-	-	-
Greene County	8-A Public	3-4	16.18	74,424	0.08	25	-	-	-	-
Claxton	3-A Public	1-6	24.44	4,305	0.00	6	-	-	-	-
Wilkinson County	7-A Public	2-4	4.67	548,487	0.55	-	-	-	-	-
Hancock Central	7-A Public	0-5	6.10	246,308	0.25	-	-	-	-	-
Crawford County	7-A Public	1-6	3.92	205,202	0.21	-	-	-	-	-
Randolph-Clay	1-A Public	1-5	10.13	15,480	0.02	-	-	-	-	-
B.E.S.T. Academy	6-A Public	1-5	5.52	775	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Portal	3-A Public	0-7	8.87	159	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Treutlen	4-A Public	2-4	24.31	69	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Telfair County	4-A Public	1-5	23.96	65	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Bryan County	3-A Public	2-5	14.76	7	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Twiggs County	7-A Public	1-6	-9.06	3	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Hawkinsville	4-A Public	1-6	16.90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Taylor County	5-A Public	2-5	16.38	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Pataula Charter	1-A Public	4-3	-0.57	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Baconton Charter	1-A Public	1-6	-5.26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Talbotton)	5-A Public	0-6	-12.92	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Glascock County	7-A Public	1-6	-17.30	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
GSIC	7-A Public	0-1	-39.06	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Public	Pelham	865,591	128,358	5,862	167	999,978	22
1-A Public	Mitchell County	133,520	859,579	6,567	333	999,999	1
1-A Public	Seminole County	633	5,680	358,863	234,662	599,838	400,162
1-A Public	Terrell County	256	5,732	79,143	422,243	507,374	492,626
1-A Public	Miller County	-	650	548,730	327,951	877,331	122,669
1-A Public	Randolph-Clay	-	1	835	14,644	15,480	984,520
1-A Public	Baconton Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Public	Pataula Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-A Public	Irwin County	933,129	16,804	36,015	11,231	997,179	2,821
2-A Public	Brooks County	51,830	845,510	91,730	9,487	998,557	1,443
2-A Public	Turner County	11,624	102,651	704,850	177,067	996,192	3,808
2-A Public	Charlton County	2,271	14,318	96,960	635,119	748,668	251,332
2-A Public	Clinch County	1,146	20,717	19,032	129,689	170,584	829,416
2-A Public	Atkinson County	-	-	51,406	15,395	66,801	933,199
2-A Public	Lanier County	-	-	7	22,012	22,019	977,981
3-A Public	Metter	923,748	76,238	14	-	1,000,000	-
3-A Public	Emanuel County Institute	76,238	856,224	57,414	10,122	999,998	2
3-A Public	Jenkins County	14	40,820	196,488	679,030	916,352	83,648
3-A Public	McIntosh County Academy	-	26,718	739,641	227,721	994,080	5,920
3-A Public	Screven County	-	-	6,442	78,657	85,099	914,901
3-A Public	Claxton	-	-	1	4,304	4,305	995,695
3-A Public	Portal	-	-	-	159	159	999,841
3-A Public	Bryan County	-	-	-	7	7	999,993
4-A Public	Dublin	518,289	65,458	158,890	249,001	991,638	8,362
4-A Public	Wilcox County	454,905	517,001	13,606	14,488	1,000,000	-
4-A Public	Montgomery County	26,767	401,230	448,166	33,412	909,575	90,425
4-A Public	Dooly County	39	16,298	349,002	534,885	900,224	99,776
4-A Public	Wheeler County	-	11	21,699	147,729	169,439	830,561
4-A Public	Johnson County	-	2	8,636	20,352	28,990	971,010
4-A Public	Telfair County	-	-	1	64	65	999,935
4-A Public	Treutlen	-	-	-	69	69	999,931
4-A Public	Hawkinsville	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-A Public	Macon County	829,089	150,787	12,822	7,302	1,000,000	-
5-A Public	Chattahoochee County	143,919	372,232	438,379	42,276	996,806	3,194
5-A Public	Schley County	20,514	452,870	395,031	131,584	999,999	1
5-A Public	Manchester	6,478	24,111	153,632	813,287	997,508	2,492
5-A Public	Greenville	-	-	136	3,322	3,458	996,542
5-A Public	Marion County	-	-	-	2,229	2,229	997,771
5-A Public	Taylor County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-A Public	Central (Talbotton)	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-A Public	Bowdon	922,201	74,723	2,394	681	999,999	1
6-A Public	Mount Zion (Carroll)	73,143	426,536	460,268	39,753	999,700	300
6-A Public	Trion	2,668	469,332	341,719	126,739	940,458	59,542
6-A Public	Armuchee	1,988	7,331	97,120	451,750	558,189	441,811
6-A Public	Gordon Lee	-	22,077	98,313	380,489	500,879	499,121
6-A Public	B.E.S.T. Academy	-	1	186	588	775	999,225
7-A Public	Warren County	890,647	106,782	2,168	403	1,000,000	-
7-A Public	Georgia Military College	107,090	510,449	380,623	1,838	1,000,000	-
7-A Public	ACE Charter	2,263	382,231	608,517	6,989	1,000,000	-
7-A Public	Wilkinson County	-	538	8,692	539,257	548,487	451,513
7-A Public	Hancock Central	-	-	-	246,308	246,308	753,692
7-A Public	Crawford County	-	-	-	205,202	205,202	794,798
7-A Public	Twiggs County	-	-	-	3	3	999,997
7-A Public	Glascock County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-A Public	GSIC	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-A Public	Washington-Wilkes	666,102	252,191	79,754	1,710	999,757	243
8-A Public	Lincoln County	220,098	460,117	288,986	29,134	998,335	1,665
8-A Public	Commerce	113,800	262,189	461,615	156,790	994,394	5,606
8-A Public	Social Circle	-	24,930	159,855	578,907	763,692	236,308
8-A Public	Towns County	-	287	6,567	162,544	169,398	830,602
8-A Public	Greene County	-	286	3,223	70,915	74,424	925,576

Class A Private

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	4-A Private	7-0	82.11	1,000,000	3.86	997,239	978,115	874,421	735,330	0.36
Calvary Day	3-A Private	8-0	70.24	1,000,000	4.21	914,437	812,342	510,502	124,430	7.04
Prince Avenue Christian	8-A Private	7-1	68.05	1,000,000	4.03	873,840	769,846	392,899	79,606	11.56
Eagle's Landing Christian	2-A Private	2-5	67.07	1,000,000	3.80	893,323	787,364	138,383	55,974	16.87
Fellowship Christian	6-A Private	7-1	53.95	1,000,000	2.82	680,164	115,221	26,029	1,256	795.18
First Presbyterian	1-A Private	5-2	54.60	999,998	2.64	633,723	93,771	19,621	1,184	843.59
Wesleyan	5-A Private	5-2	54.01	999,873	2.52	473,472	121,707	10,142	918	1,088.32
Stratford Academy	1-A Private	6-1	51.85	996,857	2.33	484,903	52,812	7,106	396	2,524.25
Whitefield Academy	2-A Private	5-2	51.08	1,000,000	1.90	167,091	76,395	5,279	283	3,532.57
Darlington	7-A Private	7-1	50.23	1,000,000	2.32	439,610	15,451	2,805	206	4,853.37
Mount Vernon Presbyterian	5-A Private	6-2	48.39	1,000,000	2.11	251,581	39,180	2,759	104	9,614.38
St. Anne-Pacelli	4-A Private	5-1	49.15	1,000,000	1.83	175,057	25,290	3,497	90	11,110.11
Brookstone	4-A Private	5-1	48.36	1,000,000	1.73	137,924	20,455	2,597	74	13,512.51
Tattnall Square	1-A Private	5-1	48.46	998,097	1.79	238,677	25,917	1,106	69	14,491.75
Holy Innocents	5-A Private	6-1	47.47	999,912	2.01	220,999	28,337	1,989	54	18,517.52
Savannah Christian	3-A Private	4-4	46.09	1,000,000	1.58	157,569	14,065	399	13	76,922.08
Athens Academy	8-A Private	5-3	43.38	999,985	1.91	51,127	15,356	242	10	99,999.00
North Cobb Christian	7-A Private	3-4	39.21	999,999	1.39	59,807	1,708	82	2	499,999.00
Mount de Sales	1-A Private	3-4	41.16	887,779	1.03	28,796	2,415	63	1	999,999.00
Aquinas	3-A Private	5-3	39.48	1,000,000	1.26	51,698	1,897	38	-	-
Landmark Christian	2-A Private	3-5	34.72	1,000,000	1.15	11,397	416	12	-	-
Mount Paran Christian	7-A Private	3-4	34.60	995,922	1.14	12,334	438	9	-	-
Savannah Country Day	3-A Private	2-5	34.76	1,000,000	1.11	16,298	322	7	-	-
Athens Christian	8-A Private	5-2	32.09	999,783	1.51	4,323	409	6	-	-
King's Ridge Christian	6-A Private	3-4	33.39	1,000,000	1.39	3,298	387	3	-	-
Mount Pisgah Christian	6-A Private	4-3	29.39	999,958	1.24	4,406	174	2	-	-
Christian Heritage	7-A Private	3-5	31.12	999,999	1.09	6,466	145	1	-	-
Hebron Christian	5-A Private	3-5	31.73	839,278	0.95	9,453	49	1	-	-
Heritage (Newnan)	4-A Private	0-6	22.45	1,000,000	1.01	584	12	-	-	-
St. Francis	6-A Private	2-5	21.74	896,387	0.93	189	3	-	-	-
Deerfield-Windsor	1-A Private	3-4	26.67	114,598	0.12	87	1	-	-	-
Providence Christian	5-A Private	1-6	19.87	160,937	0.17	90	-	-	-	-
George Walton Academy	8-A Private	1-7	11.12	735,784	0.74	34	-	-	-	-
Loganville Christian	8-A Private	0-6	3.42	264,448	0.27	4	-	-	-	-
Lakeview Academy	6-A Private	1-6	7.51	103,655	0.10	-	-	-	-	-
Walker	7-A Private	1-7	-3.27	4,080	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Strong Rock Christian	1-A Private	0-6	9.62	2,671	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Private	First Presbyterian	633,966	356,571	8,962	499	999,998	2
1-A Private	Stratford Academy	357,998	416,327	199,781	22,751	996,857	3,143
1-A Private	Tattnall Square	7,920	209,445	582,594	198,138	998,097	1,903
1-A Private	Deerfield-Windsor	113	901	4,479	109,105	114,598	885,402
1-A Private	Mount de Sales	3	16,756	204,107	666,913	887,779	112,221
1-A Private	Strong Rock Christian	-	-	77	2,594	2,671	997,329
2-A Private	Eagle's Landing Christian	873,946	122,916	3,138	-	1,000,000	-
2-A Private	Whitefield Academy	123,174	759,263	117,563	-	1,000,000	-
2-A Private	Landmark Christian	2,880	117,821	879,299	-	1,000,000	-
3-A Private	Calvary Day	985,979	13,590	294	137	1,000,000	-
3-A Private	Aquinas	11,301	303,488	568,282	116,929	1,000,000	-
3-A Private	Savannah Country Day	1,972	78,302	138,585	781,141	1,000,000	-
3-A Private	Savannah Christian	748	604,620	292,839	101,793	1,000,000	-
4-A Private	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	984,977	14,602	415	6	1,000,000	-
4-A Private	Brookstone	7,599	439,514	532,085	20,802	1,000,000	-
4-A Private	St. Anne-Pacelli	7,414	543,283	429,296	20,007	1,000,000	-
4-A Private	Heritage (Newnan)	10	2,601	38,204	959,185	1,000,000	-
5-A Private	Wesleyan	553,645	300,394	145,052	782	999,873	127
5-A Private	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	262,044	380,926	355,563	1,467	1,000,000	-
5-A Private	Holy Innocents	184,311	317,714	438,997	58,890	999,912	88
5-A Private	Hebron Christian	-	924	59,566	778,788	839,278	160,722
5-A Private	Providence Christian	-	42	822	160,073	160,937	839,063
6-A Private	Fellowship Christian	977,006	22,821	173	-	1,000,000	-
6-A Private	Mount Pisgah Christian	22,565	312,534	479,644	185,215	999,958	42
6-A Private	King's Ridge Christian	429	599,227	317,006	83,338	1,000,000	-
6-A Private	St. Francis	-	65,418	203,145	627,824	896,387	103,613
6-A Private	Lakeview Academy	-	-	32	103,623	103,655	896,345
7-A Private	Darlington	830,614	162,307	7,075	4	1,000,000	-
7-A Private	North Cobb Christian	162,117	460,002	245,299	132,581	999,999	1
7-A Private	Christian Heritage	7,050	132,983	335,313	524,653	999,999	1
7-A Private	Mount Paran Christian	219	244,708	412,312	338,683	995,922	4,078
7-A Private	Walker	-	-	1	4,079	4,080	995,920
8-A Private	Prince Avenue Christian	997,168	2,827	5	-	1,000,000	-
8-A Private	Athens Christian	2,816	227,896	762,627	6,444	999,783	217
8-A Private	Athens Academy	16	769,046	228,351	2,572	999,985	15
8-A Private	George Walton Academy	-	217	2,605	732,962	735,784	264,216
8-A Private	Loganville Christian	-	14	6,412	258,022	264,448	735,552

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

Class AAAAAAA

Modal bracket

Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class AAAAAA

Modal bracket

Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class AAAAA

Modal bracket

Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class AAAA

Modal bracket

Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class AAA

Modal bracket

Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class AA

Modal bracket

Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class A Public

Modal bracket

Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class A Private

Modal bracket

Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

More Stories

Maxwell 2025 season summary | Buford, TCC, Carrollton top teams in state

Maxwell GHSA championship predictions: Carrollton-Buford highest rated matchup in 45 years

Gainesville, Calvary Day get boost after big victories | Maxwell summary

Springlike warmth to end as cold front roars in before New Year’s

UGA-Damon Wilson ll legal battle begs question of NIL contract enforceability

How to buy wine like a pro when traveling in the U.S.