Maxwell playoff projections heading into Week 5: Hughes a new favorite in 5A

The simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments and playoff brackets.

Mercedes-Benz Stadium hosts the high school football state championship games each December. (Jason Getz / AJC 2023)

By Loren Maxwell

4 hours ago

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class in the GHSA.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation, a computation of random sampling used to predict outcomes, of the 2025 season.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments and playoff brackets.

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation, all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head-to-head results, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie-breaker.

Class AAAAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship, along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Grayson	4-AAAAAA	4-0	107.22	999,998	899,131	742,724	690,680	433,835	1.31
Buford	8-AAAAAA	3-0	106.36	1,000,000	882,259	765,211	705,384	415,696	1.41
Carrollton	2-AAAAAA	4-0	96.87	999,968	871,103	283,858	210,912	77,019	11.98
Douglas County	2-AAAAAA	3-1	92.25	999,853	783,546	221,375	126,424	32,273	29.99
North Gwinnett	7-AAAAAA	2-1	89.61	993,114	589,704	466,953	89,602	20,105	48.74
Colquitt County	1-AAAAAA	1-1	85.54	937,808	371,788	237,173	36,236	5,551	179.15
McEachern	3-AAAAAA	3-0	84.31	999,404	474,780	228,543	33,130	4,634	214.80
Camden County	1-AAAAAA	4-0	83.86	891,503	263,802	158,624	21,240	2,806	355.38
Collins Hill	8-AAAAAA	2-2	83.80	997,550	150,097	81,529	14,886	1,871	533.47
Walton	5-AAAAAA	2-2	80.77	984,845	300,474	76,444	10,632	1,104	904.80
Norcross	7-AAAAAA	2-1	80.36	936,085	204,533	106,905	10,054	987	1,012.17
Newton	4-AAAAAA	2-2	80.52	983,969	106,760	42,320	7,683	748	1,335.90
Valdosta	1-AAAAAA	4-0	80.41	794,511	128,855	65,740	6,707	667	1,498.25
Harrison	3-AAAAAA	3-0	78.54	994,767	281,179	87,354	7,120	596	1,676.85
Mill Creek	8-AAAAAA	2-2	79.24	993,307	105,911	52,157	4,652	447	2,236.14
Westlake	2-AAAAAA	2-2	77.51	991,649	307,237	82,395	6,163	421	2,374.30
Lowndes	1-AAAAAA	4-0	79.50	725,025	93,667	44,977	4,468	410	2,438.02
North Paulding	5-AAAAAA	3-1	77.24	956,587	218,692	49,169	4,138	325	3,075.92
Hillgrove	3-AAAAAA	3-0	75.78	990,554	213,212	53,239	3,111	185	5,404.41
Brookwood	7-AAAAAA	2-1	75.43	804,946	66,935	25,163	1,659	82	12,194.12
North Cobb	5-AAAAAA	2-2	73.71	894,935	120,959	21,890	1,176	77	12,986.01
West Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	2-1	72.94	924,832	163,673	35,885	1,459	76	13,156.89
Richmond Hill	1-AAAAAA	3-0	73.99	444,222	22,857	7,895	486	23	43,477.26
Archer	4-AAAAAA	2-2	71.72	878,429	39,504	11,427	452	19	52,630.58
Denmark	6-AAAAAA	1-2	69.92	845,284	78,801	12,986	422	11	90,908.09
Lambert	6-AAAAAA	1-2	69.36	824,583	72,636	11,346	340	9	111,110.11
Peachtree Ridge	7-AAAAAA	2-1	70.67	587,575	15,412	3,772	164	9	111,110.11
Parkview	7-AAAAAA	1-2	71.16	602,771	17,884	4,818	228	7	142,856.14
South Gwinnett	4-AAAAAA	2-1	69.97	859,816	28,940	7,352	221	4	249,999.00
Tift County	1-AAAAAA	3-1	68.92	206,931	3,436	743	29	1	999,999.00
Dacula	8-AAAAAA	2-1	62.33	768,596	7,374	890	10	1	999,999.00
Wheeler	5-AAAAAA	1-3	62.62	350,831	6,913	492	6	1	999,999.00
North Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	2-1	65.17	599,875	18,845	1,928	42	-	-
North Atlanta	6-AAAAAA	1-2	65.15	608,788	17,696	1,714	30	-	-
East Coweta	2-AAAAAA	0-4	62.89	875,694	37,026	2,682	25	-	-
Campbell	3-AAAAAA	3-0	63.62	843,599	18,830	1,195	17	-	-
Marietta	5-AAAAAA	0-4	63.37	383,327	8,548	681	8	-	-
Etowah	5-AAAAAA	2-2	60.41	229,260	2,849	175	2	-	-
Cherokee	5-AAAAAA	1-3	59.66	200,215	2,162	133	1	-	-
Grovetown	4-AAAAAA	3-1	59.19	237,830	921	107	1	-	-
South Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	2-1	55.18	109,266	246	11	-	-	-
Duluth	7-AAAAAA	2-1	59.02	75,142	101	9	-	-	-
Alpharetta	6-AAAAAA	0-3	54.93	85,215	209	5	-	-	-
Chapel Hill	2-AAAAAA	1-2	48.19	132,836	287	4	-	-	-
Central Gwinnett	8-AAAAAA	1-1	49.33	104,793	56	4	-	-	-
Mountain View	8-AAAAAA	0-4	48.79	133,123	62	2	-	-	-
Rockdale County	4-AAAAAA	3-0	48.55	38,703	11	1	-	-	-
Pebblebrook	3-AAAAAA	1-2	49.39	102,976	82	-	-	-	-
Paulding County	3-AAAAAA	0-3	44.91	43,381	10	-	-	-	-
South Cobb	3-AAAAAA	2-1	41.89	22,822	5	-	-	-	-
Discovery	8-AAAAAA	0-3	30.47	2,631	-	-	-	-	-
Osborne	3-AAAAAA	0-3	34.97	2,497	-	-	-	-	-
Forsyth Central	6-AAAAAA	0-3	42.50	2,157	-	-	-	-	-
Heritage (Conyers)	4-AAAAAA	0-2	35.93	1,255	-	-	-	-	-
Meadowcreek	7-AAAAAA	0-2	39.01	271	-	-	-	-	-
Berkmar	7-AAAAAA	0-3	35.87	96	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAA	Colquitt County	421,317	261,057	163,896	91,538	937,808	62,192
1-AAAAAA	Camden County	283,814	268,913	204,026	134,750	891,503	108,497
1-AAAAAA	Valdosta	144,643	205,766	238,896	205,206	794,511	205,489
1-AAAAAA	Lowndes	106,494	163,957	216,300	238,274	725,025	274,975
1-AAAAAA	Richmond Hill	36,249	77,126	123,864	206,983	444,222	555,778
1-AAAAAA	Tift County	7,483	23,181	53,018	123,249	206,931	793,069
2-AAAAAA	Carrollton	640,936	299,395	56,742	2,895	999,968	32
2-AAAAAA	Douglas County	319,171	545,674	126,321	8,687	999,853	147
2-AAAAAA	Westlake	39,000	147,692	662,298	142,659	991,649	8,351
2-AAAAAA	East Coweta	891	7,032	148,369	719,402	875,694	124,306
2-AAAAAA	Chapel Hill	2	207	6,270	126,357	132,836	867,164
3-AAAAAA	McEachern	549,845	299,061	129,047	21,451	999,404	596
3-AAAAAA	Harrison	256,979	345,502	308,145	84,141	994,767	5,233
3-AAAAAA	Hillgrove	181,266	309,792	373,631	125,865	990,554	9,446
3-AAAAAA	Campbell	11,859	44,513	177,958	609,269	843,599	156,401
3-AAAAAA	Pebblebrook	43	909	7,867	94,157	102,976	897,024
3-AAAAAA	Paulding County	6	165	2,390	40,820	43,381	956,619
3-AAAAAA	South Cobb	2	58	911	21,851	22,822	977,178
3-AAAAAA	Osborne	-	-	51	2,446	2,497	997,503
4-AAAAAA	Grayson	961,855	36,759	1,260	124	999,998	2
4-AAAAAA	Newton	30,037	652,695	231,932	69,305	983,969	16,031
4-AAAAAA	Archer	5,092	159,389	359,939	354,009	878,429	121,571
4-AAAAAA	South Gwinnett	2,924	137,979	350,952	367,961	859,816	140,184
4-AAAAAA	Grovetown	90	12,688	49,745	175,307	237,830	762,170
4-AAAAAA	Rockdale County	2	488	6,120	32,093	38,703	961,297
4-AAAAAA	Heritage (Conyers)	-	2	52	1,201	1,255	998,745
5-AAAAAA	Walton	490,596	304,278	150,206	39,765	984,845	15,155
5-AAAAAA	North Paulding	325,425	337,597	213,342	80,223	956,587	43,413
5-AAAAAA	North Cobb	158,360	251,998	328,065	156,512	894,935	105,065
5-AAAAAA	Marietta	10,585	40,192	106,666	225,884	383,327	616,673
5-AAAAAA	Wheeler	8,753	35,446	97,879	208,753	350,831	649,169
5-AAAAAA	Etowah	3,574	16,504	55,458	153,724	229,260	770,740
5-AAAAAA	Cherokee	2,707	13,985	48,384	135,139	200,215	799,785
6-AAAAAA	West Forsyth	399,514	255,158	169,141	101,019	924,832	75,168
6-AAAAAA	Denmark	221,870	239,626	218,383	165,405	845,284	154,716
6-AAAAAA	Lambert	220,674	230,648	207,523	165,738	824,583	175,417
6-AAAAAA	North Forsyth	80,361	129,115	172,917	217,482	599,875	400,125
6-AAAAAA	North Atlanta	71,433	125,496	179,577	232,282	608,788	391,212
6-AAAAAA	South Forsyth	3,515	11,438	29,260	65,053	109,266	890,734
6-AAAAAA	Alpharetta	2,626	8,457	22,856	51,276	85,215	914,785
6-AAAAAA	Forsyth Central	7	62	343	1,745	2,157	997,843
7-AAAAAA	North Gwinnett	664,170	232,135	73,312	23,497	993,114	6,886
7-AAAAAA	Norcross	205,811	366,927	244,378	118,969	936,085	63,915
7-AAAAAA	Brookwood	79,369	210,220	284,362	230,995	804,946	195,054
7-AAAAAA	Parkview	27,077	98,056	193,652	283,986	602,771	397,229
7-AAAAAA	Peachtree Ridge	23,233	88,566	186,611	289,165	587,575	412,425
7-AAAAAA	Duluth	340	4,094	17,665	53,043	75,142	924,858
7-AAAAAA	Meadowcreek	-	2	17	252	271	999,729
7-AAAAAA	Berkmar	-	-	3	93	96	999,904
8-AAAAAA	Buford	920,431	71,558	7,792	219	1,000,000	-
8-AAAAAA	Collins Hill	56,341	548,980	353,117	39,112	997,550	2,450
8-AAAAAA	Mill Creek	22,829	363,430	515,069	91,979	993,307	6,693
8-AAAAAA	Dacula	394	15,148	110,451	642,603	768,596	231,404
8-AAAAAA	Central Gwinnett	3	417	6,370	98,003	104,793	895,207
8-AAAAAA	Mountain View	2	466	7,184	125,471	133,123	866,877
8-AAAAAA	Discovery	-	1	17	2,613	2,631	997,369

Class AAAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Hughes	3-AAAAA	3-0	100.33	999,995	859,182	677,260	533,599	364,023	1.75
Thomas County Central	2-AAAAA	4-0	96.50	999,028	870,606	714,173	431,155	231,217	3.32
Milton	7-AAAAA	2-1	96.22	999,652	957,046	662,872	411,494	221,976	3.50
Gainesville	7-AAAAA	3-0	89.46	994,794	873,044	425,750	163,241	56,766	16.62
Roswell	7-AAAAA	2-1	89.27	996,077	876,255	427,663	163,718	55,886	16.89
Lee County	2-AAAAA	3-0	88.13	987,981	530,847	290,014	100,800	30,860	31.40
Sequoyah	6-AAAAA	4-0	85.45	999,037	434,906	139,350	50,656	12,106	81.60
Houston County	2-AAAAA	4-0	84.80	974,628	395,804	173,732	48,127	11,348	87.12
Woodward Academy	4-AAAAA	1-2	81.87	999,967	708,051	195,065	52,020	8,898	111.38
Coffee	2-AAAAA	1-2	81.42	931,394	285,514	89,086	19,626	3,391	293.90
Rome	5-AAAAA	1-2	80.18	999,337	307,571	100,849	15,966	2,803	355.76
Brunswick	1-AAAAA	2-1	75.67	999,152	165,076	16,206	3,309	353	2,831.86
Sprayberry	6-AAAAA	4-0	74.58	970,542	67,319	11,895	1,498	139	7,193.24
Lanier	7-AAAAA	2-1	70.26	812,798	169,670	20,541	1,389	71	14,083.51
Newnan	3-AAAAA	3-0	70.23	912,188	67,419	11,605	952	47	21,275.60
Jackson County	8-AAAAA	2-1	68.18	998,113	122,409	16,027	802	46	21,738.13
Lovejoy	3-AAAAA	3-0	68.90	879,870	53,574	8,187	630	30	33,332.33
East Paulding	5-AAAAA	2-1	68.72	962,285	73,407	7,812	549	27	37,036.04
River Ridge	6-AAAAA	3-1	67.99	741,260	18,387	3,149	197	5	199,999.00
Northgate	3-AAAAA	3-0	63.34	705,175	16,089	1,335	55	4	249,999.00
Effingham County	1-AAAAA	1-2	63.65	895,969	38,060	2,982	130	3	333,332.33
Clarke Central	8-AAAAA	1-3	58.15	960,002	28,193	1,187	27	1	999,999.00
Woodstock	6-AAAAA	3-1	60.85	785,652	5,176	439	9	-	-
Statesboro	1-AAAAA	2-1	57.40	721,179	14,969	530	7	-	-
Seckinger	7-AAAAA	3-1	59.09	192,916	9,250	369	7	-	-
Habersham Central	8-AAAAA	2-2	54.81	916,036	11,012	341	7	-	-
Decatur	4-AAAAA	0-3	55.55	837,395	7,495	298	7	-	-
Creekview	6-AAAAA	1-3	58.42	439,283	1,860	153	6	-	-
Glynn Academy	1-AAAAA	1-2	56.75	374,976	6,813	234	5	-	-
Dutchtown	3-AAAAA	0-3	59.19	420,599	4,270	244	2	-	-
Evans	1-AAAAA	1-2	53.46	494,690	5,277	133	2	-	-
Villa Rica	5-AAAAA	0-3	56.00	496,520	1,726	91	2	-	-
Veterans	2-AAAAA	2-1	60.55	75,233	1,445	54	2	-	-
Kennesaw Mountain	5-AAAAA	1-2	53.18	315,126	473	23	2	-	-
Shiloh	4-AAAAA	0-3	51.92	635,316	1,999	42	1	-	-
Dunwoody	4-AAAAA	1-2	50.63	555,471	1,232	29	1	-	-
South Paulding	5-AAAAA	1-2	57.44	598,797	2,968	164	-	-	-
New Manchester	5-AAAAA	2-0	54.97	394,595	951	40	-	-	-
Bradwell Institute	1-AAAAA	1-1	48.06	251,008	1,012	12	-	-	-
Lakeside (Evans)	1-AAAAA	0-3	49.76	88,921	434	12	-	-	-
Lakeside (Atlanta)	4-AAAAA	2-1	47.36	355,242	341	10	-	-	-
Greenbrier	1-AAAAA	1-2	50.74	156,460	935	9	-	-	-
Winder-Barrow	8-AAAAA	1-3	47.12	625,909	857	8	-	-	-
Northside (Warner Robins)	2-AAAAA	0-3	55.92	31,736	278	7	-	-	-
Arabia Mountain	4-AAAAA	1-2	46.82	332,568	283	6	-	-	-
Alexander	5-AAAAA	1-2	50.08	157,239	97	6	-	-	-
Loganville	8-AAAAA	0-4	42.78	343,443	130	2	-	-	-
Tri-Cities	4-AAAAA	1-2	44.92	234,893	122	2	-	-	-
McIntosh	3-AAAAA	1-2	49.98	71,531	87	1	-	-	-
Lassiter	6-AAAAA	3-1	49.52	24,463	15	1	-	-	-
Lithia Springs	5-AAAAA	1-2	46.84	76,101	25	-	-	-	-
South Effingham	1-AAAAA	0-2	41.57	17,645	16	-	-	-	-
Apalachee	8-AAAAA	1-3	37.11	119,850	10	-	-	-	-
Chamblee	4-AAAAA	0-3	38.19	49,148	6	-	-	-	-
Riverwood	6-AAAAA	1-3	45.72	21,571	3	-	-	-	-
Alcovy	8-AAAAA	0-4	32.40	36,647	1	-	-	-	-
Pope	6-AAAAA	0-4	44.99	18,192	1	-	-	-	-
Chattahoochee	7-AAAAA	1-2	37.11	2,071	1	-	-	-	-
Johns Creek	7-AAAAA	0-3	36.83	1,692	1	-	-	-	-
Banneker	3-AAAAA	1-2	41.45	8,297	-	-	-	-	-
Morrow	3-AAAAA	1-2	37.55	2,345	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAA	Brunswick	930,379	55,615	10,594	2,564	999,152	848
1-AAAAA	Statesboro	34,191	212,088	274,106	200,794	721,179	278,821
1-AAAAA	Effingham County	14,671	516,195	246,644	118,459	895,969	104,031
1-AAAAA	Evans	10,356	91,089	181,722	211,523	494,690	505,310
1-AAAAA	Glynn Academy	7,708	73,318	131,569	162,381	374,976	625,024
1-AAAAA	Bradwell Institute	1,449	29,652	83,386	136,521	251,008	748,992
1-AAAAA	Greenbrier	752	13,105	42,476	100,127	156,460	843,540
1-AAAAA	Lakeside (Evans)	478	8,055	25,275	55,113	88,921	911,079
1-AAAAA	South Effingham	16	883	4,228	12,518	17,645	982,355
2-AAAAA	Thomas County Central	665,546	233,756	70,332	29,394	999,028	972
2-AAAAA	Lee County	169,564	348,330	288,409	181,678	987,981	12,019
2-AAAAA	Houston County	106,174	270,539	348,549	249,366	974,628	25,372
2-AAAAA	Coffee	58,609	145,790	281,836	445,159	931,394	68,606
2-AAAAA	Veterans	93	1,276	7,879	65,985	75,233	924,767
2-AAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	14	309	2,995	28,418	31,736	968,264
3-AAAAA	Hughes	968,353	29,903	1,579	160	999,995	5
3-AAAAA	Newnan	14,354	410,021	317,428	170,385	912,188	87,812
3-AAAAA	Lovejoy	13,866	352,943	305,066	207,995	879,870	120,130
3-AAAAA	Northgate	2,548	143,296	236,481	322,850	705,175	294,825
3-AAAAA	Dutchtown	863	60,012	122,157	237,567	420,599	579,401
3-AAAAA	McIntosh	16	3,654	15,896	51,965	71,531	928,469
3-AAAAA	Banneker	-	140	1,147	7,010	8,297	991,703
3-AAAAA	Morrow	-	31	246	2,068	2,345	997,655
4-AAAAA	Woodward Academy	965,926	31,973	1,840	228	999,967	33
4-AAAAA	Decatur	19,025	436,596	237,814	143,960	837,395	162,605
4-AAAAA	Shiloh	7,306	196,963	230,392	200,655	635,316	364,684
4-AAAAA	Dunwoody	4,990	153,391	202,191	194,899	555,471	444,529
4-AAAAA	Arabia Mountain	1,202	64,659	114,610	152,097	332,568	667,432
4-AAAAA	Lakeside (Atlanta)	1,166	74,297	121,919	157,860	355,242	644,758
4-AAAAA	Tri-Cities	370	37,431	77,405	119,687	234,893	765,107
4-AAAAA	Chamblee	15	4,690	13,829	30,614	49,148	950,852
5-AAAAA	Rome	788,851	187,619	19,897	2,970	999,337	663
5-AAAAA	East Paulding	186,918	545,648	166,858	62,861	962,285	37,715
5-AAAAA	South Paulding	10,194	94,591	266,487	227,525	598,797	401,203
5-AAAAA	Villa Rica	6,551	73,778	199,951	216,240	496,520	503,480
5-AAAAA	New Manchester	4,874	52,011	153,826	183,884	394,595	605,405
5-AAAAA	Kennesaw Mountain	1,970	30,280	118,161	164,715	315,126	684,874
5-AAAAA	Alexander	500	12,160	52,234	92,345	157,239	842,761
5-AAAAA	Lithia Springs	142	3,913	22,586	49,460	76,101	923,899
6-AAAAA	Sequoyah	781,024	180,528	31,053	6,432	999,037	963
6-AAAAA	Sprayberry	167,668	503,033	217,369	82,472	970,542	29,458
6-AAAAA	River Ridge	26,198	126,486	218,195	370,381	741,260	258,740
6-AAAAA	Woodstock	20,559	144,085	383,185	237,823	785,652	214,348
6-AAAAA	Creekview	4,526	44,687	135,813	254,257	439,283	560,717
6-AAAAA	Lassiter	17	721	6,503	17,222	24,463	975,537
6-AAAAA	Pope	5	94	3,579	14,514	18,192	981,808
6-AAAAA	Riverwood	3	366	4,303	16,899	21,571	978,429
7-AAAAA	Milton	564,711	292,751	130,518	11,672	999,652	348
7-AAAAA	Roswell	228,322	345,253	371,150	51,352	996,077	3,923
7-AAAAA	Gainesville	203,796	346,396	382,725	61,877	994,794	5,206
7-AAAAA	Lanier	3,102	14,283	103,590	691,823	812,798	187,202
7-AAAAA	Seckinger	69	1,317	11,990	179,540	192,916	807,084
7-AAAAA	Johns Creek	-	-	15	1,677	1,692	998,308
7-AAAAA	Chattahoochee	-	-	12	2,059	2,071	997,929
8-AAAAA	Jackson County	707,140	221,626	57,435	11,912	998,113	1,887
8-AAAAA	Clarke Central	193,740	408,747	257,932	99,583	960,002	39,998
8-AAAAA	Habersham Central	81,545	267,332	388,133	179,026	916,036	83,964
8-AAAAA	Winder-Barrow	14,080	68,639	180,183	363,007	625,909	374,091
8-AAAAA	Loganville	3,084	27,332	84,199	228,828	343,443	656,557
8-AAAAA	Apalachee	368	5,457	26,202	87,823	119,850	880,150
8-AAAAA	Alcovy	43	867	5,916	29,821	36,647	963,353

Class AAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Creekside	4-AAAA	3-0	90.24	999,999	826,300	749,796	435,901	261,512	2.82
Ware County	1-AAAA	4-0	89.01	999,105	741,717	571,729	328,924	173,333	4.77
Cartersville	7-AAAA	4-0	89.15	999,979	702,726	452,464	251,405	141,723	6.06
North Oconee	8-AAAA	3-0	87.52	999,947	792,232	488,176	282,557	133,204	6.51
Blessed Trinity	6-AAAA	3-0	87.92	999,766	859,915	461,456	241,643	128,367	6.79
Marist	5-AAAA	1-1	86.05	999,951	837,814	452,821	247,304	105,786	8.45
Benedictine	1-AAAA	1-2	82.65	992,587	420,949	251,033	97,216	33,563	28.79
Central (Carrollton)	3-AAAA	4-0	78.58	998,241	642,860	204,039	60,653	15,015	65.60
Perry	1-AAAA	1-2	74.03	946,022	151,163	61,550	11,933	2,085	478.62
Kell	6-AAAA	3-1	73.30	980,799	320,390	67,902	13,008	2,037	489.92
Stockbridge	2-AAAA	3-1	71.13	946,369	295,476	45,652	6,907	981	1,018.37
Cass	7-AAAA	3-1	70.80	986,018	150,486	47,266	7,098	852	1,172.71
Jonesboro	3-AAAA	2-2	69.49	970,315	332,448	44,862	5,606	675	1,480.48
Cambridge	6-AAAA	3-1	68.42	939,001	167,954	22,862	2,739	295	3,388.83
Warner Robins	1-AAAA	2-2	68.91	859,578	79,522	19,783	2,531	260	3,845.15
Eastside	8-AAAA	2-2	67.61	955,974	53,544	14,591	1,646	163	6,133.97
Ola	2-AAAA	3-1	65.64	814,135	101,682	10,025	899	58	17,240.38
Jones County	2-AAAA	2-2	65.79	569,576	63,425	6,242	605	50	19,999.00
Locust Grove	2-AAAA	3-1	62.69	752,548	60,895	4,647	354	11	90,908.09
St. Pius X	5-AAAA	3-0	60.04	887,720	52,693	2,791	137	11	90,908.09
Mays	4-AAAA	0-3	58.92	969,925	26,135	2,728	132	6	166,665.67
Hampton	2-AAAA	3-1	59.81	547,055	30,704	1,709	98	4	249,999.00
Westminster (Atlanta)	6-AAAA	2-2	59.94	727,990	51,516	2,491	128	3	333,332.33
Starr's Mill	3-AAAA	0-3	60.16	794,824	57,428	3,095	148	2	499,999.00
Flowery Branch	8-AAAA	3-1	60.25	776,425	9,673	1,437	66	2	499,999.00
Maynard Jackson	4-AAAA	3-0	56.23	945,052	14,190	1,154	52	1	999,999.00
Madison County	8-AAAA	3-0	58.05	718,603	5,365	684	26	1	999,999.00
Harris County	3-AAAA	2-2	59.71	760,844	48,169	2,627	125	-	-
Southwest DeKalb	5-AAAA	2-1	57.98	819,428	36,104	1,568	67	-	-
Cedartown	7-AAAA	2-2	55.77	650,047	8,684	656	29	-	-
Allatoona	7-AAAA	1-3	54.61	589,385	6,149	453	20	-	-
Eagle's Landing	2-AAAA	3-1	56.55	294,043	6,035	242	11	-	-
Tucker	5-AAAA	1-2	54.28	404,164	7,267	238	9	-	-
Hiram	7-AAAA	1-3	54.38	564,194	5,652	357	8	-	-
Lithonia	5-AAAA	3-0	52.96	865,514	14,955	353	7	-	-
New Hampstead	1-AAAA	1-3	55.22	144,157	1,972	119	3	-	-
Centennial	6-AAAA	3-1	52.57	352,444	8,170	164	2	-	-
Pace Academy	4-AAAA	1-2	49.94	798,506	2,013	89	2	-	-
Northside (Columbus)	3-AAAA	1-2	50.84	278,626	2,594	47	1	-	-
East Forsyth	8-AAAA	3-1	50.29	246,856	399	21	-	-	-
Dalton	7-AAAA	0-4	47.36	192,932	405	20	-	-	-
Walnut Grove	8-AAAA	3-0	50.30	252,415	380	18	-	-	-
Griffin	3-AAAA	1-2	48.98	169,757	922	16	-	-	-
Wayne County	1-AAAA	0-4	48.89	58,551	254	13	-	-	-
Woodland (Stockbridge)	2-AAAA	3-1	50.29	73,397	553	12	-	-	-
M.L. King	4-AAAA	2-1	41.55	263,370	76	1	-	-	-
Cedar Shoals	8-AAAA	0-3	42.88	49,780	11	1	-	-	-
Mundy's Mill	3-AAAA	0-3	41.01	27,393	18	-	-	-	-
Druid Hills	5-AAAA	2-1	35.01	22,547	8	-	-	-	-
Eagle's Landing Christian	2-AAAA	1-3	45.44	2,748	5	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Cartersville)	7-AAAA	0-3	36.01	17,445	3	-	-	-	-
Drew	4-AAAA	0-3	27.47	12,379	-	-	-	-	-
Midtown	4-AAAA	0-3	25.04	7,738	-	-	-	-	-
Forest Park	4-AAAA	1-1	23.31	3,031	-	-	-	-	-
North Springs	5-AAAA	0-3	24.94	365	-	-	-	-	-
Northview	5-AAAA	0-3	22.59	311	-	-	-	-	-
McDonough	2-AAAA	1-3	39.84	127	-	-	-	-	-
Union Grove	2-AAAA	0-4	36.74	2	-	-	-	-	-
Southeast Whitfield	7-AAAA	1-3	15.70	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clarkston	5-AAAA	0-3	6.61	-	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Keys	5-AAAA	0-4	-23.43	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAA	Ware County	673,215	252,192	58,782	14,916	999,105	895
1-AAAA	Benedictine	249,533	462,807	214,959	65,288	992,587	7,413
1-AAAA	Perry	57,010	203,851	436,306	248,855	946,022	53,978
1-AAAA	Warner Robins	19,954	77,084	259,239	503,301	859,578	140,422
1-AAAA	New Hampstead	276	3,573	23,035	117,273	144,157	855,843
1-AAAA	Wayne County	12	493	7,679	50,367	58,551	941,449
2-AAAA	Stockbridge	486,171	244,063	131,040	85,095	946,369	53,631
2-AAAA	Ola	178,001	213,127	250,919	172,088	814,135	185,865
2-AAAA	Locust Grove	133,186	269,605	187,272	162,485	752,548	247,452
2-AAAA	Hampton	97,506	118,254	143,351	187,944	547,055	452,945
2-AAAA	Jones County	90,529	97,685	173,768	207,594	569,576	430,424
2-AAAA	Eagle's Landing	11,646	46,999	90,291	145,107	294,043	705,957
2-AAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	2,946	10,186	22,988	37,277	73,397	926,603
2-AAAA	Eagle's Landing Christian	14	72	354	2,308	2,748	997,252
2-AAAA	McDonough	1	9	17	100	127	999,873
2-AAAA	Union Grove	-	-	-	2	2	999,998
3-AAAA	Central (Carrollton)	703,516	233,784	49,849	11,092	998,241	1,759
3-AAAA	Jonesboro	228,699	440,913	215,905	84,798	970,315	29,685
3-AAAA	Starr's Mill	32,891	158,937	324,513	278,483	794,824	205,176
3-AAAA	Harris County	32,179	135,718	281,681	311,266	760,844	239,156
3-AAAA	Northside (Columbus)	1,930	21,084	80,421	175,191	278,626	721,374
3-AAAA	Griffin	767	8,943	42,499	117,548	169,757	830,243
3-AAAA	Mundy's Mill	18	621	5,132	21,622	27,393	972,607
4-AAAA	Creekside	968,657	29,547	1,693	102	999,999	1
4-AAAA	Mays	19,011	475,301	343,028	132,585	969,925	30,075
4-AAAA	Maynard Jackson	10,703	371,234	368,627	194,488	945,052	54,948
4-AAAA	Pace Academy	1,537	109,277	234,105	453,587	798,506	201,494
4-AAAA	M.L. King	92	14,447	50,242	198,589	263,370	736,630
4-AAAA	Drew	-	135	1,450	10,794	12,379	987,621
4-AAAA	Midtown	-	47	599	7,092	7,738	992,262
4-AAAA	Forest Park	-	12	256	2,763	3,031	996,969
5-AAAA	Marist	947,636	48,433	3,236	646	999,951	49
5-AAAA	St. Pius X	24,734	411,902	282,631	168,453	887,720	112,280
5-AAAA	Southwest DeKalb	18,405	270,582	299,206	231,235	819,428	180,572
5-AAAA	Lithonia	6,876	215,027	306,834	336,777	865,514	134,486
5-AAAA	Tucker	2,343	53,299	102,759	245,763	404,164	595,836
5-AAAA	Druid Hills	6	750	5,288	16,503	22,547	977,453
5-AAAA	North Springs	-	6	21	338	365	999,635
5-AAAA	Northview	-	1	25	285	311	999,689
5-AAAA	Clarkston	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAA	Cross Keys	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAA	Blessed Trinity	821,009	148,382	25,980	4,395	999,766	234
6-AAAA	Kell	119,603	519,125	268,802	73,269	980,799	19,201
6-AAAA	Cambridge	50,936	248,705	431,183	208,177	939,001	60,999
6-AAAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	7,812	68,748	214,523	436,907	727,990	272,010
6-AAAA	Centennial	640	15,040	59,512	277,252	352,444	647,556
7-AAAA	Cartersville	885,846	109,444	4,341	348	999,979	21
7-AAAA	Cass	107,448	693,205	149,567	35,798	986,018	13,982
7-AAAA	Cedartown	2,685	70,362	292,238	284,762	650,047	349,953
7-AAAA	Hiram	2,253	60,837	227,406	273,698	564,194	435,806
7-AAAA	Allatoona	1,607	56,683	260,955	270,140	589,385	410,615
7-AAAA	Dalton	161	9,306	62,298	121,167	192,932	807,068
7-AAAA	Woodland (Cartersville)	-	163	3,195	14,087	17,445	982,555
7-AAAA	Southeast Whitfield	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAA	North Oconee	903,663	89,459	6,006	819	999,947	53
8-AAAA	Eastside	75,315	539,174	242,944	98,541	955,974	44,026
8-AAAA	Flowery Branch	14,140	194,387	306,678	261,220	776,425	223,575
8-AAAA	Madison County	5,968	130,778	284,255	297,602	718,603	281,397
8-AAAA	Walnut Grove	474	22,668	75,815	153,458	252,415	747,585
8-AAAA	East Forsyth	426	21,851	73,331	151,248	246,856	753,144
8-AAAA	Cedar Shoals	14	1,683	10,971	37,112	49,780	950,220

Class AAA Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Jefferson	8-AAA	4-0	86.64	1,000,000	895,083	789,710	650,036	510,571	0.96
Calhoun	7-AAA	2-1	78.18	999,984	791,413	577,334	321,706	141,058	6.09
Peach County	1-AAA	4-0	77.45	999,498	768,867	532,027	264,718	114,590	7.73
Sandy Creek	2-AAA	3-0	77.28	998,131	721,955	469,222	253,004	104,864	8.54
Troup	2-AAA	3-0	74.66	996,101	583,376	321,942	153,602	53,386	17.73
LaGrange	2-AAA	3-1	72.90	995,956	434,621	210,857	95,606	29,036	33.44
Stephenson	5-AAA	4-0	70.79	999,651	538,734	267,033	106,778	26,106	37.31
Cedar Grove	5-AAA	2-1	65.23	989,561	292,355	98,502	23,257	3,875	257.06
Douglass	5-AAA	2-2	64.76	976,942	273,915	90,317	19,653	3,105	321.06
Monroe Area	8-AAA	3-0	64.84	985,464	241,371	73,913	17,244	2,703	368.96
Upson-Lee	2-AAA	3-0	64.33	778,552	167,630	51,669	11,095	1,664	599.96
North Hall	6-AAA	3-0	62.01	996,728	265,962	76,928	15,066	1,625	614.38
Oconee County	8-AAA	2-2	63.38	979,619	203,579	57,879	11,446	1,625	614.38
Jenkins	3-AAA	2-1	61.92	997,098	233,181	61,931	10,865	1,304	765.87
Cherokee Bluff	8-AAA	3-1	62.52	979,842	179,697	45,982	9,145	1,177	848.62
Baldwin	4-AAA	2-1	59.77	933,378	172,901	39,369	5,949	568	1,759.56
Whitewater	2-AAA	1-2	62.51	506,063	86,279	22,732	4,028	563	1,775.20
Cairo	1-AAA	1-2	61.11	815,695	120,612	32,905	5,623	562	1,778.36
Westover	1-AAA	2-0	59.61	855,927	116,163	25,531	3,860	357	2,800.12
Harlem	4-AAA	2-0	58.28	952,549	137,194	28,373	3,614	266	3,758.40
Mary Persons	2-AAA	3-0	60.52	494,761	66,733	14,967	2,278	242	4,131.23
West Laurens	4-AAA	3-0	57.39	957,293	122,225	23,551	2,891	189	5,290.01
Pickens	6-AAA	3-0	56.22	976,821	100,199	17,985	2,091	148	6,755.76
Lumpkin County	6-AAA	2-1	56.38	879,002	90,986	15,412	1,613	129	7,750.94
Heritage (Ringgold)	7-AAA	3-1	54.94	973,227	79,583	11,138	1,062	73	13,697.63
Monroe	1-AAA	1-2	56.05	567,832	26,842	5,598	684	44	22,726.27
Southeast Bulloch	3-AAA	1-2	54.16	863,024	50,462	7,139	595	44	22,726.27
Bainbridge	1-AAA	0-4	56.46	578,957	22,024	4,669	593	36	27,776.78
Northwest Whitfield	7-AAA	2-1	52.74	889,766	47,237	5,863	463	25	39,999.00
Luella	5-AAA	1-2	53.81	669,215	30,488	4,410	379	23	43,477.26
Gilmer	7-AAA	2-1	52.16	895,749	41,541	4,787	329	16	62,499.00
Westside (Augusta)	4-AAA	3-0	52.86	859,054	46,413	5,840	442	11	90,908.09
Long County	3-AAA	3-0	49.89	770,900	21,697	1,879	112	8	124,999.00
Spalding	2-AAA	0-3	57.21	62,726	4,485	899	88	4	249,999.00
Dougherty	1-AAA	1-3	50.92	280,063	3,300	424	40	3	333,332.33
Liberty County	3-AAA	2-1	46.63	645,307	9,259	575	24	-	-
North Clayton	5-AAA	3-1	46.92	319,127	3,837	280	9	-	-
Dawson County	6-AAA	1-2	45.07	181,897	1,440	92	4	-	-
Chestatee	6-AAA	2-1	45.13	211,881	2,226	144	2	-	-
White County	6-AAA	0-3	42.96	125,299	514	31	2	-	-
Adairsville	7-AAA	1-3	42.06	257,933	768	53	1	-	-
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	5-AAA	1-2	42.39	206,072	1,106	46	1	-	-
Hephzibah	4-AAA	1-2	42.11	60,308	280	10	1	-	-
LaFayette	7-AAA	2-1	37.03	127,628	187	6	1	-	-
Howard	4-AAA	1-2	43.39	74,559	542	21	-	-	-
East Hall	8-AAA	2-2	41.23	96,462	263	13	-	-	-
Richmond Academy	4-AAA	0-3	43.30	43,761	273	11	-	-	-
Beach	3-AAA	1-1	37.07	112,939	182	1	-	-	-
Ridgeland	7-AAA	2-2	33.67	53,285	14	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Savannah)	3-AAA	1-2	32.72	8,876	4	-	-	-	-
West Hall	8-AAA	2-2	32.99	18,986	2	-	-	-	-
Riverdale	5-AAA	1-3	31.64	200	-	-	-	-	-
Windsor Forest	3-AAA	1-2	26.55	176	-	-	-	-	-
Groves	3-AAA	0-3	19.60	60	-	-	-	-	-
Islands	3-AAA	0-3	21.34	52	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Creek	4-AAA	1-2	23.78	44	-	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Gainesville)	6-AAA	0-3	14.88	15	-	-	-	-	-
Fayette County	2-AAA	0-3	30.35	4	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
8-AAA	Jefferson	872,066	976,607	999,681	1,000,000	-
5-AAA	Stephenson	40,384	719,796	946,857	999,651	349
6-AAA	North Hall	19,618	534,703	838,067	996,728	3,272
7-AAA	Calhoun	18,167	934,187	993,857	999,984	16
2-AAA	Sandy Creek	16,423	667,697	910,618	998,131	1,869
2-AAA	Troup	12,597	471,655	813,109	996,101	3,899
1-AAA	Peach County	4,276	835,840	965,539	999,498	502
6-AAA	Pickens	3,503	227,147	567,947	976,821	23,179
2-AAA	LaGrange	2,536	237,693	784,763	995,956	4,044
4-AAA	Harlem	2,274	242,787	514,901	952,549	47,451
8-AAA	Monroe Area	2,017	86,201	455,256	985,464	14,536
4-AAA	West Laurens	1,625	230,470	495,333	957,293	42,707
5-AAA	Cedar Grove	1,333	247,705	586,605	989,561	10,439
8-AAA	Cherokee Bluff	723	68,279	352,206	979,842	20,158
7-AAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	656	144,764	549,642	973,227	26,773
4-AAA	Westside (Augusta)	474	77,542	236,807	859,054	140,946
8-AAA	Oconee County	424	51,671	365,544	979,619	20,381
1-AAA	Westover	333	81,764	348,327	855,927	144,073
2-AAA	Upson-Lee	200	37,666	149,364	778,552	221,448
6-AAA	Lumpkin County	85	147,168	355,185	879,002	120,998
7-AAA	Gilmer	77	32,890	293,097	895,749	104,251
4-AAA	Baldwin	60	304,747	543,095	933,378	66,622
5-AAA	Douglass	44	209,360	541,758	976,942	23,058
7-AAA	Northwest Whitfield	41	40,844	318,008	889,766	110,234
2-AAA	Mary Persons	26	7,473	41,226	494,761	505,239
3-AAA	Jenkins	17	196,637	766,629	997,098	2,902
3-AAA	Long County	10	10,543	92,573	770,900	229,100
1-AAA	Cairo	9	77,428	367,499	815,695	184,305
5-AAA	Luella	2	20,563	85,561	669,215	330,785
1-AAA	Bainbridge	-	20,229	160,858	578,957	421,043
1-AAA	Monroe	-	17,697	147,135	567,832	432,168
3-AAA	Southeast Bulloch	-	9,539	172,074	863,024	136,976
6-AAA	Dawson County	-	6,127	25,261	181,897	818,103
2-AAA	Whitewater	-	5,380	37,921	506,063	493,937
6-AAA	Chestatee	-	5,233	23,139	211,881	788,119
1-AAA	Dougherty	-	3,630	45,577	280,063	719,937
6-AAA	White County	-	2,978	13,784	125,299	874,701
5-AAA	North Clayton	-	2,350	14,901	319,127	680,873
3-AAA	Liberty County	-	1,205	18,729	645,307	354,693
7-AAA	Adairsville	-	855	29,620	257,933	742,067
4-AAA	Richmond Academy	-	834	4,009	43,761	956,239
4-AAA	Howard	-	690	3,656	74,559	925,441
5-AAA	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	-	503	4,328	206,072	793,928
2-AAA	Spalding	-	438	3,084	62,726	937,274
4-AAA	Hephzibah	-	298	1,978	60,308	939,692
7-AAA	LaFayette	-	96	7,525	127,628	872,372
3-AAA	Beach	-	47	2,108	112,939	887,061
8-AAA	East Hall	-	24	2,782	96,462	903,538
7-AAA	Ridgeland	-	20	2,220	53,285	946,715
8-AAA	West Hall	-	-	177	18,986	981,014
3-AAA	Johnson (Savannah)	-	-	74	8,876	991,124
5-AAA	Riverdale	-	-	4	200	999,800
3-AAA	Windsor Forest	-	-	2	176	999,824
3-AAA	Groves	-	-	-	60	999,940
3-AAA	Islands	-	-	-	52	999,948
4-AAA	Cross Creek	-	-	-	44	999,956
6-AAA	Johnson (Gainesville)	-	-	-	15	999,985
2-AAA	Fayette County	-	-	-	4	999,996
5-AAA	Stone Mountain	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Class AA Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Carver (Columbus)	1-AA	3-0	77.28	1,000,000	878,307	717,555	538,336	382,401	1.62
Pierce County	3-AA	3-0	73.17	999,789	763,850	513,153	305,634	165,603	5.04
Carver (Atlanta)	5-AA	4-0	71.93	1,000,000	760,958	527,237	303,099	152,099	5.57
Morgan County	2-AA	4-0	69.61	999,997	725,803	448,530	230,257	97,683	9.24
Rockmart	7-AA	2-1	68.96	1,000,000	742,732	476,494	236,397	95,886	9.43
Callaway	2-AA	1-2	66.46	999,555	566,083	269,739	107,077	36,932	26.08
Appling County	3-AA	1-2	65.11	994,787	422,062	181,693	65,247	20,822	47.03
Burke County	4-AA	3-1	63.06	999,984	439,867	160,711	51,630	13,950	70.68
Hapeville Charter	5-AA	0-2	63.09	974,388	326,202	124,160	38,605	10,728	92.21
Cook	3-AA	3-1	61.71	988,581	288,907	102,526	28,867	7,071	140.42
Sumter County	1-AA	3-0	59.68	999,957	379,676	105,831	25,474	5,165	192.61
Thomson	4-AA	2-2	59.36	999,980	285,229	78,682	18,700	3,793	262.64
Ringgold	7-AA	3-1	58.51	999,706	220,760	62,878	14,111	2,624	380.10
Laney	4-AA	3-1	56.22	999,991	198,056	45,895	8,243	1,240	805.45
Stephens County	8-AA	2-2	57.52	895,270	132,652	33,596	6,614	1,163	858.85
Columbia	6-AA	0-3	55.24	999,192	241,968	47,082	7,671	1,102	906.44
East Jackson	8-AA	4-0	56.41	975,170	112,579	29,819	5,302	791	1,263.22
North Murray	7-AA	3-0	54.00	999,226	114,728	25,095	3,752	485	2,060.86
Crisp County	3-AA	0-4	53.18	854,596	57,285	10,937	1,450	170	5,881.35
Hart County	8-AA	1-3	52.77	567,079	45,026	7,258	882	95	10,525.32
Westside (Macon)	2-AA	1-3	50.95	931,872	65,046	9,053	1,036	81	12,344.68
Sonoraville	7-AA	2-1	49.60	979,612	55,503	7,901	750	62	16,128.03
Miller Grove	6-AA	3-1	46.77	992,464	69,228	6,673	459	28	35,713.29
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	5-AA	3-1	46.40	933,995	26,783	2,645	171	9	111,110.11
Jackson	2-AA	1-2	44.69	726,637	15,534	1,156	59	7	142,856.14
Franklin County	8-AA	3-0	45.78	433,271	12,091	893	54	5	199,999.00
Spencer	1-AA	0-3	41.59	843,694	10,555	577	24	3	333,332.33
Union County	7-AA	1-2	44.43	592,085	13,316	897	56	1	999,999.00
Therrell	5-AA	1-3	40.79	125,284	1,361	67	2	1	999,999.00
Lakeview Ft. Oglethorpe	7-AA	1-2	42.26	586,272	8,248	508	20	-	-
South Atlanta	6-AA	1-3	38.55	935,598	8,547	362	13	-	-
Tattnall County	3-AA	2-2	40.92	217,329	1,669	89	3	-	-
Columbus	1-AA	2-0	34.66	814,199	2,663	76	2	-	-
Shaw	1-AA	0-3	37.07	629,777	2,755	103	1	-	-
Pike County	2-AA	2-2	37.75	415,535	2,578	86	1	-	-
Coahulla Creek	7-AA	1-2	36.38	159,647	792	30	1	-	-
Rutland	2-AA	0-3	33.26	137,216	169	6	-	-	-
Murray County	7-AA	2-2	28.05	135,956	96	3	-	-	-
Redan	6-AA	1-3	28.18	556,048	195	2	-	-	-
Salem	6-AA	1-2	26.31	524,968	126	2	-	-	-
Butler	4-AA	0-3	19.48	728,567	10	-	-	-	-
Hardaway	1-AA	0-3	21.70	48,901	3	-	-	-	-
Kendrick	1-AA	2-1	17.16	31,001	1	-	-	-	-
Washington	5-AA	1-3	25.09	1,290	1	-	-	-	-
Glenn Hills	4-AA	0-3	6.71	142,520	-	-	-	-	-
Josey	4-AA	0-3	7.06	129,010	-	-	-	-	-
Jordan	1-AA	0-3	-5.80	4	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
7-AA	Rockmart	411,466	932,178	996,840	1,000,000	-
5-AA	Carver (Atlanta)	271,240	829,319	996,817	1,000,000	-
2-AA	Morgan County	205,218	808,888	995,060	999,997	3
1-AA	Carver (Columbus)	77,844	907,527	999,841	1,000,000	-
7-AA	North Murray	19,697	203,154	824,367	999,226	774
7-AA	Ringgold	6,437	366,457	928,938	999,706	294
1-AA	Sumter County	3,976	265,467	944,465	999,957	43
7-AA	Sonoraville	1,198	60,062	426,185	979,612	20,388
3-AA	Cook	1,075	137,721	535,993	988,581	11,419
3-AA	Pierce County	642	670,943	933,215	999,789	211
3-AA	Appling County	424	205,288	656,579	994,787	5,213
8-AA	East Jackson	339	18,170	401,225	975,170	24,830
2-AA	Callaway	231	370,199	898,686	999,555	445
5-AA	Hapeville Charter	129	144,474	463,629	974,388	25,612
4-AA	Laney	30	182,616	616,579	999,991	9
5-AA	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	25	3,182	105,946	933,995	66,005
8-AA	Stephens County	17	15,294	174,931	895,270	104,730
1-AA	Columbus	3	1,058	67,855	814,199	185,801
6-AA	Columbia	2	680,375	936,206	999,192	808
4-AA	Burke County	2	492,259	821,062	999,984	16
7-AA	Union County	2	3,202	38,499	592,085	407,915
6-AA	Miller Grove	1	254,313	722,824	992,464	7,536
2-AA	Westside (Macon)	1	22,782	146,717	931,872	68,128
7-AA	Lakeview Ft. Oglethorpe	1	679	28,021	586,272	413,728
4-AA	Thomson	-	330,362	683,683	999,980	20
6-AA	South Atlanta	-	58,504	285,487	935,598	64,402
3-AA	Crisp County	-	18,091	96,903	854,596	145,404
2-AA	Jackson	-	4,989	46,317	726,637	273,363
6-AA	Redan	-	4,885	36,320	556,048	443,952
8-AA	Hart County	-	3,084	31,548	567,079	432,921
6-AA	Salem	-	2,438	24,016	524,968	475,032
3-AA	Tattnall County	-	482	6,410	217,329	782,671
1-AA	Shaw	-	447	24,707	629,777	370,223
2-AA	Pike County	-	384	7,884	415,535	584,465
8-AA	Franklin County	-	258	12,226	433,271	566,729
5-AA	Therrell	-	209	2,367	125,284	874,716
1-AA	Spencer	-	147	77,864	843,694	156,306
2-AA	Rutland	-	62	1,422	137,216	862,784
4-AA	Butler	-	30	195	728,567	271,433
7-AA	Coahulla Creek	-	21	1,539	159,647	840,353
1-AA	Hardaway	-	-	280	48,901	951,099
7-AA	Murray County	-	-	275	135,956	864,044
1-AA	Kendrick	-	-	63	31,001	968,999
5-AA	Washington	-	-	8	1,290	998,710
4-AA	Glenn Hills	-	-	4	142,520	857,480
4-AA	Josey	-	-	2	129,010	870,990
1-AA	Jordan	-	-	-	4	999,996

Class A Division I Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Thomasville	1-A Division I	3-1	72.87	1,000,000	805,249	610,130	445,850	303,252	2.30
Fitzgerald	1-A Division I	2-0	69.29	999,998	699,654	463,161	282,417	154,100	5.49
Swainsboro	3-A Division I	4-0	68.58	1,000,000	711,580	469,381	282,792	145,793	5.86
Toombs County	3-A Division I	3-1	67.75	999,925	634,408	408,470	220,590	109,693	8.12
Worth County	1-A Division I	4-0	67.29	1,000,000	656,556	405,116	220,167	105,634	8.47
Northeast	2-A Division I	3-1	64.78	999,997	575,968	333,221	156,401	63,370	14.78
Dublin	2-A Division I	2-1	64.40	999,997	560,597	313,863	145,543	57,298	16.45
Rabun County	8-A Division I	3-0	62.67	999,935	542,064	285,851	117,654	40,571	23.65
Lamar County	4-A Division I	3-0	54.29	999,989	304,604	99,237	22,065	3,828	260.23
Jeff Davis	1-A Division I	3-0	55.87	999,727	214,377	72,127	17,339	3,502	284.55
Bleckley County	2-A Division I	3-1	55.50	998,821	209,517	67,264	15,540	3,022	329.91
Heard County	6-A Division I	3-0	53.66	999,082	255,981	78,652	16,207	2,774	359.49
Fannin County	7-A Division I	1-2	52.02	999,055	280,783	72,626	12,474	1,864	535.48
Temple	6-A Division I	4-0	51.59	999,148	188,420	49,660	8,635	1,149	869.32
Elbert County	8-A Division I	0-3	52.16	916,367	135,121	35,624	5,954	866	1,153.73
Dodge County	2-A Division I	2-1	51.88	987,457	132,772	32,462	5,442	789	1,266.43
Putnam County	4-A Division I	2-2	49.56	999,893	162,113	36,401	5,313	563	1,775.20
Bremen	6-A Division I	2-1	49.47	970,912	131,824	27,721	3,770	436	2,292.58
ACE Charter	2-A Division I	3-0	49.87	994,653	109,862	23,693	3,444	385	2,596.40
Haralson County	6-A Division I	3-1	48.84	989,136	119,999	24,527	3,136	322	3,104.59
Gordon Lee	7-A Division I	2-1	47.58	998,986	146,563	27,306	3,161	291	3,435.43
Commerce	8-A Division I	0-4	48.16	800,767	54,409	10,644	1,232	128	7,811.50
Washington County	2-A Division I	1-3	48.19	826,121	58,564	10,607	1,260	120	8,332.33
Social Circle	4-A Division I	2-2	46.04	998,462	86,293	14,220	1,404	104	9,614.38
Bacon County	1-A Division I	2-1	45.55	978,347	51,560	7,266	693	50	19,999.00
Berrien	1-A Division I	2-2	45.16	847,198	38,517	5,360	427	33	30,302.03
Jasper County	4-A Division I	3-0	43.64	998,982	55,235	7,394	576	28	35,713.29
Pepperell	6-A Division I	1-3	44.19	655,806	32,250	4,208	311	23	43,477.26
Southwest	2-A Division I	1-3	42.56	814,280	23,746	2,453	161	11	90,908.09
Oglethorpe County	8-A Division I	2-2	38.96	475,247	6,944	580	23	1	999,999.00
Model	6-A Division I	1-3	37.93	337,583	4,301	300	9	-	-
Vidalia	3-A Division I	1-3	38.14	240,113	1,520	98	4	-	-
Dade County	7-A Division I	0-3	33.88	609,587	3,275	155	3	-	-
McNair	4-A Division I	1-3	32.04	521,502	1,843	63	2	-	-
East Laurens	2-A Division I	1-2	36.71	231,039	2,065	126	1	-	-
Gordon Central	7-A Division I	3-0	27.97	612,353	1,007	21	-	-	-
Towers	4-A Division I	2-1	21.06	872,645	297	5	-	-	-
Banks County	8-A Division I	0-3	30.63	47,158	50	3	-	-	-
Coosa	7-A Division I	1-2	24.72	129,528	57	2	-	-	-
Chattooga	7-A Division I	0-3	24.68	121,994	48	2	-	-	-
Jefferson County	2-A Division I	0-4	26.37	11,131	5	-	-	-	-
Armuchee	7-A Division I	0-2	17.11	16,127	2	-	-	-	-
Utopian Academy	4-A Division I	1-2	5.28	465	-	-	-	-	-
Brantley County	1-A Division I	0-4	19.32	320	-	-	-	-	-
B.E.S.T. Academy	5-A Division I	0-4	5.08	165	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Macon)	2-A Division I	0-4	14.73	2	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
3-A Division I	Swainsboro	279,076	675,752	996,192	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Thomasville	245,771	739,943	988,374	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Worth County	147,411	508,259	981,021	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Fitzgerald	131,828	513,555	948,655	999,998	2
4-A Division I	Lamar County	58,932	587,853	903,587	999,989	11
8-A Division I	Rabun County	27,299	649,021	928,311	999,935	65
6-A Division I	Heard County	27,155	393,082	733,059	999,082	918
2-A Division I	Dublin	25,035	531,722	918,167	999,997	3
6-A Division I	Temple	21,961	303,877	677,465	999,148	852
2-A Division I	Northeast	15,707	563,483	902,786	999,997	3
4-A Division I	Jasper County	5,246	130,699	571,409	998,982	1,018
4-A Division I	Putnam County	4,596	331,164	741,747	999,893	107
1-A Division I	Jeff Davis	3,666	45,910	503,753	999,727	273
3-A Division I	Toombs County	2,268	373,851	764,031	999,925	75
6-A Division I	Haralson County	1,573	158,068	414,177	989,136	10,864
6-A Division I	Bremen	971	167,882	384,005	970,912	29,088
2-A Division I	ACE Charter	878	47,605	375,962	994,653	5,347
4-A Division I	Social Circle	250	148,679	422,003	998,462	1,538
7-A Division I	Gordon Lee	200	336,115	754,054	998,986	1,014
2-A Division I	Bleckley County	80	47,771	276,932	998,821	1,179
2-A Division I	Dodge County	72	27,023	214,230	987,457	12,543
1-A Division I	Bacon County	21	1,746	61,256	978,347	21,653
4-A Division I	Towers	3	102	5,665	872,645	127,355
7-A Division I	Fannin County	1	536,916	851,301	999,055	945
8-A Division I	Elbert County	-	85,642	274,963	916,367	83,633
6-A Division I	Pepperell	-	38,707	111,277	655,806	344,194
8-A Division I	Commerce	-	31,347	128,460	800,767	199,233
7-A Division I	Dade County	-	11,011	56,755	609,587	390,413
6-A Division I	Model	-	4,913	19,202	337,583	662,417
4-A Division I	McNair	-	2,825	17,223	521,502	478,498
8-A Division I	Oglethorpe County	-	2,098	14,380	475,247	524,753
7-A Division I	Gordon Central	-	1,616	12,941	612,353	387,647
1-A Division I	Berrien	-	498	6,591	847,198	152,802
7-A Division I	Chattooga	-	396	3,695	121,994	878,006
7-A Division I	Coosa	-	342	3,486	129,528	870,472
2-A Division I	Washington County	-	237	19,289	826,121	173,879
3-A Division I	Vidalia	-	203	2,487	240,113	759,887
8-A Division I	Banks County	-	57	848	47,158	952,842
2-A Division I	East Laurens	-	17	228	231,039	768,961
7-A Division I	Armuchee	-	10	143	16,127	983,873
2-A Division I	Southwest	-	3	9,886	814,280	185,720
5-A Division I	B.E.S.T. Academy	-	-	4	165	999,835
2-A Division I	Jefferson County	-	-	-	11,131	988,869
4-A Division I	Utopian Academy	-	-	-	465	999,535
1-A Division I	Brantley County	-	-	-	320	999,680
2-A Division I	Central (Macon)	-	-	-	2	999,998
5-A Division I	Mount Bethel Christian	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Class A Division II

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Bowdon	7-A Division II	3-1	65.28	999,705	833,003	708,925	521,912	376,174	1.66
Brooks County	2-A Division II	0-3	59.91	983,701	753,736	513,437	285,701	150,486	5.65
Lincoln County	8-A Division II	3-0	59.55	999,841	718,429	459,042	272,794	132,941	6.52
Clinch County	2-A Division II	4-0	58.97	979,051	720,723	459,801	246,160	120,531	7.30
Manchester	7-A Division II	1-2	56.47	996,617	553,607	343,253	169,720	65,061	14.37
Irwin County	2-A Division II	0-3	55.89	952,173	600,294	314,582	139,876	54,898	17.22
Early County	1-A Division II	1-2	54.23	992,270	431,825	237,936	101,480	35,141	27.46
Metter	3-A Division II	1-1	53.60	963,594	465,073	225,011	89,893	30,574	31.71
Wilcox County	4-A Division II	2-1	49.28	970,623	336,246	112,152	32,172	8,176	121.31
Trion	7-A Division II	2-2	47.88	966,633	243,551	81,777	21,186	4,538	219.36
Seminole County	1-A Division II	3-0	47.28	946,426	220,752	79,348	20,711	4,348	228.99
Emanuel County Institute	3-A Division II	1-2	46.90	902,269	268,810	83,175	20,605	4,321	230.43
Johnson County	5-A Division II	4-0	47.37	999,918	204,284	59,334	17,383	3,506	284.23
Jenkins County	3-A Division II	2-1	46.14	810,901	221,376	61,661	14,529	2,699	369.51
Charlton County	2-A Division II	2-2	45.69	659,665	191,258	43,033	9,461	1,713	582.77
Schley County	6-A Division II	1-3	44.76	991,621	183,498	37,471	8,833	1,490	670.14
Hawkinsville	4-A Division II	3-0	43.48	861,441	107,560	24,669	4,572	696	1,435.78
Screven County	3-A Division II	3-0	42.73	597,276	111,845	22,744	4,088	577	1,732.10
Greene County	8-A Division II	0-3	41.36	949,629	133,850	24,199	3,690	476	2,099.84
Macon County	6-A Division II	0-4	41.44	980,978	97,014	15,893	2,828	338	2,957.58
Telfair County	4-A Division II	1-3	41.78	805,597	71,177	14,866	2,370	287	3,483.32
Mount Zion (Carroll)	7-A Division II	4-0	40.35	885,934	101,631	15,324	1,995	229	4,365.81
Mitchell County	1-A Division II	1-1	40.40	740,541	78,266	14,262	2,032	197	5,075.14
Turner County	2-A Division II	1-1	40.98	401,018	69,064	9,787	1,493	157	6,368.43
Pelham	1-A Division II	0-3	39.99	709,526	69,169	11,903	1,617	152	6,577.95
Bryan County	3-A Division II	2-1	39.42	368,592	46,159	6,780	867	102	9,802.92
Wheeler County	4-A Division II	3-0	38.89	672,582	33,024	5,846	735	85	11,763.71
McIntosh County Academy	3-A Division II	1-2	40.06	296,514	35,584	5,174	705	76	13,156.89
Miller County	1-A Division II	1-2	35.92	494,349	24,741	2,881	246	10	99,999.00
Dooly County	4-A Division II	0-2	34.74	408,198	8,643	1,082	93	7	142,856.14
Taylor County	6-A Division II	1-2	32.99	861,188	13,029	1,175	84	5	199,999.00
Warren County	8-A Division II	0-4	32.16	748,979	14,007	1,173	72	5	199,999.00
Lake Oconee Academy	8-A Division II	1-3	30.08	636,541	7,188	497	20	2	499,999.00
Washington-Wilkes	8-A Division II	1-3	30.48	665,010	7,879	564	25	1	999,999.00
Crawford County	6-A Division II	2-1	28.44	670,426	3,083	244	10	1	999,999.00
Treutlen	4-A Division II	2-1	31.79	264,109	2,950	297	16	-	-
Portal	3-A Division II	1-2	32.78	59,841	2,436	156	12	-	-
Wilkinson County	5-A Division II	0-4	26.96	930,797	8,107	333	8	-	-
Randolph-Clay	1-A Division II	0-1-1	26.91	109,709	917	35	3	-	-
Greenville	7-A Division II	2-1	25.76	151,111	1,568	39	2	-	-
Glascock County	5-A Division II	1-2	21.54	803,560	1,427	38	1	-	-
Hancock Central	5-A Division II	2-2	23.20	831,956	2,329	71	-	-	-
Lanier County	2-A Division II	0-4	26.15	24,392	398	11	-	-	-
Marion County	6-A Division II	0-4	20.98	236,436	164	10	-	-	-
Chattahoochee County	6-A Division II	1-2	21.70	259,129	254	8	-	-	-
Twiggs County	5-A Division II	0-3	10.32	219,811	22	1	-	-	-
Georgia Military Prep	5-A Division II	0-4	11.31	213,958	27	-	-	-	-
Montgomery County	4-A Division II	1-2	20.89	17,450	12	-	-	-	-
Claxton	3-A Division II	0-3	20.91	1,008	6	-	-	-	-
Terrell County	1-A Division II	1-2	16.94	7,179	5	-	-	-	-
Central (Talbotton)	6-A Division II	0-1	-6.95	222	-	-	-	-	-
Savannah	3-A Division II	0-2	9.49	5	-	-	-	-	-
Atkinson County	2-A Division II	3-0	29.68	-	-	-	-	-	-
Towns County	8-A Division II	2-1	23.73	-	-	-	-	-	-
Southwest Georgia STEM	1-A Division II	1-1	10.26	-	-	-	-	-	-
Calhoun County	1-A Division II	0-1	6.41	-	-	-	-	-	-
Baconton Charter	1-A Division II	0-2	0.73	-	-	-	-	-	-
Pataula Charter	1-A Division II	0-3	-16.11	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Division II	Early County	654,447	233,689	78,062	26,072	992,270	7,730
1-A Division II	Seminole County	224,038	391,564	226,704	104,120	946,426	53,574
1-A Division II	Mitchell County	54,664	166,320	262,685	256,872	740,541	259,459
1-A Division II	Pelham	50,362	135,142	247,106	276,916	709,526	290,474
1-A Division II	Miller County	15,776	67,165	157,270	254,138	494,349	505,651
1-A Division II	Randolph-Clay	706	5,991	27,196	75,816	109,709	890,291
1-A Division II	Terrell County	7	129	977	6,066	7,179	992,821
1-A Division II	Calhoun County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Pataula Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Baconton Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Southwest Georgia STEM	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-A Division II	Brooks County	434,877	304,234	183,221	61,369	983,701	16,299
2-A Division II	Clinch County	340,921	334,834	222,680	80,616	979,051	20,949
2-A Division II	Irwin County	193,098	269,416	337,744	151,915	952,173	47,827
2-A Division II	Charlton County	24,829	66,218	172,942	395,676	659,665	340,335
2-A Division II	Turner County	6,250	24,978	80,468	289,322	401,018	598,982
2-A Division II	Lanier County	25	320	2,945	21,102	24,392	975,608
2-A Division II	Atkinson County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
3-A Division II	Metter	514,910	254,251	132,995	61,438	963,594	36,406
3-A Division II	Emanuel County Institute	233,114	292,958	234,615	141,582	902,269	97,731
3-A Division II	Jenkins County	154,479	226,071	238,752	191,599	810,901	189,099
3-A Division II	Screven County	65,136	129,169	182,858	220,113	597,276	402,724
3-A Division II	Bryan County	23,414	63,196	112,310	169,672	368,592	631,408
3-A Division II	McIntosh County Academy	8,319	30,777	85,040	172,378	296,514	703,486
3-A Division II	Portal	628	3,556	13,302	42,355	59,841	940,159
3-A Division II	Claxton	-	22	128	858	1,008	998,992
3-A Division II	Savannah	-	-	-	5	5	999,995
4-A Division II	Wilcox County	563,036	242,083	115,127	50,377	970,623	29,377
4-A Division II	Hawkinsville	194,196	277,055	231,575	158,615	861,441	138,559
4-A Division II	Telfair County	134,309	225,344	248,270	197,674	805,597	194,403
4-A Division II	Wheeler County	71,407	152,123	208,627	240,425	672,582	327,418
4-A Division II	Dooly County	26,276	67,382	119,655	194,885	408,198	591,802
4-A Division II	Treutlen	10,676	35,183	73,202	145,048	264,109	735,891
4-A Division II	Montgomery County	100	830	3,544	12,976	17,450	982,550
5-A Division II	Johnson County	913,682	78,570	6,430	1,236	999,918	82
5-A Division II	Wilkinson County	50,369	445,652	287,196	147,580	930,797	69,203
5-A Division II	Hancock Central	20,364	239,637	316,085	255,870	831,956	168,044
5-A Division II	Glascock County	14,721	199,336	280,585	308,918	803,560	196,440
5-A Division II	Georgia Military Prep	448	18,241	54,276	140,993	213,958	786,042
5-A Division II	Twiggs County	416	18,564	55,428	145,403	219,811	780,189
6-A Division II	Schley County	556,266	294,798	109,726	30,831	991,621	8,379
6-A Division II	Macon County	333,937	413,292	179,491	54,258	980,978	19,022
6-A Division II	Taylor County	78,983	180,648	362,959	238,598	861,188	138,812
6-A Division II	Crawford County	25,857	81,520	227,290	335,759	670,426	329,574
6-A Division II	Chattahoochee County	2,763	16,728	65,069	174,569	259,129	740,871
6-A Division II	Marion County	2,194	13,014	55,459	165,769	236,436	763,564
6-A Division II	Central (Talbotton)	-	-	6	216	222	999,778
7-A Division II	Bowdon	678,145	254,675	57,709	9,176	999,705	295
7-A Division II	Manchester	249,784	483,349	208,720	54,764	996,617	3,383
7-A Division II	Trion	62,802	208,877	455,709	239,245	966,633	33,367
7-A Division II	Mount Zion (Carroll)	9,197	51,220	263,551	561,966	885,934	114,066
7-A Division II	Greenville	72	1,879	14,311	134,849	151,111	848,889
8-A Division II	Lincoln County	878,985	111,231	7,924	1,701	999,841	159
8-A Division II	Greene County	94,559	510,921	242,383	101,766	949,629	50,371
8-A Division II	Warren County	11,714	161,713	284,426	291,126	748,979	251,021
8-A Division II	Washington-Wilkes	8,588	105,987	241,171	309,264	665,010	334,990
8-A Division II	Lake Oconee Academy	6,154	110,148	224,096	296,143	636,541	363,459
8-A Division II	Towns County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

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AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Prince Avenue Christian	8-AA	2-1	78.70	1,000,000	934,877	763,518	566,610	394,186	1.54
Calvary Day	3-AAA	3-0	74.79	1,000,000	907,211	692,247	434,552	232,007	3.31
Hebron Christian	8-AA	2-1	74.64	1,000,000	882,591	605,553	366,036	195,450	4.12
Fellowship Christian	5-A Division I	2-1	70.03	1,000,000	826,208	548,557	273,243	100,756	8.92
Savannah Christian	3-A Division I	3-1	67.32	1,000,000	712,104	366,284	147,190	45,305	21.07
Holy Innocents	5-AA	3-1	61.51	1,000,000	419,024	153,062	40,662	7,731	128.35
Athens Academy	8-A Division I	3-1	60.03	1,000,000	506,900	166,272	40,256	6,736	147.46
Greater Atlanta Christian	6-AAA	2-1	59.31	1,000,000	461,390	150,414	33,311	5,134	193.78
Lovett	5-AA	3-1	59.42	1,000,000	347,441	110,982	24,903	3,941	252.74
Aquinas	4-AAA	3-0	57.82	1,000,000	481,942	138,042	27,692	3,818	260.92
Whitefield Academy	5-A Division I	2-1	55.58	1,000,000	481,382	111,289	18,480	1,976	505.07
Wesleyan	5-A Division I	3-1	56.49	1,000,000	285,123	75,924	13,189	1,611	619.73
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	2-AAA	1-2	56.42	1,000,000	146,053	41,040	6,519	806	1,239.69
North Cobb Christian	7-AA	3-1	53.49	1,000,000	192,544	39,688	5,247	460	2,172.91
Savannah Country Day	3-A Division I	1-3	47.56	1,000,000	52,636	6,841	478	28	35,713.29
Darlington	6-A Division I	2-1	45.70	1,000,000	68,680	7,593	496	23	43,477.26
Landmark Christian	5-A Division I	3-0	44.75	1,000,000	116,835	9,824	562	19	52,630.58
Christian Heritage	7-A Division I	1-2	43.73	1,000,000	88,929	7,491	395	11	90,908.09
Mount Paran Christian	5-A Division I	2-1	41.50	1,000,000	37,908	2,423	94	1	999,999.00
Mount Vernon	5-A Division I	0-3	41.27	1,000,000	16,590	1,315	40	1	999,999.00
King's Ridge Christian	5-A Division I	4-0	39.05	1,000,000	30,056	1,600	44	-	-
Providence Christian	8-A Division I	1-3	31.06	1,000,000	3,147	40	1	-	-
Mount Pisgah Christian	5-A Division I	1-3	22.11	1,000,000	374	1	-	-	-
Walker	5-A Division I	2-2	13.96	1,000,000	55	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs
5-A Division I	Fellowship Christian	286,492	845,977	999,139	1,000,000
8-AA	Prince Avenue Christian	210,475	941,799	999,684	1,000,000
3-AAA	Calvary Day	200,243	981,350	999,998	1,000,000
8-AA	Hebron Christian	93,406	843,967	997,591	1,000,000
4-AAA	Aquinas	81,415	516,017	993,146	1,000,000
3-A Division I	Savannah Christian	57,841	617,099	994,051	1,000,000
5-A Division I	Whitefield Academy	53,911	726,323	996,087	1,000,000
6-AAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	4,986	493,855	949,080	1,000,000
5-A Division I	Landmark Christian	4,925	184,295	952,809	1,000,000
5-A Division I	Wesleyan	3,393	165,633	918,890	1,000,000
5-AA	Holy Innocents	815	307,648	902,748	1,000,000
7-AA	North Cobb Christian	767	106,352	888,036	1,000,000
5-AA	Lovett	600	247,033	891,834	1,000,000
6-A Division I	Darlington	273	107,533	411,710	1,000,000
8-A Division I	Athens Academy	226	582,875	941,570	1,000,000
5-A Division I	King's Ridge Christian	187	22,256	827,295	1,000,000
5-A Division I	Mount Paran Christian	37	75,856	601,892	1,000,000
7-A Division I	Christian Heritage	6	217,941	539,601	1,000,000
5-A Division I	Mount Vernon	1	4,734	66,471	1,000,000
2-AAA	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	1	1,598	79,572	1,000,000
3-A Division I	Savannah Country Day	-	9,382	45,489	1,000,000
8-A Division I	Providence Christian	-	388	929	1,000,000
5-A Division I	Walker	-	83	2,337	1,000,000
5-A Division I	Mount Pisgah Christian	-	6	41	1,000,000

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

Maxwell playoff projections heading into Week 5: Hughes a new favorite in 5A

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