Hillary Clinton has seen at least two bright spots in what has been an otherwise dim week for her, and they both come in the form of predictions for a win.
The Moody Analytics’ economic election model, which has correctly predicted presidential elections since 1980, says the election will go to Clinton, and not in a small way. The model shows Clinton winning in a landslide in the Electoral College.
Clinton, according to the model, will win 332 Electoral College votes – 270 are needed to become president – and Donald Trump will get 206 votes.
The model references low gas prices and the popularity of President Barack Obama as factors in her favor.
Moody’s also looks at how a state voted for the incumbent party in previous election, and it considers voter fatigue. What is doesn’t take into account are the characteristics of individual candidates.
"Given the unusual nature of the 2016 election cycle to date, it is very possible that voters will react to changing economic and political conditions differently than they have in past election cycles, placing some risk in the model outcome, particularly state-by-state projections," Moody's analytics economist Dan White wrote in a report.
Clinton also came out on top with 450 high school and college students.
The results, according to a story from the website fivethirtyeight.com, came from two separate national programs -- the mock election and a statistics competition.
The students, from across the country, believe that Clinton will get 332 Electoral College votes and that Trump will get 204. The mock election and statistics competition is the first of its kind and was sponsored by the American Statistical Association.
The vote came before FBI Director James Comey announced that a set of emails had been discovered on former New York Rep. Anthony Weiner’s laptop that could be connected to the investigation of Clinton’s use of a private email server. Weiner is the estranged husband of Clinton’s longtime aide, Huma Abedin.
Other models are saying Trump will be the next president. A college professor who, using 13 factors, has correctly picked the winner of presidential elections since 1980 says all signs point to a Trump victory. An artificial intelligence system that has predicted the winners of the last three U.S. presidential elections is also saying that Trump will likely win the election. The AI system, called MoglA, took a look at 20 million data points from social media platforms to come up with the prediction. The system was created by Sanjiv Rai, the founder of the Indian start-up Genic.ai.
On Wednesday, national polls are showing Clinton and Trump tied.
Sources: CNN, FiveThirtyEight, Real Clear Politics
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