Maxwell Week 9 summary

By Loren Maxwell

Oct 21, 2019

The Maxwell Ratings will rank the Georgia High School Association’s 422 teams throughout the 2019 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season’s games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.

The current total weight of all teams’ historical performance is 4.65%.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 1,399 of 1,484 total games including 1 tie(s) (94.31%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within 12.76 points.

The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team's opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Home Advantage: 1.44

By Class

AAAAAAA				AAAAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Lowndes	8-0	101.71	1	Valdosta	7-1	89.82
2	Colquitt County	7-1	92.31	2	Harrison	8-0	71.68
3	McEachern	7-0	84.59	3	Dacula	7-0	69.87
4	North Gwinnett	7-1	83.83	4	Coffee	6-2	68.92
5	Grayson	6-1	82.16	5	Lee County	6-1	65.74
6	Parkview	6-1	75.98	6	Allatoona	4-2-1	60.89
7	Marietta	5-2	75.65	7	Houston County	4-3	58.42
8	Archer	4-3	72.46	8	Johns Creek	6-1	57.54
9	Camden County	6-1	70.59	9	Lanier	7-0	56.76
10	Hillgrove	6-1	70.54	10	Mays	6-1	53.77
11	Mill Creek	6-2	70.46	11	Dalton	6-2	52.25
12	Milton	4-3	68.61	12	South Paulding	6-1	51.77
13	Newton	5-2	63.51	13	Stephenson	6-1	51.58
14	Collins Hill	4-3	62.67	14	Glynn Academy	2-4	50.79
15	North Cobb	6-1	59.41	15	Richmond Hill	4-3	50.45

AAAAA				AAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Buford	8-0	77.07	1	Marist	8-0	73.20
2	Warner Robins	7-1	73.08	2	Cartersville	8-0	70.87
3	Carrollton	8-0	72.87	3	Woodward Academy	7-0	70.71
4	Jones County	7-0	67.53	4	Blessed Trinity	6-1	65.61
5	Dutchtown	6-1	62.69	5	Sandy Creek	6-1	64.30
6	Rome	6-2	62.68	6	Burke County	7-1	58.90
7	Ware County	4-3	62.68	7	Flowery Branch	6-1	58.55
8	Veterans	7-1	58.25	8	West Laurens	6-1	57.49
9	Wayne County	6-1	58.10	9	Oconee County	7-1	54.22
10	Kell	5-2	57.48	10	Denmark	5-2	53.56
11	Bainbridge	5-2	54.40	11	Troup	5-2	51.70
12	South Effingham	6-2	54.02	12	Carver (Columbus)	7-1	51.05
13	Griffin	7-1	53.59	13	North Oconee	8-0	50.33
14	Stockbridge	6-1	50.29	14	Cairo	5-2	49.50
15	Union Grove	5-2	50.29	15	Chapel Hill	4-3	48.57

AAA				AA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Cedar Grove	6-2	72.57	1	Dublin	7-0	62.57
2	Peach County	6-1	66.36	2	Rabun County	7-0	62.27
3	Pierce County	7-0	61.92	3	Rockmart	7-0	59.76
4	Greater Atlanta Christian	7-1	57.75	4	Hapeville Charter	5-1-1	59.22
5	Jefferson	6-1	54.90	5	Callaway	7-1	57.29
6	Crisp County	5-3	54.22	6	Swainsboro	6-1	52.65
7	Lovett	6-2	53.80	7	Bleckley County	6-2	46.70
8	Westminster (Atlanta)	3-4	53.34	8	Washington County	5-2	46.30
9	Jenkins	7-1	52.69	9	Brooks County	4-4	43.18
10	Appling County	6-1	52.59	10	Thomasville	4-4	42.00
11	North Murray	7-1	50.88	11	Fitzgerald	6-2	41.23
12	Benedictine	5-2	49.51	12	Union County	7-0	39.33
13	Liberty County	4-1	47.40	13	Bremen	4-3	38.84
14	Calhoun	6-1	43.10	14	Dodge County	3-5	38.31
15	Hart County	5-2	42.02	15	Vidalia	6-1	37.85

A - Public				A - Private
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Irwin County	6-0	61.27	1	Holy Innocents	7-0	65.27
2	Clinch County	6-1	53.24	2	Eagle's Landing Christian	6-1	64.65
3	Pelham	7-0	39.63	3	Athens Academy	7-0	56.51
4	Wilcox County	6-1	35.15	4	Darlington	7-0	46.41
5	Bowdon	6-1	33.78	5	Wesleyan	5-2	45.49
6	Commerce	5-2	33.47	6	Fellowship Christian	7-0	42.58
7	Mitchell County	6-1	28.25	7	Hebron Christian	5-2	42.14
8	Marion County	6-2	27.89	8	Prince Avenue Christian	5-2	40.85
9	Lincoln County	5-2	27.05	9	Christian Heritage	6-1	38.61
10	Manchester	5-2	25.72	10	Savannah Christian	4-2	36.31
11	Johnson County	6-1	24.71	11	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	6-1	34.91
12	Turner County	5-2	21.81	12	Whitefield Academy	6-1	31.62
13	McIntosh County Academy	2-5	20.57	13	Savannah Country Day	7-0	31.03
14	Claxton	5-2	20.44	14	North Cobb Christian	6-1	30.09
15	Emanuel County Institute	4-4	18.13	15	Mount de Sales	7-0	29.47

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

Rank	Team	Region	Rec	Rating	SchStr	Rank
1 [1]	Lowndes	1 - AAAAAAA	8-0	101.71	62.97	8 [8]
2 [2]	Colquitt County	1 - AAAAAAA	7-1	92.31	70.91	1 [1]
3 [1]	Valdosta	1 - AAAAAA	7-1	89.82	61.01	9 [1]
4 [3]	McEachern	3 - AAAAAAA	7-0	84.59	60.35	10 [9]
5 [4]	North Gwinnett	6 - AAAAAAA	7-1	83.83	60.07	11 [10]
6 [5]	Grayson	8 - AAAAAAA	6-1	82.16	66.08	4 [4]
7 [1]	Buford	8 - AAAAA	8-0	77.07	45.99	58 [11]
8 [6]	Parkview	7 - AAAAAAA	6-1	75.98	54.31	20 [16]
9 [7]	Marietta	3 - AAAAAAA	5-2	75.65	69.85	2 [2]
10 [1]	Marist	7 - AAAA	8-0	73.20	39.34	116 [20]
11 [2]	Warner Robins	1 - AAAAA	7-1	73.08	47.74	46 [8]
12 [3]	Carrollton	7 - AAAAA	8-0	72.87	40.66	105 [24]
13 [1]	Cedar Grove	5 - AAA	6-2	72.57	48.85	38 [2]
14 [8]	Archer	8 - AAAAAAA	4-3	72.46	65.92	5 [5]
15 [2]	Harrison	6 - AAAAAA	8-0	71.68	34.40	159 [40]
16 [2]	Cartersville	5 - AAAA	8-0	70.87	38.71	124 [22]
17 [3]	Woodward Academy	4 - AAAA	7-0	70.71	27.72	236 [38]
18 [9]	Camden County	1 - AAAAAAA	6-1	70.59	53.95	23 [17]
19 [10]	Hillgrove	3 - AAAAAAA	6-1	70.54	42.40	83 [34]
20 [11]	Mill Creek	6 - AAAAAAA	6-2	70.46	53.38	24 [18]
21 [3]	Dacula	8 - AAAAAA	7-0	69.87	41.22	95 [18]
22 [4]	Coffee	1 - AAAAAA	6-2	68.92	45.68	61 [10]
23 [12]	Milton	5 - AAAAAAA	4-3	68.61	58.63	14 [13]
24 [4]	Jones County	4 - AAAAA	7-0	67.53	41.14	96 [21]
25 [2]	Peach County	4 - AAA	6-1	66.36	36.52	139 [9]
26 [5]	Lee County	1 - AAAAAA	6-1	65.74	36.52	138 [29]
27 [4]	Blessed Trinity	7 - AAAA	6-1	65.61	50.52	29 [1]
28 [1]	Holy Innocents	5 - A	7-0	65.27	27.37	238 [5]
29 [2]	Eagle's Landing Christian	5 - A	6-1	64.65	37.55	132 [1]
30 [5]	Sandy Creek	5 - AAAA	6-1	64.30	41.29	94 [14]
31 [13]	Newton	8 - AAAAAAA	5-2	63.51	50.11	30 [20]
32 [5]	Dutchtown	4 - AAAAA	6-1	62.69	46.23	55 [10]
33 [6]	Rome	7 - AAAAA	6-2	62.68	37.72	129 [29]
34 [7]	Ware County	2 - AAAAA	4-3	62.68	58.53	15 [1]
35 [14]	Collins Hill	6 - AAAAAAA	4-3	62.67	58.95	12 [11]
36 [1]	Dublin	3 - AA	7-0	62.57	33.57	171 [8]
37 [2]	Rabun County	8 - AA	7-0	62.27	23.83	272 [25]
38 [3]	Pierce County	2 - AAA	7-0	61.92	21.62	292 [45]
39 [1]	Irwin County	2 - A	6-0	61.27	20.90	298 [11]
40 [6]	Allatoona	6 - AAAAAA	4-2-1	60.89	48.35	40 [6]
41 [3]	Rockmart	7 - AA	7-0	59.76	23.51	274 [26]
42 [15]	North Cobb	3 - AAAAAAA	6-1	59.41	39.30	117 [41]
43 [4]	Hapeville Charter	6 - AA	5-1-1	59.22	29.95	213 [12]
44 [6]	Burke County	3 - AAAA	7-1	58.90	34.09	163 [27]
45 [7]	Flowery Branch	7 - AAAA	6-1	58.55	37.12	134 [24]
46 [7]	Houston County	1 - AAAAAA	4-3	58.42	53.98	22 [4]
47 [8]	Veterans	1 - AAAAA	7-1	58.25	45.64	63 [13]
48 [9]	Wayne County	2 - AAAAA	6-1	58.10	44.09	70 [15]
49 [4]	Greater Atlanta Christian	7 - AAA	7-1	57.75	36.54	137 [8]
50 [16]	Westlake	2 - AAAAAAA	4-3	57.63	56.26	17 [14]
51 [8]	Johns Creek	7 - AAAAAA	6-1	57.54	31.82	197 [52]
52 [8]	West Laurens	2 - AAAA	6-1	57.49	39.74	113 [19]
53 [17]	Mountain View	6 - AAAAAAA	4-3	57.49	47.58	48 [27]
54 [10]	Kell	7 - AAAAA	5-2	57.48	42.68	82 [18]
55 [18]	East Coweta	2 - AAAAAAA	2-5	57.45	68.98	3 [3]
56 [19]	Shiloh	8 - AAAAAAA	6-1	57.39	33.05	179 [44]
57 [20]	South Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	4-3	57.34	54.75	18 [15]
58 [5]	Callaway	5 - AA	7-1	57.29	24.25	268 [23]
59 [21]	Walton	4 - AAAAAAA	4-3	57.13	52.02	25 [19]
60 [9]	Lanier	8 - AAAAAA	7-0	56.76	35.25	147 [35]
61 [22]	Tift County	1 - AAAAAAA	3-5	56.59	63.39	6 [6]
62 [3]	Athens Academy	8 - A	7-0	56.51	22.55	283 [11]
63 [23]	North Paulding	3 - AAAAAAA	5-2	55.92	43.29	76 [32]
64 [5]	Jefferson	8 - AAA	6-1	54.90	29.75	215 [22]
65 [11]	Bainbridge	1 - AAAAA	5-2	54.40	48.94	36 [7]
66 [9]	Oconee County	8 - AAAA	7-1	54.22	38.11	128 [23]
67 [6]	Crisp County	1 - AAA	5-3	54.22	47.64	47 [3]
68 [24]	Norcross	7 - AAAAAAA	2-5	54.21	63.12	7 [7]
69 [12]	South Effingham	2 - AAAAA	6-2	54.02	42.95	79 [16]
70 [7]	Lovett	5 - AAA	6-2	53.80	41.05	99 [5]
71 [10]	Mays	5 - AAAAAA	6-1	53.77	35.69	144 [33]
72 [13]	Griffin	3 - AAAAA	7-1	53.59	35.61	146 [32]
73 [10]	Denmark	7 - AAAA	5-2	53.56	27.38	237 [39]
74 [8]	Westminster (Atlanta)	5 - AAA	3-4	53.34	54.49	19 [1]
75 [25]	Roswell	4 - AAAAAAA	4-2	53.27	33.15	176 [43]
76 [2]	Clinch County	2 - A	6-1	53.24	31.18	201 [2]
77 [9]	Jenkins	3 - AAA	7-1	52.69	24.79	264 [37]
78 [6]	Swainsboro	2 - AA	6-1	52.65	25.01	262 [20]
79 [10]	Appling County	2 - AAA	6-1	52.59	32.18	188 [13]
80 [11]	Dalton	6 - AAAAAA	6-2	52.25	32.39	186 [49]
81 [26]	Cherokee	4 - AAAAAAA	6-2	51.94	41.82	87 [35]
82 [12]	South Paulding	5 - AAAAAA	6-1	51.77	39.25	119 [22]
83 [11]	Troup	5 - AAAA	5-2	51.70	41.04	102 [15]
84 [13]	Stephenson	4 - AAAAAA	6-1	51.58	34.85	151 [37]
85 [12]	Carver (Columbus)	1 - AAAA	7-1	51.05	26.68	244 [40]
86 [11]	North Murray	6 - AAA	7-1	50.88	19.52	307 [50]
87 [14]	Glynn Academy	2 - AAAAAA	2-4	50.79	54.23	21 [3]
88 [15]	Richmond Hill	2 - AAAAAA	4-3	50.45	47.12	50 [8]
89 [27]	Newnan	2 - AAAAAAA	5-2	50.40	41.40	92 [37]
90 [13]	North Oconee	8 - AAAA	8-0	50.33	23.20	277 [44]
91 [28]	South Gwinnett	8 - AAAAAAA	4-3	50.31	47.23	49 [28]
92 [14]	Stockbridge	4 - AAAAA	6-1	50.29	35.91	141 [31]
93 [15]	Union Grove	4 - AAAAA	5-2	50.29	32.02	191 [39]
94 [16]	Northside (Warner Robins)	1 - AAAAAA	3-5	49.97	57.41	16 [2]
95 [29]	Etowah	4 - AAAAAAA	4-4	49.85	49.56	34 [21]
96 [16]	Ola	4 - AAAAA	5-2	49.62	40.11	111 [25]
97 [12]	Benedictine	3 - AAA	5-2	49.51	22.66	280 [42]
98 [14]	Cairo	1 - AAAA	5-2	49.50	35.12	148 [25]
99 [15]	Chapel Hill	5 - AAAA	4-3	48.57	46.76	51 [4]
100 [17]	Statesboro	2 - AAAAA	3-4	48.51	51.71	26 [2]
101 [18]	Riverdale	3 - AAAAA	6-1	48.25	21.57	293 [48]
102 [30]	West Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	2-4	47.49	48.48	39 [24]
103 [17]	Sprayberry	6 - AAAAAA	4-3	47.46	44.92	67 [12]
104 [18]	Brunswick	2 - AAAAAA	4-4	47.45	43.48	74 [14]
105 [13]	Liberty County	2 - AAA	4-1	47.40	28.82	223 [25]
106 [19]	Clarke Central	8 - AAAAA	5-3	47.31	42.91	81 [17]
107 [31]	Brookwood	7 - AAAAAAA	4-3	47.25	40.48	108 [39]
108 [7]	Bleckley County	3 - AA	6-2	46.70	29.81	214 [13]
109 [4]	Darlington	6 - A	7-0	46.41	18.86	314 [17]
110 [19]	Alexander	5 - AAAAAA	5-2	46.34	34.25	161 [41]
111 [8]	Washington County	3 - AA	5-2	46.30	34.64	156 [6]
112 [20]	Alpharetta	7 - AAAAAA	5-2	45.94	34.89	150 [36]
113 [20]	Hiram	7 - AAAAA	5-2	45.62	33.53	172 [37]
114 [5]	Wesleyan	5 - A	5-2	45.49	33.39	174 [2]
115 [21]	Starr's Mill	3 - AAAAA	5-3	45.36	38.98	120 [28]
116 [16]	Mary Persons	2 - AAAA	4-3	45.15	41.41	90 [13]
117 [21]	Creekview	6 - AAAAAA	5-2	44.53	34.09	164 [43]
118 [22]	New Hampstead	2 - AAAAA	3-4	44.11	49.72	33 [6]
119 [23]	Southwest DeKalb	5 - AAAAA	6-1	43.83	18.46	319 [50]
120 [22]	Creekside	5 - AAAAAA	4-3	43.82	37.56	131 [26]
121 [17]	Perry	2 - AAAA	4-3	43.57	40.58	107 [16]
122 [23]	Tucker	4 - AAAAAA	4-3	43.50	38.16	125 [25]
123 [9]	Brooks County	1 - AA	4-4	43.18	41.11	97 [3]
124 [14]	Calhoun	6 - AAA	6-1	43.10	19.72	306 [49]
125 [24]	Riverwood	6 - AAAAA	7-0	42.83	22.54	284 [47]
126 [25]	Thomas County Central	1 - AAAAA	5-2	42.60	32.12	189 [38]
127 [6]	Fellowship Christian	6 - A	7-0	42.58	8.91	387 [32]
128 [18]	Thomson	3 - AAAA	3-4	42.52	43.84	72 [8]
129 [24]	Douglas County	5 - AAAAAA	5-3	42.34	36.89	136 [28]
130 [7]	Hebron Christian	8 - A	5-2	42.14	25.46	257 [8]
131 [25]	M.L. King	4 - AAAAAA	6-1	42.14	30.30	208 [53]
132 [15]	Hart County	8 - AAA	5-2	42.02	31.89	194 [16]
133 [19]	Cedartown	5 - AAAA	3-4	42.01	41.63	88 [12]
134 [10]	Thomasville	1 - AA	4-4	42.00	46.42	52 [1]
135 [16]	Pace Academy	5 - AAA	4-3	41.90	38.12	127 [7]
136 [26]	Harris County	1 - AAAAA	4-4	41.68	45.65	62 [12]
137 [20]	Howard	2 - AAAA	4-3	41.56	40.14	110 [17]
138 [11]	Fitzgerald	1 - AA	6-2	41.23	24.74	265 [22]
139 [26]	Gainesville	8 - AAAAAA	3-4	41.15	45.49	64 [11]
140 [8]	Prince Avenue Christian	8 - A	5-2	40.85	23.46	275 [10]
141 [27]	Lovejoy	4 - AAAAAA	5-3	40.18	34.23	162 [42]
142 [28]	Pope	7 - AAAAAA	5-3	40.15	33.95	167 [45]
143 [32]	Rockdale County	8 - AAAAAAA	4-3	40.02	40.59	106 [38]
144 [33]	North Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	5-2	39.86	31.84	195 [45]
145 [3]	Pelham	1 - A	7-0	39.63	-10.88	418 [48]
146 [17]	Islands	3 - AAA	6-2	39.57	25.03	261 [36]
147 [27]	Jonesboro	3 - AAAAA	3-5	39.57	46.38	53 [9]
148 [21]	St. Pius X	8 - AAAA	3-5	39.38	48.35	41 [2]
149 [12]	Union County	8 - AA	7-0	39.33	11.30	373 [51]
150 [28]	Cedar Shoals	8 - AAAAA	5-3	39.23	34.93	149 [33]
151 [22]	Eastside	4 - AAAA	4-3	39.10	33.14	177 [30]
152 [18]	Monroe Area	8 - AAA	6-2	39.05	27.27	241 [29]
153 [29]	Morrow	4 - AAAAAA	4-4	39.02	38.81	122 [23]
154 [30]	Evans	3 - AAAAAA	4-2	38.93	34.47	158 [39]
155 [13]	Bremen	5 - AA	4-3	38.84	30.26	209 [11]
156 [9]	Christian Heritage	6 - A	6-1	38.61	16.75	331 [20]
157 [23]	Westover	1 - AAAA	5-2	38.58	27.73	234 [37]
158 [19]	Morgan County	8 - AAA	6-2	38.33	26.14	249 [31]
159 [14]	Dodge County	3 - AA	3-5	38.31	43.93	71 [2]
160 [31]	Winder-Barrow	8 - AAAAAA	2-5	38.14	45.73	60 [9]
161 [20]	Dawson County	7 - AAA	5-2	38.06	21.89	289 [44]
162 [21]	Jackson	4 - AAA	5-2	37.96	26.11	250 [32]
163 [22]	North Hall	7 - AAA	4-3	37.86	31.82	198 [18]
164 [15]	Vidalia	2 - AA	6-1	37.85	18.45	320 [34]
165 [16]	Pepperell	7 - AA	5-2	37.85	23.92	271 [24]
166 [24]	Upson-Lee	2 - AAAA	2-5	37.21	45.14	66 [6]
167 [29]	Columbia	5 - AAAAA	3-4	36.94	36.96	135 [30]
168 [25]	White County	7 - AAAA	4-3	36.84	33.06	178 [31]
169 [17]	Jefferson County	4 - AA	6-2	36.59	16.69	332 [39]
170 [10]	Savannah Christian	3 - A	4-2	36.31	13.37	355 [26]
171 [30]	Carver (Atlanta)	6 - AAAAA	5-2	36.20	24.44	267 [46]
172 [34]	Pebblebrook	2 - AAAAAAA	3-4	36.17	43.16	77 [33]
173 [32]	Sequoyah	6 - AAAAAA	4-3	35.69	28.62	227 [57]
174 [35]	Woodstock	4 - AAAAAAA	1-6	35.65	47.90	44 [26]
175 [23]	Westside (Macon)	4 - AAA	4-3	35.47	31.56	199 [19]
176 [26]	Central (Carrollton)	5 - AAAA	3-5	35.19	39.98	112 [18]
177 [4]	Wilcox County	2 - A	6-1	35.15	9.03	386 [30]
178 [33]	Lakeside (Evans)	3 - AAAAAA	5-1	35.10	27.37	239 [58]
179 [31]	East Paulding	7 - AAAAA	1-6	35.04	51.66	28 [4]
180 [36]	Wheeler	2 - AAAAAAA	2-5	34.97	46.18	56 [29]
181 [27]	Baldwin	3 - AAAA	2-6	34.95	48.16	43 [3]
182 [11]	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	5 - A	6-1	34.91	19.33	311 [16]
183 [32]	Paulding County	7 - AAAAA	3-4	34.73	41.05	98 [22]
184 [34]	North Atlanta	7 - AAAAAA	4-3	34.55	33.61	170 [47]
185 [37]	Central Gwinnett	7 - AAAAAAA	2-6	34.37	48.91	37 [23]
186 [5]	Bowdon	6 - A	6-1	33.78	20.96	297 [10]
187 [6]	Commerce	8 - A	5-2	33.47	14.49	346 [17]
188 [33]	Loganville	8 - AAAAA	2-6	33.44	41.96	85 [19]
189 [35]	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	4 - AAAAAA	3-5	33.32	35.73	143 [32]
190 [18]	Northeast	3 - AA	3-4	33.25	34.07	165 [7]
191 [24]	Haralson County	6 - AAA	6-1	33.22	13.68	353 [54]
192 [19]	Douglass	6 - AA	6-1	33.04	9.56	383 [54]
193 [38]	Peachtree Ridge	6 - AAAAAAA	2-6	32.98	49.52	35 [22]
194 [36]	Mundy's Mill	4 - AAAAAA	3-5	32.95	38.72	123 [24]
195 [37]	Bradwell Institute	2 - AAAAAA	3-3	32.92	32.66	184 [48]
196 [20]	Metter	2 - AA	5-2	32.57	16.94	329 [37]
197 [38]	Northview	7 - AAAAAA	4-3	32.56	29.34	221 [56]
198 [34]	Whitewater	3 - AAAAA	1-6	32.19	49.93	31 [5]
199 [12]	Whitefield Academy	6 - A	6-1	31.62	13.06	359 [27]
200 [39]	Heritage (Conyers)	3 - AAAAAA	3-4	31.46	33.79	168 [46]
201 [35]	Eagle's Landing	4 - AAAAA	2-5	31.36	39.55	115 [26]
202 [13]	Savannah Country Day	3 - A	7-0	31.03	11.51	368 [29]
203 [28]	Americus-Sumter	1 - AAAA	4-3	31.02	28.13	229 [35]
204 [39]	Discovery	6 - AAAAAAA	1-6	31.01	58.79	13 [12]
205 [40]	Effingham County	2 - AAAAAA	2-6	30.87	42.95	80 [16]
206 [41]	Habersham Central	8 - AAAAAA	3-4	30.82	34.06	166 [44]
207 [29]	Hardaway	1 - AAAA	4-3	30.76	27.98	231 [36]
208 [42]	Hughes	5 - AAAAAA	1-7	30.60	47.87	45 [7]
209 [30]	Northwest Whitfield	6 - AAAA	5-2	30.29	21.98	288 [47]
210 [14]	North Cobb Christian	6 - A	6-1	30.09	15.66	338 [21]
211 [31]	Shaw	1 - AAAA	5-2	30.06	20.69	302 [48]
212 [36]	Decatur	6 - AAAAA	5-2	29.85	17.53	325 [52]
213 [32]	Pickens	6 - AAAA	5-3	29.48	18.62	318 [51]
214 [15]	Mount de Sales	7 - A	7-0	29.47	1.01	407 [37]
215 [33]	Ridgeland	6 - AAAA	3-4	29.46	33.26	175 [29]
216 [34]	LaGrange	5 - AAAA	2-5	29.40	43.15	78 [9]
217 [16]	George Walton Academy	8 - A	5-2	29.03	6.88	392 [33]
218 [37]	Locust Grove	4 - AAAAA	0-6	29.00	51.68	27 [3]
219 [21]	Toombs County	2 - AA	5-2	28.39	10.97	375 [52]
220 [43]	Alcovy	3 - AAAAAA	2-5	28.39	41.05	100 [20]
221 [22]	Elbert County	8 - AA	3-4	28.38	31.11	204 [10]
222 [35]	Madison County	8 - AAAA	3-4	28.35	33.62	169 [28]
223 [7]	Mitchell County	1 - A	6-1	28.25	-11.90	419 [49]
224 [25]	Sonoraville	6 - AAA	4-3	28.24	23.34	276 [40]
225 [44]	Northgate	5 - AAAAAA	1-6	28.22	43.76	73 [13]
226 [45]	Grovetown	3 - AAAAAA	3-4	28.18	32.00	192 [51]
227 [17]	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	5 - A	3-4	27.94	30.23	210 [3]
228 [46]	Cambridge	7 - AAAAAA	3-5	27.94	32.37	187 [50]
229 [8]	Marion County	4 - A	6-2	27.89	11.84	365 [23]
230 [18]	Aquinas	7 - A	6-1	27.55	10.94	376 [31]
231 [26]	Fannin County	7 - AAA	5-2	27.41	20.66	303 [48]
232 [9]	Lincoln County	7 - A	5-2	27.05	11.49	370 [25]
233 [36]	Heritage (Ringgold)	6 - AAAA	6-2	26.97	18.68	317 [50]
234 [40]	Forsyth Central	5 - AAAAAAA	3-3	26.92	11.51	369 [48]
235 [23]	Heard County	5 - AA	3-4	26.84	28.77	225 [16]
236 [24]	Jeff Davis	2 - AA	6-1	26.70	6.70	393 [56]
237 [25]	Harlem	4 - AA	5-3	26.70	16.57	334 [41]
238 [41]	Meadowcreek	7 - AAAAAAA	3-4	26.62	28.74	226 [46]
239 [42]	Lassiter	4 - AAAAAAA	1-6	25.91	48.24	42 [25]
240 [26]	Early County	1 - AA	4-3	25.83	16.44	335 [42]
241 [10]	Manchester	4 - A	5-2	25.72	10.51	379 [28]
242 [37]	Stephens County	8 - AAAA	1-6	25.70	44.16	69 [7]
243 [19]	Brookstone	4 - A	5-2	25.63	13.93	348 [25]
244 [27]	South Atlanta	6 - AA	5-2	25.15	13.94	347 [45]
245 [47]	Dunwoody	7 - AAAAAA	3-4	25.04	30.12	211 [54]
246 [48]	Apalachee	8 - AAAAAA	2-5	24.92	35.67	145 [34]
247 [11]	Johnson County	3 - A	6-1	24.71	3.29	403 [39]
248 [38]	Villa Rica	7 - AAAAA	1-6	24.68	41.36	93 [20]
249 [49]	New Manchester	5 - AAAAAA	1-7	24.57	40.84	104 [21]
250 [39]	Cass	7 - AAAAA	3-5	24.48	34.32	160 [36]
251 [27]	Monroe	1 - AAA	3-5	24.33	33.40	173 [10]
252 [28]	Southwest	3 - AA	2-5	24.11	37.63	130 [5]
253 [50]	River Ridge	6 - AAAAAA	2-6	23.89	43.46	75 [15]
254 [40]	Lithonia	5 - AAAAA	4-3	23.72	21.18	296 [49]
255 [20]	Calvary Day	3 - A	4-3	23.63	21.42	294 [13]
256 [21]	First Presbyterian	7 - A	4-3	23.28	17.64	323 [18]
257 [29]	Lamar County	5 - AA	6-1	22.90	5.30	396 [57]
258 [51]	Chattahoochee	7 - AAAAAA	2-6	22.70	34.72	155 [38]
259 [38]	Richmond Academy	3 - AAAA	3-4	22.32	30.69	207 [33]
260 [30]	Hephzibah	4 - AA	5-2	21.91	12.62	360 [47]
261 [12]	Turner County	2 - A	5-2	21.81	15.33	340 [16]
262 [22]	St. Francis	6 - A	4-3	21.70	17.54	324 [19]
263 [41]	Woodland (Stockbridge)	4 - AAAAA	1-6	21.64	44.54	68 [14]
264 [31]	Screven County	4 - AA	5-2	21.44	12.41	362 [49]
265 [42]	Grady	6 - AAAAA	3-4	21.12	25.77	255 [45]
266 [28]	Central (Macon)	4 - AAA	2-6	21.03	31.36	200 [20]
267 [43]	Banneker	6 - AAAAA	2-5	21.02	29.57	217 [41]
268 [29]	Cook	1 - AAA	2-6	20.68	31.15	202 [21]
269 [13]	McIntosh County Academy	3 - A	2-5	20.57	30.90	206 [4]
270 [39]	Spalding	2 - AAAA	1-6	20.52	41.88	86 [11]
271 [14]	Claxton	3 - A	5-2	20.44	11.40	371 [26]
272 [30]	Beach	3 - AAA	2-3	20.41	32.88	180 [11]
273 [44]	Arabia Mountain	5 - AAAAA	1-6	20.37	39.26	118 [27]
274 [31]	Cherokee Bluff	7 - AAA	3-5	20.35	27.74	233 [27]
275 [45]	McIntosh	3 - AAAAA	2-5	20.28	31.12	203 [40]
276 [43]	Kennesaw Mountain	3 - AAAAAAA	0-7	20.18	46.03	57 [30]
277 [46]	Maynard Jackson	6 - AAAAA	4-3	19.93	16.97	328 [53]
278 [47]	Fayette County	3 - AAAAA	2-5	19.13	27.72	235 [44]
279 [40]	Chestatee	7 - AAAA	1-6	19.07	42.04	84 [10]
280 [52]	Greenbrier	3 - AAAAAA	1-6	19.07	35.93	140 [30]
281 [32]	Windsor Forest	3 - AAA	3-4	18.91	22.56	282 [43]
282 [33]	Jackson County	8 - AAA	2-5	18.73	29.50	219 [24]
283 [34]	Adairsville	6 - AAA	3-5	18.62	25.90	252 [34]
284 [32]	Chattooga	7 - AA	3-4	18.49	22.68	279 [27]
285 [23]	Stratford Academy	7 - A	2-5	18.49	26.23	248 [7]
286 [15]	Emanuel County Institute	3 - A	4-4	18.13	13.79	351 [19]
287 [35]	Brantley County	2 - AAA	4-3	17.97	17.04	327 [52]
288 [41]	Hampton	4 - AAAA	3-4	17.89	24.57	266 [43]
289 [42]	Dougherty	1 - AAAA	1-6	17.34	32.72	183 [32]
290 [36]	Southeast Bulloch	3 - AAA	2-4	17.16	20.80	299 [46]
291 [24]	Mount Paran Christian	6 - A	3-3	17.10	11.31	372 [30]
292 [37]	Stone Mountain	5 - AAA	2-5	17.04	27.35	240 [28]
293 [16]	Washington-Wilkes	7 - A	4-4	16.91	18.72	316 [12]
294 [17]	Trion	6 - A	5-3	16.79	10.93	377 [27]
295 [33]	Temple	5 - AA	4-4	16.60	17.99	321 [35]
296 [34]	Model	7 - AA	3-4	16.30	19.04	313 [32]
297 [43]	Columbus	1 - AAAA	1-6	16.02	38.97	121 [21]
298 [44]	LaFayette	6 - AAAA	3-5	15.92	22.49	285 [46]
299 [44]	Campbell	2 - AAAAAAA	0-7	15.85	45.16	65 [31]
300 [25]	Walker	6 - A	4-3	15.69	14.98	341 [22]
301 [45]	McDonough	4 - AAAA	3-4	15.43	22.63	281 [45]
302 [46]	Luella	4 - AAAA	2-5	15.28	25.43	258 [42]
303 [35]	Spencer	5 - AA	2-5	15.07	25.62	256 [18]
304 [45]	Lambert	5 - AAAAAAA	0-7	15.05	40.47	109 [40]
305 [36]	B.E.S.T. Academy	6 - AA	2-5	14.99	27.14	242 [17]
306 [18]	Hancock Central	7 - A	4-3	14.95	9.07	385 [29]
307 [38]	Franklin County	8 - AAA	1-6	14.29	31.83	196 [17]
308 [39]	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6 - AAA	3-4	13.75	13.20	356 [55]
309 [46]	Duluth	6 - AAAAAAA	1-6	13.54	41.45	89 [36]
310 [53]	Tri-Cities	5 - AAAAAA	0-7	13.12	41.40	91 [17]
311 [37]	Berrien	1 - AA	2-5	12.93	25.05	260 [19]
312 [19]	Telfair County	2 - A	2-5	12.83	22.00	287 [8]
313 [20]	Schley County	4 - A	4-3	12.75	5.27	397 [34]
314 [38]	Washington	6 - AA	2-5	12.57	18.82	315 [33]
315 [54]	South Cobb	6 - AAAAAA	1-7	12.51	49.93	32 [5]
316 [55]	Drew	4 - AAAAAA	1-6	12.14	41.05	101 [20]
317 [21]	Atkinson County	2 - A	3-4	12.05	15.70	337 [14]
318 [40]	Pike County	4 - AAA	3-4	12.04	13.93	349 [53]
319 [39]	Therrell	6 - AA	2-5	11.96	24.97	263 [21]
320 [41]	Johnson (Savannah)	3 - AAA	2-5	11.27	29.62	216 [23]
321 [40]	Banks County	8 - AA	3-4	11.25	14.96	342 [43]
322 [22]	Montgomery County	3 - A	5-2	11.23	4.85	399 [36]
323 [23]	Macon County	4 - A	4-3	11.01	7.32	391 [33]
324 [42]	Worth County	1 - AAA	2-6	10.89	25.92	251 [33]
325 [56]	Centennial	7 - AAAAAA	0-7	10.86	37.43	133 [27]
326 [47]	North Clayton	4 - AAAA	2-5	10.63	28.26	228 [34]
327 [24]	Terrell County	1 - A	5-2	10.61	-2.07	413 [44]
328 [25]	Gordon Lee	6 - A	2-5	10.41	21.70	291 [9]
329 [43]	East Jackson	8 - AAA	3-4	10.36	19.48	309 [51]
330 [26]	Lanier County	2 - A	2-5	10.26	25.78	254 [7]
331 [26]	Athens Christian	8 - A	2-5	9.63	27.85	232 [4]
332 [27]	Charlton County	2 - A	1-6	9.47	32.86	181 [1]
333 [27]	Tattnall Square	7 - A	3-4	9.37	12.10	364 [28]
334 [48]	Miller Grove	5 - AAAAA	0-7	9.05	40.95	103 [23]
335 [44]	Long County	2 - AAA	1-6	9.02	46.29	54 [4]
336 [45]	Redan	5 - AAA	2-5	8.61	26.84	243 [30]
337 [41]	Putnam County	8 - AA	3-4	8.56	20.45	304 [30]
338 [42]	Westside (Augusta)	4 - AA	3-4	8.37	9.38	384 [55]
339 [49]	Lithia Springs	6 - AAAAA	2-5	8.13	17.73	322 [51]
340 [28]	Taylor County	4 - A	4-3	7.96	5.09	398 [35]
341 [28]	Riverside Military Academy	8 - A	4-3	7.79	1.23	406 [36]
342 [46]	East Hall	7 - AAA	1-7	7.68	32.46	185 [12]
343 [47]	Murray County	6 - AAA	4-4	7.49	10.79	378 [56]
344 [43]	Laney	4 - AA	2-5	7.47	21.19	295 [28]
345 [47]	Berkmar	7 - AAAAAAA	3-4	6.68	21.84	290 [47]
346 [29]	Warren County	7 - A	4-3	6.64	1.00	408 [41]
347 [44]	Monticello	8 - AA	1-6	6.60	29.56	218 [14]
348 [29]	Pacelli	4 - A	5-3	6.46	2.11	405 [35]
349 [50]	Woodland (Cartersville)	7 - AAAAA	1-6	6.15	34.81	152 [34]
350 [30]	Mount Pisgah Christian	6 - A	2-5	6.11	19.52	308 [15]
351 [45]	Gordon Central	7 - AA	2-5	6.10	16.66	333 [40]
352 [48]	Salem	4 - AAAA	1-6	5.94	26.55	245 [41]
353 [49]	Northside (Columbus)	1 - AAAA	0-8	5.86	34.73	154 [26]
354 [51]	Johnson (Gainesville)	8 - AAAAA	4-4	5.74	7.93	390 [55]
355 [31]	Strong Rock Christian	5 - A	2-5	5.74	26.25	247 [6]
356 [48]	Rutland	4 - AAA	2-6	4.83	28.03	230 [26]
357 [30]	Mount Zion (Carroll)	6 - A	1-7	4.76	25.81	253 [6]
358 [57]	Forest Park	4 - AAAAAA	0-7	4.37	35.80	142 [31]
359 [49]	Tattnall County	2 - AAA	0-7	4.29	31.95	193 [15]
360 [31]	Chattahoochee County	1 - A	4-4	4.20	4.30	401 [37]
361 [46]	Butler	4 - AA	2-5	3.91	13.69	352 [46]
362 [50]	Gilmer	6 - AAAA	3-4	3.90	10.20	381 [53]
363 [32]	Dooly County	4 - A	2-5	3.06	13.41	354 [20]
364 [50]	Lumpkin County	7 - AAA	1-6	2.94	25.15	259 [35]
365 [51]	Cross Creek	3 - AAAA	2-5	2.84	19.30	312 [49]
366 [32]	Lakeview Academy	8 - A	1-5	1.99	24.09	270 [9]
367 [52]	Walnut Grove	8 - AAAAA	0-8	1.92	34.56	157 [35]
368 [33]	Jenkins County	3 - A	2-6	1.09	13.83	350 [18]
369 [47]	Glenn Hills	4 - AA	2-5	0.93	16.87	330 [38]
370 [51]	Ringgold	6 - AAA	0-7	0.89	32.06	190 [14]
371 [53]	North Springs	6 - AAAAA	1-6	0.25	28.82	224 [43]
372 [33]	Landmark Christian	5 - A	2-5	-0.18	14.83	343 [23]
373 [34]	Greenville	4 - A	2-5	-0.22	11.73	367 [24]
374 [52]	West Hall	7 - AAAA	0-8	-0.31	45.89	59 [5]
375 [48]	East Laurens	3 - AA	1-6	-1.63	39.66	114 [4]
376 [35]	Treutlen	3 - A	3-4	-1.98	3.05	404 [40]
377 [52]	Kendrick	4 - AAA	1-7	-3.22	23.79	273 [39]
378 [36]	Wilkinson County	7 - A	1-6	-3.30	26.27	246 [5]
379 [54]	Chamblee	5 - AAAAA	0-6	-3.32	28.96	222 [42]
380 [49]	Dade County	7 - AA	1-6	-3.32	12.43	361 [48]
381 [50]	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6 - AA	2-5	-3.36	10.29	380 [53]
382 [53]	Druid Hills	4 - AAAA	2-5	-3.43	9.90	382 [54]
383 [34]	Pinecrest Academy	6 - A	0-7	-3.98	22.30	286 [12]
384 [37]	Greene County	7 - A	1-6	-4.10	16.17	336 [13]
385 [53]	Savannah	3 - AAA	1-6	-4.16	22.95	278 [41]
386 [51]	Bacon County	2 - AA	0-8	-4.43	32.85	182 [9]
387 [52]	Jordan	5 - AA	0-8	-5.18	20.77	300 [29]
388 [38]	Miller County	1 - A	3-5	-5.61	3.31	402 [38]
389 [54]	Coahulla Creek	6 - AAA	1-6	-5.74	20.73	301 [47]
390 [53]	Coosa	7 - AA	1-6	-6.71	14.52	345 [44]
391 [54]	Bryan County	2 - AA	0-7	-8.62	29.43	220 [15]
392 [48]	Lakeside (Atlanta)	7 - AAAAAAA	0-8	-8.91	34.77	153 [42]
393 [54]	Southeast Whitfield	6 - AAAA	0-7	-9.34	13.09	358 [52]
394 [39]	Hawkinsville	4 - A	1-6	-9.74	12.13	363 [22]
395 [40]	Seminole County	1 - A	3-4	-9.90	-1.15	411 [42]
396 [41]	Crawford County	4 - A	2-5	-10.59	-2.64	415 [45]
397 [58]	Osborne	6 - AAAAAA	0-8	-10.65	30.02	212 [55]
398 [55]	Oglethorpe County	8 - AA	2-5	-10.67	4.50	400 [58]
399 [55]	Towers	5 - AAA	1-6	-10.83	38.14	126 [6]
400 [35]	King's Ridge Christian	6 - A	1-6	-11.79	14.61	344 [24]
401 [42]	Portal	3 - A	0-7	-14.54	15.34	339 [15]
402 [43]	Central (Talbotton)	4 - A	1-6	-14.72	8.82	388 [31]
403 [56]	Josey	4 - AA	0-7	-15.75	11.78	366 [50]
404 [56]	Groves	3 - AAA	0-7	-16.30	24.11	269 [38]
405 [44]	Twiggs County	7 - A	0-8	-18.27	13.12	357 [21]
406 [36]	Providence Christian	8 - A	2-5	-18.69	6.53	395 [34]
407 [57]	Armuchee	7 - AA	0-7	-19.24	17.10	326 [36]
408 [37]	Georgia Military College	7 - A	2-6	-21.23	-0.25	410 [38]
409 [38]	Our Lady of Mercy	5 - A	0-7	-21.94	20.12	305 [14]
410 [58]	Social Circle	8 - AA	2-5	-22.09	0.05	409 [59]
411 [59]	McNair	6 - AA	0-7	-23.25	19.46	310 [31]
412 [45]	Baconton Charter	1 - A	2-5	-25.11	-3.17	416 [46]
413 [46]	Calhoun County	1 - A	2-5	-25.76	-1.71	412 [43]
414 [47]	Towns County	8 - A	0-7	-25.93	31.09	205 [3]
415 [48]	Wheeler County	3 - A	1-6	-28.06	8.13	389 [32]
416 [55]	Clarkston	5 - AAAAA†	0-8	-30.56	11.04	374 [54]
417 [49]	Stewart County	1 - A	1-6	-43.68	-12.24	420 [50]
418 [1]	ACE Charter	7 - A†	1-6	-46.68	-2.15	414 [1]
419 [50]	Randolph-Clay	1 - A	0-7	-49.80	-6.49	417 [47]
420 [2]	Glascock County	7 - A†	1-7	-50.10	-26.95	422 [3]
421 [3]	Pataula Charter	1 - A†	2-6	-64.37	-24.98	421 [2]
422 [56]	Cross Keys	5 - AAAAA†	0-8	-80.94	6.55	394 [56]

† - Plays a non-region schedule

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the Competitive Rating is the rating required for a new team to that region to have a chance of going undefeated in a round robin schedule among region teams equal to the chance of being selected region champion if picked at random. For example, there are four teams in 1-AAAAAAA, so the chance of a new team being region champion if picked at random is 1 / (4 + 1) = 20%. Therefore the Competitive Rating is the rating required to go undefeated in a round robin tournament among region teams 20% of the time. This rating favors regions with larger numbers of highly rated teams. The “Average Rating” is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank	Region	Comp Rating	Avg Rating
1	1 - AAAAAAA	96.27	80.73
2	1 - AAAAAA	81.31	65.66
3	3 - AAAAAAA	80.26	64.15
4	8 - AAAAAAA	76.89	60.90
5	6 - AAAAAAA	75.59	51.53
6	7 - AAAA	68.51	47.57
7	1 - AAAAA	67.07	53.52
8	5 - AAAA	66.20	48.46
9	7 - AAAAA	65.58	39.95
10	4 - AAAAA	64.38	45.70
11	6 - AAAAAA	64.33	40.32
12	7 - AAAAAAA	63.61	34.79
13	2 - AAAAA	63.39	53.49
14	8 - AAAAA	63.12	33.82
15	5 - AAA	62.93	36.35
16	5 - AAAAAAA	61.79	42.92
17	8 - AAAAAA	61.65	42.39
18	5 - A	60.53	29.61
19	4 - AAAAAAA	58.82	46.39
20	2 - AAAAAAA	57.97	43.05
21	2 - AAA	56.09	32.17
22	3 - AA	55.66	37.41
23	5 - AAAAAA	54.84	37.71
24	2 - AAAA	54.28	41.33
25	4 - AAAA	53.48	17.34
26	2 - AAAAAA	53.37	42.71
27	2 - A	52.71	23.95
28	3 - AAAAA	52.57	37.32
29	4 - AAA	52.32	22.89
30	8 - AAAA	52.29	39.56
31	7 - AAAAAA	51.55	32.72
32	4 - AAAAAA	51.25	34.89
33	3 - AAAA	50.80	33.04
34	8 - AAA	49.41	31.28
35	1 - AAAA	49.29	30.10
36	7 - AAA	48.34	27.13
37	8 - A	48.29	19.39
	8-Div A - A	47.79	26.33
	8-Div B - A	35.35	12.60
38	8 - AA	47.93	13.54
39	3 - AAA	47.84	20.84
40	5 - AA	46.44	23.90
41	1 - AA	45.47	33.92
42	2 - AA	45.35	26.12
43	7 - AA	45.32	11.01
44	6 - A	45.25	20.25
	6-Div A - A	43.02	26.13
	6-Div B - A	35.56	14.98
45	6 - AA	44.73	15.86
46	6 - AAA	44.54	20.66
47	1 - AAA	43.78	25.32
48	3 - AAAAAA	41.10	30.26
49	6 - AAAAA	39.67	22.58
50	5 - AAAAA	37.45	22.07
51	3 - A	35.19	14.09
	3-Div A - A	35.23	22.09
	3-Div B - A	21.40	5.88
52	6 - AAAA	34.26	19.69
53	4 - AA	32.01	12.63
54	7 - A	31.83	11.21
	7-Div B - A	26.80	11.21
	7-Div A - A	25.96	11.20
55	4 - A	28.41	7.04
	4-Div A - A	28.59	12.87
	4-Div B - A	14.85	2.70
56	1 - A	27.83	-8.40

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Pct	Likelihood
09/12	Stephenson	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	9 - 14	18.26	86.1%	0.213
10/11	Clarke Central	Loganville	21 - 38	12.42	77.6%	0.260
09/06	Harlem	Washington-Wilkes	14 - 26	11.24	75.5%	0.294
09/27	Thomson	Grovetown	12 - 16	12.90	78.4%	0.297
09/06	Turner County	Taylor County	7 - 12	12.40	77.6%	0.300
10/18	Aquinas	Hancock Central	14 - 22	11.16	75.3%	0.309
10/04	Macon County	Dooly County	8 - 26	9.39	71.9%	0.313
10/18	Dooly County	Crawford County	19 - 20	12.21	77.2%	0.323
09/05	Perry	Westside (Macon)	13 - 33	8.10	69.2%	0.334
10/18	Maynard Jackson	Lithia Springs	25 - 28	10.35	73.8%	0.343
10/18	Grovetown	Greenbrier	19 - 20	10.55	74.2%	0.349
09/13	Veterans	Statesboro	19 - 29	8.30	69.6%	0.353
09/06	Woodstock	Cambridge	20 - 22	9.16	71.4%	0.367
09/20	Richmond Hill	New Hampstead	14 - 21	7.79	68.5%	0.371
10/04	Cartersville	Central (Carrollton)	16 - 14	34.24	96.8%	0.382

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating	Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Pct
94.23	11/01	Lowndes	Colquitt County	-	10.84	74.7%
91.70	09/27	Lowndes	Valdosta	24 - 0	13.34	79.1%
91.04	09/13	Colquitt County	Valdosta	49 - 50	1.05	52.6%
86.33	08/24	Colquitt County	North Gwinnett	17 - 6	8.48	70.0%
84.08	09/27	Colquitt County	Grayson	31 - 7	11.60	76.1%
78.75	10/18	McEachern	Marietta	14 - 12	7.49	67.9%
77.37	09/13	Grayson	Marietta	28 - 14	7.95	68.9%
76.40	09/06	Lowndes	Parkview	38 - 7	27.18	93.8%
75.66	10/18	Grayson	Archer	34 - 31	8.26	69.5%
74.44	09/14	McEachern	Cedar Grove	29 - 7	13.46	79.4%
74.23	09/20	Colquitt County	Warner Robins	31 - 14	20.67	88.8%
73.86	09/27	Buford	Archer	29 - 28	6.06	64.7%
73.83	10/11	North Gwinnett	Mill Creek	45 - 3	11.92	76.7%
73.22	10/18	Colquitt County	Camden County	34 - 17	20.28	88.4%
72.27	10/11	McEachern	Hillgrove	19 - 14	15.49	82.5%

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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