Maxwell Week 9 summary: Lee County thumps Northside-Warner Robins while Callaway tops AA

By Loren Maxwell

Updated Oct 15, 2018

The Maxwell Ratings will rank the Georgia High School Association's 422 teams throughout the 2018 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.

Interesting results:

- In a season marked by relative stability at the top of each class, Lee County pushed their lead even further on the strength of a 24-7 victory over Northside of Warner Robins. The Trojans are now rated just over 13 points better than their nearest competitor, Creekside. That margin is the largest of any classification in the state, giving Dean Fabrizio’s team a 65% chance of winning their second consecutive title.

- Meanwhile Hapeville Charter, the top rated team in Class AA all season until now, unexpectedly dropped a 23-14 game to Class AAAAAA Allatoona. The loss cleared enough room for both Callaway and Rockmart to slip past the Hornets into the top two spots.

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season's games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.

The current total weight of all team's historical performance is 4.82%.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 1,384 of 1,476 total games including 0 tie(s) (93.77%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within 12.80 points.

The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team's opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Home Advantage: 1.34

By Class

AAAAAAA				AAAAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Colquitt County	7-0	101.10	1	Lee County	7-0	81.54
2	Grayson	5-2	89.42	2	Creekview	7-0	68.38
3	Parkview	7-0	84.43	3	Valdosta	5-3	65.11
4	North Gwinnett	6-2	81.28	4	Allatoona	5-2	63.86
5	Lowndes	6-1	80.44	5	Northside (Warner Robins)	4-4	63.65
6	Walton	7-0	79.68	6	Sequoyah	6-1	60.62
7	Archer	5-2	78.52	7	Coffee	6-2	57.21
8	Hillgrove	7-0	77.84	8	Harrison	7-1	56.18
9	Marietta	3-4	77.75	9	Glynn Academy	3-4	54.18
10	McEachern	4-3	73.67	10	Douglas County	7-1	53.38
11	Tift County	5-2	72.79	11	Tucker	5-2	52.39
12	Milton	5-2	72.15	12	Dacula	5-2	52.12
13	Camden County	6-1	68.01	13	Centennial	5-2	51.17
14	Westlake	5-2	67.83	14	Johns Creek	6-1	51.09
15	Brookwood	6-1	67.45	15	Stephenson	6-1	50.38

AAAAA				AAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Rome	8-0	86.65	1	Blessed Trinity	7-0	79.37
2	Warner Robins	7-1	77.01	2	Troup	7-0	75.69
3	Dutchtown	7-0	73.11	3	Mary Persons	7-0	73.93
4	Buford	6-2	71.29	4	Cartersville	8-0	72.85
5	Jones County	6-1	67.42	5	St. Pius X	7-1	68.79
6	Stockbridge	7-0	64.83	6	Marist	7-1	64.32
7	Wayne County	8-0	60.88	7	Flowery Branch	6-1	59.76
8	Kell	5-2	60.46	8	Sandy Creek	4-3	58.48
9	Ware County	5-2	59.70	9	Eastside	7-0	57.62
10	Carrollton	6-2	56.99	10	Burke County	6-2	56.80
11	Veterans	7-1	54.66	11	Ridgeland	5-2	56.59
12	Southwest DeKalb	7-0	52.48	12	Chapel Hill	5-2	51.52
13	Banneker	6-1	52.23	13	Pickens	8-0	51.36
14	Thomas County Central	5-2	51.47	14	Cedartown	4-3	50.70
15	Bainbridge	3-4	50.49	15	Upson-Lee	4-3	50.50

AAA				AA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Cedar Grove	7-1	71.83	1	Callaway	7-1	62.79
2	Calhoun	7-0	69.97	2	Rockmart	7-0	60.46
3	Peach County	5-2	64.05	3	Hapeville Charter	6-1	60.01
4	Monroe Area	8-0	63.03	4	Dublin	7-1	58.48
5	Benedictine	6-1	62.88	5	Washington County	6-0	56.97
6	Greater Atlanta Christian	6-2	57.55	6	Dodge County	6-1	55.69
7	Westminster (Atlanta)	4-3	56.92	7	Bremen	6-1	55.39
8	Crisp County	4-3	52.92	8	Brooks County	5-2	54.14
9	Pace Academy	5-3	50.03	9	Fitzgerald	6-2	53.78
10	Dawson County	6-1	48.59	10	Rabun County	6-1	52.76
11	North Hall	6-1	48.23	11	Thomasville	4-4	49.38
12	Jefferson	7-1	47.78	12	Vidalia	7-0	49.20
13	Liberty County	4-1	47.28	13	Swainsboro	5-2	46.27
14	Westside (Macon)	5-2	45.16	14	Jefferson County	6-2	43.55
15	Pierce County	7-0	43.51	15	Heard County	5-2	43.54

A - Public				A - Private
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Irwin County	7-0	65.21	1	Athens Academy	7-0	57.40
2	Clinch County	6-1	54.63	2	Eagle's Landing Christian	6-1	55.30
3	Commerce	7-0	44.38	3	Prince Avenue Christian	6-1	49.49
4	Marion County	8-0	44.34	4	George Walton Academy	6-1	42.83
5	Pelham	7-0	38.69	5	Savannah Christian	6-1	42.67
6	Mount Zion (Carroll)	7-1	37.22	6	Fellowship Christian	7-0	40.29
7	Charlton County	5-2	36.09	7	Mount Paran Christian	5-2	36.26
8	Schley County	6-1	35.38	8	Calvary Day	6-1	35.10
9	Emanuel County Institute	4-3	29.63	9	Aquinas	7-0	34.84
10	Mitchell County	5-1	29.39	10	Darlington	6-1	34.78
11	Dooly County	3-3	28.10	11	Hebron Christian Academy	4-3	31.40
12	Wilcox County	4-3	26.56	12	Wesleyan	3-4	30.83
13	Turner County	4-3	26.08	13	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	5-2	29.84
14	Trion	5-3	23.86	14	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	5-2	28.19
15	Greene County	5-2	23.75	15	Brookstone	5-2	27.63

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

Rank	Team	Region	Rec	Rating	SchStr	Rank
1 [1]	Colquitt County	1 - AAAAAAA	7-0	101.10	65.83	6 [6]
2 [2]	Grayson	8 - AAAAAAA	5-2	89.42	69.56	2 [2]
3 [1]	Rome	7 - AAAAA	8-0	86.65	41.12	111 [25]
4 [3]	Parkview	7 - AAAAAAA	7-0	84.43	57.38	13 [11]
5 [1]	Lee County	1 - AAAAAA	7-0	81.54	39.22	131 [28]
6 [4]	North Gwinnett	6 - AAAAAAA	6-2	81.28	60.03	10 [10]
7 [5]	Lowndes	1 - AAAAAAA	6-1	80.44	51.33	42 [27]
8 [6]	Walton	4 - AAAAAAA	7-0	79.68	52.08	39 [24]
9 [1]	Blessed Trinity	7 - AAAA	7-0	79.37	52.57	34 [3]
10 [7]	Archer	8 - AAAAAAA	5-2	78.52	67.53	3 [3]
11 [8]	Hillgrove	3 - AAAAAAA	7-0	77.84	54.62	27 [20]
12 [9]	Marietta	3 - AAAAAAA	3-4	77.75	73.80	1 [1]
13 [2]	Warner Robins	1 - AAAAA	7-1	77.01	55.02	22 [1]
14 [2]	Troup	5 - AAAA	7-0	75.69	48.27	59 [6]
15 [3]	Mary Persons	2 - AAAA	7-0	73.93	40.20	121 [19]
16 [10]	McEachern	3 - AAAAAAA	4-3	73.67	66.82	5 [5]
17 [3]	Dutchtown	4 - AAAAA	7-0	73.11	43.46	91 [17]
18 [4]	Cartersville	5 - AAAA	8-0	72.85	39.31	130 [21]
19 [11]	Tift County	1 - AAAAAAA	5-2	72.79	54.31	28 [21]
20 [12]	Milton	5 - AAAAAAA	5-2	72.15	64.95	7 [7]
21 [1]	Cedar Grove	5 - AAA	7-1	71.83	30.91	218 [23]
22 [4]	Buford	8 - AAAAA	6-2	71.29	45.15	80 [15]
23 [2]	Calhoun	6 - AAA	7-0	69.97	22.47	294 [39]
24 [5]	St. Pius X	8 - AAAA	7-1	68.79	46.19	69 [8]
25 [2]	Creekview	6 - AAAAAA	7-0	68.38	40.36	119 [24]
26 [13]	Camden County	1 - AAAAAAA	6-1	68.01	47.04	67 [33]
27 [14]	Westlake	2 - AAAAAAA	5-2	67.83	55.51	19 [16]
28 [15]	Brookwood	7 - AAAAAAA	6-1	67.45	43.46	92 [38]
29 [5]	Jones County	4 - AAAAA	6-1	67.42	50.56	47 [8]
30 [16]	Roswell	4 - AAAAAAA	6-1	66.38	49.28	55 [29]
31 [17]	Mill Creek	6 - AAAAAAA	5-3	65.42	54.82	25 [19]
32 [1]	Irwin County	2 - A	7-0	65.21	35.26	180 [2]
33 [3]	Valdosta	1 - AAAAAA	5-3	65.11	58.38	12 [2]
34 [6]	Stockbridge	4 - AAAAA	7-0	64.83	33.03	203 [39]
35 [18]	North Paulding	3 - AAAAAAA	6-1	64.77	45.25	79 [37]
36 [6]	Marist	7 - AAAA	7-1	64.32	37.88	146 [23]
37 [3]	Peach County	4 - AAA	5-2	64.05	43.61	90 [4]
38 [4]	Allatoona	6 - AAAAAA	5-2	63.86	50.97	45 [5]
39 [5]	Northside (Warner Robins)	1 - AAAAAA	4-4	63.65	59.66	11 [1]
40 [4]	Monroe Area	8 - AAA	8-0	63.03	28.74	236 [25]
41 [5]	Benedictine	3 - AAA	6-1	62.88	12.49	374 [52]
42 [1]	Callaway	5 - AA	7-1	62.79	23.47	282 [31]
43 [19]	North Cobb	3 - AAAAAAA	6-1	62.05	49.14	56 [30]
44 [7]	Wayne County	2 - AAAAA	8-0	60.88	36.99	159 [30]
45 [6]	Sequoyah	6 - AAAAAA	6-1	60.62	36.45	164 [41]
46 [20]	South Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	4-3	60.47	55.47	20 [17]
47 [8]	Kell	7 - AAAAA	5-2	60.46	47.73	62 [12]
48 [2]	Rockmart	7 - AA	7-0	60.46	27.55	248 [22]
49 [3]	Hapeville Charter	6 - AA	6-1	60.01	30.84	220 [16]
50 [7]	Flowery Branch	7 - AAAA	6-1	59.76	32.63	209 [35]
51 [9]	Ware County	2 - AAAAA	5-2	59.70	52.50	35 [5]
52 [4]	Dublin	3 - AA	7-1	58.48	33.74	198 [11]
53 [8]	Sandy Creek	5 - AAAA	4-3	58.48	50.35	51 [5]
54 [21]	Norcross	7 - AAAAAAA	3-4	57.98	61.50	9 [9]
55 [9]	Eastside	4 - AAAA	7-0	57.62	30.61	221 [37]
56 [6]	Greater Atlanta Christian	7 - AAA	6-2	57.55	38.33	141 [10]
57 [1]	Athens Academy	8 - A	7-0	57.40	28.08	244 [3]
58 [22]	Mountain View	6 - AAAAAAA	5-2	57.34	47.20	66 [32]
59 [7]	Coffee	1 - AAAAAA	6-2	57.21	39.62	126 [27]
60 [10]	Carrollton	7 - AAAAA	6-2	56.99	44.85	81 [16]
61 [5]	Washington County	3 - AA	6-0	56.97	34.37	191 [10]
62 [7]	Westminster (Atlanta)	5 - AAA	4-3	56.92	55.93	18 [1]
63 [10]	Burke County	3 - AAAA	6-2	56.80	37.68	149 [25]
64 [11]	Ridgeland	6 - AAAA	5-2	56.59	36.88	160 [26]
65 [8]	Harrison	6 - AAAAAA	7-1	56.18	35.43	178 [48]
66 [6]	Dodge County	3 - AA	6-1	55.69	43.66	89 [4]
67 [7]	Bremen	5 - AA	6-1	55.39	12.85	371 [55]
68 [2]	Eagle's Landing Christian	5 - A	6-1	55.30	26.49	257 [4]
69 [23]	Collins Hill	6 - AAAAAAA	2-5	55.00	67.18	4 [4]
70 [24]	Newton	8 - AAAAAAA	3-4	54.71	54.91	24 [18]
71 [11]	Veterans	1 - AAAAA	7-1	54.66	42.14	100 [22]
72 [2]	Clinch County	2 - A	6-1	54.63	33.78	196 [3]
73 [9]	Glynn Academy	2 - AAAAAA	3-4	54.18	49.59	53 [8]
74 [8]	Brooks County	1 - AA	5-2	54.14	45.96	72 [2]
75 [9]	Fitzgerald	1 - AA	6-2	53.78	39.86	122 [6]
76 [25]	West Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	2-5	53.52	56.24	17 [15]
77 [10]	Douglas County	5 - AAAAAA	7-1	53.38	36.31	167 [43]
78 [8]	Crisp County	1 - AAA	4-3	52.92	52.26	37 [2]
79 [10]	Rabun County	8 - AA	6-1	52.76	26.37	260 [24]
80 [12]	Southwest DeKalb	5 - AAAAA	7-0	52.48	25.27	267 [48]
81 [11]	Tucker	4 - AAAAAA	5-2	52.39	37.95	145 [34]
82 [26]	East Coweta	2 - AAAAAAA	1-6	52.26	64.14	8 [8]
83 [13]	Banneker	6 - AAAAA	6-1	52.23	31.11	216 [42]
84 [12]	Dacula	8 - AAAAAA	5-2	52.12	38.50	140 [32]
85 [12]	Chapel Hill	5 - AAAA	5-2	51.52	43.15	96 [13]
86 [14]	Thomas County Central	1 - AAAAA	5-2	51.47	39.80	124 [27]
87 [13]	Pickens	6 - AAAA	8-0	51.36	11.75	385 [54]
88 [13]	Centennial	7 - AAAAAA	5-2	51.17	37.50	151 [36]
89 [14]	Johns Creek	7 - AAAAAA	6-1	51.09	25.98	262 [57]
90 [27]	Etowah	4 - AAAAAAA	3-5	50.72	56.57	15 [13]
91 [14]	Cedartown	5 - AAAA	4-3	50.70	41.68	105 [15]
92 [28]	Cherokee	4 - AAAAAAA	4-4	50.52	53.25	30 [22]
93 [15]	Upson-Lee	2 - AAAA	4-3	50.50	50.36	50 [4]
94 [15]	Bainbridge	1 - AAAAA	3-4	50.49	51.01	44 [7]
95 [15]	Stephenson	4 - AAAAAA	6-1	50.38	27.34	250 [56]
96 [16]	East Paulding	7 - AAAAA	3-4	50.37	54.67	26 [3]
97 [16]	Howard	2 - AAAA	5-2	50.34	41.36	110 [17]
98 [29]	Newnan	2 - AAAAAAA	4-3	50.28	46.05	70 [35]
99 [30]	Wheeler	2 - AAAAAAA	5-2	50.07	43.35	93 [39]
100 [17]	West Laurens	2 - AAAA	5-2	50.05	38.77	136 [22]
101 [9]	Pace Academy	5 - AAA	5-3	50.03	37.05	156 [12]
102 [3]	Prince Avenue Christian	8 - A	6-1	49.49	22.07	295 [10]
103 [11]	Thomasville	1 - AA	4-4	49.38	53.21	31 [1]
104 [18]	Cairo	1 - AAAA	5-2	49.33	37.81	148 [24]
105 [31]	Pebblebrook	2 - AAAAAAA	3-4	49.32	49.35	54 [28]
106 [12]	Vidalia	2 - AA	7-0	49.20	19.13	323 [43]
107 [10]	Dawson County	7 - AAA	6-1	48.59	24.20	277 [34]
108 [17]	Locust Grove	4 - AAAAA	3-4	48.57	54.96	23 [2]
109 [19]	Oconee County	8 - AAAA	5-3	48.52	44.03	87 [12]
110 [11]	North Hall	7 - AAA	6-1	48.23	22.73	289 [38]
111 [16]	Alpharetta	7 - AAAAAA	5-2	47.95	36.29	168 [44]
112 [12]	Jefferson	8 - AAA	7-1	47.78	26.74	255 [29]
113 [17]	Lanier	8 - AAAAAA	5-2	47.74	39.17	132 [29]
114 [32]	Meadowcreek	7 - AAAAAAA	6-1	47.70	28.01	247 [47]
115 [20]	Baldwin	3 - AAAA	3-5	47.42	53.98	29 [1]
116 [13]	Liberty County	2 - AAA	4-1	47.28	36.87	161 [14]
117 [18]	Dalton	6 - AAAAAA	5-3	47.23	40.45	118 [23]
118 [33]	Kennesaw Mountain	3 - AAAAAAA	4-3	47.20	45.26	78 [36]
119 [18]	Clarke Central	8 - AAAAA	5-3	46.96	43.02	97 [20]
120 [21]	Woodward Academy	4 - AAAA	4-3	46.32	33.18	202 [32]
121 [13]	Swainsboro	2 - AA	5-2	46.27	30.59	222 [17]
122 [19]	Creekside	5 - AAAAAA	4-3	46.15	43.72	88 [17]
123 [20]	Richmond Hill	2 - AAAAAA	3-4	45.94	50.17	52 [7]
124 [19]	Cedar Shoals	8 - AAAAA	5-3	45.67	39.57	128 [28]
125 [14]	Westside (Macon)	4 - AAA	5-2	45.16	34.39	190 [19]
126 [34]	Woodstock	4 - AAAAAAA	2-5	44.47	52.16	38 [23]
127 [21]	Mays	5 - AAAAAA	3-4	44.44	40.33	120 [25]
128 [3]	Commerce	8 - A	7-0	44.38	17.50	340 [23]
129 [4]	Marion County	4 - A	8-0	44.34	14.39	361 [27]
130 [20]	Starr's Mill	3 - AAAAA	5-3	44.08	35.41	179 [35]
131 [35]	South Gwinnett	8 - AAAAAAA	3-4	43.76	48.86	57 [31]
132 [14]	Jefferson County	4 - AA	6-2	43.55	25.16	268 [25]
133 [15]	Heard County	5 - AA	5-2	43.54	28.68	237 [21]
134 [15]	Pierce County	2 - AAA	7-0	43.51	4.22	411 [56]
135 [22]	Richmond Academy	3 - AAAA	6-2	43.48	34.20	192 [30]
136 [21]	Griffin	3 - AAAAA	5-3	43.26	35.69	175 [34]
137 [23]	Carver (Columbus)	1 - AAAA	6-1	43.16	29.98	226 [38]
138 [16]	Early County	1 - AA	5-1	43.11	29.88	228 [19]
139 [4]	George Walton Academy	8 - A	6-1	42.83	15.41	355 [21]
140 [5]	Savannah Christian	3 - A	6-1	42.67	16.39	348 [19]
141 [24]	Stephens County	8 - AAAA	4-3	42.58	41.73	103 [14]
142 [36]	Central Gwinnett	7 - AAAAAAA	3-5	42.51	46.42	68 [34]
143 [17]	Douglass	6 - AA	6-1	42.39	19.24	321 [42]
144 [22]	Bradwell Institute	2 - AAAAAA	3-4	42.38	44.21	84 [15]
145 [25]	Perry	2 - AAAA	4-3	41.98	41.41	108 [16]
146 [26]	North Oconee	8 - AAAA	6-2	41.91	29.84	229 [39]
147 [16]	Lovett	5 - AAA	3-5	41.68	48.19	60 [3]
148 [23]	Northgate	5 - AAAAAA	4-3	41.48	41.41	109 [21]
149 [22]	Riverwood	6 - AAAAA	5-2	40.63	27.07	253 [46]
150 [23]	Statesboro	2 - AAAAA	2-6	40.63	50.40	49 [10]
151 [24]	Effingham County	2 - AAAAAA	5-3	40.59	33.24	201 [50]
152 [17]	Jackson	4 - AAA	4-3	40.32	37.86	147 [11]
153 [6]	Fellowship Christian	6 - A	7-0	40.29	11.62	387 [29]
154 [18]	Appling County	2 - AAA	3-3	39.78	40.83	112 [5]
155 [27]	Thomson	3 - AAAA	2-5	39.52	47.70	63 [7]
156 [24]	Hiram	7 - AAAAA	4-3	39.43	36.18	169 [31]
157 [25]	Hughes	5 - AAAAAA	3-5	39.21	45.63	75 [12]
158 [26]	Lovejoy	4 - AAAAAA	5-3	39.16	35.71	174 [46]
159 [27]	Houston County	1 - AAAAAA	2-5	38.76	50.64	46 [6]
160 [5]	Pelham	1 - A	7-0	38.69	-6.06	417 [49]
161 [28]	Winder-Barrow	8 - AAAAAA	2-5	38.45	45.27	77 [13]
162 [25]	Loganville	8 - AAAAA	3-5	38.26	47.75	61 [11]
163 [26]	Villa Rica	7 - AAAAA	4-3	38.10	35.99	170 [32]
164 [28]	Columbus	1 - AAAA	4-3	38.05	36.56	163 [27]
165 [18]	Union County	8 - AA	7-0	37.84	9.35	397 [57]
166 [29]	Mundy's Mill	4 - AAAAAA	5-3	37.34	32.41	211 [52]
167 [19]	Washington	6 - AA	6-2	37.33	16.59	346 [49]
168 [30]	Sprayberry	6 - AAAAAA	2-5	37.31	48.37	58 [9]
169 [6]	Mount Zion (Carroll)	6 - A	7-1	37.22	17.69	338 [21]
170 [31]	Habersham Central	8 - AAAAAA	4-3	37.08	35.46	177 [47]
171 [37]	North Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	3-4	37.06	37.42	152 [43]
172 [29]	Spalding	2 - AAAA	3-4	36.95	39.85	123 [20]
173 [27]	Union Grove	4 - AAAAA	4-3	36.88	35.91	171 [33]
174 [28]	Harris County	1 - AAAAA	2-6	36.68	52.89	32 [4]
175 [38]	Lassiter	4 - AAAAAAA	1-6	36.64	56.24	16 [15]
176 [32]	Alexander	5 - AAAAAA	3-4	36.48	37.10	155 [38]
177 [7]	Mount Paran Christian	6 - A	5-2	36.26	11.95	382 [28]
178 [29]	Woodland (Stockbridge)	4 - AAAAA	3-4	36.21	40.61	115 [26]
179 [30]	Riverdale	3 - AAAAA	6-1	36.11	22.99	286 [50]
180 [7]	Charlton County	2 - A	5-2	36.09	28.03	245 [6]
181 [20]	Berrien	1 - AA	5-2	35.80	29.38	232 [20]
182 [39]	Campbell	2 - AAAAAAA	1-6	35.68	56.61	14 [12]
183 [33]	Lakeside (Evans)	3 - AAAAAA	4-2	35.66	29.81	230 [54]
184 [19]	Pike County	4 - AAA	6-1	35.46	7.62	402 [55]
185 [8]	Schley County	4 - A	6-1	35.38	16.62	345 [24]
186 [31]	Arabia Mountain	5 - AAAAA	4-3	35.16	32.08	213 [40]
187 [8]	Calvary Day	3 - A	6-1	35.10	8.80	398 [33]
188 [30]	White County	7 - AAAA	2-5	35.05	44.22	83 [11]
189 [9]	Aquinas	7 - A	7-0	34.84	10.93	392 [32]
190 [10]	Darlington	6 - A	6-1	34.78	22.53	292 [8]
191 [34]	Grovetown	3 - AAAAAA	3-4	34.45	37.04	157 [39]
192 [40]	Forsyth Central	5 - AAAAAAA	5-2	34.17	21.06	302 [48]
193 [32]	Maynard Jackson	6 - AAAAA	4-3	33.74	25.28	266 [47]
194 [41]	Lambert	5 - AAAAAAA	3-4	33.69	37.35	154 [44]
195 [21]	Elbert County	8 - AA	4-3	33.32	24.97	271 [27]
196 [35]	Pope	7 - AAAAAA	3-5	33.28	39.73	125 [26]
197 [36]	Brunswick	2 - AAAAAA	3-5	33.22	38.61	138 [31]
198 [37]	South Paulding	5 - AAAAAA	2-5	33.21	41.82	102 [20]
199 [33]	New Hampstead	2 - AAAAA	4-2	33.16	22.68	290 [51]
200 [34]	Jonesboro	3 - AAAAA	3-5	33.02	41.70	104 [23]
201 [20]	Southeast Bulloch	3 - AAA	7-0	32.82	14.46	360 [49]
202 [31]	LaGrange	5 - AAAA	1-6	32.53	52.62	33 [2]
203 [22]	Hephzibah	4 - AA	6-2	32.50	20.52	307 [36]
204 [38]	Apalachee	8 - AAAAAA	3-4	32.36	37.53	150 [35]
205 [39]	Evans	3 - AAAAAA	1-6	32.14	42.37	98 [18]
206 [32]	Northwest Whitfield	6 - AAAA	4-3	32.07	20.31	310 [48]
207 [33]	Salem	4 - AAAA	4-3	32.01	28.99	234 [41]
208 [35]	Carver (Atlanta)	6 - AAAAA	3-4	31.49	33.90	195 [37]
209 [11]	Hebron Christian Academy	8 - A	4-3	31.40	21.07	301 [11]
210 [34]	Westover	1 - AAAA	3-3	31.37	29.09	233 [40]
211 [35]	West Hall	7 - AAAA	2-6	31.28	45.27	76 [10]
212 [36]	Woodland (Cartersville)	7 - AAAAA	4-3	31.15	30.87	219 [43]
213 [36]	Central (Carrollton)	5 - AAAA	2-6	31.08	46.04	71 [9]
214 [42]	Duluth	6 - AAAAAAA	3-4	30.84	38.77	135 [41]
215 [12]	Wesleyan	5 - A	3-4	30.83	34.03	193 [1]
216 [37]	Eagle's Landing	4 - AAAAA	1-6	30.75	43.29	94 [18]
217 [23]	Chattooga	7 - AA	5-2	30.72	19.54	319 [41]
218 [21]	Cook	1 - AAA	2-5	30.50	39.51	129 [8]
219 [24]	Harlem	4 - AA	5-3	30.42	24.43	274 [28]
220 [37]	Americus-Sumter	1 - AAAA	3-4	30.41	32.93	205 [33]
221 [38]	Ola	4 - AAAAA	1-6	30.39	51.10	43 [6]
222 [43]	Shiloh	8 - AAAAAAA	2-5	30.20	38.05	144 [42]
223 [25]	Southwest	3 - AA	2-5	30.09	44.15	85 [3]
224 [13]	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	5 - A	5-2	29.84	21.00	303 [12]
225 [22]	Hart County	8 - AAA	2-5	29.73	39.60	127 [7]
226 [44]	Discovery	6 - AAAAAAA	1-6	29.70	51.53	41 [26]
227 [40]	South Cobb	6 - AAAAAA	1-7	29.64	52.41	36 [4]
228 [9]	Emanuel County Institute	3 - A	4-3	29.63	18.45	329 [18]
229 [38]	Denmark	7 - AAAA	4-4	29.60	33.99	194 [31]
230 [23]	North Murray	6 - AAA	5-3	29.59	21.62	299 [40]
231 [26]	Northeast	3 - AA	3-4	29.44	33.33	200 [13]
232 [10]	Mitchell County	1 - A	5-1	29.39	-0.31	414 [46]
233 [41]	Greenbrier	3 - AAAAAA	1-6	29.20	41.99	101 [19]
234 [24]	Morgan County	8 - AAA	3-5	28.88	35.04	183 [17]
235 [25]	Central (Macon)	4 - AAA	2-6	28.57	35.81	172 [15]
236 [27]	Bleckley County	3 - AA	2-5	28.19	40.61	116 [5]
237 [39]	Walnut Grove	8 - AAAAA	2-6	28.19	38.52	139 [29]
238 [14]	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	5 - A	5-2	28.19	20.34	308 [13]
239 [39]	Hardaway	1 - AAAA	3-3	28.17	25.09	270 [46]
240 [28]	Pepperell	7 - AA	4-3	28.15	25.11	269 [26]
241 [42]	Morrow	4 - AAAAAA	1-6	28.14	47.33	65 [11]
242 [11]	Dooly County	4 - A	3-3	28.10	28.30	241 [5]
243 [43]	Alcovy	3 - AAAAAA	2-5	27.80	44.13	86 [16]
244 [44]	Northview	7 - AAAAAA	4-3	27.78	25.51	265 [58]
245 [45]	Heritage (Conyers)	3 - AAAAAA	2-5	27.67	35.72	173 [45]
246 [15]	Brookstone	4 - A	5-2	27.63	6.22	406 [36]
247 [46]	Cambridge	7 - AAAAAA	3-5	27.57	36.64	162 [40]
248 [26]	Jenkins	3 - AAA	6-2	27.30	13.68	365 [50]
249 [45]	Rockdale County	8 - AAAAAAA	2-5	27.09	34.70	187 [46]
250 [29]	Toombs County	2 - AA	5-3	27.03	20.70	305 [35]
251 [16]	Christian Heritage	6 - A	5-2	26.84	18.83	327 [15]
252 [30]	Metter	2 - AA	5-2	26.62	20.19	311 [37]
253 [12]	Wilcox County	2 - A	4-3	26.56	19.80	313 [13]
254 [40]	Northside (Columbus)	1 - AAAA	3-5	26.30	31.19	215 [36]
255 [27]	Haralson County	6 - AAA	6-1	26.28	12.00	380 [53]
256 [47]	Gainesville	8 - AAAAAA	0-7	26.26	47.61	64 [10]
257 [41]	Madison County	8 - AAAA	2-5	26.09	35.00	184 [28]
258 [13]	Turner County	2 - A	4-3	26.08	21.95	296 [12]
259 [28]	Ringgold	6 - AAA	3-4	25.73	27.21	251 [27]
260 [17]	Whitefield Academy	6 - A	5-2	25.55	12.57	373 [25]
261 [48]	North Atlanta	7 - AAAAAA	3-4	25.54	29.58	231 [55]
262 [31]	Spencer	5 - AA	1-6	25.34	38.24	143 [8]
263 [32]	South Atlanta	6 - AA	4-3	25.13	19.69	315 [38]
264 [42]	Hampton	4 - AAAA	3-4	25.01	28.56	239 [43]
265 [18]	North Cobb Christian	6 - A	6-1	24.99	12.46	375 [26]
266 [49]	River Ridge	6 - AAAAAA	1-7	24.85	55.05	21 [3]
267 [40]	Decatur	6 - AAAAA	2-4	24.67	33.74	197 [38]
268 [41]	Lithonia	5 - AAAAA	5-2	24.55	15.35	356 [54]
269 [29]	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6 - AAA	5-2	24.45	12.63	372 [51]
270 [33]	Butler	4 - AA	4-3	24.27	19.66	316 [39]
271 [46]	Peachtree Ridge	6 - AAAAAAA	0-8	24.27	51.82	40 [25]
272 [42]	Cass	7 - AAAAA	1-7	24.11	42.20	99 [21]
273 [34]	Screven County	4 - AA	4-3	24.04	17.21	342 [48]
274 [43]	Paulding County	7 - AAAAA	0-7	24.01	50.50	48 [9]
275 [14]	Trion	6 - A	5-3	23.86	17.96	335 [20]
276 [15]	Greene County	7 - A	5-2	23.75	13.27	369 [30]
277 [16]	Telfair County	2 - A	3-4	23.43	23.71	281 [10]
278 [50]	Drew	4 - AAAAAA	1-5	22.99	38.32	142 [33]
279 [17]	Claxton	3 - A	5-2	22.93	17.55	339 [22]
280 [51]	Tri-Cities	5 - AAAAAA	0-7	22.16	44.72	82 [14]
281 [52]	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	4 - AAAAAA	2-6	21.94	33.03	204 [51]
282 [19]	Mount de Sales	7 - A	6-1	21.80	11.38	388 [30]
283 [20]	Savannah Country Day	3 - A	6-1	21.70	6.86	405 [35]
284 [53]	New Manchester	5 - AAAAAA	1-7	21.62	40.78	113 [22]
285 [54]	M.L. King	4 - AAAAAA	1-6	21.44	35.21	181 [49]
286 [44]	Miller Grove	5 - AAAAA	1-6	21.38	41.60	106 [24]
287 [45]	Columbia	5 - AAAAA	1-6	21.23	43.20	95 [19]
288 [18]	Manchester	4 - A	4-3	21.16	10.20	394 [37]
289 [46]	North Springs	6 - AAAAA	2-4	21.03	24.37	275 [49]
290 [47]	South Effingham	2 - AAAAA	2-6	21.01	34.98	185 [36]
291 [35]	Jeff Davis	2 - AA	5-2	20.89	13.17	370 [54]
292 [30]	Adairsville	6 - AAA	3-5	20.86	26.42	259 [30]
293 [19]	Macon County	4 - A	3-4	20.86	19.07	325 [17]
294 [20]	Montgomery County	3 - A	5-2	20.52	8.19	400 [40]
295 [31]	Windsor Forest	3 - AAA	3-4	20.51	21.29	300 [41]
296 [43]	Henry County	4 - AAAA	2-5	19.99	28.25	243 [45]
297 [48]	McIntosh	3 - AAAAA	2-5	19.46	30.18	225 [44]
298 [21]	Tattnall Square	7 - A	5-3	19.46	11.00	390 [31]
299 [32]	Franklin County	8 - AAA	2-5	19.37	31.08	217 [22]
300 [22]	Holy Innocents	5 - A	3-4	19.29	22.52	293 [9]
301 [44]	Heritage (Ringgold)	6 - AAAA	3-5	19.20	28.26	242 [44]
302 [21]	Atkinson County	2 - A	3-4	19.15	25.61	264 [9]
303 [33]	Sonoraville	6 - AAA	3-4	19.09	23.11	284 [36]
304 [22]	Hancock Central	7 - A	4-3	18.91	14.26	363 [28]
305 [45]	Shaw	1 - AAAA	3-4	18.80	24.02	279 [47]
306 [34]	Jackson County	8 - AAA	2-5	18.78	29.94	227 [24]
307 [49]	Whitewater	3 - AAAAA	0-7	18.61	45.65	74 [14]
308 [46]	LaFayette	6 - AAAA	4-4	16.85	18.44	330 [49]
309 [47]	Lakeside (Atlanta)	7 - AAAAAAA	1-7	16.70	41.42	107 [40]
310 [36]	Therrell	6 - AA	2-5	16.59	33.48	199 [12]
311 [37]	Bacon County	2 - AA	1-7	16.39	34.40	189 [9]
312 [55]	Chattahoochee	7 - AAAAAA	0-8	16.28	39.03	133 [30]
313 [35]	Monroe	1 - AAA	3-4	16.18	23.28	283 [35]
314 [56]	Forest Park	4 - AAAAAA	1-6	16.14	30.38	224 [53]
315 [36]	Islands	3 - AAA	2-5	16.01	26.94	254 [28]
316 [50]	Johnson (Gainesville)	8 - AAAAA	4-4	15.74	16.65	344 [53]
317 [47]	Luella	4 - AAAA	2-5	15.49	28.61	238 [42]
318 [38]	Coosa	7 - AA	2-5	15.49	22.83	287 [32]
319 [37]	Tattnall County	2 - AAA	1-6	15.45	32.36	212 [21]
320 [23]	Stratford Academy	7 - A	2-5	15.25	23.06	285 [7]
321 [48]	Cross Creek	3 - AAAA	3-3	15.07	17.28	341 [50]
322 [23]	Jenkins County	3 - A	4-4	15.00	12.27	376 [31]
323 [24]	Chattahoochee County	1 - A	5-3	14.66	7.78	401 [41]
324 [25]	Washington-Wilkes	7 - A	3-5	14.60	18.36	332 [19]
325 [39]	Monticello	8 - AA	3-4	14.01	18.40	331 [45]
326 [57]	Dunwoody	7 - AAAAAA	1-6	13.95	37.38	153 [37]
327 [40]	Laney	4 - AA	3-4	13.39	23.94	280 [30]
328 [41]	Lamar County	5 - AA	3-4	13.37	19.60	318 [40]
329 [42]	B.E.S.T. Academy	6 - AA	1-6	12.73	38.88	134 [7]
330 [51]	Fayette County	3 - AAAAA	0-7	12.60	31.54	214 [41]
331 [24]	Pinecrest Academy	6 - A	3-4	12.43	14.34	362 [22]
332 [25]	Riverside Military Academy	8 - A	4-3	12.15	7.25	403 [34]
333 [52]	Grady	6 - AAAAA	1-6	12.09	27.07	252 [46]
334 [26]	St. Francis	6 - A	3-4	11.49	13.45	367 [23]
335 [27]	Strong Rock Christian	5 - A	3-4	11.40	16.52	347 [18]
336 [26]	Lincoln County	7 - A	2-5	11.08	19.62	317 [15]
337 [38]	Worth County	1 - AAA	1-6	10.26	40.57	117 [6]
338 [27]	Johnson County	3 - A	4-3	9.90	7.09	404 [42]
339 [39]	Brantley County	2 - AAA	1-6	9.47	25.79	263 [32]
340 [28]	Taylor County	4 - A	3-4	9.46	11.21	389 [34]
341 [49]	North Clayton	4 - AAAA	1-6	8.88	34.66	188 [29]
342 [28]	Mount Pisgah Christian	6 - A	2-5	8.76	19.13	324 [14]
343 [50]	Southeast Whitfield	6 - AAAA	3-4	8.43	16.02	351 [51]
344 [40]	Fannin County	7 - AAA	3-4	8.12	10.16	395 [54]
345 [29]	Warren County	7 - A	4-3	8.04	4.33	410 [44]
346 [51]	Chestatee	7 - AAAA	1-6	7.79	40.76	114 [18]
347 [41]	Redan	5 - AAA	0-6	7.29	37.02	158 [13]
348 [30]	Gordon Lee	6 - A	2-5	7.26	19.17	322 [16]
349 [43]	Putnam County	8 - AA	2-5	7.13	24.11	278 [29]
350 [44]	McNair	6 - AA	2-5	7.11	32.69	208 [15]
351 [45]	Banks County	8 - AA	3-4	7.06	11.91	383 [56]
352 [46]	Model	7 - AA	2-5	7.02	17.86	336 [46]
353 [47]	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6 - AA	2-5	6.96	18.57	328 [44]
354 [31]	Miller County	1 - A	3-3	6.95	5.46	407 [43]
355 [29]	First Presbyterian	7 - A	2-5	6.91	17.19	343 [17]
356 [42]	East Hall	7 - AAA	2-6	6.49	32.80	207 [20]
357 [30]	Athens Christian	8 - A	2-5	6.25	28.33	240 [2]
358 [52]	Dougherty	1 - AAAA	0-6	6.14	32.63	210 [35]
359 [43]	Lumpkin County	7 - AAA	3-4	5.10	15.82	352 [48]
360 [48]	Glenn Hills	4 - AA	1-6	5.09	21.63	298 [34]
361 [32]	Bowdon	6 - A	0-7	5.09	26.67	256 [8]
362 [44]	Beach	3 - AAA	1-5	4.89	28.01	246 [26]
363 [49]	East Laurens	3 - AA	1-5	3.92	32.88	206 [14]
364 [33]	Seminole County	1 - A	4-2	3.74	-4.91	416 [48]
365 [50]	Bryan County	2 - AA	1-6	2.98	26.45	258 [23]
366 [34]	McIntosh County Academy	3 - A	0-7	1.72	28.75	235 [4]
367 [51]	Gordon Central	7 - AA	2-5	1.62	13.86	364 [53]
368 [31]	Landmark Christian	5 - A	2-5	1.34	11.98	381 [27]
369 [53]	Lithia Springs	6 - AAAAA	2-5	0.05	20.58	306 [52]
370 [35]	Portal	3 - A	1-6	-0.57	19.74	314 [14]
371 [45]	Coahulla Creek	6 - AAA	1-6	-1.55	20.31	309 [43]
372 [53]	Druid Hills	4 - AAAA	2-5	-1.71	14.85	359 [52]
373 [36]	Towns County	8 - A	2-5	-1.78	36.44	165 [1]
374 [54]	Chamblee	5 - AAAAA	0-7	-2.12	45.89	73 [13]
375 [52]	Dade County	7 - AA	1-6	-2.40	16.10	350 [50]
376 [37]	Hawkinsville	4 - A	2-5	-2.53	16.25	349 [25]
377 [53]	Westside (Augusta)	4 - AA	1-6	-2.68	21.94	297 [33]
378 [32]	Providence Christian	8 - A	3-4	-2.77	13.36	368 [24]
379 [58]	Osborne	6 - AAAAAA	0-8	-2.79	36.37	166 [42]
380 [38]	Greenville	4 - A	2-5	-2.94	13.54	366 [29]
381 [33]	King's Ridge Christian	6 - A	1-6	-3.24	15.78	353 [20]
382 [39]	Wilkinson County	7 - A	1-6	-3.27	22.64	291 [11]
383 [34]	Pacelli	4 - A	4-4	-3.52	0.30	413 [38]
384 [46]	Johnson (Savannah)	3 - AAA	2-5	-3.62	20.74	304 [42]
385 [54]	Jordan	5 - AA	2-6	-4.39	15.62	354 [51]
386 [47]	Long County	2 - AAA	0-7	-4.50	38.69	137 [9]
387 [40]	Lanier County	2 - A	0-7	-5.18	27.39	249 [7]
388 [41]	Terrell County	1 - A	1-5	-5.44	10.93	391 [35]
389 [55]	Social Circle	8 - AA	4-3	-5.61	-11.59	419 [59]
390 [56]	Temple	5 - AA	1-7	-5.62	30.49	223 [18]
391 [48]	Towers	5 - AAA	0-7	-7.74	34.88	186 [18]
392 [35]	Georgia Military College	7 - A	3-5	-8.29	5.02	408 [37]
393 [57]	Armuchee	7 - AA	1-6	-9.23	14.97	358 [52]
394 [42]	Wheeler County	3 - A	1-5	-10.08	15.24	357 [26]
395 [58]	Josey	4 - AA	0-7	-10.39	17.78	337 [47]
396 [36]	Lakeview Academy	8 - A	0-7	-10.46	24.71	272 [5]
397 [37]	Walker	6 - A	0-7	-10.81	18.02	334 [16]
398 [38]	Our Lady of Mercy	5 - A	0-7	-11.20	24.35	276 [6]
399 [49]	Cherokee Bluff	7 - AAA	0-8	-11.64	22.74	288 [37]
400 [43]	Calhoun County	1 - A	1-5	-11.73	9.70	396 [38]
401 [50]	Groves	3 - AAA	1-7	-13.37	20.04	312 [44]
402 [44]	Treutlen	3 - A	2-5	-13.51	8.32	399 [39]
403 [51]	Kendrick	4 - AAA	1-7	-13.75	19.26	320 [45]
404 [52]	Stone Mountain	5 - AAA	0-6	-13.97	35.20	182 [16]
405 [48]	Berkmar	7 - AAAAAAA	2-6	-15.61	35.55	176 [45]
406 [45]	Baconton Charter	1 - A	2-4	-15.70	3.64	412 [45]
407 [53]	East Jackson	8 - AAA	1-6	-15.81	19.05	326 [46]
408 [46]	Crawford County	4 - A	2-4	-16.37	-6.57	418 [50]
409 [54]	Murray County	6 - AAA	0-8	-17.80	18.11	333 [47]
410 [54]	Gilmer	6 - AAAA	0-7	-17.90	11.80	384 [53]
411 [55]	Savannah	3 - AAA	0-7	-18.88	24.58	273 [33]
412 [56]	Rutland	4 - AAA	0-8	-18.99	26.29	261 [31]
413 [59]	Oglethorpe County	8 - AA	0-7	-25.01	5.00	409 [58]
414 [47]	Twiggs County	7 - A	0-8	-28.46	11.68	386 [33]
415 [48]	Stewart County	1 - A	2-4	-28.94	-3.17	415 [47]
416 [1]	ACE Charter	7 - A†	4-5	-30.08	-13.35	420 [1]
417 [49]	Central (Talbotton)	4 - A	0-7	-31.22	12.25	378 [32]
418 [55]	Clarkston	5 - AAAAA†	0-8	-31.29	12.16	379 [56]
419 [50]	Randolph-Clay	1 - A	0-6	-38.76	10.52	393 [36]
420 [2]	Glascock County	7 - A†	0-8	-48.95	-16.23	421 [2]
421 [3]	Pataula Charter	1 - A†	1-6	-50.61	-25.20	422 [3]
422 [56]	Cross Keys	5 - AAAAA†	0-8	-72.39	12.26	377 [55]

† - Plays a non-region schedule

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the Competitive Rating is the rating required for a new team to that region to have a chance of going undefeated in a round robin schedule among region teams equal to the chance of being selected region champion if picked at random. For example, there are four teams in 1-AAAAAAA, so the chance of a new team being region champion if picked at random is 1 / (4 + 1) = 20%. Therefore the Competitive Rating is the rating required to go undefeated in a round robin tournament among region teams 20% of the time. This rating favors regions with larger numbers of highly rated teams. The “Average Rating” is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank	Region	Comp Rating	Avg Rating
1	1 - AAAAAAA	93.20	79.49
2	8 - AAAAAAA	80.48	51.45
3	3 - AAAAAAA	80.29	67.82
4	1 - AAAAAA	75.44	61.63
5	7 - AAAAAAA	73.87	47.79
6	7 - AAAAA	72.41	43.75
7	5 - AAAA	72.33	53.36
8	6 - AAAAAAA	72.10	48.86
9	4 - AAAAAAA	71.76	53.67
10	7 - AAAA	70.10	42.93
11	4 - AAAAA	69.52	47.47
12	1 - AAAAA	68.49	53.23
13	6 - AAAAAA	66.69	45.29
14	5 - AAAAAAA	65.58	47.73
15	2 - AAAA	65.47	49.68
16	2 - AAAAAAA	63.59	50.76
17	5 - AAA	62.59	33.80
18	8 - AAAAA	60.60	40.36
19	8 - AAAA	60.45	44.96
20	2 - AAAAA	58.78	43.14
21	3 - AA	58.22	38.25
22	1 - AA	57.22	47.39
23	5 - AA	55.93	26.97
24	2 - A	55.86	29.85
25	4 - AAA	54.23	31.60
26	3 - AAAA	53.99	41.85
27	5 - AAAAAA	53.33	37.82
28	2 - AAAAAA	53.30	43.22
29	8 - AAA	52.61	28.08
30	6 - AAA	52.32	21.58
31	8 - A	52.31	22.67
	8-Div A - A	53.00	34.54
	8-Div B - A	36.13	14.15
32	7 - AAA	52.15	20.47
33	7 - AAAAAA	51.66	32.32
34	8 - AAAAAA	51.29	38.92
35	4 - AAAAAA	50.49	31.63
36	6 - AAAA	50.08	23.93
37	6 - AA	49.41	24.27
38	4 - AAAA	48.68	24.30
39	1 - AAAA	47.40	30.52
40	3 - AAA	46.66	13.06
41	6 - AAAAA	46.11	27.28
42	2 - AA	45.40	26.65
43	2 - AAA	45.28	26.11
44	7 - AA	45.21	13.85
45	3 - AAAAA	44.81	29.75
46	5 - A	43.94	20.77
47	1 - AAA	43.51	25.87
48	8 - AA	43.03	14.78
49	6 - A	42.26	19.20
	6-Div A - A	37.66	23.38
	6-Div B - A	36.04	14.75
50	5 - AAAAA	41.81	25.41
51	3 - AAAAAA	41.11	31.15
52	4 - AA	38.75	18.58
53	4 - A	38.66	12.06
	4-Div A - A	34.84	10.18
	4-Div B - A	31.08	13.53
54	3 - A	38.31	15.04
	3-Div A - A	37.95	20.97
	3-Div B - A	25.42	9.41
55	7 - A	31.56	11.81
	7-Div B - A	29.66	14.97
	7-Div A - A	21.22	7.75
56	1 - A	28.87	-1.15

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Pct	Likelihood
09/21	Roswell	Wheeler	36 - 37	14.97	81.7%	0.280
09/14	Howard	Jackson	6 - 24	8.68	70.4%	0.326
09/07	Tattnall Square	Lincoln County	28 - 34	9.72	72.6%	0.341
09/14	Mount Zion (Carroll)	Christian Heritage	22 - 30	9.04	71.2%	0.346
09/07	Newnan	Griffin	17 - 26	8.36	69.8%	0.355
08/24	Cedar Shoals	Winder-Barrow	7 - 14	8.56	70.2%	0.357
09/27	Hardaway	Shaw	28 - 30	9.36	71.8%	0.363
09/14	Kell	East Paulding	31 - 33	8.76	70.6%	0.373
08/31	Apalachee	Madison County	14 - 20	7.61	68.2%	0.377
08/17	Chattooga	Adairsville	20 - 21	8.52	70.1%	0.381
09/21	Northgate	South Paulding	30 - 35	6.93	66.7%	0.392
08/31	Liberty County	Statesboro	6 - 23	5.31	63.0%	0.395
09/14	Milton	Roswell	20 - 22	7.11	67.1%	0.400
09/14	Arabia Mountain	Heritage (Conyers)	21 - 28	6.16	64.9%	0.400
08/31	Lakeside (Evans)	Duluth	3 - 7	6.16	64.9%	0.408

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating	Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Pct
92.72	09/21	Colquitt County	Grayson	26 - 14	10.34	73.8%
81.73	08/31	Parkview	Lowndes	39 - 27	5.34	63.0%
81.47	11/02	Colquitt County	Lowndes	-	22.00	90.0%
81.05	09/07	Grayson	Marietta	38 - 31	10.33	73.7%
80.49	10/11	Grayson	Archer	41 - 14	12.24	77.3%
80.48	09/14	North Gwinnett	Walton	24 - 27	0.27	50.7%
80.29	08/16	Rome	Marietta	51 - 41	8.90	70.9%
79.30	09/14	Colquitt County	Warner Robins	41 - 14	22.75	90.7%
77.75	10/26	Hillgrove	Marietta	-	1.43	53.6%
76.09	09/14	Parkview	Tift County	31 - 28	10.30	73.7%
75.52	10/12	Marietta	McEachern	28 - 27	2.74	56.8%
75.01	10/05	Hillgrove	McEachern	31 - 21	5.51	63.4%
74.79	08/18	Colquitt County	McEachern	41 - 7	27.43	94.0%
74.67	10/19	Lowndes	Tift County	-	8.99	71.1%
74.62	10/26	Colquitt County	Tift County	-	26.97	93.7%

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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